Daily Market Report 15 June 2017 Trading Idea FX Market Update USD Today the dollar nursed losses, after weak U.S. inflation data left investors wondering if the Federal Reserve would be able to follow up its latest rate hike with another later this year. The Fed raised interest rates a quarter percentage point to a target range of 1.00 percent to 1.25 percent on Wednesday, as expected, and gave its first clear outline on its plan to reduce its $4.2-trillion bond portfolio. EUR The euro was also unchanged at $1.1217, below a sevenmonth peak of $1.1296 scaled overnight. GBP Britain's pound slipped towards a seven-month low against the euro yesterday, hurt by political uncertainty and weaker-than-expected earnings numbers that underscored the economic challenges Britain faces as it leaves the European Union. Against a broadly weaker dollar, sterling was up yesterday, topping $1.28 for the first time since last week's UK election results. ZAR Yesterday South Africa's rand gained as the dollar fell after the United States reported weaker-than-expected inflation and retail sales data. JPY Against its Japanese counterpart, the dollar shrugged off earlier losses and was flat at 109.54 yen, above yesterday's eight-week low of 108.81 yen. Tomorrow, the Bank of Japan is widely expected to keep its monetary policy unchanged, and reassure markets it will lag the Fed in tapering its massive stimulus programme, as Japan's inflation remains low despite a strengthening economy. INR MGA INR has opened higher at 64.27 as compared to yesterday’s close of 64.2975.USD/INR currently trading at 64.29. USD/INR is expected to trade in the range of 64.20 to 64.40. USD/MGA trading at 3170-3240 and Euro/MGA trading in the range 3550/3640 for the day. The local FX market is in excess of USD 17 M. BUY EUR/USD AT 1.1180 TP AT 1.1260 SL AT 1.1145 Mauritian Market Highlights Yesterday the Bank of Mauritius intervened on the foreign exchange market and purchased U.S Dollar at Rs34.85 The result for yesterday’s auction conducted by the Bank of Mauritius for the Re-Opening of the 3.25% Five Year Government of Mauritius Bonds maturing on 10 February 2022 for a revised amount of Rs2,000 million for settlement on Friday 16 June 2017 came to a weighted yield of 3.49% p.a. Bond Buzz and Money Market news U.S. Treasurys held higher after the Fed's announcement, with the benchmark 10-year yield sliding 8.2bp to 2.145 percent and the 2-year yield sliding 2.8bp to 1.335%. The 2-10yr spread also flattened by another 5bp. Today’s Data Watch Time Data Fore-cast Prev. Importan ce 11:30 CHF SNB Sight Deposit Interest Rate (JUN 15) -0.75% -0.75% HIGH 15:00 GBP Bank of England Rate Decision (JUN 15) 0.25% 0.25% HIGH 16:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (JUN 10) 241k 245k MEDIUM Data from Yesterday Time Data Actual Fore-cast Prev. 16:30 USD Advance Sales (MAY) -0.3% 0.0% 0.4% 16:30 USD Consumer Price Index (YoY) (MAY) 1.9% 2.0% 2.2% 22:00 USD Federal Open Market Committee Rate Decision – Lower Bound (JUN 14) 1.00% 1.00% 0.75% Central Bank Rates Crude oil FED 1.25% BOE 0.25% ECB 0.00% BOM Repo 4.00% RBI Repo 6.25% BCM Repo 8.70% Government of Mauritius Securities 91 days 1.98% 182 days 2.03% 364 days 2.18% 3 Year 3.17% 5 Year 3.99% 10 Year 4.95% Share Performance Share Performance International Bond MCC Holding Hong Kong Corporation Ltd. issues corporate debt. The Company issues notes and lends the proceeds of those issues to its corporate parent. MCC Holding HK Corp Ltd. USD Bond maturing on 31st May 2020 is trading at a yield of 2.700% p.a. Bonds Ratings Moody’s Baa2 S&P NA Fitch NA Source: Bloomberg Disclaimer: This report has been prepared by members of the Financial Markets Division of the SBM Bank (Mauritius) Ltd, who are not considered as research analysts and information contained therein should not be considered as “research” as that term is defined by applicable regulations. Information has been collected from sources believed to be reliable and in good faith by the bank, but no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made as to their accuracy, completeness or correctness. The information may include opinions, estimates, indicative rates, terms, price quotations and projections which reflect existing market conditions and are subject to change, modification or amendment without any prior notice and may vary from views expressed by other members and reports of the bank or any other institution. The analysis and data compilations contained therein are based on numerous assumptions; different assumptions could result in materially different opinions. Sources : Bloomberg, Reuters, Bank of Mauritius Contact : SBM Bank (Mauritius) Ltd Financial Markets Division PV Rao : +230 202 1353 R. Soobroydoo : + 230 202 1633 E: [email protected]
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