DOI: 10.1161/CIRCEP.114.001781 Telomere Length and the Risk of Atrial Fibrillation: Insights into the Role of Biological versus Chronological Aging Running title: Roberts et al.; Telomere Length and Atrial Fibrillation Risk Jason D. Roberts, MD1; Thomas A. Dewland, MD1; James Longoria, MD2; Annette L. Fitzpatrick, PhD3; Elad Ziv, MD4; Donglei Hu, PhD4; Jue Lin, PhD5; David V. Glidden,, PhD6; Downloaded from http://circep.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 Eliz El i ab abet ethh H. Blackburn, et Blaack ckbu bu Bruce M. Psaty, MD, PhD7,8; Esteban G. Burchard, MD, MPH9,10; Elizabeth PhD5; Jeffrey rey E. Olgin O Olgin, lgin lg in, MD in M 1; Susan R. R Heckbert, Heckbert MD MD, PhD3,7,8; Gregory Greg gor o yM M. Marcus, Marcus MD, MD MAS1 1 Section of o C Cardiac ardi ar diac di acc E Electrophysiology, lectro oph hyssiolo ogy gy, Di Divisi Division sion n ooff Ca Card Cardiology, rdio rd iolo io l gy lo gy, De Department epa p rt r me ment ntt off Me Medi Medicine, diicine ne, 4In Institute nstiitu of 5 n s & Depa netics p rtmeent of Medicine, pa Meedi d cine, Depa Human Genetics Department Department paart r me ment n of Bioc nt Biochemistry o hemistry ry y & Biophysics, Bio oph p yssic i s, 6Departm Department m of Epidemiology Biostatistics, o & Bios ogy Bi ios osta tati ta tiisttiiccs, s, 9De Department D part pa rtme mentt of o Medicine, Med e icin ne, e, 100De Department Depa p rt pa rtme m nt me nt ooff Bioengineering B oe Bi oeng ngin ngin inee eeri ee ring ri n & Th ng Thera Therapeutic a Univ Un iver ersi er sity ty of of California C li Ca lifo forn rnia rn ia San San Francisco, Fra ranc ncis nc isco co,, San co San Francisco; Fran Fr anci an cisc scoo; 2Di sc Sciences, University Division Divi viisi sion on ooff Ca Card Cardiovascular rdio iova vasc va scul sc ullar S Surgery, urr Sutter Health, Sacramento, a alth, Sacraame m nt n o, o CA; CA; 3De Department Depa part pa r me rt ment ntt of of Epidemiology, Epid Ep idem id emio em io iolo o ogy gy,, 7Ca Cardiovascular Card rdio rd iova io v sc va s ul ular ar Health Hea ealt lthh Research Unit, lt 8 University off Washington; W hhii t Departments D t t off Medicine M ddii i and dH Health llth th hS Services, i U University i iitt off Washington W hi & Group Health Research Institute, Group Health, Seattle, WA Correspondence: Gregory M. Marcus, MD, MAS University of California San Francisco 505 Parnassus Ave, M1180B San Francisco, CA 94143-0124 Tel: (415) 476-5706 Fax: (415) 476-3505 E-mail: [email protected] Journal Subject Codes: [5] Arrhythmias, clinical electrophysiology, drugs 1 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCEP.114.001781 Abstract: Background - Advanced age is the most important risk factor for atrial fibrillation (AF), however the mechanism remains unknown. Telomeres, regions of DNA that shorten with cell division, are considered reliable markers of biological aging. We sought to examine the association between leukocyte telomere length (LTL) and incident AF in a large populationbased cohort using direct LTL measurements and genetic data. To further explore our findings, we compared atrial cell telomere length (ATL) and LTL in cardiac surgery patients. Methods and Results - Mean LTL and the TERT rs2736100 single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) were assessed as predictors of incident AF in the Cardiovascular Health Studyy (CHS). ( Downloaded from http://circep.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 Among the surgical patients, within subject comparison of ATL versuss LTL LTL was was aassessed. sses ss esse es seed. Among 1639 CHS participants, we observed no relationship between mean incident n LT LTL L an andd in inci c de ci d AF prior to andd after 95% CI: aft f er aadjustment djus dj ustm ment for potential confounders confoundder e s (adjusted ha hhazard zaard ratio [HR] 1.09; 95 0.92-1.29, p=0.299); strongly with AF same model. p=0 0.299); chronologic chr hron hr o olog on ollog ogic i age ic aggee remained rem emai a nedd strong ngly y aassociated ssoc o iate oc tedd w te ith hA F in n tthe he sam am me m o No association observed the TERT SNP (adjusted attiion was obs b errved bbetween etw wee een th he TE T RT T rrs2736100 s273 7361100 S NP P and and incident incid den ent AF A (ad adjussteed HR: 0.95; 95% CI: 0.88-1.04, cardiac 0.88-1.0 0. .04,, p=0.265). .0 p=0 =0.265). ).. In 35 cardia i c su ia ssurgery r eryy pa rg patients (26 (26 2 withh AF), AF), AF ) ATL was ), longer than n LTL LT TL (1 (1.1 (1.19 19 ± 00.20 .220 versus 11.02 .022 ± 0.25 0.225 [T/S [T T/S ratio], ratio i ], p<0.001), p<0 0.0001 01), ), a finding findiingg that tha hatt remained remaii re consistent within wit ithi hinn the th he AF subgroup. subbgr grou oup. p. Conclusions - Our study revealed no evidence of an association between LTL and incident AF and no evidence of relative atrial cell telomere shortening in AF. Chronological aging independent of biological markers of aging is the primary risk factor for AF. Key words: atrial fibrillation, aging, genetics, telomere genetics 2 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCEP.114.001781 Introduction Atrial fibrillation (AF), the most common sustained cardiac arrhythmia, is a growing health epidemic associated with increased risks of heart failure, stroke, and death.1–3 The direct costs for treating the arrhythmia in the United States alone have been estimated to be $6.65 billion dollars annually.4 The clinical and economic burdens of AF are anticipated to grow dramatically in the coming years secondary to its expanding prevalence.5 The devastating impact of the arrhythmia is further exacerbated by a lack of highly effective treatment strategies, which likely Downloaded from http://circep.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 stems from our limited understanding of its underlying pathophysiology. gy.6 gy Advancing age is the most critical risk factor for the development ent ooff AF AF, re refl reflected fleecte fl tedd bby its te ranging angi an giing ng from fro rom m le lless ss than 0.1% among ind individuals div ivid i uals younger youngger tha than h n 55 years of age to ha prevalence ran 77,8 ,88 upwards off 10 10% 0% among ooctogenarians. ctoggenarriaans.7, Despite D esppitte the he dra dramatic rama ra matiic im ma impac impact ct off aage ge onn tthe he riskk off AF, n s responsible nisms resp re sponsiible ffor sp or this relationship rellationnsh re ship ip rem ip aiin un uunclear. cllea ear. Ou Our iinsight nsigh ghht in into tthe he bbiology iollo the mechanisms remain governing the ag aging ging pr pprocess occess also l remains incomplete, incompl plete, however pl however str strong rongg ev evid evidence idence hhas id as eemerge emerged merg me ge 9 supporting a role oll for f telomeres. ttelomeres ell Telomeres T ello are repetiti repetitive titi ti ti e DNA DNA sequences seq ences ([TTAGGG] ([TT TTAG AGGG GG]]n) located at the ends of chromosomes that shorten with advancing age as a result of repeated somatic cell division.10 These chromosomal “caps” function to prevent DNA degradation, however this ability becomes increasingly limited as telomere length shortens, resulting in cellular senescence, apoptosis, and an increased susceptibility to oxidative stress.11 Telomere length and the rate of telomeric shortening, termed telomere attrition, varies widely within the population and has been suggested to influence inter-individual variability in the aging process and susceptibility to age-related diseases.12 Links have been established between telomere length and multiple age-related cardiovascular disorders including atherosclerosis, heart failure, and left ventricular hypertrophy.13–16 Notably, telomere length is 3 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCEP.114.001781 also highly heritable and could also potentially account for a portion of the missing heritability within AF that remains unexplained following large scale genome wide association studies (GWAS) dedicated to the arrhythmia.17–22 Given the critical importance of aging in AF, we sought to investigate the impact of leukocyte telomere length (LTL) on the risk of incident AF in a large population-based cohort using both direct LTL measurements and a single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) previously associated with reduced LTL. In order to determine the relative relationship between atrial cell telomere length (ATL) and LTL, we performed additional Downloaded from http://circep.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 analyses among patients undergoing cardiac surgery. Methods a on betwee atio at en LT TL an andd in cide ide dent ntt A F wa w exam min ined e in th ed he C Ca ardio io ovasc scul sc u ar H eaalt lth Study The association between LTL incident AF wass ex examined the Cardiovascular Health (CHS), a prospective r sppec rosp ecti t ve population-based ti pop o ullat atio onn baase sed d ccohort oho hort rt sstudy. tu udy d .233 A cr cros cross-sectional o s-ssecctiion os onal al comparison com ompa parriso pa s n of ATL so AT and LTL was performed erfor o me or medd in n a ccohort ohor oh ortt of ppatients or atiient at ntss who who underwent unnde d rw wen entt ca ccardiac rddia i c su surg surgery rg ger eryy and an nd left left f aatrial tria tr iaal appendage ex eexcision c si ci s on o at at S Sutter uttte t r Hosp H Ho Hospital, osppitall, Sacramento, Sacr Sa c am a en e to, to, CA CA.. Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) The CHS is a population-based cohort study designed to investigate risk factors for cardiovascular disease in the elderly. The design, recruitment, baseline characterization, and outcome ascertainment procedures for CHS have been previously described in detail.23,24 Briefly, a total of 5,201 participants aged 65 years and older were recruited in 1989-1990 from Medicare eligibility lists in four US communities: Forsyth County, North Carolina; Washington County, Maryland; Sacramento County, California; and Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. An additional 687 participants, almost all African Americans, were recruited into the study in 1992-1993. Written informed consent was obtained, and all procedures were conducted under institutionally approved protocols for use of human subjects. 4 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCEP.114.001781 Examinations and Event Ascertainment Participants underwent comprehensive examinations at study entry to document baseline demographics and medical co-morbidities. Self-identified race was dichotomized as white and non-white. Hypertension was defined as a reported history of physician-diagnosed hypertension and use of antihypertensive medications, or systolic blood pressure greater than or equal to 140 mm Hg, or diastolic blood pressure greater than or equal to 90. Participants were classified as diabetic if they used an anti-hyperglycemic medication or had a fasting glucose concentration Downloaded from http://circep.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 greater than or equal to 126 mg/dL. Prevalent heart failure was diagnosed osed byy pparticipant articipa p nt sselfe report and confirmed by medical record verification, while prevalent coronary corona nary ry artery arttery ar ery y disease diise seaas was defined as angi angina, gina gi n , pprevious na revi re v ou ous myocardial infarction, previous preevious coronary corona n ry ar aartery tery bypass grafting grafting, g or previous angioplasty, ng oplasty, all bby ngi y pparticipant articiipant sself-report elff-repoort an and nd co confirmed onf nfir irm ir med d by me m medical diical re record eco ordd ver verification. riffic bsequent bsequ uen entt follow-up follow-upp was performed peerf rformedd wi with th alt lternaati lt tingg cli ini nic vi isiits and nd phone phone calls callls every e Subsequent alternating clinic visits six months untill 1999 199 9999 and an nd semi-annual semi-annual i l phone phhone calls th thereafter. hereafft fter. Re R Resting s in st i g 12 12-lead dE ECGs CGss we CG w were re performed att each h cli clinic liniic visit. iisit sit it P Pre Prevalent alent lentt AF AF att bbaseline eli line was as ddoc documented mented tedd using sing in the th baseline ba li ECG, while incident AF was ascertained on the basis of clinic visit ECGs and hospital discharge diagnosis codes that were supplemented with Medicare inpatient and outpatient claims data 25,26. Previous work on selected subgroups of CHS participants demonstrated that this approach to incident AF ascertainment had positive and negative predictive values of 98.6% and 99.9%, respectively.27,28 Cardiac Surgery Cohort &RQVHFXWLYHFRQVHQWLQJDGXOWSDWLHQWV\HDUVROGXQGHUJRLQJFDUGLDFVXUJHU\ZLWKOHIWDWUial appendage excision at Sutter Hospital, Sacramento Medical Center were recruited between October 1, 2010 and November 1, 2012. Patients were excluded if they had congenital heart 5 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCEP.114.001781 disease, any history of rheumatic valve disease or mitral stenosis, if a right thoracotomy approach was employed, if they were unable to provide informed and witnessed signed consent, or if they were pregnant or incarcerated. Participant demographics and medical details were obtained using a study questionnaire and were verified with a subsequent chart review. All study participants provided informed written consent under protocols that were approved by both the University of California, San Francisco (UCSF) and Sutter Hospital, Sacramento, CA. Telomere Analyses Downloaded from http://circep.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 Different techniques were utilized for telomere length measurements inn the different co cohorts, oho hort r namely Southern blot analysis of terminal restriction fragment lengths in CHS CHS and and quantitative q an qu nti titta ta polymerasee chain surgery performed cha hain ha in rreaction e ct ea c io on (qPCR) in the cardiac su urg r ery cohort. Thee llaboratories a oratories that perf ab f these measurements our study previously satisfactory reproducibility and urements in ou ur stud udy had ud haad pr reviouusly y ddocumented occumen ente en tedd sat te tissfacto tory ry y re eprod odducib ibilityy an n 2 correlation of bboth methods. othh m ot eth hodds.29 CHS 30,31 ,31 31 Details regarding arding rdi din LTL LTL meas measurements rements ts within ithi it ithin hi CHS CHS have hhaa e been b pre previously iio o sll ddescribed described. ibed d 30 Briefly, Bri B rii 1675 participants were randomly selected for LTL analysis among a subgroup of the cohort that had completed the 1992-93 and 1997-98 clinic examinations, had stored genetic samples collected at these visits, and had signed consent for DNA analysis. LTL measurement was performed on blood collected at the 1992–93 clinic visit using Southern blot analysis of terminal restriction fragment lengths and reported in kilobases.32 Telomere measurements were performed in duplicate, and the mean was used for statistical analyses. The Pearson’s Correlation Coefficient for duplicates was 0.96, with an average coefficient of variation for paired sets of 2.5%. The laboratory conducting the LTL measurements was blinded to all characteristics of participants. 6 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCEP.114.001781 Cardiac Surgery Cohort Lymphocyte DNA was purified from the buffy coat using the Gentra Puregene Blood Kit (Qiagen Inc., Valencia, CA) obtained from phlebotomy performed prior to surgery. Intraoperatively, left atrial appendage samples were immediately flash frozen in liquid nitrogen. All samples were shipped to UCSF in dry ice, stored in a -80°C freezer, and analyses were batched. Genomic DNA was isolated from atrial tissue using the AllPrep DNA/RNA Mini Kit (Qiagen Inc.). Telomere length analysis for all samples was adapted from the qPCR technique Downloaded from http://circep.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 originally described by Cawthon.33 The qPCR reaction conditions and d pr pprimers imers utilized d for for o the telomere and single copy gene (human beta-globin) have been previously usly re repo reported. p rtted po d.34 Th Thee qPCR cond nduc nd uccte t d us sin i g the Roche Lightcycle er 48 4480 0 real-timee PCR CR R machine (Roche, assays weree co conducted using Lightcycler Indianapolis, is, IIN). is N). Telome Telomere mere le lengths engtths aree rep reported porteed as th the he T T/S /S S ra ratio, atio o, the ra ratio atioo of m mean eaan ttelomere elo ome m r u e ccopy uence opy op py nu mb ber ((T) T to th T) the refe f re fe rencce si ing ngle l -co copy co py gene gen en ne copy num umbe um ber (S be ((S). ). repeat sequence number reference single-copy number LTL SNPss and d CHS CHS Genotyping Genotyp typ ypiingg In order to further f rth rther the iin investigate n estigate sti tigatt th the potential tenti tiall relationship lati ti shi hip between bbet ett een L LTL TL and ndd A AF, AF F wee so sought ght ht tto examine for associations between single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) linked to reduced LTL and incident AF. Review of 9 SNPs previously associated with LTL through genome wide association studies revealed a single SNP that had also been directly genotyped within the CHS cohort using a DNA microarray.17,35 In a recent large meta-analysis of genome wide association studies, the minor allele (C>A) was shown to be associated with reduced telomere length (beta coefficient: -0.078, p-value = 4.38 x 10-19).17 The genotyping methodology for rs2736100 within CHS has been previously described.22 SNP genotyping was performed using the Illumina 370 CNV DNA microarray and analyzed using the BeadStudio variant calling algorithm (Illumina, San Diego, CA). Genetic analyses were restricted to individuals of Western European ancestry. 7 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCEP.114.001781 Statistical Analysis Normally distributed continuous variables are presented as means + standard deviation and were compared using the Student’s t-test. Comparison of categorical values was performed using the Chi-squared test. In CHS, time-to-event analyses using Cox proportional hazards models were employed to evaluate the association of LTL with incident AF. The primary predictor, LTL, was treated as both an ordinal and a categorical variable divided into tertiles (to maintain consistency with previous literature).13,14 Multivariable Cox regression analyses were performed to adjust for Downloaded from http://circep.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 potential confounding. Covariates added to these models included baseline seline age, age g , sex, selfsel ellfreported race, hypertension, diabetes, body mass index, coronary artery disease, y dise seas ase, e aand ndd ccongestive onnges ge heart failure. r Si re. S Similar m la mi larr analyses an nallyses restricted to a subgro subgroup roupp of particip ro participants pantss w within ithin the overall cohort coh h that had noo baseline failure ba hyper hypertension, ertennsiion, diabetes, diabeetes, coronary corronnaryy arte artery tery te ry ddisease, iseeasse, oorr con congestive ongesttiv i e he heartt ffai ai were also perf pperformed. forrme med ed. E Examinations xamiinati tions fo ti for an iinteraction n erracti nt t on between ti bet etw ween ween we e age gee andd LTL LTL L were were perf performed formee using baseline l age line g dichotomized dic i ho hoto tomiizedd by its to its median it medi dian value di vallue in in both botth unadjusted unad adju justed ju ed d andd mul multivariate ltiivar aria iatte models. ia m An additivee genetic ti model dell was as emplo employed pll ed d ffor tthe he genetic eti tic S SNP NP anal analyses. l ses Li Linear regression io analysis was performed in order to examine for an association between the SNP and LTL. Bivariate and multivariable Cox regression models, as described above, were utilized to examine for an association between the SNP and incident AF. For the adjusted survival curves, categorical covariates were set at 0 and continuous covariates were set at their mean values. For the surgical cohort, ATL and LTL were compared using mixed effects regression models adjusting for age and gender. Assessment for association and correlation between ATL and LTL was performed using linear regression adjusting for the same covariates and the Pearson pairwise correlation coefficient, respectively. Two-tailed p-values < 0.05 were considered statistically significant. Statistical analyses were performed using Stata version 12 (College Station, TX). 8 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCEP.114.001781 Results CHS Participant Characteristics A total of 1675 individuals from the CHS cohort underwent LTL measurement. Among this group, 36 had prevalent AF and were excluded from the analysis. At baseline, the mean age of the cohort was 72.2 years, 41.3% were male, and 71.3% were classified as white. The remaining baseline clinical characteristics of the cohort, stratified by the presence or absence of incident AF, are summarized in Table 1. During a mean follow-up period of 11.6 years, a total of 476 of Downloaded from http://circep.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 the 1639 individuals were diagnosed with incident AF. LTL and the Risk of Incident AF in CHS Mean LTL w with a within ithi it hinn the hi the cohort co oho h rt was 6.33 kb. Each decade deecade of advanc advancing cingg aage ge was associated w significant 21% LTL Bivariate treating LTL 21% lower mean meaan L TL ((p<0.001). p<0.00011).. B ivvariiatte an aanalysis nal alys al ysis tr reatingg LT L L ass a ccontinuous ontinu nuo nu variable revealed vealed veale l d noo statistically le stati tistic ti allly significant sig gni n fi ficantt association assoc o iati tion between ti bet etwe weeen llonger we onge on ger ttelomere elome mere llength me ength th and incident AF ratio [HR] each LTL, CI: F (hazard (hhazardd rati tioo [H ti HR] 00.91 .991 for for ea ch h kilobase kil i obbase increase i crease iin in n LT L L 995% L, 5 C 5% I: 00.78-1.06, .7788 1. 1 06, p=0.226). Following statistically significant Follo F oll llo ing i adjustment adj dj stment tm t for fo pre-specified pre specified ifiiedd covariates, if co ariates riiatt again aii no statisticall tati tisti ticall ll significa ignifi ifi relationship between telomere length and AF was observed, with a HR close to 1 (HR 1.09 for each kilobase increase in LTL, 95% CI: 0.92-1.29, p=0.299). Similar results were obtained when the analysis was restricted to 705 individuals with no baseline risk factors for AF including hypertension, diabetes, coronary artery disease, and congestive heart failure (unadjusted HR: 0.95, 95% CI: 0.74-1.22, p =0.684; adjusted HR: 1.12, 95% CI: 0.87-1.45, p=0.378). The results examining LTL in tertiles as an ordinal and a categorical variable are presented in Figures 1 and 2, respectively. No significant associations were observed. Of note, in each multivariable model, age remained a statistically significant predictor of incident AF following adjustment for LTL. Examination for an impact of age on the association of LTL with 9 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCEP.114.001781 incident AF revealed no evidence of an interaction in both unadjusted (p=0.522) and adjusted (p=0.765) models when dichotomizing age based on the median value of 72 years. Consistent with these results, the HRs for incident AF among individuals less than 72 years (unadjusted HR: 0.96 [95% CI: 0.77-1.20; p = 0.719], adjusted HR: 1.09 [95% CI: 0.86-1.38; p = 0.484]) were nearly identical to those among individuals older than 72 years (unadjusted HR: 0.96 [95% CI: 0.77-1.19; p = 0.699], adjusted HR: 1.09 [95% CI: 0.86 - 1.39; p = 0.475]). LTL associated SNP and the Risk of Incident AF in CHS Downloaded from http://circep.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 A total of 3794 individuals of Western European ancestry underwent successful SNP ge genotyping eno not of rs2736100. Within this subgroup, 1235 had also undergone LTL measurement. Linear measuure reme mentt. L inea in earr ea regression analysis rs2736100 ana naaly lysi siis using u in us i g an an additive genetic model modeel confirmed co onfirmed an association assoc ociation between rs27 oc and LTL (ȕ-coefficient: ȕ-co ȕoefficient: -0 -0.065 -0.065, 65, 95 65 95% 5% CI CI: I: -0 -0.111 0.1111 - -0. -0.018, .018, 8 pp=0.006). =0..0006). =0 06 Co Cons Consistent sis istentt w with ithh previous prev evioo ev work, our find ffindings din ngs aalso lso de ddemonstrated monsttrated ed tthat hat th the he mi minor i allele al lle l le was as ass associated sssoc o ia i tedd wi with th h a red reduced duced dL LTL. Among thee 3794 37794 individuals inddivid iduuals that id thhat had had undergone unde d rg gone successful successful f genotyping, genot otyp y in yp i g, Cox Cox regression reg gresssio on analysis ana revealed no AF HR: 00.96 o association ciiati tio bet bbetween ett een th the SN SNP P and d incident incid identt A F ((unadjusted nadj dj sted tedd HR 96 [[95% 95% 95 % CI CI: 00.89.104, p = 0.338], adjusted HR: 0.95 [95% CI: 0.88-1.04, p=0.265]) (Figure 3). Cardiac Surgery Cohort Participant Characteristics A total of 35 patients undergoing cardiac surgery with left atrial appendage excision at Sutter Hospital, Sacramento provided both atrial tissue and peripheral blood for telomere length analysis. Within this cohort, 74% of individuals had a history of AF and 60% were undergoing cardiac surgery for a minimally invasive AF ablation. The remaining baseline characteristics are summarized in Table 2. Atrial Cell Telomere Length and Leukocyte Telomere Length Among the surgical cohort of patients, the mean atrial cell telomere T/S ratio was 1.19 + 0.20 in 10 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCEP.114.001781 comparison with a mean leukocyte telomere T/S ratio of 1.02 + 0.24 (Figure 4). Mixed effects regression modeling adjusting for age and gender revealed that ATL was significantly longer than LTL (ȕ-coefficient 0.17, 95% CI: 0.09-0.25, p<0.001). In the multivariate model, neither DJHȕ-coefficient -0.001, 95% CI: -0.006-S QRUJHQGHUȕ-coefficient -0.012, 95% CI: -0.15-0.122, p=0.862) exhibited statistically significant associations with telomere length. Multivariate linear regression analysis revealed a statistically significant association between $7/DQG/7/ȕ-coefficient 0.30, 95% CI: 0.03-0.57, p=0.030), while their calculated pairwise Downloaded from http://circep.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 correlation coefficient (R2) was 0.37. Within the subgroup of patients with AF,, the mean meaan atrial a cell telomere T/S ratio (1.19 + 0.21) was again longer than LTL (1.03 + 0.25) 0.25 25)) after 25 affte aft ter adju ad adjusting djust ju ust stiin in for age and gender nder ((p=0.001). nd p=0. p= 0 00 0. 0 1) 1). Similar results were also so observed observed forr the 9 patients without AF F (1.21 + 0.16 in the he atria he atria versuss 11.00 .000 + 0. 0.25 .2255 in leukocytes; leuk ukocyytees; adjusted ad dju ust sted ed d p=0.08). p=0 0.008). Discussion n igation ig gat atio on involving invo in volv l in lv ingg 1639 1639 elderly eld der e ly ly subjects subbjjeectts from from fr o a ppopulation-based opul op ullattio ion-ba b se ba sedd co coho cohort h rtt sstudy ho tudy tu dy Our investigation identified no association between LTL and the risk of incident AF. Further strengthening this finding, we also found no association between rs2736100, a SNP associated with reduced LTL, and incident AF among 3794 individuals from the same cohort. In an effort to advance our insights into atrial biology with respect to telomere length, we compared ATL and LTL among patients with and without AF undergoing cardiac surgery. ATL was longer than LTL in both the overall group and among the subgroup of patients with AF. Because ATL correlated with LTL, it appears unlikely that ATL alone is important in the development of AF. Collectively, these findings suggest that telomere shortening does not account for the increased risk of AF associated with aging. The importance of advancing age in the pathogenesis of AF is highlighted by its 11 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCEP.114.001781 dramatically increased prevalence within older populations. Although extremely rare among individuals less than 50 years of age, the arrhythmia affects upwards of 10% of octo- and nonagenerians.7 This age-dependent increase in its frequency, in association with our aging population, is leading to a surge in its overall prevalence. Indeed, a recent study projected that the number of affected Americans may grow nearly 8-fold from approximately 2.3 million in the year 2000 to nearly 16 million by 2050.5 This worrisome forecast, further aggravated by our lack of preventive strategies and definitive therapies for the arrhythmia, emphasizes the need for Downloaded from http://circep.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 an improved understanding into the pathophysiology of the arrhythmia. a. Insig Insight ght into thee pathophysiological mechanisms through which age predisposes to the arrhythmia arrhhytthm hmia i has ia has tthe he potential to therapeutic o uunveil nvei nv eill cr ei crit critical itical it all biological pathways thatt co ccould uld serve ass targe targets gets for novel therapeu ge interventions. ns. Telomeres, omeres, omere ress, rrepetitive re ep pettit itiive DNA DN el elem elements ementss llocated em ocated oc d att th the he ends en nds ooff ch chromosomes, hromosoomes, hhave ave bbeen een implicated as po ppotential tentiial me m mediators diators off bbiological di iologi gicall ag gi aging. ging. g 10 Co Consistent C nsiiste t nt with wit ithh this it th his hypothesis, hyp ypotthe hesi s s, reduced si redd telomere length ength gth th has ha bbeen e associated iattedd with iith th an iincreased n d ri risk iskk ffor multiple m lltiple tipll age-dependent agee ddependent dentt cardiovascular conditions. Telomere shortening is felt to contribute to biological aging through an increased vulnerability to oxidative stress and subsequent fibrosis secondary to reduced genomic stability.12 Notably, atrial fibrosis is considered critical for the initiation and maintenance of AF through its role as a substrate that promotes regional conduction velocity heterogeneity.36,37 Despite this apparent overlapping pathophysiology, we identified no evidence of an association between LTL and the risk of incident AF among CHS participants. Given the large size of our study and the persistence of statistically significant relationships between known risk factors (such as age) and AF despite adjustment for LTL, we have provided strong evidence suggesting the absence of an independent clinically significant impact of LTL on the 12 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCEP.114.001781 risk of AF. In an effort to further explore for a potential link between LTL and AF, we examined for an association between a SNP associated with reduced LTL and the arrhythmia. The rs2736100 SNP lies in the vicinity of the TERT gene which encodes for the enzyme telomerase reverse transcriptase. Telomerase reverse transcriptase functions to elongate telomeres following cellular division in an effort to preserve telomere length over time. For this analysis, the TERT SNP effectively functions as an instrumental variable in the relationship between LTL and AF, Downloaded from http://circep.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 thus serving to minimize the potential impact of confounding variabless on the analysis. The analys y is. T h lack of association between the SNP and incident AF further reinforces ourr init initial LTL tia i l findings find ndin dings g tthat hatt L ha does not influence risk population. n uen nflu ence ce tthe he ris sk of the AF in this popula ati tion. Following lowing lo owing these rresults, esults ts, furt further rthher ex rt eexploration ploooration rattio on iinto ntto tthe h rrelationship he ellatio ionshhipp be io between etweeen telo telomere lomeeree llength and atrial biology through LTL cohort gy was gy was performed perfformed d thr h ou hr ough comparison com ompa om parison off ATL pa ATL and nd L TL iinn a separate seepa paratte coh cohor hor of individualss that had had d undergone und nder nd e go g ne left left f atrial attriial appendage app ppenddage pp g excisi excision ion during d ri du ring n cardiac ng car arrdi diac surgery. surge g ry. ry y ATL ATL was noted to bee longer than individuals lo tha LTL LTL among the th entire ti cohort ohh t and d within iithin thiin the th the subgroup s bbgro p off iindi ndi di id all with AF. Because ATL correlated with LTL, extrapolation of these observations in combination with the LTL findings above argues against an important telomere length phenomenon localized to the atria. This relative preservation of ATL may potentially account for the apparent lack of impact of telomere length on the risk of AF. Of note, a longer telomere length within atrial cells relative to leukocytes is consistent with our understanding of both atrial biology and the mechanism of telomere attrition. Telomere length shortens progressively with age secondary to an inability of the telomerase enzyme to fully replicate telomeres following repeated somatic cell division.38 Atrial tissue samples are composed of a combination of cell types including myocytes, fibroblasts, endothelial and 13 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCEP.114.001781 vascular smooth muscles cells. Notably, atrial and ventricular myocytes undergo very limited cell division following embryogenesis, which may potentially protect them from the adverse consequences of telomere shortening.39,40 To our knowledge, our study is the first to document that telomere length is longer in atrial tissue relative to leukocytes. Our findings suggest that aging increases the risk of AF through biological pathways that are independent of LTL or through a mechanism restricted to chronological aging. Examining for a potential role of telomere biology in the pathogenesis of AF was particularly important Downloaded from http://circep.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 given the critical, yet largely unexplained impact of advancing age on the risk of the arrhythmia. arrrhy hyth t Future work can now focus on other biological pathways associated with aaging ging gi ing that that hat may may th he development deeve v lopm pment of AF. As telomeree le pm llength ngth is gene generally era r llyy considered considered the prima predispose to the primary marker of bi bbiological iollogical aging, aging ng, our ouur results resu sults may su m y also ma alsoo suggest sugggeest that tha hatt tthere herre is something somet ethingg specific spe peccificc ttoo cal, rrather athe at hee th her han bbiological, i logicall, aage io ge tha hatt is ha is inherently inhherentl tlyy im tl mport rtan rt a t. As an As a hy hypo poth hetic ti all chronological, than that important. hypothetical erha h ps p the there h re iiss a cumula l tively i ly growing growiingg pprobability roba b bi bili ili l ty off AF A iinduction ndductiion as mo ore r aand nd more example, pperhaps cumulatively more premature at atrial triiall contractions tr ti (k (known (kno n tto be be an iimportant m rtt t AF risk iskk factor) factt ) are iintrod introduced nttrodd ced ed d att different times into the atrial substrate.41 An improved understanding of the mechanisms governing the relationship between advanced age and the risk of AF will likely be critical for the development of preventive and therapeutic treatment modalities necessary to combat this growing health epidemic. Our study has several limitations. Because our population-based analysis was restricted WRLQGLYLGXDOV\HDUVRIDJHLWGRHVQRWUXOHRXWDQLPSDFWRI/7/LQ\RXQJHUDJHJURXps. Although this may limit the generalizability of our findings, we would highlight that the vast majority of individuals affected by AF are elderly, emphasizing the importance of furthering our understanding of the arrhythmia within this subgroup of the population. Second, it is 14 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCEP.114.001781 conceivable that our study was inadequately powered to detect an association between LTL and AF. It should be noted that we failed to detect an association between hypertension and AF in our multivariate model (HR: 1.10, 95% CI: 0.90-1.35, p=0.342), though an association was observed on unadjusted analysis (HR: 1.19, 95% CI: 1.07-1.32, p=0.001). The magnitude of association between hypertension and AF in our study was comparable to previous work involving the CHS cohort and the association on multivariate analysis would likely have been statistically significant had our cohort had been larger. Despite these observations, we feel that it Downloaded from http://circep.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 is unlikely that inadequate power was responsible for our lack of association LTL ciation between LT TL and AF given that the direction of association identified was opposite the expectation expeccta t tion tiion that that hat older olde ol der de biological age AF rs2736100 agee increased inc n reeas a ed e A F risk. Third, the rs2736 610 100 SNP is a modest m de mo d st predictor of LTL variability aand genetic association nd should not noot be viewed viiew wed d as ddefinitive efinnitive vee gen enetic icc evidence evidennce nc to ru rule ulee oout ut aan n ass associatio ssociaatio between LTL between TL an and nd th the risk riiskk off AF. AF Fourth, Fou ourt rth, rt t wee cannot cannnott rulee out ca out a potential poote tenttiall association assooci ciation betwee betwee the rate of telomere mere attrition attriitiionn and andd AF AF given gi that th hatt telomere telomere l length lenggth h was only onl n y measured me d at a single sing si nggle ttime point. Finally, than all ll although altho lthho gh lt h ATL ATL was as clearly cl clearl l rll and d consistently consistentl isttentl tl longer l th LTL, L LTL TL wee were ere nott adequately powered to examine for an association between ATL (alone) and the risk of AF in our relatively small surgical cohort. Although the correlation between ATL and LTL would support the notion that ATL is unlikely to be critical to AF development, the modest R2 value of 0.37 suggests we cannot exclude the possibility that ATL might yet be important in AF. Our study has several limitations. Because our population-based analysis was restricted to indivLGXDOV\HDUVRIDJHLWGRHVQRWUXOHRXWDQLPSDFWRI/7/LQ\RXQJHUDJHJURXSV Although this may limit the generalizability of our findings, we would highlight that the vast majority of individuals affected by AF are elderly, emphasizing the importance of furthering our understanding of the arrhythmia within this subgroup of the population. Second, it is 15 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCEP.114.001781 conceivable that our study was inadequately powered to detect an association between LTL and AF. It should be noted that we failed to detect an association between hypertension and AF in our multivariate model (HR: 1.10, 95% CI: 0.90-1.35, p=0.342), though an association was observed on unadjusted analysis (HR: 1.19, 95% CI: 1.07-1.32, p=0.001). The magnitude of association between hypertension and AF in our study was comparable to previous work involving the CHS cohort and the association on multivariate analysis would likely have been statistically significant had our cohort had been larger. Given that the point estimate for LTL as Downloaded from http://circep.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 a predictor of AF was in the opposite direction of what would be expected biological cted if older biolo ogi gicc age increased AF risk, we feel it is unlikely that inadequate power was responsible negative ponsi siibl blee for f r ou fo ourr ne neg ga findings. Third, association between the attrition Thir ird, ir d, we d, we cannot cannnot rule out a potential asso ca ociiation betwee en th he rate of telomere attr and AF given telomere length measured although ven that telome ven ere len engthh was was on oonly ly y me eassureed att a ssingle iinnglee ttime imee point. poiint. Finally, Fiinaallly, al lthhouu ATL was clearl consistently longer than LTL, were adequately examine cclearly ly an and nd consi istently tl lon onnger ge th han nL TL, we w TL ere nnot er ot ad adeq equattely y po poweredd to t exa a for an association small ciation ciati ion between betweeen e ATL ATL (alone) (allone) e) aand ndd the h riskk off A AF F in i our relatively rellativ iv velly smal ll surgical suurg rgic iccal ccohort. Although the ATL LTL that ATL hhee correlation lati ti bbetween bet ett een A TL and ndd L TL would o ld support s pport rtt tthe he notion oti tio th att A TL iis unlikely nlik likk li to be critical to AF development, the modest R2 value of 0.37 suggests we cannot exclude the possibility that ATL might yet be important in AF. Conclusions Our study found no evidence that LTL influences the risk of incident AF. ATL was noted to be longer than LTL among subjects with and without AF undergoing cardiac surgery. Reduced telomere attrition secondary to limited somatic cell division among atrial myocytes may account for the lack of association between LTL and the risk of AF. Our findings suggest that other factors associated with biological aging or properties inherent to chronological aging 16 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCEP.114.001781 independent of cell division or telomere shortening are responsible for the association between advancing age and the risk of AF. Funding Sources: This work was made possible by an American Heart Association National Innovative Research Grant (G.M.M) and the Joseph Drown Foundation (G.M.M.). J.D.R. is supported by a Research Fellowship Grant from the Heart & Stroke Foundation of Canada. Grants for the Cardiovascular Health Study include: R01 HL80698-01, NHLBI contracts HHSN268201200036C, HHSN268200800007C, N01 HC55222, N01HC85079, N01HC85080, N01HC85081, N01HC85082, N01HC85083, N01HC85086, and grants HL080295 and Downloaded from http://circep.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 HL102214, with additional contribution from the National Institute of Neurological Neur Ne urol ur olog ol ogic og ical ic al D Disorders isor is ordd or and Stroke (NINDS). Additional support was provided by AG023629 from m tthe he N he National attiona onall In Ins Institute on Aging (NIA). NIA). ) A fu ). full li list of principal CHS investigators investi tiga ig tors and institu institutions uttiions can be found at CHSNHLBI.org. g. g. Conflict off Interest Inte teere rest st Dis Disclosures: i closures: l None. Noone. ne References: s s: 1. Wang TJ, Larson MG, Levy D, Vasan RS, Leip EP, Wolf PA, D'Agostino RB, Murabito JM, Kannel WB, Benjamin EJ. 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Ann Intern Med. 2013;159:721–728. 21 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCEP.114.001781 Table 1: Baseline Characteristics of CHS Participants with and without Incident AF Downloaded from http://circep.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 Incident AF n = 476 No AF n = 1163 p value Age (years) 72.8 ± 5.1 71.9 ± 5.1 <0.001 Male (%) 203 (42.6) 470 (40.4) 0.404 White Race (%) 434 (91.2) 989 (85.0) 85.0)) 0.009 0.00 0. 0 00 Hypertension ((%)) 163 (34.2) ( ) 351 ((30.2) 30 2)) 00.358 35 Diabetes M Mellitus elllitus (%) 799 (16.6) (16 166.6) 15 158 58 (13.6) (133.66) 00.113 .111 Body Masss In Index nde d x (kg/m (kg/ (k g/m g/ m2) 27.0 27.00 ± 44.8 .8 26.8 26 .88 ± 44.5 .55 00.434 0. 433 Coronary Artery Disease (%) A t Dii (%) (25.6) 122 (25 122 (25 6) 182 182 (15.6) (15 (15 6) <0.001 <0 0 0000 Congestive Heart Failure (%) 29 (6.1) 33 (2.8) 0.002 Data are n (%) or mean ± standard deviation 22 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCEP.114.001781 Table 2: Clinical Demographics of the Surgical Cohort with Atrial and Leukocyte Telomere Length Measurements AF n = 26 No AF n=9 p value 64.6 ± 12.0 78.4 ± 8.2 0.003 Male 16 (61.5) 6 (66.7) 0.784 White Race 25 (96.2) 8 (88. 8.9) 8. 9) (88.9) 0.3 0. 3 0.363 s on sion Hypertension 14 (53.9)) 6 (66.7)) 0.5 5 0.503 M ellli litu tuss tu Diabetes Mel Mellitus ( 9. (1 9 2) 2 5 (19.2) 1 (1 ((11.1) 1..1) 00.577 0. 5 Artery t Disease Di Coronary Artery ( 9. (1 9 2) 2 5 (19.2) 4 (4 ((44.4) 4.4) 4)) 00.136 .11 Congestive Heart Failure 3 (11.5) 1 (11.1) 0.972 21 (80.8) 0 (0) <0.001 Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting 2 (7.7) 4 (44.4) 0.012 Aortic Valve Replacement 1 (3.9) 4 (44.4) 0.003 Mitral Valve Surgery 2 (7.7) 2 (22.2) 0.238 Age (years) Downloaded from http://circep.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 Indication For Surgery AF Ablation Data are n (%) or mean ± standard deviation 23 DOI: 10.1161/CIRCEP.114.001781 Figure Legends: Figure 1: Adjusted Survival Curves of Incident AF among Tertiles of Leukocyte Telomere Length. HR denotes hazard ratio. The calculated HR is for tertiles of leukocyte telomere length treated as an ordinal variable. Figure 2: Impact of Leukocyte Telomere Length Tertiles on the Risk of Incident AF in a MultiDownloaded from http://circep.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 Variable Cox Regression Model. Leukocyte telomere length tertile was categorical as treated as a categ eg gor o variable. HR denotes hazard ratio; BMI denotes body mass index; CAD AD denotes deno de nottes tes coronary coro co rona naary artery disease; CHF intervals. HF F ddenotes e otes en ottes e congestive con onngestive heart failure. Error Erro ror bars denote 95% ro % confidence intervals Figure 3: Adjusted Incident Status A ust Adju sted ed Survival Surviivall Curves Curves of of Inci ide dent nt AF AF by by rs2736100 rs2 s273 s2 7361 73 6100 61 0 Genetic 00 Genetic t Carrier Car arrier St atus t Utilizing ann Additive Add ddiitive Genetic Genneti Ge tic i Model. M del. Mo l HR HR ddenotes enotes hhazard azardd ratio. rattio. Figure 4: Box plot comparisons of Atrial and Leukocyte Telomere Length among the Surgical Cohort With and Without AF. Boxes represent 25th-75th quartiles and lines within boxes represent median values. Outliers are displayed by distinct dots. 24 Downloaded from http://circep.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 Downloaded from http://circep.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 Downloaded from http://circep.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 Downloaded from http://circep.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 Telomere Length and the Risk of Atrial Fibrillation: Insights into the Role of Biological versus Chronological Aging Jason D. Roberts, Thomas A. Dewland, James Longoria, Annette L. Fitzpatrick, Elad Ziv, Donglei Hu, Jue Lin, David V. Glidden, Bruce M. Psaty, Esteban G. Burchard, Elizabeth H. Blackburn, Jeffrey E. Olgin, Susan R. Heckbert and Gregory M. Marcus Downloaded from http://circep.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 Circ Arrhythm Electrophysiol. published online November 8, 2014; Circulation: Arrhythmia and Electrophysiology is published by the American Heart Association, 7272 Greenville Avenue, Dallas, TX 75231 Copyright © 2014 American Heart Association, Inc. All rights reserved. Print ISSN: 1941-3149. Online ISSN: 1941-3084 The online version of this article, along with updated information and services, is located on the World Wide Web at: http://circep.ahajournals.org/content/early/2014/11/08/CIRCEP.114.001781 Permissions: Requests for permissions to reproduce figures, tables, or portions of articles originally published in Circulation: Arrhythmia and Electrophysiology can be obtained via RightsLink, a service of the Copyright Clearance Center, not the Editorial Office. 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