The Drifting City: The Preemption of Local Discretion Jeffrey Swanson∗ Charles Barrilleaux† May 19, 2016 Abstract What factors drive a state government to restrict local autonomy? When state legislatures delegate legislative powers to city governments they are creating potential principal-agent problems, as city governments have the ability to enact policies that are inconsistent with state law. If preemptions serve as ex post sanctions that occur because an affected third-party has challenged the validity of the ordinance in the court. What characteristics increase the expected number of preemptions? Utilizing a data set of 156 cities that have had local ordinances preempted between the years 2000 and 2012, this paper finds evidence for a relationship between the ideological leanings of city residents and the expected number of preemptions. Specifically moderate cities have a lower expected preemption count than left-leaning cities. Prepared for the 16th annual State Politics and Policy Conference, University of Texas, Dallas May 19, 2016. ∗ † Department of Political Science, Florida State University, [email protected] Department of Political Science, Florida State University, [email protected] I. I NTRODUCTION Recent controversies highlight the occasional conflicts that occur when states and localities share policymaking authority. North Carolina’s House Bill 2, the Public Facilities and Privacy Act restricts the use of public restrooms to persons’ birth gender and reduces local government powers to adopt nondiscrimination laws more broadly was a state response to a local government ordinance with which some legislators and the governor disagreed. State legislatures have also passed legislation to invalidate local ordinances that ban hydraulic fracturing, restrictions on the size of trees that people may remove from their property, fees for the use of plastic bags for retail, and a number of additional items of varying degrees of controversy. These state-local conflicts highlight the tension between state legislatures’ claims of devotion to local power and self-determination and their devotion to free market and social conservative principles. Conflicts of this sort may become more pronounced in the coming years, as state legislatures have come to be dominated increasingly by conservative members and leaders, and states’ urban areas are more apt to have larger numbers of moderate or liberal citizens. This conflict between state and local governments for policy authority is not new, but it is possibly more pronounced now because of the increased newsworthiness of the sorts of conflicts that are now occurring. It is impossible to study the recent battles systematically given the small number of cases that exist. However, by looking more broadly at the issue, over time and over possibly less contentious issues, we seek to develop a framework by which to study state and local policy disputes. What factors drive a state government to restrict local autonomy? Devolution is often posited as a normatively desired policy goal, as it expands local autonomy allowing for policies to be tailor-made to the needs of that sub-units’ constituents. This power decentralization characterizes the rhetoric of the "states’ rights" movement who has allowed state governments to have some legislative discretion over what were once federal policies (Sheely 2012). Although the "devolution revolution" pushed for less federal control at the state-level there has been limited support for this at the local-level (Russell and Bostrom 2016). However, states have granted local governments some 1 autonomy through home rule and enabling legislation, but doing so involves a trade-off between the efficiency of internal policy production and the potential delegation costs. In this paper, we look at how state governments limit local autonomy by preempting local ordinances. The most common way local ordinances are often preempted is through state courts, where an affected third-party challenges the legality of the ordinance. The claim that is often raised by the plaintiff is that the ordinance conflicts with a state law, and is invalid. Although we are unable to analyze the factors that increase agency drift by focusing on the characteristics of city governments, the results highlight what factors increase the expected number of sanctions a city may receive. The results thus offer an initial insight into the preemption process of local autonomy. Diller (2007) posits that incongruent ordinances are the product of resentment from ideological groups who feel alienated from their state legislatures. These groups lobby their city governments to institute policies that are congruent with their interests, but can often differ from the interests of the state government. On the other hand, discretion can also allow cities to experiment with new policies, expanding the number of "laboratories of democracy." Therefore, what contributes to the preemption of local ordinances? Could Diller (2007) be correct in positing that the issue is a product of variations in ideology? Perhaps, city governments that are dominated by constituents who are far left- or right-leaning are pushing for policies that are incongruent with state interests? The potential for answering such a research question is made possible by the advances in public opinion data courtesy of Tausanovitch and Warshaw (2013). Utilizing multi-level regression and post-stratification the authors are able to compile seven large scale surveys conducted in the US (2006-2008,2010-2011 Cooperative Congressional Election Study and the 2000,2004 American National Election Survey) to create a public opinion data set that contains more than 275,000 individuals in over 1,500 cities. With this data the authors were able to calculate the ideal points for the average citizen in each city. The ideology scores can serve as proxies for the ideological leanings of city governments, as there is support in the literature for a connection between the ideological leanings of city residents and city-level policy (Tausanovitch and Warshaw 2014; Palus 2010; Polley 2013). 2 This article seeks to illustrate the characteristics of cities whose autonomy has been restricted by the state government. This research offers insight into the preemption process by presenting a sample of cities who have received preemption rulings that favor the state. The results of a zerotruncated count model find that cities that are ideologically left-leaning cities and cities with fairly large populations have a higher expected preemption count. These results hold even after a series of robustness tests, as well as the replacement of the city-level ideology score with city-level vote for Obama in the 2008 election. The results demonstrate support for a relationship between the ideology of city residents and the number of ordinances that were rendered invalid in the courts. The paper is organized as follows. First, we present the theoretical framework guiding this research. Second, we describe the preemption process and types of preemption. Third, we present the model used in this research along with a data description. Fourth, we present the findings of this research. Finally, we conclude the research with suggestions for future research. II. AGENCY D ISCRETION State legislatures grant cities discretion to minimize political transaction costs. This is similar to the description Epstein and O’Halloran (1999) offer regarding Congress and the choice to grant an executive agency discretion over policy implementation. If the state legislature chooses to grant discretion they do so because they perceive policy over city affairs to be more efficient when conducted by city leaders. Choosing to delegate would thus shift any electoral costs from policy failures from the state legislator to the city official. However, delegating legislative powers increases the potential for credible commitment problems. Delegation creates the concern of agency drift because agents now have the discretion to enact policies that are inconsistent with the preferences of state political elites. In the case of administrative agencies, Epstein and O’Halloran (1999) state that legislators can rely on citizens to serve as "fire alarms," and in addition impose ex ante and ex post controls. A preemption of a local ordinance can be viewed as an ex post control, whereby the principal punishes agents who shirk. Preemptions are then a punishment mechanism through which state political elites punish local governments by restricting their policymaking 3 powers. I. Discretion through Home Rule City governments exist as a result of state government grants of recognition. Some cities re- ceive the direct grant of a city charter from the state and others exist as a result of state authorizations for citizens who live in a certain area to form a local government. In either case, the state government grants cities certain legislative powers. One way in which states allow some or all cities within their borders to adopt local home rule, which is a formal grant of city powers independent of the state. Discretion is given to cities in the form of home rule powers, which devolves certain legislative authority to cities. These legislative powers are often devolved with the intent of allowing cities to institute policies that require local solutions, thus creating a more efficient legislative process. This discretion also allows cities to institute innovative policies, and increases the political capital of city residents as they can lobby local officials to institute policies they prefer (Bunch 2014). Self-governance is allowed in approximately 48 states, but the nature of local discretion varies widely. Municipal home rule states can be divided into two types: constitutional home rule states and statutory home rule states. Constitutional home rule states grant municipalities the power to legislate, but only over municipal affairs (Polley 2013). Although home rule empowers local governments, their ability to legislate over local issues is often restricted. An example of these restrictions is described by Knight and Gullman (2014) in the case of the Colorado Oil and Gas Association v. City of Longmont. In this case the city of Longmont enacted a local ordinance banning fracking within their city limits, but the state regulator challenged this ban in court under the claim that oil and gas operations are to be regulated solely by state law. The court overturned the ordinance in favor of uniform regulation policies, as the state government is better equipped to handle the policy area. Municipalities that are considered as general law entities also receive legislative power. This discretion is granted to municipalities on the basis of authority that is 4 expressly given by the constitution or state statutes. This is a very restrictive form of autonomy as the state legislature must pass an enabling act granting the local government authority to adopt ordinances covering a specific area or field (Freilich and Popowitz 2012). II. Agency Drift A state that provides blanket home rule powers to all cities allows these cities to have the discretion to institute policies that may not coincide with the preferences of state policymakers. The sheer number of potential local governments per state indicates the degree of difficulty a state government, who has granted home rule, has regarding the monitoring of each individual locality. As of 2012, the US Census counted 90,056 general purpose local governments. This averages to about 3,463 local governments per state. This may beg the question of why even grant home rule. A potential explanation for the existence of home rule may be the uncertainty that engulfs legislation (Horn 1995). The inability for legislators to effectively predict the actions of future legislators, or the ability to externalize the potential electoral costs due to failure, may increase the likelihood that legislators choose to adopt a home rule system. A local ordinance once enacted may go unnoticed until an affected party has challenged its legality in court. Even when the ordinance is challenged in court either party can appeal the court’s ruling, lengthening the legal process. For example, the Board of Supervisors for the County of Ventura in California challenged a court ruling that upheld an ordinance establishing budget caps. The Board of Supervisors was able to successfully plea their case and the court of appeals declared the ordinance preempted by state law. However, the process was time consuming as the ordinance was enacted in 1996 and declared invalid by the court of appeals in 2006. An affected thirdparty interest in this case can be thought of as a fire-alarm, as they inform the state that the city’s policy is incongruent with state law and/or interests (McCubbins and Schwartz 1984). The court system is used by the affected third-party to decide whether the ordinance is in fact invalid. This helps principals manipulate the behavior of agents to assure that the goals of the two actors align (Waterman and Meier 1998). 5 Municipal governments are also beholden to the whims of city residents and thus subject to the preferences of competing principals. Therefore, a city government may enact conflicting policies because city leaders must cater to the policy preferences of city residents. Preempted policies may be a result of discontent among city residents who want the city to enforce rules that the state has decided not to. Politicized city leaders, because of electoral constraints, are more likely to adopt policies that reflect the pressures of local citizens and interest groups. On the other hand, a manager-council government is more likely to be oriented towards efficiency, acting more as a technocrat, as the manager is appointed to their position by the council (Krause, Feiock and Hawkins 2016). Hypothesis 1: Cities with mayoral governments are expected to have a higher number of preempted ordinances Elected officials have incentives to be responsive to the needs constituents because of electoral concerns. The desire to satisfy electoral demands may cause mayors to take on a shorter time horizon, and be more risk accepting (Feiock, Steinacker and Park 2009). Potentially mayors may be willing to institute policies that conflict with state interests, as doing so assures a satisfied electorate and if the ordinance is preempted the mayor can shift the blame to the state government. On the other hand, council-manager forms of government are more immune to patronage-style politics and thus more likely to want to avoid the risk of costly court cases, or the loss in autonomy (Swarts and Vasi 2011). Discretion permits local governments to have the means to enact the preferred policies of city residents (Richardson, Gough and Puentes 2003). It is because of this discretion that ideological representation becomes more plausible at the municipal level, especially when elected officials have an incentive to adhere to citizen preferences (Palus 2010). For example, Tausanovitch and Warshaw (2014) find that municipal policies respond to the policy preferences of local residents, particularly their ideological leanings. These results are also confirmed in research by Palus (2010) who looks at the relationship between public opinion and city-level budget expenditures in policies related to government expansion and innovation. The author finds that cities with liberal residents 6 tend to spend a higher share of their budget towards development activities. Percival, Johnson and Neiman (2008) find a similar trend in a sample of Californian cities. The authors find a relationship between the ideological predispositions of city residents and the local per capita spending on redistributive and developmental policies. They find that cities with more liberal residents have higher per capita spending on public assistance. These articles highlight a potential relationship between ideology and local-level policy. Due to the predominance of left-leaning cities in the data set it would be difficult to generalize the results to ideologically right-leaning cities. Therefore due to data limitations, we hypothesize that preemptions may be more likely to occur in cities with more ideologically extreme left-leaning residents compared to cities with moderate residents. Hypothesis 2: Cities that are composed of ideologically moderate residents have a lower expected count of preempted ordinances III. Intra-State Preemption Process There are three general forms through which preemptions of local ordinances occur: Express, Implied, and Conflict. States restrict the discretion of cities by expressly preempting a policy field. In this case the legislature removes all authority the local government could have had over the field. For example, states enact oil and gas statutes that prohibit local governments from regulating the industry (Freilich and Popowitz 2012; Giller 2012). Express preemption is often used by state policymakers to maintain uniform regulations, by limiting local control over specific policy areas (e.g. hydraulic fracturing), or they can be the product of lobbying efforts from potentially affected industries (Kitze 2013). An example of how lobbyists restrict local autonomy is through gun regulation restrictions. Local authorities will often make attempts to regulate firearm usage as a deterrence for violence, but many state governments have limited the authority of local governments to engage in such actions, usually at the behest of lobbying organizations like the National Rifle Association. As a result of these lobbying efforts about 43 states limit the authority of local governments to regulate firearms and ammunition (Law Center to Prevent Gun Violence 2013). The second type of preemption is implied preemption by occupation of the field. This usually 7 requires an exercise in discretion on the part of the court, as the judge must determine whether the state legislature intended to regulate a particular field even though it was not expressly stated. This is the least common form of preemption as courts prefer to not engage in direct policymaking (Freilich and Popowitz 2012). An example of this is a court case brought forth by Sequoia Park Associates challenging an ordinance enacted in Sonoma County regarding mobile home parks. The county enacted an ordinance that was meant to institute a state statute regarding the construction of mobile home properties. However, the court ruled that the ordinance was impliedly preempted because it intrudes in a field of policy where the legislature has indicated an intent to forestall local intrusion. The final form is preemption by conflict. This form of preemption occurs when the court determines that the ordinance conflicts with a state statute. Conflict is usually a product of a local ordinance criminalizing activities which are legal at the state-level (Diller 2007). Within the data analyzed this was the most common form of preemption (65%), usually a result of a municipality imposing more stringent rules. An example of a conflict preemption is an ordinance enacted by the City of Oakland regarding predatory lending. American Financial Services Association challenged the validity of the ordinance on the grounds that state law already regulated this field. The court concluded that the ordinance undermined state law by prohibiting what the state government allowed. III. M ETHODS AND DATA The data analysis employs a zero-truncated Poisson count model with clustered standard errors because of heteroscedasticity and serial correlation issues. A zero-truncated Poisson regression model is used because the sampling process requires that an affected third-party challenge the ordinance in court. Therefore, this process excludes all cities that never had an ordinance challenged in the courts, but may be incongruent with state laws. The choice of a Poisson model is based on the model not suffering from over-dispersion and a low root mean squared error from a crossvalidation test. The unit of analysis is the city and the data is cross-sectional. A total of 156 cities 8 were included in the data set, but many of the cases involved county-level governments rather than municipal. This resulted in some dependency within the data, which is corrected using clustered standard errors. The dependent variable is the total number of instances that a preemption occurred to a city between the years 2000 and 2012. The Preemption Count is a sum of the total number of cases where a court ruled that a local ordinance was preempted by state law. The dependent variable was derived from an extensive search of legal databases, specifically HeinOnline and LexisNexis. A search of legal cases between the years 2000 and 2012 was conducted using the search terms "state preemption local ordinance," and "preemption local ordinance." Approximately 2,000 cases were reviewed. The cases that were accepted were those that involved the preemption of a local ordinance due to state law. This resulted in the rejection of cases that involved federal preemptions of local ordinances and cases where the court ruled in favor of the city. In total 130 cases met the criteria, but only 113 had cities that matched the cities available in Tausanovitch and Warshaw (2013). Table 1 includes a description of the local ordinances that were preempted in the data set. Table 1: Categories of Preempted Policies Substance Use Asset Seizures Farming Related Construction Related Debt/Credit Related Discrimination Weapons Fiscal Rule Groundwater Use Hydraulic Fracking 10 10 6 12 8 7 11 4 3 6 Living Wage Traffic Related Tenant-Landlord Tobacco Sex Offenders Solid Waste/Environment Sprinkler Requirements Electoral Reforms Public Utilities Miscellaneous 3 6 6 6 7 7 3 3 5 20 City Ideology is measured using the ideological orientation for the average person within each city from Tausanovitch and Warshaw (2013). However, using this variable requires that the data be condensed to eliminate any time trends, as a single score is available for each city. This measure serves as a proxy for city-level ideology because of the aforementioned responsiveness of city officials to the ideological-leanings of city residents. 9 To account for the potential influence of electoral demands on city officials, a city-level Mayor indicator is included in the model. This is a binary variable that indicates a city’s form of government, comparing the effect from having a mayor as the local leader to that of a council-manger leadership. In addition to the form of government, three measures for electoral institutions are included, as they may influence the adoption of ordinances that are preempted. Partisan Elections may increase the strength of ideological groups to use city ordinances as a means for instituting their preferred policies. Term Limits may reduce a local officials willingness to respond to the ideological preferences of city residents. These measures are all taken from Tausanovitch and Warshaw (2014). All missing values were recovered by contacting the respective city government for information. An ideology score is included for the average score of the median legislator in the state legislate during the analyzed time period. The score is taken from the data set constructed by Shor and McCarty (2011) to control for state legislative ideology during the preempted time period and is represented in the model as House Lower Average. Socio-economic controls are added to the model to account for variations in size of government by using variables that measure the population size and median income of each city. The natural log of each variable is taken to reduce skewness. A resident control measure is included to account for the ratio of home owners to renters. This variable is included to account for the possibility that home-owners are more inclined to demand policies that are likely to be preempted, as they may be more inclined to feel resentment towards the state legislature. This resentment should be less likely to affect renters, as they have the potential to be mobile and can relocate to a bordering municipality that institutes their desired policies, rather than lobby the local government. Another population factor is racial heterogeneity. More heterogeneous populations may be less able to effectively translate resident demands into policy. The use of a racial heterogeneity index is derived from research by Hero and Tolbert (1996), and utilizes the proportion of racial categories within each city. The index is calculated using the following formula: Racial Diversity= 1- ((Proportion White)2 +(Proportion Black)2 + (Proportion All Other)2 ) 10 The data for these measures are taken from the American Community Survey and the Census for the year 2012. The summary statistics for all variables is displayed in Table 2 and Table 3 features the number of cities per state. Table 2: Summary Statistics City Ideology Mayor House Lower Average Term Limits Ln Median Income Ln Population Heterogeneity Partisan Elections Initiative Ratio Home Own/Rent Mean Std. Deviation −0.180 0.370 −0.366 0.370 11.000 12.000 0.440 0.180 0.830 1.700 0.260 0.480 0.760 0.480 0.330 1.100 0.140 0.380 0.380 1.200 Table 3: State Distribution AZ 9 MO CA 50 NC CO 5 NH CT 1 NJ FL 26 NM GA 2 NY IA 4 OH ID 1 OR IL 2 PA KS 1 RI KY 3 SC LA 2 SD MA 1 TX MD 3 WA MI 2 WI MN 4 WV 11 1 2 1 6 2 6 4 2 5 1 1 1 2 2 3 1 IV. R ESULTS The results from the zero-truncated Poisson regression are displayed in Table 3. The results indicate that left-leaning cities are more likely to be preempted, as well as cities with large populations. There seems to be evidence for a potential relationship between city-level ideology and the number of preemption counts. This relationship continues to hold even under a number of model specifications. The relationship remains consistent even after dropping outliers (i.e. cities with more than 3 cases) and utilizing Obama vote in 2008 as a substitute for city-level ideology. Fixed effects for the two most frequent states (CA and FL) are included to account for any potential idiosyncratic factors 1 . The results are not sensitive to functional form as a zero-truncated negative binomial model produces similar results. Table 4: City-Level Characteristics on Preemption Count Coefficient Standard Error z-score -2.89∗∗∗ 0.03 0.54 0.10 -1.60 0.63∗∗∗ -1.12 -0.04 0.00 -0.20 1.58∗∗ -1.16 8.08 0.85 0.71 0.38 0.42 1.16 0.10 2.26 0.56 0.92 0.44 0.63 0.84 12.80 -3.41 0.04 1.41 0.24 -1.38 6.48 -0.50 -0.07 0.00 -0.45 2.52 -1.37 0.63 City Ideology Mayor House Lower Average Term Limits Ln Median Income Ln Population Heterogeneity Partisan Elections Initiative Ratio Home Own/Rent CA FL Intercept Observations Log Likelihood Note:Standard Errors Clustered on County 156 -52.25 ∗ p<0.05; ∗∗ p<0.01; ∗∗∗ p<0.001 In order to explore the relationship between ideology and preemption cases, an expected counts plot is featured below. The figure is created by holding all other variables at their observed val1 We are unable to include fixed effects for all states because there are a limited number of observations per state 12 ues while allowing ideology to move across its range of possible values. Although the data is predominantly composed of liberal cities, Figure 1 demonstrates that the number of preemption cases reduces as the city becomes more moderate. This does seem to be indicative of a systematic relationship between city-level ideology and the number of preemptions, even after controlling for city-level factors. The results indicate that a unit change in city-level ideology decreases the expected number of preempted ordinances by approximately 94%, holding all other variables constant. The results also indicate that large cities are more likely to have cases preempted. That is a one percent increase in the population of a city increases the expected number of preempted ordinances by approximately 0.7%, holding all other variables constant. There does not appear to be any support for a Mayor-led government influencing the expected number of preemptions. Therefore, the model offers support for a potential ideological relationship, but finds no evidence of electoral demand on the expected number of preempted ordinances. 13 Figure 1: Expected Preemption Count Across City-Level Ideology V. D ISCUSSION This paper set out to address the factors that result in a restriction of local autonomy. Although the data set is limited in size there does appear to be evidence for an ideological relationship with the expected number of preempted ordinances. Left-leaning cities appear to have more ordinances preempted, potentially due to feelings of resentment as city residents perceive the state legislature to not be aligned with their interests. There are several limitations to this research. First, the nature of data collection may not have fully captured all cities with preempted ordinances within the time frame. Although great care was taken to integrate as much data as possible the utilized databases may not have all available cases. Second, the cities included in the data set were predominately left-leaning. Although a 14 critique can be raised that the results are spurious, as the data may simply give the impression of a negative correlation. Multiple model specifications were conducted to flush out a potential spurious relationship. The results remained consistent despite every attempt. Finally, city governments may potentially be learning from the preemption cases of other cities and thus moderate their policies. Although local leaders may possibly moderate their behavior, the same may not be true for city residents. City residents may not be deterred by the preemption of similar ordinances or neighboring cities’ ordinances. If the policy is strongly preferred by the residents a potential preemption may not deter their resolve. Although the theory depicted diverging interests as the driving force behind local ordinances that are incongruent, we are unable to demonstrate this empirically. By analyzing preemption counts the paper is limited to analyzing a relationship involving city-level characteristics, as preemptions occur when an affected interest challenges an ordinance in court and not because the state government has directly rendered an ordinance invalid. An ideal research plan would create a model that accounts for the number of incongruent ordinances enacted within a given state or number of states, due to the time intensive nature of gathering such data. This would allow the researcher to determine whether a divergence in preferences (measured by the absolute difference in ideology) increases the number of incongruent ordinances. This, however, would require timevariant measures of city-level ideology, which is not easily devised. Future research may be able to find a means to go about testing this relationship, furthering our knowledge of state-city relations. Legislative powers grant cities the discretion to institute policies that may address wider systemic concerns, or to protest against state inaction. With the increased attention in the media to the preemption of specific city ordinances, such as living wage ordinances and transgender bathroom use ordinances, scholars should devote more time to understanding the factors driving city governments to adopt incongruent policies. This may help further our knowledge on how and why state governments respond by limiting local discretion. 15 R EFERENCES Bunch, J. 2014. “Does Local Autonomy Enhance Representation? The Influence of Home Rule on County Expenditures.” State and Local Government Review 46(2):106–117. Diller, Paul A. 2007. “Intrastate preemption.” Boston University Law Review 87(5):1113–76. Epstein, David and Sharyn O’Halloran. 1999. Delegating Powers: A Transaction Cost Politics Approach to Policy Making Under Separate Powers. Cambridge University Press. 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