Mostly Positive Rating Actions On Spanish Banks On Largely Completed Provisioning Of Legacy Problem Assets Primary Credit Analyst: Elena Iparraguirre, Madrid (34) 91-389-6963; [email protected] Secondary Contacts: Antonio Rizzo, Madrid (34) 91-788-7205; [email protected] Lucia Gonzalez, Madrid (34) 91 788 7219; [email protected] Miriam Fernandez, CFA, Madrid (34) 91-788-7232; [email protected] Philippe Raposo, Paris (33) 1-4420-7377; [email protected] OVERVIEW • In our view, the Spanish banking system has largely absorbed the credit cost of the bursting of the real estate bubble and subsequent deep economic recession. • We expect the economic recovery to continue and the real estate market to gain more dynamism. • Progress on fiscal consolidation and a long-lasting alignment of credit conditions with other eurozone partners could ultimately strengthen the economy's resilience to shocks. • While banks' structural reliance on external funding is likely to remain higher than peers, they could benefit from a further improvement in investor confidence, and reduced risk with respect to the sovereign's ability to act as an effective backstop to the financial system. • We consider that the economic risks faced by Spanish banks have reduced and we see the trend for both economic and industry risks as positive. • We are raising the long- and short-term counterparty ratings on two Spanish financial institutions and the long-term ratings on another three. • We are revising our outlooks to positive on most long-term ratings on Spanish banks. WWW.STANDARDANDPOORS.COM/RATINGSDIRECT FEBRUARY 9, 2017 1 1798201 | 302380358 Mostly Positive Rating Actions On Spanish Banks On Largely Completed Provisioning Of Legacy Problem Assets MADRID (S&P Global Ratings) Feb. 9, 2017--S&P Global Ratings said today that it took the following rating actions: • Raised the long- and short-term counterparty ratings on Bankinter S.A. to 'BBB/A-2' from 'BBB-/A-3', with a positive outlook. • Raised the long- and short-term counterparty credit ratings on Bankia S.A. to 'BBB-/A-3' from 'BB+/B', with a positive outlook. • Raised the long-term rating on BFA Tenedora de Acciones S.A.U. to 'BB+' from 'BB-', with a positive outlook. We affirmed the short-term rating at 'B'. • Raised the long-term rating on Ibercaja Banco S.A. to 'BB+' from 'BB', with a positive outlook. We affirmed the short-term rating at 'B'. • Raised the long-term rating on Abanca Corporacion Bancaria S.A. to 'BB-' from 'B+', with a positive outlook. We affirmed the short-term rating at 'B'. • Revised to positive the outlooks on the long-term ratings on Banco Santander S.A., Caixabank S.A., Cecabank S.A., Kutxabank S.A., and Caja Laboral Popular Cooperativa de Credito. We affirmed the long- and short-term ratings on these entities. • Affirmed the 'BB+/B' long- and short-term counterparty credit ratings and maintained the positive outlook on Banco de Sabadell S.A. • Revised the outlook to stable from positive on Banco Popular Espanol S.A. and affirmed the long- and short-term counterparty credit ratings at 'B+/B'. • Affirmed the ratings on Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria S.A. and its core subsidiary BBVA Global Markets B.V., and on Santander Consumer Finance S.A., a highly strategic subsidiary of Banco Santander S.A. The outlook on the three entities is stable. The rating actions above take into account that, in our view, Spanish banks now face lower economic risks. We consider that banks have largely absorbed the credit costs of the bursting of the real estate bubble, which started to correct almost nine years ago, and the deep economic recession that followed. As a result, we now expect any remaining provisioning impact from the correction of previous imbalances to be limited. The economic backdrop has also become more favorable and supportive of the banking industry recovery, thanks to solid economic growth, a gradual recovery of the property market, and reduced political uncertainty following the formation of a government (albeit a minority one) after two rounds of elections. We estimate that, from the end of 2008 to the end of 2016, Spanish banks recognized provisions equivalent to a massive 15.5% of the loan book outstanding at the beginning of that period. Credit losses have been consistently declining since their peak in 2012, however, and we feel confident they will reach normalized levels this year at about 56 basis points (bps) of average loans. But, banks' stock of nonperforming assets (NPAs), which we estimate at 15% of WWW.STANDARDANDPOORS.COM/RATINGSDIRECT FEBRUARY 9, 2017 2 1798201 | 302380358 Mostly Positive Rating Actions On Spanish Banks On Largely Completed Provisioning Of Legacy Problem Assets loans as of the end of 2016, will decline more gradually. The workout process, including the sale of real estate assets foreclosed or received in lieu of payment, which account for almost 40% of the stock of NPAs, will take several years, even in the context of more dynamic real estate market and supportive economic fundamentals. High stocks of NPAs--which we estimate would still account for about 11% of loans by the end of 2018--will thus continue to weigh on banks' balance sheets and profits for some time, and represent a tail risk if the economic situation were to reverse. In our view, banks' profitability could moderately improve over the next few years, but returns are unlikely to reach a level in line with the cost of capital, as growth in business volumes will most likely not be strong enough to compensate for the negative effect of low rates on earnings' generation. We thus believe that the operating environment will remain quite competitive. Reduced economic risks mean lower unexpected losses in a stress scenario. Banks' current capital bases would therefore have stronger capacity to withstand such losses. We have thus revised up the risk-adjusted capital (RAC) forecasts for all banks we rate, on average by about 56 bps. This capital strengthening was sufficient to support an upgrade in only a few cases: Bankia, Abanca, and Ibercaja. We revised upwards the stand-alone credit profiles (SACPs) of these three banks and therefore also raised the issue ratings assigned to their hybrid debt. In Bankia's case, we raised the rating on its nondeferrable subordinated debt by two notches because the SACP improving to 'bbb-' led us to reduce the notching differential for subordination to one notch from two notches. The anchor--our starting point for assigning issuer credit ratings to banks--remains 'bbb-' for banks operating primarily in Spain. Different from other banks' upgrades, our upgrade of Bankinter chiefly reflects the bank's success in enhancing its liquidity position. Bankinter further narrowed its commercial gap (on the back of strong deposit growth) and meaningfully reduced reliance on short-term funding sources (mostly repos), and, as a result, its liquid assets now comfortably cover potential short-term funding needs. Following these upgrades, only five of the 15 financial institutions we rate in Spain have speculative-grade long-term ratings. Furthermore, for most institutions, the current long-term ratings are either one or two notches higher than at the weakest point of the post-2008 period. For most rated banks, our revision of the outlook to positive reflects that their creditworthiness could benefit from what we see as a likely more supportive environment. A potential improvement of our assessment of either economic or industry risks would lead us to revise upward the anchor for banks operating primarily in Spain to 'bbb'. We continue to see a positive trend for economic risks. The economy is likely WWW.STANDARDANDPOORS.COM/RATINGSDIRECT FEBRUARY 9, 2017 3 1798201 | 302380358 Mostly Positive Rating Actions On Spanish Banks On Largely Completed Provisioning Of Legacy Problem Assets to maintain its momentum, growing at a sound pace above that of peer countries, which would support further job creation. We forecast real GDP growth at 2.3% for 2017 and 2.0% for 2018. In that scenario, it is likely that fiscal deficits will continue reducing, public sector debt will stabilize, and that Spanish credit conditions will continue to converge with the eurozone average, all of which could offer the government some room to manoeuver to support the economy if needed and ultimately improve the economy's resilience to shocks. We also view the trend for industry risks as positive. We believe there is a one-in-three chance that the favorable macroeconomic dynamics could lead us to improve our assessment of industry funding risk if they result in higher investor confidence in the Spanish banking system, easier funding for banks, and reduced risk with respect to the government's ability to act as an effective potential backstop if banks were to encounter funding difficulties. Our revision of the outlook on Banco Popular to stable from positive reflects our view that the bank is failing to restore its financial profile as planned. Popular's just-published 2016 results showed higher-than-expected losses, with provisions for problem loans and real estate assets exceeding by about 20% the guidance the bank provided in May 2016, when it launched its €2.5 billion rights issue. In spite of higher provisions, the bank did not manage to meet its previously announced target of reaching 50% coverage of NPAs by the end of 2016 (instead coverage ended the year at 45%), partly because a reclassification exercise led to a €3 billion inflow of new NPAs. Finally, since the announcement of the rights issue, Popular has shown some disagreements between its major shareholders. This ultimately led to the departure of the chairman, with a replacement expected to take office on Feb. 20, 2017. We understand that the previously announced 2016-2018 strategy and targets have been put on hold until the new chair is in place. The revision of the outlook on Banco Santander to positive reflects prospects of the bank accelerating the issuance of debt instruments eligible to absorb losses in resolution in 2017 and 2018, with Santander potentially reaching a substantial ALAC (additional loss-absorbing capacity) buffer that would reduce the default risk on more senior obligations if the bank is resolved. See "Outlook On Banco Santander 'A-' Long-Term Rating Revised To Positive On Expected Sizable ALAC Buffer; Ratings Affirmed," published Feb. 9, 2017, on RatingsDirect. Our outlooks on Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria S.A., its core subsidiary BBVA Global Markets S.A., and Santander Consumer Finance S.A. remain stable, as any potential ratings uplift is currently constrained by the sovereign creditworthiness of Spain (BBB+/Stable/A-2). OUTLOOKS Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria S.A. WWW.STANDARDANDPOORS.COM/RATINGSDIRECT FEBRUARY 9, 2017 4 1798201 | 302380358 Mostly Positive Rating Actions On Spanish Banks On Largely Completed Provisioning Of Legacy Problem Assets The stable outlook on BBVA mirrors the stable outlook on the long-term sovereign rating on Spain. We would not rate the bank above the sovereign, although we acknowledge that the bank's stand-alone creditworthiness could strengthen over the next 12-24 months in the context of the likely more supportive economic and operating environment in Spain. This is because BBVA's relatively high business concentration in Spain, where almost half of its loan book is booked, would make it unlikely that the bank would continue to meet its obligations in a timely manner in the hypothetical event of a Spanish sovereign default. We could consider revising upward the bank's SACP, however, if risks on the domestic economic environment were to ease, while emerging risks in other markets, namely Turkey and Mexico, remain under control; or if we were to improve our assessment of industry risks in the Spanish banking system. We expect BBVA will continue developing its strong retail banking franchises in its countries of operation, with a focus on strengthening profitability while preserving what we see as a conservative strategy. We consider that the bank will have the flexibility to accommodate emerging risks in Turkey and Mexico thanks to the ongoing recovery of its home market. We do not envisage inorganic growth at this point; instead we expect the bank to focus on leveraging its latest acquisitions (Catalunya Banc in Spain and Garanti in Turkey). We expect BBVA's asset-quality indicators to continue to gradually improve, with likely favorable developments in Spain more than compensating potential moderate increases in problematic exposures in Latin America and the U.S. Returns are also likely to improve, albeit moderately. The ultra-low interest rates in Europe will constrain the bank's ability to improve revenues in Spain, while weaker foreign currencies would likely reduce the contribution of operations abroad to the group's results. We believe the bank's RAC ratio will continue to strengthen through earnings generation, likely reaching 7.5%-8% by the end of 2018. We expect the bank's capacity to absorb losses in a severe downturn scenario to remain a ratings strength. We also expect the bank to preserve its sound funding and liquidity profile. For us to raise the ratings on BBVA, we would have to have raised the long-term sovereign rating on Spain. Additionally, the bank's stand-alone creditworthiness would have to improve (most likely if we were to perceive that risks have eased on either the economic or operating front in Spain); the bank would have to substantially improve its profitability, outperforming its peer group; or the bank would have to build up a large enough ALAC buffer. The ratings on BBVA could come under pressure if we were to lower the sovereign credit rating on Spain or if the bank's capacity to absorb the impact of adverse shocks were to meaningfully reduce. Caixabank S.A. WWW.STANDARDANDPOORS.COM/RATINGSDIRECT FEBRUARY 9, 2017 5 1798201 | 302380358 Mostly Positive Rating Actions On Spanish Banks On Largely Completed Provisioning Of Legacy Problem Assets The positive outlook on Caixabank reflects the possibility of an upgrade in the next 12-24 months if Spain's economic and operating environment becomes more supportive, ultimately resulting in a strengthening of banks' creditworthiness and therefore a higher anchor for Spanish banks. The positive outlook also assumes that the acquisition of Portuguese Banco BPI will not meaningfully weaken the bank's capital position, and that Banco BPI will be integrated as planned, without unexpected material problems. We expect that Caixabank will continue gradually strengthening its profitability and capital and reducing its stock of problematic assets, while maintaining a balanced funding profile and comfortable liquidity. We could revise the outlook back to stable if we don't see prospects of the economic or operating environment in Spain becoming more supportive for banks, or if other risks offset the potential benefits of a likely more supportive environment. For example, this could happen if the acquisition and integration of BPI faces meaningful setbacks that we believe could impair the bank's business and financial profile, or if Caixabank's capital position weakens and we see risks of the bank not being able to restore it. Bankinter S.A. The positive outlook on Bankinter indicates the possibility of an upgrade over the next 12-24 months if Spain's economic and operating environment becomes more supportive, ultimately resulting in a strengthening of banks creditworthiness and therefore a higher anchor for Spanish banks. That aside, we expect that Bankinter will continue strengthening its capital, reaching a RAC ratio of around 8% in the next two years. We anticipate that it will maintain conservative underwriting standards while growing its loan book, integrate and develop successfully Portuguese activities, and keep reliance on short-term wholesale financing contained. We could revise the outlook back to stable if we don't see prospects of the economic or operating environment in Spain easing further for banks, or if Bankinter's risk appetite increases as it keeps steady loan growth or its funding profile again shows an increasing reliance on short-term sources. Cecabank S.A. The positive outlook reflects the possibility that we could raise our long-term rating on Cecabank in the next 12-24 months if Spain's economic and operating environment becomes more supportive, resulting in a higher anchor for banks operating primarily in Spain. An upgrade would also depend on Cecabank proving able to preserve its franchise and business model relative to peers. The positive outlook also assumes that Cecabank's solvency will remain strong WWW.STANDARDANDPOORS.COM/RATINGSDIRECT FEBRUARY 9, 2017 6 1798201 | 302380358 Mostly Positive Rating Actions On Spanish Banks On Largely Completed Provisioning Of Legacy Problem Assets and that its use of central bank financing, if any, will be limited. We could revise the outlook to stable if we don't see risks easing in Spain's economic or operating environment. We could also revise the outlook to stable if we saw signs of Cecabank's business prospects deteriorating. Kutxabank S.A. The positive outlook on Kutxabank indicates the possibility of an upgrade over the next 12-24 months if Spain's economic and operating environment becomes more supportive, ultimately resulting in a strengthening of the bank's creditworthiness and therefore a higher anchor for Spanish banks. In the event of risks in the economic environment abating, Kutxabank's capital could also strengthen further. However, we consider it unlikely that we would change our view of the bank's capital strength compared to the risks it faces. We expect that Kutxabank's operating profitability will gradually improve and that the bank will steadily reduce its non-core portfolio of equity stakes. Moreover, we also consider that the bank's asset quality will keep outperforming the domestic system, with problem assets set to decline to just below 8% of gross loans by the end of 2018. We could revise the outlook to stable if we don't perceive prospects of the economic and operating environment for Spanish banks easing. Bankia S.A. and BFA Tenedora de Acciones, S.A.U. The positive outlook on Bankia S.A. indicates the possibility of Spain's economic and operating environment becoming more supportive, ultimately resulting in a strengthening of banks' creditworthiness in the next 12-24 months and therefore a higher anchor for banks operating primarily in Spain. We expect that, over this year and next, Bankia will gradually continue to strengthen its solvency through earnings retention and issuance of hybrid instruments, reducing its stock of problematic assets, while maintaining a balanced funding profile and comfortable liquidity. At present, our ratings do not incorporate any impact on Bankia's business and financial profiles stemming from the potential acquisition of Banco Mare Nostrum S.A., since we do not have sufficient visibility on whether the deal will go through nor its terms. We could revise the outlook back to stable if we don't see prospects of the economic or operating environment in Spain easing further for banks, or other risks offset the potential benefits of a likely more supportive environment. This could happen if the group's capitalization were to materially weaken, for example as a result of an acquisition, BFA upstreaming significant capital to the state, or the bank facing material unexpected provisioning needs related to legacy issues. WWW.STANDARDANDPOORS.COM/RATINGSDIRECT FEBRUARY 9, 2017 7 1798201 | 302380358 Mostly Positive Rating Actions On Spanish Banks On Largely Completed Provisioning Of Legacy Problem Assets The outlook on Bankia's subsidiary BFA is also positive as we expect the ratings on the holding company and the operating entity to move in tandem. Caja Laboral Popular Cooperativa de Credito The positive outlook reflects the possibility that we could raise our long-term rating on Caja Laboral in the next 12-24 months if Spain's economic and operating environment become more supportive, ultimately resulting in a strengthening of banks' creditworthiness and therefore a higher anchor for Spanish banks. An upgrade would also depend on Caja Laboral preserving its risk profile strength compared to peers. The positive outlook also assumes that Caja Laboral will continue to benefit from sound capitalization (with its RAC ratio standing at 9.0%-9.5% over 2017-2018), maintain a prudent approach to the business, not engage in aggressive acquisitions, and remain primarily retail-funded. We also expect the bank's asset quality to continue comparing well with industry averages, and problem assets to decline to around 9.4% of gross loans by the end of 2018. We could revise the outlook to stable if we don't see prospects of the economic or operating environment in Spain becoming more supportive for banks. We could also revise the outlook to stable if we were to believe that Caja Laboral's capital compared to the risks it bears is no longer a rating strength, particularly given its comparatively high geographic and business concentration, including its exposure to the Mondragon group. Banco de Sabadell S.A. The positive outlook indicates the possibility that we could raise our longand short-term ratings over the next 12 months if the bank delivers on its strategic objectives. Specifically, we could raise the ratings if the bank further strengthens its solvency, with its RAC ratio exceeding 7%, and substantially reduces its still-high stock of nonperforming assets, while successfully completing the integration of its U.K. subsidiary. The positive outlook also reflects the possibility of Spain's economic and operating environment becoming more supportive, ultimately resulting in a strengthening of banks' creditworthiness and therefore a higher anchor for Spanish banks. We could revise the outlook back to stable if we anticipate that the bank will not be able to reach a more adequate capital position over the outlook horizon, most likely due to weak profits hindering organic capital generation, and we no longer see prospects of easing risks in the economic or operating environment for banks in Spain. Ibercaja Banco S.A. WWW.STANDARDANDPOORS.COM/RATINGSDIRECT FEBRUARY 9, 2017 8 1798201 | 302380358 Mostly Positive Rating Actions On Spanish Banks On Largely Completed Provisioning Of Legacy Problem Assets The positive outlook reflects the possibility that we could raise our long-term rating on Ibercaja in the next 12 months if Spain's economic and operating environment becomes more supportive, ultimately resulting in a higher anchor for banks operating primarily in Spain. An upgrade would also depend on Ibercaja preserving its franchise and proving it can be sustainably profitable in the context of the likely more consolidated and competitive environment ahead. A higher rating would also depend on Ibercaja maintaining a lower-risk profile than its peers. We expect that Ibercaja's capitalization will remain weak compared to peers and to the risks it bears. In particular, we forecast that its RAC ratio will stand at 4.25%-4.75% by end-2017, and that its financial flexibility will remain constrained given its unlisted status and its major shareholder's limited sources of wealth. We expect Ibercaja's problem assets to decline to 11.4% of loans by the end of 2017. We could revise the outlook to stable if, contrary to our current expectations, we don't see prospects of the economic or operating environment in Spain becoming more supportive for banks. We could also revise the outlook to stable if the relative value of Ibercaja's regional banking franchise weakens, the bank's returns lag those of peers, the bank engages in acquisitions that impair its financial profile, or its risk appetite increases. Abanca Corporación Bancaria S.A. The positive outlook reflects the possibility that we could raise our long-term rating on Abanca in the next 12 months if Spain's economic and operating environment becomes more supportive, ultimately resulting in a strengthening of banks' creditworthiness and therefore a higher anchor for banks operating primarily in Spain. An upgrade would also depend on Abanca making progress in making its banking business sustainably profitable. We expect that Abanca will continue to reduce its portfolio of problematic assets, with NPAs reducing to slightly less than 10% of gross loans by end-2017, while keeping its coverage ratios high. We also expect its quality of capital to remain constrained by its stock of time-difference deferred tax assets, which is larger than that of its peers at close to 100% of its total adjusted capital over our outlook horizon. We could revise the outlook to stable if, contrary to our current expectations, we don't see prospects of the economic or operating environment in Spain becoming more supportive for banks. We could also revise the outlook to stable if Abanca proves unable to further deliver on its strategic plan and reverse its current net operating losses, or if we anticipate that the bank would face difficulties in financing new lending with stable funding sources. Banco Popular Español S.A. WWW.STANDARDANDPOORS.COM/RATINGSDIRECT FEBRUARY 9, 2017 9 1798201 | 302380358 Mostly Positive Rating Actions On Spanish Banks On Largely Completed Provisioning Of Legacy Problem Assets The stable outlook on Popular balances the positive prospects that we see for the Spanish economic and operating environment against our view that the bank still faces significant challenges in turning around its weak financial profile. We believe that, in the absence of appropriate and effective measures, there will be an increasing divergence between the improvements we expect for the Spanish banking system as a whole and Popular. We could lower our ratings on the bank if the new management team fails to reach a credible plan to address Popular's financial weaknesses, mainly the workout of its high stock of problematic assets and turning around profitability. We could also lower the ratings if Popular posts additional losses that cause our RAC ratio to decline below 5%. For us to raise the ratings on Popular, Spain's economic and operating environment would have to become more supportive, ultimately resulting in an improvement of the anchor for banks operating primarily in Spain, and Popular would have to prove it is able to tackle its key strategic challenges. RELATED CRITERIA • General Criteria: Guarantee Criteria, Oct. 21, 2016 • Criteria - Financial Institutions - Banks: Bank Rating Methodology And Assumptions: Additional Loss-Absorbing Capacity, April 27, 2015 • Criteria - Financial Institutions - Banks: Bank Hybrid Capital And Nondeferrable Subordinated Debt Methodology And Assumptions, Jan. 29, 2015 • General Criteria: Principles For Rating Debt Issues Based On Imputed Promises, Dec. 19, 2014 • General Criteria: Ratings Above The Sovereign--Corporate And Government Ratings: Methodology And Assumptions, Nov. 19, 2013 • General Criteria: Group Rating Methodology, Nov. 19, 2013 • Criteria - Financial Institutions - Banks: Assessing Bank Branch Creditworthiness, Oct. 14, 2013 • Criteria - Financial Institutions - Banks: Quantitative Metrics For Rating Banks Globally: Methodology And Assumptions, July 17, 2013 • General Criteria: Criteria For Assigning 'CCC+', 'CCC', 'CCC-', And 'CC' Ratings, Oct. 01, 2012 • Criteria - Financial Institutions - Banks: Revised Market Risk Charges For Banks In Our Risk-Adjusted Capital Framework, June 22, 2012 • Criteria - Financial Institutions - Banks: Banking Industry Country Risk Assessment Methodology And Assumptions, Nov. 09, 2011 • Criteria - Financial Institutions - Banks: Banks: Rating Methodology And Assumptions, Nov. 09, 2011 • Criteria - Financial Institutions - Banks: Bank Capital Methodology And Assumptions, Dec. 06, 2010 • Criteria - Financial Institutions - Banks: Methodology For Mapping ShortAnd Long-Term Issuer Credit Ratings For Banks, May 04, 2010 WWW.STANDARDANDPOORS.COM/RATINGSDIRECT FEBRUARY 9, 2017 10 1798201 | 302380358 Mostly Positive Rating Actions On Spanish Banks On Largely Completed Provisioning Of Legacy Problem Assets • General Criteria: Use Of CreditWatch And Outlooks, Sept. 14, 2009 • Criteria - Financial Institutions - Banks: Commercial Paper I: Banks, March 23, 2004 BICRA SCORE SNAPSHOT Spain To From BICRA Group 5 5 Economic risk Economic resilience Economic imbalances Credit risk in the economy 5 Intermediate risk Intermediate risk High risk 6 Intermediate risk High risk High risk Industry risk Institutional framework Competitive dynamics Systemwide funding 5 Intermediate risk Intermediate risk High risk 5 Intermediate risk Intermediate risk High risk Trends Economic risk trend Industry risk trend Positive Positive Positive Stable *Banking Industry Country Risk Assessment (BICRA) economic risk and industry risk scores are on a scale from 1 (lowest risk) to 10 (highest risk). For more details on our BICRA scores on banking industries across the globe, please see "Banking Industry Country Risk Assessment Update," published monthly on RatingsDirect. RATINGS LIST * * * * * * * * * * * Abanca Corporacion Bancaria S.A * * * * * * * * * * Upgraded; Ratings Affirmed Abanca Corporacion Bancaria S.A Counterparty Credit Rating To From BB-/Positive/B B+/Positive/B * * * * * * * * * * Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria S.A. * * * * * * * * * Ratings Affirmed Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria S.A. BBVA Global Markets B.V. Counterparty Credit Rating BBB+/Stable/A-2 Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria S.A. WWW.STANDARDANDPOORS.COM/RATINGSDIRECT FEBRUARY 9, 2017 11 1798201 | 302380358 Mostly Positive Rating Actions On Spanish Banks On Largely Completed Provisioning Of Legacy Problem Assets Certificate Of Deposit Senior Unsecured Subordinated Certificate Of Deposit Commercial Paper A-2 BBB+ BBBA-2 A-2 B.B.V. Finance (DE) Inc. Commercial Paper (1) A-2 BBVA Capital Finance, S.A. Unipersonal Preferred Stock (1) BB- BBVA Commercial Paper Ltd. Commercial Paper (1) A-2 BBVA Global Finance Ltd. Senior Unsecured (1) Subordinated (1) BBB+ BBB- BBVA Global Markets B.V. Senior Unsecured (1) Senior Unsecured (1) BBB+ BBB+p BBVA International Ltd. BBVA International Preferred, S.A. Unipersonal Preference Stock (1) BBBBVA Senior Finance, S.A. Unipersonal Senior Unsecured (1) Senior Unsecured (1) BBB+ BBB+p BBVA Subordinated Capital, S.A. Unipersonal Subordinated (1) BBBBBVA U.S. Senior, S.A. Unipersonal Bex America Finance Inc. Commercial Paper (1) Commercial Paper (1)(2) A-2 A-2 (1) Guaranteed by Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria S.A. (2) Guaranteed and co-issued by Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria S.A. * * * * * * * * * * * * * Banco de Sabadell S.A. * * * * * * * * * * * * * Ratings Affirmed Banco de Sabadell S.A. Counterparty Credit Rating Senior Unsecured WWW.STANDARDANDPOORS.COM/RATINGSDIRECT BB+/Positive/B BB+ FEBRUARY 9, 2017 12 1798201 | 302380358 Mostly Positive Rating Actions On Spanish Banks On Largely Completed Provisioning Of Legacy Problem Assets Subordinated Preferred Stock Commercial Paper * * * * * * * * * * * * B+ CCC+ B Banco Popular Espanol S.A. * * * * * * * * * * * * Ratings Affirmed; Outlook Action Banco Popular Espanol S.A. Counterparty Credit Rating To From B+/Stable/B B+/Positive/B Ratings Affirmed Banco Popular Espanol S.A. Subordinated CCC+ BPE Financiaciones S.A. Senior Unsecured (1) Subordinated (1) B+ CCC+ Popular Capital S.A. Preferred Stock (1) CCC Popular Preference (Cayman) Ltd. Preference Stock (1) CCC (1) Guaranteed by Banco Popular Espanol S.A. * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Banco Santander S.A. * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Ratings Affirmed; Outlook Action Banco Santander S.A. Counterparty Credit Rating To From A-/Positive/A-2 A-/Stable/A-2 Ratings Affirmed Banco Santander S.A. Certificate Of Deposit Senior Unsecured Subordinated Preferred Stock Preference Stock Commercial Paper A-/A-2 ABBB+ BB BB A-2 BCH North American Capital Corp. Commercial Paper (1) A-2 EMISORA SANTANDER ESPANA, S.A.U. WWW.STANDARDANDPOORS.COM/RATINGSDIRECT FEBRUARY 9, 2017 13 1798201 | 302380358 Mostly Positive Rating Actions On Spanish Banks On Largely Completed Provisioning Of Legacy Problem Assets Senior Unsecured (1) A- Santander Central Hispano Finance (Delaware) Inc. Santander Central Hispano International Ltd. Santander Commercial Paper, S.A. Unipersonal Commercial Paper (1) A-2 Santander Finance Capital S.A. Unipersonal Preferred Stock (1) BB Preferred Stock (1) BB+ Santander Finance Preferred S.A. Unipersonal Preferred Stock (1) BB Preference Stock (1) BB Santander International Debt, S.A. Unipersonal Senior Unsecured (1) ASantander International Preferred S.A. Unipersonal Preferred Stock (1) BB+ Santander Issuances S.A. Unipersonal Subordinated (1) BBB Santander Perpetual, S.A. Unipersonal Junior Subordinated (1) BB+ (1) Guaranteed by Banco Santander S.A. * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Bankinter S.A. * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Upgraded Bankinter S.A. Counterparty Credit Rating Senior Unsecured Subordinated To From BBB/Positive/A-2 BBB BB+ BBB-/Positive/A-3 BBBBB Bankinter Sociedad de Financiacion, S.A Commercial Paper (1) A-2 A-3 (1) Guaranteed by Bankinter S.A. * * * * * * * * * * * BFA Tenedora de Acciones, S.A.U. * * * * * * * * * * Upgraded; Ratings Affirmed Bankia S.A. Counterparty Credit Rating WWW.STANDARDANDPOORS.COM/RATINGSDIRECT To From BBB-/Positive/A-3 BB+/Positive/B FEBRUARY 9, 2017 14 1798201 | 302380358 Mostly Positive Rating Actions On Spanish Banks On Largely Completed Provisioning Of Legacy Problem Assets Senior Unsecured Subordinated Commercial Paper BBBBB A-3 BB+ B+ B BFA Tenedora de Acciones, S.A.U. Counterparty Credit Rating Senior Unsecured BB+/Positive/B BB+ BB-/Positive/B BB- Caymadrid International Ltd. Senior Unsecured (1) BBB- BB+ (1) Guaranteed by Bankia S.A. * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Caixabank S.A. * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Ratings Affirmed; Outlook Action CaixaBank S.A. Counterparty Credit Rating To From BBB/Positive/A-2 BBB/Stable/A-2 Ratings Affirmed CaixaBank S.A. Senior Unsecured Subordinated BBB BB+ * * * * * * * * Caja Laboral Popular Cooperativa de Credito * * * * * * * Ratings Affirmed; Outlook Action To Caja Laboral Popular Cooperativa de Credito Counterparty Credit Rating BBB-/Positive/A-3 * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * From BBB-/Stable/A-3 Cecabank S.A. * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Ratings Affirmed; Outlook Action Cecabank S.A. Counterparty Credit Rating To From BBB/Positive/A-2 BBB/Stable/A-2 * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Ibercaja Banco. S.A. * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Upgraded; Ratings Affirmed To From Ibercaja Banco S.A. Counterparty Credit Rating BB+/Positive/B BB/Positive/B Subordinated B+ B Preferred Stock CCC+ CCC * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Kuxtabank S.A. * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * WWW.STANDARDANDPOORS.COM/RATINGSDIRECT FEBRUARY 9, 2017 15 1798201 | 302380358 Mostly Positive Rating Actions On Spanish Banks On Largely Completed Provisioning Of Legacy Problem Assets Ratings Affirmed; Outlook Action Kutxabank S.A. Counterparty Credit Rating To From BBB-/Positive/A-3 BBB-/Stable/A-3 Ratings Affirmed Kutxabank S.A. Senior Unsecured * * * * * * * * * * * BBBSantander Consumer Finance S.A. * * * * * * * * * * * Ratings Affirmed Santander Consumer Finance S.A. Counterparty Credit Rating Senior Unsecured Commercial Paper BBB+/Stable/A-2 BBB+ A-2 Santander Consumer Bank AS Senior Unsecured (1) BBB+ (1) Guaranteed by Santander Consumer Finance S.A. Additional Contact: Financial Institutions Ratings Europe; [email protected] Certain terms used in this report, particularly certain adjectives used to express our view on rating relevant factors, have specific meanings ascribed to them in our criteria, and should therefore be read in conjunction with such criteria. Please see Ratings Criteria at www.standardandpoors.com for further information. Complete ratings information is available to subscribers of RatingsDirect at www.globalcreditportal.com and at spcapitaliq.com. All ratings affected by this rating action can be found on the S&P Global Ratings' public website at www.standardandpoors.com. Use the Ratings search box located in the left column. Alternatively, call one of the following S&P Global Ratings numbers: Client Support Europe (44) 20-7176-7176; London Press Office (44) 20-7176-3605; Paris (33) 1-4420-6708; Frankfurt (49) 69-33-999-225; Stockholm (46) 8-440-5914; or Moscow 7 (495) 783-4009. 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