Political Reality, Economic Issues and the CARICOM Single Market & Economy By Dr. Ken Blawatt, UWI Cave Hill Campus, Barbados, W.I. ABSTRACT There are two issues that challenge those nations considering a market union. On the one hand there is the desire to consummate a mutually compatible agreement that removes all barriers and provides free and open commercial intercourse. On the other hand there is an equal, if not more urgent need in the case of Caribbean countries, to stimulate economic activity once agreement is reached. It is not sufficient to negotiate an impeccable trade and market-legal infrastructure if there is not a capability to mutually exploit the opportunities the agreement provides for, and to realize solid, individual national gain. Otherwise what is the purpose of the agreement? The paper offers commentary and evidence to both issues. It presents the flow of negotiations between Canada and the United States in arriving at the North American Free Trade Agreement, with particular attention to the variations, if not oversights that might serve as object lessons for Caribbean negotiators. In discussing sovereignty and size, the paper points to a need to avoid a subservient position by either party in negotiating terms and references. Canada’s disposition to bend to American interests has weakened the nation’s sovereignty on a number of fronts including market and legal sovereignty. The paper assumes that CARICOM members will avoid those and will develop a mutual and equitable agreement. Yet that is not the principal thrust of the discussion. For once agreement is in hand and provides the roadmap to improved economies all round, the CSME faces the daunting task of readying its members to profit from the union. The economies of developed and developing nations have two components, an older and in part, dying sector, and a dynamic, innovative, entrepreneurial sector. It is incumbent on CARICOM members to prepare their economies for the promise, and the competitive challenge of an open market system in both. Individual nations need to prepare their older and established (or beta economy) enterprises to meet the competition that will flood into an open market, and to expand their operations into the greater market. Commensurately and more importantly, nations in the CARICOM must change their commercial cultures to accommodate and stimulate entrepreneurial activity. The engine of an economy is the entrepreneur. He/she creates the nation’s alpha economy. These entrepreneurs by innovation, new technologies and/or the creation of market opportunities are the genesis of job creation and prosperity. 1 Author Dr. Ken Blawatt is a visiting senior lecturer at the University of the West Indies, Cave Hill campus, in the Department of Management Studies, Faculty of Social Science. He has been an instructor for thirty years at Simon Fraser University where he continues to instruct part time in the MBA program, as Associate Professor at Bishop’s University and at Brock University, all in Canada. From 1976 to 1982 he was guest professor in marketing and technical entrepreneurship at the University of Waterloo where he coauthored the text “The Technical Entrepreneur.” During the same period he was a sitting member of the Canadian federal government’s Task Force on the Automotive Industry, consultant and advisor to the Ontario Centre for Automotive Parts Technology, and a consultant and federal lobbyist for the Canadian Federation of Independent Business. He was also a director and consultant to an industry sponsored organization, The Committee for Fair Trade from 1987 – 1989 that sought to make improvements to the CUFTA. Dr. Blawatt was a member and director of the Canadian Council for Small Business and Entrepreneurship from 1994 to 2001 and has written numerous articles on the subject including a text on Entrepreneurship published by Prentice Hall Canada. 2 Political Reality, Economic Issues and the CARICOM Single Market & Economy Dr. Ken Blawatt, Visiting Senior Lecturer, Department of Management Studies, University of the West Indies, Cave Hill. The new CARICOM Single Market and Economy promises opportunities and improved economic prospects for the fourteen million people affected by the proposed agreement. The evidence from transnational agreements, including the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), supports the view of a ‘win – win’ situation that should encourage all participants to work toward a mutually enabling political and economic agreement. INTRODUCTION The creation of a new common market in the Caribbean may profit from the history of others as well as new thinking in regard to economic opportunities in the new constituency. The Canadians were drawn into a free trade agreement with the United States that was in fact a political agreement rather than one with complete economic parity. It was the conclusion of what was already a mutually successful auto trade agreement that accounted for the majority of trade between the two nations. Arising from this background are a number of issues that CARICOM participants may wish to review. Firstly, in working with other countries to expand market opportunities and establish guidelines to direct multilateral trade, at stake are the political and economic sovereignties of participant states. The creation of a single market will expose the markets of CARICOM’s fourteen members to the intrusion of the strongest and most able. A free, open and democratic marketplace is completely essential for economic growth and improved standard of living but even so, certain safeguards are important to ensure the sovereignty of nations. On the other hand, the agreement itself may contain language and structure that restricts national interests. Care must be taken to provide equity, yet at the same time avoid oversights such as covenants that preclude the ability of governments to address domestic problems. Under NAFTA, for example, Canada is constrained from dealing with dwindling resources and environmental change in its energy programs by a superceding requirement in the agreement. If companies want to preserve the country’s resources for future generations by curbing US exports they cannot do so unless they also reduce supply to Canadians. In effect the US, by implication, has equal access to Canada’s resources. But in extending NAFTA to Mexico, the Mexicans would have none of that and held on to their energy sovereignty.i The consequences of any agreement will have an effect on the economy of a nation. Once a single market is created, and the political language equitably enables the flow of commerce, it is important that all members equally profit from the arrangement. An examination of the individual CARICOM economies suggests there is something less than equal opportunity for all, particularly the smaller and less developed states. Thus, the 3 major and difficult role for negotiators will be to level the playing field so that all may profit equally The second consideration is the ability to prosper under the agreement and to appreciate economic expansion. In most economies there are two wealth producing sectors. The first is comprised of older, perhaps larger enterprises that provide much of the employment and national wealth. Within the CARICOM, many countries are resource based and depend on mining, fishing, sugar and fruit production in addition to tourism. History tells us that these industries will eventually decline, (if some are not already on that slope), and disappear. In developed economies the successful, older companies are able to renew their operations with technology and incremental product innovation. But even so, in time these will die, pushed aside by higher technology firms and radical innovation. The second sector is that part of the economy given to innovation within existing firms and the creation of new industry by innovative, entrepreneurial people. As older firms decline they are replaced by new companies created by individuals who start new ventures in response to opportunities in the marketplace, (As in those that might be presented under a CARICOM, CSME). Global studies confirm the existence of this dual economy and the utter importance of its creative contribution to national wealth. This will be the single most important challenge to the CSME. Even as the CSME is formed, governments must take large strides towards encouraging the growth of the entrepreneurial component in their economies. The challenge is whether governments will be able to overcome an inherited business culture that has remained in place, almost unaffected, for the last five hundred years. SOVEREIGNTY: POLITICAL REALITY AND THE CANADIAN EXPERIENCE The late Canadian Prime Minister, the Hon. Pierre Trudeau, declared Canada’s relationship with the United States was as “a mouse in bed with an elephant, ever fearful of the latter were it to roll over.” During more than forty years of intermittent negotiations leading up to the NAFTA, Canada has assumed the lesser position in response to the bulk of its partner. That is not to say the elephant has been unduly aggressive nor intimidating, but in the minds of Canadian officials and bureaucratic mandarins there has been a consistent need to give obeisance to the elephant. In contriving the precursor to the Canada – US Free Trade Agreement of 1989, (CUFTA), Canada’s representatives effectively relinquished all economic sovereignty over the automotive market in their final draft of the Canada-US Automotive Products Trade Agreement (APTA) in 1964. Their naively produced accord would have cost Canada its entire auto industry and tens of thousands of jobs. The objective of the agreement was to create broader markets “within which the full benefits of specialization and large scale production’ would be achieved. At that time and to the present, the industry was almost entirely composed of American subsidiaries operating in Canada. When the draft for approval was presented to the Hon. Lester Pearson he was quickly apprised of the fact the agreement, as written, would more than live up to its purpose, for it permitted the full-scale production and rationalization of the industry south of the Canadian border! The draft provided full and total access to the Canadian market with no quid pro quo or restriction whatsoever that would assure that supply would come from Canadian based firms. 4 In a uniquely entrepreneurial move the Prime Minister penned in a two-sentence attachment to the draft agreement that required a Canadian value-added of at least sixty percent in those automobiles sold into Canada.ii Needless to say American business was appalled when President Lyndon Johnson signed on to the agreement. Sovereignty and Size The APTA was the basis for the Canada-US Free Trade Agreement of 1989. This accord was prompted by fears that Canada would be excluded from access to US markets. Again the nation’s bureaucrats and politicians were influenced by the elephant to seek an arrangement assuring a continued access to the US automotive market. At that time a number of US politicians, including Richard Gephardt a recent Democratic presidential candidate, were clamoring for protection for American jobs and proposing increased tariffs and quotas. Canada once again rushed to the table and signed the Canada-US Free Trade Agreement where, again it was found, the negotiators had yielded yet more national sovereignty. In 1998 Canadian medical scientists found that a manganese compound, MMT, used in gasoline replacing lead, as an antiknock constituent was detrimental to health. Accordingly, the federal government banned the product. In short order the country was sued by the Ethyl Corporation of Virginia for abrogation of Article 110 of NAFTA. This article permits recourse for corporations affected by national policy. Rather than fight for its domestic national rights the government yielded, paid the Ethyl Corporation almost $20 million CAD, and lifted the ban on MMT calling to mind the words of Dr. Yandell Henderson of Yale University who declared that “Men in industry take it as a matter of course that a little thing like industrial poisoning should not be allowed to stand in the way of great industrial advance.”iii The focus for Caribbean negotiators, then, is on the provision of equality among parties and an acceptance that size has little to do with any less need for sovereign rights, whether to market, economic or legal jurisdictions. A market is a national sovereign issue. It is not to be yielded simply on the basis of implied threats from a larger partner. Equality Within The Terms of Agreement The genesis for NAFTA was almost an agreement that ceded market sovereignty to the Americans. The APTA was reworked and rushed into the CUFTA, 1989, by the Hon. Brian Mulroney who reacted to American expressions, but not actions of protectionism. In his desire to please US interests, Mulroney demanded the individual provinces in the country be signatories to the agreement thereby endowing the CUFTA with the status of a treaty. On the other hand the US federal government did not make the same demands on its individual states, assuming any would have been signed on in any case, thereby excluding their commercial sovereignty from the agreement. Canadian businesspeople have been confounded when they realized they could not do business in certain states without the approval of one commission or another. In good part the softwood lumber dispute, the grain embargo against Canadian wheat and penalties against the steel industry are manifestations of individual states’ pressures to have retained certain jurisdictions. NAFTA is exclusive of certain key issues and will continue to defy 5 Canadian national interests until such time as amendments are made or the agreement is reworked. Here again Caribbean legislators are reminded of the need to work on an equitable application of agreement across all jurisdictions. Vested Interests and Agendas A nation is responsible for its marketplace, the crucible in which businesses and entrepreneurs create economic wealth and employment. This is vitally important if a nation is to stimulate its entrepreneurial economy. Unrestricted, free access to a local market by external, large-scale enterprises interferes with the ability of local producers to start up and/or become competitive. On the other hand, with new and larger markets made available to smaller economies within a free trade agreement there is opportunity to expand operations, improve productivity and reduce costs for commodity type goods. Commensurately, for differentiated goods, those that have intrinsic value and worth beyond pure price consideration, there is a need to increase investment in marketing and distribution. In either case domestic enterprise is to be nurtured and encouraged to grow. It cannot be left to larger interests to apply the concepts of laissez-faire when it suits them. Nations must be assured they have equal access to a continuing, growing yet sustainable economy. In setting the scale where some industries were protected for five to ten years into the agreement, Canadians accepted a potpourri that was seen to suit the agenda of one vested interest or another. Some of those granted a long-term adjustment period were perceived to be politically associated with the government of the day, while others who were smaller and less contributory were excluded. Canada, despite being a woodproducing nation permitted its furniture industry to wither. A few years into the agreement it witnessed a 39% drop in the furniture industryiv that had been given marginal assistance at best to respond to competitive pressure from the south. The wine industry was given no opportunity, and was further vexed by having to apply to individual states for licenses to distribute wine. But the breweries were granted a ten-year hiatus. The transportation and services industries had little or no time to adjust to the new competitive environment. Canada’s toy industry, essentially a small scale operation along with 7,500 other small and medium sized businesses closed down at the expense of 425,000 jobs.v Most of these were either privately owned Canadian operations or smaller US subsidiaries. It is clear that the granting of adjustment periods should match the importance of the industry to a domestic economy and not the political whims or vested interest of competitive enterprises. Manufacturing and production are bedrock aspects of a national economy and could represent as much as five jobs for each one lost in manufacturing. The Role of Multinational Corporations The NAFTA and its predecessors were designed to accommodate the automotive industry that accounted for 70 percent of Canada’s trade with the United States. Most of these corporations are foreign subsidiaries of multinational firms. Thus while NAFTA is credited with improving the economies of all parties to the agreement, the fact is that the bulk of trade growth was among and between US multinationals. 6 Table 1 Growth in US-Mexican-Canadian Tradevi Millions of $ CAD 1990 1998 Canada-Mexico Canada-USA 2,405 199,432 9,008 474,822 The figures are impressive and the nation has enjoyed evident monetary success. But that is not necessarily a statement of wealth, for the real wealth of a nation is the ability to create and sustain employment. There are fewer jobs in a million dollars worth of resource products and many more in a million dollars worth of finished goods. So, while the dollar values are impressive, they accrued at the expense of hundreds of small firms that were closed under the agreement and multinationals grew even larger and stronger. Prior to NAFTA, a US corporation that was hurt by the actions of a foreign government had to defend itself in a state court or prevail on its federal government to take the issue through GATT. Under Article 110 of NAFTA it is now the case that corporations may sue the Canadian government directly, as with Ethyl Corp. “The only ‘citizens’ whose rights in Canada were extended by continental governance are corporations based in the United States or Mexico, against governments whose regulations might reduce their earnings.”vii Multinationals are large entities that are often directed by their own needs rather than those of host nations in which they operate. Paraphrasing J. K. Galbraith, it is wondered that standing astride international boundaries they are not an assault on political sovereignty or are, perhaps making obsolete the national state.viii It is clear they serve a purpose and can be effective in creating employment in a region. But one must wonder about Galbraith’s thoughts, and the fact that for every job created in a region, the multinational corporation also creates two at home.ix The result is abundantly evident in the automotive industry, where despite the billions of dollars in trade by Ford, General Motors and others, there are virtually no jobs in corporate purchasing, engineering, marketing and finance nor other senior functions located in Canada. They are all in the United States. A national policy, perhaps a CARICOM policy, should require contractual arrangements with multinational companies for access to markets, but only to the extent there is an allocation of jobs that includes senior as well as menial activities. Foreign Domination In developing national policies at the time that Australia was debating leaving the Commonwealth and becoming a republic, politicians and consultants constantly reminded each other they did not want Canadianization to occur in their country. They were referring, of course, to the fact that foreign corporations control a large portion of Canada’s economy where almost all the automotive products and energy industries are foreign held, as are more than 40 percent of manufacturing, mining and food services. Mostly held by American multinationals. 7 Foreign domination has three aspects that impact on national economies, notwithstanding the issue of a loss of sovereignty and economic control. These are transfer pricing, corporate payments for technology and management services, and skilled employment. Taken together these remove capital from the system. A further aspect is that these cost allocations decrease profits on the books of subsidiaries and foreign corporations pay a less than equitable portion of the tax burden. Noted Canadian economist Eric Kierans observed that if foreign corporations in Canada were taxed the same as they were in the United States it would be the equivalent of increasing the wages of every Canadian by ten percent.x Highly specialized employment located at head offices also precludes the development of innovation and invention in a host country. Thus a nation’s intellectual property is diminished and future expansion within the nation is curtailed, being held in control by foreign interest. There is also the effect of decision-making in regard to social and environmental factors that will no doubt be influenced by home office governments. ECONOMIC ISSUES: ENTREPRENEURSHIP IN THE CARIBBEAN The major challenge to CARICOM will be in the ability of individual nations to realize their potential within the CSME. The creation of structure and terms of reference for the agreement will not be all that onerous. CARICOM has made substantial progress in contriving a concord respecting the fourteen member nations. There is a common will to come together. Moreover there is a considerable body of legal material in other transnational agreements including NAFTA, that can be studied to extract the language, meaning and form that will where appropriate, apply to the CSME agreement. But what will prove to be the principal challenge, if not stumbling block to its success, will be the ability of businesses and individuals to exploit the opportunities that will be made manifest from the agreement. Classical economics states that national wealth is derived from factors inclusive of land, capital and labour; that a capitalist assembles from these factors the ingredients to develop enterprise and wealth. In recent decades that model has changed dramatically, impelled to do so by the dynamics of the information age: new technologies, a rapidly changing environment and fragmenting markets. What has materialized is the role of the entrepreneur as the powerhouse of an economy. Audretsch and Thurik have successfully argued that “Entrepreneurship has emerged as the engine of economic and social development throughout the world.”xi Duality in the Economy Entrepreneurship is the mechanism that creates a national economy. While econometric models hitherto have generally ignored the role of the individual as a prime mover, the dominant force of new and applied knowledge in the formation and operation of enterprise necessitates the role of an entrepreneur as the ‘mover and shaker’ in an economy. Entrepreneurship has long played a role in business development and is prominent in the Austrian school of economics. It is now a serious, if not major component of a national economy, so much so that it comprises a significant, and in some instances, a major part of the national economy. In Canada and the United States it 8 accounts for half of the employment and innovation and almost all new inventions. Entrepreneurship, if not the fountainhead of an economy, is a vital component to its success. Walstead and Kourilsky in reporting the results of a national survey note: “Entrepreneurship is destined to have an accelerating effect on the economic future of our nation and on our economy’s ability to generate new jobs.” xii In its first annual report on the contribution of entrepreneurship in ten leading countries, the prestigious Global Entrepreneurship Monitor concludes that entrepreneurship is now foremost in the public policy initiatives of most countries. xiii In the newly emerging economy of Estonia, a decade removed from the lugubrious structure of an authoritarian government, researchers find the empowering force of entrepreneurship at work.xiv Referring to the function of the entrepreneur Kurik et al observe, “In today’s increasingly global, increasingly knowledge-based economy, innovation – the capacity to apply new knowledge in order to improve productivity and create new products and services – is more significant than ever.” An earlier study in that country found that almost as soon as the Soviet hegemony collapsed, entrepreneurs emerged by the tens of thousands to fill the market voids left by that corrupt system.xv What is important about the Estonian study is that it took place in a new economy, one that was created virtually from scratch. But Kurik et al go on to make a further point that has import to the CARICOM condition. In commenting on the role of the entrepreneur they further observe that: “This capacity relies not only on scientific inventiveness and entrepreneurial flair but, critically, on the conditions which permit, encourage and sustain the innovative creativity, or restrict it.” In other words there must be a receptive and encouraging society in which entrepreneurship can flourish. Some years ago Jeffry Timmonsxvi signaled the importance when he observed that an entrepreneurial wave was sweeping America with entrepreneurship the fuel, engine, and the throttle of the nation’s economic machinery. From 1980 to 1987 he found that larger firms, notably the Fortune 500, downsized their operations and cast off more than 3 million jobs. Remarkably, these were more than offset by the creation of 17 million jobs in high technology industries. But while the creation of jobs is important, entrepreneurs are the source for knowledge and innovation too. Baumol observes that “...the small firm, home of the independent entrepreneur and the independent inventor, has been the primary source of the technical ideas and innovations that serve as the foundation for the unprecedented growth performance of the world’s industrial economies.” xvii The fourth annual publication of the Global Entrepreneurship Monitor,xviii now expanded to a thirty seven-nation study, including Mexico, Israel, South Africa and Hungary, develops the argument for a dual nature to an economy comprised of large enterprises and smaller, growing entrepreneurial enterprises. Researchers find there are a number of significant variables that define the construct of entrepreneurship in those countries, including innovation, new business startups, intellectual property and so on. As with Baumol and Audretsch and Thurik they support the concept of a ‘managed economy,’ that is to say one comprised of larger and/or older companies managed by executives and to a separate, dynamic entrepreneurial economy. 9 The Market Based Model Kirznerxix argues that market forces, and not supply side assumptions direct an economy. Demand is a function of needs and wants of a population, including manufacturing entities that direct the flow of goods and services. Thus demand is a derivative of one of four decision criteria: the utility of a product or service, the cost, the benefit and the intrinsic value, (Figure 1.). New products and innovations have a value that place them in a quadrant of benefit and value. In time, as they become more intensively commercialized, they are driven to the more competitive cost-utility quadrant where, barring improvements or other innovative application, they become less in demand and eventually are dropped, or the firm and the product disappear from the market. Applying market forces to the examination, a model of a dual economy is developedxx wherein the entrepreneurial economy, or the alpha economy, is a summation of entrepreneurial activities that constantly disrupt stability in the marketplace, as noted much earlier by Schumpeter. This activity can be described as the economic velocity of the economy and is contained in the generalized expression: ∆Ve =ƒ(∆Di*∆Pi), ∆T, ∆E) and the total effect on an economy is recorded by the term = GNP [1 +/- Ve]xxi. In the model T = technology and E = entrepreneurial activity. As the alpha type enterprise reaches maturity and experiences the effect of competition it becomes a part of the managed economy, a beta enterprise. It begins to cut costs and employment through economies of scale and productivity and seeks ways of maintaining growth usually by exporting to other nations. In time it becomes less competitive, less in demand and it passes from the scene. Figure 1. Market Forces Model Benefit α Economy Value Cost β Economy Decline Utility The Caribbean: Alpha or Beta? The evidence supports the thesis that the Caribbean for the most part tends toward a beta type economy. Excepting one or two nations the balances in trade are in deficit, 10 growth is tied to the tourism industry, which is an external and uncontrollable source of wealth, and there are limited natural resources on which to build enterprise. A successful economy requires the entrepreneurial activity of individuals to start new ventures and to expand existing businesses. Nor is it appropriate to believe that entrepreneurial activity is assured in those enterprises that now exist. The evidence very much establishes that older and larger firms are in fact declining, if not part of the ‘working dead.’xxii The dual model (Endnote xx) establishes that many of the firms in the beta, or managed economy, are in a state of decline. In the Caribbean these may include resource industries such as sugar, fruit, certain tourism operations, manufacturing and retailing. Thus within CARICOM there are enterprises that are susceptible to decline even as the promise of a CSME is considered. Smaller countries in the Caribbean suffer a shortage of fuel for their economies.xxiii During the agricultural era, prior to 1950, the islands subsisted on export of raw material, sugar, fruit, fish and a bit later, on resources such as bauxite. In the years that followed the developing industrial era they continued to provide raw goods, augmented by tourism and travel. However, these aspects no longer provide sufficient fuel to power the economies and in many cases the trend is not positive. Consumers in the smaller nations continue to demand imported goods even though there is less national income to counter the cost in terms of value added export opportunities. Commensurate with this trend is the fact that aggregate incomes may also decline, because of job elimination in moribund industries, as in the export of sugar and fruit crops, plus the effect of employment inequity in traded goods. Thus the economic velocity of the economy is retarded and decline continues. Nor does the heavy reliance on external sources of income from tourism or international banking improve economies, except perhaps in the short-term. Typically these activities are characterized by lower income opportunities for these nations with less commensurate revenue from taxation and no opportunity for technological growth. What smaller nations require is an access to entrepreneurial opportunity. Technology trends do promise certain prospects for growth, as would access to expanded markets and demographic shifts. Unfortunately smaller economies usually lack a skilled technical and entrepreneurial class to exploit the trends. Until the CSME is fully operational smaller economies will not have the larger market mass to support a critical production base and the innovative opportunities that can be exploited by an entrepreneurial class. Where might entrepreneurs begin? One of the areas, given the creation of a larger market is the opportunity to consider import replacement programs. Early studies into the economic viability of smaller businesses concluded that viable, competitive firms could exist in a population as small as one million people and produce up to 70 percent of all consumer goods required for that market.xxiv Macro-enterprises may be stimulated to satisfy basic demands in food goods, craft ware and apparel. Within smaller markets these are not sufficient to improve a hard-pressed economy but with access to larger markets these smaller-scale enterprises have opportunity to expand and grow. A further consideration is that economies of scale no longer pose a major drawback, as once may have been the case. Technology now permits smaller scale operations and equivalent, if not superior output. 11 Entrepreneurship is an Attitude Creativity in the arts or in business is a spiritual thing. The outcomes are very related. What one person brings to a canvas or musical score, another brings to an enterprise. Regis McKenna is looked on as the leading authority in marketing in the Information Age. He believes that entrepreneurs are successful because of their attitude toward what they do.xxv Indeed he attributes the success of the Silicon Valley phenomenon to the attitude of the men and women who achieved great things and continue to do so in creating new products and services for the new era. Needless to say, the Silicon Valley model has been replicated around the world where governments have set up the seed structure to encourage and enable creativity in high technology operations in their own countries. But an entrepreneurial attitude also requires an environment that nurtures and succours the entrepreneurial act. Under the heavy tutelage of the former Soviet Empire there was virtually no creative entrepreneurship, and the failure of the system is as much attributable to that factor as it is to inadequacies of the concept. Entrepreneurship requires a democratic, free spirited, supportive business culture and organic environment to thrive. The Caribbean is democratic and free spirited. However there is some question about its business culture and no little suspicion the region still retains vestiges of a eighteenth century bureaucracy. A recent study of middle managers in 47 countries focused on the sources of guidance or values that managers referenced in making decisions.xxvi A variety of criteria were tested but the important consideration was whether managers felt confident in their own abilities as to be venturesome and creative. Did they rely on their own experience or were they constrained to follow the rules. The study found that Caribbean states, including Jamaica and Barbados relied on the guideline of rule in making decisions. In other words, there is little empathy for entrepreneurial activity on the part of managers in the beta economy. Fortunately attitudes can change, given opportunity to do so. The experience of emerging nations from the former Soviet Union, newly developing countries in Southeast Asia, and China itself, give assurance that a nation economy can thrive in its entrepreneurial class if so disposed. Developing an Entrepreneurial Economy CARICOM and its individual states have much work to do if they are to thrive in the newly formed free market and economy. A laissez-faire attitude will do little to encourage growth except the expansion of larger enterprise, including multinationals. It will also encourage the inclusion of flow-through operations, whereby highly competitive goods from multinationals will dominate the economy and reduce national wealth. Thus rather than stimulate internal growth it will facilitate contraction, replaced by these external sources. In any event neither of these reflect an alpha economy, but rather a managed, declining economy. The lesson from developing and developed nations is the need to have within the population some or all the following: 1. The existence of opportunity seeking individuals 2. The existence of companies with opportunity seeking managers 3. The existence of latent entrepreneurs in the population 4. Access to opportunities in technology 12 5. Access to opportunity through markets 6. A supportive government 7. A supportive commercial system Experience and history confirms that people have the latent entrepreneurial capability. In defining the entrepreneur a number of studiesxxvii have found that individuals can be trained and conditioned to become entrepreneurial. Thus the issue becomes one of setting forth an effort that would accomplish that goal. Creating an Alpha Economy CARICOM has a unique and exceptional opportunity to create and sustain entrepreneurship in the Caribbean. The United States, and to a lesser extent Canada, developed their entrepreneurial economies in the last century. Even so Canada lagged the US for some years, held back by the vestiges of an inherited bureaucratic system. Only latterly has the country begun to improve its alpha economy. In preparation for the single market, Caribbean nations must initiate campaigns that will inform business communities and latent entrepreneurs of the intention to encourage and grow its entrepreneurial class. Table 2. presents an overview of the programs that could be considered to assist businesses in the transition and encourage new venture formation. Table 2. Creating an Entrepreneurial Economy; Phase One SECTOR • Existing Businesses • • • Latent & Budding New Ventures • • OBJECTIVES & OUTCOMES Heightened Awareness of Competition Improved Internal Operations Market Opportunity Identification New Venture Creation – Market Niches New Venture Creation – Technologies Inventory of New & Appropriate Technologies • • • • • • • • PROGRAMS & DELIVERY New Technologies & Productivity Methods Market Identification & Analysis Marketing Strategies Technology transfer Concept – Invention Development Prototype Development New Venture Commercialization Small Business Development Centres & Incubators It is critically important that domestic businesses are encouraged to avail themselves of the opportunities that a single market will provide. It is here that governments must take a position and become involved. During the period when Japanese industry threatened to outflank Ontario’s automotive products sector with new 13 technologies and productivities, the provincial government created an agency to work with the hundreds of firms in the industry, assisting and encouraging them to become competitive and productive in the face of new competition. But industry assistance by itself will not be sufficient. The Caribbean needs to examine its culture in respect to commerce and industry, certainly in regard to free enterprise and entrepreneurship. The former republics of the old Soviet Empire required a decade, and in some cases a generation, to overcome the negativity that had been associated with entrepreneurship. The term “mafia” was used in those days to signify someone who made profit at another person’s expense: being an entrepreneur. People were jailed for trying to make a profit. Thus, it behooves Caribbean governments to take the message to the people and to begin the long process of creating a full, free enterprise system. Table 3. sets out an overview of programs that might initiate the process. Table 3. SECTOR The Public Creating an Entrepreneurial Society; Phase Two OBJECTIVES & OUTCOMES • • Education • High Schools • Colleges • Universities • Institutions • • • Acceptance of free enterprise as important to a strong economy Alert the public to the option of self employment Change in Public Attitude Creation of Enterprise Culture Stimulate Concept of Self Employment PROGRAMS & DELIVERY • Media publicity to educate the public of the importance and necessity of entrepreneurship • • • • • Governments at all Levels • Appreciation for the Importance and Worth of Business and Entrepreneurship • • • Introductory Courses on Entrepreneurship Entrepreneurial Economics New Venture Creation Projects Business Plans and Funding Certificates, Degrees in Entrepreneurship Seminars Courses in Business Courses in Entrepreneurship Conclusion The CARICOM Single Market and Economy promises a great opportunity for Caribbean nations, small and large, to boldly enter the twenty first century. It can provide the economy that will vastly improve the standard of living for all countries. Then too it 14 may just provide the vehicle that unites the entire Caribbean basin and thirty to forty million people. There is much to concern members and most of the challenge is yet to come. There are pitfalls, oversights that need be examined and markets safeguarded in coming to an agreement, but these can be managed. Nevertheless CARICOM, in the final analysis, will rise to its full capability to the degree it can build and sustain an entrepreneurial economy. Older businesses, like so many ancient structures, need rebuilding through innovation and entrepreneurial action or the will die. New enterprises await the new Caribbean entrepreneur. But he/she will need the environment and the encouragement of an enterprise society to make that happen. Endnotes i Text of the US-Canada Automotive Products Trade Agreement. With Nafta Canada Gave Up Its Energy Sovereignty, by Eric Reguly, Toronto Globe and Mail, June 16, 2003 iii Cited in The Canadian Environmental Law Association Intervenor, Vol. 23, No. 3 July-September 1998, pp 6 – 8. iv NAFTA AT SEVEN, Briefing Paper, Economic Policy Institute, Washington DC, 2001 v Labour Market Effects Under CUFTA/NAFTA. Bruce Campbell, Andrew Jackson, Mehrene Larudee and Teresa Haces, International Labor Organization, 1999 vi NAFTA and Transportation: A Canadian Scorecard, Mary R. Brooks, Centre for International Business Studies, Dalhousie University N.S. August, 2000 vii Canada’s Secret Constitution: NAFTA, WTO and the End of Sovereignty? Stephen Clarkson, Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives, October 2002, ISBN: 0-88627-281-5 viii Economics and the Public Purpose, John Kenneth Galbraith, Hamondsworth Penguin, 1973 ix “How Foreign Investment Creates Jobs at Home.” Harvard Business Review, September, 1972 x Discussions with Eric Kierans, former Liberal Cabinet Minister, Professor Emeritus in Economics, McGill University, Montreal, Toronto and District Liberal Policy Conference, October, 1980 xi The Model of the Entrepreneurial Economy, David Audretsch and Doug Thurik, Institute for Development Strategies, Indiana University and the Centre for Advanced Small Business Economics at Erasmus University, Rotterdam, September, 2003. xii William B. Walstead and Marilyn Kourilsky, “The Findings From a National Survey of Entrepreneurship and Small Business,” Journal of Private Enterprise. Vol. XI, No. 2 (Spring 1996) pp 2132 xiii Global Entrepreneurship Monitor, 1999, Executive Report, Paul D. Reynolds, Michael Hay, S. Michael Camp, Babson College, Kauffman Center for Entrepreneurial Entrepreneurship, London School of Business. xiv Innovation in Estonian Enterprises 1998-2000, Silja Kurik, Runno Lumiste, Erik Terk, Aavo Heino, Estonian Technology Agency (ESTAG), Talinn, 2002 xv Blawatt, Ken R. "Entrepreneurship in Estonia: Profiles of Entrepreneurs", Journal of Small Business Management, Vol. 33, No. 2, April 1995, 74 - 79. ii xvi Timmons, Jeffry A. America’s Entrepreneurial Revolution: The Demise of Brontosaurus Capitalism. Babson College, F.W. Olin Graduate School of Business, 1998, P. 11 xvii William J. Baumol, Entrepreneurship, Innovation and Growth: The David-Goliath Symbiosis, a Talk based on The Free-Market Innovation Machine: Analyzing the Growth Miracle of Capitalism, Princeton, Princeton Press, 2002 xviii Global Entrepreneurship Monitor, 2002, Executive Report, Paul D. Reynolds, Erkko Autio, William D. Bygrave, Larry W. Cox, Michael Hay, Babson College, Kauffman Center for Entrepreneurial Entrepreneurship, London School of Business. 15 xix Kirzner, Israel, Entrepreneurial Discovery and the Competitive Market Process: An Austrian Approach' , Journal of Economic Literature, March 1997 xx Blawatt, Ken R. “Defining the Alpha Economy; The Role of Entrepreneurship in Creating National Wealth, Working Paper, Department of Management Studies, University of the West Indies, Cave Hill, March 2004. xxi There is an implied relationship between the function of the term and the Kondratieff long cycle. As technological and entrepreneurial activities become greater, so too does the growth of economic activity increase. As the acceleration decreases, so too does economic activity decline. It is in this cycle the model may explain and have some relativity to the Kondratieff long cycle. xxii Professor Rein Petersen, director of York University’s Centre for Entreprenurship in Toronto, Canada refers to small businesses in three classifications, gazelles who are leaping ahead, the deceased or ventures that are on the way out and the working dead, those who do not have enough sense to shut the doors and walk away. xxiii Blawatt, Ken R. Defining Economies & An Enterprise Society, Presentation to the St. Vincent Conference, May 22nd, 2003 University of the West Indies School of Continuing Studies, Country Conference Series xxiv Barry A. Stein, Competitive Scale in Manufacturing: The Case for Consumer Goods, Cambridge MA, The Center for Economic Development, 1976. xxv Regis McKenna, Silicon Valley Isn' t a Place as Much as It Is an Attitude Forbes ASAP, 12.03.01 xxvi Cultural Values, Sources of Guidance and Their Relevance to Managerial Behaviour: A 47 Naiton Study, Peter B. Smith, Mark F. Peterson and Shalom H Schwarts, et al, Journal of Cross Cultural Psychology, 33, 188 – 208, September 2002 xxvii Entrepreneurial Studies cited by Blawatt, Ken R. include: Entrepreneurship: Process and Management, Prentice Hall Canada, 1998; "Defining the Entrepreneur: A Conceptual Model Based on Performance" Paper presented to the Canadian Council of Small Business and Entrepreneurship 1995 CCSBE Conference, October, 1995 in Thunder Bay; "Entrepreneurship in Low Technology Nations: Evaluation of Entrepreneurship in Estonian Business Students Employing the Rokeach Value System," proceedings of the 11th Annual Canadian Conference on Small Business and Entrepreneurship, Winnipeg, October 27th, 1994. 16
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