NON-CONFIDENTIAL FOR EXTERNAL USE OIL AND GAS FACT PACK USA May 2014 Business Sweden USA AGENDA U.S. market overview Upstream & downstream Business potential for Swedish companies Conclusions Appendix BUSINESS SWEDEN 29 AUGUST, 2014 2 THE U.S. IS A GLOBAL LEADER IN THE ENERGY PRODUCTION INDUSTRY NATURAL GAS PRODUCTION CRUDE OIL PRODUCTION Global Market share, 2013 Global Market share, 2013 Saudi Arabia 13,1% United States 19,8% Russian Federation 12,6% Russian Federation 19,1% United States 9,3% Peoples Rep. China 5% Islamic Rep. of Iran 4,5% 0% 10% 20% 30% World oil production increased by 1.9 million b/d in 2012, more than double the growth of global consumption. US output grew by 1 million b/d, the largest increase in the world and in the country’s history Qatar 4,7% Islamic Rep. of Iran 4,6% Canada 4,6% 0% 10% 20% 30% In 2012, world natural gas consumption grew by a total of 2.2%. Consumption growth was above average in North America, where the US (+4.1%) recorded the largest increment in the world THE INCREASING GLOBAL DEMAND FOR ENERGY WILL BENEFIT THE U.S. OIL AND GAS INDUSTRY SOURCE: EIA.GOV BUSINESS SWEDEN 29 AUGUST, 2014 3 THE U.S. CRUDE OIL PRODUCTION IS FOCUSED AROUND THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE COUNTRY ANNUAL CRUDE OIL PRODUCTION BY STATE 2013, THOUSAND OF BARRELS 2 The US is the largest market for petroleum products in the world 3 U.S. dependence on imported oil has declined since peaking in 2005. This trend is the result of a variety of factors including a decline in consumption and shifts in supply patterns 5 4 Top 5 States CRUDE OIL PRODUCTION IN THE U.S. The US has almost 3.0% of the world's proven crude oil reserves, and accounts for around 9% of production and a quarter of world demand 1 Top 6-10 States 1 Texas 934 986Mb* 2 North Dakota 313 275Mb 3 California 199 475Mb 4 Alaska 187 910Mb 5 Oklahoma 111 623Mb THE U.S. OIL PRODUCTION IS FORECASTED GROWN IN YEAR 2014 AND 2015 SOURCE: EIA.GOV BUSINESS SWEDEN *MB – THOUSDAND BARRELS 29 AUGUST, 2014 4 THE NATURAL GAS CONSUMED IN THE U.S. ORIGINATES FROM DOMESTIC PRODUCTION ANNUAL NATURAL GAS PRODUCTION BY STATE 2013, MILLIONS CUBIC FEET NATURAL GAS PRODUCTION IN THE U.S. Natural gas accounts for more than 50 percent of the fuel used to heat U.S. homes In 2013, 88% of the natural gas consumed in the United States was produced in the U.S. 4 The state of Texas both consumes and produces the most natural gas in the U.S. 5 2 Top 5 States Canada provides much of the rest (10.5 %), with 1.5% imported as liquefied natural gas (LNG) 1 3 Top 6-10 States 1 Texas 8 211 255MMCF* 2 Alaska 3 214 302MMCF 3 Louisiana 2 376 301MMCF 4 Pennsylvania 2 256 696MMCF 5 Oklahoma 2 143 999MMCF NATURAL GAS SUPPLIES NEARLY ONE-FOURTH OF ALL THE ENERGY USED IN THE U.S. SOURCE: AMERICAN GAS ASSOCIATION, EIA.GOV BUSINESS SWEDEN *MMCF:- MILLION CUBIC FEET 29 AUGUST, 2014 5 IT IS STILL NECESSARY FOR THE U.S. TO IMPORT OIL AND GAS TO MEET CONSUMPTION DEMANDS U.S. OIL CONSUMPTION AND PRODUCTION, MB/D* 20000 U.S. GAS CONSUMPTION AND PRODUCTION, BCM** 850 18000 16000 800 14000 12000 750 10000 8000 700 6000 4000 650 2000 0 600 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 (p) (p) (p) (p) (p) Oil used Oil produced 2011 2012 2013 2014 (p) Natural gas used 2015 (p) 2016 (p) 2017 (p) 2018 (p) Natural gas produced THE U.S. WILL BE GAS SELF-SUFFICIENT BY 2017 IF PROJECTED PRODUCTION LEVELS ARE MAINTAINED SOURCE: EMI, BMI UNITED STATES OIL AND GAS RAPPORT BUSINESS SWEDEN *MB/D: THOUSAND BARRELS PER DAY **BCM: BILLION CUBIC METERS 29 AUGUST, 2014 6 THE OUTER CONTINENTAL SHELF (OCS) IS ESTIMATED TO CONTAIN VAST OIL AND NATURAL GAS RESOURCES U.S. OFFSHORE OIL AND NATURAL GAS RESOURCES Pacific OCS 10.2 Bb* 16.1 Tcf** Atlantic OCS 3.3 Bb 31.3 Tcf Alaska OCS 26.6 Bb 131.5 Tcf Offshore Potential The federal government estimates 88.6 billion barrels of oil and 398.4 trillion cubic feet of natural gas have yet to be discovered on the U.S. outer continental shelf Seismic Surveying There are ongoing discussions within the Obama administration on whether to allow seismic surveying off the Atlantic coast Opportunities for Swedish companies Expanded offshore leasing would benefit the large oil companies with the resources to finance the high startup costs. These expansions would create new opportunities for Swedish oil and gas companies Gulf of Mexico 10.2 Bb 16.1 Tcf Off limits Open Under consideration for seismic survey THERE ARE VAST POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THE U.S. OFFSHORE RESERVES SOURCE: API. NATIONAL OCEAN INDUSTRIES ASSOCIATION BUSINESS SWEDEN *BB BILLION BARRELS **TCF TRILLION CUBIC FEET 29 AUGUST, 2014 7 THE U.S. RELIES 40% ON NET IMPORTS FOR THE PETROLEUM THAT IS CONSUMED REGIONAL SOURCES OF U.S. PETROLEUM IMPORT TRENDS INDICATE GROWTH FOR WHISKEY IN THE U.S. PERCENT, 2012 Worlds Largest Oil Consumer The United States consumed 18.6 MMb/d of petroleum products during 2012, making it the world's largest petroleum consumer Leading Supplier Canada is the leading crude oil supplier for the U.S. accounting for 28% Less Reliance on Imported Oil U.S. dependence on imported oil has declined since peaking in 2005. Result are due to a variety of factors including a decline in consumption and shifts in supply patterns 3% 16% 53% 28% Western Hemisphere Persian Gulf Africa Other Majority of U.S. crude oil and petroleum products imports came from the Western Hemisphere (North, South, and Central America, and the Caribbean, including U.S. territories) during 2012 THE U.S. RELIANCE ON PETROLEUM IMPORTS IS STEADILY DECREASING SOURCE: EIA.GOV BUSINESS SWEDEN 29 AUGUST, 2014 8 SHALE GAS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY IMPORTANT FOR THE U.S. ENERGY CONSUMPTION Shale Gas Shale gas is natural gas derived from shale formations. The shale acts as both the source and the reservoir for the natural gas. Older shale gas wells were vertical while more recent wells are primarily horizontal and need artificial stimulation, like hydraulic fracturing to produce The most significant trend in the U.S. natural gas production is the rapid rise in production from shale formations. In large measure this is attributable to significant advances in the use of: Horizontal drilling Well stimulation technologies Refinement in the cost-effectiveness of the abovementioned technologies SHALE GAS IS RESHAPING THE U.S. ENERGY MARKET ► In the U.S., the discovery and exploitation of vast shale gas reserves has resulted gas prices falling by nearly 75% in from July 2008 to January 2013 ► Natural gas is expected to replace coal as the largest source of U.S. electricity by 2035 “National and international oil companies will need to review their business models and skills in light of the very different demands of producing shale gas rather than developing complex frontier projects on which most operations and new investment is currently focused” Adam Lyons, Director PWC NATURAL GAS PRODUCTION ADVANCEMENTS IS INCREASING SUPPLY & RESHAPING THE U.S. ENERGY ECONOMY SOURCE: API, PWC, IEHN.ORG BUSINESS SWEDEN 29 AUGUST, 2014 9 HYDRAULIC FRACKING IS CONTROVERSIAL BUT HAS UNVEILED VAST U.S. NATURAL GAS RESERVES Hydraulic Fracturing Hydraulic fracturing, or fracking, involves the injection of more than a millions gallons of water, sand and chemicals that are pumped underground to break apart the rock and release the gas. The process is currently used in nine out of 10 natural gas wells in the U.S. Natural gas developed through the use of hydraulic fracturing is expected to rise to more than 75% of the domestic supply by 2035 Identified opportunities for foreign supplier manufacturers include: Engineering and surveying Construction of the wells Equipment manufacturing THERE ARE MIXED OPPINIONS REGARDING FRACKING “There is a pall of ignorance that hangs over fracking. Emissions data, monitoring data, exposure data — these are the things you need in order to judge health effects, and where are they” Sandra Steingraber, Ph.D Biologist, Ithaca College “America has abundant natural resources and recent innovations combined with horizontal drilling in shale formations has unlocked vast new supplies of natural gas, allowing the nation to get to the energy it needs today, and transforming our energy future” Daniel Yergin, Vice chairman IHS HYDRAULIC FRACTURING WILL CREATE NEW OPPORTUNITIES FOR SWEDISH COMPANIES WORKING WITH NATURAL GAS SOURCE: API BUSINESS SWEDEN 29 AUGUST, 2014 10 RISING PRODUCTION IN THE MARCELLUS SHALE BASIN HAVE RESULTED IN SEVERAL PIPELINE PROJECTS MARCELLUS SHALE The multiple pipeline expansion projects on the Marcellus formation natural are expected to begin service this winter to increase natural gas takeaway capacity. The Marcellus shale is the largest producing shale gas basin in the United States, accounting for almost 40% of U.S. shale gas production and is poised to become the second-largest in the world with an estimated 141 trillion cubic feet of natural gas PRODUCTIVITY GEOGRAPHY Billion Cubic Feet/ Day 15 0 20 40 Natural gas production in the Marcellus region exceeded 15 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) through July 2014 PROJECTS The rising production in the Marcellus Region has outpaced growth in the region's pipeline capacity, which has resulted in multiple pipeline expansion projects focused on removing bottlenecks in the Marcellus Region Example of Companies include: Antero Resources, Chesapeake Energy BUSINESS SWEDEN The Marcellus gas trend stretches across Pennsylvania, West Virginia, and into southeast Ohio and upstate New York 29 AUGUST, 2014 11 THE BAKKEN SHALE IS THE MOST PROLIFIC SHALE PLAY IN THE WORLD BAKKEN FORMATION Crude oil production from the Williston Basin which is primarily extracted from the Bakken formation now accounts for approximately 90% of North Dakota's total oil production. The vast increase in production gains in the Bakken formation are the result of enhanced development activity, higher crude oil prices and an increase in number of wells all have contributed to higher production PRODUCTIVITY GEOGRAPHY Thousand of Barrels/ Day 0 500 1000 1500 2000 The Bakken Shale is the most prolific shale play in the world, with daily oil production exceeding 1-million b/d PROJECTS New planned projects are primarily focused on pipeline expansion Example of Operating Companies include: Whiting Petroleum, Hess, Continental Resources BUSINESS SWEDEN The Bakken Formation is located in western North Dakota, eastern Montana, and southern Canada, as a subsurface formation within the Williston Basin 29 AUGUST, 2014 12 AGENDA U.S. market overview Upstream & downstream Business potential for Swedish companies Conclusions Appendix BUSINESS SWEDEN 29 AUGUST, 2014 13 THE OIL AND GAS VALUE CHAINS CONTAIN FIVE STEPS, SEPARATED INTO UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION IS OFTEN CONSOLIDATED FOR OIL AND GAS Oil Upstream Exploration Use technology to discover new resources Oil Downstream Production Retrieve oil from both on and off shore sources Transportation Transport crude oil to refineries via tanker, truck, or pipeline Gas Upstream Exploration Use technology to discover new resources Production Retrieve gas from below the surface Refining Retail Channels Transform crude oil Selling and into petroleum and distribution of oil other finished products from products refineries Gas Downstream Transportation Transport gas via tanker, truck, or pipeline Processing Treat gas as per consumer specifications Retail Channels Selling and distribution of natural gas MANY OF THE LARGER OIL AND GAS COMPANIES HAVE OWNERSHIP IN MOST IF NOT ALL THESE FIELDS SOURCE: BUSINESS SWEDEN ANALYSIS BUSINESS SWEDEN 29 AUGUST, 2014 14 U.S. NATURAL GAS AND CRUDE OIL EXPLORATION IS FORECAST TO GROW IN THE NEXT FEW YEARS ANNUAL GROWTH OF U.S. NATURAL GAS EXTRACTION U.S. EXPLORATION DESCRIPTION AND TRENDS & CRUDE PETROLEUM PRODUCTION OUTPUT, % Companies in this industry develop and operate fields to extract crude oil and natural gas. Major industry players 9% include companies such as: 8% Apache Corporation, ConocoPhillips, Exxon Mobil, Chesapeake Energy Corporation, Anadarko 7% Petroleum Corporation, Devon Energy, BP 6% Trends include: 5% Increased use of horizontal drilling using hydraulic fracturing which is a newer drilling technique that has expanded the available supply of oil and gas 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 More deep sea drilling where many drilling companies are drilling in deeper waters and to greater depths through the use of drillships. Drilling in the Gulf of Mexico has been successful at 25,000 feet from an ocean floor under 10,000 feet of water; new deep water drillships will be capable of 40,000 feet under 12,000 feet of water DOMESTIC EXPLORATION AND PRODUCTION IS EXPECTED GROWTH AS DOMESTIC DEMAND IS GROWING SOURCE: U.S. ENERGY INFORMATION ADMINISTRATION, FIRST RESEARCH BUSINESS SWEDEN 29 AUGUST, 2014 15 CHEVRON LEADS U.S. OIL PRODUCTION BUT HAS EXPERIENCED A SMALL DECREASE IN OUTPUT PRODUCTION VOLUMES BY TOP COMPANIES, MB/D 500 450 THE OIL AND GAS MARKET IS FAIRLY CONSOLIDATED There are more than 560 000 oil wells currently extracting crude oil in the U.S. There are about 12 000 players operating in the extraction of oil, a number which has increased by 6% since 2006 400 350 The extraction industry is consolidated despite the large number of companies in the sector 300 250 The 5 largest businesses generate between 5060% of the market turnover 200 150 Chevron is the largest producer of crude oil with a reported production of 449 Mb/d, 100 50 The company has however experienced a slight decrease in production output in recent years 0 2011 2012 2013 Chevron BP ExxonMobil Conoco Phillips Shell Marathon Oil ExxonMobil is the second largest producer and has grown its production output since 2011 and overtook BP in 2012 THE MARKET IS DOMINATED BY A FEW GIANTS AND IT HAS REMAINED FAIRLY UNCHANGED IN RECENT YEARS SOURCE: EUROMONITOR, RAPPORT, INDEPENDENT PETROLEUM ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA, COMPANY ANNUAL REPORTS BUSINESS SWEDEN 29 AUGUST, 2014 16 EXXONMOBIL IS THE CLEAR MARKET LEADER WITHIN THE U.S. NATURAL GAS PRODUCTION PRODUCTION VOLUMES BY TOP COMPANIES, MCF/D 5000 4500 30% OF PRODUCTION IS EXTRACTED BY 10 PLAYERS There are more than 480 000 gas wells currently extracting natural gas in the U.S. The natural gas market is somewhat fragmented, with independents* extracting up to 85% of natural gas in the U.S. 4000 3500 3000 Despite this fragmentation, the 10 largest drillers account for almost 30% of all production 2500 2000 The 40 largest producers extract more than half of all domestic natural gas 1500 ExxonMobil is by far the biggest producer of U.S. gas with an estimated production rate of 3545 Mcf/d but has decreased output by almost 20% since 2011 1000 500 0 2011 2012 2013 ExxonMobile Devon Energy BP Conoco Phillips Encana Chevron The remaining large players have maintained their extraction volumes Shell INDEPENDENT COMPANIES EXTRACT THE MAJORITY OF NATURAL GAS ACROSS THE U.S. SOURCE: EUROMONITOR, RAPPORT, INDEPENDENT PETROLEUM ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA, COMPANY ANNUAL REPORTS BUSINESS SWEDEN *INDEPENDENTS ARE PRIMARILY OIL AND GAS EXPLORATION AND PRODUCTION COMPANIES 29 AUGUST, 2014 17 FRACKING HAS CAUSED A BOOM IN NATURAL GAS PRODUCTION LEADING TO LARGER PIPELINE NETWORKS ANNUAL GROWTH FOR PIPELINE TRANSPORTATION SERVICES, % 6% 5% U.S. OIL AND GAS DOWNSTREAM TRANSPORTATION SERVICES DESCRIPTION AND TRENDS Companies in this industry typically use tankers, trucks or pipelines to transport crude oil, refined petroleum products, and natural gas. Major industry players include companies such as: Energy Transfer Partners, Enterprise Products Partners, Kinder Morgan and Plains All American Pipeline 4% 3% Trends include: Increased hydraulic fracturing has caused a boom in natural gas production, lowering prices, and increasing demand. Pipeline transporters are increasing fleets and pipeline networks, through building and acquisitions, to meet consumer demands 2% 1% 0% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Growth by acquisition is a strategy used by many companies in the industry in part to expand into new geographical regions THE OVERALL GROWTH OF INFRASTRUCTURE IS A HEALTHY INDICATOR FOR THE ENTIRE DOMESTIC MARKET SOURCE: DUN & BRADSTREET, FIRST RESEARCH BUSINESS SWEDEN 29 AUGUST, 2014 18 OIL REFINERIES ARE SPREAD ACROSS THE U.S. BUT THE MAJORITY ARE LOCATED NEAR LARGE OIL FIELDS REFINERIES BELONG TO ONE OF FIVE DISTRICTS THE U.S. CAN REFINE UP TO 18 MMB/D There are more than 140 refineries in the U.S. as of 2013, and less than 10 are currently idle The current oil refinery capacity is estimated to be almost 18 million barrels per day* Output reached 16.7 million barrels per day in 2013 Up to 3 new refineries are being constructed to meet an increase in demand States with refineries are categorized into Petroleum Administration for Defence Districts (PADD) 1 - 5 PADD 3 has the most amount of refineries (56) and has a capacity of 9 million barrels per day, more than half of the total U.S. capacity PADD 1 PADD 4 PADD 2 PADD 5 PADD 3 Texas alone accounts for around 30% of U.S. refining capacity and has a total of 27 refining facilities REFINERIES IN PADD 3 HAVE A REFINING CAPACITY OF MORE THAN HALF OF THE TOTAL U.S. CAPACITY SOURCE: EIA, BMI RAPPORT BUSINESS SWEDEN *SEE APPENDIX A FOR BREAKDOWN OF REFINING CAPACITY PER COMPANY 29 AUGUST, 2014 19 NATURAL GAS PROCESSING IS FRAGMENTED WITH COMPANIES THROUGHOUT THE U.S. Company Gas processing volume DCP Midstream 6.10 Bcfd Enterprise Products Partners 6.05 NATURAL GAS PROCESSING DESCRIPTION & TRENDS Companies in this category natural gas produced typically contains contaminants and natural gas liquids that must be processed, i.e., cleaned, before it can be safely delivered to the consuming public Williams Companies Inc. 4.45 Estimates show U.S. natural gas processing capacity Targa Resources 2.10 climbed by 5.6 Bcfd* during 2013 Markwest Energy Partners 1.68 is set to increase by an additional 2.8 Bcfd in 2014 Encana 1.63 Crosstex Energy Services 1.35 Western Gas Partners 1.19 Shell Oil Co. 1.06 Devon Energy 1.05 While there are approximately 500 gas processing plants in the U.S., the nations top 10 processing companies seen on the left, many of which own pipelines and other midstream infrastructure, lead the nation in processing natural gas with around 35% of total domestic processing capacity ESTIMATED GAS PROCESSED BY U.S. TOP 10, 2012 NATURAL GAS PROCESSING FACILITIES ARE GETTING MORE EFFICIENT TO HANDLE INCREASED VOLUMES SOURCE: U.S. ENERGY INFORMATION ADMINISTRATION, NATURALGAS.ORG, GAS PROCESSORS ASSOCIATION, GAS PROCESSING NEWS BUSINESS SWEDEN *BILLION CUBIC FEET PER DAY 29 AUGUST, 2014 20 AGENDA U.S. market overview Upstream & downstream Business potential for Swedish companies Conclusions Appendix BUSINESS SWEDEN 29 AUGUST, 2014 21 SWEDISH COMPANIES ACTIVE IN THE U.S. ARE USUALLY SUB-SUPPLIERS THROUGH INTERMEDIARIES GIVEN THE COMPLEXITY OF THE SUPPLY-CHAIN, DIRECT SALES TO END CUSTOMER IS LESS COMMON Suppliers Entry Strategies Subsidiary Sales Agent Swedish oil and gas suppliers Distributor / 3PL Less common Intermediaries Upstream suppliers (to exploration and production) Contractors and consultants Industry end customers More common INTERMEDIARY COMPANIES ARE TYPICALLY ESSENTIAL FOR FOREIGN COMPANIES ESTABLISHING A U.S. PRESENCE SOURCE: INTERVIEWS BUSINESS SWEDEN 29 AUGUST, 2014 22 THE INTERMEDIARIES ARE TYPICALLY MULTIPLE LAYERED BELOW THE MAJOR END CUSTOMERS SUPPLIERS TO PLAYERS IN THE VALUE CHAIN CAPITAL EXPENDITURE BREAKDOWN Supply structure: In the supply chain for the U.S. oil industry, B2B purchases accounts for 62,4% of the capital spent of $81,532M in supply structure. Labor cost accounted for 35,2% or $46 M and taxes less subsidies amounted to 2,3% or $3M Oil company Primary supplier Value chain Contractor “We sell our goods to suppliers to the major contractors from a local subsidiary and this seems to be a pretty common approach from my experience and has been our modus operandi for the 15 years we have operated as a private company in the U.S.” Bo Birgerud, Vice President MCT Brattberg Sub-supplier NEW ENTRANTS SHOULD INITIALLY FOCUS ON IDENTIFYING THE APPROPRIATE SUPPLIERS & CONTRACTORS SOURCE: INTERVIEWS, EUROMONITOR BUSINESS SWEDEN 29 AUGUST, 2014 23 THESE INDUSTRY B2B SUPPLIERS ARE PART OF A BILLION DOLLAR INDUSTRY IN THE U.S. B2B VALUE 2012, MUSD Activity SMALL COMPANIES FOCUS ON SUPPORT OPERATIONS Value, MUSD Extraction of oil and gas 16 340 Monetary Intermediation 15 701 Construction 8 480 Consultancies 3 569 Pumps, Compressors, Taps and Valves 2 494 IT 2 260 Iron and steel 2 031 Cement, Stone and Ceramic Products 1 894 Refined Petroleum Products 1 835 Others 26 928 Total 81 532 Intra-industry trade The oil and gas industry in itself is amongst its greatest suppliers, meaning that a lot of intra-industry trade occurs B2B value stagnation In 2012, the B2B trade was valued at $81 532M, slightly down from previous year’s value Support operations Due to characteristics of the market, which requires large capital expenditure, small companies continue to focus on support operations for the larger enterprises THE LARGE INTRA-INDUSTRY TRADE PRESENTS GREAT POTENTIAL FOR SWEDISH SUB-SUPPLIERS SOURCE: EUROMONITOR 29 AUGUST, 2014 24 A WELL ESTABLISHED DOMESTIC NETWORK IS KEY FOR LONG TERM GROWTH IN THE U.S. MARKET “The concentration in the market is strong. I think that the 5 largest companies generate the majority of the turnover within the industry. It is a tough market for the smaller companies as the competition to work with these enterprises is highly competitive. For that reason, it becomes key to be present and seen here” Lars Johansson, Project Manager Apply Emtunga “We currently have one customer in North America and since we would like to gain customers, we believe our presence here is essential. This will allow us to be able to put our products and expertise in front of the decision makers in this field which we feel will gain us business in the future” Richard Stanfill, Sales Manager Ovako North America, INC Swedish industry voices “For our offshore business, the financial strength and support of a large industrial group such as Trelleborg is incomparable with that of our competitors. This is a clear competitive advantage that is becoming more important within the subsea market as it grows and gets more complex and demanding” Fredrik Meuller, Business Area President Trelleborg Offshore & Construction “Identifying new customers is easier when you have actual presence in the market, either through an incorporation or through an agent acting as a representative office. If the product can’t be sourced in the U.S. it becomes a challenging” Bo Birgerud, Vice President MCT Brattberg SOURCE: INTERVIEWS BUSINESS SWEDEN 29 AUGUST, 2014 25 AGENDA U.S. market overview Upstream & downstream Business potential for Swedish companies Conclusions Appendix BUSINESS SWEDEN 29 AUGUST, 2014 26 THE GROWING U.S. MARKET IS THE GLOBAL LEADER IN ENERGY PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION The U.S. is considered a global leader in the energy production industry, leading global natural gas production and trailing only Saudi Arabia and Russia in crude oil production Since 2005, U.S. domestic crude oil and natural gas production has been increasing as the country has a political goal to be energy independent by 2035. This is expected to be reached by further utilizing shale oil and gas but also though promoting wider use of alternatives such as ethanol fuel, methanol, biodiesel and other alternative propulsion. In 2013, 88% of the natural gas consumed in the U.S. was produced domestically and it is expected that the U.S. will be fully self-sufficient for natural gas by 2017. The boost to the U.S. economy of ending all oil and gas imports is expected to be significant Current new production of both oil and gas is focused around the central and southern parts of the country. Furthermore the outer continental shelf is estimated to contain vast oil and natural gas resources, which is indicates a large potential for future development needs if so desired Even as the country is approaching energy independence, the U.S. market presents great opportunities for domestic as well as for foreign companies. Consumption and refining capacity for both oil and gas is increasing while products and services that increase efficiency, safety, environmental friendliness etc. are sought after. and XXX Shale gas has recently become an increasingly important source of natural gas in the U.S. In 2000 shale gas provided only 1% of U.S. natural gas production, however by 2010 it was over 20% and the U.S. government's Energy Information Administration predicts that by 2035, 46% of the domestic natural gas supply will come from shale gas. There are however political and environmental concerns as this production has challenged the adequacy of existing regulatory regimes. Concerns include ground water contamination, risks to air quality, migration of gases and hydraulic fracturing chemicals to the surface, mishandling of waste as well as destruction of landscape BUSINESS SWEDEN 29 AUGUST, 2014 27 FEW LARGE COMPANIES DOMINATE MOST OF THE U.S. OIL AND GAS PRODUCTION MARKETS Despite the large number of companies in the extraction sector, the oil industry is highly concentrated where the 5 largest oil production businesses generate around 60% of the market turnover. Companies such as Chevron and ExxonMobil lead the U.S. oil production market. Within natural gas production the market is more fragmented however ExxonMobil is the clear market leader and alongside 39 other companies they extract more than half of U.S. natural gas The oil and gas value chains are typically divided into two general categories and five sub-categories. Oil general categories include upstream and downstream Oil sub-categories include: exploration and production (upstream) as well as: transportation, refining, and retail (downstream) Gas general categories also include upstream and downstream Gas sub-categories include: exploration and production (upstream) as well as: processing, transportation and retail (downstream) Many of the large oil and gas companies have ownership in most if not all of the above general and sub-categories. The often large exploration and production facilities are spread out in most parts of the country however the southern states tend to be more prominent – where for example, Texas alone accounts for around 30% of U.S. refining capacity BUSINESS SWEDEN 29 AUGUST, 2014 28 THERE ARE CONSIDERABLE OPPORTUNITIES FOR SWEDISH COMPANIES WORKING WITH INTERMEDIARIES The majority of Swedish companies that have established presence in the U.S. act as sub-suppliers to other type of suppliers as well as to contractors and consultants. Key will be to find the right partnering structure in a multi layered value chain The oil and gas industry in itself is amongst its greatest suppliers, the intra-industry trade offers great potential for domestic as well as foreign sub-suppliers. The U.S. oil and gas B2B suppliers market is a billion dollar industry. In 2012 for example, industry B2B trade was valued at almost $82BUSD of which the extraction of oil and gas (upstream) was valued at $16BUSD With a high focus on domestic energy independence and trends moving toward increased shale gas extraction, increased hydraulic fracturing and increased deep sea drilling, there are opportunities for new suppliers to be evaluated by the domestic industry. As technology is evolving rapidly to increase production from existing wells and extend their service life. Often when a well is originally brought into service, only about 15-20% of the reserve can be extracted. Over the projected service life of 15 to 30 years, new technology, such as horizontal drilling or hydrofracture techniques, can be used to extract another 15-20% of the estimated reserve BUSINESS SWEDEN 29 AUGUST, 2014 29 BUSINESS SWEDEN CAN SUPPORT ESTABLISHMENT AND GROWTH ON THE U.S. MARKET Business Sweden can assist your business with a variety of services U.S. Market Entry Prepare U.S. Entry Strategy Establish Local Presence Develop U.S. Business Evaluate if the U.S. is the right market for your business How to enter the U.S. e.g. evaluation of potential entry routes Establish a presence swiftly and cost effectively Examine opportunities to develop and grow your U.S. business Analyze top market of interest Evaluate the U.S. market potential Evaluate corp. structure and create legal entity Analyze the U.S. growth scenarios Initial U.S. market analysis Build network through a meeting program Set up business support and functions Business Sweden support can include evaluating the market potential, finding business partners, expert advisors, coming into contact with policy makers or recruiting your country manager, as well as supporting the establishment of your local presence OUR OFFICES IN CHICAGO, NEW YORK AND SAN FRANCISCO CAN PROVIDE RECOMMENDATIONS ON HOW TO START BUSINESS SWEDEN 29 AUGUST, 2014 30 AGENDA U.S. market overview Upstream & downstream Business potential for Swedish companies Conclusions Appendix BUSINESS SWEDEN 29 AUGUST, 2014 31 APPENDIX B: COMPANY PROFILE – BP SUMMARY BP in the U.S. produced 363,000 barrels of oil and 1,539 mcf of natural gas per day in 2013. The company’s capital investments in the U.S. during 2012 exceeded $10bn, roughly 40% of BP’s global capital expenditure. Around 23,000 are employed by BP in the U.S. Since the Deepwater Horizon oil spill BP is still in court proceedings to determine payouts to those effected by the spill FINANCIALS - GLOBAL GEOGRAPHY Operating revenue: $379 136M Headquarters Main coverage No. employees: 84 000 COMPARATIVE U.S. PROFILE Oil production Refining Gas production Retail outlets More than 7 500 retail outlets SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS BUSINESS SWEDEN 29 AUGUST, 2014 32 APPENDIX B: COMPANY PROFILE – CHEVRON SUMMARY Chevron is the third-largest hydrocarbon producer in the U.S. and a leading developer, manufacturer and marketer of lubricant and fuel oil additives. It is one of the largest producers of crude oil and natural gas on the Gulf of Mexico shelf. The company produced 449 000 barrels of oil and 1 246 mcf of natural gas per day in 2013 and Chevron also operates more than 16 900km of pipelines in the U.S. FINANCIALS - GLOBAL GEOGRAPHY Operating revenue: $379 136M Headquarters Main coverage No. employees: 61 345 COMPARATIVE U.S. PROFILE Oil production Refining Gas production Retail outlets More than 8 000 retail outlets of which around 500 are owned by Chevron SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS BUSINESS SWEDEN 29 AUGUST, 2014 33 APPENDIX B: COMPANY PROFILE – CONOCO PHILLIPS SUMMARY Conoco Phillip is one of the largest independent exploration and production companies in the world. In 2014 the company expects to invest roughly $9Bn in its North American operations, with a majority going towards shale gas projects. The company produced 330 000 barrels of oil and 1 533 mcf of natural gas per day in 2013 FINANCIALS - GLOBAL GEOGRAPHY Operating revenue: $58 248M Headquarters Main coverage No. employees: 18 400 COMPARATIVE U.S. PROFILE Oil production Refining Gas production Retail outlets No downstream operations SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS BUSINESS SWEDEN 29 AUGUST, 2014 34 APPENDIX B: COMPANY PROFILE – EXXONMOBIL SUMMARY ExxonMobil engages in the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas. The company is also involved in the manufacture of petroleum products, as well as the transportation and sale of crude oil, natural gas and petroleum products. In the U.S. the company produced 431 000 barrels of oil and 3 545 mcf of natural gas per day in 2013. ExxonMobil is the largest natural gas producer in the U.S. after its acquisition of XTO Energy FINANCIALS - GLOBAL GEOGRAPHY Operating revenue: $420 836M Headquarters Main coverage No. employees: 75 000 COMPARATIVE U.S. PROFILE Oil production Refining Gas production Retail outlets Around 8 000 retail outlets though the retail division is now sold and ExxonMobil currently owns zero stores SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS BUSINESS SWEDEN 29 AUGUST, 2014 35 APPENDIX B: COMPANY PROFILE – SHELL SUMMARY Shell has been active in the US since 1912, is a major oil and gas producer in the Gulf of Mexico. Almost 50% of Shell's oil and gas production in the U.S. comes from oil wells in the Gulf of Mexico. The company produced 237 000 barrels of oil and 1 081mcf of natural gas per day in 2013 FINANCIALS - GLOBAL GEOGRAPHY Operating revenue: $451 235M Headquarters Main coverage No. employees: 92 000 COMPARATIVE U.S. PROFILE Oil production Refining Gas production Retail outlets More than 14 000 retail outlets SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS BUSINESS SWEDEN 29 AUGUST, 2014 36
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