Political Parties and Political Development in Afghanistan S. Yaqub Ibrahimi Introduction In underdeveloped countries the institutionalization and development of political parties are the prerequisite of the development of other political organizations such as the legislature and the executive (Huntington, 1965: 424; Pye, 1966: 72-88). Accordingly, the institutionalization of political organizations in general, and the institutionalization of political parties in particular, is considered as the explanatory variable of the political development. In this context, this research evaluates the level of institutionalization of the post-Taliban Afghanistan’s political parties. The institutionalization of Afghanistan’s political parties is evaluated through examining the degree of their adaptability, complexity, autonomy and coherence. The general purpose of this research is to provide an institutionalist perspective of the post-Taliban Afghanistan’s political development through evaluating the institutionalization of the country’s political parties. My primary finding indicates that parties in Afghanistan have failed to be successfully institutionalized and sufficiently developed during the last decade. Accordingly, the parties broadly remain under the control of religious and ethnic leaders and representatives, continuously following a traditional system of values. The supremacy of such individuallydirected traditional organizations has produced a dominant political pattern in which the leaders or the representatives of the three largest ethnic groups divide the country’s top political positions between each other. One can clearly see the dominance of this tri-ethnic pattern in Afghanistan’s electoral politics and pre-election campaigns. For instance, all of the candidates of the April 2014 presidential election, regardless of their political/ideological backgrounds, clearly followed the pattern. For example, a Pashtun candidate for the presidential position selected his first and second vice presidents a Tajik and Hazara leader respectively, and a Tajik presidential nominee chose his first and second vice presidents a Pashtun and a Hazara. Accordingly, none of the candidates represented an institutionalized political party; therefore, none could provide a comprehensive agenda that can define the country they wish to lead for the next five years. However it is essentially different than what is called consociational democracy in Lebanon and elsewhere in the world. Unlike Lebanon, for instance, the constitution of Afghanistan rejects any kind of power distribution based on identity. Political Development and Primacy of Party Political development as the development of governmental capacity to direct the course and the rate of social and economic change occupies a uniquely central position in the process of social change (Finkle & Gable, 1971: 65). However, the difficulty with the concept of political development is that there are so many legitimate ways of judging and evaluating a political system. Because, the multi functional character of politics and the fact that a political system cannot be thought of as producing a single “product” means that no single scale can be used for measuring the level of political development in a given society (Pye, 1963: 16). Yet, the ultimate test of political development must be met. To identify certain considerations as to what should constitute development in a political sense the political development scholars provide different answers. The answers mainly depend on the type and characteristics of different cases under examination. In other words, in what type of society (modern or traditional, transitional or authoritarian) we are examining political development, determines what theoretical context we use. A main theoretical divide exists between the political development and the modernization scholars. The former conceives political development as a process independent of the process of modernization and define it as the institutionalization of political organizations and procedures. In this context, the institutionalization of political organizations and procedures is broadly evaluated as the main causal factor of the political development (Huntington, 1965: 393; Eisenstadt, 1964: 235-36). By contrast the modernization scholars, conceive political development as the political aspect of modernization. In this context, political development in a given society requires broader socioeconomic development (Binder, 1971: 16). 2 Despite the theoretical disagreement between the modernization and the political development scholars, the former agrees that the characteristics and conditions of a given society determine its priorities. Binder (1971), for instance, believes that to modernize an “extra European” underdeveloped society, political development should precede the other aspects of modernization (Binder, 1971: 16). In this sense, both groups of scholars admit the priority of institutionalization of political organizations in “extra-European,” “underdeveloped” societies. Therefore since my case study is a non-European underdeveloped country, drawing on this conclusion, I conceive political development as the institutionalization of political organizations and procedures - a process independent of other aspects of modernization. The scholars who conceive the political development as the institutionalization of political organizations emphasize that political development in underdeveloped societies is synonymous with the establishment of democratic institutions (Pye, 1966: 40-42, 44). In this context, competitive political parties tend to play a crucial role in formally establishing new democratic system. Accordingly, in early stages of political development, political parties as primary political organizations which are necessary for the development of other political organizations should be institutionalized (Pye, 1966: 72-88). Such parties are the products of political cleavages (Wolinetz, 1988: 1), which could be led by new or traditional agents of power in early stages (Pridham, 1995: 9). However, in a successful political development process, the political parties should undergo fundamental internal reforms to encourage the political elite adaption to a new political environment or to democratic life (Pridham, 1995: 13). Thus, institutionalization of political parties in this stage can be considered as the prerequisite of institutionalization of other political organizations such as the executive, the legislature and consequently the nation-state. The institutionalization of political organizations in underdeveloped and developing societies is a three stage process: In the first stage the “political parties” have to be welded out of traditional and tribal structures, then the parties create government and the governments, eventually, bring into existence the ‘nation-state’ (Huntington, 1965: 418; Pye, 1966: 37-38). Parties are distinctly modern political organizations which in a developing country replace the 3 traditional organizations and become the legitimate source of authority. In developing societies where parties are poorly institutionalized the traditional institutions such as tribal, feudal and ethnic institutions are carried over into the new era, parties play secondary and supplementary role in the political system (Huntington, 1965: 424). In other words, in such societies, parties become the instrument of traditional leaders and powerful individuals. In transitional society where the parties only reflect identity-based and traditional cleavages the political development processes face severe challenges and problems. The supremacy of traditional and identity-based parties over the modern and democratic “political” parties in a developing society indicates the primacy of ethnic, religious and cultural cleavages over the political ones. Such process, instead of producing stable and progressive political institutions in a given society, will result to ethnic divide and identity-based conflicts. Institutionalization of Political Parties in Afghanistan After the fall of the Taliban in 2001, a new constitution was approved in January 2004 which provided for freedom of associations and parties in Afghanistan. Establishment of parties based on ethnicity, language, religious sects, or regional ties is prohibited in the new constitution (Article No: 35); however, most of the parties today entirely rely on ethnic and religious ties and values. Afghanistan today has 57 registered and legally licensed political parties. Nevertheless, these parties fall into two general categories: major parties which in turn can be classified into “ethnic-religious” and “ethnic-linguistic” parties, and minor parties which include a wide range of political organizations not strongly influential in Afghanistan’s political arena. The major parties organizationally represent the four major ethnic groups of Afghanistan; ideologically call themselves Islamist-nationalists and led by ethnic leaders. All major Mujahidin parties1 which 1 The Mujahidin parties in form of paramilitary groups emerged in exile in Pakistan in late 1970s to fight against Afghanistan’s Soviet-backed one-party communist government. These parties first had little backing within Afghanistan, but as soon as the Soviet invaded Afghanistan in December 1979, they managed to influence the local ethnic-based resistant groups and organize them within their party frameworks (see George E. Delury eds., World Encyclopedia of Political Systems and Parties, Volume I, New York and Oxford, 1983, pp. 1, 5). All Mujahidin parties until the fall of the Kabul communist regime in 1992 fought for a single cause (the withdrawal the Soviet army and the replacement of the Kabul communist regime with an Islamic government. But as soon as the goal was achieved, the Mujahidin groups, raising ethnic causes, started a civil war which lasted until the capture of Kabul by the Taliban in 1996. The Taliban, a Pashtun extremist group which controlled over the 90% of the country until the US-led coalition invasion in Afghanistan, in October 2001, isolated the Mujahidin groups in the mountainous region 4 have been playing crucial roles in Afghanistan since the fall of the Taliban in 2001 fall into this category. The minor parties include smaller organizations which are split from the major Mujahidin parties and the former pro-Soviet People’s Democratic Party of Afghanistan (PDPA) which led the country during the 1980s. This category also includes smaller ethnic, regional, secular and a few newly established liberal parties. The major and most of the older minor parties reshaped themselves into the new era, without adapting the modern values, outlooks and organizational principles. Therefore, instead of instilling in society new values and new outlooks in early stages of political development (see Pye, 1966: 83), these poorly institutionalized parties, have been mostly reflecting and expanding the traditional, ethnic, religious and regional demands. However a few new parties with liberal agendas also established during the last decade, their influences in Afghanistan’s political arena have been invisible since the beginning. Overall, party politics and parties’ influence in the Afghan political arena has remained minimal. Afghanistan’s electoral politics and pre-election campaigns are clear indicators of party isolation in the country’s political scene. The study of Afghanistan’s elections show that in all three presidential and two parliamentary elections since 2001, all candidates were nominated as individuals rather than party representatives or members. Leading international analyses conceive the situation as the outcome of Afghanistan’s 2005 electoral law which has discouraged party politics by adapting the ‘single-non-transferable-vote-system’ (Nixon & Ponzio, 2007: 26-40; ICG, Asia Briefing, 2013: 1). The single-non-transferable-vote-system, allows voters to cast a single vote for multi-member constituencies on a ballot that lists candidates and not party affiliation (Nixon & Ponzio, 2007). Some other international analyses think that Afghanistan’s parties have not been able to correspond with the new demands and new political environment; therefore, their influence has remained minimal (RRT 2013: 6). Afghan analysts argue that in addition to the discouraging legal frameworks and political environment the Afghan ‘underdeveloped and traditional political culture’ is also unfavorable for fostering modern political parties (Jafari, 2012). of the North East Afghanistan. The Mujahidin groups returned to power by the US-led coalition’s support, following the fall of the Taliban. 5 These are all remarkable explanatory factors of party politics failure in Afghanistan, but they are all external to political parties. The analyses fail to explain why the parties entirely failed to adopt the external changes and the new conditions, and consequently to cope with the external challenges. In other words, these analyses fail to examine the institutional reasons of the failure of political parties in Afghanistan. Considering the issue, this paper mainly focuses on internal and institutional reasons of the Afghan political parties’ failure in post-2001 period. The findings primarily indicate that the poor institutionalization of political parties in Afghanistan and their institutional and functional reliance on specific individuals and traditional system of values have failed them to cope with the external challenges. Therefore, the level of institutionalization of Afghanistan’s political parties is examined as the explanatory variable of parties’ internal failure, which is measured by four independent variables as the parties’ levels of adaptability, autonomy, complexity and coherence. Adaptability The more adaptable an organization is the more highly institutionalized it is. The adaptability of an organization can be measured by three indicators as organization’s chronological age, its generational age and the organization’s functional terms. Chronologically, older organizations are more adaptable than younger ones; however, the chronological age of an organization is bound by its generational age. In other words the chronological age alone can’t define the level of an organization’s adaptability. If a chronologically aged organization is not flexible for admitting the ideas of new generation or if the new generation functions under the shadow of previews generation its adaptability is in doubt (Huntington, 1965: 394). In this sense, the major political parties of Afghanistan or specifically the Mujahidin parties can be classified as chronologically adaptable; however, their generational adaptability is very poor. These organizations have entirely been leading by the first generation or the “founding fathers” during the last four decades. Accordingly, none of the Mujahidin parties have been flexible in shifting leadership generation overtime, facing succession crises. The assassination of the leader of Jamiat-e-Islami one the oldest and largest Mujahidin parties by the Taliban in 2011 was a clear example of such succession crisis. The party members did not come to an 6 agreement in filling the slain leader’s position who had led the party since the1960s. Consequently, a small group of the party members, without holding the full party congress, appointed the oldest son of former leader as the “temporary” party leader (Rutting, 2013). Such generational inadaptability is applicable to all Mujahidin parties. To some extent, there were some attempts to reshape some of these major parties, making them more adaptable, they all failed because of the parties’ structural rigidity and the leadership’s resistance to maintain the traditional structures. For example the attempt to reshape Jamiat-e-Islami into a new political party, Nohzat-e Melli-ye Afghanistan, or ‘National Movement of Afghanistan’ in 2003 failed without achieving any result (see Rutting, 2006: 17), because the leadership resisted to not change traditional structure of the party. By contrast, the minor parties are mostly too young and therefore chronologically inadaptable. The “Right and Justice Party” for instance, a liberal party established in 2011, is too young and therefore limited in the capital Kabul. The party, being limited among a number of middle class Kabul based elite, have failed to recruit from different social strata outside of the capital. Same chronological inadaptability is applicable to all parties separated from the former PDPA and to all newly established parties. In addition to chronological and generational age, as noted above, organizational adaptability can also be defined by an organization’s functional terms. An organization is created to perform one or a set of function(s). When that function is no longer needed the organization faces a major crisis. Therefore, an adaptable organization produces and reproduces new functional purposes over time. In this sense Afghanistan’s major parties have entirely failed to reproduce new functional purposes in accordance to the external changes and new political and socioeconomic conditions. The Mujahidin parties were basically created to overthrow the proSoviet communist regime and replace it with an Islamic government. These aims by overthrowing the pro-Soviet regime were achieved; therefore the Mujahidin parties since 1992 have faced the crisis of defining alternative functional purposes. Lacking new functional purposes, they are forced to continuously justify their existence by relying on the “holy Jihad” they fought against the Soviets; however, it is no longer interesting for the people. Consequently, the Mujahidin parties are entirely failed to develop a set of responses for dealing 7 effectively with different types of problems rising over time. By contrast, a number of the minor parties, particularly the newly established ones, have relatively been able to introduce some new functional purposes, such as building a democratic regime, promoting gender and new foreign policy goals. These functional purposes can be seen in the platforms of some newly established parties and a few factions of the former PDPA. However, due to their chronological inadaptability, the minor parties’ functional purposes are not fully understandable for the mass of the people, particularly out of the capital Kabul. This indicates that the both categories of Afghanistan’s political parties are not sufficiently adaptable, lacking legitimacy and functional capability the new political and socioeconomic environment requires. Autonomy An autonomous political organization is insulated from the impact of non-political groups such as families, clans, and ethnic, linguistic and religious groups (Huntington, 1965: 401). An institutionalized political organization is not the expressions of the interests of such social groupings. Such an organization develops procedures to minimize the influence of the interests of such groups in the system. Political organizations which are vulnerable to non-political groupings from within society are also usually vulnerable to influences from outside the society, for instance the political or financial influence of a foreign country. In this sense, Afghanistan’s political parties are very vulnerable organizations to the influences from both within and without the society. The major parties internally depend on a system of values consists of ethnic, religious and linguistic values. Specifically, all major parties representing the four major ethnic groups of Afghanistan, Pahtun, Tajik, Hazara and Uzbeks, are organized along specific ethnic and linguistic lines (Rutting, 2006: 1). Further, most of them referring to their struggles against the Soviet army, call themselves the “parties of the holy war.” The major parties’ dependence on external, particularly the regional countries such as Iran, Pakistan, India and Turkey also has affected their degree of autonomy (Arwin, 2013). During the years of the civil war in the 1990s each Mujahidin party received financial and military aid from a specific regional country. These countries have been continuously influencing these parties until today. 8 The minor parties too, are vulnerable to the influences from both within and without the society. Some secular minor parties such as “the Congress party” and the “Afghanistan Social Democratic party/Afghan Millat” like the Mujahidin parties are clearly organized along specific ethnic and linguistic lines. The Congress Party is organized and led by the Persian speaking Tajik seculars whose political cause is ethnic and linguistic equality in Afghanistan, and consequently the establishment of a Federal state for breaking the central domination of the Pashtuns. In contrary fashion the Social Democratic Party, led by the Pashtun urban elites, attempts to justify the Pashtuns’ ethnic majority as a legitimate source of Pashtuns’ political domination in Afghanistan (Bezhan, 2013: 937). On the other hand, most of the newly established minor parties that are not basically influenced by ethnicity or religion are usually vulnerable to influences from outside the society. These parties relatively rely on external or the “international community’s” financial and logistical aid. Since the fall of the Taliban the USAID have been founding an Afghan branch of the “National Democratic Institute (NDI)” to work mainly with the newly established parties, technically and logistically helping them to survive (NDI: Afghanistan homepage). The Institute “to support and strengthen democratic institutions in Afghanistan” have been providing technical and financial support for the parties in need (NDI: Afghanistan homepage). According to the NDI reports, most of the newly established parties have been receiving the support. The minor parties’ dependence on the external aid has made them severely vulnerable. For example, during the last decade dozens of newly established parties disappeared as soon as the aid cut. Complexity The complexity of an organization is measured by two indicators: multiplication of organization’s subunits and differentiation of different types of subunits (Huntington, 1965: 399). In other words, if an organization is hierarchically and functionally more complex its level of vulnerability and dependence on individuals and leaders are lower. By contrast simple and primitive traditional political systems and organizations are more dependent on one or a few individual(s) for a long period of time (Neumann, 1956: 403). Consequently, more complex 9 organizations are more able to be adjusted in the new environment and transform over time than simple organizations. The major parties of Afghanistan, having simple and traditional structures and bureaucracies, are entirely dependent on individuals, particularly the founders. Functionally and hierarchically these parties follow a simple bureaucracy in which all decisions are directly taken by leaders. More specifically, since the establishment of the Mujahidin parties, the leaders have been taking the decisions concerned with the broad strategies of the parties, the parties’ policies, appointing of the executive members, and selection of candidates for key electoral positions personally. For instance the leaders personally decide whether the party should join the government or remain in opposition. Accordingly the ‘party personalization of leadership’ (Blondel et al. 2010: 69) in Afghanistan has negatively affected the complexity of the major parties in both hierarchical and functional senses. For example, the internal mechanisms of Junbesh-e-Meli Islami, another major party representing the Uzbek and Turkmen ethnic groups of the North, are entirely dominated by its leader General Dostum who has been leading the party since its establishment in the 1990s (Rutting, 2006: 26). Several unsuccessful attempts at internal democratization of Jonbesh-e-Meli Islami led to the alienation of many of its secondranking leaders who wanted structural change (Rutting, 2006: 26). Lack of complexity is not bound to only the major parties; most of the minor parties also follow the same principle of the ‘personalization of leadership’ in which a political party is almost equal to its leader. Only a few newly established minor parties such as the Rights and Justice Party (RJP) have been able to develop a relatively complex hierarchical and functional system. According to the RJP’s platform, the organization consists of a general assembly and a number of executive committees and sub-committees, conducting different tasks (RJP Platform, 2:4). However, the party is basically limited in Kabul; therefore, failed to multiply its executive units in other provinces. Other minor parties like RJP who were relatively successful in establishing complex organizational systems in Kabul, entirely failed to expand the party units to other provinces. According to the new regulations, parties have to establish offices in a minimum of twenty provinces (Afghanistan Official Gazette: 1075), but none of the parties have appeared to achieve the required number of offices. The Republican Party of Afghanistan, for instance, is 10 another newly established minor party that had some chance of opening a few offices in the provinces. But even party’s officials have repeatedly complained that they have difficulty with meeting the requirements (ICG, 2013: 10). Coherence The more unified and coherent an organization is the more institutionalized it is. An adaptable, complex and autonomous organization for being highly institutionalized requires substantial consensus on the functional boundaries and on the procedures for resolving disputes within those boundaries (Huntington, 1965: 403). In other words the actors in diverse subunits of a complex organization must agree in following the central organizational principles and its unified goals. The Ottoman Empire’s ruling institution, for instance, retained its validity and coherence as long as followed a unified and single principle of admission: as long as admission was restricted and recruits were put through an elaborate education, with selection and specialization at every age. The institution perished when everybody pressed in to share its privileges. Consequently number of employees increased, discipline and efficiency declined (Toynbee, 1947: 174-77). In this sense, the fractionalization and disintegration of both major and minor parties in Afghanistan indicates that different units and subunits of parties don’t intend to follow the central principle and unified goal of the organization. As soon as the subunits of the parties were able to function independently, they split from the organization, establishing new independent parties. For example, Hezb-e-Islami or the Islamic Party, one of the largest Mujahidin parties in Afghanistan, disintegrated as soon as some subunits disagreed with the party’s central strategy. Specifically, the units that disagreed with the use of force as a means of political struggle broke with the traditional leader and consequently established new political organizations (Rutting, 2006: 24-5). Also the leftist People’s Democratic Party of Afghanistan (PDPA) due to disagreements among its second generation leaders in different areas of worldview, decision makings and political goals disintegrated into several smaller parties. Today there are at least 15 registered parties led by former PDPA officials (Rutting, 2006: 29). In other cases, because of the generational inadaptability of the major parties, the new generations instead of breaking the party into separate new organizations, preferred 11 layering independent newer subunits within the old organizations. For example, examining some major parties such as Jamiat-e-Islami, indicates that the party is consists of several subunits which structurally and traditionally call themselves a portion of the party; however, each subunit follows different functional principals and even different goals (Rutting, 2006: 1620). Finally, there are only a few newly established minor parties whose all units and subunits follow a unified and coherent functional and procedural principle. In case of the Rights and Justice Party, for instance, all units and subunits of the party follow the central principle and a unified goal which is to democratize the country (AJP, 2:4). However, the relative coherence of such newly established parties can’t be a strong indicator of their high level of institutionalization. Their chronological inadaptability, weak autonomy and poor complexity, as discussed, negatively affect their level of institutionalization. Conclusion Examining Afghanistan’s political parties indicates that both major and minor parties, in early stages of political development have failed to be institutionalized. In other words, the political parties have mainly failed to undergo fundamental internal reforms to encourage the political elite adaption to a new political environment or to democratic life. The major parties, regardless of their chronological adaptability, have entirely failed to develop functionally and generationally adaptable systems. Further, their organizational complexity, autonomy and coherence are negatively affected by the domination of individually directed politics and by the parties’ reliance on traditional system of values. On the other hand the newly established minor parties, functionally adaptable and relatively complex, are chronologically inadaptable and vulnerable to influences from within and without the society. Further, the minor parties have not been very successful in expanding their organizational influences out of the capital Kabul and finally most of them lack a unified functional principle. Consequently, both major and minor parties are very poorly institutionalized. Since, the institutionalization of political parties in early stages of political development is considered as the prerequisite of institutionalization of other political organizations and accordingly the prerequisite of political development, the poorly institutionalized political parties of Afghanistan can be considered as an explanatory 12 variable of the country’s poor political development. On the other hand, since the institutionalization of other political organizations such as the legislature and the executive requires a highly institutionalized party system, the domination of ethnic politics in both the parliament and the government can be considered as the outcome of the failed party politics in Afghanistan. S. Yaqub Ibrahimi is a Ph.D. candidate at Political Science Department of Carleton University in Canada. 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