Behavioral Ecology doi:10.1093/beheco/arr038 Advance Access publication 10 June 2011 Original Article Optimal foraging theory predicts diving and feeding strategies of the largest marine predator Thomas Doniol-Valcroze,a Véronique Lesage,a Janie Giard,b and Robert Michaudb Department of Fisheries and Oceans, Maurice-Lamontagne Institute, 850 Route de la Mer, Mont-Joli (Qc) G5H 3Z4, Canada and bGroup for Research and Education on Marine Mammals, 108 de la Cale Sèche, Tadoussac (Qc) G0T 2A0, Canada a Accurate predictions of predator behavior remain elusive in natural settings. Optimal foraging theory predicts that breath-hold divers should adjust time allocation within their dives to the distance separating prey from the surface. Quantitative tests of these models have been hampered by the difficulty of documenting underwater feeding behavior and the lack of systems, experimental or natural, in which prey depth varies over a large range. We tested these predictions on blue whales (Balaenoptera musculus), which track the diel vertical migration of their prey. A model using simple allometric arguments successfully predicted diving behavior measured with data loggers. Foraging times within each dive increased to compensate longer transit times and optimize resource acquisition. Shallow dives were short and yielded the highest feeding rates, explaining why feeding activity was more intense at night. An optimal framework thus provides powerful tools to predict the behavior of free-ranging marine predators and inform conservation studies. Key words: aerobic dive limit, blue whale, central-place forager, dive-time budget, feeding behavior, optimal foraging. [Behav Ecol 22:880–888 (2011)] INTRODUCTION ir-breathing predators in aquatic environments face the challenge of feeding underwater while managing oxygen stores. Diving performance is linked to body mass in endotherms via simple scaling relationships (Schreer and Kovacs 1997; Halsey, Butler, and Blackburn 2006; Brischoux et al. 2008). Dive-time budgets (e.g., surface-to-dive-duration ratio), however, are not easily explained by mass and metabolic rate alone (Halsey, Butler, and Blackburn 2006), suggesting that ecological aspects such as prey depth need to be taken into consideration. Models based on optimal foraging theory (Stephens and Krebs 1986; Perry and Pianka 1997) have been proposed to explain observed patterns of dive-time budgets across taxa (Mori 1998; Stephens et al. 2008). Although developed for constant-rate foragers, these models can be adapted to predict time allocation in the dive cycle of other diving predators like single- and multiple-prey loaders. Because diving predators return repeatedly to the surface to breathe, they can be studied under the framework of centralplace foraging (Orians et al. 1979) with the surface acting as the central place (Houston and McNamara 1985). As distance to food increases, central-place foragers should compensate travel costs by increasing their energy gain, which divers achieve by increasing time spent foraging at depth (Mori 1998), thereby increasing prey encounters and captures (Thompson and Fedak 2001). Because oxygen is acquired at the surface with diminishing returns, recovery times increase rapidly with the lengthening of the preceding dive (Kooyman and Ponganis 1998). Thus, shallow dives yield a higher net rate of oxygen acquisition and deeper dives result in a higher A Address correspondence to T. Doniol-Valcroze. E-mail: thomas [email protected]. Received 29 June 2010; revised 14 December 2010; accepted 9 February 2011. Crown copyright 2011. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the International Society for Behavioral Ecology. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: [email protected] proportion of time spent recuperating at the surface (Kramer 1988). To maximize the proportion of time spent in the food patch, both surface time and bottom time should increase with target depth (Houston and Carbone 1992). Predictions of how divers respond to prey depth and foraging costs have been tested in birds qualitatively (Carbone and Houston 1994; Carbone and Houston 1996; Walton et al. 1998) and quantitatively (Mori 2002; Halsey et al. 2003; Cook et al. 2008). Tests on large divers, however, have been hampered by the difficulty of documenting underwater feeding behavior and the lack of systems, experimental or natural, in which variations in prey depth are large enough to examine how predators adjust their allocation of time within dives. Blue whales (Balaenoptera musculus) represent an ideal model species for testing predictions of optimal models in a natural setting. They track the diel vertical migrations of euphausiids between the surface and deeper water layers (Fiedler et al. 1998; Calambokidis et al. 2007; Oleson et al. 2007), making it possible to study the time allocated to foraging over a large range of target depths. Moreover, their narrow trophic niche ensures that they feed on the same prey regardless of the time of day, allowing meaningful comparisons of feeding behavior across the diurnal cycle. For any thorough study of foraging strategies, it is crucial to detect feeding events equally well regardless of depth or time of day. Previous studies of rorquals and other pelagic feeders have relied mostly on visual examination of time-depth profiles for the detection of feeding events, usually identified by the occurrence of vertical excursions greater than an arbitrary threshold, called ‘‘wiggles’’ (Croll et al. 2001; Schreer et al. 2001). However, not all feeding events are characterized by a wiggle. Blue whales perform discrete feeding events called lunges, which are characterized by an acceleration when approaching prey and a sudden deceleration when opening their mouth to engulf quantities of water and food equivalent to over 100% of their body volume (Goldbogen et al. 2010). Lunges close to the surface and vertical lunges during descent Doniol-Valcroze et al. • Optimal foraging in a diving predator or ascent phases have been documented previously in rorqual whales and are not detectable on time-depth profiles (Woodward 2006; Calambokidis et al. 2007; Goldbogen et al. 2008). Fortunately, the kinematics of feeding lunges can be used to pinpoint the moment and location of each feeding attempt (Goldbogen et al. 2008). Accurate predictions of predator behavior remain elusive in natural settings, particularly in the marine environment. Our objective was to test whether a simple optimal model could predict the diving and feeding behavior of free-ranging blue whales. Specifically, we predicted that surface and foraging times increase with target depth to compensate longer transit times and that the number of discrete feeding events, assessed using a novel automated method, increases accordingly. MATERIALS AND METHODS Data collection We deployed velocity-time-depth recorders (VTDR; Wildlife Computers, Redmond, WA) and radio transmitters on blue whales in the St Lawrence River estuary (Quebec, Canada) during the time of greatest abundance and presumed feeding activity in the region (August–September). Tags were deployed from a 5 m rigid-hulled inflatable boat using a pole or crossbow and were attached to whales with suction cups. VTDRs recorded time, depth, and instantaneous swim speed with a pressure transducer resolution of 0.25 m for the first 15 m. We also deployed one digital acoustic recording tag (Dtag, Johnson and Tyack 2003), which lacked a velocity meter but recorded the animal’s pitch, roll, and heading as well as ambient noise (including flow noise) every second. Whales were radio-tracked from a distance of 500–1000 m to minimize disturbance. We recorded surface activity and tracked whales until tags were released due to corrosion of a magnesium cap and subsequent entry of air or water under the suction cup or until nightfall. Following their release, tags were located using the radio-transmitter’s signal and retrieved by boat. Dive characteristics and feeding events Data were corrected for electronic drift using the software Instrument Helper (Wildlife Computers). We validated zerooffset corrections by comparing depth and respiration patterns of a large number of dive sequences with observations of breathing events recorded from the research vessel. This fine degree of correction allowed us to investigate near-surface diving and feeding activity, a section of whale habitat often discarded in other studies due to limitations in tag resolution and availability of data for cross-validation. The first few dives following tag deployment were scrutinized for any atypical behavior indicative of a reaction to tagging. Estimates of swim speeds for the D-tag were obtained following Goldbogen et al. (2008). We used the PRAAT software (Boersma and Weenink 2009) to extract flow noise at 150 Hz (at which contrasts due to speed changes were strongest). We established the relationship between flow noise (converted to dB re. 1 lPa2 Hz21) and swim speed calculated for segments steeper than 45 by dividing vertical velocity by the sine of pitch angle. We used the resulting calibration curve to calculate swim speed every second. Because visual techniques are ill-suited for the large data sets needed for conclusive testing of biological hypotheses (Lesage et al. 1999), we have used a novel method to automatically detect feeding lunges of blue whales. Depth and swim speed data were analyzed using a custom-made program in Visual Basic (available from the authors) to identify dive phases and calculate the number of wiggles and feeding attempts per dive. Wiggles were defined as vertical excursions of more than 8 m 881 (following Croll et al. 2001) made of an ascent followed by a descent without a return to the surface (0 m). Lunges were identified independently of depth values using velocity reading measured every second (Figure 1). Unlike Goldbogen et al. (2006), we did not detect lunges using an absolute speed threshold because velocity readings recorded by VTDRs can underestimate true speeds and depend on their position on the body (Baird 1998). Instead, we first flagged swim speeds 95th percentile of all velocity values recorded for the individual under scrutiny as indicators of potential accelerations typical of lunge feeding. Swim speeds following such an extreme velocity were searched until 4 consecutive speeds , 95th percentile were detected. The abruptness of deceleration was determined by comparing mean speed over the 10 s following the last extreme swim speed to the mean speed during the acceleration period. A ratio 0.5 between mean acceleration and deceleration was considered indicative of a feeding event. The start of each deceleration determined the exact moment of the opening of the mouth (Goldbogen et al. 2006) and the depth of each lunge. The accuracy of our automated lunge detection method was validated in 2 ways. First, we compared detection of surface lunge-feeding activity with visual observations from the research vessel. Second, using the D-tag record, we compared lunges detected using flow noise with those identified by rolling angles over a 45 threshold (Woodward 2006). Target depth was defined as the mean depth of feeding activity for each dive (Figure 1). Although bottom phase usually corresponds to the time spent at a fixed percentage of maximum depth (Lesage et al. 1999), we calculated it as the time between first reaching target depth and last passing that depth during the ascent phase. Shallow dives constituting the post-dive surface interval, and which contributed to oxygen replenishment and dive recovery, were separated from deeper dives using a K-means cluster analysis (Hartigan and Wong 1979) based on depth and duration to separate dive types into 2 categories. Total surface time was obtained by summing durations of all short dives and surface intervals following longer deeper dives. Statistics were performed in the R programming language (R Development Core Team 2008). Some scripts were modified from the diveMove package (Luque 2007). Optimal model For a detailed description of the model, see Houston and Carbone (1992). Dives are divided into 3 components: s is the round-trip travel time between the surface and the foraging stratum, t is the time spent in the foraging stratum (bottom time), and s is the time spent at the surface. The oxygen used during these 3 periods depends on the different rates of oxygen consumption, m1, m2, and m3, respectively. The oxygen accumulated by a diver spending time s at the surface is assumed to balance oxygen used during the dive: Kð1 2 e 2 as Þ ¼ m1 s 1 m2 t ð1Þ where K is the total oxygen storage capacity and a is the initial rate of oxygen replenishment. The optimal surface duration s* is obtained by solving: Kð1 2 e 2 as Þ 2 m1 s 2 aKe 2 as ðs 1 sÞ ¼ 0 ð2Þ Given s* and m2, Equation 1 can be used to yield estimates of t*, the optimal foraging time. Parameters Several parameters are needed to generate predictions of optimal time allocation and feeding strategies (Table 1). We obtained m1, Behavioral Ecology 882 Figure 1 Examples of daytime (a) and nighttime (b) foraging dives by a blue whale in the St Lawrence River estuary. Top panel shows depth recorded every second (bold line). Circles: feeding attempts; dashed line: surface; dotted line: target depth. Bottom panel: speed recorded every second (thin line). Note the occurrence of a feeding lunge during the ascent phase of the daytime dive (with no corresponding wiggle). In this example, the individual performed 6 lunges during the daytime dive versus 9 lunges during the same period of time (13 min) at nighttime. a, and K from the allometric relationships described in Kleiber (1975) and Stephens et al. (2008), assigning blue whales a mass of 92 671 kg (Croll et al. 2001). Stephens et al. (2008) found that a 5% increment to the allometric coefficient for O2 stores yielded values closer to the empirical observations of dive-pause ratios in Halsey, Butler, and Blackburn (2006), likely because some species have higher mass-specific O2 storage capacities. We noted that using this increment yielded similar O2 stores (4925 L) to those obtained by Croll et al. (2001) in their detailed calculation of blue whale O2 stores (5015 L). Vertical travel speed is needed to express t as a function of target depth. Although the cost of swimming is expected to decrease in large animals, allowing them to swim faster (Eckert et al. 1999), the speed of divers in optimal models is often assumed independent of body size (Mori 2002). Stephens et al. (2008) used a vertical speed of 1 m s21 for animals of all possible masses. Exploration of our data set showed that blue whale vertical speeds during feeding dives (dives with 1 or more lunges) had a mean of 0.97 m s21 (25–75% quantiles: 0.72–1.21). To improve comparability, we used 1 m s21. The metabolic rate during foraging m2 has not been measured in blue whales and needs to be estimated. Houston and Carbone (1992) warned against estimating m2 from surface behavior alone, precisely because under optimal strategies, the animal will choose the behavior that avoids costly surface times. Acevedo-Gutierrez et al. (2002), who were the first to use optimal models to better understand the feeding behavior of rorquals, calculated m2 from the observed allocation of time in their data. However, to estimate m2 using optimal models, one has to trust that whales employ optimal strategies in the first place. To avoid circular reasoning, we chose instead to estimate m2 from energetic considerations alone. In a detailed simulation of the engulfment process of fin whales, blue whale’s closest relative, Potvin et al. (2009) estimated that the energy spent by a 20 m, 50 tons fin whale during the preengulfment and engulfment phases of a lunge was 298 080 J over a 13-s period. Because this energy was spent accelerating during the pre-engulfment phase, and fighting drag and pushing the engulfed was mass during the engulfment phase, we assumed that it was spent on top of the normal energetic budget of a swimming whale (i.e., on top of the 3.75 3 basal metabolic rate). Potvin et al. (2009) assumed similar costs during the purging phase, though it is unclear if these costs applied to the entire between-lunges interval. We assumed this was the case and that an extra cost of 22 929 J s21 applied to the entire foraging time. Goldbogen et al. (2010) found that lunging cost was likely to scale allometrically with body length because mass-specific engulfment volume (which generates most of the drag-related costs) increases with body length. Given the similar body shapes of fin and blue whales, Table 1 Value and source of parameters used in equations of the optimal model Parameter Description (units) Formula Value References M K a m1 m2 Body mass (kg) Total oxygen storage capacity (L) Initial rate of oxygen replenishment (s21) Metabolic rate while traveling (L O2 s21) Metabolic rate while foraging (L O2 s21) — 0.03 M1.05 0.90 M20.33 0.00065 M0.75 1.78 m1 92 671 4925 0.002 3.45 6.13 Croll et al. (2001) Stephens et al. (2008) Stephens et al. (2008) Kleiber (1975) and Stephens et al. (2008) Potvin et al. (2009) and Goldbogen et al. (2010) Doniol-Valcroze et al. • Optimal foraging in a diving predator we assumed that the scaling relationship for fin whales of different lengths also applied to blue whales. Because mass-specific engulfed volume scales with L0.94 and the mass M scales with L2.6 (Goldbogen et al. 2010), lunging costs must scale with M1.36. For a 92 tons whale, this cost is 22 929 3 (Mblue/Mfin)1.36 ¼ 53 068 J s21. And the metabolic rate during foraging is m2 ¼ 3:75 3 3:39M0:75 blue 1 53 068 ¼ 120 589 J s 2 1 ¼ 6:13L O2 s 2 1 : To predict the number of feeding events, we examined the data to see if the rate at which feeding lunges were performed changed over the course of a dive. We did not find any indication to that effect and therefore assumed a constant rate. The model predicts a bottom time of 0 at target depths of 0 m because theoretically, an animal does not need to dive when feeding at the surface. Lunge feeders, however, need to take 1 lunge to have any feeding success. Thus, we set the minimum number of lunges in the model to 1. Testing model predictions We compared predictions of the model over a range of target depths with actual diving data for bottom time t, dive duration (s 1 t), the number of feeding lunges, n and the feeding rate n/(s 1 t 1 s), as well as surface time and dive:pause ratio. To conform to the model’s assumption, we only retained dives of approximately square shape, defined by a ratio between bottom time and dive duration greater than 0.2 (Lesage et al. 1999). Because there are no absolute criteria to assess a model’s validity (Mayer and Butler 1993), we tested the fit of the model in several ways. First, we calculated the Pearson’s product–moment correlation (Guisan and Zimmermann 2000) and the modeling efficiency (Mayer and Butler 1993) as overall measures of agreement between observed and predicted values. We calculated the slope and intercept of the linear regression of observed versus predicted values and tested whether they deviated significantly from 1 and 0, respectively (Smith and Rose 1995). However, when performed with large sample sizes, these tests may detect statistically significant deviations that are not necessarily indicative of a poor fit (Smith and Rose 1995). Therefore, to better understand potential biases in prediction accuracy, we computed the mean squared deviation (MSD), which calculates the deviation of each predicted value from the 1:1 line (rather than from the regression line as in the case of the mean squared error, MSE). MSD is more conservative than MSE and can be decomposed into 3 additive components with distinct and clear interpretations (Gauch et al. 2003): squared bias (SB) resulting from unequal means, non-unity slope (NU) which arises when the slope of the least-square regression differs from 1, and lack of correlation (LC) which indicates how scatter around the regression line decreases the correlation coefficient. Whales feed in bouts within which dives are likely to have similar characteristics. Lack of independence between dives of the same individual may result in spurious conclusions due to autocorrelation. To avoid this, we drew 10 000 random samples containing 10% of the dives and counted the draws for which the slope and intercept of the regression between observed and predicted values deviated significantly from 1 and 0, respectively. Individual variability was assessed by examining dive variables for each tagged whale separately. RESULTS We deployed instruments on 10 blue whales from 2002 to 2009. Tags remained on whales for 2–25 h, and individuals were 883 tracked from the surface for 2–11 h, yielding 6501 dives over 139 h of data, of which 66 h included surface observations. Maximum depth of nonfeeding dives was 154 m and maximum duration was 23 min. Seven individuals performed at least one feeding lunge on the first dive following tagging and 2 others did so during the second dive, suggesting minimal impact of tagging on feeding behavior. Feeding behavior We identified 1703 dives with at least one feeding attempt and a total of 2689 lunges (Table 2). All 6 deployments that remained attached into the night showed feeding near the surface (,20 m). Daytime feeding behavior was essentially bimodal, taking place either in relatively shallow waters (,40 m) or at depths of about 70–100 m, with some lunges occurring at intermediate depths during twilight. Foraging blue whales in the St Lawrence Estuary lunged on average 1.58 (61.26 SD) times per dive, with a maximum of 15 lunges in one single dive. Feeding occurred throughout the diurnal cycle but lunges were twice as frequent at night than during daytime (average of 1 lunge every 2.1 min at night vs. every 4.2 min during daytime). The number of lunges per dive was lower and less variable at night (1.25 6 0.53 SD) than during daytime (2.18 6 1.69 SD). Forty-four surface lunges were observed from the research vessel, all of which were detected by the automated lungefeeding detection algorithm. Similarly, the program accurately detected all 35 lunges from the D-tag that were characterized by a roll greater than 45. The algorithm proved robust at discriminating against other types of speed changes, for example, drops in speed when surfacing for air or high-speed pursuits between individuals during social interactions. A feeding lunge during the ascent to the surface occurred in 89.5% of daytime dives (e.g., Figure 1). Although there was a strong correlation between the number of wiggles and lunges per dive (P , 0.001, r 2 ¼ 0.59), wiggle counts underestimated the number of feeding attempts performed by each individual by 25–85%. The proportion of missed feeding attempts per dive averaged 48% during the day but increased to 98% during twilight and 100% at night. This high proportion of missed events was largely due to the consistent failure of wiggle counts to detect lunges during the final ascent to the surface and feeding activity at shallow depths. Performance of the optimal model Model predictions of dive characteristics were generated over the range of feeding depths documented for blue whales (e.g., Goldbogen et al. 2011). Characteristics of square feeding dives spanning a range of target depths of 0–134 m were compared with model predictions. In agreement with theory, bottom times and dive durations increased quickly at first then at a decreasing rate with increasing depth (Figure 2a,c). Pearson correlation coefficients of 0.74 and 0.87 (P , 0.001) and model efficiencies of 0.42 and 0.70 indicated a good match with predicted values for these 2 variables. The slopes of the linear regression between observed and predicted values did not differ significantly from 1 despite the large sample size, showing that prediction accuracy did not vary with target depth (Figure 2b,d). The intercepts both differed significantly from 0 with values of 240 s and 239 s, respectively (P , 0.001). The similar values of the intercepts show that dive durations were shorter than predicted solely because their bottom time component was shorter. Decomposition of the MSD indicated that scatter of observed values was the largest contributor to the observed deviation from the 1:1 Behavioral Ecology 884 Table 2 Characteristics of feeding dives (sample size, depth, dive duration, and number of lunges performed per dive, 6SD) of 10 St Lawrence blue whales equipped with data recorders Day (.50 m) ID Tag Tag Tag Tag Tag Tag Tag Tag Tag Tag n 0201 0301 0401 0402 0403 0404 0501 0502 0602 0901 Day (50 m) Depth (m) Duration (s) Lunges/dive n 7 100 6 23 0 n/a 0 n/a 11 86 6 11 0 n/a 8 91 6 24 2 78 6 30 22 76 6 17 25 69 6 16 15 75 6 9 750 6 100 n/a n/a 860 6 300 n/a 690 6 260 500 6 180 520 6 130 530 6 120 460 6 81 6.7 6 2 n/a n/a 7.7 6 3.7 n/a 4.8 6 3.5 1.5 6 0.71 4.9 6 1.6 4 6 1.2 3.8 6 0.94 2 49 170 50 28 5 4 145 43 154 Night Depth (m) Duration (s) Lunges/dive n 30 30 4.4 12 11 27 29 15 23 8.4 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 2.3 8.6 2.5 6.1 10 19 3.5 7.7 13 5.1 500 390 110 210 190 540 390 110 300 110 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 330 150 75 140 130 42 200 62 150 68 3 3.2 1.4 2 2.2 2.6 1.8 1.3 2.5 1.3 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 2.8 1.2 0.58 1 1.5 2.5 0.5 0.63 1.4 0.58 Depth (m) Duration (s) Lunges/dive 0 n/a n/a 26 3.4 6 1.3 90 6 16 145 1.8 6 0.95 91 6 31 105 0.98 6 2 81 6 50 0 n/a n/a 12 1.1 6 0.72 79 6 20 0 n/a n/a 83 13 6 4.9 140 6 89 132 3.6 6 1.6 85 6 22 0 n/a n/a n/a 1.6 6 0.5 1.3 6 0.46 1.1 6 0.27 n/a 160 n/a 1.5 6 0.93 1.2 6 0.47 n/a Daytime feeding dives followed a bimodal distribution and were consequently separated into shallow (50 m) and deep (.50 m) depth categories. Feeding dives occurring during twilight were performed across a wide range of depths (0–80 m) and were omitted for clarity. n/a, not applicable. line (78–83%). The contribution of bias was ;20% and that of slope rotation was negligible (,1%). Random resampling confirmed these results with 96% of runs yielding slope coefficients not significantly different from 1. The number of lunges per dive also increased with foraging depth (Figure 3a). Using the mean interval between lunges (88 s) to predict the number of lunges from modeled values of bottom times yielded a strong correlation with model predictions (q ¼ 0.73, P , 0.001) and good overall fit (model efficiency ¼ 0.49). Neither the slope nor the intercept of the regression line between observed and predicted values differed significantly from 1 and 0, respectively (Figure 3b). Results were the same in 99% of random resampling runs for the Figure 2 (a) Observed and predicted values of bottom time as a function of target depth, over the range of feeding depths documented for blue whales. Each circle represents one dive. Solid line: model predictions. (b) Linear regression of predicted and observed values (solid line) and 1:1 line (dashed line). (c) Observed and predicted values of dive duration as a function of target depth. Each circle represents one dive. Solid line: model predictions; dotted line: TADL. (d) Linear regression of predicted and observed values (solid line) and 1:1 line (dashed line). intercept and 90% for the slope. Decomposition of the MSD showed that scatter of points was responsible for 90% of the observed deviation (rather than bias or rotation). Optimal surface times predicted by the model were significantly correlated with observed values (q ¼ 0.62, P , 0.001). Model fit, however, was poor (model efficiency ¼ 215), especially for dives longer than 200 s, which were grossly overestimated (Figure 4a). The dive:pause ratio predicted by the model was almost invariant with target depth (Figure 4b). Blue whales feeding at depths over 50 m conformed to this prediction, but at a ratio 3 times higher than expected. Predicted dive efficiency (bottom time divided by total dive duration plus surface time, Figure 4c) was highest at the surface Doniol-Valcroze et al. • Optimal foraging in a diving predator 885 Figure 3 (a) Observed and predicted values of the number of lunges per dive as a function of target depth, over the range of feeding depths documented for blue whales. The size of circles indicates the number of data points for each depth range of 10 m. Solid line: model predictions. (b) Linear regression of predicted and observed values (solid line) and 1:1 line (dashed line). and declined steadily with increasing depth. Feeding rates decreased slowly with increasing depth and matched the overall trend of model predictions though at slightly higher values. Mean feeding rate at the surface was 0.72 lunges min21 with maxima in excess of 1.5 lunges min21. Feeding deeper than 40 m yielded an average rate of about 0.5 lunges min21. There was variability in terms of where and when individuals fed (Figure 5, Table 2). For instance, some individuals were observed feeding only in shallow waters during the day (e.g., Figure 5b), whereas others fed deeper as well (e.g., Figure 5f,g,h). Despite this variability, all individuals conformed to predictions of dive times and lunge-feeding effort. DISCUSSION For pelagic predators, prey behavior determines feeding depth. Using VTDRs and a novel method to automatically detect feeding attempts, we have found strong quantitative agreement between the observed diving behavior of a free- ranging predator and predictions from a central-place foraging model. With increasing target depth, blue whales increased their time in the food patch, which, combined with longer transit times, resulted in longer dive durations. Longer bottom times corresponded to an increase in the number of feeding events, which, in turn, helped maintain a high feeding rate. Observed data fitted model predictions both for each individual separately and when pooling individuals together, even though these individuals were tagged at different times, in different years, and fed at different sites. To our knowledge, this is the first time that a theoretical model based on values derived entirely from the literature and simple allometric relationships can yield quantitatively accurate predictions of time allocation and feeding behavior of a large marine predator in a natural system. The model correctly predicted lunge numbers over the range of target depths observed in the data set. Beyond 150 m, the model predicted a monotonic response that we were unable to test because St Lawrence blue whales did not Figure 4 Observed and predicted values of (a) surface time, (b) surface time/dive duration ratio, (c) dive efficiency measured as bottom time/(dive duration 1 surface recovery time), and (d) feeding rate over the dive cycle as a function of target depth. Each circle represents one dive. Solid lines: model predictions. 886 Behavioral Ecology Figure 5 Observed and predicted values of dive duration as a function of target depth for 8 individual blue whales. Each circle represents one dive. Solid line: model predictions. (a) tag 0301; (b) tag 0401; (c) tag 0402; (d) tag 0403; (e) tag 0404; (f) tag 0502; (g) tag 0602; and (h) tag 0901. Note: tags 0201 and 0501 contributed only 9 and 6 feeding dives and thus were not represented here. feed deep enough. However, blue whales tagged on a California feeding ground performed 3–5 lunges on average over the 150–300 m depth range (Goldbogen et al. 2011), which corresponds to our predictions and suggests validity of the model across populations and larger depth ranges. Body size is the main determinant of a diver’s theoretical aerobic dive limit (TADL). Yet blue and fin whales, the Earth’s largest predators, have relatively short dive times (Croll et al. 2001). The high cost of lunging behavior has been proposed as an explanation for this paradox (Acevedo-Gutierrez et al. 2002). Our results show that this interpretation is incomplete because it does not take into account the ecological context (prey depth and optimization of energy intake). First, in the optimal foraging framework, the TADL is not a unique value but rather depends on the relative time spent foraging versus traveling (Houston and Carbone 1992). When foraging is more costly than traveling, the TADL actually decreases with decreasing target depth (Figure 2c) because predators should spend an important proportion of their time engaged in costly foraging. The difference between observed behavior and the TADL at any particular depth is therefore not as large as previously suggested. However, optimal dive time and TADL converge with increasing depth, suggesting the TADL becomes more constraining at larger depths. Second, it is in fact optimal to perform dives shorter than the TADL, especially at shallow depths. Because breath-hold capacity increases with body mass, large animals that dive shallowly for ecological reasons could make use of the physiological advantage that their size confers by performing long dives even at shallow depths (Halsey, Blackburn, and Butler et al. 2006). We have shown that this was not the case for blue whales foraging in the St Lawrence Estuary, which performed shorter dives with fewer lunges at shallow depths (Figures 2 and 3). Similarly, Goldbogen et al. (2011) found no support for the hypothesis that the number of lunges performed by Pacific blue whales should increase with decreasing dive depth. These observations suggest that, in agreement with optimal theory, blue whales perform shorter dives at shallow depths because the additional recovery time needed at the surface if they dived for their entire TADL would decrease their overall feeding rate. As predicted, feeding rates were consistently higher at shallow depths (Figure 4d), confirming that diving predators should forage close to the surface when possible (Kramer 1988; Carbone and Houston 1996). Accordingly, St Lawrence blue whales concentrated the majority of their feeding activity at night, when krill was near the surface. Some individuals in our data set also foraged at shallow depths during the day, likely taking advantage of particular habitat conditions (e.g., currents forcing krill upward or over shallow banks). These results suggest that, to a certain extent, diving predators may judge habitat quality in terms of prey accessibility at shallow depths rather than selecting solely based on prey density or abundance. Acevedo-Gutierrez et al. (2002) used optimal models to study the effect of high feeding costs on diving behavior of rorqual whales, but small sample sizes prevented them from fully considering the effect of prey depth. We conclude that while the cost of lunges undoubtedly reduces the duration of feeding dives (via m2), the main reason for blue whales to perform foraging dives shorter than their TADL is that it is optimal to do so. Decomposition of the model error (MSD) showed that most lack of fit was due to scatter. This could reflect individual preferences and variations in body mass among tagged whales, but separate examination of individuals showed that all individuals conformed to model predictions to some degree and that most of the scatter came from intraindividual variation. Dive time at a given depth may depend on the quality of food patches (Mori 1998). Behavioral flexibility should allow individuals to take advantage of a high-quality patch by feeding more than predicted and paying the oxygen debt later (e.g., the individual that took 15 mouthfuls in one dive). Thompson Doniol-Valcroze et al. • Optimal foraging in a diving predator and Fedak (2001) proposed that simple giving-up rules can help divers assess patch quality and recognize a poor patch early in the dive. In this case, it can be beneficial to give up before reaching the optimal foraging time and start again in an area of higher prey concentration. The occasional occurrence of wiggles not accompanied by feeding events suggests that vertical excursions can be exploratory movements or lunges that were aborted because of poor patch quality. Concurrent measures of krill vertical distribution and density (obtained from in situ measurements or model simulations) would allow the estimation of feeding efficiency in terms of net energy gain. Adding this parameter in the optimal model would presumably explain some of the observed deviance and improve its explanatory power. Recovery surface times following deep dives were shorter than predicted by the model (Figure 4a). Stephens et al. (2008) recognized the sensitivity of model predictions to a, the initial proportional rate of oxygen replenishment, and used an ad hoc coefficient to obtain realistic dive times for divers of intermediate mass (150 kg). It is possible that this value of a does not provide a realistic measure of the O2 exchange performance by large whales. Our definition of surface time could also underestimate time allocated to O2 recovery, for instance, if gas exchange continues during the first few seconds of a dive (before lung collapse) or if an O2 debt is accumulated and not repaid until the end of a dive bout, as in Steller sea lions, Eumetopias jubatus (Fahlman et al. 2008). Conversely, some short dives were followed by longer than expected post-dive periods, suggesting that other factors, for example, CO2 build-up due to unequal rates of exchange between O2 and CO2, can constrain surface times (Boutilier et al. 2001). Additional efforts are clearly needed to model respiratory gas exchanges in cetaceans. Blue whales obtained very advantageous dive/surface ratios during numerous shallow dives by limiting their recovery time to a single breath at the surface (i.e., near-instantaneous surface times of 1–3 seconds). At larger depths, their diving strategy allowed them to maintain a stable ratio (Figure 4b). This ratio, however, was 3 times higher than expected, presumably because surface times were overestimated by the model. Dive efficiency, measured as bottom time divided by total dive duration plus surface time, was predicted to peak at the surface and to decrease with increasing depth (Figure 4c). At depths over 20 m, blue whales followed this pattern at slightly higher values than predicted but not at shallow depths for which dive efficiency was lower than expected because of shorter bottom times. Blue whales performed the predicted number of lunges despite bottom times being slightly shorter than model predictions. The average difference between predicted and observed bottom times (;40 s) was roughly half of the mean interval between lunges. Thus, whales save time by performing the last lunge during the ascent to the surface, essentially transferring the time necessary to process water and food into the incompressible transit time. This is also true for shallow dives with only one lunge, in which case blue whales were likely coupling respiration with the purging phase of the lunge, as suggested by Goldbogen et al. (2011). Combining foraging, ascent and even respiration thus represents additional strategies to maintain a high lunge rate and maximize energetic efficiency. Many marine predators have to optimize a short seasonal window of feeding opportunity. Recent results from biologging studies in natural systems have provided an increasing body of evidence that divers employ strategies based on optimal decisions to maximize foraging efficiency. Dive time allocation in diving birds has been shown to vary with distance (Heath et al. 2007) and prey density (Mori et al. 2002; Cook et al. 2008) in accordance with theoretical predictions. Diving seabirds also select optimal stroke frequency patterns during 887 vertical movements (Mori et al. 2010). Differences in the optimal diving depths of penguins can help explain coexistence of sympatric species (Mori and Boyd 2004b). Seals also seem to conform to optimal theory when allocating time within dives (Boyd et al. 1995) and choosing time spent in food patches of different quality (Mori and Boyd 2004a). Humpback whales have been observed foraging shallower than the depth of maximal prey density (Goldbogen et al. 2008), fitting predictions of optimal models (Mori 1998). Direct measures of how optimal strategies increase feeding success, however, are rare and altogether missing in large diving predators like cetaceans. We have shown for the first time that a simple model of optimal time allocation using allometric arguments can explain not only the dive time budgets of a large marine predator but also its feeding strategies as a function of the distance between surface and prey. Allometric relationships have considerable potential for explaining patterns across taxa but often fail to address specific ecological situations. As suggested by Stephens et al. (2008), combining optimality and allometry can better explain the actual foraging choices made by airbreathing divers. With the increasing availability of data loggers placed on free-ranging animals, this framework opens new avenues of study to better understand the behavior of marine predators. Such models could help predict responses of predators to environmental changes and anthropogenic pressures, placing them directly at the interface between ecology and conservation. We thank Paul Couture for Visual Basic programming, Robin Baird, and Michel Moisan for tag development, Yves Morin, Daniel Lefebvre, Renaud Pintiaud, Michel Moisan, Caroline Guimont, Sean Thompson, and Jeremy Winn for help with fieldwork, and Becky Woodward for providing access to the D-tag data. 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