Proceedings, 2012 International Snow Science Workshop, Anchorage, Alaska OBSERVATIONS ON THE DEVELOPMENT / DESTRUCTION OF POTENTIAL SLIDING LAYERS IN A PATH CONTROLLED WITH LARGE AMOUNTS OF EXPLOSIVES AND ARTILLERY: Mike Stanford, Brandon Levy Washington State Department of Transportation ABSTRACT: The Old Faithful slide area just west from the summit of Stevens Pass in central Washington State is a time tested area for Avalanches. Thousands of rounds of Artillery and tens of thousands of pounds of explosives have been used over the years to control the hazard to US Highway 2. The area receives an average snowfall of 454” per year. Big snowfall events followed by rain events are a common scenario. WSDOT Forecaster/Controllers employ a hazard mitigation philosophy of “no snow, no hazard” in this area. If there is little or no snow in the starting zones, then the hazard to the highway can be greatly reduced. Unlike ski area mitigation strategies, there is no reason for us to maintain “skiable” terrain. Large explosive charges, 25-200 lbs. are the norm. With Ski Area expansion, the increase in “side country” skiing and dawn patrolling, increasing numbers of skiers and boarders are finding their way into controlled paths that affect the highway. The need to hone forecasting skills with these paths is becoming more and more important. Depending on “Backcountry” forecasts and observations or profiles done outside these areas may be dangerous as the snowpack in these highway chutes is not like the snowpack outside the areas that are controlled for the simple reason that it has been altered by the use of explosives. This poster will examine the development/destruction of potential sliding layers within one of the main chutes in the Old Faithful Area caused by the artillery and explosives used to control the hazard to the highway. We will compare this information with a similar chute not affected by Artillery or Explosives. Keywords: Old Faithful, Highway, Forecasts 1. INTRODUCTION We refer to the highway as an “auto feed”. State Route 2, Stevens Pass, is one of three main passages through the Cascade Mountains of Washington State. Unlike other areas such as Ski Areas, affected by potential avalanches, the highway is open 24/7/365. The highway continually provides us with potential hazards in the form of traveling motorists. If there is no chance of injury to person, or damage to property, there is no Avalanche danger. Conversely, if we have no snow in our starting zones, we have significantly reduced the hazard. Figure 1: Weekend ski traffic can turn the highway into a parking lot dramatically increasing exposure time to Avalanche hazard. 904 Proceedings, 2012 International Snow Science Workshop, Anchorage, Alaska This philosophy is called the “no snow, no hazard” method. would be controlling soon and thus, changing it again. Now however, for whatever reason, more and more people are finding themselves hiking and skiing in Avalanche Paths that affect the highway. The number of skiers and boarders in these paths is not to the point where they are effectively providing skier compaction. They are merely a potential trigger in an avalanche path. Due to this increasingly popular scenario, more diligence needs to be taken when forecasting these paths. Using explosives to control Avalanche Hazard brings with it, its own considerations. Potential sliding layers can be formed by the very explosives we use to control the hazard. The need to identify, examine and understand this phenomenon is apparent. Forecasters responsible for a highway have very little off time during the winter. The auto feed is always on. The more we understand what is going on in our chutes, the better forecasters we will be. This project will hopefully aid in our efforts to learn more, ski more and worry less. Also, as with so many experiments, these observations are ongoing and incomplete. Further digging will be done this upcoming winter. 3. TEST SITES The Old Faithful Area on Stevens Pass is one of the most Avalanche prone sites in Washington State. Two test sites were used. 2. FORECASTING Our regional Avalanche Forecast Center produces two products. They provide a mountain weather forecast and they provide a “backcountry” avalanche forecast. Forecasting for controlled paths that affect a highway is left to the Forecasters and Controllers responsible for that highway. It would be virtually impossible and impractical for our Regional Avalanche Center to try to forecast for the chutes we control. We also have paths that affect the highway that we control passively by closing the highway when the hazard reaches a critical point. These areas we treat the same way we treat a backcountry area. Our Region Forecast Center is a vital link in our operation for these areas. Figure 2: The Old Faithful area produces several large slide cycles per winter. The first site was in the starting zone of shot #4 of the Old Faithful slide area. Site number two was on a slope similar in aspect and elevation to site one in an area called Hunter Hill. Profiles were done at each location on the same day after control had been conducted on the highway. A total of six profiles were done at each site. Three profiles of each site are presented on this poster. All of the data collected is available upon request. Using a backcountry forecast to forecast hazard in a controlled area can be dangerous. This is a fact that we have known for years. In that respect, this poster does have a certain amount of “duh” factor to it. However, until recently, the one factor we did not have to consider very often was human triggers. We knew that the structure of the snow in our chutes was different, but we were able to live with it, knowing we 905 Proceedings, 2012 International Snow Science Workshop, Anchorage, Alaska The winter of 2011-2012 provided us with a very well developed surface hoar layer that became buried in early February and remained a distinct player in the pack well into the spring. This layer acted as a good marker for us to observe as time progressed. 5. CONCLUSIONS / QUESTIONS We have come away from this brief encounter with one winter’s snowpack asking more questions than when we began. We did not and did not expect to, come away with any one “light bulb” moment. The fact that explosives disrupt the snow is nothing new to any experienced practitioner. 4. EXPLOSIVES WSDOT uses a variety of tools to control the hazard on Highway 2 in the Old Faithful Area. Bomb Trams with 50 lb. bags of ANFO producing large air blasts combined with 25 lb. bags of ANFO placed in the snow ignited simultaneously are common. In the maritime snow climate faceting is often observed adjacent to crusts. In our shot #4 starting zone in particular we use large amounts of ANFO, 125 lbs., regularly during mitigation efforts. Is this large amount of ANFO hot enough and large enough to create a crust in the blast area? If this is indeed the case as was observed during this last winter of 2011-2012, are we providing an opportunity for facet formation around this localized crust? Artillery is also used in the form of 105 mm Howitzers and M60 Main Battle Tanks. The ability to use large charges and employ the “no snow, no hazard” method has worked well for us here. Another question concerns our “no snow, no hazard” approach. From a practitioner’s standpoint this mitigation technique has proven its worth. However, it is clear from our observations that the snowpack in the path subjected to mitigation efforts using explosives is shallower than the “backcountry” snowpack. A thin snowpack is weaker because it is subjected to greater temperature gradients. One may argue that temperature gradients are not important factors in the maritime climate because most of our avalanche problems center on directaction storm snow events. Stevens Pass experiences cool easterly flow throughout the winter season. During these periods the temperature gradient causes weak layer formation. Therefore, does the “no snow, no hazard” approach actually allow facets to form because the resultant thinner snowpack is at times (e.g. cool east flow), subjected to a greater temperature gradient than a thicker un-controlled snowpack? Although producing Avalanches is our primary goal, there are times that we will use these large charges to simply disrupt the layering in the pack. This method has been well tested since the days of Monty Atwater. Depending on condition and atmospheric events, simply “shaking up” the snowpack can be very effective. Figure 3: Large amounts of explosives and Artillery are used to control the hazard in this area. 906 Proceedings, 2012 International Snow Science Workshop, Anchorage, Alaska Figure 4: Profiles were done at both locations on the same day. In presenting this poster, our hope is that others will become more aware of the somewhat obvious. As you can see, we have come away with more questions that need to be answered. We would like to create a dialogue with other professionals who may see something we do not or who may have questions that we have not thought about and can perhaps look to answer. If we had to pick the one thing we did bring away from our time in the holes, it would be a better sense of situational awareness of the area we are tasked to monitor and mitigate and what each new meteorological event or control mission may do to it. 7. CONTACTS If you would like more information or want to contact either author. [email protected] [email protected] We would encourage anyone with questions or comments to contact us. 907
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