FINAL REPORT FOR THE AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT DEPARTMENT OF THE ENVIRONMENT AND HERITAGE MAXIMISING THE CONSERVATION BENEFITS OF THE COMMERCIAL GOAT INDUSTRY IN AUSTRALIA Published June 2004 Prepared by: David M. Forsyth¹ and John P. Parkes² ¹ Arthur Rylah Institute for Environmental Research Department of Sustainability and Environment 123 Brown Street Heidelberg Victoria 3084 Australia ² Landcare Research P.O. Box 69 Lincoln 8152 New Zealand © Commonwealth of Australia (2004). Information contained in this publication may be copied or reproduced for study, research, information or educational purposes, subject to inclusion of an acknowledgment of the source. This report should be cited as: Forsyth, D.M. and Parkes, J.P. (2004). Maximising the conservation benefits of the commercial goat industry in Australia. The views and opinions expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the Commonwealth Government or the Minister for the Environment and Heritage. This project (ID number: 40499) was funded by the Australian Government Department of the Environment and Heritage through the national threat abatement component of the Natural Heritage Trust. 2 Contents Executive Summary..................................................................................................3 1. Introduction ..........................................................................................................7 2. Background ...........................................................................................................7 3. Objectives ..............................................................................................................8 4. Results....................................................................................................................8 4.1 Defining feral and domestic goats...................................................................8 4.2 Evaluating the risks of establishment of new populations of feral goats ......9 4.2.1 Extent of domestic goat farming in Australia...........................................9 4.2.2 Changes in the distribution and density of feral goats in Australia.......10 4.2.3 Conditions for establishment of new populations of feral goats............13 4.2.4 Predicting the future distribution of feral goats.....................................15 4.3 Current legal and regulatory instruments to define and manage goats .....16 4.3.1 Commonwealth legislation.....................................................................19 4.3.2 State and Territory legislation ...............................................................22 4.3.3 Local Government legislation ................................................................27 4.4 Commercial harvesting of feral goats ...........................................................27 4.4.1 History and structure of the feral goat harvest industry........................27 4.4.2 Factors affecting the sustainability of the feral goat harvest industry ..43 4.5 Commercial harvesting of feral pigs ............................................................46 4.5.1 History and structure of the feral pig harvest industry...........................46 4.5.2 Factors affecting the sustainability of the feral pig harvest industry .....54 4.6 Maximising conservation benefits of commercial harvesting of goats.........55 4.6.1 How much can commercial harvesting reduce goat densities? ...............56 4.6.2 Is this enough to provide conservation benefits? .....................................56 4.6.3 Harvesting scenarios................................................................................58 4.6.4 Management options to minimise threats from domestic goat farming ...62 4.7 Key policy issues, information gaps and recommended solutions ................63 4.7.1 Risks of new feral goat populations establishing ......................................63 4.7.2 Lack of information on current management chosen by landholders .......65 4.7.3 Relationships between livestock stocking rates and biodiversity, and how management can achieve the best biodiversity outcomes .....................................66 5. Summary of key recommendations..................................................................69 6. Acknowledgements ............................................................................................70 7. References...........................................................................................................70 3 Executive Summary Objectives 1. Review and evaluate methods developed for assessing the risks of new feral goat populations establishing through escapes from new and existing goat enterprises. 2. Describe the different legislative and policy instruments used by jurisdictions in Australia to manage feral and domestic goats, particularly as they affect commercial harvesting, and review their efficacy and utility in limiting the impact of feral goats on the environment and native biodiversity. 3. Describe the nature of the commercial harvesting industries for feral goats and feral pigs and their abilities to deliver sustained benefits to biodiversity values. 4. Consider whether the current or potential legal and policy instruments used to manage goats enhance or hinder the collateral benefits (if any) to the environment and native biodiversity. 5. Recommend changes to legal or policy instruments that might better benefit biodiversity outcomes. 6. Recommend research and other activities required to address gaps in knowledge that are needed to clarify the costs, constraints, and benefits of commercial harvesting as a method, either alone or in combination with others, to manage feral goats. Main findings Background information • The status of goats as feral or domestic animals is clear at the extremes. Domestic goats are those held under some combination of animal husbandry (owned, identified, restrained, managed for population structure and density, and receive welfare). Feral goats are free-living and not subject to livestock husbandry but may be ‘owned’ in the sense that access for harvesting or control is determined by the owner or occupier of the land. However, some goats have one or more of the domestic characteristics but in all other respects are indistinguishable from feral animals with no husbandry. This complicates enforcement of some legislation. • The number of truly domestic goats, mostly held for fibre production, has fallen from about 700 000 in the late 1980s to c. 200 000 at the last survey in 1998/99. The number of feral goats that have been domesticated (to varying extents) appears to be increasing. Feral goats occur over c. 1.2 million km2 of Australia. The distribution of feral goats appears to be stable in the semi-arid rangelands where their distribution is more continuous, but increasing in the western slopes of the main divide in eastern States where their distribution is patchier. • There is only anecdotal information on the causes of establishment of new feral goat populations. This is insufficient to categorise risks and to recommend defensible legislative or management changes to deal with this issue. 4 Commercial harvesting • We estimate that about 1 million feral goats were removed annually in 2001–2003 by commercial harvesting. Most of these goats were slaughtered at about 15 Australian abattoirs and exported as either frozen whole carcasses or frozen cuts. The numbers commercially harvested in 2001, 2002 and 2003 were similar to those harvested annually during the early 1990s. • From 2001–2003, between 70 000 and 100 000 goats (mostly feral) have been exported as live animals for slaughter at overseas abattoirs. The future of this industry is less certain than the meat export market. • Goats are either trapped at water in areas where they are forced to drink (the driest and hottest areas) or mustered. This has implications for supply at the abattoirs and potentially affects the profitability of some abattoirs. In Western Australia, most goats are trapped during October-March (when they must drink at stock watering points), and the supply to abattoirs is thus highly seasonal. In the eastern States, a larger proportion of goats appear to be mustered and the supply is more evenly spread through the year. • Landholders have many motives for capturing or mustering feral goats for sale. Some see feral goats as biodiversity pests and/or competitors with livestock and essentially subsidise their control to low densities by selling the animals. Others see feral goats as a profitable resource and either take large but infrequent harvests or regular sustained harvests. Others see feral goats as a means of controlling weeds, and harvest excess animals as a byproduct, resulting in high population densities. However, many landholders do not harvest feral goats despite current high prices for such goats. • The price paid to landholders and the costs of capture appear to be the main factor determining how many feral goats are commercially harvested. However, harvest at a property level is also influenced by many other factors including the purpose of the farming enterprise, the profitability of their main enterprise, range condition and de-stocking needs, occasional peer pressures and governmental regulations, and the need to control weeds. Governments can influence only some of these factors. Governments cannot easily influence market prices, but could improve the profitability of goat harvesting by taxes or subsidies that reduce the costs of capturing goats. Government can sometimes influence where domestic goats are held, where feral goats are controlled, and the timing of destocking via regulatory instruments - ideally based on range condition monitoring systems. − The Commonwealth government can influence the cost structures and profitability of the industry via regulations affecting the quality control chain (i.e., capture welfare, transport, identification rules, and inspection costs). − All governments may directly affect goat control (which may include some component of commercial harvesting) by conservation prioritysetting systems (for particular reserved land or species) and by funding through the Natural Heritage Trust. Some States specifically define the status of domestic and feral goats, indicate management responsibilities, and have the power to spend taxpayers’ money to 5 • • manage them should they choose to do so (WA, SA, Vic and QLD). Other States (NSW, Tasmania and NT) lack one or more of these factors in their legislation. − Local governments appear to have variable ability to spend ratepayers funds to manage goats depending on State legislation. However, few appear to do much, leaving it to landholders or their legal or voluntary organisations (e.g., Pastoral Boards and their equivalents, and Landcare groups). There are no data with which to evaluate whether or not commercial harvesting of feral goats provides any sustainable benefits to the environment or native biodiversity. However, the benefits will likely depend upon the densities to which goats are reduced, the habitat, and the values affected. The benefits are also likely to vary with rainfall and the numbers of other herbivores present. Commercial harvesting can also be used as a first step in any pest control strategy, although this can be compromised if the harvest becomes an end in itself. Commercial harvesting occurs in only part of the feral goat range (the semi-arid rangelands and parts of the rangelands west of the main divide). Not all native species listed as threatened by feral goats benefit from this harvest either because they occur outside the areas harvested or potentially because too many goats remain after harvesting. Key issues and information gaps Risks of new feral goat populations establishing • Goats that escape from captivity may move into goat-free areas and establish new populations, or may move into areas where feral goats are being controlled. • However, there is no information on the causes and frequency of events that lead to the establishment of new feral goat populations, and therefore on how managers should best deal with these risks. • Stricter goat-fencing standards and restrictions on holding domestic goats are not supported by the majority of landholders and goat meat producers. Lack of information on current management chosen by landholders • Management decisions on commercial harvesting are made at a property level, but there is no information on the proportion of landowners choosing different harvesting strategies. Therefore, the efficacy of any policy or legislation that attempts to change landholders’ behaviour with respect to commercial harvesting is unknown. Relationships between livestock stocking rates and biodiversity, and how management can achieve the best biodiversity outcomes • It is unclear how often feral goats are reduced by commercial harvesting to densities at which conservation benefits are achieved. Harvesting does reduce feral goat densities, but it has been insufficient to halt population increases over large areas where feral goat densities had been reduced by control or drought (e.g., the pastoral rangelands of Western Australia). It is unclear whether the harvesting has provided significant overall benefits for rangeland condition or biodiversity values. • Sustained high prices for goat products relative to sheep products could result in a change from lower densities of feral goats to higher densities of managed goats. 6 • The best long-term biodiversity outcomes would result from formally linking trends in biodiversity (from monitoring) to required changes in the abundance of livestock (of which goats are one component) and other herbivores. Hence, both managed and unmanaged (i.e., including feral goats) livestock should be included in stocking rates. Stocking rates would thus be determined by trends in biodiversity, and the costs of feral goat control would be borne by the landholder. Key recommendations 1. The Department of the Environment and Heritage and State conservation agencies should prioritise where they need to actively control goats independent of where commercial harvesting occurs. 2. States should encourage landowners who are not commercially harvesting feral goats to do so by promoting its financial benefits and noting tax incentives available for investment in infrastructure to capture goats. 3. A costed strategy with options for further action should be developed for use by landowners who wish to use commercial harvesting as the initial step to control feral goats as pests. 4. Future amendments to State ‘national park’ legislation should clarify the unwanted pest status of feral goats on lands in protected tenures, partly to avoid potential contradictory legal definitions of feral goats as actual or potential declared pests and as game animals. 5. State agencies should consider how to impose legal restrictions on the holding of domestic goats and for standards of management where they are permitted, but these should be commensurate with the risk such enterprises pose to the public good both in situ and on adjacent lands. 6. Laws to bring feral goats (where goats are permitted) under ‘stocking rate’ rules rather than ‘declared pests’ rules on leased and private land may provide better outcomes, but only if they are enforced and the effects monitored. 7. Landowners and leaseholders in the pastoral rangelands should be surveyed to ascertain their views on feral goats and their consequent management intentions (e.g., as resources, pests and weed control agents) for goats on their land. 8. The relationships between feral goat (and other herbivore) densities and biodiversity should be investigated at sites under different management strategies. 9. The benefits and costs to biodiversity of maintaining high densities of goats to manage exotic weeds should be determined experimentally. 7 1. Introduction The Department of the Environment and Heritage (DEH) has published a Threat Abatement Plan for feral goats (Capra hircus) (Environment Australia 1999). That plan aims to “prevent feral goats from occupying new areas in Australia” and “ensure that development of a commercial goat industry does not compromise conservation of native species or ecological communities”. In 2003, DEH commissioned the Arthur Rylah Institute for Environmental Research (Department of Sustainability and Environment, Victoria) to review aspects of the commercial goat industry, and that for feral pigs (Sus scrofa), with respect to maximising its potential benefits for biodiversity conservation in Australia. 2. Background Feral goats are one of five feral vertebrates in Australia listed under the Environment Protection and Biodiversity Conservation Act 1999 (EPBC Act) as a key threatening process. The others are feral cats (Felis catus), rabbits (Oryctolagus cuniculus), feral pigs (Sus scrofa), and foxes (Vulpes vulpes). However, feral goats also have economic value either exported live or as meat, and large numbers have been commercially harvested. There is no doubt that the size of some of these harvests can reduce feral goat populations and thus potentially reduce the impacts of feral goats on the environment and native biodiversity. The issues about this, from a conservation perspective, are: • Is commercial harvesting undertaken at scales sufficient to provide general benefits? • Where commercial harvesting is undertaken, is the harvest sufficient to reduce goat populations to protect the conservation values being threatened? • Even if it is enough, how frequently should harvesting or control be imposed to sustain the conservation benefits? This is the crux of the matter addressed in this report. If the goats are too valuable, relative to other livestock, it can (a) pay to sustain a regular harvest (a maximum economic yield) from a population that probably exceeds the level at which environmental damage is unacceptable, or (b) to take a large but infrequent harvest, allowing goat numbers to increase to levels that maximise the cost/benefit budget at each harvest but exceed damaging thresholds for part of the time. In theory, the best economic option for a landholder will depend on how goat densities (and so costs of harvesting) and market prices fluctuate. The best conservation outcome will depend on the length of time, timing with respect to rainfall, and the extent to which goat densities exceed levels that cause unacceptable damage to native species and communities or alter the trajectories of these ecosystems. However, landholders have a continuum of attitudes towards feral goats, ranging from ignoring goats as a commercial resource, to managing goats to maximise their profitability, to treating them as a pest. This report reviews the current commercial harvesting of feral goats and feral pigs, and attempts to identify conservation and environmental benefits and costs associated 8 with each of the above regimes, particularly in light of legislation that attempts to regulate their management. 3. Objectives 1. Review and evaluate methods developed for assessing the risks of establishing feral goat populations through escapees from new and existing goat enterprises. 2. Describe the different legislative and policy instruments used by jurisdictions in Australia to manage feral and domestic goats, particularly as they affect commercial harvesting, and review their efficacy and utility in limiting the impact of feral goats on the environment and native biodiversity. 3. Describe the nature of the commercial harvesting industries for feral goats and feral pigs and their abilities to deliver sustained benefits to biodiversity values. 4. Consider whether the current or potential legal and policy instruments used to manage goats enhance or hinder the collateral benefits (if any) to the environment and native biodiversity values. 5. Recommend changes to legal or policy instruments that might better benefit biodiversity outcomes. 6. Recommend research and other activities required to address gaps in knowledge that are needed to clarify the costs, constraints, and benefits of commercial harvesting as a method, either alone or in combination with others, to manage feral goats. 4. Results 4.1 Defining feral and domestic goats The biological and legal status of a goat, either as an owned domestic animal subject to livestock husbandry or as a free-living feral animal, is clear at the extremes. However, it is often unclear for animals that are only loosely managed but are owned, often only in the sense that they ‘go with the land’. An animal’s status can also change with circumstance, e.g., when an owned domestic goat escapes and is not recaptured, or when a feral animal is captured and used as livestock. Thus, ownership per se is not a particularly reliable factor to distinguish feral and domestic goats. Livestock husbandry and use are perhaps more reliable discriminators, but again this can be obscure for free-living populations that are infrequently harvested. Lack of certainty about which goats are domestic and which are feral on private and pastoral leasehold land can hamper effective policy and management. 9 State ‘national park’ legislation is often less than clear about the status of goats as ‘fauna’ or ‘pests’ on the tenures covered by these acts. Goats are often included, by implication, in the definitions of animals, fauna, or mammals and so not specifically distinguished from native and protected species. However, they are simultaneously defined as pests because of their listing as a key threatening process in the EPBC Act. The practical implication of this dichotomy appears to be that goats are often protected from casual or recreational shooting and harvesting but not from official control, presumably under the management planning rules in the acts, on land reserved for conservation purposes. State ‘agricultural’ legislation is often more specific about distinguishing feral from domestic goats, but varies on how to manage these differences. Our working definitions for this report are similar to those used by Freudenberger (1993) and Parkes et al. (1996a): Feral goat: Any free-living goat not subject to livestock husbandry. It may be ‘owned’ in the sense that access to it for harvesting or control is determined by the owner or occupier of the land on which it currently lives. Domestic goat: Any goat owned and subjected to livestock husbandry. Livestock husbandry would include at least one of such things as individual identification via ear tags or brands, provision of health care, constraints on the animals’ movements and location, and management of their sex ratios, breeding and population size to some target. 4.2 Evaluating the risks of establishment of new populations of feral goats There are four ways that new populations of feral goats might be established: • By escape and spread from existing domestic goat herds; • By in situ abandonment of domestic goat herds; • By translocation and release into the wild of domestic or feral goats to new areas they would not reach by natural dispersal; • By natural dispersal from current feral goat populations. Dispersal might be either into areas without goats or into areas where goats are under effective control. The terms of reference of this review are largely concerned with the first three ways of establishment and spread. However, given the uncertain status of many feral goat populations and their current wide distribution, we will also discuss the last case. In this section we summarise information on changes in distribution of feral goats at large and small scales, and speculate on the conditions that promote or inhibit establishment of new herds of goats - both domestic and feral. This information will then be used to give some context to our evaluation of potential methods to assess the risks and potential extent of feral goat range in Australia. 4.2.1 Extent of domestic goat farming in Australia Estimates of the numbers of domestic goats in Australia were collected in the annual agricultural survey conducted by the Australian Bureau of Statistics between 1981/82 10 Figure 1. Reported numbers of domestic goats held in Australia, 1981/82 to 1998/99. Source: Livestock and Livestock Products, Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Catalogue No. 7221.0. to 1998/99, but the question has not been included in the survey since 1998/99. The number of domestic goats in Australia peaked at nearly 700 000 in the late 1980s, with most being held in New South Wales (Parkes et al. 1996a). About 200 000 domestic goats were reported in the last survey (Fig. 1). The extent of the apparent changes need to be treated with some caution because the minimum ‘estimated value of the farming operation’ included in the survey has varied greatly: $2500 from 1981/82 – 1985/86, $20 000 from 1986/87 – 1991/92, $22 500 in 1992/93, and $5000 since 1993/94. The peak during the late 1980s is therefore likely to be underestimated because it did not include smaller enterprises. The data are also complicated by the likelihood that respondents reported feral goats as domestic in years when they were worth most. The data for all years do not include the large (but unknown) number of small domestic herds held as pets or for a variety of other purposes. These might total almost as much as the commercial domestic industry. There is no detailed information on where domestic goats are held. 4.2.2 Changes in the distribution and density of feral goats in Australia Feral goats occur over c. 1.2 million km2 (Fig. 2) or 16% of Australia and were estimated to number at least 2.6 million in 1996 (Parkes et al. 1996a). 11 Most of the published information on changes in feral goat distribution (and density) is at large scales, often State-wide, and often collected using aerial surveys. As far as the objectives of this report are concerned, changes at such a scale are useful only to record the gross symptoms of the problem or the general results of attempts to solve it. To identify the causes of the problem, there is a need to measure changes in distribution at the much smaller scale of populations, i.e., changes at the edge of current feral and domestic goat distributions. Changes in distributions at State or regional scales Maps of feral goat distribution and sometimes density at a national or State level have been published at various times since the 1970s. Most are based on aerial survey techniques used primarily to count kangaroos (Caughley and Grigg 1981). The method is limited in its ability to detect changes in the distribution and density of feral goats. First, density estimates should be corrected for differences in visibility (Bayliss and Yeomans 1989). Although many earlier surveys were not corrected for differences in visibility, most surveys appear to use correction factors (e.g., see Pople et al. 1996). Second, feral goats at low densities are difficult to detect, meaning that real changes in distribution may go undetected. This problem is likely to be acute at the low survey intensities employed for feral goats (1.3% coverage; see Pople et al. Area of feral goat commercial harvest Feral goat distribution Dingo Fence 0 900 1800 Kilometers N Figure 2. Distribution of feral goats in Australia. Note: This map, supplied by the Department of the Environment and Heritage, ‘smooths’ distributions where feral goats exist in patches (e.g., along the eastern parts of Queensland, New South Wales and Victoria, southern South Australia, southwest Western Australia, and in Tasmania). See Fig. 3 to show the effect of this when distribution is mapped at a finer scale. Note: This figure shows feral goats present in eastern Northern Territory, but our informants suggest none are present. 12 1996). Therefore, some reported increases in range might be an artifact of changing goat densities rather than real changes in their distribution. Third, the precision of aerial surveys is low and usually decreases as the density of feral goats declines. Hence, it is difficult to precisely estimate changes in feral goat abundance. Despite these caveats, broadscale surveys have shown some changes in goat densities and distributions over the last few decades (Table 1). Most of these large-scale maps focus on the extensive distributions of goats in the rangelands. Smaller feral goat populations are also patchily distributed outside the rangelands (e.g., along the main eastern dividing range; West and Saunders 2003) (Fig. 3). Patchiness and connectivity between goat populations within the rangeland and elsewhere are critical parameters in deciding which populations of pests might be eradicated and which must be controlled in perpetuity - a point to which we will return. Changes in distributions at local scales There is no information (published or otherwise) on the extent of establishment of new populations of goats, let alone when they are broken down into the four categories of spread described above. However, we can consider the site-specific processes that might increase or decrease the risk of spread and establishment of new herds at local scales. Figure 3. Distribution map of feral goats in New South Wales. Source: West and Saunders (2003). Note: a similar map is being compiled for Western Australia (A. Woolnough, Department of Agriculture, Western Australia, personal communication). 13 Table 1. Summary of information on the changes in distribution and density of feral goats in States and Territories. State/Territory Western Australia South Australia Survey years/period 1987; 1990 1990–1999 Queensland Northern Territory Trend in distribution Stable Perhaps decreased References 1999–2002 Increased by 64% Decreased under eradication campaign Increase 1978–1994 Stable Stable Pople et al. (1996) No information No information Parkes et al. (1996a); Anonymous (2002a) Down in west Up in east Stable Increased Increased Decreased to zero on mainland Increased Increased Decreased to zero on mainland Victoria New South Wales Trend in density 1992 1996; 2002 1982 1992 1999 1970s–2003 Southwell and Pickles (1993) A. Woolnough, personal communication A. Woolnough, unpublished data Southwell et al. (1993); West and Saunders (2003) Mitchell et al. (1982) Southwell et al. (1993); Thompson et al. (1999) Letts et al. (1979); Wurst and Saalfeld (1994); G. Edwards, personal communication Tasmania 1995 Down: under control ? down as new herds eradicated Diwell (1995) ACT - Down to near zero Down B. Woodruff, personal communication 4.2.3 Conditions for establishment of new populations of feral goats Whether domestic goats escape and establish new feral goat populations depends upon conditions in both the domestic populations and in the potential new range. Conditions in the domestic populations Establishment of new populations of feral goats obviously requires goats to arrive in new range. We propose three categories of risk: (a) Escape and spread from existing domestic goat herds: The risks of escape under this category will depend on the extent to which the herd is managed, which will depend on the purpose for which they are kept. Valuable goats are more likely to be effectively fenced or recaptured when they escape or stray than goats with lower value. Nevertheless, some escapes are inevitable even from intensively managed lands. Bomford (1991) noted that there are many examples of animals escaping as a result of natural disasters. There are legal requirements setting fencing standards that reduce this risk in some States (see section 4.3.2), but the issue becomes how to deal with the inevitable escapees. We discuss some options for proactive (enforcing fencing standards, and 14 banning goats from critical risk areas) or reactive (surveillance and control of escapees) management in section 4.7.1. The purpose for which domestic goats are held is likely to be the main risk factor in determining contribution to establishment of feral populations, both because of the degree of management imposed on the animals and the sort of places they are usually held. Our assessment is that the risks, in increasing order, are: • Fully domestic animals held for milk production. • Pets. • Fully domestic breeds held for meat production. • Fully domestic breeds held for fibre production. • Domesticated feral goats harvested for meat production. • Domesticated feral goats managed for weed control. There is anecdotal evidence that some domestic breeds of goats (e.g., angoras) have smaller home ranges and lower dispersal rates than others (e.g., domesticated ferals). However, we have no data on the actual scale of these risks taken from measurement of the incidences of escape from the various forms of domestication. Data on the proportion of goats with ear tags shot in control operations (if collected) might provide some insight into the prevalence of escapees. (b) In situ abandonment of domestic goats: The economics of keeping goats presumably determines the extent of this problem, although again (apart from anecdotal observations) we have no information yet on the scale of the problem. Proactive requirements to dispose of unwanted domestic goats would seem to be the only solution to this category of problem. (c) Translocation and release: Setting up new domestic goat farms in areas without goats is not generally constrained by law, although the deliberate release of goats into the wild is generally illegal. We have only anecdotal evidence of the latter (e.g., in the Angahook-Lorne State Park in Victoria). It generally appears to be motivated by the desire to establish a hunting resource. Conditions in the potential new range Three factors are likely to affect the ability of goats to establish a population in new range. (a) Habitat suitability: Recent work has shown that species of exotic mammals introduced into Australia (i.e., including feral goats) were more likely to establish a population if they had a larger area of climatically suitable habitat available (Bomford 2003; Forsyth et al. 2004). However, climatic suitability is only one component of habitat suitability, with both biotic and abiotic conditions likely to be important. Goats are hardy animals and can survive in habitats that extend from the sub-antarctic (e.g., on Auckland Island with ≥300 rain-days per year), to areas with no permanent water (e.g., on many islands such as Macauley [Kermadec Group] and Isabela [Galapagos Group]), to deserts. In hot and dry areas, such as the Australian semi-arid rangelands, goats cannot rely on 15 obtaining enough water in their food and need periodic access to drinking water. This is especially so in droughts and when the ambient temperatures are over c. 30ºC – they need to drink more than 5 litres per day when temperatures exceed 40°C (Norbury 1993). Thus, feral goat distributions (and densities) are likely to be limited by rainfall and/or the lack of drinking water in parts of Australia. Importantly, because domestic goats are likely to be held in areas where habitat suitability is high, adjacent new range is likely to be highly suitable for the establishment of new populations. (b) Propagule size: The numbers and sex-age classes of goats that arrive in the potential new range, or ‘propagule size’, has a strong theoretical and empirical basis for determining whether a population establishes or not (e.g., Komers and Curman 2000). For a sub-sample of ungulates introduced into New Zealand and Australia for which suitable data were available (not feral goats), there was a strong and positive relationship between the number of individuals introduced and introduction success (Forsyth and Duncan 2001; Forsyth et al. 2004). Although populations of ungulates sometimes established from just a single pair of animals, the probability of establishment increased up to about six individuals, after which nearly all introductions established populations. Since goats have similar life-history characteristics to the ungulates considered in those studies, it is possible that feral goats can establish populations from a pair of escapees. (c) Abundance of wild dogs: Feral goats are now largely absent where dogs are present (e.g., on the northern/western side of the dog fence; Fig. 2), although goats can persist if they have suitable refuge habitat where dogs are present but effectively controlled (Parkes et al. 1996a). We predict that new populations of feral goats are less likely to establish where wild dogs are present, but we do not know of any data with which to test this hypothesis. 4.2.4 Predicting the future distribution of feral goats It would be possible to map the distribution of domestic goats (currently unknown) and feral populations (currently known only at a broad scale; Figs. 2 and 3), and to predict the risks that either will spread or establish new feral goat populations by considering the parameters outlined above. Better information on the distribution of feral goats might become available from current initiatives from the Natural Resource Management Standing Committee’s Monitoring and Evaluation Working Group. This requires development of indicators of how management is reducing regionally significant pests. The data collected will need to be at a scale that would detect the edges of distributions with some precision to be useful in the context of this review. Predicting whether an area would sustain a population of goats should they arrive could be done by developing a model using the ‘constraints’ noted above: climatic suitability (assessed using CLIMATE [Pheloung 1996] or other such software), presence and absence of wild dogs, critical ambient temperatures, and the presence of 16 permanent drinking water. We note that Bomford (2003) developed a protocol for assessing the risk of exotic vertebrates establishing in Australia. However, her protocol was developed for species not yet established in the wild in Australia, and we suspect that other models would be more appropriate for predicting the further spread of a single species already widely distributed in Australia. Such models have been developed to predict the spread of weeds (e.g., Weber 2001) in Europe, but they have not been developed for vertebrate pests in Australia and would require a substantial research investment to make them useful. However, P. Fleming and S. McLeod (NSW Agriculture, personal communication) are estimating resource selection functions for feral goats at one site in New South Wales, and these functions could be used in a model predicting the dynamics of feral goats. We also note that a model has been developed for predicting the abundance of introduced brushtail possums (Trichosurus vulpecula) in New Zealand based on the presence/absence of habitat requirements (Fraser et al. 2004). However, given that domestic goats would be held in areas of highly suitable habitat, and that ungulates can establish populations from very small propagules (see above), we believe that domestic goats have a very high risk of establishing new populations in areas where wild dogs are absent. Predicting the rate at which goats might spread given they establish in a new area is more difficult, and probably highly site specific. However, dispersal rates of feral goats, where they have been measured, are low (0.4 km yr-1 in one study in New Zealand; Parkes 1993) compared with those of other ungulates (e.g., Caughley 1963). However, this dispersal rate comes from feral goats with small home ranges (<100 ha; Parkes in press) living in forest or scrub habitats with abundant water. Dispersal rates are likely to vary according to environmental conditions. Home ranges of feral goats in Australian rangelands can be very large - up to 588 km2 in one Western Australian radio-telemetry study where access to water appeared to determine movements (King 1992). However, the rate at which new range has been colonised has not been estimated. 4.3 Current legal and regulatory instruments to define and manage goats The Constitution of Australia empowers States to legislate for the management of the environment and land usage. State governments may devolve some powers down to local government, and are themselves influenced in the way they exercise their powers by Commonwealth legislation, particularly through funding and taxation legislation. Past reviews of feral goats in Australia have all noted the variable legal status of feral goats (Parkes et al. 1996a; Environment Australia 1999). Generally, State agriculture and land management legislation is used to define the status of feral goats with the aim of encouraging or enforcing people to act in the public good when the goats are pests (Table 2). State conservation legislation, such as National Parks acts, usually does not need to discriminate between domestic or feral status of exotic animals, and tends to be either silent on the particular status of goats, to class them as unprotected fauna, or to class them with vermin and exotic pests. These laws do not require managers to control goats in the same way that some ‘agricultural’ acts regulate 17 landholders’ behaviour. However, even when goats are not defined as pests, goat control is sanctioned either under the Commonwealth TAP process or via the management plans developed for each park or reserve. A summary of feral goat control operations conducted for conservation purposes can be extracted from the database in Reddiex et al. (2004). Thus, there are usually no legal obstructions against landholders or managers who want to control goats as pests on land of any tenure, although of course there can be constraints on how it can be done (e.g., compliance with animal welfare legislation). However, there are legal incentives for land managers to control goats as agents of land degradation under the Income Tax Assessment Act 1997 (section 387(a)). This provides tax deductions for the costs of fencing or control of pests such as feral goats. We note that it is unclear whether this incentive could be used to subsidise commercial harvesting that was not primarily done to achieve some initial population reduction that was to be followed by ongoing maintenance control, usually from densities where commercial harvesting is uneconomic (see section 4.6.3). The problem is not that goats cannot be managed, rather it is that landholders and managers sometimes have mixed views on their need, obligation, or ability to do so. Some see the animals as resources and see no need to manage them as pests. Some are reluctant to spend money on controlling goats as pests where their private costs are seen to provide a public good. Others might wish to control goats as pests but cannot afford to do so everywhere; we believe that most public conservation agencies are in this category. The legal ability of local governments to manage pests such as goats varies between States (see Cripps et al. [1999] for a major review of the legislation). Generally, all local governments have an obligation to set and implement land-use plans and to grant development approvals, but most of these processes focus on urban land. Many local governments are also managers of Crown-owned land, much of which can have significant conservation value that is or can be adversely affected by introduced pests. In addition, local governments have discretionary powers that enable them to assist community groups (e.g., Landcare groups) who may wish to manage feral goats. In summary, the ability of local governments to act against feral goats with legal or management actions is more constrained than that of State governments or landholders, as some funding instruments are not available in some States. However, a survey of 416 local governments (65.2% of the total) in 1999 and 2000 showed 15% had local bylaws that allowed them to control feral animals (Anonymous 2000a) (Table 3). The proportion of local governments actually managing pests (such as feral goats) was not part of the survey questionnaire (J. Pritchard, personal communication). 18 Table 2. Commonwealth and State/Territory Acts that define the status of goats and facilitate their management. Note: current proposals to change legislation or policy are noted in the text below. Jurisdiction Agency Act Commonwealth Department of the Environment and Heritage Environment Protection and Biodiversity Conservation Act 1999 Environment Protection and Biodiversity Conservation Act 1999 Agriculture and Related Resources Protection Act 1976 Land Administration Act 1997 Animal and Plant Control Act 1986 National Parks and Wildlife Act 1972 Catchment and Land protection Act 1994 Department of the Environment and Heritage Western Australia Agricultural Protection Board Pastoral Lands Board South Australia Victoria Animal and Plant Control Commission Department for Environment and Heritage Department of Sustainability and Environment Department of Sustainability and Environment New South Wales Parks and Wildlife Service Queensland Department of Natural Resources and Mines Environmental Protection Agency Northern Territory Tasmania Department of Primary Industries, Water and Environment Department of Status of feral goats and where they are managed Feral goats listed as a key threatening process. Who funds goat control? Threat Abatement components of the Natural Heritage Trust Feral goat control included in some threatened species recovery plans Recovery Planning components of the Natural Heritage Trust “Declared pest” unless fenced and tagged Landholder “prohibited stock” unless held with permit (but see below) Landholder “Declared pest” Landholder “vermin and exotic animals” State via National Parks Goats listed as “established pest”, all tenures National Parks Act 1975 Exotic fauna to be exterminated in National and State parks Landholder and potentially via Catchment Management Authorities Parks Victoria via Parks Victoria Act 1998 Rural Lands Protection Act 1998 Game and Feral Animal Control Act 2002 National Park and Wildlife Act 1974 Land Protection (Pest and Stock Route Management) Act 1985 Environmental Protection Act 1994 Territory Parks and Wildlife Conservation Act 2001 National Parks and Reserves Management Act 2002; Nature Conservation Act 2002 Stock Act 1932; Regional declaration as pesta Landholder “Wild” goats deemed as game Landholder may see goats as resource? “unprotected fauna” Park management plans “Declared pest” Landholder No goats in NT, so no need to declare as pest Landholder if declared Not defined but management possible under management plans Unowned goats are feral and may 19 Primary Industries, Water and Environment ACT a Animal Health Act be controlled with approval of Chief Veterinary Officer Land (Planning and Environment) Act No exotic species declared as pests Landholder There is a capacity to declare feral goats a pest in NSW, but this has not been done (P. Fleming, NSW Agriculture, personal communication). Table 3. Number of local governments reporting having by-laws to manage feral animals (after National Local Government Biodiversity Strategy Implementation Project Stage 1; www.alga.com.au). State/Territory NSW VIC QLD TAS SA WA NT Number of local governments 177 78 135 29 67 143 7 Number responding 131 61 50 27 60 83 5 Number with ability to manage feral pests 11 14 24 0 9 4 0 4.3.1 Commonwealth legislation The Environment Protection and Biodiversity Conservation Act 1999 is administered by the Department of the Environment and Heritage and determines that feral goats are a key threatening process. However, the EPBC Act does not clearly define whether a goat is feral or domestic. This is left to the Threat Abatement Plan for feral goats (TAP), which uses the definition of ‘feral’ used by Parkes et al. (1996a) “as those animals which have escaped the ownership, management and control of people and are living and reproducing in the wild”. This is a biological definition of feral, but as we have noted in section 4.1, it can leave the legal status of some goats uncertain, e.g., where a population might be indistinguishable from biologically feral animals but is ‘owned’ in the sense that the goats go with the land and are used as, for example, a harvestable resource. The process of developing and implementing a TAP requires diagnosis of which native species and communities are threatened by feral goats, and thus determines where the goats are to be managed by coincidence of the threatened species/ communities with feral goat populations. Feral goats are diagnosed as a threat to 18 native species (Table 4). Goats also adversely affect many less-threatened and common species and more generally communities and ecosystems (Auld 1993). However, one focus of the terms of reference of this report was threatened species and communities, and two issues are (a) whether commercial harvesting of goats occurs (or could occur) in areas with these threatened species, and (b) if it does occur is it sufficient to remove the threat? Goats are harvested (or harvestable) only in some parts of their current range (Allen et al. 1995; see Fig. 4). This coincides with some parts of the range of malleefowl (Fig. 4), 20 Table 4. Species known or potentially threatened by feral goats and the likelihood that the distribution of the threatened species overlaps feral goats that might be commercially harvested. Source: Schedule 1 of the Endangered Species Protection Act 1992; see www.deh.gov.au/biodiversity/threatened/tap/goats. 1Environmental Resources Information Network, Department of the Environment and Heritage. Threatened species Current distribution Malleefowl (Leipoa ocellata) See Fig. 4 W. thick-billed grasswren (Amytornis textilis textilis) Peron Peninsula and nearby pastoral stations, WA Overlap with commercial harvest of goats? Partial: central WA, eastern SA, NSW Yes; the pastoral stations commercially harvest feral goats References Kangaroo Island glossy black cockatoo (Calyptorhynchus lathami halmaturinus) Kangaroo Island, SA None DEH Black-footed rock wallaby (Petrogale lateralis) See Fig. 4 North-west WA, rocky habitats but goats may be harvested in adjacent area DEH Brush-tail rock wallaby (Petrogale penicillata) See Fig. 4 Most of range, rocky habitats but may be adjacent to harvested goats DEH Yellow-footed rock wallaby (Petrogale xanthopus) See Fig. 4 Most of range, rocky habitats but may be adjacent to harvested goats DEH Shark Bay mouse (Pseudomys fieldii) Some WA islands; re-established at Shark Bay Possible at Shark Bay, but goat population under active control Morris et al. (1992) Spidery wattle (Acacia araneosa) Mid-east of SA Probable DEH Grampians pincushion lily (Borya mirabilis) Grampians, Victoria. None C. Miller, Parks Victoria, personal communication Cynanchum elegans Eastern NSW Unknown Anonymous (2002b) Dragon orchid (Drakonorchis drakeoides) 14 populations in WA Possibly at one population near Coorow Holland et al. (1999) Salt pipewort (Eriocaulon carsonii) Artesian mounds in SA, NSW and Qld Possible at most sites Chambers et al. (2002) Grevillea beadleana Northern NSW Unknown Anonymous (2002c) Grevillea floripendula Central Victoria None DEH Grevillea iaspicula Central NSW Unknown DEH Westringia crassifolia Western Victoria None Diez et al. (1999) Brachyscome muelleri Southern SA None DEH Purple copper butterfly (Paralucia spinifera) NSW Probable DEH Benshemesh (2000) 1 DEH ; A. Woolnough, Department of Agriculture, WA, unpublished data 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 21 Feral goat distribution Area of feral goat commercial harvest Brush-tailed rock-wallaby distribution Yellow-footed rock-wallaby distribution Malleefowl distribution 0 900 1800 Kilometers N Figure 4. Areas in which feral goats are currently commercially harvested, and the distribution of two threatened species (a) mallee fowl and (b) rock wallabies for which feral goats have been defined as a threatening process. the salt pipewort and the hinged dragon orchid. The three rock wallaby species are often sympatric with feral goats, but not necessarily in areas where goats are harvested (e.g., brush-tail rock wallabies) and even where they are (e.g. for yellowfooted rock wallabies, goats are not usually harvested directly from the rocky habitat the wallabies prefer although they are often captured from adjacent areas (Fig. 4). The whipstick shrub occurs in areas from which no commercial harvesting of goats occurs. Recent Commonwealth funding for goat control has been directed at major regional initiatives such as broad-scale goat control in Western Australia, an integrated pest and weed control program (Operation Bounceback) in the Flinders Ranges in South Australia), eradication of isolated populations of feral goats in Tasmania and on offshore islands around Australia, some of which are now funded under the regional NHT process. Current DEH projects tend to focus on clarifying more generic problems associated with the management of goats rather than on control per se. The Threat Abatement Plan for goats has 10 objectives, five of which (and particularly the last two) are directly served by the terms of reference for this report: 1. Promote the recovery of species and ecological communities that are endangered or vulnerable due to competition by feral goats. 2. Arrest land degradation caused by feral goats and promote recovery of degraded areas to a condition that maximises the chances of long-term 22 survival of endangered and vulnerable native species and ecological communities affected by such degradation. 3. Eradicate goats from islands or isolated areas where they are a threat to endangered or vulnerable native species or ecological communities. 4. Prevent feral goats occupying new areas in Australia where they may threaten species or ecological communities with extinction. 5. Ensure that development of a commercial goat industry does not compromise conservation of native species or ecological communities. The latter three objectives are relevant to managing new populations, and depending on the actions that might flow from them, might be seen as reactive (in 3 and 4) and proactive (in 4 and 5). 4.3.2 State and Territory legislation Western Australian legislation Three Western Australian Acts impinge on the legal status and management of goats; the Agriculture and Related Resources Protection Act 1976 and its declared animal regulations administered by the Agricultural Protection Board, the Land Administration Act 1997 administered by the Pastoral Lands Board, and the Soil and Land Conservation Act 1945 administered by the Soil and Land Conservation Council. The aims of the last Act are delivered in practice by the conditions set out in the first two Acts. All feral goats are declared pests of agriculture under the Agricultural and Related Resources Protection Act 1976. Domestic goats in the agricultural zone of the State (Fig. 2) must be held behind effective fences and carry individual identification, and are subject to regulations common to all livestock (Gray and Massam 2001). Establishment of new domestic herds from feral goats (usually caught in the pastoral zone) is subject to Agricultural Protection Board ‘keeping requirements’ (Gray and Massam 2001). Basically, if the feral animals have been domesticated on pastoral properties approved by the Pastoral Lands Board (re-domestication is defined as being marked and trained to respect fences) they can be moved to the agricultural zone with appropriate waybills (Livestock Identification and Movement: Sheep and Goats Agdex 400/28). If feral goats do not meet these requirements, anyone wishing to hold them in the agricultural areas must obtain a permit. This requires identification of where they are to be held, possible site inspection by an officer of the Department, approved fencing standards, reporting of any escapees, conditions on re-sale and disposal, and with more stringent rules for a few areas in the east of the agricultural zone (Gray and Massam 2001). Generally, once the Department is satisfied that the process of re-domestication has been completed, keeping permits need not be renewed. Feral goats not held under permit or not meeting these rules are supposed to be controlled by the landholder or leaseholder. Little or no commercial harvesting of feral goats occurs in the agricultural areas of the State. Most goats in Western Australia live in the pastoral lease rangeland (Fig. 3), which is mostly administered by the Pastoral Lands Board. Here, all feral goats were classed as ‘prohibited stock’ unless held under a permit. A permit required that the goats had to be earmarked or tagged, held behind fences of approved standards, and at approved 23 stocking rates – all to be reviewed annually. However, most pastoral leases with goats do not have permits, but many nevertheless harvest them as a commercial resource, which left their obligation to control feral goats as pests or prohibited stock somewhat vague. During the 1990s, Land Conservation District Committees supported by the Agriculture Protection Board and the Department of Agriculture coordinated a largescale feral goat control campaign with the aim of eradicating feral goats. Commercial harvesting was seen as the first step in reducing population densities to levels that could then be removed by other control methods (Pickles 1992). Millions of goats were removed, but the commercialisation tool proved to be the Achilles heel of the campaign as the price for feral goats increased in the late 1990s encouraging landholders to sustain harvests rather than continue the attempt at eradication – the latter of dubious feasibility in any event! The failure of the eradication campaign, the inability to enforce the permit requirements of the Land Administration Act, and the high price of feral goats has led to a reconsideration of the best way to manage goats in the pastoral lease rangelands. The State is attempting to clearly distinguish between managed domestic goats as livestock and the control of feral goats as pests. In essence, it is proposed to amend the law to change goats from an ‘authorised’ or ‘prohibited’ set of definitions and practices to a ‘managed’ or ‘unmanaged’ set of definitions and practices in amendments to the Land Administration Act. Managed goats will have to be held under a property management plan that includes rangeland condition monitoring (the Department of Agriculture monitors about 1600 sites in the WA rangelands at 3 or 6 yr intervals; Department for Planning and Infrastructure 2003a,b), stocking rate management during droughts, husbandry such as fencing and management of herd structure, TGM (Total Grazing Management) capture yards, and provision of animal welfare. There is debate about the need for individual identification of the animals. Breaches of these conditions can lead to fines, suspension of the lease, treatment notices to remove excess goats at a cost to the leaseholder. It is proposed to ban goat enterprises from the Pilbara and Kimberley regions. Aerial surveys to estimate goat densities were done on all pastoral leases likely to have feral goats between 1997 and 2002, but results had no effect on any control enforcement and this monitoring program ceased. Although ‘feral animals’ are seen as one of several factors contributing to changes in rangeland condition (Department for Planning and Infrastructure 2003b), it remains to be seen whether any declines in range condition (based on the long-term monitoring sites) will lead to enforcement of current feral goat legislation. There is uncertainty about whether the tenure-specific Land Administration Act takes precedence over the non-specific Agricultural and Related Resources Protection Act in the pastoral lease lands in Western Australia. If goats in the pastoral lease land were changed to authorised stock (which would enforce their management as part of the lease conditions) their declaration under the latter Act would have to be revoked. Conservation land in the State is administered by the Department of Conservation and Land Management (CALM) under the Conservation and Land Management Act 1984 and the Wildlife Conservation Act 1950. Goats are not specifically defined in either 24 act, although only indigenous fauna are protected under the latter act. Goats as pests are dealt with under management plans for each park. About 23 million ha of Western Australia is under various protected tenures administered by CALM. Importantly for this report, CALM has purchased 25 pastoral leases (4.3 million ha) and part of 18 others of the 496 leases in the rangelands in the State (Dalton and Bright 2003), i.e., where commercial harvesting of goats is common. Destocking and closure of artificial water sources to reduce herbivory by domestic, feral and native animals (kangaroos) is one management action being implemented on these new conservation reserves. A consequence of this is that commercial harvesting of feral goats declines as both goats and trappable water points decline – good for the range and biodiversity (e.g., Landsberg et al. 1997) but not for the sustainability of the goat harvesting industry on these properties. South Australian legislation Feral goats are ‘declared’ animals under the Animal and Plant Control (Agricultural Protection and Other Purposes) Act 1986 administered by the Animal and Plant Control Commission. Vertebrate pest control is the responsibility of the landowner. The role of the Animal and Plant Control Commission and of the local Animal and Plant Control Boards is to ensure the requirements of the Act are fulfilled, to provide advice, and, in the case of non-compliance, to undertake control at the landholder’s expense. Domestic and feral goats are distinguished in the Animal and Plant Control Act. Domestic goats must be owned, permanently marked and confined within goat-proof fences. A permit is required to recapture feral goats that are brought back into such a domestic state. Thus, by implication any unmarked goat is a feral animal, and any marked animal not held by effective fencing is a feral animal. The Commission has also been aiming to eradicate feral goats from areas such as the Flinders Ranges (R. Henzell, Animal and Plant Pest Control Commission, personal communication). To support this aim, all new domestic goat herds were banned in the area (and most islands off the South Australian coast), and any existing herds had to be held under permit with identification and fencing requirements. The Commission produced a policy relating to feral goats to support these laws and regulations (Anonymous 1998). It also banned the release of captured feral goats (e.g., small, non-commercial animals had to be slaughtered at capture rather than released), placed an obligation on owners to recover escaped domestic goats, and set rules for holding captured feral goats before they were sent to the abattoirs. Public comment on the policy has led to some changes, particularly in relation to the ‘banned’ area rules. A risk assessment model has been produced to balance the potential benefits of domestic goat farming against the risks they pose if they should escape. When the risk assessment procedure is implemented, the prohibition zone in the Flinders Ranges will be abolished, and goats will be able to be kept in any part of South Australia provided the risk assessment criteria are passed, subject to other statutory requirements. Properties that include major waterways or areas of rugged or densely vegetated terrain will probably have to fence these off from the goats in order to pass risk assessment. In practice, landowners with properties in very rugged parts of the Flinders and Mt. Lofty Ranges will find it very difficult to meet the criteria 25 (R. Henzell, Animal and Plant Pest Control Commission, personal communication). On land held under pastoral lease in the northern Pastoral Zone (Pastoral Land Management and Conservation Act 1989) the Pastoral Board has to approve any goat farming enterprise under its ‘changed land use’ process before any risk assessment will be considered. Permits will not be required to farm goats in areas (a) safely distant from various protected tenures such as National Parks, (b) not in an area of concern, (c) when the type of goat held presents minimal risks, and (d) and the goats are identifiable. The Department for Environment and Heritage administers the National Parks and Wildlife Act 1972 that obliges managers to control ‘vermin and exotic animals’ as part of its management objectives. About 22 million ha of South Australia is under various protected tenures (Department for Environment, Heritage and Aboriginal Affairs 1998). However, the proportion of this protected land inhabited by feral goats is unknown. Victorian legislation The main Act concerning the management of feral goats is the Catchment and Land Protection Act 1994 administered by the Department of Sustainability and Environment. Feral goats are defined as ‘established pest animals’ in that Act, and they could be listed (but currently are not) as a threatening process under the Flora and Fauna Guarantee Act 2000. The State has 10 Catchment Management Authorities (CMAs) that are responsible for a wide range of natural resource management that can include weed and pest control. The Act requires land managers (both public and private) to manage pest animals, such as goats, on their land. An Authority may enforce control or eradication via a ‘land management notice’, and may seek penalties of up to $6000 against people who keep, sell or release ‘established pests’ – which, we note, may potentially impose constraints on feral goat harvesting if enforced! The CMAs do not have a substantial in-house pest control ‘delivery’ function (c.f., Rural Land Protection Boards in NSW) but can coordinate pest control by community groups such as Landcare groups. The National Parks Act 1975 and the Flora and Fauna Guarantee Act 2000 also affect goat control in Victoria. The National Parks Act requires exotic fauna (except some deer species) to be exterminated from National and State Parks. Management of reserved land in Victoria is carried out by a stand-alone service delivery agency, Parks Victoria, which may provide actions such as pest control to any landowner. Parks Victoria has ‘management services agreement with the Department of Sustainability and Environment for management on State lands’. New South Wales legislation The Rural Lands Protection Act 1998 set up Rural Lands Protection Boards that can levy rates and set stocking rates on private and pastoral lease lands in New South Wales. Part 11 of this act allows animals to be declared as pests and thus impose obligations on landholders to control them. Feral goats are not so listed, but Boards may control them at the request of any landholder. 26 The Game and Feral Animal Control Act 2002 lists goats in the wild as ‘game’ under section 5(2). Animals in this section may be hunted without a game licence on private land, or by officers of Rural Lands Protection Boards or local governments on any lands while performing their duties. The Act does not apply to most public lands held under the National Parks and Wildlife Act 1974. Elsewhere and under other than the circumstances excepted above, goat hunters would require a licence to shoot them. The National Park and Wildlife Act 1974 lists goats (as Artiodactyla) in a schedule of unprotected fauna, but is otherwise silent on their management. Control campaigns in conservation lands are done under each park’s management plan. Queensland legislation Feral goats are declared as Class 2 pests under the Land Protection (Pest and Stock Route Management) Act 2002. This recognises their adverse affects on production and environmental values and obliges landholders to take reasonable steps to control them. Control delivery on private lands is via local government instruments, the Rural Lands Protection Boards. The Stock Identification Regulation 1985 requires all holdings of more than 11 farmed goats to be registered and the animals tagged. The Parks and Wildlife Service of the Environmental Protection Agency manages protected areas in the State and has an obligation under the Environmental protection Act 1994 and the Nature Conservation Act 1992 to manage introduced pests such as goats. The State has developed a draft pest animal strategy (Anonymous 2000b) that in part suggests how the various stakeholders in pest control might better coordinate pest control. The primary act is currently being reviewed, in part to clarify the status of feral versus domestic goats. Northern Territory legislation The Territory Parks and Wildlife Conservation Act 2001 allows any feral animal to be declared a pest and controlled in nominated areas. There are currently no feral goat herds (Letts et al. 1979) and few (if any) domestic herds (G. Edwards, personal communication; c.f. Fig. 2) on the mainland in the Northern Territory and it is illegal to liberate them into the wild. The absence of feral goats is thought to be due to the presence of dingoes. The Act sets some rules to determine whether a species might be declared a pest. A goat population would have to spread and establish and be not easily controlled before it could be declared, and these rules might distinguish a domestic herd from a feral one. Tasmanian legislation Goats are not defined under Tasmanian law except as a feral animal under the Animal Health Act 1995 where they may be controlled as an animal disease risk under the discretion of the Chief Veterinary Officer. 27 The National Parks and Wildlife Act is silent on the status of goats. However, this has not stopped the Parks and Wildlife Service from eradicating many of the feral goat populations that established after an enthusiasm for goat farming in the 1980s. ACT legislation The Land (Planning and Environment) Act 1991 allows for animals such as feral goats to be declared as pests, although none have yet been. A new plant and animal pest act is in preparation. Landholders and managers are able to control non-native animals. The Nature Conservation Act 1980 also allows pest organisms to be prohibited or controlled to protect native biota. Goats were largely removed from the ACT during the early 1990s, and the 2003 bush fires accounted for most of the rest. There are no goat farms in the ACT (B. Woodruff, ACT Parks and Conservation Service, personal communication). Thus, there seems little justification to declare goats as pests. 4.3.3 Local Government legislation State Governments may devolve some land management responsibilities to Local Governments that may manage such things as feral animals by a variety of planning and regulatory instruments such as local laws, and planning schemes and policies within the State legislative framework (Berwick and Thorman 2000). The ability of Local Governments to actually do this varies considerably between States (Cripps et al. 1999; and see above under the State summaries), and the amount actually done is unknown. We suspect that most local authorities in rural areas leave feral animal control to the appropriate agency (Rural Lands Protection Boards or their equivalents). 4.4 Commercial harvesting of feral goats 4.4.1 History and structure of the feral goat harvest industry Feral goats have been harvested for four main uses: domesticated to establish farmed breeding stock, as meat for either export or local consumption (now all processed through abattoirs but, in the past, with some shot in the field and exported as game meat), and export as live animals for slaughter at destination (Fig. 5). Harvesting methods Commercial harvesters use two main methods to capture feral goats: trapping at watering points using one-way spear gates or jump-down entrances (e.g., McRae 1984; Diver 1991; Sullivan 1992; Bellchambers 2004) and mustering (Parkes et al. 1996a). In NSW, landholders were surveyed about goat control methods they used in 2002. In the western rangelands, 61% mustered goats and 29% trapped on water – the rest used aerial or ground shooting or other control methods. However, in the eastern parts of the State, most harvesting was by mustering (West and Saunders 2003). In the pastoral zone of Western Australia, most goats are captured by trapping at water (G. Pickles, Department of Agriculture, Western Australia, personal communication). 28 Farmed goats Feral goats Live goat exporters Slaughtered overseas Abattoirs (often acting as own marketer) Export meat Domestic meat (retail, restaurant, smallgoods and pet food) Figure 5. Structure of the goat harvesting and processing industry in Australia (after Holst 1990). Domestication as breeding stock for fibre or meat production Domesticated feral goats formed the basis of the Australian domestic goat industry. For example, Restall (1982) found that 72% of feral does in western New South Wales had commercially recoverable fibre, and Johnson (1985) claimed that 30% of feral goats in parts of Western Australia could produce commercial quantities of cashmere. The process of domestication has been to cross pure-bred angora bucks with selected feral does and with the progeny for five generations to result in a nearpure angora (Ramsay 1994). Some farmers are now mustering and constraining feral does and crossing with pure-bred Boer bucks to produce offspring with better carcass characteristics (D.M. Forsyth and J.P. Parkes, personal observation). Re-domestication as weed controllers Goats can be effective at controlling exotic weeds such as blackberry (Rubus fruticosa), St John’s wort (Hypericum perforatum), sweet brier (Rosa rubiginosa), and native woody weeds - where pasture rather than woody vegetation is the aim such as hopbush (Dodonaea spp.), Acacia spp. Eremophila spp. (Wilson et al. 1975; Vere and Holst 1979, Davies 1982; Peirce 1991; Allan et al. 1993; Parkes et al. 1996a and references therein). Generally, the goats have to be run at high densities (that are likely to vary with the effects of rainfall) before they effectively suppress the weeds and their regeneration, but not so high that they damage pasture and compete with sheep. Attempts to identify optimal densities of goats (and sheep) have proved difficult (e.g., Markwick et al. 1992; Cobon et al. 1992) but are tractable. The questions requiring answers are: 29 • • What density of goats is required to effectively control the weeds, and how does this change as weed densities decline and as total vegetation biomass and structure changes due to rainfall? What are the consequent changes in desirable vegetation (for both production purposes and for improved biodiversity) from the reduction in weeds (positive and negative) and the changing densities of goats and sheep (positive and negative)? Captured and exported alive Goats were first exported live, to the Middle East, in 1982/83. Most such goats are destined for slaughter although a few are used for breeding (Ramsay 1994). Some goats have been exported by air, generally up to 500 at a time (e.g., c. 11% of the total of all goats [feral and domestic] in 2002) but currently most are shipped by sea. More than 1 million goats have been exported live since 1982 (Fig. 6). Since 1990, more than 880 000 goats have been exported live, but the number exported annually has varied between less than 14 000 (in 1995) and 136 000 (in 2002; Table 5). Destinations have also changed. The United Arab Emirates was the primary importer of live goats until the early 1990s, and Saudi Arabia was an important destination until August 2003, after which all live animal exports were suspended to that country as a consequence of problems with sheep exports. Malaysia has been a growing market in recent years (Fig. 6). Some of these changes are due to competition from other exporting countries such as India, Pakistan, Syria, and Turkey (Hughes 1987), although Australia remains the largest supplier to the above markets (www.livecorp.com.au/Statistics_Goats_Dest.asp, 23 July 2003). The characteristics of goats desired for slaughter by the various importing countries varies, but can be broadly defined as follows (http://www.mla.com.au, 16 July 2003). Saudi Arabia demands male goats (no females permitted) of all breeds (but with a preference for Boer or Boer cross) that weigh ≥25 kg. The goats must not be older than six-tooth and must be farmed/domesticated (i.e., born behind wire and raised in captivity since birth). Other Middle East countries accept male and female goats of all breeds and ≥25 kg, but prefer young goats. Malaysia accepts male and female goats of all breeds, but they must be ≥40 kg. The live goat market in the Middle East fluctuates as Australian exporters compete with those from India and Iran; prices in this market are more influenced by the quantity of stock in the market, not only of goats but also of Australian sheep (Coffey MPW Pty Ltd 1994). Western Australia has dominated the live export market since 1990, although many were exported from Victoria (Portland) in 1990/91 and from South Australia in 1992 and again in 2001, 2002 and 2003 (Table 5). Apart from 1999, few goats have been exported live from either Queensland or New South Wales in recent years. 30 Figure 6. Destinations of live goats exported from Australia, 1989/90–2001/02. Data were provided by P. Stinson, Livecorp. Note that for clarity the small amounts that went to ‘other countries’ are not shown (see text). Table 5. The number of live goats exported by State, 1990–2003. Data from Livecorp, www.livecorp.com.au/Statistics_Goats.asp, 12 February 2004. State NSW NT QLD SA Tas Vic WA Total 1990 11529 680 6018 2784 48 53515 14337 88911 1991 11758 1825 3973 2154 0 5860 48212 73782 1992 9515 273 644 41149 4 5723 17685 74993 1993 5743 689 722 1383 585 1354 14793 25269 1994 3614 92 450 960 0 1450 21653 28219 1995 945 150 3 303 0 1377 10998 13776 Year 1996 5825 100 1286 613 0 4297 22562 35093 1997 8241 100 410 6081 0 3617 35385 53834 1998 513 748 957 650 0 3544 52813 59225 1999 15099 4771 15012 1258 0 1021 28989 66150 2000 14 1587 5620 3224 0 2757 38099 51301 2001 1037 2865 1177 22687 0 8889 69326 106019 2002 4727 6089 8741 16416 0 45191 54961 136125 2003 7251 9497 1018 17576 0 5642 29749 70733 31 Apart from constraints of consistent supply and quality of supply, expansion of the live goat export trade is governed by the Australian Meat and Livestock Industry Act 1997. That Act gave rise to the Australian Meat and Livestock Industry (Export Licensing) Regulations 1998 and the Australian Meat and Livestock Industry Orders; these contain specific regulations for exporting goats. There has recently been concern about the high rates of mortality on voyages. For the 140 live goat export voyages between September 2000 and October 2002, the average mortality rate was 1.41%. However, 23 ships exceeded the trigger level of 2%, with 10 exceeding 4% (More and Brightling 2003). It was recommended that “from 1 January 2005, captured feral goats are not selected for export live, regardless of voyage duration” (More and Brightling 2003). It was acknowledged that “on-farm investment and management change is needed to meet the proposed live goat export requirements” for presently feral goats from Western Australia. Slaughtered at abattoirs in Australia and exported (a) Number of goats: Australia began exporting goat meat in 1952 (SCARM 1982), and is now the world’s largest supplier of chilled and frozen goat meat (Ramsay 1994; Meat & Livestock Australia 2000). According to FAO statistics summarised by Meat & Livestock Australia (2000), Australia exported 7959 tonnes of goat meat in 1998, c. 47% of total global exports; France shipped 2255 tonnes and New Zealand 1477 tonnes. Ramsay (1994) claimed that most goats slaughtered for export were/are of feral origin, but that animals from domestic herds are also slaughtered. Cribb (1991) provided figures suggesting that the domestic goat industry is primarily concerned with fibre production but pointed out that many domestic goats are slaughtered because they have poor fibre-producing characteristics rather than for their meat characteristics. In 1994, 75% of goat meat was estimated to be sourced from feral animals, and 25% from culls from fibre and dairy herds (Pender et al. 1994; AgriFocus Pty Ltd undated a). It is likely that the proportion of feral goats in the current totals exported has increased in recent years (see below). The quantity of goat meat exported steadily increased in the 1980s from 4513 tonnes in 1981/82 to between 8000–15 000 tonnes yr-1 since 1990/91 (Fig. 7). The amount exported before 1981/82 and the numbers these tonnages represent before 1998 are unknown. Nearly all of Australia’s goat meat is exported frozen, with about 85% as whole carcasses (Holst 1990). Between c. 500 000 and 1 100 000 goat carcasses (feral and domestic combined) were inspected annually by Australian Quarantine and Inspection Service (AQIS) veterinarians at abattoirs since 1998 (Table 6). Some explanation of this table and caveats on data reliability are required to allow us to make an estimate of the number of feral goats removed from the wild each year (Table 7): • The State tallies do not always represent where the goats were harvested. For example, most of those inspected in Victoria (mostly at Mildura) would have been harvested in South Australia and New South Wales. • The totals include both feral and domestic goats. As noted above, we think it likely that most are feral animals, but have given two estimates assuming 70% and 90% ferals. 32 • • The number inspected is less than the number of feral goats caught because of mortality at capture and during transport to the works, and because some non-marketable animals (see below) are rejected before inspection. The AQIS tallies before 2001 for Western Australia were substantially lower than those collated by the Western Australian Department of Agriculture. This difference coincides with the change from paper to electronic reporting of establishment kill statistics. Bearing these caveats in mind, we estimate that c. 1 million feral goats were removed by commercial harvesting in 2001, 2002 and 2003. Figure 7. Total tonnes of goat meat exported from Australia, 1981/82–2001/02. Data for 1981/82–1988/89 were from Ramsay (1994); data for 1989/90–2002/03 were provided by P. Dumaresq, Meat & Livestock Australia. Table 6. Number of goat carcasses inspected by AQIS veterinarians at abattoirs in Australia, 1998–2003. (Data provided by P.H. Smith, AQIS, Canberra). State/Territory NSW QLD SA VIC TAS WA Total 1998 97521 318002 35967 67201 0 6378 518691 1999 24951 228599 57624 122177 0 44702 478053 Year 2000 2001 28317 49974 157587 258424 32321 52735 189812 271529 0 0 116516 276833 524553 909495 2002 135504 368340 56049 256765 0 327997 1144655 2003 166932 456962 30614 225902 0 226649 1107059 33 Table 7. Estimated number of feral goats commercially harvested in Australia during the 1998–2003 calendar years. We assume either 70% or 90% of the animals exported live and slaughtered at abattoirs are feral, and that an additional 5% of the goats processed were harvested and either died or were killed before processing. Year Live export Abattoirs 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Total 61404 64431 45639 154061 93653 70913 490101 518691 478053 524553 909495 1144655 1107059 4682506 Live export (70%) 42983 45102 31947 107843 65557 49639 343071 Abattoirs (70%) 363084 334637 367187 636647 801259 774941 3277755 Total (70%) 426370 398725 419091 781714 910156 865809 3801866 Live export (90%) 55264 57988 41075 138655 84288 63821 441091 Abattoirs (90%) 466822 430248 472098 818546 1030190 996353 4214257 (b) Seasonality of supply: Two general patterns of seasonal supply are apparent in Australia (Fig. 8). In Western Australia, most goats are supplied to the abattoirs from late October to late March, when natural water sources in the rangelands are most scarce and the animals are easiest to trap at artificial water (see below). For example, the Geraldton Meat Exports (‘GME’) abattoir is “inundated” with feral goats during November–February, but during the other months there is virtually no supply. GME would prefer a constant supply of goats throughout the year up to their daily capacity of 2000 animals to optimise their processing plant and retain skilled staff (D. Clements, GME, personal communication). In contrast, the supply in the eastern states is more evenly spread throughout the year (Fig. 8). This is because there are two rainfall patterns that alter the vulnerability of feral goats to harvesting. Goats in the east of New South Wales and Queensland are harvested entirely by mustering; trapping at waterpoints is not possible because temperatures are not high enough that goats need to drink water, instead consuming enough from forage (P. Fleming, NSW Agriculture, personal communication). Mustering is possible at any time of the year and hence farmers can respond more easily to changes in prices for goats by abattoirs. In the drier western rangelands of New South Wales and Queensland many goats are also harvested by trapping at waterpoints during the dry season – about September to January in NSW and June to October in Queensland. (c) Number and location of abattoirs: There were 25 and 33 export licensed abattoirs that processed goat meat, and 51 and 68 licensed exporters of that meat in 1991 and 1992, respectively (Elliott and Woodford 1995). In January 2004 there were 20 abattoirs export licensed to process goat meat (Fig. 9). However, only 14 of those 20 abattoirs actually process goat meat; six in Western Australia, four in Queensland, three in New South Wales, and one in Victoria (P.H. Smith, AQIS, personal communication). For privacy reasons the number of goats processed by each abattoir could not be obtained, but the main abattoirs are at Geraldton (Western Australia) and Charleville (Queensland). Total (90%) 548189 512647 538831 1005060 1170201 1113184 4888112 34 Figure 8. Seasonal supply of goats to abattoirs in four States in 2003. Source: P.H. Smith, AQIS, personal communication. (d) Destination of exported goat meat: The quantity of goat meat exported from Australia has increased substantially from 1981/82 to 1992/93 (Fig. 10). Since 1992/93 the quantity exported has been relatively stable, except for a c. 20% decline during 1996/97 to 1999/00. The relative stability of the export meat trade since 1991/92 contrasts with the live goat export trade (Fig. 6). The 1980s were characterised by both growth and diversification of markets for exported goat meat, with decreasing quantities exported to Singapore, but increasing quantities to Malaysia, Puerto Rico, Republic of Korea, and particularly to USA and Taiwan (Ramsay 1994). Thirty-three countries imported goat meat from Australia in 1991/92 (Ramsay 1994). Since 1989/90, four destinations have imported most of Australia’s goat meat (Fig. 8); Taiwan, Caribbean, Canada, and the United States. South Korea and Singapore have all but dropped out as importers of goat meat since 1995/96. Since 1996/97 the United States market has increased substantially such that it now receives almost 40% of goat meat exports, and the market is likely to continue to grow (K. Holzner, Meat & Livestock Australia, personal communication). 35 # Location of abattoirs Feral goat distribution # Rockhampton # Carnarvon Charleville # # Gin Gin # # Cherbourg Geraldton Broken Hill Narrogin # Margret River 0 ## # Katanning Port Pirie # Beaufort River # Waikerie Scone Mudgee# # # Pyramid Hill # Wodonga Wycheproof# # # # Myrtleford Ararat 1000 2000 Kilometers N Figure 9. Locations of the 20 abattoirs licensed to process goat meat in January 2004. Note that only 15 of these abattoirs currently process goat meat. Source: P.H. Smith, AQIS, personal communication. We note that the demands of the different countries vary (Ramsay 1994). Caribbean countries prefer frozen and boneless meat from carcasses weighing >16 kg. In Taiwan, there is little demand for carcasses during February–August, with demand increasing during the festival season; premiums are paid for lean skin-on carcasses weighing 14–20 kg. Middle East buyers preferred 8–12 kg carcasses, with halal slaughter essential. The major market for Western Australian goat meat is Taiwan (Coffey MPW Pty Ltd 1994). About 1800 tonnes of goat meat were exported from that State to Taiwan in 1992, but only 1300 tonnes in 1995/96. Taiwan prefers feral goat meat and Western Australia was apparently unable to supply adequate quantities of goat meat to that market. The Taiwanese market is the highest priced Asian market due to the demand for skin-on product that is widely consumed in a traditional soup dish eaten during the winter months; goats for this market must be lean and young (ca. 14–16 kg). Malaysia is also an important market for Western Australian goat meat. There is a preference for the skin-off product, but that market substitutes goat with mutton and ram carcasses when the price relativities change. Similarly, the Singapore market is pricesensitive and willing to substitute goat for other types of meat (Coffey MPW Pty Ltd 1994). 36 Figure 10. Destinations of goat meat exported from Australia, 1989/90–2002/03. Data were provided by P. Dumaresq (Meat & Livestock Australia). Note that for clarity the small amounts that went to ‘other countries’ are not shown. (e) Economics of supply It appears that most decisions to harvest feral goats (either by doing it themselves or by contracting the work) are made at a property level by the landholder (e.g., Thompson and Boyd-Law 1995). Thus, the attitudes of the individual landholder towards feral goats are a key variable in the industry. Some landholders see feral goats as competitors with livestock and essentially subsidise their control (or even profit) from sale of the animals. Others see the goats as a resource, either directly as a product for meat, or indirectly as a means of controlling weeds with a harvest of excess animals as a by-product. Some appear never to harvest feral goats when it would clearly be profitable (i.e., they do not see goats as part of their economic enterprise). It might be important to know what motivates landholders to commercially harvest goats if governments wanted to influence their behaviour. One way to explore these attitudes would be by surveying a large sample of individuals. To our knowledge, this has not been done. A second way to explore motivations is to quantify the relationships between measurable outcomes of landholders’ behaviour (e.g., the numbers of feral goats harvested) with variables that might be thought to influence them. Harvesting theory suggests that profit will be the primary determinant of whether or not to harvest (e.g., Choquenot et al. 1998). For feral goats, profitability will depend 37 on the difference between the cost of harvesting the goats and the price paid for the goats (see below). Parkes et al. (1996b) showed that 89% of the variation in the annual commercial harvest of red deer (Cervus elaphus) in New Zealand was explained by price per kg offered by the game buyers. Nevertheless, factors other than price may affect the commercial harvest of goats. First, the efficiency of capture will vary with the methods used or possible and profitability will increase as the number of goats that can be harvested per unit effort increases (sensu Choquenot et al. 1998). Second, managers will be more likely to harvest feral goats when they perceive competition with their livestock (domestic sheep), and/or when rangeland condition is perceived to be poor (A. Dowden, Challa Station, personal communication). Third, farmers may wish not to harvest feral goats when they think there are net benefits in retaining them as weed controllers. We used data collected by G. Pickles and A. Woolnough (Department of Agriculture, Western Australia) to test hypotheses about factors influencing the number of goats received by abattoirs in Western Australia. The data consisted of 180 consecutive monthly records (July 1988 to June 2003, inclusive) for four variables (Fig. 11): • The number of goats received by abattoirs Western Australia. • The average price paid per goat by the abattoirs (adjusted for inflation to 1988 $ using the Consumer Price Index [CPI]). • The average rainfall for the region that the goats were harvested in (mm). • The average price paid per kg of 21 micron wool, the predominant wool grown in the region that the goats were harvested in (adjusted for inflation to 1988 $ using the CPI). Although some domestic goats may be included in these totals, the overwhelming majority of goats were commercially harvested from rangeland pastoral leases and were thus, to all intents and purposes, feral or ‘unmanaged’. From conversations with key players in the Western Australian goat harvesting industry, and from the literature, we generated four hypotheses for testing: • That the number of goats harvested was a function of the average price paid per goat. • That there was a threshold average price paid per goat below which farmers did not harvest goats. • That the number of goats received declined when the wool price increased because it was more profitable for farmers to spend time on wool production activities. • That the number of goats received was a function of monthly rainfall; this was based on the notion that goats were easier to trap in the drier months when they were forced to drink from a small number of available artificial water sources. 38 Figure 11. The data used in our analyses. All data were compiled on a monthly basis for July 1988–June 2003, inclusive. (a) Number of goats received by abattoirs in Western Australia. (b) The average price ($) paid per goat by the abattoirs (adjusted for CPI). (c) The mean rainfall (mm) for the area the goats were harvested from. (d) The auction value of 21 micron wool (adjusted for CPI). 39 The data show a slight increasing trend in the number of goats received over the period considered, with larger numbers received in recent years compared to earlier years (Fig. 11a). There also appears to be a strong seasonal effect (Fig. 12), characterised by more goats being received in the warmer months and less in the colder months. The ten largest observations occurred in the months of November, December and January while the five smallest observations occurred in the winter months of June and July. The distribution of the number of goats received was skewed to the right; about 50% of the observations in the data set were between c. 6 800 and 21 500, but there were extreme high values (up to 60 400). No goats were received in June 1991 and June 1996. In order to satisfy the assumption that the underlying distribution was normal, a transformation of the response variable was required. The most appropriate transformation was found to be the square root of the number of goats received. The boxplots (Fig. 12) show that the variation in the number of goats received by the abattoir is also considerably larger in the summer months relative to the winter months where numbers remain more stable throughout the observation period. The average price paid per goat was relatively stable during the period August 1990 to December 1993 (Fig. 11b). From January 1994 until August 2003, the price increased. Prices during this latter period also showed a seasonal effect, with higher prices paid in the months at the end of the calendar year. An exception to this occurred in 1999, when the annual maximum price was recorded in August before steadily decreasing for the rest of the year. The rainfall data were the averaged rainfall across the five rainfall districts from which the goats were harvested. Average monthly rainfall was characterised by mostly small values with occasional large values (Fig. 11c). Rainfall followed a seasonal pattern, with the highest values of rainfall observed in February and March, and lowest rainfall during September, October and November. 60000 50000 40000 Number of goats 30000 20000 10000 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Month Figure 12. Boxplots showing seasonality in the median, lower and upper quartiles, and the lowest and highest numbers of goats received by abattoirs in WA. 40 The price paid for 21 micron wool declined sharply from July 1988 to about February 1991 (Fig. 11d). Since 1991, the price has fluctuated between 400 and 800 cents. There does not appear to have been a seasonal pattern to these fluctuations, and nor have there been any sudden fluctuations in price. The square root of the number of goats received by the abattoir was serially correlated, with a high (low) value in a particular month tending to be followed by a high (low) value. To overcome the serial correlation, an autoregressive model was fitted to the data. An autoregressive model differs from an ordinary regression model in that it assumes dependence of errors. An autoregressive model is defined in terms of its order, p (i.e., AR(p)), and describes a situation in which each residual from the regression is correlated with the previous p residuals in the time series. The model also contains an independent random error term. An autoregressive model of order 1 (i.e., AR(1)) is usually sufficient to account for the serial correlation present in the residuals of an ordinary regression equation. Variable selection was conducted by first considering the full model containing all explanatory variables of interest and one-byone removing those that made no significant improvements (at the 5% level) to the model (i.e., backward-selection), and by inspection of the percentage of variation in the data explained by the model (i.e., the R2). Fitting the model gives an estimate of the autoregressive parameter and the adjusted coefficients and standard errors of all the included regression variables (Table 8). There was no systematic relationship between the residuals from the best model (Table 8) and the order of the data (i.e., the pattern was random), and the runs test statistic was not statistically significant. We thus concluded that the serial correlation in the error term had been satisfactorily accounted for in this model. The best model explained 72.4% of the variation in the number of goats received by the abattoir. Hence, the important variables were: (i) the number of goats received in the previous month, (ii) the current month, (iii) the average price paid per goat in the current month, (iv) the current month’s average rainfall, and (v) the previous month’s average rainfall. With regard to the hypotheses outlined above, we conclude that: 1. The number of goats received (and hence assumed to have been commercially harvested) was a function of the average price paid per goat in the previous month. A positive relationship existed between the number of goats received by the abattoir and the average price paid per goat in the previous month. The model indicated that, provided all other variables remain constant, a single dollar increase in the average price paid per goat would increase by 2.39 the square root of the number of goats received by the abattoir in the following month. The relationship was non-linear, with a single dollar increase in the price having a decreasing effect on the number of goats harvested in the next month as price in the preceding month increased. For example, if 1000 goats had been harvested in the previous month then a single dollar increase in the average price would lead to a 8% increase in the harvest in the following month. However, if 40 000 goats had been harvested in the previous month then a single dollar increase in the average price would lead to just a 1% increase in the harvest in the next month. 41 Table 8. Regression coefficients, standard errors and P-values for the best regression model assuming first-order autocorrelated errors. There were 180 observations in the time series, and the model had an R2 of 72.4%. Variable Month January February March April May June July August September October November December Price paid per goat in the previous month Current month’s rainfall Previous month’s rainfall AR(1) error Coefficient 155.4 143.9 119.7 84.1 69.2 54.8 70.1 81.3 74.0 71.1 109.9 143.3 Standard error P-value < 0.001 13.9 13.6 13.4 12.7 12.7 13.1 12.9 12.7 12.9 13.0 13.0 14.0 2.39 0.78 0.002 −0.214 −0.229 0.577 0.070 0.070 0.004 0.002 0.001 < 0.001 2. There was no evidence for a threshold average price paid per goat below which goats are not commercially harvested. The abattoir received goats in all months in which a price was offered. Further analyses (not reported here) showed no evidence of a threshold average price. The data set would probably need to include lower prices if a threshold price was to be estimated (if indeed it exists). 3. There was no evidence that the number of goats received by abattoirs declined when the wool price either increased or decreased. No significant relationship was found between the number of goats received and the average price paid per kg of wool. When this variable was included in the autoregressive model, the coefficient was positive (opposite to that hypothesised) but not statistically significant. 4. The number of goats received decreased with increasing rainfall. Average rainfall in the current month was a significant linear predictor of the number of goats received by the abattoir in the current month. The coefficient for this variable was –0.214, meaning that provided all other variables remained constant, an increase in the average monthly rainfall of 10 mm would decrease by 2.14 the square root of the number of goats received by the abattoir in the same month. There was also a significant lagged relationship between the number of goats received by the abattoir and average rainfall in the previous month. The model coefficient was –0.229, meaning that an increase of 10 mm in the average rainfall of a particular month would decrease by 2.29 the square root of the number of goats received by the abattoir in the following month. Therefore, the number of goats received by the abattoir was a function of both the current and the previous month’s average rainfall. The effects of each of these variables were 42 additive. Both coefficients were negative (as hypothesised), thus supporting the hypothesis that feral goats are easier to harvest in the drier months when they must drink from artificial water sources. However, it is also possible that there is a greater incentive for harvesting feral goats in dry months due to perceived competition with sheep. We note that although these data are the best available to test factors influencing the harvest of feral goats, the data were not collected at the level of individual properties, which is where the decisions about commercial harvesting are made. (f) Economics of abattoirs: Ramsay (1994) claimed that most abattoirs processing goats are primarily concerned with slaughtering sheep, with goats purchased ‘opportunistically’. This appears to still be the case, with the majority of goats apparently processed at two abattoirs in 2003 (Geraldton in Western Australia and Charleville in Queensland). Many factors affect abattoir profitability, including animal supply and quality, labour quality and cost, variable skin returns, perishable product, marketing and financing (Holst 1990). Holst (1990) argued that the viability of the export industry depends on ‘exchange rates, cost control and innovation’. Feral goats are transported large distances to abattoirs or exporters in multi-decked truck-trailer units, and distance from the market may be a constraint on the profitability of selling feral goats (Holst 1990). The abattoir loses money on any goat <10 kg (dressed) as these animals have no commercial value and must be disposed of. The cost to process a goat was ca. $18 per animal (excluding freight) in 1999. The cost of slaughtering feral goats remains higher than for sheep (Holst 1990). One problem is contamination for both skin-on and skin-off goat meat by goat hair residue (Elliott 1994). Although the problem has largely been overcome for skin-off goat meat, the commercial processors interviewed by Elliott (1994) used pig processing chains to de-hair feral goats and produce a skin-on carcass. However, due to the differences in body shape between pigs and goats this process, in addition to contamination, damaged carcasses with up to 3% being rejected. There appears to be a high turnover of abattoirs processing goats. The recent drought appears to have forced many abattoirs, some of which process feral goats, to close (S. Sharman, Meat & Livestock Australia, personal communication). (g) Other goat products (i) Slaughtered and sold on the domestic market There is little information on the size, value and characteristics of the domestic market for goat meat. Export abattoirs can sell goat meat on the domestic market, making it impossible to ascertain the number of goats slaughtered for domestic consumption (Ramsay 1994). The premium domestic market is for kid meat of 6–12 kg dressed weight (‘capretto’; Toseland 1993). Holst (1990) suggested that <10% of goat meat enters the domestic market, and given the rise in the quantities of goat meat exported since then (Fig. 7) it is likely that the fraction consumed domestically is now even smaller. S. Sharman (Meat & Livestock Australia, personal communication) suggests that feral goats are not slaughtered and sold on the domestic market because they don’t meet the specifications defined above. 43 (ii) Fibre Feral goats formed the basis of the domestic goat industry in Australia (Ramsay 1994), but the numbers now captured and used in breeding programs to develop herds for fibre production are unknown. Restall (1982) reported that 72% of a herd of 125 feral does in western New South Wales had commercially recoverable fibre, and Johnson (1985) claimed that 30% of goats in parts of Western Australia could produce commercial quantities of cashmere. Pure-bred angora bucks are crossed with feral does, and the progeny are crossed until the fifth generation, which is regarded as a pure angora (Ramsay 1994). (iii) Skins and leather Goat skins and leather are a by-product of the goat meat industry. Thus, the supply of skins and leather depends on the number of animals slaughtered within Australia. Ramsay (1994) noted that where abattoirs slaughter goats infrequently, most skins are dumped. There is no information on the size and value of the skin and leather trade within Australia, but figures are available for exports of skins and leather (e.g., Ramsay 1994). Because skins and leather are a by-product of the goat meat industry, this aspect is not considered any further in this report. (iv) Game meat Feral goats have been slaughtered (usually shot) in the field by hunters supplying the game meat industry, but this industry has been defunct since about 1999 (V. Bates, Southern Game Meat, personal communication). According to Ramsay (1994), all such meat was exported, primarily to Carribean countries. During the 1989 to 1992 calendar years, 26 628, 38 995, 38 354 and 39 731 goats were processed as ‘wild game’, respectively (Ramsay 1994). The method of harvesting and processing feral goats for game meat was similar to that for feral pigs (see below). Goats were shot using a rifle of at least .222 calibre. Ramsay (1994) claimed that most wild goats were shot by professional kangaroo or feral pig shooters who either shot goats opportunistically, or switched to them when prices were high. Shooters were paid according to the weight of the carcasses. The carcasses were collected from chillers and transported to a game meat processing establishment, where they were inspected by officials from the Australian Quarantine and Inspection Service (AQIS). 4.4.2 Factors affecting the sustainability of the feral goat harvest industry Supply issues: A regular supply of marketable goats is a key constraint on the abattoirs’ profitability (Black 1993; Toseland 1993; Elliott 1994). In 1993, supply of non-marketable goats cost processors between $3 and $5 to dispose of, and the cost of freight was borne by the supplier. Commercial processors indicated that there is a greater demand for abattoir slaughtered goat products than the current supply of feral goats can produce. Toseland (1993) also suggested that sourcing sufficient product on a continuous basis was the highest priority for the industry. Part of the inability to source sufficient feral goats was blamed on harvesting and transport difficulties during wet weather (especially during the winter months in western NSW). 44 Most commercial processors wanted feral goats to be incorporated into the ‘overall business management’ of landholders, for example by constructing goat fencing and controlling stocking rates. It was argued that such actions would improve the quantity and quality of feral goats, reduce the environmental impacts of feral goats, diversify the business in the semi-arid zones, and provide rural employment (Toseland 1993). Market issues: Two markets, Taiwan and the United States, drive the current demand for feral goats. So far as we can tell, most of the Western Australian goats are exported to the Middle East and South-East Asia, with the majority of the United States market supplied by Queensland and New South Wales (see also Coffey MPW Pty Ltd 1994). Clearly, the Western Australian landholders, transporters, abattoirs, processors and exporters would resent regulations that reduce the profitability of their enterprises (i.e., the regulations would not improve the price they receive for their product in their markets). In contrast, the eastern Australian market would probably welcome regulations that improve their ability to access other markets. Agriculture WA’s Meat Program Strategic Plan identified several key weaknesses, strengths and opportunities for the WA goat meat industry (cited in Coffey MPW Pty Ltd. 1994). In summary: • There was a heavy reliance on the seasonal Taiwanese market (Chinese New Year; starting on the first day of the new year and ending on the full moon). However, the overall export market was perceived to be unsaturated and good prices for goats were available. Landholder interest was encouraged when the price of wool was low. We note that our analysis of the WA data (see above) showed no relationship between wool price and the number of goats harvested, suggesting that any attempts to encourage harvesting when the price of wool was low were ineffective. • The current supply is based on feral goats, which is perceived to reduce the consistency of both quantity and quality. For example, the size of feral goats supplied limits the number that can be marketed as a skinon product. Genetic improvement of domesticated feral herds was seen as an opportunity to secure markets, especially in the lucrative but discerning United States market, but this was seen as expensive to achieve in the semi-arid rangelands. • The restrictions on live exports imposed by AQIS limited this market, and their costs of meat inspection at abattoirs limited profits. • Some agencies and groups oppose allowing domestic goats in pastoral areas. Whereas the importance of other export markets has varied greatly over the period for which statistics are available, the livestock handling, transporting, slaughtering, and processing standards in Australia mean that major potential competitors to other markets are unlikely to access the United States market. Demand for feral goats by the United States will depend on a variety of factors, many of which are beyond the control of regulators (e.g., exchange rates, availability of competing meats in the United States, competition from other producers). However, it is clearly important that all practical and reasonable efforts are made to ensure that relevant rules and 45 regulations governing the export of goat meat be adequately enforced. For example, we doubt that United States consumers realise that most of the goat meat they are consuming from Australia is effectively from ‘feral’ rather than domestic goats. A review of the risks associated with the United States market is beyond the scope of this report. Government and landholder attitudes: A review of the feral goat industry commissioned by the Bureau of Rural Sciences (Agri-Focus Pty Ltd undated a, undated b) noted that the official view of feral goats as pests was often reflected by farmer attitudes, and that these perceptions adversely affected the sustainability of any industry based on harvesting goats. The review also noted the lack of linkage between opportunistic harvesters (driven by price of goats) and landholders’ requirements to manage both their domestic and feral/wild herbivores to ensure sustainable land use. Although these issues do not appear to have constrained the industry since 1996, any enforcement of stocking-rate rules, based on either total numbers of herbivores or on their impacts, could affect the feral goat harvesting industry. The effect could be positive and ensure all landholders harvested goats, or negative and limit the population size from which a harvest could be taken. Olsen (1998) noted that “many farmers see harvesting of goats as an important supplement to their farm income”, and claimed that “if the value of goats was to increase to $25 per animal, farmers would be tempted to reduce their sheep flocks and run more goats”. We have no evidence that this happened. Animal welfare issues: A model code of practice for the capture, handling and marketing of live feral goats is being developed by the Primary Industries Ministerial Council (Anonymous 2003). In summary: • Capture is not recommended in the breeding season (usually spring/summer) and when temperatures are highest. However, this is the season when goats are most easily trapped (see above) and so the recommendation is ignored. • Goats should be separated into sex and age classes for transport. This is currently done. • Animals in late pregnancy and very young animals (and animals of no commercial value) should not be transported but destroyed humanely. Pregnant does are routinely transported and kids are often released at the point of capture rather than destroyed. Their fate is unknown. Animals should be transported to the abattoir or port according to the relevant State/Territory codes of practice for transporting feral animals. The State/Territory codes are governed by national model codes of practice. Since nearly all feral goats appear to be trucked by road, their transport is governed by the model code for road transport of livestock (Australian Bureau of Animal Health 1983). The code stipulates that mature goats (>3 months of age) should not be transported by road for more than 36 h without a break of at least 12 h, during which feed and water should be provided. However, the period of travel may be extended to 48 h if a full 24 h rest period is provided. Immature goats should not be transported for more than 24 h without a 46 break of at least 12 h (Australian Bureau of Animal Health 1983). We note that a national code of practice for the transport of feral goats is being drafted by the Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry Australia (D. Mitchell, Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry Australia, personal communication). 4.5 Commercial harvesting of feral pigs 4.5.1 History and structure of the feral pig harvest industry Small numbers of feral pigs were caught, fattened in captivity, and slaughtered at abattoirs for domestic consumption when Tisdell (1982) surveyed 29 abattoirs in 1979. However, commercial harvesting of feral pigs began in earnest in Australia in 1980 after legislative changes allowing the export of game meat (Tisdell 1982; Choquenot et al. 1996). The legislative requirements are now largely specified in the Game, Poultry and Rabbit Meat Orders 1985 (Ramsay 1994). The basic structure of the industry is outlined in Fig. 13. Harvesting methods The harvesters can be classified into three groups (Ramsay 1994): (i) part-time recreational hunters who trap, shoot and sell pigs ‘opportunistically’ to defray the costs of their sport; (ii) professional kangaroo shooters who shoot and sell pigs to supplement their income; and (iii) professional hunters who trap, shoot and sell pigs to supplement their income. Shooters usually operate in the late afternoon and continue into the night, when spotlights are used to locate pigs. Most shooters use four-wheel drive utilities as both a shooting platform and for transporting carcasses. Harvesters Sell eviscerated carcasses to chiller Chiller operators Purchase carcasses from hunters. Processors Collect carcasses from chiller operators, process and export. Figure 13. The structure of the feral pig harvesting industry in Australia (after Takahashi and Tisdell 1989). 47 SCARM (1997) defines the rules for production of feral pig meat in Australia. The key points for harvesters are as follows. First, anyone who harvests game animals must be approved by a controlling authority and have a certificate of competency or other approved qualification from an approved training course in the harvesting of game animals. Second, after shooting, the carcass has to be hung, bled and field dressed ‘without undue delay’, and the lungs, liver, heart, and kidneys retained. Third, the carcass has to be placed under refrigeration within 2 h of harvesting, except that when a game animal is harvested between sunset and sunrise it must be placed under refrigeration within 2 h of sunrise. The carcass must be reduced to a deep muscle temperature of 7oC as soon as possible but no later than 24 h after being placed under refrigeration. There are also rules about the vehicle (which must be accredited) and the hanging of pigs on the vehicle. Captured and slaughtered at abattoirs for the domestic market Small numbers of feral pigs have been captured live and transported to an abattoir for slaughter and sold on the domestic market. Ramsay (1994) estimated that about 5–10 tonnes of feral pig meat was sold on the domestic market, with most being sold to restaurants. Although 47 tonnes of abattoir-slaughtered feral pig meat was exported in 1986, the quantity then declined, with none exported in 1990. The meat was exported mainly to USA and Japan, but not Europe (Ramsay 1994). This activity is presently conducted in Queensland, where small numbers (probably <3,000) of wild-caught feral pigs are grown until they reach 22 kg and then sold to abattoirs for slaughter (R. Schultz, SafeFoods Queensland, personal communication). The transport of live feral pigs is prohibited in New South Wales by the Rural Lands Protection Act 1998; the aim of this prohibition is to prevent feral pigs being transported and released to establish new populations. Slaughtered in the wild and exported (a) Number of feral pigs harvested The number of feral pig inspected by AQIS is available for the 1998, 1999, 2001, and 2002 calendar years (i.e., no data were available for 2000; Table 8). A total of 170 335 pigs were inspected in 1998 (95% in Queensland), 254 800 in 1999 (99% in Queensland), 322 091 in 2001 (89% in Queensland), and 180 829 in 2002 (93% in Queensland). Up to 10% of feral pigs were processed in New South Wales. No feral pigs were inspected in Tasmania (they do not occur there; Choquenot et al. 1996), and only small numbers in Western Australia, Victoria, and South Australia (Table 8). Table 8. Number of feral pig carcasses inspected by AQIS vets in Australia, 1998– 2003.Source: P.H. Smith, AQIS, personal communication. State/Territory 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 NSW 8318 2326 n.d. a 33277 12 686 QLD 162017 252474 n.d. 288814 168143 SA 0 0 n.d. 0 0 VIC 0 1434 n.d. 0 0 TAS 0 0 n.d. 0 0 WA 15 1 n.d. 0 0 Total 170350 256235 n.d. 322091 180829 a n.d. indicates no data available 2003 10625 128462 6932 419 0 0 146438 48 The annual harvests were highly variable. For example, the 2002 harvest was 44% less than 2001. The 2001 harvest is almost 19% larger than the high of 271 133 (in 1992) reported by Ramsay (1994). (b) Suppliers and chillers Commercial harvesting operations occur mainly in New South Wales and Queensland, but sometimes also in the Northern Territory. In 1993, there were about 200 chillers operating throughout New South Wales, Queensland and the Northern Territory (Ramsay 1994). There are presently about 150 chillers in Queensland that accept feral pigs (R. Schultz, Safe Foods Queensland, personal communication), and about 115 in New South Wales (P. Day, SafeFoods New South Wales, personal communication). We are not aware of any chillers in the Northern Territory. Chiller agents purchase carcasses from the harvesters. According to Takahashi and Tisdell (1989), there was usually one chiller operator in a town, and they may be 50– 100 km apart in areas from which pigs are harvested. The chillers usually accept a variety of animals, and Takahashi and Tisdell (1989) claimed that without also receiving kangaroos most chillers would be uneconomic. It was also claimed that due to the distances between chillers, each chiller operator has a monopsony (i.e., harvesters can effectively sell to only one buyer). The shooters are paid by the kg, with different rates for various weight classes. Prices per kg increase with the weight of the carcass (Takahashi and Tisdell 1989; Ramsay 1994), and the lowest price is paid for weight classes <30kg to encourage shooters to target larger animals. It is uneconomic to process carcasses <22 kg so carcasses in this weight range cannot be sold (Ramsay 1994). The harvest can thus be manipulated by varying both prices and weight range. The chiller operator is typically an agent for a processing company and is paid a commission of 8–10 cents per kg for carcasses (Ramsay 1994). The chiller must be constructed to specified standards and approved by the controlling authority (see SCARM 1997). The processing companies have refrigerated trucks that collect the carcasses from chillers and transport them to the processing plant. Because there are only a few processors (see above) and each has its own trucking route, the chiller operators also face a monopsony (Takahashi and Tisdell 1989). For example, one of the largest processors of feral pigs, Southern Game Meat Pty Ltd, operated a network of 50–60 chillers in Queensland in 2003 (V. Bates, Southern Game Meat Pty Ltd, personal communication). The processing plants must conform to standards and be certified (see SCARM 1997). In January 2004 there were five feral pig processors operating, four in Queensland and one in New South Wales (S. Roberts, AQIS, personal communication). An additional processing plant has recently been constructed in Queensland but is not yet processing feral pigs (S. Roberts, AQIS, personal communication). Any processing facility seeking to export to the European Union (EU) must be EU-accredited. All carcasses must be inspected by AQIS-approved veterinarians before processing; about 1% are condemned due to either poor condition or poor field dressing (V. Bates, Southern Game Meat Pty Ltd, personal communication). (c) Destination of exported pig meat Almost all feral pig meat is exported, with little apparently being sold domestically. (There are no data on the quantity of feral pig meat sold on the domestic market.) This 49 is because it is more profitable to export feral pig meat than to sell it domestically (V. Bates, Southern Game Meat Pty Ltd, personal communication). The dominant export market is the EU, with small quantities exported to Japan (Ramsay 1994; Choquenot et al. 1996). Here we consider only the former in detail. Table 9 summarises the quantities of Australian feral pig products imported into countries within the EU during the period 1988–2001. Data for 2002 had not been compiled at time of writing. Products A, B and C were imported only occasionally and are not considered further. Although small amounts of frozen carcasses and half carcasses were exported to Germany during 1999–2001 (Table 10), two products dominated Australia’s feral pig exports to the EU. The most important markets for frozen unboned hams, shoulders and cuts have been Germany and France, although exports to the latter have declined sharply since 1999 (Table 11). ‘Other frozen meat of non-domestic swine’ has been the most important product exported (Table 11). The most important markets for this product have also been Germany and France, with significant quantities exported to the Netherlands in some years (Table 12). Australia’s market shares for the two most important products have both declined greatly from 1988 to 2001 (Tables 13–15). The market share of frozen unboned hams, shoulders and cuts of Australian feral pig have declined from 25% in 1988 to c. 6% in 2001 (Table 14). Although the quantities of product F imported by the EU from Australia has generally increased over the period 1988–2001, the market share has steadily declined, from c. 24% in 1988 to 11% in 2001 (Table 15). There was a major increase in the quantities of product F imported into the EU in 1995, and again in 2001. Most of this expansion was to countries other than Australia’s primary markets (i.e., Germany, France and Netherlands), with particular increases in imports to Belgium-Luxembourg, United Kingdom, Italy, Portugal, and Spain. The United States began exporting product F to the EU in 1994, and is now an important competitor with Australia in France, Germany and the Netherlands. Table 9. Tonnes of Australian feral pig products imported into countries within the EU, 1988–2001. Data provided by H. Lyons, Eurostat Datashop UK. Product1 A B C D E F Total France 1 0 0 6.3 0 2090.4 9741.2 11837.9 Belgium 0 0 0 0 7.8 113.0 120.8 Netherlands 0 0 0 11.3 136.6 1438.2 1586.1 Germany 17.0 23.9 47.2 635.4 2863.1 14841.7 18428.3 Italy UK Ireland 0 0 1.4 129.4 64.3 280.3 475.4 0 0 1.4 0 15.8 55.4 72.6 0 0 0 0 0.1 0 0.1 Denmark 0 0 0 0 0 10.1 10.1 Portugal Belgium 0 0 0 0 40.0 70.9 110.9 A, Fresh or chilled non-domestic swine carcasses and half-carcasses; B, Fresh or chilled hams, shoulders and cuts thereof with bone in of non-domestic swine; C, Fresh or chilled meat of non-domestic swine (excl. carcasses and half-carcasses, hams, shoulders and cuts thereof, boneless); D, Frozen non-domestic swine carcasses and halfcarcasses; E, frozen unboned hams, shoulders and cuts thereof of non-domestic swine; F, Frozen meat of nondomestic swine (excl. carcasses and half-carcasses and hams, shoulders and cuts thereof). 0 0 0 0 0 115.7 115.7 Total 17.0 23.9 56.3 776.1 5218.1 26666.5 32757.9 50 Table 10. Tonnes of frozen non-domestic swine carcasses and half-carcasses imported into the Netherlands, Germany and Italy, 1988–2001. Data provided by H. Lyons, Eurostat Datashop UK. Year 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Total Netherlands 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11.3 0 0 0 0 0 11.3 Germany 0 0 7.7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15.4 258.9 167.6 185.8 635.4 Italy 0 0 27.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 102.4 0 0 0 0 129.4 Table 11. Tonnes of frozen unboned hams, shoulders and cuts thereof of non-domestic swine imported into the EU, 1988–2001. Data provided by H. Lyons, Eurostat Datashop UK. Year 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Total France 141.7 306.1 38.0 285.0 371.4 134.2 61.7 106.3 337.4 73.8 62.7 134.2 37.9 0 2090.4 Belgium 0 0 0 0 0 0 7.8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7.8 Netherlands Germany 0 262.2 0 207.0 27.5 87.3 0 217.3 0 229.3 17.9 323.8 16.7 254.7 8.6 175.4 0 250.0 3.9 182.8 27.5 118.0 34.5 219.4 0 170.5 0 165.4 136.6 2863.1 Italy 0 0 0 0 0 0 35.5 21.8 7 0 0 0 0 0 64.3 UK 0 15.8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15.8 Ireland 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.1 0 0.1 Portugal 0 0 14.5 15.0 1.4 9.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 40 Total 403.9 528.9 167.3 517.3 602.1 485.0 376.4 312.1 594.4 260.5 208.2 388.1 208.5 165.4 5218.1 51 Table 12. Tonnes of frozen meat of non-domestic swine (excl. carcasses and half-carcasses and hams, shoulders and cuts thereof) imported into the EU, 1988–2001. Data provided by H. Lyons, Eurostat Datashop UK. Year 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Total France 466.7 693.1 272.9 626.7 965.6 685.4 828.6 400.2 706.0 628.9 694.4 827.3 892.6 1052.8 9741.2 Belgium 5.2 13.6 0 0 1.0 0 21.2 28.4 13.7 29.9 0 0 0 0 113.0 Netherlands 56.4 21.3 37.5 1.9 0 39.3 37.5 22.4 29.1 226.3 218.3 474.0 90.5 183.7 1438.2 Germany 766.0 1155.1 985.1 670.0 1350.2 1807.8 864.7 766.1 834.0 803.0 720.9 1279.1 1127.7 1712.0 14841.7 Italy 0 19.3 0 0 0 0 159.5 19.8 9.1 0 1.9 0 43.0 27.7 280.3 UK 0 13.1 0 0.8 2.1 0 0 0 25.5 13.6 0 0 0 0.3 55.4 Denmark 0 0 0 0 10.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10.1 Portugal Belgium Total 0 0 1294.3 0 0 1915.5 0 0 1295.5 0 0 1299.4 26.9 0 2355.9 44.0 0 2576.5 0 0 1911.5 0 0 1236.9 0 0 1617.4 0 0 1701.7 0 0 1635.5 0 45.4 2625.8 0 49.2 2203.0 0 21.1 2997.6 70.9 115.7 26666.5 Table 13. The market share for feral pig products in the EU, 1988–2001. Data provided by H. Lyons, Eurostat Datashop UK. Product1 From EU From non-EU From Australia Total Australia (% total) 175976.0 9840.0 17.0 185815.8 0.01 A B 62362.7 517.5 23.9 62904.1 0.04 C 81151.2 2785.9 56.3 83993.4 0.07 D 16997.4 10158.3 776.1 27931.8 2.78 E 32028.5 8745.3 5218.1 45203.6 11.55 F 111918.0 40467.4 26666.5 176344.4 15.12 Total 480433.1 72514.4 32757.9 582193.1 5.63 1 A, Fresh or chilled non-domestic swine carcasses and half-carcasses; B, Fresh or chilled hams, shoulders and cuts thereof with bone in of non-domestic swine; C, Fresh or chilled meat of non-domestic swine (excl. carcasses and half-carcasses, hams, shoulders and cuts thereof, boneless); D, Frozen non-domestic swine carcasses and halfcarcasses; E, frozen unboned hams, shoulders and cuts thereof of non-domestic swine; F, Frozen meat of nondomestic swine (excl. carcasses and half-carcasses and hams, shoulders and cuts thereof). 52 Table 14. The Australian market share of annual imports of frozen unboned hams, shoulders and cuts thereof of non-domestic swine in the EU, 1988–2001. Data provided by H. Lyons, Eurostat Datashop UK. Year 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Total From non-EU 788.3 853.5 700.8 1030.5 1115.0 730.2 513.5 406.8 761.4 388.9 290.6 503.3 353.0 309.5 8745.3 From EU 411.2 683.1 625.2 482.8 1215.9 2071.3 2059.2 4990.0 4308.9 3727.4 3304.7 2497.7 3567.2 2083.9 32028.5 From Australia 403.9 528.9 167.3 517.3 602.1 485.0 376.4 312.1 594.4 260.5 208.2 388.1 208.5 165.4 5218.1 Total 1603.4 2065.5 1493.3 2030.6 2933.0 3286.5 2949.1 5708.9 5664.7 4376.8 3803.5 3389.1 4128.7 2558.8 45991.9 Australia (% total) 25.19 25.61 11.20 25.48 20.53 14.76 12.76 5.44 10.49 5.95 5.47 11.45 5.05 6.46 11.35 Table 15. The Australian market share of annual imports of frozen meat of non-domestic swine (excl. carcasses and 1/2 carcasses and hams, shoulders and cuts thereof) in the EU, 1988–2001. Data provided by H. Lyons, Eurostat Datashop UK. Year From non-EU 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Total 2707.0 3351.7 2643.1 3056.6 3691.6 3093.9 2301.3 1584.9 2139.2 2551.6 2669.5 3436.6 3074.6 4165.8 40467.4 From EU 1444.1 1173.6 1564.7 1887.3 3939.3 3665.9 5032.3 13689.7 15293.7 11608.8 11453.0 10067.2 10811.4 20286.5 111917.5 From Australia 1294.3 1915.5 1295.5 1299.4 2355.9 2576.5 1911.5 1236.9 1617.4 1701.7 1635.5 2625.8 2203.0 2997.6 26666.5 Total 5445.4 6440.8 5503.3 6243.3 9986.8 9336.3 9245.1 16511.5 19050.3 15862.1 15758.0 16129.6 16089.0 27449.9 176344.4 Australia (% total) 23.77 29.74 23.54 20.81 23.59 27.60 20.68 7.49 8.49 10.73 10.38 16.28 13.69 10.92 15.12 Germany was the world’s largest importer of feral pig meat during 1981–1990 (Ramsay 1994), and was the largest importer during 1990–2001. Ramsay claimed that Eastern European countries dominated world supply prior to Australia’s entry into the market in 1980. Australia’s dominance of the market in the late 1980s is now much reduced, supplying an average of 11% of product F during 1995–2001. (d) Economics The number of feral pigs inspected annually by AQIS shows great variation, but the reasons for this are unclear. Ramsay (1994) noted that in 1992, when some 270 000 53 feral pigs were inspected, “the industry reported that it was supply-limited”. As noted above, this cannot be true because as long as feral pigs remain then it is the price paid per kg that will determine the number supplied. We suspect that what is really meant is that “at the price we are willing to pay for feral pigs our capacity for processing and exporting at that price is under-utilised”. We suspect that the price paid to the harvesters is determined largely by factors over which Australia has little or no control, in particular exchange rates and the quantity and prices of feral pig products in the numerous competing exporting countries. However, there is strong evidence that the quantity and quality of feral pigs available for harvesting varies greatly as a consequence of variation in rainfall. Processors attributed the very low annual harvest in 2003 to a severe drought over much of Queensland and New South Wales (V. Bates, Southern Game Meats Pty Ltd, personal communication). The price paid per kg to harvesters is likely to be affected by a number of variables. Competition for pigs from other processors is likely to drive prices up and increase the number harvested, at least in the short term. However, the primary determinant is likely to be the demand for the Australian product within the EU. We could find little information on what drives price paid per kg for feral pig meat within the EU, but clearly the exchange rate and the amount supplied by competitors will be important. Supply by European countries appears to be at least partly determined by climatic conditions (the abundance of pigs declines with increasing winter severity; Lozan 1995). Feral pig populations in Australia undergo large fluctuations in abundance due to rainfall affecting their food sources, but it is unclear how this affects residual densities of feral pigs. A key similarity between the feral pig and feral goat harvesting industries is that nearly all of both products are exported rather than consumed domestically. Hence, both markets are subject to the vagaries of the international marketplace, in particular currency fluctuations, competition and politics. However, there are also several important differences between the feral goat and feral pig harvesting industries that should be considered. First, feral pigs are harvested and sold by accredited professionals or semi-professionals, whereas most feral goats appear to be harvested by the property managers and their staff. Some of the latter maintain high densities of feral goats for weed control, or because they are only interested in traditional domestic livestock. In contrast, we suspect that most managers perceive feral pigs to be a negative impact on farming practices (because they root pasture and kill lambs; Choquenot et al. 1996) and will permit commercial harvesters on to their property. Second, virtually all feral pigs are wild-shot whereas feral goats are captured and slaughtered at an abattoir. This fact affects the markets to which the products are exported. Third, nearly all feral pig products are exported to the EU, and there are many competitors in this market. In contrast, no goat meat (or live goats) is exported to the EU, and the largest market (which is likely to continue to grow) is now the United States, to which Australia has few competitors due to restrictive hygiene regulations. Feral pig cannot be exported to North America because of the requirement for an ante-mortem veterinary inspection. 54 4.5.2 Factors affecting the sustainability of the feral pig harvest industry Supply The supply of feral pigs is likely to be determined by the abundance, condition and vulnerability of feral pigs to harvesting. The abundance of feral pigs in Australia appears to vary greatly in both space and time (Choquenot et al. 1996). Choquenot (1998) experimentally demonstrated that the abundance of feral pigs in the New South Wales rangelands was determined by pasture biomass, which in itself was determined by rainfall. The abundance of feral pigs in the wet-dry tropics also appears to be governed by rainfall via food availability (Caley 1993). Rainfall is perceived as an important determinant of feral pig abundance by the harvesters and processors, with lower abundance of pigs following periods of low rainfall (V. Bates, Southern Game Meats, personal communication). One perceived constraint on the supply of feral pigs is the effect of government-funded control operations on the abundance of feral pigs (e.g., by the Rural Lands Protection Boards in the Macquarie Marshes in 2003; V. Bates, Southern Game Meat Pty Ltd, personal communication; see also Takahashi and Tisdell 1989). Another factor influencing supply is the seasonal change in the quality of feral pigs (Choquenot et al. 1996), with body condition declining as food availability declines (Giles 1980). Harvesters perceive feral pigs to be most vulnerable to harvesting following the grain harvest in both New South Wales and Queensland, when they congregate on stubbles and are easier to see, shoot and recover (V. Bates, Southern Game Meats Pty Ltd, personal communication). The price paid by the chiller operators for feral pig is likely to be a major determinant of supply, but there is no data with which to investigate this relationship for feral pigs in Australia (c.f. feral goats). The availability of shooters (Ramsay 1994) is likely to be influenced both by the prices paid for feral pigs (more shooters would enter the industry when prices are high) and by the prices paid for kangaroos (i.e., shooters target kangaroos rather than feral pigs). Few shooters are likely to be available in remote and sparsely populated areas (Ramsay 1994). Demand The primary constraints on demand for feral pigs are likely to be international exchange rates and the quantities and price of feral pig products from competitors: these factors interact to create a “volatile” international feral pig meat market (Ramsay 1994). However, we can find no information or data (other than that presented above) describing how these factors affect the price paid by chillers for feral pigs in Australia. European buyers would also like all feral pigs delivered in June, July and August so they can be sold during the northern winter, when demand is greatest (V. Bates, Southern Game Meat Pty Ltd, personal communication). Storing feral pigs processed in January and February until May is obviously a cost that processors would like to avoid, if possible. Hence, most feral pig meat is exported between May and December to meet that demand (Ramsay 1994). The price paid per kg also changes seasonally. Southern Game Meats processed 127 248 feral pigs in the 2002 calendar year, and 111 155 during January–June 2003 (V. Bates, Southern Game Meat Pty Ltd, personal communication). When the price paid falls below about $0.60/kg, pig hunters tend to 55 give up, with some apparently switching to kangaroos. Between July 2002 and June 2003, the monthly price paid per kg ranged between $0.74 and $1.22 (V. Bates, Southern Game Meat Pty Ltd, personal communication), and the largest numbers of feral pigs were processed between June and October (c. 10 000–20 000). There was no processing of feral pigs in January, and <7000 month-1 in February to April. Weather conditions probably affect both the quantity and quality of feral pigs available for harvesting in Europe (Lozan 1995). Nothing is known about the relative costs of raising, harvesting, processing, and transporting feral pig meat in Europe. The farming and ranching of ‘wild boar’ has increased substantially in Europe, Japan and the United States (Takahashi and Tisdell 1989; Ramsay 1994). The farmed pigs are either exported live, or slaughtered and the meat exported. For example, there are no feral pigs in either Ireland or the UK, yet both nations export substantial amounts of ‘wild boar’ meat to the European Community (‘EC’; Eurostat Datashop UK, unpublished data). Demand can also be restricted by legislation in the importing countries. For example, Germany questioned whether Australian feral pig could be labelled as ‘wild boar’ given the uncertain origins of the populations in 1985/86 (Ramsay 1994). Germany now requires that Australian feral pig is labelled as Australian wild pig (‘Australisches wildschweinfleish’) (Ramsay 1994). In 1991, the EC proposed to classify Australian ‘wild boar’ as meat of domestic pigs for tariff reasons. As in the 1980s, Australian officials were able to demonstrate that the feral pig products exported to Europe should be termed ‘wild boar’ (Ramsay 1994). There are several potentially important markets to which Australian feral pig meat currently cannot be exported. Canada, the United States, and the Republic of Korea require an ante-mortem of animals, and clearly this is not possible for wild-shot pigs. Note that this contrasts with the goat situation; wild-caught goats get an ante-mortem inspection and hence can be exported to these three countries. 4.6 Maximising conservation benefits of commercial harvesting of goats Management of feral goats through commercial harvesting provides profits to the harvesters, processors and exporters, and uses the animals as a resource (which makes the management more acceptable to some people than culling to waste), and requires little or no government investment. Commercial harvests may be sufficient to provide collateral benefits to biodiversity and the environment (see below), but may also compromise optimal solutions for those who see feral goats as pests if it maintains feral goats at unacceptable densities or in inappropriate places. Any regular commercial harvest from a feral goat population will reduce the size of the population, but the key questions are: • Is the reduction by itself sufficient to reduce goat populations to protect the conservation values being threatened? • Even if it is enough, how frequently should harvesting or control be imposed to sustain the conservation benefits? 56 4.6.1 How much can commercial harvesting reduce goat densities? The answer to this question depends in part on the efficiency of the capture method used and on its frequency of application (West and Saunders 2003). Capture efficiencies The proportion of goats removed by mustering appears to be highly variable. In Western Australia, only 30–40% of goats were usually taken (G. Pickles, unpublished data cited in Parkes et al. 1996a). However, 80% of goats were mustered in one 50km2 area of the Flinders Ranges (Henzell 1984) and on Woody Island (Queensland) (Allen 1991), and by a similar amount on some monitored properties in Queensland (Thompson et al. 1999). Three musters in north-west New South Wales captured 26%, 38% and 58% of the estimated number of goats present, and one large scale trapping session captured 42% of the estimated number of goats present (Casburn et al. 1999). The proportion of goats removed by trapping at water depends, in part, on the proportion of water points where goats can drink without risk. Parkes et al. (1996a) suggest that reductions range from 30–80%. In a trial on Pimbee Station (Western Australia), all 11 water points in 68 000 ha were trapped in summer 1996 over a week when the temperature was generally less than 30ºC and there was some light rain (i.e., conditions were not ideal). Aerial surveys before and after the trapping indicated that removing 730 goats decreased the population by 58% from 1091 ± 288 (SE) to 455 ± 199 animals (Eliot and Pearce 1998). Henzell (1984) also reported that over a fouryear period commercial trapping and ground mustering reduced the numbers of goats on the 1000 km2 Gammon Ranges National Park from 17 000 to 1000 animals, a 94% reduction. These harvesting methods compare favourably with control tactics commonly used in the rangelands. Aerial shooting from helicopters has reduced populations from between 45–99% depending on the number of repeated sortees (see references in Parkes et al. 1996a). Pearce (1998) reported that a single aerial shooting operation (from a helicopter using a fixed-wing plane to spot the goats) removing 4.1 goats/km2 from a 1120 km2 area on the Gascoyne River (Western Australia) reduced the population from 7.7 ± 1.4 to 4.2 ± 1.1 goats/km2 (i.e., a 45% reduction). Frequency of application Feral goats have high rates of increase when food is not limiting. The intrinsic rate of increase (rm) has been estimated as 0.395 (Mahood 1985) and 0.414 in western New South Wales (Maas 1997), and 0.425 in South Australia (Parkes et al. 1996a). Feral goat populations can therefore recover from a 60% reduction within two years. Thus, any single harvest or control operation has to either achieve a high percent reduction or be repeated frequently if the residual or average density of goats is to be held at low levels. 4.6.2 Is this enough to provide conservation benefits? No study has attempted to answer this question by monitoring changes in biodiversity in areas where goats are commercially harvested. Hence, we can only speculate on the answer to this question. First, relationships between goat densities and the 57 biomass/condition of the plants they eat will vary depending on the biomass of that species, the preference of goats for that species and its ability to tolerate the removal of biomass (Nugent et al. 2001). Primary food species may be protected by commercial harvesting, but secondary highly preferred species may be eaten to extinction at densities from which commercial harvesting is uneconomic. Second, factors other than feral goats are likely to be important for biodiversity (sensu Coomes et al. 2003), and some of these factors (e.g., rainfall and fire) will interact with goat density to determine biodiversity outcomes. For example, a reduction in the density of feral goats by commercial harvesting may have little effect on biodiversity until rain falls. One approach used to answering the question has been to assess the proportion of plant production that is eaten by feral goats and by other sympatric herbivores (usually sheep, kangaroos and rabbits in the rangelands). Parkes et al. (1996a) calculated that goats at densities of 2 km-2 consumed about 0.4% of the net annual above ground plant production (including all the non-palatable parts and species) in rangelands with a 240 mm annual rainfall. That density of goats would still allow a viable commercial harvest (Henzell 1984). It was estimated that such rangelands could support c. 20 goat-equivalent herbivores and so goats at 2 km-2 would consume c. 10% of the food eaten by mammalian herbivores. Tiver and Andrew (1997) measured short-term recruitment and longer-term regeneration patterns from the population structure of 18 shrub/tree species in eastern South Australia and tried to interpret these data according to some crude estimates of sheep, goat, kangaroo and rabbit usage of the sites. Ten plant species were negatively affected by herbivory, but only one (Casuarina pauper) was explained only by goats’ usage of the sites. Sheep herbivory (past and current) was the most important variable. A second approach (Caughley et al. 1987) has been to focus on the interaction between goats and their food plants. Maas (1997) manipulated goat densities in rocky outcrop habitats in NSW and measured pasture and shrub biomass and rainfall. She concluded that feral goats at densities of between 3.5 and 9 animals/km2 reduced the biomass of shrubs (particularly mulga [Acacia aneura] and narrow-leaf waxflower [Eriostemon linearis]) in dry conditions, but their impact on grasses was unclear. At these densities food abundance did affect the goats’ rate of increase. The third approach is to use adaptive experimental management and monitor range condition across sites with different ‘treatments’ and attempt to interpret the observed differences. A system to develop this monitoring is being developed under the Australian Collaborative Rangelands Information System (ACRIS) (see Smyth et al. 2004 and other papers in that issue of Austral Ecology). For example, the Western Australian Rangeland Monitoring System has about 950 monitoring sites in the pastoral rangelands (the areas with feral goats) that have been asssessed every 5 or 6 years since 1992 (Watson and Novelly 2004). This system could be interrogated to assess the impacts of feral goats. For example, feral goats are not present at all sites, are managed differently among other sites, and on some stations managed by CALM livestock have probably been ‘eradicated’ (or at least much reduced in abundance) by closing artificial water sources. 58 4.6.3 Harvesting scenarios We can discuss and rank in increasing order of potential conservation benefit some typical harvesting scenarios that might result where landholders have different views of feral goats, and where these behaviours might be encouraged or discouraged by legislation or policy – such as subsidising the costs of harvesting or enforcing goat stocking rates. The model We use a conceptual model (Fig. 14) of the economics of feral goat harvesting developed by Cook (1995). This model was based on the Western Australian industry and assumes that goat populations grow according to the logistic growth curve, the simplest class of population model where the population grows at a maximum rate until some factor (usually food supply) begins to limit its rate of increase and the population eventually stabilises at its ‘carrying capacity’ (K) when the rate of increase is zero (Gilpin and Ayala 1973): N t +1 = N t exp( rm (1 − ( Nt θ ) )), K where N is the population size in year t, rm is the intrinsic rate of increase, K is the TC1 Costs and benefits of hunting effort ($) MEY2 MEY1 MSY TB TC2 Ecrit Goat abundance EMS E E Emi Hunting effort Figure 14. The model of sustainable yield developed by Cook (1995) for understanding the commercial harvest of feral goats in Western Australia. carrying capacity, and θ represents the form of density-dependence, i.e., the density at which factors such as per capita food begin to limit the growth of the population. 59 Cook (1995) set θ at 1, where the limiting density is at K/2, but it is probably above 1 and the limiting density above K/2 (see Barlow and Clout 1983). The logistic model oversimplifies the interaction between goats and their food because it assumes that goats do not affect the rate of growth of their food. Maas (1997) showed that this might be so for goats grazing grass in the rangelands of NSW, but was not so for their interaction with the woody scrub vegetation. She also tested how well the logistic model (both with instantaneous and lagged effects of food abundance) approximated the growth of a feral goat population following control to low densities, and found it to be a poor approximation. Choquenot et al. (1998) also outlined models that may be more suitable than the simple logistic for feral goats living in the semi-arid rangelands. However, the logistic model is still a useful framework for investigating the scenarios we wish to explore (Choquenot et al. 1995), especially as the value of θ will not dramatically alter the harvesting dynamics if the density of goats is held at modest levels. The maximum sustainable yield (MSY) for a population subject to logistic growth occurs at density K/2 and at a rate of rm/0.5. Hence, the maximum sustainable harvest is rm×K/4 (Caughley 1977) – or for feral goats in the absence of competitors 3 goats/km2 per year assuming rates of increase (0.4) and maximum densities (30/km2) described in Parkes et al. (1996a) and this report. Harvesting (or control) requires effort (E). The total benefit (TB) that the harvesters receive is TB = p×H, where p is the mean price paid to the harvester per goat and H the number harvested. H is related to the harvesting effort and the costs to harvest each goat. Cook (1995) assumed costs to be constant across goat densities. This is unlikely to be true, especially at lower densities, and will also differ depending on the cost structures (capital infrastructure versus time to search and apply) of each harvesting or control method. For example, empirical data for helicopter shooting of feral goats indicate that the costs of harvesting increase rapidly as densities decline below about 1 goat km-2 in open mulga woodlands (Pople et al. 1998). Because the price paid per feral goat by abattoirs is constant across goat densities (at least at the individual property level), TB is the same shape as the productivity curve. The total costs (TC) and total benefits (TB) of hunting effort are shown on the y-axis of Fig. 14, and goat abundance (increasing from left to right) and hunting effort (increasing from right to left) are shown on the x-axis. Note that there is a threshold goat abundance, at Ecrit, below which a feral goat population is likely to go extinct due to demographic and environmental stochasticity. Commercial harvesters act to maximise their profit from the feral goats. The harvesters should expend the effort at which the distance between TB and TC is maximised; this point is the maximum economic yield (MEY). Note that MEY may not occur at MSY depending on how the TC curve changes with goat density. There are several additional limitations to Cook’s model. First, the harvesters do not know the future price paid for feral goats; if it fluctuates greatly without being predictable then harvesters should tend to increase harvests when the price is high. Hence, many harvesters may simply attempt to maximise short-term profit by harvesting until TC=TB. Given that nearly all landholders would perceive domestic sheep to be their main outcome, this may be a very common phenomenon. Second, it 60 is unlikely that the production curve (and hence the TB curve) looks like that derived from the θ-logistic model. This is because the food supply of the goats probably renews at a slower rate than that supposed by the logistic model. Further, the food supply is subject to great variation due to highly stochastic rainfall (a key determinant of pasture biomass) in semi-arid regions (Caughley et al. 1987). Third, goats and sheep compete for forage, at least over some range of pasture composition, so that landholders may perceive a greater cost to having goats at one time compared to another depending upon the availability of pasture and browse, and the potential for competition between goats and sheep. Scenario 1: Harvesting from a high density Some landholders may wish to hold high densities of goats to control weeds but harvest the annual production (say of males). First, it is likely that goat densities well above MSY would have to be held before weed control is effective. For example, feral goat densities of 100/km2 were required to kill up to 90% of hopbush in western NSW (Torpy et al. 1992). Such requirements for high densities mean that the animals have to be effectively fenced and only a small sustained harvest can be taken if the density is to be maintained, i.e., there are high infrastructure costs and low direct annual income from harvesting, although the benefits to production by reduced weeds presumably justify these net costs. The conservation benefits are (at best) unclear – there might be benefits as competition from exotic weeds are reduced, but there might be losses as native plants more palatable than the weeds are removed, all with flow-on indirect consequences for other biota in the system. The interaction between goat density and time may also be important for understanding goats as weed controllers (i.e., is it better to have a higher density for a shorter time rather than a lower density for a longer time?). From a biodiversity conservation perspective, there seems to be little benefit in promoting goats as agricultural weed controllers when the weeds are native species. However, where the weeds are exotic species there may be net benefits to conservation if the goats (and domestic animals) are managed with both weed control and biodiversity in mind. Research is required to understand the trade-offs. Scenario 2: Harvesting from MSY or MEY densities Some landholders may wish to maximise their annual profit from harvesting feral goats by holding the population at the density where the annual recruitment or annual economic yield is highest. This density is probably where food starts to limit the birth rates and/or survival rates of the goats, and impacts on their primary food plants worsen as goat density increases. From a biodiversity conservation perspective, there seems little benefit in promoting this strategy, but where landholders choose it they should be encouraged or forced to manage the goats as part of total stocking rate rules – more goats, less sheep and kangaroos! Cook (1995) explored the option of including feral goats in the overall stocking rates. If there is a real penalty to this, such as forcing the landholder to control goats (or billing the landholder for the costs of control), then landholders should increase hunting effort such that there is a lower goat density; the density of the residual goat density will depend on the size of the penalty. Thus, including feral goats as part of stocking densities, and placing a penalty on landholders by requiring them to enforce those stocking densities, will decrease the residual goat density. 61 Depending upon the size of the penalty, the long-term average annual commercial harvest of goats may well be reduced. Again, without knowing how stocking densities (of sheep and goat) relate to rangeland condition and biodiversity conservation, we cannot speculate further on the implications of our recommendations for the economics of the industry. However, there seems to be little incentive for enforcing existing regulations; this may be because they are legally ‘weak’. Hence, these regulations cannot be relied on for achieving any conservation benefits. Scenario 3: Taking a large but infrequent harvest Some landholders ‘farm’ their feral goats by harvesting a very high proportion and then allow the numbers to recover over several years before repeating the operation. This has advantages to the landholder because it reduces the per capita costs and can be done in years when the income is most needed, e.g., often in droughts when income from sheep is lower. From a biodiversity conservation perspective, there might be benefits in this strategy if the harvests coincide with times of maximum impacts (e.g., in droughts) or if the periodic reductions are sufficient to allow a pulse of regeneration, particularly of shrubs. R. Henzell (personal communication and unpublished data) suggested that such pulses of mulga regeneration had more to do with periods of low rabbit densities than of changes in other herbivore densities, but post-rabbit haemorrhagic disease (RHD) this relationship may be different if the disease suppresses rabbit densities for a long time. Scenario 4: Taking a minimum economically viable harvest from low density Some landholders see goats as pests either because of their effects on biodiversity or because they compete with their main enterprise, sheep. They can use commercial harvesting to (a) reduce goat densities to some acceptable level in a one-off operation and (b) as a sustained but small annual harvest to keep the population at these low levels. Whether they should use commercial harvesting to achieve (b) depends on the net costs of this compared with the costs of just controlling the goats by other means such as shooting, and the extent of the increased returns from domestic livestock if competition from goats was a factor. Henzell (1984) claimed that commercial harvesting of feral goats became uneconomic at densities below c. 1 km-2 – neatly, about the density at which costs/goat killed in helicopter shooting increased rapidly (Pople et al. 1998). From a biodiversity conservation perspective, this scenario offers the best opportunity for directly influencing outcomes. Providing subsidies on costs (e.g., via the tax system) to harvesters for building traps and mustering yards would act to decrease part of the costs of harvesting and would allow smaller harvests to be sustained from lower goat densities. Subsidies on price are probably not acceptable to governments and in any case would have to flow-on to the landholders before it changed their behaviour. Similarly, reducing the costs of compliance with AQIS rules would help abattoir profitability but would only change landholders’ behaviour if this was passed on to them in the price they were paid. Although subsidies would act to reduce densities of feral goats on properties where landholders do not aim to maximise their profit from goats, i.e., where they consider 62 goats as pests, subsidies are less likely to increase the number of properties from which goats are commercially harvested under scenario 4. Penalties (such as enforcing stocking rate rules underpinned by sanctions on leases) might drive some landholders from scenarios with least benefit to biodiversity conservation towards scenario 4. The difficulty would be in demonstrating that the subsidy was used for the stated purpose. For example, it would be difficult to demonstrate that a subsidy to improve infrastructure for trapping goats at waterpoints was used only for that purpose and not for the benefit of domestic sheep (e.g., yards). We can speculate about the general implications of our recommendations for the profitability of the major abattoirs. The abattoirs currently run well below their maximum annual processing capacity. The annual capacity of these abattoirs would be maximised in the long-term if feral goats were harvested on all properties at the MSY. However, as the model above shows, feral goats should be harvested (from the farmer’s perspective should he wish to maximise profits) at MEY rather than MSY. Increasing both subsidies and penalties could act to increase the number of goats received, but if the subsidies and penalties are very large then the number of goats received by the abattoir will be much reduced as harvesting occurs at goat abundances much less than MSY. We do not know the number of goats required by the major abattoirs to remain economic (this presumably depends on the difference between income [price paid to the abattoir by the exporter for the goat product] and costs [wages, infrastructure, etc]), but the potential for the slaughter and processing industry to become uneconomic must be acknowledged. Hence, the economics of the industry will depend upon the size of the subsidies/penalties; these are presently unknown but should be linked to rangeland/biodiversity condition. 4.6.4 Management options to minimise threats from domestic goat farming Escaping goats might be managed either by pro-active management that aims to reduce the risk of escapes, or by reactive management that accepts escapes as inevitable and plans to detect and deal with them in an efficient way, or some combination of both (Fraser et al. 2003). The optimal mix between being proactive and reactive will depend on the frequency and cause of new populations and the probability that they will be detected and eradicated efficiently. For example, proactive management (e.g., restrictions on farming, fencing standards that are enforced) would be best where the goats present are at the more-domesticated end of the spectrum and their escape would allow establishment of new feral herds in areas not currently inhabited by goats. Reactive management (e.g., detection and eradication or recapture) would be best where restrictions on land use cannot be imposed or where escapes are common irrespective of the husbandry possible. It would be possible to assess the costs and benefits of each or a mix of proactive and reactive management if data on escapes and costs to manage them were available. Pro-active management The best legal way to reduce the threat to biodiversity conservation posed by escaping domestic goats is to ban the keeping of goats. This is unrealistic as a general solution, but both State laws (e.g., in South Australia in the Flinders Ranges Planning Area) and local government (e.g., in land-use planning) can restrict goat farming in some areas. 63 Given the generally slow dispersal rates of goats, restricting the keeping of goats within some defined distance from high-priority goat-free conservation areas might be worth exploring. Alternatives are to have goat owners agree to keep only wethers, or agree to sunset conditions on current animals in or adjacent to such areas. Setting fencing standards, levels of husbandry, stocking rates, and identification by branding or ear tagging for domestic goats are prescribed in some States. It is unclear whether the level of pro-active enforcement of these rules changes the risk that goats escape and become feral. However, some clear rules and sanctions about the fate of domestic goats that are abandoned might be worth developing if this turns out to be a common event. Note: it is unclear whether legal sanctions against releasing feral animals applies to abandoning domestic goats in situ. Reactive management An alternative or additional management response to escaping goats is to invest in surveillance and prompt reaction to any such events. We do not have any information on the frequency of establishment of new feral populations, let alone on the causes (see section 4.2.3). It is therefore difficult to be specific about how agencies might invest in surveillance and reaction. One possible solution is to institute a surveillance regime (we would suggest in priority areas where feral goats are patchily distributed, such as adjacent to reserved tenures as in the eastern areas of eastern States), identify causes, and measure how much it costs to control or eradicate the new populations (see Fraser et al. 2003 for an example for new deer populations in New Zealand). In the absence of data on the actual frequency of establishment of new populations or the probability that they are discovered and eradicated, it is difficult to determine how much should be allocated to management of spread versus control in situ, or what proportion of the ‘management of spread’ budget should be allocated to pro-active tasks and how much to reactive tasks. 4.7 Key policy issues, information gaps and recommended solutions Below we outline key issues in policy options for commercial use of feral goats. We also outline the perceived benefits and opportunities identified by stakeholders we consulted. 4.7.1 Risks of new feral goat populations establishing Policy issue Goats can and do escape from captivity. Such escapes pose two risks. First, they can move into goat-free areas and establish a new population. Second, they can move into areas where feral goats are being controlled. If the aim is eradication then zero immigration is one of the essential conditions for success (Bomford and O’Brien 1995). Forsyth et al. (2003) showed how eradication of feral goats in Mt. Egmont National Park (North Island, New Zealand) would not be achieved if immigration (of escapees) continued. 64 Stakeholder perspectives Landholders and goat meat producers resent regulations that impose greater costs on them and/or prevent them from undertaking a potentially profitable activity. Hence, stricter goat-fencing standards and exclusion zones are not supported by the majority of landholders and meat goat producers. Abattoir managers and staff also perceive such impositions as having a negative effect on the supply of goats, and hence the profitability of their industry. State agency staff perceive goat fencing standards as difficult to enforce. They generally perceive exclusion zones as more practical, but wonder how many situations they would apply to (i.e., there are few goat-free areas remaining within their jurisdictions, and often those that do have goats nearby). Information gaps There is no information on the causes and frequency of events that lead to new populations of feral goats, and so no indication on how managers might proactively or reactively deal with these new populations. The sort of information that should be collected, probably by sampling current edge-of-range or regions includes: • Monitoring the edge of known ranges of feral populations to measure rates of spread. • Recording the proportion of goats with ear-tags or marks that are killed or caught from feral populations adjacent to domestic herds. • Recording the number of new herds in a region that are clearly from illegal releases and in situ abandonment of domestic herds. This information would be useful in determining how managers should best spend their money preventing the establishment of new populations. Modelling would generate quantitative estimates of the minimum distances adjacent to goat-free conservation areas in which goat farming should be prohibited. Solutions Broadly, the solution imposed on landholders wanting to hold goats should be proportional to the risk. For example, the Animal and Plant Control Commission (South Australia) has suggested some risk factors to decide on how far from priority goat-free areas domestic goats should be permitted and/or what standard of fencing should be required. Broad areas could be defined in which goats cannot be farmed (termed ‘exclusion zones’). Exclusion zones have been defined for deer farming in deer-free parts of New Zealand (Department of Conservation 2001), and for feral goats in parts of South Australia. All fences eventually fail and goats will inevitably escape. Management should reduce this risk to a minimum and plan to deal with escapees when they occur. For example, in Northland, New Zealand, 30% of escapes of deer from farms were caused by human error (e.g., gates left open), 30% by ‘acts of God’ (e.g., storm damage to fences), and the rest because the fences were always inadequate (Fraser et al. 2003). Reactive management (surveillance and control) would be better for the 60% that were ‘accidents’ and proactive management (enforcing fencing standards) for the remaining 40% of escape events. 65 Recommendations • State agencies should consider how to impose legal restrictions on the holding of domestic goats and for standards of management where they are permitted, but these should be commensurate with the risk such enterprises pose to the public good both in situ and on adjacent lands. • Eradication of some escapees/new herds may be both possible and desirable. 4.7.2 Lack of information on current management chosen by landholders Policy issue Management decisions on commercial harvesting are made at a property level under most State legislations, at least in the pastoral rangelands. The efficacy of any legislation or policy that attempts to change landholders’ behaviour with respect to commercial harvesting remains unknown. Stakeholder perspectives Care would need to be taken in any survey to divorce responses from landholders from any individual regulatory responses from agencies to ensure unbiased responses. Information gaps There is no information on the proportions (or spatial adjacencies) of landholders who may use commercial harvesting as a pest control tool, take occasional large harvests when they need cash, maximise profits from annual harvests, or hold goats as weed control agents and harvest only the excess. This lack means that it would be difficult to assess the effectiveness, in terms of changed behaviour of landholders, of any changes in legislation or policy. Solutions From a biodiversity conservation perspective, the issue would be how to encourage more landholders towards ‘harvesting for pest control’ without compromising the industry, i.e., more regional collaboration would be required to maintain the total harvest. From the industrys’ perspective, it would provide information on how they might motivate and organise landholders to harvest more goats. Recommendations • States should encourage landowners who are not commercially harvesting feral goats to do so by promoting its financial benefits and noting tax incentives available for investment in infrastructure to capture goats. • A costed strategy with options for further action should be developed for use by landowners that wish to use commercial harvesting as the initial step to control feral goats as pests. • That landholders and leaseholders be surveyed to ascertain their current management aims and practices with respect to feral goat harvesting. We note that the recent NSW survey (West and Saunders 2003) had a different purpose (distribution and density of pests) and was done at a regional scale of Rural Lands Protection Boards and State agencies, rather than at a property scale where the purpose would be to sample current management practices. 66 4.7.3 Relationships between livestock stocking rates and biodiversity, and how management can achieve the best biodiversity outcomes Policy issues From a biodiversity conservation perspective, the objective of feral goat management is to minimise adverse impacts on biodiversity and ecological processes. In some places, feral goats are but one of many factors that may act synergestically to impact on biodiversity and ecosystems. For example, feral goats are often sympatric with one or more other herbivores (e.g., rabbits, macropods, feral pigs, and domestic sheep), and removal of feral goats may not lead to any improvement in biodiversity or ecosystem processes due to compensatory responses from the other species (sensu Coomes et al. 2003). Similarly, abiotic factors (e.g., rainfall and fire) may also be important. Hence, just because feral goat numbers are reduced by commercial harvesting it cannot be assumed that the overall threat to biodiversity and ecosystem processes has been reduced, particularly for preferred plant species. It is also unclear to what extent commercial harvesting will reduce the abundance of feral goat populations. Because the rate of increase of feral goats is well above the discount rates, harvesters should not be expected to eradicate a goat population on commercial grounds (see May 1976). Moreover, many areas are too inaccessible or rugged, or have too few feral goats, to be profitably commercially harvested at the prices offered. In Queensland, commercial harvesting reduced the abundance of goats at the property level, but not at larger scales (Thompson et al. 1998). Since the relationships between the density of feral goats and their impacts on biodiversity are unknown, it is uncertain how often commercial harvesting reduces the abundance of feral goats such that conservation benefits are achieved. Agencies should not see commercial harvesting as removing the need for agencyfunded goat control. The scant available data suggest that commercial harvesting, at least within the range of prices offered over the last 20 years, has not reduced densities over large areas and that conservation benefits may not have accrued. However, we emphasise the lack of data concerning the relationship between goat densities and conservation benefits. None of the State agencies controlling feral goats on private and leasehold land attempt to recover their costs from the landholder or leaseholder. We believe that if the costs of feral goat control were imposed on the landholder or leaseholder, then commercial harvesting would become a far more important mechanism for controlling feral goats than is currently the case. This is because commercial harvesting allows the recovery of some or all of the costs of control. We therefore believe that feral goats should be brought under the rules governing domestic livestock on private and leasehold lands. This has the advantage, at least in some areas, of enforcing goat control when maximum allowable stocking densities are exceeded and/or when rangeland condition declines. A related policy issue is whether there will be a long-term change towards higher densities of goats in rangelands through increased husbandry? (i.e., a switch from lower densities of feral goats to higher densities of managed goats). The biodiversity outcomes of such a switch are unclear, and will likely depend on changes in the abundance of other herbivores (e.g., sheep and kangaroos), and abiotic factors. 67 Stakeholder perspectives Landholders do not want to directly fund the costs of monitoring, with most claiming that they already manage rangeland condition through either casual observation and/or (in a few cases) permanent monitoring sites (e.g., photopoints, pasture biomass and species composition). Landholders also do not want to pay the costs of feral goat control on their land, except when they themselves profit from the exercise (i.e., can harvest and sell them at a profit; Agri-Focus Pty Ltd undated b). This issue is highlighted in Western Australia, where a largely State-funded feral goat control program operated between 1991 and 1999. The program ran in a period of low prices for feral goats, but was discontinued due to landholder pressure to harvest goats themselves when goat prices increased again. The State agencies that administer pastoral leases appear to recognise the need for property-based quantitative estimates of rangeland condition, but baulk at the cost of such a program. Researchers perceive this as a good way to link the management of goats with rangeland condition and biodiversity condition. They see opportunities for research to inform the process, but wonder about the difficulty of interpreting large amounts of data that may reveal different trends for different rangeland components. Landholders consider that they are adequately enforcing stocking densities that lead to sustained or improved rangeland condition. They perceive that the imposition of stocking rates could affect the profitability of their businesses. The State agencies that administer pastoral leases are concerned that the enforcement of stocking densities will lead to a poorer relationship with many leaseholders. The agencies are concerned that some leases may become unprofitable if ecologicallybased stocking densities are enforced. There is also the issue of capacity to deal with the increased workload that would be involved. Solutions • Monitoring of biodiversity on pastoral leases A requirement of management on many pastoral leases (e.g., in Western Australia) is the regular monitoring of ‘rangeland condition’ by the agency administering the leases. ‘Biodiversity’ needs to be one aspect of such monitoring. Trends in biodiversity, as revealed by monitoring, should be a key driver of land management throughout Australia. • Enforcement of stocking rate rules On private and leasehold properties, stocking rates should be specified in terms of both managed and unmanaged livestock. Under this approach, domestic goats would be ‘managed’, and feral goats ‘unmanaged’, but the arbitrary distinction (in terms of biodiversity outcomes) is removed. Managing stocking densities would then be the responsibility of the landholder/leaseholder. Shifting the cost of control from the taxpayer to the landholder/ leaseholder would increase the number of properties where goats are commercially harvested. This approach was also recommended by Cook (1995). 68 The agencies administering pastoral leases in Western Australia have the power to enforce changes in stocking densities when rangeland condition declines. However, this appears to be seldom enforced, and we are unsure if this is because trends in rangeland condition are not known with a great degree of certainty, or whether the agency does not wish to antagonise the leaseholder. Clearly, this ability to enforce stocking densities to modify rangeland condition is likely to impact on biodiversity and ecosystem processes, and leaseholders may be able to use commercial harvesting to reduce the abundance of goats. Failure to comply with necessary reductions in density should result in the landholder being billed for the full cost of control. This would lead to an increase in the number of properties from which feral goats are commercially harvested. Information gaps Understanding the relationships between rangeland condition, biodiversity and herbivore densities (Hone 1994) is the key to managing the impacts of feral goats. However, research is required on this topic. It is unclear how the various rangeland condition indices relate to biodiversity and ecosystem processes, and how rigorously the data are collected, collated and analysed. Given that these data are all that are available in large parts of Australia, we believe that their collection, analysis and interpretation needs to be more transparent. There is considerable interest in the use of goats for weed control in some parts of Australia. However, there is no information on what densities are required to achieve different weed abundance outcomes. Trials should be conducted to assess the environmental benefits and costs of goats as weed controllers – we suggest doing this in areas where the weeds are exotic species, such as the eastern rangelands of New South Wales. As goats tend to consume more woody material and less grass than sheep (at least in some situations), there is a need to understand the implications of substituting goats for sheep in different rangeland conditions. Such work should assess the relative profitability and impacts of managed sheep and goats. There are opportunities for conducting such research on pastoral properties that actively manage both species. The wide variation in the management strategies applied to feral goats by landholders could be usefully employed in an adaptive experimental management approach to understanding the biodiversity benefits of different commercial harvesting strategies. It is unfeasible to attempt to document these relationships in every place and at every time, so the best approach is to identify the general forms of these relationships in a well designed experiment, and to model the effects of other factors (e.g., soil fertlity, drainage, other herbivores, etc) on these relationships. We see this as the best way to extrapolate results from one experiment to other places/times. It must be recognised that this research should be long-term (i.e., mirror the life-histories of the species likely to be impacted). Because of the high costs of conducting long-term experiments, the area(s) selected for such work need to be carefully chosen. We recommend that the usefulness of current rangeland condition monitoring systems for monitoring native biodiversity be evaluated within such a project. 69 Recommendations • Laws to bring feral goats (where goats are permitted) under ‘stocking rate’ rules rather than ‘declared pests’ rules on leased and private land may provide better outcomes but only if they are enforced and the effects monitored. • Landowners and leaseholders in the pastoral rangelands should be surveyed to ascertain their views on feral goats and their management intentions (as resources, pests, weed control agents etc) for goats on their land. • The benefits and costs to biodiversity of maintaining high densities of goats to manage exotic weeds should be determined experimentally. 5. Summary of Key Recommendations 1. The Department of the Environment and Heritage and State conservation agencies should prioritise where they need to actively control goats independent of where commercial harvesting occurs. 2. States should encourage landowners who are not commercially harvesting feral goats to do so by promoting its financial benefits and noting tax incentives available for investment in infrastructure to capture goats. 3. A costed strategy with options for further action should be developed for use by landowners who wish to use commercial harvesting as the initial step to control feral goats as pests. 4. Future amendments to State ‘national park’ legislation should clarify the unwanted pest status of feral goats on lands in protected tenures, partly to avoid potential contradictory legal definitions of feral goats as actual or potential declared pests and as game animals. 5. State agencies should consider how to impose legal restrictions on the holding of domestic goats and for standards of management where they are permitted, but these should be commensurate with the risk such enterprises pose to the public good both in situ and on adjacent lands. 6. Laws to bring feral goats (where goats are permitted) under ‘stocking rate’ rules rather than ‘declared pests’ rules on leased and private land may provide better outcomes, but only if they are enforced and the effects monitored. 7. Landowners and leaseholders in the pastoral rangelands should be surveyed to ascertain their views on feral goats and their consequent management intentions (e.g., as resources, pests and weed control agents) for goats on their land. 8. The relationships between feral goat (and other herbivore) densities and biodiversity should be investigated at sites under different management strategies. 9. The benefits and costs to biodiversity of maintaining high densities of goats to manage exotic weeds should be determined experimentally. 70 6. Acknowledgements We thank the following people for providing information that was used in this report: Bob Adamson (Pastoralists and Grazers Association, Western Australia), Vic Bates (Southern Game Meat), Trevor Blight (Pastoral Lands Board, Western Australia), Mary Bomford (Bureau of Rural Sciences), Tim Clancy (Arthur Rylah Institute for Environmental Research), Don Clements (Geraldton Meat Exporters), P. Day (Safe Foods New South Wales), Ashley Dowden (‘Challa’, Western Australia), Piers Dumaresq (Meat & Livestock Australia), Peter Fleming (New South Wales Agriculture), David Franks (AQIS), Quentin Hart (Bureau of Rural Sciences), Bob Henzell (Animal and Plant Control Commission, South Australia), Kim Holzner (Meat & Livestock Australia), Tim Johnson (Agriculture West Australia), Brian Lloyd (Pastoral Lands Board, Western Australia), David Mitchell (Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry Australia), Jim Mitchell (Department of Natural Resources and Mines, Queensland), Michael Mulligan (Southern Game Meat), Caren Omachen (Department of Primary Industry, Victoria), Greg Pickles (Department of Agriculture, Western Australia), Edgar Richardson (Pastoralists and Grazers Association, Western Australia), Steve Roberts (AQIS), Glen Saunders (New South Wales Agriculture), Russell Schultz (SafeFoods Queensland), Scott Sharman (Meat & Livestock Australia), Allan Sheridan (AQIS), Paul Smith (AQIS), Peter Stinson (Livecorp), Simone Tolson (AQIS), Rod Williams (Department of Agriculture, Western Australia), and Andrew Woolnough (Department of Agriculture, Western Australia). 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