The 142nd Kentucky Derby
MAY 07, 2016
The Greatest Two Minutes in Sports
When it comes to picking horses, it seems everyone has a strategy.
There’s no shortage of experts and amateurs touting the ability of certain races, trainers, and twists of fate to accurately foretell which horse
and jockey will take their place in history to claim horse racing’s most
famous title. Of course, in a two-minute span, the majority of those
can’t miss bets will be landing softly beneath the feet of thousands of
well-dressed revelers.
Try for a trifecta all you like, but come Saturday, we’ll be turning to the
tried and tested forecasting ability of Derby Data. You can see the results for yourself on page two—the numbers clearly say we should pick
a first-born horse with an inside post position. Add in a bit of confirmation though search engine trends, and a bias towards closing ability
and we have our winner:
Data Driven Victor - Gun Runner
Derbymetrics: Racing by the Numbers
1. Last year, the Kentucky Derby notched a record attendance of 170,513—larger than the population of 52 countries
and territories.
2. A $2 trifecta at the 2005 Derby paid a record $133,134.80
3. According to recent figures, the Kentucky Derby injects an
average of $2,000 into the Louisville economy for every mint
julep sold.
Global Research & Analytics Wisdom And Wit
Schneider Electric | Global Research & Analytics
Schneider Electric’s Top Picks
Official Derby Draw
Morning Line Odds & Post Positions
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
Trojan Nation
Suddenbreakingnews
Creator
Mo Tom
Gun Runner
My Man Sam
Oscar Nominated
Lani
Destin
Whitmore
Exaggerator
Tom's Ready
Nyquist
Mohaymen
Outwork
Shagaf
Mor Spirit
Majesto
Brody's Cause
Danzing Candy
50-1
20-1
10-1
20-1
10-1
20-1
20-1
30-1
15-1
20-1
8-1
30-1
3-1
10-1
15-1
20-1
12-1
30-1
12-1
15-1
The 142nd Kentucky Derby
MAY 07, 2016
The Greatest Two Minutes in Sports
Kentucky Derby 2015
Tweets Sent Per Minute
Wins by Starting Position
(1900-2015)
3000
60
50
2000
40
30
1000
20
10
0
1:00 PM
0
2:00 PM
3:00 PM
4:00 PM
5:00 PM
1-5
6:00 PM
Kentucky Derby Winners' Birth Order
(1995-2015)
6-10
11-15
16-20
Crude Oil Price vs. Derby Attendance
180
170
50%
160
100
Thousands
60%
120
80
$/barrel
150
40%
140
30%
60
130
40
20%
120
10%
20
110
Attendance
0%
Crude Price
100
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
Birth Order
Schneider Electric | Global Research & Analytics
6th+
0
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015