Final Licence Relinquishment report P1934 UKCS Blocks 210/7, 12 & 13 Date 22.12.2015 P1934 Relinquishment report 1 Licence Information 1 2 Licence Synopsis 1 3 Work Programme Summary 3 4 Exploration Activity 5 5 Resource and Risk Summary 11 6 Conclusions 12 7 Clearance 12 List of figures 2.1 3.1 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 Location map P1934 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 Comparison of seismic data quality . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 Well and Seismic Database . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 Seismic section and geomodel . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 Reservoir depositional setting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 Channel features on the East Shetland High . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 BCU map with present day temperature . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 Drainage patterns for hydrocarbon migration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 List of tables 5.1 Key parameters for resource calculations. *The reservoir is assumed to b . . . . 11 5.2 Resource and Risk Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 P1934 Relinquishment report 1 Licence Information Licence Number: P1934 Block Numbers: 210/7, 12 & 13 Area: 588 km2 Licence Round: 27th Awarded: 1st January 2013 Drill\Drop: 1st January 2019 End of Initial Term: 31st December 2018 Licence Type: Frontier Initial license holders: Norwegian Energy Company UK Limited (Operator) 100% No later changes All permissions to publish have been obtained. 2 Licence Synopsis Licence P1934, blocks 210/7, 12 and 210/13 was awarded as a Frontier licence in the 27th UKCS licensing round to Norwegian Energy Company UK Limited (Noreco). Structural elements The licence is located,Figure 2.1, in the South Western end of the Magnus Basin on the northern edge of the East Shetland High. Confined basin • Only reasonable sedime Underexplored • Exploration has been foc fault blocks and flanking • 5-6 wells drilled in the ba Jurassic and older sedim marginal high and fault b 210/10-1, 210/15b-4, 21 Thick Cretaceous bas Figure 2.1 Location map P1934 1 Licence Information Cenozoic covers basin highs Ref.: pres-external Page 1 P1934 Relinquishment report The primary reservoir target, the Ida lead was Paleocene deep marine sandstones, with gas, in a stratigraphic trap. The work programme to obtain 650 km of 2D long offset seismic and reprocess 600 km of existing 2D data was completed. Further work including a basin modelling study and a study of the Upper Jurassic structural framework was also completed. The additional 2D seismic lines together with the angle stacks from the reprocessing were useful for observation of channel like features within the Paleocene but were too few for definition of a prospect. 3D seismic data is required. Resource potential is estimated at 382 - 908 - 1616 bcf of gas for Ida lead Volume potential (showing P90 - P50 - P10) have been calculated for the Ida lead based on a large stratigraphic trap, assuming one large connected prospect. This is probably unrealistic and 3D seismic data is required to further delineate the volumes and risk. Page 2 2 Licence Synopsis P1934 Relinquishment report 3 Work Programme Summary Initial work programme: Start date 1st January 2013 Obtain 650 km of Long offset 2D seismic data Reprocess 600 km 2D seismic Carry out Basin modelling studies drill or drop within 6 years Obtain 650 km of 2D long offset seismic data Noreco acquired the TGS non-proprietary 2D long offset survey data from the NSR-06,07,08,09 and 10 surveys, covering 650 km. Noreco also purchased 1104 km of the CFI_NSR_MAG13RE reprocessed seismic data. This dataset includes angle stacks in addition to the full stack data and also access to the gathers. The data is of good quality, Figure 3.1 and naturally gives a much better basis for both spacial definition and AVO-type analysis than the existing dataset 2D seismic data sets. The lower figure shows enhanced continuity and significantly better fault definition. NSR10-41189 original NSR10-41189 reprocessed Ref.: 137350-v1 Figure 3.1 Comparison of seismic data quality. Seismic courtesy of TGS 3 Work Programme Summary Page 3 P1934 Relinquishment report Further work Analysis of the angle stack volumes were used for reconnaissance AVO. A basin modelling study was carried out using all the available wells in the area. Page 4 3 Work Programme Summary P1934 Relinquishment report 4 Exploration Activity The exploration activity within the license and surrounding area has focused on developing a new play model for Tertiary reservoir sequences. In particular the Paleocene which is a play not proven in this area. The Palaeocene has been a secondary target in several older exploration wells drilled within the Magnus basin but no discovery has been made. However, well 211/7a-2 encountered a 10 m oilbearing sand of good reservoir quality, thereby demonstrating that reservoir quality sands of this age have the potential to be present. Database The database at the end of the licence period is shown in Figure 4.1. A number of 2D seismic surveys were available. These were phase matched, filtered and smoothed. The well database including all released wells and proprietary wells in Norway is also shown. The most important well is 210/13-1 which provides a direct tie to the 2D seismic database. The well has some poorly developed sandstones in the Lista Formation (Heimdal sandstone member equivalent.) Noreco acquired the TGS non-proprietary 2D long offset survey data from the NSR-06,07,08,09 and 10 surveys, covering 650 km. Noreco also purchased 1104 km of the CFI_NSR_MAG13RE reprocessed seismic data. This dataset includes angle stacks in addition to the full stack data and also access to the gathers. The data is of good quality and naturally gives a much better basis for both spacial definition and AVO-type analysis than the existing dataset 2D seismic data sets. 4 Exploration Activity Page 5 P1934 Relinquishment report 350000 355000 360000 365000 370000 375000 380000 385000 210/5-1 6860000 6860000 6865000 6865000 345000 210/10-1 6830000 6835000 6830000 6835000 210/13-1 6840000 6840000 6845000 6845000 6850000 6850000 6855000 6855000 210/4-1 6815000 6825000 6815000 210/15a-3 210/19-3 6810000 6810000 6820000 6820000 6825000 210/14-2 210/14-1 210/19-4B 345000 350000 355000 360000 0 365000 370000 375000 380000 6805000 6805000 210/19-1 210/20-1 210/19-2 210/20-3 385000 2500 5000 7500 10000 12500m Ref.: pres-confidential 1:300000 Figure 4.1 Well and Seismic Database. Red polygon is the Ida lead outline. Page 6 4 Exploration Activity P1934 Relinquishment report Prospectivity Update The play concept for the Ida lead is; deep marine sandy turbidites of Paleocene age with stratigraphic trapping in the updip and lateral directions. The additional 2D seismic has helped with defining the updip pinchout of the sequences within the Paleocene but is too sparse to help with reservoir presence and quality. The seismic stratigraphy and the prospective level are illustrated in Figure 4.2. Figure 4.2 Seismic section and geomodel. Seismic courtesy of TGS UKCS 27th Licensing Round Blocks 210/7, 210/12 & 210/13 June 2012 4 Exploration Activity Page 7 P1934 Relinquishment report The reservoir unit is thought to represent an Intra Palaeocene sand-dominated shoreface depositional system fringing the then exposed basement rocks of the East Shetland High. A palaeogeographic map is shown in Figure 4.3. Sedimentary environments within such a system are also detailed. Figure 4.3 Reservoir depositional setting This interpretation is based on strong seismic amplitudes on top of a forward stepping seismic amplitude pattern upflank of well 210/13-1. Channelised features may also be recognised on the seismic cross section in Figure 4.4. The shallow marine sandstone wedge pinches out updip onto the margins of the East Shetland High, and grades downdip into shales of a mud-dominated offshore environment Figure 4.4 Channel features on the East Shetland High. Note the high amplitude anomolies within the Paleocene sequence. Seismic example courtesy of TGS Ref.: 137350-v1 Page 8 3 4 Exploration Activity P1934 Relinquishment report The main target reservoir sequence is the Heimdal sandstone member within the Lista Fm. The nearest well, 210/13-1, encountered primarily silt and mudstones but some sandstone stringers described as fine to course grained which give positive indications of sand in the system. The most likely sediment source is the East Shetland High, to the south, with sediments being deposited in a restricted basin setting. Reservoir quality at these relatively shallow depths is likely to be very good in the best facies. Seal is dependent on stratigraphic pinchout in both updip and lateral directions which is difficult to control on 2D seismic data. Top seal is assumed to be some 500-800m of Palaeogene shales with lateral seal provided by the basement rocks of the East Shetland High and base seal is provided by basement rocks of the East Shetland High and Upper Cretaceous shales. Petroleum systems The Ida lead is assumed to be sourced from the Upper Jurassic Kimmeridge shale in the Magnus Basin. Upper Jurassic clay successions have been found in wells in the basin, but its quality as a source rock is not proven. Oil and gas shows in the basin, and the presence of oil filled sands in 211/7a-2 demonstrate that an active source is present. Regional modelling of present and past temperatures indicates that, the shale is immature at presentday burial depths in the area of the defined lead. Down-flank it is oil mature, and within the main Magnus Basin depocenter it is mature for gas generation as illustrated in Figure 4.5. The large thickness of Cretaceous sediment within the main Magnus Basin depocenter has led to oil generation from potential Upper Jurassic Kimmeridge shales starting in Late Cretaceous times and becoming more and more gas mature throughout Palaeogene and Neogene. Gas is, therefore, considered the most likely hydrocarbon type. Temp gradient = 38°C/km Average surface temp = 6°C Figure 4.5 BCU map with present day temperature. Immature - Dark green, Oil mature-Light green to orange, Gas mature -red 4 Exploration Activity Page 9 P1934 Relinquishment report As part of the basin modelling study an analysis of the drainage patterns are shown in Figure 4.6. Three surfaces are modelled: Top Balder, Base Cretaceous and Top Cretaceous. With the current understanding of reservoir distribution none of the maps show positive migration for Ida. Basin modelling study – drainage pattern • • • At three levels Dark red polygon is BCU depth at 4000 m Black polygon id Ida outline Figure 4.6 Drainage patterns for hydrocarbon migration Page 10 4 Exploration Activity P1934 Relinquishment report 5 Resource and Risk Summary Resource estimates The resource estimates have been calculated using the GeoXTM probabilistic modelling software package. A wedge-shaped model has been used to reflect the reservoir thickness distribution, with a 0 m minimum thickness at the pinch-out and 40 m at the down-dip limit. A mode thickness of 100 m is used. All input parameters in the table below are reported as minimum, most likely and maximum cases. Table 5.1: Key parameters for resource calculations. *The reservoir is assumed to be a wedge model, therefore no maximum thickness. Gas in place numbers reported reflect associated gas. Min Total area (km2) Most likely Max 46 75 108 100 250 400 14 22 30 0 100-40 2090 4632 7095 Net to gross % 30 40 50 Porosity % 25 30 35 Hydrocarbon saturation % 50 75 80 110 115 120 60 70 75 Gas in place bcf 532 1283 2273 Gas reserves bcf 382 908 1616 Height of closure (m) Net reservoir (m) Thickness (crest-mid-base) (m)* Gross Rock Volume (km2/m) Gas expansion factor Recovery factor % (gas) Risk parameters The reservoir risk is set to 0.7 based on the seismic evidence of channel-like features and the structural location. Lack of well penetration of the actual reservoir adds to the risk. The trap risk is set to 0.5 due to relatively thin section of top seal comprising silts and clays, and the lateral seal in 3 directions as well as the base seal required to be the basement rocks of the East Shetland High and or the Upper Cretaceous mud rich sequences. Mature source rocks are considered to be proven in the Magnus Basin based on the shows in some wells along the eastern and western margin of the Magnus Basin. However, some wells penetrated possible Kimmeridge Clay Formation, but none of these have confirmed any "hot shale" presence. Migration along Early Cretaceous fault zones may lead to focused charge point and is dependent of any porosity as the fault zone diminishes in lateral extent upwards. The basin modelling study indicates that there could be a drainage/charge capacity risk. Charge and migration risk is set to 0.5 The shallow burial depth may cause issues with hydrocarbon preservation due to the low pressure and temperature. The retention risk is set to 0.5. 5 Resource and Risk Summary Page 11 P1934 Relinquishment report Risk summary The overall chance of success for the Ida lead is 9% which is high risk. Resource potential, however is large. 3D seismic data is required to map out the sequences and amplitude anomalies which may be expected at these reservoir depths. The resource and risk is summarised in Table 5.2. Table 5.2 Resource and Risk Summary Resource and Risk Summary Unrisked recoverable resources Prospect Lead Discovery Name P L D Ida P Stratigraphic level Oil MMbbls Low Paleocene Central Gas BCF High Low Central High 382 908 1616 Geological Chance of Success % Risked P50 MMboe 9 15 6 Conclusions It has not been possible to lower the risk on Ida within the current work programme. Chance of reservoir presence has increased but migration and charge capacity have decreased. 3D seismic is required to further evaluate the area. 7 Clearance Norwegian Energy Company UK Limited (Noreco UK) confirm that DECC is free to publish this report and that all third part ownership rights (on any contained data and/or interpretations) have been considered and appropriately cleared for publication purposes. Page 12 5 Resource and Risk Summary
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