Acta Oecologica 44 (2012) 46e57 Contents lists available at SciVerse ScienceDirect Acta Oecologica journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/actoec Original article Variation of ecosystem services and human activities: A case study in the Yanhe Watershed of China Chang-hong Su a, Bo-Jie Fu a, *, Chan-Sheng He b, Yi-He Lü a a b State Key Laboratory of Urban and Regional Ecology, Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, P. O. Box 2871, Beijing 100085, PR China Department of Geography, Western Michigan University, Kalamazoo, MI 49008-5053, USA a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t Article history: Received 29 December 2010 Accepted 25 November 2011 Available online 22 February 2012 The concept of ‘ecosystem service’ provides cohesive views on mechanisms by which nature contributes to human well-being. Fast social and economic development calls for research on interactions between human and natural systems. We took the Yanhe Watershed as our study area, and valued the variation of ecosystem services and human activities of 2000 and 2008. Five ecosystem services were selected i.e. net primary production (NPP), carbon sequestration and oxygen production (CSOP), water conservation, soil conservation, and grain production. Human activity was represented by a composite human activity index (HAI) that integrates human population density, farmland ratio, influence of residential sites and road network. Analysis results of the five ecosystem services and human activity (HAI) are as follows: (i) NPP, CSOP, water conservation, and soil conservation increased from 2000 to 2008, while grain production declined. HAI decreased from 2000 to 2008. Spatially, NPP, CSOP, and water conservation in 2000 and 2008 roughly demonstrated a pattern of decline from south to north, while grain production shows an endocentric increasing spatial pattern. Soil conservation showed a spatial pattern of high in the south and low in the north in 2000 and a different pattern of high in the west and low in the east in 2008 respectively. HAI is proportional to the administrative level and economic development. Variation of NPP/CSOP between 2000 and 2008 show an increasing spatial pattern from northwest to southeast. In contrast, the variation of soil conservation shows an increasing pattern from southeast to northwest. Variation of water conservation shows a fanning out decreasing pattern. Variation of grain production doesn’t show conspicuous spatial pattern. (ii) Variation of water conservation and of soil conservation is significantly positively correlated at 0.01 level. Both variations of water conservation and soil conservation are negatively correlated with variation of HAI at 0.01 level. Variations of NPP/CSOP are negatively correlated with variations of soil conservation and grain production at 0.05 level. (iii) Strong tradeoffs exist between regulation services and provision service, while synergies exist within regulation services. Driving effect of human activities on ecosystem services and tradeoffs and synergies among ecosystem service are also discussed. Ó 2011 Elsevier Masson SAS. All rights reserved. Keywords: Ecosystem services Human activity index Yanhe watershed Correlation Tradeoff Synergy 1. Introduction Human activities bring about profound influence on ecosystem and impair its ability in providing ecosystem services (Kochtcheeva and Singh, 2000). Human interferences with the Earth’s system are so profound that the recent era has been dubbed as “anthropocene” (Rockström et al., 2009). In a regional scale, human activity affected ecosystem services by altering land use pattern, biogeochemical and hydrological cycles (Foley et al., 2005; Lambin et al., 2003, 2001; MA, 2005a; Turner II. et al., 2003; Vitousek et al., 1997). Fast social and * Corresponding author. Tel./fax: þ86 10 62923557. E-mail address: [email protected] (B.-J. Fu). 1146-609X/$ e see front matter Ó 2011 Elsevier Masson SAS. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.actao.2011.11.006 economic development, characterized by industrialization, urbanization, population growth, and expansion of human activity exacerbates the conflicts between high requirements for natural resources and the limited and irreversible land reserves, which, in turn, hinders the social and economic development in the long run. Disentangling the interrelations between ecosystem services and human activity is essential in probing the underlying driving mechanisms of ecological degradation, providing the scientific bases for ecological decision making, and lowering the uncertainties of ecological policies. Human activity and ecosystem services research take the lead in coupling human and nature research. Spatial and temporal variation of ecosystem services and human activity is important in that: (1) a static ‘snapshot’ can not fully depict an actually complex, dynamic, and non-linear interrelated C.-h. Su et al. / Acta Oecologica 44 (2012) 46e57 systems of ecology and human society (Costanza et al., 1997); (2) spatial analysis is fundamental to ecosystem service valuation as the production of biophysical functions and the social determinants of services depend upon the landscape context (Boyd and Wainger, 2002; Bockstael, 1996). Unfortunately, the bulk of current ecosystem service valuation methods mainly were centered on proxy categorical information and coarse assessments through the use of aggregated coefficients chiefly based on land use types, which ignore the complex, multi-scale dynamics of ecosystem service, and are insufficient to conduct scenario analyses or inform land use planning decisions. Ecological process based valuation method backed up by models integration is conducive to disclosing the underlying mechanism of ecosystem services variation, which is one of the purposes we want to test in this article. Albeit important, ecosystem services research are confronted by various difficulties. Firstly, ecosystem service is an overarching term embodied by its broad definition ‘conditions and processes that sustain and fulfill human life (Daily, 1997)’. Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MA, 2005b) divided the ecosystem services into provisioning, regulating, supporting, and cultural services, which were critiqued as merely a ‘heuristic’ rather than a practical tool (Fisher et al., 2008). Careless selection of ecosystem services without distinguishing the medium ecological process and endpoint services give rise of risk of double counting (Fu et al., 2011). Complex interactions existed between ecosystem services due to there common drivers or intrinsic links of ecosystem services per se (Bennett et al., 2009). To some extent, policy making is a process of balancing the tradeoff between different ecosystem services (Foley et al., 2005; Pereira et al., 2005; Rodríguez et al., 2005; van Jaarsveld et al., 2005). Secondly, the voluminous ecosystem services call for an array of assessing methods. These methods include material flow analysis (Bouman et al., 2000; Finnveden and Moberg, 2005), emergy analysis (Voora and Thrift, 2010), and economic valuation (Costanza et al., 1997), within which the economic valuation arouse the most attentions, which can be broadly categorized into stated preference methods (e.g., contingent valuation methods) and revealed preference methods (e.g., travel cost methods). Due to its inherent weakness of economically theoretic uncertainties and human bias, the economic valuation is gradually dwarfed by the process based valuation methods which can better reflect the underlying mechanism of ecosystem services and effectively reduce the uncertainties. Notwithstanding the latter was also faced by challenges of model improvement and parametrical calibration. Compared with ecosystem service, human activity research has lagged far behind. Lack of intact natural ecosystem impedes obtaining the absolute magnitude of human impact. The dominating uni-indicator valuation methods which take individual factor, e.g., population (Wang et al., 2001; Zheng et al., 1993), agriculture (Elhatip et al., 2003), and coal mining (Lee and Bukaveckas, 2002) to indicate the human impact can not sufficiently reflect the panorama of human activity as it simplified the de facto overarching human activity with de facto single index. The United Nations Development Program (UNDP, 1990) provided an ambitious framework of human development index (HDI) by amalgamating life expectancy, education, and per-capita gross domestic product (GDP). Since then, researches have made various attempts in assessing human activities based on the HDI framework proposed by UNDP (Wen, 1998; Li et al., 2004; Zhang and Wang, 2004). The major challenge of integrated human activity valuation lies in selecting, formulating, and quantifying multiple indicators. Low availability of data and low compatibility of different data from various sources further worsen the already tough situation. Exploring the interrelations between human activity and ecosystem service requires expertise and techniques of both socio- 47 economic and physical sciences. The major challenge lies in scale match between ecology and society (Cumming et al., 2006; Hong et al., 2009; Turner, 2000), low compatibility between the biophysical and social economic data sources; and the intrinsic complexities of the human nature coupling system, e.g., threshold, nonlinearity, resilience, adaptability etc. (Kochtcheeva and Singh, 2000). Four questions embrace the whole process of ecosystem services and human activity valuation: (1) What are the status quos of ecosystem services and human activity? (Liu et al., 2007); (2) What are the appropriate forecasts of ecosystem services and human activities over the medium and long term periods? (Cohen, 2004; Euliss Jr et al., 2010; Butler and Oluoch-Kosura, 2006); (3) What are the significance and implications of the current land use policies? (Daily et al., 2009; Nelson et al., 2006) and (4) How do we handle the uncertainties of the ecological conservation policy? (Bradshaw and Borchers, 2000). The key to these questions lies in the effective valuation methods and high accurate time-series data. Backed up by spatial analysis software, e.g, ArcGis, and ecological research network establishment, the technique of spatiotemporal variation of ecosystem services and human impact were greatly improved, which plays significant roles in enacting ecological conservation policy with full consideration of spatial heterogeneity. Being highly regarded as the cradle of Chinese civilization, the Loess Plateau is also famous its notorious soil erosion. Thick mantle of loess, dry climate, and complex topography cause extremes of droughts, floods and soil erosion in this region (Fu, 1989). Inappropriate land use and degraded vegetation are two of the major causes of ecological degradation in the Loess Plateau (Fu, 1989; Fu and Gulinck, 1994; Jiang, 1997). Fast population growth, longterm clearance of natural forests, rapid expansion of built-up areas and cultivated lands, fast development of oil exploration further degraded local ecological conditions (Peng and Yu, 1995; Shi and Shao, 2000). As a typical gully and ridge region in the Loess Plateau, the Yanhe Watershed was also seriously plagued by soil erosion. About 4540 t/km2 of soil was lost from the Yanhe Watershed each year, causing enormous sedimentation and increasing flood risks in the downstream area of the Yellow River (Stolte et al., 2003). Under such background, our research takes the Yanhe Watershed as the study area to: (1) explore the variation of ecosystem services and human activities of 2000e2008; (2) probe the correlations between human activities and ecosystem services; and (3) analyze the interrelations within the major ecosystem services. 2. Methods 2.1. Study area Located in the central Loess Plateau (Fig. 1), the Yanhe Watershed (36 210 e37190 N,108 380 e110 290 E) covers an area of 7725 km2. Characterized by a typical warm, temperate continental monsoonal climate, the Yanhe Watershed has a multi-year mean temperature ranging from 8.8 to 10.2 C. Within the mean annual precipitation of 495 mm, over 65% falls from June to September. Such concentrated rainfall pattern is apt of forming stormlit with strong energy of runoff. The Yanhe watershed is covered by thick mantle of loess, an erosion-prone fine silt soil. The multi-year mean annual runoff in the watershed is 2.89 108 m3, with runoff and sediment transportation of 36,425 m3/km2$a and 7.80 104 t/km2$a respectively. The study area has a very rugged topography: over 90% of the territory is composed by gullied and ridges. There are 35 townships in four counties within the study area (Fig. 1). Land uses in this area consist of slope farmland, terrace farmland, orchard, shrubbery land, woodland, traffic land, residential land and sparse grassland. During the period from 48 C.-h. Su et al. / Acta Oecologica 44 (2012) 46e57 Fig. 1. Location of study area. 2000 to 2008, there were 8477 ha and 165,800 ha of farmland converted to forest and grassland respectively (Su et al., 2011). For long history, farming is the pivotal means of livelihood partially reflected by the high ratio of agricultural population (over 82% in 2008). With the implementation of industrial readjustment and agricultural diversification, large numbers of farmers immigrated to urban areas which impose high pressures on city infrastructure facilities. 2.2. Indicators selection Selecting the right indicators for ecosystem services is a vexed problem given the diverse land use types of the study area. MA (2005b) broadly divides ecosystems services into provisioning, regulating, supporting, and cultural services. This classification system is more a heuristic tool than a practical one (Fisher et al., 2008). As the system analysis argued that largely unexplored correlations between indicators could reduce the marginal information of new indicator (Ronchi et al., 2002), more indicators may give rise to confusing messages. The selection of ecosystem services should best reflect the local ecological constraints. The major ecological problems of the Yanhe Watershed are vegetation degradation, water loss, and soil erosion. Under the adoption of Grain for Green (GfG) project, large areas of farmland were converted to non-farm area, which strongly affected the grain production. In such context, we selected net primary production (NPP), carbon sequestration and oxygen production (CSOP), water conservation, soil conservation, and grain production as indices for ecosystem services. As a dominating driving force for social and economic development, population is a must for valuation of human activity index (HAI). In the Yanhe Watershed the increasing population leads to expanding demand for farm produce and natural resources. Rapid economic development drives urban sprawl rapidly. Under such context, human population, farmland ratio, influence of residential settlement, and influence of road networks are necessary factors composing the human activity index. The reason we integrate the four indicators into a comprehensive human activity index rather than taking each component independently lies in: 1) uni-indicator valuation method are fraught of bias and uncertainty which can not reflect the panorama of human activity impact; 2) the peculiar traits of some indicator make it difficult to analyze its relations with spatial explicit ecosystem services, e.g., the line data of road network and point data of residential site. 2.3. Quantification of ecosystem services 2.3.1. NPP NPP was calculated by the process-based Carnegie-Ames-Stanford Approach (CASA) model based on the principle that plant productivity is correlated with the amount of photosynthetically active radiation absorbed or intercepted by green foliage (Monteith and Moss, 1977; Potter et al., 1993). There are three equations that depict the general mechanism of CASA model: C.-h. Su et al. / Acta Oecologica 44 (2012) 46e57 49 X NPP ¼ ½APARðtÞ εðtÞ (1) Soil conservation can be calculated by subtracting equation (5) from equation (6). APARðx; tÞ ¼ PARðx; tÞ FPARðx; tÞ (2) Ac ¼ Ap Ar ¼ R K L S ð1 C PÞ ε ¼ ε* T1 T2 W (3) Where: PAR is the total incident photosynthetically active radiation (0.4e0.7 mm)(MJ/m2). FPAR is the fraction of PAR absorbed by vegetation canopy, which is decided by vegetation type and coverage; APAR is canopy-absorbed incident solar radiation integrated over a time periods; ε and ε*refer to actual light use efficiency (g/mJ) and maximum light use efficiency respectively, T1 and T2 refer to temperature stress coefficients based on monthly mean temperature;W refers to water stress coefficient calculated from evapotransporation (ET) by the models of ETWatch (Wu et al., 2008) 2.3.2. CSOP According to the photosynthesis equation: 6CO2 þ 6H2 O/6O2 þC6 H12 O6 , the ratio of organic matter produced by photosynthesis, carbon sequestered by photosynthesis, and oxygen released by photosynthesis is 1:1.47:1.07. The volume of CSOP can be calculated from NPP production based on this ratio. 2.3.3. Water conservation Vegetation conserves water through the process of rainfall interception, evapotranspiration, sorption and storage (Li et al., 2006; Ren et al., 2003). Generally, water conservation by vegetation can be calculated by summation of canopy retention, litter absorption, and soil storage. (7) Where: Ac is the amount of soil conserved; Ap is the potential soil erosion; Ar is the actual soil erosion. The rainfall erosivity factor (R) was calculated with Wischmeier empirical methods (Wischmeier and Smith, 1978): S and L can be calculated by the following methods (Zhou and Liu, 2006): S ¼ L ¼ 0:6 sinq 0:0896 l (8a) m 22:13 (8b) Where q is percentage grade, l is the horizontal length of the slope; both q and l were extracted from the DEM of the Yanhe watershed. m is the coefficient for slope degree whose value was taken from Wischmeier et al. (1971). At large spatial scale, support practices, e.g. terracing or contour tillage can not be identified. We calculated the support practice P with the empirical methods of Wiener equation P ¼ 0:2 þ 0:3 q (Lufafa et al., 2003), where q is percentage grade. The cover-management factor C is relevant to vegetation type, pattern of rainfall, coarseness of land surface, rotation method, and soil water content. Soil erodibility K is determined by soil type. The value of C and K were refereed from research results of Fu et al. (2005). Qt ¼ Qc þ Ql þ Qs (4a) Q c ¼ ε Py A (4b) Ql ¼ L A (4c) 2.3.5. Grain production Grain production was calculated by dividing grain yield of each township by its territory to illustrate per-unit provision service, and then was input to the attribute table of vectorized township image for spatialiazation. Qs ¼ P A (4d) 2.4. Quantification of human activities by HAI index Where: Qt refers to the total amount of water conserved; Qc refers to water intercepted by vegetation canopy; Ql refers to water absorption by litter; Qs refers to water stored by soil under vegetation; ε refers to interception ratio of the canopy; Py stands for annual precipitation; A refers to the area of each vegetation type; L refers to water retention ratio by litter per unit area of vegetation; P refers to the maximum storage capacity of soil under vegetation. The values of ε, L, and P were taken from the researches of same locality (Jiao et al., 2002). 2.3.4. Soil conservation RUSLE (Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation), an empirical model upgraded from the original USLE (Universal Soil Loss Equation), was used in estimating soil conservation (Renard et al., 1997). A ¼ RK LSCP (5) where: A refers to estimated average soil loss; R refers to rainfallrunoff erosivity factor; K refers to soil erodibility of soil; L refers to slope length factor; S refers to slope steepness factor; C refers to cover-management factor; P refers to support practice factor; If there are no vegetation coverage and practice factors, i.e. C and P are assigned the value of 1, then the calculated soil erosion will be the potential soil erosion (Ap): Ap ¼ R K L S (6) The HAI index was calculated by integrating the factors of human population, farmland ratio, road influence, and residential influence. We calculated the weights of these four factors through Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) (Saaty, 1990) and empirical methods as: human population 0.3, farmland 0.3, road influence 0.2, and residential influence 0.2. The equation for HAI was as follows: HAI ¼ P 0:3 þ C 0:3 þ R 0:2 þ S 0:2 (9) Where, P, C, R, and S stand for the standardized human population, farmland ratio, road network influence, and residential influence respectively. Within these four components, residential site and road network are difficult to quantify. By reference to the State Basic Geographical Data Coding System (Hu et al., 2007), we assigned the values of influences to residential site and road network (Table 1 and Table 2). 2.5. Spatialization and correlation analysis of ecosystem services and HAI The values of NPP, CSOP, soil conservation, water conservation, and HAI were calculated by ArcGIS. Township boundary was firstly vectorized by the application of ArcMap. Statistic and meteorological data were first added to the attribute table of vectorized township map and then further converted into raster format. 50 C.-h. Su et al. / Acta Oecologica 44 (2012) 46e57 3. Results Table 1 Influence of residential Land (after Hu et al., 2007). Residential level Baotab Ansai Yanchang Zhidanc a b c Cityb Town Township Village County Town Township Village County Town Township Village e Town Township Village 2000 2008 24917a 14950 9965 4982 19845 10961 9923 4961 19657 14342 9828 4914 e 12975 9983 4991 25000a 15000 10000 5000 20000 15000 10000 5000 20000 15000 10000 5000 e 15000 10000 5000 The value is dimensionless. Baota district is the only seat for Yanan City. County seat of Zhidan is out of Yanhe Watershed. Categorized influence of residential site and road network were assigned to the attribute table of township, then spatialized by method of IDW (inverse distance weight) and PD (Path distance) respectively. Finally, values of ecosystem services and HAI were allotted to townships by the ArcGIS module of zonal statistics. We calculated the variation of ecosystem services and HAI (difference between 2000 and 2008), and tested the correlations between variations of each individual ecosystem service and HAI using SPSS11.5. 2.6. Data sources MODIS images of 1-km resolution (for NPP and CSOP) were downloaded from internet (http://ladsweb.nascom.nasa.gov/data/ search.html). Data of Land uses (for water conservation and soil conservation) were extracted from the interpretation of Landsat TM image (2000) and Cibers image (2008). Slope angle/length (for soil conservation) was obtained from 1:50,000 digital elevation map (DEM) of the Yanhe watershed. Data of soil types (for soil conservation) were obtained from the 1:50,000 soil map. Precipitation (for soil conservation and water conservation) and temperature (for NPP and CSOP) were obtained from the Meteorological Bureau of Yan’an City. Grain production was extracted from statistical materials (ASB, 2000, 2008; BSB, 2000, 2008; YSB, 2000, 2008; ZSB, 2000, 2008). HAI is composed of population density, farmland ratio, residential influence, and road influence. Township administrative maps and residential sites were obtained from local civil affairs departments (ACAB, 2003; BCAB, 2001; YCAB, 2004; ZCAB, 2004). Data of population density were obtained from statistic materials (ASB, 2000, 2008; BSB, 2000, 2008; YSB, 2000, 2008; ZSB, 2000, 2008). Road network maps were extracted from atlases of Shaanx Province (Ouyang et al., 2008; Qian et al., 2000). Table 2 Influence of road network (after Hu et al., 2007). Road rank Influence High- grade expressway National trunk highway Rail way Provincial trunk highway County and township road Cart road Earth road 12000a 10000 10000 8000 5000 3000 2000 a The value is dimensionless. 3.1. Spatiotemporal patterns of ecosystem service and HAI 3.1.1. NPP and CSOP In 2000, NPP/CSOP demonstrated a gradient increasing tendency from northwest and southeast to the southwest in 2000, with the highest NPP/CSOP of 9.18t/ha/23.32 t/ha in Liulin and lowest of 3.21 t/ha/8.16t/ha in Liandaowan respectively (Fig. 2). 2008 saw a big increase of NPP/CSOP across the whole area (Figs. 2 and 3). The spatial pattern of NPP/CSOP in 2008 showed a trivial alteration from those of 2000, i.e. townships with high NPP/CSOP shifted more eastward. NPP/CSOP of 2008 assumed a tendency of high NPP/CSOP in the south and low in the northwest (Fig. 2) with the highest NPP/CSOP of 15.58t/ha/39.58t/ha in Liulin and the lowest of 6.58 t/ha/16.45 t/ha in Liandaowan respectively. The increment of NPP/CSOP from 2000 to 2008 assumed a conspicuous spatial pattern of gradient increasing from the northwest to the southeastern (Fig. 2), with the highest increment of 8.80 t/ha/ 22.35 t/ha in An’gou and the lowest of 3.26 t/ha/8.29 t/ha in Liandaowan. 3.1.2. Water conservation Water conservation in 2000 assumes a rough increasing tendency from the northwest to southern fringe (Fig. 2) with the highest of 720.58 t/ha in Zhengzhuang and lowest of 247.67 t/ha in Zhengwudong. In 2008, water conservation was greatly increased from that in 2000 (Figs. 2 and 3), with the highest value of 952.28 t/ha in Chuankou and lowest of 502.44 t/ha in Zhangqu. The spatial pattern of water conservation in 2008 is relatively obscure with some highwater-conservation townships located more northward (Fig. 2). The increment of water conservation demonstrates a decreasing fanning out spatial pattern from the northeast to the surrounding area with the highest increment of 391.50 t/ha in Fengzhuang and lowest of 62.58 t/ha in An’gou (Fig. 2). 3.1.3. Soil conservation Compared with water conservation, soil conservations in both 2000 and 2008 show somewhat obscure spatial pattern. In 2000, soil conservation is roughly high in the south and low in the north (Fig. 2) with the highest of 84.89 t/ha in Qiaogou and the lowest of 47.66 t/ha in Yuanlongsi. In 2008, soil conservation was greatly increased, especially in the northwestern part (Figs. 2 and 3). The spatial pattern in 2008 is quite different from that of 2000, roughly demonstrated a decreasing tendency from west to east (Fig. 2) with highest of 120.34 t/ha in Qiaogou and lowest of 65.21 t/ha in Guoqi. The increment of soil conservation shows a strong gradient increasing pattern from the southeastern to the northwestern with highest increment of 47.59 t/ha in Pingqiao and lowest of 8.22 t/ha in Angou. 3.1.4. Grain production Grain production in 2000 demonstrated an endocentric increasing tendency (Fig. 2), with highest grain production in Liqu (62.74 kg/ha) and lowest in Zhangjiatan (14.42 kg/ha). The pattern dimmed a little in 2008 which roughly shows a decreasing gradient in the order of middle, northwest, and southeast, with the highest in Liqu (52.08 kg/ha) and the lowest in Heijiapu (3.44 kg/ha). Temporally, the bulk part of the townships (26 out of 35) in the Yanhe watershed experienced decreasing tendency in grain production (Figs. 2 and 3) with Gan’guyi decreased the most (24.45 kg/ha). There are 9 townships showing a slight increase of grain production with a small margin of 0.17e8.43 kg/ha. Overall, grain production decreased by 17.25% from 27.59 kg/ha in 2000 to 22.83 kg/ha in 2008. C.-h. Su et al. / Acta Oecologica 44 (2012) 46e57 51 Fig. 2. Spatial variation of ecosystem services. Grain production was calculated through dividing the grain yield by the territory area of the township. The variation of ecosystem services was obtained through subtraction of ecosystem service images of 2008 by those of 2000. NPP, net primary production; CSOP, carbon sequestration and oxygen production. 52 C.-h. Su et al. / Acta Oecologica 44 (2012) 46e57 Fig. 3. Temporal variation of ecosystem service and HAI for the year of 2000e2008. Grain production was obtained through dividing the grain yield by the territory area of the township. NPP, net primary production; CSOP, carbon sequestration and oxygen production. 3.1.5. HAI HAI values of 2000 demonstrate a gradient decreasing pattern from the urban area, through the surrounding area, to the remote area, proportional to the joint effect of administrative level and economic development (Fig. 4), with the HAI of 0.59 in an urban area of Qiaogou and lowest of 0.177 in the remotest northwestern township of Zhangqu. In 2008, except Qiaogou, almost all the township underwent a sharp decrease in HAI (Figs. 3 and 4). The highest HAI in 2008 was 0.52 in Qiaogou and lowest of 0.065 in Wangyao. The decrease assumed a distinct spatial pattern of fanning out from the northeast (Fig. 4). between variation of grain production and those of NPP/CSOP (at 0.05 level) and between the variation of soil conservation and those of NPP/CSOP (at 0.05 level). We don’t count in correlation between NPP and CSOP because CSOP was derived from NPP. ‘Spider diagram’ is a simple yet powerful approach in portraying the tradeoffs and synergies between ecosystem services (DeFries et al., 2004). We divided each individual ecosystem service of 2008 by that of 2000 to show their variations from 2000 to 2008. A ‘spider diagram’ was drawn based on the quotients which show a tradeoff between regulation and supporting services vs. provisioning service and various synergies within certain regulation services (Fig. 5). 3.2. Correlations and tradeoff analysis 4. Discussion By application of SPSS 11.5, we analyzed the correlations between variations of each individual ecosystem services and that of HAI by township (Table 3). As to the interrelation between ecosystem services and HAI, there are significant negative correlation between variation of water conservation and that of HAI (at 0.01 level) and between variation of soil conservation and that of HAI (at 0.01 level). Within ecosystem services, there is significant positive correlation between variation of soil conservation and that of water conservation at 0.01 level. There are negative correlations 4.1. Driving forces of ecosystem service changes Ecosystem service change is caused by combinations of drivers that work over time, over level of organization, and that happen intermittently (such as droughts, wars, and economic crises) (MA, 2005a). Driving forces are natural or human factors that directly or indirectly cause a change in an ecosystem (MA, 2005a). The major direct driving forces include climate change, plant nutrient use, land conversion, invasive species, and diseases, whereas the major C.-h. Su et al. / Acta Oecologica 44 (2012) 46e57 53 Fig. 4. Spatial variation of HAI. HAI is dimensionless. indirect driving forces include population, income, technological development, and changes in human behavior. The direct drivers influence ecosystem processes unequivocally, while the indirect drivers operate more diffusely, often by altering the direct drivers (MA, 2005a). Generally, the indirect driving forces are induced by humans and can be considered as anthropogenic drivers, whereas the direct forces are more centered on physical factors. Driving forces of ecosystem services are not independent; rather they interact across spatial, temporal, and organization scales, though, sometimes, these interactions are seemingly farfetched. For example, changes in export prices of cash crops in South Africa can Table 3 Correlations of ecosystem services and HAI. NPP CSOP SOIL WATER GRAIN HAI trigger land use change on the local level; removal of national credits and subsidies can make some farmers more vulnerable to environmental changes while others profit from easier access to markets are less vulnerable to climate change (Leichenko and O’Brien, 2002). NPP GP NPP CSOP SOIL WATER GRAIN HAI 1 1** 0.600** 0.004 0.423* 0.070 1** 1 0.600** 0.004 0.423* 0.070 0.600* 0.600* 1 0.561** 0.106 0.489** 0.004 0.004 0.561** 1 0.212 0.957** 0.423* 0.423* 0.106 0.212 1 0.185 0.070 0.070 0.489** 0.957** 0.185 1 NPP: Net primary production; CSOP: Carbon sequestration and oxygen production; SOIL: Soil conservation; WATER: Water conservation; GRAIN: Grain production; HAI: Human activity index. **Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed). *Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed). CSOP 2000 2008 SC WC Fig. 5. Diagram illustrating the trade and synergy between ecosystem services. Individual ecosystem service of 2008 was divided by that of 2000 to show their temporal variation. 54 C.-h. Su et al. / Acta Oecologica 44 (2012) 46e57 The anthropogenic drivers of ecosystem services can be both positive and negative. Historically, due to low awareness ecological conservation, undue human activities caused forest devastation, soil erosion, water loss, biodiversity loss, habitat fragmentation (Kochtcheeva and Singh, 2000; Lotze et al., 2005; Rechkemmer and von Falkenhayn, 2009; WRI, 1998). Thanks to the arousal of ecological awareness, the Chinese central government enacted series of ecological conservation policy with ‘Grain for Green Project (GfG)’ in 1999 as the most massive one. As one of the first and certainly the most ambitious “payment for ecosystem services” project in China, GfG project planned spending 40 billion dollars to convert 147 million hectares of croplands and 173 million hectares of barren mountains and wastelands into forestlands and grasslands in 25 provinces from 1999 to 2010 (Zhao et al., 2010). Under the GfG projects farmers were subsided by 100 kg of grain (140 RMB U since 2004) and 20 RMB U for every mu (1/15 ha) of re-vegetated cropland (for a period of 8 years for ecological forest, 5 years for cash forest, and 2 years for grass). In addition, farmers were also paid 50 RMB U once to cover the expenses on purchasing seedling and afforestation per mu (State Council of PRC, 2002). The GfG project rigidly stipulated that farmland exceeding 25 degrees of slope should be completely converted to forest or grassland and farmland between 15 and 25 degree of slope is also suggested to be converted to forest or grass if deemed ecologically significant. Over a decade passed since the inception of the GfG project, the Yanhe watershed underwent a tremendous change in land use pattern characterized by shrinking farmland and recovering vegetation (mainly grasses, shrubs, and trees) (Cao et al., 2009; Uchida et al., 2005; Xu et al., 2006). The analysis of satellite images of the Yanhe watershed shows that farmland decreased from 292,900 hm2 in 2000 to 118,500 hm2 in 2008, while the vegetation area (forest and grass) increased from 389,000 hm2 to 563,200 hm2 (Su et al., 2011). Various researches showed that replacing farmland or pasture to forest is helpful to consolidate ecosystem services such as conserving soil and water (Feng et al., 2010). Our results strongly echoed this by the increasing of NPP, CSOP, and soil and water conservation in the Yanhe Watershed during the period of 2000e2008. 4.2. Human activity and ecosystem services Human influence ecosystem services through alternating land use change and biogeochemical and hydrological cycles (Metzger et al., 2006). The raw classification into direct and indirect drivers by MA (2005a) can not explain the underlying mechanisms. Researchers on human and nature coupling system (CHANS) refined the human driving factors of ecosystem services as various ‘stressors’ (Liu et al., 2007; Stevenson, 2011), in which human activities can be either positive or negative in generating the ‘stressors’. Population growth, industry, agriculture, and urban development generate stressors, whereas environment friendly scientific and technological renovation, and ecosystem restoration intends to reduce stressors. Ecosystem services also feedback to human activities in different manners. Supporting service serves to prop the ecosystem services per se; regulating services act as switches controlling the human generating ecological stressors; provisioning service directly underpins human activities, and the cultural service plays inevitable roles in for human well being, which indirectly affected human activities (Fig. 6). Comparing the difference of ecosystem services or HAI from 2000 to 2008 is more meaningful than comparing their status quo, as can effectively offset the inherent vested endowment difference. In our study, correlation analysis demonstrated that there exist significantly negative correlations between variation of HAI and that of soil and water conservation services, which eloquently Human activities Stressor Soil/water loss; Deforestation Contaminants Habitat alteration …… Ecosystem service Supporting service Regulating service Provisioning service Human well-being Cultural service Fig. 6. Relations between human activities and ecosystem services (Modified from Stevenson (2011)). demonstrated that the decreasing HAI strongly drove the betterment of certain ecosystem services. Human activity and ecosystem services coevolved synchronically and simultaneously. At a small scale, this co-evolution was drastic and well tuned to the ecological policy. The role of ecological policy in guiding human activity lies in; (i) balance the social and ecological rhythms; (ii) address the feedback mechanisms of CHANS, damper the vicious circles and amplify the virtuous circle, and (iii) establish early warning systems to signal impending disasters. In addition to ecological policy, social responsibility and public ethics also need to pay important as most ecosystem services are ‘public goods’ With the advancement of industrial readjustment movement under the background of GfG project, farmers in the Yanhe Watershed were gradually accustomed to the non farming mode of production and living style. Agricultural production was gradually replaced by non-farm production, which greatly lowered the pressure on ecosystem in the Yanhe Watershed. These tendencies were well reflected by the evident decrease of HAI from 2000 to 2008. In addition, this variation of HAI has distinct spatial pattern. Boasting of a priori advantages of geographical endowment i.e., relatively vast flat areas for enterprises and vicinity to urban area, farmers in the northeastern part of the Yanhe Watershed have a higher willingness to convert their farmland to non-farm. Human activity in northeastern decreased more abruptly than other area (Fig. 4). The variation of human activity caused profound influence on ecosystem services fluctuation. Except for grain production, the other 4 ecosystem services decreased with conspicuous, albeit diverse, spatial pattern (Fig. 2). The grain production decreased with a dim spatial pattern (Fig. 2) possibly due to the localitydependent of farmers’ willingness to forgo their farmland and the possible malpractice of local township government in implementing ecological policy. The major challenges in human activity and ecosystem services research lies in the human nature scale mismatch and gaming between different stakeholders. Ecosystem services are linked closely with the spatial configuration of land use types, whereas human activities are tinted by administration or institution characteristics. Different stakeholders require ecosystem services at diverse scales, e.g., individual or households are more concerned with small-scale services with explicit property right whereas the governments are more concerned with larger-scale public services. Handling the requirement conflicts of various stakeholders and harmonizing the low human nature compatibility are and will be the kernel of human activity and ecosystem services research. C.-h. Su et al. / Acta Oecologica 44 (2012) 46e57 4.3. Tradeoff between ecosystem services Interactions occur when multiple ecosystem services responding to common drivers or links within ecosystem services (Bennett et al., 2009). The intricately linked ecosystem causes multiple synergy and tradeoff between ecosystem services (Power, 2010; Fu et al., 2011). Action to enhance some ecosystem services, mainly provision service always lead to declines in others, i.e., regulating, supporting, and cultural services (Bennett and Balvanera, 2007; Carpenter et al., 2009; Raudsepp-Hearne et al., 2010; Rodriguez et al., 2006). More specifically, providing additional food will lead to further expansion of agricultural land, and this in turn will lead to the loss of natural forest and grassland, as well as the loss of ecosystem services associated with this land (genetic resources, wood production, habitat for fauna and flora). Excessive water use will deteriorate the ecosystem services provided by clean freshwater systems (drinking quality, genetic resources, fish production, habitat for aquatic and riparian flora and fauna). Our research demonstrates that tradeoffs existing between provision service (grain production) and regulating services (NPP, CSOP, water conservation, and soil conservation) (Fig. 5). Tradeoffs of ecosystem services depend on spatial scale, temporal scale, or reversibility degree (Carpenter et al., 2009; Rodriguez et al., 2006). Balancing the tradeoffs of different ecosystem services is a major task of ecosystem management. A case in point was the Wangyao Reservoir in Yanhe Watershed. Located at the upper reach of Yanhe River, Wangyao Reservoir is the major source of drinking water for Yan’an City. To safeguard the water quality, areas within certain distance from the reservoir was prohibited from farm production (YEPB, 2002), which formed tradeoff between drinking water and farming production. In addition, the local people in the history reclaimed large forest and grassland for agriculture production, and compromised the ecological soundness for later generation, this is tradeoff across times. As opposite of tradeoff, synergies is a by-products of tradeoff. In our research, positive correlation between variation of water conservation and that of soil conservation imply there are synergies between them. Tradeoffs and synergies can be managed by either reducing their associated costs or enhance landscape multifunctionality respectively (Bennett and Balvanera, 2007; Sachs and Reid, 2006). In the case of the Yanhe Watershed, GfG project is effective in enhancing the soil and water conservations simultaneously. Ecosystem service tradeoff should be stressed as they are strongly shaped by social and ecological factors, especially the direct human activities (Raudsepp-Hearne et al., 2010). As human societies continue to transform ecosystems to obtain greater provision of specific services, the scope of tradeoffs will be even larger (Foley et al., 2005; Rodriguez et al., 2006). Managing tradeoff of ecosystem services depends on the causes to tradeoff. Tradeoff caused by direct interactions of ecosystem services can be magnified, reduced, or removed by managing the process that creates the interactions. For tradeoff that is caused by spatial incompatibilities, it is necessary to understand tradeoffs associated with different organizations of social-ecological systems and inform the public all the options, so that a prudent policy can be enacted (Raudsepp-Hearne et al., 2010). By analyzing the spatial configurations of ecosystem services, Raudsepp-Hearne et al. (2010) proposed a framework of ‘bundle’ in analyzing multiple ecosystem services. Bennett et al. (2009) proposed a typology based on the role of drivers underlying ecosystem services and demonstrated that the tradeoffs and synergies can be creatively manipulated in ecological management. Tradeoff and synergy are inseparable, sometimes they are inter-convertible. A case in point is the organic farming advocated in the Yanhe Watershed, which 55 successfully solved the tradeoff of grain production and water quality conservation. In addition, Yanhe Watershed is famous for production of apple, jujube, and walnut. As cash forests in the GfG project, these fruit trees provide the dual service of fruits production and soil erosion control. This can be viewed as a wise use of synergy of provisioning services and regulating services. People prefer provisioning service over other services mainly due to that provisioning ecosystem service is more tangible and identifiable than the cultural, regulating, and supporting service (Rodriguez et al., 2006). The possible outcome of overwhelming emphasis on provision service over regulating/supporting service is environmental degradation. This is the case for most developing counties. The period of 1950s in China saw the inception of ‘great leap forward’ movement motivated by irrational enthusiasm under which large areas of vegetation were logged down for the great cause of ‘communal iron/steel smelting’. In the 1960s, destroying forest for farming production was encouraged under the guideline of ‘take grain production as the key link’. Both actions neglected the importance of regulating and supporting ecosystem services due low environmental conservation awareness. The consequence is that a spate of ecological problems poured in with soil and water losses as its core. The Yanhe watershed is a typical case of such tragedy. Regulating/supporting service is important since they are critical for producing provisioning/cultural services, impairing the former is bound to harm the resilience of social-ecological systems (Rodriguez et al., 2006). The key to the GfG project in the Yanhe Watershed lies in how to balance the tradeoff (game) between short-term small-scale agricultural production by farmers and long-term large-scale sustainability of human well-being of the public. 5. Conclusions In order to explore the co-evolution of ecosystem services and its anthropogenic driving forces, we valuated NPP, CSOP, water conservation, soil conservation, and grain production, with an integrated human activity index in the Yanhe Watershed during the GfG project (2000 and 2008). The conclusions are as follows: (i) The regulating/supporting ecosystem services of NPP, CSOP, watershed conservation and soil conservation increased during the period of 2000e2008. While the provisioning service of grain production decreased. HAI also decreased from 2000 to 2008. (ii) Variations of both soil conservation and water conservation are negatively correlated to variation of HAI. Within the ecosystem services, variation of water conservation and that of soil conservation are positively correlated, while variation of grain production is negatively correlated with NPP/CSOP. Negative correlation also exists between soil conservation and NPP/CSOP. (iii) Tradeoff exists between regulating/supporting services and production service, while synergies exist within regulation services. Complex interrelations existed between human activities and ecosystem services. The sole quantitative comparison between ecosystem services and an integrated human activity surely can not portrait the whole underlying mechanisms. Future directions of this research lie in: 1) exploring on more accurate and operable valuation scheme for human activity, 2) develop model sets for valuating ecosystem services catering to specific localities, and 3) establish a paradigm in quantifying the relations between human activity and ecosystem services. 56 C.-h. 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