General constraints on dark matter decay from the cosmic microwave background The MIT Faculty has made this article openly available. Please share how this access benefits you. Your story matters. Citation Slatyer, Tracy R., and Chih-Liang Wu. “General Constraints on Dark Matter Decay from the Cosmic Microwave Background.” Physical Review D 95.2 (2017): n. pag. © 2017 American Physical Society As Published http://dx.doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevD.95.023010 Publisher American Physical Society Version Final published version Accessed Fri Jun 16 09:35:00 EDT 2017 Citable Link http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/107667 Terms of Use Article is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use. Detailed Terms PHYSICAL REVIEW D 95, 023010 (2017) General constraints on dark matter decay from the cosmic microwave background Tracy R. Slatyer* and Chih-Liang Wu† Center for Theoretical Physics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02139, USA (Received 10 November 2016; published 30 January 2017) Precise measurements of the temperature and polarization anisotropies of the cosmic microwave background can be used to constrain the annihilation and decay of dark matter. In this work, we demonstrate via principal component analysis that the imprint of dark matter decay on the cosmic microwave background can be approximately parametrized by a single number for any given dark matter model. We develop a simple prescription for computing this model-dependent detectability factor, and demonstrate how this approach can be used to set model-independent bounds on a large class of decaying dark matter scenarios. We repeat our analysis for decay lifetimes shorter than the age of the Universe, allowing us to set constraints on metastable species other than the dark matter decaying at early times, and decays that only liberate a tiny fraction of the dark matter mass energy. We set precise bounds and validate our principal component analysis using a Markov chain Monte Carlo approach and Planck 2015 data. DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevD.95.023010 I. INTRODUCTION Dark matter (DM) must be stable on time scales comparable to the lifetime of our cosmos—but it may still decay with a very long lifetime, a subdominant component of the DM might decay on shorter time scales, or decays might transform a slightly heavier metastable state into the DM we observe today. Such decays are well motivated and natural in many classes of DM models—including, for example, R-parity violating decays of the neutralino [1] or gravitino [2,3], moduli DM [4], axinos [5], sterile neutrinos [6] and hidden Uð1Þ gauge boson [7]—but are unlikely to be probed in any terrestrial experiment, due to their very long time scales. Only indirect searches have the potential to observe DM decay products; furthermore, only studies of the early Universe may be able to probe scenarios where a subcomponent of DM decays with a lifetime shorter than the present age of the Universe. Energy injection between recombination and reionization affects the ionization and thermal history of the Universe during the cosmic dark ages. Measurements of the cosmic microwave background (CMB) probe the dark ages, and thus provide an avenue to constrain any new physics that leads to such early energy injections: in particular, the nongravitational interactions of DM. DM annihilation or decay during and after the epoch of last scattering (z ∼ 1000) generically injects high-energy particles into the photon-baryon fluid; as these particles cool, they heat and ionize neutral hydrogen, increasing the residual ionization level after recombination * † [email protected] [email protected] 2470-0010=2017=95(2)=023010(17) and hence modifying the CMB anisotropy spectrum, changing the gas temperature history, and distorting the black-body spectrum of the CMB [8–11]. Consequently, accurate measurements of the CMB by recent experiments—including WMAP, ACT, SPT and Planck [12–15]—can set stringent constraints on the properties of DM. In particular, the impact on the CMB anisotropy spectrum is typically dominated by annihilation or decay at relatively high redshifts, prior to the formation of the first stars, where perturbations to the DM density are small and the astrophysics is simple and well understood. Consequently, these constraints evade many uncertainties associated with present-day galactic astrophysics and DM structure formation. The Standard Model (SM) products of DM annihilation or decay—which might include gauge bosons, charged leptons, hadrons, or other exotic particles—in turn decay to produce spectra of neutrinos, photons, electrons, positrons, protons and antiprotons. Neglecting the contribution of neutrinos, protons and antiprotons (see [16] for a discussion of the latter), for precise constraints it is necessary to understand the cooling of photons, electrons and positrons, and their eventual contribution to ionization, excitation and heating of the gas. Early studies [9,10] used two simple approximations: (1) that some constant fraction f of the injected energy was promptly absorbed by the gas, with the rest escaping, and (2) that the fraction of absorbed energy proceeding into ionization and excitation is ð1 − xe Þ=3, whereas that proceeding into heating is ð1 þ 2xe Þ=3, where xe is the background hydrogen-ionization fraction. Subsequent studies [17,18] have demonstrated that it is important to account for delayed energy absorption, redshift-dependent absorption efficiency, and the fact that 023010-1 © 2017 American Physical Society TRACY R. SLATYER and CHIH-LIANG WU PHYSICAL REVIEW D 95, 023010 (2017) the fraction of deposited energy proceeding into different channels depends on both the redshift and the energy of the primary electron/positron/photon. A recent analysis [19] has presented interpolation tables describing the power into ionization/excitation/heating from primary electrons, positrons and photons injected at arbitrary redshifts during the cosmic dark ages, with initial energies in the keV–TeV range. This allows easy translation of any model of annihilating or decaying DM into redshiftdependent source functions for excitation, ionization and heating. Using these results, [20] studied the impact on the CMB anisotropy spectrum of keV–TeV photons and eþ e− pairs produced by DM annihilation. Extending earlier studies [21–23], that work demonstrated that the imprint on the CMB anisotropy spectrum was essentially identical for all models of s-wave DM annihilation with keV–TeV annihilation products, up to an overall model-dependent scaling factor, which could be estimated using principal component analysis (PCA). [20] further provided a simple recipe for determining the CMB anisotropy constraints on arbitrary models of annihilating DM: compute the spectrum of electrons, positrons and photons produced by a single annihilation, determine the weighted efficiency factor using the results of [20], and then apply the bound computed by the Planck collaboration on the product of this efficiency factor and the DM annihilation cross section.1 In this article, we extend the same approach to the case of decaying DM. Using the public code CLASS [24], we compute the effects on the cosmic microwave background of keV–TeV electrons, positrons and photons injected by DM decay. Scanning over injection energies and species defines a set of basis models, which we use as the input to a PCA. The variance is dominated by the first principal component, which thus largely describes the shape of the perturbation to the CMB anisotropy spectrum from arbitrary DM decays. The coefficients of the basis models in the first principal component trace their approximate relative impact on the CMB, and hence the “effective detectability” parameter for photons and eþ e− pairs injected at a range of different energies. Once the effective-detectability parameters for both a reference DM-decay model and any other DM-decay model are known, a constraint on the reference model can be approximately translated to all other models. We provide the general recipe and results required to compute effective-detectability parameters for arbitrary models of decaying DM. 1 Earlier work [21] applied the same principal component approach to a much broader class of energy injections, with arbitrary redshift dependence, but that work (a) relied on an earlier simplified prescription for the energy deposition, and (b) found that for fully general energy injections, several principal components were needed to adequately describe the impact on the CMB. Restricting ourselves to classes of models that can be described by a single principal component allows for simpler broad constraints. We apply the public Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) code Monte Python [25] to the Planck 2015 likelihood to compute the precise limit on our reference model, which we choose (largely arbitrarily) to be DM with a mass of 2 × ð101.5 þ me Þ MeV, decaying to eþ e− pairs (so the electron and positron each have ∼30 MeV of kinetic energy, which gives rise to the largest signal as we show later; we later refer to this reference model loosely as producing 30 MeV eþ e− ). We compute the MCMC limits for several other simple models as a cross-check on our effective-detectability approach, and find good agreement. We provide comparisons of our limits to existing bounds in the literature, finding that our new constraints are stronger than previous bounds for sub-GeV DM decaying primarily to eþ e− . While DM must be stable on time scales longer than the age of the Universe, a small fraction of the original DM could decay with a much shorter lifetime, or early decays from a slightly heavier state might liberate a tiny fraction of the DM mass energy. We apply the same PCA approach to decays with lifetimes ranging from 1013 to 1018 s; for longer lifetimes, the decays occur after the cosmic dark ages, and the impact on the CMB is indistinguishable from decays with lifetimes longer than the age of the Universe. For shorter lifetimes, the decays occur prior to recombination, and the ionization history is not affected— we leave studies of the impact on the CMB spectrum for future work (see also [11,26]). We describe the shift of the effective-detectability parameters as a function of the decay lifetime. In Sec. II, we summarize our methodology for including the products of DM annihilation and decay in the evolution equations for the gas temperature and ionization level, using the public Boltzmann code CLASS. In Sec. III, we briefly review the essentials of PCA, and then proceed to derive the principal components in the CMB anisotropy spectrum induced by DM decay. For our reference model and several other benchmarks, we then compute constraints via a full likelihood analysis of the Planck 2015 data, and present results in Sec. IV. Finally in Sec. V we explain how to apply our results to constrain arbitrary models of DM decay, and present examples and comparisons to previous constraints for various SM final states. We present our conclusions in Sec. VI. Appendix A contains plots of the higher principal components; Appendix B describes supplemental data files [27], which are also available at [28]. Throughout this work, we use the cosmological parameters from Planck 2015 data [15]: Ωb h2 ¼ 0.0223, Ωc ¼ 0.1188, ns ¼ 0.9667, ln 1010 As ¼ 3.064, τ ¼ 0.066, and 100θs ¼ 1.04093. II. ENERGY INJECTION FROM DARK MATTER If DM annihilates or decays to SM particles, it will inject energy into the Universe at a rate given by, for annihilation and decay respectively, 023010-2 GENERAL CONSTRAINTS ON DARK MATTER DECAY FROM … ann dE hσvi 2 2 2 2 ¼ c f X ΩDM ρc ð1 þ zÞ6 ; dtdV injected Mχ dE dec e−t=τ 2 ¼ c f X ΩDM ρc ð1 þ zÞ3 : dtdV injected τ ð1Þ Here ρc is the critical density of the Universe in the present day, ΩDM ρc is the present-day cosmological density of cold DM, and f X is the fraction of the DM (by mass density) that participates in these decay/annihilation processes, evaluated before the decays/annihilations have significantly reduced its abundance. Mχ is the DM mass, hσvi is the thermally averaged cross section for self-annihilating DM, and τ is the DM decay lifetime. Here we neglect structure formation; previous studies of the impact of DM annihilation on the CMB anisotropy spectrum have demonstrated that most of the effect arises from high redshifts, z ∼ 600, where inhomogeneities in the DM density are small [21,29]. Energy injection from DM annihilations and decays extending until late time, and the possible impact on reionization, is studied in [30–32]. Observable impacts of such injections are controlled by the absorption of this energy by the gas, and the modification to photon backgrounds. The latter effect is generally small for models that inject energy during the cosmic dark ages and are not already excluded [17,26], so we focus on constraints arising from the former. We refer to absorption channels, meaning ionization of hydrogen or helium, excitation or heating of the gas, or distortions to the CMB spectrum. The amount of energy proceeding into the different absorption channels depends on the energy of the primary injected particle, the redshift of injection, and the background level of ionization at that redshift. Furthermore, injections of energy at some redshift can lead to energy absorption at considerably later times, since the time scale for cooling of photons above a few keV in energy can be comparable to the Hubble time [9]. Thus computing the energy absorbed in the various channels requires a fully time-dependent treatment of the cooling of the annihilation/ decay products, taking into account the expansion of the Universe. This has been done in the literature [19], for keV–TeV photons and eþ e− pairs, with results provided as interpolation tables over injection redshift, redshift of absorption and energy of the injected primary particle(s). In general, the CMB signature of an arbitrary model of decaying/annihilating DM is dominated by the effect of photons and eþ e− pairs (which may be produced directly in the annihilation/decay, or subsequently by the decay of unstable SM annihilation/decay products). The stable final annihilation/decay products generally also include neutrinos, protons and antiprotons, but neutrinos can be assumed to escape and the impact of neglecting protons and antiprotons is rather small [16]. PHYSICAL REVIEW D 95, 023010 (2017) Consequently, for any given history of energy injection and spectrum of annihilation/decay products (in the keV– TeV range), these results can be used to compute the energy absorbed into each channel as a function of redshift, as discussed in [19]. It is generally convenient to normalize this quantity to the total energy injected at the same redshift. However, for decays with lifetimes much shorter than the age of the Universe, the rate of energy absorption may be non-negligible even after the energy injection from decay has ceased, and so in this case we normalize to the power that would be injected without the exponential e−t=τ suppression. Specifically, given the history of energy absorption into each channel, we define ratio functions pann=dec;c ðzÞ by dE ann ¼ pann;c ðzÞc2 Ω2DM ρ2c ð1 þ zÞ6 ; dtdV absorbed;c dE dec ¼ pdec;c ðzÞc2 ΩDM ρc ð1 þ zÞ3 : dtdV absorbed;c ð2Þ These ratio functions capture both the model-dependent parameters controlling the overall rate and the modeldependent redshift dependence; they completely determine the impact on the CMB. We can also factor out the channelindependent constants to define the channel- and modeldependent efficiency functions f c ðzÞ, ( f c ðzÞ ≡ −1 pann;c ðzÞðf 2X hσvi Mχ Þ annihilating DM; pdec;c ðzÞ fτX decaying DM: The f c ðzÞ functions for annihilation are thus independent of the overall annihilation rate, and the f c ðzÞ functions for decay are independent of the decay lifetime if τ ≫ t for all relevant time scales. These definitions are consistent with the definition of f c ðzÞ employed by [19] for annihilating DM, and also with the definitions of fðzÞ for annihilating and decaying DM employed by [33], only now with the efficiency function broken down by absorption channel. The f c ðzÞ functions are obtained by integrating over the whole past history of energy injection, and depend on both the DM model and whether it is annihilating or decaying (as well as the decay lifetime, if it is not long compared to the age of the Universe). In Fig. 1 we show the f c ðzÞ curves for c ¼ ionization on hydrogen, for primary photons and eþ e− pairs, as a function of injection energy and redshift of absorption. Different panels show the results for annihilating DM, long-lifetime (1027 seconds) decay and short-lifetime (1013 seconds) decay.2 2 A species decaying with such a short lifetime would need to be a subdominant fraction of the DM, or alternatively the decay might only liberate a tiny fraction of its energy. 023010-3 TRACY R. SLATYER and CHIH-LIANG WU PHYSICAL REVIEW D 95, 023010 (2017) redshifts, as the opacity contrast between sub-keV photons and keV-plus photons becomes more pronounced (see e.g. [17]). The same structure can be seen in f ion ðzÞ for injection of photons, at a slightly higher energy; photons in this energy range dominantly lose energy by Compton scattering on electrons, and the resulting energetic electrons go on to produce ionizing photons as discussed above. Following the standard treatment of recombination [34], we incorporate the power absorbed into the various channels as source terms in the recombination equations, modifying the public CLASS code [24]. CLASS has builtin functionality for including DM annihilation, using a simplified prescription for the ratio of power absorbed into different channels; we simply replace this prescription with our more accurate channel-dependent f c ðzÞ curves. Specifically, the evolution of the hydrogen-ionization fraction xe (defined as ne =nH , where nH is the density of hydrogen and ne is the density of free electrons) satisfies dxe 1 ½R ðzÞ − I s ðzÞ − I X ðzÞ; ¼ ð1 þ zÞHðzÞ s dz ð3Þ where Rs I s are the standard recombination and ionization rates, and I X the ionization rate due to DM. This last term has contributions from direct ionization from ground state H atoms, and from the n ¼ 2 state, I X ðzÞ ¼ I Xi ðzÞ þ I Xα ðzÞ: FIG. 1. Effective efficiency function for energy absorption into hydrogen ionization, for (top) annihilating DM, (middle) longlifetime (1027 seconds) decaying DM, and (bottom) short-lifetime decaying (1013 seconds) DM, for initial injection of eþ e− pairs (left) or photons (right) as a function of redshift of deposition and initial (kinetic) energy of one of the injected particles. Note the general trend that f c ðzÞ falls at lower redshifts; this is due to the increased transparency of the Universe as it expands, leading to more power escaping into photon backgrounds. The increase in f ion ðzÞ for electron/positron energies around 1–100 MeV is due to the fact that electrons in this energy range upscatter CMB photons to (∼10 eV–keV) energies where they can efficiently ionize hydrogen; in contrast, for injections of lower-energy eþ e− pairs, the upscattered CMB photons are too low energy to contribute to ionization or excitation (and for sufficiently low energies, the signal becomes dominated by the photons from annihilation of the eþ e− ). For higher electron energies, the upscattered CMB photons are not efficient ionizers and move through a universe that is increasingly transparent to them at low redshifts; consequently, the energydependent peak in f ion ðzÞ is more pronounced at lower ð4Þ These contributions can be estimated from the energy absorbed into the hydrogen-ionization (“ion H”) and excitation (“exc”) channels: they correspond to the number of additional ionizations per hydrogen atom per unit time. In terms of the energy absorption rate into these two channels, we can write dE ann=dec 1 I Xi ðzÞ ¼ ; dVdt absorbed; ion H nH ðzÞEi dE ann=dec 1 : ð5Þ I Xα ðzÞ ¼ ð1 − CÞ dVdt absorbed; exc nH ðzÞEα Here Ei ¼ 13.6 eV is the average ionization energy per hydrogen atom, Eα is the difference in binding energy between the 1s and 2p energy levels of a hydrogen atom, and nH ðzÞ is the number density of hydrogen nuclei. The factor C describes the probability for an electron in the n ¼ 2 state to transition to the ground state before being ionized, and is explicitly given by C¼ 1 þ KΛ2s1s nH ð1 − xe Þ ; 1 þ KΛ2s1s nH ð1 − xe Þ þ KβB nH ð1 − xe Þ ð6Þ where Λ2s1s is the decay rate of the metastable 2s level, and K ¼ λ3α =ð8πHðzÞÞ accounts for the cosmological redshifting of Lyman-α photons. HðzÞ is the Hubble factor at 023010-4 GENERAL CONSTRAINTS ON DARK MATTER DECAY FROM … redshift z, λα is the wavelength of the Lyman-α transition from 2p level to 1s level, and βB gives the effective photoionization rates for principal quantum numbers ≥ 2. Helium ionization follows a similar evolution equation, but we have neglected the effects of energy injection from DM on ionization of helium, as generally the fraction of the injected energy absorbed into helium ionization is small [19], and the background helium ionization level has little impact on the recombination history [18]. A fraction of the energy released by DM goes into heating of the baryonic gas, adding an extra K h term in the standard evolution equation for the matter temperature T b (e.g. described in CLASS [24]), ð1 þ zÞ dT b 8σ T aR T 4CMB xe ðT − T CMB Þ ¼ dz 3me cHðzÞ 1 þ f He þ xe b 2 Kh − þ 2T b ; ð7Þ 3kB HðzÞ 1 þ f He þ xe with σ T being the Thomson cross section, aR the radiation constant, me the electron mass, c the speed of light, and f He the fraction of helium by number of nuclei. The nonstandard term is given by dE ann=dec 1 Kh ¼ : ð8Þ dVdt absorbed; heat nH ðzÞ Note that throughout this analysis, we employ efficiency functions f c ðzÞ calculated assuming a standard ionization history, without additional contributions from exotic sources of energy injection. We might therefore ask whether an increased background ionization level could significantly reduce the fraction of additional injected energy proceeding into ionization, thus reducing the effect on the CMB and relaxing the constraints. For models at the limits of the bounds we present, the modification to the hydrogen-ionization fraction xe can be as large as Δxe ∼ 10% just prior to reionization, which is sufficient to nontrivially modify the fraction of deposited power proceeding into ionization (vs heating or excitation) for lowenergy electrons [18]. However, a model with even shorter decay time / larger power injection was considered in [31], and it was shown in that case that the overall change to the ionization history from accounting for these backreaction effects was very small. Furthermore, we expect the CMB constraint from decaying DM with a long lifetime to arise mostly from higher redshifts, z ∼ 300 [21], as we discuss in more depth in the next section. At such redshifts, for models at the current limit of experimental sensitivity, the modification to xe is generally at the percent level or lower. In addition to these arguments, as we discuss later, our results in this work are in excellent agreement with those of [35], which includes a correction to the deposition fractions to approximately but self-consistently include the effects of the modified ionization history. We defer a PHYSICAL REVIEW D 95, 023010 (2017) fully self-consistent treatment of the energy deposition fractions in the presence of a modified ionization history to future work. III. PRINCIPAL COMPONENT ANALYSIS PCA provides a systematic approach to deriving broadly model-independent constraints on DM properties. The effects of energy injection from different DM models on the CMB anisotropy spectrum are highly correlated, and consequently can be characterized by a small number of parameters. PCA yields a basis of principal components with orthogonal effects on the CMB anisotropies (after marginalization over the standard cosmological parameters), into which energy injection models can be decomposed; the eigenvalues of these principal components reflect the detectability of their imprint on the CMB. As we show, for decaying DM with a given lifetime, the first eigenvalue generally dominates the others by roughly an order of magnitude, so that CMB constraints can be estimated with Oð10%Þ accuracy by considering only the overlap of a given model with the first principal component. We follow the general procedure outlined in [21]; we refer the reader to that paper for details of our approach. However, for convenience we summarize the key points below. We are interested in how different energy injections change the anisotropies of the CMB after marginalizing over the standard cosmological parameters. We characterize our basis energy injection models by the following: (i) species (photons or eþ e− pairs); (ii) a single energy of injection Ei (in terms of the kinetic energy of one of the injected particles); where relevant, it is assumed that Ei ¼ Mχ for annihilation to photons, and Ei ¼ Mχ − me for annihilation to eþ e− pairs; (iii) redshift dependence of the energy injection profile (annihilation, decay with a lifetime much longer than the age of the Universe, or decay with a short enough lifetime to modify the energy injection profile). Different basis models are normalized so that f 2X hσvi=Mχ ðf X =τÞ is held fixed at some value pref for annihilating (decaying) DM (recall that by f X we mean the fraction of the DM mass density comprised of the decaying/annihilating species, and in the case of short-lifetime decays this fraction is computed before a significant fraction of it decays); the effect of each model on the CMB is thus fully characterized by its f c ðzÞ functions (which are determined by the three factors above). In general, we hold the redshift dependence of the energy injection profile fixed, and then generate N basis models corresponding to different species and energies of injection. (We perform one analysis where instead we hold the energy of injection and species fixed, and generate basis models 023010-5 TRACY R. SLATYER and CHIH-LIANG WU PHYSICAL REVIEW D 95, 023010 (2017) corresponding to different energy injection profiles.) Using the modified CLASS code as described in the previous section, we determine the perturbation to the TT, TE and EE anisotropy power spectra induced by each basis model, which we denote ðΔCl Þi for i ¼ 1.:N. The maximum precision mode in CLASS is turned on for this step, so that the calculated power spectrum is stable at the 0.01% level, and we can probe the impact of very small energy injections. We vary pref and repeat this procedure; this allows us to (a) test the assumption that the ðΔCl Þi perturbations are linear with respect to the normalization factor pref and (b) determine the derivatives ∂ðΔCl Þi =∂pref in the limit of small pref . For each l and channel, the derivative is extracted from a polynomial fit, which also allows us to test the extent of nonlinearity. For the standard set of six cosmological parameters, the maximum permitted energy deposition generally lies within the linear regime, although if the energy deposited is too large, the approximation of nonlinearity eventually breaks down. For 2σ constraints on DM decay lifetimes we put later, the nonlinearity is within 10%. These derivatives provide us with the transfer matrix components, T li ¼ EE TE ∂ðΔCTT l Þi ∂ðΔCl Þi ∂ðΔCl Þi : ; ; ∂pref ∂pref ∂pref ð9Þ Here T li labels the components of the nl × N transfer matrix T mapping generic energy injections (described in the space of basis states) into perturbations to the CMB. Note that each T li is a three-element vector, holding the perturbations to the TT, TE, and EE anisotropy spectra at that l. A generic DM model that annihilates or decays producing particles in the keV–TeV energy range can be approximated as a weighted sum over these basis models (strictly it is an integral; the approximation is one of discretization), in the sense that—if we assume a linear mapping between energy injections and perturbations to the CMB anisotropy spectrum—its effect on the CMB is an appropriately weighted sum of the results for the basis models. Denoting an arbitrary model as M and the basis models P as M i , i ¼ 1.:N, we can schematically write M ¼ P i αi M i ; more precisely, by this we mean ðΔCl ÞM ¼ i αi ðΔCl ÞMi . The αi coefficients can be trivially determined given the spectrum of annihilation/ decay products for M and the DM lifetime or cross section þ mass; specifically, 8 dN þ − e e ;γγ > hσvi Ei d ln Ei d ln Ei > 2 < ; f X Mχ Mχ 1 αi ≈ dN þ − e e ;γγ pref > > : fX 2Ei d ln Ei d ln Ei ; τ Mχ annihilating DM decaying DM: ð10Þ dN þ − Here deln eEi;γγ describes the spectrum of eþ e− or γγ pairs at Ei per annihilation/decay3 (i.e. each member of the pair has kinetic energy Ei ), and d ln Ei describes the spacing between the sample energies, which should be chosen to cover the whole spectra of photon and eþ e− pairs (this is the discretization approximation), such that X dN eþ e− ;γγ 2Ei d ln Ei d ln Ei i Z Z dN γγ dN eþ e− ≈ 2E d ln E þ 2E d ln E; d ln E d ln E ð11Þ which gives the total energy in photons, electrons and positrons per annihilation/decay. For DM that both annihilates and decays with a long lifetime, the two contributions to energy injection can simply be added; in our formalism they generally contribute to different basis models, characterized by different redshift dependences for the energy injection history. (For DM that annihilates and decays with a short lifetime, the redshift dependence of the annihilation is different to that assumed here, and requires a separate analysis.) The perturbation to the CMB anisotropy due to a general P model is then given by ðΔCl ÞM ≈ i αi pref T li ¼ pref T · α~, where α~ holds the model coefficients describing its overall normalization and spectrum. Using the transfer matrix, we can construct the N × N Fisher matrix Fe as ðFe Þij ¼ −1 X X T Tli · ·T lj ; l ð12Þ cov P where cov is the appropriate covariance matrix for the anisotropy spectra X cov ¼ 2 2l þ 1 0 2 ðCTT l Þ B 2 ×@ ðCTE l Þ TE CTT l Cl ð13Þ 2 ðCTE l Þ TE CTT l Cl 2 ðCEE l Þ TE CEE l Cl TE CEE l Cl 2 TT EE ðCTE l Þ þ Cl Cl 1 C A: ð14Þ For experiments that are not cosmic variance limited (CVL), we need to include the effective noise power spectrum. In this work, we use the same noise spectrum as in [21]. We consider WMAP7, Planck and an experiment Note that one could also write d ln γγEi ¼ 12 d ln Eγ i (the photon dN dN spectrum) and d lneþEe−i ¼ d lneEþi (the positron spectrum), assuming charge symmetry. 023010-6 3 dN dN GENERAL CONSTRAINTS ON DARK MATTER DECAY FROM … that is CVL up to l ¼ 2500 for all the anisotropy spectra we consider (previous studies have indicated that the effect on the CMB is largest at low to intermediate l values [10]). The P effect of partial sky coverage is included by dividing l by f sky ¼ 0.65. The diagonal elements ðFe Þii describe the (squared) signal significance per pref for basis model Mi , before marginalization over the existing cosmological parameters. It is critical to marginalize over the standard cosmological parameters, as they can have non-negligible degeneracies with energy injections [21]. We use CLASS to study the impact of small variations of the cosmological parameters and to construct the transfer matrix from variations in those parameters to changes in the CMB anisotropies. The full marginalized Fisher matrix can be constructed as F0 ¼ Fe Fv FTv Fe ð15Þ where Fe is the premarginalization Fisher matrix, Fc is the Fisher matrix for the cosmological parameters, and Fv describes the cross terms. The usual prescription for marginalization is to invert the Fisher matrix, and remove the rows and columns corresponding to the cosmological parameters; but when the number of energy deposition parameters is much greater than the number of cosmological parameters, it is helpful to take advantage of the block-matrix inversion and write the marginalized Fisher T matrix as F ¼ Fe − Fv F−1 c Fv . Diagonalizing the marginalized Fisher matrix F, F ¼ W T ΛW; Λ ¼ diagðλ1 ; λ2 ; …:; λN Þ; ð16Þ we obtain a basis of N eigenvectors / principal components e~i , i ¼ 1.:N, by reading off the rows of W, with corresponding eigenvalues λi , i ¼ 1.:N. These principal components lie in the space of coefficients of the basis models, i.e. they correspond to a set of coefficients of basis models; while the normalization of the principal components is rather arbitrary, we choose to normalize them so that in this space they are orthonormal vectors. We rank the principal components by eigenvalue, such that e~1 has the largest eigenvalue. In general, we can then determine the impact of an arbitrary model on the Cl ’s, orthogonal to the standard cosmological parameters, by simply taking the dot product of its coefficients fαi g with the first PC. Where the first eigenvalue dominates the variance (i.e. is large compared to the sum of all other eigenvalues), it can be thought of as a weighting function, describing the effect of energy injection on the CMB as a function of different injection species and energies. To be explicit, let us write PN an arbitrary model of decay/annihilation as M ¼ i¼1 αi Mi ðzÞ as above, and PHYSICAL REVIEW D 95, 023010 (2017) α~ ¼ fα1 ; α2 ; …αN g. In the Fisher-matrix approximation (which assumes linearity and a Gaussian likelihood), we can estimate the Δχ 2 for model M relative to the null P max hypothesis of no energy deposition as Δχ 2 ¼ Ni¼1 ð~α · e~i Þ2 p2ref λi [since the eigenvalues of the Fisher matrix describe ðsignificance per pref Þ2 , and hence have units 1=p2ref ], where N max is the number of principal components we choose to include. From this, we can forecast constraints on decay lifetime; for example, the 2σ limit corresponds approximately to the constraint, 2 pref < qffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi : PN max α · e~i Þ2 i¼1 λi ð~ ð17Þ In particular, for the basis models Mk , where αj ¼ δjk , we can estimate the constraint on the normalization parameter (which recall is defined to be f 2X hσvi=Mχ for annihilation, or f X =τ for decay) to be 2 2 1 pref < qffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi : ≲ pffiffiffiffiffi × PN max ð~ e λ 2 1 Þk 1 λ ð~ e Þ i¼1 i i k ð18Þ We see that when the first PC dominates, its component in the direction of a given basis model is inversely proportional to the constraint on pref for that model, and thus directly proportional to the constraint on the decay lifetime τ, for fixed decaying fraction f X . For annihilating DM, the PC components are inversely proportional to the constraints on hσvi=Mχ . In Fig. 2 we show the first PC (after marginalization) for annihilating, long-lifetime, and (one example of) shortlifetime decaying DM, with a lifetime of τ ¼ 1013 s. Here we have labeled the various basis models Mi by their energy of injection and species. The largest eigenvalue, corresponding to the first PC, accounts for 97.0% of the variance for long-lifetime decay, more than 99.9% of the variance for annihilation, and 95.7% of the variance for an example of short-lifetime decay (τ ¼ 1013 s). Thus in these three cases the first PC generically dominates the constraints, and we expect an analysis using only the first PC to give results accurate at the level of Oð10%Þ. The approximation of dropping later PCs is much better for the annihilation case, where it is unlikely to induce even percent-level error. In this case, therefore, the curves in Fig. 2 directly map to the strength of the constraint that can be set on pref by the CMB, or equivalently, the degree to which injection of particles with a given energy/species dominates any signal in the CMB. The PC for annihilation closely matches the equivalent f eff curve presented in [20] (up to an irrelevant normalization factor). We see that while for annihilating DM no single energy dominates the signal, in the decay case the first PC is peaked 023010-7 TRACY R. SLATYER and CHIH-LIANG WU e++e- PHYSICAL REVIEW D 95, 023010 (2017) e++e- photons photons 1.00 1.00 PC1 f(z=300) WMAP PLANCK CVL 0.10 0.10 0.01 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Log10[Energy (eV)] 0.01 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Log10[Energy (eV)] e++e- photons 1.00 FIG. 3. Comparison between the first principal component for Planck (red line), as described in Fig. 2, and fc ðz ¼ 300Þ for hydrogen ionization (blue line), as described in Fig. 1. WMAP PLANCK CVL To confirm our physical understanding of this peak, note that from the general analysis in [21], we expect the impact of DM decay on the CMB to be dominated by redshifts around z ∼ 300. In Fig. 3 we compare the behavior of the first PC to the f c ðzÞ curve for hydrogen ionization from DM decay at z ¼ 300, for the photon/electron/positron energies of our basis models (i.e. a horizontal slice through the middle row of Fig. 1). We see that the agreement is excellent. Similarly, the f eff curve for annihilation [20] is closely approximated by f c ðzÞ for hydrogen ionization evaluated at z ¼ 600. We compute the expected constraint on the decay lifetime, assuming long-lifetime decay, using the first 1–2 PCs; the results are shown in Table I for a range of injection energies and species (energies refer to kinetic energies). We can see that including the second PC 0.10 0.01 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Log10[Energy (eV)] e++e- photons 1.00 WMAP PLANCK CVL 0.10 0.01 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Log10[Energy (eV)] FIG. 2. The first principal components for WMAP7, Planck and a CVL experiment, after marginalization over the cosmological parameters, for (top) annihilating DM, (middle) long-lifetime (1027 seconds) decaying DM, and (bottom) short-lifetime (1013 seconds) decaying DM. The x-axis describes the injection energy (kinetic energy for a single particle) for eþ e− pairs and photons. around injection of 30 MeV eþ e− pairs for long lifetimes. As mentioned earlier, we attribute this peak to the high efficiency of ionization by the secondary products of ∼10–100 MeV eþ e− pairs, and its increased dominance in the case of decaying DM to the fact that the Universe is more transparent at the lower redshifts where the signal from decaying DM is peaked (compared to the higher redshifts that provide most of the signal for annihilating DM models). TABLE I. Forecast Planck lower bounds on decay lifetime in units of 1025 s, at 95% confidence, using PCA, for decays to eþ e− pairs and photons at a range of energies. The species label Electron refers to decay to an eþ e− pair, with the kinetic energy of the electron specified in the Energies column. The first column shows the forecast using only the first principal component, the second the forecast including the first two principal components. Species Energies PC1 PC1 þ PC2 Electron 10 keV 1 MeV 100 MeV 10 GeV 1 TeV 0.36 0.19 2.49 0.42 0.11 0.37 0.19 2.54 0.45 0.13 Photon 10 keV 1 MeV 100 MeV 10 GeV 1 TeV 0.81 0.15 0.37 0.10 0.11 0.84 0.16 0.41 0.13 0.14 023010-8 GENERAL CONSTRAINTS ON DARK MATTER DECAY FROM … PHYSICAL REVIEW D 95, 023010 (2017) ∼1013 s are likely to be more tightly constrained by probes of the Universe’s earlier history, e.g. big bang nucleosynthesis. WMAP PLANCK CVL 0.10 IV. CONSTRAINTS FROM PLANCK 2015 DATA 0.01 18 17 16 15 Log10[Lifetime (s)] 14 13 FIG. 4. The first principal components for WMAP7, Planck and a CVL experiment, after marginalization over the cosmological parameters, for a set of basis models corresponding to energy injection of eþ e− pairs with injection energy 30 MeV, with varying decay lifetimes. changes the constraints by less than 10% in most cases, although it can be a larger effect [Oð30%Þ] where the overlap with the first PC is small. This principally occurs for heavier DM; as we discuss in the next section, these constraints are most interesting for MeV–GeV DM. Contributions from higher PCs are negligible. As mentioned above, we can also choose our basis models to represent decaying DM with different lifetimes, but with fixed injection energy and species (and as previously, fixed pref ). Since the strongest CMB signal comes from around 30 MeV (in kinetic energy per particle) electron-positron pairs in the case of decaying DM with a long lifetime, we fix the injection energy to this value, consider only eþ e− pairs, and now vary the decay lifetime between basis models. Repeating the PCA described above, we find that in this case the eigenvalue of the first principal component is 98.0% of the total variance, again dominating the later principal components. This first principal component is shown in Fig. 4, where now we have labeled the basis models by their decay lifetimes. As previously, Fig. 4 can be understood as displaying the estimated relative strength of constraints from the CMB on decaying DM with different lifetimes, assuming the annihilation products are 30 MeV photons or electron-positron pairs. We see that sufficiently short-lifetime DM is almost irrelevant to the constraints; this is expected, since decays occurring before recombination have very little impact on the ionization history. Precise CMB constraints on such short-lifetime decays are difficult to obtain, as if we raise f X to the point where signals from late redshifts can be measured (above numerical error) in CLASS, there is a very large energy injection in the early Universe, and linearity certainly breaks down. Thus this case would require a full likelihood analysis; however, decays with lifetimes less than The forecast constraints we have calculated so far are limited by the assumptions of a Gaussian likelihood and linearity, which are inherent to the Fisher-matrix approach. To go beyond these assumptions and find directly the posterior distributions of the cosmological parameters, including the DM decay lifetime, we use the publicly available MCMC parameter estimation code Monte Python, interfaced with CLASS. For the inference procedure, we use the Planck 2015 temperature (TT), polarization (EE) and the cross correlation of temperature and polarization (TE) angular data including three likelihoods: (i) the low-l temperature and low frequency instrument (LFI) polarization (bflike, 2 ≤ l ≤ 29), (ii) the high-l plike TTTEEE (30 ≤ l ≤ 2058) likelihood, and (iii) the lensing power spectrum reconstruction likelihood. We perform the analysis assuming flat priors on the following six cosmological parameters ωb , ωc , ns , ln 1010 As , τ, and 100θs , as well as a new parameter, labeled decay, given by the inverse of the DM decay lifetime in units of s−1 . Our treatment of the energy deposition is the same as described in the previous sections. We adopt the Gelman-Rubin convergence criterion (variance of chain means divided by the mean of the chain variances), ensuring that the corresponding R − 1 fell below 0.01. Our constraints and the onedimensional and two-dimensional likelihood contour plots are obtained after marginalization over the remaining standard nuisance parameters in the Monte Python package. In Table II, we give the 95% C.L. lower limit on the DM decay lifetime, for different injection energies and TABLE II. Planck lower bounds on decay lifetime at 95% confidence, using a MCMC analysis of actual data, for decays to eþ e− pairs and photons at a range of energies. The species label Electron refers to decay to an eþ e− pair, with the kinetic energy of the electron specified in the Energies column. Species Energies Decay lifetime / 1025 s (95% C.L.) Electron 10 keV 1 MeV 100 MeV 10 GeV 1 TeV 0.33 0.18 2.31 0.38 0.11 Photon 10 keV 1 MeV 100 MeV 10 GeV 1 TeV 0.74 0.14 0.35 0.11 0.12 023010-9 TRACY R. SLATYER and CHIH-LIANG WU PHYSICAL REVIEW D 95, 023010 (2017) FIG. 6. Constraints on DM decay lifetimes from two methods: the MCMC constraint on decay to 30 MeVelectrons and positrons, extrapolated to other energies using the first principal component (red line) and direct MCMC constraints (black crosses). other. These results are shown explicitly in Fig. 6. Typically, the true constraints are slightly weaker than the PCA-based forecasts; this is expected, as nonGaussianity of the likelihood generally reduces significance/weakens constraints [36], and any nonlinearity also tends to reduce the signal at larger energy injections. We thus have confirmed that the first PC can be used to estimate correct limits on DM decay process. Furthermore, by calibrating the constraints to those from the MCMC and using the first principal component to translate the MCMC results to arbitrary models, we can cancel out most of the difference between the PCA and MCMC analyses, as we discuss in the next section. V. GENERAL CONSTRAINTS ON DM DECAY FIG. 5. The marginalized posterior probability distributions for the cosmological parameters (upper panel), and the corresponding two-dimensional joint probability distributions, including DM decay lifetime τ in units of s. For this example, we consider decay of DM with mass 2ðme þ 30Þ MeV ≈ 60 MeV, and assume the only decay channel is to eþ e− . species. In Fig. 5, we show the one-dimensional and two-dimensional posterior probability distributions for the cosmological parameters, in the case where eþ e− pairs are injected with the electron and positron each carrying 30 MeV of kinetic energy. Comparing Tables I and II, we find they are in good agreement with each As we have shown in Eq. (10), any decaying DM model can be decomposed into a linear combination of the basis models with a set of coefficients fαi g, which in turn can be read off directly from its decay lifetime and the spectra of photons/electrons produced by its annihilation. The detectability of any DM model using the CMB anisotropy spectrum can be estimated by the dot product of this coefficient vector α~ with the first PC; conversely, if no signal is seen, this dot product approximately controls the strength of the constraint on pref ¼ f X =τ. Truncating Eq. (17) to the first principal component, we can write the approximate forecast 95% confidence limit as 023010-10 2 1 2 p pref ≲ pffiffiffiffiffi ¼ pffiffiffiffiffi f ref ; ~ · e~1 λ1 α~ · e~1 λ1 X N τ pffiffiffiffiffi λ1 ~ N · e~1 ; ⇒ τ ≳ fX 2 ð19Þ GENERAL CONSTRAINTS ON DARK MATTER DECAY FROM … ~ describes the spectrum of photons or electron/ where N positron pairs (as appropriate to the basis model indexed by (i) produced in a single decay, ~ ¼ N dN eþ e− ;γγ 1 ; E M χ i d ln Ei i ¼ 1.:N: ð20Þ ~ should approximate the The sum over the elements of N total fraction of the decaying-DM mass that proceeds into electrons, positrons and photons. (If only a small fraction of the DM mass decays into electromagnetically interacting channels, that is naturally captured in this formalism.) Most of the discrepancy between the MCMC results and those of the PCA lies in the overall normalization, not in the shape of the first PC. Thus we can improve the PCA-based forecast by performing a single MCMC analysis for a reference model, and then using the PCA to predict the relative strength of constraints on other models. We choose our reference model to correspond to injection of 30 MeV kinetic-energy electrons and ~ i ¼ δij where j indexes the basis positrons, i.e. ðNÞ model corresponding to injection of 30 MeV electrons and positrons, with a lifetime much longer than the age of the Universe. Then if the MCMC constraint on this model for f X ¼ 1 is τ < τ0 , for a general model we can estimate τ ≳ fX ~ · e~1 N τ : e~1 ð30 MeVeþ e− Þ 0 ð21Þ In other words, we can use the first principal component plotted in Fig. 2 to rescale constraints on the DM decay lifetime obtained from a MCMC analysis of a single reference DM model (chosen here to be long-lifetime DM decaying purely to eþ e− pairs with kinetic energy per positron of 30 MeV). Note that the normalization of this principal component cancels out; only its shape is important. In analogy to the f eff parameter defined for annihilating DM in [20], our detectability parameter geff for a given model becomes geff ¼ ~ · e~1 N : e~1 ð30 MeVeþ e− Þ ð22Þ This parameter is proportional to f eff , but has a different normalization due to the different reference model (the reference model for f eff was determined by the likelihood analysis already performed by the Planck collaboration, and corresponded to 100% power deposited into electrons/positrons/photons, with a redshift-dependent but energy-independent fraction of that power being promptly absorbed as hydrogen ionization). It is determined by the integral (or discrete sum) of the PHYSICAL REVIEW D 95, 023010 (2017) electron and photon spectra weighted by the first principal component. For the Planck data, we obtain the MCMC constraint on our reference model (decay to 30 MeV electrons and positrons) τ > τ0 ¼ 2.6 × 1025 s at 95% confidence. (The corresponding PCA forecast limit is 3.25 × 1025 s, using only the first PC.) Thus for general models we write τ ≳ f X geff × 2.6 × 1025 s ð95% confidenceÞ: ð23Þ To validate this approach, in Fig. 6 we compare two constraints on the DM lifetime for the models presented in Tables I and II: (1) the directly computed MCMC bounds (Table II), and (2) the MCMC bound on our reference model, extrapolated to other energies using the first PC (this is equivalent to rescaling all the results in Table II by a constant, determined by the comparison between the MCMC result and PCA forecast for the reference model). In this case, since we are assuming f X ¼ 1 for all models and considering models which produce only eþ e− pairs or photons at a specific energy, the bound on the lifetime is directly proportional to the first principal component (Fig. 2). We find good agreement, at the ∼10% level, for all points tested. We then apply this approach to DM decay to SM particles, considering 28 decay modes for DM masses from 10 GeV to 10 TeV; the resulting spectra of photons and eþ e− pairs are provided in the PPPC4DMID package [37]. We assume that 100% of the DM is decaying, with lifetime much longer than the age of the Universe. We also provide constraints on DM below 10 GeV decaying to photons and eþ e− pairs, the latter either as a direct decay, or via decay to a pair of unstable mediators (denoted VV) which each subsequently decay to an eþ e− pair. The resulting constraints on the lifetime are shown in Fig. 7. We note several salient points. (i) The label q ¼ u; d; s denotes a light quark and h is the SM Higgs boson. The distinction between polarization of the leptons (left- or right-handed fermion) and of the massive vectors (transverse or longitudinal) matters for the electroweak corrections. The last three channels denote models in which the DM decays into a pair of intermediate vector bosons VV, which then each decay into a pair of leptons. (ii) Decays to neutrinos are the least constrained, and are only constrained at all at high masses, as the only photons and eþ e− pairs in these decays are produced through electroweak corrections (e.g. final state radiation of electroweak gauge bosons). These limits are ∼2–3 orders of magnitude 023010-11 TRACY R. SLATYER and CHIH-LIANG WU PHYSICAL REVIEW D 95, 023010 (2017) FIG. 8. Lower bounds on the DM decay lifetime, for decay to eþ e− , from present-day diffuse photon searches (colored lines) and from our results by using PCA (black crosses) calibrated to the MCMC bound for our reference model. FIG. 7. The estimated lifetime constraints on decaying DM particles, from PCA for Planck calibrated to the MCMC result for our reference model (injection of 30 MeV electrons/positrons). The upper panel covers the DM mass range from 10 GeV to 10 TeV. The lower panel covers the range from keV-scale DM masses up to 10 GeV for the eþ e− , γγ and VV → 4e channels. weaker than present-day indirect searches using neutrino telescopes [38]. (iii) Other SM final states populate a band of decaylifetime constraints whose vertical width is roughly a factor of 4–5. (iv) In contrast to annihilating DM, the detectability function is quite sharply peaked around ∼100 MeV electrons/positrons, for decaying DM. Consequently, channels that produce copious soft electrons/ positrons can have enhanced detectability—this is in contrast to the usual situation for indirect searches in the present day, where softer spectra are typically more difficult to detect due to larger backgrounds. (v) For TeV DM and above, the contributions from the electron/positron and photon spectra are typically comparable, and the detectability depends primarily on the total power proceeding into electromagnetic channels. One might ask how these constraints compare to existing bounds. For long-lifetime decaying DM, there are stringent constraints on the decay lifetime from a wide range of indirect searches (e.g. [39–48]). In general, these constraints are considerably stronger than our limits, probing lifetimes as long as 1027−28 s. The exception is for MeV–GeV DM decaying to eþ e− pairs; these pairs are difficult to detect directly. They do produce photons via internal bremsstrahlung and final state radiation, and in [47], data from HEAO-1, INTEGRAL, COMPTEL, EGRET, and the Fermi Gamma-Ray Space Telescope (Fermi) were used to set constraints on such decays by searching for these photons. These constraints are conservative in that they subtract no astrophysical background model, but they do assume a Navarro-Frenk-White [49] density profile for the DM. In Fig. 8 we compare our CMB constraints (which are of course independent of any assumptions about the halo DM density) to these limits. In the MeV–GeV mass range, our limits exceed the previous best bounds on the decay lifetime by a factor of a few. One might ask how much these bounds have the potential to improve. As shown in Fig. 2, the shape of the first PC is very similar for WMAP7, Planck and an experiment that is CVL up to l ¼ 2500. Thus the main effect of moving closer to a CVL experiment is to improve the constraints on all channels by a constant factor. Examining the eigenvalues of the first PC in the Planck and CVL cases, we expect the limit to improve by a factor of ∼5 with an experiment that is CVL up to l ¼ 2500. Let us now discuss the case where a small mass fraction of the DM decays prior to the present day. This immediately removes most limits from present-day 023010-12 GENERAL CONSTRAINTS ON DARK MATTER DECAY FROM … PHYSICAL REVIEW D 95, 023010 (2017) 1026 PC1 PC1-5 Normalized τ / fX (s) 1025 1024 1023 18 indirect searches. Limits from structure formation, in the case where the decay is from a metastable excited state of DM and thus confers a velocity kick on the remaining DM, can constrain decays with lifetimes ∼1016 s (e.g. [50–53]). At lifetimes much shorter than ∼1012–13 s, limits from big bang nucleosynthesis generally dominate (for one example scenario, see [54]). However, in the lifetime range ∼1013–16 s, limits from the CMB are uniquely powerful [33]. In this case, our PCA must be extended to account for shorter lifetimes. Figure 4 allows us to approximately translate the MCMC limits on long-lifetime DM, decaying to 30 MeV electrons/positrons, into limits on the same decay channel but for shorter lifetimes. We can then perform PCA holding the lifetime fixed but varying the energy of injection and injected species, as in the case of long-lifetime DM, to translate these bounds into limits on other channels at the same lifetime. We show the resulting e~1 curves in Fig. 9. The analogous curves can be obtained for intermediate lifetimes by interpolation. It is interesting to note that as the decay lifetime becomes shorter, the first PC comes to resemble that for annihilation; this is because the difference in the PCs between long-lifetime decay and annihilation arises from the different redshifts at which the main contribution to the signals occurs. As the decay lifetime is shortened, more of the signal originates from higher redshifts, and the PC for decay becomes more similar to that for annihilation (a redshift of 600, where the contribution to the annihilation signal peaks, corresponds to a cosmic age of ∼3 × 1013 s). It is worthwhile to note that if the first PC is suppressed, the high PCs could give a sizable contribution to the forecast constraint. We show in Fig. 10 the constraints obtained by using different numbers of 16 15 Log10[Lifetime (s)] 14 13 FIG. 10. The forecast bound on decaying DM properties, obtained by using different numbers of PCs. The red line uses the first PC and blue line uses the first 5 PCs; the contribution from higher PCs is negligible. The green dashed line is the result of the blue line normalized to the MCMC result for a lifetime of 1018 s. MCMC results for shorter lifetimes are shown with black crosses, as a cross-check on the PCA-based extrapolation. PCs. For the short-lifetime DM, the correction from the high PCs becomes important. The MCMC results in this plot show that the difference between the PCA prediction and MCMC result is not a constant ratio with respect to lifetime. We therefore normalized the PCA result (summing up the higher PCs) to the MCMC result for τ ¼ 1018 s, and used this normalized curve to estimate the constraints on short-lifetime decays. The resulting constraint is slightly weaker than we would obtain using the full MCMC for the shortest lifetimes we test; thus our constraints on short lifetimes are conservative. In Fig. 11 we show the resulting estimated bounds on the mass fraction of DM that can decay, as a 100 Maximum allowed mass fraction FIG. 9. First principal components for Planck for annihilation (red), decays with fixed short lifetimes of 1013 (blue), 1014 (green) or 1015 s (purple), and long-lifetime (1027 s) decays (gray). 17 10-2 10-4 10-6 10-8 10-10 10-12 1014 1016 1018 1020 Lifetime (s) 1022 1024 1026 FIG. 11. Range of upper bounds on the mass fraction of DM that can decay with a lifetime τ, for injections of 10 keV–10 TeV photons and eþ e− pairs; the width of the band represents a scan over injection species and energy. The constraint is based on the PCA (first PC only) calibrated to the MCMC bound for our reference model. 023010-13 TRACY R. SLATYER and CHIH-LIANG WU PHYSICAL REVIEW D 95, 023010 (2017) function of decay lifetime, based on the 2015 Planck data. Rather than show results for individual models (which would require a scan over DM mass and annihilation channel), we simply show the band traced out by injection of eþ e− pairs and photons at 10 keV– 10 TeV energies. This figure updates Fig. 8 of [33]. Note that our limits weaken more rapidly than the bounds in [33] as the decay lifetime becomes shorter than the age of the Universe at recombination (i.e. ∼1013 s); we attribute this to the fact that [33] used an older prescription for the fraction of power proceeding into ionization, which significantly overestimated the power into ionization when the background ionization level is non-negligible (as is the case during and shortly after recombination) [18]. Recently, a complementary analysis using similar tools was presented in [35]; that work does not use PCA to set general constraints as we have done, but explores CMB limits on both decaying DM and other relics, including primordial black holes, as well as a range of other non-CMB constraints on short-lifetime decays. We have compared our results shown in Fig. 11 to the analogous result from [35]; at first glance, our constraint band appears to be slightly broader (with both stronger and weaker limits at most lifetimes, depending on the DM mass), with the most marked differences occurring for decay to electrons (rather than photons). The constraints of [35] are also somewhat stronger than the ones presented in this work for low lifetimes τ ≲ few ×1013 s; this is to be expected, since as discussed above our bounds on short lifetimes are conservative. There are several small differences between the analysis methods in the two works. The authors of [35] rely on full MCMC runs, rather than only using a single MCMC to calibrate the PCA, and so can only test a limited number of DM masses and lifetimes. Furthermore, they adjust the f c ðzÞ functions to attempt to self-consistently approximate the effects of the modified ionization history on the energy absorption. However, despite these differences, we find excellent agreement between the two results when the same set of Planck likelihoods is used. The default analysis of [35] does not include the low-l temperature/polarization likelihood from Planck; instead the authors impose a prior on τreio taken from Planck 2016 results. Making the same choice in our analysis narrows the band in Fig. 11 to closely match that of [35]. VI. CONCLUSION Using principal component analysis, we have demonstrated that the imprint of general models of decaying DM on the CMB anisotropy spectrum—via changes to the ionization and temperature history—can be approximately described by a single parameter, if the lifetime of the DM is much longer than the age of the Universe. After performing a detailed likelihood analysis on a single model to calibrate the constraints, which we have done using Planck 2015 data, limits on the decay lifetime for all other models can be determined by a simple integral of the photon/electron spectra from annihilation products, weighted by the first principal component. Including higher principal components changes the decay lifetime constraints by less than 10% in most cases, and we have validated our approach with MCMC studies. We find lifetime constraints typically of the order of 1025 s. These constraints outperform limits from the galactic diffuse emission for MeV–GeV DM annihilating primarily to eþ e− pairs (or to particles which decay dominantly to eþ e− ). More generally, they provide a robust limit on decay lifetime for a very wide range of models, evading any uncertainties associated with astrophysical backgrounds or the DM density distribution. We can also constrain the decay of a subdominant DM species, or a metastable state of DM, with lifetimes much shorter than the current age of the Universe, so long as the lifetime exceeds ∼1013 s (roughly the age of the Universe at recombination). For shorter lifetimes, the constraints weaken drastically, and numerical issues limit our ability to compute even these weakened bounds; it is likely that for lifetimes much shorter than 1013 s, constraints from distortions of the CMB energy spectrum or modifications to big bang nucleosynthesis will be stronger than those computed with our current approach. For such short lifetimes, only a tiny fraction of the total mass density of DM can decay, either because each decay liberates only a small fraction of the original particle’s energy, or because the decaying species is only a small fraction of the total DM. We set upper limits on the mass fraction of DM that can decay as strong as 10−11 , for lifetimes ∼1014 s. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS We thank Hongwan Liu, Lina Necib, Nicholas Rodd, Ben Safdi, and Wei Xue for helpful discussions, Bhaskar Dutta for a conversation that stimulated this project, and the anonymous referee for valuable comments on the manuscript. This work is supported by the U.S. Department of Energy under Awards No. DESC00012567 and No. DE-SC0013999. C.-L. W. is partially supported by the Taiwan Top University Strategic Alliance (TUSA) Fellowship. 023010-14 GENERAL CONSTRAINTS ON DARK MATTER DECAY FROM … e++e- PC1 PC2 PC3 0.4 e++e- photons PHYSICAL REVIEW D 95, 023010 (2017) e++e- photons PC1 PC2 PC3 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.4 -0.4 -0.4 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Log10[Energy (eV)] e++e- PC1 PC2 PC3 0.4 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Log10[Energy (eV)] e++e- photons 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Log10[Energy (eV)] e++e- photons PC1 PC2 PC3 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.4 -0.4 -0.4 + - e +e 0.4 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Log10[Energy (eV)] + photons PC1 PC2 PC3 - e +e 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Log10[Energy (eV)] e++e- photons PC1 PC2 PC3 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.4 -0.4 -0.4 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Log10[Energy (eV)] 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Log10[Energy (eV)] photons PC1 PC2 PC3 0.4 0.2 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Log10[Energy (eV)] PC1 PC2 PC3 0.4 0.2 photons photons PC1 PC2 PC3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Log10[Energy (eV)] FIG. 12. The first three principal components for WMAP7 (left), Planck (middle) and a CVL experiment (right), for annihilating DM (top), decaying DM with a long lifetime (middle) and decaying DM with a lifetime of 1013 s (bottom). APPENDIX A: SUBSEQUENT PRINCIPAL COMPONENTS In Fig. 12 we display the second and third principal components, in addition to the first PC displayed in the main text. APPENDIX B: SUPPLEMENTAL MATERIAL We make available .fits and .dat files [28] containing the values of the curves plotted in Figs. 9 and 10. We also provide a Mathematica notebook to demonstrate the use of these files, with a worked example for how to compute the Planck constraints on the mass fraction of DM decaying to muons, for different lifetimes. There are two .fits files, each one with a corresponding .dat file. (i) EnergyPC1: This file contains the results plotted in Fig. 9, containing arrays of the first PCs for annihilating DM and decaying DM with lifetimes 1013 ; 1013.5 ; 1014 ; 1014.5 ; 1015 , and 1027 seconds. The first column (labeled “log10energy”) gives the base 10 log of the (kinetic) energy in eV of one of the particles in the pair, the second column (labeled “ann”) gives the result for annihilation, and subsequent columns give the results for decay with lifetimes 1013 (“decay13”), 1013.5 (“decay135”), 1014 (“decay14”), 1014.5 (“decay145”), 1015 (“decay15”), and 1027 (“decay27”) seconds. The first 41 entries correspond to injection of eþ e− pairs, and the following 41 entries to injection of photons. (ii) lifetimePCA: The arrays in this file give the results of the PCA considering injection of 023010-15 TRACY R. SLATYER and CHIH-LIANG WU PHYSICAL REVIEW D 95, 023010 (2017) þ − 30 MeV e e pairs and varying the decay lifetime, as plotted in Fig. 10. 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