J. OF PUBLIC BUDGETING, ACCOUNTING & FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT, 18 (4), 480-515 WINTER 2006 ZERO-BASED BUDGETING IN CHINA: EXPERIENCES OF HUBEI PROVINCE Jun Ma* ABSTRACT. Sometimes regarded as the best method of prioritizing budgetary expenditures, Zero-Based Budgeting (ZBB) was introduced into China in the early 1990s and systematically adopted since the recent budgeting reform although it has experienced numerous failures in many countries. This study examines ZBB as practiced in Hubei province in China. In Hubei, although the reformers are intended to create ZBB as a general budgeting framework, eventually, it was a Chinese style Target-Based Budgeting (TBB) rather than ZBB that has been put into place. Interestingly, ZBB has not disappeared but is deliberately applied to budgetary decisions of one type of expenditures under the Chinese style TBB. However, even in the field where ZBB is practiced, its achievements are at best moderate. The Chinese experiment of ZBB presents something new not only for the theory of ZBB but also for the budgeting literature. INTRODUCTION For many years, budgeting systems seen in western countries have been absent in China. For almost thirty years from the establishment of communist China in 1949 to the 1978 economic reform, fiscal resources were allocated by the central planning system in which the budget was just a tool to implement the plan. From 1978 to the 1999 budgeting reform, while the plan-dominated system of revenue allocation was disintegrating, a new budgeting system was not developed to fill the vacuum. In 1999, China initiated a budgeting reform aiming to create a modern budgeting system (Wang, 2001). In ------------------* Jun Ma, Ph.D. (University of Nebraska at Omaha), Professor, Associate Dean of the School of Government, Director of the Center for Public Administration Research, Sun Yat-sen University, P. R. China. His teaching and research interests are in public budgeting and public management. Copyright © 2006 by PrAcademics Press ZERO-BASED BUDGETING IN CHINA: EXPERIENCES OF HUBEI PROVINCE 481 this nationwide budgeting reform, Zero-Based Budgeting (ZBB), which had been practiced by several local governments (e.g. Hubei, Hainan, and Anhui) as early as 1993 (MOF, 1997), was further emphasized and systematically adopted. Since ZBB has had a record of numerous failures in many countries (Lauth, 1978; Schick, 2002), it is intellectually interesting and academically worthwhile to ask the following questions in the Chinese context: What are the goals that Chinese local governments expect from ZBB? Is it “real” ZBB that China’s local governments have been muddling with? Has ZBB changed the budgetary process and outcomes? In the literature, empirical study of China’s ZBB is very limited. A World Bank report on China’s recent efforts to improve public expenditure management indicates that the implementation of ZBB in local governments is constrained by the fact that finance departments are unable to change personnel costs (World Bank, 2000).1 In their investigation of sub-national finance in China, Wong et al. (2003) find that no governments investigated have really adopted ZBB because wage expenditures, which compose more than 70% of some local governments’ budgets, are determined outside the process of ZBB. However, ZBB is not the focus of either of these two studies. This article is the first study of China’s ZBB. Specifically, it is an examination of ZBB in Hubei in China. This article is organized as follows. To provide a background, this paper first examines the budgeting history of Hubei. Next, research methodology is addressed. In the following sections, findings of this study will be presented. The last section is the conclusion and discussion. BUDGETING HISTORY OF HUBEI: A BACKGROUND Budgeting reforms in Hubei province, particularly its ZBB experiment, are better understood within a historical context. The Plan-Dominated Period (1949-1978) In this period, a highly centralized economic planning system was created and unitarily implemented in the whole nation, in which resource allocation was determined by the plan. Therefore, during this period, it was the Plan Committee rather than the Finance Department that was the central budgeting office in Hubei province. 482 MA Since the plan implementation always involved several governmental departments, it was unnecessary and difficult for the governmental budget to be compiled on a departmental basis; instead, the budget was function-based, in which expenditures were compiled in terms of their functions in the economic construction (Hou, 2005; Zheng, 2003, pp. 25-34, 52).2 Despite its well-acknowledged shortcomings in economic performance such as disincentives and rigidity, the planning system retained a certain fiscal discipline and expenditure control. The Transitional Period (1978-1999) In this period, although the role of the plan as a tool of resource allocation began to decline as a result of the market-oriented economic reform, a new and effective budgeting system was not developed to fill the vacuum largely because fiscal reform during this period was centered on the revenue side (Wang, 2001). Consequently, the authority of revenue allocation formerly controlled by the Plan Committee was gradually fragmented and eventually grabbed by a variety of departments. In Hubei, besides the Finance Department, several other departments also held the authority over certain types of expenditures, including the Plan Committee (basic construction expenditures), Science and Technology Department (three science and technology improvement funds), Economy and Trade Committee (state-owned enterprises technology improvement funds), and Health Department (health care funds). The fragmentation of budgeting authority was exacerbated by the expansion of off-budgeting finance since the economic reform, in which each department held its own off-budgetary revenues and spent with discretion (I-4; I-5; I-6; I-8). Despite the deterioration of the planning system, its budgetary format was comfortably inherited and government expenditures continued to be compiled in terms of functions of expenditures rather than on a departmental basis, providing little information on revenue and expenditure activities of each department. Moreover, within the Finance Department, the process of examining budgetary requests was decentralized. Each specialized agency within the Finance Department allocated certain types of expenditures to almost all spending departments, while each spending department went to almost all agencies within the Finance Department to ask for money, resulting in a fragmented budgetary examination (I-4; I-5; I-6; I-8). ZERO-BASED BUDGETING IN CHINA: EXPERIENCES OF HUBEI PROVINCE 483 In consequence, budgeting during this period was fragmented and crude to the extent that even the Finance Department was unable to present a whole picture of governmental finance. By the beginning of the 1990s, establishing a modern budgeting system became urgent. In 1994, China passed the first law on budgeting, the Budget Law, providing a foundation for a new budgeting system. Moreover, as early as 1993, Hubei along with several other provincial governments started experimenting with ZBB in compiling governmental budgets (MOF of China, 1997). The Recent Budgeting Reform Since 1999, under the leadership of the central government, China has initiated a budgeting reform, aiming to restructure budget compilation and execution. The core of this reform is the Departmental Budgeting Reform (DBR) in which the budget is required to be compiled on a departmental basis, and every department is required to consolidate all of its revenues and expenditures into its budget (Lou, 2002, pp.153-164). The DBR is supposed to centralize the budgeting authority into the hands of the finance department and improve budgetary transparency at least within the government by presenting detailed budgetary information of each department.3 In 2000, Hubei province began to experiment with the DBR in four departments.4 In 2001, the reform was extended to twenty-two provincial departments, and to twenty-six departments in 2002. However, it was not until 2003 that the reform completely followed the requirements in ten departments,5 in which off-budgetary revenues and expenditures were consolidated into departmental budgets. The provincial government decided to extend this system to all departments and institutes in 2004 (HPFD, 2003ab; HPPC, 2002; Tong, 2002a). For the purpose of this essay, it is important to understand the following aspects of the DBR in Hubei. First, the new system re-clarifies and unifies the scope, category, and composition of the departmental budget. The departmental budget is composed of three major categories: personnel, operating, and program expenditures. Personnel expenditures include wages and welfare expenditures for civil servants. Operating expenditures are used to support the normal operation of the departments, such as printing, traveling, mailing, vehicle maintenance, etc. Program 484 MA expenditures are requested by the departments to achieve certain specific administrative missions or development goals (HPFD, 2002). For example, to assess the province’s technological development level, the Science and Technology Department will formulate an “investigation program” and request money for it. Second, the Finance Department is reorganized. Within the department, two new agencies are established to separate the functions of budgetary compiling and execution: the Budgeting Office, which is responsible for examining budgetary requests of the departments, and the Treasury Office, which is responsible for daily financial management. Upon this reorganization, a centralized examination process was created to replace the old process that was decentralized in nature. In the new system, each department’s requests are now examined only by one specialized agency within the Finance Department. The department’s requests thus examined are submitted to the Budgeting Office for further inspection (I-1b; I-12). Third, the principle of comprehensiveness is emphasized, offbudgetary revenues and expenditures are required to be consolidated into the departments’ budgets and under the control of the Finance Department. This has to some extent solved the problem of budgetary fragmentation. However, budgetary fragmentation over program expenditures remains because several other departments like the Plan Committee and the Science and Technology Department still hold the authority of allocating certain types of expenditures. Fourth, the budgetary procedure has been fundamentally restructured; a so-called two-ups and two-downs procedure (liang shang liang xia) is established. Budget compilation starts with the department submitting its budgetary estimates to the Finance Department with a variety of supporting evidence (e.g. laws and policy documents). This is the first up. The Finance Department will set a ceiling (kong zhi shu) for each department after it has reviewed the department’s estimates. This is the first down. What follows is socalled the second up, involving a variety of actors. The department will revise its requests under the ceiling and resubmit its new requests to the Finance Department. After reviewing the department’s new requests, the Finance Department will compile the governmental budget, which will be submitted to the Provincial Government Standing Members Meeting (PGSMM, including the governor, vice governors, and the director of the Finance Department, ZERO-BASED BUDGETING IN CHINA: EXPERIENCES OF HUBEI PROVINCE 485 etc.) for approval. Next, the budget will be submitted to the Provincial Chinese Communist Party Standing Committee (PCCPSC) for approval. Then, according to the Budget Law, one month before the annual session of the Provincial People’s Congress (PPC), the governmental budget will be submitted to the PPC Standing Committee for initial review (chu shen). The government may revise its budget according to the PPC Standing Committee’s suggestions and submit its formal budget to the annual session of the PPC for approval (da hui shen). Finally, after the governmental budget has been approved by the PPC annual session, the Finance Department will inform each department of its budgetary appropriation. This is the second down (HPFD, 2003ab; HPPC, 2002; I-3). In this process, although the PPC is responsible for reviewing and approving the budget according to the Constitution and Budgetary Law, it is weak and incapable of functioning as a serious budgetary actor (I-3). Also, within the executive budgeting system, besides submitting its requests to the Finance Department which is the central budgeting office in the new system, the spending department may submit its requests to other departments holding budgeting authority, such as the Plan Committee, which are quasi-central budgeting offices. Figure 1 presents the budgetary procedure in the province. ZBB IN HUBEI Hubei is one of the early provinces practicing ZBB. In 1993, ZBB was introduced into the provincial budgeting process. Nevertheless, before the DBR, ZBB was not systematically adopted (I-1a; I-1b). Before the DBR, budgets were compiled without the departmental participation; instead, it was the Finance Department that was responsible for compiling the budgets for the departments. Therefore, ZBB during this period was a tool employed mainly by the Finance Department rather than the departments in making budgetary decisions. Furthermore, before the DBR, ZBB had no influence on most of the departments’ expenditure decisions because a large amount of the departments’ expenditures falling in the off-budget category was out of the control of the Finance Department. The recent DBR provided a chance for the province to systematically implement ZBB. First, as the budget is now compiled on a departmental basis, ZBB is therefore employed not only by the 486 MA FIGURE 1 The Budgetary Procedure in Hubei Province 4 5 PGSMM CBO-1 6 PCCPSC 6 8 10 3 1a 2 7 1c PPC 1bSD 9 CBO-2 1b Note: 1a, the spending department (SD) submits its requests to the Finance Department (CBO-1); 1b, the spending department submits its requests to other departments with budgeting authority (CBO-2); 1c, CBO-2 may inform CBO-1 about their allocations to spending departments; 2, the ceiling is given; 3, the department resubmits its requests; 4, the governmental budget is submitted to the PGSMM; 5, the governmental budget is submitted to the PCCPSC; 6, feedback from the PCCPSC to the government and its Finance Department; 7, the governmental budget is submitted to the PPC standing committee for initial review; 8, feedback from the PPC standing committee; 9, the governmental budgeting is submitted to the annual session of the PPC for approval; 10, CBO-1 informs spending departments about their appropriations. Finance Department to make budgetary decisions but also by the departments to formulate requests. Second, as the comprehensiveness principle is emphasized by the DBR, off-budgetary revenues and expenditures are gradually consolidated into the budget, suggesting ZBB is now able to affect most of the departments’ budgetary decisions. The Finance Department is also active in extending and improving ZBB in the recent budgeting reform. It requires all departments included in the DBR to adopt ZBB in compiling their budgets. Therefore, this study focuses on the period since the DBR to examine the province’s ZBB practice. ZERO-BASED BUDGETING IN CHINA: EXPERIENCES OF HUBEI PROVINCE 487 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY The research methodology is mainly borrowed from Professor Thomas P. Lauth’s (1978) classic study of ZBB in Georgia. Hubei, as one of the early provinces experimenting with ZBB in China, is a suitable case for this study. Data has been collected through in-depth interviewing with budgetary officials and from accessible official documents. The interviews were carried out in August 2003. Nineteen budgetary officials from eleven departments of the provincial government, the Finance department, and the People’s Congress were interviewed. Three of these officials were from the Finance Department, two of them from the People’s Congress, the others from spending departments (see the Appendix). As the budgetary process in China is not open to the public, budgetary officials tend to suspect interviewers from the outside. To access the field, this researcher contacted budgetary officials through a number of personal relationships. Moreover, to relieve the interviewees’ suspicions and worries no recorder was used in interviewing; instead, this researcher wrote down the key words, numbers, and opinions respondents told him and then transcribed them immediately after the interviews finished. The length of the interviews ranged from thirty-five minutes to two hours. The average length of the interviews is one hour and fifteen minutes. Usually, respondents were asked to reply to a series of openended questions about their experiences and views of the DBR rather than ZBB. This method was used to prevent respondents from viewing this study as an evaluation of their practice of ZBB. This interviewing strategy was necessary in the Chinese context because officials are highly sensitive to “outside” assessment of their reform achievements. This approach proved to be fruitful. In most situations, while describing the DBR, respondents gradually moved to disclose their experiences and opinions of ZBB. Only when respondents failed to address ZBB would this researcher ask questions directly about ZBB. Findings of this study are presented in the following sections. THE GOALS OF ZBB Despite enormous difficulties experienced, Hubei’s reformers, especially those in the Finance Department, have been enthusiastic 488 MA in advocating ZBB during these years. Two goals are expected from ZBB by the reformers. First, it is expected that ZBB will enable the Finance Department to make budgetary decisions in fiscal stress. During these years, Hubei provincial government has been facing fiscal stress, i.e., its own revenues are far from meeting expenditure responsibilities falling upon its shoulders. As Table 1 shows, the provincial government’s share in the total provincial fiscal revenues (i.e., the sum of the provincial government and all sub-provincial governments’ revenues) is low, less than 12% during these years. Moreover, the self-finance capacity of the provincial government, i.e., the percentage of the provincial government’s own revenues to its expenditures, is also low, indicating its own revenues are far from compensating most of its expenditure needs. Budgeting in such an environment is inevitably difficult. Every year, after spending needs on personnel and operating expenditures have been met, only a small amount of revenues are left. In the province, the percentage of administrative expenditures (personnel and operating expenditures) in the total of budgetary and extra-budgetary revenues is very high and has been increasing quickly since 1993, from 54.83% in 1993 to 99.4% in 2001, increasing 7.72% annually (HPFD, 2003c). In other words, in 2001, less than 1% of the TABLE 1 Revenue Share and Self-Finance Ratios of the Provincial Government Year Revenue Share (%) 1990 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 6.14 11.61 10.56 11.19 8.62 9.16 10.15 9.96 Source: HPSD (2002). Self-Finance (%) 20.02 34.71 31.29 31.79 20.28 19.54 24.41 14.79 ZERO-BASED BUDGETING IN CHINA: EXPERIENCES OF HUBEI PROVINCE 489 government’s own revenues are left for program expenditures. Not surprisingly, interviewees vividly name the provincial finance “finance for eating” (chi fan cai zheng). Therefore, during these years, provincial politicians and the Finance Department have been trapped in a difficult situation in making budgetary decisions. ZBB is therefore viewed as a way out. As a respondent from the Finance Department says: We have been facing fiscal stress while there are so many programs asking for money. We hope to use ZBB to force every program to be budgeted from zero and to arrange expenditures according to program priority (I-1b). Second, it is expected that ZBB will help to scrutinize existing expenditures entrenched in the budgetary base and to eliminate unnecessary expenditures which were difficult to remove under the old system. For many years, budgetary decisions in the province have been made upon the budgetary appropriation of last year plus an increase (ji shu jia zeng zhang), similar to so-called incremental budgeting. However, Chinese incremental budgeting is operated under a system where a modern budgeting system is not in place; hence, the budgetary base is constructed very arbitrarily. The budgetary base is constructed mostly according to a variety of previous central laws and policies, provincial policies, and spending needs of powerful politicians. As the Chinese polity is unitary in nature, the provincial government is required to carry out laws passed by the National People’s Congress and central policies made by the State Council and its departments. Therefore, for many years, central laws and policies, even if they were obsolete, have been employed by the departments as “royal swords”(shang fang bao jian) to justify their budgetary requests (I-6). Moreover, provincial policies, formulated by the Governor’s Work Meeting (GWM, sheng zhang ban gong hui yi) to further carry out policy goals set by the provincial Chinese Communist Party (CCP) standing committee, are used by the departments to justify their requests even if they were obsolete. In many situations, the GWM memoranda and even words of powerful politicians--all are not formal policies--are used by the departments to support their requests (I-4; I6). 490 MA Powerful politicians (mainly CCP standing committee members and other vice governors) have the informal power to ask the Finance Department to allocate money to departments or programs that they favor.6 Consequently, the departments tend to bypass the Finance Department and directly lobby these politicians for budgetary appropriation at any time during the budgetary year. If the politician thinks that a department’s request is reasonable from his or her own perspective, he or she will write a slip to endorse this request, known as pi tiao zi (writing slips) in Chinese budgeting practice. With this slip in hand, the departments would go to the Finance Department to ask for budgetary appropriation. As a respondent points out, there are a lot of such slips on the table of the director of the Finance Department, and how to handle these slips is indeed a political skill the director needs to have (I-7). Therefore, in the pre-reform system, there was no real comparison and competition among budgetary requests. Which requests would be funded and how much they would receive was mainly determined by political powers supporting them. To the departments, the program was not so much designed for achieving something socially useful as for grabbing money. As a respondent points out, “we tend to first grab money, and then consider how to spend them” (I-5). All suggest that in the old system, the bases were determined arbitrarily and irrationally, as many respondents admit. Meanwhile, it was difficult for the Finance Department to remove from the base those expenditures endorsed by previous central and provincial policies and slips written by powerful politicians even if they were no long necessary or unnecessary even at the beginning. The Chinese incremental budgeting also resulted in an unfair allocation of revenues among the departments. The departments with more central and provincial policies or politicians’ slips to justify their requests would have larger bases than those relying less on such strategies. In face of these problems, as many interviewees admit, ZBB was viewed as an effective way to re-examine the bases accumulated in the old system in order to achieve allocation efficiency to some extent. THE NATURE AND SCOPE OF HUBEI’S ZBB As the reform proceeded, ZBB was reshaped to fit the budgetary environment of the province, making ZBB practiced in Hubei substantially different from its theoretic caricature and in many ZERO-BASED BUDGETING IN CHINA: EXPERIENCES OF HUBEI PROVINCE 491 aspects different from ZBB practiced in USA local governments in 1970s. The Ceiling Control System The provincial reformers at the outset intended to create ZBB as a general budgeting framework. When the DBR was initiated to prepare the 2001 budget, the departments included in the DBR were required to formulate their requests according to ZBB, and many did work hard to follow the logic of ZBB. The budgeting process then was bottom-up, starting with the formulation of fund requests by agencies within the departments. Each agency formulated its requests according to its work goals and submitted them to the department’s financial office. The latter examined these requests in terms of program priority and then ranked them. Ranked expenditures were then submitted to the departmental director and Chinese Communist Party (CCP) group (dang zu) within the department for examining. Finally, approved and ranked expenditures were compiled as the departmental budget and submitted to the Finance Department (I-7). However, at that time, as no ceiling was set for the departments’ requests, requests submitted by the departments came up to an amount much higher than available revenues. Without any choices, the Finance Department refused all departments’ requests and set a ceiling for each department. The departments were required to revise their requests under their ceilings. For instance, although the original budget the Social Security Department formulated according to the logic of ZBB came up to 1.5 billion yuans, it was required to reformulate its requests under the ceiling of 87 million yuans, which is a dramatic cut (I-7). Since then, the ceiling control system (CCS) has been institutionalized into the two ups and two downs budgetary procedure--a firm ceiling is given for each department in the first down (I-4, I-6, I-7, I-8, I-9),7 indicating it is CCS rather than ZBB that has been created as the general budgeting framework. Hubei’s CCS is similar to Target-Based Budgeting (TBB) viewed as a modification of ZBB in USA,8 though respondents never used the term “TBB” which is also absent from Chinese budgeting literature. In the experience summary meeting organized immediately after the compilation of the 2001 budget, many budgetary officials from the departments named the whole system “control budgeting” (kong zhi yu suan) (I-7). As in TBB, the Finance Department in Hubei heavily 492 MA relies on the ceiling to constrain the departments’ requests while letting the departments have certain flexibility in budgetary trade-offs under the ceiling. ZBB under Chinese Style TBB Hubei’s CCS is a Chinese style TBB, differing from TBB practiced in American local governments. In American TBB, new programs and programs squeezed out from the departments’ base budgets due to the low ceiling can be put on a second list sometimes called “unfunded” list. The departments then rank their lists of high-priority unfunded programs. Whatever money is available is allocated down the priority list until the money gives out (Rubin, 1997; 1998). But, in Hubei’s CCS, although un-funded programs may receive money during the budgetary year when money is available, there are no such ranked lists for un-funded programs. Moreover, in American TBB, the ceiling is given at the beginning of the budgeting process (Rubin, 1998), but in Hubei’s TBB, the ceiling is given after the departments’ first budgetary estimates. However, the most unique aspect of Hubei’s TBB is that the installation of CCS has not led to an abandonment of ZBB; instead, the application of ZBB is deliberately limited to budgetary decisions on one type of expenditures, i.e., program expenditures. In the Financial Department’s notification of compiling the 2004 budget, only in the section of program expenditures does the name of ZBB appear (HPFD, 2003b). Moreover, respondents tend to describe their budgeting methods as “personnel expenditures according to the real need, operating expenditures according to the standard, and program expenditures according to the rank,” suggesting ZBB is applied only to program expenditures rather than all expenditures. It seems that, in the eyes of provincial reformers, basic expenditures (personnel and operating expenditures) and program expenditures are different in nature, and hence, should be budgeted differently, suggesting a kind of discriminate alignment (Patashnik, 1996) may exist in the provincial budgeting. Furthermore, as one respondent states, since personnel and operating expenditures are fixed and immovable, the constraints of CCS as well as ZBB mainly fall on program expenditures (I-13). Actually, as the reform proceeds, ZBB in Hubei, operating under the Chinese style TBB, is mainly regarded as a budget preparation ZERO-BASED BUDGETING IN CHINA: EXPERIENCES OF HUBEI PROVINCE 493 technique designed to improve fiscal control over departmental requests although ZBB in theory is designed to achieve resource reallocation. This echoes Lauth’s (1978) finding of ZBB in Georgia. Before the DBR, the provincial Finance Department was not a real central budgeting office. The DBR is a reform aiming at centralizing budgeting authority to the hands of the Finance Department and restructuring it into a real central budgeting office. ZBB, as a formal and rational procedure, fits this goal of the Finance Department. In the eyes of the Finance Department, ZBB is a “scientific” budgeting method enabling the Finance Department to provide “scientific” explanations for its cutting decisions on the departments’ budgets (I1a; I-1b; I-11). But, spending departments view the control aspect of ZBB quite differently. In the eyes of spending departments, the Finance Department is centralizing budgeting authority in the name of ZBB (I-7; I-9). As one respondent complains, “a program the Finance Department doesn’t favor will be reduced to zero-base, while a program it likes will not be zero-based” (I-9). Personnel Expenditures The determination of personnel expenditures involves four departments: the spending department, the Staff Size Authorizing Committee (SSAC), the Personnel Department, and the Finance Department. The SSAC determines how many employees the departments can hire. According to the wage policy and other personnel policies issued by the State Council and its Ministry of Personnel, the provincial Personnel Department calculates the total personnel expenditure and an average expenditure standard (e.g., 20,000 yuans per person each year). The Finance Department will review this standard in terms of available revenues and living cost of the province. Since personnel expenditures enjoy priority in the budgetary process, the Finance Department will usually accept this standard. Pursuant to this acceptance, the departments will decide on their requests for personnel expenditures by multiplying the expenditure standard by the staff quota (I-2). From the perspective of the departments, the determination of personnel expenditures is a calculation according to formula. However, as several respondents indicate, while the Personnel Department and Finance Department make their decisions on the average personnel expenditure standard, the budgetary appropriation of last year also plays an important role (I-1b; I-2). 494 MA Operating Expenditures In determining operating expenditures, the Finance Department first decides an average operating expenditure standard for the departments, e.g. 20,000 yuans per person for the ten departments included in the DBR. Then, the departments will decide their requests for operating expenditures by multiplying this standard by the staff quota (I-2). Therefore, to the departments, the decision on operating expenditures is a kind of formula budgeting. However, budgetary bases play an important role in determining the average expenditure standard. For the departments included in the DBR, the determination of the standard starts with decisions on a series of average expenditure standards for different items of operating expenditures. The standard for each item is determined according to the average expenditure of the selected representative departments during the past two or three years. After all items have been measured as such, a total standard is computed. Next, this standard will be slightly adjusted according to the function, workload, and budgetary base of each department (HPFD, 2002). For other departments beyond the DBR, budgeting is incremental in nature. As a respondent from such a department indicates, “operating expenditures will be decided on the base of last year’s budgetary expenditures, and then we will take into account of this year’s change” (I-4). Program Expenditures: The Place Where ZBB Operates In the interviews, as far as the program expenditure is concerned, respondents, especially those from the departments included in the DBR, will use the vocabulary of ZBB to describe their budgetary process, including zero-base, program priority, ranking, and removing unnecessary expenditures. Nevertheless, since Hubei’s ZBB for program expenditures is operated under a Chinese style TBB, its operation has some unique features. While ZBB in theory follows a bottom-up process, Hubei’s ZBB process is both bottom-up and top-down. It is bottom-up because, given the ceiling, the directors of the departments are given the option of putting new programs into their requests and taking other less important programs out of current year’s requests. However, it is at the same time a top-down process because, with the ZERO-BASED BUDGETING IN CHINA: EXPERIENCES OF HUBEI PROVINCE 495 implementation of a kind of zero-base policy (ZBP) and program reservoir system (PRS, xiang mu ku) during the past several years, the Finance Department actually directs the departments’ budgetary trade-offs. First, although the departments and their subordinate agencies are responsible for decision-unit analysis, which is the first step of ZBB (Taylor, 1977), with the implementation of zero-base policy (ZBP), the Finance Department actively intervenes in such analysis. In the field of program expenditures, the decision unit is the program. In formulating their programs, some departments really conduct decision unit analysis, reexamining the purposes, activities, and operation of the decision unit, and asking whether certain programs can be terminated (I-4). However, with the implementation of ZBP which has stipulated that while certain expenditures will be guaranteed for money, others must be terminated or partly cut (HPFD, 2003ab), the Finance Department actually directs the departments’ decision unit analyses as to which programs must be reduced to a zero-base.9 Second, with the establishment of the program reservoir system (PRS), the Finance Department intervenes in not only the departments’ decision unit analyses but also their ranking processes. The PRS is created upon the departments’ PRSs. In creating their PRSs, the departments analyze and rank their programs according to departmental functions plus central and provincial policies. Upon the departments’ PRSs, the Finance Department will construct its own PRS, in which all programs are ranked in terms of priority. Although the PRS may reflect the departments’ needs, once the Finance Department’s PRS has been created, it will impose a constraint on the departments’ requests (I-4; I-6). Lastly, it is important to note that not all program expenditures are determined within the process of ZBB because the Finance Department is still not a department monopolizing all budgeting authority, and several other departments still hold the authority of allocating certain types of budgetary revenues outside the DBR. For example, the Three Funds for Science and Technology Improvement (ke ji san xiang) are controlled and allocated by the Science and Technology Department and operates outside the DBR. Within those departments, funds are allocated according to the plan set by these 496 MA departments and corresponding central policies. The Finance Department cannot affect the allocation of these funds (I-8; I-9; I-11). Figure 2 presents budgeting methods applied to different expenditures within the Chinese style TBB in the provincial budgeting. The gap in the graph indicates that certain program expenditures are beyond the control of the Finance Department. FIGURE 2 The Nature of the Departmental Budgeting System Note: This graph is not drawn from the actual share of the three components. Moreover, although it has been mentioned that only less than 1% of the government’s own revenues are left for program expenditures, the actual program expenditures will be higher than that percentage because the province will receive program expenditures from the central government. BUDGETARY PROCESS In the field of program expenditures where ZBB is practiced, to what extent has ZBB changed the budgetary process? This is certainly a question important for assessing the achievement of ZBB in Hubei. Certain Positive Changes Occurred In fiscal stress, revenues left for program expenditures are so limited after most revenues have been allocated to personnel and operating expenditures that the competition for program expenditures ZERO-BASED BUDGETING IN CHINA: EXPERIENCES OF HUBEI PROVINCE 497 is furious in the provincial budgetary process. The installation of TBB further intensifies such competition because the control of ceilings mainly falls on program expenditures as mentioned before. Within the firm ceiling, the departments are forced to make a tough trade-off among programs, including the most important programs into the requests while taking out less significant programs. The application of ZBB to program expenditures has served to improve such trade-offs by providing a tool to incorporate budgetary rationality into the budgetary process. Budgetary rationality as perceived by respondents signifies the allocation of fiscal resources according to program priority rather than previous policies, political officials’ will, and the department’s lobbying strategy that was prevalent before. The following statement indicates the occurrence of positive changes. ZBB has prevented those departments, supported by loads of documents from “the above” (shang mian), from demanding money with no reasonable and specific purposes. [Before ZBB], they have been using these documents as supporting evidence for their bases and new requests (I-6).10 Moreover, the grafting of top-down elements to the procedure of ZBB has in some degree improved budgetary trade-off among programs. The implementation of zero-base policy (ZBP) makes it impossible for the department to include into the requests a program marked as zero-base. The program reservoir system (PRS) further constrains the department’s requests over program expenditures. When the department decides to submit its requests, it must consider whether or not the program it wants to carry out has been included into the Finance Department’s PRS and how it is ranked. Moreover, the system makes it difficult or impossible to win funds for new programs without strong policy rationale (I-4; I-6). To a certain extent, this system has helped to rein in old budgetary strategies such as arbitrarily creating a new program, submitting a “fake” program to bail out money,11 and even requesting money without specific programs (I-6). Lastly, the grafting of top-down elements to the process of ZBB seems to enable the Finance Department to constrain the practice of “reverse ranking” that confounded ZBB in USA in the 1970s, in which the managers in the departments protected less important programs 498 MA by building them into the base and won increased funds by ranking impossible-to-cut programs very low (Kettl, 1992, p. 85). However, even in the field of program expenditures, the achievement of Hubei’s ZBB should not be overstated. All respondents admit that the implementation of ZBB is incomplete and not very successful as whole; some call the provincial ZBB “quasiZBB” (I-1ab; I-3; I-8). Furthermore, beyond the decision-unit analysis, the achievement of ZBB is not as successful as expected because the decision of how much money should be given to each program is still made arbitrarily, and in the process of ranking, no real comparison or scientific analysis has been carried out among the programs (I-8). Finally, almost all respondents admit that the bases continue to be a starting point of budgetary decision. An interviewee even makes the following strong comments: “It is termed ZBB, but is actually base budgeting, the decision over program budgets is still based upon previous policies” (I-4). Nevertheless, there is a variation in the perception of the base. Some respondents tend to perceive the base as the ceiling the departments received last year (I-7), some perceive it as the actual budget of last year (I-5; I-6; I-9), while some perceive it as previous policies (I-4). Several respondents even openly defend using the base as the starting point of budgeting in general (I-3; I-6), of program budgeting (I-10), and of personnel and operating budgeting (I-8). The following three elements greatly contribute to the moderate achievement of ZBB in Hubei. ZBB in Fiscal Stress: “Poor Finance, No Budgeting, No ZBB” As has been discussed, the provincial government adopted ZBB because it was driven by fiscal stress. However, fiscal stress in turn has greatly constrained the implementation of ZBB, a point almost all respondents emphasize. In fiscal stress, the revenues that can be used for program expenditures are extremely limited after most revenues have been allocated to personnel and operating expenditures. In this situation, if ZBB had been exactly carried out, that is, revenues had been allocated according to the priority rank until all available revenues were exhausted, most programs planned by the departments would not receive any money even if they were desirable and had strong and reasonable policy rationale. Worse, there would be many departments receiving no funds for their programs, a situation that the Finance Department and the governor are not willing to face. The Finance Department trapped in such a ZERO-BASED BUDGETING IN CHINA: EXPERIENCES OF HUBEI PROVINCE 499 budgetary environment would find it difficult or impossible to implement ZBB because of the resistance from the departments. In such an environment, ZBB is no better than incremental budgeting, which is easier for the Finance Department to carry out (I-1ab; I-2; I-5; I-13). The difficulty in implementing ZBB in fiscal stress is well illustrated by the experience of compiling the 2001 budget in which the Finance Department involuntarily retreated from its ambition of creating ZBB as a general framework and turned to relying on CCS as a way out. The reason for the retreat is quite simple. It is because the Finance Department found available revenues were too limited to meet the departments’ requests formulated by the bottom-up procedure of ZBB. Unfortunately, the installation of CCS has frustrated the departments’ efforts to implement ZBB because, although the departments tend to request more than what is really needed as several respondents admit, most of their requests are reasonable. The following complaint is illustrative of this point. If the Finance Department will not rely on our ZBB-type of budget, what is the meaning of doing it? Since then, we never seriously conduct program budgeting. What we were concerned about first was whether we can win support from the governor and vice governor, whether we can get a slip from them, and what is the ceiling the Finance Department will give to us. What we now follow is: only when you are sure about the money can you start to consider about programs. When we formulate the program budget, we will use last year’s ceiling as the base (I-7). In sum, fiscal stress has greatly limited the government’s capacity to implement ZBB. As one interviewee from the Finance Department says, when the finance is poor, there is no advanced budget, let alone a successful ZBB (I-1b). This reminds us of what Caiden and Wildavsky (1974) had found in poor countries thirty years ago; that is, it is difficult to budget when the budgetary environment is characterized by poverty and uncertainty. Although Hubei’s budgetary environment is not uncertain, it is poor. 500 MA Insufficient Operating Expenditure: “Eating the Program” A persistent problem of provincial budgeting, which is closely related to fiscal stress, is the insufficiency of operating expenditures. For many years, the operating expenditure standard has been set very low, far from supporting the normal operation of the departments. In the departments not being included in the DBR, their standards are set very low, e.g., 6000 yuan per person. In such a department, the total operating budget is around 280,000 yuan each year according to this standard, while the actual expenditure for maintaining departmental vehicles alone will cost around 300,000 to 400,000 yuan annually (I-4). As to the departments included in the DBR, although their standards have been increased (roughly 20,000 yuan per person), a large gap of operating expenditures still exists (I-10b). Therefore, for many years, financial officials have been forced to find whatever revenues are on hand to make their departments operate, including seeking budgetary supplements, using offbudgetary revenues, and removing revenues from program budgets to compensate operating expenditures. The last strategy, named “eating the program”(chi zhuan xiang), is popular in Hubei as well as many other local governments. According to a respondent, usually, around 50% of a program budget is eventually used for operating expenditures (I-3). The strategy of “eating the program” has impeded the implementation of ZBB because it has distorted the information about program expenditures. Under this practice, when the departments make their decisions over program expenditures according to ZBB, they will incorporate spending needs on operating expenditures into program budgets, impairing the development of decision-packages of ZBB. Recently, the operating standard for the departments included in the DBR has been increased, which may provide the province an opportunity to improve its ZBB. However, at least in the near future, this may not be a good news for ZBB because with the increase of the operating standard, even less revenues will be left for program expenditures after operating expenditures have been budgeted, considering fiscal stress is unlikely to be relieved in the near future. In other words, the influence of ZBB will be further narrowed with the increase of the operating standard. Therefore, what can be expected from the DBR is to normalize the budgetary process for basic ZERO-BASED BUDGETING IN CHINA: EXPERIENCES OF HUBEI PROVINCE 501 expenditures; however, as to program expenditures, it is still hard to achieve the goals (I-5). Political Constraints: “The Failure is not Technical but Political” ZBB in China is carried out under a specific political and administrative context far different from the USA political system where ZBB was first practiced. This study finds that the Chinese political and administrative system has certain characteristics that are impeding the implementation of ZBB for program expenditures. First, despite repeated efforts of transforming governmental functions accumulated during the period of the planned economy, the transformation in sub-national governments has not been very successful. Without a well-defined departmental function and goal, the departments will find it is very difficult to rank programs according to ZBB. As one respondent states, “We are still a big governmental system with so many functions. Therefore, it is difficult to compare the budgets compiled. The failure is not technical but institutional, related to political elements”(I-8). Second, the implementation of ZBB in Hubei has been impeded by the fact that sub-national governments in China do not have sufficient budgetary autonomy. The lack of local budgetary autonomy manifests itself in two aspects: (1) Un-funded Policy. As Chinese polity is unitary in nature, local governments are required to carry out policies made by the central government even if no or only part of central revenues is provided with these policies (I-5). (2) Fiscal Dependency. Fiscal decentralization between 1980 and 1994 granted a large amount of revenues to local governments, resulting in the fall of the ratio of central revenue to general budgetary revenues. In 1994, to arrest the fall of the ratio, China implemented a new fiscal system, i.e., tax-share system (fen shui zhi),12 which centralized a large amount of revenues to the center.13 As a result, the central government’s capacity to make fiscal transfers is also increased. Since 1994, each year, around 40-50% of central revenues have been transferred to local governments (Wang, 2002, p.120). The central transfers are very important for sub-national governments like Hubei trapped in fiscal stress during these years. In 2001, while Hubei provincial government’s own fiscal revenue is 2,309.91 million yuan, the central subsidy it received is 1326.86 million yuan (Tong, 2002b), 502 MA i.e., the latter is 57.4% of the former, indicating a very high fiscal dependency upon central transfers. The existence of un-funded policies has impaired the implementation of ZBB in provincial budgeting. To carry out these unfunded policies, the provincial government has to find additional money. But, the problem of the budgets for un-funded policies is that they have not been compared with other program expenditures budgeted at the beginning of the budgetary year (i.e., these two types of program expenditures have not been ranked together) because these policies are usually made after the provincial budget has been passed, and they usually arrive at any time during the budgetary year (I-5; I-6). Fiscal dependency also impaired the implementation of ZBB in provincial budgeting. This is because many central transfers are granted in the form of matching grants, i.e., to receive central grants, local governments must provide a certain amount of its own revenues to match central grants. To meet this requirement, at the beginning of the budgetary year the Finance Department has to leave a certain amount of revenues unallocated. Consequently, program expenditures corresponding to central grants are determined outside the process of ZBB (I-5). Third, during the past few years, despite the introduction of ZBB to the decisions on program expenditures, the old practice of “writing a slip” by powerful politicians to justify requests continues to play a role in budgetary decisions. This also impaired the implementation of ZBB because requests backed by such slips will be treated specially or higher in the priority list than those requests without such support, meaning the slips influence the ranking of programs. Of course, at least according to formal institutional arrangements, only the provincial CCP secretary, the governor, and vice governor in charge of the provincial finance have the authority to order the Finance Department to make budgetary appropriation, indicating that other vice governors and CCP standing committee members do not have such power. But in the real world, the governor and vice governor in charge of finance have to respect the power of their colleagues, especially CCP standing committee members. The fact that the provincial government is still emphasizing the need to eliminate program expenditures allocated according to such slips in compiling ZERO-BASED BUDGETING IN CHINA: EXPERIENCES OF HUBEI PROVINCE 503 2004 budget (HPFD, 2003b) indicates that the influence of such slips persists. In sum, ZBB has not achieved its goal to bring an end to incremental budgeting and fundamentally change budgetary officials’ behaviors in Hubei. Moreover, it has not helped to reduce budgetary conflicts stemming from fiscal stress as expected; instead, it tends to intensify such conflicts, leading to its failure as a revenue allocation mechanism in fiscal stress. BUDGETARY OUTCOMES Upon the above analyses, it is argued that we should not expect large and dramatic changes would occur in budgetary outcomes. First, ZBB has not been applied to personnel and operating expenditures, which have eaten most of the provincial revenues, suggesting ZBB can only possibly affect a small amount of budgetary expenditures, i.e., program expenditures. Second, some program expenditures are beyond the DBR and hence are decided out of the process of ZBB, further narrowing the impact of ZBB. Third, even for those program expenditures included in the DBR and required to determine within the framework of ZBB, ZBB has not replaced incremental budgeting. To test the above proposition encounters great difficulties in data collection since governmental budgeting in China is not transparent; for instance, the information of departmental budgets is still classified as a governmental secret. Data that is available at present is from annual budget reports between 2001 and 2003 that the director of the Finance Department on behalf of the provincial government presented to the annual session of the PPC in February each year. The reports usually provide information about seventeen major expenditures budgeted for the new budgetary year.14 Based on such data, a correlation analysis was conducted. First, seventeen expenditure items of each year were ranked in terms of their percentages in the total expenditure of that year. Next, a Spearman correlation analysis was conducted to measure whether there are associations among the rankings of the three years (Table 3). The first correlation analysis included all expenditures. The second analysis excluded basic construction expenditures and science and technology expenditures. The reason for this exclusion is that the former expenditures and most of the latter expenditures are beyond the DBR 504 MA TABLE 3 Correlation Analysis Fiscal Year FY2001-2002 FY2002-2003 FY2001-2003 N All Expenditures .988* .961* .944* 17 Expenditures Within DBR & ZBB .986* .950* .943* 15 Notes: * Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed). Sources: Tong (2001; 2002b; 2003). and hence the framework of ZBB. All coefficients are positive and very high, indicating an item receiving a large appropriation in one year will continue to receive more in the next year. It therefore suggests that ZBB has not brought about a significant change on budgetary outcomes. However, the above test, though informative, should not be viewed as a conclusive assessment of ZBB’s impacts on budgetary outcomes due to the following two reasons. First, the data used provides no information about each department’s appropriations and actual expenditures. Second, it is impossible to separate program expenditures from this data, which is important for assessing ZBB’s impacts on the appropriation of program expenditures. CONCLUSION AND DISCUSSION It is expected that ZBB may have more chance to be successful in China because 1) the legislature is much weaker in the budgetary process, and hence, political support for certain expenditures may not be as strong as it is in a democratic system; and 2) entitlement expenditures are very small in the budget. However, although Chinese budgeting system lacks those political and legal elements besetting ZBB in USA (Kettl, 1992, pp. 82-85), it has its own political and economic constraints ZBB has to face. First, in fiscal stress, it is difficult for ZBB to achieve its goals of bringing an end to incremental budgeting and reallocating revenues among programs. This is something new for the theory of ZBB. Second, the Chinese political system is something that ZBB as a budgeting method cannot change ZERO-BASED BUDGETING IN CHINA: EXPERIENCES OF HUBEI PROVINCE 505 but has to adapt to. This is a lesson important for developing countries in terms of the appropriate degree of enthusiasm in borrowing administrative and budgeting systems from Western countries. Despite its moderate achievement, Hubei’s ZBB does have something innovative for the theory of ZBB as well as the budgeting literature. First, it suggests that ZBB can be combined with TBB and operates under TBB, while in American local governments’ practices ZBB seemed to have been replaced by TBB. Second, it suggests that ZBB can also be a top-down process, though ZBB before is mainly a bottom-up process. Third, it shows that ZBB can be discriminately applied to one type of expenditures, suggesting a kind of discriminate alignment is possible in public budgeting. Finally, it should be noted that this study has several limitations. First, it only examines ZBB in one province in fiscal stress, which has greatly limited the implementation of ZBB. Therefore, a question worth further exploring is: will ZBB have more chance to succeed in a province whose finance is to some extent rich? Second, the conclusions of this study may not fit ZBB in the central government. Third, the data employed to conduct empirical testing is incomplete. In the future, when the provincial government’s departmental budgets are opened to the public, new empirical tests are needed. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS This author wishes to acknowledge the three referees for their helpful comments, critique, and suggestions. He wishes to thank Professor Irene Rubin and Thomas P. Lauth for their valuable comments in the 2003 ABFM conference, and Dr. Yilin Hou for his dedication and patience in organizing the conference panel and this symposium. He also wants to express his gratitude to Professor Irene Rubin and Dr. Leuenberger for their helps in editing this paper. Lastly, the author wants to express his gratitude to 985-2 National Innovation Base “Public Management and Social Development” of Sun Yat-sen University for providing fund for this research. NOTES 1. Cited from Wong et al. (2003, p. 134). 506 MA 2. Chinese budgeting system during this period is basically same as the plan system practiced by other socialist states. See more in Martinez-Vazquez & Boex (2001) for a description of such system. 3. Other two reforms are treasury management and public procurement reform. The former is to create a centralized treasury management system upon a single accounting system to replace the old decentralized system. The latter is to create a centralized and transparent governmental procurement system (Lou, 2002). 4. They are the Agriculture Department, Education Department, Science and Technology Department, and Labor and Social Security Department. 5. The ten departments include the General Office of the provincial government, General Office of the provincial Chinese Communist Party, Plan Committee, Economy and Trade Committee, Foreign Economy and Trade Department, Finance Department, Transportation Department, Science and Technology Department, Agriculture Department, and Association of the Disabled. 6. In a province, there are around seventeen such political officials. 7. As many respondents point out, in the two-ups and two-downs procedure, although the first up provides the Finance Department information about the departments’ estimation of service maintaining costs, it is in general meaningless because no matter how much the departments request they have to budget under the ceiling given by the Finance Department. 8. In TBB, to resolve the game playing and antagonism between the budgeting office and spending departments, the budgeting office gives firm ceiling to the departments for their requests at the beginning of the budgetary process. The departments are then required to keep their requests under this ceiling. If the departments’ requests are above this ceiling, the budgeting office will return the requests to the departments and ask them to revise. The revisions are accepted only if they come under the ceiling. Of course, as early as the 1920s, TBB had appeared, much earlier than ZBB (Rubin, 1998). 9. Usually, expenditures guaranteed to receive money are social security expenditures and wage expenditures. Expenditures that ZERO-BASED BUDGETING IN CHINA: EXPERIENCES OF HUBEI PROVINCE 507 must be reduced to a zero-base include the following program expenditures: one-time and obsolete programs, old programs no longer having reasonable policy supports, programs not belonging to the responsibility of the provincial government (partly cut), programs decided by various meeting memoranda of the Governor’s Work Meeting (partly cut), and programs formerly authorized by the slips of politicians. 10. “The above” (shang mian) is referred to the central government or provincial politicians. 11. Usually, the program is created for a specific purpose easy to win money. But, once the money is at hand, the department will use it for other purposes. 12. See Bahl (1998) for more information about the tax-share system. 13. The centralization of the 1994 tax share reform is demonstrated in the change of self-finance capacity of the central and local governments. In 1993, the ratio of self-finance capacity of the central government was 0.73, while the ratio of local governments was 1.02. But, the 1994 reform turned the situation upside down. In 1994, the central ratio was increased to 1.66, while the local ratio was decreased to 0.57 (Teng, 2003). 14. Usually, these expenditures include basic construction expenditures; agricultural expenditures; education expenditures; science and technology expenditures; health expenditures; developmental expenditures for culture, sporting, broadcasting, and population control; developmental expenditures for industry and transportation; developmental expenditures for commerce; developmental expenditures for tax administration, industry and commerce administration, and audit; social assistant and relieving expenditures; social security subsided expenditures; administrative expenditures; expenditures for police, court, and inspection; policy subsidies; special expenditures; and assisting grants for underdeveloped areas (Tong, 2001; 2002b; 2003). REFERENCES Bahl, R. (1998). Fiscal Policy in China: Taxation and Intergovernmental Fiscal Relations. Michigan: University of Michigan Press. 508 MA Caiden, N., & Wildavsky, A. (1974). Planning and Budgeting in Poor Countries. New York: John Wiley & Sons, Incorporated. Hou, Y. L. (2006). “Budgeting under Central Economic Planning: China 1949-1978,” in this symposium. HPFD (Hubei Provincial Finance Department) (2002) “A Description of Budget Compiling Categories for 2003 Departmental Budget in Ten Departments.” Hubei Provincial Finance Department Document (with no document number). HPFD (Hubei Provincial Finance Department) (2003a). “The Speech of the Director of the Finance Department on Training for 2004 Provincial Departmental Budget.” Hubei Provincial Finance Department Meeting Record (August 1). HPFD (Hubei Provincial Finance Department). (2003b). “The Financial Department’s Notification of Compilation of 2004 Provincial Departmental Budget.” Hubei Provincial Finance Department Document, 23. HPFD (Hubei Provincial Finance Department) (2003c). “An Empirical Study of Local Government Operation Costs in Hubei Province.” Fiscal Studies, 5: 36-40. HPPC (Hubei Provincial People’s Congress) (2002, December 26). “On the status of 2003 Provincial Ten Departments Implementing Department Budget Experimentation.” Investigation and Information, 75: 1-2. HPSD (Hubei Provincial Statistical Department) (2002). Hubei Statistical Yearbook. Beijing: Chinese Statistical Press. Kettl, D. F. (1992). Deficit Politics: Public Budgeting in its Institutional and Historical Context. New York: Macmillan Publishing Company. Lauth, T. P. (1978). “Zero-Base Budgeting in Georgia State Government: Myth and Reality.” Public Administration Review, 5 (4): 420-430. Lou, J. W. (2002). “Reforms of Government Budgetary Management System and Accounting in China.” In Chen, X. R. & Chan, J. (Eds.). Government Budgeting and Accounting Reform (pp. 41-66). Beijing, China: CITIC Publishing House. ZERO-BASED BUDGETING IN CHINA: EXPERIENCES OF HUBEI PROVINCE 509 Martinez-Vazquez, J. & Boex, J. (2001). “Budgeting and Fiscal Management in Transitional Countries.” Journal of Public Budgeting, Accounting & Financial Management, 13 (3): 353-396. MOF of China. (1997). Zero-Based Budgeting. Beijing, China: Economic Science Press. Patashnik, E. M. (1996). “The Contractual Nature of Budgeting: A Transaction Cost Perspective on the Design of Budgeting Institutions.” Policy Science, 29: 189-212. Rubin, I. (1997). The Politics of Public Budgeting (Third edition). Chatham, NJ: Chatham House Publishers, Inc. Rubin, I. (1998). “Target-Based Budgeting.” In Shafritz, J. M. (Eds). International Encyclopedia of Public Policy and Administration (pp. 2205-2207). Denver, CO: Westview Press. Schick, A. (2002). “Does Budgeting Have a Future?” OECD Journal on Budgeting, 2 (2):7-48. Taylor, G. M. (1977). “Introduction to Zero-Base Budgeting.” The Bureaucrat, 6 (1): 33-55. Teng, X. G. (2003). The Fee for Tax Reform and Local Fiscal Institution Building. Beijing, China: Economic Science Press. Tong, D. Y. (2001). “The Report of Hubei Province’s 2000 Budget Execution and 2001 Budget Draft.” Hubei Provincial People’s Congress: Hubei People’s Concerns (http://www.hppc.gov.cn /page/pages/Rdgongbao.asp). Tong, D. Y. (2002a). “Summarizing Experiences, Actively Exploring, and Firmly Proceeding to Improve the Comprehensive Reform of the Provincial Department Budget.” Hubei Provincial Finance Department Meeting Record (with no document number). Tong, D. Y. (2002b). “The Report of Hubei Province’s 2001 Budget Execution and 2002 Budget Draft.” Hubei Provincial People’s Congress: Hubei People’s Concerns (http://www.hppc. gov. cn /page/pages/Rdgongbao.asp). Tong, D. Y. (2003). “The Report of Hubei Province’s 2002 Budget Execution and 2003 Budget Draft.” Hubei Provincial People’s Congress: Hubei People’s Concerns (http://www.hppc.gov.cn /page/pages/Rdgongbao.asp). 510 MA Wang, J. (2001). “The History and Future of Fiscal Expenditure Reform.” In the Ministry of Finance of China. (Eds). Optimization of Fiscal Expenditure Structure and Expenditure Efficiency (pp.1929). Beijing, China: Economic Science Press. Wang, Y. J. (2002). “Intergovernmental Transfers in China: The Goal, Institution, and Enforcement Mechanism.” In National People’s Congress Standing Committee. (Eds.). Chinese and Foreign Experts on Fiscal Transfer Expenditures (pp. 120-140). Beijing, China: Chinese Fiscal and Economic Press. Wong, C. et al. (2003). China: National Development and SubNational Finance. Beijing, China: CITIC Publishing House. Zheng, J. X. (2003). A Study on Chinese Governments’ Budgeting Institution Reform. Beijing, China: Chinese Fiscal and Economic Press. APPENDIX Interview List The following list includes citation number, interviewee position, and interview date for fourteen open-end interviews conducted in Hubei province. All respondents were guaranteed anonymity. To further protect the interviewees, the agency’s names within the departments are not presented here. Codes Interviewees I-1a A division head of the Finance Department I-1b A vice division head of the Finance Department I-2 A vice division head of the Personnel Department I-3 Two vice division heads of the Provincial People’s Congress (Interviewed together) I-4 A vice division head of the Cultural Department I-5 A division head of the Statistical Department Interview Dates Morning, August 11 Morning, August 11 Night, August 11 Morning, August 12 Afternoon, August 12 Afternoon, August 13 ZERO-BASED BUDGETING IN CHINA: EXPERIENCES OF HUBEI PROVINCE 511 I-6 A division head of the Audit Department Afternoon, August 13 I-6 I-7 A division head of the Audit Department A division head and a vice division head of the Social Security Department (Interviewed together) A division head of the Science & Technology Department A division head of the Agricultural Department A division head and a vice division head of the Plan Committee (Interviewed together) A division head of the Plan Committee A division head of the Finance Department A division head and two vice division heads of the Economic and Trade Committee I-8 I-9 I-10a I-10b I-11 I-12 Afternoon, August 13 Morning, August 14 Morning, August 15 Afternoon, August 15 Morning, August 18 Morning, August 18 Morning, August 19 Morning, August 20 A RESPONSE TO “ZERO-BASED BUDGETING IN CHINA: EXPERIENCES OF HUBEI PROVINCE” Beverly Bunch and Christina Tang* Given the demise of ZBB in the United States, it is interesting to learn about how ZBB is being proposed and implemented as a means of budget reform in China. The article by Jun Ma provides us with the opportunity to revisit ZBB and think about how the issues in Hubei compare to the issues that U.S. governments have encountered when implementing ZBB and other types of budget reforms. It also allows us to reflect on what aspects of ZBB remain in U.S. budgeting today. Issues Associated with the Implementation of ZBB The reviews from when ZBB was implemented in the U.S. in the 1970s are mixed, ranging from generally positive to quite negative. Worthley and Ludwin (1979, p. 10), for example, concluded that ZBB could be a “useful and workable budgeting system in state and local governments” and could be used as “an aid in redirecting increasingly scarce resources to the most needed and productive programs.” In 512 MA contrast, Hammond and Knott (1980, p. 1) concluded that the early experiences showed “ZBB to have had little impact on either budgets or budgeting.” Over time, ZBB has become less popular as government officials have come to better understand the demands and limitations associated with implementing ZBB. A number of the issues associated with the implementation of ZBB in Hubei are similar to the issues that have been encountered with the implementation of ZBB and other governmental budget reforms in the United States. Some of these issues are discussed below under the following categories: (1) spending that is exempt from the ZBB process, (2) a lack of an integrated budget, and (3) the impact of political factors. Spending That Is Exempt from the ZBB Process The author notes that significant portions of Hubei’s spending are not subject to the ZBB process. This includes personnel and operating expenses, as well as unfunded policies from the central government that occur after the start of the budget year. Governments in the United States also have forms of spending that fall outside the purview of most budget reforms. At the federal level, there are outlays such as interest on the federal debt, previously approved multi-year spending, and entitlement programs that typically are not scrutinized during the annual appropriations process. At the state and local government level, there are mandates from higher levels of government or the courts that affect spending in areas such as education, prisons, the environment, and the accessibility of facilities. There also are obligations associated with intergovernmental programs such as K-12 public education and Medicaid. Excluding significant portions of spending from the purview of ZBB or other types of budgeting reforms lessens the potential effectiveness of these reforms. If a budget reform is considered very effective when implemented but only applies to a portion of the spending, its overall effectiveness is significantly reduced. Lack of a Unified Budget The author notes that Hubei has made progress in developing a comprehensive budget by gradually consolidating off-budget revenues ZERO-BASED BUDGETING IN CHINA: EXPERIENCES OF HUBEI PROVINCE 513 and expenditures into the budget. However, certain types of expenditures remain under the control of entities other than the Finance Department. The lack of a unified budget makes it difficult to prioritize across all governmental programs. A fragmented budget also is a factor that constrains the effectiveness of budget reforms among governments in the U.S. Some programs at the state or local government level, such as highways and water and sewer operations, usually are financed through earmarked revenue sources and therefore are less susceptible to trade-offs with general government programs. Tradeoffs are even more unlikely if some programs are administered through enterprise funds or through a separate entity, such as a public authority. A similar situation exists at the federal level with trust funds (e.g., social security and the highway trust fund) and government-owned businesses, such as the U.S. Postal Service. The Impact of Political Factors Budgeting remains a political activity regardless of the type of budget system that is utilized. Portions of the process may become more rationale and systematic, but that does not preclude the intervention of political officials who have particular projects or programs that they want implemented. In Hubei, politicians may “write a slip” expressing their support for some particular program or project to be funded. The author states that these notes were an important part of budgeting prior to the reform and still remain in existence. U.S. governments also encounter input/pressure from politicians who make special requests during the budget process. The ranking of programs under ZBB also is subject to politics. While in theory one could utilize economic criteria, such as maximizing the benefits per dollar spent, in reality it is difficult to compare programs which serve different purposes and have different types of outcomes. Information about impacts and costs can be provided, but ultimately choices are made largely on the basis of values and political considerations. As the Hubei article notes, “the decision of how much money should be given to each program is still made arbitrarily, and in the process of ranking, no real comparison and scientific analysis have been carried out among the programs.” 514 MA Politics also plays a role in deciding whether or not to discontinue funding for lower ranked programs. In Hubei, the author notes that in tight fiscal times, the Finance Department and governor would find if difficult to implement ZBB if it meant that many departments would receive no funds for their programs. Similarly, in the United States some government officials choose to do across-the-board cuts rather than singling out certain programs for cuts. These practices may be politically expedient, yet they run counter to the rational process of prioritizing programs to determine which programs should be funded or cut. There also is a level of political ease in building on decisions that have been made in the past rather than dismantling the base budget and starting from scratch. This tie to the base budget makes it difficult to implement reforms such as ZBB. Aspects of ZBB That Remain in U.S. Budgeting Although ZBB as originally proposed is not widely used in governments in the United States today, various aspects of ZBB remain. Most of these practices focus on efforts to examine at least a portion of the base budget or to identify the outcomes from alternative spending options. One modified ZBB approach is to have departments submit budget requests reflecting (1) the current level of spending, (2) a cut of a certain percentage, and (3) an increase of a certain percentage. As was true for ZBB, this allows central budget officials the opportunity to trade-off lower priority items in one department to fund higher-priority items in another department. It also facilitates input from the departments in identifying what activities are considered high or low priority. The current focus on integrating budgeting with strategic planning encourages government officials to identify goals and then evaluate how alternative strategies and spending options will impact the achievement of those goals. Under outcome budgeting, as proposed by Gaebler and Hutchinson (2004), existing governmental programs are not given any special status. They are evaluated the same as other alternatives for achieving the desired outcomes. Another government process that relates to ZBB is the use of sunset legislation. Some governments, in particular state ZERO-BASED BUDGETING IN CHINA: EXPERIENCES OF HUBEI PROVINCE 515 governments, periodically conduct reviews of public agencies and programs to see if they are efficient and effective and whether they are addressing an important need. If the legislature does not pass legislation to continue the existence of these agencies/programs, the law allows “the sun to set” on these agencies/programs. This process, like ZBB, looks at the “base” programs and operations. Conclusion Given the history of ZBB in the United States, it will be interesting to see how ZBB evolves and affects budgeting in Hubei and other provinces in China. We hope the author and others will continue to keep us informed. References Hammond, T. H., & Knott, J. H. (1980). A Zero-Based Look at ZeroBase Budgeting: Why Its Failures in State Government Are Being Duplicated in Washington, New Brunswick, NJ: Transaction Books. Osborne, D., & Hutchinson, P. (2004). The Price of Government: Getting the Results We Need in an Age of Permanent Fiscal Crisis. New York: Basic Books. Worthley, J. A., & Ludwin, W. G. (1979). “Zero-Base Budgeting in Theory and Practice. In John A. Whorthley & William G. Ludwin (Eds.). Zero-Base Budgeting in State and Local Government: Current Experiences and Cases (pp. 1-12). New York: Praeger Publishers. --------------------------* Beverly Bunch, Ph.D., is an Associate Professor and Christina Tang is a DPA student at the University of Illinois at Springfield.
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