Kramer Martin The Middle East, Old and New 1902, Theodor IN HERZL, the father of political Zionism, pub lished a Utopian novel entitled Altneuland (Old-New Land). The story is set in Palestine in the distant future of 1923, by which time a "New Society" has been established through the mass return of commonwealth, or religion. "New the Jews. The Society" far beyond nationalism. There church, Jerusalem are free to worship "in synagogue, or the philharmonic concert." Its members guage is a cosmopolitan is no official lan in the art museum mosque, is dominated a "Peace by Palace" the Latin bearing to is alien me." from Terence: human inscription "Nothing is also a showplace of the highest The "New technol Society" and Odorless silent electric monorails whisk the inhabitants ogy. to place; power is generated inclined water by a huge to the Dead tunnel takes on Sea, which linking the Mediterranean the appearance of Lake Geneva. And although the "New Society" from place extends across the and River, Jordan is no conflict between there even Beirut and beyond and Arabs, and no Damascus, Jews us rich," says the book's need for armies. "The Jews have made one Arab character. live with "Why should we scorn them? They us as brothers. Why should we not love them?" On the title page of his book, Herzl it, it is no inscribed this epigraph: "If you will fairy tale."1 In 1993, the then-foreign minister of Israel, Shimon Peres, pub lished a book entitled The New Middle East. In it, he announced that Martin Studies 89 the familiar obsessions Kramer is Director of at Tel Aviv University. of the Middle the Moshe Dayan Center East?nationhood, for Middle Eastern bor and African 90 Martin Kramer ders, territory, arms?had A new age had dawned. Borders would ceased to matter Nations would be opened. Water arsenals would shared. Massive a single in an era of globalization. redefine their identities. and natural resources be dismantled. would The Middle be East to the cooperative zone, devoted "I I to of feel that have earned the right pursuit prosperity.2 wrote in memoirs. I Peres in his "So much that dreamed dream," as fantasy the past was dismissed but has now become thriving would become reality."3 From the "New across economic to the "new Middle dreamers East," Society" have imagined the transformation of the Middle this century into a zone of peace, prosperity, and cooperation. The dreams are familiar to the West, of the Jews because been they have in But similar dreams translation. have been written dreamt and East in Arabic, In these visions, and Persian. nations Turkish, spoken to the house is retired live in harmony, and religion of worship. now neutralized, cease to divide; The forces of division, the diverse East form around of the Middle peoples the diverse of Europe. ing peoples a shared emulat interest, And have not the peoples of theMiddle East usually followed the lead of theWest? The national projects of this century were all models. inspired by European of and Jews Europe, state that would take its leaders Zionism worked first among emerged to collect the Jews the in a of its place among the secular nation-states a to not remake nationalism Europe. only attempted into a secular nation-state but sought Muslim recognition society as part and parcel of Europe. Arab nationalism in all its for Turkey Turkish drew forms as did eral, nationalisms its inspiration from Western liberal models, Not Iranian nationalism. all of these Middle gion the European illib Eastern reli and most incorporated loyalties, was in every case, their point of departure is now If the new point of departure nation-state. banished in some and role. old But the idea of Europe, is this not the next model for theMiddle East? a willing the Middle of the region, East, suggests terms. An American ness of its peoples to be redefined in new wrote his coined the term the same year Herzl naval strategist East it was aWestern the Middle Altneuland: invention, defining Even the name vis-?-vis the West graphs.4 Yet it was as a transit only zone a matter for of ships, a few and railroads, before decades tele the The Middle the term, of the region adopted peoples world inhabited. Could they themselves to of these the testimony willingness and transformed, And yet, as the East A resists. integrated twentieth "new Middle still an "old Middle filled with have been ism. In some in other But name cate of God. 91 East, Old and New to describe the part there be a more peoples in the networks of of the persuasive to be redefined, the world? of century closes, much East" does exist in places, the Middle but there is East" of tradition. The gaps between them xenophobia, East, secular and fundamental places dictatorship, in the Middle places, There live, die, and occasionally people are those in the Middle East who culture flourishes. kill in the communi from their computer their place could be any place. terminals; in fervent Others communicate from holy ground; their prayer no can In the War be other West, place place. post-Cold politics In the is no longer the competition of ideologies, but of interests. Middle This is also the competition of identities. East, however, politics sometimes obsessive search for authenticity does not fit the neat models of the political scientists and has left the politics of the Middle East difficult to understand and predict. eco of identities, the prospects for democracy, uncertain. Western and look the and peace experts growth, treat the region have been preoccupied doctors of diplomacy who with economic economic process: elections, reforms, sanctions, In this crisis nomic But time and again, their ships run aground peace negotiations. currents of unsettled amidst the swirling identities. French political a model crafted scientists electoral for ush process Algeria?and ered in a ruthless civil war. The IMF and World Turkey East?and Nations the most successful economic reform now an has Islamist minister. Turkey prime most sanctions the world's drastic imposed institute Libya?and their the best-laid plans on Bank helped in the Middle The United on Iraq and in defiance. leaders rule peace Norwegian a between and Israel processors agreement engineered compromise the PLO?and killed Israel's minister and opponents prime brought seems to defy down its government. If the Middle East sometimes for its renovation, it is also home this is because to who seek other people implement plans?those or in the Bible or the Qur'an, first revealed in Nasser's speeches sermons. Khomeini's to determined 92 Martin Kramer East The Middle will remains, true?and not make a mosaic?an as before, its peoples only one analogy to make many are bound choice. that The is tired different region but still It choices. is composed of four major Israel, the Arab lands, Turkey, parts: are distinguishable and Iran. They from one another by a combi nation of differences?cultural, linguistic, religious, geographic, and political. The history of their formation can only be told at In these few pages, length.5 the map present disposition debate about itself. is more the purpose in the Middle forces to immediate: of East's great ISRAEL: CHOICES OF THE CHOSEN the Old City of Jerusalem is vacated of its InHerzl's Altneuland, into a giant museum. of Prime Minister Israeli government a small part of the Old to transform inhabitants the new sought museum: In September and made a two-thousand-year-old it opened the 1996, Binyamin Netanyahu into just such City a Hasmonean wall on tunnel, the west side perimeter alongside long-buried call the Haram and Muslims Jews call the Temple Mount in the midst of a stalled The tunnel al-Sharif. peace opening, a Palestinian and Palestinian process, police explosion. ignited running of what Israeli forces fought pitched battles; there were dozens of casual ties. The dilemmas Zionism in its incidental the two way, epitomized episode, the birth of political that face Israel a century after since the establishment of the state. and half a century tunnel the most is the resistance of Palestinian obvious, that Herzl, with nationalism literary license, could in either had to confront, but that Israel has always The first, and nationalism?a well ignore or in negotiations. is contested coveted Jerusalem ground, narrow in its confines and every by both Israelis and Palestinians, to from has apart digs archaeological explosive potential, change ment for the of symbols It is also the reservoir construction. battle conflict stymied, as a whole, every and when symbol political in Jerusalem are stirred or aspirations to political becomes subject manipulation. But beyond this, the digging of the tunnel exposed another inner dilemma, not between Israelis and Palestinians, but between Israe East, Old and New The Middle Israelis. Some Israelis came to the tunnel as tourists, a recovered remnant in surveying of their national came as the water Jewish pilgrims: tage." But other visitors stone" allowed them to pass still closer to the "foundation lis and ested where the Temple Mount, the First and Second site This visitor's were tunnel of the the "holy of holies" of sanctum, stood two millennia that ago. (On shrine of the Dome of the Rock.) a place became or site prayers. Heritage holy place? own identity. And in their identities, in the point fervent inter "heri inner Temples, the Muslim stands today 93 tunnel where offered many It depended the upon the tunneling Israelis sharply divided. state of Israel was founded by a secular national movement to a nation that sought the Jews that they constituted persuade and not Herzl (Volk, wrote Herzl) just a religious community. treatise on Zionism, in entitled his programmatic first published not Der State But "The of the he did 1896, Jews." Judenstaat, The envision that itwould be a Jewish state, governed in its policies by the legal precepts of Jewish law. Neither did Herzl's heirs, from Chaim Weizmann Ben-Gurion.6 through David a took dim view of Zionism orthodox giously Israel for precisely a false Jews was that reason: in their view, of Many and the a secular state the reli state of for the redemption.7 in full force a religious Zionism there emerged 1967, that did sense the approach In that year, of redemption. Israeli arms seized the most East sites: important Jewish holy Jerusalem, But after site of theWestern of that Israel's East Jerusalem they made And This tion" peace make chosen Party unique of "return" not definition (Wailing) Wall, the Patriarchs. Tomb and Hebron, Zionists Religious in 1967 to the biblical location of the convinced themselves and Samaria? a sign of God's intent. in settlements territories these the Jewish very but of Judaism itself.8 only of Zionism and the West Judea Bank?was in the "restora seeing the hand of God of Israel to the Jews, also rejected any A nation like any other nation may compromise. religious Zionism, the entire Land based on territorial concessions. land. As put it: among one "Israel's of the national the nations?it But a chosen cannot concede people Israel's National Religious to the Land of Israel is connection leaders of is (radically different) from the ties binding the French, English, Russian and Chinese people to their 94 Martin Kramer lands. ... For us the Land of Israel just an existentially there could 1980s, land, not By distinct the only legitimate Zionist cultures, itmany within is the land of destiny, homeland."9 defined be no doubt one there that the a chosen two existed other Each secular, religious. over are there subcultures; incorporates important must in be But and the any generalization always laps, qualified. as citizens Zionism the of broadest Israel the secular terms, regards arbiters of Israel's fate. The decisions of their are the only laws that obligate governments democratically In contrast, Zionism the "House of the state. regards religious as is the sole legitimate of God, who arbiter Israel" the instrument over man's law must take precedence of Israel's fate. God's law, elected and government decisions that negate divine law cannot be legiti mate. to paper over the inherent contradiction possible two Zionisms until the government 1993, when It was these between of Israel recognized the PLO and signed a "Declaration of Principles" that an Israeli withdrawal in the West Bank from territory promised to the settler movement acted Rabbis close and Gaza. swiftly, the government's ruling rejecting right to make issuing a religious any concession by citing divine law: to the laws of the Torah, it is forbidden to relinquish the According over any part national of and ownership sovereignty political rights of the historic Land of Israel to another authority or people. All of is now in our possession the historic Land of Israel which belongs to the entire Jewish people, past, present and future, and therefore no can give away that to which he [alone] does one in any generation to do so is null and void, not have title. Therefore any agreement obligates no one, has no moral or legal force whatsoever.10 to the claim that the only one step from this position an had com instrument of secular Zionism, of Israel, government a punishable of control law for ceding divine sin against mitted assas a to the such land of the Just non-Jews. parts logic inspired It was sin of Yitzhak the Israeli prime minister Rabin, the state of Israel to the agreements of signature the accords, Until the Israeli Arabs: in the Tomb of extremists Jewish settler who the Patriarchs had massacred in Hebron who with vented Palestinian (and whose their the put the PLO. rage on worshippers own tomb The Middle East, Old and New 95 one form of a religious shrine for extremists) personified this same resistance resistance. But after the Israel-PLO accords, became turned in a struggle inward, ship of their peoplehood That struggle Israelis living be addressed between Israeli Jews over the relation to the land. is not over, for it is not abstract: there are 150,000 in dozens of settlements, and their future has yet to in the negotiations. But as the Palestinian Authority seems unavoidable. in reality, The the outcome over terms its differs from the government Netanyahu predecessor to accept but has chosen the prin of Israel's historic compromise same. of all the The Hebron agreement, compromise provid ciple rooted becomes ing for a series of further Israeli expresses redeployments, broad Israeli consensus behind the principle of exchanging the land to be a people for peace. Most Israelis wish like all peoples: they from their neighbors, the same certainty seek the same recognition in their permanence, and Chi that the French, English, Russians, nese enjoy. If peace demands no other territorial compromise?and formula has to make all of ever worked?then it. After the more "Land of than Israel" the majority a generation, has vanished. of Israelis are willing the dream The of possessing still peace process has been made: the faces many but the crucial decision hurdles, land will be partitioned. to formulate Once that occurs, Israel will have a new policy or separation? it seek integration toward the region. Will The idea a was of "new Middle East" articulated Peres by Shimon greeted means most If with dour skepticism Israelis. allow integration by more or the of of thousands many entry Palestinian, ing Jordanian, other Arab economy, workers" workers then to fill the Israelis have lower rejected rungs it. Their of Israel's expanding for "guest preference and the Philippines is from Nigeria, Rumania, Thailand, not at all from the Arab established. Israel differs (In this, firmly oil states of the Gulf, who also prefer non-Arab foreign workers.) means If integration closer economic ties and opportunities, this has more but limited promise. Israel's economy appeal, developed are in its high-tech Arab its and great strengths during boycott, to the vast markets of Europe, and Asia. As a exports America, now at $15,000, has gross domestic result, per capita product, in absolute GDP Israel's of all exceeds that terms, grown rapidly; its next-door neighbors combined?Egypt, Jordan, Syria, Leba Martin Kramer 96 and Even if the entire Arab market the Palestinian Authority. to open to Israel, it is no larger than a combination of the and Belgium. Netherlands The Arab market is unlikely, certainly to offer in the short the opportunities Israel has found term, non, were elsewhere. are slim. Perhaps the prospects for integration half are Jews from Arab or their and Muslim countries But their cultural the region grows more affinity with rein The with each passing other year. half, recently Culturally, of all Israelis descendents. attenuated forced Russian Jewish large-scale and the ties to American by the West, as America. It is not West Shimon almost region The of ing debate. has the is culturally define effectively of immigration, Jewry then, surprising, of a "new Middle the the exit that with of East" Peres, slogan disappeared from Israeli political Israel's place in the discourse. entirely is now much less debated than the nature of Israel itself. of Palestine emergence the borders between Since favored alongside them?is Israel?and the fix final that already intensifying its inception, Israel has been a state for the Jews. in the law of return, guaranteeing Jews, most notably It immediate citizenship to any Jewish immigrant (although the defi nition of a Jew is the subject of continuing controversy). Might this change? Today, one while Zionist, Zionist. Will peace should longer Arab? a state "There democracy," part of of every the Jewish Left defines itself is an Arab?and five Israelis as post a non to persuade that Israel at the majority they manage a state?no denationalized become fully secular and the Jews but a state of its citizens, and Jewish as no is no Jewish democracy, is there Islamic just a Jewish veteran "A state with writes of the Left. of if not racist laws, like the 'who is a Jew' law, or the discriminatory serious law defining the still?a law of return, or?more present a not state state of Israel as the state of the Jewish people of (and a as in any normal not is democratic state."11 its citizens, state), so far has been Post-Zionism but in a state limited to marginal its appeal of peace, from also be exerted could circles of intellec widen. tuals, for the opposite But pressure will direction, a state: its public Israel is a state of the Jews, it is not while Jewish an alliance are secular. Will of religious law and state institutions have the believers traditional Zionists, Jews, and ultra-Orthodox political clout to Judaize the institutions of the state? The same East, Old and New The Middle rabbis who warn once warned the PLO also with compromise against a secular to create aims that trend present East'?a into a 'new Middle trend is to blend "the against here which culture which will cal borders, could well 97 lead to assimilation."12 will which enhance The Israel separate of Israel's definition clearly of more the appeal politi its neighbors, defined cultural from strongly the centuries. by Judaism through saw an increase in the support for Israel's May choice. this just advocating parties It still relies on the strongest Israel thus stands at a crossroads. role borders?a long played 1996 elections consensus in the Middle East?the and cultural social, in hostile Its democratic of a small people surroundings. are resilient, critical press, institutions and its multiparty politics, national, cohesion and it as aWestern define free markets an- expanding by provided tains a comparable over Israel's debate edge. its own has been Ballast country. main and Israel's military economy, makes This underlying self-confidence far more identity than the struggles violent, underway are close ones, and they the parallels of Israeli democracy still lie ahead. THE ARABS: DIVIDED distant Binyamin Netanyahu June, the first since celebrated in neighboring countries. that the suggest greatest tests events stirred 1990. in verse, in Cairo: The summit conference Nizar poet Syrian-born Qabbani to the assembled in a poem addressed has been able to remind you of Netanyahu of the your identity, place and date of your birth, to restore to you your Arab nationality, it is how beautiful If Binyamin what he has done. If this man Arabism, But the memory of a not-so the Arabs. The election of still moved an Arab prompted the event heads-of-state less IN INDECISION two last summer, time when Arabism In Cairo and much open, has been able to restore and the children of stones the Arabs to their to their childhood, If he has been able to remind us of our names, and the names of our fathers, and the names of our children, in 98 Martin Kramer A thousand to his arrival. welcomes this is the last occasion Gentlemen, before you become extinct.13 was This not the only the fortieth summer of love open spasm Abdul of Gamal anniversary of the Suez Canal, there premiered to you of nostalgia. On July 26, Nasser's nationalization a new in Cairo '56. film, Nasser The film packed theaters in Egypt and other Arab countries. The celluloid followed Arab Nasser, Egypt's combined forces of British, saga maneuvered paladin, as he out the and Israeli French, was no there license: the film made too, Here, aggression. literary mention of Nasser's failed Arab the sordid socialism, regime's or the later debacle to tell a clean tale It preferred of 1967. prisons, of Arabism's in a drama moment golden that left many in viewers tears.14 Arab Arab steadfastness socialism, unity, Arab in Arabic these were the slogans that resounded this The Arabs constituted against through a nation, their division Israel? most of the Arab century. argued never accept and must nationalists, by foreign pow some I division War ers?the that created twenty post-World states. Nor should the alien of presence separate Israel, they accept or the economic models of the imperialist West. The Arabs should draw only on authentic that made the same sources them sources, powerful to achieve through history. Arab it, the Arab peoples ship, and war. But the reward each Arab its own privileges a cover became lence state of Arabs had to preserve. for bullying against Arabs. became became and power, dictator deprivation, promised up with schemes did not work: unity to interests each regime had defend, In many the places, slogan of unity The and aggression, Arab socialism more As legitimizing also proved equal with for the war poorer. they and dangerous, and nearly costly in spirit and in resources.15 both collectively selves, Arab came. its own some Arabs dry well: proved never nationalism put broke the vio to be a one another, but to break Israel, it the Arabs them the battered of an entire genera nationalism, preference to feed mouths, But films. still and the tion, may inspire poetry now states must The latest "Unified look elsewhere. Arab Arab Economic Report" summarizes the problem.16 Between 1980 and The Middle East, Old and New 99 1994, the population of the Arab countries grew by 48 percent (from 165 million to 245 million?as though the Arab world added another Egypt and a half). Its gross domestic product grew a decline 15 percent. in the This has meant of 22 percent a in domestic real from terms, per capita gross $2,600 product a a to states the Arab have become year year. As $2,000 result, on more to the outside world for and the means dependent goods now them. Food is billions of dollars short of acquire production by only consumption; can no longer rapid a part of the world that was do so. Both oil and non-oil of debt. expansion to decline?and source energy lands could For stood diminished end up very sometime in the next Summit. assembled Cairo hosted "the New Here, to do business: have hundreds, a continues the third Middle Hosni Mubarak. East Economic as one journalist called Arabs," them, "The New Arabs lined the corridors of the Congress Center in [the Cairo suburb of] Heliopolis with itself seen Arab century?the of humanity. hour, a truth under the Arabs, then, it may be the eleventh nowhere better than in the Egypt of President Last November, to feed if the centrality of oil as an to the bottom close able producers domestic product If the gross it could plummet once tailored in their ties and suits, quiet exceptional over Arabic even when prefer English an themselves."17 the Egyptian among True, speaking organizers to create more Arab-to-Arab nounced that the objective was links, and that regional not depend economic on would cooperation "one particular were Israel. But too, country"?meaning Israelis, English. equipped of Many them in Cairo, and there could be no doubt that even Arab-to present Arab links now depended Eastern peace?and Israel. upon Middle Yet while Arab pragmatists behind is there put ideology them, a sense in Arab still an unease most that the flammable lands, fabrics of could identity called Islamism variously made sparks same premises be set ablaze. or Islamic In many is places, what fundamentalism has already lands rests upon many of the in Arab fly. Islamism as Arab nationalism: it too claims that a return to sources to strengthen authentic is the only way the Muslims and confer power them. But to more Islamism authen upon pretends Arab nationalism, its anti-impe ticity than even Arabism. despite rialist posture, its idea of the nation borrowed from Europe: Arabs one one thus Arabs formed nation. But Islamism spoke language, 100 Martin Kramer avows not is the basis of identity. The religion, language, of Muslim believers constitutes the nation and the community as it did for the first millennium focus of natural of solidarity, that Islam. This hood, Brother goes back to the Muslim in Egypt between the world wars. Since in Arab idea who lands first organized Islamism has found a following the mid-1970s, and countries, the most it has become in most Arab form widespread of dissent. But the appeal of Islamism also has its limits. Much a certain to do with to Islamism proposes extermination "The intensify of the Jews of Palestine, the people from divorce Syria, changing the Arab realities. of this has Most notably, Israel. against struggle on is a specific obligation placed Jordan, and Lebanon," Egypt says the exiled leader of the Saudi Islamist opposition in a typical statement, "because Islamic from its roots been translated in the heart they have their occupied land." law to "destroy the Jewish entity and annihilate obliges Muslims Such words through holy war."18 into deeds, most strikingly of Israel's cities in the spring sometimes it have in the Hamas of 1996. bombings The words and there be a sympathizers: long will sense among of the Arabs that Israel is the offspring profound and But the far fewer Arabs Islamist accept aggression usurpation. of God, would claim that a pragmatic compromise defy the will war" risk the and most know well that an Islamist would "holy deeds are destruction of the have not without themselves. the Arabs sometimes concluded, an Israel alongside some power. peace ceded But Islamism also erects ruefully, that has parted even deeper resistance among another, between Mus is an ideology of difference: men and women. believer and secularist, stirs Islamism many Arabs. lim and non-Muslim, does not simply Islamism it also erect barricades barricades rael; right it arises, it exacerbates Everywhere it the potential of civil war. ries with it in one Arab country, Sudan?and between Muslims of aside, most Arabs to live in it is preferable and from some territory Islamists that the north between Islam the heart through those differences, Islamists Today, of and and Is society. so car hold power torn by civil war, is a country of the south. and non-Muslims to power in one other Arab country, Alge Islamists that too is a land ravaged by civil war, between ria?and to unify, in practice which and secularists. Islamism, pretends Islamists came close East, Old and New The Middle that has happened, and where themselves, against in lost lives, devastated and been immense, homes, economies. the Islamists over the past few regimes have rallied against societies divides the costs ruined Arab have is now years, and the initiative success is due to the effectiveness due small measure in no too they chant solution," concluded that the Islam, problem.19 If Islamism now what are choices on nevertheless fate follows and put by For a brief moment, macy. we are Arabs, the argument Eastern of which "system" ment of Sudan Arabism left? One with that privileges Israeli economic to establish of their But it is also suppression. of millions of dispossessed resist the siren call of Islamism, and Algeria. "Islam Arab Muslims enough the same have is one more by the Islamists, down is the road to failure, Easternism" previously American peace promoted by diplo the Arabs entertained the option. Yes, to aMiddle but we also belong went, is the "Middle Israel the pace of the peace "Middle Easternism" became elites, as a framework Much of their but Islamists; as understood Israel offer in their hands. back to the choice people who suffer the and alienated lest 101 is also a part. But as disillusion into process seeped It is now discredited. Israel and even as a dark hegemony over the Arabs. the Arab regarded conspiracy (In book stores in Arab capitals, The New Middle East has been spotted often alongside The Protocols of the Elders of Zion.) At best, "Middle specific for a new mula some For that is seen as a necessary in plane of Arab policy a control and water As for sharing. no resonance.20 level of identity, it has almost Easternism" areas links In 1938, as arms such in the Arab at some them the Egyptian lands, the preferred the West. level with critic and novelist Taha solution The idea Husayn is an identity is not new. published a book entitled Mustaqbal al-Thaqafa fi Misr (The Future of Cul ture in Egypt). Husayn argued that Egypt and the neighboring countries culture. to Europe at the deepest level of belonged as had been identity Europeans suppressed by the East. But the eastern Mediterranean drew in the Levant Their true from conquerors as Europe: reservoirs the same cultural Greek upon philosophy, come Roman to rejoin Christian time The had law, morality. the artificial division between East and West.21 Europe and demolish 102 Martin Kramer form of what Sixty years later, this idea takes the much modified some Arabs have called their "Mediterranean Its discus option." sion was above the Barcelona Conference of all, by prompted, November the members of the brought together twelve from the southern and "partners" Mediterranean. The Barcelona Declaration initiated 1995, Union European southeastern what is called the "Euro-Mediterranean in the promote culture. the partnership loans to Arab partnership," and now "Mediterraneanism" has moved In every respect, it is less threatening In a broad Mediterranean framework, partner, giant but one more effectively debate. Easternism." an economic to designed of countries.22 idea of the Arab fields economics, security, is the creation of a Euro objective zone In 2010. free-trade the meantime, by the year avenue has become the principal for EU aid and cooperation Its most ambitious Mediterranean The which and to the fore of than "Middle Israel is not balanced by also marginalizes The "Mediterranean the United option" Europe. States and offers a flicker of hope that some kind of great power into the region and enhance be reintroduced Arab rivalry might But is vis-?-vis Israel. when "Mediterraneanism" maneuverability as does not go far, since nearly the discussion at to is that it cannot be an pains emphasize analyst to Arab-Islamic advent Since the of Islam, identity.23 not a bridge, and so between the sea has been a boundary cultures, it remains. discussed identity, every Arab alternative Indeed, for Europe, the point not of the Barcelona process is to provide is to the integration: Europe with sufficient food, housing, jobs, and sea as migrants. cross so not the its do that multitudes hope as the tension so exposes the myth of the Mediterranean Nothing societies the host of Arabs and between filled relations migrant promote southern separation, Mediterranean institutions work If the Mediterranean's southern Europe. emerging as they are intended, free-trade the Euro-Mediterranean especially over sea a trade and aid?but the for will area, they open bridge it to people. close Still, middle is now the hope with Europe this cooperation shores of the Mediterranean. classes on the Arab by burgeoning besieged people, from of resources the infusion of elites and Islamist populations across the sea might make For and these threats, a differ The Middle ence. All their are that indications economies not tions will "Mediterranean eventually East, Old and New states the Arab that have the cultural develop dimension it now these reinforced decades or more lacks. to the Arabs as part of the post-Cold War West, of Arab the parameters still determine life who to ists tried break that monopoly, but their have it, and the men who to rule. With continue imagining it is the leaders-for themselves two liberalized are poised and that popula for modest growth, as rapidly in the next decades. If so, the expand the and may could jump-start region option" But if there is one abiding obstacle violence 103 The Islam politics. own indiscriminate ruled the Arabs for each year, passing the populations grow ever grow one year older while is little sign that the rule of one man and one party There are elections to collapse in any Arab nowhere country; leaders younger. is likely held that could be described as free and fair. The Gulf War followed the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait is evidence which of of governance, But whatever one thinks of Arab had no effect that on this pattern its tenacity. authoritarianism?and its fail is responsible for one basic transformation. It ings are legion?it has established the primacy of the state in the hierarchy of loyalties in Arab lands. For now and for the foreseeable future, no other can compete the separate with pro identity effectively identity some are states. of moted each Arab these twenty Yes, by people are But and the Muslims. for of great majority purposes Arabs, most to call themselves identification, political prefer Egyptians and Iraqis, Jordanians and Moroccans, Palestinians and Syrians. In Arab lands, the state is stronger practical loyalty choice it displays power, created guarantees powers ex nihilo, the focus of yet they have become or most for is a of their citizens This subjects. patronage, dispenses of these states many than society: order.24 Western to avoid it is identity by default. choice; of past ideologies, is this resolute pragmatism the one option that has not been tried and found wanting. If it leaves even some parts of the Arab world more productive, peace pragmatic Given the failure ever it will have surpassed ful, and stable, every populist ideology in modern framed Such an outcome Arabic. would itself constitute a new order?not a borderless but a place where borders utopia, are finally respected, where state reasons is where every legitimate, 104 Martin Kramer of state open it is not room already TURKEY AND The too IRAN: GROWING massive pinkish in Istanbul was Sofya The for compromise. late. formula work?if might DOUBTS that building first consecrated is now the museum in 537 as a cathedral of Aya by its the Byzantine the Ottoman Justinian. Emperor Following in of the city the Conqueror transformed 1453, Mehmed conquest into a mosque. the church Mustafa Kemal Atatiirk ordered builder, made into a museum in 1934. the many reforms complemented a secular nation-state that Turkey was But Aya were in the 1990s, voices be made Sofya again into it of Aya secularizing Sofya meant to proclaim of Atatiirk, all The a part of Europe. in Turkey demanding a mosque. An Islamist party, and raised that the (Welfare) Party, had gained strength in Istanbul, capturing Refah in 1994. the municipality for Muslim worshippers; An area of the museum was marked to broadcast its minarets off the call began to prayer. This was but a prelude: in December 1995, the Islamists ever in and their strongest made elections, showing parliamentary Necmettin its first had Islamist the spring, Turkey by prime minister, Erbakan. It was a striking paradox. in favor of secularism had made the most resolute Turkey in of any Muslim country. Beginning to set aside intellectuals the the nineteenth century, began long to advocate emulation. of conflict with "We are Europe history we one to Europeanize," wrote like it or not, whether bound, choice influential Arab books can fill our thinker and brains "Let us leave those the century. the books which modern passionately at the turn of embrace with the sciences and Surely, we techniques. in the West."25 Atatiirk but the Arabs, these not among a political and ideological this preference program, declaring state that to be a basic principle national of the Turkish secularism from the ruins of the Ottoman he constructed Empire. Republican shall find made Turkey's constitution (Article 24) forbids "even partially basing and legal order of the the fundamental social, economic, political, on state class was also tenets." The Turkish political religious to make modern after of determined part Turkey Europe?and, of the outbreak the Cold War, 105 East, Old and New The Middle part of the Western In alliance. 1952, Turkey was admitted to NATO as a full member. But the identity chosen by republican Turkey in the first half of in the latter half. has come under mounting this century pressure is the part force has been rapid population Istanbul growth. in Europe; of Turkey it has always worn Europe's that lies physically most In 1970, Its is telling. transformation comfortably. garb was over in Istanbul's three five million; 1985, million; population One and over today, ten million. in Europe, but its new across Anatolia, towns and religion rural soon It will inhabitants where tradition. have be the most come populous from is still rooted identity masses are These mobile city and villages in Islamic the reason in Europe in refuse to entertain the inclusion of Turkey why many are quick to summon Union?a in the European fact the Islamists in turn, should reject Europe. Another their argument that Turkey, an factor has been the rise of Kurdish separatism, disintegrative reminder violent as a homogeneous two Over the past often tion eroded. that Turkey nation-state has not achieved of Turkish-speakers. consensus the Turkish decades, full integra has been A has cushioned the economy slowly rapidly expanding to in and the which has intervened the impact, past military, maintain in barracks the core principles of the state, remains for now. But the uneasy power-sharing between Islamist and secular ist parties has brought the competition of identities into the cabi now out over it is in where battles domestic and net, played Islamist The of the half has Turkish government foreign policy. its NATO especially angered its American ally by flirtations a bloc of Muslim put together to Libya, and partners by overtures Iran. Now it is busy trying to with with Turkey countries, developing at its core, as an alternative to the EU?although these countries is minuscule. among Turkey percent parties character trade has not gone Islamist. The Refah Party won just over 21 voters the vote; the vast majority of Turkish chose over over not that divide issues but the secular many of of the state. to describe knows the present themselves this well, Even in polls and he has of power by the Islamists Turkish and Turkey politics, half shown has now Party's voters prefer Prime Minister Erbakan of the Refah as "secular." due caution.26 But the sharing of rhetoric the already changed emits mixed signals to its neigh 106 Martin Kramer bors and the world. in the confidence A of Turks minority significant made by Atatiirk choices and has lost his generation; throw open the issue of Turkey's for renego they would identity tiation. If Turkey's its secular democracy, parliamentary public are ever cast into question, and its Western alliances this order, would Islamism's since Iran's revolu represent greatest triumph the Cold War, may irony is that the West, having won see see more to drift than towards Islam Turkish Turkey prefer cities. drift into Europe's migrants Iran's own Another when irony is that this comes at a moment tion. The of an Islamic identity has been cast into doubt. There are no in Iran, the electoral for this generalization: menu not The hopefuls does include avowedly secular candidates. to run in the March who wished 1996 parliamentary elections choice reliable barometers were first vetted; them permitting the cause received the to say, none stamp openly of approval championed of de-Islamization. But evasion of Islamic Iranians secular only 60 percent to run. Needless Los Angeles. strictures conduct The themselves clandestine is rampant. Behind as they would secular society regime does closed doors, or in London re to is impossible not try. While the can of enforce authorities, morality police, in the streets, they cannot them on people's Islamic norms impose a But still has broad-based minds. The revolution constituency. the most part, the tens of thousands with for press and, beneath the surface, they value. what As in Turkey, Iranians secularism seem able has militant the nationalism, millennia people represented tive Arab are and roots. nineteenth-century a secularists militantly adopted for the complete tone, calling and "The existence of philosophers religion. of existence the rendered unnecessary," prophets a leading secularizer. than faith, and that lieve."27 This they of disestablishment wrote over who in Iran had In many instances, early Iranian and even anti-Islamic anti-clerical learned men divided is more honor "They say that science to understand it is better than to be secularism went hand-in-hand with Iranian a racially-based Iranian idea that there existed In this view, Islam of Islam. before the advent of a great Iranian civilization the corruption by primi at no cultural cost.28 It could be discarded influences. East, Old and New The Middle The to do just that, through secular attempted to those undertaken in Turkey. Their comparable Pahlavi dynasty izing reforms failure may be attributed the enduring ernization, the of gance monarchy?but angry at this forced living traditions and dynasties esteem. One two 107 causes?a to many smaller of the Muslim authority by the mid-1970s, redefinition. The and memories, lost civilizations, constituted wrote of West the arro clergy, Iranians had grown of their denigration regime's its celebration and Islamist revolutionary characteristics: base of forgotten on their self an assault that Iranians displayed or even in some instances from "self," (1) alienation, "hatred," from their own religion, culture, worldview, and character; and (2) or even boastful pretension a deep, obsessive, to attachment to the and rootless and vulgar modernism.29 West, to restore the lost self-esteem. As Muslims, he were God's chosen this earth them, they put upon people, to right the wrongs In a swift revolution, done by the arrogant. an Islamic state, and its leaders told its Iran became that as people Khomeini promised assured Muslims they had first decade The was the assumed of the by a radical Islamic state. But dominated ideal the leading role in human history. decade? republic?Khomeini's to Iran in the image of remake attempt even Khomeini realized the dangers of Islamic too far, and the effort was transformation pursuing revolutionary most reason was abandoned Khomeini's heirs. The by important economic. Iran's population from 35 mil probably skyrocketed lion in 1979 to more was so than 60 million increase The today. no Iran's that to clerical had leaders choice but rapid encourage birth control, seek foreign had been that companies neurial expatriates who investment and Western nationalized, had fled. Under Ali Akbar Hashemi-Rafsanjani, of the state. Clerics ing principle Islamization has been restricted loans, privatize back entrepre impetus of President and woo the has become the guid expediency to rule Iran, but effective continue to public morality and some as pects of foreign policy.30 so the Islamization And of Iran, like the secularization of Tur an uneven success is mix of In Iran, the failures and failures. key, are easier to conceal: are more its elections to read, and difficult discontent is not allowed to show itself too openly in the street or Martin Kramer 108 soon approach the press. But the day will when mature inhabitants will be heirs to the revolution, most not of Iran's its makers. 45 percent is under of the population the age of seven massive born after the revolution. Have the generation, Today, teen?a in terms of Islam? Are of identity a new ever? Or might they embrace to Iran and Islam? There of allegiances the redefinition young accepted more West-stricken than they an amalgam nationalism, are no questions about the Middle more East than speculative these. MIDDLE Is there EASTERN ARCHIPELAGO a "new Middle in the making, the fact that despite in of ridicule and suspicion con Eastern of the Middle East's every Middle language? Many con flicts have subsided. The Arab-Israeli and Palestinian-Israeli the term flicts, itself has the Lebanese East" the subject become civil war, the Iran-Iraq war?these costly struggles largely exhausted themselves by the close of the 1980s. The end of the Cold War to promote these resolutions by removing local equations and establishing the United did much from great power rivalry States as the dominant back arbiter. discovered Kuwait, a guarantor of the invading become and put in isolation, Saddam Iraqi president too late that the United regional and order status has it can be said of the Middle Today quo. reigned Hussein, States in had driven Iraq was ever since. East that nearly all its states on the map self-determination. The enjoy peoples enjoy more are are their still borders clearer. There keen legitimacy; to rivalries and suspicions, and some states are using the moment rearm for the next bout. The civil wars in by Islamism, engendered run on; the Kurdish an open Sudan and Algeria, remains question wound. But century. for the most East the Middle Now are more they must and in most the peoples of places, at in time than this any independent if they are to com redefine themselves part pete. is a ruthless master. compete they must. Globalization was once a Middle East rich flow of oil revenues, irrigated by But and their illusions and arms; ideologies grew luxuriant. And are gone. The Middle East strains under must that be fed, clothed, housed, populations days the weight of schooled, and The aid, those large em 109 East, Old and New The Middle ployed. If the Middle East is to take off, it cannot wait much longer. At the beginning of this century, the Middle East stood less on or more America. It has In most that they must they must to survive. become at least ancient their before; successive the derway under completely Christian Romanization, the as modernization. East if not submerged of Hellenization, It is now Islamization. generically in the Middle in this global era, themselves. means, their policies, waves and ization, marketed ones. East have redefined themselves were identities are pragmatic of people who will become That secularize inhabitants of the Middle The Asia and Latin run a much swifter race. underway East is home to millions The Middle who the preparations places, as East same starting line far behind and must the fallen for two turn of Westernization, has been process The in fits and centuries, un starts. Its peoples have tinkered with it in the hope that it could be made less destructive compromise tion. Now individuals the most part, the result has been a or preserve to sustain modernity tradi cannot be deferred much and the choice many longer, it. have already made of latter are For failed is underway, there are winners and losers. their faith from ideologizing religion, transforming to it the whole of while that faith identity reducing the Wherever The tradition. that has a part of their to one unalloyed for Jews. In each race "Law" for Muslims, the "Land" it will the secular choice: setting, they challenge do too little for too few of us; better to run a different race, from we a create us cannot rich society, the inside track. If let establish a just one, for we have a blueprint in the Qur'an; if other peoples refuse element?the to love us, let us love the land, weakness of for we have a title deed in the Bible. One cannot violent ment is that those who make it of appeal the region's cultural boundaries. Any two and a Jewish fundamentalist may comple this kind across cooperate deeds by aMuslim one another, but their authors cannot coordinate their ef forts, because they are divided by the deepest of all hatreds. This so for their opponents. the region, strung out across is not fer, debate, erate. They, cannot They linked disagree, exchange too, are not above be defined only inhabit by whirring information, nationality and by nationality a kind of archipelago, con They faxes. communicate, coop and religion, but they and they now religion, 110 Mart?n Kramer appear to have theMiddle But that constant in the debate edge over the future course of East. debate will antagonists the Middle a slight East if it can be won at all. The over, local victories here or there. But has always been a zone of unsettled of identities, new religions that once produced and that now is far from be able to claim quests new resurgences. if it is to expand, to be sub is not archipelago must more its denizens merged, produce growth, more and more In than their rivals. the timeless progress, hope a race Middle that will time. be East, against produce If the ENDNOTES Theodor lishing Old-New Herzl, and Herzl Press, Land, trans. 1960). For the time, see Amos Elon, Herzl Lotta Levensohn Bloch Pub (New York: at in its context, and the reactions the book (New York: Holt, Reinhart andWinston, 1975), 347-351. 2Shimon Peres with Aryeh Naor, The New Middle East (New York: Henry Holt, 1993). 3Shimon Peres, Battling Weidenfeld & Nicolson, 4On for Peace: Memoirs, 1995), 355. ed. David London of the term, see Roger Adelson, history East: Money, 1902-1922 and War, Power, 22-26. Press, 1995), University the early the Middle Yale Landau and (New (London: the Invention Haven, of Conn.: 5For an ideal telling, see Bernard Lewis, The Middle East: 2000 Years of History from the Rise of Christianity to the Present Day (London: Weidenfeld & Nicolson, 1995); for the last two centuries, Bernard Lewis, The Shaping of the Modern Middle East (New York: Oxford University Press, 1994). 6On the different strands of Zionism, (Hanover, N.H.: University Press see Gideon of New England Shimoni, The Zionist for Brandeis Ideology Press, University 1995). 7On this view in the pre-1967 period, see Emile Marmorstein, Heaven at Bay: The in theHoly Land (London: Oxford University Press, 1969). Jewish Kulturkampf 8On the post-1967 period, see Ehud Sprinzak, The Ascendance of Israel's Radical Right (New York: Oxford University Press, 1991). Another convenient point of entry to the subject is the five collected volumes produced by The Fundamental ism Project of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, and published by the University of Chicago Press under the editorship of Martin E. Marty and R. Scott Appleby. 9Hanan Porath, writing in 1986, quoted by Ian Lustick, For the Land and the Lord: in Israel (New York: Council on Foreign Relations, Jewish Fundamentalism 84. 1988), 111 The Middle East, Old and New 10Ruling by the Union of Rabbis for the People and Land of Israel, 11 November 1993, quoted by Samuel C. Heilman, "Guides of the Faithful: Contemporary Religious Zionist Rabbis," in Spokesmen for the Despised: Fundamentalist Leaders of theMiddle East, ed. R. Scott Appleby (Chicago, 111.:University of Chicago Press, 1997), 350-351. nYosef "A Painful Ben-Tal, the Consensus," from Separation Ha'aretz (Tel Aviv), 10 January 1997. "Guides of the Faithful," 351. 12Quoted by Heilman, 13NizarQabbani, poem in Al-Hayat (Washington), 15 July 1996. 14For a report 15For a fuller on the film, see The Washington of the crisis discussion Nationalism: Mistaken (London), translated in The New Republic of Arab 1996. 28 August Post, see Martin nationalism, "Arab Kramer, 122 (3) (Summer 1993): 171-206. Identity," Dcedalus 16The report is analyzed by Rami G. Khouri, "The Arab Nation: Trends, Assets, Directions," Jordan Times (Amman), 2 April 1996. 17EhudYa'ari, "The New Arabs," The Jerusalem Report, 12 December 18Dr.Muhammad al-Mas'ari in Al-Huquq don), 22 June 1996. 19For an of interpretation Islamism, 1996. (London), quoted in The Times see Martin Arab Kramer, (Lon and Awakening Is lamic Revival: The Politics of Ideas in theMiddle East (New Brunswick, N.J.: Transaction tant Dcedalus 141-159. 1996), Publishers, see Gilles settings, recent For versus "Islamists Kepel, developments in Egypt the State in two impor and Algeria," 124 (3) (Summer 1995): 109-127. The literature on the subject is vast; a convenient point of entry, is the of see the debate, al-wahid? again, of The volumes Fundamentalism Project. 20For current the state Hal Awsatiyya: hiya Salama The Future 21Taha Husayn, D.C.: American Council of Culture of Learned Ahmad Salama, (Cairo: Markaz al-khiyar trans. in Egypt, Societies, al-Ahram, ed., Al-Sharq 1996). Sidney Glazer (Washington, For the many Egyptian 1954). criticisms of the book, see Israel Gershoni and James P. Jankowski, Defining the Egyptian Nation 1930-1945 (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1995), 51-52. 22For the "The state of the Barcelona "process" Euro-Mediterranean an EU point from in Anders Partnership," see Juan of view, and J?rgen Prat, Bask Jerichow Simonson, eds., Islam in a Changing World: Europe and theMiddle East (Rich mond, 23See the Surrey: "file" Curzon, of 157-163. 1997), on articles in Al-Siyasa "Mediterraneanism" al-Duwaliyya (Cairo) (124) (April 1996): 70-137. 24The argument that the Arab Ayubi, Over-Stating (London: seated, but I. B. Tauris, can neither state is not "strong" but "hard" the Arab State: Politics and Society 1995). they True, transform argues society. Ayubi, the ismade by Nazih in the Middle regimes cannot N. East be un 112 Martin Kramer 25H?sayin Cahit, quoted by Niyazi Berkes, The Development key (Montreal: McGill University Press, 1964), 299. 26For two interim see assessments, Sabri Sayari, "Turkey's of Secularism inTur Islamist Challenge," East Quarterly 3 (3) (September 1996): 35-43; and Alan Makovsky, "Assessing the Intentions of Turkey's Refah Party," Muslim Politics Report 10 Middle 1996): (November-December 1-2, 5. 27Mirza Aqa Khan Kirmani, quoted by Mangol Bayat, Mysticism and Dissent: Socioreligious Thought in Qajar Iran (Syracuse, N.Y.: Syracuse University Press, 1982), 158. 28On the attempt to justify this nationalism Vaziri, Iran as Imagined Nation: York: Paragon House, 1993). through The Construction see Mostafa historiography, of National Identity (New 29Ali Shari'ati, quoted by Hamid Dabashi, Theology of Discontent: The Ideological Foundations of the Islamic Revolution in Iran (New York: New York University Press, 1993), 122. 30On the revolution's compromises, see Ervand Abrahamian, Khomeinism: Essays on the Islamic Republic (Berkeley, Calif.: University of California Press, 1993), 132-143; and Anoushiravan Ehteshami, After Khomeini: The Iranian Second Republic (London: Routledge, 1995).
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