Reliability Assessment Electric Utility Mapping Maged Yackoub Eva Szatmari Veridian Connections Toronto, October 2015 Agenda • Introduction • About Veridian Connections • Veridian’s GIS platform • Reliability assessment A case study for wood poles • Electric utility mapping Schematics • Conclusions and future directions • Q&A 2 3 4 Veridian’s GIS platform 5 Reliability assessment A case study on utility wood poles serviced by Veridian Connections 6 Electrical Equipment Reliability • Electrical equipment is subject to aging and deterioration • Every component has different failure behaviour • Overhead lines are exposed to damage from a wide range of causes • In general, the failure rate of electrical equipment follows the famous bathtub-shaped curve. The bathtub curve 7 Weibull Model • a=0.5 Two parameter Weibull distribution function 𝛽 𝑡 𝑓 𝑡 = 𝛼 𝛼 𝛽−1 𝑡 𝛽 − 𝑒 ∝ 𝐹 𝑡 = 1− 𝑡 𝛽 − 𝑒 𝛼 f(t) - the probability density function, F(t) - the cumulative distribution function CDF b>0 - the shape parameter a>0 - the scale parameter • Failure rate function 𝑓(𝑡) 𝛽𝑡 𝛽−1 ℎ 𝑡 = = 𝑅(𝑡) 𝛼𝛽 • Reliability function 𝑅 𝑡 =1−𝐹 𝑡 = • 𝑡 𝛽 − 𝛼 𝑒 Estimation of parameters a and b can be obtained from the linearized form of the CDF by linear least square regression 8 Data Collection & Analysis Data sources • • Pole failure data Historical pole inspection data GIS DATABASE EXTRACT POLE FEATURES EXTRACT DATA FOR ANALYSIS DATA PREPARATION MODEL PARAMETER ESTIMATION CALCULATE RELIABILITY FUNCTION Data analysis • • Age of failed wood poles Age of substandard poles MAP RESULTS 9 ArcGIS Implementation 10 Results of the Analysis Poles failed a=50.20 years b =3.49 Substandard Poles a=47.11 years b =3.54 11 Reliability Function Mapping 12 Reliability Function Mapping 13 Reliability Function Mapping 14 Conclusions • Weibull analysis provide consistent estimates of wood pole reliability for true failure and inspection data • Model-based reliability analysis can be applied to the study of failure patterns of other components of power distribution system. • Predictive results of different modelling strategies can be further integrated into decision making processes in maintenance planning and replacement programs • Include covariate factor to analysis (e.g., environmental factors) 15 Electric Utility Mapping Schematics 16 Maps in Electric Utility Companies • Maps are the most common method to communicate spatial information • GIS technology has transformed conventional mapping • Electric utility maps are essential at different levels of the utility company: System Control Centre Asset Managers Engineers and technicians Field Crew 17 Different Types of Maps Geographic Geo-Schematic Pure Schematic 18 Schematic Diagrams at Veridian Connections • Two systems: CAD and GIS • Challenges • Data redundancy • Separate data source • Error-prone system 19 Our Requirements for Schematics • Schematic representation of the power distribution network • Geographic reference • Network visualization from source to load • Detailed information with optimized placement of features for map legibility • Efficient updates each time required • Automatic or semi-automatic generation of the schematic 20 Our Approach to Schematics Previous approach • Map books and schematic diagrams created with ArcGIS Desktop Current approach • • • GIS data organized into a geometric network. Geo-Schematic map is created using ArcGIS Schematics Extension tools Semi-automated methods to update schematics 21 GIS DATABASE Geo-Schematics Workflow CREATE FEATURE DATASET CORRECT ERRORS CREATE GEOMETRIC NETWORK NETWORK ERRORS ? YES NO GENERATE NEW SCHEMATIC DIAGRAM Non optimized layout Latest GIS data NO UPDATE ? SCHEMATIC DATASET DIAGRAM TEMPLATE YES IMPORT EXISTING SCHEMATIC GEOMETRY INTO NEW SCHEMATIC DIAGRAM APPLY ESRI SCHEMATIC LAYOUT ALGORITHMS IDENTIFY (visually) OVERLAPPED, CLUTTERED &SCATTERED FEATURES EXISTING SCHEMATIC Optimized layout Old GIS data IDENTIFY NEW FEATURES since last update MANUALLY REPOSITION SCHEMATIC FEATURES SCHEMATIC DIAGRAM 22 Challenges • Dealing with different network connectivity rules in ArcGIS geometric network and other GIS platforms • Schematic layout algorithms (e.g., linear dispatch, compression) are applicable only to parts of diagram • Manual labor still required (e.g., when first time generating the schematic) 23 Port Hope Schematic in CAD format 24 Port Hope Geo-Schematic 25 Gravenhurst Grid Maps 26 27 Conclusions • Unique data source: GIS database • A single schematic template for all service areas • Schematics are generated from a dataset in geometric network • Automated update process • Less error prone (e.g., new elements/changes are highlighted in the map document) • More detailed information captured on the map • Multiple visualization • Customized solutions using the schematic layout algorithms 29 Thank you for your attention. 30
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