Glitnir Seafood Team China Seafood Industry Report November 2006 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Contents • Foreword and Report’s Main Findings ............................................... 3-4 • China – Investment Considerations .................................................. 5 • China Overview ............................................................................. 6-9 • China – Seafood Industry 1) 2) 3) 4) Seafood Seafood Seafood Seafood Production ............................................................ Processing ............................................................ Consumption ........................................................ Sales and Trade .................................................... 10 20 23 27 - 19 22 26 32 • Investment Opportunity in Focus 5) Tilapia Culture & Processing ................................................ 33 - 40 • Glitnir Seafood Stockwatch ............................................................. 41 - 43 • Glitnir Bank – General Information .................................................. 44 - 45 • Glitnir Bank – Global Seafood Team ................................................. 46 - 49 2 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Foreword Dear Reader, It is our pleasure to present the latest issue of Glitnir's Seafood Industry Report. In this issue we focus on the Seafood Industry in China. We are now in our third year of publication and are grateful for the good feedback we have received from our industry partners. We will issue 5 reports altogether this year, focusing on one country or region in each report. In March 2006 Íslandsbanki (ISB) became Glitnir in a global group rebranding, unifying our national and international operations under one brand. In China, fish is a sign of affluence. As one decade of marvelous economic growth brings China unprecedented prosperity, its significance in the global seafood industry has also reached a new height. Today, China is by far the world’s largest supplier of aquatic products, both by means of capture and aquaculture. At the same time, China is also one of the most important consumer markets for seafood, with a fast growing appetite for exotic and high-end seafood products. Its seafood processing industry continues to attract substantial investments from around the world. In short, the vastness of Chinese seafood industry presents many opportunities to foreign investors, in virtually all of its sectors. This report aims to give an analytical overview of the current Chinese seafood industry and present our understanding of its likely future developments. We trust you find this report of benefit. We at Glitnir are proud of our strong team of seafood industry experts and look forward to working with you in our quest to make the seafood industry even more dynamic, efficient and profitable. You can contact the seafood team via [email protected] and www.glitnir.is/seafood Best regards, Glitnir Seafood Team 3 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Main Findings • China is the largest producer of seafood in the world, representing some 35% of the total global seafood production. • Freshwater and seawater species represent 44% and 56%, respectively of all aquatic production in China. • Total aquatic production in China stood at 49 MMT in 2004, approx. 64% of this volume comes from aquaculture farming. This makes China the largest aquaculture nation in the world and the only country in the world where farmed fish production exceeds wild catch. In 2004 farmed freshwater species represented 59% of all farming in China while seawater species accounted for 41%. • Main farming species are shellfish (seawater) and carp (freshwater). • Shandong province receives the largest portion of foreign investment in seafood processing, the majority of which comes from Japan and Korea. • Japan is the major export destination for Chinese aquatic product exports, taking more than half of all China’s seafood exports in recent years. • All three sectors of the Chinese food market (retail, wholesale and foodservice) has experienced significant growth in recent years and we believe that this development will continue as purchasing power increases. • Seafood consumption is expected to increase substantially in coming years. Seafood consumption in China was 25 kg per capita in 2004 and is expected to reach 36 kg per capita in 2020. • Looking into the future, tilapia is likely to surpass other cultured species in importance. • Production of tilapia worldwide is likely to expand robustly in coming years, as a result of strong investment in that sector. • China continues to be the world’s main producer of tilapia and the main export market for Chinese tilapia is the U.S. 4 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Investment in the Chinese Seafood Industry The purpose of Glitnir’s China Seafood Report is to assist our current and potential clients in creating value by making sound investment decisions in the seafood industry in China. The value-chain of the industry is shown below: Supply of Raw Materials Catch / Culture Processing Primary / Secondary Distribution Retail Trading / Import & Export Consumers / Marketing & Sales A business may choose to devote its effort to one, several or all of the sectors in this chain. A sound investment decision, however, must always be based on a clear understanding of each sector in which the value is created. The first part of the Report is dedicated to this purpose. It provides a general overview of the development and current status in aquatic catch and culture, seafood processing, distribution and retail in China. Based on this understanding, a section in this Report named “Investment Opportunity in Focus” aims to identify potential investment opportunities in various sectors of the Chinese seafood industry. In each issue, Glitnir’s China Seafood Report focuses on different investment potentials in the industry. In this issue, the focus is on the culture and processing of tilapia in China. 5 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China China Overview 6 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Economy at a Glance • Area: 9,596,960 sq km • Population: 1,313,973,713 (July 2006 est.) • Administrative Divisions: 23 provinces, 5 autonomous regions, and 4 municipalities • GDP (PPP): $8.859 trillion (2005 est.) – Ranked the second in the world • GDP composition by sector: agriculture: 12.4%, industry: 47.3%, services: 40.3% • GDP per capita: $6,800 (2005 est.), ranked 117th in the world • Inflation Rate (Consumer Prices): 1.8% (Q2 2006) • Unemployment: 9% official registered unemployment in urban areas in 2004. • Exchange Rate: CNY per USD – 7.98 (2006e) 8.1943 (2005), 8.2768 (2004), 8.277 (2003), 8.277 (2002), 8.2771 (2001) • Real GDP growth (%): 10.7 (2006e), 9.9 (2005) • Country risk rating (EIU CRS)*: Sovereign (BBB stable) Currency (BBB stable), Banking Sector (B stable), Political (B), Economic structure (BBB) • Foreign trade ($m Q2 2006): export fob 231,360; import cif 193,396 • FDI ($bn): 14.2 (Q2 2006), 14.3 (Q1 2006), 17.1 (Q4 2005), 14.7 (Q3 2005), 15.2 (Q2 2005), 13.4 (Q1 2005) Source: CIA World Factbook, the EIU *the Economist Intelligence Unit Country Risk Services 7 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Recent Economic Development • Central bank introduced flexibility to the RMB in 2005 2000-2005 GDP, FDI & Consumption allowing its appreciation against major currencies. • Shift of focus starting in 2006 from an investment-driven economy to a consumption-driven one. n Looming fears of overinvestment still present - - n n Investment partially boosted by rise in money supply and thus in the available funds for lending. Efforts to curb overheating such as interest rate & reserve requirement hikes have been unsuccessful. Fixed asset investment in real estate slowed although rebound in total FAI has been led by investment in manufacturing (especially consumer goods), natural resource processing and export-oriented industries. Household Consumption (USD 10bn) GDP FDI 250 8 223 200 6 5 166 150 142 100 4 127 118 108 3 87 50 7 52 55 59 2000 2001 2002 2 71 64 1 0 0 2003 2004 2005 Household consumption on slow but steady rise. • Transition from power intensive industrial focus to increased 1992-2004 Growth Rate of Consumption (Value) emphasis on the service sector both in terms of the sector’s market share in the economy and employment. • Inflation and interest rates on the rise but expected to stay low. Retail Sales of Consumer Goods Living Exp Consumption 40% 35% • Increasing emphasis on quality of growth at the expense of the growth rate for the coming years. n Emphasis on strengthening structure rather than increasing size of industries (increasing efficiency). n Heavier funding towards research and development to encourage technological innovation. • Concentration of investment in East China begins gradual 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 shift to Central and Western China. 8 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Seafood Giant of the World • China remains by far the largest producer of seafood in the world, representing some 35% of the total global seafood production. • The country has seen a rapid growth in aquatic production in the last 25 years, averaging an annual growth rate of 15.22% from 1980 – 2004. • Total aquatic production in China stood at 49 MMT in 2004, approx. 64% of this volume comes from aquaculture farming. This makes China the largest aquaculture nation in the world and the only country in the world where farmed fish production exceeds wild catch. • Fish farming has grown more rapidly in recent years, at a CAGR of 6% from 1999 to 2004. 1980 – 2004 Growth in China’s Aquatic Production Millions 50 45 40 50 45 40 35 35 30 30 25 25 20 20 15 15 10 10 5 5 - Capture 19 80 19 81 19 82 19 83 19 84 19 85 19 86 19 87 19 88 19 89 19 90 19 91 19 92 19 93 19 94 19 95 19 96 19 97 19 98 19 99 20 00 20 01 20 02 20 03 20 04 Ca na da Ic el an d N or w ay Th ai la nd U SA Ja pa n In di a Ch ile In do ne sia Pe ru - Ch ina Millions 2004 World’s Aquatic Supply (in million tonnes) Inland waters Marine waters Source: FOA Figis database Aquaculture 9 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China 1) China Seafood Production Supply of Raw Materials Catch / Culture Processing Primary / Secondary Distribution Trading / Import & Export Retail Consumers / Marketing & Sales 10 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China China’s Aquatic Production 2004 Breakdown of China’s Aquatic Production • Total aquatic production for 2004 was 49 million tonnes, up by 4.2% over the year Freshw ater Products 44% before. The industry estimates the similar growth rate for 2005 and 2006. Between 2001 and 2004, the growth rate averaged 5.3%. • Facing depleting wild fish stocks and serious environmental damages resulted from Seaw ater Products 56% over fishing, the Chinese government continues to restrict marine and inland fishery and focus on development of aquaculture. • Fresh and seawater culture production increased by 6.6% and 5.1% respectively in 2004. Wild Capture 36% • Seawater catch increased by 1.31% in 2004. Freshwater catch, however, decreased by 1.72%. • Seawater fish output decreased by 0.76%, yet freshwater fish output increased 5.53%. 2001 – 2005 Growth in Wild Capture and Aquaculture Aquaculture 64% Millions (in million tonnes) 40 35 Seawater Catch 29% 34 30 32 25 27 Freshw ater Culture 38% 30 29 20 15 17 17 17 17 17 10 Freshwater Catch 7% 5 Seaw ater Culture 26% 2001 2002 Wild Capture 2003 Aquaculture 2004 2005 Source: USDA Foreign Agricultural Services GAIN Report 2005 11 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Shandong Province – the Largest in Seafood In 2004 No.1 Total Aquatic Production: Shandong Province (7.2 million tonnes, 6.1 million tonnes from seawaters and 1.1 million tonnes from freshwaters). No.1 Seawater Catch: Zhejiang Province (3.2 million tonnes). No. 1 Freshwater Catch: Hubei Province (393 thousand tonnes). No. 1 Seawater Culture: Shandong Province (3.4 million tonnes). No. 1 Freshwater Culture: Guangdong Province (2.7 million tonnes). 2004 Top Regions in Aquatic Production 7,2 6,6 7 5,9 6 4,9 5 4,0 4 3,7 3,0 2,7 3 1,7 2 1 1,7 1,6 1,4 0,9 G ua ng xi H ai na n H un an G ua ng do ng H ub ei Ji an gx i Sh an do ng Fu jia n A nh ui Ji an gs u Zh ej ia ng Li ao ni ng 0 H eb ei million tonnes (in million tonnes) 8 Source: Ministry of Agriculture, China 12 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Wild Capture and Marine Resources • There are over 1700 kinds of fishes and about 300 kinds of economically exploitable fishes. • In addition, there are about 2000 kinds of seaweeds, 300 kinds of shrimp and crabs, and 200 kinds of economically exploitable molluscs. • China’s natural marine resource is mainly divided among three sea areas. Yellow Sea & Bohai Gulf Area East China Sea Area South China Sea Area 2004 Distribution of Wild Capture in China Others; 8,96% Freshwate Catch; 14,29% Bohai Gulf; 7,39% South China Sea; 21,29% Yellow Sea; 18,73% East China Sea; 29,34% Source: USDA Foreign Agricultural Services GAIN Report 2005 13 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Yellow Sea & Bohai Gulf East China Sea • Small yellow-fin tuna • Hairtail • Ling • Big yellow-fin tuna • Pacific herring • Small yellow-fin tuna • Prawn • Cuttle fish • Hair shrimp • Pomfret • Jellyfish • Moray • Kelp • Shuttle crab 2001-2004 Wild Capture in Yellow Sea & Bohai Gulf 2001-2004 Wild Capture in East China Sea (in ‘000 tonnes) (in ‘000 tonnes) 3.500 25% 3.000 20% 2.500 Thousand Tonnes Thousand Tonnes Decreasing Output in Seawater Catch 5.500 33% 5.400 32% 5.300 31% 5.200 15% 2.000 5.100 1.500 10% 1.000 30% 5.000 29% 4.900 5% 500 - 0% 2001 Bohai Gulf 28% 4.800 Yellow Sea 2002 2003 Bohai Gulf % of total catch 2004 Yellow Sea % of total catch 4.700 27% 2001 2002 East China Sea 2003 2004 East China Sea % of total catch Source: USDA Foreign Agricultural Services GAIN Report 2005 14 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Freshwater Catch on the Rise South China Sea Freshwater (or Inland water) • Sardine • Redfish (northern regions only) • Tunny • Codfish (northern regions only) • Bonito • Carp • Swordfish • Naked carp • Shark 2001-2004 Wild Capture in South China Sea 2001-2004 Freshwater Catch in China (in ‘000 tonnes) (in ‘000 tonnes) 3.720 22,20% 3.700 22,00% 3.680 3.660 21,80% 3.640 21,60% 3.620 Thousand Tonness Thousand Tonnes • Loach 2.500 15,00% 2.450 14,50% 2.400 2.350 14,00% 2.300 2.250 3.600 21,40% 3.580 13,50% 2.200 2.150 21,20% 3.560 3.540 21,00% 3.520 13,00% 2.100 2.050 12,50% 2.000 3.500 20,80% 2001 2002 South China Sea 2003 2004 South China Sea % of total catch 1.950 12,00% 2001 2002 Freshwater Catch 2003 2004 Freshwater % of total catch Source: USDA Foreign Agricultural Services GAIN Report 2005 15 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Aquaculture in China 2004 Aquaculture area & production in % • Total culture area reached 7.28 million hectares for 2004, up by 2.5 percent over 2003. • About 22 percent of the total culture area is in seawaters, Seawater 22% 78 percent is in freshwaters. However, production is divided more evenly – 41% from seawater and 59% from freshwater. Seawater; 41,03% Freshwater; 58,96% Freshwater 78% • Culture area expansion is expected to slow down, as the priority has been shifted to increase of productivity and efficiency, rather than expanding blindly. Area Resources 2001-2005 Aquaculture Production in China 2001-2004 Development of China’s Aquaculture Area Resource (in ‘000 hectares) (in million tonnes) 25 6.000 20 20 19 15 10 11 18 17 16 12 13 13 14 Thousand hectares Million Tonnes Production 5.000 4.000 3.000 2.000 1.345 1.286 5 5.664 5.571 5.470 5.362 1.532 1.617 1.000 - 2.001 2.002 Seawater culture 2003 Freshwater culture 2004 2005(e) 2001 2002 Freshwater 2003 2004 Seawater Source: USDA Foreign Agricultural Services GAIN Report 2005 16 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Shellfish - the Most Cultured Product in Seawater 2004 Seawater Farming Area by Products (% of total hectares) total farmed production, followed by algae (10%), crustaceans, (5.5%) and fish (4%). 8% 5% 6% • The leading species are molluscs, accounting for approx. 78% of 15% • Growth in seawater farming is relatively slow. Production yield per 5% Fish Shrimp/Prawn Crab Shellfish Algae Other 61% 2004 Seawater Farming Area Resource by Selected Products & Regions (in ‘000 hectares) hectare has not been improved significantly in recent years. Yet the expansion of seawater culture areas starts to result in damage to the marine eco-system. Therefore growth in seawater farming is expected to slow down further. • China’s largest seawater farming area, in the terms of hectares, is in Liaoning province in Northern China. It is followed by Shandong province, with close to 24% of the total farming area. 2004 Total Seawater Farming Area by Regions Algae 7% 2% 15% 16% Crab 4% 7% Hebei Liaoning Shrimp Jiangsu Guangxi Guangdong Shangdong Fish 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Thousands Hectares 26% Zhejiang 23% Fujian Fujian Shandong Zhejiang Guangdong Jiangsu Liaoning Hebei Guangxi Source: Ministry of Agriculture, China 17 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Freshwater Farming Areas • Freshwater fish farming is dominated by small and medium-sized individual farms located primarily in the provinces of Hubei, Anhui, Jiangsu, Hunan and Heillongjiang. • Largest pond farming: Hubei province (340,015 hectares). • Largest lake farming: Anhui province (193,279 hectares). • Largest reservoir farming: Jiangxi province (132,559 hectares). • Largest stream farming: Jiangsu province (113,014 hectares). 2004 China Inland Culture Area Resources by Type 2004 China Inland Culture Area Resources by Regions (percentage of total area in hectares) (Ten top provinces as percentage of total area in hectares) 3% 5% 5% 22% 34% 7% 9% 5% 23% 13% Source: Ministry of Agriculture, China 16% Pond Lake Reservoir Stream Rice Paddies Others 15% 9% 14% 9% 11% Source: Ministry of Agriculture, China Hubei Jiangsu Anhui Hunan Heilongjiang Guangdong Jiangxi Shandong Zhejiang Henan 18 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Carp - 79% of Total Freshwater Culture Output • The dominant form of freshwater farming in China is Estimated freshwater production by farming environment pond farming, which occupies 34% of the total freshwater farming area and produces a little over 70% of the total output. 5% 5% 6% • Carp account for the majority of the output. They 10% Ponds contributed more than 79% of all the output of the 1999 freshwater aquaculture output (the distribution today is deemed to be similar), which is equivalent to 47.2% of the total Chinese aquaculture output or 27.4% of the total fisheries output. • In 1999, carp were valued at CNY74.39 billion at the important place in the freshwater aquaculture in China. In 1999, it represented approximately 4% of the freshwater culture output (or 561,794 tonnes) and 3.61% of the total value (CNY3.61 billion). The production of tilapia is expected to increase further. Reservoirs 71% Lakes Rivers/canals Rice paddy Other Source: FAO: Aquaculture development in China 2001 price of that year, representing 49.8% of the total value of China’s freshwater culture output, or 29.4% of its total fisheries output value. • Apart from the carp family, tilapia also occupies an 3% Freshwater culture output by species 1% 9% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 33% 4% 1% 9% 14% 22% Source: FAO: Aquaculture development in China 2001 Silver carp & Bighead carp Grass carp Common carp Crucian carp Black carp Tilapia Chinese bream Eel Chinese mitten handed crab Mandarin fish Macrobrachium rosenbergii Soft shelled turtle Others 19 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China 2) Seafood Processing in China Supply of Raw Materials Catch / Culture Processing Primary / Secondary Distribution Trading / Import & Export Retail Consumers / Marketing & Sales 20 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Development of Seafood Processing in China • Traditionally, most aquatic products sold in the 2002 Major Freshwater fish Products Processed (tonnes & percentage of total processed) Chinese domestic market are fresh. In 1999, total processed aquatic products amounted to 6.2 million tonnes, accounting for only 15.1% of total aquatic production. 1296000; 21% Dried • In recent years, however, seafood processing industry in China has seen significant growth. • The Chinese Ministry of Agriculture reported that in 2004 the total number of aquatic processing facilities in China was 8,745, an increased from 8,287 in 2003. • The total processing capacity reached 14.2 million tonnes, representing a 9% increase from the previous year. In 2004, approximately 10.3 million tonnes were actually processed, increased by 13.2% from 2003. Frozen 3258000; 53% 707000; 11% Smoked Canned 93000; 1% 632000; 10% 21000; 0% Surimi Products Fish Meal 235000; 4% Source: FAO - Aquaculture development in China 2003 Others Marine Aquatic Products Processing (‘000 tonnes) 12.000 10.000 • The majority of the processed aquatic products comes from seawater; freshwater products accounted for a little less than 8% of the total processed quantity in 2004. • Most of the processing facilities are located in the Chinese costal regions, mainly in Shandong, Zhejiang, Liaoning, Fujian and Guangdong provinces. Processing Capacity (thousand tonnes/per year) 8.000 6.000 4.000 Total Output of Processed Product (thousand tonnes) 2.000 0 1995 1996 Source: China National Bureau of Statistics 1997 1998 1999 21 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Outsource Seafood Processing to China • As seafood processing is a labour-concentrated industry, the lower labour cost in China attracts a large amount of foreign investment into this sector. Often, tax incentives provided by the Chinese government also play a big role. The hourly pay of Chinese factory labour is estimated at $0.5 (RaboBank estimate). • Shandong province receives the largest portion of foreign investment in seafood processing, the majority of which comes from Japan and Korea. Fujian province, ranked the second, receives foreign funds from a wider range of regions, including Taiwan, Hong Kong, Japan, Korea, the U.S., Argentina and Denmark. About Seafood Processing in China Local Supply of Seawater Raw material for Processing Currently, Homey Group, located in Shandong, is the largest aquatic processing company in China, with total sales of US$230 million in 2004. The joint venture between Shanfu Group and Japan Nippon Suisan is building its annual capacity toward 40,000 tonnes in 2007, with the aim of becoming one of the largest processing companies by then. (‘000 tonnes, 1999) Hainan Guangxi Guangdong (RaboBank – China’s aquaculture industry 2005) Shandong Major U.S. fisheries, including Trident, Pacific Seafood, Premier Pacific Seafood and many more, outsource processing to China. Seafood products processed there include Salmon, Dungeness crab, Alaskan Pollock. Fujian Zhejiang Jiangsu (Bloomberg News – July 19, 2005) Agreement Signed between Chinese and Icelandic companies on construction of a 150,000-ton storing house for frozen seafood at the city of Qingdao in East China's Shandong Province. Liaoning Hebei 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 (Xinhua New Agency – May 22, 2005) Thousand tonnes Fish Shrimp, Prawns, Crabs Source: China National Bureau of Statistics Shell fish Algae Other 22 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China 3) Seafood Trade and Sales Supply of Raw Materials Catch / Culture Processing Primary / Secondary Distribution Trading / Import & Export Retail Consumers / Marketing & Sales 23 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China China, a leading exporter of aquatic products • In recent years China’s imports and exports of seafood have seen a rapid development. The export value of aquatic products is the highest in the export of agriculture products. The growth has also been driven by growing capability of the fish processing industry. • The export value of aquatic products mostly occur in provinces along the coast. Coast areas such as Shandong, Guangdong, Liaoning, Zhejiang and Fujian makes up 92% of the total. • The majority of China’s exports are processed seafood products, consisting of prepared, preserved or frozen product. The leading export products are eel, processed or preserved shrimp and cuttlefish. • Japan is the major export destination for Chinese aquatic product exports, taking over half of all China’s seafood export over the recent years. • Given the size of China’s seafood production and its efficient processing industry, China’s accession to the WTO has had an impact on the world seafood market. Accession has allowed China to be subject to the ‘most favoured nation’ tariffs, which applies only to WTO members. This has assisted increases in seafood export from China to other WTO members, raising supply in world markets. Exports of Aquatic Products from China by Destination Exports of Aquatic Products by Main Category (US$ billion) (US$ billion) 2,5 2,0 1,4 2,24 2,03 2,20 2,03 1,2 1,75 1 1,5 1,10 Source: SNF-report nb. 20/05 0,8 1,0 1,0 0,5 0,8 0,4 0,4 0,5 0,6 0,6 0,4 0,2 0,2 0,4 0,3 0,2 0,6 0,8 0,7 Japan Source: SNF-report nb. 20/05 2000 America 2001 2002 Korea 0,82 0,62 0,45 0,4 0,2 0,0 1999 0,54 1,16 2003 Hong Kong 0 Fish, frozen Molluscs and other Source: USDF GAIN Report, 2005 Crustaceans Prepared or packaged fish and caviar Prepared or packaged crustaceans and mollusks Fish, fillet 24 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Increasing Demand for Seafood in China • China was the world’s eighth largest importer of aquatic products in 2003, with an import value of $2.5 bn. • China’s two main imports were cod (mainly from Russia) and Fish meal (mainly from Peru). • The seafood trade surplus was $3 billion for 2003 with imports valued at about $2.5 billion and exports at $5.5 billion. • Much of the imports are destined for re-export following processing in China. Beside the re-export, an increasing share of imports is destined for the domestic market, as the emerging upper class is creating demand for imported seafood. • China has reduced its tariffs on seafood products since joining the WTO in 2001. • China also influences the demand side of the world seafood market. Lower tariff barriers have reduced import costs and resulted in greater seafood imports by China. Import of Aquatic Products into China by Origin Import of Aquatic Products into China by Main Category (US$ billion) (US$ billion) 0,8 1,4 0,7 0,7 0,7 0,6 1,20 1,2 1 0,5 0,5 0,4 0,4 0,3 0,63 0,3 0,3 0,2 0,8 0,4 0,4 0,2 0,2 0,1 0,1 0,1 0,6 0,3 0,1 0,4 0,2 0,2 0,2 0,1 0,1 0,1 0,2 0,26 0,29 Molluscs and other Crustaceans 0,11 0 0,0 1999 2000 Russia Source: SNF-report nb. 20/05 2001 Peru 2002 America 2003 Other Fish Meal Fish, frozen Japan Source: USDA GAIN Report, 2005 25 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China China’s Domestic Food Market on the Rise 2000-2004 Market Structure 2004 Market Structure (US$ billion) Foodservice Food Retail 13% Food Wholesale 100 93 74 80 Foodservic e 44% Food Retail 91 74 65 60 43 40 Food Wholesale 43% 28 19 15 20 0 Source: National Bureau of Statistics of PRC Note: 100% = USD 212bn 2000 2002 2004 Source: National Bureau of Statistics of PRC • All the three sectors of the food market have experienced a significant growth in recent years and we believe that this development will continue as purchasing power increases. Seafood consumption is expected to increase substantially in coming years. Therefore we expect that the position of seafood in the food market will be strong in the future. • Food retail is on the rise due to consumer’s increasing willingness to spend on foods as a result of growing concerns over food safety and health. • With urbanisation and marketisation, lifestyles become increasingly fast-paced resulting in growing convenience food and foodservice markets. • Rapid growth in food wholesale sector could be attributed to the sudden rise of large-scale, national supermarket and hypermarket chains in food retail as well as the increasing preference of consumers to buy in bulk (facilitated by the rise in car ownership). • Increased purchasing power in recent years has contributed to fast growth in the foodservice sector, including the seafood sector. 26 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China 4) China Seafood Consumption Supply of Raw Materials Catch / Culture Processing Primary / Secondary Distribution Trading / Import & Export Retail Consumers / Marketing & Sales 27 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China High Consumption of Seafood • Seafood consumption in China has increased at a high rate from 1990-1998. • Asia and the Pacific region has countries with the highest per capita consumption of fish. • Seafood consumption in China was 25.4 kg per capita in 2004. • Seafood consumption increased heavily from 1990 – 1998 but has remained relatively stable since then. 30 11.5 11.6 13.2 15.5 18.0 20.7 22.6 24.0 Per capita / kg / year 25 1,0 0,7 0,8 20 0,7 15 10 5 0 0,8 0,7 2,2 0,8 2,0 2,1 2,1 4,5 4,5 0,8 2,6 3,5 5,5 6,1 5,1 2,7 3,1 4,4 25.4 25.9 25.8 25.5 25.5 25.4 1,2 1,2 1,1 1,1 1,1 1,1 1,1 5,9 6,0 6,2 6,3 6,2 6,2 6,2 2,0 1,9 2,1 1,7 1,7 1,7 1,7 10,3 10,6 10,8 10,9 10,8 10,8 10,7 2,6 6,9 7,8 9,8 8,9 2,5 2,7 3,1 3,0 2,7 2,8 2,7 2,7 2,7 2,2 1,1 1,2 1,3 1,4 1,8 1,1 1,3 1,6 1,8 2,1 2,3 2,7 2,7 3,0 3,0 3,0 3,0 3,0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 0,9 1,1 Crustaceans Demersal fish Total 2,6 2,4 2,3 5,5 5,3 25.2 Freshwater and diadromous fish Marine fish, other Molluscs Other Source: FAO, FAOSTAT, Rabobank 28 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Increased protein consumption • Followed by high growth in recent years protein consumption has increased substantially. • Seafood’s average historical share in consumption of red meat, poultry and seafood is 33%. The peak was in 1996 when it reached 37%. The share in 2004 was 31%. • The average share of meat and poultry is 55% and 12%, respectively. Over this period the share of poultry has steadily increased from 9% to 14%, while meat has lost a share of 4%. 37.4 39.6 43.8 49.0 54.7 59.5 61.3 67.9 72.1 73.4 76.0 76.9 78.3 80.3 25,8 25,9 25,7 10,3 10,5 10,9 82.3 Total 80 Per capita / kg / year 70 60 25,1 20,8 22,6 18,0 15,4 40 11,5 3,3 11,6 4,0 13,2 4,5 5,5 6,1 7,3 11,1 9,0 9,8 10,6 38,2 39,6 40,7 42,1 45,9 38,0 43,9 35,6 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 8,3 7,3 20 10 25,3 24,0 50 30 25,4 25,5 26,1 28,1 31,9 31,4 24,0 30,6 22,6 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 0 Red Meat Poultry Seafood Source: FAO, FAOSTAT 29 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Regional Trends in Consumption • There is significant difference in seafood consumption between rural and urban areas in China. – In 2002, seafood accounted for 4.4% of total food consumption in rural areas while it accounted for 13.2% in urban areas. • Consumption is higher in coastal provinces and in provinces with high level of disposable income. – The top 5 provinces that had the most expenditure on seafood products in 2004 were: Fujian, Shanghai, Zhejiang, Hainan and Guangdong. • More expensive marine fish is consumed by the affluent population in coastal cities of China, while freshwater fish is consumed throughout China. Source: Rabobank, GAIN, Agri-Food Trade Service 2004 Top Ten Aquatic Product Expenditure Per Capita & Disposable Income (US$ billion) 20000 500 15000 400 300 10000 200 5000 100 l na at io N Be ijin g Gu an gx i Lia on in g jin Aquatic Product Expenditure (in CNY) Ji an gs u an Ti Gu an gd on g H ai na n Zh ej ia ng 0 Sh an gh ai 0 Income CNY per capita per annum 25000 600 Fu jia n Expenditure CNY per capita per annum 700 Disposable Income (in CNY) Source: USDF Gain Report 2005 30 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Chinese Consumers Prefer the Fresh and Wild Captured • The Chinese consumers typically prefer live seafood product to chilled or frozen, and wild caught to farmed. • However, ordinary Chinese consumers are price sensitive when buying seafood products. • Farmed freshwater species such as shrimps, tilapia and carps are mainly consumed at home. Their appeals to the Chinese consumers are freshness and economic price. • Imported high quality and therefore more expensive seafood such as salmon and crab are mainly absorbed by the food service sector. • Consumers in China often prefer smaller fish, i.e. 200-500g. • Wet markets, where seafood is sold fresh or alive, are popular among the older generations. However, the younger and more affluent city dwellers tend to go to supermarkets nowadays for their food supply. Some of the larger modern supermarkets/hypermarkets are furnished with columns of water tanks to accommodate live seafood for sale. Source: GAIN, Agri-Food Trade Service • Products like fish heads and bellies usually discarded elsewhere, are popular in China. 31 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Seafood Consumption: Strong Fundamentals • We expect a strong seafood consumption growth and a strong demand for high quality seafood. Main reasons for that are: Forecast of Seafood Consumption Trend in China and the World 40 – According to FAO seafood consumption in China – The higher consumption of seafood in urban areas, compared to rural areas, indicates that the increased urbanization will lead to increased consumption of seafood. – Dramatic rise is expected in China’s middle class in next 5-10 years. In 2005 the middle class accounted for 90 million inhabitants but is projected to account for 650 million in 2015. Therefore, increased purchasing power is likely to result in higher seafood consumption. Per capita / kg / year is projected to be 35.9 kg/year per capita in 2020, an increase of 41% compared to the 2004 consumption. 36 35 30 20 15 10 25 24 25 16 16 17 1997 2004 2020e 13 12 8 6 5 0 1973 1985 China World – Chinese consumers are sensitive to product quality regardless of low disposable income, compared to developed countries. Demand for high quality seafood is therefore expected to increase as purchasing power increases. Source: FAO, Rabobank, Dep. of agriculture, fisheries and forestry (Australia), Goldman Sachs 32 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China 5) Investment Opportunity in Focus: Culture & Processing of Tilapia in China 33 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Important Aquaculture Product of the 21st Century Tilapia is one of the most widely cultured species in the world. FAO reports production in 85 countries, including China. • Wild catch is being replaced by aquaculture. Tilapia is most often farmed in: – – – – – Ponds Cages Raceways, round tanks, re-circulating systems Ranching (lake releases) Freshwater, Brackish water, estuarine and marine • Tilapia grows well in most production systems. – Polyculture with shrimp, catfish, and carp – Could be herbivorous and/or omnivorous – Good growth in fertilized ponds – Many by products can be used in prepared feeds – Simple hatchery technology – Disease resistant – Grow well at high densities • There is an established and growing market demand for tilapia. – Accepted in many national dishes – Popular in many forms (live, whole, fillets, fresh, frozen, smoked, surimi) • Tilapia will surpass other cultured species in importance. – Production constraints being reduced, and costs decreasing – Markets are still expanding – Market price is steady – Ecologically sustainable and environment friendly – Consumption not restricted by religious observances – Mild flavour preferred by many consumers – Carp: markets are limited – Salmonids and shrimps need high levels of fish meal, limited ingredients for diets – Most other species need higher water quality, competition for sites Source: Kevin Fitzsimmons, Ph.D. Tilapia Aquaculture in the 21st Century, University of Arizona 34 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Soaring Tilapia Market In the U.S. • The U.S. market is estimated to import approx. 1999 - 2005 U.S. Total Tilapia Import by Product Form 180,000 tonnes of tilapia in 2006, compared to only 40,000 tonnes in 2000. • Since 2001, tilapia consumption has doubled in the U.S. (‘000 tonnes) Thousand tonnes 160 140 120 The species is now number 6 among the top ten seafood consumed by U.S. consumers. 100 80 • The EU market is still limited, but imports are expected 60 to increase, especially in the light of limited wild whitefish supplies to the market. 40 20 • Production of tilapia worldwide is likely to expand 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Whole frozen 2004 2005 Jan-Jul Jan-Jul 2005 2006 Frozen fillets Fresh fillets US Fresh Tilapia Fillets Import by Country of Origin US Frozen Tilapia Fillets Import by Country of Origin (‘000 tonnes) (‘000 tonnes) Thousand tonnes Thousand tonnes robustly in coming years, as a result of strong investment in this sector. 25 20 60 50 40 15 30 10 20 Taiwan China 5 Costa Rica Honduras Ecuador 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Jan-Jul 2005 Jan - Jul 2006 Ecuador Thailand 10 Taiwan Indonesia China 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Jan-Jul 2005 Jan - Jul 2006 Source: Fish INFOnetwork Market Report on Tilapia 35 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Strong Growth in the Chinese Tilapia Industry • China continues to be the world’s main producer of tilapia. Total production in 2006 is expected to reach 1.07 million tonnes, representing a 10% growth from 2005. • The value of tilapia production in China is thus exceeding $2,000 million. • More than 80% of the tilapia is consumed in the country. Main market for Chinese tilapia is the U.S., which takes over 70% of the exports. • The impressive increase in tilapia is caused by farmers switching from carp and shrimp to tilapia production. Some 120 plants are processing, of which 30 are specialised in this fish alone. The average retail price of tilapia in China is $1.60/kg, while the unit value of the exported fish is around $2.16/kg. 1999 – 2006 Tilapia Production in China (‘000 tonnes) 1200 1070 978 1000 897 806 800 629 600 672 707 562 400 200 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006e Source: USDA Foreign Agricultural Service China’s Tilapia Production Situation 2006 Source: Fish INFOnetwork Market Report on Tilapia 36 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Tilapia Farming is Mainly Concentrated in Guangdong Province Farming Area (ha) Major Tilapia Producing Regions in China Guangdong Hainan Guangxi Fujian Others National total Production volume (ton) 55,000 13,000 13,000(e) 7,000(e) 22,000 110,000(e) 500,000 145,000 140,000(e) 80,000(e) 175,000(e) 1,040,000 Fujian Guangdong Guangxi Hainan Chinese Tilapia Production Distribution in 2005 6% • Tilapia is farmed primarily in China’s warm southern provinces. In 2005 3% 3% close to 50% of the total production is concentrated in Guangdong Province. • Other major provinces include Hainan, Guangxi and Fujian. There is also 10% 48% scattered production in other provinces. 15% • Production growth is driven by strong domestic demand as well. In China – particularly the southern coastal provinces – tilapia is popular because its superior taste and quality compared to other cultured fish such as carp. Tilapia is also more affordable, compared with other highvalued, cultured species. An industry survey showed that 93.1% of consumers favour tilapia in Guangdong, 76.3% in Zhejiang and 65.2% in Shandong. Tilapia is also increasingly popular in large cities such as Beijing and Shanghai. 15% Others Yunan Shandong Fujian Hainan Guangxi Guangdong Source: USDA Foreign Agricultural Service China’s Tilapia Production Situation 2006 37 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Common Business Model of Tilapia Farming in China Importer / Distributor Processing Company / Trader Tilapia Farm Feeds Factory Supply feed and technical support Tilapia Farm Supply breeds and technological support Sign contract and sell tilapia quality and safe control Sign contract and purchase tilapia Tilapia Farm Breeding Farm Tilapia Farm Contract land, pond, etc. from villages 38 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China The U.S. Remains Chinese Tilapia’s Largest Customer China’s Export Mix From 2002 – 2005 • Tilapia fillet and frozen whole are the major • Increasing tilapia exports from China bring more opportunities for the tilapia processing industry, as nearly all exported tilapia products are processed. (tonnes) Thousand tonnes products, accounting for almost 100% of total exported volume. • This is mainly because of China’s relatively low cost 100 80 60 40 20 of labour and the industry’s effort to deepen processing to add value to exported products. 0 2002 • Fillet exports are likely to increase further while the portion of frozen whole fish is expected to continue to diminish. for China, which on average absorbs 77% of tilapia fillet and 73% of frozen whole fish. • Industry insiders believe that more attention will be paid to diversifying its export market, in particular in Europe and Middle East. 2003 2004 2005 Tilapia fillet China’s Tilapia Fillet Exports by Destination (tonnes) Thousand tonnes • United States remains the largest export destination Frozen w hole tilapia 60 50 40 30 Hong Kong 20 Canada 10 Germany Puerto Rico 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 Mexico United States Source: USDA Foreign Agricultural Service China’s Tilapia Production Situation 2006 Source: USDA Foreign Agricultural Service China’s Tilapia Production Situation 2006 39 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Opportunities in Tilapia Culture & Processing • Tilapia is well suited for large-scale and poly-culture farming. The unit cost of production is expected to decrease further as a result of ongoing consolidation among Chinese tilapia producers. This presents international seafood companies with the opportunity for vertical integration, in order to ensure steady supply and constant quality. • Increasing demand for tilapia, especially tilapia fillet, in the world market encourages further growth of tilapia exports from China. This gives rise to opportunities in the tilapia processing sector. In addition, the relatively low cost of labour in China constitutes a major advantages in the labour intensive processing business. 40 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Glitnir Seafood Stockwatch – Europe in cooperation with Europe Company Country M.Cap m.USD Current share price Change (%) in share price YTD 12m EV/EBITDA 12M P/E Marine Harvest Cermaq Norway Norway 3,993 1,855 6.91 120.50 18.1% 31.0% 65 6.7 85 10.2 Austevoll Seafood Norway 1,690 57.00 32.6% 9.8 14.0 Leröy Seafood Group Norway 1,221 137.00 21.2% 8.0 9.7 Biomar Holding Pescanova Alfesca Icelandic Group Aker Seafoods Denmark Spain Iceland Iceland Norway 662 546 425 301 289 333.00 31.22 4.80 6.85 35.70 34.3% 15.4% -3.0% -6.2% 15.9% 12.9 7.5 8.5 11.8 13.0 15.2 18.0 13.8 18.1 28.0 Nirefs (Nireus) Greece 233 4.22 7.1% 10.6 18.9 Europe Index 121.8 Index, %change YTD 21.8% Index, %change from March 23 -2.0% Index: January 1, 2007 = 100 Sources: Bloomberg, Individual Stock Exchanges, Company Annual and Quarterly Reports Revenues, Glitnir. Date as of April 13, 2007, "nmf" = not meaningful, "n/a" = not available. Disclaimer: The companies on the list have been selected by Glitnir. Glitnir banki hf. hereby disclaims liability and does not accept any responsibility for such information or is giving any advice in relation to investments in those companies. 41 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Glitnir Seafood Stockwatch – Asia in cooperation with Asia Country M.Cap m.USD Current share price Change (%) in share price YTD 12m EV/EBITDA 12M P/E Nippon Suisan Kaisha China Fishery Group Japan China 1,760 1,216 757.00 4.72 8.3% 48.4% 12.0 16.6 38.3 24.6 Maruha Group Japan 721 239.00 -0.4% 17.6 18.5 Thai Union Frozen Foods Group Thailand 600 22.00 -12.0% 9.1 9.9 Pacific Andes Nichiro Corporation Sea Horse Kyokuyo Co Uoriki Co. China Japan Thailand Japan Japan 344 292 286 231 173 2.24 212.00 3.30 252.00 1414.00 25.8% -4.1% -5.7% 0.0% 1.5% 8.0 Nmf Nmf 11.6 12.1 6.5 n/a Nmf 13.7 23.2 Japan 142 392.00 7.7% nmf 17.6 Company Chuo Gyorui Co. Asia Index 112.7 Index, %change YTD 12.7% Index, %change from March 23 0.2% Index: January 1, 2007 = 100 Sources: Bloomberg, Individual Stock Exchanges, Company Annual and Quarterly Reports Revenues, Glitnir. Date as of April 13, 2007, "nmf" = not meaningful, "n/a" = not available. Disclaimer: The companies on the list have been selected by Glitnir. Glitnir banki hf. hereby disclaims liability and does not accept any responsibility for such information or is giving any advice in relation to investments in those companies. 42 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Glitnir Seafood Stockwatch – The Americas in cooperation with The Americas Company Country M.Cap m.USD Current share price Change (%) in share price YTD 12m EV/EBITDA 12M P/E Connor Bros. Income Fund Copeinca Canada Peru 536 402 11.86 60.00 13.0% 34.6% 9.2 8.1 10.3 16.5 Sociedad Pesquera Coloso Chile 341 930.00 3.3% 11.9 11.4 Pesquera Iquique-Guanaye (Igemar) Chile 271 40.00 59.4% 22.8 9.9 Invertec Pesquera (Invermar) Pesquera Itata Clearwater Seafoods Income Fund Fishery Products International (FPI) Omega Protein Corp. Chile Chile Canada Canada US 269 264 228 183 114 616.00 230.00 4.91 14.98 6.99 30.7% 7.0% -1.2% 97.4% -9.6% n/a 8.6 n/a 13.5 8.1 17.6 11.4 n/a n/a 14.0 High Liner Foods Canada 88 9.70 10.9% 15.7 29.4 The Americas Index 124.3 Index, %change YTD 24.3% Index, %change from March 23 10.9% Index: January 1, 2007 = 100 Sources: Bloomberg, Individual Stock Exchanges, Company Annual and Quarterly Reports Revenues, Glitnir. Date as of April 13, 2007, "nmf" = not meaningful, "n/a" = not available. Disclaimer: The companies on the list have been selected by Glitnir. Glitnir banki hf. hereby disclaims liability and does not accept any responsibility for such information or is giving any advice in relation to investments in those companies. 43 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Introduction to Glitnir • Home markets are Iceland and Norway Glitnir’s total loan portfolio $24.7 billion* • Focus on niche segments worldwide Seafood Industry, Sustainable Energy & Shipping - Offshore Supply Vessels • Strong focus on the seafood industry since 1904 Individuals 21% Services 25% Other 5% • Today 9% of the bank’s loan portfolio is in the seafood industry Seafood 9% • Credit ratings: Aa3 / P-1 (Moody’s), A / F1 (Fitch) and A-/A-2 (Standard and Poor’s) Real Estate 29% Our services include: Credit facilities – – – – – Term loan facilities Working capital facilities Syndicated loans Vessel financing Bridge loans Commerce 4% Industry & contractors 7% Mergers & acquisitions – – – – – – – Financial advisory Acquisitions Disposals Minority investments MBOs / LBOs / MBIs Private Placements Strategic reviews Capital Markets – – – – Bond issuances FX dealings Forward contracts Options Other services – – Risk management advisory Equity participation * as of December 31, 2006 44 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Glitnir’s International Platform United Kingdom Glitnir Luxembourg Copenhagen Branch • Corporate Banking • Corporate Finance • Centre of Excellence Glitni China • Corporate Banking • Centre of Excellence • Leveraged Finance • Corporate Finance Representative Office Shanghai • Food industry • Structured Finance • Loan Syndication BNbank • Corporate and retail mortgage Glitnir Bank • Full service bank, trad. indust. • Centre of Excellence • Shipping/ Offshore supply vessels • Subsidiaries: • Glitnir Factoring Glitnir Securities Union Group Norsk Privatøkonomi ASA The U.S. Glitnir Capital Corp. • New York office: open 2007 • Corporate Credit & Corporate Finance • Support of Glitnir clients in the U.S. market Glitnir Capital Corporation, 222 East 41st Street, New York NY 10017, U.S. • Opened Real Estate December 2006 • Private Banking Frederiksgade 19, Copenhagen 534 Rue de Neudorf, Lux. Norway BNbank: Munkegata 21, Trondheim Dronningens gate 40, Oslo Glitnir Bank: St. Olavsplass 1, Alesund Glitnir Securities: Haakon VII’s gate 10, Oslo China Denmark London Branch • 41 Lothbury, London City Luxembourg Iceland Headquarters • Corporate Banking • Centres of Excellence Kirkjusandur, Reykjavik • Global seafood • Sustainable energy • International core customers • Structured Finance • Capital Markets • Corporate Finance Finland FIM Group • Funds • Structured Products • Asset Management • Brokerage • Investment Banking Pohjoisesplanadi 33 A,, 00100 Helsinki, Finland Level 8, CitiGroup Tower 33, Hua Yuan Shai Qiao Road Pudong, Shanghai Sweden Canada Glitnir AB Glitnir Canada • Equity Representative Office Halifax Trading & Brokerage • Opened April 2006 1718 Argyle Street, Halifax Hovslagargatan, Stockholm Russia, Moscow FIM Financial Services • Funds • Structured Products • Asset Management • Brokerage • Investment Banking Paveletskaya sq. 2, bldg 3, 115054 Moscow, Russia 45 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Glitnir Seafood Team Iceland Magnús Bjarnason Executive Vice President International Banking Direct line: +354 440 4523 Mobile: +354 844 4523 [email protected] Bjarni Hjaltason Global Seafood Director Corporate Banking Direct line: +354 440 4788 Mobile: +354 844 4788 [email protected] Helgi Anton Eiríksson Executive Vice President Investment Banking Direct line: +354 440 4518 Mobile: +354 844 4518 [email protected] Kristján Th. Davídsson Managing Director Corporate Banking Iceland Direct line: +354 440 4517 Mobile: +354 844 4517 [email protected] Gudmundur Ragnarsson Senior Manager Corporate Banking Iceland Direct line: +354 440 4547 Mobile: +354 844 4547 [email protected] Hjálmur Nordal Director Corporate Banking Iceland Direct line: +354 - 440 4522 Mobile: +354 - 844 4522 [email protected] Valdimar Halldórsson Alexander Richter Analyst Direct line: +354 440 4638 Mobile: +354 844 4638 [email protected] Analyst Direct line: +354 440 4766 Mobile: +354 844 4766 [email protected] Guðmundur Hjaltason Executive Vice President Corporate Banking Direct line: +354 440 4515 Mobile: +354 844 4515 [email protected] Ragnar Gudjónsson Director Corporate Banking Iceland Direct line: +354 440 4550 Mobile: +354 844 4550 [email protected] Ásmundur Gíslason Analyst l Seafood Direct line: +354 440 4768 Mobile: +354 844 4768 [email protected] 46 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Glitnir Seafood – Regional Teams North America Jonathan Logan Managing Director North America Mobile: +1 (203) 979 5275 [email protected] Joe Fillmore Director Canada Direct: +1 (902) 429 3114 Mobile: +1 (902) 237 2114 [email protected] Ignacio Kleiman Head of Corporate Finance International Banking Direct: +1 (212) 922 0228 Mobile: +1 917 578 349 [email protected] Michael Richard Director United States Mobile: +1 (508) 878 0171 [email protected] Natasha Sideris Associate Canada Direct line: +1 (902) 429 3115 Mobile: +1 (902) 441 9190 [email protected] Asia Jiang Zhu Director Glitnir Rep. Office China Direct: +86 21 6101 0190 Mobile: +86 139 0161 1875 [email protected] Hafliði Sævarsson Analyst Glitnir Rep. Office China Direct: +86 21 6101 0191 Mobile: +86 138 1807 2218 [email protected] Bjartur Logi Ye Shen Analyst International Banking Direct: +354 440 4560 Mobile: +354 844 4560 [email protected] Eyþór Eyjólfsson Director – Japan and Ocenia International Banking Direct: +354 440 4738 Mobile: +354 844 4738 [email protected] Grace Liu Executive Assistant Glitnir Rep. Office China Direct: +86 21 6101 0191 Mobile: +86 136 6166 1660 [email protected] 47 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Glitnir Seafood – Regional Teams Europe/Nordic Kjartan Ólafsson Director Glitnir Securities - Norway Direct: +47 2287 8613 Mobile: +47 9592 6015 [email protected] Kristján Hjaltason Director Glitnir Bank - Denmark Direct: +45 - 8833 5081 Mobile: +45 - 5199 5081 [email protected] Henning Lund Analyst Glitnir Securities - Norway Direct: +47 2201 6347 Mobile: +47 9525 5839 [email protected] Ola Övrelid Bank Executive Glitnir Bank - Norway Direct: +47 7010 2026 Mobile: +47 9133 6733 [email protected] Glenn Kristiansen Director Glitnir Securities - Norway Direct: +47 - 2201 6392 Mobile: +47 – 9117 9105 [email protected] Kurt Kvalsvik Director Glitnir Bank - Norway Direct: +47 7010 2015 Mobile: +47 – 9480 9016 [email protected] South America Jón Garðar Guðmundsson Managing Director Emerging Markets Direct: +354 440 4516 Mobile: +354 844 4516 [email protected] Sverrir Ingi Ármannsson Analyst International Banking Direct: +354 440 4528 Mobile: +354 844 4528 [email protected] Hjörtur Thor Steindórsson Credit Manager International Corporate Credit Direct: +354 440 4503 Mobile: +354 844 4503 [email protected] Anna Rósa Róbertsdóttir Analyst Corporate Banking Direct: +354 440 4554 Mobile: +354 844 4554 [email protected] 48 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Glitnir Seafood Team – Other Members Timothy H. Spanos Executive Director International Corporate Credit Direct line: +354 440 4777 Mobile: +354 844 4777 [email protected] Tim Owen Executive Director Head of Corporate Finance, UK Direct line: +44(0) 20 7710 9130 Mobile: +44(0) 7843 512 092 [email protected] Eiríkur R. Eiríksson Senior Manager Corporate Risk Advisory Direct line: +354 440 4565 Mobile: +354 844 4565 [email protected] Gísli Sigurgeirsson Senior Manager International Corporate Credit Direct line: +354 440 4765 Mobile: +354 844 4765 [email protected] Atli Rafn Björnsson Director Corporate Finance Direct line: +354 440 4739 Mobile: +354 844 4739 [email protected] Ingi Rafnar Júlíusson Executive Director Capital Markets Direct line: +354 440 4459 Mobile: +354 844 4459 [email protected] Snorri Arnar Vidarsson Credit Officer Corporate Banking Iceland Direct line: +354 440 4771 Mobile: +354 844 4771 [email protected] Davíð Stefánsson Analyst Corporate Finance, UK Direct line: +44(0) 20 7710 9136 Mobile: +44(0) 788 795 4877 [email protected] Kyrre Dale Credit Manager | Glitnir Bank Seafood Credit, Norway Direct line: +47 7011 2034 Mobile: +47 9137 6551 [email protected] Rúnar Jónsson FX Brokerage Capital Markets Direct line: +354 440 4489 Mobile: +354 844 4489 [email protected] Stefán Eiríks Stefánsson FX Brokerage Capital Markets Direct line: +354 440 4483 Mobile: +354 844 4483 [email protected] 49 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China Legal Disclaimer All opinions and analyses represent the views of Glitnir at the time of writing and are subject to change without notice. Glitnir and its employees cannot be held responsible for any trading conducted on the basis of the information and views presented here. Glitnir may at any time have vested interests in individual companies, for example as an investor, creditor or service provider, but its opinions and analyses are produced independently by Glitnir Region Asia & Americas, based on publicly available information on the company in question. This Seafood Industry Report is written by Ásmundur Gíslason – Glitnir – Region Asia & Americas [email protected] Bjartur Logi Ye Shen – Glitnir – Region Asia & Americas [email protected] Valdimar Halldórsson – Glitnir – Research [email protected] 50 Glitnir Seafood Industry Report - China www.glitnirbank.com Seafood Web Pages www.glitnir.is/stockwatch www.glitnir.is/seafood 51 www.glitnir.is/seafood
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