LECTURE 6: North Italian City States, Institutions, and Gunpowder HISTORY 4100-101: Topics in Economic History Dr. Jari Eloranta Assistant Professor of Comparative Economic and Business History Appalachian State University, Department of History Office: Old Library 1059 (Office hours: Tuesdays 1-3 pm in person; by email or appointment, Thursdays 11 am – 5 pm) Phone: 262-6006 E-mail: [email protected] http://www.appstate.edu/~elorantaj LECTURE 6: North Italian City States, Institutions, and Gunpowder A. THEORY: TRADE AND INSTITUTIONS 1. Gains from trade 2. The “Fundamental Problem of Exchange” (Avner Greif) 3. Merchant Guilds and the FPOE 4. Competition between states B. PRACTICE : THE VENETIAN REPUBLIC AND THE REVIVAL OF LONG DISTANCE TRADE 1. Role of the state 2. Population 3. Shipping and commerce 4. Finance 5. Industry 6. Agriculture 7. The relative decline of Venice 1 da Vinci, Mona Lisa LECTURE 6: North Italian City States, Institutions, and Gunpowder da Vinci, Mona Lisa In 1503 Leonardo da Vinci began his most famous work-- the Mona Lisa. The subject of the painting is Lisa Gherardini del Giocondo, the wife of a prominent Florentine businessman. She is posed half-length in the seated position, her posture is relaxed, and her gaze is direct. The softening of the edges of the background, effecting a fine haze called sfumato, creates a sense of intimacy and psychological drama. (Erich Lessing/Art Resource, NY) Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved. Brunelleschi's Dome LECTURE 6: North Italian City States, Institutions, and Gunpowder Brunelleschi's Dome Filipo Brunelleschi, the foremost architect of the Early Renaissance, lost the competition for the commission for the north door of the Baptistery to Ghiberti. In 1417 he bested Ghiberti for the commission to build a dome for the Florentine Cathedral. Between 1420 and 1436 he built a drum--a vertical supporting wall--on the existing 138-footdiameter octagonal cross of the cathedral. He then assembled the dome on the drum, essentially creating an eight-sided Gothic vault. (Scala/Art Resource, NY) Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved. 2 Michelangelo, David LECTURE 6: North Italian City States, Institutions, and Gunpowder Michelangelo, David The concept of genius as divine inspiration is nowhere exemplified more fully than in the life and work of Michelangelo Buonarrotti (1475-1564). And Michelangelo was a sculptor--more specifically, a carver of marble statues--to the core. His David is the earliest monumental statue of the High Renaissance, and the city fathers eventually chose to put it in front of the Palazzo Vecchio, as the civic-patriotic symbol of the Florentine republic. Michelangelo fashioned the marble in a new, more natural manner. David's bare skin contrasts with the rough leather strap of the slingshot, and his right leg leans against a realistic tree trunk. He blends the classical model of a victorious athlete crowned with a laurel wreath with the biblical hero as a defender of the faith. David is a mature young man of consummate beauty. (Scala/Art Resource, NY) Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved. LECTURE 6: North Italian City States, Institutions, and Gunpowder A. THEORY: TRADE AND INSTITUTIONS 1. GAINS FROM TRADE: ● Absolute advantage (Smith): gains from trade obvious; each country specialises in product it can produce with less inputs Comparative advantage (Ricardo): still gains from trade even when one country better at producing both goods ● Example of ABSOLUTE ADVANTAGE: Labour costs for production of one unit of each commodity (labour is the only input) ● Example of COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE: Labour costs for one unit of each commodity: Cloth vs. Wine England A 100 120 Portugal B 90 80 • Portugal has an absolute advantage in this example in both commodities, but a comparative advantage in wine. The comparative cost of cloth: wine is 10/12 for England and 9/8 for Portugal. After trade, specialisation occurs. England specialises in cloth and produces 2.2 units, while Portugal specialises in wine and produces 2.125 units: Both countries have more of at least one commodity after trade. 3 LECTURE 6: North Italian City States, Institutions, and Gunpowder A. THEORY: TRADE AND INSTITUTIONS 1. GAINS FROM TRADE: ● DYNAMIC GAINS FROM TRADE: Above analysis static, assuming given technology. Trade may bring about dynamic changes and act as “engine of growth”: (on increasing returns from trade, see e.g. Paul Krugman) (a) economies of scale: specialisation →production for bigger market (b) Exchange of knowledge → new economic opportunities (c) Competition on world markets →stimulate efficiency (d) Capital imports possible →overcome shortage of domestic savings ● Country may also specialise in commodities with few spin-offs (e.g. agriculture), and get stuck in dead-end (especially if industrialised countries then protect their own agric sectors) In sum: Absolute advantage: each country more efficient in production of one good; Comparative advantage: one country more efficient in production of both goods, but specialises in production of good where its advantage is greatest. LECTURE 6: North Italian City States, Institutions, and Gunpowder 2. THE FUNDAMENTAL PROBLEM OF EXCHANGE (FPOE) Based on Avner Greif’s work! (SEE THE ASSIGNED READING AS WELL) ● Even if potential gains from trade exist, trade may not occur. FPOE: how can you be sure that the other side to a bargain will fulfil their contractual obligations? ● Key issues: trust, information (or the lack of it), property rights, repeated interactions, monitoring (who, how) plus monitoring costs, power relations ● Lender will not lend if he can’t be sure borrower won’t just run off with money. Investor won’t invest unless assured that government won’t come along & expropriate assets ● In modern economy, many institutional features mitigate this FPOE. These issues v. important in Third World. We take these institutional features for granted; until recently little research on how they evolved in the West! 4 LECTURE 6: North Italian City States, Institutions, and Gunpowder 2. THE FUNDAMENTAL PROBLEM OF EXCHANGE (FPOE) Figure 1. Arms Race Game Dynamics Among Nations in the Interwar Period NATION 1 LIMIT ME ESCALATE ME NATION 2 LIMIT ME ESCALATE ME 4,4 8,-16 -16,8 -12,-12 DOMINANT STRATEGY: ARMS RACE, GIVEN THE ABSENCE OF TRUST (REPEATED INTERACTIONS) AND/ORCOMMON SYSTEM OF SECURITY GUARANTEES (I.E, LEAGUE OF NATIONS) The two participating nations have two strategies: either to limit or escalate one’s military spending. The hypothetical payoffs presented arise from four strategy combinations: 1) Both countries limit their ME; 2) Nation 1 limits while nation 2 escalates; 3) Nation 2 limits while nation 1 escalates; 4) Both countries escalate their military spending. The first number in a cell indicates the payoff to nation 1, whereas the second the payoff to nation 2. The matrix shows that each nation is best off when it escalates and the other limits ME. In the absence of trust or some type of guarantee (or repeated interaction), the escalate-escalate strategy would prevail, producing the worst outcome in terms of the maintenance of peace between the two nations. LECTURE 6: North Italian City States, Institutions, and Gunpowder 2. THE FUNDAMENTAL PROBLEM OF EXCHANGE (FPOE) ● Medieval European merchants concerned about FPOE, and the solutions they found very important in laying foundations of “European miracle” (=growth of markets) ● Greif analyses FPOE using game theory, based on assumption of individual self-interest. “Game of trust” or “one-sided prisoner’s dilemma” -Example (two players): If player 1 (e.g. merchant) initiates trade, individually rational for player 2 (e.g. king) to renege. But player I can anticipate this response, and so should not initiate trade. This means gains from trade will not be realised. (Third World countries today and Europe in Dark Ages). ● How do we get out of this situation in theory? And what light does this shed on how Europe laid the foundations for prosperity? • In theory, player 2 must be able to credibly commit not to renege. In practice, Europe developed institutions for mitigating the FPOE, in the form of merchant guilds. Also, merchant fairs → institutional enforcement mechanisms (regional, collective). Also, nation states → monopoly of violence, enforcement of laws improves. 5 LECTURE 6: North Italian City States, Institutions, and Gunpowder 3. MERCHANT GUILDS AND THE FPOE ● Greif examines how merchants developed institutions to deter opportunistic behaviour among merchant community (private relations) and between merchant community and the state. ● Within merchant community: one possibility is to trade through networks of kinship & exchange hostages when trading. Networks build up reputation, hence have something valuable to lose if behave opportunistically (repeated interactions) Network analysis: possible both quantitative and qualitative terms! ● Evolution of institutions governing relations between merchants and rulers. Strong state could expropriate foreign merchants. But without secure property rights, trade won’t take place: monopoly of violence not enough in the absence of trust. (see North!) ● Example: In 1293, English King Edward I notes: “Many merchants [fearing lack of protection] are put off from coming to the land with their merchandise to the detriment of merchants and the whole kingdom”. ● Solution: make rulers commit credibly not to expropriate merchants. Merchants could do this by organising boycott of a state that abused rights of a merchant. ● This works because state has a lot to lose if it violates rights of an individual merchant. But difficult to organise; some individual merchants tempted to renegotiate with ruler, so collective boycott breaks down (collective action problem → free-riding!) ● Merchant guilds (e.g. Hansa) & Italian city states (e.g. Venice, Genoa) important institutional development to mitigate FPOE. (=early interest groups) LECTURE 6: North Italian City States, Institutions, and Gunpowder MAP. Europe 1519 6 LECTURE 6: North Italian City States, Institutions, and Gunpowder MAP. Europe After the Peace of Augsburg LECTURE 6: North Italian City States, Institutions, and Gunpowder 4. COMPETITION BETWEEN STATES: Contrast between Europe and Asia Competition between states helped secure the rights of merchants Some states open to immigration and refugees: A) Venice treated foreign merchants well; B) Portugal accepted refugees from Spain during Inquisition; C) Dutch were tolerant of ethnic groups Drove development of military technology Incentive for the creation of nation states Table 3.1. Wars involving great powers Number of wars Average duration of wars (years) Proportion of years war underway (%) 16th 34 1.6 95 17th 29 1.7 94 18th 17 1.0 78 19th 20 0.4 40 20th 15 0.4 53 Century Source: Tilly 1990. 7 LECTURE 6: North Italian City States, Institutions, and Gunpowder B. PRACTICE: THE VENETIAN REPUBLIC AND THE REVIVAL OF LONG DISTANCE TRADE 1. ROLE OF THE STATE -Venice, major player in the Mediterranean economy, revival of North Italy -Revival based on sea power, Genoa a major rival for Venice -War frequent, strong state needed to protect the merchants -Venetians good also in diplomacy, not just warfare -State created the institutional foundations of merchant capitalism: a) Political and legal foundations (property rights) b) Government loans c) Fiscal system d) Tolerant state e) “Democratic” system of government 2. POPULATION -City of Venice in 1171: 66,000, remained one three largest cities in Europe until 16th century -Hard to overcome population crises, Venice had an overseas empire -Venetian expansion on Italian mainland, terraferma LECTURE 6: North Italian City States, Institutions, and Gunpowder Source: Maddison 2001 8 LECTURE 6: North Italian City States, Institutions, and Gunpowder 3. SHIPPING AND COMMERCE: Venetian Arsenal (construction phases) Vital role of seapower Venetian organization of shipping: a) state a major shipbuilder b) leased galleys to private enterprise c) organization, timing of convoys Reduced costs to private traders, protection Venetian Arsenal Major technological changes in ship construction and technology LECTURE 6: North Italian City States, Institutions, and Gunpowder Modern day picture from the Arsenal The water entrance to Arsenal, from the 18th century View of the Arsenal from the 1750s 9 LECTURE 6: North Italian City States, Institutions, and Gunpowder 3. SHIPPING AND COMMERCE: Main kinds of Venetian ships: cogs and galleys What were the galleys? Other technologies: compass, charts Seapower: trade routes Institutional basis of commerce Commenda Vera societa 4. FINANCE: Search for stable currency in Europe Banking Importance of private order institutions (see North!), legal framework conducive to merchant capitalism Insurance, book-keeping LECTURE 6: North Italian City States, Institutions, and Gunpowder 5. INDUSTRY Trade in various kinds of goods Glass industry Silk Sugar Book production Decorative arts 6. AGRICULTURE High level of development, high productive required in food production Imports Abandonment of feudalism Commercialization of agriculture: a) technology (flood control, irrigation etc.); b) higher value crops; c) more individualistic system; d) more intensive use of land; e) livestock farming 10 LECTURE 6: North Italian City States, Institutions, and Gunpowder 7. THE RELATIVE DECLINE OF VENICE Expansion to terraferma, remained rich but surpassed by others Two developments: 1) Ottoman Empire restricts trade; 2) Competition from the Portuguese Shipbuilding technology and the Atlantic High productivity in the economy, nonetheless Thus, gradual loss of leadership in per capita income LECTURE 6: North Italian City States, Institutions, and Gunpowder ANY QUESTIONS ON TODAY’S LECTURE? ANYTHING ELSE? 11
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