COMPARATIVEBUSINESS FAILURESOF FOREIGN-CONTROLLED FIRMS IN THE UNITED STATES Jiatao Li* and Stephen Guisinger** Universityof Texasat Dallas Abstract. We explore the comparative business failures of foreign-owned or controlled firms and domestically owned firms. Original data are collected regarding foreign-controlled firms in the U.S. that filed for bankruptcyprotection,were involuntarily liquidated or ceased operations mainly due to poor financial performanceduring the 1978-1988period. Our results show that foreign-controlledfirms fail less often than domestically owned firms. The patterns of foreign-controlledbusiness failures and the impacts of entry modes, ownershiptypes, and national culture on the failures of foreign-controlledfirms are also examined. Interestin the performanceof foreign-controlledfirmsin the UnitedStates has increasedas the inwardflow of foreign investmenthas grown. Many fear that foreign firms will come to dominate certain industry groups. However,sinceU.S. firmshavea historyof failure-through bankruptcyor involuntaryliquidations-one can expect the U.S. subsidiariesof foreign firms to fail, as well. The issue that we explorein this studyis the comparative rateof businessfailurebetweenthese two groupsof firms. The rates of failurediffer betweenthese two and we examinesome of the reasons for this difference. THEORETICALFOUNDATIONAND HYPOTHESES Before examiningthe relationshipbetween foreign control and performance, we should be more precise about our definitions. Foreigncontrol exists when a foreign firm controls ten percentor more of the equity of a subsidiary.Failureoccurswhen a firm entersinto Chapter11or a forced liquidation.Thereare,of course,alternativedefinitionsfor both failureand *JiataoLi is a doctoralcandidatein Organizations,Strategy,and International Managementat the Universityof Texasat Dallas. **StephenGuisingeris Professor of InternationalManagementStudies at the Universityof Texasat Dallas, wherehe also servesas Chairman,Joint Centerfor China-U.S.ManagementStudies. The authorswishto thankJeffreyArpan,EdwardFlowersandDavidRicksfor suggestingthe idea for this researchin theirpaper[1981]andthe threeanonymousreviewersfor tileirinsightfulcommentsand suggestions. Received:April 1990;Revised:July 1990;Accepted:October1990. 209 210 JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONALBUSINESS STUDIES, SECOND QUARTER 1991 control,but these definitions,being widelyused throughoutthe literature, facilitatecomparisonswith other research. We examinefive categoriesof factorsthat can explainboth the failureof firms and differences in failure rates between domestic and foreigncontrolledfirms. These factors lead logically to five distinct hypotheses that we test in a subsequentsection. OwnershipAdvantagesand BusinessFailures Dunning [1977, 1988] developedthe eclectic paradigmto explain internationalproduction.Subsidiariesof multinationalfirms can manufacture successfullyin foreignmarketsonly if they possess ownershipadvantages. Theseownershipadvantagesmustbe sufficientto compensatefor the costs of settingup and operatinga foreignvalue-addingoperationbeyondthose faced by indigenousproducers.These ownershipadvantagesmay include intangibleassetsandadvantagesof commongovernance.Empirproprietary ical investigationshave identifiedownershipadvantagesin both U.S. and foreign-basedmultinationalfirms [Lall 1980; Pugel 1981;Swendenborg 1979;Dunning 1981;Kimura1989].However,these studiesdid not answer the questionwhetherthese advantagesare sufficientto offset the costs of operatingin countriesalien to the firm, separatedby both geographyand culture. The patternof inwardforeigndirectinvestment(FDI)may differfromthat of outwardFDI. Lall and Siddharthan[1982]pointed out that, in some industries,the ownership-specificadvantagesthat enable U.S. firms to invest abroad successfullymay be so extensiveor relativelyso dominant that foreign firms generally cannot compete successfully in the U.S. market.They suggest this may be the case in the computerindustry.In other industries,foreign firms may have built up proprietaryintangible assets that enableinvestmentin the U.S. on a largescale. This may be the case for watchesand clocks [Pugel 1985]. Arpan and Ricks [1974] identified several economic forces promoting increasedforeigndirectinvestmentin the United States. One factor is the increasedconfidence of large foreign MNCs in their ability to competL with U.S. firms in the U.S. market.Researchby Franko[1976]and Stopford [1980]also attributedthe strongforeigndirectinvestmentgrowthin the U.S. to the increasingsize and capabilitiesof foreign-basedcompanies. However,because so little researchhas been done on the comparative performanceof foreign-ownedor controlledfirms in the U.S., thereis no conclusiveevidencethat foreign-ownedfirms have discoveredbetterways of operatingin the U.S. [Arpan, Flowersand Ricks 1981]. Little [1982]studiedthe impacton financialhealthof foreignacquisitions of U.S. non-financialfirms. The author finds that at the time of their purchase firms bought by foreignerswere generallymarkedby belowfirmsacquired debt. Manufacturing averageprofitabilityand above-average by foreignerswere particularlyweak. As for the impact of the foreign FAILURESOF FOREIGN FIRMS IN THE U.S. 211 acquisitions,the resultsshow an apparentdeteriorationin the U.S. firms' relativeprofitabilityand an apparentaccelerationin the growthof salesand assets. Apparently,foreignownerswereable to provideadequatecapital, technology or managementskills to help acquired firms expand their marketshares [Little 1982]. Studies of foreign divestmentby Boddewyn [1979], Wilson [1980] and Casson [1986]provideadditionalinsightsinto the performanceof foreign investments.Foreign divestmentdiffers from initial entry in two ways. First, divestmentoccurswhen a firm loses one of the ownership,location or internalizationadvantages[Dunning 1988:22]. Second, there may be certain exit barriersthat do not correspondto barriersto entry [Porter 1980;Harrigan1982]. Recentevidencehas shown that the rate of divestmentby multinationalfirmshas beenincreasing[Davidsonand McFetridge 1984]. Severalkey factors such as poor pre-investmentanalysis, adverse environmentalconditions,bad communications,organizationaland structural factorsmay lead to poor financialperformance,which in turn may contributeto divestmentdecisions [Boddewyn1979]. Twocases can be consideredwhereownershipadvantagesarerelatedto the firms.The first comparativeperformanceand failuresof foreign-controlled is when foreign firms possess specific ownershipadvantagesover their competitorsin the U.S. These foreign firms can utilize these ownership advantagesby either setting up new subsidiariesor even acquiringweak U.S. companies.This is consistentwith Little's [1982]finding that firms bought by foreignersweregenerallymarkedby below-averageprofitability and above-averagedebt. The second case is when foreign firms may not possess a particularownershipadvantageand can acquiresuch advantage by buying a U.S. firm. Based on the ownershipadvantagesargumentfor internationalproduction,we would expect foreign-controlledfirms in the U.S. to have a lowerbusiness failurerate than domesticallyowned firms. We examine the following hypothesis for all non-financialindustriesin aggregateand for major industrygroups (manufacturing). Hi: The business failurerate of foreign-controlledfirms in the U.S. is significantlylower than that of domesticallyowned firms. Liability of Newness Aggregateanalyses[Altman1983]showthat overone-half of all failuresin the U.S. occur within the first five years of a firm's existence.Research in organizational ecology [Stinchcombe 1965; Freeman, Carroll and Hannan 1983]showsthat new organizationssuffer a liabilityof newness, a greaterrisk of failurethan older organizations,becausethey depend on the cooperationof strangers,have low levelsof legitimacy,and are unable to compete effectivelyagainst establishedorganizations.Further,Stinchcombearguedthat new organizationsof a new form are morelikelyto fail than new organizationswith an establishedform. Empiricalstudies (e.g., 212 JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONALBUSINESS STUDIES, SECOND QUARTER1991 Freemanet al. 1983)found that thereis a liabilityof newness:death rates at early ages are much higher than those at later years. They have also found that the effectsof newnesscan be separatedfromthose of smallness. Lupo et al. [1978]found that the profit rates of foreignaffiliates of U.S. MNCsin 1966werestronglyrelatedto the age of subsidiaries,aftercontrolling for the countryand industryin which the subsidiaryis located. This age-profitabilityrelationshipis largelydue to the higherpercentageof new subsidiariesrunninglosses. A corollaryholds that the averageprofits of new foreignsubsidiariesshould be low and the failurerate shouldbe high [Caves1982].Our second hypothesisexaminesthe liabilityof newnessof foreign-controlledfirms in the United States. H2: NewU.S. affiliatesof foreignparentssuffera higherbusiness failurerate than more establishedU.S. affiliates. Entry Modes The choice among acquisition,joint ventureor greenfieldentryis related to business failuresbecause they differ both in expectedriskinessand in the importanceof various coordinationcosts. Michalet and Delapierre [1976]suggestedthat acquisitionis morelikelyin sectorswherethe advantages of MNCsrestin generalorganizationalabilityand not technologyor other specificassets. New ventureshave the disadvantageof greaterriskiness [Caves 1982, pp. 81-82]. One might expect that the survivalrate of subsidiariesfounded by acquisitionwould exceedthat of newly founded subsidiaries,because of risk differences. However,the data from the HarvardMultinationalEnterpriseProjectshowthe opposite:foreignsubsidiariesof U.S. MNCs foundedby acquisitionhavea higherrateof exit than those founded as new ventures[Curhanet al. 1977;Wilson 1980]. Acquisitionand greenfieldcan be consideredas representingalternative entry modes, with joint venturesbeing only a question of the degreeof ownership[Cavesand Mehra1986;Kogutand Singh 1988].A joint venture is formedby the pooling of assets in a commonand separateorganization by two or more firms who share joint ownershipand control over the pooled assets. Both acquisitionsand greenfieldinvestmentscan take the form of joint ventures.In this study we treatjoint venturesas a separate entrymode becausetheypossessuniquecharacteristicsthat affect business failures.Coordinationof and conflicts betweenjoint ventureparents,as well as the potentialunintendeddisclosureof proprietaryknowledge,can generatetransactioncosts associatedprincipallywith uncertainty,opportunistic behavior and asset specificity [Williamson 1975; Anderson and Gatignon1986].Killing[1983]assertedthat, among his threejoint venture categories,dominantpartnerjoint venturesaremorelikelyto be successful. Totest thishypothesis,Killingmeasuredperformancethroughmanagement's assessmentof the joint venture'sperformance,as well as throughliquidations and reorganizations.Kogut [1988]studiedthe life cycle of domestic and internationaljoint venturesin the U.S. and found that mortalityrates FAILURESOF FOREIGN FIRMS IN THE U.S. 213 differ for these two groupsof joint ventures.Wewould expectthat foreign investmentsenteredthroughjoint venturesaremorelikelyto fail thanthose enteredthrough greenfields.However,the differencesin the impacts of acquisition entries and joint ventureentries on business failure are not clear.Thus our subhypothesis[H3(b)]takesa null form. The thirdhypothesis examinesthe relationshipbetweenentry modes and businessfailures. H3: Foreign-controlledfirms entered through acquisitions are more likely to fail than those enteredthroughgreenfields. (a): Foreign-controlled firmsenteredthroughjoint ventures are more likely to fail than those entered through greenfields. (b): There is no difference in the failure rates between foreign-controlledfirms enteredthrough acquisitions and those enteredthroughjoint ventures. Ownership1)Ipes The types of foreign ownershipmay also relateto business failures. We consider three types of foreign ownership: MNC, individual, and government-owned enterprise.Firmsof differentownershiptypes differin the following factors: (1) the interests and constraints of owners and managers;and (2) the abilities of these parties to obtain resourcesfrom productmarketsand factormarkets,suchas capital,management,and technical talent [Mascarenhas1989].Government-owned firms havegenerated muchcontroversyabout "unfair-competition"in such diverseindustriesas airlines, telecommunications,mining, aircraft manufacturingand steel [Waltersand Monsen 1979].Foreignparentsof differentownershiptypes maypossessdifferentownershipadvantages.If ownershipadvantagessuch as managementand marketingskills, technology,and capitalplay crucial roles in the success of foreign-controlledfirms [Dunning 1977, 1988], we would expecta lowerfailurerate from U.S. affiliatescontrolledby foreign MNCsthan those controlledby foreignindividuals.However,the natureof comparativefailuresof firmscontrolledby foreigngovernmentsis not clear when compared to those controlled by foreign individuals. Thus our subhypothesis[H4(b)] takes a null form. H4: The U.S. affiliatescontrolledby foreignMNCs areless likely to fail than those controlledby foreign individuals. (a): The U.S. affiliatescontrolledby foreignMNCs areless likelyto failthanthosecontrolledby foreigngovernments. (b): Thereis no differencein the failureratesbetweenthe U.S. affiliates controlled by foreign individualsand those controlledby foreign governments, CulturalDistance Contraryto the usual perception,surveysof internationalbusinessfailures [Altman 1983]revealthat, comparedto the U.S., business failureratesin 214 JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONALBUSINESS STUDIES, SECOND QUARTER 1991 culturallydissimilarcountries(e.g., Japan)are not significantlydifferent fromthose of culturallysimilarcountries(e.g., Canadaor UK). The Japanese rate of business failurein recentyears is at least as large as that of in smallin Japanareconcentrated the UnitedStates.Althoughbankruptcies and medium-sizefirms,especiallythose that do not enjoyprotectionof an affiliatedgroupof companies(keiretsu),a numberof largefirmslisted on the first section of the TokyoStock Exchangehavealso failed (about fifty from 1963to 1978) [Altman 1983].1Japan is also an importantcase for on FDI behavior testinghypothesesabouteffectsof nationalcharacteristics and performance.The culturaldistanceof Japan from Westernindustrial countries has been identified as a negative factor in its participationin foreign directinvestment[Yoshino1976;Ozawa 1979]. Previousstudieshavesuggestedthat the abilityof foreignfirmsto manage the local operationsof subsidiariesmay be influencedby two considerations. One concernsthe relativeculturaldistancebetweenhome and host countries.The secondconcernsthe absoluteculturalattitudestowarduncertainty avoidance.Even with the internationalexpansionof organizational boundaries,managersin thesefirmsarelikelyto be influencedby the dominant countryculture[Hofstede 1980;Johanson and Vahlne1977]. Kogut and Singh [1988]providedevidencethat culturaldistance and attitudes towardsuncertaintyavoidanceinfluencethe selectionof entrymodes. The following hypothesisrelatesnational cultureto business failures. H5: U.S. affiliates whose foreign parents are from culturally dissimilarcountriesare more likely to fail than those from culturallysimilarcountries. DATA AND RESEARCH METHODOLOGY Data and Sample Selection The definitionof businessfailuresin this studyincludesfirmsthat filed for bankruptcyprotection,wereinvoluntarilyliquidatedor ceased operations mainlydue to poor financialperformance.Weused two sourcesto compile a list of companies that filed for bankruptcyprotection under either Chapter11 or Chapter7 of the U.S. bankruptcycode duringthe period 1978-1988:F & S Indexof CorporateChanges(F & S) and the WallStreet JournalIndex(WSJ).We collecteddata on foreignownershipinterestsof firms on the bankruptcy list through three sources: Department of Commercedocumentson FDI in the U.S.; Directoryof foreignmanufacturersin the U.S. by Arpan and Ricks [1974, 1979, 1985 editions]; and Mergers & Acquisitions (various issues).2 By comparingcompany names from the two lists, we createda list of companiesthat filed for bankruptcyduringthe 1978-1988 foreign-controlled period. For 1978-88, the F&S Index contains 1,470 non-financialfirms under bankruptcy, of which 94 firms were foreign-controlled.We recheckedthe 94 firms against relatedreportsin the WallStreetJournal FAILURESOF FOREIGN FIRMS IN THE U.S. 215 and announcementsin the M &A journaland foundthat only 55 had effective foreigncontrolbefore filing for bankruptcy.The other 39 firmseither came underforeigncontrolafterthe firm declaredbankruptcyor werethe divestedassetsor divisionsof the U.S. firmsthat laterdeclaredbankruptcy. Wethen examinedforeign-controlledfirms in the U.S. that had been involuntarily liquidated or ceased operations mainly due to poor financial performance.Data on liquidationswerecollectedfrom the F & S Indexof CorporateChanges,again for 1978-1988.Among the 690 firms in liquidation reportedin the F & S Index for 1978-88,we identified 35 firms that were foreigncontrolledbefore liquidation.We then examinedreasonsfor liquidation.Thirtyfirmswereinvoluntarilyliquidatedor ceasedoperation due to financialfailures.The remainingfive whichwereidentifiedas divestments of partial assets of U.S. affiliates, were excludedfrom our list of failed firms. Thus, the total numberof foreign-controlledbusinessfailures is 85: 55 firms under bankruptcyplus 30 firms under liquidation. BusinessFailureRate Wecollectedaggregatebusinessfailureand bankruptcystatisticsin the U.S. from Dun & Bradstreet's(D&B) annual Business Failure Record. The D&B business failurerate index reportsthe numberof failuresrecorded per 10,000firmsthat D&Bcovers.The D&Bdefinitionof businessfailures includesbusinessesthat filed for bankruptcyprotectionor ceased operations with losses to creditors.This definitionis consistentwith the one we use in this study. We developeda foreign-controlledbusinessfailurerate (FFR) to compare with the U.S. domestic business failurerate (DFR). The FFR is defined as the numberof foreign-controlledbusiness failuresper 10,000 foreigncontrolledfirmsin the UnitedStates.Data on the total numberof foreigncontrolled firms in the U.S. were collected from publications of U.S. Departmentof Commerce.We use the Dun & Bradstreetbusiness failure rateas our DFR index. Owingto the small samplesize, we conductednonparametrictests (chi-square)to determineif the FFR is significantlylower than the DFR. Parent Guarantee Since this study concernsfailuresof foreign-controlledfirms, the issue of parentguaranteesof bank loans to foreignaffiliatesbecomesimportant.If the parentguaranteesthe debt of its (wholly or majority-owned)subsidiaries, a subsidiarycannot go bankruptindependentof the parent [Caves 1982]. Stobaugh[1970]reportedthat only one of thirty-sevenU.S. MNCs would let a subsidiarydefaulton its debt (evenif it was not formallyguaranteed). A large portion of bank lending to foreign affiliates includes explicit or implicit guaranteesby the parent firm in the loan agreement. Shapiro[1986]reportsthatMNCsarereluctantto guaranteethe debtof their subsidiaries,even when a more favorableinterestrate can be negotiated. 216 JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONALBUSINESS STUDIES, SECOND QUARTER 1991 They arguethat affiliates should be able to stand alone. Accordingto the surveyby Robbinsand Stobaugh [1973],large U.S. MNCs prefernot to guaranteetheiraffiliates'loans.Theyoften adopt a specific"no guarantee" rule,in partbecausethey find it easierto be consistentthanto try to differentiateamong affiliates. Small MNCs also preferno guarantee.Mediumsized firms, however,are often willing to give a guarantee.In the case of joint ventures,when one partneris unableor unwillingto provideits share of the guarantee,banks may requirehigher interestrates to be paid. A recentstatementfrom GeneralMotors Company [Winters1990]notes that "as a matterof policy,GeneralMotorsdoes not provideguaranteesfor borrowingby its local subsidiaries."Even though recenteconomic conditions in Brazilhavehad a severeimpacton GM's Braziliansubsidiary(GM do Brasil), the parent company has not providedloan guaranteesas a matterof policy.Unfortunately,dataarenot availableregardingthe current practiceof the parentguarantee,especiallythe practicesof foreign-based multinationalfirms.Theparentguaranteewouldaffectthe failuresof some MNCs' wholly or majority-ownedsubsidiaries.In our sample, foreigncontrolled firms are defined as firms with lOWoor more foreign control interests.Wholly or majority-ownedsubsidiariesof MNCs account for a small proportionof the sample.Indeed,our studysheds some light on the currentparentguaranteepracticeof foreign-basedMNCs: the failuresof wholly or majority-ownedsubsidiariesin our sample show that foreign multinationalparentsmay not offer debt guaranteesto their subsidiaries. Effects of Firm Size Studieshaveshownthat the size of a firm has an importanteffect on business failure [Freeman,Carrolland Hannan 1983]. Smaller firms have a higher failure rate than large firms. In the 1980 Benchmarksurvey of foreign direct investmentin the U.S. by the Departmentof Commerce, U.S. affiliates wererequiredto file a completereportif total assets, sales, or net income were at least $1 million. Partialreportshad to be filed if total assets, sales and net income were less than $1 million. In the 1980 Benchmarksurvey,partial reports filed by smaller firms accounted for 38.7% of the total. In this study,we haveadjustedthe numberof foreigncontrolledfirmsfor the proportionof partialreports.The lowerboundaries of the size of firms in the U.S. affiliates' population and in the firms covered by Dun and Bradstreetare identical. Except for severalrecent large foreign acquisitions,foreign-controlledfirms are generallysmaller, especiallycomparedto large U.S. multinationalfirms coveredby Dun & Bradstreet.Because of their smaller sizes, one would expect foreigncontrolledfirms to fail more often than domesticallyowned firms. FINDINGSAND DISCUSSIONS Ideally, we could test our hypotheses simultaneouslyin a multivariate model. Unfortunately,both the nature and numberof our observations FAILURESOF FOREIGN FIRMS IN THE U.S. 217 precludethis approach.Nevertheless,the resultsof our bivariatehypothesis tests are rewardingenough to believethat more researchleading up to a full multivariateexaminationis clearlyjustified. Twoother limitationsof our study should be noted. First, measuresof both domesticand foreigncontrolledfailureratescontain unknownerrors.In compilingour list, we reliedon publishedsourcesof businessnews.However,some foreignbankruptciesundoubtedlymanagedto avoidnotorietyand wereleft off our list. Similarerrorsno doubt occur in the U.S. business failure rate. Second, manyof the foreign-controlledfailuresin our list had foreignparentsthat wereeitherunwillingor unableto rescuetheir troubledU.S. affiliates.We are not sure what percentageof failed U.S. firms had U.S. parents that were similarlydisinclinedto bail out their failing subsidiaries.A much higher rate of parental rescue (either a higher proportion of parental controlledsubsidiariesor a higher propensityto rescue)could explain a lowerforeign-controlledfailurerate.Data are simplylackingon this issue, but this does not implythat comparisonsof failureratesbetweendomestic and foreign-controlledfirms are without interest.3 ComparingBusinessFailureRates businessfailuresrepresentabout 3.94%of the total nonForeign-controlled financialbusiness failuresduringthe period 1978-88in the U.S. This can be comparedto the 10.78%of total U.S. assets and 8.71%of total U.S. equityheld by foreign-ownedor controlledU.S. affiliatesduringthe same period [U.S. Departmentof Commerce1988]. This suggeststhat foreigncontrolledfirms in the U.S. have a lowerbusinessfailureratethan domestically owned firms. We comparethe failurerates of foreign-controlledfirms in the U.S. with those of domesticallyowned firmsboth in aggregateand by industrytype. In the aggregateanalysis for all non-financialindustries,the chi-square tests supportthe hypothesis(HI) that the failurerateof foreign-controlled firmsis significantlylowerthan that of domesticallyowned firms (at a .05 level for 1978 and at a .01 level for 1979-1988,see Table1). The FFR has a mean of 9.4 while the DFR has a mean of 81. In manufacturing,chisquaretests showthat the FFRis significantlylowerthanthe DFR for 198088 (at a .05 level for 1980-81and at a .01 level for 1982-1988).For 1978 and 1979, the results are significant only at a .15 level. This can be explainedby the unusuallylow U.S. failurerates duringthese two years.4 The mean of the FFR is 22 while the mean of the DFR is 85. Wecan observethat the FFR's mean in manufacturingis twice as high as the FFR's mean in all non-financialindustries.This suggests there may exist some industry concentrationamong failures of foreign-controlled firms. Ownershipadvantagesof foreign parents may result in a lower failurerate in one industrysector relativeto the other. Sincethe U.S. affiliates'proportionof total U.S. assetsis higherthan their shareof total U.S. equity,foreign-controlled firmsin the U.S. appearto use 218 JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONALBUSINESS STUDIES, SECOND QUARTER1991 TABLE 1 Comparative Foreign-Controlled Business All Non-Financial Year Number of U.S. Affiliates1 Number of Failures 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 5,456 5,839 7,079 7,490 7,901 8,147 8,359 8,491 8,815 9,990 11,190 3 4 2 7 11 9 9 11 11 9 9 Mean Total Failure Rates 1978-1988 Industries Manufacturing FFR DFR2 (Per 10,000) 6** 7*** 3*** 9*** 14 11*** 11*** 13*** 12*** 9*** 8*** 24 28 42 61 88 110 107 115 120 102 98 9.4 81 Number of U.S. Affiliates1 Number of Failures 1,700 1,769 2,034 2,171 2,308 2,424 2,507 2,561 2,719 3,346 3,730 3 3 2 5 7 7 4 10 5 7 7 85 FFR DFR2 (Per 10,000) 18* 17* 10** 23** 30*** 29*** 16*** 39* ** 18*** 21*** 19*** 22 44 43 53 67 97 84 124 119 114 95 98 85 60 Chi-square test: ***p<.01; **p<.05; *p<.15; 1Source: U.S. Department of Commerce. Operations of US. Affiliates of Foreign Companies, 1977-1980, 1981-1988. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office. 2Source: Dun & Bradstreet. Business Failure Record. 1978-1988. debt leverageto a greaterextentthan U.S. firms. Jensen[1989]arguesthat high debt can makethe firmoperatemoreefficientlyand makebankruptcy less likely.This seems consistentwith our finding that foreign-controlled firms have a lower failurerate. Patterns of Foreign-Controlled Business Failures All fifty-five firms on the bankruptcylist filed for reorganizationunder Chapter11of the U.S. bankruptcycode, althoughseveralfirmshave since changedto Chapter7 (liquidation).The thirtyfirmson the liquidationlist businessesin the U.S. havebeen liquidatedor acquired.Foreign-controlled sufferedhigh failuresin the yearsof 1982-1986.Over60% of all failures in our sampleoccurredduringthis five-yearperiod. Data on the aggregate profitabilityof FDI in the U.S. and U.S. businessfailurerateshaveshown similartrends. Wetestedthe liabilityof newnessby examiningthe numberof yearsbetween the time of failureand the initial foreigndirectinvestmentin the United States (Table2). More than 70% of foreign-controlledbusiness failures occurredwithinthe firstfive yearsof investment.A chi-squaretest supports the hypothesis(H2)thatnewU.S. affiliatessuffera higherfailurerate(significantat a .01level,chi-square=22.6,one-tailedcriticalchi-square1,.01=6.64). This time patterncan be comparedto Dun & Bradstreet'sstatisticsthat show the highest failurepropensitybetweenthe second and fifth yearsof a firm's existence[Altman 1983].Nearly half of all failuresoccur during 219 FAILURESOF FOREIGN FIRMS IN THE U.S. TABLE 2 Pattern of Foreign-Controlled Business Failures 1978-1988 Domestic Failures by age of business Number of Failures Percentage Failures (%)** 1986 1982 One year or less Two years Three years Total three years or less 14 7 10 31 18.2 9.1 13.0 40.3 2.0 8.1 12.6 22.7 13.1 13.6 11.9 38.6 Four years Five years Total five years or less 16 8 55 20.8 10.3 71.4 11.7 11.1 45.5 8.6 7.3 54.5 Six years Seven years Eight years Nine years Ten years Total six to ten years 5 7 3 1 2 18 6.4 9.1 3.9 1.3 2.6 23.4 9.4 8.0 6.1 4.3 3.6 31.4 6.5 5.3 4.7 4.1 3.5 24.1 Over ten years Total 5.2 23.1 21.4 100.0 100.0 100.0 4 77* *Dates of entry are not available for eight firms in the sample. **Source: Dun & Bradstreet. Business Failure Record. 1978-1988. this period.Thiscomparisonsuggeststhat whileboth domesticand foreigncontrolledbusinessessuffer a liabilityof newness,foreign-controlledfirms seem to suffer from this liability to an even higher degree.A chi-square businessfailuresduring test showsthat the percentageof foreign-controlled the first five yearsof investmentis significantlyhigherthan the percentage of domestic failuresduring the first five years of a firm's existence(significant at a .01 level, chi-square= 12.4 with one degreeof freedom).The percentageof domestic failuresduringthe first five yearsof a firm's existence is the averageover the 1978-1988period. Effects of Entry Modes and Ownership73'pes To investigatethe effect of entry modes on business failures,we compiled data on total FDI entriesin the U.S. for the period 1978-87underthe three entry modes: acquisitions, joint ventures, and greenfields. The total number of entries for the ten-yearperiod is 5,588. Among them, 65Wo enteredthroughacquisitions,90/0 throughjoint venturesand 260/0through greenfields.Weuse this distributionas a proxyand compareit to the entry mode distributionof the eighty-fivefailed firmsin our sample,where74Wo enteredthroughacquisitions,100/othroughjoint venturesand 160/othrough greenfields.A chi-squaretest supports the hypothesis (H3) that foreign acquisitionsof U.S. firms are more likely to fail than foreign greenfield investments(significantat a .05 level, chi-square= 3.95, one-tailedcritical chi-square1,.05= 3.84). This result is also consistentwith the analysisof U.S. direct investmentsabroad [Curhanet al. 1977;Wilson 1980]. 220 JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONALBUSINESS STUDIES, SECOND QUARTER 1991 The failurerate of joint ventureentriesis expectedto be higherthan that of greenfieldentries[H3(a)].A chi-squaretest did not reportthe difference as significant(chi-square= 1.80). Wethen applieda chi-squaretest to determine the differenceof failureratesbetweenjoint ventureentriesand acquisition entries. The result shows that we cannot rejectthe null hypothesis [H3(b)] of no significant difference in failure rates between these two formsof entry(chi-square=0.01). This resultseemsto confirmthe findings of previousresearchon joint ventureinstabilityand difficultyin the controlperformancerelationship. To investigate the effect of ownership types on business failure, we examineddata on the transactionsof FDI in the U.S. for 1981.Among the 821 non-financial entries, 74% were made by foreign MNCs, 20o by foreignindividuals,and 6Woby foreigngovernments.Thiscan be compared to the failed firms in our sample, where64'o were controlledby foreign MNCs, 29Woby foreignindividualsand 7% by foreigngovernments.A chisquaretest supportsthe hypothesis(H4) that U.S. affiliatescontrolledby foreignMNCs are less likelyto fail than those by foreignindividuals(significant at a .05 level, chi-square=5.21). The failure rate of firms controlledby foreign MNCs is expectedto be lower than the failure rate of firms controlled by foreign governments [H4(a)].A chi-squaretest did not reportthe differenceas significant(chisquare=1.09).Wethen tested the differencein failureratesbetweenfirms controlledby foreignindividualsand those by foreigngovernments.A chisquaretest showsthat the differenceis not significant(chi-square= 0.012). Thus, we cannot rejectthe null hypothesis[H4(b)]of no significantdifference in failureratesof firmscontrolledby foreignindividualsand those by foreigngovernments. Cultureand BusinessFailures To investigatethe effect of national cultureon business failure,we drew measuresof culturaldistanceand uncertaintyavoidancefrom the workof Hofstede [1980].Hofstede found that differencesin nationalculturesvary substantiallyalong four dimensions:uncertaintyavoidance,individuality, Using Hofstede's toleranceof powerdistance,and masculinity-femininity. indicesand followingthe methodologyby KogutandSingh[1988],a composite index was formed based on the deviationalong each of four cultural dimensions to measure the cultural distance of each country from the United States.5 Wegroupedcountriesinto two categoriesbased on culturaldistancefrom the UnitedStates(Table3). The culturallydissimilargroupconsistsof countries with largerculturaldistance(CD>1). The culturallysimilar group consists of countrieswith smallerculturaldistance(CD< 1). It should be noted that in this sectionwe consideronly manufacturingfirms,sincedata on the numberof foreign-controlledfirms in other sectorsare not available. We collecteddata on the numberof foreignmanufacturingfirms in FAILURESOF FOREIGN FIRMS IN THE U.S. 221 TABLE3 Failure Rates of Foreign-Controlled Manufacturing Firms by National Culture, 1978*1988 Nation Number of Failures 1978-88 Culturally similar group U.K. 8 Canada 9 Switzerland 5 7 Germany Subtotal 29 Culturally dissimilar group 3 Netherlands 2 Belgium 7 France Sweden 1 12 Japan Subtotal 25 Number of U.S. Affiliates1 1,140 753 211 1,023 Uncertainty Avoidance2 FFR over 78-88 (per 10,000) .0797 .1133 .3366 .4127 35 48 58 65 70 119 237 68 1.5122 1.5330 1.5701 2.3667 2.5315 53 94 86 29 92 87 183 190 55 305 Cultural Distance2 3,127 346 109 369 183 394 1,401 Chi-square=6.20; one-tailed critical chi-square 1, .05=3.84 1Source: J. Arpan and D. Ricks. 1986. Foreign direct investment in the United States. Journal of International Business Studies, Fall: 150. 2Source: G. Hofstede. 1980. Culture's Consequences. Beverly Hills: Sage Publications. the U.S. from Arpan and Ricks [1986].Only countrieswith at least 100 U.S. manufacturingaffiliatesin operationin 1984areincludedin our analysis. A chi-squaretest supportsthe hypothesis(H5) that the U.S. affiliates whose foreign parentsare from culturallydissimilarcountries are more likely to fail than those from culturallysimilarcountries(significantat a .05 level). Giventhe small numberof failed firms by each home country, some caution in interpretingour results is advised. It is interestingto notice that nearly 50Oo of failuresin the culturallydissimilargroup are accountedfor by Japanesefirms(12).6Previousstudieshavesuggestedthat Japanesefirms prefergreenfieldinvestmentsas opposed to acquisitions. Since our resultshave shown that foreign acquisitionsare more likely to fail than foreign greenfieldinvestments,the support for the impact of national cultureon business failuresis enhanced. CONCLUSIONSAND IMPLICATIONS Using a sampleof eighty-fiveforeign-controllednon-financialfirmsin the United Statesthat either filed for bankruptcyprotectionor wereinvoluntarilyliquidatedduring1978-1988,we haveexploredsome of the characteristics of foreign-controlledbusiness failures.Our resultshave shown that both in aggregateand by major industrygroups, the businessfailurerate of foreign-controlled firmsin the U.S. is significantlylowerthan the failure rateof domesticallyownedfirms. New U.S. affiliatesof foreigncompanies 222 JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONALBUSINESS STUDIES, SECOND QUARTER 1991 are found to suffer a higher failurerate than more establishedaffiliates. Furthermore,theyseemto sufferthe liabilityof newnessto a greaterextent than new U.S. firms. Modes of entry, forms of foreign ownership,and national cultureare also found to have effects on the failuresof foreigncontrolledfirms in the United States. The findings of this study have importantimplications.First, this study contributesto the theory of foreigndirectinvestmentby providingempirical evidencethat, while not directlyconfirming,is at least consistentwith Dunning's[1977;1988]hypothesison ownershipadvantage.Lowerfailure ratescould be due to foreignfirmsutilizingtheirspecificownershipadvantagesto competesuccessfullyin the UnitedStates,but therecould be other reasonsas well. Second, this studyhas implicationsfor corporatestrategy. The study providesempiricalsupportfor corporatepolicies of globalization. Because of the lower failure rate, many other foreign firms with specificownershipadvantagesshould considerinvestingin the U.S. where our study suggests they will be able to compete successfullywith U.S. firms. Ourstudy suggestsseveralareasfor futureresearch.First,empirical researchshould examinefailure rates for U.S. direct investmentsabroad and comparethemwiththe failureratesof domesticfirmsin the host countries. Second, researchshould explorethe reorganizationprocessof failed firmsand examinehow thesereorganizationsdifferfrom foreign-controlled those of U.S. bankruptfirms. The welfareeffects and policy implications are of particularinterest. NOTES 1. Ozawa [1979] reports that Japan's small- and medium-sized manufacturers have been very active in foreign direct investment. We do not have evidence whether this is also the case for Japanese investments in the United States. 2. FDI is defined as the ownership or control, directly or indirectly, by one foreign corporation or person of 10% or more of a firm's voting securities or equivalent [U.S. Department of Commerce 1983]. 3. Another approach would be to compare the failure rate of recently created foreign enterprises in the U.S. with that of recently created domestic enterprise controlling for the types of industry, dates of entry, or modes of entry. Our further research will be developed along these lines and we thank anonymous reviewers for their suggestions. 4. The number of foreign subsidiaries in the U.S. reported by Department of Commerce, even after adjusting for the proportion of partial reports, is conservative. Arpan and Ricks [1979] report that the number of foreign manufacturing subsidiaries in the U.S. in 1978 totals 3,433, nearly doubling the estimate (1700) by Department of Commerce. This suggests that the FFR could be even lower than our estimate here. 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