Economic History of the US Revolution to Civil War,1776-1860 Lecture #5 Peter Allen Econ 120 Financial Issues, 1776-1860 Revolutionary War, 1775-81 Articles of Confederation, 1781-89 Practical aim, victory and independence, but.. Financial disaster Federal gov. and some states defaulted Worthless Continental currency hyperinflation Banks suspended payment in specie 1790, Need to build a real financial system Public finance Money Banking Three financial crises 1793-1860 (1819, 1837, 1857) Hamilton Treasury Secretary, 1789-1795 Financial Base for US 1. Tariff Act, 1789 2. Public Credit Act, 1790 - Fed. gov assumes all Rev. War debt of fed./states 3. Coinage Act, 1792 • US Mint 4. First Bank of the US, 1791-1811 Part 1: Income Stream Tariff Act of 1789 Established base tax revenue to fund new debt and other spending New constitution… fed. gov. control international and interstate commerce… …and power to tax 99% of all revenue Import Tariffs 5-15% of dutiable products Part 2: Pay all Rev. War Debt Hamilton (“Report on Public Credit,” 1790) wrote to Congress… “US needs to be able to borrow…and… …have a good credit rating US must pay all federal/state Rev. War debts… …at par!!! „Properly funded‟ Fed. gov. bonds could help solve problem of shortage of liquid capital… …by enabling banks to issue currency backed by it” Revolutionary War Financing 1. Continentals = est. $400 million o o o o ½ fed. and ½ state Denominated in “spanish milled dollars” “Fiat” currency, not backing by specie Depreciated in value to $1000 to $1 2. US Gov. debt = est. $54 million o o o $11 million foreign, Dutch and French $43 million domestic (actually only $29 million) defaulted 3. States’ debt = est. $25 million o Some defaulted and some paid Assumption Rejected 4X in Congress “helping speculators… veterans sold at 25¢…” Some states paid off debt (e.g. Virginia) “Hamilton trying to take over state finances” “Deal” Jefferson & Madison support, Hamilton agreed new capital in DC $77.1 million ≈ 40% of 1791 GDP ($193 million) US gov. has not defaulted on Hamiltonian system Hamilton’s numbers, 1790…. Public Credit Act, passed by Congress in 1790 U.S. Government Debt as a Percentage of GDP, 1790-2007 120% WW2 100% 80% 60% 40% Revolutionary War Civil War WW1 20% 0% 1790 1810 1830 1850 1870 1890 1910 1930 1950 1970 1990 2010 8 Part 3: Coinage Act of 1792 Bi-metallic specie standard, gold and silver US Dollar unit = one spanish milled dollar or peso Specie weight of 1 US dollar – 371.25 grains silver …and or 24.75 grains of gold Mint ratio of 15 to 1 (prevailing market prices) Form of price control Foreign coins ≈ 80% of all specie in 1800 (MB) US Mint…anyone can bring bullion to be coined No fiat paper! States prohibited from issuing currency 1787 gold Brasher doubloon was sold for $7.4 million in Dec. 2011 Minted by Ephraim Brasher, Virginia goldsmith and neighbor of George Washington 26.66 grams of gold — slightly less than an ounce. Worth about $15 when it was minted, the gold value today would be more than $1,500. First American-made gold coin denominated in dollars the U.S. Mint in Philadelphia didn't begin striking coins until the 1790s. Gresham’s Law Problem with any Bi-metallic standard Fixed exchange price for 2 precious metals each with a market price… determined by Supply and Demand, and …therefore fluctuate in price relative to each other People always take metal which is relatively underpriced at the official mint ratio out of circulation “Bad money drives out good” Why?....arbitrage profits 1792-1834, gold was underpriced and only silver coins circulated 1792 1799 1808 ← Market prices Gold 1 1 1 Silver 15 15.5 16 Bimetallism: usually just one metal circulates at a time Effect of a Below-market Price Control Gold price, In terms of Silver (oz.) P S 16 Market price 15 Mint ratio shortage D 250 400 Q Gresham’s Law Several adjustments to mint ratio until 1860 Problem of price controls “chasing” market price 1834: official mint ratio changed to 16 to 1 Now gold was overpriced, silver underpriced gold discovery in California made it worse 1834-60…Gold replaces silver in circulation Theoretical benefit of bimetallism… Market-based money supply …and twice as much “monetary base” i.e. So, other metal can be used to maintain stock of money Never worked in this way Banking System, 1793-1860 After 1793, rise in # of banks 1790 3 1815 212 1800 20 1860 160 1811 117 all State-chartered Issued own paper “notes” (i.e. currency) backed by specie Demand for bank loans, farmers & manufacturers “Fractional reserve banking” “Strictly business,” laissez faire, regulated by market forces only Early problem…over-issue of bank notes Periodic depositor “runs” to redeem notes for specie Lack of knowledge of “far away” banks, discounting Part 4: First Bank of the U.S., 1791-1811 In 1790, Hamilton proposed a central bank… …modeled on the Bank of England (1694) Functions Issue notes backed by specie “Regulate” bank note issues by periodically presenting them for conversion to specie Fiscal agent of fed. gov. (deposits) Collect taxes Lend money to Treasury Lender of last resort Opposition: unconstitutional, against states rights, for. owned Chartered by Congress for 20 years First Bank of the U.S., 1791-1811 Successful Stable monetary conditions Prevented banks from over-expanding note issuance & credit no banking crises…but… …Congress terminated it 1811 First major banking crisis straight away War of 1812 (1812-15), War financing 1814-17, banks allowed to suspend specie payments on notes Over-issue (fiat), inflation “Panic of 1819,” depression of 1819-21 Sentiment: “No paper currency, no fractional reserve” Bank Holdings ($ million) Specie Bank notes Reserve Ratio 1811 14.9 42.2 0.35 US Treasury Bonds Reserve Ratio 1815 13.5 79 0.17 1818 20 94.7 15 0.36 ▲ Jan.1811 end of First Bank ▲ Jan.1817 start of Second Bank 1819 25 74.2
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