Public Disclosure Authorized Report No7: ARU 61 Rural Factor Markets in China After the Household Responsibility System Reform by Justin Yifu Lin Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized DISCUSSION PAPER Research Unit Agriculture and Rural Development Department Operational Policy Staff World Bank November 1986 The vLews presented here are those of the author(s), and they should not be interpreted as reflecting those of the World Bank, The author is a consultant of the World Bank. However, the World Bank does not accept responsibility for the views expressed herein which are those of the authors and should not be attributed to the World Bank or to its -affiliated organizations. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions are the results of research supported -in part by the Bank; they do not necessarily represent official policy of the Bank. The designations employed and the presentation of material in this, document are solely for the convenience of the reader and do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the World Bank or its affiliates concerning the legal status of any country, territory, area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its boundaries, or national affiliation. RURAL FACTOR MARKETS IN CHINA AFTER THE HOUSEHOLD RESPONSIBILITY Justin Yifu Lin Research Unit Agriculture and Rural Development Depart:- nt, November, the World Bank 1986 SYSTEM REFORM I. INTRODUCTION This paper is China. by a preliminary study of rural factor markets in Transactions government areas, in policies however, other markets. labor, the Asian In fact, Chinese peasants, a in resources factors to like their in the and life again. contemporaries unfamiliar with complex rural Nevertheless, 19509, made forms in collectivi4zed market exchanges the land, in labor, interest as a and were and land and labor severely Rent land, cooperative Private credit exchanges capitalist factor China before between households impossible. limited. in rural whole spectrum of market exchanges in revolution. ' starting not severely constrained Recent reforms past. were existed socialist other the countries, and credit movement, in have brought exchanges in Traditionally, in markets were factor taken were also as means of exploitation and the labor force was not to be treated commodity that exchanges between could be bought or sold; therefore, collective two farming units market were also prohibited. Under the collective system, a production team, consisting of about 30 neighboring households, basic unit entitled of production to exception their factors all allocated under .and income of was gonerally the distribution. production.' These The team was factors time. 'See Wiens were the unified management of a team leader with the of small private plots reserved for households spare usually Peasants, (1982) working under use in the supervision o:i for detailed discussions. a 2 team leader, they had were credited with work points for a day's work that done. At the end of a year, net team income was first distributed among team members according to basic needs, rest was distributed according then the to the work points that each one had accumulated during the year. This institution very work incentives to peasants in inadequate production team. in providing was found to be a a A new policy called the production responsibility system was introduced at the end reforms aiming areas.' At at of 1978 improving first, this management and incentive developed into a restored was problems form now households production and income distribution. as a to in rural improve the team. called. the a package of production designed within, that dissolved individual element of agricultural policy specific responsibility system" as one However, "the household production teams and units of agricultural The household responsibility system evolved into the main feature of the recent reforms in Chinese rural areas. production team Lin in productivity the agricultural explained 2For a detailed discussion of production team, see Lin (1986). 3 finds that the shL.ft the from a system to the household responsibility system on the average increased .jump (1986) it about the productivity half of incentive 14%. This the growth in problem in a The other reforms included diversification of the rural economy, production specialization, crop selection in accordance with regional comparative advantages, expansion of local fairs, marked rises in state procurement prices, and rapid growth in the availability and better allocation of chemical fertilizer. 3 agricultural The production between 1980 and 1983. improvement simultaneously household created allocative their to its land-person In ratio cycle. addition, was introduced, for the was equalized in same production function, this in disparities in labor across households.' allocative the a the household stages in the family labor. An equal land-person thus does across households. When households in after abilities. a team have land and other Households are at different households differ may to each household They thus have different endowments of land-labor ratio represent an inefficiencies., Therefore, ratio across households in will' result nevertheless, most cases allotted size. responsibility reform. life system a team were in proportion team, incentive, .responsibility resources in in in not fully equalize If each household faces the egalitarian allocation of land the marginal products of land and These differences inefficiency. in marginal products Output can be increased if resources are reallocated. One possible way to take advantage of these opportunities through direct among households. government intervention, Nevertheless, is like land-reallocation government intervention can be 4 In addition to the disparity in marginal products created by the household responsibility system, the allocative inefficiency has another source in China. Like any other country, the endowment of land and other resources varies greatly from region to region. Since migration between rural areas failed to exist at any significant level in the past, the difference in land-person ratio as well as land-labor ratio has long been maintained. Therefore, marginal products in land and labor should also be different across regions. See the discussion in the next section. 4 ruled out as household responsibility contracts in an alternative in near was first land was future. to be next contract, When the introduced, yearrs. When the land an original reassigned and adjusted according to household size and labor endowment. soon found impractical. This practice was As land might be assigned away in each household thus lacked incentives to invest in land improvement overcome system the general ranged from 1 to 3 contract expired, changes.: for this and to maintain properly the soil disincentive maintenance, the Chinese in land government investment to each To and adopted has lengthening the contract of land usage fertility. land a policy of household for up to 15 years or longer. The other possibility for improving allocative efficiency through market transactions. hired labor to land Market tenancy contracts involving several Transactions for in credit. brought discussed transactions factor and into in with incentive is developments transactions by be packaged in in and different markets. are costless, transactions. Rosenzweig rural areas are characterized problems. devoted The existence of therefore, to complex to demand certain, then marginal products will be market Binswanger factor markets cannot, paper may transactions enforceable, equality by or range from can land and labor naturally will give rise If unconstrained, transactions is be examining in rural factor markets in (1986), by risk as factor and beset well developed rural taken the However, for extent China. granted. and This possible 5 Before going into any features that detailed discussions, characterize China's three specific rural factor markets need to be mentioned: a) The rural reform in China has gone through a first stage, which featured the individual household responsibility system. the end of 1983, 94.5% of rural households this (Editorial new 1984, system 66-67). pp. reform in 1984. transform and structure in household were The by areas all explicitly credit system was Council in a high 1981. sentiment 5 is still have then interest rates there have been rate credit market. no is the 79th document number Document No. been (less 1, longer issued by China in China. than eight) and. were issued by the Central legalized. deeply rooted in the hiring Leasing out land to other farmers Committee of the Communist Party of markets When introduced, interest as usury in also formally sanctioned in -actor first Since to production mechanisms. change came to the hiring workers within a limited in the and lending money at high The first with categorically classified the State market reform is commodity production readjusting prohibited.$ substantial changes. Private of through responsibility subleasing land, economy into a way had adopted launched a second-stage main theme of the second-stage economy rural China China Agriculture Yearbook The Chinese government a self-subsistence exchange labor,' Board of in By It 1984. Transactions However, socialist appears unlikely, See "Several Issues Concerning the Further Strengthening and Perfecting of the Agriculture Production Responsibility System," in China Agriculture Yearbook. 1981 pp.409-411. for example, that the evicted from his house if repay his loan. It government will he uses it aa collateral force e person to be and fails to is also unimaginable that public opinion will sympathize with the lender in the case of a default. b) it has The cultivated shrunk to land per capita in about force which remains in this period. operational Under agriculture, in non-agricultural tendency. activities. in the the current rural labor there to force Shanghai in The differences similar in other induce tendency a agricultural in general in nonf arm income per worker 1981 was Y 441 for agriculture, and Y 1,625 This the income for industry labor differential force to Y (Shi will thus move out of the sector. c) There is no landless class in China's The original production teams are still entitled of land after Each household implementing the household rural areas -today. to the ownership responsibility system. is assigned the use right of a piece of land for a period of 15 years or more. with a a incomes across sectors should also be regions. for is engage A study shows that the average net suburbs of product of labor is much lower than that therefore., 1,003 for sideline production, 1981). system and the average of marginal cropping, sectors; the the percentage of labor price the value especially in for However, rural areas has been about the same during landholding, in 1. 6 mu. 1949 was 2.7 mu and now safe shelter. This practice provides each household Unless a household is assured a nonfarm or noncrop job that produces an expected income that is greater than 7 working on its farm, a household practice also has impacts will only supply labor on the labor market. land. This Farm households to other farms when the opportunity cost of not working on their will be will not leave its own farms is low, i. e., constrained from the supply side, the labor market especially during peak periods. This paper is markets, and organized credit following sections. facts of the markets will At the end concerned follows: as land markets, be discussed in labor turn in the of each section, markets will be summarized and their some stylized related hypotheses will be presented as well. The main hypothesis of this II. paper is presented at the last LAND ALLOCATION Marginal section. AND LAND MARKET Products of Land. The differences products of land and labor in China have is the differences in land endowment one is the egalitarian distribution responsibility of two major sources. land after One The other the household reform. land-labor ratio possessed 39.6% of China only cultivated the marginal across regions. Table IA shows that the eight provinces in in 1983; however, land. On possessed only 34. 1% of the total the 10. 5% of they contrary, the total cultivated land. the total had the that have the lowest labor 21.4% 9 of force in the total land-rich provinces labor force but were endowed The peasants in land-rich Helongjiang Province on the average had about 17 times as much TABLE LAND ENDOWM'ENT Province (1) Labor Guizhou 10,087 Sichuan 38,712 Zhe.ijiang 14,030 Yunnian 12,808 Guangdfong 19,061 G3uangxi 13,963 7,083 Fujia.ng Tibet 825 Hunan 20,239 Henan 25,370 2,071 Shanghai Anhui 17,478 Jiangsu 20,068 24,988 Shandong Hubei 14,572 Tianjing 1,391 Beijing 1,372 17,481 Hebei 9,305 Jiangxi Shaanxi 9,124 Oinhai 1,104 Liaoning 6,4EJ8 Gansu 5,841 6,647 Shanxi Ningxia 1,061 4,657 I.Mongolia 3,845 Jinin Xingjiang 2,570 Hei-longjiang4,110 SOURCE: (2) Cult. Land 28,450 98,1093 27,249 42,488 47,130 39,301 19,240 3,437 50,998 106,508 5,249 66,518 69,451 107,728 55,481 6,879 6,343 98,551 35,753 56,377 8,640 54,814 53,425 58,076 12,605 75,974 60,895 47,422 131,273 lA IN EACH PROVINCE (3) LandLabor Ratio (4) % of Area Irrigated (5)(6 Multiple Cropping Index 2.8 2.5 1.9 3.3 2.5 2.8 2.7 4.2 2.5 4.2 2.5 3.8 3.5 4.3 3.8 4.9 4.6 5.6 3.8 6.2 7.8 8.4 9.1 8.7 11.9 16.3 15.6 18.5 31.9 24 47 84 34 65 54 64 53 82 45 98 50 75 63 63 67 81 54 74 33 27 19 24 28 28 20 18 83 7 153 181 252, 140 200 177 189 93 218 160 218 177 184 146 200 133 151 131 229 127 87 102 98 107 101 91 100 932 98 China AgTriculture Yearbook Effective Land-Labor Ratio 3.8 3.9 4.0 4.3 4.4 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.8 4.9 4.9 5.9 5.9 6.1 6.6 6.7 6.9 -7.3. 7.4 7.6 7.7 8.9 9.5 9.6 12.816.3 16.3 21.4 32.1 1984. NOTE: (1) Agricultural labor force excluding workers in villageworkers; (2) cultivated land unit run industry, unit = 1,000 1,000 mu; (3) col.2/col.1; (4) X of cultivated land irrigated; (5) is the land-labor ratio ratio unit= %; (6) effective land-labor for irrigation and multiple cropping; its formula is: adjusted % of area x (1 + effective land-labor ratio= Land-labor ratio (1 s+( Multiple cropping index- 100)/2). See A. M. irrigated/4) x of Agriculture in Tang, An Analytical and Empirical Inivestigation Mainland China 1952-1980 (Seattle: UJniversity of Washington Press, 1984) for 'the rationale of for these adjustments. TABLE 1B LAND ENDOWMENT IN EACH PREFECTURE, (1) Prefecture Labor Anqing (2) Cult. Land (3) LandLabor Ratio (4) % of Area Irrigated ANHUl PROVINCE (5) Multiple Cropping Index (6) Effective Land-Labor Ratio 85 126 1.5 a8 705 2,094 124 697 215 2.9 1,192 4,859 297 1,736 1.7 2.3 2.4 2.5 76 66 95 77 248 211 200 224 3.5 4.2 4.5 4.7 297 756 2.5 Chaohu Liuan Fuyang Xuancheng 93 1,527 2,004 4,263 764 225 4,355 6,706 16,915 2,246 5.0 2.9 3.3 3.9 2.9 80 68 24 65 Hefei 199 171 166 222 1,172 5.2 5.2 5.5 5.6 4,183 3.6 72 390 172 1,522 5.7 3.9 57 174 6.1 Huizho Anqing Tongling Wuhu Maanshan Huainan Suxian 1,669. 7,913 4.'7 Huaibei Chuxian Bangbu 29 416 1,297 844 158 2,208 6,250 4,542 6.5 5.3 4.8 5.4 11 68 47 160 165 162 7.1 7.4 7.9 SOURCE: Statistical Bureau, Anhui Province. NOTE: Definitions and units are the same as in Table 1A, except labor force here includes workers in village-run industry. Data are for 1983. 10 land as the peasants in land-poor Zheicjiang Province. the distribution of cultivated land unequal it province. is Anhui also unequal Province in prefectures within a among provinces, Table force. In prefectures that had the lowest land-labor ratio labor force but only 13.6% of differences within among substantial. The Anhui the cultivated Province provinces, the peasants in reduce quality) after and temperature). as the last However, columns without empirical land endowments differ difference itself inherited tables it is across can be IA land. Although the large as are irrigation as the still for are still and in quite land-labor (proxy (proxy 1B difficult for land climate and very substantial suggest. Although, to say to what degree neighboring taken as There is production a fact. no a priori average quality of the labor both different.' the six teams, the The distribution of intelligence of a large population approaches normal in any large sample. which for cropping studies, nine had 21.7% of the The differences the differences of contrast, in Huaibeishi have 3.6 time as much adjusting multiple not disparities land as the peasants in Anqingshi. ratio are but 1B shows that, ~31.8% of cultivated land located in 1983, that had 22. 9% of labor differences Not only is have It about 100 forces reason to believe that the in workers, two would thus should not be too unrealistic neighboring teams, be significantly to assume that 6Acquired ability through education will be different depending on the availability and quality of education.In this respect, the labor force in urban areas will have a higher quality than in rural areas because, in general, the education in urban areas is better and. more accessible. However, within a the quality of labor forces across teams and regions is the same. Consequently, represent much of the an allocative dilferences opposite reason. team-owned private land according land in 7.1% in Under the Private to its private plots size. private plots (Perkins The land contracted categories. to allotted that time to to each household The 5.7% in and Yusuf 1984). ration plot, plot." but it welfare average amount of 1978. It rose to the collectively farmed lan.d households in two different The difference between these two kinds of fund, and collectively in owned land. proportion into account However, other duties to As for the private plot, also waived. Two different household. for tax on the food also had to pay the public accumulation fund, responsibility plots. one took allotted After the introduction of plots was that a household had to pay only state *strictly be One was the "food ration plot. " The other one was the "responsibility public farmed plots and could time. nationally was individual would arise production team system, the were the household responsibility system, was however, into collectively plots varied from 1980 within a team, was divided plots. the land-labor ratio inefficiency. Allocative inefficiency from an in practices were The first its team the state used to on the tax was contract the practice contracted the land to the size of each household. The second both the size and the labor force of each the results of these two practices may not be rural area, the quality and availability of education faced by each team can be assumed to be roughly identical. 12 very different. found that A survey of a production team in the household 0.16 mu per capita household with with the more than the smallest weight was 1984). given to Therefore, across can households in the team is land was first received a household in graded according piece of land China after owns more than 10 strips different stages labor endowments. experience, and land-person ratio potential a team is that the Not of They also other (Hu et al. ratio 7 life the quantity of but the quality of land quality, each This is because then each person grade. Therefore, each household reform often Households in a team are at cycles and thus have different have different abilities. across allocative to its from their 70% of land-person also the same. land, though only is the individual of 0.078 mu per the contracts capita equal across households, owned by each person in even and the roughly equal no matter what practice has actually been adopted. land per team, had only team, be assumed a of the labor force the labor force in it Province largest labor force only had the average capita less than the average of Guangxi As households inefficiency. level of education, a consequence, in a team the equal generates A survey of 235 households a in a village in Sichuan Province found that 25% of households with a rich endowment labor did not have enough land to farm; 6% of households did not have enough labor to work on their land; and 'The government has encouraged households in a team to exchange their land in order to reduce the fragmentation of land holding. However, a household still owns more than five pieces of land, in general (Editorial Boaxd of China Agriculture Yearbook 1985, p.285). 13 4.7% of want households were to work on good at their Prefectural Government, other trades, land (Research Sichuan Province, Land Transactions. so they did not Unit of Nan Chong 1985). Land transactions in China's rural areas after the household responsibility reform are restricted in their form of lease. The government has encouraged the households specialized in farming to consolidate their landholding. summarizes several studies concerning transactions in certain regions in China. the extent Rows 1-3 Table 2 of land are based on the surveys done at the end of 1983 and rows 4-5 are based on the data collected at the end of 1984. households in Column 2 is the percentage of an area that either leased out their land to other households or returned their land to their production land returned households. was to a teams. production team may be recontracted to other Column 3 shows the percentage of land in an area that involved in land transactions. The percentage of involved is le.>s thar. the percentage of households involved. is due to The the returned their fact that most land This households only leased out or responsibility plots and kept their food ration plots and private plots. All active in city in these studies found areas closer to cities. China. But even by the that land transactions were more Tianjin is end the third of 1984, largest only 8.3% of land °Selling or leasing of farm land to industries has been found to be very profitable in the suburbs of big cities (Shi 1981), although they are repeatedly prohibited by the government. These transactions are out of the scope of this study. This paper only looks at land transactions within agricultural sectors. 14 Table 2 SCOPE OF LAND TRANSACTIONS Household involved IN SOME AREAS (%) Land involved Xiapu County Fujiang Provinces 4 2.6 Ezhoushi 5 3 Hubei (e) Provinceb Huangni Township Chuzhou, Anhui Provincec 12.2 Zhongwei County Ningxia Provinced 3.3 0.058 0.025 Tiani in* SOURCE: 8. 3 a: Fan, Genxing. Recontracting 46. b: Wang, "A Survey of the Approaches Used in Land," Fujiang luntan. 7 (1984): Xinglong. Recontracting in 1 'On Current Stage 45- of Land Rural Areas, * Honaqi. 8 (1984): 74- 28. c: Hou, Changmin and Dou, Tanghou. 'Permitting Land Transfers Is Necessary for the Development of Productivity in Rural Areas, " Jianghuai luntan, 4 (1984): 5-10. d: Wei, Nong. " A Survey of the Concentration of Land to the Farming Expert in Zhongwei County," Ningxia shehuikexue. 1 ( 1985): 84-86. e: Agricultural Departrnmant, Communist Party of China, Tianjin. "A Survey of the Situation in the Cor.centration of Land, ' China Agriculture Yearbook, 1985 : 409-11. 15 was transacted in Tian.jin; therefore, land transactions in China as a whole must have existed with only a very limited scope up to now. These .studies also found thatleased out households" repairing, returned that engaged in food and pig-raising. out or or that their other Only a very small From the supply side, majority land noncrop jobs, processing, returned their the were "specialized such as transportation, services, or fish-, portion of land because of households poultry-, households leased of lack of labor endowment. we find that the scope of land transactions crucially depends on the job opportunities outside cropping. Although the the forms it into basic two extent of takes land transactions are more forms: extensive. (a) without They is very limited, can be classified compensation or (b) with compensation. In the first production teams In case, households either give their or give it either situation, households the use right to the land. they desire. later).. to their relatives Rent over use right is Households voluntarily or close friends. still maintain They can take it land back to their back in positive claim over the future if (see the discussion give up the rent entitled to them. This fact implies that (1) not have existed, the households that want to migrate out of agriculture that the so the land market in could not find other households labor market or the these to lease places it must and credit market had also failed, the households could not find workers to farm their land (2) so or did 16 not have enough cash to hire workers. For the varieties: (1) in FuJian In cases with rental and compensation, (2) sharecrop. right to purchase government procurement price was lower a price. than market price at the local fair, between these two prices became rent paid in other case, of free way was grain, another case, these output. ranging between 200-300 Fan was rent was paid in cases the about for the were sold for Y 320 Y 60 per of the land of 5.2 For the to the government. equally shared by the the given amount Fan found mu. In still In gross value of A bee-raising mu and lent Y The required quota, 1900 This money was paid back to the landholder .for the Y 300 loan. The rest jin were In cost of seeds and fertilizer. renter harvested 5,600 din of rice. jin found that of grain. a case of sharecropping. 300 renter jin about 30% leased out its the with a the cash at also about Y 60 per mu. rent was also reported Fan equivalent to Y 64.86 per mu. specialized household to rent. the households were compensated that the market value of it all land were guaranteed the government procurement difference this main amount of food grain at the Because the two which rent was paid. leased out certain are Fan (1984) reported that -Province there were three ways in one case the households that th,e there landholder and of the 5, 600 the renter. The rent amounted to Y 129.27 per mu according to the market value of rice at the local ZheJiang Province, paid in two ways. fair. In Zhou and Du the (1984) other study of a county in found that fixed rent was The rent was equivalent to Y 57.7 per mu when a 17 household was guaranteed the right to purchUse a of grain at the government procurement price4 per mu at the local fair price for free grain.. output. The rent was also Zhou and Du found that rent in the fixed amount It was about Y 52. 5 rent in the fixed about 30% there was of free grain. mu for amount of of the gross value of a tendency to use the They also recorded a case that a household hired casual wQrkers to farm income per certain amount its land. The net the landholder in this case was Y 77.97. That was about 30% higher than the prevailing rent. There are several interesting relations in these cases: a) Rent in cash was a little bit lower than rent in kind. This may be explained by the facts that cash is preferred because of its general purchasing power and that the local fairs may fluctuate, price for grain at so there is some risk inherent in rent in kind. b) Among the rent in kind, by a fixed amount of free the rent was lower if it was paid grain than if amount of grain at the government may be due to the fact that the it was paid by a fixed procurement price. This again landholder has to face larger risk because of the possibility of price fluctuation at the local fair. c) The return to hired workers to farm it explained by the fact land was higher instead that a of for a landholder if he leasing landholder has it. This to face the risks arising from production and market fluctuations and that contributes his entrepreneurship to production. can be he also :1)The land market case of sharecropping, is ti.ed credit market in the with the as reported above. The return from leasing rate is to the landholder depends on how the interest In Chinese rural areas private higher. credit. ranges paid, after rate is between Because the interest of the explicitly rate, It the interest deducting 4%-10% calculated. extremely high for per month or even the renter loan to was not the implicit market interest the rent for the sharecropping case was not as high as it appeared to be. In the Chinese rural advanced payment of the right of land for present value 15 years a long land market, of all term lease with rent for has not been found. For a household leaving agriculture to establish a nonfarm business, transaction should be attractive. the possible cash constraint It is for starting the use this kind of a good way to overcome a business. Why this kind of transaction was not observed needs to be investigated. Stylized facts and related hypotheses: Fact 1: Land transactions are more active in areas closer to big cities. The majority of households that leased out their land were "specialized households" that engaged in nonfarm or noncrop activities. Hypothesis: A household will not lease out its land unless it engages in nonfarm or noncrop activities that produce an expected i,naome higher than the income from cropping. There are more profitable nonfarm and noncrop job opportunities in areas closer to big cities. Rent is collected annually.' No long term lease for Fact 2: the use right of land with an advanced payment of the present value of all rents was observed. not Such kind of, contract is Hypothesis 1: protected by government. The renting household may be forced to return the land if the leasing households fails its nonfarm business and tries to take its land back. Hypothesis 2: The household wishing to rent land in such a contract faces a cash constraint because rural. credit markets are poorly developed, credit is very expensive and/ or because land so rented cannot be used as collateral to raise cash; III. RURAL LABOR MARKETS Transactions in labor are differences in marginal products Labor-hiring was equality. workers be can way across regions to another However, migration way to between teams bring equalize and households. prohibited before the recent reform. transactions are prohibited, regions another When labor and across marginal products into as rent was suppressed in a collective system, were compensated with the average net product instead of the marginal product. actually was rent. Consequently, a portion of their income Workers in a team with a lower average income certainly have the incentives to migrate to a team with average income. They would be able to receive a higher the same higher average income as the original members in the h.'gher-income team. Nevertheless, the workers in a higher-income team would be reluctant to accept migrants from other teams for fear that their rent would be shared of marginal product by the newcomers.9 to workers was Therefore, prohibited, when payment the migration 9A worker will be accepted only if his value of marginal product is greater than the value of the average product. Therefore, if any rent exists, the size of a collective team will be smaller than the size of a capitalist team because the latter only has to pay the new worker his value of marginal product (see Ward 1958). 20 between production teams or across regions; was virtually nonexistent. When the introduced, of Board household hired China labor responsibility was Agriculture explicitly system was prohibited Yearbook 1981, first (Editorial pp. 409-411) on the grounds that exploitation of the surplus value was not allcwed to be restored. profitable Nevertheless, for both the underlying incentives, more and more cases realized labor whole, employers it and is difficult of hired was limit of eight workers to be mnutually emplQ2rees. labor appeared revised limited to can With such to enforce the decree. transactions were beneficial the policy household is labor-hiring allow and the government for the economy hiring labor. as a Yet a hiring not more than eight workers. is chosen because As once Marx wrote The in Capital that a person who hired less than eight workers could not be classified as a capitalist, physical work himself. strictly abided by. The as he still arbitrarily Some households more than 100 permanent workers. " workers is still seem to enforce officially it. t had to attend to the set limit has never been in While maintained., rural areas have hired the upper limit of eight the government does not t t eZhang Songmao(1985) reported in his paper that a household hired 102 workers for manufacturing electric applicants and made Y 200,000 profit in 1984. *1 This "close one eye' policy is viividly reflected by the attitude of a party leader. Having been brief ed on a trip to Hainan, Guangdong Province, that a person r ented a sugarcane plantation from a collective and hired 20 wcr:kers; to run it with a certain degree of success, he responded, that (a) this story should 21 Table 3 LABOR-HIRING IN WU COUNTY AND YANGSHI COUNTY No. of household No. of workers hired Wu CountyL Total 356 Civil engineering 145 Manufacturing 112 2073 (100) Retailing Stock-raising 52 8 or farming Transportation, fish-raising, and others Yanqshi 39 842 (40.6) 651 (31.4) 303 (14.6) 52 (2.5) 225 (10.9) Countyb Total 105 970 (100) Civil Engineering Manufacturing Retailing 5 27 6 Farming 48 Transportation 19 SOURCE: 277 (29.9) 143 (14.7) 19 (2) 439 (46) 92 (18) a: Zhang, Songmao. "A Study of Labor-hiring in Rural Areas," Jianqhai xuekan. 5(1985): 42-44. b: Gao, Xuechen and Lu, Guozhi. "Adhering to the Orientation of Socialist, Cooperative Economy and Actively Guiding A Healthy Development of All Formis of Economies," Nongye jinqcji (Shenyang) 5 (1985): 15-20. not be carried in the newspapers; b) this person's business should not be stopped (Zhou 1984). There are some indications that the limitation on the number hired may be lifted soon. 22 The opening marginal of products labor across markets households transactions. What difference .in marginal products labor-hiring (1985) in found that more labor manufacturing. Yangshi finding the the equalization of possible by way of labor to is has been Jiangsu narrowed. were hired shows for differences in Wu (1985) demand for amount of (a) within the nonof or vegetable land; on narrowing labor jobs is not necessarily endowment. three kinds specializing cultivation; (b) in However, labor-hiring in The first households agricultural have the coming from the of households may stock-raising, households renting (c) households keeping some of their labor force out of agriculture. entrepreneurship Non-farm jobs from the supply side, at homes for farming but having shifted the that the labor hired of labor-hiring workers, households Wu has the same hence, more agricultural hire workers: raising, with in productivity across households is special talents; households or Liaoning Province labor working for non-agricultural :,rom Cou'nty the labor marke-ts ambiguous for the workers hired for non-farm jobs. often require A survey of engineering job opportunities The impact marginal the Zhang Songmao in civil Qf opening Shenyangshi, (see table 3). by that Another survey by Gao and Lu County, extent of the labor hired was used in 3 The major impact what Province, Table thus the increase in farm sector. in interest than 50% work. of County is of Wu County, nonagricultural majority is makes two categories productions. large labor force major part superior fish- of their indicate technology or The last one 23 indicates that the remaining labor endowments in the labor-hiring households must demand side, be less transactions than the average. Therefore, in labor market tend to from the reduce the differences in marginal products across households. The first two categories of households usually hire workers on a monthly or yearly basis. Zhang Songmao(1985) reported that a household in Wu County rented 430 mu of land from its own and neighboring counties and employed 18 workers for producing grain, watermelon, soybeans, and so on. It also raised 550 chickens and ducks. The head of this household was formerly leader. Zhou Province, workers to (1984) found rented a run it. thcat a household in Hainan, Guangdong 300-mu suLgarcane plantation hir-ed 20 or day rate. The wage rate permanently hired worker was about Y 1000 per year in both Zhang's and Zhou's studies. For the (1984) found that the wage rate Zhejiang Province. Shi casual workers, was about Y 5 per day period and about Y 4 per day in (1981) the off-peak found that rice-seedlings. It was equivalent As discussed before, it was uncommon Zhou and Du in the peak period in 1983 in the piece rate in the suburbs of Shanghai in 1979 was Y 15 to Y 17 for mu of and The last category of households usually hire casual workers either by piece rate for a a production team to Y transplanting a 2.5 to Y 2.8 per day. to be the willing to other legalized. regions accept a before Therefore, for a production team migrant from the other teams or from the another transactions natural in labor were impact of opening labor 24 markets was the migration of labor across regions. that by 1984 A study found 1,000 workers had been employed permanently over from other provinces to work in the suburbs of Shanghai. them worked in the village-run industries. However, portion of them worked chicken-raising. workers in brigade 1984, it migrant workers brigade by 1985 Labor A in vegetable had planned markets in areas actually characteristics of households market with found to have hired 85 migrant to hir.e 50 more in 1985. The only a in 'rural areas portion of are still very labor hired in rural agricultural work. From the households that hire workers for agricultural the transactions. endowment do China's engaged discussed in as duck-raising and (Peng and Zhang 1985). Furthermore, work, a substantial of 56% of the labor force in this would consist limited. 1 2 is was gardening, Some of not hire page 23, least Why we find family households that none labor with of them are endowment before any the least labor workers for agricultural work needs to be investigated. Stylized fact and related hypotheses: Fact: It was not observed that households with the least family labor endowment hired workers for agricultural work. Hypothesis 1: Labor-hiring requires cash. Because credit markets are not well developed, households with the least family labor endowment cannot overcome the cash constraint. Therefore, they refrain from hiring labor and engage in direct labor exchanges with friends "2 For example, only 0.6% of agricultural households in Shenyangshi (one of the largest cities in China), Liaoning Province hired workers in 1984. The hired workers consisted of 1.8% of .total labor force in Shenyangshi ( Gao and Lu 1985). 25 or relatives. Hypothesis 2: Households with the least labor endowment grow crops with different harvest per-iods in order to even out labor requirements over time. IV. RURAL CREDIT MARKET In the above two sections, it is found that the limited extent of rural lanld and labor markets may be closely the limited rural credit markets. related to The subsequent discussions focus on the extent and constraints of credit markets in Chinese rural areas. In a the socialist society, there is a strong sentiment against taking of interest. capitalist society value between is a In Marx's teaching, interest in a redistribution of the exploited surplus financial capitalists and industrial capitalists. However, the seasonality of agricultural production gives rise to seasonal needs for funds to bridge gaps between receipts and expenditures. Both formal and informal credit markets existed in rural areas even before reform (see the discussions followed). the household responsibility system There are no private financial institutions in China. Formal credits are provided by the Chinese Agricultural Bank cooperatives. The Chinese Agr~icultural has branches in every owned past, by in commune reality, many areas, commune. Credit members. Bank is a state and credit bank. It cooperatives are formally However, credit cooperatives in the acted as branches of the Agricultural Bank. In the Agricultural Bank and credit cooperatives shared 26 the same offices and provided at had the staff. same subsidized interest 13 The rates in the past. The interest rate charged for a loan was 0.25% per month until interest rate the average government in million for 1980 alone Shanxi for deposit Province thus 1981. However, was 0.312% had to in 1980. The subsidize Y 11.5 Bank and the czredit cooperatives in the Agriculture (Qin 1982), credits were Not only were the interest rates charged X4 low, but loans were often provided without consideration of their prospects of recovery. 84.6% of loans For between 1981). The situation was example, 1976 not and in Shanxi 1979 better in Province, only were paid back (Huang the other provinces. According to national statistics, Y 4 billion of bad agricultural loans were cancelled in 1961 and another Y 8 billion of bad loans were accumulated between 1962 availability of credit was thus several counties in Henan and severely Province recovery, each county had only about Y 2 although each of them 1980 were officially (Zhao limited. found 1983). A that, The survey of due to poor millions for new loans allotted more than Y 10 1 3 There have been some attempts to increase the independence of credit cooperatives from the Agricultural Bank. However, a credit cooperative in a township or even in a county iz too small to overcome the problems of synchronic timing in deposit and withdrawal, as well as of covariance of defaults risk due to the covariance of yield risk in a small area (Binswanger and Rosenzweig 1986). 1 4 The interest rates charged for loans were raised to 0.36%0.72% in 1981 depending on the type of loan (see Zhonqguo nonqminbao, March 8, 1981) 27 millions for agricultural loans.' The results of repayment are care. low 3 interest rates not hard to figure out. For example, of agricultural in Linfen county, and low pressure for Credits were not used with Shanxi Province, Y 140,000 loans from credit cooperatives before 1978 were not used properly. Among these loans of Y 140,000, Y 100, 000 were used on construction that had never been completed; Y 20,000 were expended on unusable administrative expenditures credit rationing. repayment were not for credits. strong, to credits zero was and (Qin As interest credits were close demand materials; Y 1982). rates were real or even thus not The were wasted on other result is low and opportunity negative. definitely The market could 20,000 higher pressures for costs for using Therefore, the than the supply of possibly be cleared without non-market measures. The criterion for rationing varie'd from time to time. Sometimes the priority was to help poor teams. times the priority was for the funds county given to rich teams that had better uses (Huang 1981). leaders given a loan.1 used However, ad-hoc it was often found that a criteria in deciding who should be - The availability accumulation of At other of formal bad debts 1 credit declined and because because of the of the unwillingness for 5See 'Current Situations and Problems of Agricultural Production Fund" in Noncqye lingji congkan 1 (1980): 19-20. ''Same as footnote 15. 28 people to for deposit in credits example, increased total and 1979, credit cooperatives. agricultural .yet production expenditures consisted 39.2% in 1979. Statistics The provided by 1980, the on required working funds. the production of gross in the a many production team interest teams some areas. Henan in some engaged in One such case and September deficit Province. 1979, was no better. teams showed in was Seventy 26 that in that about 40% of the need for working regions as informal credit The study much as cred.it were found The 70% of the markets. 1 8 extremely The high in a study of Dancheng that the combined was Y 21.76 million between January yet the expenditure was Y 36.33 million. Half financed by loans from the Agricultural Bank and credit cooperatives. sources. increased to had only 15% of the was recorded in revenues fco,r production teams of the 1956, China did not have any working funds at rates paid for private County, In 1956 production tearns had to rely on private credits. same report showed that production it Bank, Another survey showed teams in 278%. production Agricultural as an 107% between income, Since formal credits could not satisfy funds, Province other provirnces million 3.6 average Gansu expenditures increased of 21% involving Taking How'ever, the demand income increased situation provinces, all. sharply. 1 7 The other half was borrowed form private percent of the credit borrowed from private T7Deposits in many credit cooperatives were unable to be cashed because of the accumulation of bad loans (Chen 1980). the (1981). t9All in Sun surveys and statistics mentioned here were reported 29 sources was used to purchase livestock, the remaining fertilizer, 10% 20% paid was was for used administrative expenditures. The interest rates ranged from 3% per per month. On the in another study, between ranged average,.it was 10% per month. 1 however, 2-5% per showed that month. provided by members in the borrowing 256 people le-nding money to a 9 Zhang (1980) credits rates only were mainly production team. Among the production team in Miluo County, Hunan Province, Zhang (1980) found that 235 were team, month to 30% the interest Private to buy 18 were cadres and government staff members of this (not team members), and 3 were urban residents. Before the household responsibility reform, credits from the Agricultural given to production County, Guizhou teams. A survey Province, found team or majority of Bank and credit cooperatives were of commune, Xiazi that only were given to individual households. production the 4% of formal credits The other 96% were loaned to village-run industry (Duan 1981). Borrowing and lending between individual households were also rare. Y 3.03 million Province, private credit in January through May 1980, and production Zunyi Xingmin County, 1.3% was between Of the Liaoning state firms teams, 3.3% was among different production teams, 93. 7% was between production teams and individual households, only 1.7% was among different individual households The individual household responsibility dramatic changes in rural credit markets. 1 9 Same as footnote 15. In the and (Qin 1981). reform brought production team 30 system, an individual household would not production purposes. If consumption, marriage, and so forth, health, a household had need emergency team to individual not required households to were able do so. to be income distribution. insurance provided by the became the and markets. informal credit Agricultural Bank loaned to and credit individual Only as the team were. until the basic 4% households 68% after (Duan unit of system. Therefore, of 1981). both in formal credit cooperatives in as mentioned reform paid back primary actors responsibility reform, the general, It also eliminated the group production individual households in from a The household responsibility systerm restored the individual household production and needs for The loans househLlds, interest free and were for its production team was more or less obliged to take care of them. production credit the Xiazi Commune was before the before; the Most from household figure rose to loans to individual households were used for purchasing chemical fertilizer and draft animals, and for expanding sideline production. a whole, For the nation as among the Y 16.6 billion loans from credit cooperatives in 1983, 46% were given to individual households. only 19.6% it 1980 (Statistic Yearbook The figure was of China 1984, p. 423). The actual new credits to individual households should than this figure suggests because many of be higher the loans to the collectives were old loans that had not been repaid. The other new feature household responsibility in rural reform is credit markets after the the sharp rise of the amount 31 of cash in circulation. rise.for government-purchased agricultural partly because of feature credit This is partly because of a is remarkable reflected in cooperatives. output the The marked price products in 1979 and growth since 1978. dramatic increase in deposits in deposits in credit cooperatives by individual households were Y 7.8 billion at the end of 1979. figure rose to Y 32.0 billion at the increased deposits were redeposited reserve. 1978 Between This and 1983. end of Most This of the in the Agricultural Bank as 1983, deposits in the credit cooperatives increased by Y 6.46 billion annually, however, loans from credit cooperatives increased only by Y 2.42 billion. It is suggested (Lu 1984) that than deposits was due However, It may be the fact to the that loans increased by less inertia of credit cooperatives. due to the fact that a local rural financial institution has to keep a high reserve ratio in order illiquidity. Which reason is correct can only to prevent be judged by further investigation. As production responsibility reform, increased sharply. Village, expanded Ningdu after the demand A survey-of 21 County, the individual for working households located Jiangxi Province, 209.66 in 1983. Meanwhile, sample was Y 415 in 1978 and Y funds also at Xiachai carried out by Mei (1985) found that per capita cash income was Y 59.25 Y household in 1978 and the total money borrowed in the 3,870 in 1983. The weight of borrowed cash in total cash income was 7.4% in 1978 compared with 20.5% in 1983. As the availability of formal credit was limited, 32 private credit was the source major of rural credits. Mei reported that in Ganzhou Prefecture and Jiujiang Prefecture, both of Jiangxi Province, private credit was two time as much as the credit from the Agricultural Bank and Zhiping (1985), making another credit cooperatives. Zhang survey of 20 households in two counties in Helongjiang Province, had the same findings. Zhang's survey is summarized in Table 4. Table 4 A SURVEY OF CASH EXPENDITURE AND TYPES OF CREDIT County Households Cash Expenditure Surveyed on Inputs (Yuan) Bank and Credit Cooperative Credit Private Niujia 10 8,367 2,056 2,880 Chonghe 10 5,241 35 2,050 SOURCE: Zhang Zhiping, "A Survey of the Rural Private Credits in Wuchang County, Heilongjiang Province," Jinoji wenti tansuo 7 (1985): 40-42. Zhang Zhiping credit was fertilizer, used and (1985) also to buy and about 10% consumption. did not 1 year. friends; draft pesticides for used for expanding cash was crops, used found that for about 40% of private animals, tractors, grain production; husbandry, repaying chemical about 50% was and other production; matured loans and for The terms of credit for grain production in general exceed 10 months and for other production did not exceed Private credit was obtained (b) from neighbors in (a) from the relatives or close same village directly or 33 through middlemen; and (c) from residents in other counties through middlemen. All private credits in rural areas depended on oral agreements. no collateral charged No explicit contracts were written. was depended lenders, found ar in private credit. the relationship creditworthiness of expected returns of investment. for loaAs others. between Mei close (1985), however, was about and found borrowers and middlemen, The rate friends The interest rates between borrowers Furthermore, about that and and the 3% per month 5% per month for in some cases the interest rates were as high as 10% or even 15% per month. While a 3%-5% of interest rate per month for private, shortterm agricultural production developing countries rural areas (Wiens loans and also 1982), 4%-10X per not before the uncommon in other revolution in China's the interest rates were much higher for other types of private credit. the interest is rates faced month; some Liu and Liang (1985) reported that by private enterprises ranged between were even as high as 20% per month. society where high interest rates have been condemned In a for so long, it is an interesting phenomenon that private interest rates could be so high. interest rates Besides, in informal for loans to agricultural it deserves further credit markets production and investigation why are, in higher China, for lower loans to private nonfarm business. A feature that merits special collateral is found in private lending rural area. attention and borrowing is that no in China's While the use of collateral is also not very often in 34 informal rural credit markets in other developing countries, nonexistence of unusual. used, of collateral at the interest rate charged will be smaller default lack of declines market from default. However, other things, expected high the interest gain for the investment returns.2° areas, is a may go extent of the of and the down the risk of function of, among loan size. The as the interest rate a borrower is willing to pay interest the market may also disappear because rate is, that the have harder high it is to find enough expected loan sizes are large it would be beneficial for there is to no utilize lack theoretically be used as collateral. owned. The he may not be able to find someone to borrow both borrowers and lenders rural of default even though opportunities Where because rate charged From the demand side, higher limit the interest lenders high interest rates, because the risk supply side and the demand side. the the risk increases. Therefore, from. also severely both Lenders have to charge If collateral is the value of collateral increases. as collateral will credit the all is the of collaterals. In China's private property that can Houses are always privately After implementing the individual household responsibility system, tractors, livestock are pumps, also mills, all owned trucks, by dcraft individual animals, and households. Furthermore, the use right of land that lasts 15 years or more is a that property could be traded and therefore serve as a "For the i.mpacts of collateral on the interest rate and on the scope of the credit market, see Binswanger and Rosenzweig (1986). 35 collateral. Why, then, is collateral not used in rural China? This issue deserves more investigation. Because of the lack tied contracts appear of use of collateral, in rural suitable collateral do not exist. to his tenant at a very low contract, China, as in several forms of countries where A landholder may provide credit intere.st rate as part of a land as mentioned in the discussion of land markets. A third party guarantee is also often seen when borrowers and lenders are not relatives or close friends. It is also found that some private enterprises require new employees to invest in as a precondition for hiring (Liu and Liang 1985). most powerfu' guarantee for a lender be the threat of relatively immobile. transmitted quickly to all is absent However, the rural areas may losing future borrowing opportunities when a borrower does not repay the loan. is in China's the firms The rural Information population in China on potential lenders. default will be Because insurance in rural areas, access to credit provides an important substitute for insurance. Therefore, the loss of future borrowing opportunities is a very high cost for any borrower. Stylized facts and related hypotheses Fact 1: Most of the increased deposits in credit cooperatives in recent years were redeposited in the Agricultural Bank. Hypothesis: Because the seasonality of agricultural production which leads to the synchronic timing of deposits and withdrawals, and the covariance of yields that leads to the risk of covariant default, it is necessary for a local rural financial institution to maintain a high reserve ratio in order to prevent illiquidity. Fact 2: In informal credit markets, interest rate charged per month, however, between 3%-5% for agricultural loans ranged per month for loans to private nonfarm it ranged between 4%-10% enterprises. agricultural production Hypothesis: The loans for are, in general, small, and between households in the same village. The loans for private enterprises are, in general, larger, and may be between households without risk for thus face greater close relations. Lenders therefore, they have to loans to private enterprises; charge higher interest rate. depended on oral Fact 3: All private credits in rural areas agreements and no collateral was u:;ed in informal credit rharkets in China. Hypothesis: Lenders' right is not protected. They may subject to the risks of interest earnings being even being persecuted if there is any confiscated or political movement in the future. The government also will not help a lender repossess the collateral assets in the case of default. Therefore, only those people who are willing to bear this political risk will lend out money. The supply of credit is, thus, sharply constrained. As a consequence, lenders limit their credit only to high quality borrowers and/ or limit loan sizes to so small amounts that repayment incentives are high even without written contracts and collaterals. 2a 2 "This hypothesis is supported by the observation that the majority of recent increases in cash in rural areas were invested in private housing. The sharp rises of the amount of cash in circulation were reflected in the dramatic increase in deposits .n credit cooperatives. The deposits in credit cooperatives by individual households were Y 7.8 billion at the end of 1978. It rose to Y 32.0 billion at the end of 1983. (State Statistical Bureau 1984, p.423). However, if the estimate by Mei (1985) was correct, the private credit in rural China was only about Y 15.0 billion in 1983. Nevertheless, rural private housing investment was Y 21.4 billion in the same year (State Statistical Bureau 1984, p. 299). These facts seem to indicate that credit markets are constrained from the supply side not because funds are not available but because most people are reluctant to lend out their money. 37 V. CONCLUDING REMARKS The household responsibility reform has resulted in China's in remarkable growth in agriculture. the rural reform prompted the Chinese much more complicated. the second-stage. Any policy, itself in a short period. even cause whether great the market-oriented the rural reform. by the efficiency. and credit in Meanwhile, the rural The uirban in the short run. in urban areas a coming Factor markets, markets are Therefore, will be again depend on the performance of responsibility the economy is will not manifest The gain in incentive efficiency The potential for agriculture push the good or bad, reform out may household exhausted. to A policy essential for the long run may difficulties persistently carried The success c,f government market-oriented reform to its urban economy. reform has also reached rural areas reform sustained brought about should high have growth been rate in decade lies in improving allocative namely, land markets, important labor markets, institutions for improving market transactions which existed resource allocation. Most barriers for factor before cleared. for the household responsibility system Land can be leased out for rent. credit. Labor can be land, labor, are very limited of a have been Interest can be charged hired with a limitation that is enforced. However, still reform not and credit markets in rural China extent. The main reason may be formulated as the following hypothesis: The extent of land markets and labor markets in China's rural areas depend on the quantities available and the interest rates charged in credit markets. Institutional credit is limited. Private credit is also constrained from supply side. due to the fact that private lenders' right is not protected by the government. Private lenders have to charge high premium for political risks while they limit credit to only very few high quality borrowers or limit loan sizes to small amounts in order to reduce the risks of default. As a consequence, credit markets, land markets, and labor markets can only exist in a very limit extent. On the areas, one hand, in general, the average will not produce income from other sectors. On the other an income Therefore, for a household to shA.ft out cropping. landholding in China's rural there is a general tendency of agricultural hand, the comparable to the sector, especially egalitarian allotment of land after the household responsibility reform provides a safe shelter for every household. Unless a household is secured that produces an income higher than cropping, its land to the other households. labor surplus in urban areas, labor to areas. a rural find jobs state Because there is almost will not render also exists a impossible for rural or collective enterprises in urban Outmigration from cropping sector will be possible only if household starts fish-raising, finds a in it it with a job or nonfarm its own non-cropping business, business, such as such as transportation, or job in rural private enterprises that have emerged after recent reforms. Limited credit at very greatly reduc? the possibility high interest rates will of profitable private businesses for households with a relatively poor cash endowment. Therefore, a limited credit market may result in a limited outmigration from cropping -and, therefore, a limited land supply. Labor markets 3q may .depend markets. do not on credit almost The average landholding have enough rents in additional or has markets land to is very farm. Therefore, Most households unless a household -moving out of cropping labor force moving out of cropping, not hire workers for agricultural work. be thin the same way as land small. land from households its own major is hired in for agriculture Hence, no matter if labor or non-agriculture, if nonfarm and noncrop it will labor markets job opportunities will are limited by credit markets. Whether the above hypotheses answered by more studies. markets as increased as well by the lenders' right. however, land is true, markets in changes correct the extent and the labor government may also have of a protected by the right of a piece of land for 15 years could The landless population. government, existence of is the present lost, value of its it could not (Binswanger and Rosenzweig of access to land, households be value of income tolerate lenders' 1986). again the right things, the is use right greater Therefore, with use right once land borrowed funds Since foreclosure implies loss protection of lenders' At on become acceptable as this use stream. can be. lending out collateral value for the purchased becoming landless. of credit In order to do to then among other of land would make the present than If be position in rates charged will be lowered. the only markets government's emergence collateral. can If lenders feel no political risks money, the interest so, If it are present, rights may lead to some the government does not 40 seem to be willing However, to r-ent, policy to undertake a hired makers a Therefore, it government may change is labor, few policy and interest years ago; not unimaginable.that its position with such consequences. were all they in are a few on enforcing not acceptable all years legal now. the Chinese lenders' rights. 41 REFERENCE Agricultural Department, Communist Party of China, Tianjing. "A Survey of the Situation in the Concentration of Land. " China Agriculture Yearbook (1985): 409-411. Binswanger, Hans P. and Mark R. Rosenzweig. 'Behavioral and Material Determinants of Production Relations in Agriculture." Journal of Development Studies 22 (April 1986): 504-539. Chen, Yingjian. "The Approach Adopted by Chaoan County in Dealing with Bad Debts by Commune Members," Xueshu yanjiu 3 (1980): 57-60. Collier, P. "Malfunctioning of African Rural Factor Markets: Theory and Kenyan Example." Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 2 (May 1985): 141-170. Editorial Board of Chian Agriculture Yearbook. China Agriculture Yearbook 1980-1985. Beijing: Agricultural Publishing House. Fan, Genxing. "A Survey of the Approaches Used Land." FuJiang luntan 7 (1984): 45-46. Gao, Xuechen and Lu, Guozhi. "Adhering to the Orientation of Socialist, Cooperative Economy and Actively Guiding A Healthy Development of All Forms of Economies," Nongye jingji (Shenyang) 5 (1985): 15-20. 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Perkins, D. and S. Yusuf. Rural Development in Johns Hopkins University Press, 1984. China Baltimore: Peng, Xingxing and Zhang, Zhaoan. "An Analysis of Migration from Another Provinces into. the Suburbs of Shanghai." Chinese Rural Economics 10 (1985): 17-18. Qin, Fengge. "On the Application of Interest Rate As A Leverage in Rural Credit Market. " Shanxi caijing xueyuan xuebao 2 (1982): 50-53. Research Unit of Nanchong Prefectural Government, Sichuan Province. "Scale of Land Operation and Its Tendency." Njonqye iishu jinq.ii 5 (May 1985): 28-30. Shi, Zilu. "The Outmigration of Agricultural Labor Force in Shanghai's Suburbs Should Be Given Special Attentions.' Nongye jingii wenti 1 '(1981): 29-33. State Statistical Bureau, People's Republic of China. Statistical Yearbook of China 1981-1984. Beiding: Chinese Statistical Press. Sun, Jin. "Why Production Funds Are Areas" People's Daily August 10, in Shortage 1981. Tang, Anthony M. An Analytical and Agriculture in Mainland China, Washington Press, 1984. Empirical Investigation of 1952-1980 Seattle: Univ. of Wang, Xinglong. "On Current Stage of Recontracting Land Areas." Honggi 8 (1984): 24-28. Ward, Benjamin. "The Firm in American Economic Review 48 Wei, Nong. "A Survey of the Concentration of Land to the Farming Expert in Zhongwei County." Ningxia shehui kexue 1 (1985): 84-86. Illyria: Market (September 1958): in Some Rural in Rural Syndicalism, 566-589. Wiens, Thomas B. The Microeconomics of Peasant Economy: 1920-1940 New York: Gerland Publishing, 1982. Zhang, Songmao. " An Analysis of Labor-hiring in Rural Jianqhai xuekan 5 (1985):: 42-44. China, Areas, 43 Zhang, Yushu. "On Several cai-jing xueyuan xuebao Issues of Rural 1 (1980): 19-24. Investment. Zhang, Zhiping. " A Survey of rural County, Heilongjiang Province." (1985): 409-411. Zhao, Zhizhong. "On the Changes in Focus of Agricultural Inner Mongolia caijinq xueyuan xuebao 4 (1983): Zhonaquo nongminbao March 8, 1980. Zhou, 2 Zhou, Dexing "A Study (1984): 25-35. Qiren Zhonqquo of Rural private Jinaii Labor-hiring. and Du, Ying. "On sehui kexue 1 (1984): Credits wenti " Hainan the Specialized 73-92. in " Hunan Wuchang tansou 7 daxue Loans." 72-75. xuebao Household. n 44 DISCUSSION PAPERS AGR/Research Unit Report No.: ARUJ 1 Agricultural Mechanization: A Comparative Historical Perspective by Hans P. Binswanger, October 30, 1982. Report No.: ARU 2 The Acquisition of Information and the Adoption of New Technology by Gershon Feder and Roger Slade, September 1982. Report No.: ARU 3 Selecting Contact Farmers for Agricultural Extension: Visit System in Haryana, rndia By Gershon Feder and Roger Slade, August 1982. The Training and Report No.: ARU 4 The Impact of Attitudes Toward Risk on Agricultural Decisions in Rural India by Hans P. Binswanger, Dayanatha Jha, T. Balaramaiah and Donald A. Sillers, May 1982. Report No.: ARU 5 Behavior and Material Determinants of Production Relations in Agriculture by Hans P. Binswanger and Mark R. Rosenzweig, June 1982 (Revised July 22, 1985). Report No.: ARU 6 The Demand for Food and Foodgrain Quality in India by Hans P. Binswanger, Jaime B. Quizon and Gurushri Swamy, November 1982. Report No.: ARU 7 Policy Implications of Research on Energy Intake and Activity Levels with Reference to the Debate of the Energy Adequacy of Existing Diets in Developing Countries by Shlomo Reutlinger, May 1983. Report No.: ARU 8 More Effective Aid to the World's Poor and Hungry: A Fresh Look at United States Public Law 480, Title II Food Aid by Shlomo Reutlinger, June 1983. Report No.: ARU 9 Factor Gains and Losses in the Indian Semi-Arid Tropics: A Didactic Approach to Modeling the Agricultural Sector by Jaime B. Quizon and Hans P. Binswanger, September 1983 (Revised May 1984), Report No.: ARU 10 The Distribution of Income in India's Northern Wheat Region By Jaime B. Quizon, Hans P. Binswanger and Devendra Gupta, (Revised June 1984). August 1983 45 Discussion Papers (continued) Report No.: ARU 11 Population Density, Farming Intensity, Patterns of Labor-Use and Mechanization .by Prabhu L. Pingali and Hans P. Binswanger, September 1983. Report No.: ARU 12 The Nutritional Impact of Food Aid: Critria for the Selection of CostEf f ective Foods by Shlomo Reutlinger and Judith Katona-Apte, September,1983. Report No.: ARU 13 Project Food Aid and Equitable Growth: by Shlomo Reutlinger, August 1983. Income-Transfer Efficiency First! Report No.: ARU 14 Nutritional Impact of Agricultural Projects: A Conceptual Frameworlk for Modifying the Design and Implementation of Projects by Shlomo Reutlinger, August 2, 1983. Report No.: ARU 15 Patte.rns of Agricultural Projection by Hans P. Binswanger and Pasquale L. Scandizzo, November 15, 1983. Report No.: ARU 16 Factor Costs, Income and Supply Shares in Indian Agriculture by Ranjan Pal and Jaime Quizon, December 1983. Re2ort No.: ARU 17 Behavioral and Material Determinants of Production Relations in Land Abundant Tropical Agriculture by Hans P. Binswanger and John McIntire, January 1984. Report No.: ARU 18 The Relation Between Farm Size and Farm Productivity: by Gershon.Feder, December 1983. The Role of Family Report No.: ARU 19 A Comparative Analysis of Some Aspects of the Training and Visit System of Agricultural Extension in India by Gershon Feder and Roger Slade, February 1984. Report No.: ARU 20 Distributional Consequences of Alternative Food Policies in India by Hans P. Binswanger and Jaime B. Quizon, August 31, 1984. Report No.: ARU 21 Income Distribution in India: The Impact of Policies and Growth in the Agricultural Sector by Jaime B. Quizon and Hans P. Binswanger, November 1984 (Revised October 1985). Discussion Papers (continued) Report No.: ARU 22 Population Density and Agricultural Intensification: A Study of the Evolution of Technologies in Tropical Agriculture by Prabhu L. Pingali and Hans P. Binswanger, October 17, 1984.. Report No.: ARU 23 The Evolution of Farming Systems in Agricultural Technology in Sub-Saharan Africa by Hans P. Binswanger and Prabhu L. Pingali, October 1984. Report No.: ARU 24 Population Density and Farming Systems - The Changing Locus of Innovations and Technical Change by Prahbu Le Pingali and Hans P. Binswanger, October 1984. Report No.: ARU 25 The Training and Visit Extension System: An Analysis of Operations and Effects by G. Feder, R. H. Slade and A. K. Sundaram, November 1984. Report No.: ARU 26 The Role of Public Policy in the Diffusion of New Agricultural Technology by Gershon Feder and Roger Slade, October 1984. No.: aeport ARU 27 Fertilizer Subsidies: A Review of Policy Issues with Special Emphasi.s on Western Africa by Haim Shalit and Hans P. Binswanger, November 1984 (Revised November 1985). From Land-Abundance to Land Scarcity: The Effects of Population Growth on Production Relations in Agrarian Economies by Mark R. Rosenzweig, Hans P. Binswanger and John McIntire, November 1984. Report No,: ARU 29 The Impact of Rural Electrification and Infrastructure on Agricultural Changes in India, 1966-1980 by Douglas F. Barnes and Hans P. Binswanger, December 1984. Report No.: ARU 30 Public Tractor Hire and Equipment Hire Schemes in Developing Countries (with special emphasis on Africa). A study prepared by the Overseas Division, National Institute of Agricultural Engineering (OD/NIAE) by P. J. Seager and R. S. Fieldson, November 1984. Report No.: ARU 31 Evaluating Research System Performance and Targeting Research in Land Abundant Areas of Sub-Saharan Africa by Hans P. Binswanger, January 1985. -46 47 Discussion Papers (continued) Report No.: ARU 32 On the Provision of Extension Services in Third World Agriculture by Alastair J. Fischer (Consultant), January 1985. Report No.: ARU 33 An Economic Appraisal of Withdrawing Fertilizer Subsidies in India by Jaime B. Quizon, April 1985 (Revised August 1985), Report No.: ARU 34 The Impact of Agricultural Extension: A Case Study of the Training and Visit Method (T&V) in Haryana by Gershon Feder, Lawrence J. Lau and Roger H. Slade, March 1985. Report No,: ARU 35 Managing Water Managers: Deterring Expropriation, Mechanism by Robert Wade, April 1985 or Equity as a Control Report No.: ARU 36 Common Property Resource Management in South Indian Villages by Robert Wade, April 1985. Report No.: ARU 37 On the Sociology of Irrigation: Performance? by Robert Wade, May 1985. How do we Know the Truth about Canal Report No.: ARU 38 Some Organizations Concerned with Animal Traction Research and Development in Sub-Saharan Africa by Paul Starkey, April 1985, Report No.: ARU 39 The Economic Consequences of an Open Trade Policy for Rice in India by Jaime B. Quizon and James Barbieri, June 1985. Report No.: ARU 40 Agricultural Mechanization and the Evolution of Farming Systems in Sub-Saharan Africa by Prabhu L. Pingali, Yves Bigot and Hans P. Binswanger, May 1985. Report No.: ARU 41 Eastiasian Financial Systems as a Challange to Economics:. of "Rigidity," with particular reference to Taiwan by Rober Wade, June 1985. The Adventures Report No,: ARU 42 Education, Experience and Imperfect Processing of Information in the 'Adoption of Innovations by Alastair J. Fischer, June 1985. Report No.: ARU 43 A Review of the Literature on Land Tenure Systems in Sub-Saharan Africa by Raymond Noronha, July 1985, 48 Discussion Paoers (continued) Report No.:. ARU 44 Policy Options for Food Security. by Shlomo Rauclinger, July 1985. Credit Markets in Rural South India: Theoretical Issues and Empirical Analysis. by H. 8inswanger, T. Balaramaiah, V. Bashkar Rao, N.J. Bhende and K.V. Kashirsagar, July 1985. Re.2ort No.: ARUJ 46 The Impact of Agricultural Extension: The Training and Visit System in India. by Gershon Feder and Roger Slade, June 1985. Report No.: ARU 47 Methodological Issues in the Evaluation of Extension Impact. by Gershon Feder and Roger Slade, July 1985. Report No.: Estimation by Hans August ARU 48 of Aggregate Agricultural Supply Response. Binswanger, Yair Mundlak, Maw-Cheng Yang and Alan Bowers 1985 (Revised October 1985). ReDort No.: ARU 49 Land Values and Land Title Security in Rural-Thailand. by Yongyuth Chalamworg and Gershon Feder, June 1985 (Revised October 1985). Reoort No.: ARU 50 Land Ownership Security and Capital Formation in Rural Thailand. by Gershon Feder and Tongroj Onchan, December 1985 (Revised February 1986). Report No.: A.RU 51 Land Ownership Security and Farm Productivity in Rural Thailand. by Gershon Feder, April 1986. Reoort No.: ARU 52 Social and Cultural Aspects of Land Inheritance and Transactions in Rural Thailand. by Charles B. Mell, June 1986. 49 Discussion Papers (continued) Report No.:. ARUI 53 Land Ownership Security and Access to Credit in Rural Thailand. by Gershon Feder, Tongroj Onchan and Tdjaswi Raparla, April 1986. Report No.: ARU 54 The Management of Common Property Resourcas: Collective Action as an Alternative to Privatization or State Regulation. by Robert Wade, May 1986. Report No.: ARU 55 Land Policies and Farm Productivity in Thailand's Forest Reserve Areas by Gershon Feder, Tongroj Onchan and Yongyuth Chalamwong, August 1986 Report No.: ARU 56 On the Determinants of Cross-Country Aggregate Agricultural Supply by Hans Binswanger, Yair Mundlak, Maw-Cheng Yang and Alan Bowers, September 1986. Report No.: ARU 57 What Can Agriculture Do for the Poorest Rural Groups? by Hans P. Binswanger, and Jaime B. Quizon, September 1986. Report No.: 'ARU 58 Population Density, Market Access and Farmer-Generated Technical Change in Sub-Saharan Africa by Prabhu L. Pingali and Hans P. Binswanger, September 1986. Report No.: ARU 59 Credit Markets, Wealth and Endowments in Rural South India by Hans P. Binswanger and Mark R. Rosenzweig, December 1-5, 1986. Report No.: ARU 60 Resource Endowments, Farming Systems and Technology Priorities for Sub-Saharan Africa by Hans P. Binswanger and Prabhu Pingali, November 1986. Report No,: ARU 61 Rural Factor Markets in China After the HOusehold Responsibility System Report by Justin Yifu Lin, November 1986.
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