Zooplankton Ocean Observations & Modelling Task Team Jason Everett, Mark Baird, Anthony Richardson Co-convenors with Iain Suthers, Ryan Heneghan, Wayne Rochester, Hector Lozano-Montes, Joanna Strzelecki, Barbara Robson, Paul van Ruth, Kerrie Swadling, Pearse Buchanan, Ana Lara Lopez, Julia Blanchard, Richard Matear, Claire Davies, Jenny Skerratt, Ryan Downie, Leonardo Laiolo, Chris Griffiths, Felicity Mcennulty et al ZOOM Objectives • Improved communication and collaboration between zooplankton observational and modelling communities • Review literature for use of zooplankton observations in models • Develop and make available zooplankton fields and datasets that are directly applicable in ecosystem models • Initiate observation and model developments that bring model outputs closer to observations • Develop methods to incorporate zooplankton obs. into models. • Investigate the synergies / agreement between data streams. • Outline recommended methods for using IMOS observations for assessing models. Why study zooplankton? • Key food source for higher trophic levels • Trophic level between phytoplankton and fish • Interface between bottom-up and top-down control • First trophic level that introduces substantial behavior – DVM • Zooplankton are not usually the focus of models, or data is scare, so less effort goes into parameterisation/assessment: – Important trophic regulator of the abundance of small pelagic fish (Lassalle et al., 2013) – Variation in zooplankton productivity drives yields of upper trophic level in large marine ecosystems (Friedland et al., 2012) – Changing the representation of zooplankton in biogeochemical models substantially changes the fate of primary production (Mitra 2009) • ZOOM is addressing 2 main gaps in zooplankton research Gap 1: The Zooplankton Gap! • Relative to our knowledge of phytoplankton and fisheries, we have little understanding of the zooplankton that link them. • A legacy of the evolution of observational technology and oceanography • Physical variables, phytoplankton and fisheries have been easier to collect • Exacerbated by the difficulty of measuring zooplankton and their phylogenetic complexity. Gap 2: The Observation-Modelling Gap • Little zooplankton data used in models (n=153) – 20 % for zooplankton (Arhonditsis and Brett 2004) – 95 % for phytoplankton Observations sparse in time and space Work in different units (wet weight vs nitrogen) Publish in separate journals Modellers often aim for simplification and observationalists often highlight diversity • Zooplankton model parameters are nearly always poorly constrained due to the limited data • • • • CPR Opportunities for IMOS • Bring together observational and modelling research communities – Different languages and backgrounds NRS • IMOS zooplankton observations: – – – – Discrete yet complementary Across multiple scales Diverse methods Quantify uncertainty between methods • Zooplankton Models: – Improve uptake of zooplankton observations into models – Quantify sources of uncertainty in models. LOPC+ZooScan – Value addng to NRS 1st ZOOM Workshop • 9 modellers and 9 observationalists in one room for 2 days in Feb 2016 Better integrating zooplankton observations and models 1. Quantify how zooplankton represented in models 2. Review sampling platforms available 3. Case Study: Integrating models and data using ‘Observation Models’ Lessons from Optical Modelling: • Models are best combined with observations when they share common quantities. • Model assessment of chlorophyll a using satellitederived Chlorophyll a • Go back and understand what you are measuring/modelling and how to assess it. • Model Chl. a ≠ Satellite Reflectance (Phytoplankton+CDOM+Detritus) • Model Reflectance ~ Satellite Reflectance Observation Models: Size-Based Observations Models Observation Models: Bioacoustics Generate modelled echograms from ecosystems models Observation Models: Sampling the Model 3 case studies: How ZOOM is proposing to use existing IMOS data streams to better assess the zooplankton component of our models Sample the model at the same temporal and spatial resolution as the observations The z-score allows direct comparison of characteristics of intrinsically different quantities. ZOOM Initiatives Encouraging uptake of zooplankton into models Identified a range of models where there are available zooplankton data ZOOM members interested in assessing zooplankton in their models Model (Implementation) # Zoo groups Collaborator Atlantis (SE, Coral Sea, NSW, Gladstone, GBR, SE-Tas, NW, SW, GAB) 4 Fulton, Hutton, Dichmont, Lozano-Montes e-Reefs 2 Baird, Skerratt 1-4 ECOPATH (GoC, GBR, Coastal Qld, ETBF, NSWS, Bass Strait, Phillip Is., PPB, Tas, Tas reefs, S Tas seamounts, Jurien Bay, NWS, Ningaloo, Darwin, Kimberley, GAB, Gulf St Vincent) Bulman, Bustamante, Gribble, Gehrke, Griffiths, Lozano-Montes, Watson, Metcalfe, Julie, Forrest NPZD (global, Spencer Gulf) 1-2 Matear, Doubell CAEDYM (Swan Estuary) 5 Robson ZOOM Initiatives Creating zooplankton biomass fields • • • • • n = 10,000 Creating a gridded CARS-type product Model ready Initial conditions for models Seasonal assessment of model output Northeast U.S.A ZOOM Objectives • Improved communication and collaboration between zooplankton observational and modelling communities In Progress • Review literature use of zooplankton observations in models In Progress • Develop and make available zooplankton fields and datasets that In Progress are directly applicable in ecosystem models • Initiate observation and model developments that bring model outputs closer to observations In Progress • Develop methods to incorporate zooplankton obs. into models. • Investigate the synergies / agreement between data streams. • Outline recommended methods for using IMOS observations for 2016/17 assessing models. 2016/17 2016/17 Where to from here? Keep the discussion going Presentation of progress at ACOMO Leverage ACOMO to run a short ZOOM meeting Another workshop in early 2017 “Facilitating zooplankton data uptake into Australian numerical models” • Address our remaining objectives • • • • – Demonstrate uptake of zooplankton into models – Provide a framework for making this easier
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