Calhoun: The NPS Institutional Archive DSpace Repository Reports and Technical Reports All Technical Reports Collection 1996-07 Predicting Ship Fuel Consumption: Update Schrady, David A. Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School http://hdl.handle.net/10945/29469 Downloaded from NPS Archive: Calhoun NPS-OR-96-007 NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL Monterey, California Predicting Ship Fuel Consumption: Update by David A. Schrady Gordon K. Smyth Robert B. Vassian July 1996 Approved for public release; distribution Prepared for: unlimited. Naval Postgraduate School Monterey, FedDocs D 208.1M/2 NPS-OR-96-007 is CA 93943 DUDLEY KNOX LIBRARY NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOi NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY, CA 93943-5000 Rear Admiral M. Superintendent This report Evans was prepared Reproduction of This report J. all M ° NTEREY CA 93943"5101 Richard Elster Provost for the Naval Postgraduate School. or part of this report was prepared by: is authorized. 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PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NUMBER Update AUTHOR(S) David A. Schrady, Gordon K. Smyth, and Robert 7. 5. B. Vassian PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES) Naval Postgraduate School Monterey, 9. CA NPS-OR-96-007 93943 SPONSORING / MONITORING AGENCY NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES) 1 0. SPONSORING / MONITORING AGENCY REPORT NUMBER N/A 11. 1 SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES 2a. DISTRIBUTION / AVAILABILITY STATEMENT Approved 13. for public release; distribution 12 b. DISTRIBUTION is CODE unlimited. ABSTRACT (Maximum 200 words) concerned with the prediction of ship propulsion fuel consumption as a function of ship speed for U.S. Navy combatant and auxiliary ships. Prediction is based on fitting an analytic function to published ship class speed-fuel use data using nonlinear regression. The form of the analytic function fitted is motivated by the literature on ship powering and resistance. The report discusses data sources and data issues, and the impact of ship propulsion plant configuration on fuel use. The regression coefficients of the exponential function fitted, tabular numerical comparison of predicted and actual fuel use data, the standard error of the estimate, and plots of actual and fitted data are given for 22 classes of This report is Navy ships. 14. SUBJECT TERMS Operational 17. Navy Logistics; SECURITY CLASSIFICATION OF REPORT Unclassified NSN 7540-01-280-5500 1 8. 1 5. NUMBER OF PAGES 1 6. PRICE Ship Fuel Use Prediction SECURITY CLASSIFICATION OF THIS PAGE Unclassified 19. SECURITY CLASSIFICATION 70 CODE 20. LIMITATION OF ABSTRACT OF ABSTRACT Unclassified UL Standard Form 298 (Rev. 2-89) Prescribed by ANSI Std. 239-18 Table of Contents 1. INTRODUCTION 2. SHIP FUEL 2.1 page CONSUMPTION DATA 2 Data Sources 2 2 2.2 Data Issues 3. METHODOLOGY 3.1 4 Conventional Wisdom 4 3.2 Theory of Ship Powering and Resistance 3.3 Theoretical 4. 5 Model of Ship Fuel Consumption verses Speed 9 DATA FITTING AND RESULTS 10 Data Source Utilized 4.2 Zero Points 10 4.3 Plant Configuration 1 4.1 4.4 4.5 5. 1 The Regression Software The Results CONCLUSION Initial Ship Class Fuel Distribution List 12 12 13 REFERENCES APPENDIX: 10 15 Use Prediction Results 17 63 PREDICTING SHIP FUEL CONSUMPTION 1. INTRODUCTION This report concerned with predicting the fuel A data analysis approach is taken with reference made to the hydrodynamics of ship resistance and powering requirements as data. Given that sea trials it motivates the analytical form of the function which are conducted and that data speed and class of ship, and that these observations are can attempt to is consumption (DFM/F-76) of U.S. Navy Fuel consumption will be stated in gallons per hour as a function of speed for each class of ships. ship. is what is fit is to the taken on fuel consumption for a given made for a number of different speeds, one the speed-fuel use data with an analytic function using nonlinear regression. This meant by a data The reason analysis approach. this analysis was undertaken relates to operational logistics estimate ship and battle group/battle force endurance, fueling-at-sea shuttle ship requirements to sustain the is is fitted combat logistics force (CLF) and the need to (FAS) requirements, and tanker station ship. One of the authors involved in the development of a computer-based battle group tactical logistics support system concerned with planning, tracking, and predicting ment. The system fuel and ordnance consumption and replenish- requires analytical functions from which to compute predicted ship fuel consumption. This report omits is much of the an update of an earlier (1990) report on the same subject, Ref (1). This report analysis detailed in the earlier report, omits results on ship classes decommis- sioned by the Navy, and includes results for ship classes brought into service since 1990. Also the form of the analytic fuel use prediction function fitted by regression has been changed from a power function to an exponential form resulting in smaller standard error of the prediction. 2. SHIP FUEL CONSUMPTION DATA Data Sources 2.1 Data on ship published. NWP consumption as a function of speed for fuel Sources include the old NWIP 11-2 (Auxiliaries), Ref (4), and the class ships was obtained from 11 -20(D), new Ref (7), NAVSEA 2.2 and Ref NWP 65 series. NWP ship classes are 11-1 (Combatants), Ref (3), on the DD-963 and PHTORONs 7 and 9, Ref Data on newly commissioned ship classes has been provided by the (8). Propulsion Branch. Data Issues amount of speed-fuel use data range of ship speeds in the data, and 3) the consistency of the data of data for the same ship pairs for each class of combatant ship. each class of auxiliary NWP ship. series has only auxiliary ship classes. when available, 2) the there are multiple sources class. With respect to the amount of data its USN Newport Ref (5), and data on COMNAVSURFPAC Issues regarding such data include 1) the the major Additionally, data the Surface Warfare Officer School, amphibious warfare ships was obtained from (6), Ref (2), all available, NWP NWP 11-1 generally has 7 to 9 speed-fuel use 11-2 generally gives 3 to 6 speed-fuel use pairs for In fitting any sort of analytical function the more data the better, and minimal amounts of data; actually insufficient amounts of data for the The NWP 65 series is for combatant ship classes only and is treatment of ship fuel consumption. For some ship classes speed-fuel use data inconsistent in is provided, for one ship class a series configurations), and for at all. The older NWIP of some 1 fuel consumption curves 1-20 provided included in this publication. NWP 65 ship classes the more Of course is provided (curves depend on plant/shaft document does not address data, generally important, newer fuel consumption 15-20 speed-fuel use pairs, for the ships classes are not included in Because the method of fitting a continuous function to the data is regression, the essentially remains a methodological problem affecting the robustness NWIP 11-20. amount of data of the fuel consumption estimation equations derived. the ship speed ranges for which data exists. Generally NWP 11-1 data exists for combatant speeds above 12 knots, sometimes well above 12 knots, and NWP 11-2 The second data issue is data exists for auxiliary speeds above 10 knots. ranges from 6 to 12 knots. The lowest speeds The speed range of the data is for which NWIP data exists important in terms of the behavior of the regression equation at low ship speeds. The third data issue Obviously data validity is is the consistency of ship fuel consumption data from different sources. a serious issue but one that cannot be resolved here. In actuality there are precious few sources of ship fuel consumption data and, in addition to limitations on the amount of data and the speed range covered by the data, none of the data available includes information about how the propulsion plant and shafts were being operated or the condition of the ship's different sets of data were obtained with the ship's plant in different configurations hull. Where or with a fouled rather than clean hull, or in different sea states or temperatures, one should expect different fuel consumption data. 3. METHODOLOGY 3.1 Conventional Wisdom In fitting an analytic function to ship speed-fuel use data, sort of function it is supposed to be. The conventional wisdom function of ship speed. In connection with their cubic polynomial regression to fit it own studies, the speed-fuel use data. is is helpful to know a priori what that ship fuel use a cubic is Center for Naval Analyses has used This produces relatively high coefficients of determination, r-squared values; generally 0.97 or higher. Residuals, the differences between the actual fuel use at a given speed at that speed, and the fuel use predicted by the cubic regression equation evaluated were generally acceptable with maximum errors being on the order of range of ship speeds contained equation at in the data. low ship speeds. In the However there CNA report, Ref (9), is 10% within the the problem of controlling the cubic ship speed-fuel use data is fitted with the cubic polynomial equation, F= where F regression speeds is fuel is (e.g., go negative co + c use in gallons per hour and V + c V is x 2 V2 + c 3 V3 (1) When ship speed in knots. cubic polynomial used and data exists only for higher ship speeds, the equation can curve upward predicting that the ship will use (e.g., the coefficient c reports get around this by noting with ship speeds above, say , one must be able to predict Our attempts is more fuel at 5 knots than at 1 negative, at slow speeds the ship that the fuel at low 5 knots) or the curve can is making fuel!). Some consumption prediction equations should only be used 14 knots. In reality however, speeds below 14 knots are important and fuel use for speeds below 14 knots. to control the low speed behavior of the cubic polynomial included using port fuel allowances as the amount of fuel used at zero speed and spline fit in- routines to generate missing low speed data, as described in Ref (1). None of these attempts to control the behavior of the cubic polynomial was satisfactory. Because of this and because satisfying to try to made consumption, some effort was 3.2 Theory of Ship Powering and Resistance 1 is to study the subject of ship powering and resistance. intended to illustrate the relationship between fuel input and ship speed. Fuel consumed by a prime mover (fossil fuel steam turbine, gas turbine, or diesel) and the output horsepower (BHP). This power generally acts through gearing to a shaft or shafts to propellers, the output being effective horsepower (EHP). the water at simply more determine the theoretical relationship which should exist between ship speed and fuel Figure it is low speed some speed completing the chain from The is slow speeds brake and ultimately EHP acts to move the hull through fuel input to ship speed achieved. The EHP must equal the total resistance generated by the ship moving through the water. For displacement total resistance is hulls, has two principal components: friction resistance and wave-making resistance. At friction resistance dominates, but at higher and increases rapidly as hull speed is approached. speeds wave-making resistance dominates EHP is the horsepower required to equal the ship's total resistance at a given speed. In 1876, William Froude in England gave the formula for EHP = -L p 2 — EHP as, Ref (10): V3 (2) 550 where C T = coefficient of total p = fluid resistance, density in slugs per cubic foot, S = wetted area of the hull in square feet, 550 = one horsepower in and foot-pounds per second. CO 8 > DD c »' C _ c 3 £ §5"S o o L> raH » 2 _ CO 2$ • • 1 M 0) © c © •::::-^j:: TJ © :• Q. ::•: essssss^s* ?**&# -effic -slip fc i C 3= Icle ura "•X-ji'iX eff ;<5 z config CREW(S s Inherent plant :•:(!> - ' a A u 3 WW:: - tB w. BO .•:•:•:•:•:•:•?-':•::. 11. K4W&S&. tZm- BHP l > Figure 1. Ship Propulsion System 2w Thus we know An that the EHP required alternate explanation is theoretically a cubic function of this relationship squared, and that resistance times velocity is depends on the cube of ship speed. Further a constant fraction of BHP. The by is that hull resistance is proportional to speed definition assumed it is of ship speed. power. Either way in current practice, it follows that Ref (1 1), EHP is that ultimate relationship between fuel input and ship speed cubic in ship speed, but further depends on the relationship between fuel input by the prime mover. Thus more must be said about the relationship between output power for the types of prime movers used in U.S. Navy ships; diesel, and fuel EHP is then BHP produced consumption and steam turbine, and gas turbine. One would know ideally like to the theoretical relationship between fuel input and horsepower output. After extensive discussion with mechanical and naval engineers and a review of applicable result) literature, was determined mover (steam question (manufacturer, operated in its specific exists. model (something The relationship and 3) there is no fuel single theoretical model for prime movers. The approach to describing given horsepower is how the prime like Froude's always specific turbine, gas turbine, or diesel), 2) the particular size, specific characteristics), to use specific fuel consumption is single theoretical prime mover mover is actually consumption as a function of power some indication of this relationship can be gained from examining the output, SFC no application. Even though was that of fuel consumption as a function of power output to 1) the type of prime in it in, or can be converted yields the desired fuel (SFC) to, units vs. fuel characteristics of some consumption as a function of horsepower horsepower curves for each type of prime mover. of gallons per horsepower-hour. Multiplying SFC by consumption measure, gallons per hour. A typical SFC versus horsepower curve shows a function falls rapidly modestly as which SFC in is quite large for low output (horsepower) and with increasing output reaching something of a lower bound, and possibly rising maximum the relationship is output is approached. typically a function turbine and diesel prime movers. maximum output. The gallons When converted to gallons which a is monotone A gas turbine, however, per hour versus horsepower increasing is different in convex curve for steam that it is most per hour versus horsepower relationship for a gas turbine efficient at is concave. In general, in no case are such curves linear. It is may be assumed that the concave or convex fuel gallons per hour verses horsepower function described by the equation F=b,+b/' BHP where F is fuel use in gallons per BHP hour and intermediate form which will affect the form of the is (3) brake horsepower. Equation (3) is only an analytic function actually fitted to the speed-fuel use data. In the earlier report, Ref (1), Equation (3) had the form F= While the form of Equation (3) is b + *, [BHPf arbitrary so long as the . form can produce monotone increasing convex or concave functions over the appropriate ranges, use of the exponential form for Equation (3), when combined with Froude's 3.3 Theoretical result, Equation Model of Ship Fuel Consumption In Section 3.2 it was shown it was Horsepower is stated that there a constant fraction is no produces superior prediction functions. verses Speed that theory dictates that the displacement hull through the water at velocity Effective (2), power V was proportional to V 3 less . It was than on of Brake Horsepower. single theoretical relationship for the conversion 8 required to move a also indicated that Also in that section, of fuel to horsepower in a prime mover. The relationship depends on the prime all mover specifics and how it is actually operated in a given application. Referring again to Figure 1 and Equation EHP C — = — c p 2 If we we know that (2), V3 - dV> . assume where 0<a< 1, = a-BHP then BHP ™L - = C 1L a if, a as in Equation (3), F= r-, it cV3 550 EHP Then = , , b 72 BHP L M ** bQ + b x e follows that L 17 1 or finally F= p,e e2 p n + Pi Po 2 where p = b x />2 , and l = M- (4) In application the coefficients p , p, , and p 2 ship class speed-fuel use data. Equation (4) will will be determined by regression performed on be referred to as an exponential model of fuel use as a function of ship speed. 4. 4.1 DATA FITTING AND RESULTS Data Source The source of the data used indicated on the data page in developing the fuel use prediction for each ship class for the ship class in the Appendix. number of speed-fuel use data pairs is used. For the newer obtained from the 4.2 is Generally the source with the largest classes of ships, however, ship trials data NAVSEA Propulsion Branch is used and is the only known source. Zero Points The problem with already been discussed. how much low speed behavior of the cubic polynomial prediction function has the An early attempt to control fuel a ship (ship class actually) burned at low speed behavior lead us to zero speed. Such data is not available and took as a surrogate the published In-Port Steaming Allowances obtained from These were referred to as "zero very much predicted points". Though the power functions controlled better than the cubic polynomial functions, there low speed fuel try to determine we CINCLANTFLT. low speed behavior was a minor problem in that the use values were excessive for the CV-63, DD-963, and CG-47/52 classes. Zero points were not used in producing the power function results in Ref (1) because they improve low speed behavior significantly and did tend to produce predictions in the speed range for which data was available which were not as good as the regressions run without zero 10 did not points. Still the excessive low speed fuel use of the three ship classes noted above, lead to reevaluating the use of zero points and a decision to use for the four ship classes introduced since of doing this NPS this time; this Data Analysis course Thus the form of the and resulted first time 1990 (LHD-1, DDG-51, AOE-6, and PC-1). In the process in the Operations Research and Operational Logistics curricula and that he found that an exponential functional form produced better functions. time was the one of the authors, Gordon Smyth, came along and said that he had been using Ref (1) in teaching the at them relationship in the exponential expression use and ship speed. As before the final between shown decision is fuel input in fits than did the power and horsepower output was changed Equation (4) for the relationship between fuel that the best results obtain from not using the In- Port Steaming Allowances as a proxy for fuel use at zero speed. 4.3 Plant Configuration All ship classes whether steam, of engines. Plant configuration refers to the propel the ship through the water. operated with a single engine, diesel or two A gas turbine are powered by pairs or multiple pairs number of engines which ship with, say, four engines, or four engines are 'on line' and working to LM 2500 gas turbine engines may be on line. In general a ship must use more power, and more engines to make greater speed, but the speed ranges of each mode of plant configuration overlap. (single engine, two For a ship with four LM 2500 gas turbines and three plant configurations engine, and four engine), there are really three different speed-fuel use curves. While this phenomenon is real and exists for all ship classes regardless of their type of prime mover, the regressions produced here correspond to a single speed-fuel use relationship the transitions between plant configurations. 11 which "smoothes" Still study, one could separate fuel prediction functions depending on plant configuration. fit Ref (9), suggested using three different fuel One use prediction functions depending on ship speed. This would require more detailed information and more computational complexity for each ship class. However, given the configuration, and many total number of variables involved (sea state, hull condition, plant others for which specific information will not exist off-ship), these complications seem unwarranted. 4.4 The Regression Software The statistical package used to perform the regressions for each ship class was S-PLUS published by Statistical Sciences, Inc., Ref (12). This PC-based software computes the values of the three parameters of Equation (4) using the minimization of the standard error of the estimate as its fit criterion. 4.5 The Results The results, values of the fitted regression parameters, tabulation of the numerical actual and predicted fuel use in gallons per hour as a function of speed, and plots of the actual data and the prediction function for 21 6. USN ship classes is presented in the Appendix. CONCLUSION As stated in the Introduction, the authors' use of ship fuel use prediction functions connection with a battle group logistics support system. is in The support system allows the planning for, tracking of) and prediction of future fuel and ordnance consumption and replenishment requirements. It can be argued that if one such prediction capability is can predict the daily fuel use of a given ship to within 1-2% of capacity, adequate and useful for the purposes intended. With fuel reserve levels 12 of 50% or more, fueling-at-sea (FAS) will be required every 3-7 days for most surface combatants depending on ship class and speed. Prediction errors of 1-2% of capacity per day are small enough that FAS requirements planning would FAS was required by a given ship. indicate the correct Of course the exact hour tactical situation allows daily ship reporting, daily difficulties of a given ship on a given day prediction function little is is is of little real interest. Further, if the updates of predicted values to actual values can be made eliminating the compounding of prediction Review of the day (but not the correct hour) on which errors. involved in ever making truly accurate predictions of the fuel use instructive. First there are based: few sources of data, relatively problems with the data on which any little data available from any source, or no low speed data, and inconsistency between different data sources. None of the sources provide information on the plant condition, hull condition, temperature, sea of which effect fuel consumption. Difficulties in data state, etc., all using any fuel use prediction function at sea in real operations include knowing sea state, ship speed (something that varies often throughout a given day depending upon the assigned activities of a given ship), and operational specifics which that the ship has is in more horsepower on plane guard role, the ship is in line than is required for by a planner or For all above These factors will not e.g., is dictate the ship navigating be known with any afloat logistics coordinator. these reasons the question accurately, but rather speed at a given time; an underway replenishment evolution, the ship restricted waters, the ship is in a high threat situation, etc. certainty its may is not whether one can predict ship propulsion fuel usage whether on can predict ship fuel use to a useful approximation. that predicting ship fuel use to within there are a plethora of reasons why the It was argued 1-2% of capacity per day was adequate. Thus while fuel use prediction functions in this report will not 13 produce "spot on" accurate estimates of the fuel use of a given ship in fact on a given day, produce operationally adequate and useful estimates. 14 it is asserted that they do REFERENCES 1. D.A. Schrady, D.B. Wadsworth, R.G. Laverty, and W.S. Bednarski, Predicting Ship Fuel Consumption, Naval Postgraduate School Technical Report NPS-OR-91-03, October 1990 2. Naval Warfare Information Publication of U.S. Navy Ships and Aircraft 3. Naval Warfare Publication Combatant Ships 4. 1 1 -20(D), Volume Missions and Characteristics May 1974 Characteristics and (U), Confidential, 11 -1(B), II, Capabilities of U.S. Navy (U), Confidential, January 1983 Naval Warfare Publication 1 1-2(B), Characteristics and Capabilities of U.S. Navy Auxiliary Ships (U), Confidential, January 1983 5 Surface Warfare Officers School, DD-963 Class Speed/RPM/Pitch Tables and Fuel Curve Tabular Data, undated (circa 1989) 6. Interview between COMNAVSURFPAC Operations Officer and LT Bednarski, 23 February 1990 7. Telephone conversation between LCDR Cate, COMPHIBRON 7, and LT Bednarski, 28 June 1990 RMC Provost, COMPHIBRON 9, and LT Bednarski, 23 8. Interview between 9. Jodi Tryon, CubeS: A Model for Calculating Fuel Consumption for Gas-Turbine Ships, Center for Naval Analyses Research 10. February, 1990 Memorandum CRM 86-213, October 1986 T.C. Gillmer and B. Johnson, Introduction to Naval Architecture, Chapter 11 "Ship Resistance and Powering", Naval Institute Press, 1982 1 1 P.F. Pucci, Supplemental Notes for Marine Gas Turbines, class notes, Naval Postgraduate School, January 1990 12. Statistical Sciences, Inc., S-PLUSfor Windows, Reference Manual, 1993 15 16 APPENDIX This Appendix presents the fuel use prediction functions for 22 U.S. is organized as follows: Ship Class CV-63/67 CG-47/52 DDG-51 DD-963/DDG-993 FFG-7 PC-1 LCC-19 LHD-1 LHA-1 LPH-2 LPD-4/AGF-11 AGF-3 LSD-41 LSD-36 AD-37 AOE-6 AOE-1 AOR-1 TAE-26 TAFS-1 AO-177(J) TAO-187 17 Navy ship classes and Class: CV-63/67 Source: NWIP 11-20 (D) Speed KGal.Hr Predicted NA 1928 .3 .0 1928 .6 1 .0 NA NA 1931 .1 2 .0 1937 .9 NA 3 .0 1954 .6 4 .2 1653 1972 .7 NA 5 .0 6. .4 2021 .7 1905 7. .0 2050 .7 NA 2194 2164 .6 8 .7 2190 .1 9. .0 NA 2289 .1 10, .0 NA 2482 2424 .7 11 .1 2559 .3 12, .0 NA 2816, .8 2887 13, .4 2947, .3 14, .0 NA 3363, .0 15, .6 3392 3483, .9 16, .0 NA 4086, .1 17. .7 4143 4208, .7 18, .0 NA 5118, .6 19. .9 5081 5173, .5 20. ,0 NA 5766, .9 21. ,0 NA 6522, .0 22. .1 6510 7231, .2 23. ,0 NA 24. ,2 25. ,0 26. ,3 27. ,0 28. ,3 29. ,0 30. ,3 31. ,9 32. ,0 33. ,2 34. ,2 35. ,0 Formula 8503 26662 31672 NA 8325, .9 9164. .8 10747. ,9 11730. ,8 13845, .6 15165. .4 18022. .4 22438. ,4 22753. ,9 26973, .4 31201, ,4 35151, .4 KGal.Hr - NA 11014 NA 14146 NA 17842 21941 NA cbind Parameters Value Std. Error 32.6666 1.41696 b -8937.6000 894.86500 10865.9000 822.30100 exp(b * (Speed/100) "3) t value 23.05400 -9.98766 13.21400 Residual standard error: 264.591 on 13 degrees of freedom U 1 I ^f(lo z t t$9tt CV-63/67 O O o o CO (0 o o o o CM o o o o 20 10 Speed (Knots) 19 30 Class: CG-47/52 Source: NAVSEA Trials Speed KGal.Hr Predicted 786.4 NA 786.4 1 NA 787.0 NA 2 788.6 NA 3 791.7 4 NA 796.8 NA 5 804.4 NA 6 7 NA 815.0 NA 829.3 8 847.7 NA 9 871.0 10 NA 899.7 11 NA 934.6 12 NA 976.5 13 NA NA 1026.3 14 1085.1 15 NA 1076 1154.0 16 17 1172 1234.3 1327.6 18 1287 1435.8 19 1414 1700 1561.0 20 1705.7 21 1827 1873.0 22 1966 2116 2066.5 23 2272 2290.5 24 2427 25 2550.2 2852.1 26 2605 3204.0 27 3364 3687 3615.2 28 4097.7 29 4065 4666.0 30 4622 5372 31 5338.2 6137.0 32 NA 7091.3 33 NA 34 8237.4 NA NA 9621.9 35 Formula: KGal.Hr ~ cbind(l, exp(b : Speed/100) "3) Parameters Value Std. Error t value 5.77862 37.4831 6.4865 b -1429.0400 727.9950 -1.96298 646.2490 3.42807 2215.3900 Residual standard error: 113.925 on 13 degrees of freedom 20 CG-47/52 o o o CO o o o CD CO O O O o o o o 20 10 Speed (Knots) 21 30 Class DDG-51 Source: NAVSEA Trials Speed KGal.Hr Predicted NA 615.2 NA 615.3 1 NA 615.8 2 NA 617.1 3 NA 619.8 4 NA 624.1 5 NA 630.7 6 7 NA 639.8 NA 652.1 8 613 668.1 9 : 658 700 741 784 832 886 950 1025 1115 1222 1348 1496 1669 1920 2070 2280 2460 2780 3730 4220 4800 5600 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 Formula NA NA NA NA : KGal.Hr : 688.2 713.3 743.8 780.8 825.0 877.6 939.8 1013.2 1099.5 1200.9 1320.1 1460.2 1625.3 1820.1 2050.7 2324.9 2652.0 3044.3 3517.3 4091.0 4791.2 5651.6 6716.8 8045.6 9716.9 11837.3 - cbindd, exp (b Parameters Value Std. Error b 51 .5925 3 .76872 -764 .4330 220 .15400 1379 .6200 191 .05800 t (Speed/100) A 3) value 13 .68960 -3 .47226 7 .22095 Residual standard error: 98.2004 on 20 degrees of freedom 22 DDG-51 03 CD Speed (Knots) 23 Class: DD-963/DDG-993 Source: NWP 11-1 (B) Speed KGal.Hr Predicted NA 1285 .0 NA 1285 .1 1 1285 .7 NA 2 1287 .3 NA 3 NA 1290 .4 4 NA 1295 .5 5 NA 1303, .2 6 7 NA 1313. .9 NA 1328. .3 8 NA 1346. .8 9 1370, ,0 10 NA 1398, .7 11 NA 1433, .4 12 NA 1474, .9 13 NA 1523, .9 14 NA 1581, .4 15 NA 1648, .3 1600 16 17 1725, .7 NA 1814, .8 1800 18 1917, .0 NA 19 2034, .0 20 2100 2167, .6 21 NA 2319, .9 22 2350 2493, .3 23 NA 2700 2690, .9 24 2915, ,8 25 NA 26 3172. .3 3150 3464, .8 27 NA 3799, ,1 28 3750 NA 4181, .8 29 4620, ,8 4650 30 5125, .6 31 NA 5707, .9 32 NA NA 6381, .4 33 34 NA 7163, .3 8074, .2 NA 35 Formula: KGal.Hr ~ cbind(l, exp(b * (Speed/100) "3 ) Parameters Value Std. Error t value 27.0667 5.42175 4.99225 b -1812.9200 951.22300 -1.90588 3097.9700 898.85400 3.44658 Residual standard error: 48.2 814 on 5 24 degrees of freedom DD-963/DDG-993 O O o CO o o o o CO o o o CO Speed (Knots) 25 Class FFG-7 Source: NWP 11- KB) Speed KGal.Hr Predicted NA 405.4 1 NA 405.5 405.8 2 NA NA 406.7 3 NA 408.6 4 NA 411.6 5 416.1 6 NA NA 422.5 7 NA 431.0 8 NA 442.1 9 NA 456.1 10 NA 473.4 11 472 494.6 12 13 NA 520.2 553 550.9 14 587.4 15 NA 16 649 630.6 17 NA 681.6 764 741.5 18 19 NA 811.9 894.7 20 914 21 NA 992.1 1087 1106.9 22 23 NA 1242.4 24 1313 1402.9 NA 1593.8 25 26 1917 1821.7 27 2095.2 NA 28 2400 2425.1 NA 2825.5 29 NA 3314.6 30 31 NA 3916.1 NA 4661.4 32 33 NA 5592.0 6763.5 34 NA 8251.4 NA 35 Formula: KGal.Hr ~ cbindd, exp(b * (Speed/100) ^3 ) ) Parameters Value Std. Error t value 51.8843 11.1081 4.67084 b -545.7160 382.7230 -1.42588 951.1170 344.6340 2.75979 Residual standard error: 57.6276 on 6 26 degrees of freedom FFG-7 o o o CO o o in c\j CO o o o CM O o o o o o o o in Speed (Knots) 27 Class: PC-1 Source Ship tests Speed KGal.Hr Predicted 11.0 NA 11.0 1 25 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 Formula 11.2 11.8 12.8 14.5 17.0 20.5 25.2 31.2 38.6 47.5 58.2 70.7 85.0 101.4 119.7 140.1 162.6 187.2 213.7 242.2 272.6 304.7 338.4 373.5 409.9 447.2 485.4 524.1 563.1 602.1 640.9 679.3 716.9 753.6 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 33 47 48 54 61 2 83 107 132 159 186 216 246 277 310 344 378 414 450 487 525 564 603 642 683 710 750 : KGal.Hr ~ cbind (Speed/100) ~3) Parameters Value Std. Error t value -24.3044 1.30277 -18.6560 b 41.26510 28.0692 1158.2800 -1147.2600 40.20400 -28.5360 Residual standard error: 9.24413 on 32 degrees of freedom 28 PC-1 o o CO o o CO o o o CM o - Speed (Knots) 29 Class: LCC-19 Source: NWP 11- KB) Speed KGal Hr Predicted 791.6 NA 791.7 NA 1 792.2 2 NA 793.7 NA 3 796.7 4 NA 801.6 5 NA NA 808.9 6 7 NA 819.2 833.3 8 NA NA 851.6 9 875.3 10 873.6 905.1 11 NA 12 945.0 942.4 NA 988.6 13 1045.8 1045.8 14 1116.2 15 NA 1201.2 1203.1 16 17 NA 1310.5 1444.8 1443.8 18 1610.0 NA 19 1818.6 1818.8 20 NA 2083.1 21 2420.7 22 NA NA 2856.5 23 3425.4 24 NA 4177.4 25 NA 5184.4 26 NA 27 NA 6552.6 8439.7 28 NA 11084.6 29 NA NA 14854.7 30 31 NA 20325.2 28411.5 32 NA 40598.4 33 NA 34 59340.1 NA NA 88773.2 35 . Formula i : KGal Hr . - cbind (Speed/100) A 3) Parameters Value Std. Error t value 2 80061 40.32750 b 112.9410 92.0583 29.36670 3.13479 27.14310 25.77270 699.5530 Residual standard error: 2.18812 on 3 30 degrees of freedom LCC-19 O o o CO CD o o m o o o Speed (Knots) 31 Class: LHD-1 Source: NAVSEA Propulsion Branch Speed KGal.Hr Predicted NA 1338. .6 NA 1338. .8 1 NA 1339, ,9 2 NA 1342. .9 3 1348, .8 NA 4 NA 1358. .6 5 NA 1373, .3 6 7 NA 1394, .0 1421, .9 NA 8 NA 1458, .3 9 1504, .5 NA 10 1562, .3 NA 11 1633, .7 1489 12 1720. .9 NA 13 1845 1826, .8 14 NA 1954, .6 15 2080 2108, ,7 16 2294, .1 NA 17 2517, .2 2700 18 2786, .4 NA 19 3280 3111, .9 20 3507, .0 NA 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 lUla: 3893 NA 5000 6433 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA KGal Hr . 3989, .2 4580 .8 5311, .6 6221, .0 7362, .0 8806. .4 10652. .4 13036, .3 16148 20258 25753 33193 43404 57614 .4 .5 .4 .9 .8 .9 ~ cbii id exp(b * (Speed/100) "3) Parameters t value Value Std. Error 27.5816 2.835550 78.209 b -700.811 1458.8500 -0.480386 2039.410 1276.9900 1.597040 Residual standard error: 216.814 on 5 32 degrees of freedom LHD-1 O O O ID O O O O Us o o o to Speed (Knots) 33 Class: LHA-1 Source: COMPHIBRON 9 Speed KGal.Hr Predicted 952 5 NA 952 7 NA 1 4 NA NA NA 5 961.8 6 NA NA NA NA NA NA 2 3 7 8 9 10 11 1398.6 1570.8 1751.4 1936.2 2100.0 2242.8 2499.0 2977.8 3498.6 3897.6 4300.8 4888.8 5703.6 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 Formula : KGal.Hr 954 5 959 4 968 9 984 6 1008 2 1041 2 1085 3 1142 4 1214 4 1303 4 1411 7 1541 8 1696 6 1879 3 2093 8 2344 3 2635 8 2974 4 3366 8 3821 6 4348 5 4959 5 5669 1 6494 5 7457 2 8583 .3 9905 .0 11462 .3 13304 9 15495 5 18112 9 21257 2 25056 4 29675 2 - cbii id exp(b * (Speed/100) "3) Parameters Value Std. Error t value 8.20849 4.79093 39.3264 b -5577.6800 1811.58000 -3.07890 6530.1500 1768.23000 3.69305 Residual standard error: 78.8921 on 11 degrees of freedom 34 LHA-1 O O o o CO o o o o CO o o o CM Speed (Knots) 35 Class LPH-2 Source: COMPHIBRON 9 Speed KGal.Hr Predicted NA 475.6 475.7 1 NA 2 NA 476.5 478.8 3 NA 4 NA 483.2 5 504.0 490.5 6 NA 501.3 7 NA 516.2 8 NA 535.8 9 NA 560.5 579.6 10 590.8 11 621.6 626.8 668.7 12 663.6 714.0 716.5 13 14 768.6 769.9 15 831.6 828.5 16 898.8 891.8 17 966.0 959.0 18 1029.0 1029.4 19 1100.4 1101.8 20 1171.8 1175.3 21 1248.7 NA 22 1321.0 NA 23 NA 1391.1 24 NA 1458.1 25 1521.0 NA 26 NA 1579.3 27 NA 1632.3 28 1679.9 NA 29 NA 1721.9 1758.3 30 NA 31 1789.3 NA 32 NA 1815.3 1836.7 33 NA 34 1854.0 NA 35 NA 1867.7 Formula : KGal Hr - cbind . (Speed/100) *3) Parameters Value Std. Error t value -83.8886 b 9.50305 -8.82755 1906.9000 117.77400 16.19120 -1431.3100 113.67300 -12.59150 Residual standard error: 7.37016 on 9 36 degrees of freedom LPH-2 o o CM O O O CO O O O CD O O CD Speed (Knots) 37 Class: LPD-4/AGF-11 Source: COMPHIBRON 9 Speed KGal.Hr Predicted 442,.4 NA NA 442 .5 1 443 .6 2 NA NA 446 .4 3 452 .0 4 NA 461 .2 462.0 5 475 .0 6 NA 494. .5 7 NA 520, .8 NA 8 NA 555, .3 9 592.2 599, .3 10 651.0 654, .6 11 723, .4 726.6 12 808, .0 814.8 13 911. .6 14 919.8 1038. .0 15 1041.6 1184.4 1192. .1 16 17 1369.2 1380. .0 18 1608.6 1609. .6 1891, .2 19 1902.6 2238. .3 20 2234.4 2668. .5 21 NA 3205. .4 NA 22 NA 3881. ,1 23 4739. .0 24 NA 5839. .0 25 NA 7264. .5 26 NA 27 NA 9133. .6 11614. .6 28 NA NA 14951. .4 29 NA 19502. .1 30 NA 25799. .6 31 34649. .4 32 NA 47287. ,4 33 NA 34 NA 65640. .3 NA 92761. .4 35 Formula: KGal.Hr ~ cbind(l, exp(b * (Speed/100 ^3 ) ) Parameters Value Std. Error t value b 95.4647 3.81939 24.9947 -1124.4300 94.06040 -11.9543 89.75880 17.4556 1566.7900 Residual standard error: 7.61684 on 9 38 degrees of freedom LPD-4/AGF-1 o o o CO o o in CM o o o CM CD o o o o o o o IC 10 15 Speed (Knots) 39 20 Class AGF-3 Source COMPHIBRON 9 Speed KGal.Hr Predicted 306.2 NA 306.3 NA 1 307.2 2 NA NA 309.8 3 314.6 4 NA 322.7 378.0 5 334.8 NA 6 7 351.8 NA 374.6 NA 8 NA 404.2 9 441.6 399.0 10 488.0 NA 11 529.2 544.7 12 613.3 13 596.4 680.4 695.4 14 789.6 793.0 15 919.8 908.6 16 1045.0 17 1058.4 1205.5 1230.6 18 1407.0 1394.2 19 1591.8 1616.1 20 1877.3 21 NA 2185.1 22 NA NA 2548.8 23 2979.8 24 NA 3492.7 NA 25 4105.5 26 NA 4841.3 27 NA 5729.8 28 NA NA 6808.9 29 8128.2 30 NA 9752.3 31 NA 11766.6 32 NA 14284.5 NA 33 17458.1 34 NA 21493.5 35 NA Formula l: KGal.Hr ~ cbind 1, exp(b * (Speed/100) A 3)) Parameters Value Std. Error t value 20.7173 2.52152 b 52.2391 -2218.8100 1246.8100 -1.77959 2525.0000 1228.5600 2.05525 Residual standard error: 30.2495 on 8 40 degrees of freedom AGF-3 O O O CM O O lO CO o o o o o o in Speed (Knots) 41 Class: LSD-41 Source: COMNAVSURFPAC & COMPHIBRON 7 Speed KGal.Hr Predicted NA 238 .7 NA 238 ,8 1 2 NA 239 .5 NA 241 .3 3 244, .7 4 NA 289.8 250 .4 5 NA 258 .9 6 270 .8 7 NA NA 286 .7 8 NA 307 .0 9 10 298.2 332 .4 NA 11 363 .5 361.2 400 .8 12 444, .9 13 NA 533.4 496 .5 14 NA 556, .0 15 596.4 624, .2 16 701, .7 17 NA 831.6 789, .0 18 NA 886 .8 19 978.6 995, .9 20 NA 1116. .8 21 1250, .3 22 NA NA 1397, .2 23 1558, .1 24 NA NA 1733, .9 25 NA 1925, .3 26 2133, .2 27 NA NA 2358, .6 28 NA 2602, .2 29 2865, .1 30 NA NA 3148, .4 31 32 NA 3453, .0 3780, .2 NA 33 34 NA 4131, .0 4506, .8 35 NA Formula: KGal.Hr ~ cbind ( 1 , exp(b * (Speed/100) A 3 ) Parameters Value Std. Error t value b 2.86188 62.5409 0.0457601 -32454.80000 722767.0000 -0.0449035 32693.50000 722740.0000 0.0452355 Residual standard error: 46.2148 on 4 degrees of freedom 42 LSD-41 O o CM O O O O O co CO O o o O o "3- o o CO Speed (Knots) 43 Class: LSD-36 Source: COMNAVSUEFPAC & COMPHIBRON 7 Speed KGal.Hr Predicted NA 409.0 409.1 NA 1 409.9 2 NA 411.9 NA 3 415.8 4 NA 453.6 422.3 5 432.0 NA 6 7 445.8 NA NA 464.3 8 NA 488.6 9 519.7 10 491.4 NA 11 558.8 607.4 12 588.0 NA 13 14 15 16 17 739.2 NA 961.8 NA 1239.0 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 NA 1688.4 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 32 33 34 35 ormula : KGal.Hr 667.3 740.8 830.7 940.5 1074.7 1239.1 1441.4 1691.6 2003.0 2393.2 2886.6 3516.3 4328.1 5386.6 6783.6 8651.0 11181.7 14661.1 19518.3 26407.9 36344.4 50927.0 72719.0 ~ cbind (Speed/100) "3) Parameters Value Std. Error t value 98.678 20.8562 4.73136 b -657.897 343.2460 -1.91669 328.0590 3.25227 1066.930 Residual standard error: 25.6232 on 4 degrees of freedom 44 LSD-36 o o o CM O o in CO o o o o o Speed (Knots) 45 Class: AD-37 Source NWP 11- 2(B) Speed KGal.Hr Predicted 306.8 NA 306.9 1 NA NA 308.0 2 311.0 NA 3 NA 316.8 4 326.4 5 NA NA 340.7 6 360.7 7 NA 387.5 8 386 NA 422.1 9 465.7 10 466 519.4 11 NA 584.7 12 584 663.0 13 NA 760 755.8 14 15 NA 865.0 16 992 992.6 17 1141.0 NA 1312.9 18 1310 19 NA 1511.3 1741 1739.8 20 21 NA 2002.7 2305.0 22 NA 2652.5 23 NA 24 3052.3 NA 3512.6 25 NA 26 NA 4043.6 27 4657.3 NA 28 NA 5368.3 29 NA 6194.5 7157.6 30 NA NA 8284.4 31 32 NA 9608.0 NA 11169.4 33 34 NA 13019.9 15223.9 NA 35 Formula: KGal.Hr ~ cbindd, exp(b * (Speed/100) ^3 ) Parameters Value Std. Error t value 2.15993 15.4721 b 33.4188 -4368.6500 348.04700 -12.5519 4675.4300 346.06200 13.5104 Residual standard error: 2.76573 on 4 46 degrees of freedom AD-37 o o o CM O O CO O o o o o m 10 15 Speed (Knots) 47 20 Class: AOE-6 Source NAVSEA 03XN Speed KGal.Hr Predicted -115.2 0.0 NA -114.8 1.0 NA -112.6 NA 2.0 -106.6 3.0 NA -95.0 4.0 NA -75.8 5.0 NA -47.2 6.0 NA -7.4 7.0 NA NA 45.3 8.0 112.6 9.0 NA NA 196.2 10.0 11.0 NA 297.6 NA 417.9 12.0 13.7 580 669.6 720.5 14.0 NA 15.0 NA 904.4 1292.7 16.8 1420 17.0 NA 1340.4 1592.8 18.0 NA NA 1925.5 19.2 2165.0 20.0 NA 21.0 NA 2483.4 22.0 NA 2821.9 3178.9 23.0 NA 24.2 3575 3629.4 3941.5 25.0 NA 4390 4342.6 26.0 27.2 4695 4836.9 28.3 5298.8 5435 29.8 5910 5935.0 30.0 NA 6019.9 6443.3 31.0 NA 6862.5 32.0 NA 7274.9 33.0 NA 7677.6 34.0 NA 8068.1 35.0 NA Formulc l: KGal.Hr ~ cbind (Speed/100)^3) Parameters Value Std. Error t value -25.7866 8.92627 -2.88885 b 12117.2000 2993.10000 4.04836 -12232.3000 2873.71000 -4.25663 Residual standard error: 131.131 on 4 48 degrees of freedom AOE-6 O o o 10 CO o o o CO o o o o - Speed (Knots) 49 Class: AOE-1 Source: NWIP 11-20 (D) Speed KGal.Hr Predicted 267.8 NA NA 268.1 1 270.5 NA 2 NA 277.0 3 NA 289.6 4 NA 310.5 5 6 NA 341.6 7 NA 385.0 NA 443.0 8 517.5 9 NA 10 NA 610.9 11 NA 725.4 12 NA 863.4 1027.2 13 NA 14 1259 1219.5 15 1470 1442.9 1712 16 1700.3 17 1980 1994.8 2300 18 2329.5 19 2690 2708.1 20 3100 3134.3 21 3560 3612.3 22 4150 4146.7 4750 23 4742.5 24 5440 5405.2 25 6130 6140.9 7000 26 6956.4 27 7930 7859.3 28 8780 8858.1 29 NA 9962.2 30 NA 11182.4 31 NA 12530.5 32 NA 14020.3 15667.0 33 NA 34 NA 17488.1 35 NA 19503.5 Formula : KGal.Hr ~ cbind (Speed/100) ~3) Parameters Value Std. Error t value 12.2579 1.7891 b 6.85145 -27553.4000 4703.1800 -5.85846 27821.2000 4668.4700 5.95939 Residual standard error: 42.9629 on 12 degrees of freedom 50 AOE-1 o o o o o o o 00 CO o o o CO (3 o o o o o o CM o - Speed (Knots) 51 Class: AOR-1 Source: NWIP 11-20 (D) Speed KGal Hr Predicted NA 280.3 280.5 1 NA NA 282.2 2 286.8 NA 3 295.7 4 NA NA 310.4 5 332.3 6 321 363.0 7 358 403.9 404 8 462 456.5 9 . 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 538 619 707 778 965 1120 1290 1517 1760 2010 2340 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA Formula: KGal.Hr 522.6 603.7 701.5 817.9 954.8 1114.2 1298.4 1509.8 1751.0 2024.9 2334.6 2683.7 3076.1 3516.2 4008.9 4559.9 5175.4 5862.6 6629.7 7485.9 8442.1 9510.5 10705.2 12042.7 13542.0 15225.3 - cbindd, exp(b * (Speed/100) ^3 ) ) Parameters Value Std. Error t value b 16.3917 6.05011 2.70932 -14380.5000 5760.32000 -2.49647 14660.8000 5754.35000 2.54777 Residual standard error: 15.4594 on 12 degrees of freedom 52 AOR-1 O o o CO o o in CM o o o C\J CO O o o o o o o o m Speed (Knots) 53 Class: AE/TAE-26 Source: NWIP 11-20 (D) Speed KGal.Hr Predicted NA 193 4 NA 1 193 6 NA 194 6 2 NA 197 3 3 NA 4 202 6 NA 211 3 5 NA 6 224 3 7 NA 242 5 NA 266 6 8 NA 297 5 9 NA 10 336 11 NA 382 9 NA 439 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 505 581 6 669 5 769 4 881 8 1007 3 1146 3 1299 3 1466 5 1648 3 1844 9 2056 4 2282 7 2523 8 2779 6 3049 7 3333 9 3631 6 3942 3 4265 3 4600 4945 3 5300 6 520 600 660 750 860 990 1140 1325 1530 1600 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA Formula: KGal.Hr ~ cbind(l, exp(b * (Speed/100) ^3 ) Parameters: Value Std. Error t value -8.86595 26.0028 -0.340962 b 16343.70000 44805.3000 0.364772 -16150.30000 44747.7000 -0.360919 Residual standard error: 35.6091 on 7 54 degrees of freedom AE/TAE-26 O O CO o o CVJ CO o o CO o o CO o o o o CM Speed (Knots) 55 Class: AFS/TAFS-1 Source: NWIP 11-20 (D) Speed KGal Hr Predicted 255.8 NA NA 255.9 1 NA 256.6 2 258.4 3 NA NA 261.9 4 NA 267.8 5 276.6 6 NA 7 NA 289.0 289 305.6 8 327.1 321 9 354.4 10 353 . 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 396 433 490 546 620 700 803 910 1040 1210 1429 1650 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA Formula: KGal.Hr 388.3 429.7 479.9 540.0 611.7 696.8 797.4 916.2 1056.3 1221.6 1416.9 1648.1 1922.5 2249.5 2640.8 3111.2 3679.9 4371.4 5217.8 6261.1 7557.0 9179.4 11228.1 13838.1 17194.6 - cbindd, exp(b Parameters Value Std. Error 55.5118 4.56171 b -1471.6600 191.51800 1727.4600 186.86200 * (Speed/100) "3 ) ) t value 12.16910 -7.68422 9.24459 Residual standard error: 10.0922 on 12 56 degrees of freedom AFS/TAFS-1 o o CD O O CM CO O o o 00 o o CD O O Speed (Knots) 57 Class: AO-177(J) Source: NAVSEA Trials Speed KGal Hr Predicted . 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.3 8.6 9.0 10.5 11.0 12.0 13.4 14.0 15.8 16.0 17.0 18.0 19.3 20.4 21.5 22.0 23.0 24.0 25.0 26.0 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 400..3 400 401 402 405 411 419 434 457 466 506 523 563 412 425 NA 537 NA NA 663 .4 .0 .7 .9 .3 .4 .9 .5 .1 .7 .5 .0 633, .6 NA 670 .3 837 809, .4 NA NA NA 932, .4 1058, .6 828 1212 1487 1775 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA Formula: KGal.Hr 1263 1483 .0 .8 .7 1758, .5 1905 .8 2252, .3 2684, .2 3227, .0 3915, .4 4797, .0 5938, .0 7431, .5 9409, .5 12062, .7 15668 .9 20638, .9 27588 37454 ~ ,4 .0 cbindd, exp(b * (Speed/100) "3 ) ) Parameters Value Std. Error t value 83.9283 25.061 3.34896 b -642.2810 476.553 -1.34776 1042.5700 457.702 2.27784 Residual standard error: 37.6589 on 5 degrees of freedom 58 AO-177(J) O O m CO CD o o o o o IT) Speed (Knots) 59 Class: TAO-187 Source: MSC Trial s Speed KGal.Hr Predicted 219.7 NA NA 219.9 1 221.4 2 NA NA 225.3 3 266 233.0 4 5 NA 245.6 288 264.3 6 7 NA 290.4 314 324.8 8 NA 368.5 9 422.6 10 388 487.8 11 NA 564.7 12 515 13 NA 653.8 14 760 755.4 15 NA 869.5 16 1024 996.0 17 NA 1134.4 1310 1284.2 18 19 NA 1444.4 1614.0 20 1594 1791.5 21 NA 22 NA 1975.5 2164.2 23 NA NA 2356.0 24 NA 2548.8 25 2740.7 26 NA 27 2930.0 NA 28 NA 3114.7 29 NA 3293.2 3464.0 30 NA 31 NA 3625.6 3777.1 NA 32 NA 3917.5 33 4046.3 34 NA 4163.3 35 NA Formula : KGal Hr . ~ cbind(l exp (b [ Speed/100) A 3) Parameters Value Std. Error t value -44.9642 23.4124 -1.92053 b 4834.5400 2036.3200 2.37415 -4614.8100 2024.1100 -2.27992 Residual standard error: 3 4.8975 on 6 degrees of freedom 60 TAO-187 O O O CM O O CO O o o o o o in Speed (Knots) 61 INITIAL DISTRIBUTION LIST 1 Defense Technical Information Center 8725 John J. Ft. Belvoir, 2. 22060-6218 Defense Logistics Studies Information Exchange U.S. Army Logistics Management Center Fort Lee, 3. Kingman Rd., STE 0944 VA Library, VA 23801 Code 013 Naval Postgraduate School Monterey, CA 93943 4. Dean of Research, Code 09 Naval Postgraduate School Monterey, CA 93943 5. Chairman, Department of Operations Research, Code Naval Postgraduate School Monterey, CA 93943 6. Deputy Chief of Naval Operations Attn: CDR Robert Drash, (Logistics) Code 422C 2000 Navy Pentagon DC 20350-2000 Washington, 7. Commander, U.S. Attn: Atlantic Fleet LCDR Kunz, Code N332C 1562 Mitscher Avenue, Suite 250 VA 23551-2487 Norfolk, 8. Office of the Chief of Naval Operations Matt Henry, Code N81D 2000 Navy Pentagon Washington, DC 20350-2000 Attn: Mr. 9. Center for Naval Analyses Attn: Dr. Ronald Nickel 4401 Ford Avenue Alexandria, VA 22302-0268 63 OR 10. Commander Second Fleet Attn: J-4 Logistics FPOAE 1 1 09501-6000 Commander Third Fleet N-4 Logistics Attn: FPOAP 96601-6001 12. Commander Fifth Fleet N-4 Logistics Attn: FPOAE 13. Commander Sixth Fleet Attn: N-4 Logistics FPOAP 13. 09501-6002 Commander Seventh Attn: N-4 FPOAP 14. 09501-6008 Fleet Logistics 96601-6003 Commander Naval Surface Force, Attn: N-4 Logistics U.S. Atlantic Fleet 1430 Mitscher Avenue Norfolk, VA 23551-2494 15. Commander Naval Surface N-4 Logistics 2421 VellaLavella Road Force, U.S. Pacific Fleet Attn: San Diego, CA 92155-5490 16. Naval Ship Weapon Systems Engineering Station Attn: Mr. Marvin Miller, Code 4M00 PortHueneme, CA 93043-5007 17. Naval Sea Systems Command Attn: Mr. Thomas Martin, Code 03X1 253 1 Jefferson Davis Highway Arlington, 1 8 VA 22242-5160 CDR Robert Vassian, SC, USN Department of Operations Research Naval Postgraduate School Monterey, CA 93943-5000 64 19. Senior Lecturer Gordon Smyth Department of Mathematics University of Queensland Brisbane, Queensland, 20. AUSTRALIA Professor Charles Calvano Department of Mechanical Engineering Naval Postgraduate School Monterey, CA 93943-5000 21. Professor David Schrady 50 Department of Operations Research Naval Postgraduate School Monterey, CA 93943-5000 65 3 2768 00325591
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