Our Thoughts on Key Issues Vol. 5 Issue 1 Is “Say on Pay” All About Performance? Research Indicates Link between TSR and Vote Outcomes Is Weakening By Yonat Assayag, Andrew Cipolaro, and Jacob Moy Introduction Since the introduction of “Say on Pay” in 2011, requiring publicly-traded companies to hold a non-binding shareholder vote on executive compensation, there has been a great deal of discussion regarding the influence of strong company performance in securing successful Say-on-Pay vote outcomes. In order to assess whether Say on Pay is really all about performance, ClearBridge Compensation Group (“ClearBridge”) analyzed the relationship between company performance and Say-on-Pay vote outcomes ® among S&P 500 companies over the past three years. Key Findings Directional alignment between Total Shareholder Return (“TSR”) and Say-on-Pay vote outcomes indicates shareholders are considering performance when casting Say-on-Pay votes Strongest correlations between TSR and Say-on-Pay vote outcomes result from measuring TSR over a multi-year period Over time, Say-on-Pay vote outcomes have become less correlated with TSR, implying shareholders have increased their focus on other factors when casting Say-on-Pay votes Methodology 1 ClearBridge analyzed company performance and Say-on-Pay vote outcomes from annual shareholder ® 2 meetings held in 2011, 2012, and 2013 among S&P 500 companies . 3 To assess performance, we calculated each company’s TSR through its fiscal year end immediately prior to each annual shareholder meeting. TSR was measured three ways: 1-year TSR 3-year compound annual TSR Average of 1- and 3-year compound annual TSR Each company’s TSR was then ranked versus the TSR calculated for all other companies to generate relative TSR rankings for each of the time periods analyzed. In order to analyze the relationship between relative TSR and Say-on-Pay vote outcomes, we conducted two assessments: 1 Say-on-Pay vote outcomes calculated according to each company’s publicly-disclosed calculation methodology Represents constituents of the S&P 500® Index as of December 31, 2013 3 Total Shareholder Return (“TSR”) is defined as stock price appreciation including reinvestment of dividends 2 ClearBridge Compensation Group CLEARthinking Vol. 5 Issue 1 Analyzed relative TSR performance for companies receiving less than 70% support on Say on Pay, which is generally considered a low level of support. Analyzed the correlation between relative TSR performance and Say-on-Pay vote outcomes for all ® S&P 500 companies to quantify the directionality and strength of the relationship. Directionality is measured as positive or negative, with positive indicating the variables move in the same direction and negative indicating the variables move in opposite directions. Strength is measured between 0% and 100%, with 0% indicating no relationship and 100% indicating a perfect relationship. Relationship between Performance and Say-on-Pay Vote Outcomes Relative TSR Performance among Companies with “Low Levels” of Say-on-Pay Support Bottom-quartile performers consistently account for the greatest portion of companies receiving less than 70% support, as shown in Exhibit 1. This finding demonstrates directional alignment between TSR and Sayon-Pay vote outcomes, as companies with low levels of support are most often the weakest performers. Interestingly, there has been a shift over time in the relative performance of companies receiving less than th 70% support. In all the TSR scenarios analyzed for 2013, TSR performers below the 50 percentile constitute a smaller portion of the companies receiving low levels of support than in prior years. This trend suggests that Say on Pay is becoming less about performance, as the percentage of companies receiving less than 70% support is becoming more balanced between strong and weak performers. Exhibit 1: Distribution of Companies with <70% Say-on-Pay Support by Relative TSR Performance Quartile 1-Year TSR Measurement 3-Year TSR Measurement 11% 11% 17% 7% 16% 25% 16% 20% 14% 13% 14% Avg. of 1- & 3-Year TSR Measurements 9% 22% ≥75th Percentile (Top Quartile) 11% 17% 50th-74th Percentile 20% 25% 16% 30% 25% 20% 17% 25th-49th Percentile 18% 29% <25th Percentile (Bottom Quartile) 17% 8% 11% 50% 55% 55% 59% 47% 47% 45% 44% 39% 2011 Relative TSR Performance Quartile: 2012 2013 2011 2012 2013 2011 2 2012 2013 ClearBridge Compensation Group CLEARthinking Vol. 5 Issue 1 Correlation between Relative TSR and Say-on-Pay Vote Outcomes for S&P 500® Companies As reflected in Exhibit 2 below, the correlation between performance and Say-on-Pay vote outcomes is positive for all scenarios analyzed. Positive correlations indicate Say-on-Pay support decreases as relative TSR decreases and support increases as relative TSR increases, which implies shareholders are likely considering company performance in evaluating Say-on-Pay proposals. In addition, as emphasized by the blue circles in Exhibit 2, the strongest correlation in each year results from 3-year TSR measurement, or the average of 1- and 3-year TSR measurements. Conversely, the weakest correlation in each year results from 1-year TSR measurement. Stronger correlations from multi-year performance periods indicate shareholders are likely more focused on longer-term performance. The analysis also indicates the weakest correlations occur in 2013, which are highlighted in blue in Exhibit 2 below. This finding suggests that while a relationship between TSR and Say-on-Pay vote outcomes still exists, it is weakening over time. Exhibit 2: Correlations between Relative TSR and Say-on-Pay Vote Outcomes 2011 TSR Performance Measurement 2012 2013 Correlation between Relative TSR and Say-on-Pay Vote Outcomes for S&P 500® Companies 1-Year TSR Measurement 23.2% 23.0% 11.2% 3-Year TSR Measurement 29.5% 25.3% 17.1% Avg. of 1- & 3-Year TSR Measurements 28.3% 28.2% 15.2% Companies have enhanced their proxy disclosure and increased their direct shareholder engagement over time, which has allowed them to effectively describe their pay programs, how their compensation plans support their business strategy, and how alternative definitions of pay such as realizable pay are aligned with company performance. The weakening relationship between TSR and Say-on-Pay vote outcomes may be a result of shareholders considering this additional context. In addition, institutional shareholders have continued to refine their approaches for assessing Say-on-Pay proposals to ensure robust reviews of compensation policies and practices in addition to company performance. Therefore, the weakening relationship over time between TSR and Say-on-Pay vote outcomes may also be driven by the evolution of institutional shareholders’ voting policies. Relationship between Performance and ISS’ Vote Recommendations Given shareholder advisory groups’ role of providing Say-on-Pay vote recommendations, we also analyzed ® the relationship between relative TSR and ISS’ vote recommendations for all S&P 500 companies. 3 ClearBridge Compensation Group CLEARthinking Vol. 5 Issue 1 Similar to the findings from Exhibit 2, correlations between TSR and ISS’ Say-on-Pay vote recommendations are consistently positive (see Exhibit 3 below). This indicates that companies with weaker TSR more commonly receive “against” vote recommendations from ISS and companies with stronger TSR more commonly receive “for” vote recommendations. ISS’ quantitative pay-for-performance tests, which are more likely to be passed by companies with stronger relative TSR performance, may be driving this result. Also similar to the trend in vote results, correlations between TSR and ISS’ Say-on-Pay vote recommendations are weakest in 2013. The weakening relationship is consistent with ISS’ proxy voting policies, which have evolved to supplement objective pay-for-performance criteria with more subjective factors relating to compensation design. Particularly noteworthy is that the strongest correlation in every year results from the average of 1- and 3year TSR measurements, as emphasized by the blue circles in Exhibit 3. (This contrasts with the strongest correlation between TSR and Say-on-Pay vote outcomes, which resulted from a 3-year TSR measurement in some years.) ISS’ Relative Degree of Alignment (“RDA”) test, which historically calculated the alignment between pay and TSR performance over the weighted average of a 1- and 3-year period, is likely causing this outcome. With ISS’ change to the RDA test for 2014 to cover a 3-year period only, we may expect to see the correlation based on 3-year TSR become the strongest in future years. Exhibit 3: Correlations between Relative TSR and ISS’ Say-on-Pay Vote Recommendations 2011 TSR Performance Measurement 2012 2013 Correlation between TSR and ISS' Say-on-Pay Vote Recommendations for S&P 500® Companies 1-Year TSR Measurement 18.8% 16.2% 8.8% 3-Year TSR Measurement 20.9% 17.1% 9.4% Avg. of 1- & 3-Year TSR Measurements 21.0% 19.6% 10.1% Conclusion This research and analysis indicates that while there is a link between TSR and Say-on-Pay vote outcomes, especially over the longer-term, the strength of the relationship is weakening over time. This trend implies that shareholders are conducting robust reviews of executive compensation programs that consider many other relevant factors in addition to company performance. Recognizing that TSR is not the sole input considered by shareholders casting their Say-on-Pay votes, companies should continue to review their compensation programs for factors that are likely to influence their vote outcomes. Potential areas of concern include misalignment between pay and performance and problematic non-performance-based pay practices (e.g., excessive perquisites and tax gross-ups). Companies should also review the appropriateness and rigor of their incentive plan performance measures and goals and ensure their compensation programs effectively align with shareholder interests. 4 ClearBridge Compensation Group CLEARthinking Vol. 5 Issue 1 ClearBridge Compensation Group is an independent consulting firm providing advice to boards of directors and senior management on the design of effective executive and incentive compensation programs with a focus on alignment with shareholders, linkage with business strategy, and adherence to strong governance standards. Our consultants have extensive experience and expertise in executive compensation program design. Our work spans across industries for both publicly-traded and privately-held companies. Our aim is to establish transparent connections between management and shareholders and understandable links between performance and compensation. We provide an array of compensation services to meet the individual needs of our clients. A sample of our consulting services includes: Total Compensation Review and Design Annual Incentive Design Long-term Incentive Design Performance Measurement Board of Director Compensation Stock Ownership Programs Employment Agreements Severance / Change in Control Arrangements Compensation Governance Review™ Proxy / Say on Pay Preparation Corporate Transactions (e.g., M&A, Spin-offs, etc.) This report was authored by Yonat Assayag, Andrew Cipolaro, and Jacob Moy. For questions specific to this CLEARthinking, or for more information on ClearBridge Compensation Group or any of the services outlined above, please visit our website or contact our New York City office at: 515 Madison Avenue 32nd Floor New York, NY 10022 212-886-1022 www.clearbridgecomp.com 5
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