The link from traits to occurrence in wood decaying fungi Anna Norberg Mathematical Biology Group 25/5/2015 Traits Traits & vulnerability Community Global Community assembly at several scales Regional Local Observed Dynamics result from different underlying processes Statistical modelling framework HMSC Hierarchical Modelling of Species Communities Blanchet et al. (in prep.) Framework Global Regional phylogenetic relationships explanatory variables environmental covariates species traits parameters to be estimated species and community level random variation biotic assembly ≈ species associations scale of assembly effects of the regional & local level habitats ≈ species niches strenght of phylogen. signal GLOBAL species REGIONAL pool species LOCAL species pool pool and local species abundances — actual community response variable Local Observed model predictions species occurrence pattern trait scenarios interactions scenarios Framework [c]: Sebastián-González et al. (2010) Regional [d]: Nordén et al. (2013) [e] Olden et al. (2014) scale of assembly [a] [i] [h]-[j] species and community level random variation [a][d][e][i] environmental covariates [k] species traits [a]: Ovaskainen & Soininen parameters (2011) to be estimated Global [b]: Ovaskainen et al. (2010) phylogenetic relationships explanatory variables biotic assembly ≈ species associations effects of the regional & local level habitats ≈ species niches strenght of phylogen. signal [b][c][f][h][i][j] [f] Sebastián-González et al. GLOBAL species (MS) REGIONAL pool species LOCAL species pool [g] Ottosson et al. (2014) pool and local species abundances — actual community [h] Abrego, Dunson et al. response (submitted) Local species occurrence pattern variable [i] Blanchet et al. (in prep.) [j] Ovaskainen, Dunson et al. (in prep.) Observed [k] Ives & Helmus (2011) model predictions trait scenarios interactions scenarios [a]-[k] Data Snapshot of fragmented Beech forests in the Basque Country, Northern Spain >22 000 sampling units decay stage resource unit volume natural/managed forests distance to forest edge >300 species life forms spore morphology Questions How species occurrences are influenced by their functional traits? Can variation in among species occurrence, from large to small spatial scales, be associated to such traits? -5. -5. -4.5 -4.5 -5.5 -2.5 -3.5 -4.5 -4.5 -3.5 -3.5 -4.5 -5.5 -4.5 -4.5 -5.5 Ic, Asex, Sorn, LF_Strom Ic, LF_Strom -1.5 -0.8 -0.8 -0.1 -0.1 0.6 0.6 -1.5 -2.5 Ic,Ic, ThickWall, LF_Ramar ThickWall, LF_Ramar 1.3 1.3 -3.5 -4.5 -3.5 -4.5 -4.5 -3.5 -3.5 -4.5 -4.5 -5.5 -4.5 -4.5 -5.5 -5.5 Ic, LF_Strom Ic,ThickWall, Asex, LF_Strom -4.5 -5.5 -4.5 -5.5 -2.5 -3.5 -2.5 -3.5 -1.5 -1.5 -0.8 -0.8 -0.1 -0.1 0.6 0.6 1.3 1.3 -3.5 -4.5 -3.5 -4.5 -2.5 -3.5 -2.5 -3.5 Ic, Sorn, LF_Strom Ic, Asex, Sorn, ThickWall, LF_Ramar 1.3 1.3 Ic,ThickWall, Asex, LF_Poly_r Ic, LF_Poly_r Thick spore walls -5.5 -3.5 -4.5 -3.5 -4.5 -1.5 -0.8 -0.8 -0.1 -0.1 0.6 0.6 -1.5 1.3 1.3 -4.5 -5.5 -4.5 -5.5 x, LF_Tremel sex, LF_Tremel Phylogenetic LF_Tremel Sorn, LF_Tremel signalIc,~Ic,Sorn, 0.2 -1.5 -1.5 -0.8 -0.8 -0.1 -0.1 0.6 0.6 1.3 1.3 -1.5 -1.5 -0.8 -0.8 -0.1 -0.1 0.6 0.6 1.3 1.3 Ic,Ic, Asex, Sorn, LF_Tremel Asex, Sorn, LF_Tremelto Distance Ic,Ic, ThickWall, ThickWall, LF_Tremel the forest edge LF_Tremel 5 -1.5 -1.5 -0.8 -0.8 -0.1 -0.1 0.6 0.6 1.3 1.3 5 -5.5 5 -5.5 -0.1 -0.1 0.60.6 1.3 1.3 5 -5.5 5 -5.5 sex, LF_Strom kWall, LF_Ramar -0.8 -0.1 -0.1 0.6 0.6 1.3 1.3 -0.8 Ic,Ic, Asex, Sorn, LF_Ramar Asex, Sorn, LF_Ramar Ic,Ic, ThickWall, LF_Poly_p ThickWall, LF_Poly_p -1.5 -1.5 -0.8 -0.8 -0.1 -0.1 0.6 0.6 -2.5 -5.5 -2.5 -5.5 -1.5 -1.5 Ramarioids -2.5 -5.5 -2.5 -5.5 -0.1 0.6 0.6 1.3 1.3 0.1 Ic,Ic, Sorn, LF_Ramar Sorn, LF_Ramar Ic, LF_Poly_r Ic, Asex, Sorn, LF_Poly_r Thin spore walls -1.5 -1.5 -0.8 -0.8 -0.1 -0.1 0.6 0.6 1.3 1.3 5 -5.5 5 -5.5 x, LF_Ramar sex, LF_Ramar -1.5 -1.5 -0.8 -0.8 -0.1 -0.1 0.6 0.6 1.3 1.3 -2.5 -5.5 -2.5 -5.5 -0.1 -0.1 0.60.6 1.3 1.3 Linear predictor -4.5 -5.5 -4.5 -5.5 -3.5 -4.5 -3.5 -4.5 Resupinate polypores 1.3 1.3 -4.5 -5.5 -4.5 -5.5 -2.5 -3.5 -2.5 -3.5 Ic, Asex, Sorn, ThickWall, LF_Poly_p Ic, Sorn, LF_Poly_r -2.5 -3.5 -2.5 -3.5 kWall, LF_Poly_p ex, LF_Poly_r -1.5 -1.5 -0.8 -0.8 -0.1 -0.1 0.6 0.6 -2.5 -5.5 -2.5 -5.5 0.1 0.6 -1.5 -0.8 0.6 -0.1 0.6 1.3 1.3forest -1.5 Natural -0.8 -0.1 -0.1 forest 0.6 1.3 1.3 Managed Ic,Ic, Asex, Sorn, LF_Poly_p Asex, Sorn, LF_Poly_p -3.5 -2.5 -2.5 -3.5 Ic,Ic, Sorn, LF_Poly_p Sorn, LF_Poly_p -3.5 -2.5 -2.5 -3.5 -2.5 -5.5 -2.5 -5.5 -2.5 -5.5 -2.5 -5.5 x, LF_Poly_p sex, LF_Poly_p 1.3 1.3 -3.5 -4.5 -5. -4.5 -5.5 -4.5 -5. -4.5 -5.5 Response with respect traits -1.5 -0.8 -0.1 -1.5 1.3 -1.5 -1.5 to -0.8habitat -0.1 0.6 0.6 1.3 1.3 -1.5 -0.8 -0.8 -0.1 -0.1 0.6 0.6to 1.3 -1.5 -0.8 -0.8 -0.1 -0.1 0.6 0.6 -0.1 -0.1 0.60.6 1.3 1.3 Species interactions with respect to traits Resupinate corticioid associations with > 95% posterior probability 1 10 04 1 5 10 06 10 7 10 8 11 9 11 0 1121 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 29 8 2 7 2 6 2 5 2 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 149 14 14 8 14 7 14 6 1 5 14 44 1 3 14 42 1 0 14 39 1 8 13 37 1 6 13 5 13 4 13 3 13 132 131 130 129 128 127 126 125 124 123 Pileate polypore Agaricoid Corti_pileate Corti_resup Discomycetoid Polyp_pileate Polyp_resup Ramarioid Stromatoid Tremelloid 47 46 45 44 43 42 41 40 39 38 37 36 35 34 3 32 3 3 30 1 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 4 6 65 6 6 Discomycetoid 6 68 7 6 70 9 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 0 10 01 1 02 1 03 1 Pileate corticioid Resupinate polypore Ramarioid Agaricoid Tremelloid Stromatoid Conclusions Species occurrences can be related to their traits — Part of among-species variation in occurrence can be associated to such traits — Responses to forest management and distance from forest edge — Non-random species co-occurrence patterns after habitat effects are not evenly distributed among and between trait groups Thank you Otso Ovaskainen Research Foundation of the University of Helsinki Photos by & from Elisabeth Ottosson Christine Hanrahan Pinkka mycobank.org Nerea Abrego Guillaume Blanchet
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