Saskatoon
Strategic
Trends
2016
AN OVERVIEW OF
DEMOGRAPHIC, DEVELOPMENT,
ECONOMIC, ENVIRONMENTAL,
AND SOCIAL ISSUES & TRENDS
FOR CITY COUNCIL REVIEW
NOVEMBER 30, DECEMBER 1 & 2, 2016
Table of Contents
Demographic
Saskatoon CSD Population, 2002-2019(f)
Saskatoon CSD Population Growth Rate, July 2015
Saskatoon CMA Population Growth Rate, July 2015
Annual Population Growth Saskatoon CMA, 2010-2015
Net Migration to the Saskatoon CMA, 2010-2015
Natural Increase in the Saskatoon CMA Population, 2010-2015
Net International Migration Western Canada, 2012-2015
Saskatoon CMA Distribution of Population by age group, 2015
Aboriginal Identity by Geography, 2011 (as % of total population)
2
2
2
3
3
3
4
4
4
Development
Annual Increase of Greenfield & Infill Residential Units, 2006-15
City of Saskatoon Building Permits, 2006-2015
Saskatoon CMA Housing Starts, 2011-2017(f)
Median Residential Sale Price and Units Sold by type in Saskatoon, 2015
Saskatoon CMA Residential Units Sold vs Price Increases 2012-2017(f)
Average House Price by CMA (dollars), 2014-2016(f)
Saskatoon CMA Average Rent & Annual Increase (%) 1996-2015
New Attainable Housing Units, 2009-2015
Housing Affordability Measure by City and Dwelling Type, 2013-2015
5
5
5
6
6
6
7
7
7
Economy
Saskatoon CMA Real GDP Growth (% change), 2009-2017(f)
Percentage of GDP by Industry, 2015
Saskatoon CMA Total Employment & Employment by Industry (Thousands), 2012-2017(f)
Unemployment Rate by Census Metropolitan Area, 2014-2015
City of Saskatoon Business Licenses Issued, 2015
New Business Licenses Issued, 2011-2015
Saskatoon CMA Disposable Income per Capita, 2009-2017(f)
Consumer Price Index (base year 2002), 2012-2015
Retail Sales Growth (%) in Saskatoon, 2010-2017(f)
8
8
8
9
9
9
10
10
10
Environment
Residential Average Annual Daily Water Consumption (Litres per Capita), 2011-2015
Saskatoon Waste Diversion Rate, 2011-2015
Historical Air Quality Index (AQI) Measures in Saskatoon, 2006-2015
Saskatoon Transit Ridership (Rides per Capita), 2012-2015
Kilometres of Cycling-Specific Infrastructure (Paths and Bike Lanes), 2011-2014
Mode of Transportation to Work, 2011
11
11
11
12
12
12
Social
Incidents of Crime (excluding traffic) per 100,000 population for Saskatoon, 2011-2015
Incidents of Crime (excluding traffic) per 100,000 population by City, 2015
Crime Severity Index (weighted) for Prairie CMAs, 2015
Incidence of Low-Income Among Saskatoon Families, (1996, 2001, 2006, 2011)
Saskatoon Voter Turn-out by Level of Government and Year
Glossary
13
13
14
14
14
15-17
1
Demographic
Statistics Canada estimated that the population of Saskatoon Census Subdivision (CSD) was 258,068 as of July 1, 2015. Based
on Statistics Canada population estimate and other sources, the City of Saskatoon estimated that the population was 262,900 as
of July 2016.
Source: Statistics Canada, July Annual Population Estimates,
(based on 2011 Census data) City of Saskatoon Population Projection
Saskatoon CSD Population, 2002-2019(f)
262,900
JULY 2016 ESTIMATE
Source: Statistics Canada. Table 051-0056
Source: Statistics Canada, Annual population estimates by sex,
July 1, 2003 to 2015, Saskatoon CSD
Statistics Canada, July Annual Estimate
Population Projection - 1.5% growth rate
Population Projection - 1.0% growth rate
Population Projection - 2.0% growth rate
Saskatoon CSD Population Growth Rate, July 2015
3.9%
3.2%
1.9%
0.5%
0.8%
0.5%
0.8%
2.6%
2.4% 2.3% 2.4%
1.9%
1.3%
Even though the growth rate for
the Saskatoon CSD peaked in
2012 and has declined since, it
still remains higher than historic
averages. Based on provincial
migration estimates released at
the beginning of 2016 it is likely
that the growth rate will be similar
to that experienced in 2015.
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Saskatoon CMA Population Growth Rate, July 2015
4.1%
3.4%
2.3%
0.7%
1.0%
2.6% 2.6% 2.8%
2.7%
2.0%
1.5%
0.6%
0.9%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
2
The Saskatoon Census
Metropolitan Area (CMA) has
experienced a similar decline in
growth as in the city of
Saskatoon. Even though the
growth rate has been decreasing
the Saskatoon CMA experienced
the 4th highest CMA growth rate
in 2015 (Statistics Canada).
Source: Statistics Canada. Table 051-0056 - Estimates of population
by census metropolitan area, sex and age group for July 1
Demographic
Annual Population Growth Saskatoon CMA, 2010-2015
11,148
Source: Statistics Canada Source: Statistics Canada. Table 051-0057 Components of population growth
2015
Over the past five years, the
largest component of annual
growth is net international
migration in the Saskatoon CMA.
7,900
7,297
6,574
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Net Migration to the Saskatoon CMA, 2010-2015
Intraprovincial
Interprovincial
International
2,258
930
2,074
499
2,114
1,941
1,941
6,165
5,709
4,814
3,285
2,346
2010/2011
Source: Statistics Canada Source: Statistics Canada.
Table 051-0057 - Components of population growth
6,043
Statistics Canada estimated that
the Saskatoon CMA reached a
population of 304,975 as of
July 1, 2015.
9,658
2011/2012
-46
-805
-1,194
2012/2013
2013/2014
2014/2015
Natural Increase in the Saskatoon CMA Population, 2010-2015
1,785
1,795
1,881
1,950
2,011
2010/11
2011/12
2012/13
2013/14
2014/15
3
From 2014 to 2015 there was a
drop in net international migration.
It is likely that there will be an
increase from 2015 to 2016
based on Statistics Canada 2016
quarterly provincial estimates,
which indicate an increase at the
provincial level. In the past ten
years, the Saskatoon CMA has
absorbed on average 41% of the
net international migration to
Saskatchewan, which is about 9%
higher than Regina CMA.
Negative net interprovincial
migration continued in 2015,
reaching a nine year low of
-1,194. From 2013 to 2014 the
majority of the loss was to Alberta
(2014-2015 data is not available
until 2016).
Natural increase (births minus
deaths) in the Saskatoon CMA
has been rising over the past ten
years. Over the past 20 years, the
annual average natural increase
is 1,426. Over the past five years,
the average annual natural
increase has risen to 1,884. The
Conference Board of Canada
(CBOC) is forecasting natural
increase to surpass 2200
annually over the next three years.
Demographic
Similar to other provinces,
Saskatchewan experienced a
decrease in net international
migration growth; however,
numbers still remain well above
historic averages: between 1994
and 2010 the average annuall
net international migration was
approximately 2,600..
13,058
44,922
48,897
8,676
Saskatchewan
Alberta
2013-2014
2014-2015
2012-2013
Source: Statistics Canada. Table 051-0056 – Estimates of population by
census metropolitan area, sex and age group for July 1
Net international migration is the
main source of population growth
in Saskatchewan and in Canada.
The slow net international growth
was especially evident in Alberta.
Manitoba
Source: Statistics Canada: National Household Survey
2011
12,339
13,113
15,131
16,091
14,359
Source: Statistics Canada Annual Demographic Estimates:
Canada, Provinces and Territories, 2015
Net International Migration Western Canada, 2012-2015
Saskatoon CMA Distribution of Population by age group, 2015
11.9%
0-14 years
15-64 years
17.5%
70.5%
65+ years
Aboriginal Identity by Geography, 2011
(as % of total population)
Canada
4.3%
Winnipeg
11.1%
Saskatoon
9.8%
Regina
9.9%
Edmonton
Calgary
5.3%
2.7%
4
The Saskatoon CMA has the
lowest median age in the country
at 34.8 years of age, which is
almost six years less than the
r
median age for Canada (40.5).
As of July 2015, Statistics Canada
estimated that the median age of
the rural population in Canada was
43.9, whereas the median age of
those individuals residing in a CMA
was 39.3.
There has been a gradual
increase in the proportion of the
population between the ages of 15
and 64 in the Saskatoon CMA. It is
projected that the 65+ age group
will increase gradually over the
next 20 years.
.
In the 2011 National Household
Survey, approximately 10% of the
total population in Saskatoon and
Regina identified as Aboriginal and
4.3% of the total population in
Canada. Winnipeg had the highest
percentage out of the prairie
provinces at 11.1%.
Development
The total number of new residential
units built has been decreasing
annually since 2013 in Saskatoon.
In 2015, the number of new
residential units built in the
established neighbourhoods
decreased significantly more than
the number of new residential units
built in new neighbourhoods, thus
creating a decrease in the annual
portion of residential infill.
Source: City of Saskatoon, Planning & Development
Annual Increase of Greenfield & Infill Residential Units, 2006-15
Greenfield
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Infill
18%
25%
24%
14%
17%
17%
17%
13%
16%
12%
82%
75%
76%
86%
83%
83%
83%
87%
84%
88%
The average annual number of
building permits issued between
1996 and 2005 in Saskatoon was
2,387; between 2006 and 2015 it
was 4,174. This type of growth is
expected considering the population
of Saskatoon grew about 10%
between 1996 and 2005 and 23%
between 2006 and 2015.
4,651
2010
2011
2012
2013
Total Value of Construction (Thousands)
Millions (Value of permits)
$1,089
2009
$1,082
$537
2008
$937
$605
$666
$549
$323
2007
4,327
4,100
2,709
2006
5,020 4,996
$1,020
3,516 3,550
5,196
$878
3,672
2014
2015
Number of Permits
The number of building permits
issued in 2015 decreased from
2014, however the construction
value increased. This is largely due
to an increase in non-residential
construction value for industrial and
institutional development. The
construction value of residential
development made up 44% of the
total constructional value in 2015.
This is a decrease from 68% in
2014.
Saskatoon CMA Housing Starts, 2011-2017(f)
Single Unit
Source: Conference Board of Canada, April 2016
Source: City of Saskatoon, Building Standards
City of Saskatoon Building Permits, 2006-2015
1,728
1,322
1,386
1,608
2011
2,025
2012
Multi-unit
Single unit family housing starts
dropped to 1,000 in 2015, a nine year
low. Demand for new housing units
has decreased over the past year
due to reduced employment growth
and a reduction in net migration.
1,954
1,658
1,577
2013
2014
1,293
954
959
1,000
1,064
919
2015
2016f
2017f
5
The CMHC Spring 2016 Housing
Market Outlook indicated that
housing starts will continue to
decrease in the Saskatoon CMA in
2016, but are likely to rise the
following year.
Development
Median Residential Sale Price and Units Sold by type in Saskatoon, 2015
Source: City of Saskatoon, Assessment & Taxation, 2015
$380,000
$335,000
$305,000
$250,249
3107
212
Single Family Dwelling
1108
655
Semi-detached
Townhouse
2015 Median Sale Price
Apartment Condo
2015 Number of units
Source: CMHC Housing Market Outlook – Spring 2016
Saskatoon CMA Residential Units Sold vs Price Increases
2012-2017(f)
5,398
5,215
4,920
0.5%
0.2%
5,120
3.9%
6.1%
1.3%
2.7%
2012
2013
2014
2015
MLS Sales
2016(f)
The median sale price did not
decrease with the number of
sales. From 2014 to 2015 the
median sale price increased by
1.2%. The only two dwelling
types to increase median sale
price were townhouses and
condos (3.4% and 6.3%). It
remained the same for single
family homes and decreased by
4.3% for semi-detached homes.
According to CMHC, MLS sales
in the Saskatoon CMA dropped
by 13% in 2015; this is the first
decline since 2010. Sales are
forecasted to continue to
decrease in 2016. The average
e
resale price in the Saskatoon
CMA marginnally increased by
less than 1% in 2015.
5,996
5,543
The total number of residential
sales decreased 18% from 2014
to 2015 in Saskatoon. The
number of single family dwelling
sales decreased by 20% from
2014 to 2015 in Saskatoon.
Townhouse sales decreased by
27%. Semi-detached and condo
sales remained similar to the
previous year.
Housing supply has been rising
higher then demand creating
buyer market conditions, these
conditions are forecasted to
continue into 2016 and 2017.
2017(f)
Price Increase (%)
2014
Winnipeg
2015
Regina
Saskatoon
6
2016 (f)
Edmonton
Calgary
449,500
365,100
343,400
314,100
289,050
453,814
369,536
342,727
310,609
278,270
460,584
362,657
341,061
314,968
Average House Price by CMA, 2014-2016(f)
273,363
Source: CMHC: Housing Market Outlook - Prairie
Region Highlights, Second Quarter 2015
Average house prices in the prairie CMAs are consistently highest in Calgary and lowest in Winnipeg, with Saskatoon in the
middle. Edmonton had the highest increase at 1.9% in 2015 and Calgary had the largest decrease at 1.5%.
Development
The average rent in the Saskatoon CMA decreased slightly in 2015, which has not occurred in at least 20 years. According
to CMHC, vacancy rates have been increasing in Saskatoon over the past year and are forecasted to continue to increase
in 2016 as more new rental properties become available. This has the potential to further decrease the average rental price.
$958
$968
$875
$824
2014
6%
-1%
2015
2005
$925
2004
5%
2013
2003
$892
2002
4%
2012
2001
5%
2011
1%
2009
0%
2008
2%
2007
2%
3%
2006
2%
2000
1997
8%
2%
2%
19%
2010
13%
$788
$610
$538
$520
$515
$516
$508
1999
$496
$478
3%
4%
$485
$459
4%
1998
$447
5%
1996
$430
Average Rent
Low
High
Percentage increase
$727
Saskatoon CMA Average Rent & Annual Increase (%) 1996-2015
Source: Table 027-0040 - Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation, average rents for areas with a population of 10,000 and over, annual (dollars), CANSIM (database).
Source: City of Saskatoon, Planning & Development
New Attainable Housing Units, 2009-2015
878
755
629
560
542
The City of Saskatoon has
achieved a rolling annual average
target of adding 500 new
attainable housing units.
465
273
2009
2010
2011
Annual
2012
2013
Target
2014
2015
Rolling Annual Average
Source: Statistics Canada, Royal LePage, and RBC
Economics Research.
Housing Affordability Measure by City and Type, 2013-2015
Winnipeg
31.8
Saskatoon
33.9
30.8
30.2
32.8
Regina
30.3
29.0
Edmonton
30.9
30.3
Calgary
The City of Saskatoon has made
great efforts to provide attainable
housing through a wide range of
programs that include ownership
and rental opportunities.
35.3
32.9
28.5
30.8
34.7
2013
2014
34.6
2015
7
Royal Bank of Canada describes
the Affordability Measure as the
percentage of a typical household’s
pre-tax income used towards
mortgage expenses (mortgage,
taxes, and utilities). The higher the
percentage, the less affordable the
home becomes. CMHC indicates
that no more than 32% of gross
income should go towards
mortgage expenses.
Housing affordability in Saskatoon
decreased marginally between
2014 to 2015. Saskatoon continues
to be the second least affordable
city out of the major prairie cities.
Economy
Source: Conference Board of Canada, August 2016
Saskatoon CMA Real GDP Growth (% change), 2009-2017(f)
6.6%
6.3%
6.7%
4.7%
4.6%
1.7%
2.0%
2016f
2017f
-0.4%
-2.7%
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Source: Conference Board of Canada, March 2015
Percentage of GDP by Industry, 2015
Construction
10.9%
Manufacturing
7.9%
The Saskatoon CMA has a
diverse economy that spans a
variety of industries.
Primary and Utilities
20.5%
Information and Cultural
Industries
2.0%
Finance, Insurance
and Real Estate
14.6%
Wholesale and
Retail Trade
12.4%
Non-Commercial
Services
11.5%
Public Administration
and Defence
4.6%
Transportation and
Warehousing
6.0%
The robust economic growth that
has occurred in the Saskatoon
CMA since 2010, did not extend
into 2015. There was a 0.4%
decrease in Real Gross Domestic
Product (GDP). The CBOC is
forecasting that GDP growth will
increase to 1.7% in 2016 and
2.0% in 2017.
Personal Services
4.6%
In 2015, 60% of the GDP was
produced in the servicesproducing sector and 40% was
produced in the goods-producing
sector; this ratio has fluctuated
marginally over the past 20 years.
Business Services
4.8%
Total employment grew by 0.31% in the Saskatoon CMA in 2015 and is likely to continue to grow marginally over the next three
years. The majority of employment occurred in the non-commercial services sector (education services and health care and social
assistance) followed by wholesale and retail trade, and personal services. A decrease in employment occurred in the primary and
utilities, manufacturing, finance, insurance and real estate, and public administration and defense industries between 2014 and
2015.
Employment by industry (Thousands)
Saskatoon CMA Total Employment & Employment by Industry (Thousands), 2012-2017(f)
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
152.7
2012
164.2
169.1
2013
2014
169.6
170.0
171.3
Non-Commercial Services
Wholesale and Retail Trade
Personal Services
Construction
Business Services
Primary and Utilities
Manufacturing
Transportation and Warehousing
Finance, Insurance and Real Estate
Public Administration and Defence
Information and Cultural Industries
2015
2016(f)
Source: Conference Board of Canada – June, 2016
8
2017(f)
Economy
Unemployment rate by Census Metropolitan Area, 2014-2015
Source: Statistics Canada, table 282-0129
6.0% 6.0%
5.8%
5.8%
6.4%
5.1% 5.0%
4.1%
Saskatoon
4.4%
Regina
3.7%
Winnipeg
Edmonton
Calgary
2014
The unemployment rate in the
Saskatoon CMA increased 1.7%
from 2014 to 2015. The Saskatoon
CMA continues to have a higher
unemployment rate than the Regina
CMA.
The national unemployment rate was
6.9% in 2014 and 2015. The
Saskatchewan unemployment rate
increased 1.2% between 2014 and
2015 to 5.0%; which is lower then
the Saskatoon CMA at 5.8%.
2015
Source: City of Saskatoon, Business License Program, "Business Profile Annual Report 2015
City of Saskatoon Business Licenses Issued, 2015
█ Goods-producing sector
█ Services-producing sector
Other services
Accommodation & food services
Information, culture & recreation
Health care & social assistance
Educational services
Business, building & other support services
Professional, scientific & technical services
Finance, insurance, real estate & leasing
Transportation & warehousing
Trade (wholesale & retail)
Manufacturing
Construction
Mining, oil & gas extraction
Agriculture, forestry & fishing
1329
697
321
498
240
282
According to the 2015 City of
Saskatoon Business Profile there
has been a 46% increase in
business licenses since 2005.
801
The majority of business licenses are
issued for the goods-producing
sector and within the sector, trade
(wholesale and retail) makes up the
largest number of licenses.
1335
539
2072
472
2013
46
14
New Business Licenses Issued, 2011-2015
Source: City of Saskatoon,
Business Profile - Annual Report 2015
New Home-Based Businesses
New Commercial/Industrial Businesses
827
866
811
802
368
472
451
439
441
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
798
9
Annually, the majority of new
businesses in Saskatoon are homebased businesses. In 2015, the
construction sector made up the
largest percentage of new home
based business licenses.
Employment in the construction
sector increased by 2.2% between
2014 and 2015.
Economy
Source: Conference Board of Canada – August 2016
Saskatoon CMA Disposable Income per Capita, 2009-2017(f)
$35,401 $36,236
$32,057 $33,383
$38,231 $37,599 $39,289 $39,324 $39,852
6.0%
5.5%
CBOC is forecasting that both CPI
and disposable income per capita
remain relatively constant in 2016
and 2017.
4.5%
2.4%
4.1%
1.3%
-1.7%
0.1%
-2.0%
2009
2010
2011
2012
Dollars per capita
2013
2014
2015
2016f
Personal Disposable Income % change
2017f
CPI % change
The prairie CMAs experienced
marginal increases in CPI
between 2014 and 2015. For this
period, the CPI for the Saskatoon
CMA increased the most at 1.9%.
Over the past 20 years the
average annual increase in CPI
was 2.1% in the Saskatoon CMA.
2012-2013
1.2%
1.4%
1.4%
2013-2014
1.2%
Calgary
1.9%
Edmonton
3.0%
2.2%
2.3%
2.4%
Saskatoon
1.9%
Regina
1.7%
1.3%
1.0%
1.7%
Winnipeg
2.3%
Source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM Table 326-0021
Consumer Price Index (base year 2002), 2012-2015
2014-2015
Retail Sales Growth (%) in Saskatoon 2010-2017(f)
Source: Conference Board of Canada, August 2016
Disposable income increased by
4.5% from 2014 to 2015, whereas
the consumer price index (CPI)
increased by 1.9%.
7.9%
Retail sales growth experienced a
1.8% decrease from 2014. This is
a significant drop in retail sales
growth compared to the average
e
over the last five years (6.2%).
8.1%
6.0%
4.6%
4.5%
2.9%
1.8%
-1.8%
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
10
2016(f)
2017(f)
The CBOC has projected that the
retail sector will see growth in
2016 and decrease again in 2017.
Source: City of Saskatoon, Saskatoon Water 2015 Annual Report
Environment
Residential Average Annual Daily Consumption
(Litres per Capita), 2011-2015
242.7
Source: City of Saskatoon, Waste Management Annual Report,
2015
233.5
229.9
223.4
214.8
2011
2012
2013
2014
22.7%
22.5%
21.0%
18.4%
17.3%
2012
2013
2014
2015
Historical Air Quality Index (AQI) Measures in Saskatoon
11.0
2008
2009
12.5
2010
2011
11.7
12.5
12.7
2013
2014
13.9
Average AQI
9.6
10.4
11.9
2007
2012
11
Water consumption is greatly
dependent on weather conditions.
Saskatoon experienced a dry
summer in 2015 which probably
contributed to the increase in water.
2015
Saskatoon Waste Diversion Rate, 2011-2015
2011
Source: Government of Saskatchewan, Ministry of Environment,
Historical Air Quality Data
Daily water consumption per capita
in the city of Saskatoon increased
between 2014 and 2015.
2015
Saskatoon’s 2015 waste diversion
rate slightly decreased from 2014.
According to the 2015 Integrated
Waste Management Annual report,
about half of the waste diverted from
the landfill was compost and about
20% was through curbside
residential recycling.
The City calculates the waste
diversion rate based on City run
diversion and disposal programs. It
does not include reduction, reuse,
recycling or disposal through nonCity programs, such as beverage
containers, e-waste or nearby
landfills.
Air quality is collected hourly and
monitored by the Saskatchewan
Ministry of Environment using the Air
Quality Index (AQI). The higher the
number, the greater the health risk
associated with air quality. A
measure of less then 25 is good air
quality and anything over 100 is
considered poor. The average
annual AQI rates Saskatoon as
having good air quality. It is likely
that Northern Saskatchewan forest
fires in the summer of 2015
contributed to the annual increase.
Environment
The number of transit rides
per capita in Saskatoon increased
slightly from 2014, which is to be
expected since 2014 consisted of
an 11 month operating period.
Source: City of Saskatoon, Saskatoon Transit
Saskatoon Transit Ridership
(Rides per Capita), 2012-2015
39.2
37.8
Source: City of Saskatoon, Planning & Development
2012
2013
31.9
32.6
2014
2015
Kilometres of Cycling-Specific Infrastructure
(Paths and Bike Lanes), 2011-2015
173
171
162
156
150
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Mode of Transportation to Work, 2011
Source: National Household Survey, 2011
Other
1.9%
Passenger
6.0%
Driver
79.5%
Transit
5.1%
12.6%
Walking
5.3%
Cycling
2.2%
12
The City of Saskatoon anticipates
2016 ridership values will remain
relevantly consistent with 2015.
New route changes were
introduced in July 2016. With
these changes, there is typically a
small dip in numbers, followed by
a recovery period and then a
continued increase in ridership
numbers in the months to follow.
Since 2011, the City of
Saskatoon has increased cycling
specific infrastructure by 21.9 km.
There is an average of 5.5 km
constructed annually.
In 2015, the City of Saskatoon
implemented phase one of a
protected bike lane demonstration
project (1.8 km). Phase two was
completed in the summer of 2016.
According to the 2011 NHS
Survey, 79.5% of the labour force
drive to work and 12.6% take an
alternative mode of transportation
including transit, walking, or
cycling. Of these walking is the
most common mode.
As indicated above, since 2011,
there has been an increase in the
amount of cycling-specific
infrastructure; which is intended
to increase cycling as a form of
alternative transportation.
Social
Incidents of Crime (excluding traffic) per 100,000 population for
Saskatoon, 2011-2015
Source: Statistics Canada. Table 252-0079 - Incident-based
crime statistics, by detailed violations and police services
10,421
9,474
9,015
2,551
2,583
2,515
1,617
1,466
1,425
1,331
5,135
4,854
5,007
5,295
2012
2013
2014
2015
2,723
1,818
5,888
2011
Other
Source: Statistics Canada. Table 252-0078, 252-0079, 252-0080
– Incident-based crime statistics
9,141
8,870
2,715
Violent Crime
The number of incidents of crime per
100,000 population (excluding traffic)
increased 3% since 2013 in
Saskatoon; however, there has been
a 12% decrease in overall crime
since 2011.
Violent crime has been decreasing
annually since 2007 and property
crime has increased over the past
two years, but still remains below the
number of incidents experienced in
2011.
Property Crime
Incidents of Crime (excluding traffic) per 100,000 population by
City, 2015
9,141
8,531
8,198
6,068
5,047
Saskatoon
Regina
Winnipeg
Calgary
Edmonton
Crime Severity Index (weighted) for Prairie CMAs, 2015
Source: Statistics Canada. Table 252-0052
Saskatoon continues to have a
higher rate of crime per 100,000
population (excluding traffic) than
Regina, Edmonton, Winnipeg, and
Calgary.
Calgary
Winnipeg
Crime Severity Index (CSI) measures
the volume and severity of policereported crime in the CMAs .
Statistics Canada reported that out
of 33 CMAs, Saskatoon had the
highest CSI in 2014 and 2015.
78.26
87.22
101.59
Edmonton
107.58
Regina
112.53
Saskatoon
13
Social
Source: Statistics Canada, Census 1996-2006;
Statistics Canada: National Household Survey 2011
Incidence of Low-Income Among Saskatoon Families,
(1996, 2001, 2006, 2011)
17.2%
14.4%
14.0%
12.2%
1996
2001
2006
2011
Saskatoon Voter Turn-out by Level of Government and Year
Provincial
82%
Civic
52%
Provincial
58% Federal
50%
Federal
55%
Civic
34%
Federal
74%
Provincial
67%
Federal
54%
Federal
58%
The number of low-income
families increased by 1.8%
between 2006 and 2011.
Statistics Canada considers
individual as having low income
if the after-tax income of their
household falls below 50% of
the median adjusted household
after-tax income.
Civic
37%
Civic
27%
2003 2003 2004 2006 2006 2007 2008 2009 2011 2011 2012 2015
14
Over the past four civic elections
the average voter turn-out
was 38%, this is the lowest turnout for all levels of government.
Provincial elections tend to have
a higher voter turn-out than civic
and federal elections. Voter turnout for the 2016 provincial
election will be available in late
2016.
The 2015 federal election had a
20% increase in voter turn-out
compared to the 2011 federal
elections.
Glossary
Attainable Housing is defined as housing that adequately
meets the needs of a household and costs less than 30% of
the household’s gross monthly income.
offences are summed and then divided by the population. As
with the other indexes, to simplify comparison, the CSI is then
standardized to a base of "100" (for the CSI, the base year
is 2006).
Census: Every five years, Statistics Canada conducts a
census. The last census was taken in 2011. The census
provides a statistical portrait of our country and its people. The
census includes every man, woman and child living in Canada
on Census day, as well as Canadians who are abroad.
Cycling-Specific Infrastructure includes cycling suitable for
novices including bike boulevards, paved off-road multi-use
trails, walkways or park paths, and gravel or crusher dust offroad multi-use trails and intermediate on-road bike lanes.
Components of population growth are factors underlying
population growth and changes in its age structure. They
include: births, deaths, immigration, emigration, net nonpermanent residents and, for regions in a given territory,
internal migration.
Disposable Income is personal income minus personal
income tax payments.
Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures price movements in a
basket of goods and services that a typical family buys. An
arbitrary base year is chosen for which the index is assigned a
value of 100 (presently 2002). Changes in the cost of the
basket are tracked over time by comparing the index value to
the base year. For example, an index number of 105 for a
particular year indicates that prices have risen by 5% since
the base year.
Employment Rate: The employment rate (formerly the
employment/population ratio) is the number of persons
employed expressed as a percentage of the population 15
years of age and over.
Crimes against the person involve the use or threatened use
of violence against a person, including homicide, attempted
murder, assault, sexual assault and robbery. Robbery is
considered a crime against the person because unlike other
theft offences it involves the use, or threat of, violence.
Greenfield neighbourhoods used in the calculations include:
Airport Business Area, Arbor Creek, Blairmore DA, Blairmore
SC, Briarwood, Confederation Park, Dundonald, Evergreen,
Hampton Village, Kensington, Lakeridge, Lakewood SC,
North Industrial, Parkridge, Rosewood, Silverspring, South
West Industrial, Stonebridge, The Willows, University Heights
SC, Willowgrove.
Economic growth is the change in real gross domestic
product (GDP).
Crimes against property involve unlawful acts to gain
property, but do not involve the use or threat of violence
against the person. They include offences such as break and
enter, theft and fraud.
Crime rates are based on the number of incidents reported to
police per 100,000 population. Rates are used to make
comparisons over time and among geographic areas with
different populations. The "crime rate" represents
total Criminal Code incidents, excluding traffic incidents. It
does not include other federal statutes such as drug offences.
Crime Severity Index (weighted) measures both the volume
and severity of crimes reported to the police. To calculate
the CSI, each violation is assigned a weight. CSI weights are
based on the violation's incarceration rate, as well as the
average length of prison sentence handed down by criminal
courts. The more serious the average sentence, the higher the
weight for that offence. To calculate the CSI, the weighted
15
Good-producing industries: Includes agriculture, forestry,
fishing, mining, and oil and gas extraction; utilities (electric
power, gas and water); construction; and manufacturing.
Housing Affordability Measure The RBC Housing
Affordability Measures show the proportion of median pre-tax
household income that would be required to service the cost
of mortgage payments (principal and interest), property taxes,
and utilities on a single-family detached home, as well as for
an overall aggregate of all housing types in a given market.
The affordability measures are based on a 25% down
payment, a 25-year mortgage loan at a five-year fixed rate.
The higher the measure, the more difficult it is to afford a
home. For example, an affordability measure of 50% means
that home ownership costs, including mortgage payments,
utilities, and property taxes take up 50% of a typical
household’s pre-tax income. (RBC Royal Bank)
Glossary
Industry Classification Categories used by the Conference
Board of Canada:
Business Services Sector
• Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
includes activities in which human capital is the major input.
The main components of this sector are legal services;
accounting, tax preparation, bookkeeping and payroll
services; architectural, engineering and related services;
specialized design services; computer systems design and
related services; management, scientific and technical
consulting services; scientific research and development
services; and advertising, public relations,
and related services.
• Management of Companies and Enterprises includes
managing companies and enterprises and/or holding the
securities or financial assets of companies and enterprises,
for the purpose of owning a controlling interest in them
and/or influencing their management decisions. They may
undertake the function of management, or they may entrust
the function of financial management to portfolio managers.
• Administrative and Support, Waste Management
and Remediation Services comprises establishments of
two different types: those primarily engaged in activities
that support the day-to-day operations of other
organizations; and those primarily engaged in waste
management activities.
Construction Sector includes constructing, repairing and
renovating buildings and engineering works, and in subdividing
and developing land.
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate Sector
• Finance and Insurance includes financial transactions
(that is, transactions involving the creation, liquidation, or
change in ownership of financial assets) or in facilitating
financial transactions.
• Real Estate and Rental and Leasing includes renting,
leasing or otherwise allowing the use of tangible or
intangible assets. Establishments primarily engaged in
managing real estate for others; selling, renting and/or
buying of real estate for others; and appraising real estate,
are also included.
Information and Cultural Industries Sector includes
producing and distributing (except by wholesale and retail
methods) information and cultural products. Establishments
providing the means to transmit or distribute these products or
providing access to equipment and expertise for processing
data are also included.
Manufacturing Sector includes the chemical, mechanical or
physical transformation of materials or substances into
new products.
Non-Commercial Services Sector
• Educational Services includes providing instruction and
training in a wide variety of subjects. This instruction and
training is provided by specialized establishments, such as
schools, colleges, universities and training centres.
• Health Care and Social Assistance includes providing
health care by diagnosis and treatment, providing
residential care for medical and social reasons, and
providing social assistance, such as counselling, welfare,
child protection, community housing and food services,
vocational rehabilitation and child care, to those requiring
such assistance .
Personal Services Sector
• Arts, Entertainment and Recreation includes operating
facilities or providing services to meet the cultural,
entertainment and recreational interests of their patrons.
• Accommodation and Food Services includes providing
short-term lodging and complementary services to
travellers, vacationers and others. Also, this sector includes
preparing meals, snacks and beverages, to customer
orders, for immediate consumption on and off the premises.
• Other Services (except public administration) comprises
establishments, not classified to any other sector, primarily
engaged in repairing, or performing general or routine
maintenance, on motor vehicles, machinery, equipment
and other products to ensure that they work efficiently;
providing personal care services, funeral services, laundry
services and other services to individuals, such as pet care
services and photo finishing services; organizing and
promoting religious activities; supporting various causes
through grant-making, advocating (promoting) various
social and political causes, and promoting and defending
the interests of their members.
Primary & Utilities Sector
• Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting includes
growing crops, raising animals, harvesting timber,
harvesting fish and other animals from their natural habitats
and providing related support activities.
• Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction includes
extracting and or exploration of naturally occurring
minerals.
• Utilities includes operating electric, gas and
water utilities.
16
Glossary
Public Administration Sector includes activities of a
governmental nature, that is, the enactment and judicial
interpretation of laws and their pursuant regulations, and the
administration of programs based on them
.
NHS will also support provincial/territorial and local government
planning and program delivery.
Natural Increase is the variation in the population counts
over a given period resulting from the difference between births
and deaths.
Transportation and Warehousing Sector includes
transporting passengers and goods, warehousing and storing
goods. The modes of transportation are road (trucking, transit
and ground passenger), rail, water, air and pipeline.
Net international migration is the variation obtained
according to the following formula: (Immigrants + returning
emigrants + net non-permanent residents) – (emigrants + net
temporary emigration).
Wholesale & Retail Trade Sector
• Wholesale Trade includes wholesaling merchandise,
generally without transformation, and rendering services
incidental to the sale of merchandise. The wholesaling
process is an intermediate step in the distribution of goods.
Many wholesalers are organized to sell merchandise in
large quantities to retailers, and business and
institutional clients.
• Retail trade includes retailing merchandise, generally
without transformation, and rendering services incidental to
the sale of merchandise. The retailing process is the final
step in the distribution of merchandise; retailers are
therefore organized to sell merchandise in small quantities
to the general public. This sector comprises two main types
of retailers, store and non-store retailers.
Infill neighbourhoods used in the calculations include:
Adelaide/Churchill, Avalon, Brevoort Park, Buena Vista,
Caswell Hill, Central Business District, Central Industrial, City
Park, College Park, College Park East, Confederation SC,
Eastview, Erindale, Exhibition, Fairhaven, Forest Grove,
Greystone Heights, Grosvenor Park, Haultain, Holiday Park,
Holliston, Hudson Bay Park, Kelsey - Woodlawn, King George,
Lakeview, Lawson Heights, Lawson Heights SC, Massey
Place, Mayfair, Meadowgreen, Montgomery Place, Mount
Royal, North Park, Nutana, Nutana Park, Nutana SC, Pacific
Heights, Pleasant Hill, Queen Elizabeth, Richmond Heights,
River Heights, Riversdale, Silverwood Heights, Sutherland, U
of S Lands South MA, University Heights DA, Varsity View,
West Industrial, Westmount, Westview, Wildwood
Inflation is the percentage change in prices from one period to
the next.
Labour Force is the sum of employed and unemployed
persons aged 15 and up. Excludes those who are not
employed and who are not looking for work.
Net Migration is the difference between immigration and
emigration or difference between in and out-migrants.
Real Gross Domestic Product (Real GDP) is value of all final
goods and services produced in a geographical region,
adjusted for inflation.
Saskatoon Census Metropolitan Area (CMA) is a geographic
area formed by one or more adjacent municipalities centred on
a population centre (known as the core). A CMA must have a
total population of at least 100,000 of which 50,000 or more
must live in the core. The Saskatoon CMA includes the
following census subdivisions: Allan, Asquith, Blucher No. 343,
Bradwell, Clavet, Colonsay, Colonsay No. 342, Corman Park
No. 344, Dalmeny, Delisle, Dundurn, Dundurn No. 314, Elstow,
Langham, Martensville, Meacham, Osler, Saskatoon, Shields,
Thode, Vanscoy, Vanscoy No. 345, Warman, Whitecap.
Saskatoon Census Subdivision is the area comprised of the
municipality of Saskatoon.
Services-producing industries includes trade; transportation
and warehousing; finance, insurance, real estate and leasing;
professional, scientific and technical services; business,
building and other support services, educational services;
health care and social assistance; information, culture and
recreation; accommodation and food services; other services;
and public administration.
Statistics Canada is Canada’s central statistical agency.
Statistics Canada is legislated to serve this function for the
whole of Canada and each of the provinces.
Unemployment Rate Is the number of unemployed persons
expressed as a percentage of the labour force.
Unemployment Is the number of people who are available for
work and are actively looking for jobs, or have looked for work
in the previous four weeks.
National Household Survey (NHS): Information previously
collected by the mandatory long-form census questionnaire will
be collected as part of the new voluntary NHS. The information
collected in the NHS will provide data to support government
programs directed at target populations. Information from the
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saskatoon.ca
AUGUST 2016