REPORT REPORT TO: Mayor Bonnette and Members of Council REPORT FROM: Suzanne Jones, Town Clerk DATE: June 2, 2015 REPORT NO.: CS-2015-0038 RE: Regional Representation RECOMMENDATION: THAT Report No. CS-2015-0038, dated June 2, 2015 regarding Regional Representation, be received; AND FURTHER THAT staff be provided with direction regarding Council‟s determination of conditions and criteria for regional representation, without loss of current regional representation. BACKGROUND: Halton Region has seen substantial growth since its formation in 1974. Initially, Burlington had the largest population followed by Oakville, Halton Hills and Milton. The population distribution at the time reflected the following regional seat distribution – Burlington, 9 seats; Oakville, 7 seats; Halton Hills, 5 seats; Milton, 3 seats. During the 1990‟s the population shifted resulting in the size of Burlington and Oakville being almost equal, as were Milton and Halton Hills. A change to the regional council representation was approved in May 1996 (which came into effect in 1997) to reflect the population shift. Both Burlington and Oakville were provided 7 seats each, Milton and Halton Hills with 3 seats each. This representation is still in place today. In 2007 the Region established a Regional Representation Review Sub-Committee. The work of the sub-committee ceased when, on March 26, 2008, the Regional Council adopted a resolution requesting that additional research be undertaken, and further acknowledged that there will be no change in Regional representation prior to the 2014 election. On February 27, 2105 Region of Halton Council passed the following resolution; “THAT the question of Regional representation be referred to the Local Councils to discover under what conditions and criteria, in addition to no loss of representation, the Local Councils would consider changes to Regional representation, given that they have the say due to the “triple majority” requirement; with a response requested within a four-month time period.” The motion was approved through a recorded vote – 12 in favour, 9 Opposed. This report and the associated resolution adopted by Town Council will form the Town of Halton Hills response to the Regional Council. COMMENTS: The 1991 Supreme Court of Canada “Carter Decision” established an ethical base that is used to guide representation reviews at all levels of government in Canada and has been referenced in numerous municipal council representation studies, and Ontario Municipal Board decisions. The Court decision maintained that electors are entitled to “effective representation” recognizing that variances from the normal representationby-population objectives are legitimate and often necessary, but at the same time noted that representation variances should be corrected - not perpetuated. The Court noted that effective representation could be achieved by “relative parity of voting power”, modified where necessary to take into account numerous valid factors such as geography, community history, community interest, and minority representation. In order to measure and balance the right to “effective representation” against the common principles of “voter equality”, representation reviews often apply a standard that allows a 25% variance from an electoral quota, meaning typically an average that is determined by dividing the total electors in an area by the number of members to be elected in that area. The 25% variance is also a standard of variation that is required by the Federal Electoral Boundaries Readjustment Act (EBRA) and is also used by the Province to balance “effective representation”. As a Council not only represents the voting public, but rather the population across its municipality, it‟s important to base data per population statistics. Population figures in this report have been determined through the estimated population based on the Region‟s Best Planning Estimates. The Best Planning Estimates (BPE) reflect the population allocated to Halton through the Provincial Growth Plan and the distribution of that population among the four local municipalities as reflected in the Sustainable Halton Plan (ROPA 38). Each regional municipality will be using these figures in the report brought forward to their local council. Page 2 The region‟s local Councils have been requested by Regional Council to determine conditions and criteria, without loss of current representation, under which they would consider changes to regional representation. Local Councils have influence over these decisions due to the “triple majority” approval requirement (a majority of local Councils, a majority of Regional Councillors and a majority of the represented Regional population must be in favour of the decisions). The current composition of Halton Region Council falls short of representation-bypopulation objectives. Further disparity is indicated by the variance from the average population number per member of Regional Council, which is 27,811. When considering the 25% variance rule, the following table shows Milton and Halton Hills well outside of the 25% range. Oakville‟s numbers reflect very little variance from the average. TABLE 1 – 2016 Representation by Population and Variance from Average Oakville Burlington Milton Halton Hills Halton Population (2016) Regional Council Members Pop-per Member (2016) % of Pop. % of Seats Variance from Avg. (100% = 27,811) 198,205 175,438 124,645 57,922 556,210 7 7 3 3 20 (excl. Chair) 28,315 25,063 41,548 19,307 27,811 35.6% 31.5% 22.4% 10.4% 100% 35% 35% 15% 15% 100% 101.8% 90.1% 149.4% 69.4% Table 2 further, noted below, further outlines the variance trend from the average, by including 2016 and 2021 population projections. TABLE 2 – 2016 Representation Variance and 2021 Population Forecast Pop-per Member (2016) Oakville Burlington Milton Halton Hills Halton 28,315 25,063 41,548 19,307 27,811 Variance from Avg. (2016) (100% = 27,811) 101.8% 90.1% 149.4% 69.4% Population Forecast (2021) Pop-perMember (2021) % of Pop (2021) % of Seats (2021) 221,826 178,847 161,750 61,672 624,094 31,689 25,550 53,917 20,557 31,205 35.5% 28.7% 25.9% 9.9% 100% 35% 35% 15% 15% 100% Variance from Avg. (2021) (100% = 31,205) 101.6% 81.9% 172.8% 65.9% Page 3 Section 218 and 219 of the Municipal Act, 2001 provides Councils with the authority to change the composition of Council. Previous population growth caused the rebalancing of Regional Council in 1997. Further substantial population growth continued and still continues. Population projections indicate that this imbalance of representation regionally will continue to worsen, which leads to the question – does Halton Regional Council conform to the equitable standard for representation by population, and fair and effective representation? In addition to equity, the appropriate overall size and representation of Regional Council must be taken into account. The chart below outlines the size of other regional councils in the Province. The average population representation per member is 32,329 amongst the noted municipalities; TABLE 3 – Representation by Population in other Ontario Municipalities Region Population (2011 Census) 1,296,814 1,032,542 608,031 427,421 507,096 556,210 (2015 BPE) Peel York Durham Niagara Waterloo Halton Size of Council (including Chair) 25 21 29 31 16 21 Population per Member 51,873 49,167 20,967 13,788 31,694 26,486 Currently, both the Towns of Milton and Oakville have brought forward their regional representation reports to Council. The City of Burlington will be presenting their report later in June. Within Milton and Oakville‟s reports it is stated that because Regional Council has required that „there be no loss of representation‟, the representation to population ratio of 1:19,307 (1 member for every 19,307 citizens - Halton Hills representation ratio) should be considered the base for formulating optimum representation. If this ratio was imposed upon the other area municipalities, the number of regional council members would be as follows; TABLE 4 – Representation based on Halton Hills Numbers Oakville Burlington Milton Halton Hills Halton 2016 Pop. 198,205 175,438 124,645 57,922 556,210 # members @ 19,307 per member 10.3 = 10 9.1 = 9 6.5 = 7 3.0 = 3 29 (excluding Chair) 2021 Pop. 221,826 178,847 161,750 61,672 624,094 # members @ 19,307 per 11.5 = 12 9.3 = 9 8.4 = 8 3.2 = 3 32 (excluding Chair) Page 4 Although this model reflects fair representation by population, a number of factors need to be taken into account. The growing size of Regional Council; financial and other impacts for the local municipalities that are assigned the additional members; and as well continued growth beyond the 2021 figures. Another approach may be to consider weighted voting. Weighted voting is already in place in a number of upper tier municipalities in Ontario and Canada. Instead of increasing the number of members to Regional Council, instead increase the number of votes as shown in the table below; TABLE 5 – Weighted Votes based on the Halton Hils Population per Member Oakville Burlington Milton Halton Hills Halton 2016 Pop. 198,205 175,438 124,645 57,922 556,210 # of votes @ 19,307 per member 10.3 = 10 9.1 = 9 6.5 = 7 3.0 = 3 29 (30 incl. Chair) 2021 Pop. 221,826 178,847 161,750 61,672 624,094 # of votes @ 19,307 per 11.5 = 12 9.3 = 9 8.4 = 8 3.2 = 3 32 (33 incl. Chair) While weighted voting does provide each municipality with vote equity, it is a very complex system that may not be perceived as transparent to the public. Because of the complexity of a weighted voting system, regional staff would need to research and recommend to Regional Council an “understandable” weighted voting method for Halton, for Council‟s consideration. A weighted voting system may be considered “a stop gap” solution while the region undertakes a comprehensive review to consider the optimal structure of its Council. Towns of Milton and Oakville‟s Resolutions re. Regional Representation The Town of Milton Council passed the following resolution related to Regional Representation; (ES-015-15) 1.THAT Halton Region be urged to implement a solution to the current regional representation imbalance to be in effect no later than the start of the 2018-2022 term of Council; 2.THAT Halton Region be requested to contract a qualified, outside consultant to undertake a comprehensive representation review including determination of its optimum size in accordance with the guiding principles outlined in this report; Page 5 3.THAT, until Halton Region undertakes such a review, Halton Region increase the size of Regional Council by two – both assigned to the Town of Milton - to be in effect no later than the start of the 2018-2022 term of Council; 4.THAT the Government of Ontario be requested to approve legislation that will require all municipalities in Ontario to undertake substantive representation reviews at least once in every three terms of Council (12 years) and to implement the measures necessary to maintain fair and effective representation; 5.THAT, should it appear Halton Region is unwilling or unable to correct the current regional representation imbalance for the start of the 2018-2022 term of Council, that the Town of Milton petition the Government of Ontario to impose a fair, effective, and efficient representation solution on the Regional Municipality of Halton; 6.THAT this report be forwarded to the Regional Clerk for distribution to all members of Regional Council with a request that its recommendations be fully endorsed at the earliest possible opportunity; 7.THAT this report be circulated to lower-tier municipal councils in Halton Region, and to Halton area MP and MPPs, for their information. The Town of Oakville Council passed the following resolution; 1. THAT Halton Regional Council be requested to increase regional representation to include one additional member for Oakville and two members for Milton, based on the 2016 and 2021 population forecast which shows all municipalities falling within the 25 per cent variance rule and is also in keeping with the past decision of Oakville Town Council to move to seven wards; 2. THAT staff revisit the ward boundaries to address the current inequities in representation within Oakville in keeping with future regional decisions on regional representation that were not considered in 2012; 3. THAT Halton Regional Council not consider weighted voting as a criteria for regional representation; and 4. THAT staff proceed to review a seven ward boundary configuration upon Halton Regional Council’s approval of an additional member for Oakville, alternatively, should no change in representation be approved by Halton Regional Council for Oakville, staff evaluate a new six ward system of fair representation to balance ward representation for Oakville Town Council. Page 6 Next Steps In order for any changes to take effect for the next regular election, changes to Council composition must be finalized by December 31st of the year prior to the election. Therefore, in order to be in effect for the October 2018 election, any changes agreed upon through the triple majority requirements (as outlined in sections 218 and 219 of the Municipal Act) must be completed by December 31, 2017. RELATIONSHIP TO STRATEGIC PLAN: This report is in keeping with the Town‟s strategic Direction; “To provide responsive, effective municipal government.” FINANCIAL IMPACT: There are no financial impacts associated with this report. COMMUNICATIONS IMPACT: This report and Council‟s recommendation will be circulated to the Towns of Milton and Oakville, the City of Burlington, and the Region of Halton for their information. SUSTAINABILITY IMPLICATIONS: As this report is administrative in nature, there are no sustainability implications. CONSULTATION: The Town Clerk has consulted with Clerks within the lower-tier municipalities in preparing this report. Page 7 CONCLUSION: The Town of Halton Hills Council is asked to bring forward a recommendation regarding changes to Regional Representation. Staff recommend that whether Halton Hills Council agree to the increase in Regional Council size to include 2 additional members for Milton; or 2 additional members for Milton and 1 additional member for Oakville; or any other recommendation - it is important that the Region be requested to contract a qualified, outside consultant to undertake a comprehensive representation review to determine the optimal size of a regional council to provide fair and effective representation across all its local municipalities. Additionally, the Region be requested to recommend a system for regular review of regional representation, for Regional Council‟s consideration. Until such time that the weighted voting system can be determined as transparent, fair and understandable by the voting public; staff recommend that this method not be considered as a stop gap measure. Staff respectfully seek Council‟s direction on this matter. Respectfully submitted, Suzanne Jones Town Clerk David Smith Chief Administrative Officer Terry Alyman Commissioner of Community and Corporate Services Page 8
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