6 Applying calculus to further modelling cyan magenta yellow 95 Describing curve properties Curve properties from calculus Investigating new models Identifying models from graphs Modelling problems Surge and terminal velocity models 100 50 75 A B C D E F 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 Contents: black Y:\HAESE\SA_12MET-2nd\SA_12MET2_06\207SA12MET2_06.CDR Wednesday, 15 September 2010 11:41:16 AM PETER SA_12MET-2 208 APPLYING CALCULUS TO FURTHER MODELLING (Chapter 6) In this chapter we will apply the calculus studied in Chapter 5 to various modelling questions. We will extend the modelling work done in previous chapters, and consider models of the following types: 9 ² linear = already examined in previous work ² exponential ; ² power ¾ ² quadratic polynomial models ² cubic ² logarithmic y = b + a ln t ² logistic y= ² terminal velocity y = A(1 ¡ e¡bt ), A > 0, b > 0 ² surge y = Ate¡bt , A > 0, b > 0 A C , A > 0, b > 0, C > 0 1 + Ae¡bt DESCRIBING CURVE PROPERTIES When we describe the graphical features of models, it is important to use language that we all understand. LOCAL AND GLOBAL MAXIMA AND MINIMA A local maximum is a maximum turning point. local maximum A local minimum is a minimum turning point. local minimum The global maximum is the point with the maximum value of y on the domain of the function. The global minimum is the point with the minimum value of y on the domain of the function. global maximum y local maximum global maximum (and local maximum) local minimum cyan magenta yellow 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 global minimum 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 global minimum black Y:\HAESE\SA_12MET-2nd\SA_12MET2_06\208SA12MET2_06.CDR Wednesday, 15 September 2010 11:41:52 AM PETER x SA_12MET-2 APPLYING CALCULUS TO FURTHER MODELLING (Chapter 6) 209 ASYMPTOTES y This curve has a horizontal asymptote y = 1 and a vertical asymptote x = 3. As y gets very large and positive, and as x gets very large and negative, the graph gets closer and closer to the asymptotes. y=1 x x=3 INCREASING AND DECREASING FUNCTIONS Graphs like are increasing for all x. A graph is increasing on some interval if, as the x value increases, the y value increases also. As we move from left to right we are going up the hill. increase in y increase in x Graphs like are decreasing for all x. A graph is decreasing on some interval if, as the x value increases, the y value decreases. decrease in y As we move from left to right we are going down the hill. increase in x Some graphs contain intervals which are increasing, as well as intervals which are decreasing. For example: g incr easi d 3 si n rea ec incr eas ing ng y y (4,-1) x (3, 2) magenta yellow 95 100 50 This function is decreasing for 0 6 x 6 4 and increasing for x 6 0 and for x > 4. 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 This function is decreasing for x 6 3 and increasing for x > 3. cyan x black Y:\HAESE\SA_12MET-2nd\SA_12MET2_06\209SA12MET2_06.CDR Wednesday, 15 September 2010 11:41:55 AM PETER SA_12MET-2 210 APPLYING CALCULUS TO FURTHER MODELLING (Chapter 6) Example 1 Find intervals where the following graphs are increasing or decreasing: a y b y (4, 3) x x (2, -1) (8, -2) b Decreasing for x 6 2. Increasing for x > 2. a Increasing for 0 6 x 6 4. Decreasing for x 6 0 and for 4 6 x 6 8. EXERCISE 6A.1 1 For each of these graphs: i give the position and nature of any turning points ii state intervals where the graph is increasing or decreasing iii state the equation and nature of any asymptotes. y a y b y c (2, 3) y d x x x y e y (Qw , 6_Qr_) f (0, 2) x x x (1, -1) g (-1, 2) y y h x x (2, -2) (-4, -3) y i y = 10 2 x y = -2 2 Find the global minimum and global maximum for the following graphs: a b y y c (3, 17) (4, 5) (-5, 6) (-4, 10) magenta yellow x 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 (2, 8) x (-1, 1) 75 25 0 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 cyan 5 x (0, 0) y black Y:\HAESE\SA_12MET-2nd\SA_12MET2_06\210SA12MET2_06.CDR Wednesday, 15 September 2010 11:41:58 AM PETER (-3, -4) (4, -5) SA_12MET-2 APPLYING CALCULUS TO FURTHER MODELLING 3 (Chapter 6) 211 Consider the illustrated line. For fixed x-steps, there are fixed y-steps, so the slope of the line is constant. Comment on the slopes of the following curves as the x-value increases. a b d e c f B A 4 Use question 3 to answer the following: a What is the slope of a curve: i at a maximum turning point or minimum turning point ii on an interval where the function is increasing iii on an interval where the function is decreasing? b What is happening to the slopes of the curves at: i point A in 3d ii point B in 3f ? INFLECTIONS AND SHAPE My cave looks like: When a curve, or part of a curve, has shape: we say that the shape is concave we say that the shape is convex. Consider this concave curve: As x increases, the slope of the tangent decreases. m=0 m=1 m = -1 So, the rate of change is decreasing. m=2 m = -2 cyan magenta yellow 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 y = -x 2 black Y:\HAESE\SA_12MET-2nd\SA_12MET2_06\211SA12MET2_06.CDR Wednesday, 15 September 2010 11:42:01 AM PETER SA_12MET-2 212 APPLYING CALCULUS TO FURTHER MODELLING (Chapter 6) Now consider this convex curve: As x increases, the slope of the tangent increases. y = x2 m = -2 So, the rate of change is increasing. m=2 m = -1 m=1 m=0 POINTS OF INFLECTION A point of inflection is a point on a curve at which there is a change of curvature or shape. At this point, the curve changes from concave to convex, or vice versa. DEMO or point of inflection point of inflection The tangent at the point of inflection, also called the inflecting tangent, crosses the curve at that point. EXERCISE 6A.2 1 For the following graphs, identify which of the points A, B, C or D is a point of inflection: a b y c y y B C A B C B D A A x D x C x D 2 For the following functions, find: i any points of inflection ii intervals where the rate of change is increasing iii intervals where the rate of change is decreasing. a b c y y y y = 10 (-2, 11) (1, 7) (6, 5) (4, 3) cyan magenta yellow 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 x 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 x black Y:\HAESE\SA_12MET-2nd\SA_12MET2_06\212SA12MET2_06.CDR Wednesday, 15 September 2010 11:42:04 AM PETER x SA_12MET-2 APPLYING CALCULUS TO FURTHER MODELLING d e y y f (0, 4) (-1, 3) 213 (Chapter 6) y (8, 5) (1, 3) (5, 2) x x x (2, -1) (2, -1) 3 What happens to the slope of the curve at a point of inflection? Hint: Consider Exercise 6A.1 question 4 b again. B CURVE PROPERTIES FROM CALCULUS So far we have described features of a curve by visual inspection. However, we are often given the equation of a function, and we want to identify features of its graph such as turning points, and intervals where the graph is increasing or decreasing. Even if we draw the graph of the function, it is difficult to precisely locate its features. In situations like this, we can use the calculus we learnt in the previous chapter to determine key features of the graph. dy or f 0 (x), we can find the slope of the tangent to the curve at any dx value of x by substituting that value of x into it. Given the slope function For example: If y = x3 ¡ 5x ¡ 2 then Now, when x = 1, y = x3 - 5x -2 y dy = 3x2 ¡ 5. dx dy = 3(1)2 ¡ 5 dx = ¡2 1 x So, at the point where x = 1, the tangent has slope ¡2. slope -2 TURNING POINTS The tangents at the turning points are horizontal and therefore have slope 0: local maximum A At turning points, B local minimum cyan magenta A yellow 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 B 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 When a function is increasing, the slope of the tangent is positive. black Y:\HAESE\SA_12MET-2nd\SA_12MET2_06\213SA12MET2_06.CDR Wednesday, 15 September 2010 11:42:07 AM PETER dy = 0. dx When a function is decreasing, the slope of the tangent is negative. SA_12MET-2 214 APPLYING CALCULUS TO FURTHER MODELLING (Chapter 6) A function is increasing on an interval if dy > 0 for all x on that interval. dx A function is decreasing on an interval if dy 6 0 for all x on that interval. dx POINTS OF INFLECTION y = f(x) Consider the graph of y = f(x) alongside, where A is a point of inflection. The graph of its derivative y = f 0 (x) is given below it. A Notice that: ² The turning points of f (x) correspond to the x-intercepts of f 0 (x). This is because f 0 (x) = 0 at the turning points. x ² The inflection point of y = f (x) corresponds to the turning point of f 0 (x). y = f'(x) The slope of y = f(x) is maximised at A, the point of inflection. So, to find the inflection points of y = f(x), we graph the derivative function y = f 0 (x), and find the x-coordinates of any turning points. We can determine the y-coordinate of an inflection point by substituting the x-coordinate into y = f (x). Example 2 Consider the function y = x3 ¡ 3x2 + 2. dy dy a Find , and solve = 0. dx dx b Use technology to obtain a graph of the function. c Find any turning points. d Find any points of inflection. e Find intervals where the function is: i increasing ii decreasing cyan magenta iv convex. yellow 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 b 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 y = x3 ¡ 3x2 + 2 dy ) = 3x2 ¡ 6x dx dy So, = 0 when dx 3x2 ¡ 6x = 0 ) 3x(x ¡ 2) = 0 ) x = 0 or 2 100 50 75 25 0 5 a iii concave black Y:\HAESE\SA_12MET-2nd\SA_12MET2_06\214SA12MET2_06.CDR Wednesday, 15 September 2010 11:42:11 AM PETER SA_12MET-2 APPLYING CALCULUS TO FURTHER MODELLING (Chapter 6) 215 c When x = 0, y = 03 ¡ 3(0)2 + 2 = 2 When x = 2, y = 23 ¡ 3(2)2 + 2 = ¡2 So, there is a local maximum at (0, 2) and a local minimum at (2, ¡2). d dy = 3x2 ¡ 6x has the graph given alongside: dx dy has a turning point at x = 1, so dx the function has an inflection point at x = 1. When x = 1, y = 13 ¡ 3(1)2 + 2 = 0, so there is an inflection point at (1, 0). We can use technology to find turning points. Consult the graphics calculator instructions at the front of the book. e i ii iii iv The The The The function is function is function is function is increasing for x 6 0 and x > 2. decreasing for 0 6 x 6 2. concave for x 6 1. convex for x > 1. EXERCISE 6B 1 For each of the following functions: dy dy and solve =0 dx dx ii use technology to obtain a graph of the function iii find the turning points and points of inflection of the function iv find intervals where the function is increasing, decreasing, concave, and convex. i find a y = x3 ¡ 3x + 1 b y = ¡2x2 + 2x ¡ 1 c y = 2x3 ¡ 12x2 + 3 d y = x3 ¡ 9x2 + 24x ¡ 15 p g y= x e y = 5e2x f y = 2e¡x h y = 8(1 ¡ e¡2x ) i y = 2 + ln x 2 Consider the function y = 2te¡4t for t > 0. dy = 2(1 ¡ 4t)e¡4t . a Show that dt dy b Explain why = 0 only when t = 14 . dt c Use technology to graph the function. cyan magenta yellow 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 d Find any turning points and points of inflection. e Find intervals where the function is: i increasing ii decreasing iii concave black Y:\HAESE\SA_12MET-2nd\SA_12MET2_06\215SA12MET2_06.CDR Wednesday, 15 September 2010 11:42:14 AM PETER iv convex. SA_12MET-2 216 APPLYING CALCULUS TO FURTHER MODELLING (Chapter 6) 20 for t > 0. 1 + 3e¡2t 120 dy . = 2t a Show that dt e (1 + 3e¡2t )2 dy > 0 for all values of t > 0. b Explain why dt c Use technology to graph the function. What is the significance of b to the graph? 3 Consider the function y = C INVESTIGATING NEW MODELS Since linear, exponential and power models have been examined in an earlier chapter, and quadratic and cubic models have been examined in Stage 1, we will now investigate the remaining four models. They are the logarithmic, surge, terminal velocity, and logistic models. INVESTIGATION 1 THE LOGARITHMIC MODEL The logarithmic model has the form y = b + a ln t where a and b are constants. In this investigation we examine this family of curves as the values of a and b change. GRAPHING PACKAGE The use of the graphing package is recommended. Click on the icon to open this package. A graphics calculator is also appropriate. It is desirable for students to experience both technologies. What to do: 1 Let a = 2, so y = b + 2 ln t. Graph the following functions: a y = 5 + 2 ln t b y = 3 + 2 ln t c y = 1 + 2 ln t d y = 0:5 + 2 ln t Write down your observations, including any turning points, asymptotes, intervals where the function is increasing or decreasing, and intervals where the function is convex or concave. 2 Let b = 2, so y = 2 + a ln t. Graph the following functions: a y = 2 + 5 ln t b y = 2 + 3 ln t c y = 2 + ln t d y = 2 ¡ ln t e y = 2 ¡ 3 ln t f y = 2 ¡ 5 ln t Write down your observations. INVESTIGATION 2 THE SURGE MODEL Ate¡bt where A and b are A surge model has the form y = positive constants. The independent variable t is usually time, t > 0. GRAPHING PACKAGE cyan magenta yellow 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 This model is used extensively in the study of medicinal doses where there is an initial rapid increase to a maximum, and then a slower decay to zero. black Y:\HAESE\SA_12MET-2nd\SA_12MET2_06\216SA12MET2_06.CDR Wednesday, 15 September 2010 11:42:18 AM PETER SA_12MET-2 APPLYING CALCULUS TO FURTHER MODELLING 217 (Chapter 6) What to do: 1 Let b = 4, so y = Ate¡4t . Graph the following functions: a y = 10te¡4t b y = 20te¡4t c y = 40te¡4t Write down your observations. 2 Let A = 20, so y = 20te¡bt . Graph the following functions: a y = 20te¡t b y = 20te¡2t c y = 20te¡3t d y = 20te¡5t Write down your observations. INVESTIGATION 3 THE TERMINAL VELOCITY MODEL A terminal velocity model has the form y = A(1¡e¡bt ) where A and b are positive constants. The independent variable t is usually time, t > 0. GRAPHING PACKAGE This model is often used when an object is falling under the influence of gravity and approaches a limiting velocity. What to do: 1 Let b = 2, so y = A(1 ¡ e¡2t ). Graph the following functions: a y = 100(1 ¡ e¡2t ) b y = 60(1 ¡ e¡2t ) c y = 30(1 ¡ e¡2t ) d y = 10(1 ¡ e¡2t ) Write down your observations. 2 Let A = 100, so y = 100(1 ¡ e¡bt ). Graph the following functions: a y = 100(1 ¡ e¡5t ) b y = 100(1 ¡ e¡2t ) c y = 100(1 ¡ e¡t ) d y = 100(1 ¡ e¡0:5t ) Write down your observations. INVESTIGATION 4 THE LOGISTIC MODEL A logistic model has the form y = C where A, b and 1 + Ae¡bt C are positive constants. GRAPHING PACKAGE The independent variable t is usually time, t > 0. The logistic model is useful in limited growth problems, where growth cannot go beyond a particular value due to predators or lack of resources. What to do: C . 1 + 2e¡2t Graph this function for: a C = 30 Write down your observations. cyan magenta yellow 95 100 50 b C = 10 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 1 Let A = b = 2, so y = black Y:\HAESE\SA_12MET-2nd\SA_12MET2_06\217SA12MET2_06.CDR Wednesday, 15 September 2010 11:42:21 AM PETER c C=5 SA_12MET-2 218 APPLYING CALCULUS TO FURTHER MODELLING (Chapter 6) 30 . 1 + Ae¡2t Graph this function for: a A=1 b A=3 Write down your observations. 30 . 3 Let A = 2, C = 30, so y = 1 + 2e¡bt Graph this function for: a b=1 b b=2 Write down your observations. 2 Let b = 2, C = 30, so y = c A=5 d A = 10 c b=3 d b = 10 From these investigations, we can make the following observations: Logarithmic Model y = b + a ln t, a and b constants, t > 0. y y t t a>0 a<0 ² The y-axis is a vertical asymptote. ² There are no turning points or inflection points. ² The function is either always increasing (a > 0) or always decreasing (a < 0). Surge Model y = Ate¡bt , A and b positive constants, t > 0. ² The t-axis is a horizontal asymptote. ² The function passes through the origin. ² There is a maximum turning point when 1 t= . b 2 ² There is an inflection point when t = . b y Qx Wx t Terminal Velocity Model y = A(1 ¡ e¡bt ), A and b positive constants, t > 0. ² y = A is a horizontal asymptote. ² The function passes through the origin. ² There are no turning points or inflection points. ² The function is always increasing, and the rate of change is always decreasing. Logistic Model y = y A y=A t C , A, b, C positive constants, t > 0. 1 + Ae¡bt y ² y = C is a horizontal asymptote. ² The function is always increasing. ² There is an inflection point when C y= . 2 y=C C _w C cyan magenta yellow 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 t black Y:\HAESE\SA_12MET-2nd\SA_12MET2_06\218SA12MET2_06.CDR Wednesday, 15 September 2010 11:42:25 AM PETER SA_12MET-2 APPLYING CALCULUS TO FURTHER MODELLING 219 (Chapter 6) Example 3 A swine flu patient is prescribed a course of an antivirus drug. The amount of drug in the bloodstream t hours after the first dose is taken, is given by the surge model A(t) = 100t £ e¡2t mg. a Sketch the graph of the function for 0 6 t 6 4. b Show that A0 (t) = 100e¡2t (1 ¡ 2t). c Find the value of t for which A0 (t) = 0, and determine the maximum amount of drug in the system. d Explain what is happening to the amount of drug in the bloodstream over time. e Draw a graph of A0 (t) = 100e¡2t (1 ¡ 2t). f Find A0 (0:25) and interpret your answer. g Find the t-coordinate of the point of inflection, and interpret your answer. a 20 b A A(t) = 100te _ -2t 15 A(t) = 100te¡2t is the product of u(t) = 100t and v(t) = e¡2t ) u0 (t) = 100 and v 0 (t) = ¡2e¡2t ) A0 (t) = u0 (t) v(t) + u(t) v 0 (t) 10 fproduct ruleg = 100e¡2t + 100t(¡2e¡2t ) 5 1 3 2 t 4 c A0 (t) = 0 when 1 ¡ 2t = 0 = 100e¡2t (1 ¡ 2t) fe¡2t 6= 0g ) t = 12 ¡ ¢ 1 Now A( 12 ) = 100 12 £ e¡2( 2 ) ¼ 18:4 So, the maximum amount of drug in the system is 18:4 mg, after half an hour. d The amount of drug in the system e A'(t) rapidly increases for the first half 100 hour until it reaches a maximum of 80 18:4 mg. It then decreases quickly at first, then slowly as it approaches 60 A'(t) = 100e _ -2t(1 - 2t) zero. 40 20 1 2 3 4 t f A0 (0:25) = 100 £ e¡2(0:25) (1 ¡ 2(0:25)) -20 ¼ 30:3 After a quarter of an hour, the amount of drug in the system is increasing at a rate of 30:3 mg per hour. cyan magenta yellow 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 g From e, A0 (t) has a turning point when t = 1. ) A(t) has a point of inflection at t = 1. After 1 hour, the rate of decrease of the drug from the body is maximised. black Y:\HAESE\SA_12MET-2nd\SA_12MET2_06\219SA12MET2_06.CDR Wednesday, 15 September 2010 11:42:29 AM PETER SA_12MET-2 220 APPLYING CALCULUS TO FURTHER MODELLING (Chapter 6) EXERCISE 6C 1 When a new pain killing injection is administered, the effect is modelled by E = 750te¡1:5t units, where t > 0 is the time in hours after the injection of the drug. a Sketch the graph of E against t. b What type of model is this? c What is the effect of the drug after: i 30 minutes ii 2 hours? dE = 375e¡1:5t (2 ¡ 3t), and hence determine when the drug is most d Show that dt effective. e In the operating period, the effective level of the drug must be at least 100 units. i When can the operation commence? ii How long has the surgeon to complete the operation if no further injection is possible? f Find t at the point of inflection of the graph. What is the significance of this point? 2 The number of ants in a colony after t months is modelled by A(t) = 25 000 . 1 + 4e¡t a Draw a sketch of the function. b Identify the model type. c What is the initial ant population? d What is the ant population after 3 months? e Is there a limit to the population size? If so, what is it? f At what time does the population size reach 24 500? g 100 000e¡t . (1 + 4e¡t )2 ii Find the time at which the growth rate of the ant population is maximised. iii Find the ant population at this time. i Show that A0 (t) = 3 Alexa has a headache and takes 1000 mg of paracetamol. The concentration of this drug in her system after t hours is modelled by the function P (t) = 150t £ 0:3t parts per million. a Use technology to copy and complete the table of values below: 0 0 t P (t) 0:5 41:1 1 1:5 2 2:5 3 3:5 4 4:5 5 b Sketch the graph of y = P (t) for 0 6 t 6 5. cyan magenta yellow 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 c Describe how the concentration of paracetamol changes over the 5 hours. d For the drug to be effective, it is necessary for the concentration of paracetamol to be above 15 parts per million. Find the interval of time for which the drug is effective. e Find the time at which the concentration of paracetamol is at a maximum, and determine the concentration at this time. f Find the rate of change of the paracetamol concentration after 1 hour. black Y:\HAESE\SA_12MET-2nd\SA_12MET2_06\220SA12MET2_06.CDR Wednesday, 15 September 2010 2:33:15 PM PETER SA_12MET-2 APPLYING CALCULUS TO FURTHER MODELLING (Chapter 6) 221 4 The speed of descent of a skydiver t seconds after jumping from a plane, is given by v(t) = 180(1 ¡ e¡0:2t ) m s¡1 . a Sketch the graph of y = v(t). b What type of model is this? c Describe the velocity of the skydiver over time. d Find the velocity after: i 1 second ii 3 seconds. e Find the average rate of change of the velocity over the time interval t = 1 to t = 3. f Find v 0 (t). g Find v 0 (3) and interpret your answer. h Find the limiting velocity of the skydiver. 5 During a storm, the volume of water collected in a tank after t hours is modelled by V (t) = 12 + 10 ln t litres, t > 1. a Draw a graph showing the volume collected over 20 hours. b Find V 0 (t). c Add the graph of the derivative to your graph in a. d Find V (6) and V 0 (6), and interpret your answers. e Describe what is happening to both the volume and rate of change of volume over time. 6 The number of customers in a restaurant t hours after noon is modelled by N (t) = 2t3 ¡ 15t2 + 24t + 25, 0 6 t 6 6. a Find N 0 (t). b Find t when N 0 (t) = 0, and interpret your answer. c What was the least number of customers in the restaurant? d During what time interval was the number of customers decreasing? e Sketch the graph of N 0 (t), and explain the significance of the point where N 0 (t) is a minimum. 7 Suppose f (t) = Ate¡bt , where A and b are positive constants. a Show that f 0 (t) = Ae¡bt (1 ¡ bt). 1 b Show that f (t) has a turning point when t = . b D IDENTIFYING MODELS FROM GRAPHS The speed of a motorbike is measured at one second intervals as it accelerates from a stop sign. speed (kmh _ -1) 25 The following data is obtained, and displayed on the scatter plot: 20 15 Time (s) 1 2 3 4 5 6 Speed (km h¡1 ) 10 14 17 20 22 24 10 5 cyan magenta yellow 95 0 0 2 4 6 time (s) 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 Based on the shape formed by the scatter plot, a logarithmic or power model appear most appropriate for this data. black Y:\HAESE\SA_12MET-2nd\SA_12MET2_06\221SA12MET2_06.CDR Wednesday, 15 September 2010 2:33:37 PM PETER SA_12MET-2 222 APPLYING CALCULUS TO FURTHER MODELLING (Chapter 6) The following summary may prove useful in identifying appropriate models: ² linear y m<0 c c m>0 t ² power y = mt + c y t m<0 m>1 0<m<1 t ² exponential y = atm y y y t t y = aebt y y b>0 a b<0 a t t ² quadratic y y a>0 c a<0 c t vertex t ² cubic y t a>0 d turning points exist y d t t no turning points exist y d t a<0 a<0 turning points exist ² logarithmic y = at3 + bt2 + ct + d y a>0 d y = at2 + bt + c vertex no turning points exist y y = b + a ln t y a<0 a>0 t t ² terminal velocity y = A(1 ¡ e¡bt ) y y=A A > 0, b > 0 cyan magenta yellow 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 t black Y:\HAESE\SA_12MET-2nd\SA_12MET2_06\222SA12MET2_06.CDR Wednesday, 15 September 2010 11:42:40 AM PETER SA_12MET-2 APPLYING CALCULUS TO FURTHER MODELLING ² surge y = Ate¡bt y t A > 0, b > 0 ² logistic 223 (Chapter 6) y y= y=C C 1 + Ae¡bt C > 0, A > 0, b > 0 t EXERCISE 6D ² ² ² ² ² 1 From the list given alongside, determine the possible models for data with the following scatter plots: a b Mass c Power t d e h Kilometres i Tonnage k yellow 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 t 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 Q t l S x 5 t t y magenta Force x x cyan Gain t f Demand t j quadratic exponential logarithmic terminal velocity x Weight g ² ² ² ² linear cubic power logistic surge black Y:\HAESE\SA_12MET-2nd\SA_12MET2_06\223SA12MET2_06.CDR Wednesday, 15 September 2010 11:42:43 AM PETER N t SA_12MET-2 224 APPLYING CALCULUS TO FURTHER MODELLING (Chapter 6) 2 For the following scatter plots, explain why the suggested model is not acceptable: a b y P t t A logarithmic model of the form P = b + a ln t, a > 0 A power model of the form y = atm , a > 0, m > 1 d c T D t t A cubic model of the form D = at3 + bt2 + ct + d A logistic model of the form C T = , A, b and C > 0 1 + Ae¡bt e f V N t t A terminal velocity model of the form V = A(1 ¡ e¡bt ), A and b > 0 An exponential model of the form N = aebt , a > 0, b < 0 3 For the following data sets: 3 1:7 4 2:8 6 6:7 8 14:1 10 23:9 12 32:1 14 36:7 16 38:7 3 17:7 5 12:6 magenta yellow 60 5 95 40 22 20 39:8 80 1 100 30 45 50 20 81 17 39:1 15 22:5 75 15 100 13 15:7 25 10 110 10 10:1 0 7 105 95 50 75 3 67 8 9:2 5 0 0 8 19:6 95 t y 7 19:4 100 d 6 19:0 50 0 30 5 18:4 75 t y 4 17:3 25 c 3 15:5 0 1 0:7 2 12:6 5 t y cyan 1 7:9 100 b 25 0 0 0 t y 5 95 a 100 50 75 25 0 5 i draw a scatter plot of the data ii suggest the most appropriate model for the data. black Y:\HAESE\SA_12MET-2nd\SA_12MET2_06\224SA12MET2_06.CDR Wednesday, 15 September 2010 11:42:47 AM PETER SA_12MET-2 APPLYING CALCULUS TO FURTHER MODELLING E (Chapter 6) 225 MODELLING PROBLEMS In this section we will attempt to fit an appropriate model to a set of data. We have previously fitted linear, exponential, and power models to data. In this section we will examine data which may be: ² exponential ² cubic ² power ² logarithmic ² quadratic ² logistic In Chapter 4 we used natural logarithms to transform data into linear data, then used linear regression to find the equation connecting the variables. Now we will use technology to find the model of best fit, in the same way we find linear models. Consult the graphics calculator instructions at the front of the book if you require assistance. Example 4 Bacteria are cultivated on agar plates. The weight W of bacteria present is recorded at two hour intervals. 2 0:09 Time (t hours) Weight (W grams) 4 0:36 6 1:02 8 1:82 10 2:27 12 2:45 14 2:46 a Draw a scatter plot of the data. b Explain why the logistic model is most appropriate for the data. c Find the logistic model of best fit. d Estimate the weight of the bacteria after 7:5 hours. e At what rate is the bacteria weight increasing after 6 hours? a W 2 or 1 t 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 b The data points increase slowly at first, then faster, then more slowly again as they approach a limiting value. This behaviour is consistent with a logistic model. c cyan magenta yellow 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 Using technology, the logistic model of best fit is W ¼ black Y:\HAESE\SA_12MET-2nd\SA_12MET2_06\225SA12MET2_06.CDR Wednesday, 15 September 2010 11:42:51 AM PETER 2:484 . 1 + 94:69e¡0:6960t SA_12MET-2 226 APPLYING CALCULUS TO FURTHER MODELLING (Chapter 6) 2:484 ¼ 1:64 1 + 94:69e¡0:6960(7:5) d When t = 7:5, W ¼ After 7:5 hours, the weight of the bacteria is 1:64 g. dW ¼ 0:417 dt After 6 hours, the weight of the bacteria is increasing at 0:417 grams per hour. e Using technology, when t = 6, If there is more than one possible model which appears suitable for the data, we can use the r2 values associated with each model (except for the logistic model) or else the context of the problem, to determine the most appropriate model. Example 5 A bottle of water has been left out in the sun, and is now placed inside a refrigerator. The water temperature is measured every 15 minutes. The temperatures are: Time (t mins) o Temperature (T C) 15 30 45 60 75 90 105 120 31 19 12 7 4 3 2 1 a Draw a scatter plot of the data. b The data appears to follow either a logarithmic or an exponential curve. i Find the model of best fit for each of these model types. Include the r2 values. ii Which model is most appropriate? Explain your answer. c Use the model to estimate the water temperature after 20 minutes in the refrigerator. d Find the rate at which the water is cooling when t = 40. a 40 T 30 or 20 10 cyan 60 120 90 150 magenta yellow 50 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 The logarithmic model of best fit is T ¼ 69:1 ¡ 14:7 ln t r2 ¼ 0:977 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 i Logarithmic 95 30 100 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 b t 75 0 black Y:\HAESE\SA_12MET-2nd\SA_12MET2_06\226SA12MET2_06.CDR Wednesday, 15 September 2010 11:42:54 AM PETER SA_12MET-2 APPLYING CALCULUS TO FURTHER MODELLING 227 (Chapter 6) The exponential model of best fit is T ¼ 49:0e¡0:0318t r2 ¼ 0:995 Exponential ii The exponential model has a higher value of r2 . Also, the logarithmic model will head towards ¡1 over time, whereas the exponential model will approach zero from above, which is more consistent with how the temperature will behave. So, the exponential model is most appropriate. c Using the exponential model, when t = 20, T ¼ 49:0e¡0:0318(20) ¼ 26:0. So, after 20 minutes, the temperature of the water is 26:0o C. d T ¼ 49:0e¡0:0318t dT ¼ 49:0(¡0:0318)e¡0:0318t ¼ ¡1:56e¡0:0318t ) dt dT ¼ ¡1:56e¡0:0318(40) ¼ ¡0:437 When t = 40, dt So, when t = 40, the water is cooling at 0:437o C per minute. NOTE ON EXPONENTIAL MODELS Exponential models in this chapter are written in the form y = aebt , as opposed to y = abt in Chapter 4. This allows us to differentiate the model, and makes the model more consistent with other models discussed in this chapter which also involve e. When using technology to find an exponential model, the Casio gives the model in the form y = aebt , as shown in the above example. However, the Texas Instruments calculators give the model in the form y = abt , as shown alongside. We can use the rule b = eln b to convert this to the form y = aebt : T ¼ 49:0(0:969)t ) T ¼ 49:0(eln 0:969 )t ) T ¼ 49:0(e¡0:0318 )t ) T ¼ 49:0e¡0:0318t EXERCISE 6E 1 A hemispherical bowl is filled with water. The volume of water required to reach different water levels is given in the table below. 40 cm cyan magenta yellow 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 h cm black Y:\HAESE\SA_12MET-2nd\SA_12MET2_06\227SA12MET2_06.CDR Wednesday, 15 September 2010 11:42:57 AM PETER SA_12MET-2 228 APPLYING CALCULUS TO FURTHER MODELLING 0 0 h (cm) V (mL) 3 550 6 2050 9 4350 (Chapter 6) 12 7250 15 10 600 18 14 250 a Obtain a scatter plot of the data. b A cubic model is the best fit for the data. Find the cubic model for this data. c Use the model to find the volume when the bowl is full. d The volume of a sphere is given by V = 43 ¼r3 . Use this formula to check your answer to c. e Use the model to estimate the volume of water when the height is 10 cm. 10 cm 2 Water is kept at a constant temperature as it flows through a thick walled pipe. The diameter of the pipe is 20 cm and the walls of the pipe are 10 cm thick. The temperature of the pipe wall varies from inside to outside as the heat escapes through the walls. The temperature measurements are: 11:2 81 Distance (x cm) Temperature (T o C) 13:8 66 15:7 55 16:9 51 17:4 48 10 cm x cm 19:1 42 cross-section of the pipe a Draw a scatter plot of the data. b Find the logarithmic model of best fit. c Find the temperature at the point half-way through the wall. d Estimate the temperature of: i the inner wall ii the outer wall. dT e Find , and hence determine the rate at which the temperature is falling at the point dx half-way through the wall. 3 Air is pumped into a spherical balloon at a constant rate, and the radius of the balloon is measured at various times: 18:2 16 Volume (v litres) Radius (R cm) 27:8 19 39:6 21 58:2 24 73:1 26 96:8 28 a Draw a scatter plot of the data. Explain why a power model appears suitable. b Find the power model of best fit. c What is the radius when there is 80 litres of air in the balloon? d At what rate is the radius increasing at the instant when v = 80? Give your answer in cm L¡1 . 4 The mass of a radioactive substance is measured each year for six years: 0 5:7 Time (t years) Mass (M grams) 1 5:3 2 4:9 3 4:6 4 4:3 5 4:0 6 3:7 a Draw a scatter plot of the data. b For the scatter plot, it appears that either an exponential or a linear model is most appropriate. i Find the model of best fit for each of these model types. Include the r2 values. ii Which model is the most appropriate? Explain your answer. c Use your model to estimate the remaining mass of the substance after 10 years. cyan magenta yellow 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 d The ‘half-life’ of a radioactive substance is the time taken for it to reduce to half its original mass. What is the half-life of this substance? black Y:\HAESE\SA_12MET-2nd\SA_12MET2_06\228SA12MET2_06.CDR Friday, 17 September 2010 12:21:12 PM PETER SA_12MET-2 APPLYING CALCULUS TO FURTHER MODELLING 229 (Chapter 6) 5 In a small community, everyone eventually hears a rumour. A small group of people inadvertently start a rumour, and the proportion of people who have heard the rumour is recorded on an hourly basis during the day. 0 Hours (h) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Proportion (P ) 0:02 0:04 0:09 0:18 0:33 0:54 0:72 0:86 0:91 0:96 0:98 a Draw a scatter plot of the data. b What is the most likely model type for the data? Find the model of best fit. c Estimate the proportion of people who have heard the rumour after 5:5 hours. d Find the rate at which the rumour is spreading after: i 2 hours ii 5 hours. 6 A contractor digs wells to a maximum depth of 100 m. He wants a formula to find the cost of digging wells of various depths. Using data from some of his previous jobs, he constructs a table of costs: Depth (x m) 15 30 45 58 68 84 Cost ($C) 8000 14 000 21 000 32 000 46 000 84 000 a Draw a scatter plot of the data. b The contractor suspects that either a quadratic or a cubic model is most appropriate. i Find the model of best fit for each of these model types. Include the r2 values. ii Which model is the most appropriate? c Find the cost of digging a well which is: i 50 m deep ii of maximum depth. dC when the depth is 50 m. What is the meaning of this result? d Find dx dC start increasing? e At what depth does the rate of change of cost dx 7 Consider again the data for the motorbike on page 221: Time (t seconds) 1 2 3 4 5 6 km h¡1 ) 10 14 17 20 22 24 Speed (S a The i ii iii data appears to follow either a logarithmic or a power curve. Find the logarithmic model of best fit. Find the power model of best fit. Which model do you think is most appropriate? Explain your answer. b Using the model of best fit, estimate: i the speed of the motorbike after 4:5 seconds ii the rate at which the motorbike’s speed is increasing after 3 seconds. 8 The profit when making and selling x speed boats per month is given in the following table: Number of boats (x) 5 7 10 14 19 24 Profit ($P ’000) 50 136 233 300 290 172 a Obtain a scatter plot of the data. cyan magenta yellow 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 b Which model type is most likely to fit the data? black Y:\HAESE\SA_12MET-2nd\SA_12MET2_06\229SA12MET2_06.CDR Wednesday, 15 September 2010 2:35:11 PM PETER SA_12MET-2 230 APPLYING CALCULUS TO FURTHER MODELLING (Chapter 6) c Find the model of best fit. d Use the model to estimate the profit for the month if: i 0 boats are sold ii 8 boats are sold. e Explain your answer to d i. f How many boats should be sold to maximise the profit? g Check your answer to f by differentiating the model. h Give a possible reason why the curve decreases for larger production. i For what production level does a loss occur? 9 Diamonds are categorised according to their quality. The values of 7 high quality grade-F diamonds of different weights are given in the table below: Weight (c carats) 0:32 0:41 0:67 0:81 1:03 1:27 2:11 Value ($D) 430 690 1750 2500 4000 5900 15 500 a Draw a scatter plot of the data. b Find the: i power model ii exponential model of best fit. c Which model best fits the data? Explain your answer. d Use the model from c to find the value of a 1:5 carat grade-F diamond. dD e What is the value of when c = 1:5? Interpret this result. dc dD f Why is positive for all values of c? dc 10 A wine glass has a parabolic cross-section. Wine is added to the empty glass in 20 mL lots, and each time the height of the wine above the vertex is measured. v (mL) 20 40 60 80 100 H (cm) 3:6 5:0 6:2 7:2 8:0 9 cm H cm a Obtain a scatter plot of the data. b Find the model which best fits the data. c Estimate the capacity of the glass. vertex d Find the height of the wine when the glass is at half capacity. 11 The times taken for a population of rodents to reach certain levels are shown in the table below: Population (p) 48 150 290 560 2150 0 Time (w weeks) 5 8 11 17 a From a scatter plot of the data, which model type seems to be a possible fit for the data? cyan magenta yellow 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 b Find the model of best fit. c Use the model to estimate the number of weeks needed for the population to reach: i 400 ii 3000: d Suggest reasons why this model may be inappropriate for larger population sizes. black Y:\HAESE\SA_12MET-2nd\SA_12MET2_06\230SA12MET2_06.CDR Friday, 17 September 2010 12:21:51 PM PETER SA_12MET-2 APPLYING CALCULUS TO FURTHER MODELLING 231 (Chapter 6) 12 Damien throws a cricket ball vertically upwards. The distance above the ground at various times is determined from digital video evidence. The following table of values gives the distance above the ground t seconds after the ball was released. Time (t seconds) 1:2 1:8 2:4 2:9 3:6 4:2 4:7 5:2 Distance (D m) 30:1 39:2 45:0 47:1 45:8 40:7 33:9 24:9 a Using scatter plot evidence, what model seems to fit the data? b c d e Find the model of best fit. Use the model to estimate the height of the ball 2 seconds after release. How far above the ground was the ball when released? Find the greatest height, and the time after release when this height was reached. f Find the total time the ball was in the air. dD of the ball: g Find the velocity dt i when it was released ii after 3 seconds iii when it hit the ground. h Show that the acceleration of the ball was constant throughout its flight. Hint: Acceleration is the rate of change of velocity. 13 Several years ago the Willtinga Golf Course greens were ‘burnt off’ due to watering with highly saline water from its dams. This occurred late in summer when the dams were very low in water. As the water level lowered due to use and evaporation, the salt concentration increased. During the following summer, the head greenkeeper kept records of the volume of water in the dam and the salt concentration. The results were: Volume (V ML) 45 32 24 14 8 4 Salt concentration (C%) 0:012 0:023 0:036 0:068 0:125 0:258 a b c d From a scatter plot, suggest the most likely model type for the data. Find the model of best fit. What was the salt concentration when the volume of water in the dam was 20 ML? At what rate was the salt concentration increasing when the volume of water in the dam was 20 ML? e Water from the dam should not be used when the concentration exceeds 0:2%. What is the volume of water in the dam when this occurs? 14 A small island off Cape York has an abundance of rodents which are the major food source of a threatened species of brown snake. A few pairs of brown snakes were introduced to the island which was previously snake free. Gulls and other birds on the island keep the snake population in check. The population of snakes over many years has been recorded. Time (t years) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Snake population 47 108 215 384 560 675 753 780 a Draw a scatter plot of the data and suggest a possible model. c Estimate the population after 4:5 years. b Find the model of best fit. cyan magenta yellow 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 d Is there a limit to the population size? If so, what is it? e At what rate was the population increasing after: i 2 years ii 4 years iii 6 years? black Y:\HAESE\SA_12MET-2nd\SA_12MET2_06\231SA12MET2_06.CDR Wednesday, 15 September 2010 11:43:12 AM PETER SA_12MET-2 232 APPLYING CALCULUS TO FURTHER MODELLING (Chapter 6) 15 The times taken for a radioactive substance to reach certain masses are given in the following table: Mass (m grams) 3:0 2:5 2:0 1:5 1 0:5 4:0 Time (t hours) 7:9 12:6 18:7 27:4 42:0 a Obtain a scatter plot of the data and indicate which model types best fit the data. b Find the model of best fit. c Use the model to find the initial mass of the substance. d Use the model to estimate the time required for the substance to decay to: i 1:8 grams ii 0:2 grams. e Which of the two estimates in d would be more reliable? Explain your answer. f Kaye produced a 5:37 gram sample of the substance and observed its decay. A table of values was found. What would be the model for m(t) in this case? F SURGE AND TERMINAL VELOCITY MODELS If you examine your graphics calculator menu for possible models, you will notice that it does not directly handle surge or terminal velocity situations. However, if we perform simple algebraic transformations on data which we suspect is fitted by one of these models, we can then use a graphics calculator to complete the task. SURGE MODELS y = Ae¡bt , which is an exponential model. t Notice that if y = Ate¡bt then So, if we suspect the graph of y against t is fitted by a surge model, we can plot the graph of y against t, and check whether an exponential model is a good fit for these points. t Example 6 The effect of a pain-killing injection after t hours is shown in the following table: Time (t hours) 0:00 0:10 0:25 0:50 0:75 1:00 1:25 1:50 1:75 2:00 Effect (E units) 0 56 84 84 58 42 22 10 5 3 cyan magenta yellow 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 a Obtain a scatter plot of the data and suggest a suitable model for it. E against t using technology, and fit an exponential model to this data. b Plot values of t c Rewrite the model in the form E = Ate¡bt . d When is the chemical most effective? e An operation can only take place when the effect is at least 60 units. i At what time can the operation commence? ii How long has the surgeon to complete the operation? black Y:\HAESE\SA_12MET-2nd\SA_12MET2_06\232SA12MET2_06.CDR Wednesday, 15 September 2010 11:43:16 AM PETER SA_12MET-2 APPLYING CALCULUS TO FURTHER MODELLING 233 (Chapter 6) a A surge model appears most suitable. b t E against t t E E t We remove the point (0, 0) as Pp is undefined. E ¼ 804:5e¡3:147t t c The surge model is E ¼ 804:5te¡3:147t dE = 804:5e¡3:147t + 804:5t(¡3:147e¡3:147t ) d fproduct ruleg dt ¡3:147t (1 ¡ 3:147t) = 804:5e dE Now, the chemical is most effective when =0 dt 1 ¼ 0:3178 hours ¼ 19 minutes ) t= 3:147 e i When E = 60 for the first time, t ¼ 0:103 hours ¼ 6 min 11 s. 60 So, the operation can start 6 minutes and 11 seconds after the injection is given. ii When E = 60 for the second time, t ¼ 0:721 hours ¼ 43 min 16 s. So, the surgeon has 43 ¡ 6 = 37 minutes to complete the operation. The exponential model is TERMINAL VELOCITY MODELS If y = A(1 ¡ e¡bt ) = A ¡ Ae¡bt , then A ¡ y = Ae¡bt , which is an exponential model. So, if we suspect y and t follow a terminal velocity model, we can plot A ¡ y against t (where A is the limiting value of the data), and check whether an exponential model is a good fit. Example 7 A metal sphere of mass 1 kg is dropped into a deep reservoir. Its speed is measured at various times as follows: cyan magenta yellow 95 100 2:9890 50 2:9551 75 2:8178 25 2:6807 0 2:4409 5 2:0212 95 1:2864 100 0 50 2 75 1:5 25 1 0 0:8 5 0:6 95 0:4 100 0:2 50 0 (m s¡1 ) 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 S t (s) black Y:\HAESE\SA_12MET-2nd\SA_12MET2_06\233SA12MET2_06.CDR Wednesday, 15 September 2010 11:43:20 AM PETER SA_12MET-2 234 APPLYING CALCULUS TO FURTHER MODELLING (Chapter 6) a Draw a scatter plot of the data and suggest a suitable model for it. b Is there a value which S is approaching for larger values of t? Let this value be A. c Draw a scatter plot of_ A ¡ S _against t and fit an exponential model to the data. d Rewrite the model in the form S = A(1 ¡ e¡bt ). e Use the model to find the speed of the sphere after 0:5 seconds. f The rate of change of speed with respect to time is acceleration. What is the acceleration after 1 second? b Yes, S is approaching 3, so A = 3. a A terminal velocity model appears suitable. c A - S against t t S A-S The exponential model is A ¡ S ¼ 3e¡2:804t d Since A = 3, the model is 3 ¡ S ¼ 3e¡2:804t ) S ¼ 3 ¡ 3e¡2:804t ) S ¼ 3(1 ¡ e¡2:804t ) e When t = 0:5, S ¼ 3(1 ¡ e¡2:804(0:5) ) ¼ 2:26. So, after 0:5 seconds, the speed of the sphere is 2:26 m s¡1 . dS f Using technology, when t = 1, ¼ 0:510. dt So, after 1 second, the acceleration is 0:510 m s¡2 . EXERCISE 6F 1 The following table gives the average pain relief effectiveness (APRE) of a 500 mg aspirin tablet over a 12-hour period. Time (t hours) 0 0:5 1 2 3 4 6 9 12 APRE (P units) 0 2:9 3:6 5:0 5:5 5:2 3:9 2:5 1:1 cyan magenta yellow 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 a Obtain a scatter plot of the data and state the model type which best fits the data. black Y:\HAESE\SA_12MET-2nd\SA_12MET2_06\234SA12MET2_06.CDR Wednesday, 15 September 2010 11:43:23 AM PETER SA_12MET-2 APPLYING CALCULUS TO FURTHER MODELLING (Chapter 6) 235 P against t, and find the exponential model for this data. t c Rewrite the model in the form P = Ate¡bt . d What is the APRE at time i t=5 ii t = 10? e At what time is there maximum pain relief? b Plot f At what time does the rate of change of APRE start to increase? g If the tablets produce acceptable pain relief when the APRE level is 2 or more units, between what times does the tablet produce acceptable relief? 2 A pharmaceutical company develops a new pain-killing chemical which is supposed to be an improvement on the one illustrated in Example 6. The effect of the new chemical over time is given in the table below: Time (t hours) 0:00 0:10 0:25 0:50 0:75 1:00 1:25 1:50 1:75 2:00 Effect (E units) 0 59 90 93 64 46 22 8 4 1 a Obtain a scatter plot of the data and suggest a model which fits it. E against t using technology and fit an exponential model to this data. b Plot t c Rewrite the model in the form E = Ate¡bt . dE , and hence determine when the chemical is most effective. d Find dt e The operation can only take place when the effect is at least 60 units. i At what time can the operation commence? ii How long has the surgeon to carry out the operation? f Comment on the differences between this drug and that of Example 6. cyan Time (t weeks) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Interest (I people) 0 42 67 83 58 32 15 7 4 Time (t weeks) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Cumulative sales (s items) 8 34 67 92 101 108 111 112 magenta yellow 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 the cumulative sales data: draw a scatter plot, and suggest the most likely model type find the model of best fit determine the week in which sales were made at the greatest rate. 100 b For i ii iii 50 the interest data: draw a scatter plot, and suggest a model which closely fits the data find the model of best fit use the model to estimate the day of highest interest estimate the interest in week 9: 75 a For i ii iii iv 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 3 The owner of a computer software shop advertises a new information game called D’FACTO. Interest in the new product from telephone calls and shop enquiries is recorded on a weekly basis, along with the cumulative sales of the product. The data on interest and cumulative sales was tabulated and is shown below. black Y:\HAESE\SA_12MET-2nd\SA_12MET2_06\235SA12MET2_06.CDR Wednesday, 15 September 2010 11:43:27 AM PETER SA_12MET-2 236 APPLYING CALCULUS TO FURTHER MODELLING 4 A stomach virus spreads throughout a high school. The number of students N affected after t days is shown on the scatter plot alongside. µ ¶ N is plotted against t, the data When ln t is linear, and the equation of the line of best fit µ ¶ N = ¡0:351t + 3:92. is ln t (Chapter 6) 60 N 50 40 30 20 10 0 t 0 5 10 15 20 N N and t, in the form = Ae¡bt . t t b Hence, find the surge model connecting N and t. c How many students were affected after one week? dN d Find , and hence determine the rate at which N is increasing when t = 2. dt a Find the equation connecting 5 A skydiver jumps from a small aeroplane and her speed is recorded at certain times. Time (t seconds) 0 Speed (S km h¡1 ) 0 2 4 7 10 15 20 30 40 50 42:7 76:2 113:7 139:8 166:9 181:9 194:5 198:4 199:5 a Draw a scatter plot of the data and suggest a model which best fits it. b Is there a value which S is approaching as t gets larger? Call it A. c Draw a scatter plot of A ¡ S against t, and fit an exponential model to the data. d Rewrite the model in the form S = A(1 ¡ e¡bt ). e Use the model to find the speed of the skydiver 6 seconds after she jumped from the aeroplane. f What is her acceleration after 6 seconds of free-fall? 6 The current in a circuit is shown in the following table: Time (t milliseconds) 0 Current (I amps) 0 40 120 360 740 1240 2500 3250 3800 6:15 17:07 41:06 61:79 73:30 79:46 79:88 79:96 a Draw a scatter plot of the data and suggest a suitable model. b Is there a value which I is approaching as t gets larger? Call it A. c Draw a scatter plot of A ¡ I against t, and fit an exponential model to the data. d Rewrite the model in the form I = A(1 ¡ e¡bt ). cyan magenta yellow 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 e Use the model to find the current in the circuit when: i t = 500 milliseconds ii t = 8000 milliseconds. black Y:\HAESE\SA_12MET-2nd\SA_12MET2_06\236SA12MET2_06.CDR Wednesday, 15 September 2010 11:43:30 AM PETER SA_12MET-2 APPLYING CALCULUS TO FURTHER MODELLING (Chapter 6) 237 REVIEW SET 6A 1 For each of the following graphs, find: i ii iii iv v the the the the the position and nature of any turning points intervals where the graph is increasing or decreasing position of any points of inflection intervals where the graph is concave or convex equations of any asymptotes. a y b (1, 4_Qw_) (-1, 1) c y x (-2, 3) (-Qw , 3_Qw_) y 4 (-4, 1) x (2, 0) (-4, 2) 1Qw y = -1 x = -3 (-2, -Qw_) 4 x x=2 2 The stopping distance of a car is the distance travelled in the time between the driver applying the brake, and the car coming to a complete halt. A test was carried out to find the stopping distances of a car at various speeds. The results were: Velocity (v km h¡1 ) 40 60 70 80 90 110 120 Stopping distance (s metres) 29 55 67 96 112 168 223 a Draw a scatter plot for the data. b Find the equation of the cubic model of best fit. c Use the model to estimate the stopping distance at: i 100 km h¡1 ii 65 km h¡1 . ds for v > 0. Hence find the intervals where the curve is: d Find dv i increasing or decreasing ii concave or convex. 3 Diamonds can be synthetically produced in specially equipped laboratories. Unfortunately, with current technology, it is a slow and expensive process. The costs of producing diamonds of various thicknesses are given below. Thickness (T atoms) 100 200 300 400 500 1000 2000 Cost (C dollars) 27:9 84:5 162 256 366 1109 3363 a Draw a scatter plot for this data and suggest a possible model. b Find the model which best fits the data. c Use this model to predict the cost of making a diamond: i 250 atoms thick ii 1500 atoms thick iii 5000 atoms thick. dC , and determine the rate at which the cost is increasing for thicknesses of: d Find dT i 200 atoms ii 2200 atoms. cyan magenta yellow 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 4 The cartoon channel of a Pay-TV network regularly conducts surveys of its subscribers to find out which cartoons are popular and which are not. It then uses the results to decide which cartoons to show next season. The popularity of the cartoon ‘Poker Man’, black Y:\HAESE\SA_12MET-2nd\SA_12MET2_06\237SA12MET2_06.CDR Wednesday, 15 September 2010 11:43:34 AM PETER SA_12MET-2 238 APPLYING CALCULUS TO FURTHER MODELLING (Chapter 6) a cartoon about pocket sized monsters who could be caught and trained to play poker, are as follows: Date of survey Jan 2008 June 2008 Jan 2009 April 2009 June 2009 Viewers (V ) 0 17 524 21 930 19 464 17 976 Date of survey Sept 2009 Jan 2010 June 2010 Dec 2010 Viewers (V ) 15 026 11 890 7921 4929 a By letting t be the number of months after January 2008 (t = 0 for January 2008, t = 5 for June 2008, and so on) construct a scatter plot of V against t. b Suggest a possible model type for this data. Find the model of best fit. c Use the model to predict the number of viewers: i when t = 8 ii in September 2010. dV d Find , and hence find the month in which ‘Poker Man’ was most popular. dt dV when t = 8, and interpret your answer. e Find dt f If management decides to scrap all shows whose popularity drops below 1000 viewers, when will ‘Poker Man’ be cancelled? 5 Vivian runs a small gardening store, specialising in garden gnomes. She purchases all of her gnomes from Muhlack and Dangerfield Gnomes of Distinction, who sell to her at a discount rate which varies according to the size of her order. The cost of an order of g gnomes is given by C = 609 ln g ¡ 672 dollars. a Find the cost of ordering 25 gnomes. b Find the number of gnomes Vivian must order for the total cost to be $1500. dC , and show that the cost is always increasing. What can be said about the c Find dg rate of increase? REVIEW SET 6B 1 For each of the following graphs, find: i ii iii iv v the the the the the position and nature of any turning points intervals where the graph is increasing or decreasing position of any points of inflection intervals where the graph is concave or convex equations of any asymptotes. y a y b (2, 4) y=2 -1 (3, 3) (Qw , 2) (-2, Qw) x 1 y c y=5 x (-1, -Qw) 2 x cyan magenta yellow 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 x=1 black Y:\HAESE\SA_12MET-2nd\SA_12MET2_06\238SA12MET2_06.CDR Wednesday, 15 September 2010 11:43:38 AM PETER SA_12MET-2 APPLYING CALCULUS TO FURTHER MODELLING 239 (Chapter 6) 2 A group of conservationists, primarily concerned with the welfare of an endangered breed of lemming, learned of an island off the South Australian coast with an abundant food supply for lemmings and very few cliffs. They introduced a few pairs of lemmings to the island and then recorded the population at yearly intervals. The population of lemmings t years after the program began is modelled by 2570 P (t) = . 1 + 84e¡0:9t a Estimate how many pairs of lemmings were originally introduced to the island. b Show that the rate of change in the lemming population is given by dP 194 292e¡0:9t . = dt (1 + 84e¡0:9t )2 c Find the lemming population and the rate at which it was changing after 30 months. d Will the lemming population increase indefinitely, or will it approach some limiting value? e Find the value of t at which the rate of growth of the population is at a maximum, and find this maximum rate of growth. 3 Technology has many applications in mathematics. One of these applications is the simulation of projectile motion. For example, an irate author threw her malfunctioning computer off the top of a tall building and then recorded its velocity at various times on its way to the ground. The velocity of the computer t seconds after it was thrown is given by V = 50(1 ¡ e¡0:35t ) m s¡1 . a Find the velocity of the computer: i as it passed a 10th storey window, 6:6 seconds after being thrown ii just before it hit the ground, after 8:3 seconds. dV dV . c Evaluate when t = 4. Interpret your answer. dt dt d Does the velocity approach a maximum value? If so, what is it? b Find 4 Kathy and Karina run the computer store where the author from 3 bought her replacement computer. Kathy is the salesperson and Karina constructs and delivers the computers. Between them, they are able to sell and dispatch up to 150 computers per week. Their profit figures for the last eight weeks are: Computers sold (c) 43 115 0 101 82 19 144 62 132 2790 3250 ¡700 2820 2710 1260 5180 3090 4230 Profit ($P ) a Draw a scatter plot for the data. b Which model type will best fit the data? Find the model of best fit. c Use the model to predict the profit made by selling 90 computers. cyan magenta yellow 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 d How many computers need to be sold to make a profit of $5000 per week? dP . e Find dc f Suggest how many computers Kathy and Karina should sell per week to maximise their profit. What is this maximum weekly profit? Hint: Remember that they can only produce 150 computers per week. black Y:\HAESE\SA_12MET-2nd\SA_12MET2_06\239SA12MET2_06.CDR Wednesday, 15 September 2010 11:43:41 AM PETER SA_12MET-2 240 APPLYING CALCULUS TO FURTHER MODELLING (Chapter 6) 5 The population of zebras in a herd after t years is given by Z(t) = 80 + 35 ln(2t + 1), t > 0. a Sketch the graph of Z(t) against t. b Find: c ii the population after 5 years. i the initial population Z 0 (t). i Find ii Hence, determine the rate at which the zebra population is increasing after 2 years. 6 A sample of radioactive material was studied over a 20 year period. The mass M of the radioactive material remaining was recorded over that time: Time (t years) 0:5 1 1:5 2 5 10 15 20 Mass (M grams) 48:0 46:1 44:1 42:4 32:7 21:2 14:7 9:7 a Construct a scatter plot for this data. b The data fits either a logarithmic, a power, or an exponential model. i Find the model of best fit for each of these model types. Include the r2 values. ii Which model is most appropriate? Explain your answer. c Use your model to calculate the mass of radioactive material: i when the sample was taken ii after 7 years. d The ‘half-life’ of a radioactive substance is the time taken for the mass of the substance to halve. Find the half-life for this material. e Find the rate of decay after: i 1 year ii 10 years. cyan magenta yellow 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 95 100 50 75 25 0 5 f Is the rate of decay increasing or decreasing? black Y:\HAESE\SA_12MET-2nd\SA_12MET2_06\240SA12MET2_06.CDR Wednesday, 15 September 2010 11:43:45 AM PETER SA_12MET-2
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