1 OFFIAH, EBERE OBIANUJU PG/M.Sc/11/58366 SUSTAINABILITY OF MAIZE BASED PRODUCTION SYSTEM IN ANAMBRA STATE NIGERIA FACULTY OF AGRICULTURE DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS Digitally Signed by: Content manager’s Name Ebere Omeje DN : CN = Webmaster’s name O= University of Nigeria, Nsukka OU = Innovation Centre i SUSTAINABILITY OF MAIZE BASED PRODUCTION SYSTEM IN ANAMBRA STATE NIGERIA BY OFFIAH, EBERE OBIANUJU PG/M.Sc/11/58366 DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS UNIVERSITY OF NIGERIA, NSUKKA FEBRUARY, 2015 ii SUSTAINABILITY OF MAIZE BASED PRODUCTION SYSTEM IN ANAMBRA STATE NIGERIA BY OFFIAH, EBERE OBIANUJU PG/M.Sc/11/58366 DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS UNIVERSITY OF NIGERIA, NSUKKA FEBRUARY, 2015 iii SUSTAINABILITY OF MAIZE-BASED PRODUCTION SYSTEM IN ANAMBRA STATE NIGERIA AN M.Sc THESIS SUBMITTED TO THE DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS, UNIVERSITY OF NIGERIA, NSUKKA, IN PARTIAL FULFILMENT OF THE REQUIREMENT FOR THE AWARD OF A DEGREE OF MASTER OF SCIENCE IN AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS BY OFFIAH, EBERE OBIANUJU PG/M.Sc/11/58366 DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS UNIVERSITY OF NIGERIA, NSUKKA FEBRUARY, 2015 CERTIFICATION iv Ms OFFIAH, EBERE OBIANUJU, a postgraduate student of the Department of Agricultural Economics, University of Nigeria, Nsukka with Registration Number PG/M.Sc/11/58366 has satisfactorily completed the requirements for course and research work for the award of the degree of Master of Science (M.Sc) in Agricultural Economics. The work embodied in this thesis is original and has not been submitted in part or full for any other diploma or degree in this or any other university. …………………………………… Doctor A.A. Enete (Supervisor) Date………………. …………………………………… …………………………… Professor S.A.N.D Chidebelu Professor Jude Mbanasor (Head of Department) External Examiner Date………………. Date…………… DEDICATION v In a special way to God Almighty for his goodness and guidance, I revere and give all the Glory; and to my angel Nwankwo Gabriela Gosife. vi ACKNOWLEDGEMENT I appreciate our heavenly Trinity in a most special way, for the protection, knowledge, strength and guidance bestowed upon me throughout the course of my M.Sc, without which I would not have completed this work. I express my profound gratitude to the head of the department Prof. S.A.N.D Chidebelu for his fatherly advices and ever listening ears. I am highly indebted to my supervisor Dr. A.A Enete , who was more than just my lecturer but also a friend for his aspiring guidance and constant supervision, invaluable and constructive criticism, useful and necessary information even beyond the thesis, his strenuous arguments which made the work to finally be of impeccable quality. I am most grateful sir. My warm thanks go to my other lecturers Prof. E.C. Okorji, Prof. Achike, Prof. Eboh, Prof. Nweze, Prof. Arene, Prof. Okoye, Dr. Agbo, Dr. Chwukwuone, Dr. Amechina, Dr. Okpupara, Mr. Njepuome, Mrs Arua, Mrs Onyenekwu and others whose lectures and interactions contributed to the success of this work. Also the special assistances of the administrative staffs, Mrs Romaine, Mrs Ifeanyi and others will never be forgotten. Special gratitude goes to my colleagues Mr. Okpala, Mr. Onyishi, Tonia and others for their contributions and encouragements which made a significant positive impact to the work. My deepest sense of gratitude to my wonderful parents Mr. and Mrs. D.N Offiah, words cannot convey the magnitude of your tireless efforts in making sure that I acquired education, may God bless and continue to keep you for me. Chief and Lolo Ken Igbo I lack words to appreciate your efforts, both financially and morally, I don’t pray to pay you back because nothing can just be enough, may oil never lack from that pot. To Prof. Anibeze my mentor, for your immeasurable, truthful and illuminating views in all areas of my academic pursuit ever since I encountered you, I will forever bless the day I met you. To my other siblings Uchenna, Emeka, Nonso and Odinaka , you guys are the best. Mr. and Mrs Ezeji, I thank God for giving me wonderful people like you. Ochendo, Anuty Monic, Anuty Jane, Anuty Cee, Engr. Emma, Fr. Fide, Mr. Stanley and Mr. Inno, I will forever be grateful to God for giving me this great family. A warm thanks to the farmers and staff of ADP Anambra state that provided me with the necessary information that guided this thesis, for your attention and time, God will reward you. Finally but most especially, to my Sweetest desire Ben Nwankwo, Gossy baby and Oge, for your prayers, sacrifices, kind supports, sleepless nights, cooperation, understanding and encouragements even at tight schedules, I am pledging my endless love for you. Special thanks also to all whose names were omitted; your efforts are still highly appreciated for your contributions. vii ABSTRACT The study analyzed the sustainability of maize production in Anambra state Nigeria. Primary data were collected using structured questionnaires administered to one hundred and eighty respondents, who were selected by purposive, and simple random sampling techniques. The data were analyzed using descriptive statistics, ordinary least square, Likert type scale, sustainability index, gross margin and exploratory factor analysis. The results showed that majority (67.2%) of the respondents were male, with most (84.4%) of household size ranging from 1 to 5 and majority (89.5%) between the ages of 31 and 50. About 63% were married and 54.4% attended secondary school. Majority (77.8%) of the maize farmers make use of both hired and family labor. More than half (53.9%) of the respondents rent land for production and most (79%) of the farmers either bought seed from market or used previously harvested seeds. Majority (65.0%) of the maize producers had annual income between N81,000 and N120,000, while most of them (88%) had farming experience less than 10 years. The result of the existing practices that could enhance maize sustainability showed that from the farmer’s perspective adequate fertilizer use and pest and disease control were the most important practice for maize sustainability as they recorded the highest mean score of 4.13 and 3.66 respectively, with the least been use of irrigation (1.32). The net farm income showed an increased profit for the maize farms that cultivated one hectare using hybrid maize and recommended fertilizer rate, although they incurred more production cost (N140,517), they made a profit of N125,083, with return on investment of N1.89. The result of the sustainability of maize production analyzed using sustainability index showed a percentage of only 51%. The explanatory variables such as planting hybrid maize, amount of fertilizer used, amount of pesticides used and number of ha planted were the major determinants of profitability (p<0.01). In addition, seed rate, amount of labor used, amount of herbicide & household size (p<0.05) and early planting & use of animal manure (p<0.10) were also positively related to profit.The null hypothesis was rejected. Finally constraints militating sustainability of maize production was analyzed using the exploratory factor analysis, the result of the Varimax component matrix categorized the most important constraint into 3 factors in the order: economic or cost factor, natural factors and social factors. viii TABLE OF CONTENTS Title page i Certification ii Dedication iii Acknowledgement iv Abstract v Table of content vi List of tables viii List of figures ix CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION page 1.1 Background information 1 1.2 Problem statement 4 1.3 5 Objectives of the study 1.4 Justification for the study 6 CHAPTER TWO: LITERATURE REVIEW 2.1 Overview of maize production in Nigeria 8 2.2 Demand and production of maize 10 2.3 Maize production trend 11 2.4 Types or varieties of maize 15 2.5 Importance and uses of maize 16 2.6 Maize sustainability 19 2.7 Different practices in maize production trend 24 2.8 Some practices that can enhance maize sustainability 26 2.9 Profitability of maize production 29 ix 2.10 Constraints militating maize sustainability in Nigeria31 2.11 Theoretical framework 37 2.12 Analytical framework 39 CHAPTER THREE: METHODOLOGY 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 Study area Sampling procedure Data collection Analytical technique 3.4.1 Likert type scale 3.4.2 Budgetary Techniques 3.4.3 Multiple regression model 3.4.4 Operational index 3.4.5 Exploratory factor analysis model 44 44 45 45 45 46 47 48 49 CHAPTER FOUR: RESULT AND DISCUSSION 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 Socio Economic Characteristics of Maize Farmers Existing practices that could enhance maize sustainability Profitability of maize production in Anambra State Determinants of profit in maize production Evaluation of the sustainability of maize production Constraints mitigating maize sustainability in the area 51 55 57 61 65 66 CHAPTER FIVE: SUMMARY CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 Summary Conclusion Recommendation Contribution to knowledge 69 72 72 73 References 74 Questionnaire 82 x LIST OF TABLES Table page 2.3.1 Maize production trend in Nigeria 12 4.1 Socio Economic characteristics of farmers 48 4.2 Mean scores and decision of existing practices that could enhance maize sustainability 54 4.3 Net farm income analysis of per hectare maize production using seed purchased from market 56 4.4 Net farm income analysis of per hectare maize production using improved seed and required fertilizer rate 57 4.5 Determinants of profit in maize production 59 4.6 Test of significance 63 4.7 Average scores and percentage contribution of the factors that could lead to sustainability in the area. 64 4.8 Varimax rotated component matrix on the constraints faced by maize producers in the area 66 xi List of figures 2.1 Maize production trend in Anambra state and area cultivated over a period of 11 years 15 1 CHAPTERONE INTRODUCTION 1.1 Background of the study As a result of the interaction among human population, socio-cultural and economic factors, as well as natural resource flows among countries, agricultural sustainability and proper use of soil and water resources are main global issues of modern times. Sustainability of food production is one of the paramount issues facing both developed and developing nations. It hinges on providing food with available resource for the present generation without compromising the provision for future generation. During the last decade, sustainability has generated a lot of interest within the scientific community, in order to ensure food security and alleviate poverty especially in the developing countries where population growth rate is high, with natural resources and environmental depletion on the increase. Efforts have been made to study possible ways of ensuring sustainability both in the economic, environmental and social sectors of the nations of the world. Onyango (2010) opined that with increasing human population against declining staple food crop yield trend, food insecurity is inevitable. Amujoyegbe and Bamidele (2012), observed that as a result of the traditional farming system, crop production expands into less fertile land; the poor productivity of this system and the emergence of unsustainable farming pose the greatest threat to food security in the Nigerian sub-region. Smallholder maize production is often characterized by low yields, which are often significantly lower than the potential for the land; However, sustainable maize production is not only a question of yields, but also of protection of the environmental resource base, social welfare, and the livelihoods of farmers as well as adjacent rural and urban communities (Walker and Schulze 2008). Sustainability of maize production is however the production of maize with the available natural resources for this generation without compromising the future generation. 2 The study examined the three aspects to sustainable maize production, namely economic, social and environmental sustainability. Maize is a staple grain/cereal crop grown almost in all parts of the world. It is a high yeilding cereal grown successfully under rainfed environment and requires less capital. It has established itself as a very significant component of the farming system and determines the cropping pattern of the predominantly peasant farmers (Ahmed, 1996).This grain crop is used as human food, animal feed, as well as for industrial useage. It can be prepared in a variety of ways for human consumption such that you can hardly see a person who doesn’t consume it in form or typology. Maize can be boiled, roasted or fried while industrially it can be processed to produce cornflakes, golden morn, quaker oat, custard, flour, beer and beverages, as well as animal feed. Onuk, Ogara, Yahaya and Nannim (2010) noted that maize is one of the most abundant food crops in Nigeria; about 80% is consumed by man and animals while 20% is utilized in variety of industrial processes for production of starch, oil, high fructose, corn sweetener, ethanol, cereal and alkaline, consisting of 71% starch, 9% protein and 4% oil on a dry weight basis. On the same note, Gupta (2011) noted that maize has immense potential to meet food requirement of human population because it has a great significance as human food, animal feed and diversified uses in a large number of industrial products, also that the adoption of improved and sustainable maize technologies holds the key to ensure both sustainability and increased maize production. Iken and Amusa (2004) reported that research on methods of cultivating maize was to a large extent secondary since the designing of efficient farming system was given priority. They noted that maize was used merely as a test crop for soil fertility to determine the influence of green manures and various sequences of crops in the rotation. Most of this work was done at Moor Plantation in Ibadan, Ogba near Benin City and Umudike near Umuahia. Maize has been in the diet of Nigerians for centuries. It started as a subsistence crop and has gradually become more important. Maize has now risen to a commercial crop on which many agro-based 3 industries depend on as raw materials. Abu, Raoul and Okpachu (2011) noted that up until the late 1980’s, maize was regarded by the majority of people as a crop solely for home consumption rather than for cash during the past three decades. Thus, the need for its sustainability arose as a result of the variety of its uses. They opined that maize has become the new cash crop for many farmers who now diversify their crop production because of the new trend of market forces. This is as a result of the inability of farmers to produce enough maize in order to satisfy the needs of growing urban population. However, Adebowale (2004) observed that the demand for maize exceeds supply as a result of its additional uses as livestock feeds, baking and brewing industries. DeGroote Hugo (2002) noted however that the several reasons including continuous cropping, increased population pressure on arable land, degradation of land as natural resource, low investment in soil fertility, inappropriate production, and episodes of bad weather have led to decline in productivity of maize. Kukta (2011) cited that improved maize cultivars are a key element among practices used for integrated pest management and other approaches to agricultural sustainability. He pointed out that farmers interested in sustainability do not doubt the potential and utility of hybrid maize cultivars. Maize has come to possess a high economic importance in the world, as a result of the numerous uses of this cereal. In the world, it is ranked number 3 after rice and wheat, but here in Nigeria it is one of the most important cereal crop especially in south eastern Nigeria. High demand for maize has made it less affordable for poor consumers, thus the need for its increased productivity and sustainability can never be over emphasized. The expansion of arable land is necessary but it is insufficient and barely significant approach. Bruinsma (2009), estimated that only 12% of the future increase in arable land in developing countries can be achieved through area expansion, without exacting unacceptably high environmental cost. Based on the research by CIMMYT and IITA (2011), at the current rate of area expansion, maize will eat up ‘its share of land’ in less than five years; henceforth, maize expansion will come at the cost of crop diversity, forest, and erodible hill slopes. They pointed out that a significant portion of the 4 production increase is driven by government fertilizer subsidies rather than by farmers adopting more sustainable and efficient practices. This has led to wasteful use of fertilizers leading to its excessive usage and thus exposing the land to dangers of nutrient imbalance which will eventually lead to low crop yield and crop failure. If fertilizers are not used more effectively and government are no longer able to sustain fertilizer subsidies, the world will see food prices escalating much more drastically in the nearest future. Thus leading to economic sustainability failure. 1.2 Problem statement Addressing the challenges facing maize productivity and sustainability is vital to the futures of hundreds of millions of people. Ayeni (2010) noted that the continuous use of acid forming fertilizer like sulphate of ammonia , urea and ammonium nitrate contribute significantly to soil acidity. This will hinder environmental sustainability. The ecosystem vitality is of great importance as producing bountifully today at the expense of impact on the environment tomorrow conotes unsustainablity. This study seeks therefore to look at sustainable practices that could enhance maize production other than just fertilizer subsidy that have come to be the main way of increasing maize production. Onuk, E.G, Ogara, I.M, Yahaya H. and Nannim N. (2010) noted that despite the economic importance of maize to the teeming populace in Nigeria, it has not been produced to meet food and industrial need of the country. This could perharps be attributed to low productivity from maize farms or that farmers have not adopted improved technologies that would make maize production profitable. However, a practice that is economically viable may not be ecologically viable. This study not only examined the profitability but also ascertained the environmental sustainability of maize production. Many studies have been carried out on maize. Example is the study conducted by Oyewo and Fabiyi, (2008). In their study of Productivity of Maize Farmers in Oyo State, they concluded 5 that there is a positive and significant relationshipbetween farm size, quality of seed used and maize output. Also, Oladejo and Adetunji (2012), worked on Economic analysis of maize production in Oyo State, Fawole and Oladele (2007), on Sustainable Food Crop Production through Multiple Cropping Patterns among Farmers in South Western Nigeria, and Olorunsanya and Akinyemi (2004), on Gross margin analysis of maize based cropping system in Oyo. All these studies hinged on profitability or economic viablity without a look at sustainability as a whole. They did not look at the impact of increased maize production on the environment and quality of life of the community, which are the environmental and social sustainability dimensions respectively. This study looked at all the dimensions of sustainability in maize production, namely environmental, social and economic sustainability. 1.3 Objectives of the study The broad objective of the study was to analyse the sustainability of maize production in Anambra State. Specifically, this study i. described the socio-economic characteristics of the maize farmers in the area ii. examined from the farmers’ perspectives the existing practices that could enhance maize sustainability iii. estimated the profitability of Maize production iv. determined the factors affecting the production of maize in the area v. evaluated sustainability of maize production in the area vi. identified constraints to sustainability of maize production vii. make recommendations based on findings. 1.4 Justification for the study Ojo and Imoudu (2000) pointed out that the significant imbalance between food production and the expanding population has resulted in ever increasing demand for agricultural 6 products. In order to meet the food requirements of the increased population and achieve food security by 2015, agricultural production would need to increase by 6% per annum (Inocencio, Sally, Merrey 2003). Studies in maize production have shown an increasing gap between the need and availability of the crop, efforts have been made however to establish the fact that there exists a competing need for the grain crop but there has not been frantic solution on how to achieve and ensure sustainability of the crop given the growing need. Ugwumba C.O.A, Okoh R.N, Ike P.C, Nnabuife E.L.C, and Orji E.C (2010) opined that the sustenance of increased productivity must emphasize on the development of strategies aimed at maintaining improved yields without depleting natural resources or destabilizing the environment. It was necessary therefore to know the potential of land under cultivation and examine the practices that could enhance productivity without compromising the sustainability of the ecosystem. It is the aim of every maize farmer to improve the living standard of his family and the community he lives in. In order to fulfill this responsibility, there exists a variety of decisions he has to make on available production and marketing alternatives. To achieve this, a sound knowledge of the potentials of the crop both for today and tomorrow is a prerequisite. Although the growing need of maize for both man and animal is increasing, very little studies have been made in Anambra state. This study enabled us to find out those practices and helped us to know if there are potentials for sustainable maize production so that government can make some decisions in their policies to improve maize production and ensure adequate sustainability. The purpose of this work was to envisage long term production of maize as well as provision of quality well-being for farmers and local communities going by the ever increasing population in anambra state against small land mass, and to maintain ecological integrity. 7 CHAPTER TWO REVIEW OF RELATED LITERATURES • Maize production in Nigeria • Demand for maize • Maize production trend • Types and varieties of maize • Importance of maize • Maize sustainability : Economic, Environmental and Social • Different practices in maize productionze production • Profitability of maize prodution • Constraints relegating maize production • Theoretical framework • Analytical framework 2.1 Overview of Maize Production in Nigeria Corn (maize) belongs to the family of grasses (graminaeae) and botanically it is called Zea mays.According to Lance and Garren (2002), the story of corn began in 1492 when Columbus’s men discovered this new grain in Cuba, an American native. According to Fakorede (2001), the mode of entry of maize into Nigeria is still an open question. Two most plausible routes are: • Sea route: Brazil – Sao Tome along which floury varieties entered the coastal areas of West Africa; • Nile valley – Lake Chad through which flint types were introduced. 8 Whatever the mode of entry, maize rapidly gained popularity as a major food item and a trade commodity between the southern, eastern and northern parts of Nigeria. Maize can be grown in all lands in Nigeria but it performs better in a well drained fertile loamy soil (IITA, 2012). During the December 2006 Abuja Summit on Food Security in Africa, African Heads of State and Government identified maize, among other crops, as a strategic commodity for achieving food security and poverty reduction and called on African countries, regional economic communities (RECs), the African Union Commission (AUC) and the New Partnership for Africa’s Development (NEPAD) to promote maize production on the continent to achieve self-sufficiency by 2015 (AUC, 2006). Maize is high-yielding, easy to process, readily digested and costs less than other cereals, and it is also a versatile crop, allowing it to grow across a range of agro ecological zones (IITA, 2001). It is an important source of carbohydrate and if eaten in the immature state, provides useful quantities of Vitamin A and C. Maize thrives best in a warm climate and is now grown in most of the countries that have suitable climatic conditions. According to Fakorede (2001), the golden seed (maize) has several advantages over cassava. The crop cycle is relatively shorter thus making it the first crop to harvest for food during the hunger period in Nigeria. He noted that maize is consumed in many forms; processing and preparation of maize dishes are easier than those of cassava. Maize as observed by IITA (2012), grows in a wider range of soil type than rice, almost every part of Nigeria can grow maize on their soil. With the use of Hybrid Maize and mechanized system of farming, yield of maize can reach up to 10.2 tonnes per hectare, with traditional African type of cultivation, production is 2.1 tonnes per hectare which isn't too bad anyway. 2.2 Demand and Production of Maize: In Nigeria, maize is a staple food of great socio-economic importance. The demand for maize sometimes outstrips supply as a result of the various domestic uses (Akande, 1994). In Nigeria, the demand for maize is increasing at a faster rate daily. This may be due to the fact that 9 grain is being used for feeding poultry and also serve as the main food for many household (Ogunniyi, 2011). The total land area planted to maize in Nigeria is above 2.5 million hectares with an estimated yield of about 1.4 metric tons per hectare (Ogundari, 2006). Ironically, maize as a result of the various domestic uses shows that a domestic demand of 3.5 million metric tonnes outstrips supply production of two million metric tons. However, the unfolding performance of maize can be attributed to the fact that, bulk of the country’s farm, over 90% is dependent on subsistence agriculture with rudimentary farm system, low capitalization and low yield per hectare (Ogundari et al, 2006). Additionally, other factors like price fluctuation, diseases and pests, poor storage facilities have been associated with low maize production in the country (Ojo, 2003). Badmus and Ariyo (2011) observered that in view of this, national and international bodies have developed interest in promoting maize production for households’ food security and poverty alleviation. Some of these efforts have been channeled through biological and agronomic research into the development of high-yielding varieties along with best cultural practices. Maize production is one of the cereal crops produced across the agro ecological zones in Nigeria. They noted that it is on record that more than 60% of Nigeria's production of maize is consumed by the industrial sector for production of flour, beer, malt drink, corn flakes, starch, syrup, dextrose and animal feeds. In order to meet the local demand for the crop, government placed a ban on the export of maize in Nigeria.Badmus et al (2011), in their study in maize production in different parts of the country (Nigeria) noted that maize have shown an increasing importance amidst growing utilization by food processing industries and livestock feed mills. The crop has thus grown to be a local “cash crop” most especially in the Southwest part of Nigeria where at least 30% of the cropland has been put to maize production under various cropping system. Growing maize in farms of 1-2 ha can overcome hunger in the household and the aggregate effect could double food production in Africa. According to IITA (2009), worldwide production of maize is 785 million tons, with the largest producer, the United States, 10 producing 42%. Africa produces 6.5% and the largest African producer is Nigeria with nearly 8 million tons, followed by South Africa. Africa imports 28% of the required maize from countries outside the continent. Also on the same note according to 2007 FAO estimates, 158 million hectares of maize are harvested worldwide. Africa harvests 29 million hectares, with Nigeria, the largest producer in SSA, harvesting 3%, followed by Tanzania. As noted by Ogala (2011), the Minister of Agriculture, Akin Adesina, has said part of his agric reforms would raise Nigeria’s annual maize production from current 8 million tons to 20 million tons annually. He concluded that the new efforts - Maize ‘Green Revolution’- would transform maize industry and make farming more profitable. As a very important staple food for millions of Nigerians and residents of West Africa, maize is one of the two major crops covering about 40% of the area under agricultural production, and its production accounts for 43% of maize grown in West Africa ( Phillip, 2001; Iken and Amusa, 2004; McCann, 2005). 2.3 Maize production trend As noted by Fakorede (2001), for more than 20 years of maize improvement activities; that is, from 1960 to 1984, land area under maize remained about 1 million ha. Similarly, total production was around 1 million tons and yield per unit land area around 1 t/ha. Beginning from 1985, however, land area under maize increased sharply and by 1995, it was about 5.4 million ha. Corresponding figures for total grain production were 1 million tons in 1960 and 7 million tons in 1994. Grain yield is now about 1.3 t/ha. Growth rates for land area under maize and total grain production were 0.55 million ha and 0.62 million tons per annum for the 1984-95 period. There were linear increases with steep slopes for this period. This period coincides with the period of release and active promotion of hybrid maize in the country and this is the period that ushered into Nigeria an emerging green revolution. According to IITA (2009), Worldwide consumption of maize is more than 116 million tons, with Africa consuming 30% and SSA 21%. However, Lesotho has the largest consumption per capita with 174 kg per year. Eastern 11 and Southern Africa uses 85% of its production as food, while Africa as a whole uses 95% of its production, compared to other world regions that use most of its maize as animal feed. Table 2.3.1 Maize production trend in Nigeria according to IITA research from year 2000 -2012 Market Year Production Unit of measure Growth rate 2000 4000 (1000 MT) -21.57% 2001 5000 (1000 MT) 25.00% 2002 5200 (1000 MT) 4.00% 2003 5500 (1000 MT) 5.77% 2004 6500 (1000 MT) 18.18% 2005 7000 (1000 MT) 7.69% 2006 7800 (1000 MT) 11.43% 2007 6500 (1000 MT) -16.67% 2008 7970 (1000 MT) 22.62% 2009 8950 (1000 MT) 12.30% 2010 8800 (1000 MT) -1.68% 2011 9250 (1000 MT) 5.11% 2012 9410 (1000 MT) 1.73% Source: international institute of tropical agriculture 2012 As observed by Ado et al (2007), increase in area of cultivation and quality of maize grain produced in Nigeria in recent years has become more or less stable. And Badmus et 12 al(2011), noted that maize production plays an important role in the Nigerian’s economy. Using the past trends, it is imperative to assess scientifically accurate prediction of future production potentials of this crop. He noted however that for 2006-07, a forecast of maize area was 9225.41 thousand ha with lower and upper limit of 8623.12 and 9827.7 thousand ha, respectively. A maize area forecast for the year 2020 was 9229.74 thousand ha with lower and upper limit of 7087.67 and 11371.81 thousand ha, respectively. Forecast of maize production showed an increasing trend. For 2006-07, a maize production was about 9848.95 thousand tons with lower and upper limit 9115.28 and 10582.64 thousand tons. The maize production forecast for the year 2020 is about 9952.72. They concluded that increase in government funding to agriculture, selection of high yielding varieties, increasing agricultural linkage between farmers and research institutes are important factors needed to increase the yield and production of maize in future. Ado et al (2007), opined that the savannah ecology can well be called the corn belt of Nigeria, that availability of fertilizer at affordable price generally determines the increase in land area under maize production in any particular year. Thus areas cultivated to maize decrease as fertilizer subsidies are withdrawn. The trend for grain yields and production were similar to those of land areas, although average annual increase in total production was much higher than the annual increase in yields, the average maize grain yield increased from less than one ton/ha in the last two decades to more than 1.7t/ha in 2006. According to Agriculturaltransformationagenda (2011), maize production figures show that the area planted to maize in Nigeria has increased from 438,000 ha in 1981 to 3,335,860 ha in 2009 with associated increase in production from 720,000 tons to 7,338,840 tons during the same period. Grain yield has also increased from 1.6 t/ha in 1981 to 2.0. t/ha in 2009. However, the slow turnover of maize varieties and hybrids on farm coupled with limited availability of good quality improved seed, fertilizer and other inputs have minimized the potential yield gains recorded on farm in Nigeria. 13 As noted by Shaib et al (1997), the estimated average annual growth rate in maize production over last five years was 5.46% which is about twice the projected 3.2% needed to meet our demand. Ado et al (2007), however stated that despite the increase in production, the demand for maize is higher even than the target set for self sufficiency. In order for Nigeria to be self sufficient in maize, it must produce enough for consumption and have surplus for export. To this end the Federal Government approved the doubling of maize production from 4.5m tons to 9.0m metric tons by 2007. However, the doubling maize committee estimates a total of 11.3m tons annually to meet the demands of human consumption(1mt), livestock industry(8mt), industrial use(2mt), national food reserve(0.1mt) and export to neighboring countries(0.2mt).(Anon. 2005a). Ado et al (2007), concluded that annual growth rates of maize yields are not just as a result of increased area; it is certainly accompanied by clear element of intensification. Thus realization of maize potential yields must combine appropriate variety, soil and crop management practices. Maize Production Trend in Anambra State. Production is not only a question of what is produced against what was produced, rather it also involves what means and what was given up to attain that. Thus, area of land cultivated must be taken into consideration in order to measure the growth rate of maize in the study area. 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Area cultivated ’000 ha Production in metric ton 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Market Year Source: ADP Anambra State 2012 Figure 2.1Maize production trend in Anambra State and area cultivated over a period of 11 years 14 Maize production in Anambra state shows an increasing trend from the year1999 (56.5mt) to 2009 (84.3) with the area cultivated which in 1999 was 24.68 and by 2009 was 40.78, the area cultivated was increasing at an increasing rate but the corresponding production increase was at a decreasing rate. According to their report maize production yield in kg/ha showed an increased growth from 2.048 in 2009 to 2.189 in 2010 but also at a decreasing rate. This, the ADP complained is the consequence of farmers not using recommended planting material e.g. hybrid seed and fertilizer, rather they depend on seed from market or previous harvest and animal fertilizer. That is to show that if farmers adopt appropriate technologies and more sustainable approaches, the land under cultivation has the potential to translate into profitable production. 2.4 Types or varieties of maize According to IITA (2009), About 50 species of maize exist and consist of different colors, textures and grain shapes and sizes. White, yellow and red are the most common types. The white and yellow varieties are preferred by most people depending on the region. Researchers using maize inbred lines from the International Institute of Tropical Agriculture (IITA, 2009) have developed two early maturing hybrid maize varieties that have been released by the Malian government to boost maize production. Recommended Varieties of maize to improve yield, for Early Season Planting:- Yellow Open Pollinated Varieties. Western Yellow 1: TZSR-Y-1 (Streak Resistant) DMR-LSRY (Downy Mildew & Streak Resistant). Yellow Hybrids Varieties: 8425-8; 8329-15 White, Open Pollinated Varieties: TZPB (FARZ 27); TZB (FARZ 34); TZSR-W-1; ZPBSR (Streak Resistant); DMR-LSRW (Downy Mildew & Streak Resistant). DMR-LSRW (Downy Mildew & Streak Resistant). White Hybrids: 8321-18; 902219; (Striga Resistant). For Late Season :- Plant early maturing, streak or downy mildew resistant varieties. Yellow Open Pollinated Varieties: TZESR-Y; DMR-ESRY (Downy Mildew and 15 Streak Resistant). White, Open Pollinated Varieties: TZESR-W; DMR-ESRW (Downy Mildew and Streak Resistant) POPCORN: White Pop: Yellow composite.(IITA, 2012). 2.5 Importance and uses of maize According to Agricultural transformation agenda (2011), maize plays a predominant role in the farming systems and diets of millions of Nigerians.It is a very versatile crop since it is used for domestic consumption in addition to its industrial use by flour mills, breweries, confectioneries and animal feed manufacturers. Consequently, increasing maize yields and its cultivation particularly in high production potential areas of the country can jumpstart a second maize green revolution in the country. As a result of competition for maize by both man and animal, there is the need to increase the supply level of the grain. Studies in maize production in different parts of Nigeria have shown an increasing importance of the crop amidst growing utilization by food processing industries and livestock feed mills (Ogunsumi et al., 2005; Khawar et al, 2007; Abduhaman and Kolawole, 2008). The crop has thus grown to be a local “Cash crop” most especially in the southwest part of Nigeria where at least 30 percent of the cropland has been put to maize production under various cropping systems (Ayeni, 1991; Degrande and Duguma, 2000). Maize in Nigeria, like many other region is consumed as vegetable although it is a grain crop. Fakorede (2001) citing van (Eijnatten, 1965) opined that the importance of maize as a food crop in Nigeria became more widely recognized in 1950 when an epiphytotic of the American rust (incited by Puccinia polysora Underw.) nearly wiped out the crop in West Africa. Maize is produced in different parts of the continent under diverse climatic and ecological conditions. Due to its increasing importance, maize has become a major staple and cash crop for smallholder farmers (Manyong, Kling, Makinde, Ajala, and Menkir 2000). The grains are rich in vitamins A, C and E, carbohydrates, and essential minerals, and contain 9% protein. They are also rich in dietary fiber and calories which are a good source of energy (IITA, 2009). As noted 16 by Sowunmi and Akintola (2010), maize is a major ingredient in infant food brewery and poultry feed industries and it is also fermented to produce hydrolyzed dextrins, sugars, and syrup. Dowswell et al (1996), observed that maize has been put to a wide range of uses than any other cereal: as human food, as a feed grain, a fodder crop, and for hundred of industrial purposes because of its broad global distribution, its low price relative to other cereals, its diverse grain types, and its wide range of biological and industrial properties. According to IITA (2009), maize is the preferred animal feed in many regions as it gives a yellow color to poultry, egg yolks and animal fat. Foods made out of maize is very nutritious as it is an important source of carbohydrate, protein, iron, vitamin B, and minerals, and is known to digest very quickly. Most Africans tend to consume maize mainly as a starchy base in a wide variety of porridges, pastes, grits, and beer. The green freshly harvested maize cob is eaten either roasted or boiled (IITA, 2012). As noted by IITA (2001), maize is a multipurpose crop because every part of its plant has economic value. The grain, leaves, stalk, tassel and cob can all be used to produce a large variety of food and non food products. In industrialized countries, maize is largely used as livestock feed and as a raw material for industrial products, while in low-income countries, it is mainly used for human consumption (IITA, 2001). Maize is fast becoming an industrial crop in Nigeria; flour mills, feed mills, breweries, breakfast cereal and baby food industries, etc, all use maize as a primary raw material. Another striking thing about this crop (maize grains) is that it may be stored indefinitely if the storage conditions are right. According to IITA (2009), in industrialized countries, maize is largely used as livestock feed and as a raw material for industrial products, while in developing countries, it is mainly used for human consumption. According to Khawar et al (2007), maize has a variety of uses. Its grain is a rich source of starch, vitamins, proteins and minerals. The starch extracted from maize grain is used in making confectionary and noodles. Corn syrup from maize contains high fructose and act as sweetner and retains moisture when added to certain foods. 17 Africans consume maize as a starchy base in a wide variety of porridges, pastes, grits, and beer. Green maize (fresh on the cob) is eaten parched, baked, roasted or boiled; playing an important role in filling the hunger gap after the dry season ( IITA 2009). They noted however that Maize is the most important cereal crop in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) and an important staple food for more than 1.2 billion people in SSA and Latin America. It accounts for 30−50% of low-income household expenditures in Eastern and Southern Africa. A heavy reliance on maize in the diet, however, can lead to malnutrition and vitamin deficiency diseases such as night blindness and kwashiorkor. According to Agricultural transformation agenda (2011), some of the factors that make maize an ideal target crop for intensification in high production potential areas of the country include the following: • Its high yield potential • Diversified uses, • Ease of transportation, processing and marketing • The availability of dependable research products According to Oladejo et al (2012), edible oil is extracted from the seeds, which is an all purpose culinary oil. Levulinc acid, a chemical derived from maize, is used as ingredient in antifreeze and is capable of replacing the toxic petroleum –based ingredients use. Plastic and fabrics are made from corn stocks. Ethanol obtained from maize can be used as a biomass fuel. Stigmas from female corn-flowers, known as corn silk, can be used as herbal supplements. Maize straw is a cheap source of energy and can be used in home-heating furnaces. Maize can be used as forage, feed for livestock and making silage after fermentation of corn stocks. Maize is used extensively as the main source of calories in animal feeding and feed formulation. Maize gives the highest conversion of dry substance to meat, milk and eggs compared with other cereal grains. Maize is a valuable feed grain, because it is among the highest in net energy content and lowest in protein and fiber content. 18 2.6 Maize sustainability Sustainability as explained earlier has three (3) drivers of measurement which includes; economic, social and environmental sustainability. The profitability of a venture explains if it is economically sustainable or not, some factors like food self sufficiency, employment for the vulnerable groups, access to resources and support services, ethical values and culture, and farmers knowledge and awareness of resource conservation among other things constitutes the social sustainability aspect. While the environmental sustainability deals with the disposal of the waste products, effect of the chemicals used during production among others. The sustainable development of a larger proportion of rural poor is linked to maize production; being a staple and a crop. Maize is one of the important grains in Nigeria, not only on the basis of the number of farmers that engaged in its cultivation, but also in its economic value (Olaniyi and Adewale, 2012) and this points to the significant role of maize production to sustainable development of rural economy, food security and poverty reduction especially in areas of Nigeria (Oyakhilomen, Ugbabe and Zibah 2012 ). USDA (2001), in an official Agriculture Network Information Center, has gone into the roots of the word, “Sustain” which derives from the Latin, “Sustinere” (sus -, from below and tenere, to hold), meaning to keep in existence or maintain. This implies long-term support or performance. As it pertains to agriculture, the word “Sustainable” described farming that is “capable of maintaining their productivity and usefulness indefinitely”. Such systems, according to Duesterhaus (1990) must be resource conserving, socially supportive, commercially competitive, and environmentally sound. Also according to Business for Social Responsibility, businesses should be “achieving commercial success in ways that honor ethical values andrespect people, communities, and the natural environment” and include “a comprehensiveset of policies, practices and programs that are integrated into business operations, supplychains and 19 decision-making processes throughout the company.” All these can be summarized as economic, social and environmental sustainability. In the words of Bradley R (2009), sustainable agricultural systems are those that make best economic use of available resources without damaging the underlying assets. He pointed out that it has to do with a common thread which is to build a viable business model capable of preserving and improving the assets managed in the business, be they soils, water and human capital. According to Starik (2010), sustainability is the ability to meet the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs. In the words of Starik and Rands (1995) in Starik (2010), sustainability is the characteristic of an entity, such as an economic or environmental system, that is related to its ability to exist & flourish over an acceptably long period of time (without impeding other species & ecosystems from doing the same). According to Bradley (2009), the driving factors for sustainable agricultural production includes (a) reduction in water allocation (b) banning of more agricultural chemicals (c) increase consumer demand for eco-friendly production (d) nutrient management on and off farm (e) food retailers and manufacturers looking for product differentiation (f) animal welfare concern , and (g) climate change and government response to climate change. Chambers r. (1997) concluded that sustainability is applying long term perspectives, in regard to human wellbeing and ecological integrity, policy and action. According to Jhingan (2010), sustainable development emphasizes the creation of sustainable improvement in real income per capita, improvements in education, health and general quality of life and improvement in quality of natural environment resources. He opined that sustainability has many objectives besides increasing economic growth and meeting basic needs, the aim of living standard includes a number of more specific goals such as, bettering people’s health and education opportunities, giving everyone the chance to participate in public life, helping to ensure a clean environment and promoting intergenerational equity. As noted by IITA (2009), Sustainability indicators are derived from existing data sources that must closely 20 approximate the qualities people are interested in measuring. Environmental quality, for instance, is typically described in terms of air and water quality, levels of greenhouse gas emissions, and biodiversity. In the same instance, Kalbali E.,Kavard H., Salapom M., and Soltanii S (2014) noted that sustainability of agriculture depends on the realization of resources of comprehensive fundamental changes in agricultural structure, management and optimum utilization of resources and facilities, and organizing and directing the well- considered activities in the rural areas. A full list of the Principles of Agroecology and Sustainability has been compiled by Reijntjes C, Bertus H, Water-Bayer A(1992). Sustainable Farming must possess characteristics that utilize majority of the principles: • Use of Renewable Resources of energy and materials that occur naturally and can be recycled on farm. • Minimization of toxicity and environmental pollution. • Conservation of soil chemical and physical properties • Conservation of water and energy. • Conservation of genetic resources by saving seeds and maintaining local landraces. • Conservation of capital by keeping bank debt to a minimum and reducing expenditure. • Managing ecological relationships by integrating fauna and biota to minimize the effects of pests, diseases and weeds while encouraging beneficial effects. • Recycling nutrients through residues and manures. • Minimizing disturbance of soil and total environment. • Adjusting to local environments by matching cropping patterns to the productive potential and physical limitations of the farm landscape and adapting plants and animals to the farm ecology instead of modifying the farm to meet the needs of the crops and animals. • Diversifying by utilizing various landscapes and top sequences and integrating the Biota. 21 • Using sound economics by avoiding single commodity farming, using alternative markets, processing to add value to products, avoiding dependence on external subsidies, finding alternative incomes via off-farm activities. • Empowering the people to control their development process by encouraging local partnerships, linking farmers with consumers and ensuring intergenerational fairness. • Managing whole system by planning with a view to holistically consider all determinants in a farming systems framework. • Maximizing long – term benefits socio-culturally, economically and in building up of soil organic matter and general fertility. • Placing great value on health by considering the effects of all practices on man, animals and plants. “If you look at maize, it has the highest return on investment compared with other crops. So if we are able to get it right in maize it will be great,” (Ajala 2011). Economic sustainability here has to do with the profitability of maize production. According to World business council for sustainable development, social responsibility is the continuing commitment by business to behave ethically and contribute to economic development while improving the quality of life of the workforce and their families as well as the local community and society at large” (WBCSD, 2000). Ruggie (2009) reports that, although companies often claim they respect human rights, few have systems in place enabling them to demonstrate the claim with any degree of confidence. Following the stand of the American Society of Agronomy, Sustainable Agriculture is the one that, over the long term, (1) enhances environmental quality and the resource base on which agriculture depends. (2) provides for the basic human food and fibers needs. (3) is economically viable and (4) enhances the quality of life for farmers and society as a whole. 22 As noted by Jhingan (2010), the problem of a country depends on its stage of development, economic structure, production techniques in use and its environmental policies. He observed that less developed countries face the problem of inadequate sanitation and clean drinking water. According to Agricultural Transformation Agenda (2011), a key goal of a second maize green revolution will be to increase maize production to 20 million metric tons in Nigeria. This second maize green revolution will focus on the: 1. Commercialization and deployment of high yielding, stress tolerant and nutrient efficient maize hybrids and varieties. 2. Promotion of optimal fertilizer usage along with appropriate crop and resource management practices targeted to maintain the soil base and enhance agricultural productivity 3. Modification of policies which impede the growth of private sector input companies including, seeds, fertilizer and other inputs, as well as the marketing of maize grain both in-country and for export. 4. Identification and development of new uses for maize in order to drive demand for the crop and create additional market. Sustainability index (SI) is a quantitative value that measures the sustainability of an agroecosystem. Each SI consists of several sustainability indicators which are biological, physical, chemical and socio-economic variables affecting the structure and function of the ecosystem. Sustainability indices reflect the viability of an egroecosystem quantitatively and are useful tools for evaluating the quality and efficiency of the system as well as making suitable decisions in its management (Koocheki 2003). 23 2.7 Different practices in maize production Ado et al (2007), posited that sustainable maize production is attainable by adopting improved production technologies, development of innovative methods of processed maize utilization for the urban and village level consumption as well as provision of credits facilities to small holder. Some practices in maize production include: Land preparation: Land preparation and cultivation for field crops are the field operations which alter the soil structure. Therefore, the main objective of this operation in maize production is to provide a suitable seedbed in which the crop can be planted, and will grow satisfactorily. During dry season, irrigation is required every 4-7 days on the severity of the drought and the type of soil in a maize farm. Ploughing: Ploughing is the purposeful breaking up and turning over of the soil and cutting furrows in preparation for sowing or planting. As noted by Elwel (1991), recent experience has shown, however that annual ploughing leads to rapid degradation of soil fertility and structure through loss of organic matter, giving higher input cost and increased runoff. To this effect land for maize production should not be ploughed continually. Weeding: This is the removal of unwanted plant. Any plant that is growing where it is not needed is a weed. Weeding operation is done before planting and also at intervals of 2months until the harvesting of the maize plant. Weeding can be done with cutlasses, hoes, and other modern mechanized implements as well as with herbicides. Irrigation: Irrigation is the artificial application of water to soil to achieve improved yield associated with drought. Maize is a crop that thrives well in an area with an average rainfall. Pesticides and herbicides: These are inorganic chemicals that are used to fight pests and weed that attack the crop both in the farm and post harvest. According to Elwel (1991), evidence are accumulating that existing levels of chemical use lead to the destruction of the on-farm and wider ecology and endanger human health and life. 24 Fertilizer application: Fertilizer is any organic or inorganic material of natural or synthetic origin that is added to the soil to enrich it with one or more nutrient to facilitate growth. Modern agriculture depends upon chemical fertilizers to provide adequate nutrition for crops. Chemical fertilizers have played an important role in sustaining the fertility of the land. Farmers therefore, need to be able to fertilize the soil to meet the fertility needs of the crops that are grown. In order to increase yield, chemical fertilizers will be important and essential. Maize does well with pH of 5.5 - 5.7 while strongly acidic soil (pH 5.0) is unsuitable for good yield. In southeast Nigeria soil acidity is a problem hindering proper agricultural production since most of the crops grown are susceptible to dangerous effects of acidic soils (Mbah, Nwite, Njoku and Nweke 2009). Ohiri and Ano (1989) attributed the acidic nature of the soils in south east Nigeria to their parent material, leaching and degradation in soil physical properties. To reduce or make the soil less acidic it is common practice to apply lime to agricultural soils. However, the unavailability and high cost of lime materials led to the invention and research into low cost, affordable and adoptable organic and inorganic material like wood-ash (Igbokwe et al., 1981). Ojeniyi et al. (2001) found that yield of vegetable crops and nutrient content were improved by woodash in Southeast Nigeria. Similarly, Odedina et al. (2003) and Adetunji (1997) reported reduced acidity and increased cation availability in soils amended with wood-ash. Omoti et al. (1991) indicated that there was great potential of reducing fertilizer and lime bills in maize production of an acidic soil by replacing it with application of wood-ash, since it helps to increase soil pH, available cations and yield. 2.8 Some practices that can enhance maize sustainability Planting of resistant varieties Ogala (2011) suggested that “For instance, high-yielding and disease-resistant varieties that are adaptable to Nigeria’s various agroecological zones, and drought- and Striga-resistant varieties that could address on-farm stresses, would be deployed to farmers,”. “Also early, 25 intermediate, and late-maturing varieties with yield up to thrice as much as traditional varieties will help farmers tackle the negative effects of climate change,”. Adequate use of fertilizers: the use of fertilizer at sowing provides the seedling with the major nutrients required in the early stages of development. Nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) are particularly important, and potassium (K) may also need to be applied before planting if the levels are low. Two much application of fertilizer and in inadequate recommended quantity may lead to crop failure and nutrient imbalance. Planting time: early planting is encouraged for optimum yield and disease control measure. Planting of maize in Nigeria especially in south-east is highly dependent on rainfall, thus maize is planted in mid or late march as soon as rainfall returns, and it takes about 3 months to mature. Planting of cover crops: As observed by Sullivan (2003), one of the most useful sustainable-agricultural practices employed in recent decades is the old but undervalued practice of cover cropping. A cover crop is a planting of (typically) grass and/or forage legumes on a field between production seasons. Such plantings reduce erosion, build soil, and, in the case of legumes, fix nitrogen for subsequent crops. Cover crops are of exceptional value on otherwise bare winter soils, which can erode badly during rains. Adequate water supply (irrigation): water is very important from the development stage of maize production till harvest for fresh cobs. In case of prolonged drought, irrigation option should be used to supplement the needed or required amount of rainfall. According to Gerpacio and Pingali (2007), most yield losses due to drought are caused by moisture stress during flowering and grain-filling, and the rest by pre-flowering stress. Mixed or intercropping: As noted by Segun-Olasanmi and Bamire (2010), maize-legume intercropping is currently receiving global attention because of its prime importance in World Agriculture. According to Sullivan (2003), intercropping offers farmers the opportunity to engage nature’s principle of diversity on their farms. It is a system of cultivating a cereal as the 26 primary food crop, but on a legume base. In Nigeria, intercropping maize with legumes, particularly cowpea, has gone a long way to improve the already limited fertility profile of many farming plots (Agboola, Obigbesan and Fayemi, 1992). Good storage system: post harvest losses should as much as possible be minimized especially during storage. As noted by Daramola (1993), Storage pests are insects that attach maize grain in storage, including the maize weevils, Sitophilus zeamais Moench, and more recently, Prostephanus truncantus Horn. These pests and many others bore holes into and feed on the grain, beginning from the embryo. Within a short time, the grains are turned to powder that has no economic value. Whereas field-to-store and storage pests may be controlled effectively by insecticides, host-plant resistance is the most effective means of controlling the field pests, especially the borers. Maize is very easy to harvest, it is usually harvested in south eastern nigeria as fresh cobs and they spoil easily more than harvesting when the crop is left to dry in the farm usually done by northerners. In order to minimize or avoid pest attack, good storage facilities are needed. The facility must be moisture free and air tight. Adequate pest and disease control : Availability, cost and knowledge of handling (especially in the case of herbicides) are reasons farmers may not be able to use any of these methods for effective weed control in their maize fields. One problem with use of herbicides is the short persistence in the humid ecologies of Nigeria (or tropics in general) relative to the temperate ecologies (Akinyemiju, 1993). Planting of disease resistant varieties is most sustainable than the use of these toxic chemicals as it brings about environmental problems. Conduction of extensive demonstrations of improved seed with fertilizer: Most often people believe that seeing is believing. Participation is one crucial aspect of learning. According to Fawole (2008) information dissemination to farmers in the rural areas is an integral part of the clamor for adoption of innovations and agricultural development. The effectiveness of sources 27 and frequency of agricultural information availability then become of paramount importance; if any meaningful development is to be achieved. One of the pre- requisites for information use is its accessibility. Information may be physically accessible but may not be intellectually accessible (Opara, 2010). Participation is a crucial issue as farmers will adopt innovation more because they are made to be part of what is going on. Ogunwale (2005) asserted that contact with extension agents under T and V system brings about remarkable increase in knowledge of farmers about farm technologies and practices. 2.9 Profitability of maize production Aye and Mungatana (2010), opined that increasing productivity is one of the major solutions to effectively addressing the food shortage problems that has fuelled increases in food prices all over the world. One way to increase the profitability of corn production is to reduce input costs and build drought-hardiness through sustainable management practices (Sullivan 2003). According to CIMMYT and IITA (2011), it is estimated that by 2050, the demand for maize in the developing world will double, and by 2025 maize will have become the crop with the greatest production globally, particularly in the developing world. They opined that harvest at the current levels of productivity growth will still fall short of demand and millions of farm families will remain in poverty, unless vigorous measures are taken to stabilize food prices, accelerate yield growth, increase income, form more productive sustainable and resilient maize based system and give greater opportunities to women and young adults. The outcome will be less affordable food for millions of maize consumers, continuing poverty and childhood malnutrition, deforestation, soil degradation, reduced biodiversity, and accelerated depletion of water and fertilizer reserves. Thus it is evident that there exist a problem globally, this study will look at what is happening/obtainable in the study area because it is absolutly necessary to identify what you have or are up against before one thinks of the ways to sustain it. 28 Fakorede (2001) observed that factors that determine crop yield potential and profitability include crop characteristics (physiology, phenology, canopy architecture, genetics) and ambient conditions (carbon dioxide, solar radiation, temperature). Attainable yields are limited by the availability of water and nutrients while the levels of weeds, pests, diseases and pollutants determine actual yield. Only the ambient conditions are beyond man’s control for large-scale crop production. It is not possible to give herein a complete prescription for the future direction of maize improvement in Nigeria. However, studies (Enete & Okon, 2010; Fasoranti, 2008) have shown that farmer’s socio-economic factors such as level of education, farm size and number of years of experience, technological and Institutional factors and gender affect the net returns to farmers’ production activities, depending on their location. For instance, Safa (2005) showed that education, family size and farm size significantly influenced the profitability of farm products, while Ahmad et al. (2005) indicated that farmers’ access to certified seed, better land preparation, recommended doses of fertilizer and access to credit are the major influencing factors. The hybrid maize project has made an impact in Nigeria. The yield advantages of hybrids appear to be sufficiently large to attract the attention of farmers. Improved high yielding maize variety can express its full genetic potential only when offered optimum management resources. This starts with the right choice of site through timely and appropriate establishment, nutrition; disease and pest control to proper harvesting procedure and produce disposal and/or storage (Iken and Amusa 2004). According to Agricultural transformation agenda (2011) Favorable Support Policies that can help maize production and productivity includes: 1. Total ban of maize importation 2. Policies formulated for the Growth Enhancement Support should be consistent for a minimum of five years to allow for maturity and adequate time to assess the impact. 3. Commitment of Government to buy back the surplus grain 4. Stable and consistent support for the programme 29 5. Firm commitment of participating States through significant financial and other contribution to the programme. 2.10 Constraints militating maize production in Nigeria According to Ogala (2011), the minister of agriculture in Nigeria noted that maize is a staple in Nigeria consumed by millions of Nigerians that according to some experts, its productivity has been hindered by low adoption of improved seeds, poor seed quality, little or no use of fertilizers, low investment in research funding, and poor extension services. Low productivity in Agriculture has been observed to be a problem militating against increased and sustainable farm income (Oyewo and Fabiyi 2008).Decline in soil fertility is often a result of soil erosion due to intensified land use and rapid decline in fallow periods, coupled with the extension of agriculture into marginal lands (Pingali and Pandey 2001). Some of the factors includes among the following: Diseases and pests of maize: According to Fakorede (2001), apart from P. polysora, several other diseases that received research attention at the initial stages of maize improvement in Nigeria were leaf blight , leaf and sheath rot, maize gray spot, adult maize stem rot, leaf scotch, also called leaf scald and white blast .Breeding for disease resistance was the first step, and has continued to be part of efforts, to improve maize in Nigeria. As noted by (Fajemisin, 1978; Oyekan, 1977; Fakorede et al., 2001c), diseases such as leaf spots, brown spot, downy mildew, several virus diseases, and the stalk, ear and storage rots have received attention during the last three decades .The efforts, however, were complicated by several factors that made it difficult to achieve an impact in a relatively short time. However Fakorede (2001), observed that First, the important diseases changed with time. For example, streak virus disease that was relatively unimportant up to about 1970 became the most devastating disease nation-wide. Downy mildew that was unknown in the early stages of maize breeding in Nigeria “came on stage” in the early 1970s. 30 Insect pests. Daramola (1993) grouped insect pests of maize in Nigeria into three subheadings with emphasis on the damage they cause and available technologies to contain them. These are the field pests, the field-to-store pests, and the storage pests. Field pests are the insects that cause economic damage to the maize crop at any growth stage in the field. The stem and ear borer complex, armyworms, silkworms and leafhoppers belong to this group. Stem and ear borers are members of the Family Lepidoptera and are the most widely distributed, most destructive and the best known insect pests of maize in Nigeria (Schulthess and Ajala, 1999). Daramola, (1993)noted that the borer complex consists of Sesamia calamistis Hampson, Eldana saccharina (Walker) and Busseola fusca (Fuller) (Lep: Noctuidae) which are stem borers, and the ear borer Mussidia nigrivenella Ragonot (Lep: Pyralidae). The borers have evolved with native grasses, sedges, some other wild hosts and, in the case of M nigrivenella, various tree species. The borers occur on maize plants during the two seasons, starting with B. fusca in the early season and later by S. calamistis and E. saccharina. Consequently, the borer complex causes greater damage in the late than early cropping season and in the forest and forest/savanna transition than the savanna ecology. Field-to-store pests are insects that infest maize in the field and continue their life cycle postharvest even into the store. Weeds: According to Fakorede (2001), Plants growing where they are not planted or needed are weeds. It is estimated that weed control takes 50-60% of the total cost of maize production. If weeds are not controlled in the early part of the growth cycle of maize, nearly 100% yield loss is possible. Indeed, a weed-free period of about 40-45 days after planting is required for optimum grain yield of maize (Lagoke, 1993; Carsky and Kling, 1997). There are different types of weeds: annuals, perennials, monocots, dicots, shrubs, etc. Some are more easily controlled than others. The ones that are more difficult to control are called noxious weeds. Sedges and most grasses, such as spear grass, itch grass, Guinea grass, 31 elephant grass, etc are noxious weeds in maize farms. Also, any plant that has underground reproductive parts will constitute a noxious weed. Noxious weeds cause substantial crop losses and they are more expensive to control. Some weeds are parasitic on crop plants. An example in Striga, commonly called witch weed. The most troublesome species, Striga hermonthica (Del.) Benth (Scrophulariaceae), occurs in the savanna; it is an obligate parasite of maize. There are several other species such as S. asiatica (L.) Kuntze, S. aspera, S. gesnerioides (Wild) Vatke, and S. forbesii Benth that attack other crop species or are less problematic on maize. Meanwhile, maize breeders have started breeding for resistance to S. asiatica in the derived savanna of southwestern Nigeria (Ogunbodede and Olakojo, 2001). Weeds may be controlled by different methods, including tillage practices, manual weeding, cultivation using animal or mechanical power, and use of chemicals called herbicides. Recommended herbicides and other weed control methods for maize and maize-based crop mixtures have been given for the different agro-ecologies of Nigeria (Lagoke, 1993; Akinyemiju, 1993). Biological conditions Pests and diseases, including insects and weeds, multiply and grow with amazing rapidity, as a result of favorable conditions created by the interaction of sunlight, temperature and humidity. These conditions, in addition to socio-economic factors, also reduce labor productivity drastically. Drought/moisture stress: As noted by Gerpacio and Pingali (2007), maize is unusually susceptible to drought at flowering, when it depresses yield potential by irreversibly limiting the number of kernels and ears that develop; if stress is severe, yields may be reduced nearly to zero. At this stage in crop development, it is too late for farmers to adjust management practices because fertilizers and/or pesticides have already been applied, and the season is far too advanced to consider replanting 32 (Edmeades et al. 1994). Chi-Chung et al. (2004) submitted that precipitation and temperature are found to have opposite effects on yield levels and variability of corn (maize). Furthermore, they reasoned that more rainfall can cause yield levels to rise, while decreasing yield variance and that temperature has a reverse effect on maize production. However, Farmers may respond to drought at the seedling stage by replanting their crop, and some yield may be salvaged when drought occurs at later crop stages, but drought at flowering can be mitigated only by irrigation (Pingali and Pandey 2001). Poor and inappropriate agronomic practices According to Adenola and Akinwumi (1993), maize farmers in Nigeria use inadequate and inappropriate agronomic practices such as poor land preparation, wrong clearing methods, wrong timing of weeding, fertilizer application, wasteful harvesting procedure and poor postharvest handling. According to Fakorede (2001), maize is produced in Nigeria mainly by subsistence farmers. It should be noted here, however, that the cost of land preparation machinery makes it far from the reach of most farmers in Nigeria. Establishment, on commercial basis, of sustainable tractor hiring units by governments, cooperatives and private companies would readily ease the problem. Until then, farmers may have to depend on their cutlasses and hoe. Lack of high quality seed Fakorede (2001), observed that traditionally, maize farmers in Nigeria save their own seed or obtain seed from neighbors, friends and the open market for the next cropping season. Initially, improved varieties reached farmers through the research station that developed the varieties. Between 1966 and 1969, seed program were initiated in the different administrative regions of the country (Joshua, 1993). The Ministry of Agriculture coordinated the seed programs in each region. Thus, for much of the period of no improvement in maize production, there was no organized seed production and distribution system for the country. 33 He noted however that in 1976, FDA started the FAO assisted seed production and certification project that is now known as the National seed service (NSS). Established in Ibadan with regional stations at Samaru, Ilorin, Umudike and Jos, the NSS is the custodian of all publicly bred varieties. NSS also produces foundation and certified seeds. Unfortunately, it appears that farmers have been so used to some specific channels for obtaining seed that very few patronize the NSS and seed companies. Poor extension services For a long time, the Extension Division of the Ministry of Agriculture in each state was the only body responsible for technology transfer from the research stations to the farmers. Extension Agents were trained at several levels, including the schools of Agriculture for Diplomas and universities for Degrees. Beginning from the mid 70s, special agricultural programs aimed at rapid technology transfer were executed. The National Accelerated Food Production Project (NAFPP) was the first of such projects. NAFPP involve on-farm adaptive trails (OFAT) of new technologies that had reached advance stages of research. NAFPP later became institutionalized as the National Rice/Maize Centre of the Federal Department of Agriculture (FDA). OFATs of the Rice/Maize Centre are an important step in the varietal release mechanism of Nigeria. Other nation-wide technology transfer projects were Operation Feed the Nation (OFN) in the late 70s and the Green Revolution of the early 80s. Each of these special projects supported technology transfer for maize. The Technology Committee of the Green Revolution of Federal Government funded the on-farm demonstration trials of hybrid maize for at least five years. Other factors according to Frauq(2008) includes: • Negative attitude and obstacles from extension personnel • Lack of suitable land • Destruction of plants by cattle and other animals 34 • Cobs stolen by thief • Destruction of plants by storm, drought and flood • Unavailability of seeds at time when require • High price of seeds • Unavailability of fertilizers at time when required • High price of fertilizers • Lack of irrigation facilities • Lack of technical knowledge • Low price of grains • Inefficient marketing system According to Fakorede (2001) the solutions would be attained more by collaborative rather than individual efforts of maize breeders and other scientists. The steps to overcome some of the constraints • Development of disease, insect pest and Striga resistant open-pollinating varieties (OPVs); • Yield improvement of the open-pollinating varieties; • Development of hybrid varieties; • Production and distribution of high-quality seed of improved varieties; • Improved agronomic practices; • Post-harvest technology and utilization; • Technology transfer and Training 2.11Theoretical framework A theory is a plausible or scientifically acceptable general principle or body of principles offered to explain phenomena (Webster’s New Collegiate Dictionary, 1976). And according to Starik (2010), a theory integrates propositions about the relation of variables to solve conceptual 35 problems. Good theories are clear, precise, reality-based, parsimonious, and logically integrated, and theories can describe, predict, &/or prescribe. The first theory to be considered in this study is the sustainability theory. Theories of sustainability attempt to prioritize and integrate social responses to environmental and cultural problems. The concept of sustainability thus raises a starkly basic question: can human activity successfully maintain itself and its goals without exhausting the resources on which it depends? According to the classic definition formulated by the economist Robert Solow, we should think of sustainability as an investment problem, in which we must use returns from the use of natural resources to create new opportunities of equal or greater value. Social spending on the poor or on environmental protection, while perhaps justifiable on other grounds takes away from this investment and so competes with a commitment to sustainability. Agricultural crops require a pool of different mineral nutrients in different quantities for growth. While these nutrients are present in most soils, some fractions are directly available to plant. Moreover, with every harvest the soil is being further depleted further off its nutrients. Ecological models propose to sustain biological diversity and ecological integrity. That is, rather than focusing on opportunity or capital as the key unit of sustainability, they focus directly on the health of the living world. However, Ikerd (1993) noted that the precise measurement of sustainability is impossible as it is site-specific and a dynamic concept. What is regarded as sustainable depends on the perspectives of the analysts. Although precise measurement of sustainable agriculture is not possible, “when specific parameters or criteria are selected, it is possible to say whether certain trends are steady, going up or going down” (Pretty 1995). Due to variation in biophysical and socioeconomic conditions, indicators used in one country are not necessarily applicable to other countries (Rasul and Thapa 2003). This study assessed how farmers can judiciously utilize the available resources without compromising the future use. The second theory that will be considered in this research work is the profitability theory or the theory of input-output relationship for excess reciept associated with farm management. This 36 theory explains the best combination of inputs for maximum return in agricultural production viz a viz maize production. The profitability of small holder farms’ has important implications for development strategies adopted in most developing countries wnere the primary sector is still domant. An improvement in the understanding of its profitability can greatly aid policy makers in creating enhancing policies. Budgetary technique was employed to calculate the profitability of maize. There exist several definitions of budget from authoritative sources, but the common thread that cut across all the definitions is the plan of activities linked with financial resources. It communicates to the business or farm in monetary terms of what the farm intends to spend and how much revenue they intend to generate over a given period. It is an accounting device used to plan and control resources.it involvesthe understanding of how much money you earn and spend over a period of time (Malgwi and Unegbu ,2012). Rate of return on investment is a popular financial metric for evaluating the financial consequences of individual investment gains directly with the magnitude and timing or cost. A high rate of return means that gains compare favorably to costs. Thus RETURN ON NVESTMENT is given by : TOTAL REVENUE / TOTAL COST 2.12 Analytical framework In every analysis, the nature and purpose of study determine the type of analytical tool to be employed. The analytical framework of this study included; budgetary technique (Net farm income), Multiple Regression model, the Likert scale rating and the Factor analysis Measurement of farmers’ profits Relative profitability of different crops is essential for decision making of farmers about a particular crop. For financial analysis of an enterprise, it is necessary to compute costs of inputs, which need to be deducted from the value of output. Farmers make use of purchased as well as home supplied inputs. Though the cost of home supplied inputs are difficult to calculate in 37 monetary terms those are calculated on the basis of opportunity cost principle (Faruq 2008). Opportunity cost of an input is defined as an income that it is capable of earning from alternative employment in or outside the farm. Net farm income analysis Net farm income is an important measure of the performance of the farm business. Budgetary technique is a farm management method that estimates costs and returns of alternative strategies and/or actions. It is an essential component of management control systems, as it provides a system of planning, coordination and control for management. This will be employed to estimate the farm income (revenue) and expenses (cost) as well as the return on investment associated with maize production. The budgetary technique is given by: GM = TR - TVC π or NFI = GM - TFC ROI = TR/TC where: GM = Gross margin TR = Total Revenue TC = Total Cost TVC = Total Variable Cost TFC = Total Fixed Cost π = Profit NFI = Net Farm Income ROI = Return On Investment 38 Multiple regression analysis (ordinary least square) According to Wooldridge (2005), multiple regression analysis is a type of analysis that is used to describe estimation of/and inference in the multiple linear regression model. It is an econometric method used to study relationship involving a dependent variable and many independent variables. When the relationship is between one dependent and one independent, it is called simple regression. Multiple regression techniques can be applied to a set of data set in which the independent variables are correlated with one another and with the independent to varying degrees (Barbara and Linda, 2013). Most regression models are multiple regression models because few phenomenons can be explained by only one variable (Gujarati, 2004). Explicitly, the regression is stated thus: Y = β0+ β1X1+ β2X2+…………….+ βnXn+µ Where: Y = dependent variable β0 = constant intercept β1 – βn = parameter estimates (coefficients) X1 –Xn = independent variable µ = error term Operational index Operational index is a numerical scale used to compare variables with one another or with some reference number. This index will be used to measure the social and ecological sustainability. Hayati and Karami (1996) suggested an operational index to measuring agricultural sustainability trend in farm level by subtracting the total score of parameters leading to nonsustainability from the total score of parameters leading to sustainability. The parameters measured in that method are those factors that intervene in the crop production process and could have positive effect in the process. Here sustainability is calculated as a function of 39 parameters like yield, crop rotation, growing legumes, applying organic fertilizers, green manure and crop residue for nutrition, conservation tillage as well as application of agrochemicals including nitrogen and phosphorus fertilizers and pesticides. The measurement is summarized in below equation: n n S = f ∑xi, ∑yj i=1 j=1 S = Trend of sustainability X1 = Average of crop production per hectare X2 = Execution of crop rotation X3 = Usage of organic manures X4 = Usage of green manures X5 = Usage of crop stubble X6 = Usage of conservational plough X7 = Trend of change in water resources (at the farm) X8 = Trend of change in soil resources (at the farm) Y1 = Amount of pesticides, herbicides, and fungicides consumption in the farm in one cultivational season Y2 = Amount of nitrate fertilizer consumption per 1 t of crop production Y3 = Amount of phosphate fertilizer consumption per 1 t of crop production In fact, parameters of X1 till X8 could lead to more sustainability if they increase and parameters of Y1 till Y3 could lead to unsustainability if they increase. Thus the below equation is established: n S= n ∑Xi - ∑Yj i=1 j=1 40 In order to measure agricultural sustainability at the farm level, Saltiel et al(1994) presented an index which is constituted of seven components. They arecultivation of sustainable crops, conservational cultivation, crop rotation, diminishing of pesticides and herbicides usage, soil mulching, and use of organic fertilizers. Likert Type Scale A psychometric response scale primarily used in questionnaires to obtain participant’s preferences or degree of agreement with a statement or set of statements. Likert scales are a non‐comparative scaling technique and are unidimensional (only measure a single trait) in nature. Respondents are asked to indicate their level of agreement with a given statement by way of an ordinal scale. Named after Dr. Rensis Likert, a sociologist at the University of Michigan, who developed the technique. His original report entitled “A Technique for the Measurement of Attitudes” was published in the Archives of Psychology in 1932. His goal was to develop a means of measuring psychological attitudes in a “scientific” way. Specifically, he sought a method that would produce attitude measures that could reasonably be interpreted as measurements on a proper metric scale, in the same sense that we consider grams or degrees Celsius true measurement scales (Ubersax, 2006). Factor analysis Factor analysis has a considerable utility in reducing numerous variables down to a few factors. The variables that are correlated with one another but largely independent of other subsets of variables combined into factors. According to Barbara and Linda (2013), the specific goal of factor analysis is to summarize patterns of correlation among observed variables, to reduce a large number of observed variables to a smaller number of factors, to provide an operational definition for an underlying 41 process by using observed variables, or to test a theory about the nature of the underlying process. Exploratory factor analysis using principal component model with iteration and varimax rotation will be employed to evaluate constraints militating maize production in the area. The model is given by: X = λf + e Where: X = the vector of n observable variables F = the vector of m unobservable variables λ = the loading matrix of the order nfm e = the error vector of n 42 CHAPTER THREE METHODOLOGY 3.1 Study Area The study area is Anambra State of Nigeria. Anambra State was created in August 27th 1991. It is located between latitude 5o401N and 6o481N and between longitude 6o351E and 7o301E. Boundaries are formed by Delta State to the west, Imo State to the south, Enugu state to east and Kogi State to north. (Anambra State Agricultural Development project 2007). It has an estimated population of 4.18million and land area of approximately 5.0255qkm (NPC 2006). The State comprises 21 local government areas and four agricultural zones (AZ); Aguata AZ, Anambra AZ, Awka AZ and Onitsha AZ. The climate is typically equatorial with two main seasons, the dry and the rainy seasons. The State experiences dry season from late October to early May and has at least six dry months in the year. The soil types of the area are suitable for varieties of crop production. The vegetation is rainforest and wooden savannah and grassland in the weather fringes. Maize production form part of crop produced because of the vegetation and soil type. The population for the study will consist of maize based farmers in the area. 3.2 SamplingProcedure Three zones out of the four agricultural zones were selected for the study. Purposive sampling was employed in selecting 180 farmers that were used for the study. First, three AZ were selected from the four zones (Awka, Aguata and Onitsha). Stage two involved selection of two local governments each from the three AZ making a total of six local governments. The third stage involved random selection of three farming communities from each of the six LGA, making a total of 18 farming communities. Finally 10 farmers each who grow maize as a main crop were selected from the 18 farming communities randomly to make a total of the needed 180 respondents for the study. 43 3.3 Data Collection. Data for the study were obtained from primary and secondary sources. Primary sources were gathered with the use of a structured questionnaire. Both qualitative and quantitative types of data were collected using the questionnaires which were administered through the help of young men and women from the area under my supervision. Secondary data for the study were obtained from published materials from ADP (Agricultural Development Project), journals, workshop papers and conference papers. 3.4 Analytical Techniques. Descriptive and inferential statistics were used to analyze the data generated. Descriptive statistics such as frequency tables and distribution, percentages and means were used to achieve objectives i. Five point Likert Scale was used to achieve objectives ii. Objective iii was achieved using budgetary technique, ordinary least square (multiple regression) was employed to achieve objective iv, objective v was achieved using operational index and finally objective vi realized using exploratory factor analysis. 3.4.1 Likert type scale The 5-point rating availed the farmers the opportunity to choose the best practice they think that could enhance maize sustainability in the study area. The rating were in the order: Strongly agreed (SA) = 5, agreed (A) = 4, neutral (N) =3, disagree (D) = 2 and strongly disagree (SD) = 1. The mean score of the respondents based on the five-point scale was 5+4+3+2+1 = 15, 15÷5 = 3.00. Using the interval scale of 0.05, the upper limit cut-off point will be 3.00+0.05 = 3.05. The lower limit was 3.00 – 0.05 = 2.95. Based on these, mean scores below 2.55 (i.e. MS< 2.95) were regarded as not important. The mean scores between 3.05 considered important and mean score greater than 3.05 (i.e. MS >3.05) were however considered as very important practices. 44 3.4.2 Budgetary Technique Budgetary technique was used to achieve objective iv. This wasemployed to estimate the farm income (revenue) and expenses (cost) as well as the return on investment associated with maize production. The budgetary technique is given by: GM = TR - TVC π or NFI = GM - TFC ROI = TR/TC where: GM = Gross margin TR = Total Revenue from maize TC = Total Cost incurred during production process TVC = Total Variable Cost utilized TFC = Total Fixed Cost used π = Profit from cubs sold NFI = Net Farm Income ROI = Return On Investment 3.4.3 Multiple Linear Regression The model used to determine objective v i.e. the factors affecting profitability is stated explicitly follows: 1n Y = β0 + β1X1+ β2X2+ β3X3+ β4X4+ β5X5 + β6X6 + β7X7 + β8X8 + β9X9+ β10X10+ β11X11 + β12X12 + β13X13+ β14X14+ β15X15+ β16X16+Ui Where; Y = output of maize (in kg) 45 X1 = Seed rate (Kg/ha) X2 = Planting hybrid maize (yes = 1, otherwise = 0) X3 = Amount of animal manure (Kg/ha) X4 = Amount of fertilizer (Kg/ha) X5 = Irrigation when rain is inadequate (yes = 1, otherwise = 0) X6 = Early planting (yes =1, otherwise = 0) X7 = Number of Labor (persons/ ha) X8 = Amount of insecticides (Lit./ha) X9 = Amount of herbicides (Lit./ha) X10 = Crop rotation (yes = 1, otherwise =0) X11 = mixed cropping (yes =1, otherwise =0) X12 = Land (ha) X13 = Good storage system (yes = 1, otherwise =0) X14 = Age (years) X15 = Farming experience (years) X16 = Household size (number) β0= constant factor and βi= estimates of the coefficients with (i= 1,2…13). μ=an error term measuring variation in maize output unaccounted for by independent variable. 1n = logarithm to base e subscripts 3.4.4 Operational index The operational index was used to achieve objective vi which is the sustainability of maize production is stated thus: 8 5 S = ∑Xi - ∑Yj i=1 j=1 46 S = Trend of sustainability X1 = crop yield X2 = Execution of crop rotation X3 = Usage of organic and/or green manures X4 = Creation of local employment X5 = Access to resources and support services X6 = Provision of public local goods X7 = Trend of change in water resources (at the farm) X8 = Trend of change in soil resources (at the farm) Y1 = Amount of pesticides consumption in the farm in one cultivation season Y2 = Amount of herbicides consumption in the farm in one cultivation season Y3 = Amount fungicides consumption in the farm in one cultivation season Y4 = amount of nitrate fertilizer consumption per production Y5 = Amount of phosphate fertilizer consumption per production 3.4.5 Exploratory factor analysis model This model was used to achieve the constraints to improved maize production. Y1 = a11x1 + a12x2 + *** + a1nxn Y2 = a21x1 + a22x2 + *** + a2nxn Y3 = a31x1 + a32x2 + *** + a3nxn “ “ “ Yn = an1xn + an2x2 + *** + annxn Where: Y1,Y2,Y3,…,Yn = Observed constraints facing maize production 47 a1 – an = Factor of correlation coefficient x1 – xn = unobserved underlying factor constraints For this study, factors of 0.30 and above were highlighted in bold letters and used for the analysis and otherwise ignored. 48 Chapter Four 4.0 Results and Discussion The data collected were analyzed and presented into sections to cover all the objectives as well as the null hypothesis. Firstly, the socio-economic characteristics of the maize producers namely gender, household size, marital status, educational qualification, age, farming experience, annual income, source of labor used, and source of planting material. Secondly, the existing practices that could lead to maize sustainability were adequate fertilizer use, planting hybrid maize, early planting, use of animal manure, planting cover crop and pest and disease control. This is followed by the profitability of maize production in the area, as well as the sustainability of maize was presented. Also, factors that affect or determine profitability of maize production and constraints affecting sustainability were analyzed. Finally, the null hypothesis was tested using the chow test (F-statistics). 49 4.1 Socio Economic Characteristics of the Maize Farmers. The table below shows the socioeconomic characteristics of the respondents. Table 4.1 Socio Economic Characteristics of Farmers. Variable Gender Male Female Householdsize 1-5 6-10 Maritalstatus Single Married Divorced Widowed Educationalqualification No formal education Primary education Secondary education Tertiary education Age 21-30 31-40 41-50 >50 Typeoflaborused Family Hired Both family and hired Modeoflandacquisition Inherited Purchased Rented Sourceofplantingmaterial ADP Market Previous harvest Annualincome <80,000 81,000-120,000 >160,000 Farmingexperience <5 years 6-10 years 11-15 years Frequency Percentage (%) 121 59 67.2 32.8 152 28 84.4 15.6 29 114 11 26 16.1 63.3 6.1 14.4 12 58 98 12 6.7 32.2 54.4 6.7 1 66 95 18 0.6 36.7 52.8 10.0 5 35 140 2.8 19.4 77.8 65 18 97 36.1 10.0 53.9 37 89 54 20.6 49.4 30.0 39 117 24 21.7 65.0 13.3 79 80 21 43.9 44.4 11.7 Source: field survey 2014 (frequency total = 180 each and percentage total = 100) 4.1.1 Gender: 50 From the result, it was observed that 121 of the respondents were male and the remaining 59 female. This is in line with the observation made by Okeke(2014) that majority of the household heads that engaged in maize production in Anambra State were male. This shows that majority (67.2%) were male, and this could be attributed to the fact that men have more access to land. 4.1.2 Household Size: The result showed that majority of the maize farmers had family size of between 1 and 5(84.4%). This implies that maize farmers in Anambra State may not have adequate labor supply coming from the family thus forcing them to depend on hired labor for production. This in line with the observation made by Mohammed A.B, Ayanlere A.F, Ibrahim U, and Muhammad (2013) in Kogi State, that family size of maize producer ranged from 2-5, implying small family size, which could have a negative effect on labor cost and profitability of maize production. The consequence may be increased production cost as extra money would be required to pay for hired labor. 4.1.3 Marital Status: Majority 114 of the household heads were married (63.3%) with 29 (16.1%) single, 26 (14.4%) widowed, while only 11(6.1%) were divorced. This result show that married people that dwell more in rural areas engaged more in farming, while the young people reside in the city in search of white collar jobs. It also shows that regardless of your marital status, maize production can be practiced by just anybody. 4.1.4 Educational Qualification: About 54.4% of the maize farmers attended secondary school, 32.2% attended primary school while 6.7% of the respondents had tertiary education and the remaining 6.7% had no formal education. This conforms to the observation by Oladejo et al (2012) that more than half of his 51 respondents in maize production in Oyo state were literates. This implies that majority of the maize farmers can read and write and as such innovations can easily be adopted by them with little effort. This will thus have a positive impact on the adoption of new techniques that would ensure sustainability of maize production. 4.1.5 Age: The result showed that 52.8% of the maize farmers fell between the ages of 41-50 years, followed by 36.7% being between 31-40 years of age while 10.0% were greater than 50 years. Only one of them was less than 30years. This is in accordance with the observation made by Okeke (2012) that 90% of respondents in Anambra fell between ages 30-50. He concluded that fresh maize production in the area is dominated by young people who are more energetic and responsive individuals. This is also in line with FAO (2008) classification as economically productive while the minority fell within the age group regarded as dependent group (children and aged). 4.1.6 Type of Labor: The result showed that only 2.8% of the respondents depended solely on family labor and 19.4% on hired labor only, while majority 77.8% used both family and hired labor. This could be attributed to the low household size of the farmers or that their children migrate to bigger cities for education or in search of a better livelihood options. 4.1.7 Mode of Land Acquisition: Land is one of the key determinant / factor of agricultural production. The study revealed that majority of the maize farmers 53.9% farm on rented land, 36.1% inherited theirs while 10.0% purchased land. This can be attributed to the high population density which could result in low availability of land. In addition, there were incidents of erosion in the study area, which has 52 made fertile agricultural land too expensive to purchase, there by leaving the poor farmers no option than to rent or lease. 4.1.8 Source of Planting Material: The result showed that 49.4% and 30.0% of the respondents depended on market and previous harvest respectively for the source of planting material, while only 20.6% go to ADP to seek theirs. This could be the cause of low income and yield as it has been observed that hybrid maize produce up to three times more than local breed. Report from ADP informed that hybrid maize should not be stored by farmers after harvesting for next farming season as it reduces the quality and quantity of yield. Also the stored yields are more susceptible to pest and disease because of contamination from soil and storage medium. 4.1.9 Annual Income: The research showed that majority 65.0% of the respondents had an annual income 81,000120,000, 21.7% had less than 80,000 and only about 13.3% of the maize respondents had more than 160,000 annual incomes with standard deviation of 0.59. The gap is much across the groups and this could be as a result of source of planting material or method of planting operations adopted. 4.1.10 Farming Experience: The experience of the household heads is very important in decision making, although it is worthy of note that increase in years may only increase production or productivity to a certain level after which it may be negative. The study showed that 44.4% of the respondents had farming experience between 6 -10, 43.9% less than 5 years while only 11.7% had 11-15 years of experience. That is to say that majority (88.3%) had less than 10 years experience in maize farming. This could be that people are gradually moving back to agriculture as a source of 53 livelihood. If that be the case, the country’s GDP will increase by reducing importation of various food items and increasing exportation. 4.2 Existing Practices that could Enhance Maize Sustainability Farmers in the study area believe that there are factors or practices that could enhance maize sustainability in Anambra State. Some of these practices were listed and famers were asked to rate them in a 5-point likert type scale to show to what extent they agree or disagree to their capacity to economic, social and environmental sustainability of maize production. Table below shows the responses and the corresponding mean score. Table 4.3.1 Mean scores and decision of the existing practices that could lead to sustainability of maize production. Existing practices Early planting Mean scores 3.20 Decision Accept Planting hybrid maize 3.66 Accept Adequate fertilizer use 4.13 Accept Use of animal manure 3.57 Accept Practice crop rotation 2.83 Reject Engage in mixed farming 2.16 Reject Use of irrigation 1.32 Reject Planting cover crop 3.51 Accept Good storage system 1.65 Reject Pest and disease control 3.84 Accept Others 2.95 Accept Source: fieldsurvey2014 (Decision rule: <2.95= reject and ≥ 2.95 accept) 54 From the table above, practices like early planting, planting hybrid maize, adequate fertilizer use, use of animal manure, planting cover crop and disease control loaded above 2.95 and going by the decision rule, they are very important practices toward sustainable maize production. The practice of crop rotation, engaging in mixed farming, use of irrigation and good storage system loaded less than 2.95 meaning they are less important practices as observed by the study, while other practices such as erosion control, liming, etc loaded 2.95 which means they are important. In the cases of crop rotation and mixed cropping, it could be because most of maize farmers do not own land and there by farming on rented plots and as such only plant maize as a sole crop during the period of maize production. Also use of irrigation was rejected, it could be because these farmers only engage in wet season maize production and always wait till on set of rain to start cultivation. Good storage system was rejected; this could be because the yield is barely enough for the demand and as such doesn’t give room for storage. Thus, farmers sell off their produce and retailers import from nearby states as the once produce within the state are not enough. Farmers are aware that early planting and planting of hybrid maize are very important practices that could enhance sustainability of maize. Also use of fertilizer, animal manure, planting cover crops and pest and disease control, are also very important practices. Adequate fertilizer use (4.13) and planting hybrid maize (3.66) loaded highest, this is to show that farmers agree that proper and adequate fertilizer use and hybrid maize in the right proportion is a prerequisite for sustainable maize production. But these farmers complain that as result of the cost of hybrid maize which requires adequate fertilizer use they relied on the cheaper seeds bought from the market. 55 4.3 Profitability of Maize Production in Anambra State. Even at subsistence level, maize farming may not only be for home consumption, rather the farmers aim to sell part of the produce in order to purchase other items needed by the household. In order to achieve that purpose, profit maximization is a prerequisite for engaging in maize production. Efforts were made to determine the costs associated with maize production and the revenue that accrued to the respondents. This work looked at 2 groups namely: per hectare net revenue of farmers that made use of improved seed and recommended fertilizer and per hectare net revenue of those that depended on previous harvest and market for source of planting materials. 56 Table 4.3.1 Net Farm Income Analysis of per hectare maize production using seed purchased from market. Item Variable cost Quantity Unit Cost(N) Amount(N) Seed rate 25kg 90 2,250 Fertilizer 2/50kgbag 5,800 11,600 Animal manure 4/50kgbag 1,000 4,000 Herbicide 1lit 2,000 2,000 Pesticide 3lits 3,200 9,600 Labor 14mandays 5,500 77,000 Total variable cost (TVC) 106,450 Fixed cost Opportunity cost of land 20,000 Depreciation of wheel barrow 1,600 Depreciation of other implements 4,667 Total fixed cost(TFC) 26,267 Total cost (TC) = TFC+TVC 132,717 Revenue Yield/100kg bag(TR) 70/100kgbag 2,800 196,000 Gross margin(GM) = TR-TVC 89,550 Net Farm Income = TR-TC 63,283 Return on investment (ROI)= TR/TC 1.48 Source: field survey 2014 57 Table 4.3.2 Net Farm Income Analysis of per hectare maize production using improved seed and recommended fertilizer. Item Quantity Unit Cost(N) Amount(N) Seed rate 21kg 150 3,150 Fertilizer 4/50kgbag 6,000 24,000 Animal manure 4/100kgbag 800 3,200 Herbicide 2lits 1,700 3,400 Pesticide 3lits 3,500 10,500 Labor 14mandays 5,000 70,000 Variable cost Total variable cost (TVC) 114,250 Fixed cost Opportunity cost of land 20,000 Depreciation of wheel barrow 1,600 Depreciation of other implements 4,667 Total fixed cost(TFC) 26,267 Total cost (TC) = TFC+TVC 140,517 Revenue Yield/100kg bag (TR) 83/100kgbag 3,2000 265,600 Gross margin(GM) = TR-TVC 151,350 Net Farm Income = TR-TC 125,083 Return on investment (ROI)=TR/TC 1.89 Source: field survey 2014 The tables above show the profitability of maize production using farm budgetary techniques to get the Net farm income as well as the return on investment. Though scores may vary a little from one man to the other, table 4.4.1 shows the profit made by maize producers who cultivated one hectare using seeds from previous harvest or bought from the market. From the gross margin analysis it could be seen that they made a profit of N63,283 after investing N132,717. This set of respondents could be said to be making profit, but the return on investment (ROI) was only N1.48, implying that for every one naira invested, there was a return of 48 kobo. When 58 we compare this result with the one in table 4.4.2, which shows the average profit made by those that cultivated hybrid maize sourced from ADP and using the recommended fertilizer rate, though they invested more (N140,517) they made a profit of about N125,083. Looking at the ROI (which is N1.89, meaning that for every one naira invested, there is a corresponding net ROI of 89 kobo), one is right to assume that every other thing been equal, cultivation of hybrid maize with the recommended fertilizer rate is a “sine qua non” for increased profit in the study area. This is in concurrence with the observation made by Oladejo and Adetunji (2012), that when local farmers make use of scientifically improved seeds, experienced hired labor, as well as scientifically recommended quality and quantity of fertilizer in the process of production activities, they obtain better yield compared to others. They concluded that they expend more on production cost but the better yield obtained resulted in high revenue and consequently higher returns compared with the other group. They therefore suggested that if farmers could have access to these inputs at subsidized price, it will enhance profitability of maize production. This means that there is a high prospect for maize production in the study area. One striking observation about the profitability of maize production in the area was the significance of labor cost in maize production. For the two tables, labor cost accounted for more than 50% of the total production cost, thus any practice that would reduce the cost of labor will be a welcome development as it will improve profitability. But viewed from social sustainability point, it could be said that maize production provides local employment for the vulnerable group (women and children), there by meeting one of the sustainability criteria. 59 4.4 Determinants of Output in Maize Production. The research has shown that maize production in the study area is profitable, multiple regression analysis shows the factors and to what extent they affect or influence the output of this venture. Table 4.5 shows the table for parameter estimate. Table 4.4 Determinants of output in maize production Independent variables Constant Seed rate (kg) Planting hybrid maize (yes=1, no=0) Amount of animal manure (bags/50kgbag) Amount of fertilizer used (bags/50kgbag) Amount of labor used (mandays) Early planting (yes=1, no=0) Amount of pesticides(liters) Amount of herbicides(liters) Crop rotation (yes=1, no=0) Mixed cropping (yes=1, no=0) Good storage system (yes=1, no=0) Number of hectares (hectares) Practice irrigation (yes=1, no=0) Age (years) Farming experience(years) Household size (number) R2 Adj. R2 Standard error F-ratio Significance Source: field survey 2014 N/B: respectively. Coefficients t-values 9.718 0.362 0.341 Standard error 5.182 0.888 0.807 0.371 0.506 0.732* 0.608 0.663 0.918*** 0.753 0.320 2.352** 0.773 2.975 0.243* 0.656 1.043 -1.669 0.773 0.720 0.925 3.440*** 2.837** -1.798 0.966 0.862 1.121 -0.221 1.629 -0.135 39.092 6.519 5.997*** -0.175 0.780 -0.224 0.202 -0.916 0.576 0.571 0.862 2.576 0.354 -1.063 0.146** 1.875 0.408** 0.422*** 0.743 0.717 4.918 29.408 (0.000)*** *,**, *** indicates statistical significant at 10%, 5% and 1% 60 Maize profit in naira was regressed against seed rate, planting hybrid maize, amount of animal manure, fertilizer, labor, pesticides and herbicides used, early planting, crop rotation, mixed cropping, good storage system, number of hectares and practice irrigation. Table 4.5 presents the OLS result of the factors affecting profitability of maize in the study area. The R2 was 0.74, implying that 74% of the variation in profitability of maize was explained by the independent variables in the model. All the other variables were positive except for seed rate, amount of animal manure used, crop rotation and good storage system. The coefficient of X1 (seed rate) was positive and significant at 5% level. This is in line with the “apriori” expectation and also conforms with Abu et al (2011) that seed rate is a significant determinant of output. The coefficient of X2 (planting hybrid maize) was positive and significant at 1% level, this met the “apriori” expectation that increase in the use of hybrid maize will lead to increase in output thereby increasing profit. Ogala(2011) noted that deploying hybrid maize to farmers will have a positive impact on yield. X3 which is amount of animal manure was positive and statistically significant at 10%, indicating that increasing animal manure will increase yeild. This conforms with Mohiuddin et al (2007) that amount of animal manure is positively related to yield at 10%. Amount of fertilizer used (X4) was positive and statistically significant at 1% level, which is in line with the “apriori” expectation indicating that a little increase in fertilizer will have a corresponding increase of 0.608 in the yield of maize which is more profit and return on investment. This conforms with Mohammed et al(2013) that fertilizer is positive and statistically significant approach in maize output. The estimated coefficient of X5 (amount of labor used) was positive and statistically significant at 5% level which is in line with Mohuiddin et al (2007) that yeild will be increased by using 61 more human labor, meaning that increase in labor will amount to increased profit. This means that increased labor use may be needed for timeliness in execution of work, which could translate to increased productivity. The coefficient of X6 (early planting) was positive and statistically significant at 5% level indicating that by planting early (onset of rainy season), farmers will take advantage of rain to reduce rate at which they irrigate their farms. Goodbody (1990) noted that early planting in maize growing season had been observed to be the most important single factor for increased grain yeild. X7 and X8 (amount of pesticides and amount of herbicides respectively) were positive and statistically significant at 1% and 5% levels respectively. The positive effects imply that adequate application of required chemicals will hinder pest and weed growth thereby reducing competition for nutrients by weeds, and destroying the insect pests. The estimated coefficient of X9 (crop rotation) was negative and statisticallyinsignificant, this does not conform with the expectation as crop rotation should help improve the nutrient by replenishing lost nutrient. This could be because majority of the farmers only rent the land for the period of maize production, after which they give it back to the owners. Mixed cropping (X10) was positive and not statistically significant, farmers are aware that planting cover crops alongside maize will help to protect the soil from the direct heat of the sun there by retaining the moisture content of the soil. But it was not statistically significant which may be because most of the farmers are just interested in maize and rent land just for its season. The coefficient of X11 (good storage system) was negative and statistically not significant. This is not in line with the expectation, but the negativity could be because the farmers do not even have enough to sell to the consumers, thereby leaving no room for storage. In other words, the excessive demand of maize do not allow for its storage. 62 X12 (number of hectares cultivated) was positive and statistically significant at 1% level. This met with “apriori” expectation, indicating that increase in area of land cultivated will have a positive impact in the net profit. This is in agreement with Mohammed et al (2013) and Oluwatayo et al (2008) that farm size has a positive relationship with output at 1% level of significance, the larger the farm size, the higher the yield obtained. Coefficient of X13 (practice irrigation) was negative and statistically not significant, the negative sign does not conform with the expectation, it could be because most farmers in the area only cultivate maize during the rainy season and as such depend solely on rain for source of water supply to the crop. The coefficient of X14 (age) was positive but not significantly related to profit meaning that increase in age may lead to increased profit. X15 (farming experience) was negative and not statistically significant. This is not in line with the apriori expectation , however Fasoranti (2007) suggested it could be because farmers with long years of experience make used to obsolete methods of farming, traditional tools and species of seed which do not encourage high output. Finally, coefficient of X16 (household size) was positive and significant at 5% level. This is in line with the expectation as they will serve as labor ,thus reducing production cost. 63 4.5 Evaluation of the Sustainability of Maize Production in Anambra State. Sustainability of maize production was estimated using sustainability index, the factors that could improve crop production (crop yield, crop rotation, use of organic manure, local employment etc) were subtracted from the factors that could lead to un-sustainability (amount of pesticide, pesticides, herbicides, fungicides, nitrate fertilizer and phosphate fertilizer). Table 4.6 below shows the average scores gotten from the respondent on how they rate each practice in proportion of ten. Table 4.5 Average scores and percentage contribution of the factors that could lead to sustainability in the study area Variables Average score Percentage contribution Crop yield 4.5 8.05 Execution of Crop rotation 3.6 6.37 Usage of organic manure 3.9 7.01 Provision of local employment 4.9 8.73 Usage of crop stubble 3.7 6.66 Conservation practice 3.4 6.08 Trend of change in water resources (at farm) 3.4 6.14 Trend of change in soil resources (at farm) 3.1 5.56 Sub-total 30.5 54.60 A: sustainable variables B: unsustainable variables Amount of pesticide consumed in the farm 6.3 11.28 in one cultivation season Amount of herbicides consumed in the farm 3.9 6.90 in one cultivation season Amount of fungicides used in the farm in 3.6 6.49 one cultivation season Amount of nitrate fertilizer consumption per 5.4 9.64 64 production Amount of phosphate fertilizer consumption 6.2 11.09 per production Sub-total 25.4 45.40 Total 55.9 100.00 Source: field survey 2014. The table above shows the mean score and percentage contribution of the sustainability variables as obtained from the respondents in the proportion of 1 to 10. From the table, the practices that could lead to sustainability loaded more than half (54.6%) while the other was 45%. The study went further to calculate the percentage sustainability of maize production using the sustainability index (summation of factors that could lead to sustainability less summation of factors that are unsustainable). The result of sustainability index is given below: S = sustainable practices – unsustainable practices = 30.5-25.4 = 5.1 .: = ହ.ଵ × ଵ ଵ ଵ S = 51% From the result obtained (51.0%), maize production could be concluded to be somewhat sustainable though it is only a bit above half. This could be because the farmers are not strictly following the practices that could lead to sustainability. 4.6 Constraints Mitigating Sustainability of Maize Production in the Study Area Maize production is affected by many factors; as such sustainability of maize in the study area is threatened by these factors in varying degrees. Farmers believe that some factors are more important than others and that if these problems are not critically and carefully tackled or 65 addressed, maize sustainability will never be achieved. Exploratory factor analysis was employed to analyze the constraints and categorize them to be able to ascertain the type of problem associated with maize production in the area. Table 4.7 shows the result of the factor analysis. Table 4.6.Varimax Rotated component matrix on the constraints faced by maize producers. Variable Variable Names code Factor 1 Factor 2 Factor (economic (natural (social factors) factors) factors) Vo.1 High cost of and unavailability of labor 0.802 0.114 0.168 Vo.2 High cost of fertilizer 0.796 -0.007 0.293 Vo.3 Price of quality seed 0.710 0.170 0.177 Vo.4 Inadequate capital 0.645 0.207 -0.233 Vo.5 Low cost of cobs 0.582 0.210 0.082 Vo.6 Erosion menace 0.245 0.643 0.156 Vo.7 Incidence of pest and disease 0.160 0.629 0.202 Vo.8 Destruction of crop by flood and storm -0.017 0.625 -0.089 Vo.9 Destruction of cob by other animals 0.003 0.588 0.075 Vo.10 Access to suitable of land -0.020 -0.207 0.892 Vo.11 Poor infrastructural development 0.092 0.230 0.641 Vo.12 Lack of agric extension agents 0.065 -0.082 0.221 Vo.13 Inadequate market for product -0.100 0.126 -0.215 Note: Extraction method: principal component analysis, rotation method: oblimin with Kaiser normalization, rotation converged in 25 iterations. Factor loading over .30 appear in bold. Source: field survey 2014 3 66 The table above shows the result obtained from the factor analysis. Principal component analysis with varimax rotation was conducted to assess the underlying factors militating maize sustainability. After the rotation the Kaiser-Meyer-Olkin (KMO) obtained was 0.869% which confirms that factor analysis is appropriate for the sample, and the Barteltt’s test of Sphericity X2 (78) is 714.554 p<.01 which is above the limit of 0.5. Three factors, namely economic, natural and social factors extracted. Variables that loaded less than 0.3 (regardless of the sign) were not considered as important, this is in line with the criterion by Madukwe (2004), that variables that load up to 0.30 at 10% overlapping matrix have high loading and could be used in naming the factors. After rotation, the first factor accounted for 21.06% of the variance, the second factor accounted for 19.67% while the third accounted for 15.22% of the variance and cumulatively, the first three factors loaded 55.94% showing that more than half of the variance is accounted for by the first three factor (high labor, fertilizer and quality seed cost) which fall under economic factors. The first factor was named Economic factors, they includedVo.1- high labor cost (0.802), Vo.2- high cost of fertilizer (0.796), Vo.3- high price of quality seed (0.710), Vo.4- inadequate capital (0.645), Vo.5- low cost of cob (0.582), showed that financial constraint (finance) is the key problem facing the maize producers in the study area. This is in agreement with the observation made by Okeke(2012), that the major problem faced by fresh maize farmers in Anambra State is lack of capital. The second most important was natural factors which included Vo.6- erosion menace (0.643), Vo.7- incidence of pest and diseases (0.629), Vo.8- destruction of cobs by flood, drought and storms (0.625) and Vo.9- destruction of cobs by other animals (0.588). These variables fall under factors that are caused by nature which the farmers have little or no solution to them. This is in line with the observation made by Olalinde L.O, Manyoung V.M and Akintola, J.O (2007), that majority of the farmers had their crops affected by drought, flood, wind & storm, and 67 diseases & pest, these they categorized as national risks , noting that the implication is that crop yield could be low due to the negative effects of these natural occurrence. Finally, the last factor was categorized as social factor which are Vo.10- lack or no access to land (0.892) and Vo.11- poor infrastructure(0.642). This is grouped as social factor because as a result of culture, women and some group do not have access to land and also infrastructure is a social amenity. From the study, it was observed that economic problems pose the greatest threat to maize sustainability followed by natural or environmental factors and finally the social factors. 68 CHAPTERFIVE 5.0 SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION 5.1 Summary The study assessed the sustainability of maize production in Anambra state. The specific objectives of the study were to: describe the socio economic characteristics of maize producers , describe maize production trend, examine from the farmers perspectives, the existing practices that could enhance maize sustainability, estimate the profitability of maize, determine the factors affecting profitability, evaluate sustainability and finally analyze the constraints to sustainability of maize. A purposive, multi stage and simple random sampling were employed in the selection of 180 maize farmers in Anambra state for the study. The data used for the study were obtained through a structured questionnaire for the primary data while the secondary data was obtained from Anambra State ADP in Awka. Descriptive and inferential statistics which includes frequency and percentage tables, budgetary techniques, likert type scale, Ordinary Least Square (OLS) model, sustainability index, and exploratory factor analysis were used for data analysis. From the data analyzed, it was discovered that majority of the maize farmers were male (67.2%) and only 32.8% female, with most of the household size (84.4%) ranging 1-5 and the remaining 15.6% between 6-10. Majority (89.5) were between the ages of 31-50 (which is regarded as the active years). Only about16.1% was single, and others were either divorced (6.1%), widowed (14.4%) or still married (63.3%). Not all the farmers had access to formal education, about 6.7% had no formal education, while 32.2% had primary, 6.7% tertiary and majority (54.4%) attended secondary school. Majority (77.8%) of the maize farmers make use of both hired and family labor. 69 Most of the respondents (53.9%) rent land for production, 36.1% inherited the land and only 10.0 purchased lands as a result of high cost of land. Only a few of the farmers (20.6%) sourced the planting material from ADP, while the other 79.4% either bought from market or used previously harvested seeds. Majority (65.0%) of the maize producers had annual income between N81,000- N120,000 and only 13.3% had up to N160,000 and above. Only 11.7% had farming experience between 11-15 years and the other 88.3% had 10 years and below. The result of the likert type scale on the existing practices that could enhance maize sustainability showed that from the farmer’s perspective adequate fertilizer use was the most important practice for maize sustainability as it recorded the highest mean score of 4.13. Other practices that loaded high were pest and disease control (3.84) to reduce loss of crop by disease, planting hybrid maize (3.66) for better and quality yeild , use of animal manure (3.57) to increase soil fertility at a reduced cost, planting of cover crops (3.51) to reduce water lossfrom the soil due to evaporation, early planting (3.20) to reduce incidence of pest and enjoy adequate rain supply, and finally other practices loaded (2.95) which they named as erosion control, use of lime, adequate pesticide use, use of machines to reduce labor cost etc. The study also noted that other practices which included: practice of crop rotation, engage in mixed farming, good storage system and use of irrigation where rejected. The budgetary technique employed to analyze the profitability of maize and the return on investment showed that for the maize farmers that cultivated one hectare using hybrid maize and recommended fertilizer rate, although they incurred more production cost (N140,517), they had a higher gross margin and profit (N151,350 and N125,083 respectively), with ROI of N1.89. and for the respondents who cultivated one hectare with seeds purchased from market or from previous harvest, though total production cost was less (N132,717), gross margin and profit (N89,550 and N63,283 respectively) were affected badly and ROI was as low as N1.48. The result of the OLS determinants of output in maize production showed that there was a great impact of prediction variables on profit made by farmers. The result of the model revealed that 70 74% of the total variation in output was explained by the explanatory variable while the remaining 14% was accounted for by the stochastic or random variables. The prediction variables were significant at different alpha level of probabilities, implying that a change in any of the variable will lead to a change in the level of output in maize production. Variables like seed rate, planting hybrid maize, use of fertilizer, labor use, early planting and number of hectares cultivated were statistically significant. The result of the sustainability of maize production analyzed using sustainability index shows that for all the variables that could lead to sustainability, crop yield, usage of organic manure and provision of local employment loaded highest (8.05%, 7.01% and 8.73% respectively). Implying that increase in these variables as well as other variables that loaded low will have a positive effect thereby increasing sustainability. And for the factors that would lead to unsustainability, amount of pesticides consumed in the farm in one cultivation season (11.28%), the amount of nitrate fertilizer consumption per production (9.64%) and amount of phosphate fertilizer consumption per production (11.09%), loaded highest meaning that reduction in these practicesalongside other non sustainable practices will have positive impact on sustainability . Finally constraints militating sustainability of maize production was analyzed using the exploratory factor analysis, the result of the Varimax component matrix categorized the most important constraint into 3 factors namely; economic or cost factor, natural factors and social factors. 5.2 Conclusion A fundamental issue in sustainability of maize production is how a farmer manages/ combines assets within his disposal to maximize profit while being mindful of his surrounding environment. Economic sustainability of maize production among farmers who cultivate hybrid maize with the recommended fertilizer rate made more profit and had more return on investment than others. 71 There is an increasing trend in maize production and the positive growth is associated with hybrid maize and use of recommended fertilizer, however it was noted that excess fertilizer and other chemicals in the farm will not only affect the yield as a result of nutrient imbalance but also in case of excess rain, there will be runoffs to nearby rivers or stream which will be a serious hazard for the community thereby hindering the social and environmental aspect of sustainability as it makes the water toxic for man and animals and also increased depletion of nutrients in the soil. 5.3 Recommendation Based on the findings, the following recommendations were made: 1. Investing in sustainability especially among small farmers should be given the highest priority to ensure steady supply of food at a cheap price without hindering future generation, by providing them with necessary assistance like provision of land. 2. To increase the profit and ensure high return on investment, subsidy should not stop at fertilizer rather more on hybrid maize and extension agents assistance to be made readily available and accessible so as to ensure adequate use of inputs in the right proportions. 3. Farmers need to form groups to enhance access to subsidized inputs and extension agents or even NGOs should dedicate themselves to educate and direct farmers so as to boost their profit margin and policies put in place to improve farmers access to information. 4. Crop scientist needs to work and provide hybrid maize that has the capacity to produce more at a lower fertilizer requirement. Also efforts should be made to look out for practice that can reduce labour cost as it constituted more than half of the production cost 5. Farmers should be encouraged to concentrate on factors that could lead to sustainability and use less of the ones that are not sustainable. 72 6. Vigilante groups (especially nongovernmental) should be formed so as to curb theft of curbs in the farm and destruction by nomads before harvest. Contribution to knowledge The study has revealed that more effort should be directed at sustainable means of production as yield increase via area expansion is not a realistic approach anymore in Anambra State because of scarcity of land and erosion problem. Also the study has shown that cultivation of maize is very profitable when hybrid maize and recommended fertilizer is used. Maize production in Anambra state is somewhat sustainable; as such much is still needed to be done to ensure its sustainability. 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Educational qualification (a) No formal Education (b) primary school (c) secondary school (d) Tertiary Education (e) Others specify........................... 6. Age (a)less than 20 (b) 21-30 (c) 31-40 (d) 41-50 (e)51 and above 7. Type of labour for production (a) family labour (b) hired labour (c) both 8. Mode of land acquisition? (a) inherited (b) purchased (c) rented (d) communal 9. Source of planting materials (a) ADP (b) market (c) previous harvest 10. What is your annual income (a) less than 40,000 (b) 41,000-80,000 (c) 81,000-120,000 (d) 121,000-160,000 (e) above 160,000 11. How long have you been into maize production (a) less than 5 years (b) 6-10 (c) 11-15 (d) 16-20 (e) above20 SECTION B Existing practices that could enhance maize sustainability 1. Do you think that there are existing practices that could lead to sustainability (a)yes (b) No 2. Please critically look at these practices and rate the practices 81 Sustainable practices Strongly agreed Agreed Neutral Disagreed Strongly disagreed Early planting Planting of hybrid maize Adequate Fertilizer use Crop rotation Mixed/intercropping Irrigation Planting cover crop Good storage system Adequate pest & disease control Use of animal manure Others activities SECTION C PROFITABILITY: COST AND RETURN OF MAIZE PRODUCTION 1. Is maize production a profitable business? (a) very profitable (b) not very profitable (c) not profitable 2. How many acres do you cultivate________________ 3. What is the cost of renting land (opportunity cost)__________________ 4. What is the output of fresh cobs in 100kg bag ________________ 5. What is the output price of fresh cobs /100kg bag _____________ 6. What is the cost of labour for farm operation________________ 7. What quantity of labour do u use_______________________ 8. What quantity of fertilizer do u use______________________ 9. What is the cost of fertilizer_______________________ 10. What quantity of animal manure do u use_______________ 11. What is the cost of animal manure___________________ 12. What is the unit price of seed for planting___________________ 13. What quantity of seed do u cultivate _____________________ 14. What is the unit price of herbicide used_____________________ 15. What quantity of herbicide do u use_____________________ 16. What is the unit price of pesticide used_____________________ 17. What quantity of pesticide do u use________________________ 18. What is the cost of other implements used______________ 82 SECTION D FACTORS AFFECTING SUSTAINABILITY OF MAIZE PRODUCTION 1. How do u rate maize sustainability? (a) very sustainable (b)sustainable (c) not sustainable 2. What is your seed rate per ha in kg___________ 3. Do you think planting hybrid maize can help? (a) Yes (b) 4. What quantity of animal manure do u use________________ 5. What quantity of fertilizer do u use_____________________ 6. What quantity of labour do u use_____________________ 7. Engaging in early planting? Yes No 8. Amount of herbicide used_________________ 9. Amount of pesticide used_________________ 10. Engage in crop rotation, Yes , No 11. Engage in mixed cropping, Yes , No 12. Usage of good storage system, Yes , No 13. Quantity of land cultivated_____________ 14. Practice of irrigation, Yes , No No SECTION E SUSTAINABILITY OF MAIZE PRODUCTION Please assess and rate each of the below questions in percent for the past 5 years 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. What is the trend ofmaize production_____________________ How often you engage in crop rotation_________________ Your usage of organic manure________________________ Your usage of green manures______________________ Your usage of crop stubble ( small stalk remaining in the farm after harvesting to act as mulch)___________________ 6. Your usage of conservational practice ( e.g. cover crop)_________ 7. Trend of change in water resources (at the farm)________________ 8. Trend of change in soil resources (at the farm)__________________ 9. Amount of pesticides, herbicides & fungicides consumption in the farm____ 10. Amount of nitrate fertilizer consumption per 1t of crop production ______ 11. Amount of phosphate fertilizer consumption per 1t of crop production ___ 83 SECTION F CONSTRAINTS RELEGATING MAIZE SUSTAINABILITY IN YOUR LOCALITY Please assess the constraints mentioned below and tick according to how it affects your farming operation Sustainable practices Inadequate capital High cost of labour Inadequate market lack of high quality seed low price of grain Lack of agricultural extension services in the area High price of fertilizers Poor infrastructural facilities destruction of plant by storm, drought and flood Destruction of plant by cattle and other animals Lack of suitable land Incidence of pest and diseases Very atypical Atypical Typical Very typical
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