Deutsche Bank Australian Companies Tour - Coca

Deutsche Bank
Australian Companies Tour
John Wartig
Chief Financial Officer
1 September 2005
1
September 2005
Outstanding Progress Since 2001…
Market capitalisation
Ç approx $2.2 billion
Total shareholder returns
Ç 19% CAGR
Earnings per share
ROCE*
Dividends per share
10.6%
11.0%
9.5%
8.4%
21c
16c
7.5%
19c
13c
16c
14c
11c
7c
H2
16c
H1
12c
2001
18c
20c
13c
13c
2002
2003
2004
2005
7c
8c
2001
2002
14c
10c
2003
2004
2005
2001
2002
2003
2004 H1 05
* Pre IFRS equivalent for H1 2005
September 2005
2
1
Australia’s Best Performing Beverage Business
H1 2005
Revenue
$1.7bn
Beverages
ƒ 6 Countries
10%
ƒ 280 million potential
consumers
18%
EBIT
$268m
4%
0%
14%
13%
ƒ 750,000 active customers
ƒ 34 beverage bottling plants
81%
59%
ƒ 16,800 employees
Australia
Pacific
South Korea
Indonesia & PNG
3
September 2005
CCA Continues to Drive Brand Leadership in
Australia with 17 out of the Top 20 Products
COCA-COLA SGR 600 ML PET
COCA-COLA SGR 2 L PET
COCA-COLA SGR 1.25 L PET
COCA-COLA SGR 390 ML PET
COCA-COLA SGR 375 ML CAN
DIET COKE DIET 600 ML PET
COCA-COLA SGR 1.5 L PET
COCA-COLA BONUS SGR 2 X 1.25 L PET
VANILLA COKE SGR 600 ML PET
PEPSI MAX PEPSI DIET 600 ML PET
DIET COKE DIET 390 ML PET
SOLO LMN SGR 600 ML PET
SPRITE SGR 600 ML PET
DIET COKE DIET 375 ML CAN
DIET COKE DIET 2 L PET
FANTA ORNG SGR 600 ML PET
LIFT SGR 600 ML PET
DIET COKE VANILLA DIET 600 ML PET
SOLO LMN SGR 1.25 L PET
COCA-COLA SGR 24 X 375 ML CAN
0
2
4
6
CCA Product
Other
September 2005
8
10
12
14
16
18
National Value % Share
Source: ACNeilsen – 2004 Convenience Report
4
2
Bolt-On Beverage Acquisitions Strengthen CCA’s
Market Position
$366 million invested in
bolt-on beverage
acquisitions
$330 million received from
non-core asset sales
ƒ Northern Territory CocaCola Licence
ƒ Crusta Juice
ƒ Quirks Refrigeration
ƒ Peat’s Ridge
ƒ Pacific Beverages
ƒ Neverfail
ƒ Rio Beverages
September 2005
ƒ PET manufacturing
assets
ƒ Surplus property
5
Acquisition of SPC Ardmona provides opportunity for
expansion into the high growth health and well-being segment
Share of
SPC Ardmona
Revenue
SPC Ardmona
Market Position
Packaged
Fruit
60%
1
Henry Jones Spreads
12%
1
Tinned Tomatoes
11%
1
Baked Beans & Spaghetti
9%
2
Source: AC Nielsen – Scan Track. Excludes food service
Deciduous Fruit Category
ƒ 6% CAGR since ‘02
ƒ 8% growth in ‘04
September 2005
Fruit Snacks Category
ƒ 6.6% CAGR for last ten years
ƒ 6.4% growth in ‘04
6
3
Sales Revenue by category
Food service &
Other
18%
Retail branded
products
49%
International
24%
Private label
9%
7
September 2005
CCA becoming a broader based food and beverage
company…
Revenue Mix
Business Mix by Region - H1 2005
Revenue
$1.9bn
EBIT
$267m
8%
6%
4%
10%
Capital
Employed
$3.4bn
0%
8%
Food
23%
5%
13%
17%
6%
12%
18%
20%
10%
77%
55%
95%
72%
2001
H1 2005
Non-carbonated
beverages
Carbonated
soft drinks
42%
Australia
South Korea
SPCA
September 2005
Pacific
Indonesia & PNG
8
4
Key business drivers – Driving customers and
CCA’s profitability through…
1. Product and package innovation
2. Non-carbonated beverage and food expansion
3. Growing product availability through cold drink
placements and outlet expansion
4. Customer service improvement
5. Revenue management and cost discipline
September 2005
9
1 CCA Continuing to Lead through Innovation
Growing the
diet flavour
market
CCA
Zero
Eye
Catching
Packaging
Low sugar Sprite aimed
at the growing health &
wellbeing trend
September 2005
10
5
1 Innovative Packaging – Lighter and Cheaper
From July 2005,
Powerade bottle:
ƒ 10% less resin
New
improved
packaging
same look
and feel
ƒ $2m savings from
2006
New Powerade
3 x 600ml pack
Sports Market
CCA
11
September 2005
2
Growing Per Capita Water Consumption is a Key
Priority for CCA
ƒ Australia’s per capita consumption is only a quarter of
Europe’s and half of the USA’s
Litres
Annual bottled water consumption
per capita
Ita
ly
Fr
an
c
Be e
lg
iu
m
Sp
ai
n
G
er
m
Sw an
y
itz
er
Po land
rtu
Un
ga
ite
l
d
St
at
es
G
re
ec
Th e
ai
la
nd
Ca
na
Au d
st a
ra
Ar lia
ge
nt
in
a
Un Br
ite az
il
d
Ki
n
Ph gdo
ilip
m
pi
Janes
Ne
p
an
w
Ze
al
an
So Ch d
in
ut
a
h
Af
ric
Vi
a
et
na
m
Average
SOURCE: Perrier Vittel S.A., Canadean
September 2005
12
6
2
Water Growth Accelerating – CCA Core Brands
ƒ 3 out of the top 5 water brands in Australia are CCA’s, with
‘Mount Franklin’ a strong number one, followed by ‘pump’
and ‘Neverfail’
Ambient
Racks
1L pack
Packaged Water Market
CCA
New
6x600mL pack
September 2005
2
New
4x1.5L
pack
13
Fruitopia J – Kick Starting CCA’s Juice
Growth
ƒ Relaunched in June 2005 with improved formulation,
new packaging a fresh [2L] offering for grocery.
ƒ Increased media support targeting a leading share of
voice in the juice segment.
May 2005
14
7
of Fruitopia Classic in Chilled Juice
2 Launch
Section
8 Flavours
Premium Orange
Pulp Free Orange
Orange & Mango
Five Fruits
Cloudy Apple
Orange & Apricot
Apple & Blackcurrant
Apple & Guava
September 2005
3
15
Using equipment innovation and our investment to
drive customer profitability
Woolworths Coolers
Subway Coolers
HORECA Mini Retro
September 2005
16
8
3
Growing our Customer Base Through Outlet
Expansion
Potential Customer Growth
Australia
Potential
Cust. Universe
CCA’s
Coverage
2004
Growth
0.3m outlets
35%
>5%
Targeting nontraditional outlets
New Zealand
0.1m outlets
30%
2%
Indonesia
1.4m outlets
30%
15%
South Korea
0.5m outlets
20%
30%
17
September 2005
4
Targeting
expanded
availability in
traditional outlets
Improved In-Market Execution
Packs and Brands
Horeca Universe (no. of outlets)
CCA Share
Rest of Market
Equipment
September 2005
Sales / Distribution
18
9
4
Faultless Customer Service Execution
Centralised Call Centres in
Australia and New Zealand
ƒ Re-focus sales force from order
taking to conceptual selling
September 2005
5
19
Automated Distribution – Reducing Costs and
Improving Service
ƒ Delivering improved customer
service
ƒ Generating annual cost
savings of approximately $7
million
ƒ Planning construction of
automated distribution facilities
in Sydney and Auckland
ƒ Due for completion by early
2008
ƒ Total combined cost of
$200m to $250m
September 2005
20
10
Australia & Pacific
Current trading conditions
ƒ Soft start to the year with a solid improvement in May / June
ƒ 5% price rises taken in February to recover higher COGS
holding despite slow response from the major competitor
KEY DRIVERS
Continuing focus on product innovation, noncarbonated beverages expansion, cold drink placement
and new outlet expansion to generate revenue growth
21
September 2005
South Korea
Current trading conditions
ƒ Trading remains impacted by high levels of
household debt and continued low consumer
demand for non-alcoholic ready to drink beverages
ƒ Little improvement in first half trading from that
experienced in the second half of 2004
ƒ Successful launch of ‘Minute Maid’ with
2 million cases sold since June launch
KEY DRIVERS
ƒ Upgrading our sales force capabilities
ƒ TCCC significantly up weighted spending
ƒ Expand non-CSD beverage portfolio
September 2005
22
11
Indonesia
Current trading conditions
ƒ Luxury goods tax removal expected to benefit trading in the
second half
ƒ However, natural disasters, removal of fuel subsidy and
Rupiah devaluation adding strain to the economy
ƒ 4-5% price rises taken in July
KEY DRIVERS
ƒ Expanding the soft drink culture
ƒ Improving sales execution
ƒ Cold drink cooler placement and outlet expansion
September 2005
23
Opportunities identified from
business review
KEY DRIVERS
ƒ Product and package innovation
ƒ New channel opportunities
ƒ Key account management skills
ƒ Supply chain efficiencies
ƒ Increasing user-friendliness of packaging and range of
products in the high growth plastic resealable containers
ƒ Leverage CCA’s distribution capabilities to take SPCA
products into new channels
ƒ Supply chain improvements in procurement and
manufacturing
September 2005
24
12
H1 2005 – 9th Consecutive Half Year of Double-Digit
Earnings Growth
Group Net Profit Ç 16.8% to $145.2m
Net Profit
Ç 16.8% (13.7% on a pre IFRS basis)
EBIT
Ç 10.2% to $267.4m
EPS
Ç 11.9% to 19.8c (8.8% on a pre IFRS basis)
ROCE
Ç 0.6 pts to 19.9% (or up 0.3 pts to 11.0% on a pre
IFRS basis)
Free Cash
Flow
remaining solid with strong beverage cash flow of
$137.8 million (up $24.9 million) and a seasonal cash
outflow of $73.1 million for SPC Ardmona
Dividend
Ç 12% to 14 cents per share (fully franked)
September 2005
25
Impact of rising commodity prices
2005
ƒ H1 Beverage COGS increase +5.3% (small impact from forex and
bolt on acquisitions)
ƒ Lag affect of effective commodity and forex hedging results in H2
COGS +6-7%
ƒ Full Year COGS expected to increase 5-6%
2006
ƒ Forward rates for aluminium down slightly YOY but significant
increases expected in raw sugar
ƒ No forward market for resin but 2005 YTD has seen reductions in
Asian spot prices since beginning of year
ƒ Currency ($A:$US) – expecting no material impacts
ƒ Full Year COGS forecast to increase 3-5%
September 2005
26
13
2005 Earnings Guidance
Aim to deliver low double digit net profit
growth
Key Factors Driving H2 2005 Performance
ƒ Momentum in Australia and New Zealand needs to
continue
ƒ Higher raw material costs will result in ~7% increase in
COGS in the second half
ƒ South Korean consumer confidence uplift remains the key
ƒ SPC Ardmona integration to gain momentum, delivering
15-20% annualised growth (approx $45 million in EBIT)
September 2005
27
Continuing to drive customer and CCA profitability
through the key drivers…
ƒ Product and package innovation
ƒ Non-carbonated beverage and food expansion
ƒ Growing product availability through cold drink
placements and outlet expansion
ƒ Customer service improvement
ƒ Revenue management and cost discipline
Well positioned to capitalise on the
consumer trend to health, wellbeing and
lifestyle.
September 2005
28
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September 2005
29
The material in this presentation is general background information about
Coca-Cola Amatil
and is current at the date of the presentation. It is information given in summary
form and does not purport to be complete.
This presentation is not intended to be relied upon as advice to investors or
potential investors and does not take into account
the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular investor.
It does not amount to advice or any recommendation in relation to
Coca-Cola Amatil shares.
For further information visit
www.ccamatil.com
or contact
Kristina Devon
Investor Relations Manager
+612 9259 6185 (Ph) +612 9259 6614 (fax) [email protected]
September 2005
30
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