1 Sheffield Business School BSc (Honours) Tourism Management Title Oasis Hong Kong Airlines: Reasons for its failure Name AU YEUNG WING KIN Student No 91206686 Month Year April 2011 2 Sheffield Hallam University Sheffield Business School Title Oasis Hong Kong Airlines: Reasons for its failure FULL NAME AU YEUNG WING KIN STUDENT No 91206686 Supervisor: Dr. Connie Mok In partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Bachelor of Science in Tourism Management. Month Year April 2011 3 Acknowledgements I would like to thank my supervisor, Dr. Connie Mok, for her guidance and support in completing this dissertation. Without her guidance, this report might have gone in the wrong direction. Then, thanks must go to Stanley Wong and which is my best friend, for helping me to overcome difficulties for this dissertation. His support and motivation inspired me to complete this dissertation. Moreover, I am thankful to my family and friends, Ray Hau, Jeff Wong and Yedda Tsang, for their patience and love. 4 Contents Acknowledgements……………………………………………………..…….…..1 Contents……………………………………………………………………...….…..2 List of Figures………………………………………………………………....……4 List of Tables………………………………………………………………...….…..5 SECTION ONE: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY...………...…………………………...6 1.1 Executive Summary…………………………………………………………….7 SECTION TWO: INTRODUCTION: CONTEXT AND OBJECTIVES…………9 2.1 General Background………………….………………………………………...9 2.2 Definition Airlines Failure………………………………………….…………..10 2.3 Aim and Objectives………………………………………………….…………11 2.4 The History of Oasis Hong Kong Airlines…………………….…….………..11 2.5 Mission Statement of Oasis Hong Kong Airlines……….….……………….12 2.6 Core Value……………………………………………………………………...12 SECTION THREE: INSTRUMENTAL LITERATURE REVIEW…………….…13 3.1 Introduction……………………………………………………………………..13 3.2 Types of Carriers……………………………………………………………….13 3.3 Traditional Carriers and Low Cost Carriers…………………………………13 3.3.1 Traditional Carriers…………………………………………………………..14 3.3.2 Low Cost Carriers……………………………………………………………17 3.4 Airline Economics……………………………………………………………...21 3.5 Airline Cost Structure………………………………………………………….21 3.6 Low Cost Long Haul Carrier………...........................................................22 3.7 Definition of Airline’s suppliers………………………………………......…..23 SECTION FOUR: METHOD OF INVESTIGATION….…………………………27 4.1 Introduction……………………………………………………………………..27 4.2 Secondary Research………………………………………………………….28 4.3 Advantages……………………………………………………………………..30 4.4 Limitation………………………………………………………………...……..30 SECTION FIVE: FINDINGS AND ANALYSIS................................................32 5.1 Introduction………………………………………………………………….....32 5.2 Difference between Low Cost Model in Europe and Oasis Model……….32 5.3 Reasons for Oasis Airline’s failure…………………………………………..35 5.3.1 Management team…………………………………………………………..35 5.3.2 Underestimate the competitors…………………………………………….36 5.3.3 Purchase old aircraft………………………………………………………...37 5 5.3.4 Lack of aircraft……………………………………………………………….38 5.3.5 Add frills………………………………………………………………………38 5.3.6 Lower productivity on long-haul……………………………………………39 5.3.7 Passenger load factor……………………………………………………….40 5.3.8 Lower input prices…………………………………………………………...40 5.3.9 No cargo carried……………………………………………………………..42 5.3.10 High fuel price………………………………………………………………42 SECTION SIX: CONCLUSIONS…………………………………..……..………44 6.1 Introduction……………………………………………………………………..44 6.2 Conclusion……………………………………………………………………...44 6.3 Recommendation……………………………………………………………...46 References………………………………………………………………………...49 6 List of Figures Figure 1.1: Low-cost carrier operation model……………………………………19 Figure 1.2: How come cheap airlines are so cheap…………………………….19 Figure 1.3: The costs incurred in the provision of air services…………………23 Figure 1.4: The factors for Oasis Airline’s failure……………………………….35 Figure 1.5: Recommendation for Oasis………………………………………….46 7 List of Tables Table 1.1: Comparison of Southwest and Oasis Hong Kong Airlines……….34 8 SECTION ONE: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The purpose of the study is to analyze the reasons why oasis failed and the difficulties involved in running a new airline. In this case study, the author is going to discuss the differences between Traditional Carriers and Low cost carriers; to examine the relationship between airlines and their suppliers; to compare the differences between low cost carriers and Oasis Airlines; and to find out the reasons for Oasis Airline’s failure. Oasis Hong Kong Airlines was founded by ex-Dragonair CEO Stephen Miller, with principal investment from the Rev. Raymond Lee and his wife, Priscilla Lee, Oasis had a definitive positioning as the only longhaul, low-fare airline operating out of Hong Kong. In the literature review section, the literature of the types of carriers, traditional carriers, low-cost carriers, low-cost long haul carriers and the definition of airlines’ suppliers will be defined and discussed. The qualitative research method was used in this study. This method was used 9 as there were difficulties in getting primary information, since the operation of Oasis Hong Kong Airlines had stopped. Therefore, qualitative study method is used in this case study. The information will be collected from secondary data including books, journals, websites and other sources. Case study research excels at bringing us an understanding of a complicated issue or object, can extend experience or improve what is already known through previous research. Case studies emphasize on detailed contextual analysis of a limited number of events or conditions and their relationships. Researchers have used the case study research method for many years across a variety of disciplines. Social scientists, in particular, have made wide use of this qualitative research method to examine contemporary real-life situations and provide the basis for the application of ideas and extension of methods. The major advantage of the analysis of secondary data was that it has very rich insight for the research focus. Also, the resources contain large number of valuable information. 10 However, the research still has few limitations. Oasis Hong Kong Airlines official website was switch those information off since the company goes into the liquidation. It will lead the researcher hard to find the official information such as management team, fare type and the company’s mission and vision. Finally, the author hoped that the analysis and recommendations can be a useful reference for newly established airline companies, which can help them to avoid making wrong decisions, reduce cost and maximize the profit. 11 SECTION TWO: INTRODUCTION: CONTEXT AND OBJECTIVES 2.1 General Background Airline industry is a fast growing industry. It is because the airline industry is an industry which is constantly changed by new developments and constraints like regulations. In recent years, low-cost and no-frills carriers are some of the crucial developments affecting the airline business. These changes in turn have required airlines to develop new policies and strategies for the twenty-first century (Doganis, 2001). Although Oasis Airline was the first budget airline in Hong Kong, owing to several reasons, it just has a life-span of eighteen months and went into bankruptcy. There is a very interesting issue that how a new airline was created in the almost saturated market in Hong Kong. It is because there are nearly full international routings and different strong competitors such as Cathay Pacific Airways in the aviation industry in Hong Kong. In order to let Hong Kong people not to give up the Business and travelling 12 opportunities because of the high ticket fees, Rev. Raymond C. Lee establishes Oasis Hong Kong Airlines. Afterwards, in 2007, Oasis Hong Kong got the vote on "World’s Leading New Airline" and "Asia's Leading Budget/No Frills Airline" at the Annual World Travel Awards 2007. It was also named "New Airline of the Year" by the Centre for Asia Pacific Aviation of Australia. Nevertheless, Oasis Hong Kong went into bankruptcy after it operated for eighteen months only. According to the official closure reasons, which are: money spent on buying modes for operation of the aircraft; Skyrocket oil prices; Companies cannot recruit enough local staff in Hong Kong so it can only hire foreign workers and fail to find new investor shares the investments. Even so, the fatal reason of the failure that maybe Oasis confuses to identify the role between budget airlines and low cost carriers (Lee, 2008). Therefore, the project will go to discuss the reason for final failure of the Oasis Hong Kong Airlines. 2.2 Definition of Airline’s Failure If one airline goes into liquidation with cancels all flights and to halt the 13 operations, it means airline failure (Civil Aviation Authority, 2011). 2.3 Aim and Objectives The aim of this project is to find out the reasons why oasis failed and the difficulties involved in running a new airline. More specifically, this study aims to achieve the following objectives: 1) To discuss the differences between Traditional Carriers and Low cost carriers; 2) To examine the relationship between airlines and its suppliers; 3) To compare the differences between low cost carriers and Oasis Airlines; and 4) To find out the reasons for Oasis Airline’s failure. 2.4 The History of Oasis Hong Kong Airlines Oasis Hong Kong Airlines was founded by ex-Dragonair CEO Stephen Miller, with principal investment from the Rev. Raymond Lee and his wife, Priscilla Lee, Oasis had a definitive positioning as the only longhaul, low-fare airline operating out of Hong Kong. As a property developer, Lee had made his fortune in the US from property development by founding Oasis Development 14 Enterprises. It was Miller who came up with the idea of a long-haul, low-fare carrier. He took his business proposal to Lee, who was initially sceptical but was later convinced after his many questions about the business plan were satisfactorily answered by Miller. The majority of the seed funding was the Lees’ own investment, which was supplemented by additional investments from Allan Wong, chairman and CEO of VTech Holdings (a multinational corporation), and Richard K. Lee, founder of Trinity Textiles (Asia Travel Tips, 2006). 2.5 Mission Statement of Oasis Hong Kong Airlines We are not just to set up a successful airline, but to harness it as a force for social good (Mission of Oasis Hong Kong Airlines, No Date). 2.6 Core Value Contemplate a company whose business plan states the desire to operate on faith-based morals and with deep regard for its customers. Visualize the concept underlying the operation of Oasis Hong Kong. Founder Reverend Dr. Raymond C. Lee wants to make long-distance international travel available and affordable. 15 SECTION THREE: INSTRUMENTAL LITERATURE REVIEW 3.1 Introduction In this chapter, the literature of the types of carriers, traditional carriers, low-cost carriers, low-cost long haul carrier and the definition of airlines’ suppliers will be defined and discussed. 3.2 Types of Carriers Commercial carriers could be categorized into three primary types: scheduled airlines, charter airlines and feeder airlines (Subramanian et al, 2008). 3.3 Traditional Carriers and Low Cost Carriers Subramanian (2008) also state that most commonly known airlines in 2006 such as United Airlines, British Airways, Cathay Pacific Airways and Singapore Airlines were regarded as traditional carriers. In the late 1990s and early 2000s, proliferation of low-cost carriers in almost every part of the world was observed. By 2006, examples of low-cost carriers could be found in all major regions of the world: Southwest and JetBlue in North America; Ryanair and easyJet in Europe; Kingfisher and Air Deccan in India; Tiger Airways, Jetstar Asia and Valuair in Singapore; Air Asia in Malaysia; and Jetstar and Virgin Blue in 16 Australia. 3.3.1 Traditional Carriers Traditional carriers tended to provide a full complement of options and services throughout the entire passenger experience, from the point when a booking was made to the end of the return flight. They allowed passengers to book tickets through various means, including travel agents (usually via one or more global computer reservation systems) and directly through the airline (which could be by phone, in person or online), and provided a choice of up to four classes of cabin service. Upon check-in, using the International Air Transport Association (“IATA”) interline system, a traditional airline could check passengers and their baggage through to connecting flights on other airlines and issue onward boarding passes. For premium-class passengers or members of loyalty clubs, a comfortable waiting lounge would be provided with complimentary food and beverages, as well as other services. Once on board, passengers would be provided with various in-flight amenities, reading materials, in-flight audio and video programmes (on a broadcast or on-demand basis via personal TVs or big 17 screens), and hot meals and beverages. For some overnight flights, lounges would also be available for select passengers to freshen up upon arrival. To assist passengers with connecting flights, service agents would be present at arrival gates. Most traditional carriers provided these services at no additional cost to passengers. Operating on a scheduled basis with a hub-and-spoke model, traditional carriers had multiple origins of sales and multiple destinations. Most traditional carriers served a variety of long, medium and short-haul destinations with a variety of aircraft types. British Airways, for instance, served destinations from its bases in the UK, ranging from other points in the UK, which would take less than one hour, to New York in North America, which would take around 8 hours, and to Hong Kong in the Far East, which could take around 14 hours. To serve such a broad range of destinations, British Airways’ fleet consisted of a wide variety of aircraft types: Boeing 737s, 747s, 757s, 767s and 777s; Airbus A319s, A320s and A321s; and a few other smaller aircraft types. Traditional carriers often used expensive primary airports as bases and hubs. The major advantage of this model was that airlines could schedule effectively 18 and transport passengers from more origins to more destinations through the hubs. This additional revenue generation allowed carriers to operate flights between cities where point-to-point demand alone would not have justified the operation economically. By dominating a hub, airlines might also be able to limit competition on certain routes because the supply of slots at leading airports was extremely limited. Nevertheless, any flight irregularities occurring at the hub could wreak havoc on an airline’s entire network. Traditional carriers usually offered loyalty clubs or frequent-flyer programmes, which rewarded frequent travelers with such privileges as lounge access, upgrades and free tickets. Rewards were primarily based on mileage flown, though mileage could also be earned by patronizing partnering companies or using airline-branded credit cards. To strengthen and expand their hub-and-spoke networks, traditional airlines had joined forces to form alliances. These alliances not only linked the networks of their various member airlines, but also offered alliance-wide loyalty clubs that afforded passengers privileges throughout an alliance’s enlarged network. The world’s three largest alliances were Star Alliance, Sky Team and Oneworld (Subramanian et al, 2008). 19 3.3.2 Low Cost Carriers The term “low-cost carriers” is commonly referred to airlines that offered low ticket prices and limited services, though this term was first used to refer specifically to carriers with lower operating-cost structures than traditional carriers. As competition and the overall business environment toughened, most airlines, traditional or otherwise, lowered their operating costs significantly. It was for this reason that low-cost carriers were later distinguished from traditional carriers by ticket prices and services rather than by cost structures. Unlike traditional carriers, low-cost carriers tended not to use travel agents or computer reservation systems. Instead, they preferred to sell directly and tried to limit their use of travel agents. Low-cost carriers usually provided a single class cabin and very basic complimentary services such as soft drinks and peanuts in Southwest Airlines. Low-cost carriers typically did not adopt the hub-and-spoke network model. Instead, their networks consisted of city pairs that supported direct service, or point-to-point traffic. Many low-cost carriers cited that direct service was 20 cheaper than the hub-and-spoke model. One industry observer even suggested that the cost of handling passengers in a hub-and-spoke system was as much as 45% higher than in a point-to-point system. With a simpler network, low-cost carriers also tended to have much simpler pricing systems and fewer fare classes than their traditional counterparts. To keep their costs low, low-cost carriers also flew to secondary airports. Most low-cost carriers focused on short-haul services. Because the type of operations of all the different flights was very similar, low-cost carriers also tended to fly just one type of aircraft. The commonality among the aircraft minimized the cost of both the spares inventory and the training of pilots, flight attendants and maintenance personnel, and also facilitated quick turnarounds. Low-cost airlines were unlikely to be members of the IATA and did not care much about getting feeder traffic or feeding traffic to other airlines. As such, they would not do interline check-ins or baggage transfers, nor would they be members of any alliance. Although typical low-cost carriers mainly kept to themselves and would not work with other airlines, some had started to deviate from this model. In 2005, Southwest Airlines announced a code sharing agreement with ATA Airlines, allowing customers to book flights on ATA to fly 21 to such destinations as Hawaii. Some low-cost carriers also offered a simpler version of frequent-flyer programmes. For example, Southwest Airlines ran Figure 1.1: Low-cost carrier operation model In general, a low-cost carrier operates in the following business model: (a) offering a single passenger class; (b) using a single type of airplanes to reduce training and servicing costs; (c) providing a minimum set of optional equipment on its airplanes to reduce acquisition and maintenance costs; (d) offering a simple fare scheme such as charging one-way tickets half the fare of round-trip tickets; (e) allowing unreserved seating; (f) flying to cheaper, less congested secondary airports; (g) flying during non-peak hours to avoid air traffic delays and taking the advantage of lower landing fees; (h) maximizing utilization of aircraft by means of fast turnaround times; (i) offering simplified routes and emphasizing point-to-point transit instead of transfers at hubs; (j) generating ancillary revenue from a variety of activities such as a la carte features and commission-based products; (k) emphasizing direct sales of tickets, especially over the Internet to avoid fees and commissions paid to travel agents and computer reservations systems; (l) flight attendants working in multiple roles to reduce personnel costs; (m) providing limited special services to passengers such as placing a higher age limit on unaccompanied minors; and (n) maintaining aggressive fuel hedging programmes. Figure 1.2: How come cheap airlines are so cheap Fastest growing segment of air travel are low fare airlines (LFAs), sometimes called low cost companies (LCC). LFAs now constitute 35% of scheduled intra-EU point to point traffic – and the cheap flights revolution in Europe only started in 1990 by 22 Ryanair. In the USA it was the Southwest Airlines that has led the attack against high flights prices since 1971. (Managing Airline Operating Costs Conference, Dublin 7 December, 2005) a simple frequent-flyer programme where points were accumulated based on the number of one-way trips, not mileage flown, and a free round-trip would be rewarded for every 18 points accumulated (Subramanian et al, 2008). 23 Nevertheless, the low-cost business model appears robust and the expectation must be that the larger and more successful low-cost carriers will continue to undermine the economics of growing market share and by forcing the latter to drop their fares. Further liberalization of international air service will allow low-cost operations to spread into new markets. The threat is serious and potentially disastrous for some. It is one that all network or charter airlines with shorter-haul service will have to deal with (Doganis, 2006). 3.4 Airline Economics Airlines operate like many other businesses that the primary aim was to generate maximum revenue and incur minimum cost to maximize return on capital invested. The products were seats and cargo space, which went at a particular time from one location to another. Both products had a very short shelf life (from the time the schedule was published to the time the gate closed for departure) and were perishable by nature (once the aircraft had departed, any unsold products were “perished”) (Subramanian et al, 2008). 3.5 Airline Cost Structure The major cost drivers of any airlines included personnel, fuel, capital cost and 24 maintenance cost of assets, selling expenses, and airport and landing fees. Personnel-related costs were among the highest for major airlines. Airlines usually employed huge labor forces that included pilots, flight attendants, engineers, mechanics, airport service agents and support staff. Labor in the airline industry was well known for being highly unionized (Subramanian et al, 2008). 3.6 Low Cost Long Haul Carrier Oasis marketed itself as a long-haul, low-fare carrier that offered exceptional value with customizable options. It offered two classes of service, targeting both economy- and business class passengers, whereas other low-cost carriers only offered economy-class service and competed primarily on price. While all other low-cost carriers served short-haul routes, Oasis would only serve long-haul routes. The initial network plan of Oasis included Oakland and Chicago in the US, Berlin and Cologne in Germany, Milan in Italy, and London Gatwick in the UK, which would be the airline’s launch destination (Subramanian et al, 2008). 25 3.7 Definition of Airline’s suppliers According to the Air Transport Association of America, Inc. (ATA) airfares are normally set at a level that covers unit operating cost. Full-service airlines have a higher level of fixed and operating costs due to the acquisition and maintenance of airplanes as well as the provision of quality services. the provider of these service and equipment are considered as suppliers. There are labor, fuel, aircraft rents and ownership, professional services, food and beverage, landing fees, maintenance material, aircraft insurance, non-aircraft insurance, passenger commissions, communication, advertising & promotion, utilities & office supplies, transport-related and other operating cost. Figure 1.3: The costs incurred in the provision of air services Labor Wages, employee benefits (e.g., annuity payments, educational, medical, recreational and retirement programs) and payroll taxes (e.g., FICA, state and federal unemployment insurance). General management, flight personnel, maintenance labor, and aircraft and traffic handling personnel are all included in the calculation of labor costs. Fuel Cost of aviation fuel used in flight operations, excluding taxes, transportation, storage and into-plane expenses. Aircraft Rents & Ownership The cost of aircraft rentals, depreciation and amortization of flight equipment, including airframes and parts, aircraft engine and parts, capital leases and other flight equipment. Non-Aircraft Rents & Ownership 26 Principally, the total cost of airport terminal rents. Non-aircraft rents and ownership also includes the cost of hangars, ground service/support equipment (GSE), storage and distribution equipment, and communication and meteorological equipment. Professional Services The cost of legal fees and expenses (e.g., attorney fees, retainer fees, witness expenses, legal forms, litigation costs), professional and technical fees and expenses (e.g., engineering and appraisal fees, consultants, market and traffic surveys, laboratory costs), as well as general services purchased outside (e.g., aircraft and general interchange service charges). Food and Beverage The cost of purchasing beverages and food, commissary supplies and outside catering charges. Landing Fees The cost of fees paid by the airlines to airports for runway and airport maintenance. Maintenance Material The cost of maintaining and purchasing materials for airframes, aircraft engines, ground property and equipment (excluding labor costs). Also includes the costs of maintaining a shop and servicing supplies (e.g., automotive, electrical, plumbing, sheet metal, small tools, glass and glass products, cleaning compounds). Aircraft Insurance The cost of flight equipment insurance, sometimes referred to as hull insurance. Non-Aircraft Insurance The cost of insurance unrelated to the hull itself. This category is broken down by two categories: general insurance (i.e., buildings and contents, materials and supplies, third party liability, passenger baggage and personal property) and traffic liability insurance (i.e., passenger baggage and personal property, cargo liability and provisions for self-insurance). Passenger Commissions The costs paid to passenger travel agencies for services. Communication 27 The total cost of equipment and intercommunication rental and installation charges, telephone and teletype equipment, telegraph and cable message charges and navigation facility charges. Advertising and Promotion Includes the cost of producing tariffs, schedules, timetables and other promotional and publicity expenses (e.g., television, radio, entertainment, photography, and graphics). Utilities and Office Supplies The cost of light, heat, power and water, stationary, printing (e.g., labels, small signs, ticket stock, paper products, company manuals), shipping and mailing supplies and other office supplies as well as cleaning compounds, safety, electrical, engineering, drafting, blue prints and photographic supplies. Transport-Related Expenses As defined by DOT, transport-related expenses are expenses incurred for providing air transportation facilities associated with the performance of service which emanate from and are incidental to air transportation services performed by the carrier. Following are some specific examples: ABC Airlines issues tickets for flights operated by regional partner ABC Express. It pays ABC Express a fee to fly the code-share routes on its behalf. ABC Express reports the fee income as passenger revenue, to match the associated traffic, capacity and operating expenses. ABC Airlines reports the fare collected as transport-related revenue and reports the fee it paid to ABC Express as transport-related expense. ABC Airlines performs maintenance for XYZ airlines. ABC Airlines reports the cost of labor, parts and materials for this in-sourced maintenance as transport-related expense. ABC Airlines sells liquor and food on its flights. The amount that ABC Airlines paid for the liquor and food is reported as transport-related expense. ABC Airlines operates a gift shop. The cost of running that gift shop is considered transport-related expense. Other Operating Expenses Includes the cost of miscellaneous expenses such as personnel expense, outside flight equipment, excess of losses over insurance recoveries, interrupted trips expense, memberships, corporate and fiscal expenses, uncollectible accounts, 28 clearance customs and duties. Interest The total interest paid on long term debt, capital and other interest expenses. Included in this worksheet is the cost associated with average book debt outstanding and estimated off-balance sheet debt. Composite A weighted average of all components, including interest expense. Sources: Air Transport Association of America, Inc. (2011) 29 SECTION FOUR: METHOD OF INVESTIGATION 4.1 Introduction This chapter aims to describe the qualitative research method that was used in this study. The case study method was used because as there were difficulties getting primary information since the Oasis Hong Kong Airlines had stopped operations. This will be a qualitative study using the case study method. The information will be collected from secondary data including books, journals, websites and other sources. Case study research excels at bringing us to an understanding of a complex issue or object and can extend experience or add strength to what is already known through previous research. Case studies emphasize detailed contextual analysis of a limited number of events or conditions and their relationships. Researchers have used the case study research method for many years across a variety of disciplines. Social scientists, in particular, have made wide use of this qualitative research method to examine contemporary real-life situations and provide the basis for the application of ideas and extension of methods. Researcher Robert K. Yin defines the case study research method as an empirical inquiry that investigates a contemporary phenomenon within its real-life context; when the boundaries between 30 phenomenon and context are not clearly evident; and in which multiple sources of evidence are used (Yin, 1984, p. 23). 4.2 Secondary Research Existing primary data was collected by someone else or for a purpose other than the current one (Girolami, no date). The chosen data were base on data’s availability, relevantly, reliability and validity. The researcher has reviewed those relevant documents and literatures to obtain a valuable view points on Oasis Hong Kong Airlines and it’s management practices. Most of the secondary were collected by the following sources: Journals: Harvard Business Review Research in Transportation Economics Journal of Transport Economics and Policy The US Airline Industry Brown University Department of Economics Paper Books: Airline Business 2006 31 Airline Business 2005 Airline Marketing and Management, Sixth edition, Ashgate Pub Co (2007) Handbook of Low Cost Airlines - Strategies, Business Processes and Market Environment (2007) No Frills: The Truth behind the Low Cost Revolution in the Skies (2002) Magazines: BBC magazines Websites: http://www.oasishongkong.com http://news.bbc.co.uk http://www.rcaerosport.com http://www.altiusdirectory.com/ Databases: EBSCO Host Research Database Google Scholar 32 Annual Reports: British Airways Annual Report and Accounts, 2009-2010 Internal Documents: Oasis Hong Kong Airlines - Companies Winding-up notice to creditors 4.3 Advantages The major advantage of the analysis of secondary data was that it has very rich insight for the research focus. Also, it allowed resources of information which contain large number of valuable information. The researcher was easily to find relevant information from different sources such as electronic databases and international journals. Furthermore, the qualitative research method in terms of the cost, time, and personal bias. Finally, the qualitative research method has assisted us to identify further research needs. 4.4 Limitation Although carefully done, this research still has few limitations. First, Oasis Hong Kong Airlines official website was switch those of information off since 33 the company goes into the liquidation. It will lead the researcher hard to find the official information such as management team, fare type and the company’s mission and vision. The research tended to be narrow in focusing on the corporation level and the business level, rather than focus on the functional level. However, the researcher found that it is the best to focus more on different levels of business in order to reach more concrete conclusions. Second, the researcher found that some of the research and discussion included biases as were filtered through huge number of reference which may not complete conceptualized. Finally, the available research may be inaccurate, inappropriate, incorrect or biased. Besides, as there is huge number of information found from various sources that the researcher was spent much time to scan and select the relevant information. 34 SECTION FIVE: FINDINGS AND ANALYSIS 5.1 Introduction Oasis Hong Kong Airlines was founded by ex-Dragonair CEO Stephen Miller, with principal investment from the Rev. Raymond Lee and his wife, Priscilla Lee, Oasis had a definitive positioning as the only long haul, low-fare airline operating out of Hong Kong. As a property developer, Lee had made his fortune in the US from property development by founding Oasis Development Enterprises. In this chapter, the author will going to use the previous information to analysis the failure reasons of Oasis. 5.2 Difference between Low Cost Model in Europe and Oasis Model Most of the European low-cost carriers have adopted and closely followed the Southwest model. Fares are low, simple, available on a one-way basis and with no (or minimal) restrictions. Fares may vary between flights on the same day to the same destination and changes as the departure date approaches. But at any one time of enquiry, for each flight departure there is only one fare available. The cheapest fares are on offer well in advance of the travel date 35 and then fares increase gradually as that date approaches or as seats get filled up. So a day or two before departure, fares for the few seats available may be several times higher than the initial fares six months earlier. They may even be higher than the lowest fare available from a network carrier. If demand for a particular flight fails to meet expectations, fares may actually decrease as the departure date approaches (Doganis, 2006). However, Oasis Hong Kong Airlines use the specific model in their business model. It is between low cost model and traditional model. Therefore, we call “Oasis Model”. In the Oasis Model, Oasis marketed itself as a long-haul, low-fare carrier that offered exceptional value with customizable options. It offered two classes of service, targeting both economy- and business class passengers, whereas other low-cost carriers only offered economy-class service and competed primarily on price. While all other low-cost carriers served short-haul routes, Oasis would only serve long-haul routes (Subramanian et al. 2008). It is completely reverse the traditional low cost carriers’ operational model. We can use the table to analysis the difference between Southwest Airlines low-cost, no-frills model in European and Oasis Hong Kong Airlines. 36 Table 1.1: Comparison of Southwest and Oasis Hong Kong Airlines Fares Distribution Southwest Airlines Oasis Airlines -Low -Low -Simple, unrestricted -Simple -Point-to-point -Point-to-point -No interlining -HKD1000 for Economy Class -Travel agents (16% in 2003) -Require interline ticket sales and direct sales (84%) -Relied on brick-and mortar travel -Ticketless agents -Traditional paper ticket In-flight -Single-class, high-density -Standard complimentary hot meals -No seat assignment for Economy-Class -No meals -Standard upgraded meals with -Snacks and light beverages complimentary drinks for only Business-Class -In-flight entertainment such as video and audio programmes with personal TVs and magazines Frequency -High -Low Punctuality -Very good -No good during the old aircraft and the freedom of air permission -Operation Aircraft -Single type (Boeing 737) – -Single type (Boeing 747 - 400) three variants two variants -High utilization (over 11 -High utilization (over 15 hours/day) hours/day) Sectors -Short – but growing -Short (1994 average:394 miles, 2003 average: 566 miles) Airports Growth -Secondary or uncongested -Secondary or uncongested 15-20 minute turn-rounds -Gatwick instead of Heathrow -Target 10 per cent per -NIL annum -Maximum 15 per cent Staff -Competitive wages -Profit-sharing since 1973 -High productivity -Competitive wages 37 5.3 Reasons for Oasis Airline’s failure Figure 1.4: The factors for Oasis Airline’s failure 5.3.1 Management team Shortage of funds, Oasis Airlines lobbied Dr. Lee to establish the seedlings Norris, he came from the United Kingdom. In 1972, he was the president of Cargolux as Asia Pacific region. In 1983, he turned to the Irish aircraft leasing company, Guinness Peat Aviation (GPA Group), as Executive Officer of Asia. In 1985, he persuaded the businessmen Mr. Cao Guang biao to provide financial support for him to establish Dragonair. Therefore, he became the Dragonair Chief Executive Officer naturally and left after three years. In 1993 38 to 1997, he worked in the Acting Vietnam Airlines flight operations agent and responsible for management and Morning Star Travel Service. Oasis is simply a replica of Dragonair, also sponsored by the Tony Norris. The difference between Oasis and Dragonair is Dragonair has powerful Mr. Pao Yue Kong, Henry Fok, and supported by China Merchants. On the other hand, the Oasis of the largest shareholders, Raymond Cho Min will not have such financial power. Oasis first flight to Russia was failed due to the failure in the application of the permit. It reflected the problem of the management team (Law, 2008). 5.3.2 Underestimate the competitors Due to no local market in Hong Kong, the operating costs are high. In addition, the international routes have saturated, which make Hong Kong difficult to open a new airline to join the competition. At the beginning of Oasis operation, there were a number of airlines such as Cathay Pacific and Viva Macau Airlines sued the Oasis operating for without a license (AOC) before the application for the Air Transport Licensing (ATLA). This is contrary to the usual procedural requirements. 39 Traditionally, Hong Kong to London round-trip ticket price is at least HKD 5,000 on weekdays. However, in order to fight against the oasis airlines competition, Cathay Pacific has launched HKD 3,620 round-trip tickets to London. British Airways, Qantas and Virgin Atlantic were also introduced a round trip ticket price of HKD 3280 for London to Hong Kong. The lowest round trip fare was HKD 2950 and introduced by Singapore Airlines. 5.3.3 Purchase old aircraft Owing to the outcome of the proceedings, the Oasis’s license application time for ATLA was dragged for six months. It resulted in the failure of signing the leasing aircraft agreement by Mr. Raymond Lee. Therefore, the fate of the plane was rented to other airlines and the leasing aircraft planning was needed to be canceled. In the aircraft leasing market, especially for the Boeing seven hundred forty-seven aircraft, are very difficult to find. Therefore, Oasis had to spend USD 1billion to Singapore Airlines to buy two secondhand Boeing aircraft. Afterwards, to run the Vancouver route, Oasis also spent three hundred million US dollars to buy three, seven-aged Boeing 747-400 aircraft. It turned Oasis into a tight financial situation because the amount of money 40 spent for a month was already over two million HK dollars. Lee (2006) previously mentioned “start to open Hong Kong to London route alone, no profit”. It is because the two flights cannot enjoy economies of scale. If Oasis wants to earn money, it has to open four routes to different destinations. 5.3.4 Lack of aircraft Because of the only four Boeing 747-400 fleet, once a failure, it could not have enough aircraft to do the rearrangement. The company is also very difficult to control the cost of the expected results (Law, 2008). 5.3.5 Add frills Traditionally, low-cost airlines do not provide food, drinks, entertainment; do not take place in delivery of the meal to reduce the crew employed. But Oasis provided two hot meals and soft drinks in both long haul routes in all classes. Snacks and alcoholic drinks were also free for business class passengers and available to be ordered in economy class. Free headphones, blankets and pillows were also distributed in all classes without any charges, while passengers could purchase noise-canceling headphones and amenity kits onboard. This is never seen in the low cost carrier (Oasis, no date). 41 5.3.6 Lower productivity on long-haul On short-hauls, LCCs try to get the maximum amount of revenue per aircraft by keeping aircraft flying as much as possible during the 6am to 11pm operating day. This means short turnaround times which also means no seat assignment, completing cabin cleaning before landing to avoid these ground handling services and no connecting bags or passengers. On long-hauls, time zones, night curfews and flying time would limit the number of daily rotations that one aircraft made. This reduces the need for such simplicity of product, although many of the simple attributes might be retained for cost or ancillary revenue reasons. For example, the inspiration for many of today’s LCCs, Southwest Airlines, is now actively seeking cross-border code share and interline partners, signaling a change of emphasis over its still short-haul network (Ranson, 2008). However, Oasis Hong Kong Airlines is a long-haul airline to provide Hong Kong to London long trip. It flew from the Eastern Hemisphere to Western Hemisphere, almost surrounded by half the globe, it take the aircraft fuel consumption significantly, each landing and takeoff need around the 24 o’clock, therefore, the fleet cannot carry too many passengers. It takes a high risk to the operation. (Law, 2008) 42 5.3.7 Passenger load factor The successful operation of foreign budget airlines was just flying a short-range trip and through the online ticket sales however Oasis is operating a long distance services and to help ticket sales through travel agencies. Therefore, the economic benefit cannot higher than foreign LCC. In addition, the failures to use the code share network to utilization of use of resources also decrease the airline’s flexibility. Although some travel agents express that the future will certainly use the Oasis tickets in their tour package to increase customer choice. However, the European tour schedule, mostly out of the UK into Europe, or out of Europe into the UK, it temporarily difficult to use the flight by Oasis. Therefore, cannot invite tour operator try to use the Oasis also is the failure reason. (Morrell, 2008) 5.3.8 Lower input prices Although the secondary airport can offer a small potential for reduced costs: First the share of these in total airport and handling charges costs would be much lower (Hooper, 2005); Second, although secondary airports might allow 43 lower landing charges and passenger fees, handling would be more expensive since there would be few flights per day over which to spread the fixed costs. Selecting a LCC base at one end of the route would give some advantages, but still small in relation to total operating costs. On the other hands, many long-haul passengers often need to transfer to other places. Therefore, it will reduce the attractiveness of secondary airports. One factor that Binggeli & Pompeo (2002) did not address was aircraft costs (eg depreciation, interest and leasing). Initially a start-up long-haul LCC would have a higher cost of capital and no opportunity to get low aircraft prices from large orders. This may be mitigated by timing their start to coincide with a major industry downturn when lease rates are low, although they would only lock in low rates for a few years at best. Some of the established LCCs such as Ryanair and easyJet subsequently placed very large orders with aircraft manufacturers at substantial discounts on the list price. It would be difficult to replicate this on long-haul although the acquisition of cheap aircraft appears crucial to Ryanair’s plans for starting such services. 44 5.3.9 No cargo carried Morrell (2008) state that Cargo carried in the lower deck makes a valuable contribution to the economics of long-haul flights, and Virgin Atlantic generated £179m in revenue from this source in 2006/07, compared to an operating profit of only £15m. This revenue came from an average of 10 tons of cargo per flight. This could also be achieved by an LCC, but an all-economy configuration may inflate the number of passenger bags in the lower deck at the expense of some cargo capacity. If the airline had introduced a charge for checked baggage, its level would have to be high enough to displace cargo. No cargo carrying is also a big revenue problem of the operation of Oasis. 5.3.10 High fuel price In 2006, fuel accounted for only one-third of the operating costs of airlines. However, fuel price rising up to the half of the airlines’ operating cost. Therefore, small companies cannot purchase fuel by large scale and thus be exposed to a greater impact. Oasis opening is by the end of 2006, during the period, crude oil prices have rising up very shortly, from that time about USD 56 per barrel, rising to USD 100. As airlines try to control costs, the general method will use of the oil 45 futures to against the risk of rising oil prices. Assuming that airlines purchased USD 80 in exchange of oil contracts, when oil prices rose to USD 110 a barrel, the airline will earn 30 dollars in revenue, to compensate for the increase in fuel costs when due loss. On the other hand, the airline also agreed to supply under the contract similar to futures contracts, to lock the price of jet fuel. Unfortunately, Oasis Hong Kong Airlines has no more capital to buy a large scale of futures oil to against the risk of oil prices because of the small capital and lack of aircraft. 46 SECTION SIX: CONCLUSIONS 6.1 Introduction In this project, a lot of information and evidences have been found that Oasis Hong Kong Airlines was not a low cost carrier. According to the previous analysis, the reasons for Oasis Airlines’ failure are management team problem, underestimate the competitors, purchase old aircraft, lack of aircraft, add frills, low productivity on long-haul, passenger load factor, low input prices, no cargo carried and high fuel price. However, in fact, the main reason for Oasis failure is the poor financial power of Founder Raymond Cho Min. 6.2 Conclusion Raymond Cho Min, who was the founder of Oasis, was a layman of aviation industry. In such a high-risk industry, a large consortium is indispensable as it provides good financial support for the company to maintain the business. Raymond Cho Min and those shareholders were powerless in this situation. Since Raymond Cho Min did not want to give up the Oasis, he found Cheung Kong Holdings for private loans and borrows ten million U.S. dollars. However, their own property in the United States and the shares of Oasis as collateral to borrow money, one of the additional protocols that is entitled to 47 appoint directors of Cheung Kong Holdings into the board of Oasis Management team (Lee, 2008). On the other hands, Raymond Cho Min negotiated with Hainan Airlines about the shares; it is because the Hainan Airlines has shares of Hong Kong Airlines and Hong Kong Express already. However, it has flight to the mainland and the two neighboring countries in Asia only, which has not been going out of Asia. Hence, if the negotiation of Oasis and Hainan Airlines was successfully, there would be a sudden expansion in service area to the United Kingdom and Canada. It can help Hainan Airlines to enhance the competitiveness to against the raging of the three domestic aviation groups such as Air China, China Eastern Airlines and China Southern Airlines. However, the largest shareholder of Hainan Airlines found that, Oasis has been pledged to Cheung Kong Holdings. In addition, Cheung Kong Holdings has the right to refuse a new shareholder to join Oasis (Right of first refusal) according to the lending term set buy it. Consequently, the negotiation with Hainan Airline was failed due to the trouble situation of Oasis airline. 48 6.3 Recommendation The previous findings and analysis have indicated that the main failure reasons of Oasis Hong Kong Airlines are lack of funds and high fuel prices. Hence, the following four different ways suggested may change the bad operating situation of Oasis and achieve sustainable business. They are rent aircraft, no frills, provide cargo service and work closely to travel agency. Figure 1.5: Recommendation for Oasis Firstly, insisting on using the rent aircraft rather than buying old aircraft would improve the situation. As the previous findings mentioned before, Oasis want to use the rental method to solve the fleet problem in the initial period. Unfortunately, due to the dragged license application time for ATLA for six months, this resulted in the failure of signing the leasing aircraft agreement by 49 Mr. Raymond Lee. Therefore, the fate of the plane was rented to other airlines and the leasing aircraft planning was needed to be canceled. It is also suggested that the director of Oasis can postpone the first flight day until the ATLA license has received. He does not have to rush into the completion of first flight because buy aircraft directly is a very high risk activities for the first established airlines. A very tight financial situation make Oasis cannot put effort on any other things such as establishment of new destination. Secondly, Oasis should insist on using no-frills model to run the airlines business. Low-cost airlines do not provide food, drinks, entertainment; do not take place in delivery of the meal to reduce the crew employed. However, Oasis provided two hot meals and soft drinks in both long haul routes in all classes. Snacks and alcoholic drinks were also free for business class passengers and available to be ordered in economy class. It is much costly to the low cost carrier. Therefore, Oasis should not provide the extra meal and entertainment to the passenger in order to reduce the cost. Thirdly, is to provide cargo service. In the official information of Oasis, there was no any cargo service provided by Oasis Hong Kong Airlines. Morrell (2008) 50 state that Cargo carried in the lower deck makes a valuable contribution to the economics of long-haul flights, and Virgin Atlantic generated £179m in revenue from this source in 2006/07. In reality, a lot of low cost carriers such as Air Asia in Asia Pacific, they always carried many cargos in order to make use of cargo space completely on their fleet. It is because every flight is very highly perishable. The airlines should maximize the profit rather than blank the space. Fourthly, Oasis has to work closely to travel agency. Owing to the European tour schedule, most of the trips were from UK to Europe, and vice versa. Therefore, the demand for a route from Hong Kong to Europe is low and non-profitable. In the tourism industry, transportation and accommodation are the key elements of the tour package. Travel agency often need to reserve a large number of tickets, thus, they will purchase a lot of seats from the airline. They will also have the bulk purchase discount from the customer airlines, which is a win-win situation. Therefore, it is strongly recommended that Oasis should work closely with the local travel agency. Finally, it is hoped that the analysis and recommendations above can be a useful reference for newly established airline companies, which can help them to avoid making wrong decisions, reduce cost and maximize the profit. 51 Reference Sven Gros and Alexander Schroder (2007) Handbook of Low Cost Airlines Strategies, Business Processes and Market Environment Simon Calder (2002) No Frills: The Truth behind the Low Cost Revolution in the Skies Stephen Shaw (2007) Airline Marketing and Management, Sixth edition, Ashgate Pub Co. Rigas Doganis (2005) The Airline Business second edition. Journal articles Dresner, M., J.-S. C. Lin, and R. 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