Ch.9-10 Review CONFIDENCE INTERVALS 1. The drug Lipitor is meant to lower cholesterol levels. In a clinical trial of 863 patients who received 10mg doses of Lipitor, 47 reported a headache as a side effect. a) Construct a 90% confidence interval estimate of the proportion of Lipitor uses who will report a headache as a side effect. Write a sentence to interpret the interval. b) What is the point estimate for the proportion of Lipitor uses who will report a headache as a side effect? 2. A Gallup poll conducted on in June of 1950 asked 1,031 Americans, “How often do you bathe each week?” Results of the survey indicated that x = 3.7 and s = 2.3. a) Construct a 99% confidence interval estimate of the mean number of times Americans bathed each week in 1950. Write a sentence to interpret the interval. b) What is the point estimate for the mean number of times Americans bathed each week in 1950? HYPOTHESIS TESTING 3. According to the American Hotel and Motel Association, the average price of a room in 1998 was $78.62 per night. A lodging analyst claims that the value is now different. He conducts a study of 50 hotels and motels and determines the mean price to be $80.04 with a standard deviation of $10.83. Test the claim that the average price of a room is no longer $78.62. Use α = 0.01. 4. In a survey conducted by the American Animal Hospital Association, 40% of respondents stated that they talk to their pets on the answering machine or telephone. A veterinarian actually believes that the percentage is higher, so he randomly selected 150 pet owners and discovered that 64 of them spoke to their pet on the answering machine or telephone. Test the veterinarian’s claim that more than 40% of pet owners speak to their pets on the answering machine or telephone. Use α = 0.01. OTHER: 5. Determine H0 and H1 then write the Type I and Type II errors for the following: The mean score on the SAT Math exam is 516. A test preparation company states that the mean score of students who take their course is higher than 516. 6. A sports commentator wants to estimate the proportion of Americans who follow professional football. What sample size should be obtained if he wants to be within 3 percentage points with 95% confidence and he uses a 2010 estimate of 0.53 obtained from a Harris Poll? 7. A sports commentator wants to estimate the proportion of Americans who follow professional football. What sample size should be obtained if he wants to be within 2 percentage points with 90% confidence and he does not use any prior estimates? Ch.9-10 Review ANSWERS: 1. a) 1-Prop-ZInterval (.04176, .06717) I am 90% confident that the true proportion of all Lipitor users that will report a headache as a side effect is between .04176 and .06717. b) pˆ 2. 47 0.05446 863 a) T-Interval (3.5151, 3.8849) I am 99% confident that the true mean number of times that all Americans bathed each week in 1950 was between 3.5151 and 3.8849 times per week. b) x 3.7 3. T-Test 4. 1-Prop-ZTest I. Ho: μ = 78.62 H1: μ ≠ 78.62 (claim) (2 tails) II. α = 0.01 Critical Value(s) = ±2.678 II. Test Statistic = 0.93 IV. (picture) Bell-curve with 2 tails shaded at ±2.678. I. Ho: p = .40 H1: p > .40 (claim) (right tail) II. α = 0.01 Critical Value(s) = 2.33 III. Test Statistic = 0.67 IV. (picture) Bell curve with right tail shaded at 2.33. TS is in the unshaded region on the right side. V. P-value: 0.3584 VI. Do not Reject Ho Conclusion: There is not sufficient evidence to Conclude that the average price of a room is different than $78.62 per night. TS is in the unshaded region on the right side. V. P-value = 0.2525 VI. Do not Reject Ho Conclusion: There is not sufficient evidence to conclude that more than 40% of pet owners speak to their pets on the phone or answering machine. 5. Ho: μ = 516 H1: μ > 516 Type I: Reject that μ = 516 when μ = 516 is true. Type II: Do not reject that μ = 516 when really μ > 516 is true. 2 1.96 6. n (0.53 0.47) 1063.269 (round up) 1,064 0.03 2 1.645 7. n (0.25) 1691.265 (round up) 1,692 0.02
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