236 Macroscopic Analysis of Side Friction Impact on Speed of Urban Roads-Case Study of “Jawahar Marg, Indore” Ravi Parmar1, Anu Maru2, Rishi Singh Chhabra3 1 Design Engineer (Highway), GR Infra Pvt Ltd, New Delhi 2 Assistant Professor, Shri Vaishnav Institute of Technology and Science, Indore 3 Assistant Professor, Lovely Professional University, Punjab [email protected], [email protected], [email protected] Key words: Side friction, macroscopic analysis, friction factor, urban road, speed 1 Abstract This study involved a macroscopic approach in which we calculate the combined friction factor and also used SPSS software for finding the friction (FRIC). ‘FRIC’ is a short version of ‘friction’. ‘FRIC’ was determined by adding the weighted standardized coefficients of the negatively correlated individual factors to the criterion variable. SPSS computer program was used for the computation of the above equation and the results included the beta coefficients, which are standardized coefficients. The results showed that on two-lane two-way roads, all studied factors exhibited statistically significant impact on speed. On this basis it was possible to measure the characteristic impact of the individual factors on speed. The macro analysis approach was based on developing relationship models between speed and flow and investigating the effect of aggregated side friction factors on such relationships. 2 Introduction Road side friction mainly include road side activities like parking manoeuvres, frequent bus stops, entries and exit from major roads etc. As a consequence of these factors, the traffic flow characteristics of vehicles get affected. Side friction factors are defined as all those actions related to the activities taking place by the sides of the road and sometimes within the road, which interfere with the traffic flow on the travelled way. They include but not limited to pedestrians, bicycles, non-motorised vehicles, parked and stopping vehicles. The objective of this research is to analyses the effect of these factors on traffic performance measures on urban roads. An empirical case study methodology was adopted where Jawahar Marg Road in Indore city was chosen as a representative case, three road sections on Jawahar marg were selected. The scope was limited to include only road-link facilities. Data collection was mainly performed by application of video method, which proved to be effective for simultaneous collection of traffic and side friction data. Data reduction was conducted chiefly by computer, using standard spreadsheet. This review involved a macroscopic approach where traffic and friction data were collected and analyzed at an aggregated level. The analysis part was based on statistical methods, chiefly regression analysis. The individual friction factors through regression analysis were weighted and combined into one unit of measure of friction called ‘FRIC’. Free-flow vehicles were observed in the recorded videocassettes interacting or not interacting with different friction factors. They were assessed to be ‘free flowing’ on the screen and confirmed by computation of time headways between successive vehicles. These were sorted according to types of friction factors they interacted with and also those, which did not interact with any friction factor, were recorded in a different class. All free flow vehicles that interacted with friction factors were labelled according to the type of friction factor they interacted with, such as: those which interacted with pedestrians they were labeled (PED), Bicycles (BIC), NonMotorized Vehicles (NMV), and Parking/Stopping Vehicles (PSV). For those, which did not interact with any friction factor, were labeled as ‘No Side Friction’ (NO SF). 3 Analysis of Side Friction Analysis of side friction is the core of this research. The main objective was to identify if friction factors explained any variation in mean vehicles speeds and capacity on the different studied roads. The studied sites were firstly investigated individually and then aggregated according to road types. Four types of side friction events were identified. These included pedestrians walking along or crossing the roadway, bicycles, non-motorized vehicles, parked and stopped vehicles, all measured in numbers per hour per length of study section. Figure below shows an example of the average 15-minute flow and friction events data recorded over 2 hrs at Section 1: Fig. 1 Flow rate and friction events (based on 10minutes-data) Figure above indicates that in the study area there were several factors, which could be explanatory to the dependent variables such as capacity and speed. From the figure, it is also noted that ‘flow’ was the most prominent factor among all the above shown, and likely would have the highest explanatory power than the others. Based on the above findings, it was proposed to study the impact of the above factors on speed and capacity as described below. 3.1 Impact Analysis of Side Friction Factors Effective way of performing impact analysis of side friction was to combine the individual frictional components into one unit of measure. This had two advantages: • • 3.2 To reduce the no. of variables and consequently reduce the complexity of the analysis. To make it easier to judge whether friction was significant or insignificant on a given site in terms of one unit of measure instead of dealing with individual components. Combining Friction Factors Process (determination of ‘FRIC’) Based on the advantages mentioned above, it was decided to combine the individual friction factors into one unit of measure. A name for this unit was called ‘FRIC’. The choice of the name was arbitrary to suit the theme of the study. ‘FRIC’ is essentially a short version of ‘friction’. ‘FRIC’ was determined by adding the weighted standardized coefficients of the negatively correlated individual factors to the criterion variable. It was thus important, first to establish these coefficients by performing regression analysis involving flow and the individual frictional items as independent variables and speed of the light vehicles as the criterion variable. The following equation was applied: Vo= A+B (FLOW)+ B (PED) + B (BIC)+ B (NMV) + B (PSV) ……….1 1 2 3 4 5 Where, Vo = Observed average speed of light vehicle A = Regression constant which is the free-flow speed B , B , B , B , B = Regression coefficients for explanatory variables. 1 2 3 4 5 SPSS computer program was used for the computation of the above equation and the results included the beta coefficients, which are standardized coefficients. These were weighted and summed up to determine the unit measure of ‘FRIC’ by applying the following equation: FRIC = A*PED + B*BIC +C*PSV + D*NMV …………………2 Where, PED= Pedestrians (No. /hr) BIC=Bicycles (No./ hr) PSV= Parking and stopping Vehicles (No./ hr) NMV=Non-motorized Vehicles (No./ hr) A, B, C, D= Weighted standardized coefficients In the table it is indicated that those factors, which showed positive correlation with the dependent variable, were excluded from the derivation of ‘FRIC’. Negative correlation implied that the factors reduced speed while positive correlation implied the opposite, such that the presence of friction factors increased speed, which was considered as an anomaly and intuitively not expected, and hence excluded. It is important to note that factors with negative correlation were included in the analysis regardless of their significance levels. This was based on the assumption that despite showing low significance levels as individual factors, yet they could anyhow have a contribution when combined together. Table.1 Determination of ‘FRIC’ Site Section:1 Indepandent Variable Significance Level Regression Coefficients Beta Coefficient Flow 0.1856 0.015262 0.616485 Weighted Coefficient FRIC=A(PED)+ B(BIC)+C(NM V)+D(PSV) FRIC=.157(PE D)+1(BIC)+0.3 (R2=0.571) Section:2 (R2=0.092) SIYAGANJ PETROL PUMP(R2=0.67 9) 46(NMV) PED 0.8992 -0.00772 -0.15717 0.465 BIC 0.33861 -0.11129 -0.33728 1 NMV 0.79999 -0.05103 -0.1167 0.346 PSV 0.57222 0.083201 0.207819 Flow 0.879 0.003 0.075 PED 0.863 -0.015 -0.145 0.872 BIC 0.861 -0.022 -0.166 1.000 NMV 0.510 0.183 0.571 PSV 0.690 0.063 0.278 Flow 0.171 0.015 -0.135 PED 0.562 0.069 -1.064 BIC 0.273 -0.127 0.396 NMV 0.499 -0.166 -0.182 PSV 0.939 -0.016 0.281 Fig. 2 An example of the combined friction components into ‘FRIC’ are shown in figure for Section 1: FRIC=0.872(PE D)+1(BIC) 1.000 FRIC=1(PED)+ 0.172(NMV) 0.172 3.3 Impact analysis with ‘FRIC’ ‘FRIC’ was the practical unit to use in the analysis of the impact of friction on speed and capacity of the studied roads. This was studied in three ways: • • • 3.3.1 Preliminary investigation of speed-FRIC relationships. This is demonstrated for aggregated data for the combined sites in the subsequent chapters. Develop regression models for each site “with” and “without” ‘FRIC’ as an explanatory variable Develop speed flow models for different ‘FRIC’ intensity classes. Regression models “with” and “without” ‘FRIC’ Linear regression models may include various explanatory variables that describe the variation of the dependent variable. If all possible explanatory variables are included, the explanatory power of the 2 model (R -value) approaches 100 per cent or 1. If only few of them are included, the explanatory power 2 becomes much less than one. In essence the R -value measures the proportion of variation in the dependent variable that is explained by the predictor variables. In this study one of the approach was to 2 study the impact due to ‘FRIC’ on each site by comparing the R -values of the models “with” and “without” ‘FRIC’ as an independent variable. The interpretation is that speed is influenced by several factors in the traffic environment, which cannot all possibly be studied together. In this study thus, two were studied, which included ‘flow’ and ‘FRIC’. The logic was that both of these variables would likely account for higher proportion of variation in the speed variable as compared to only one of them. Based on the above explanations, firstly regression model that included only ‘flow’ as an explanatory variable 2 and speed as a response variable was analyzed, and the R -value thereon obtained was compared to the results of the other model, which included both ‘flow’ and ‘FRIC’ as explanatory variables. The 2 different R -values obtained in these two situations, indicated the impact of ‘FRIC’ on speed. The SPSS program was applied in the analysis of the regression models and the results are depicted in table below: Table.2 Comparison of explanatory powers of models “with” and “without” friction factors Road Type SITE R2 Model “with” ‘FRIC’ Model “without” ‘FRIC’ 2lane-2way Section 1 .51 .328 Section 2 .016 .10 Section 3 .517 .002 From above table the following facts were observed: 2 At S- 2 site, R -values for both models were nearly equal, hence ‘FRIC’ had negligible effect • • 3.4 2 At Section 3 site, the difference between the models’ R -values was substantial; hence ‘FRIC’ had the greatest impact. Generally ‘FRIC’ exhibited impact on each of the different sites at varying degrees depending on site-specific characteristics. Speed flow models for different FRIC-classes In this approach, speed-flow relationships were compared during different intensities of ‘FRIC’ on each site. ‘FRIC’ was categorized into three classes of intensity representing low, medium and high levels of intensity. This classification was arrived at after transformation of friction factors into ‘FRIC’ units, which was observed to range between 70 ‘FRIC’-units/10 min. to 149 FRIC units/10 min. on different sites. Based on this range, and a revisit on site observation in the recorded video clipping, ‘FRIC’ was classified as shown in table below: Table. 3 FRIC classes FRICTION CLASS CODE FRIC units/h/200m LOW L 0-70 MEDIUM M 70-90 HIGH H Above 90 Under the above classification, the observed data on some sites were short of full range, i.e. on many sites only low to medium FRIC levels were observed hence making the comparison between low and high FRIC levels less effective. However, for demonstration purposes the observed FRIC data along with their corresponding speed and flow data were rearranged in ascending order and divided into three equal percentiles where the upper, middle and bottom percentiles represented low, medium and high FRIC-levels respective. This is exemplified in table below: Table. 4 An example categorizing speed-flow data according to FRIC Site Speed (Km/H) Flow (PCU/H) 22.05 11687 Descending Order of ‘FRIC’ Data (‘FRIC’Average Units/Hr/30m) Section 1 ‘FRIC’ Class 132.14 HIGH Section 2 18.67 18992 127.04 Section 3 16.63 11702 100 The above procedure was adopted for all sites, where the upper and the lower portions of data were compared in order to see any visual impact between the two. There was generally a clear impact that was visually observed on many sites. T-test was performed to identify if this impact was statistically significant. The results showed that on all sites except one the impact was significant as shown in table below: Table.5 Significant value from t test Average speed (km/hr) T-test two tails Low ‘FRIC’ High ‘FRIC’ Significance level: 0.05 Impact Significance of FRIC impact; Site 2LANE-2WAY ROADS Section 1 17.54 14.23 0.1760 Significant Section 2 16.65 14.39 0.0000 Significant Section 3 4 20.32 16.54 0.0204 Significant Conclusion This research has been concerned with the concepts, theories, and methods related to side friction impact on speed of urban road, and were performed in Jawahar marg, Indore as a case study. A major part of this work has focused on issues related to identification of side friction factors and application of various measurement methods and analysis techniques used for determining their impact on speed at an aggregated level (macroscopic) and at an individual level (microscopic). On the basis of the macroscopic study, modelling based on regression analysis was performed for this purpose. Analysis of individual friction factors per se is quite rare in the prevailing research literature: On this basis the microscopic study was performed where measuring and evaluation methods were devised with a view to obtaining important knowledge concerning their potential impact on speed. Generally, the study was performed in two parts based on these two methods of approach (macroscopic and microscopic). Both parts were related in terms of objectivity and only differed in approach and detail. They both focused on attaining the prescribed objectives, which were addressed by the two methods as follows: 5 Discussion on Attainment of Objectives 1. Greenshield model is fit for all three sections which give the free flow speed for all the sections. The standard equation has been developed to determine the FRIC value with the help of SPSS. FRIC = A*PED + B*BIC +C*PSV + D*NMV Where, PED= Pedestrian, BIC= Bicycle, PSV= Parking and stopping vehicle, NMV= Non motorize vehicle. A, B, C, D is weightage coefficients (from SPSS Analysis) ‘FRIC’ value (‘FRIC’AVERAGE units/hr/30m) Section 1 = 132.14 Section 2 = 127.04 Section 3 = 100 2. A visual inspection method is also developed with the help of Speed-Flow curve with low high FRIC value. (Macroscopic analysis) 5.1 and Practical Implications The characteristic impacts of the individual side friction factors identified in this study can equally be useful to transportation planners in developing countries where the problem of friction is apparent by guiding their priorities in planning and traffic operations. For instance if existing or new arterial road is planned for high speed, measures should be taken to reduce as much as possible the presence of factors with high characteristic impact values. Undoubtedly knowledge of individual factors can be useful for development of ‘friction management’ programs seeking to limit levels of friction on high mobility urban arterial streets so that would improve traffic safety and operation efficiency. Such programs may include solutions for mitigation like: • • • 5.2 Design standards for the arterial streets intended for high mobility should appropriately address prevailing conditions such as to adequately provide for the needs of the road users, i.e. wide sidewalks for pedestrians, adjacent ways for bicycles and non-motorized vehicles, and wide shoulders for stopping and parking manoeuvres for motor traffic. If the available road width does not permit separate facilitation for such needs, traffic management measures such as parking regulations, restriction of non-motorized vehicles, bicycles and pedestrians along the main road must be considered. Implementation of sound urban-planning policies where land use activities are limited or rather restricted along high mobility streets, including various social and economic activities. This would in effect limit accessibility to the roadway. Implementation of strategic education-based campaigns aimed for awareness and law enforcement programs on road use regulations to be abided by all road-users. Recommendations and Conclusion This study was arguably conducted on a small scale. This study included only limited number of friction factors. This was reflected by the explanatory power of the regression models relating speed to flow and friction, which varied from poor to good depending on site. There were clearly site-specific factors in operation that had not been identified or measured. It is thus recommended to conduct this study on a much larger scale including a wider range of all frictional components in order to account for much of the variation in the criterion variable. Similarly, larger scale-study would imply to include wider spectrum of facilities such as intersections, roundabouts, ramps and different terrains. It is likely that the effect of different friction factors would vary for different facilities and different terrains. It has been shown that side friction can have effects on in Jawahar Marg, Indore which indicated considerable effects like other commonly used factors in capacity analysis. This leads to the recommendation that highway capacity studies, particularly in the developing world, should include this variable, though in a form suited to their own particular circumstances. References 1. 2 3 4 5 6 Chiguma M L. Sweden “Analysis of side friction impacts on urban road links. Case study, Dares-salaam” , Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute (VTI), 2007, pp. 176. 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