Adolescent Country: Why Australia is Not a Maritime Nation Professor Michael Evans Hassett Chair of Military Studies Paradox and Australia’s Strategic Dilemma ‘To see that Australia is a set of paradoxes is, perhaps, the beginning of an ability to understand it’ – Jeanne MacKenzie, The Australian Paradox (1962) Abundance of physical space but psychology of coastal confinement Idealisation of bush but reality of suburbanism Materialism (standard of living) before metaphysics (the art of living) United by ANZAC mythology but divided over national defence 2 Greatest Paradox: Lack of Maritime Identity Australia is a classic trade dependent maritime state whose interests are tied to a larger offshore Asian and Oceanic geostrategic region - Saul B. Cohen, Geography and Politics in a Divided World (1964) Australia is an island-continent without a maritime identity Australia does not belong to the great Anglo-American tradition of maritime history but to ideology of ‘the fatal shore’ Attempts at Dominion navalism replaced by ANZAC after World War 1 3 The Price of Paradox: A State of Strategic Adolescence Paradoxes of Australia’s national culture impede maritime consciousness Coastal lifestyle not synonymous with oceanic-consciousness Australian culture upholds a strong continental ethos Encourages strategic thinking inimical to emergence of a mature appreciation of value of the sea This will not be overcome quickly or easily in 21st century 4 Why Maritime Strategy Matters A national maritime strategy [is systemic and] defines fundamentally a state’s longterm future relationship with the sea and involves the comprehensive integration of all elements and partnerships – military, commercial and institutional – Chris Parry, Super Highway: Sea Power in the 21st Century (2014) ‘Rid yourselves of the old notion – held by so many for so long – that maritime strategy exists solely to fight and win wars at sea, and the rest will take care of itself’ – Admiral Michael Mullen, CNO, USN, June 2006 5 Australia’s Challenge: A Nation without OceanicConsciousness America has a great maritime tradition, which Australia really has not – H. C. Allen, Bush and Backwoods: A Comparison of the Frontier in Australia and the United States (1959) ‘Australia is a maritime nation and scarcely knows it – James Bird, Seaport Gateways of Australia (1968) Australia is not a maritime nation and its people do not sustain much of an interest in Australian maritime strategy – Kim Beazley, Minister for Defence, November 1987 8 Three Snapshots Maritime dependence and its adverse impact on evolution of Australian strategy Influence of national culture in impeding a modern maritime ethos Prospects for a national maritime renaissance in the challenging global circumstances of the 21st century 9 1. Maritime Dependence and Australia’s Defence 1788-1901: Australia protected by world’s greatest seaborne empire Need for a maritime identity unnecessary given British imperial defence Australia’s colonists able to settle an islandcontinent as a New Britannia – but cultivated a paradoxical sense of non-Britannic mare incognitum History of maritime thought in Australia ‘is like the study of snakes in Ireland: There are no snakes in Ireland’ 10 Federation Era Defence Federation made defence a national political consideration Geographical size and small population meant defence in, and of, empire ‘[Let Australasia] frame its [defence] schemes and base its estimates on sound lines, both naval and imperial; naval by allowing due weight to battle force; imperial, by contemplating the whole . . . local safety is not always best found in local precaution. There is a military sense, in which he who loses his life shall save it’ – Alfred Thayer Mahan, Retrospect and Prospect (1902) 11 The Meta-Narrative: The Deakenite ‘Australian Settlement’, 1901-85 Australia was founded on faith in government authority; belief in egalitarianism . . . protection of its industry and its jobs; dependence on a great power (first Britain, then America), for its security and finance; and above all hostility to its [Asian] geographical location . . . Its bedrock ideology was protection; its solution a Fortress Australia, guaranteed as part of an impregnable Empire spanning the globe Paul Kelly, The End of Certainty (1992) 12 From Sharks to Dingoes: Strategic Identity since 1915 Paradox: Dominion navalism was Federation’s original strategic creed not ANZAC warfare Paradox: until 1915, Charles Bean, architect of ANZAC, was naval advocate proclaiming Australians as ‘blood of sea peoples’ Post-1918, Diggers came to define Australia’s martial ethos RAN capability fell drastically in 1920s – by 1940s maritime dependence transferred from Britain to America 13 Shattering Defence: Conscription Australian maritime outlook further distorted by division on defence Conscription disputes (1916-17 and 1942) shattered consensus on defence Severed political bond between duty of bearing arms and rights of citizenship Paradox: Australia developed a martial history without experience of self-defence Legacy: a volunteer military tradition associated mainly with soldiers 14 Australian Strategic Culture in 21st Century Australia’s strategic culture lacks both oceanic consciousness and consensus on defence Paradox and discord mark two fundamentals of defence: who should serve and where? ‘Australia [has] been a pro-war and anti conscription country – a unique mixture’ – Paul Kelly, 100 Years: The Australian Story (2001) ‘That defence of the nation is a single project, and that the State should have the power to command – [has] not been accepted in Australia . Defence has been the empty core of Australian nationhood’ – John Hirst, Australia’s Democracy: a Short History (2002) 15 2. Visual Continentalism: A National Culture of Maritime Indifference Great paradox of seaborne security fuelling an inward-looking literary and artistic culture of landscape Explorers, artists, writers (Leichardt, Nolan, Lawson and Paterson) created a cult of landscape ‘Exalt the bush above the spurious and blue-moulded civilisation of the littoral’ – Joseph Furphy (Tom Collins), Such is Life Serle’s seminal study of Australian culture devoid of a single maritime reference 16 A ‘Withheld Self’ and the Spirit of the Land [The land] has not only been the background of the nation’s story, but also the home of its heroes, the maker of its ideals, and the breeding ground of its myths. - T. Inglis Moore, Social Patterns in Australian Literature (1971) Inward Australian culture described by D. H. Lawrence as the spiritual condition of a ‘withheld self’ Paradox: world’s largest island possesses a deep inwardness drawn from landscape 17 The Jindyworobaks: Rejecting the Sea Jindyworobak literary movement (1930s-1950s) viewed ocean as alien to Australian identity Sea dismissed as representative of ‘the blindness [of] ship-fed seas from colder waters’ – Ian Mudie, ‘Underground’ Outback and continental landscape celebrated as true Australia way ‘like heart and blood, from heat to mist’ 18 3. Whither Australia? Prospects for a Maritime Ethos in 21st Century Unknown if future generations will discover a maritime gene But Australia of 2015 is different from Australia of 1915 and future will be different again 1985-2010: overthrow of Deakenite ‘Settlement Australia’ in favour of socio-economic reform involving embrace of globalisation and free markets 19 1985-2010: Australia’s Economic Transformation – 1985-2010: economy tripled in size; per capita GDP grew by 182% – G20 member: twelfth largest economy and the seventh most developed in the world – 2008: dollar became the sixth most traded currency – 2010-12: changing demography – Chinese overtook British as main source of permanent residents – Australia’s economic transformation underpinned by freedom of maritime commons 20 Strategic Transformation: Implications of Rising Asia Economic power shift from West to East will make Australia a strategic anchor adjacent to the Indo-Pacific arc Eight of world’s 10 busiest container ports in Asia-Pacific; 30% of world trade transits South China Sea; 66% of oil through Indo-Pacific Global seaborne trade will double by 2035; energy increase by over 50 per cent We must be alliance-focused, globallysensitive and regionally-oriented and craft a maritime strategy that meets an Asian economic future 21 Boom or Bust? Australia’s Asian Challenge Australian prosperity fuelled by Asian economies but 2012 Asia White Paper has little maritime focus But contains a striking phrase ‘As the global centre of gravity shifts to our region, the tyranny of distance is being replaced by the prospects of proximity’ – Australia in the Asian Century White Paper (Oct 2012) Historically, ‘prospects of proximity’ with Asia have always outweighed by ‘perils of proximity’ (most notably in defence policy) 22 Australia in 2015: Poised Between Past and Future Unclear if ‘prospects of proximity’ will be seized 2010-15: crisis of political leadership and faltering economic competitiveness Country must overcome debt; decline of responsive government and trivial public policy Choice of futures: a forward, maritimefocused ‘greater Australia’, or a repackaged ‘Australian Settlement’ seeking past comforts Challenge is to re-imagine the country for the new century 23 Re-imagining Australia in the 21st Century Australia must be re-conceptualised as an ‘archipelago of population islands’ ‘While Australia does a great impression of being a continental nation, it is in fact an efficiently organised and arable archipelago’ – Asher Judah, The Australian Century (2014) Five primary population islands (Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Perth, Adelaide) Represent an archipelagic ‘urban aorta’ generating 65 per cent of economic activity 24 ‘Looking Outward’: Future Engines of Prosperity require Vision Australia must exploit economic rise of cosmopolitan global middle class (especially in Asia) By 2030 global middle class will number 4.9b (tripling from 1.8b in 2015) Demand will be fuelled by Asian urbanisation, energy and education Must invest in political vision: expert educational sector; larger skilled immigration; tax reform and competitive labour market attuned to exports to global middle class 25 Looking Outward: Developing a Supporting Maritime Narrative Narrative must explain surrounding seas as highways to prosperous future not as moat defences of vanished ages The most important outstanding task is for a narrative to be developed that explains the importance to the safety and security of Australia’s maritime domains to the nation’s broader national security and economic wellbeing. These matters have not been wellarticulated to the broader public’ – Brett Biddington, Understanding Australia’s Maritime Domain in a Networked World (Kokoda, November 2014) 26 New Generation Components of a Maritime Narrative ‘Conversation with the Country’: on how future is outward and maritime (strategic communications and educational strategy) A well-funded National Institute for Maritime Affairs: to focus on geopolitical nexus between economic power, national security and maritime awareness ADF Doctrine, Concepts and Development Centre: for strategic appreciation of sea power (beyond single service issues) 27 The Logic of Maritime Consciousness The Willie Sutton logic : why do you rob banks? – because that’s where the money is Why does Australia need a national maritime consciousness? – because that’s where the prosperity is 28 Conclusion 29 Conceptual Recap Lack of a maritime consciousness has been most striking paradox of Australian history Refocusing Australia’s national culture to enhance oceanic-awareness is a key to future maturity Will not be easy; it is a generational task requiring leadership and vision But to ensure future prosperity and security, a 21st century Australian maritime narrative must be developed 30 Sea-Seekers: Overcoming the Legacy of the Fatal Shore Australia is at the dawn, not the noon, of its destiny The future awaits but it is a rendezvous that must be seized We must overcome A. D. Hope’s image of Australians as ‘second hand Europeans [who] pullulate timidly on the edge of alien shores’ We must become the bold visionaries of Roderic Quinn’s maritime poem , ‘The SeaSeekers’ – who on encountering the ocean – rejoiced and ‘shouted to the Morning Seas’ 31 Questions 32
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