Newsletter Argentina June 2014, Edition 9 On the 14th of May, 2014 the Ambassador of the Kingdom of the Netherlands, Henry J. de Vries, signed a Treaty and a Memorandum of Understanding with AFIP (Agencia Federal de Ingresos Públicos) Newsletter Argentina is a publication composed by the agricultural and economic departments of the Embassy of the Kingdom of the Netherlands in Buenos Aires. The main focus of this newsletter is on Argentina, but also relevant developments in Uruguay and Paraguay will be introduced. The newsletter provides an update of economic developments, new policies and regulations, tenders, fairs and trade missions. This newsletter is put together on the basis of various public sources such as newspaper articles, press releases, and third party information. Economic Outlook- Argentina-Paraguay-Uruguay Regulations Trade Opportunities – Fairs Main Figures- Statistics Trade Opportunities Trade Mision to Argentina, Uruguay y Paraguay On the month of November this year, a trade mission to Argentina, Uruguay and Paraguay will take place. The mission will be headed by the General Director for International Economic Relations of Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Kingdom of the Netherlands, Simon Smits, accompanied by Dutch companies. Those interested in having meetings with these companies can contact the Economic Department of the Embassy of the Kingdom of the Netherlands in Buenos Aires to [email protected]. International Logistics Day at Expo Logistics 2014 During the 11th International Exhibition of Equipment, Technology and Logistics Solutions, Information Flow and Supply Chain, to be held between August 12th and 15th in the City of Buenos Aires, an International Logistics Day will take place, which will bring together local and foreign specialists. This event is aimed at professionals and entrepreneurs and for the occasion a Consultive Committee was set up comprising representatives of port and maritime activities, international trade, logistics operators and customs brokers, among others. During the conference, which will be held in parallel to the most important logistics meeting in Latin America, the main issues related to trade logistics will be discussed, from the point of view of the various links of the chain of services involved. For more information on this event, visit the Expo Logistics website: www.expologisti-k.com.ar New Linkedin Profile As of June, the Embassy of the Kingdom of the Netherlands in Buenos Aires has a Linkedin profile, where you can find the most relevant information on bilateral trade, current news, events and more. Argentina Tax agreements signed with Argentina On May 14th, in Curacao and the signed, as well Netherlands and (MoU). Buenos Aires an Agreement between the Kingdom of the Netherlands, in respect of Argentine Republic for the exchange of information with respect to taxes (TIEA) was as a Memorandum of Understanding between the competent authorities of the the Argentine Republic on the automatic exchange of information for tax purposes The agreement and the memorandum were signed by Ambassador H. de Vries, representing Curacao for the TIEA and the Netherlands for the MoU, and by the Administrator of AFIP (Federal Administration of Public Revenue) Ricardo Echegaray. The TIEA establishes a formal framework for an effective exchange of tax information between the tax authorities of the parties, which is key in meeting the objective of preventing fraud and tax evasion. The MoU was signed in order to carry out the provisions of the Convention between the Kingdom of the Netherlands and the Argentine Republic for the avoidance of double taxation and the prevention of fiscal evasion with respect to taxes on income and on capital signed in Buenos Aires on December 27th, 1996. It is the first one signed by Argentina, and the second signed by the Netherlands in the western hemisphere (after Canada). http://www.dialogofiscal.gob.ar/internacionales/audioPaisesBajos.aspx Argentina and its external debt On June 16th, against market expectations, the U.S. Supreme Court refused to hear an Argentine appeal on defaulted bonds. Two days later the U.S. courts lifted a hold on the order requiring Argentina to pay $1.33 billion to NML Capital and lifted the stay of enforcement of injunctions. Judge T. Griesa required Argentina to pay over USD 1.3 billion with interest, to NML Capital ensuring the holdouts are treated in the same way as other creditors (the pari passu clause). The problem is that the RUFO clause (Rights Upon Future Offers) given to bondholders who took Argentina’s debt restructuring terms in 2005 and 2010, entitles them to get the same treatment if Argentina “voluntarily” makes a better offer to the creditors who stayed out before 31 December 2014. It may be eventually argued that fulfilling a Judge’s ruling is not a “voluntary” payment. The Argentinian government announced that “it will not default on its restructured bonds”. And despite the court order on June 26th, the Economy Minister, Axel Kicillof, announced that Argentina paid more than USD 1 billion for capitals and interests corresponding to the bondholders that joined the debt swap. The payment was made because on June 30th Argentina had to pay the already restructured debt (although it has a 30 days period of grace). Judge Griesa nullified the payment which he called an “explosive action” that has disrupted settlement talks. Griesa also denied the request of Argentina for a stay. It should be noted that even in the worst case scenario, the technical default if Argentina does not reach an agreement in July with the holdouts, it can’t be compared to the 2001 crisis. First off all it will be a technical default: Argentina has the money, transferred the money, but can’t technically fulfill the payment. Secondly, in 2001 the debt was 166% of GDP while now it amounts to 40% of GDP. As of today (June 30th) the markets are expecting that an agreement will be achieved as the stock exchange, and even the thermometer of the economy - the exchange rate - are stable (with ups and downs, but no drastic changes). The Paris Club and the Argentine Republic agree to a resumption of payments and to clearance of all arrears “The representatives of Paris Club creditors and of the Government of the Argentine Republic met on 28 and 29 May 2014 and agreed on an arrangement to clear debt in arrears due to Paris Club creditors over a five year period. The scheme offers a framework for a sustainable and definitive solution to the question of arrears due by the Argentine Republic to Paris Club creditors, covering a total stock of arrears of USD 9.7 billion, as of 30 April 2014. It provides a flexible structure for clearance of arrears within five years including a minimum of USD 1150 million to be paid by May 2015, the following payment being due in May 2016”. The agreement was well received by the opposition and the private sector (including Dutch companies in Argentina) as it will allow Argentina to access the international finance markets, also foreign direct investments are expected to arrive. However it was criticized that in order to avoid the IMF intervention, the government accepted terms that could have been improved: a period of 10 years instead of 5 and a smaller amount to be paid. It is also worth mentioning, that most of the debt has to be paid by the next government as the presidential elections will be held in October 2015. http://www.clubdeparis.org/sections/actualites/argentine/downloadFile/PDF/PR20140529_Argentine.p df?nocache=1401336431.64 Argentina: knowledge and technology in the potato chain The 2g@there-program GITAHpapa, supported by RVO.nl, consists of a thriving multiannual partnership with the Argentine-Dutch group for technology exchange in the potato industry. Within this framework 3 activities have been organized during the first months of 2014 in the province of Buenos Aires: (i) a workshop and field demonstration in Tres Arroyos about the use of uncut and calibrated seed potatoes, (ii) a seminar and machine demonstration during the annual “Fiesta de la papa” in Otamendi, (iii) a workshop about the storage and packaging in Otamendi. The events brought together the most important Argentine potato producers with the representatives of the Dutch machine manufacturers and research institutes. For more information please click on the following link: www.gitah.com.ar Increasing influence of China After the Dutch grain-multinational Nidera announced last February that they sold a majority stake to the Chinese Cofco, Cofco continued their expansion. In April the state-runned Chinese food-company announced that they will also take over the agricultural branch of Noble (originally from Hongkong). Nidera and Noble together represent more than 10% of the Argentine soy exports (annual total exports of soy are about 50 million tons). It illustrates the great importance that China attributes to the (future) food supply. Strong increase of exports of poultry meat In 2013 Argentine poultry exports amounted to 653 million dollars, 18% more than in 2012. The most important export destination is Venezuela, followed by China and Chile. In recent years, the production of poultry meat in Argentina has been increasing significantly because the main cost, corn, is available in abundance and at good prices. This is partly due to the export tax of 23% that exporters of corn and other cereals must pay. Paraguay Private Sector Forum Paraguay In connection with the annual meeting of the OAS which took place in the first week of June this year, a Private Sector Forum was organized. During the Forum a lot of emphasis was placed on Public Private Partnerships, an area in which Paraguay has recently adopted new legislation. Also, the ambition of Paraguay to launch PPP’s for investment plans particularly in the area of infrastructure was underlined by President Cartes. Cartes, having a business background himself, emphasized the role of the private sector in sustainable and inclusive economic growth and job creation. The Minister of Economic and Social Development and Planning of Paraguay, Jose Molinos Vega, stated that three months of after the passage of the PPP-legislation already 14 projects are being prepared, mostly in the area of infrastructure. In this way Paraguay hopes to generate interest of foreign investors. The Minister of Industry and Trade, Gustavo Leite, added that PPP’s can also be used in sectors like education, science and technology. In addition he stressed the favorable tax climate in Paraguay and the necessity to offer investors legal security. Standard & Poors upgraded Paraguay’s debt rating The rating agency raised their qualification from BB- to BB, expecting sustainable economic growth driven by the investment impulses given by the government in infrastructure and by cautious macroeconomic management. The agency expects stable growth for the coming years with an average between 4 and 5%. As part of the financing of its investments plans Paraguay plans to issue new debt in international markets in the second half of the year. This will amount to 750 million US dollar according local authorities. http://www.infobae.com/2014/06/12/1572239-paraguay-sigue-alza-sp-subio-la-nota-su-deuda Potable water investments in Paraguay As part of the many investment projects of the Cartes government, the ministry of public works and communications published the 5-year goal of an investment of 2.4 billion US dollars in potable water and sanitation improvements. Five mega-projects were listed including sewer and wastewater treatment for Asunción and potable water services and sewage sanitation upgrades in various cities. The Paraguayan sewerage system currently reaches 11% of the population, and wastewater treatment only 3%. Apart from the improvement on the access and quality of water, the projects will also create over 28.000 jobs. http://web6.bnamericas.com/news/waterandwaste/paraguay-to-spend-us24bn-on-waterwaste/424519662/?utm_source=free&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=recursos Paraguay: an agricultural country in development As announced in this Newsletter there will be a trade mission to Argentina, Paraguay and Uruguay. Interested? Here you can read more on the development and challenges in Paraguay – the best kept secret of LatinAmerica. You never really hear anything about Paraguay. To many it is unknown that the economy grew by an impressive 13,6% last year. The agricultural sector is fast growing, export-oriented and increasingly diversifying its industry next to soy and beef. Although the price is steadily increasing, land is still low-priced. This offers opportunities for investment or export of Dutch agricultural knowledge and technology. However, Paraguay also has its challenges. For the full article ( in Dutch) please click on the following link: http://argentinie.nlambassade.org/binaries/content/assets/postenweb/a/argentinie/nederla ndse-ambassade-in-buenos-aires/import/producten_en_diensten/landbouw/artikel-bbparaguay-mei-2014.pdf Uruguay Moody's upgrades Uruguay's debt rating The risk rating agency Moody's upgraded Uruguay's debt rating from "Baa3" to "Baa2", and mantanined a "stable perspective". This is the highest historical debt rating for Uruguay and puts the country on the same rating levels of Perú and Brasil. Economic Outlook Foreign Direct Investment in Latin America According to the annual report on Foreign Direct Investment published by CEPAL, FDI inflows in Latin America remained stable in 2013. Total inflows showed an increase of 5% with the previous year, however, total outflows declined by 33%. The services sector received the highest proportion, 38%, of FDI inflow in 2013, followed by manufacturing and natural resources. However, the composition varies strongly per country. Despite Paraguay’s strong economic growth last year. FDI inflows in Paraguay were 20% less than in 2012 and amounted to 382 million US dollar. Both services and the manufacturing sectors have been important for FDI, in addition, several companies continue to explore for oil and gas in different parts of the country. A large acquisition was made by the Chilean brewer Compañía Cervecerías Unidas S.A. (partly controlled by Heineken), which purchased a 50% stake in Bebidas de Paraguay and a distributor. FDI inflows in Argentina, amounting to 9.081 billion US dollars, also showed a decline compared to last year. A rise in reinvestment of earnings was triggered by restrictions to access foreign capital imposed at the 2011 and accounted for 77% of the total inflows in 2013. Capital inflows, mergers and acquisitions were limited in 2013. After the governmental agreement to pay Repsol 5 billion US dollars in compensation for the nationalization of 51% of the oil company YPF, YPF is now trying to attract other international companies as partners. The FDI inflows in Chile amounted to 20.258 billion, which is 29% less than the previous year. The most important industry for FDI is the mining industry which has seen some large investments, but also the electricity generating sector has seen a lot of activity with various projects in wind and solar energy. In addition, announcements have been made for investments in hydroelectric power. In manufacturing, Chile saw one of the larges takeovers in Latin America in 2013, when Colombia’s Grupo Nutresa acquired the food company Tresmontes Lucchetti for 758 million US dollars. Considering outward FDI, Chile is one of the largest providers of Latin American Foreign Direct Investments, together with Mexico, although countries outflows showed a declined after very high outflows in 2011 and 2012. In contrast to the previous countries, Uruguay received more inflows of FDI in 2013 than the previous year, with a total amount of 2.796 billion US dollars. The inflows in Uruguay represented 5% of GDP, a fairly high proportion in comparison with the region. The sectorial distribution has not yet been issued, however in 2012 there was a strong growth in investment in utilities, consistent with the governmental push for wind energy and the strong inflows of investment in that sector. In addition, in 2014, tenders for solar energy projects amounting to 300 million US dollars have been issues. What could limit FDI in the future is a draft law that is currently being discussed, limiting land ownership by foreigners. http://www.eclac.cl/cgibin/getProd.asp?xml=/publicaciones/xml/8/52978/P52978.xml&xsl=/publicaciones/ficha.xsl&base=/p ublicaciones/top_publicaciones.xsl IMF - World Economic Outlook (WEO) - “Recovery Strengthens, Remains Uneven” “Global activity has broadly strengthened and is expected to improve further in 2014–15, according to the April 2014 WEO, with much of the impetus for growth coming from advanced economies”. In Latin America “only a modest acceleration in activity is expected with growth rising from 2,5% in 2014 to 3 percent in 2015”. In Argentina the economy continues to struggle “with difficult external funding conditions and the negative impact on output from pervasive exchange and administrative controls. The activity is expected to slow markedly during 2014, though the outlook is subject to high uncertainty. Persistently loose macroeconomic policies have generated high inflation and a drain on official foreign exchange reserves. The gap between official and market exchange rates remains large”. After the strong devaluation in January Argentina raised the interest rates, but more significant policy changes are needed. The projected GDP growth for 2014 is 0.5%, and the unemployment 7.6%. In the case of Paraguay growth rebounded in 2013 (13%) as the agricultural sector recovered from a severe drought. This year’s growth is expected to reach 4.8% (in line with the Central Bank’s figures) and will be the third highest one in the region (after Peru with 5.5% and Bolivia with 5.1%). The inflation and unemployment will be steady at 4.7% and 5.5%. Projections for Uruguay are that the GDP growth will reach 2.8% with an inflation of: 8.3%. In Chile activity “is projected to moderate somewhat because private investment growth is decelerating markedly, including the mining sector”. The country “is also financially highly integrated but not that vulnerable to capital flow volatility”. The projections for 2014 are: GDP growth 3.6%, inflation 3.5%, http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2014/01/pdf/text.pdf Fairs 2014 July The 128th edition of the Agricultural and Livestock Exhibition XXXIII International Livestock, Industry, Agriculture, Commerce and Services Expo Fair V Latin-American Congress of Teaching in Design 12-21 July Agricultural and Livestock Exhibition Expo 2014 28 Julio – 1 August Diseño Palermo 2014 7 – 9 August AAPRESID The annual AAPRESID congress 13 – 15 August Expo Logisti-K 26 – 29 August Expo Portuaria 27-29 August Expo Agua September Congreso Tecnológico CREA 3–5 September Espacio Food Service 2014 11th International Exhibition of Equipment, Technology and Solutions for Logistics, Flow of Information and Supply Chain Latin American Congress of harbors organized by the Asocación Americana de Autoridades Portuarías Meeting of companies and technology in the water sector Technological Congress CREA (Asociación Argentina de Consorcios Regionales de Experimentación Agrícola) International congress of the food industry 3 -14 september Expoprado 2014 16 – 19 September TECNO-FIDTA: International Fair of Food Technology The 109th edition of the International Exposition and Livestock Exhibition of Agroindustry and Agribusiness The 12th edition of the International Fair of Food Technology http://www. sra.org.ar/ Buenos Aires http://www.e xpo.org.py/ Asunción Paraguay http://fido.p alermo.edu/s ervicios_dyc/ encuentro20 10/ http://www. aapresid.org. ar/ www.expolo gistik.com.ar Buenos Aires http://www.aa pa2014argenti na.com/index. php/es/ Puerto Iguazu Rosario Buenos Aires Buenos Aires http://www. aacrea.org.a r/i Córdoba http://espaci ofoodservice. cl/2013/ www.expopr ado.com Santiago Chile http://www.t ecnofidta.co m/ Buenos Aires Montevid eo Uruguay Main Figures Statistics GDP growth (%) Argentina Exports (million USD) Imports (million USD) 9,2 9.162 7,7* 8,4 81.576,40 67.630,00 8,9 10.959 10,9* 7,3 83.950,00 73.935,00 2012 1,9 11.576 10,8* 6,9 81.205,00 68.504,00 2013 3,0 - 9,4* 6,4 83.026,00 74.002,00 0,5 - 11,4* 7,4 - - 2010 8,5 11.742 6,8 7,0 10.666,10 9.875,40 2011 5,7 13.866 8,6 6,0 7.920,00 10.726,00 14.614 2013 2014 projections 3,7 2,8 7,5 6,1 8.751,00 8.536,00 - 8,5 6,6 9.155,00 9.533,00 - 8,6 6,8 - - 2010 15,0 3.105 7,2 6,1 10.474,37 9.592,68 2011 3,8 3.833 4,9 5,6 7.776,43 11.548,96 2012 -1,2 3.700 4,0 6,9 7.283,88 10.756,39 2013 13,6 4.368 3,7 5,4 9.432,34 11.302,07 4,6 5,5 2014 projections Sources: Unemployment (%) 2011 2012 Paraguay Inflation (%) 2010 2014 projections Uruguay GDP per capita (current USD) 4,8 - - - IMF, WB, ECLAC, BCRA, BCU, BCP, EIU * Data produced by private analysts have shown considerably higher inflation that official data mentioned above. The Embassy of the Kingdom of the Netherlands in Buenos Aires cannot be held responsible for the accuracy of the information published. Newsletter Argentina will be published on the website of the Embassy. If you wish to receive Newsletter Argentina, or would like to add a person to the distribution list, or if you would like to send your comments, please feel free to send a message to [email protected].
© Copyright 2026 Paperzz