Seite 1 Alpine Mass Movements: Implications for hazard assessment and mapping Seite 14 Michael Mölk, Thomas Sausgruber, Richard Bäk, Arben Kociu: Standards and Methods of Hazard Assessment for Rapid Mass Movements (Rock Fall and Landslide) in Austria Seite 82 Hugo Raetzo, Bernard Loup: Geological Hazard Assessment in Switzerland Seite 94 Cover picture: Großhangbewegung Rindberg, Gde. Sibratsgfäll, Vorarlberg Source: die.wildbach BLOCK 2 This publication was implemented within the framework of EU-project AdaptAlp, Workpackage 5, and is co-financed by the European Regional Development Fund (ERDF) Karl Mayer, Bernhard Lochner: Wolfram Bitterlich: Internationally Harmonized Terminology for Wildbachverbauung und Ökologie Widerspruch oder sinnvolle Ergänzung? Geological Risk: Glossary (Overview) Stefano Campus: Landslide Mapping in Piemonte (Italy): Danger, Hazard & Risk Seite 102 Cite as: BMLFUW (2011): Alpine Mass Movements: Implications for hazard assessment and mapping, Special Edition of Journal of Torrent, Avalanche, Landslide and Rock Fall Engineering No. 166. BLOCK 1: Key-note papers Layout: Studio Kopfsache, Mondsee Roland Norer: Legal Framework for Assessment and Mapping of Geological Hazards on the International, European and National Levels Seite 48 Mateja Jemec & Marko Komac: An Overview of Approaches for Hazard Assessment of Slope Mass Movements Editorial Team: Florian Rudolf-Miklau, Richard Bäk, Christoph Skolaut and Franz Schmid Coordination: Barbara Kogelnig-Mayer Richard Bäk, Hugo Raetzo, Karl Mayer, Andreas von Poschinger, Gerlinde Posch-Trözmüller: Mapping of Geological Hazards: Methods, Standards and Procedures (State of Development) - Overview Seite 64 Federal Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry, Environment and Water Management, Marxergasse 2, 1030 Vienna, Austria. Verein der Diplomingenieure der Wildbach- und Lawinenverbauung, Bergheimerstrasse 57, 5021 Salzburg, Austria Seite 70 Imprint / Disclosure Florian Rudolf-Miklau: Principles of Hazard Assessment and Mapping Seite 24 Florian Rudolf-Miklau, Richard Bäk, Franz Schmid, Christoph Skolaut: Hazard Mapping for Mass Movements: Strategic Importance and Transnational Development of Standards in the ASP-Project ADAPTALP Seite Seite12 6 Seite 3 Seite 2 Inhalt Seite 118 Claire Foster, Matthew Harrison & Helen J. Reeves: Standards and Methods of Hazard Assessment for Mass Movements in Great Britain Seite 150 Karl Mayer, Bernhard Lochner: International Comparison: Summary of the Expert Hearing in Bolzano on 17 March 2010 Seite 158 Pere Oller, Marta González, Jordi Pinyol, Jordi Marturià, Pere Martínez: Goeohazards Mapping in Catalonia Seite 130 Didier Richard: Standards and Methods of Hazard Assessment for Rapid Mass Movements in France Seite 142 Karl Mayer, Andreas von Poschinger: Standards and Methods of Hazard Assessment for Geological Dangers (Mass Movements) in Bavaria Seite 108 Seite 5 Marko Komac, Mateja Jemec: Standards and Methods of Hazard Assessment for Rapid Mass Movements in Slovenia BLOCK 2: Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU Seite 4 Inhalt Seite 7 Seite 6 Zusammenfassung: Massenbewegungen (Steinschlag, Rutschungen, Felsgleitungen) bedrohen den alpinen Lebensraum und verursachen zahlreiche Risiken. Durch die intensive Raumnutzung in den Bergtälern besteht ein zunehmender Bedarf an genauen Gefahrenkarten für diese Gefahrenarten. Aufgrund fehlender Daten und zuverlässiger Methoden für die Gefahrenbeurteilung wurden bisher keine generellen Standards für die Gefahrdarstellung von Rutschungen und Steinschlägen entwickelt. Die Unsicherheit in der Beurteilung der Gefahren wird durch den Einfluss des Klimawandels noch erhöht. Das Projekt ADAPTALP zielt darauf ab, diese Lücke durch die Entwicklung transnationaler Standards für die Gefahrenzonenplanung für Massenbewegungen zu schließen. “snow avalanches”. However there are no legal Alpine Space at risk: Importance of hazard maps FLORIAN RUDOLF-MIKLAU, RICHARD BÄK, FRANZ SCHMID, CHRISTOPH SKOLAUT Hazard Mapping for Mass Movements: Strategic Importance and Transnational Development of Standards in the ASP-Project ADAPTALP Gefahrendarstellung von Massenbewegungen: Strategische Bedeutung und länderübergreifende Entwicklung von Standards im Projekt ADALPTALP Summary: Mass movements (rock falls, landslides, rock slides) are major threats for the Alpine living space and cause various risks. Due to the intensive land use in the mountain valleys, there is an urgent need for reliable hazard maps for these types of hazards. Missing data and the lack of reliable methods for the assessment of hazards has obstructed the development of general standards in hazard mapping for landslides and rock fall. The uncertainties and inaccuracies of models are increased by the impact of climate change. The project ADAPTALP (within the Alpine Space Program) aims to close this gap by creating transnational standards for hazard mapping concerning geological risks (mass movements). (technical) standards available for the outline of areas endangered by mass movements (e.g. In the Alpine countries, natural hazards constitute landslides, rock fall). The assessment of these a security risk in many regions. Floods, debris processes concerning the frequency and intensity flows, avalanches, landslides and rock falls of events (disasters) is difficult and demanding threaten people, their living environments, their due to the lack of measurements and basic data. settlements and economic areas, transport routes, In addition, the knowledge of geotechnical supply lines, and other infrastructure. They parameters, physical properties and triggering constitute a major threat to the bases of existence mechanisms of the displacement processes still of the population. The increasing settlement are fragmentary, although wide progress were pressure and area consumption, the opening up achieved by improved monitoring methods and of transport routes in the Alps as well as strong the detailed analysis of past events. growth rates in tourism have brought about a considerable spatial extension of endangered in Alpine valleys and the growing vulnerability of areas. With the rising demands on welfare and human facilities have significantly increased the risk quality of life, the need for safety and protection for natural disasters caused by mass movements. of the population increased as well. The growing demand for hazard maps that cover Hazard maps that show areas at risk by natural these risky processes has initiated strong efforts in all hazards are of paramount importance for the mountainous countries in Europe to develop exact development of Alpine regions. The maps count methods and appropriate standards that enable the among the active planning measures in natural production of hazard maps for mass movements hazard management and serve to the safety of with sufficient accuracy. By bundling these initiatives existing settlements and their inhabitants as the ASP (Alpine Space Program/Funding Initiative of well as to the steering of land-use only outside the European Commission) project ADAPTALP – in of endangered areas. Since the beginning of cooperation with other projects like SAFELAND, 1970’s, these maps have been established in PERMANET or MASSMOVE – aims at the several countries (Switzerland, Austria, France) development of technical standards and provision for the hazards “flood”, “debris flow” and of harmonized quality criteria for all member states. Recently the expansion of settlement areas Seite 9 Seite 8 Mass movements: Hazard processes on slopes damming up bodies of water. Expenses related to of the particles. Slopes consisting of silt and clay weathering and erosion help loosen large landslides include actual damages to structures particles obtain it from particle cohesion, which is chunks of earth and start them sliding A variety of processes exist by which materials or property, as well as loss of tax revenues on controlled by the availability of moisture in the soil. downhill. can be moved through the slope system. These devalued properties, reduced real estate values Rock slopes generally have the greatest internal processes mass in landslide prone areas, loss of productivity of strength due to the crystalline structures. loading movement or mass wasting. Mass movements agricultural lands affected by landslides, and loss stockpiling of rock, from waste piles and per definition are movements of bodies of soil, of industrial productivity because of interruption increase in stress. In some cases, the internal from buildings and other structures. sediments such as residual soil and bed rock of transportation systems by landslides. Not only strength of the materials can be reduced resulting In the Alps, mass movements occur in a wide which usually occur along steep-sided slopes and rapid types of mass movements are harmful. in the triggering of a mass movement. Failure of range of processes consisting of bedrock and soil mountains. Mass movements can be classified Slow movement of creep does more long term the slope material can occur over a range of time or a mixture of both. due to the rate of movement (rapid or slow), the economic damage to roads, railroads, building scales. Some types of mass movement involve type of movement (falling, sliding or flowing) and structure and underground pipes. rather rapid, spontaneous events. Sudden failures is often dramatic and quick. They involve the to the type of material involved (soil, sediments or movement tend to occur when the stresses exerted on the downward movement of small rock fragments rock debris). processes relies upon the development of slope materials greatly exceed their strength for pried loose by gravitational stress, the enlargement instability in the slope system. The predominant short periods of time. Mass movement can also of joints during weathering and/or freeze-thaw source of stress is the gravitational force. Other be a less continuous process that occurs over long processes (rock fall). Larger scale, down slope factors that affect mass movements are the periods of time. Slow failures often occur when movement of rock can also occur along well- steepness of slopes, the lithological property of the applied stresses only just exceed the internal defined joints or bedding planes. This type of the slope materials, and the amount of water in strength of the slope system. movement is called rock slide. Rock slides often the material. The two most important parameters occur when a fracture plane develops causing in mass movement is the angle of friction and the failure. One of the most common is prolonged overlying materials to slide down slope. cohesion. or heavy rainfall. Rainfall can lead to mass The magnitude of the gravitational movement through three different mechanisms. sediments force is related to the angle of the slope and the Often these mechanisms do not act alone. The movement processes. Two common types of weight of slope sediments and rock. The following saturation of soil materials with water increases mass movements in these cohesive materials are equation models this relationship: the weight of slope materials which then leads rotational slips (slumps) and mudflows. Both of to greater gravitational force. Saturation of soil these processes occur over very short time periods. materials can also reduce the cohesive bonds Rotational slips or slumps occur along clearly between individual soil particles resulting in the defined planes of weakness which generally have reduction of the internal strength of the slope. a concave form beneath the earth's surface. These Lastly, the presence of bedding planes in the slope processes can be caused by a variety of factors. material can cause material above a particular The most common mechanical reason for them plane below ground level to slide along a surface to occur is erosion at the base of the slope which lubricated by percolating moisture. reduces the support for overlying sediments. are generically known as The operation of mass F = W sin Ø Fig. 1: Land slide in cohesive soil resulting from slope instabilities and saturation of material by water. where Abb. 1: Rutschung in bindigem Boden resultierend aus Hanginstabilitäten und Wassersättigung des Bodens. F is gravitational force, W is the weight of the material occurring at Mass movements have direct and indirect impact on a number of human activities. some point on the slope, and Ø is the angle of the slope. The stability of a slope depends on the •Vibrations from machinery, traffic, weight Instability is not always caused by an Many factors can act as triggers for slope from accumulation of snow, Mass movement on hard rock slopes Slopes formed from clays and silt display somewhat unique mass The steepness and structural stability of slopes determines their suitability for agriculture, forestry, relationship between the stresses applied to the Additionally, a large variety of other Mudflows occur when slope materials become and human settlement. Instable slopes can also materials that make up the slope and their internal trigger mechanism for mass movement other than so saturated that the cohesive bonds between become a hazard to humans if their materials strength. Mass movement occurs when the stresses the gravitational are known, such as: particles is lost. In a mudflow there is enough move rapidly through the process of mass wasting. exceed the internal strength. Slopes composed of Landslides can suddenly rush down a steep slope causing great destruction across a wide area of habitable land and sometimes also floods by which depends on the size, shape, and arrangement •Earthquake shocks cause sections of water to allow the mixture to flow easily, as a loose materials, such as sand and gravel, derive mountains and hills to break off and slide viscous stream. Mudflows can occur on very low their internal strength from frictional resistance, down. slope angles because internal particle frictional •Human modification of the land or resistance and cohesion is negligible. Seite 11 Seite 10 An earth flow is slower moving than a mudflow to the increasing temperatures. The uncertainties known by experts but and involves a mass of material that retains rather and the increase of natural hazards due to the may cause problems in distinct boundaries as it moves. “Debris flow” is impacts of climate change require concerted practice when applied a term used generally for rapid mass movements management in the Alpine Space. It must be in a legal framework. consisting of water and residual soil. The term managed on a transnational, national, regional It is not unusual for implies a heterogeneous mixture of materials and local scale to effectively save human life, unsuitable including a considerable fraction of particles settlements and infrastructure. Nevertheless, there hazard maps to be that are coarser than the particles in mud. Debris is still a lack of precise data taking climate change applied for the wrong flows occur on slopes as well as in laterally into account. The result is an insufficient accuracy purposes. For example confined channels. of available models and inaccurate prediction of it is often to find natural hazard and menacing catastrophic events. landslide The impact of climate change increases these maps used as hazard Type Bedrock Engineering soil predominantly … … coarse … fine Fall Rock fall Rock avalanche (Debris fall) (Earth fall) Topple Rock topple (Debris topple) (Earth topple) Slide Rock slide Debris slide Earth slide uncertainties. of inventory or risk maps. Harmonized cross-sectoral hazard assessment and hazard mapping must be balanced on a transnational level. The ADAPTALP project (www.adaptalp.org) focuses on the harmonization Fig. 2: Transnational standards in hazard mapping are of major importance for the prevention of catastrophic events according to land use in endangered areas. When Abb. 2: Die Entwicklung von länderübergreifenden Standards in der Gefahrendarstellung ist bei der Prävention von Katastrophenereignissen von großer Bedeutung, da gefährdete Gebiete immer stärker genutzt werden. (mass movements) in of the various national approaches and methods for the assessment of hazards related to mass movements. types Along with the mapping geological hazards principle we have to distinguish between two situations: Hazard maps for mass movements 1.Scientific studies on mass movements with no harmonization legal implications (e.g. on land use planning): of terminology, an important issue tackled by Hazard zones are designated areas threatened Typical cases are studies carried out by ADAPTALP is the provision of reliable data and by natural risks such as avalanches, landslides or universities (research institutes). The aim of models for this kind of processes. The more flooding. The formulation of these hazard zones is these studies is to understand the mechanical reliable the information basis, the more efficiently an important aspect of spatial planning. The basis features of instability or to study different ways of adaptation strategies on local and regional level for hazard maps is a comprehensive assessment evolution of the phenomenon (scenarios) in order can be implemented. The project is based on an of geological and hydro(geo)logical framework to assess the susceptibility of investigated areas. integrated transnational approach. That means conditions, slope instabilities, relevant triggering Landslide inventories can be made by means of that a comprehensive comparison of all available mechanisms, standards and methods is carried out covering all processes, potential risks and the vulnerability 2.Susceptibility/Hazard index/Hazard maps that ASP-project ADAPTALP: Adaptation of countries in the Alpine region (Austria, Germany, of endangered areas (objects). Consequently it is have direct (obligatory) consequences for land natural hazard management to climate change Italy, France, Switzerland, Slovenia) and other essential to distinguish the three aspects of mass use planning and building trade at different European states with a considerable share of movement assessment and mapping: scale: The scale used to present the results of Spread Flow Rock spread (Rock flow) (Debris spread) Debris flow (in channels) (Earth spread) Earth flow Tab. 1: Types of mass movements (classification) after Raetzo. Tab. 1: Typen von Massenbewegungen (Klassifikation) of a historical or morphological approach. Assessment the hazard assessment depends on the desired product (susceptibility map, hazard index map, the international harmonization in method and morphology, inventory of mass movements). hazard zone map) and must be balanced with procedure will raise the quality of hazard assessment •Hazards: Spatial and temporal probability, the precision requirements according to the natural hazards including mass movements. A considerably. A general “state-of-the-art” for hazard intensity and forecasting of evolution spatial level of application (supra-regional, major impact on the intensity of mass movements mapping concerning mass movements seems to be (scenarios) are needed. regional, local). The legal significance of these at high altitudes (above 2300 m in the Alps) has within reach. mountain regions (Great Britain, Spain, Norway). increasing temperatures and changed precipitation The transnational exchange of knowledge and patterns. Any change of these critical factors has implications on the frequency and extent of thaw of permafrost and the retreat of glaciers due (susceptibilities): displacement and characterization of threat (typology, Climate change is, to a large extent, constituted by •Dangers properties •Risks: Interaction between a threat having particular hazard and human activities. In principle, these theoretical concepts are well maps requires technical standards and a “stateof-the-art” concerning formal requirements (e.g. investigation methods, documentation), Seite 13 Seite 12 hazard assessment and procedures of the check a climate change adaptation strategy. The results and approval of the maps. will be summarized in a synthesis report. ADAPTALP (in Work Package 5) will These fields of research within the Anschrift der Verfasser / Authors’ addresses: DI Christoph Skolaut Wildbach- und Lawinenverbauung, DI Dr. Florian Rudolf-Miklau Sektion Salzburg different project contain the topics to work out the Bundesministerium für Land- und Forstwirtschaft, Torrent and Avalanche Control, District Salzburg methods of hazard mapping applied in the Alpine “minimum standards” (minimal requirements) for Umwelt und Wasserwirtschaft, 5020 Salzburg, Bergheimerstraße 57 area. A main emphasis will be on a comparison the creation of danger (susceptibility) and hazard Abteilung IV/5, Wildbach- und Lawinenverbauung Tel.: (+43 662) 871853 – 303 of methods for mapping geological hazards in maps for landslides. The first step is the evaluation Federal Ministry for Agriculture, Forestry, FAX: (+43 662) 870215 the individual countries. A glossary will facilitate of the “state of the art” in hazard mapping in each Enviroment and Water Management, Mail: [email protected] interdisciplinary and multilingual cooperation as involved country. Two main questions will be Department IV/5, Torrent and Avalanche Control Homepage: http://www.lebensministerium.at/forst well as support the harmonization of the various answered by the project: 1030 Wien, Marxergasse 2 evaluate, harmonize and improve methods. In selected model regions methods • What kinds of danger (susceptibility), Tel.: (+43 1) 71 100 - 7333 to adapt risk analysis to the impact of climate hazard and risk maps are officially applied FAX: (+43 1) 71 100- 7399 in each country? Mail: [email protected] change will be tested. This should support the development of hazard zone planning towards •Which standards are these maps based on? Homepage: http://www.lebensministerium.at/forst The second step will be the “harmonization” of the different methods, which are used in several Dr. Richard Bäk countries. Therefore similarities should be worked Amt der Kärntner Landesregierung, Abt. 15 Umwelt out and the “least common denominator” in the Unterabteilung Geologie und Bodenschutz, methods of hazard mapping should be found. A – 9020 Klagenfurt, Flatschacher Straße 70 The final step will be the creation of guidelines Tel: +43 - (0) 50536 - 31510 and recommendation, which include the results Fax: +43 - (0) 50536 - 41500 of this “harmonization”. They will include Mob. +43 - (0) 664 - 8053631510 “minimum requirements for the creation of danger Mail: [email protected] (susceptibility), hazard and risk maps”. Other important results – developed in cooperation DI Franz Schmid with other projects as MASSMOVE – will be: Bundesministerium für Land- und Forstwirtschaft, •Definition of minimal requirements for the Umwelt und Wasserwirtschaft, collection of the relevant data of endangered Abteilung IV/5, Wildbach- und Lawinenverbauung areas and cartographic representation of Federal Ministry for Agriculture, Forestry, slides and rock falls. Enviroment and Water Management, Department •Specification of minimal requirements for the spatial description of the dangers. IV/5, Torrent and Avalanche Control 1030 Wien, Marxergasse 2 •Development of minimal requirements for Tel.: (+43 1) 71 100 - 7338 the determination of the hazard potential of FAX: (+43 1) 71 100- 7399 slides and rock falls. Mail: [email protected] •Development of tools for the reduction of the risk potential by consideration of the Fig. 3: Example for a susceptibility map of the Arlberg region (Vorarlberg/Austria) after Ruff hazards during land use planning by the Abb. 3: Beispiel einer Suszeptibilitätskarte der Arlbergregion (Vorarlberg/Österreich) nach Ruff use as well as for the planning of preventive local administrations and during the land measures. Homepage: http://www.lebensministerium.at/forst Literatur / References: BATES A. L., JACKSON J. A.: Glossary of Geology. American Geological Institute, 3rd Edition, 1987. CAMPUS S., BABERO S., BOVO S., FORLATI F. (EDS.): Evaluation and prevention of natural risks. Taylor and Francis/Balkema, 2007. GLADE T., ANDERSON M., CROZIER M. J. (HRG.): Landslide Hazards and Risk. John Wiley & Sons, Chichester, 2005. GRUNER U., WYSS R.: Anleitung zur Analyse von Rutschungen. Swiss Bull. angew. Geol., Vol. 14/1+2, 2009. RAETZO, H. , RICKLI, C.: Rutschungen. In: Bezzola G.R, & Hegg, C. (Hrsg.) 2007: Ereignisanalyse Hochwasser 2005, Teil 1 – Prozesse, Schäden und erste Einordnung. Bundesamt für Umwelt BAFU, Eidgenössische Forschungsanstalt WSL. Umwelt-Wissen Nr. 0707, 2007. RUFF, M.: GIS-gestützte Risikonanalyse für Rutschungen und Felsstürze in den Ostalpen (Vorarlberg, Österreich). Georisikokarte Vorarlberg. Diss. Univ. Karlsruhe, 2005. SIDLE R. C., OCHIAI H.: Landslides processes, prediction and land use. American Geographical Union, water resources monograph 18, Springer Verlag, 2006. Seite 15 Seite 14 Key-note papers Basic concept of hazard assessment According to the well-established basic concept of hazard assessment, the procedure can be divided Effective prevention against natural hazards in three distinct steps (HÜBL ET AL., 2007 [9.]: requires a better understanding of the processes •The survey of basic information (data) occurring in nature. The primary aim of hazard •The analysis of hazards (and risks) assessment is to gain a deep and comprehensive •The valuation of hazards (and risks) knowledge of these processes in order to provide Principles of Hazard Assessment and Mapping Grundlagen der Analyse und Bewertung von Naturgefahren Summary: The article summarizes the general principles for the assessment of natural hazards. The main emphasis lies on the basic approaches and methods of hazard assessment with special attention to the “frequency-intensity-concept” (including the deficits of this approach). The strategic importance of “preventive” planning with regards to the use and development of endangered areas in mountain areas is discussed. In addition, a summary of the most important standards and categories of hazard (risk) mapping is provided. Zusammenfassung: Der Beitrag fasst die generellen Grundlagen der Analyse und Bewertung von Naturgefahren zusammen. Der Schwerpunkt liegt im Bereich der grundlegenden Ansätze und Methoden für die Gefahrenbewertung, wobei das „Häufigkeits-Intensitäts-Konzept“ besondere Beachtung findet (einschließlich der Defizite dieses Ansatzes). Weiters wird auf die strategische Bedeutung der „präventiven Planung“ hinsichtlich der Nutzung und Entwicklung von gefährdeten Gebieten im Gebirge eingegangen. Abschließend erfolgt eine zusammenfassende Darstellung der wichtigsten Standards und Kategorien der kartographischen Darstellung von Naturgefahren. As a rule, the survey of information related to of hazardous events and the corresponding natural hazards focuses on the acquisition of damaging effects. (RUDOLF-MIKLAU in SUDA basic data on relevant factors in nature. The survey ET. AL., 2011 [18.]) Another important demand includes “geo-data” (topography, geology, and is the prediction of the time of occurrence and soil), “meteo-data” (climate, weather), “hydro- duration of a catastrophic event (predictability data” (precipitation, run-off, and groundwater) and advanced warning time; Fig. 1) (RUDOLF- and “eco-data” (environmental parameters). In MIKLAU, 2009 [14.]). The initial purpose of addition, data on past (historic) events represent a hazard assessment is the provision of basic major source of information. (RUDOLF-MIKLAU, knowledge protection 2009 [14.]) For the purpose of risk assessment, measures (e.g. flood control, avalanche control), data for natural processes must be combined with which requires quantitative information about data related to human activities. These sources of the order and magnitude of catastrophic events information include demographic and economic and their probable damaging consequences on statistics, data on land use and agriculture, human health, economic activities, environment, and records of damages caused by past events and cultural heritage. (BRÜNDL ET AL., 2009 [5.]). for the planning Predictability FLORIAN RUDOLF-MIKLAU accurate prognosis of the expected magnitude of Drought Debris flow Earthquake Avalanches Rockfall Landslides seconds minutes Floods Volcanism Storm Deceases Wildfire hours days weeks Advanced warning time(T) Fig. 1: Predictability of natural hazards (RUDOLF-MIKLAU, 2009 [14.]). Abb. 1: Vorhersagbarkeit von Naturgefahren (RUDOLF-MIKLAU, 2009 [14.]). Seite 17 Seite 16 Key-note papers Presentation Validation Survey HAZARDS Hazard analysis Localization and topography Triggering mechanism Displacement processes/scenarios Frequency/intensitiy RISKS regionally measurements and data from documented events ahead of application. on extreme value statistics and is appropriate for •The application of physical models is not Risk analysis only performed for one single data set but Analysis of damages: direct/indirect damage Damage potential Damage scenarios Hazard assessment Levels of hazard (risk) Classification of intensity Intensity criteria: e.g. pressure for a frequency range of the input values. Fig. 2: System of hazard and risk management (RUDOLFMIKLAU/SAUERMOSER, 2011 [16.]). Risk assessment Validation of risks Risk acceptance (aversion) Abb. 2: System des Gefahrenund Risikomanagements (RUDOLF-MIKLAU/ SAUERMOSER, 2011 [16.]). Process-/Suszeptibility maps Hazard (information) maps Hazard zone maps Risk map Cartographical presentation of risks Risk management Management Definition of protection goals Creation of protection concepts Management plans Protection measures Effectiveness / Efficiancy •Scenarios are checked concerning their plausibility. The frequency-intensity-concept is based answering two basic questions: •How often does an extreme event of defined intensity occur statistically? •What is the expected extreme value for a defined time period? The two established methods to analyse extreme Approaches to hazard assessment: The “frequency- events are the “block-maxima-method” and magnitude-concept” for design events (DE) the “peak-over-threshold-method” (KLEEMAYR in RUDOLF-MIKLAU & SAUERMOSER, 2011 According to ONR 24800:2008 [13.] an event [16.]). For the statistic analysis, random and represents the entirety of all processes occurring representative samples (data sets) are needed in a temporal, areal and causal relationship and (e.g. time series of extreme precipitation). By corresponds to a specific probability of recurrence means of statistical methods, it is attempted to and intensity. The extreme event represents the conclude from properties of the sample to the maximum magnitude observed in the concerning rules of the “total population”. In technical terms, catchment or risk area. The design event (DE) an unknown stochastic distribution function (e.g. is applied as reference value (criteria) for the Gumbel, Fréchet, Weibull) is derived from an The analysis of hazards is subdivided into several method for most natural hazards in order to value planning of protection measures and hazard empirical distribution of measured values. The tasks: the survey and localization of hazard their effects (see below). (HÜBL, 2010 [8.]) maps and represents the striven level of safety most common field of application of the extreme sources, the identification of triggering factors, (acceptable risk). (RUDOLF-MIKLAU, 2009 [14.]) value statistics is the prediction of weather the description of the triggering and displacement environment are a complex system consisting The underlying concept of intensity and extremes, extreme discharge in rivers and torrents process and the potential effects (impact) on of process chains with multiple interactions frequency was originally established by WOLMAN of the extreme run-out distance of falls, slides or objects. The results of the hazard analysis are and dependencies. Thus the assessment of a & MILLER (1960) [19.]. Intensity in colloquial use falls (mass movements or avalanches). The key usually mapped in specific types of hazard maps hazard is not a mono-causal procedure but refers to strength or magnitude of a process or problem of the method is the limited availability of (e.g. susceptibility maps, intensity maps). must take into account a large variety of more event. Intensity of natural events (hazards) can be measurements (data sets) that cover a sufficiently Natural hazards in the Alpine The analysis of natural hazards provides a or less probable courses. (RUDOLF-MIKLAU expressed by physical criteria like discharge, flow long period of time. In most cases the available comprehensive image of the processes, their causes in BOLLSCHWEILER ET AL., 2011 [3.]) The depth, pressure (process energy) or area (mass) data represents and effects, but requires additional information “scenario analysis” was established in risk of deposited debris. (GEBÄUDEVERSICHERUNG concerning the order of magnitude of the relevant management as an appropriate method to GRAUBÜNDEN, 2004 [7.]) In general the event. (RUDOLF-MIKLAU in BOLLSCHWEILER solve the complexity of comprehensive hazard frequency represents the period of recurrence ET AL., 2011 [3.]) Consequently, the valuation of assessment. Scenarios implicate that not only a between two events with comparable magnitude. or both. Besides this major disadvantage, the hazards aims at the description of magnitude in a single process but all relevant developments of Frequency is often expressed as return period, method of extreme value statistics shows other graded manner. Hazards scales, physical intensity an event within a defined period of recurrence which is equal to the reciprocal of the exceedance considerable short comings. criteria or intensity classifications count among are taken into account. (MAZZORANA ET AL., probability of extreme precipitation or discharge Especially for torrential processes, the frequency- the established methods to present the magnitude 2009 [12.]) In practice this means: of events. Usually the intensity of a hazardous •Several assessment process is functionally related to the frequency morphologic, of its occurrence. In practice this “frequency- applied. intensity-concept” is the preferentially applied •Models have historic, to be methods stochastic) calibrated •either a too short observation (measuring) period, •or is fragmentary values. As a rule the DE is determined according intensity-function shows an “emergent” behavior (e.g. to a defined return period (e.g. flood with return implying a limited predictability of discharge are period of 100 years). Frequency and intensity are from extrapolations of measurement data when functionally correlated. (RUDOLF-MIKLAU in a certain threshold value is exceeded. The event BOLLSCHWEILER ET AL., 2011 [3.]) disposition of a catchment or risk area, defined with Seite 19 Seite 18 Key-note papers as the entirety of all conditions essential for the floods can approximately be related to a certain hazard assessment is the compliance of a high emergence of hazardous processes, consists of the return period. A causal supplement of information redundancy in the procedures and methods applied is based on the identification of triggering/ basic disposition (susceptibility) comprising all is gained if observed floods are analyzed with (KIENHOLZ, 2005 [10.]). Two principle approaches displacement processes and the spatial distribution factors immutable over a long range of time (e.g. respect to their emergence regarding the weather are eligible for hazard assessment (Fig. 3): by means of “silent witnesses” (AULITZKY, 1992 geology, soils) and the variable disposition, which conditions, the behavior of precipitation, and the is the sum of all factors subject to a short-term or disposition of the catchment area. seasonal change (e.g. precipitation, saturation of soil with water, land use). If the variable disposition of the design flood requires the specification of of a catchment or risk area is altered in the course the expected value of discharge by means of flood of an event (e.g. exceedance of the water storage statistics and additional hydrological methods. indication). In a first step, the determination procedure capacity of soil), the debris potential increases From this basic design discharge, the design erratically, resulting in a possible transition of the flood can be derived by taking into account solid predominant displacement process and a non- transport, transient flow conditions and influences linear increase of discharge. (HÜBL, 2010 [8.]) of stream morphology. The practical procedure of specification •The analysis of past events (retrospective Morphological Method: This method [1.]) in the morphology (deposition area) and at the vegetation (e.g. trees). Dendromorphology •The prognosis of future events (foresighted indication). counts among these methods, which (besides other dating methods (BOLLSCHWEILER ET. AL., 2011 [3.])) provides Historical Method chronicles, witnesses Morphological Method Retrospective Indication is based on the assumption, that an occured event will reoccur with comparable course and effects. intensity-concept is strongly limited for all types of example of a “design flood” (RUDOLF-MIKLAU & hazards for which measurements or observation SEREINIG, 2010 [15.]): Generally, a design flood data of extreme events are insufficiently or [discharge in m³/s] with a return period of 100 generally not available. In addition, it has to be years represents the striven level of safety for flood taken into account that the period of recurrence of (torrent) control measures in European countries. a triggering event can significantly differ from the Expected values for a rainfall and flood events of a frequency of the impact (damage) event. Recently, defined return period (including a corresponding alternative concepts for the assessment of confidence interval) can be derived from the magnitude of events are sought that could replace hydraulic extreme value statistics. Flood statistics the “frequency-intensity-concept”. This holds Statistical Method extreme value statistics, triggering mechanism This method includes analysis of Physical/Mathematical Method Numerical/empirical models Pragmatic Method Expert opinion (estimation) observation (monitoring) data by means is based on the identification and analysis of factors and processes, which represent evidence for existing hazards according to gained experiences. The method presupposes knowledge about the triggering mechanism, the displacement process and the effect (impact) and includes the investigation of probability of recurrence (return period). especially true for the assessment of extreme mass movements and avalanches where frequency behavior of the watershed. However, extreme hardly can be determined with sufficient accuracy. Abb. 3: Grundlegende Vorgehensweisen bei der Gefährdungsanalyse (nach KIENHOLZ, 2005 [10.]; geändert). of stochastic methods (e.g. extreme value statistics). Nevertheless, the derivation of reliable (significant) and requires period is representative for the long-term runoff Methods of hazard assessment Method: and Foresightes Indication are based on the assumption that the observation that are not represented by the measured data Statistical measurements Fig. 3: Principle approaches to hazard assessment (after KIENHOLZ, 2005 [10.]; modified). flood events are qualified as “statistical outliers” time series of past events. the „silent witnesses“, dendromophology The applicability of the frequency- of a design event can be lucidly explained by the comprehensive trends prognoses a sufficient quantity of data for a time representative (observation) According to these principles, the following period. (KLEEMAYR in RUDOLF-MIKLAU & procedures can be chosen and should be SAUERMOSER, 2011 [16.]) Physical/Mathematical Method: These applied corresponding to the rule of redundancy but nevertheless contribute valuable information The aim of hazard assessment is the determination (HÜBL et al., 2007 [9.]): methods are mainly based on numerical or on hydrological extremes. Consequently, the of relevant scenarios and the related return period Historical Method: The method is based empirical models, which provide information statistically deduced design criterion should be for the purpose of providing a prognosis of the on the (qualitative and quantitative) analysis of (physical criteria) for the intensity of an event supported by additional information of temporal, substantial process, the extension and intensity of reports, testimonies and chronicles of past events for a defined return period. In practice models spatial or causal reference. Especially the dating an event as well as for the magnitude of hazard (catastrophes). This data provides evidences are the preferred tool for the determination of of historic flood events from chronicles or traces (BRÜNDL ET AL., 2009 [5.]). for the frequency of events, the triggering design events in natural hazard engineering. Due in nature (flood marks, “silent witnesses”) can Normally neither the physical properties mechanism and the extension of the process as to the limited accuracy of numerical models, the provide precious additional information on of hazard processes are completely clarified, nor well as the damages occurred. As a rule, historic application always presupposes a calibration of return periods, levels of flooding, or peak flood is sufficient data on extreme events available. sources tend to be fragmentary and distorted due regional measurements (data) and the validation discharge. By dating historic events, extreme Consequently, the most important principle of to subjective perception. of the results with expert opinions. In addition, collection (due to limited observation periods), Seite 21 Seite 20 Key-note papers models should not only be applied for a single Preventive planning: principles and function storm, forest fire, snow load), preventive planning and local level. In the Alpine countries in general is limited to rough-scale maps showing a general the following categories of maps for the outline of distribution of input parameters. A comprehensive “Prevention by planning” today is qualified as gradation of risks. (RUDOLF-MIKLAU, 2009 [14.]) hazards and risks can be distinguished: summary of available models for torrential the most effective measure in natural hazard processes is given in BERGMEISTER ET AL. (2009) management. Planning in relation to natural importance for the application of hazard maps. •Hazard (indication) maps [2.], for avalanches in RUDOLF-MIKLAU & hazards and risks can also unfold active as Consequently, •Hazard zone maps SAUERMOSER (2011) [16.]. passive protection effects. Planning procedures understood as a part of development planning. Pragmatic Method: This method is concerning natural hazards are not limited to the In order to regulate the use and development of The following definitions are valid only with based on the “expert opinion” of experiences cartographic outline of endangered areas (areas endangered areas, the intervention of the state restrictions since terminology of hazard mapping practitioners and local experts. The pragmatic at risk), but also provide the passivity to reduce is essential. The primary goal of development substantially method is applied if other methods are not hazards/risk by keeping endangered areas free planning concerning natural hazards is to keep scientific branches. applicable or do not meet the goal of satisfying from buildings or limiting the use of these zones the endangered areas free from buildings (passive hazard data set but for a range of scenarios as well as for a The environmental planning is of major preventive planning can •Process maps (susceptibility, intensity) be •Risk maps differs between countries and A hazard (indication) map roughly this (e.g. inundation areas). Thus preventive planning protection function). The active protection function indicates in which areas natural hazard have to be method serves as a redundancy and is used for is the basis for the protection strategy “prevention of preventive planning lies in the reservation taken into account in land use and development the validation of results of “exact” assessment by area”. (RUDOLF-MIKLAU, 2009 [14.]) (provision) of areas for the spreading of hazardous activities. The character of the map is only methods (mentioned above). In addition, the cartographic depiction of processes (e.g. inundation areas) or in the provision demonstrative, while no concrete information (risk) assessment. In addition, always hazard zones provides the essential information of standards (limits) for the use of endangered areas about the magnitude of the danger is provided. suffer from major restrictions concerning their (process intensity, magnitude of impact forces) in order to reduce the risk potential. In many countries hazard zone maps are not meaningfulness and accuracy. For the interpretation for the technical protection of existing buildings. and validation of results, it is essential to know Also the suitability of planned building sites the sources of uncertainties and methodical concerning the risk by natural hazards can be short-comings. Some of these deficiencies are efficiently judged on the basis of hazard maps. summarized below (KIENHOLZ, 2005 [10.]): In development planning, the localization of new •Limited availability of data •Limited observation (measuring) period •Lack Hazard assessment methods available, leaving hazard indication maps as the Mapping hazards in Alpine environment only source of spatial information. Process maps show hazards by the The cartographic outline of endangered areas spatial distribution according to KIENHOLZ (2005) [10.] includes the (criteria) describing the triggering, displacement settlements can be steered away from impending elaboration of scientific and technical bases and and impact processes. These maps are most often hazards. (BUWAL/BRP/BWW, 1997 [6.]) the depiction in hazard (indication) maps. In a the result of numerical or empirical modeling. In of physical parameters In principle, in the Alpine environment second step, the geographic information provided some countries, process maps are transformed velocity of mass propagation during events; the usability of land for building purposes is on triggering disposition and impact intensity of into intensity maps showing the process criteria impact pressure) limited according to the expansion of hazards. hazardous processes is used for the provision graded according to the levels of impact intensity In mountainous regions, the total avoidance of hazard zone maps and their implementation (e.g. of hazard zones for spatial development is not in the process of development planning. As a LOAT, 2005 [11.]). Susceptibility is defined as the possible. of “direct” measurements (e.g. •Incomplete or false documentation of past events planning rule, hazard maps have no legal liability but are extent to which an area suffers from the risk of defines limits (border lines) for areas that are defined as “spatial expert opinions with prognosis emergence of a hazardous process if exposed to a monitoring, documentation) standards appropriate for building. Within these limits, character”, while the hazard zones become triggering factor, without regard to the likelihood hazard maps provide bases for standards and legally binding only by incorporating them into of exposure. Analogously, susceptibility maps regulations for a hazard-adapted construction development planning documents (land use show the disposition of an area for these events, practice. maps). Thus legal liability of hazard zones may but does not provide information about the •Uncertainties in the selection of relevant scenarios •Misjudgement of the effeminacy and preventive frequency-intensity-matrix; due to variable measuring (observation, •Inconsistent quality of information and data Consequently, Switzerland: condition (usability) of existing protection arise on the local level depending on the national frequency and expected intensity. measures planning lies in the sector of hazards spatially legal framework. “delimited” in action, such as floods, avalanches, Consequently, it is essential to adapt the processes according to its magnitude (intensity, mass movements. For natural hazards that do not standards of hazard mapping to the requirements frequency) on the scale of the local cadastre allow an “exact” delimitation (e.g. earthquake, and goal of development planning on the regional (1.2000 •Misjudgement concerning the “residual risk” Logically, the main emphasis of preventive Hazard zone maps show the impact of – 1.5000). Consequently, these Seite 23 Seite 22 Key-note papers Overlaying this information makes feasible a Literatur / References: comprehensive assessment of risks for human [1.] AULITZKY H. (1992): Die Sprache der "Stummen Zeugen". Tagungsband der Internationalen Konferenz Interpraevent 1992, S. 139-174. health, economic acidities, environment and cultural heritage. As shown in this article, the methods for the assessment of natural hazards still suffer from major short-comings and significant sources of inaccuracy. In addition, a comprehensive understanding of the triggering and displacement processes of Alpine natural hazards is still Fig. 6: Hazard zone map for torrents (including indication of landslide areas) (Austria). Fig. 4: Hazard indication map for mass movements (Bavaria, Germany). Abb. 4: Gefahrenhinweiskarte für Massenbewegungen (Bayern, Deutschland). maps provide specific information about the usability of certain plots for building or other development purposes. Hazard zone maps are regularly produced for the hazard types floods, avalanches and debris flow, and only in few countries (Switzerland, France, and Italy) for mass movements as well. In most countries, hazard zone maps are regulated by legal and technical standards concerning their content, formal requirements, approval procedure and implementation in the development planning. Some countries have also defined a specific design Abb. 5: Gefahrenzonenplan Wildbäche (einschließlich des Hinweises von Rutschgebieten) (Österreich). missing due to the limited availability of “direct” measurements and observation. Although hazard maps have gained a key role in the process of preventive planning, event (period of recurrence) for the assessment of the information provided by these maps should the relevant hazards. (HÜBL ET AL., 2007 [9.]) still be treated with care and only be interpreted The elaboration of risk maps is based on the by experts. This reservation especially holds true depiction of objects at risk (risk potentials) within for hazard maps devoted to mass movements. endangered areas. In principle there are two types As the standards of hazard mapping in this field of risk maps available (BORTER ET AL., 1999 [4.]): are still under development, preventive planning •Risk maps only showing risk potential concerning rock fall and landslides (unlike flood without assessing (value) them. and avalanche hazards) is still “in situ nascendi”. •Risk maps based on a graded, qualitative This delay justifies the strong efforts within the or quantitative assessment of risks (levels Alpine space to establish and harmonize general of risk; e.g. low – medium - high). These standards for the assessment and mapping of maps are elaborated by combining the hazards caused by mass movements. impact intensity with the damage potential (value), the vulnerability and the exposition Anschrift des Verfassers / Author’s address: of objects/persons in the endangered area. DI Dr. Florian Rudolf-Miklau Closing remarks Bundesministerium für Land- und Forstwirtschaft, Umwelt und Wasserwirtschaft, Abteilung IV/5, Hazard (risk) assessment and mapping count Wildbach- und Lawinenverbauung among the most important tasks (measures) in Federal Ministry for Agriculture, Forestry, natural hazard management. The maps provide Enviroment and Water Management, Department the key information for most of the other mitigation IV/5, Torrent and Avalanche Control measures in order to reduce risk to an acceptable 1030 Wien, Marxergasse 2 level. GIS technology provides a powerful tool to Tel.: (+43 1) 71 100 - 7333 Fig. 5: Hazard map for falls (rock fall) (Switzerland). combine spatial information on natural hazards FAX: (+43 1) 71 100- 7399 Abb. 5: Gefahrenzonenplan Felssturz (Steinschlag) (Schweiz). with other cartographic information concerning Mail: [email protected] human activities and development actions. Homepage: http://www.lebensministerium.at/forst [2.] BERGMEISTER K., SUDA J., HÜBL J., RUDOLF-MIKLAU F. (2009): Schutzbauwerke der Wildbachverbauung. Verlag Ernst und Sohn Berlin (Wiley VCH). [3.] BOLLSCHWEILER M., STOFFEL M., RUDOLF-MIKLAU F. (2011): Tracking torrential processes on fans and cones. Springer Dortrecht (in preparation). [4.] BORTER P. (1999): Risikoanalyse bei gravitativen Naturgefahren. Bern: Bundesamt für Umwelt, Wald und Landschaft BUWAL. Umwelt-Materialien 107/I+II. [5.] BRÜNDL M., ROMANG H., HOLTHAUSEN N., MERZ H., BISCHOF N. (2009): Risikokonzept für Naturgefahren – Leitfaden; Teil A: Allgemeine Darstellung des Risikokonzepts. Bern: Nationale Plattform Naturgefahren PLANAT (vorläufige Fassung). [6.] BUNDESAMT FÜR UMWELT, WALD UND LANDSCHAFT BUWAL, BUNDESAMT FÜR RAUMPLANUNG BRP, BUNDESAMT FÜR WASSERWIRTSCHAFT BWW (1997): Berücksichtigung von Hochwassergefahren bei der raumwirksamen Tätigkeit, Biel. [7.] GEBÄUDEVERSICHERUNG GRAUBÜNDEN (2004): Vorschriften für bauliche Maßnahmen an Bauten in der blauen Lawinenzone. [8.] HÜBL J. (2010): Hochwässer in Wildbacheinzugsgebieten. Wiener Mitteilungen (in press). [9.] HÜBL J., FUCHS S., AGNER P. (2007): Optimierung der Gefahrenzonenplanung. Weiterentwicklung der Methoden der Gefahrenzonenplanung. IAN-Report 90. Wien: Universität für Bodenkultur (unveröffentlicht). [10.] KIENHOLZ H. (2005): Gefahrenzonenplanung im Alpenraum – Ansprüche und Grenzen, Imst: Imst: Wildbach- und Lawinenverbau (Zeitschrift für Wildbach-, Erosionsund Steinschlagschutz), Nr. 152, 135-151. [11.] LOAT R. (2005): Die Gefahrenzonenplanung in der Schweiz. Imst: Wildbach- und Lawinenverbau (Zeitschrift für Wildbach-, Erosions- und Steinschlagschutz), Nr. 152, 77-92. [12.] MAZZORANA B., FUCHS S., HÜBL J. (2009): Improving risk assessment by defining consistent and reliable system scenarios, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 9: 145–159. [13.] ONR 24800: 2008, Schutzbauwerke der Wildbachverbauung – Begriffe und ihre Definition sowie Klassifizierung. Austrian Standards Institute, Vienna. [14.] RUDOLF-MIKLAU F. (2009): Naturgefahren-Management in Österreich. Verlag Lexis-Nexis Orac . [15.] RUDOLF-MIKLAU F., SEREINIG N. (2009): Festlegung des Bemessungshochwassers: Prozessorientierte Harmonisierung für Flüsse und Wildbäche, ÖWAW 7-8: 29 – 32. [16.] RUDOLF-MIKLAU F., SAUERMOSER S. (Hrsg.) (2011): Technischer Lawinenschutz. Verlag Ernst und Sohn/Wiley Berlin (in preparation). [17.] SCHROTT L., GLADE T. (2008): Frequenz und Magnitude natürlicher Prozesse; in Flegentreff, Glade (Eds.): Naturrisiken und Sozialkatastrophen. Spektrum Akademischer Verlag Springer: 134 – 150. [18.] SUDA J., RUDOLF-MIKLAU F., HÜBL J., KANONIER A. (Hrsg.) (2011): Gebäudeschutz vor Naturgefahren. Verlag Spring Wien (in preparation). [19.] WOLMAN M. G., MILLER J. P. (1960): Magnitude and frequency of forces on geomorphic processes. Journal of Geology 68 (1): 54 – 74. Seite 25 Seite 24 Key-note papers RICHARD BÄK, HUGO RAETZO, KARL MAYER, ANDREAS VON POSCHINGER, GERLINDE POSCH-TRÖZMÜLLER Mapping of Geological Hazards: Methods, Standards and Procedures (State of Development) - Overview Geologische Gefahrenkartierung: Methoden, Standards und Verfahren (derzeitiger Status) – ein Überblick Summary: In spite of different methods used, geological hazard mapping is accepted as a tool for hazard prevention in Europe. Scientific characterization of mass movements is based on similar methods with mostly comparable results. However, the implementation in spatial planning and risk management differs considerably due to different regional legal acts, ordinances, responsibilities and pecularities. Whereas in Italy and Switzerland there are technical guidelines and legal acts regarding landslides and rock fall, in Austria only hazard mapping concerning floods and avalanches is regulated. In Germany a recommendation on how to create a susceptibility map was published. Because of a lack of regulations in European Alpine states’ inventory maps, susceptibility and hazard maps are created in different scales with different contents and quality. This, as well as different defintions of terms such as susceptibility, danger and hazard, makes comparison of hazard assessment products difficult. Consequently a multilingual glossary, landslide inventories at regional authorities and minimal requirements as to how to create hazard maps (requirements concerning input data and purpose of assessment) are necessary. In the AdaptAlp project (Interreg IV B, Alpine Space) the Alpine regions elaborate the common principles. Zusammenfassung: Die geologische Gefahrenkartierung ist in Europa trotz unterschiedlicher Methoden eine anerkannte Notwendigkeit für die Prävention. Die wissenschaftliche Charakterisierung der Massenbewegungen basiert oft auf ähnlichen Methoden und ist deshalb eher vergleichbar. Hingegen ist die Umsetzung in die Raumplanung und in das Risikomanagement auf europäischer Ebene sehr unterschiedlich. Der Grund liegt primär in unterschiedlichen Gesetzen, Verordnungen und Verantwortlichkeiten, bzw. in sozio-ökonomischen Eigenheiten der Länder. Während in Italien und in der Schweiz technische Richtlinien bzw. gesetzliche Regelungen zur Erstellung von Gefahrenkarten bestehen, gibt es in Österreich nur für Hochwasser bzw. Lawinen Regelungen zur Ausweisung von Gefahrenzonen. In Deutschland wurde eine Empfehlung für die Erstellung von Gefahrenhinweiskarten publiziert. Aufgrund fehlender Regelungen in den alpinen Staaten Europas werden Ereigniskarten, Indexkarten, Gefahrenhinweiskarten und Gefahrenkarten als Grundlagen für die Gefahrenbeurteilung in verschiedenen Maßstäben mit unterschiedlichem Inhalt erarbeitet. Dies und unterschiedliche Definitionen erschweren den Vergleich. Ein multilinguales Glossar, die Einrichtung von Ereigniskatastern bei der Verwaltung und die Festlegung von Mindestanforderungen zur Erstellung von Grundlagen und Gefahrenkarten (Anforderungen hinsichtlich Eingangsdaten und Zweck) sollten daher ein primäres Ziel sein. Im Projekt AdaptAlp (Interreg IV B, Alpine Space) arbeiten die Alpenländer an gemeinsamen Grundsätzen. countries varies in its quality and quantity: In Introduction some regions, detailed landslide inventories exist and are the basis for susceptibility and hazard different assessment. Different approaches to hazard morphological and geological conditions are mapping are in practice. This fact and dissimilar prone to landslides. Taking into consideration meanings for terms like susceptibility, danger one of the geological principles for landslide and hazard make a comparison of the regional hazard assessment – the past is the key to the approaches difficult. Using various input data also future – future slope failures will probably occur handicaps the comparison of hazard assessment. in areas with similar geological, morphological and hydrological situations that have led to past “Adaptation to Climate Change in the Alpine failures. Some triggering mechanisms happen Space “ (acronym AdaptAlp), work package sporadically and are not readily obvious. Because 5.1 Hazard Mapping - Geological Hazards is of the lack of memories of past landslide events, focusing on the transnational harmonization of the susceptibility to mass movements is not standards (minimal requirements in the field of considered accurate in land use. But the effects hazard assessment and mapping) by exchanging of mass movements (damages) necessitate new experiences in the partner regions. This issue strategies on how to manage the future potential provides an overview of methods, standards and of natural (geological) hazards in alpine regions. procedures without a pretense of completeness. In Alpine regions, slopes of Information about landslides in alpine Within the INTERREG IV B project The definitions of terms used regarding Seite 27 Seite 26 Key-note papers landslides sometimes differ contradictorily in phological maps. Using digital DTM data in a GIS give evidence, if e.g. information on the activity, date is known. The thematic inventory map literature and in practice. For this reason the allows the production of hillshades with several geometry and slope position of a landslide is contains only information related to a type of second goal of the work package 5.1 named geometries to detect typical landslide forms. recorded. process, categorized according to the quality of above is the elaboration of a multilingual glossary. Modern methods for modelling processes are de- (fourth section) is sometimes specified in detail, the data. signed for the GIS environment. Slope stability and sometimes only the information is given that In Switzerland, the generation of a “map rock fall trajectories can be computed over large geological information is being stored. of phenomena” is mandatory ([30] Raetzo 2002). areas to get indications of the hazards. Analysis In many cases additional information As with the Austrian “map of phenomena”, it Landslide inventories are the basis for all scientific of aerial photographs is also a classical and such as data on vegetation (land cover), shows the geologic-geomorphologic features. An and planning activities. They contain the basic valuable technique to identify landslide features. hydrogeological or hydrological conditions, as extensive manual with a digital GIS-legend was data of natural hazard processes and should More subtle signs of slope movement cannot be well as specific data such as the shadow angle are published on a DVD by BWG ([8]BWG 2002, mainly include the facts. Therefore all partner identified on the maps mentioned above. Field stored in the databases. [14] Kienholz & Krummenacher 1995). countries in the AdaptAlp Interreg project are observation by experts is necessary for accurate working on landslide inventories. assessment. The requirements for acquired data the causes or triggers of landslides. In some cases the map is used for, ranging from 1:2,000 (or [11] Guzzetti 2005 wrote about landslide are raised by the main goal: The accurateness and the damages due to landslides are listed in the even more) for a detailed study to 1:50,000 as inventories: “Despite the ease with which they detail of input data and scale depends on the aim inventory, sometimes even the monetary value of an indicative map ([32] Raetzo & Loup 2009). are prepared and their immediateness, landslide of the product – susceptibility map, hazard as- the damage and the costs of remediation measures. On the other hand, the Federal Office for the inventories are not yet very common. Inventory sessment or risk analyses. Most inventory forms also provide information Environment (FOEN) manages a database with maps are available for only a few countries information about how the listed data was gathered (e.g. field all the events where damages were recorded. This and mostly for limited areas. This is surprising about possible scenarios is needed. For this survey), some provide a rating about the reliability national database is called “StorMe” and contains because inventory maps provide fundamental reason it is important that landslide inventories of the degree of precision of the information. In data on every natural hazard process: landslides, information on the location and size of landslides are induced to sustain landslide knowledge over most databases additional reports, documentation debris flows, snow avalanches and floods. that is necessary in the assessment of slope time. In most regions of the Alps, inventories have and bibliography are included or mentioned. In Italy, a country with a particularly high stability at any scale, and in any physiographical been established by authorities and are to some In Austria the Geological survey of landslide risk owing to its landform configuration environment.” Nevertheless, all of the countries extent available to the public. Austria, in cooperation with the Geological Survey and its lithological and structural characteristics, considered for the literature survey have landslide of Carinthia, has created not just one “inventory the need for a complete and homogeneous inventories and maps, even if contents, scales and kind of data is stored in different landslide event map” but a “level of information” (Fig. 1): overview of the distribution of landslides was the state of completeness vary. inventories, and what questions are asked on the Process index maps (map of phenomena recognized after the disastrous event at Sarno. The Landslide inventories For hazard assessment, Tab.1 gives information about what Recorded geological information Most inventories provide information on The scale used depends on the purpose In order to predict landslide hazard landslide reporting form. For the comparison, “Prozesshinweiskarte”, “Karte der Phänomene”) aim of the IFFI Project (Inventario dei Fenomeni in an area, the morphological, geological, and information from the countries Austria (Geological can have different scales (1:50,000 and bigger) Franosi in Italia – “Italian Landslide Inventory”) hydrological conditions and processes have to be survey of Austria, of Lower Austria, of Carinthia, and can be of varying quality; it contains implemented by ISPRA (formerly: APAT, the identified. Their influence on the stability of the project MASSMOVE, project DIS-ALP), Germany, information about process areas and phenomena Italian Environment Protection and Technical slopes has to be estimated. Switzerland, Slovenia, Italy, France, Slovakia, Aus- of mass movements that have already happened. Services Agency) and by the regions and self- tralia and the USA (Oregon, Washington, Utah) The event inventory (“Ereigniskataster”) records governing provinces was to identify and map are used to establish databases to assess hazards: was taken into account. only those processes for which an event date is the landslides in accordance with standardized Landslide inventories as an important tool for the known (5W-questions); it is independent of a and shared methods. The work method included assessment of the susceptibility of slopes to mass if section scale. In Carinthia, a digital landslide inventory the collection of historical and archive data, movements are created nowadays more and more deals with the basic data, mainly with the was created with historical events of the last aerial photo interpretation, field surveys, and using digital technology. A general indication of 5W-questions: What happened where, when and 50 years ([7] Bäk et al. 2005). The inventory detailed mapping. A “Landslide Data Sheet” was landslide susceptibility can be obtained based on why, and who reported it (or made the database map/event map (“Ereigniskarte”) contains only prepared for collecting the landslide information, landslide inventories, geological, soil and geomor- entry). The landslide conditions in the third section information about processes for which an event subdivided into three levels of progressively Different methods of data acquirement The first section of table 1 shows inventories exist. The second Seite 29 Seite 28 Key-note papers that, since the sources for the inventory map of of the geohazards and their causal factors. This material (rock, soil, earth, debris) and type of •First level: contains the basic information Slovenia are quite different from each other, the understanding can be used to assess susceptibility. movement (slide, flow, fall, topple, spread) are (location, type of movement, state of scales vary but landslides were always mapped at In the USA the Landslide Inventory also classified. Furthermore, each landslide is activity) and is mandatory for every a quite detailed scale. Steering Committee, composed of members of classified according to a “confidence” (definite, landslide. In France a database for mass movements USGS and State Geological Surveys and other probable, questionable) assigned by the geological •Second level: contains the geometrical, is accessible on the internet. The processes taken state agencies, are working on the Landslide interpreter. It can be regarded as a measure of geological, and lithological parameters, into account are landslides, rock fall, debris flows, Inventory Pilot Project. The purpose of this project likelihood that the landslide actually exists. land use, causes and activation date. subsidence and bank erosion. For each mass is to provide a framework and tools for displaying •Third level: provides detailed information movement, the following detailed information and analyzing landslide inventory data collected on the damage, investigations and remedial can be retrieved: type of movement, detailed in a spatially aware digital format from individual measures. increasing detail (from: [13] ISPRA, 2008): Susceptibility/hazard assessment in Alpine regions geographical data, information about the quality, states. To get information about further landslides, A literature study regarding susceptibility/hazard A scale of 1:10,000 is used for surveying and the precision and the origin of the data, detailed the Oregon Department of Geology and Mineral mapping ([29] Posch-Trözmüller 2010) shows mapping the landslides throughout most of Italy, information about the mass movement (size, Industries, among others, has prepared an the different approaches to hazard assessment in only in high mountainous areas or in lower activity), the damage caused, the causes for the inventory form. Besides information about the alpine regions. populated areas is a scale of 1:25,000 used. As movement and geological information as well as exact location (coordinates) of a landslide, the with many regions, the region of South Tyrol information about the survey of the phenomenon. following specifications should be listed: date of (hazard maps) mainly heuristic methods are in (Autonome Provinz Bozen Südtirol, [27] Nössing A prototype landslide database has slide, activity, estimated dimension (length, width, practice. In this case scientific reports, geological 2009) also has a landslide database that resulted been established by Geoscience Australia in depth, volume, estimated dimensions from: aerial and morphological mapping are the basis for from the IFFI Project. The type of movement, the collaboration with the University of Wollongong photos, field evaluation), predominant type of weighting methods. Statistical analysis (bivariante litho-logical unit, the volume of the moving masses, and Mineral Resources Tasmania, displaying the material (rock, debris, earth, fill), predominant or multivariate) are used for the weighting. The the internal cause and the external trigger, as well location of the landslides on a map and providing type of movement (fall/topple, flow, translational weight of evidence method is based on a statistical as the induced damage are noted for each event. information regarding the type of landslide, date slide, rotational slide, spread), approximate Bayesian bivariate approach. Originally developed of occurrence (if known), a brief summary of the original slope (e.g.: 30° +/- 5°, estimated from for ore exploration, this probabilistic method is The extensive landslide database, For the assessment of natural hazards event, its cause and damage. e.g. 1:24K USGS topo map), land use where now commonly used for the statistical assessment creating susceptibility maps. Until now 2,800 In England after the Aberfan disaster the slide occurred (forested area, harvested area, of landslides. It is based on the assumption that landslides GEORISK of Bavaria, is an essential step to the UK government funded a number of research rural area, urban area, agriculture), cause of slide future landslides would be triggered or influenced database, with information about the type of projects to look at the UK’s geohazards ([33] (road construction, road cut, road fill, earthquake, by the same or similar controlling factors as movement, the extension, age and status of the Reeves 2010). Now in the UK the BGS investigates preexisting slide, steep natural slope, natural previously registered landslides ([15] Klingseisen landslides. The following landslide processes are geohazards by looking at primary geohazards such drainage, human built drainage, other), damage & Leopold 2006, [16] Klingseisen et al. 2006). recorded: flow ("Hangkriechen", "Schuttströme"), as earthquakes, volcanic eruptions and secondary caused by slide and additional comments. In Germany a recommendation on how slide ("Rutschungen", "Hanganbrüche"), fall/rock geohazards such as landslides, swelling/shrinking In California the landslide inventory to create a susceptibility map is given by the fall ("Steinschläge", "Felsstürze", "Bergstürze"), etc. Topics of consideration are the cause of maps are available at a scale of 1:24,000. “Geohazards” team of engineering geologists Karst, subsidence ("Erdfälle", "Dolinen", "Senken", events, return periods determined by analysis of The by of German federal governmental departments "Schwinden",..). Based on the inventory, maps past events, affected regions, influence of regional geomorphological analysis, interpretation of aerial of geology ([37] SGD 2007). Basic minimal were created, showing existing landslides and geology. An inventory is the first step in building an photographs and also by field reconnaissance, requirements for inventory records are defined, their activity (“Karten der Aktivitätsbereiche”). understanding of the occurrence of geohazards. interpretation of topographic map contours, and such as spatial positioning and technical data of The Slovenian landslide inventory map Currently BGS maintains two main shallow review of geological and landslide mapping. mass movements. Digital modelling (rock fall, is shown as a small inlet on the susceptibility geohazard databases: the National Landslide and Also, each landslide was classified according to shallow landslides) can be used to identify the map of Slovenia at a scale of 1:250,000. Personal the Karst Database. These inventories provide its activity: active or historic, dormant-young, susceptibility of areas to mass movements, verified information from M. Komac (Geo ZS) revealed the basis for analysing the spatial distribution dormant-mature, by landslide inventories or evaluation through have been documented in inventory was prepared primarily dormant-old. The landslide Seite 31 Seite 30 Key-note papers field work. Indications of active/inactive landslides indicative map is not obligatory in Switzerland, statistics (landslides) and cost analysis (rock falls), out an initial evaluation of the “level of attention” can be found by using registers, mapping and/or since the law refers to the standardized hazard working with a 25x25m grid. The inventory map is on a municipal basis. The level of attention was remote sensing (DTM) methods. Potential landslide map ([32] Raetzo & Loup 2009). Detailed included in the susceptibility map. Also, the local for example rated “very high”, when the landslide areas (where landslides have not yet taken place) information on hazard maps in Switzerland is department of the Austrian Service for Torrent points, polygons and lines intersected with urban, are determined by empirical methods in account given by Raetzo & Loup in this issue [31]. and Avalanche Control (WLV) creates “hazard industrial or commercial areas ([13] ISPRA 2008). of geological and morphological situation and maps” within the “hazard zonation plan”. In land use. Alternatively areas prone to landsliding framework concerning Upper Austria, Lower Austria and Burgenland, in cooperation with the IFFI Project (IFFI started can be derived semi-automatically by a cross-over landslides and rock fall in Austria - only the different approaches have been chosen to develop as a national project and is continued by the between DTM and a geological entity. Regarding course of actions concerning floods, avalanches susceptibility maps (different scales, processes) separate regions), as well as with the PAI Project. rock fall processes, source areas of rock fall are and debris flows are regulated by law (ordinance derived from existing data sets and maps ([29] For example, the region of Friuli Venezia Giulia derived in a first step from landslide inventories of hazard zone mapping, [34] Rudolf-Miklau & Posch-Trözmüller 2010): The main focus in has a landslide inventory that originated within and/or remote sensing (DTM). Usually Alpine Schmidt 2004) - the federal states all follow a Burgenland is concentrated on shallow landslides these two studies, collecting data from several areas with an inclination > 45° are potential rock different course of action. with an annual movement rate of 1-2cm. For different regional offices (in particular: Protezione fall escarpments. In the second step, the runout the prediction of landslide susceptibility based Civile della Regione and the Direzione Centrale zone is depicted by empiric angle methods a mass on morphological and geological factors, the Risorse Agricole, Naturali, Forestali e Montagna) (shadow angle, geometric slope angle) or physical movements in Austria (GEORIOS) containing method called Weights of Evidence was chosen as well as from other public subjects that work deterministic methods. The guidelines also include information of ([16] Klingseisen et al. 2006). In Lower Austria on the territory. It homogenizes the information flow processes, subrosion, subsidence and uplift. processes, geological, hydrological, geometric susceptibility maps have been created until now according to national standards and surveys new For the whole Bavarian Alps (about and geographical data, information on studies or using a heuristic approach based on geological data. The program is used for the evaluation of the 4.300 km²) ([23] Mayer 2007), an “extended tests carried out as well as mitigation measures expertise, historical data and interpretation of DTM hydrogeological hazard and risk and also to give a danger map” at a scale of 1:25,000 has already and the source of information (archives, field and aerial photos ([36] Schweigl & Hervas 2009). clear and updated view of the interventions made been presented or is being completed. That work) is in use. Susceptibility maps in different To provide the municipalities with assistance in in the region to preserve vulnerable areas. The means that, in contrast to the susceptibility map scales and with different methods (heuristic spatial planning, landslide susceptibility maps data is recorded in an official GIS structure called (without information on intensity and probability), approach, neural network analysis) have already were generated for the main settled areas in Upper Sitgeo (Geological Service Information System). it includes a qualitative statement about the been generated. Using the digital geological Austria (OÖ). The priority, which is a susceptibility The main focus lies on hazard assessment at the probability through a predefined “design event”. map (1:50,000), the inventory map, map of class, was evaluated on the basis of the in-tensity scale of a slope. The legend for the rock fall danger map discerns phenomena and a lithological map, susceptibility and the probability of an event for each type of between “indication of danger”, yes or no, the maps for Carinthia were generated in col- mass movement ([19] Kolmer 2009). As these of the whole country at a scale of 1:250,000 using legend for the danger map of superficial landslides laboration with the Geological Survey of Austria maps include the intensity and the frequency of statistical analyses ([20] Komac & Ribicic 2008). discerns 3 entries (source area, accumulation (GBA) and the Geological Survey of Carinthia at a mass movements, they can be called “hazard In 2002, BGS (England) developed a nationwide zone, none), the deep-seated landslides danger scale of 1:200,000 ([17] Kociu et al., 2006). These maps” by definition. Nevertheless it has to be susceptibility map also discerns 3 entries (indication, indication are, of course, still lacking information about taken into account that the method of generating geohazards such as landslides, skrink-swell, in extreme case, none). Because of the lack of a regulatory or technical norm At the Geological Survey of Austria, database-system about for the documenting different types The regions in Italy also have programs Slovenia generated a susceptibility map assessment of deterministic intensity and recurrence period or probability these maps did not include either field work or etc. called GeoSure ([33] Reeves 2010). It The Swiss indicative map (“Gefahren- of occurrence. For a small study area in Styria, remote sensing techniques. The method of assess- was developed from the 50K digital geology hinweiskarte”) is generated at a scale of the Geological Survey of Austria generated a ment is based solely on geological expertise. polygons (DiGMap50), published information, 1:10,000 to 1:50,000. The legend gives only the susceptibility map at a scale of 1:50,000 using information “indication of hazard” - yes or no, neural network analysis ([38] Tilch 2009). represents an important tool for landslide risk database, without specification of classes. It indicates the In Vorarlberg risk maps (susceptibility assessment, land use planning and mitigation database potential process areas of rock falls, landslides map, vulnerability map, risk map) were produced measures. By using the information contained in methods are used for hazard management by and debris flows. It doesn’t include information in the course of a university dissertation ([35] the database of the IFFI Project and the Corine primary geohazards, deterministic methods by about intensity or probability. The creation of an Ruff 2005). For modelling, he used bivariate Land Cover Project 2000, it was possible to carry secondary geohazards. The national project of Italy, IFFI, also expert judgement knowledge, national landslide national and geotechnical modified DTM. information Probabilistic Seite 33 Seite 32 Key-note papers A number of guidelines have been published in mapping (1:25,000), geomorphological mapping Australian method of hazard assessment, which indicative map (level 1). Important efforts are taken Australia by the Australian Geomechanics Society and analysis (1:5,000), landslide and engineering is quite different from the first ones, as well as when a hazard map is established or reviewed concerning mass movements and landslide risk data compilation, construction of digital elevation the method applied in the state of Washington (level 2). Hazard maps are an accurate delineation management, as well as slope management and models (10x10m). (USA), is also looked into (Tab. 2). Tab. 3 gives of zones on scales from 1:2,000 to 1:10,000. maintenance. These guidelines are tools that an overview about hazard maps generated in the Detailed analyses and engineering calculations were made to be introduced into the legislative 42° was chosen for modelling rock fall source considered countries. are foreseen for the planning of countermeasures framework of Australian governments at national, areas. It does not imply that rock fall will not state and local levels, and they are also useful for occur on lower slopes, but it becomes steadily Comparison of hazard assessment methods in Switzerland this concept of increased efforts for geological land use planning. less likely with reduced slope angles. A simple and Friuli Venezia Giulia (Italy) investigations when the assessment takes place For example, a threshold slope value of or for expertises (level 3). It is planned to apply of modelling approach was developed for modelling areas prone to landsliding is not yet commonly the rock fall runout area using the direction of The hazard maps in Switzerland are compared include undertaken in Australia: Because of a lack of maximum downhill slope defined by an aspect especially to Friuli Venezia Giulia. More detailed analyses, good inventory maps and validated inventory raster and calculating with a travel angle of 30°. information on the Swiss method is given by modelling and other methods. databases, landslide hazard mapping is very soil-slip Raetzo & Loup in this issue [31]. The Swiss limited. Determining temporal probability is often susceptibility maps have been produced. These method ([30] Raetzo 2002) and the method used Assessment of the intensity not possible because of the lack of historical show the relative susceptibility of hill slopes to in Italy ([21] Kranitz & Bensi 2009) are based on (Switzerland/ Friuli Venezia Giulia) information ([25] Middleman 2007). Landslide the initiation of rainfall triggered soil slip-debris an intensity-probability matrix. They differ from mapping is generally done on a site-specific scale flows. They do not attempt to show the extent each other in determining the intensity and the Intensities are assessed through a classification and is performed by geotechnical consultants for of runout of the resultant debris flows. The probability of a landslide event. that is represented in table 2. the purpose of zoning, building infrastructure susceptibility maps were created in an iterative In Switzerland, 5 degrees of hazard are The assessment of intensities in Switzerland and applying for development approvals ([25] process from two kinds of information: locations used. In Italy the hazard is rated in 4 classes (from is different for each process, also for floods Middleman 2007). Mineral Resources Tasmania of sites of past soil slips and aerial photographs very high [P4] to moderate [P1]). and snow avalanches ([30] Raetzo 2002). For (MRT, Department of Infrastructure, Energy and taken during six rainy seasons that produced Resources, State Government of Tasmania) is abundant soil slips. These were used as the basis the only state government agency in Australia for a soil slip-debris flow inventory. Also, digital to undertake several activities with respect elevation models (DTM) of the areas were used In Switzerland the method to establish the hazard high to low in three classes (high – medium – low) to mapping, to analyze the spatial characteristics of soil slip map was simplified as much as possible due to are needed: administration of declared landslide areas and locations. Slope and aspect values used in the the objective of facilitating its integration into •For rock falls, the intensity is defined by monitoring of a small number of problematic susceptibility analysis were 10 metre DTM cells at land use (planning). In order to have simple con- the energy. High intensity is defined as landslides. Mazengarb ([24], 2005) describes in a scale of 1:24,000. For convenience, the soil-slip struction regulations, only 5 degrees of hazard e≥300kJ, which is approximately the limit detail the methodology of creating the “Tasmanian susceptibility values are assembled on 1:100,000 were defined: high, medium, low, residual and landslide hazard map series” that started with a scale bases ([26] Morton et al. 2003). neglectable hazard. The degree of hazard is •For slides, the mean long-term velocity, defined in a hazard matrix based on intensity and the variation of the velocity (dv, or probability criteria ([32] Raetzo & Loup 2009). acceleration), the differential movement Regional landslides, susceptibility including mapping regional In southwestern California, pilot area coinciding with the Hobart municipality. The following basic information was used to Comparison of hazard assessment methods on the second or third level. These investigations geologic mapping, monitoring, geomorphologic geophysics, numerical continuous landslide processes, the only criterion Concepts of hazard assessment in Switzerland is the intensity. For spontaneous processes the intensity and the probability both ranging from of resistance of massive armored walls. For the planning of protection measures, more (D), and the depth of the slide (T) are used (note: In the report the maps are called “hazard Methods of hazard assessment used in Switzerland, detailed investigations and calculations are done to determine the intensity ([32] Raetzo & maps”, but on the homepage, where the maps are Italy (Friuli Venezia Giulia), Australia, France and (e.g. all energy classes). In general the methods accessible via the internet, the individual maps USA are considered in this section. First the Swiss used are related to the product, scales and the risk •For flowing processes like earth flows, the are called “susceptibility maps”, but, nonetheless, and the Italian methods are compared, as these in order to respect economic criteria. Applying potential thickness and the possible depth giving “hazard zones” in the legends.): geological define intensity and probability parameters. The this concept, low efforts were used for the swiss of the depo-sition determine the intensity. create the individual landslide hazard maps Loup 2009). Seite 35 Seite 34 Key-note papers For landslides and rock falls the Swiss evaluation Assessment of the probability for the statistical evaluation of the return period, Australia is normally based on intensity maps where 3 or (Switzerland/ Friuli Venezia Giulia) the values will be assigned by a typological In approach based on bibliographical data inherent susceptibility, hazard and risk zoning for land more classes can be chosen. (e.g. 10-20,000 kJ the Australian guidelines for landslide for rock falls). Swiss method ([32] Raetzo & Loup 2009): to the characteristics of temporal return of the use planning, the number of events per length In Italy, different methods of assessment The probability assessment of the Swiss method various typologies of landslides. This will be of source area per year (rock fall) or per square are used. For example, the regional method defines the probability in analogy to the recur- calibrated observations, kilometer of source area per year (slides) is used of Friuli Venezia Giulia ([21] Kranitz & Bensi rence periods used in flood and avalanche analyses of historical photos, and aerial pictures for describing the hazard of small landslides. For 2009) for rock fall: The intensities are classified protection (30, 100, 300 years return period), (which is also the case in the Swiss method) from large landslides, the annual probability of active by different methods using several tables. For fall which corresponds to yearly probabilities of 0.03, the year 1954 up to now, and historical data from sliding or the annual probability that movement processes, a table with definition of classes of the 0.01 and 0.003. An event with a return period local sources. The probability is then classified in will exceed a defined distance or the annual geometry is determined (after [12] Heinimann et higher than 300 years is normally also considered 4 classes: probability that cracking within a slide exceeds al. 1998). The classification takes into account the for the assessment (risk analysis, residual risk,…). block size of the rocks ([21] Kranitz & Bensi 2009). Another table determines the velocity factor (v), also ranging from 1- 3, using the definitions from The probability of an event has to be calculated Cruden & Varnes ([9], 1996). The intensity class, or estimated: ranging from 1- 9, is then determined with the a defined length is used to describe the hazard. It corresponds mainly to the flood prevention continuous and/or intermittent landslides, The description of the hazard should include the strategy. quiescent – episodic with high frequency) classification and the volume or the area of the •Big events (“Bergsturz”, >1mio m3) do not defined by the elements at risk. Comparison between the Swiss and the Italian geomorphologic landslides, recur. For smaller events the probability is geometry-velocity matrix. • For continuous slides the probability is 1 (or • high: on 1-30 years (active • medium: 30-100 years (quiescent – episodic landslides with medium frequency) •low: 100-300 years (quiescent – episodic landslides with low frequency) • >300 years (ancient landslides landslides. Whether landslide intensity is required for hazard zoning is to be determined on a caseby-case basis. For rock fall hazard zoning, it is or palaeolandslides). likely to be required. Therefore the frequency assessment is much more important for hazard intensity classification: 100%), meaning that the event is happening The differences in determining the intensity already. Scenarios are defined when sudden between the Swiss ([32] Raetzo & Loup 2009) landslide failure or acceleration can take and the Friuli method ([21] Kranitz & Bensi place. When fast moving landslides (debris France The landslide intensity is assessed as a spatial 2009) are: or earth slides according to Varnes) have Malet et al. ([22] 2007) describes the French distribution of: •For fall processes in the Italian method, long run-out distances, the process is methodology for landslide risk zoning (Plan the energy does not need to be calculated, moving into a flow. In this case the Swiss de Prévention des Risques), where 3 classes of only the block sizes and the velocity need method takes into account the change from risk (R1, R2, R3) with specific rules for land use to be determined, while in Switzerland the the first to the second move and criteria of regulations and urbanism can be represented energy is calculated. the flow processes are applied (see below). in a matrix depicting hazards and potential •the total displacement or zonation than the intensity according to AGS. Other approaches to hazard assessment Intensity assessment in Australia: •the velocity of sliding coupled with slide volume or •the kinetic energy (e.g. rock falls, rock avalanches), or •The probability for debris and earth flows is consequences. This qualitative method is based •the differential displacement or Switzerland determined through field work and based on the expert opinion of the scientist. No •the peak discharge per unit width (m3/m/ uses the mean long-term velocity for these on inventory data. Numerical modelling specific investigation is necessary, available data continuous landslides. of flow processes is also used and the and reports are sufficient. The scale of work is For basic and intermediate level assessments of importance of these results is rising. specified as 1:10,000. The hazard map is an intensity, only the velocity and volume might be interpretation of the type of processes, activity, assessed. But for the advanced assessments of •The Italian method does not differentiate for continuous processes. •The Swiss method determines 3 intensity classes to apply within the hazard matrix sec., e.g. debris flows) for the land use planning. If protection Method of Friuli Venezia Giulia ([21] Kranitz & age and magnitude of the processes; the hazard rock fall or debris flow hazard, the energy should measures are planned in Switzerland, all Bensi 2009): map is an interpretation of the type of processes, be determined. In AGS ([3] 2007b) it is noted that the energy values are taken into account. The possible frequency or occurrence probability activity, magnitude and frequency. The risk map is “there is no unique definition for intensity. Those The Italian method determines 9 intensity is determined through the records of historical the crossing of the hazard map and the inventory carrying out the zoning will have to decide which classes. events. If there is a lack of sufficient historical data map of major stakes ([22] Malet et al. 2007). definition is most appropriate for the study”. Seite 37 Seite 36 Key-note papers Frequency assessment in Australia: of this uncertainty, it has been common practice is regulated by a decree (“Verordnung des The Swiss regulations are described in more detail In AGS ([3], 2007b), the assessment of the to report the likelihood of landsliding using Bundesministeriums für Land- und Forstwirtschaft, by Raetzo in this issue [31]. frequency of a landslide event for the generation qualitative terms such as “likely”, “possible” or 1976“, BGBl. Nr. 436/1976). The scale usually of hazard maps is usually determined from the “unlikely”.” ranges between 1:2,000 and 1:5,000, it must not be assessed using the Swiss method ([30] Raetzo smaller than 1:50,000. The map gives information 2002). This method is similar to the method planned assessment of the recurrence intervals (the average In some regions of Italy the hazard is time between events of the same magnitude) of Procedures of hazard mapping about the determined effects in the relevant area by the Italian legislative body for hydrogeological the landslides. If the variation of recurrence inter- in the considered regions of catchment areas (torrent buffer areas) in red risk assessment. Appropriate changes have been and yellow hazard zones. The design event is introduced in order to standardize these aspects val is plotted against magnitude of the event, a magnitude-frequency curve is obtained. Tab. 3 gives an overview of hazard maps generated determined by a return period of 150 years. and contextualize the method for territorial in the considered countries. In the red hazard zone, infrastructures jurisdiction ([21] Kranitz & Bensi 2009). Four frequency include: historical records; sequences In Germany a recommendation on how to create cannot be maintained or can only be maintained classes of hazards are distinguished, ranging of aerial photographs and/or satellite images; a susceptibility map is given by the “Geohazards” with a very high effort due to the high intensity from very high (P4 “molto elevata”), high (P3 silent The methods listed for determining the landslide team of engineering geologists of German federal or a high recurrence of avalanches or torrential “elevata”), medium (P2 “media”), to moderate (P1 triggering events (rain storms, earthquakes); proxy governmental departments of geology ([37] SGD events. “moderata”). data (e.g. pollen deposition, lichen colonization, 2007). In 2007, the LfU completed the Landslide The yellow hazard zone includes all The French hazard map, PPR, Plan fauna assemblages in ponds generated by a susceptibility map of Oberallgäu (Bavaria). For other areas affected by avalanches and torrents. de prevention des risques, is made by the local landslide,…); geomorphologic features (ground this map, the processes of rock falls, superficial The constant use of these areas by infrastructures authorities (mayors), but with support by national cracks, fresh scarps,…); subjective assessment. landslides and deep seated landslides were is affected due to these hazards. The hazard agencies like CEMAGREF or agencies of the It is further noted that “landslides of treated separately. The susceptibility maps for rock zone map also delineates blue areas (for the departments. It was introduced in 1995. Made different types and sizes do not normally have falls and superficial landslides were created using implementation of technical or forestal measures by the municipalities at a scale of 1:10,000 the same frequency (annual probability) of modelling, whereas the susceptibility map for as well as protective measures), as well as brown -1:25,000, the plans need to be authorized occurrence. Small landslide events often occur deep seated landslides was created empirically, and violet reference areas. by the prefects in collaboration with the local more frequently than large ones. Different assuming that deep seated landslides tend to occur The brown reference areas are areas authorities and the civil society, such as insurance landslide types and mechanics of sliding have in areas already affected by landslides in the past, presumably affected by other hazards than companies. The PPR gives information about the different triggers (e.g. rainfalls of different but taking into consideration that process areas torrents or avalanches, like rock fall or landslides. identification of danger zones; 3 classes of risk intensity, duration and antecedent conditions; can expand during reactivation of a landslide. The The violet reference areas are areas, where soil with specific rules for land use regulations and earthquakes of different magnitude and peak basic data used for the investigations contained and terrain have to be protected in order to keep urbanism can be represented. The method is a ground acceleration) with different recurrence the following: topographic map 1:25,000, raster up their protective function. qualitative method based on the expert judgment periods. Because of this, to quantify hazard, an format; geological map 1:25,000 or 1:50,000 and In Switzerland, the Federal Office for of the scientist. There are PPRs for floods, mass appropriate relationship also maps in smaller scales where the detailed the Environment FOEN (Bundesamt für Umwelt, movements, avalanches and wood fires. Non- should in principle be established for every maps were not available, vector format; DTM, BAFU) is responsible for creating guidelines observance of the PPR has legal consequences. landslide type in the study area. In practice, the 10m raster data; aerial photographs 1:18,000 and concerning protection against natural hazards In Spain the Geological Institute of data available is often limited and this can only be orthophotos; data on forests; GEORISK data (BIS- (floods, mass movements, snow avalanches). The Catalonia (IGC) is responsible to “study and done approximately.” A row of useful references BY); data on catchment areas; historical data. concepts are similar for these processes to reach assess geological hazards, including avalanches, on frequency assessment are listed in AGS ([3], In Austria only the Austrian Service for a certain level of protection. Protection against to propose measures to develop hazard forecast, 2007b). Torrent and Avalanche Control (WLV) generates natural hazards takes place on the principle of prevention and mitigation and to give support integral risk management, taking into account: to other agencies competent in land and urban witnesses; correlation with magnitude-frequency In AGS ([1], 2000) it is noted that “even hazard maps, called “Gefahrenzonenkarte” or if extensive investigation is carried out, assessing “hazard zone maps” for floods, avalanches and •Prevention of an event the probability of landsliding (particularly for an debris flows within the “Hazard zonation plan” •Conflict management during an event unfailed natural slope) is difficult and involves (“Gefahrenzonenplan”). This is regulated by law • Regeneration much uncertainty and judgement. In recognition (Forest Act BGBL. 440/1975). The implementation an event. and reconstruction planning, and in emergency management” ([28] Oller et al. 2010). Therefore, the IGC is charged after with making official hazard maps with such finality. These maps comply with the Catalan Seite 39 Seite 38 Key-note papers Urban Law (1/2005), which indicates that in those hazard zonation maps at a scale of 1:12,000. rainfall-triggered soil-slip debris flows ([26] Mor- through time and represent the main resource for places where a risk exists, building is not allowed. The hazard assessment included evaluating a ton et al., 2003). susceptibility/hazard assessment. The evidence For hazard mapping, the work is done on two “landslide frequency rate (LFR)“ and a “landslide The state of Utah prepared a landslide identified in the field are the facts dealing with scales: land planning scale (1:25,000), and urban area rate for delivery (LAR)”. The LFR is obtained susceptibility map for the whole state at a scale natural hazards. Inventories are the essential base scale (1:5,000 or more detailed). These scales by taking the number of delivering landslides of 1:500,000 for deep seated landslides, based for accurate hazard/risk assessment and have imply different approaches and methods to obtain per landform, divided by the total area of that on existing landslides and slope angle thresholds therefore to be established by authorities. hazard parameters. The maps are generated in landform, and normalized to the period of study. for different geologic units. The susceptibility is the framework of a mapping plan or as the final The LAR is the area of delivering landslides delineated in 4 classes: high – moderate – low – movements product of a specific hazard report. normalized to the period of study and the area of very low ([10] Giraud & Shaw, 2007). methods of hazard assessment difficult. Guidelines The Australian AGS guidelines ([1] AGS, each landform. The resulting values are multiplied 2000, [2]- [6] AGS 2007a-e) provide for a hazard by one million for easier interpretation. zonation at a local (1:5,000 -1:25,000) and a site In California soil-slip susceptibility maps specific (>1:5,000, typically 1:5,000 -1:1,000) were produced at a scale of 1:24,000 delineating Guzzetti ([11], 2005) discusses hazard assessment scale with 5 hazard descriptors: very high – high the susceptibility in 3 classes: low, moderate and in his thesis: “Despite the time [since the defini- – moderate – low – very low. high. They give information about the relative sus- tion of “landslide hazard” given by Varnes and the ceptibility of hill slopes to the initiation sites of IAEG Commission on Landslides and other Mass The state of Washington (USA) generated Conclusion and recommendations the title or the intention of the authors, deal with Informationsebene hazard”, landslide hazard assessment at the basin Thematische Inventarkarte qualitativ / semiquantitativ Gefahrenhinweiskarte to difficulties associated with the quantitative the literature survey, this unfortunately proved to be true and contributed to the confusion existing with definitions ([29] Posch-Trözmüller 2010). Dispostionskarte Grunddispositionskarte Erweiterte Dispositionskarte The differences call first for a national harmonization and second for international comparable methods (minimal requirements). Gefahrenpotentialkarte (Karte der potentiellen Wirkungsbereiche) To assess landslide hazards, the geological, morphological, hydrogeological and hydrological conditions must be known and analysed: The differences regarding acquisition of quantitativ Interpretationsebene / Bewertungsebene scale is sparse. And further: “This is largely due determination of landslide hazard.” In carrying out Standortparameter und -verhältnisse Gefahrenkarte information and assessment of the susceptibility/ hazard of slopes to landslides and rock fall shown Risikokarte Fig. 1: Workflow of hazard mapping. ([18] Kociu et al. 2010) Abb. 1: Flussdiagramm zum Prozess Gefahrenkartierung. ([18] Kociu et al. 2010) concerning final objective and the scale of product. landslide susceptibility and not with landslide Ereigniskarte regulations minimal requirements taking into account the of published papers – most of which, in spite of Ereigniskataster makes regarding hazard assessment should declare the Movements ([39], 1984)] and the extensive list Prozesshinweiskarte (Karte der Phänomene) The variability of phenomena of mass in the chapter above call for a “harmonization” of the minimal different methods requirements). (e.g. parameters, Hazard assessment needs information about possible scenarios. Landslide inventories sustain landslide knowledge x x x x geotechnical properties geotechnical parameters rock mass structure joints/ joint spacing x x structural contributions x x weathering discontinuities x bedding attitude x material Tab. 1: Vergleich der Informationen in Ereigniskatastern Tab. 1: Comparison of information collected for different inventories Reports etc. x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x S By x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x CH x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x Degree of precision info/ reliability x x Remedial measures MM x CH Methods used x "Hazard" to infrastructure x x x K D x x Damage x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x Austria Costs of measures and investigation x Silent witnesses Precursory signs x x rate of movement Causes, Trigger x type Classification water content x Classification of mass movements x x x lithology/ stratigraphy x x x x x x x x x x x x Hydrogeology Relationship to rainfall NÖ x x x x slope geologic/ tectonic unit x x slope aspect depth to failure plane depth to bedrock site description Land cover/ use Geology, specified Geology in general x approx. original slope x x x reported when slope position x who geometry x why x x what activity x when Landslide conditions x where Basic information GBA x Inventory Countries x x x x x x x x x x x SLO SLO IT x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x IT x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x F F x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x AUS AUS O x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x W USA x x x x x x x x x U Seite 41 Seite 40 Key-note papers dv, D, T dv, D, T presence of dolines verified SG=2 (d=0.52m), v=2 (16mm/year to 1,8m/hour) SG=2 (depth: 2-15m), v=2 (16mm/year to 1,8m/hour) intensity 3 SG=3 (d>2m), v=1 (<16mm/ year) or: SG=1 (<0.5m), v=3 (very high to extremely rapid: 3m/min to 5m/sec.) SG=3 (depth>15m), v=1 (<16mm/ year) or: SG=1 (depth<2m), v=3 (very high to extremely rapid: 3m/min to 5m/sec.) dolines potentially existing or soluble rocks (gypsum, etc.) intensity 2 SG=2 (meaning: block diameter 0.5-2m), v=1 (meaning extremely slow, <16mm/ year), or: SG=1 (<0.5m) and v=2 (16mm/year to 1,8m/hour) intensity 1 SG=1 and v=1 (meaning: block diam.<0.5m extremely slow, <16mm/ year) or v=2 (meaning: very slow (16mm/ year to rapid [1.8m/hour]) SG=2 (depth: 2-15m), v=1 SG=1 (<0.5m), (<16mm/year), v=1 (16mm/ or: SG=1 year to 1.8m/ (<2m), v=2 hour) (16mm/year to 1,8m/hour) Whether landslide intensity is required for hazard zoning is to be determined on a case-by-case basis. For rock fall hazard zoning it is likely to be required. The landslide intensity is assessed as a spatial distribution of: The kinetic energy or or the total displacement or the differential displacement, or The velocity of sliding coupled with slide volume or the total displacement or the differential displacement, or The peak discharge per unit width (m3/m/sec., e.g. debris flows) subsidence Italy rock fall slide Australia rock fall, rock avalanche slide flow SG=2 (depth: 2-15m), v=3 (3m/min. to 5m/sec.) SG=2 (d=0.52m), v=3 (3m/ min. to 5m/ sec.) intensity 6 SG=3 (depth>15m), v=3 (3m/min. to 5m/sec.) SG=3 (d>2m), v=3 (3m/min. to 5m/sec.) intensity 9 dolines and danger of collapsing v>10cm/year, dislocation per event >1m dv, D, T Tab. 2: Vergleich Intensität – Gefahrenabschätzung in der Schweiz, in Italien und in Australien Tab. 2: Comparison of the intensity-assessment in Switzerland, Italy and Australia For basic and intermediate level assessments of intensity only the velocity and volume might be assessed, but for advanced assessments of rock fall or debris flow hazard the energy should be assessed. intensity 4 dv, D, T dv, D, T creep (+Permafrost) 2cm/year<v<10cm/year v≤2cm/year M>2m; h>1m 0.5m<M<2m; h<1m M<0.5m flow (earth flow) M>2m; h>1m M<0.5m dv, D, T v>10cm/year, (or 1m dislocation per event) E>300kJ high intensity spontaneous slides 0.5m<M<2m; h<1m 2cm/year<v<10cm/year v≤2cm/year continous slides 30kJ<E<300kJ E<30kJ rock fall moderate intensity low intensity Switzerland source: AGS ([2], 2007a) Kranitz & Bensi ([21], 2009) SG=geometry factor, v=velocity factor Raetzo & Loup ([32], 2009) h=thickness of accumulation of shallow slide or flow M=thickness of potentially displaced mass v=velocity dv=variation of v, acceleration D=differential movement T=thickness E=energy Seite 43 Seite 42 Key-note papers Seite 45 Seite 44 Key-note papers Richard Bäk Amt der Kärntner Landesregierung Abt. 15 Umwelt 3 statistical x 1:12,000 USA: Washington Anschrift der Verfasser / Authors’ addresses: Flatschacher Straße 70, A – 9020 Klagenfurt Karl Mayer 5 statistic and empirical x x 1:5,0001:25,000 Australia: AGS Unterabteilung Geologie und Bodenschutz Bayerisches Landesamt für Umwelt Ref. 61 Hochwasserschutz und alpine 2 (3) qualitative x 1:10,000 (urban), -1:25,000 (rural) Naturgefahren 5 Legend: Levels of hazard Tab. 3: Vergleich von verschiedenen Gefahrenkarten, Maßstäben und Legenden (Grad der Gefahren) 2 (for torrent and debris flow), indication for landslides and rock fall Geologische Bundesanstalt Tab. 3: Comparison of different hazard maps, their scales and legends (levels of hazard) 4 quantitative, statistic, empirical Method (assessment, modelling) 5 empirical, probabilistic quantitative, statistical (incl. field investigation) 150 years quantitative, statistic, qualitative (incl. field investigation) 30 years 100 years 300 years >300 years 30 years 100 years 300 years (Residual risk zones for RP>300y) Return periods considered for land use (probability) x Gerlinde Posch-Trözmüller x Basic data: susceptibility map D – 80636 München Basic data: inventory eventually x x x national is possible, regional detail 1:2,000- 1:10,000 1:2,0001:5,000 Scale Italy: Guzzetti Italy: Friuli, Veneto Austria: WLV Comparison of hazard maps Gewässerschutz Lazarettstraße 67 Switzerland: FOEN/BAFU Countries/ projects France: PPR Abt. 6 Wasserbau, Hochwasserschutz, Fachabteilung Rohstoffgeologie Literatur / References: [1] AGS - AUSTRALIAN GEOMECHANICS SOCIETY, SUB-COMMITTEE ON LANDSLIDE RISK MANAGEMENT (2000): Landslide Risk Management Concepts and Guidelines. Australian Geomechanics, Vol 35, No 1, March 2000. [2] AGS (2007a). Guideline for Landslide Susceptibility, Hazard and Risk Zoning for Land Use Planning. Australian Geomechanics Society. Australian Geomechanics, Vol 42, No 1, March 2007. [3] AGS (2007b). Commentary on Guideline for Landslide Susceptibility, Hazard and Risk Zoning for Land Use Planning. Australian Geomechanics Society. Australian Geomechanics, Vol 42, No 1, March 2007. [4] AGS (2007c). Practice Note Guidelines for Landslide Risk Management. Australian Geomechanics Society. Australian Geomechanics, Vol 42, No 1, March 2007. [5] AGS (2007d). Commentary on Practice Note Guidelines for Landslide Risk Management 2007. Australian Geomechanics Society. Australian Geomechanics, Vol 42, No 1, March 2007. [6] AGS (2007e). The Australian GeoGuides for slope management and maintenance. Australian Geomechanics Society. Australian Geomechanics, Vol 42, No 1, March 2007. [7] BÄK, EBERHART, GOLDSCHMIDT, KOCIU, LETOUZE-ZEZULA & LIPIARSKI: Ereigniskataster und Karte der Phänomene als Werkzeug zur Darstellung geogener Naturgefahren (Massenbewegungen), Arb. Tagg. Geol. B.-A., Gmünd 2005. Neulinggasse 38, A-1030 Wien [8] BWG - BUNDESAMT FÜR WASSER UND GEOLOGIE: Naturgefahren, Symbolbaukasten zur Kartierung der Phänomene, 2002 Andreas von Poschinger [9] CRUDEN D.M. UND VARNES D.J.: Landslide types and processes. In: A. Keith Turner & Robert L. Schuster (eds): Landslide investigation and mitigation: 36-75. Transportation Research Board, special report 247. Washington: National Academy Press, 1996. Bayerisches Landesamt für Umwelt Abt. 10 Geologischer Dienst Ref.106 Ingenieurgeologie, Georisiken, [10] GIRAUD, R.E., SHAW, L.M.: Landslide Susceptibility Map of Utah. MAP 228DM, Utah Geological Survey, Utah Department of Natural Resources, Salt Lake City 2007. Lazarettstraße 67, D – 80636 München [11] GUZZETTI, F.: Landslide hazard and risk assessment. Diss. Math.-Naturwiss. Fak. Univ. Bonn, Bonn 2005. Hugo Raetzo [12] HEINIMANN, H.R., VISSER, R.J.M., STAMPFER, K.: Harvester-cable yarder system evaluation on slopes: A Central European study in thinning operations. In: Schiess, P. and Krogstad, F. (Eds.): COFE Proceedings “Harvesting logistic: from woods to markets”, 41-46. Portland, OR, 20-23 July, 1998. Federal Office for the Environment FOEN Bundesamt für Umwelt BAFU CH - 3003 Bern, Schweiz [13] ISPRA INSTITUTE FOR ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AND RESEARCH: Landslides in Italy. Special report 2008. 83/2008, Rome 2008. [14] KIENHOLZ, H., KRUMMENACHER, B.: Empfehlungen Symbolbaukasten zur Kartierung der Phänomene Ausgabe 1995, Mitteilungen des Bundesamtes für Wasser und Geologie Nr. 6, 41 S., Reihe Vollzug Umwelt VU-7502-D, Bern 1995. Seite 47 Seite 46 [15] KLINGSEISEN, B., LEOPOLD, PH.: Landslide Hazard Mapping in Austria.-GIM International 20 (12): 41-43, 2006. [27] NÖSSING, L.: Gefahrenzonenplanung in Südtirol. Vortrag im Landesgeologentages 2009, 26.2.2009, St. Pölten 2009. [16] KLINGSEISEN, B., LEOPOLD, PH., TSCHACH, M.: Mapping Landslide Hazards in Austria: GIS Aids Regional Planning in NonAlpine Regions. ArcNews 28 (3): 16, 2006. [28] OLLER, P., GONZALEZ, M., PINYOL, J., MARTINEZ, P.: Hazard mapping in Catalonia. Vortrag Workshop AdaptAlp, 17.3.2010, Bozen 2010. [17] KOCIU, A., LETOUZE-ZEZULA, G., TILCH, N., GRÖSEL, K.: Georisiko-Potenzial Kärnten; Entwicklung einer GIS-basierten Gefahrenhinweiskarte betreffend Massenbewegungen auf Grundlage einer digitalen geologischen Karte (1:50,000) und eines georeferenzierten Ereigniskatasters. Endbericht, Gefährdungskarte, Ausweisung von Bereichen unterschiedlicher Suszeptibilität für verschiedene Typengruppen der Massenbewegung. Bund/Bundesländerkooperation KC-29, Bibl. Geol. B.-A., Wiss. Archiv, Wien, 2006 [29] POSCH-TRÖZMÜLLER, G.: AdaptAlp WP 5.1 Hazard Mapping - Geological Hazards. Literature Survey regarding methods of hazard mapping and evaluation of danger by landslides and rock fall. Final Report, Geologische Bundesanstalt, Wien, 2010 [18] KOCIU, A., TILCH N., SCHWARZ L,. HABERLER A., MELZNER S.: GEORIOS - Jahresbericht 2009; Geol.B.-A. Wien 2010. [19] KOLMER, CH.: Geogenes Baugrundrisiko Öberösterreich. Vortrag im Rahmen des Landesgeologentages 2009, 26.2.2009, St. Pölten, 2009. [20] KOMAC, M.; RIBICIC, M.: Landslide Susceptibility Map of Slovenia 1:250,000. Geological Survey of Slovenia, Ljubljana 2008. [21] KRANITZ, F., BENSI, S.: The BUWAL method. In: Posch-Trözmüller, G. (Ed.): Second Scientific Report to the INTERREG IV A project MASSMOVE - Minimal standards for compilation of danger maps like landslides and rock fall as a tool for disaster prevention. Attachment 4 to the second progress report, Geological Survey of Austria, Wien, 2009. [22] Malet, J.-P.; Thiery, Y.; Maquaire, O.; Sterlacchini, S.; van Beek, L.P.H.; van Asch, Th.W.J.; Puissant, A.; Remaitre, A.: Landslide risk zoning: What can be expected from model simulations? JRC Expert Meetings on Guidelines for Mapping Areas at Risk of Landslides in Europe 23-24 October 2007, JRC, Ispra EU, 2007. [23] MAYER, K.: Maßnahme 3.2a „Schaffung geologischer und hydrologischer Informationsgrundlagen“. Vorhaben „Gefahrenhinweiskarte Oberallgäu“. Bayerisches Landesamt für Umwelt, München 2007. [24] MAZENGARB, C.: The Tasmanian Landslide Hazard Map Series: Methodology. Tasmanian Geological Survey Record 2005/04, Mineral Resources Tasmania, 2005. [25] MIDDELMANN, M. H. (ED.): Natural Hazards in Australia: Identifying Risk Analysis Requirements. Geoscience Australia, Canberra 2007. [26] MORTON, D.M., ALVAREZ, R.M., CAMPBELL, R.H.: Preliminary soil-slip susceptibility maps, southwestern California. USGS Open-File Report OF 03-17, Riverside, 2003. Rahmen des [30] RAETZO, H.: Hazard assessment in Switzerland – codes of practice for mass movements, International Association of Engineering Geology IAEG Bulletin, 2002. [31] REATZO, H. & LOUP, B.: Geological hazard assessment in Switzerland (this issue) [32] RAETZO, H. & LOUP, B. ET AL.; BAFU: Schutz vor Massenbewegungen. Technische Richtlinie als Vollzugshilfe. Entwurf 9. Sept. 2009. [33] REEVES, H.: Geohazards: The UK perspective. Vortrag Workshop AdaptAlp, 17.3.2010, Bozen 2010. [34] RUDOLF-MIKLAU F. & SCHMIDT F.: Implementation, application and enforcement of hazard zone maps for torrent and avalanches control in Austria, Forstliche Schriftenreihe, Universität für Bodenkultur Wien, Bd. 18, p. 83-107, 2004. [35] RUFF, M.: GIS-gestützte Risikonanalyse für Rutschungen und Felsstürze in den Ostalpen (Vorarlberg, Österreich). Georisikokarte Vorarlberg. Diss. Univ. Karlsruhe, 2005. [36] SCHWEIGL, J.; HERVAS, J.: Landslide Mapping in Austria. JRC Scientific and Technical Report EUR 23785 EN, Office for Official Publications of the European Communities, 61 pp. ISBN 978-92-79-11776-3, Luxembourg, 2009. [37] SGD, PERSONENKREIS GEOGEFAHREN: Geogene Naturgefahren in Deutschland- Empfehlungen der Staatlichen Geologischen Dienste (SGD) zur Erstellung von Gefahrenhinweiskarten., 2007. [38] TILCH, N.: Datenmanagementsystem GEORIOS (Geogene Risiken Österreich). Vortrag im Rahmen des Landesgeologentages 2009, 26.2.2009, St. Pölten 2009. [39] VARNES, D.J. AND IAEG COMMISSION ON LANDSLIDES AND OTHER MASS-MOVEMENTS: Landslide hazard zonation: a review of principles and practice. The UNESCO Press, Paris, 1984. Seite 49 Seite 48 Key-note papers Zusammenfassung: In den Bergregionen treten an Steilhängen verschiedene Arten von Massenbewegungen auf, die Wasser und Sedimente mit sich führen: Muren, Bergsturz und Steinschlag. Das Ziel dieser Abhandlung ist es, einen kurzen Überblick über die vergangenen Analysen der Gefahren von Hangmassenbewegungen zu geben. Obwohl der Schwerpunkt auf Bergstürzen liegt, können die präsentierten Ansätze auch zur Gefahrenbeurteilung von Muren und Steinschlag verwendet werden. Insbesondere Bergstürze und Muren sind sehr häufig miteinander verflochten. Im Folgenden wird „Bergsturz“ im weiteren Sinn als ein Begriff verwendet, der nicht nur auf einen Erdrutsch zu beziehen ist, sondern auch auf andere Hangmassenbewegungen. Schlüsselwörter: Bergstürze, Muren, Felssturz, numerische Ansätze, Bergsturzgefahrenanalyse movements on slopes, including rock-fall, topples 1. The “Early Ages” MATEJA JEMEC, MARKO KOMAC An Overview of Approaches for Hazard Assessment of Slope Mass Movements Ein Überblick über die Ansätze zur Gefahrenbeurteilung von Massenbewegung Summary: In mountainous areas, various types of mass movements occur on steep slopes involving water and sediment: debris flows, landslides and rockfalls. The aim of this paper is to gather a short overview of the past analyses that dealt with the hazard assessment of slope mass movements. Although the main focus is on landslides, the approaches presented can be used to assess debris flows and rockfall hazards. In particular, landslides and debris flow are very often interlaced between each other. In the following text, the term “landslide” will be used as a term that might not always be strictly connected to only landslides but also to other slope mass movements. In a way it has a broader meaning. Keywords: landslides, debris-flows, rockfall, numerical approaches, landslide hazard assessment and debris flow, that involve little or no true sliding”. Cruden (1991) moderated the accepted The first extensive papers on the use of spatial definition as “the movement of a mass of rock, information in a digital context for landslide earth or debris down a slope”. Later different susceptibility mapping date back to the late working groups were established to support a seventies and early eighties of the last century. specific level of standardisation in fields related Among the pioneers in this field were Carrara to landslides (UNESCO, IUGS, ISSMGE, ISRM et al. (1977) in Italy and Brabb et al. (1978) in and IAEG) and created the JTC (Joint Technical California. Nowadays, practically all research Committee on Landslides and Engineered Slopes), on landslide susceptibility and hazard mapping which continues to work for the standardisation makes use of digital tools for handling spatial data and promotion of research on landslides among such as GIS, GPS and Remote Sensing. These tools the different disciplines. A large set of definitions also have defined, to a large extent, the type of was later presented by ISSMGE TC32 (Technical analysis that can be carried out. It can be stated Committee on Risk Assessment and Management, that to a certain degree the capability of GIS 2004) where international terms recognized for tools and the accuracy of the in-situ and remote hazard, vulnerability, risk and disaster can also sensing data have determined the current state of be found. Since these definitions were published, the art in landslide hazard and risk assessment. many Many publications about landslides and some (Einstein, 1988; Fell, 1994; Soeters and van Westen, worldwide landslide research problems can be 1996; Wu et al., 1996; Cruden and Fell, 1997; van found in the literature of Einstein (1988), Fell Westen et al., 2003; Lee and Jones, 2004; Glade et (1994), Dai et al. (2002) and Glade et al. (2005). al., 2005) allowing one to conclude that nowadays approaches have been implemented definitions regarding landslides risk assessment 2. Terminology are generally accepted. The latest information of guidelines for landslide susceptibility, hazard and The term landslide was defined by Varnes and risk zoning are published by JTC-1 (2008) and van IAEG (1984) as “almost all varieties of mass Westen et al. (2008). Seite 51 Seite 50 Key-note papers Data layer and types Accompanying data in tables Used methods for data collecting 1. Landslide occurrence Landslides Type, activity, depth, dimensions, etc Fieldwork, orthophoto, satellite images 2. Environmental (preparatory) factors Terrain mapping units Units description In-situ survey (fieldwork), satellite images Geomorphological units Geomorphological description Ortophoto, fieldwork, high resolution DEM Digital elevation model (DEM) Altitude classes SRTM DEM data, topographic map Slope map Slope angle classes With GIS form DEM Aspect map Slope direction classes With GIS form DEM Slope length Slope length classes With GIS form DEM Slope shape Concavity/convexity With GIS form DEM Internal relief Altitude/area classes With GIS form DEM Drainage density Longitude/area classes With GIS form DEM Landslide related data can be grouped into four flow are very often interlaced between each main sets, Table 1 (Soeters and van Westen, 1996). other (Fig.1). In many cases, heavy precipitation that is recognised as the main cause, and thresholds have Debris several flows are sub-categories processes different under different climatic conditions have been characteristics. Debris flows are gravity-induced and empirically evaluated (Caine, 1980; Canuti et mass movements, intermediate between land al., 1985; Fleming et al., 1989; Mainali and sliding and water flooding, with mechanical Rajaratnam, 1994; Anderson, 1995; Cruden and characteristics different from either of these Varnes, 1996; Finlay et al., 1997; Crosta, 1998; processes (Johnson, 1970). According to Varnes Crozier, 1999; Dai et al., 1999; Glade, 2000; (1978), debris flow is a form of rapid mass Alcantara-Ayala, 2004; Fiorillo and Wilson, 2004; movement of rocks and soils in a body of granular Lan et al., 2004; Malet et al., 2005; Wen and solid, water, and air, analogous to the movement Aydin, 2005). Landslides may mobilise to form of liquids. In the landslide classification of Cruden debris flows by three processes: (a) widespread and Varnes (1996), debris flows are flow-like Coulomb failure within a sloping soil, rock, or Lithology, rock strength, weathering process Fieldwork and laboratory tests, archives, orthophoto landslides with less than 80% of sand and finer sediment mass, (b) partial or complete liquefaction Soils and material sequences Soils types, materials, depth, grain size, distribution, bulk density Modelling form lithological map, geomorphological map and slope map, fieldwork and laboratory analysis particles. Velocities vary between very rapid and of the mass by high pore-fluid pressure, and (c) extremely rapid with typical velocities of 3 m/min conversion of landslide translational energy to Structural geological map Fault type, length, dip, dip direction, fold axis Fieldwork, satellite images, orthofoto and 5 m/sec, respectively. Landslides and debris internal vibrational energy (Iverson et al., 1997). Vertical movements Vertical movements, velocities Geodetic data, satellite data Land use map Land use type, tree density root depth Satellite images, orthofoto, fieldwork Drainage Type, order and length Orthophoto, topographic map Catchment areas Order, size Orthophoto, topographic map Water table Depth of water table in time Hydraulic stations Rainfall and maximum probabilities Precipitation in time Meteorological stations and modelling Earthquakes and seismic acceleration Earthquakes database and maximum sesismic acceleration Seismic data, engineering geological data and modelling Population Number, sex, age, etc. Statistics information Transportation system and facilities Roads and railroad types, facilities types Atlas, topographic map, local information Lifeline utility system Types of lifeline network and capacity of fascilities Atlas, topographic map, local information Building Type of structure and occupation Topographic map, Housing information Industry Industry production and type Atlas, topographic map, local information Services facilities Number and type of health, educational, cultural and sport facilities Atlas, topographic map, local information Tourism facilities Type of touristy facilities Atlas, topographic map, local information Natural resources Area without natural resources combined Atlas, topographic map, local information Lithologies 3. Triggering factors 4. Elements at risk Tab. 1: Summary of data needed for landslide hazard and risk assessment. Adapted from Soeters and van Westen (1996). Tab. 1: Zusammenfassung der Daten für Erdrutsch-Gefährdungs- und Risikoanalyse. Adaptiert von Soeters und van Westen (1996). Fig. 1: Classification of slope mass movements as a ratio of solid fraction and material type. Modified after Coussot and Meunier (1996). Abb. 1: Klassifikation von Massenbewegungen als Verhältnis von Geschiebefraktion und Materialart. Modifiziert nach Coussot und Meunier (1996). Seite 53 Seite 52 Key-note papers Rockfall is one of the most common mass and morphogenetic behaviour of the landslides, van Westen and Terlien, 1996; Soeters and Westen, 2004; Wen and Aydin, 2005; Zezere et al., 2005; movement processes in mountain regions and is and computing capabilities of software and 1996; van Asch et al., 1999; Zaitchik et al., 2003; Giannecchini, 2006; Jakob et at., 2006). While defined as the free falling, bouncing or rolling hardware tools). Mazengarb, 2004; Schmidt and Dikau, 2004; some of them deal with specific cases, others are of individual or a few rocks and boulders, with Firstly, inventory analysis, which are Mayer et al., 2010), which is based on hydrological more concerned with the statistical relationship volumes involved generally being < 5 m3 (Berger based on the analysis of the spatial and temporal and slope instability models to evaluate the safety for creating correlations models and even produce et al., 2002). Numerous studies exist concerning distribution of landslide attributes and such factor. Montgomery et al. (1994, 1998 and 2000) forecasting models based on rainfall threshold various aspects of rockfall, such as the dynamic inventories are the basis of most susceptibility have attributed a great importance to precipitation values. behaviour (Ritchie, 1963; Erismann, 1986; Azzoni mapping techniques. On detailed landslide and many other investigations have also been et al., 1995), boulder reaction during ground inventory maps, the basic information for carried out about the relationship between rainfall applied to landslide hazard and susceptibility contact (Bozzolo et al., 1986; Hungr and Evans, evaluating and reducing landslide hazards on and landslides (Crozier, 1999; Lida, 1999; Dai assessment are artificial neural network (ANN) 1988; Evans and Hungr, 1993), or runout distances a regional or local level may be provided. Such and Lee, 2001; Guzzetti et al., 2007). For rainfall tools. ANN is a useful approach for problems of falling rocks (Kirkby and Statham, 1975; Statham maps include the state of activity, certainty of induced failures, these models couple shallow such as regression and classification, since it and Francis, 1986; Okura et al., 2000). Much identification, dominant type of slope movement, subsurface flow caused by rainfalls of various has the capability of analyzing complex data research was also done on the possible triggers primary direction, and estimated thickness of return periods, predicted soil thickness and soil at varied scales such as continuous, categorical of rockfall, such as freeze-thaw cycles (Gardner, material involved in landslides, and the dates of mantle landslides. Numerous studies have used and binary data. The concept of ANN is based on 1983; Matsuoka and Sakai, 1999; Matsuoka, known activity for each landslide (Wieczorek, rainfall characteristics, such as duration, intensity, learning form data with known characteristics to 2006), changes in the rock-moisture level (Sass, 1984). maximum and antecedent rainfall during a derive a set of weighting parameters which are 2005), the thawing of permafrost (Gruber et al., Secondly, the popular heuristic analysis particular period, to identify the threshold value for used subsequently to recognize the unseen data 2004), the increase of mean annual temperatures (Castellanos and van Westen, 2003; R2 Resource landslide initiation. Many authors (Caine, 1980; (Horton, 1945). (Davies et al., 2001), tectonic folding (Coe and Consultants, 2005; Ruff and Czurda, 2007; Caine and Mool, 1982; Brabb, 1984; Cannon Harp, 2007) or the occurrence of earthquakes Firdaini, 2008) based on expert criteria with and Ellen, 1985; Jakob and Weatherly, 2003) susceptibility analysis techniques using a multi- (Harp and Wilson, 1995; Marzorati et al., 2002). different assessment methods. The landslide applied the rainfall intensity duration equation layered perception (MLP) network. The results In addition, several studies exist on the long-term inventory map is accompanied with preparatory to estimate the threshold. With regard to specific were verified by ranking the susceptibility index accretion rates of rockfall (Luckman and Fiske, factors to be the main input for determining rainfall characteristics, Wieczorek and Sarmiento in classes of equal area and showed satisfactory 1995; McCarroll et al., 1998). Furthermore, since landslide hazard zoning. Experts then define the (1983) used total rainfall duration before specific agreement between the susceptibility map and the late 1980s, the field of numeric modelling weighting value for each factor. rainfall intensity occurs; Govi et al. (1985) applied the landslide location data. Lee et al. (2003a) has become a major topic in the field of rockfall statistical total rainfall during a specific period after rainfall obtained landslide susceptibility by using neural research (Zinggerle, 1989; Guzzetti et al., 2002; analysis (Neuland, 1976; Carrara, 1983; Pike, starts; and Crozier (1986) utilized the ratio of network models and compared neural models with Dorren et al., 2006; Stoffel et al., 2006). 1988; Carrarra et al., 1991; van Westen, 1993; total rainfall to antecedent rainfall. Guzzetti et probabilistic and statistical ones. They also show a Chung & Fabbri, 1999; Gorsevski et al., 2000; al. (2004) identified the local rainfall threshold combination of ANN for determination of weights 3. Numerical approaches to landslide hazard Dhakal et al., 2000; Zhou et al., 2003; Saha et al., on the basis of local rainfall and landslide record used spatial probabilities to create a landslide assessment 2005; Guinau et al., 2007; Komac and Ribičič, and concluded that landslide activity in Northern susceptibility index map (Lee et al., 2004). Rainfall Many researchers utilize One of the relatively new methods Lee et al. (2003b) developed landslide 2008; Magliulo et al., 2008; Miller and Burnett, Italy initiates 8-10 hours after the beginning of a and earthquake scenarios as triggering factors for According to Van Westen (1993), the landslide 2008; Pozzoni et al., 2009; Komac et al., 2010), storm. However, many other investigations have landslides have been used in hazard assessment hazard assessment methods have been divided where several parameter maps are surveyed to been published about the relationship between with ANNs (Lee and Evangelista, 2006; Wang and into four groups of analysis. We’ve added an apply bivariate and multivariate analysis. The rainfall and landslides and attribute a large Sassa, 2006). Several studies recognize ANN as a additional group – Artificial Neural Networks. The key of this method is the landslide inventory map impact to precipitation for the time duration of promising tool for these applications and most of selection of one method over another depends on when the past landslide occurrences are needed landslides (Carrara, 1991; Mongomery et al., them use a Multi layer Perceptron (MLP) network several factors (the data costs and availability, the to forecast future landslide areas. 1994, 1998; Terlien et al., 1995; Crozier, 1999; and a back propagation algorithm for training scale, the output requirements, the geological and The next approach is deterministic Laprade et al., 2000; Alcantara-Ayala, 2004; Coe the network (Rumelhart et al., 1986; Arora et geomorphological conditions, the tectonogenetic analysis (van Westen, 1994; Terlien et al., 1995; et al., 2004; Fiorillo and Wilson, 2004; Lan et al., al., 2004; Ercanoglu, 2005; Ermini et al., 2005; Seite 55 Seite 54 Key-note papers Numerical approach Inventory analysis Heuristic analysis Statistical analysis Deterministic analysis rainfall Artificial neural network (ANN) Basic description of approach Analysis of the spatial and temporal distribution of landslide attributes Gomez and Kavzoglu, 2005; Wang et al., 2005; conditional or preparatory causal factors. With Pradhan and Lee, 2007, 2009a, 2009b, 2009c; this combination a GIS is obtained in a landslide Pradhan et al., 2009; Youssef et al., 2009). Ermini susceptibility map. In susceptibility analyses, et al. (2005) and Catani et al. (2005) used unique triggering causal factors are often not considered. conditions units for the terrain unit definition in Some research has been done specifically related ANNs analysis. More critical analyses compare to the landslide susceptibility assessment (Lee et ANN techniques with other methods such as al., 2003; Sirangelo and Braca, 2004; Guzzetti logistic regression, fuzzy weighing and other et al., 2006). Several countries have published statistical methods (Ercanoglu and Gokceoglu, national landslide susceptibility maps that are 2002; Lu, 2003; Neaupane and Achet, 2004; based on their national landslide inventory Miska and Jan, 2005; Yesilnacar and Topal, 2005; (Brabb et al., 1999; Guzzetti, 2000; Komac and Kanungo et al., 2006; Lee, 2007). In the neural Ribičič, 2008). One of the proven techniques for network method, Nefeslioglu et al. (2008) showed landslide susceptibility assessment is the weights that ANNs give a more optimistic evaluation of of evidence (WofE) modelling. Many landslide van Westen (1994); Terlien et al. (1995); van Westen and Terlien (1996); Soeters and Westen (1996); van Asch et al. (1999); Zaitchik et al. (2003); Mazengarb (2004); Schmidt and Dikau (2004); Mayer et al. (2010) landslide susceptibility than logistic regression susceptibility have been carried out using this analysis. Melchiorre et al. (2006) did further method (van Westen, 1993; Fernandez, 2003; van research on the behaviour of a network with Westen et al., 2003; Lee and Choi, 2004; Suzen respect to errors in the conditioning factors by and Doyuran, 2004; Neuhauser and Terhorst, Caine (1980); Caine and Mool (1982); Wieczorek and Sarmiento (1983); Brabb (1984); Cannon and Ellen (1985); Govi et al. (1985); Crozier (1986); Carrara (1991); Terlien et al. (1995); Montgomery et al. (1994, 1998 and 2000); Crozier (1999); Lida (1999); Laprade et al. (2000); Dai and Lee (2001); Jakob and Weatherly (2003); Alcantara-Ayala (2004); Coe et al. (2004); Fiorillo and Wilson (2004); Guzzetti et al. (2004); Lan et al. (2004); Zezere et al. (2005); Wen and Aydin (2005); Giannecchini (2006); Jakob et al. (2006); Guzzetti et al. (2007) performing a robustness analysis and Melchiorre 2007; Magliulo et al., 2008). Essentially, the et al. (2008) improved the predictive capability WofE method is a bivariate statistical technique and robustness of ANNs by introducing a cluster that calculates the spatial probability and odds of analysis. Neaupane and Achet (2004) used landslides given a certain variable. ANN for monitoring the movement. Moreover, Kanungo et al. (2006) showed that a landslide landslide runout in the analyses for landslide susceptibility combined hazard assessment. With research on landslide neural and fuzzy weighting procedure is the best runout or travel distance started in mid Nineties amongst the other weighting techniques. Lui et of the last century (Hungr, 1995; Finlay et al., al. (2006) assessed the landslide hazard using 1999; Chen and Lee, 2000; Okura et al., 2000; ANNs for a specific landslide typology (debris Fannin and Wise, 2001; Wang et al., 2002; Crosta flow), considering among the triggering factors et al., 2003; Hunter and Fell, 2003; Bertolo and frequency of flooding, covariance of monthly Wieczorek, 2005; Hungr et al., 2005; Malet et precipitation, and days with rainfall higher than a al., 2005; Crosta et al., 2006; van Asch et al., critical threshold. 2006; Pirulli et al., 2007; van Asch et al., 2007a; References Wieczorek (1984) Based on expert criteria with different assessment methods Castellanos and van Westen (2003); R2 Resource Consultants (2005); Ruff and Czurda (2007); Firdaini (2008) Several parameter maps are surveyed to apply bivariate and multivariate analysis Neuland (1976); Carrara (1983); Pike (1988); Carrarra et al. (1991); van Westen (1993); Chung and Fabbri (1999); Gorsevski et al. (2000); Dhakal et al. (2000); Zhou et al. (2003); Saha et al. (2005); Guinau et al. (2007); Komac and Ribičič (2008); Magliulo et al. (2008); Miller and Burnett (2008); Pozzoni et al. (2009); Komac et al. (2010) Apply hydrological and slope instability models to evaluate the safety factor Use rainfall characteristic to identify the threshold value for landslide initiation Horton (1945); Rumelhart et al. (1986); Ercanoglu and Gokceoglu (2002); Lee et al. (2003a); Lee et al. (2003b); Lu (2003); Arora et al. (2004); Lee et al. (2004); Neaupane and Achet (2004); Catani et al. (2005); Ercanoglu Learning from data with known characteristics to derive (2005); Ermini et al. (2005); Gomez and (2005); Miska and Jan (2005); Wang a set of weighting parameters, Kavzoglu et al. (2005); Yesilnacar and Topal (2005); which are used subsequently Kanungo et al. (2006); Lee and Evangelista to recognize the unseen data (2006); Lui et al. (2006); Melchiorre et al. (2006, 2008); Wang and Sassa (2006); Lee (2007); Pradhan and Lee (2007,2009a, 2009b, 2009c); Nefeslioglu et al. (2008); Pradhan et al. (2009); Youssef et al. (2009) map derived from Many investigations have included van Asch, et al., 2007b) where authors use three 4. Approaches to landslide hazard assessment types of approaches for runout analysis. These are the empirical approach from previous landslides The landslide susceptibility assessment is a and geomorphological analysis, the deterministic Tab. 2: Review of numerical approaches to landslide hazard assessment with short description of approach and references. particular step in the landslide hazard assessment approach from the geotechnical parameters and Tab. 2: Überprüfung von numerischen Ansätzen zur Gefahrenabschätzung von Rutschungen mit einer kurzen Darstellung des Ansatzes und Referenzen. and is usually based on the comparison of the dynamic approach from numerical modelling the previously surveyed landslides and the of runout. Seite 57 Seite 56 Key-note papers Landslide vulnerability assessment is a and the risk areas are categorized generally in Komac (2006) designed multivariate statistical Landslide (or any natural hazard for that matter) evaluation three or five classes as very high, high, moderate, processing techniques in order to obtain several assessment process is just one of several steps in of landslide risk (Leone et al., 1996). Most low and very low. This method is applicable for landslide susceptibility models with data at scale the (Landslide) Risk Management Cycle (RMC), publications about vulnerability are related to spatial analysis using GIS and usually applied at 1:50,000 and 1:100,000. Based on the statistical which doesn’t end at the stage where results of hazard and risk assessment (Mejia-Navarro et al., national or regional levels. This approach were results, several landslides susceptibility maps assessment process are included in the RMC. RMC 1994; Leone et al., 1996; Ragozin and Tikhvinsky, found in literature from Lateltin (1997), AGS were created. is a live system where each measure/provision 2000; van Westen, 2002; Hollenstein, 2005). The (2000), Budetta (2004), Cascini (2004), Ko Ko et Quantitative landslide risk assessment results in a consequence(s) that influence(s) main object of these investigations determined al. (2004), IADB (2005), Nadim et al. (2006). has been used for specific slopes or very small further development in and steps of this cycle. In the elements of risk which have impact on landslide areas using probabilistic methods or percentage a way we could define it as a spiral rather than as structures on its surface and estimate the cost. risk assessment approach, weights are assigned of losses expected (Whitman, 1984; Chowdhury, a circular process since the same position is never The vulnerability maps are expressed with values under certain criteria, which provide numbers 1988). Probabilistic values (0-1) are obtained reached again. between 0 and 1, where 0 means no damage and as outcome, instead of qualitative classes at the expense of a certain amount of monetary 1 means total loss. Generally, the vulnerability (0-1, 0-10 or 0-100). It could be applicable to or human loss. Quantitative risk analysis and to landslides may depend on runout distance; any scale, but more reasonably used at medium consequent assessment uses information about volume and velocity of sliding; elements at risk scale. Semi-quantitative approach efficiently uses hazard probability, values of elements at risk In this paper, different approaches for the evaluation (buildings and other structures), their nature and spatial multi-criteria techniques implemented in and their vulnerability. Among the quantitative of slope mass processes are reviewed. In general, their proximity to the slide; and the elements GIS that facilitate standardization, weighting and approaches found in literature there are some all analyses are based on the assumption that at risk (person), their proximity to the slide, the data integration in a single set of tools. More basic similarities but also some differences historical landslides and their causal relationships nature of the building/road that they are in, and details about the weighting system are published between the approaches. They include either can be used to predict future ones (“past is a key where they are in the building, on the road, etc by Brand (1988), Koirala and Watkins (1988), estimation of hazard or estimation of vulnerability to the future”). However, we can see that many (Finlay, 1996). Chowdhury and Flentje (2003), Blochl and and consequences (Morgan, 1992; Einstein, 1988, researchers use different approaches to evaluate fundamental component in the With the semi-qualitative 6. Conclusion The aim of landslide hazard and risk Braun (2005), Castellanos Abella and van Westen 1997; Fell, 1994; Fell et al., 2005; Anderson et al., landslides, debris flow or rockfall hazard risk assessment studies is to protect the population, (2005) and Saldivar-Sail and Einstein (2007). 1996; Ragozin, 1996; Ragozin and Tikhvinsky, assessment, which mainly depend on data the economy and environment against potential When 2000; Lee and Jones, 2004; AGS, 2000). availability. In developing countries, usually the damage caused by landslides (Crozier and Glade, model, usually the multi-criteria evaluation is 2005). Risk in this context, is seen as a disaster used (see references below). The input is a set that could happen in the future. The total risk of maps that are the spatial representation on map could be obtained by combining hazard and the criteria, which are grouped, standardised At the end of the assessment process when with high standards, the approach to the topic is vulnerability and made directly or specific risk or and weighted in a criteria tree. Meanwhile the landslide susceptibility and risk assessment focused into prevention and into remediation if consequence maps can be created and analyzed output is one or more composite index maps have been identified, results and measures disasters occur. In any event the obstacles related in order to achieve some preliminary conclusions. indicating the completion of the model used. obtained should or may be included into the to the availability of data are smaller each day The classification of the landslide risk assessment The theoretical background for the multi- landslide risk management process governed due to low-cost satellite information, the use of is still in progress. At the moment the classification criteria evaluation is based on the Analytical by decision makers to mitigate landslide risk of SRTM, ASTER and Google Earth, which ease the is based on the level of quantification dividing the Hierarchical Process (AHP) developed by Saaty the community or, at this level, several further creation of landslide inventory databases, a basis landslide risk assessment methods in qualitative, (1977). The AHP has been extensively applied approaches are possible. The strategies may for any further hazard assessments. The landslide semi-qualitative and quantitative (AGS, 2000; on decision making problems (Saaty and Vargas, be grouped into planning control, engineering inventory map is probably the most important data Powell, 2000; Walker 2000; Chowdhury and 2001). Recently some research has been carried solution, acceptance, and monitoring or warning set to work on for producing a reliable prediction Flentje, 2003). out to apply AHP to landslide susceptibility systems. The risk assessed can be compared map of spatial and temporal probability for The qualitative landslide risk assessment assessment (Barredo et al., 2000; Mwasi, with the acceptance criteria to decide upon the landslides or other slope mass movements and a approach is based on the experience of the experts 2001; Nie et al., 2001, Wu and Chen, 2009). landslide mitigation measures required. necessity for any type of analyses. implementing the semi-quantitative lack of financial support to produce risk assessment 5. 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Seite 65 Seite 64 Key-note papers ROLAND NORER Legal Framework for Assessment and Mapping of Geological Hazards on the International, European and National Levels Rechtlicher Rahmen für Analyse und Kartierung geologischer Gefahren auf internationaler, europäischer und nationaler Ebene Summary: Legal standards for the assessment and mapping of geological hazards are rather scarce at the international and European level. Certain protocols to the Alpine Convention provide for the obligation to map geological hazards, but they fail to adopt substantive standards for it. At a European level, standards such as those for priority areas are only provided for in drafts such as the proposal for a Directive establishing a framework for the protection of soil or are mentioned in the Communication on the Community approach to prevent natural disasters. At a national level, there are legal provisions in connection with preventive planning on natural disasters, although the general problem on the coexistence of multiple area-related definitions persists. The extensive exposition of hazards in forestry law remains a central issue. The sources and materials encountered to this end are, however, not enough to derivate consistent standards and provisions for the assessment and mapping. 1. Introduction Both provisions were classified as binding and directly applicable.5 A glance at the legal framework on assessment and mapping of geological hazards is difficult. Protocol” No coherent legal system on the necessary, to develop or increase mountain forests management of natural disasters can be found at as a near-natural habitat (art. 1.1) and imposes the either the international or European level. Also, a duty of the Contracting Parties to give priority to the legal fragmentation can be detected at a national protective function of mountain forests (art. 6.1). level. Therefore, the art is to filter something like a legal essence out of diverse dispersed norms, Development Protocol“7 establishes the obligation which are often only partly related to this topic to determine the areas subject to natural hazards, and follow different legal approaches.2 This will where building of structures and installations be the attempt in the following sections. Naturally, should be avoided as much as possible (art. the essay will not exceed a more or less abundant 9.2.e). The spatial planning policies also take outline of the issue. into account the protection of the environment, 1 In 6 addition, the “Mountain Forests aims to preserve and, whenever The “Spatial Planning and Sustainable in particular with regard to the protection against 2. International law natural hazards (art. 3.f). 2.1. Alpine Convention 2.2. Findings protocols In international law, only certain provisions are the only source of international law. The established in the protocols to the Alpine “Soil Conservation Protocol”4 provides for the Convention refer to the obligation to map obligation to draw up maps of Alpine areas “which geological are endangered by geological, hydrogeological additional substantive elaborations arising out of and hydrological risks, in particular by land these duties are not revealed before the respective movement (mass slides, mudslides, landslides), national implementation measures. The Alpine Convention3 and its hazards. But farther-reaching, avalanches and floods”, and to register those areas Zusammenfassung: Rechtliche Vorgaben betreffend Analyse und Kartierung geologischer Gefahren sind sowohl auf internationaler als auch europäischer Ebene selten. Bestimmte Protokolle zur Alpenkonvention sehen Kartierungspflichten für geologische Risiken vor, ohne allerdings materielle Vorgaben zu treffen. Im Europarecht finden sich solche Regeln lediglich in Entwürfen wie bei den prioritären Gebieten im Vorschlag einer EU-Bodenrahmenrichtlinie oder sie werden wie im Gemeinschaftskonzept zur Verhütung von Naturkatastrophen erst in Aussicht gestellt. Auf nationaler Ebene bestehen in der Regel Rechtsvorschriften im Zusammenhang mit präventiven Planungen bei Naturgefahren, wenngleich das allgemeine Problem des Nebeneinanders von mehreren gebietsbezogenen Festlegungen besteht. Als zentrale Vorschriften gelten die flächenhaften Gefahrendarstellungen im Forstrecht. Das vorgefundene Material reicht jedenfalls nicht aus, um einheitliche Standards und Vorgaben für Analyse und Kartierung ableiten zu können. and to designate danger zones when necessary 3. European law (art. 10.1). Likewise, areas damaged by erosion and 3.1. Soil protection law land movement shall be rehabilitated in as far as this is necessary for the protection of human The beings and material goods (art. 11.2). Commission in 2002 about a Strategy for Soil communication from the European Protection8 aims at the further development of BMLFUW (ed.), Die Alpenkonvention: Handbuch für ihre Umsetzung (2007), p. 112. Implementation analysis by SCHMID, Das Natur- und Bodenschutzrecht der Alpenkonvention. Anwendungsmöglichkeiten und Beispiele, in: CIPRA Österreich (ed.), Die Alpenkonvention und ihre rechtliche Umsetzung in Österreich – Stand 2009, Tagungsband der Jahrestagung von CIPRA Österreich, 21.-22.Oktober 2009, Salzburg (2010), p. 33 et seq. 6 BGBl. III 2002/233. 7 BGBl. III 2002/232.. 5 For the “Natural hazards profile“ of landslips, rock fall, avalanches and landslides, see RUDOLF-MIKLAU, NaturgefahrenManagement in Österreich (2009), p. 21 et seq. 2 For an overview regarding norms of prevention, see RUDOLFMIKLAU (fn. 1), p. 97 et seq. 3 BGBl. 1995/477. 4 BGBl. III 2002/235. 1 Seite 67 Seite 66 Key-note papers 3.4. Spatial planning law political commitment to soil protection in order In particular, the EU Directive establishing a to achieve a more comprehensive and systematic Framework for the Protection of Soil turned out protection. As soil formation is an extremely slow to be fiercely disputed.16 Since 2007, after an Regarding soil hazard and risk mapping, building upon existing process, soil can essentially be considered as a attenuated version failed to obtain the majority protection, a separate communication on the Community initiatives. However, these should non-renewable resource.9 It proceeds to mention in the EU Environment Council, the future of this topic of “Planning and Environment – the focus on disasters with potential cross-border eight main threats to soil in the EU , including proposal remains uncertain. Territorial Dimension” has been announced for a impact, exceptional events, large-scale disasters, some time now. This communication should deal and disasters for which the cost of recovery with rational land-use planning, as addressed by measures appears to be disproportionate when 10 “erosion” and “floods and landslides”. These are intimately related to soil and land management. 3.2. Environmental law to collect and unify information about hazard/ risks by developing Community guidelines for the quantitative aspects of the Sixth Environment Action Programme. The compared to that of preventive measures. Also, a erosion, pollution with sediments and loss of soil In the remaining European environmental laws, announced content, however, does not refer to a more efficient targeting of Community funding25 resources with major impacts for human activities certain provisions about erosion can be found.17 special relevance for the prevention of landslides. is dealt with (3.3.1) by establishing an inventory and human lives, damage to buildings and However, there are no further provisions dealing Hence, at present the only object of an integrated of existing Community instruments capable infrastructures, and loss of agricultural land”. with the topic of this essay. and sustainable management at the EU level is of supporting disaster prevention activities, as the flood prevention programme in transnational well as by developing a catalogue of prevention river areas included in the European Spatial measures (e.g. measures integrating preventive Development Perspective (ESDP).23 action in reforestation/afforestation projects). “Floods and mass movements of soil cause 11 22 In 2006, the European Commission followed suit with a Thematic Strategy for Soil Protection 12 3.3. Agricultural law and with a Proposal for a Directive establishing a framework for the protection of soil , the latter The situation is rather similar in the area of of which provides in its art. 6 for priority areas European agricultural law. Different standards (first draft: risk areas) with regard to landslides. are included in the general provisions on direct The addendum landslides “brought about by the payments (cross compliance)18, in which there is The Communication of the European Commission in the event of major emergencies, or the down-slope, moderately rapid to rapid movement an obligation to maintain all agricultural land in of February 200924 was another attempt to imminent threat thereof. However, a regulation of masses of soil and rock material” fell victim to good agricultural and environmental condition, establish measures, based on the already existing on geological mass movements similar to the EU the changes made by the European Parliament.14 such as those regarding soil erosion.19 In contrast, instruments, for a Community approach on the Directive on the assessment and management of Also, a programme of measures shall be adopted the regulation on support for rural development prevention of natural and man-made disasters. flood risks27, with its flood hazard maps and flood within five years of the implementation of the includes in its Axis 2 some links with supporting risk maps, does not currently exist. Directive (art. 8). A list of common elements for measures, such as afforestation (cf. art. 50.6). the Community approach: creating the conditions 13 20 21 3.5. Disaster law Furthermore, establishing a a Council Community Civil Decision Protection Mechanism25 deals with assistance intervention Three key elements were mentioned for 3.6. Findings the identification of areas at risk of landslides can for the development of knowledge based disaster be found in the appendix. prevention policies at all levels of government, Communication from the Commission to the Council, the European Parliament, the Economic and Social Committee and the Committee of the Regions – Towards a Thematic Strategy for Soil Protection, COM(2002) 179 final. 9 Communication from the Commission to the Council, the European Parliament, the Economic and Social Committee and the Committee of the Regions – Thematic Strategy for Soil Protection, COM(2006) 231 final, Section 1. 10 Towards a Thematic Strategy for Soil Protection (fn. 8), Section 3. 11 Towards a Thematic Strategy for Soil Protection (fn. 8), Section 3.8. 12 Thematic Strategy for Soil Protection (fn. 9). 13 Proposal for a Directive of the European Parliament and of the Council establishing a Framework for the Protection of Soil and amending Directive 2004/35/EC, COM(2006) 232 final.2.. 14 European Parliament legislative resolution of 14 November 2007 on the proposal for a directive of the European Parliament and of the Council establishing a framework for the protection of soil and amending Directive 2004/35/EC, P6_TA(2007)0509. 15 Annex I Section 5: soil typological unit (soil type), properties, occurrence and density of landslides, bedrock, topography, land cover, land use (including land management, farming systems and forestry), climate and seismic risk. linking the actors and policies throughout the Some relevant regulations can be found at the disaster management cycle and making existing European level. However, only one of them, Cross instruments perform better for disaster prevention. Compliance, is in force and affects the topic dealt In “Developing with in this essay in a rather marginal way. By guidelines on hazard/risk mapping” (3.1.3) is contrast, the Proposal for a Directive establishing of great interest. Here, the Commission tries a Framework for the Protection of Soil, which has 15 8 Cf. in detail NORER, Bodenschutzrecht im Kontext der europäischen Bodenschutzstrategie (2009), p. 17 et seq. 17 Like the Directive 2000/60/EC establishing a framework for Community action in the field of water policy (“Wasserrahmenrichtlinie“), OJ 2000 L 327/1. 18 Art. 4 et seq. Council Regulation (EC) No. 73/2009 establishing common rules for direct support schemes for farmers under the common agricultural policy and establishing certain support schemes for farmers, OJ 2009 L 30/16. 19 Art. 6 in conjunction with Annex III Regulation (EC) 73/2009; § 5.1 in conjunction with Annex INVEKOS-CC-V 2010, BGBl. II 2009/492. 20 Council Regulation (EC) No. 1698/2005 on support for rural development by the European Agricultural Fund for Rural Development (EAFRD), OJ 2005 L 277/1. 21 Cf. Recital 32, 38, 41 and 44 Regulation (EC) 1698/2005. For Austrian implementation see Sonderrichtlinie zur Umsetzung der forstlichen und wasserbaulichen Maßnahmen im Rahmen des Österreichischen Programms für die Entwicklung des ländlichen Raums 2007 – 2013 „Wald & Wasser“, BMLFUWLE.3.2.8/0054-IV/3/2007 idF BMLFUW-LE.3.2.8/0028IV/3/2009. 16 particular, the subsection Towards a Thematic Strategy for Soil Protection (fn. 8), Section 2.1, 6.1.; REISCHAUER, Bodenschutzrecht, in: Norer (ed.), Handbuch des Agrarrechts (2005), p. 491. 23 European Commission (ed.), ESDP European Spatial Development Perspective. Towards Balanced and Sustainable Development of the Territory of the European Union (1999), Section 146. 24 Communication from the Commission to the European Parliament, the Council, the European Economic ad Social Committee and the Committee of the Regions. A Community approach on the prevention of natural and man-made disasters, COM(2009) 82 final, 23.02.2009. 22 been put on hold, contemplates the designation of landslide risk areas and the establishment of Especially the European Agricultural Fund for Rural Development, the Civil Protection Financial Instrument, LIFE+, the ICT Policy Support Programme, the Research Framework Programme. 26 Council Decision 2007/779/EC of 8 November 2007, OJ 2007 L 314/9. 27 Directive 2007/60/EC on the assessment and management of flood risks, OJ 2007 L 288/27. 25 Seite 69 Seite 68 Key-note papers 4.3. Soil protection law 4.6. Findings sets out guidelines for the unification of hazard The rules on soil protection can be divided in two In the light of the arid gain at the international and remains within the same course of action, no mapping in large-scale disasters. categories with different aims: on the one hand, European legal level, at a first glance the respective relevant changes coming from the international qualitative soil damage such as contaminating national systems seem to constitute the determining and European level are to be expected in the activities and structural damages and on the factor, by implementing higher-ranking guidelines near future. Admittedly, the creation of uniform other hand, quantitative soil loss, such as soil or autonomously. However, norms related to the technical standards by all those involved as a The second category assessment and mapping of geological hazards, further step towards self-regulation should be such as the law of natural disaster management brought to mind. action programmes. Furthermore, a Community A convincing and coherent overall view cannot be offered. Whereas the available legal set of tools approach on the prevention of natural disasters 4. National law 4.1. Forestry law degradation and erosion. 35 could also be of interest for mass movements. 36 at all40, remain fragmentated between the various Many times, the catchment area of mountain torrents and avalanches, as well as references to 4.4. Spatial planning law rock fall and landslip areas, are established within regulations (“Querschnittsmaterien”). Relevant Anschrift des Verfassers / Author’s address: provisions exist, primarily in forestry law with its Univ.-Prof. Dr. Roland Norer the national forestal spatial planning. It can even As a general rule, rules on areas with a higher extensive hazard descriptions, but also marginally University of Lucerne include the layout of forests with a protective risk of mass movements in connection with the in spatial planning law. This fact, however, would School of Law 28 or the extensive hazard description or special use in not allow the development of uniform standards Hofstraße 9 structured in risk levels.30 The protective effect of grassland can be mainly found in spatial planning and provisions for assessment and mapping of P.O. Box 7464 the forest especially implies “the protection against law. Further contents in this regard remain geological hazards. CH-6000 Luzern 7 natural peril and contaminating environmental missing.38 function 29 designation of building sites 37 Switzerland 5. Conclusion influences as well as the conservation of the soil against torrents and drift, boulders accumulation 41 4.5. Building law and landslides”.31 Thus, forests with a direct Legal provisions regarding the assessment and protective function against the above-mentioned A similar situation applies to building law. The mapping of geological hazards are tenuously hazards could be signalised by means of an suitability as a building site for areas with a higher sown at the international and European level. administrative act (Bannwälder). risk of mass movements is not given. Unlikely enough, at the national level more legal 4.2. Water law In Austria e.g. Water Construction Development Act (Wasserbautenförderungsgesetz), BGBl. 1985/148 (Wv), expressly mentions the necessary protection against “rock fall, mudflow and landslides” in the requirements for granting and allocation of federal funds to pursuit the objectives in the Act (§ 1.1.1.b). 35 Cf. HOLZER/REISCHAUER, Agrarumweltrecht. Kritische Analyse des „Grünen Rechts“ in Österreich (1991), p. 47; REISCHAUER (fn. 22), p. 477. 36 In Austria e.g. the pertinent national provisions only provide for land-use measures for soil in erosion areas; see § 5 Burgenland Soil Protection Act (Burgenländisches Bodenschutzgesetz), LGBl. 1990/87; § 27 Upper Austria Soil Protection Act 1991 (Oberösterreichisches Bodenschutzgesetz), LGBl. 1997/63; § 7 Salzburg Soil Protection Act (Salzburger Bodenschutzgesetz), LGBl. 2001/80; § 6 Styria Agricultural Soil Protection Act (Steiermärkisches landwirtschaftliches Bodenschutzgesetz), LGBl. 1987/66. 37 In Austria e.g. § 37.1.a Tyrol Spatial Planning Act (Tiroler Raumordnungsgesetz), LGBl. 2006/27, according to which certain areas are excluded as building sites when f.i. there is a risk of „rockfall, landslide or other gravitated natural hazards”. From the perspective of avalanche protection see in detail KHAKZADEH, Rechtsfragen des Lawinenschutzes (2004), p. 37 et seq. 38 F.i. the Recommendation Nr. 52 of the Austrian Spatial Planning Conference (ÖROK) about preventive handling with natural hazards in Spatial Planning (2005) also puts an emphasis in floods. Cf. for Austria altogether KANONIER, Raumplanungsrechtliche Regelungen als Teil des Naturgefahrenmanagements, in: Fuchs/Khakzadeh/Weber (ed.), Recht im Naturgefahrenmanagement (2006), p. 123 et seq. 32 39 provisions exist in connection with preventive 34 Such regulations are limited to measures for flood prevention33, although geological risks are at times also included . 34 In Austria e.g. the mapping of risk areas is based on § 11 Austrian Forestry Act 1975, BGBl. 1975/440, in conjunction with § 7.a Regulation on the mapping of risk areas, BGBl. 1976/436, including brown areas of reference, which posed other hazards than mountain torrents and avalanches, such as rock fall and landslips. Cf. JÄGER, Raumwirkungen des Forstrechts, in: Hauer/Nußbaumer (ed.), Österreichisches Raum- und Fachplanungsrecht (2006), p. 181 et seq.; STÖTTER/FUCHS, Umgang mit Naturgefahren – Status quo und und zukünftige Anforderungen, in: Fuchs/Khakzadeh/Weber (ed.), Recht im Naturgefahrenmanagement (2006), p. 21 et seq. 29 In Austria e.g. Forestry Development Plan (Waldentwicklungsplan) based on § 9 Austrian Forestry Act 1975. 30 In Austria e.g. hazard and risks mapping (Gefahren- und Risikokarten), here geological hazard mapping (no legal basis). 31 Such as in § 6.2b Austrian Forestry Act 1975. 32 Such as in § 27.2.a Austrian Forestry Act 1975. 33 In Austria e.g. Section 4 of the Water Law Act 1959, BGBl. 1959/215 (Wv). 28 planning42 for natural hazards. Here, the existing instruments partially conduct the assessment of mass movements, although the general problem of the coexistence of different area-related definitions still remains.43 39 In Austria e.g. § 5.1.5 Styria Building Act (Steiermärkisches Baugesetz), LGBl. 1995/59, according to which a plot area is only suitable for building if the risks posed by „flood debris accumulation, rockfall, landslides” are not to be expected. From the perspective of avalanche protection see in detail KHAKZADEH (fn. 37), p. 58 et seq. 40 For Austria see e.g. HATTENBERGER, Naturgefahren und öffentliches Recht, in: Fuchs/Khakzadeh/Weber (ed.), Recht im Naturgefahrenmanagement (2006), p. 67 ; RUDOLF-MIKLAU (fn. 1), p. 57 and list 61 et seq., speaking of „Kompetenzlawine“. 41 WEBER/OBERMEIER, Verwaltungs- und zivilrechtliche Aspekte von Steinschlaggefährdung und –schutz, Studie im Auftrag des Bundesministeriums für Land- und Forstwirtschaft, Umwelt und Wasserwirtschaft (2008, unveröffentlicht), p. 29, suggest for Austria f.i. an extension of the competence „Wildbach- und Lawinenverbauung“ towards other natural hazards. The political feasibility seems little realistic. 42 For Austria see in detail RUDOLF-MIKLAU (fn. 1), p. 129 et seq.; HATTENBERGER (fn. 40), p. 73 et seq. 43 For Austria see HATTENBERGER (fn. 40), p. 84 et seq. Seite 71 Seite 70 Key-note papers KARL MAYER, BERNHARD LOCHNER Internationally Harmonized Terminology for Geological Risk: Glossary (Overview) Internationale Harmonisierung der Fachterminologie für geologische Risiken: Glossar (Überblick) Summary: Purpose and motivation for this project are the difficulties traditionally encountered when using or defining mass movements terms in scientific papers. This results in different methods and concepts being used by geological agencies and finally leads to misunderstandings and problems in cooperative international projects. In order to tackle that complexity and ambiguity, found not only in the German-speaking geology, but generally throughout Europe, a multilingual glossary shall be created. This glossary aims at an international harmonization by providing the user with a selection of official terms used by the geological agencies in a specific country and by setting relations to similar terms employed in other countries. The resulting harmonized terms and definitions should be made available to all partners and to the general public on the internet through the Bavarian Environment Agency homepage. The first step is to design and implement the technical infrastructure required to store and query the terms. For this purpose, a relational database management system will be used as a back-end. Zusammenfassung: Ausgangslage und Motivation für dieses Projekt ist die schon „traditionelle“ Problematik der unterschiedlichen Verwendung und Definition der Begrifflichkeiten in der Fachliteratur zum Themenbereich Massenbewegungsprozesse. Dies hat zur Folge, dass die Arbeitsweisen der Experten in den verschiedenen geologischen Ämtern in den Projektpartnerländern nicht einheitlich sind und es daher immer wieder zu Missverständnissen und Schwierigkeiten bei der Abstimmung gemeinsamer Projekte kommt. Aufgrund dieser Komplexität und der Unklarheit, die speziell im deutschsprachigen Raum, aber auch europaweit, besonders im Hinblick auf die Klassifikation der Massenbewegungen existiert, soll ein mehrsprachiges Glossar erstellt werden, in welchem im Sinne der internationalen Harmonisierung in Absprache mit den einzelnen Projektpartnerländern die von den jeweiligen geologischen Ämtern verwendeten administrativen Begriffe eingestellt und in Beziehung gesetzt werden. Das gesamte Projekt gliedert sich grundsätzlich in einen technischen und einen inhaltlichen Teil, wobei die erste Projektphase vom technischen Bereich bestimmt wird. Da die harmonisierten Begrifflichkeiten und Definitionen für alle beteiligten Länder und auch für eine breitere Öffentlichkeit zugänglich gemacht werden soll, wird eine relationale Datenbank erstellt, in welcher die Inhalte logisch verknüpft werden und welche zu Projektende in die LfU-Homepage integriert wird. combination for one language and one country. 1. Requirements for the relational database It is particularly relevant for this project, as the usage of a term varies greatly within a language Before the actual database is deigned, it is essential depending on the region where it is used, as to assess the exact requirements for the glossary. it is the case for German (Germany, Austria, This eases the following conceptional work a lot Switzerland). and minimizes time-consuming adjustments and changes to the model later on. for the usability of the glossary. Although the Easy and intuitive queries are essential First a list of attributes needed for a single user friendliness mostly depends on the graphical glossary term as well as a type for those attributes user interface and is hard to control through the (e.g. numbers, text, keys etc.) is to be defined. database design, there are still aspects that need The type of attribute determines which relations to be considered in conception. It is important to can be saved in the database and what kind of determine what possible queries will be offered information can be queried using them. Every to the user (e.g. a search by synonyms, case and attribute corresponds at least to one column in the special character insensitive searches, etc.) and to main glossary table. adapt the database design accordingly. The unique language to which a Editing and adding glossary terms after term is assigned is a fundamental attribute in the initial import should also be possible and a multilingual glossary. Because of the pan- requires saving metadata for each entry, e.g. time European character of the glossary, it is necessary and date of the creation or the last edit of a term. to specify the languages more precisely by linking Using that information, it is easy to reconstruct the them to a specific country, resulting in a unique history of an entry at a later point in time. Seite 73 Seite 72 Key-note papers PK The nomenclature used throughout the database tdtaTermLng tdtaTerm idterm PK, FK1 PK idworkflowstatus metacreator metaowner idreadaccess idwriteaccess deleted metamasterlang metalastedit on the function or content of a particular table, idterm lang stands for tables in which actual data is being stored, Fig. 1: Example of a multilingual glossary where each term has exactly one translation in each other language. The primary key of the language table ('tdtaTermLng') is defined by its ID and language Abb. 1: Beispiel eines mehrsprachigen Glossars, in dem jeder Begriff genau eine Übersetzung für jede weitere Sprache hat. Der Primärschlüssel der Tabelle mit dem Textinhalt ('tdtaTermLng') ist somit über ID und Sprache definiert. “tkey-” is used for key tables (key attributes can only take a value from a predefined set of keys) and “trel-” for relation tables. Unique IDs are prefixed required by the direct translation provides a meaning) would be a looser one. The relations second table with an identical name and the suffix extensions or additional functions arise. between “cliff falls“, “block falls“, “boulder falls“ “-Lng”. Those language tables hold the text values and “Felssturz“, “Steinschlag“, “Blockschlag“ of the different glossary terms. The first “section” could classical approach followed by most manner. is the core of the database, with its element tables (Note: the values used above are examples and do be defined in a similar tdtaElement and tdtaEleGlossarTerm. The glossary not necessarily match any official values) terms are stored in the latter, whereas the main 1.2 Database model This chapter describes in detail the different in an entity-relationship model (ERM). Such a “sections” of the database. For the purpose direct translation supposes an equivalence of of clarity, the database was divided into four the terms’ definition and meaning. In this new “sections” or “areas” which correspond to a set of glossary, the relations between the different interrelated tables. The following diagram shows terms should be defined solely by their technical the relations between those “sections”. tkeyCountry PK idcountry meaning, resulting in two possible relations: same meaning or similar meaning. A direct translation is Glossary still required in order to provide the user with the • Terms • Relations • Translation tables Following example should help clarifying Auxiliary translated into “Felssturz” or “Bergsturz” in German, but that translation usually doesn't consider the effective volume transported. However, if the technical meaning is taken into Metadata User Management • Workflow • History • Users & groups • Permissions term reference idtopic idlang idcountry searchterm searchsynonyms have the same meaning as “rock avalanche”, also characterized by volume values above 106 cubic term reference idtopic idlang idcountry searchterm searchsynonyms PK,FK1, FK2 PK,FK1 idelement lang title summary metacreated metalastedit metatranslator PK,FK1 PK,FK2 idcountry lang tkeyLang PK idlang langsort PK idtopic topicsort Fig. 4: Auxiliary tables Abb. 2: Übersicht über die Komponenten des Datenbankmodells Abb. 4: Behelfstabellen Abb. 3: Haupttabellen tkeyLanguage PK idlanguage lang languagesort idcountry lang langterm idlanguage tkeyTopicLng PK,FK1 PK,FK2 idtopic lang topicterm Fig. 2: Overview of the database model components Fig. 3: Main tables tkeyLangLng PK,FK1 PK,FK2 idelement lang title description tdtaEleGlossarTermLng countryterm tkeyTopic account, “Bergsturz”, which corresponds to a minimum volume of 106 cubic meters, would PK,FK1, PK,FK2 PK,FK1 idelement FK3 FK4 FK2 The English term “rock fall” is usually countrysort tdtaEleGlossarTerm • Key tables • Relation tables the concept of “meaning” vs. “definition”: FK3 FK4 FK2 tdtaElementLng through the usage of foreign keys). relation between the entities (i.e. glossary terms) idelement tdtaEleGlossarTermLng to the system and not to the glossary itself (mostly of another language. This corresponds to a 1: n exact translation of a definition in his language. elementtype idworkflowstatus metaowner metacreator idreadaccess idwriteaccess deleted metamasterlang PK,FK1 element table holds additional information related glossaries is a single translation layer; a direct translation of each term into exactly one term FK4 FK2 FK1 FK5 FK3 For most of the tables the multilingual concept meters. The relation to “rock fall” (i.e. similar The idelement with “id-” and meta-attributes with “meta-”. Finally, the database should, to some 1.1 Relations PK its name is prefixed differently. The prefix “tdta-” term description extent, be expandable if future needs for tdtaEleGlossarTerm tdtaElement follows a simple naming convention. Depending tkeyLanguageLng PK,FK1 idlanguage PK lang languagesort Seite 75 Seite 74 Key-note papers For each term, following fields are available: • 'term': the actual text value The auxiliary tables are mainly key tables defining (direct translation using the -Lng table) in the main table. They also contain the relation •‘reference’: source of information and date table used to specify relations between terms • 'idlang' and 'idcountry': foreign keys based on a relation code (“similar” or “same”). pointing to a unique combination of Metadata is partly stored in the tdtaElement table language/country using foreign keys. Those keys point to external • 'idtopic': foreign key specifying the topic of this term or tdtaUser, where, for example, information •'searchterm' and 'searchsynonyms': used for insensitive searches PK idworkflowstatus about the status, author or owner of an element are defined. tdtaHistory works similarly to a log •'picture': paths to pictures depicting a term tkeyWorkflowStatus metadata tables such as tkeyWorkflowstatus PK FK4 FK2 FK1 FK5 FK3 PK FK4 FK2 FK1 FK5 FK3 elementtype idworkflowstatus metaowner metacreator idreadaccess idwriteaccess deleted metamasterlang FK3 FK4 FK2 PK FK1 iduser username password email organisation fullname inactive superadmin lastlogin loginip maingroup tkeyLanguageLng idelement term reference idtopic idlang idcountry searchterm seyrchsynonyms tdtaUser PK PK,FK1 idlanguage PK lang tkeyelementActionLng FK2 FK1 Fig. 5: Metadata tables Fig. 5: Metadata tables tdtaGroup idgroup PK,FK1 idpermissionlevel PK lang permissionlevelterm description iduser username password email organisation fullname inactive superadmin lastlogin loginip maingroup trelUserGroup PK,FK2 iduser PK,FK1 idgroup Fig. 6: User and group management Abb. 6: Benutzer- und Gruppenverwaltung element, which can be displayed as a list to an duplicate IDs, can be handled to some extent by authorized user. the database itself. The integration of the database PK,FK1 idelementaction PK lang Finally, user and group management into the homepage from the Bavarian Environment FK2 defines the group(s) a user belongs to and which Agency (LfU) and a graphical user interface to read/write rights a group or a specific user owns manually add or edit single terms is planned in (through the tdtaElement table) the final stage of the project. 1.3 Data capture and import 2. Contents of the glossary The primary data capture is done via an Excel In view of a different use of landslide-terms in the table with a predefined format. This table is used European countries, a multilingual glossary can help as an interface to import data records in the to improve the collaboration between the experts. database. The person responsible for filling out Also, progress concerning the comparability of the this table must ensure that the relations between methods dealing with geological hazards in the the terms are set correctly. Other errors, such as several countries is to be achieved. elementactionterm idlanguage idhistory idelement lang iduser logdatetime info idelementaction FK1 languagesort tdtaHistory PK tkeyPermissionLevelLng tdtaUser tdtaEleGlossarTerm PK,FK1 permissionlevelsort groupname idlanguage lang languagesort workflowstatusterm idelement elementtype idworkflowstatus metaowner metacreator idreadaccess idwriteaccess deleted metamasterlang tkeyLanguage PK,FK1 idworkflowstatus PK,FK2 lang idpermissionlevel PK PK tdtaElement PK idelement by saving all actions performed on a specific tkeyWorkflowStatusLng workflowstatussort tkeyPermissionLevel tdtaElement the different languages, countries and topics used tkeyElementAction PK idelementaction FK1 elementactionsort idhistory Seite 77 Seite 76 Key-note papers In general, the glossary implies terms and definitions to landslides and corresponding maps, considering “danger, hazard and risk” caused by several kinds of geological hazards. Due to the “alpine – character” of the project, the glossary contains all the languages spoken in the Alpine region plus English and Spanish for two additional European countries dealing with geological hazards. Therefore, the glossary consists of the following six languages: •German – Germany, Switzerland, Austria (three different lists) •Italian – Italy •French – France •Slovenian – Slovenia •Spanish – Spain (Castilian and Catalan) •English – United Kingdom •General geomorphology (Allgemeine •Falls (Sturzprozess – Steinschlag - z.B. Geomorphologie - z.B. Grat) Steinschlag) •General (Allgemeines - z.B. will be integrated in the official homepage of •Subrosion (Subrosionsprozess - z.B. Primärereignis) Doline) Bergzerreissung) id Therefore, the terms are collected in a predefined term lang country definition reference topic DE Senke ohne natürlich möglichen oberirdischen Wasserabfluss. In einem fluviatil geprägten Relief stellt sie eine Anomalie dar, die u.U ein Hinweis auf Hangbewegungen sein kann LfU Bayern Allgemeine Geomorphologie LfU Bayern Maßnahmen •Path of movement (Bewegungsbahnen z.B. Sturzbahn) •Flow process slow (Fließprozess – langsam 2016 Abflusslose Senke de - z.B. Solifluktion) •Flow process rapid (Fließprozess – schnell 2066 aktive Maßnahmen de DE Schutzmaßnahme, die dem Naturereignis aktiv entgegenwirkt, um die Gefahr zu verringern oder um den Ablauf eines Ereignisses oder dessen Eintretenswahrscheinlichkeit wesentlich zu verändern. Neben den klassischen, punktuellen technischen Schutzmaßnahmen wie zum Beispiel Stützmauer oder Felsanker sind auch flächendeckende Maßnahmen im Einzugsgebiet, beispielsweise Aufforstungen oder Entwässerungen, dieser Kategorie zuzuordnen. 2070 Aktuelle Hangbewegung de DE Hangbewegung die zum Zeitpunkt der Aufnahme aktiv oder bezüglich ihres Alters für die Untersuchungen relevant war. LfU Bayern Rutschungsdynamik 2029 Anbruch de DE Hangbereich aus dem eine Hangbewegung ihren Ausgang nimmt. LfU Bayern Anbruchformen LfU Bayern Allgemeines - z.B. Blockstrom) •Flow process very rapid (Fließprozess – sehr schnell - z.B. Murgang) •Risk (Gefahr-Gefährdung-Risiko - z.B. Restrisiko) •Maps (Karten - z.B. Gefahrenkarte) Prozesse - z.B. Sturzprozess) •Measures (Maßnahmen - z.B. aktive For the development of such a glossary, it is necessary to create a “basic list” in which all Maßnahmen) •Slides combined (Rutschprozess – the desired terms and definitions are included. Kombinierte Rutschung - z.B. Rutschung Therefore a table with 92 terms and definitions mit kombinierter Gleitfläche) for geological hazards (in German) was drafted. •Slides rotational (Rutschprozess Based on this, the other language lists were – Rotationsrutschung - z.B. developed. More information on the approach of Rotationsrutschung) this “Harmonization” is available in chapter 3.2. In order to facilitate this process, all the terms are structured in different topics. This classification is very useful for simplifying the comparability between the languages. For example, it’s much easier to get the English term for “Stauchwulst” if the English expert knows that you are searching for an accumulation term. This topical limitation helps the translator to get the several experts on the right track. The “basic list” is structured into the following topics: •Accumulation (Ablagerungen - z.B. Schuttkegel) the Bavarian Environment Agency in a final step. •Fracture forms (Anbruchformen - z.B. •Classification – processes (Klassifikation – 2.1 Basic list for Germany As mentioned above, the different terms lists 2027 Auslöser de DE Der Auslöser/Anlass für das Versagen eines Hanges liegt in externen Faktoren. Dieser löst eine quasi sofortige Reaktion aus, die ihrerseits wieder Auslöser für die nächste Reaktion sein kann (Kausalitätskette). Die Auslöser reduzieren zum Beispiel die Festigkeit der im Hang anstehenden Gesteine. Mögliche Auslöser können sein: Niederschläge, Schneeschmelze, Frost- Tauwechsel, Erdbeben, Menschlicher Eingriff. 2092 Bachschwinde (Ponor) de DE Öffnungen an der Erdoberfläche über die Oberflächenwasser in den Untergrund eindringt. LfU Bayern Subrosionsprozess/Allgemein DE Hangbewegung mit großem Volumen und hoher Dynamik, die oftmals dafür sorgt, dass die Massen am Gegenhang weit aufbranden. Volumen > 1.000.000m³. LfU Bayern Sturzprozess Bergsturz •Slides translational (Rutschprozess – Translationsrutschung - z.B. Translationsrutschung) •Landslide dynamics (Rutschungsdynamik z.B. aktuelle Hangbewegung) •Landslide features (Rutschungsmerkmale z.B. Rutschungkopf) •Falls (Sturzprozess – Bergsturz - z.B. Bergsturz) •Falls (Sturzprozess – Blockschlag - z.B. Blockschlag) •Falls (Sturzprozess – Felssturz - z.B. Felssturz) 2079 Bergsturz de Fig. 7: Extract of the “Basic-Terms-Table” in German Abb. 7: Auszug aus der Deutschen Begriffstabelle same_ rel similar_ rel Seite 79 Seite 78 Key-note papers Excel table with a unique ID for each term. This ID is used to establish the relations between the different languages and also to integrate these in the relational database. Fig. 6 shows an extract of this Excel table with the basic terms from German id term definition reference topic topic term definition 2001 Stauchwulst Wulst aus Gesteinsmaterial. Sie tritt vor allem an der Stirn einer Rutsch- oder Kriechmasse auf LfU Bayern Ablagerungen accumulation toe???? accumulation at the toe/foot of the main body. 2002 Murwall Murablagerung am seitlichen Rand des Murkanales LfU Bayern Ablagerungen accumulation Blocklandschaft Gelände, in dem weiträumig Blöcke und Gesteinsschollen verteilt sind. Herkunft der Blöcke in der Regel von großen Fels- od. Bergstürzen, aber auch von Talzuschüben. LfU Bayern Ablagerungen accumulation 2004 Murkegel, -fächer Unter Murkegel sind kegelförmige Ablagerungen v.a. an Gerinnen zu verstehen, deren Böschungswinkel meist mehr als 8-10° beträgt Sie sind oft noch durch die typischen dammartigen Wülste entlang des Randes eines ehemaligen Murstromes gekennzeichnet. LfU Bayern Ablagerungen accumulation Coned accumulation espacially at channels with a naturel slope of 8-10°. 2005 Schwemmkegel, -fächer Schwemmkegel weisen im Gegensatz zu Murkegeln meist Böschungswinkel von weniger als 10° auf, größere Geschiebeblöcke fehlen. LfU Bayern Ablagerungen accumulation Coned accumulation espacially at channels with a naturel slope less than 10° and with no big blocs. 2006 Schuttkegel Schuttkegel entstehen v. a. durch Steinschlag. Sie lagern sich an Steilwände und dort bevorzugt im Bereich von Steinschlagrinnen an LfU Bayern Ablagerungen accumulation coned debris/ detritus???? "coned debris/detritus" are caused by rock falls. They accumulate at the rock face. 2007 Buckelfläche Gelände, das durch unruhige Morphologie (weiche Formen) gekennzeichnet ist. LfU Bayern Ablagerungen accumulation undulating area???? Area which is characterized by undulating morphologie. 2008 Sturzmasse Ablagerung infolge eines Sturzprozesses. LfU Bayern Ablagerungen accumulation Accumulation caused by a fall process. 2009 Rutschmasse Ablagerung infolge eines Rutschprozesses LfU Bayern Ablagerungen accumulation Accumulation caused by a slide process. 2010 Rutschscholle Teilweise im Verband befindlicher Gesteinskomplex, der als ganze Scholle abrutscht. LfU Bayern Ablagerungen accumulation sliding bloc/clod/ massif???? A coplex of rocks which is sliding as one bloc/clod/ massif. 2011 Sturzblock Einzelblock >1m³, infolge eines Sturzprozesses. LfU Bayern Ablagerungen accumulation (fall) bloc???? One bloc (<1m³) of an fall process. Germany. 2.2 “Harmonisation” of terms and methods “…A glossary will facilitate transdisciplinary and translingual cooperation as well as support 2003 the harmonization of the various methods…” (www.adaptalp.org). Striving for “Harmonization” of regional terms and methods seems to be a guiding principle not only in WP 5 of the AdaptAlp project but in multiple European cooperation projects. In the literature, a lot of definitions are used for the term harmonization. According to the business dictionary, harmonization is an “adjustment of differences and inconsistencies among different measurements, methods, procedures, schedules, specifications, or systems to make them uniform or mutually compatible” (www.businessdictionary.com). This definition implies some important points which are mentioned as main goals in many projects supported by the EU. The adjustment of differences and the achievement of compatibility also play a major role in work package 5: “AdaptAlp will evaluate, harmonise and improve different methods of hazard zone planning applied in the Alpine area. The comparison of methods for mapping geological and water risks in the individual countries” (www.adaptalp.org) will be brought into focus. Concerning the development of the multilingual glossary for geological hazards, the “Harmonization” is implemented by the following approach. English Fig. 8: Extract of the “suggested-terms list” for England Abb. 8: Auszug aus der vorgeschlagenen Begriffsliste für England accumulation at flank of the main body. Bloc Landscape???? Area in which blocs are shared spacious. Bloc are comming from rock collapses, block falls or sags. Seite 81 Seite 80 Key-note papers 2.2.1 Basic rules short visits in the involved countries. Building are sent to the responsible persons for orientation technical meaning. Although the structure of the In order to tackle the complexity and ambiguity, on the German “basic list”, in these talks “term and preparation. Furthermore, Fig. 7 shows an model may seem complex, the multiple functions found not only in German-speaking geology, after term” is discussed with the respective person extract of the “suggested terms list” for England. offered by external tables and the stronger data but generally throughout Europe, a multilingual responsible. With regard to linguistic problems, A picture paints a thousand words, therefore also integrity fully compensate for a higher level of glossary shall be created. This glossary aims at each “Harmonization” is carried out with the pictures and illustrations are used within the talks. complexity. To achieve this complexity, not only international harmonization by providing the help of native speakers who also be well versed in user with a selection of official terms used by the thematic of geological hazards. The terms are 2.2.3 Data preparation and presentation the contents should satisfy the guidelines. The the geological agency in a specific country and related in the following three forms: Concerning the data preparation, the main issues term “Harmonisation” is playing a central role are already described in the technical description in the work for the glossary where the contents above. The central point to fully exploit the are concerned. Only terms, which are officially possibilities of the database structure is the correct used by the regional responsible agencies, setting of the relations between the different terms are registered in the glossary and the relations (over the ID). between the different expressions are also defined Regarding to the data presentation, at by several experts. The topics in this glossary by setting relations to similar terms employed in other countries. Unlike many other glossaries, which are more like dictionaries working with direct translations; this glossary consists of terms and definitions which are used by the official agencies from the involved countries. So the big •Same meaning (the term has the same meaning in both languages) •Similar meaning (the term has a similar meaning in both languages) •Not existing (no term with the same or similar meaning exists) the structure of the relational database but also difference from many other word lists is the way To facilitate the harmonization process, in the this stage of the project no final results can be are not defined by a translation agency, which of getting the topics. run-up to the visits, several national literature shown. As mentioned in the introduction of this undoubtedly would have the linguistic ability lists with suggested terms are worked out with article, the main output of the project will be an but not the specialist background. Due to this 2.2.2 Data acquisition the native speakers. These lists also contain short online glossary which is linked to the homepage approach, every involved country or region gets Basically the data acquisition is made during descriptions of the desired expressions and they of the Bavarian Environment Agnecy (LfU). The the chance to determine the terms and definitions layout of this web page should be clear and they use and that procedure improves the overall simple for everyone to use. Therefore existing result. The connection to the LfU – Homepage online glossaries are compared and “best- ensures accessibility for all interested persons. practice” examples are pulled out as inspiration. This is an important contribution to one of the Fig. 8 shows the “Inter Active Terminology for main goals of the whole project, namely the Europe” glossary from the European Union which improvement of the cooperation by the European approximately fulfils the desired criteria for the countries in dealing with geological hazards. geological hazard glossary. 3. Conclusion Anschrift der Verfasser / Authors’ addresses: As mentioned in the introduction, this article Karl Mayer presents no final results because the project runs Bavarian Environment Agency (LfU) until February 2011. Nevertheless, provisional (Office Munich) results, theoretical and practical approaches Lazarettstraße 67 could be shown. The database model presented 80636 Munich – GERMANY in this article fulfils all requirements stated Fig. 9: Screenshot of the online “Inter Active Terminology for Europe” from the EU (Source: http://iate.europa.eu) Abb. 9: Screenshot de online „Inter Active Terminology for Europe” der EU (Quelle: http://iate.europa.eu) by a multilingual glossary focusing on mass Bernhard Lochner movements and other geological hazards. The alpS – Centre for Natural Hazard multilingual concept provides the user with a and Risk Management direct translation of a term in a foreign language Grabenweg 3 and sets relations to other terms based on its 6020 Innsbruck - AUSTRIA Seite 83 Seite 82 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU Introduction but it is not digitally available. And then there are states that can rely on a lot of digitally available MICHAEL MÖLK, THOMAS SAUSGRUBER, RICHARD BÄK, ARBEN KOCIU Standards and Methods of Hazard Assessment for Rapid Mass Movements (Rock Fall and Landslide) in Austria In Austria there are several public organizations data and are working on generating landslide ([12] HÜBL et al. 2009) involved in the assessment susceptibility maps. The following provides a short of rapid gravitational mass movements such summary about the efforts in the federal states. as rock falls and landslides. Inventories of such events are maintained by the Austrian Torrent and Avalanche Control (WLV) and the Geological Survey of Austria (GBA) apart from independent Since 1978 the Geological Survey of Austria assessments done by the national railway and has been gathering and displaying information road administrations. (e.g. about gravitational mass movements and other On the level of the federal administrations, Summary: This presents the Austrian approach for the documentation and prediction of landslides and rock falls from various inventories (GEORIOS - Geological Survey, Torrent and Avalanche Control, inventories of the federal states) via the hazard zone planning leading to the development of process related susceptibility maps. The different legal obligations of the respective organizations leads to different results regarding the type, the extent and the quality of the expertise. documents, photos, inventory maps) and/or hazardous processes. Due to the increasing forecasting such mass movements are being followed. amount of data, the Department of Engineering These organizations deal with those hazards using Geology of the Geological Survey of Austria different approaches (method and target). developed a complex data management system different Standards und Methoden der Gefährdungsanalyse für schnelle Massenbewegungen (Steinschläge und Rutschungen) in Österreich Mass-movement inventories in Austria approaches to documenting As there are no legal instructions in Austria called GEORIOS. It consists of a Geographical as to how to deal with the evaluation of mass Information System (GIS), which is the basis for movements, the federal states all follow a different the digital storage and display of data and overlay course of action. Also, the status of available of different data types. Additionally the data historical data is very different in the individual management system consists of a relational data states. In some of the federal states, almost no data base, which manages additional thousands of is available, others have collected a lot of data meta-information (documents, photos etc.). Zusammenfassung: Der „österreichische“ Weg zur Erfassung von historischen bzw. zur Vorhersage von zukünftigen Steinschlagprozessen und Rutschungen von den verschiedenen Ereigniskatastern (GEORIOS – Geologische Bundesanstalt, Wildbach- und Lawinenkataster, Ereigniskataster der Länder) über die Gefahrenzonenplanung bis zur Erstellung von Prozessdispositionskarten wird dargestellt. Dabei sind unterschiedliche gesetzliche Verpflichtungen und Zielsetzungen für die damit befassten Organisationen maßgeblich für die Art, den Umfang und die Qualität der erreichten Aussagen. Fig. 1: Inventory of mass movements in Austria (source Geol. B.-A.: www.geologie.ac.at) Abb. 1: Karte der Massenbewegungen in Österreich (Quelle: Geol. B.-A.: www.geologie.ac.at) Seite 85 Seite 84 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU The database includes detailed information about the mass movements (geology, hydrology, geometric and geographical data, studies or tests carried out, mitigation measures) and the source of information (archives, etc.), and also information about who carried out the field work and added the data into the database. There movements are stored already 22,000 mass in database. The the Fig. 4: WLV-Inventory of mass movements in Austria (source: www.die-wildbach.at) Abb. 4: Ereignisdatenbank der WLV (Quelle: www.die-wildbach.at) compilation of a part of the mass movements in Austria is publicly accessible via the internet (www.geologie.ac.at) in German and English. However, the web application includes only events such as slides, rock falls, or more complex mass movements which have been published already in the media or the internet and are freely Fig. 2: Event inventory of Carinthia with 5W-questions and quality remarks MAXO (M-sure; A-estimate; X-uncertain; O-unknown) Abb. 2: Ereignisdatenbank von Kärnten mit 5W-Fragen und Qualitätskriterien „MAXO“ • The inventory map/event map available for everyone ([16]KOCIU et al 2007). (“Ereigniskarte”) contains only information An engineering geological database, as about processes for which an event date is well as a bibliographical database is also included known (5W–questions: What, When, Where, in the GEORIOS system. Who, Why). The symbols are correlated to process type and magnitude (triangle – small In cooperation with the Geological Survey of Carinthia, the Geological Survey of events, pentagon – great events). Austria has created not just one “inventory map”, but a “level of information”, as is explained in the following ([17] KOCIU et al 2010): Level of information: “Karte so called “Wildbach- und Lawinenkataster”. G., 2010): Main focus of Burgenland is concentrated on shallow landslides with an Standards of susceptibility/hazard annual rate of movement of 1-2cm. For the assessment in Austria prediction of landslide susceptibility based on morphological and geological factors, the method Because of the lack of a regulatory framework called “Weights of Evidence” was chosen ([15] or technical standard concerning landslides and KLINGSEISEN et al., 2006). Three (respectively rock falls in Austria - only the course of actions 4) hazard zones were classified ([“high Hazard”], concerning floods, avalanches and debris flows “hazard”, “hazard cannot be excluded”, “no are regulated by law (ordinance of hazard zone hazard”, [15] KLINGSEISEN et al., 2006). In mapping,[33] RUDOLF-MIKLAU F. & SCHMIDT Lower Austria up until now the susceptibility maps F., 2004) - the federal states all follow a different have been created using a heuristic approach course of action. based on geological expertise, historical data and were produced in the course of a university a scale ranging from 1:50,000 to 1:25,000 ([36] dissertation ([34] RUFF, 2005). For modelling, SCHWEIGL & HERVAS 2009). To offer assistance bivariate statistics (for landslides) and cost for the municipalities in land-use planning, analysis (for rock fall) were used, working with a landslide susceptibility maps were generated for 25x25m raster. The susceptibility, meaning spatial the major settled areas in Upper Austria (OÖ). susceptibility, is presented in 5 classes (very low, For each type of mass movement, the priority, Fig. 3: Event map of Carinthia (brown – landslides; blue – earth flow; red – rock fall; green – earth fall) low, medium, high, very high). The inventory map which is a susceptibility class, was evaluated on is included in the susceptibility map. On the other the basis of the intensity and the probability of an Abb. 3: Ereigniskarte von Kärnten hand, the local department of the Austrian Service event. The priority was classified in 3 stages (high for Torrent and Avalanche Control (WLV) creates – medium – low; [18] KOLMER, 2005). As these “hazard maps” within the “hazard zoning plan”. maps include the intensity and the frequency of Austria, mass movements, they can be called “hazard Burgenland and Carinthia, different approaches maps” by definition. Nevertheless it has to be can be of varying quality with information about process areas as phenomena of mass movements that have already happened. independent of a scale and can contain data sets and maps ([30] POSCH-TRÖTZMÜLLER to ten classes of susceptibility are delineated at different scales (1:50,000 and bigger) and event date is known (5W–questions), it is floods, avalanches, landslides and rock falls – the interpretation of DEM and aerial photos. Three Phänomene”): These kinds of maps can have records only those processes for which an (different scales, processes) derived from existing For example, in Vorarlberg risk maps der •The event inventory (“Ereigniskataster”) are chosen to develop susceptibility maps also maintains an inventory covering torrential (susceptibility map, vulnerability map, risk map) •Process index map, map of phenomena (“Prozesshinweiskarte”, The Austrian Torrent and Avalanche Control (WLV) processes without information on location. • The thematic inventory map contains In Carinthia, a digital landslide inventory only information related to a type of was created with historical events of the process, categorized according to the last 50 years ([1] BÄK et al 2005). quality of the data. In Upper Austria, Lower Seite 87 Seite 86 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU taken into account that the method of generating For a small study area in Styria, the Geological events, a thorough mapping of the phenomena issuing building permits to consult an expert to these maps included neither field work nor remote Survey of Austria generated a susceptibility map involved and an accurate interpretation of the evaluate the hazard for the planned construction sensing techniques. The method of assessment is for spontaneous landslide (soil slips and earth failure with the subsequent processes. site explicitly, otherwise the community can be based solely on geological expertise. flows) at a scale of 1:50,000 using neural network excluded from public funding for the financing of Using the digital geological map of analysis ([35] SCHWARZ et al., 2009). Any inventory of all events regarding natural hazards, Carinthia (1:50,000), the inventory map of mass susceptibility class is not a ranking of the degree such as torrential processes, avalanches, rock-falls movements (landslides and rock falls), DEM of slope stability, but a description of the relative and landslides in the so called “Wildbach- und (10m x10m raster), land-use and lithological- propensity/probability of a landslide of a given Lawinenkataster – WLK” ([8] Forstgesetz 1975). geotechnical characteristics of bedrock and type and of a given source area to occur.). The GBA defines its very own tasks, among others: Several standards issued by the IAEG (Internat. unconsolidated At the Geological Survey of Austria “the assessment and evaluation of geogenically Association of Engineering Geology –UNESCO susceptibility maps for Carinthia were generated in (GBA), susceptibility maps in different scales and induced natural hazards". These inventories Working Party of World Landslide Inventory a collaboration of the Geological Survey of Austria with different methods (heuristic approach, neural (WLV, GBA, geological surveys of provinces like [42] to [47]) exist for the documentation and (GBA) and the Geological Survey of Carinthia at network analysis) have already been generated. ([17] Carinthia) are established to guarantee a complete classification of landslides. Furthermore, for the a scale of 1:200,000 ([1] BÄK et al., 2005). Of KOCIU et al., 2010, [21] MELZNER et al., 2010, documentation of processes and events that can documentation of landslide and rock fall events course these maps still lack information about [38] TILCH et al., 2009, [39] TILCH et al., 2010, [40] eventually endanger infrastructure and/or people. (avalanches and torrential processes are covered intensity and recurrence period or probability of TILCH et al., 2010, [41] TILCH et al 2009). The data collected in the inventories allow for as well) there is a short course of the Universität occurrence. Due to the imprecision of input data better information and further evaluation of where, für Bodenkultur Wien, Dpt. f. Bautechnik und used, the accuracy of predictions regarding the responsibility of different authorities when, how often and with which intensities those Naturgefahren, Inst. f. Alpine Naturgefahren, susceptibility for rapid mass-movements based on The key feature for susceptibility/hazard events took place. These inventories can form which certifies documentalists for those processes. maps like the ones mentioned above is limited. mapping is a good documentation of historic an important basis for the elaboration of hazard For the assessment and evaluation of rock maps and related hazard zones, which give the fall processes and the design of protection authorities good evidence to optimize land-use measures an Austrian Standard is currently under planning and avoid areas that tend to be exposed development ([28] ONR 24810: Technischer to natural hazards. For already developed areas, Steinschlagschutz). sediments, process-related Legal situation, requirements by the law, The WLV is legally obliged to do an mitigation measures in the future. Standards, guidelines, official and legal documents the assessment of the type of process, magnitude, run-out, location, frequency etc. allows for a better State of the art in the practice priority-rating and design of mitigation measures. The elaboration of hazard zone maps The code of practice is to be brought up to the ([8] Forstgesetz 1975 and [2] BGBl. 436/1976) state of the art due to the absence of binding for potentially endangered zones caused by standards. The state of the art according to the natural hazards (except flooding by rivers and “Wasserrechtsgesetz earthquakes, which are done by other authorities) defined in Austria as the following: The use of for all communities is the task of the Austrian modern technological methods, equipment and Torrent and Avalanche Control (WLV). modes of operation with proven functionality which represent the status of progress based on The delineation of potential emmission- zones of rapid mass movements, such as rock falls WRG 1959 §12a(1)” is relevant scientific expertise. and landslides, are not mandatory and therefore can be illustrated as “brown hazard indication Fig. 5: Susceptibility map for spontaneous shallow landslide at Gasen – Haslau ([35] Schwarz et al 2009). Abb. 5: Dispositionskarte für spontane, flachgründige Rutschungen im Bereich Gasen-Haslau ([35]Schwarz et al 2009). Rock fall hazard assessment areas” by the WLV. The legal implication of these indication The state of the art regarding the assessment and areas lies in the obligation of the authorities evaluation of hazard for rock fall processes can Seite 89 Seite 88 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU Landslide hazard assessment be described by the following workflow. The methods to be applied are just roughly described, The combination of a rotational and a translational sliding mechanism is called a compound slide. General for a detailed description see the cited literature. These may develop in horizontally stratified soils Depending on the objective of the assessment, the and rocks, where the upper part of the slope shows tools to be applied may vary in respect to the scale Landslides present complex natural phenomena a rotational failure which is constrained by a plane of the result, being more coarse at regional scale for both the variability of processes and the of weakness at the base (e. g. a claystone layer). and detailed at slope-scale. dimensions. A landslide may exhibit a translational Standard procedure for the assessment of rock fall sheet slide of some square meters involving the in Austria are debris slides (e. g. Gasen and Haslau hazards (best practice): ground surface or a deep seated mass movement 2005, Vorarlberg). These failures occur in porous of several cubic kilometres. soils, especially after extraordinary water input Preparation A process that frequently can be observed Rapid landslides with reference to [6] resulting from precipitation and/or snow melt •Definition of the boundaries of the project CRUDEN & VARNES (1996) feature velocities leading to an excess of pore water pressure. The area in compliance with the stakeholder of some metres per minute to several meters per mass movement often starts as a rotational slide, •Acquisition of basic data (topografic maps, second. In Austria, the main processes exhibit which turns into a debris flow down slope. geology, land use, literature, studies etc.) different slides and debris slides. Very rapid to •Collection of historic event information rapid flow slides, which one can find for example is important to distinguish between preparatory in Scandinavia or in Canada, have no relevance factors and the triggers ([46] WL/WPLI 1994). The in Austria. triggering of the occurrence of a mass movement is Slides include rotational, translational the last step of destabilization over a longer period •Collection of properties of the forest (if and compound slides. Rotational slides own a of time. Concerning [37] THERZAGHI (1950) the relevant), identification (by field work and/ circular sliding surface, which results from shear stability of slopes is stated by the factor of safety, or according to e. g. [12] JABOYEDOFF failure in relatively homogenous rock or soil of low which is expressed by the ratio between driving 1999) and strength. Translational (written and oral) Field work: •Evaluation of detachment areas slides take place in description of discontinuities rock on forgiven more (type, dip/direction, opening, filling …), or less planar features properties of rock mass, like bedding planes, relevant failure mechanisms, joints etc. The failure probabilistic distribution of results when the shear joint-bordered rock bodies • Scree slopes: block-size When assessing landslide hazards, it distribution (statistics) Fig. 6: Delineation of potential conflict areas at regional extent using an empirical model ([21] Melzner et al 2010). resistance on the plane Abb. 6: Abgrenzung potenzieller Wirkungsbereiche mittel einfachen empirischen Modellansätzen ([21] Melzner et al 2010). often one can find • Analysis of rock fall processes ([22] is exceeded. Relatively these slides in the soil MELZNER et al 2010, [23] MELZNER et al For the design of mitigation measures, a cover of the ground, 2010, [24] MÖLK 2008): probabilistic approach is going to be defined called sheet slides, as a standard procedure in Austria ([28] ONR where the sliding Rough estimation of run out e. g. by shadow angle (regional scale) 24810) following the concept of partial factors of surface is formed by a 2D or 3D modelling (probabilistic): safety ([26] EUROCODES) for actions/resistances weak clay layer, such provides run out length, energy and and varying accepted probabilities of failure as a gley horizon in the Fig. 7: An Example of changes of the factor of safety with time after [46] WL/WPLI (1994) bouncing-height distributions for slope- depending on the casualty and reliability-classes range of groundwater scale problems of [27] Eurocode 0. fluctuations. Abb. 7: Beispiel für die Veränderung der Sicherheit eines Einhanges über die Zeit, nach [46] WL/WPLI (1994) Seite 91 Seite 90 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU forces and resisting forces. Stable slopes feature a State of the art in landslide assessment and an evaluation of the mechanical model. future. Models showing the disposition of a given Furthermore, a monitoring allows the prediction environment to tend to mass-movements and forces exceed the driving forces. If the driving For several years, high resolution Lidar data of failure time under certain circumstances (e.g. also forecasting the location, time and run-out forces are greater than the resisting forces the slope have been available for most regions in Austria [9] FUKUZONO 1985, [19] KRÄHENBÜHL of such processes will be a precious tool for the fails, i.e. the factor of safety drops under one. bearing landslide activity. They are a powerful 2006, [32] ROSE & HUNGR 2007) experts although a replacement of a thorough factor of safety over one, meaning that the resisting Fig. 5 ([46] WL/WPLI 1994) shows the tool to recognize geomorphological structures development of a stable slope to one that fails. of landslides ([49] ZANGERL et al., 2008). A Since the slope is exposed to weathering, erosion main advantage of Lidar data in comparison processes etc. the factor of safety of the slope to conventional photos is the information on The development of forecast-models for the decreases to the point where it is close to failure shaded areas and of areas covered with wood. prognosis of the location and/or time of rapid (marginally stable). At this point the slope is Additionally, (e.g. gravitational mass movements to take place susceptible to many triggers. airborne and satellite-based multispectral and or even the meteorological settings which will Michael Mölk remote sensing systems evaluation of the conditions on site is not to be Future development expected anytime. Anschrift der Verfasser / Authors’ addresses: When assessing landslide hazard the radar images) provide information on unstable, trigger such events is at an early stage. Due to Forsttechnischer Dienst für following information is needed regarding the slowly creeping slopes, which may fail and the fact that the authorities are strongly asking for Wildbach und Lawinenverbauung, ground conditions: transfer into a rapid moving masses ([31] PRAGER such tools, many practitioners and scientists are Geologische Stelle •geology and structures et al., 2009). focusing on that topic. Liebeneggstr. 11 •hydrogeology, 6020 Innsbruck •type of process maps in Austria were often made on demand. the development of the erosion processes in •velocity of the process For some years authorities (LReg Kärnten, WLV question will keep the stakes high and will not Oberösterreich und Vorarlberg) are going to make allow for providing the authorities with the accurate Thomas Sausgruber comprehensive hazard maps giving a basis on models they ask for within a considerable time. Forsttechnischer Dienst für decision-making for land use and development. Given the necessary detailed parameters, such as Wildbach und Lawinenverbauung Landslide inventories (databases of WLV, GBA, geology, hydrogeology, geotechnical parameters Geologische Stelle several federal states) in combination with GIS etc., triggering, influencing or allowing for the Liebeneggstr. 11 applications are used to get rapid information to processes in question are at hand, and all the 6020 Innsbruck Conventional methods are based on observations areas prone to landslides. necessary models are developed, it is highly likely [email protected] of potentially unstable slopes. Aerial photos, Collected surface data in combination that they will work in certain regions with similar both stereographic and orthophotos, have been with subsurface data gained from trenches or corresponding geological, morphological and Richard Bäk used since decades to detect these slopes by and boreholes or seismic refraction, ground- meteorological conditions only. Abt. 15 Umwelt characteristic geomorphological phenomena in penetrating radar and electrical resistivity profiles Geologie+Bodenschutz combination with available geological maps ([4] allow for the drawing of an underground-model necessarily depend BUNZA 1996, [14] KIENHOLZ 1995). This first and deduce the type of failure mechanism which calibration with analysis is completed by mapping in the field. The is most likely to occur. This emphasizes the necessity of a consistent data are commonly presented in landslide hazard documentation of events, to provide the model- maps, which show the spatial distribution of to assess the factor of safety and the probability developers with calibration data. Arben Kociu different hazard classes. Additionally chronicles, of failure by means of analytical calculations Geologische Bundesanstalt which occasionally exist at the town halls, turned or numerical modelling (e.g. [29] Poisel et al. applied at defined locations with all the necessary Fachabteilung Ingenieurgeologie out to be very useful. 2006). Additional information on the process field work and assessment of natural parameters, Neulinggasse 38 can be provided by a monitoring system. This fed in apt models will not become obsolete in 1030 Wien serves as a check for the taken assumptions the near and very probably not even in the far [email protected] • geotechnical properties of materials involved • potential role of human activities (triggers?). State of the practice in landslide assessment Until recently, susceptibility/hazard Geotechnical data are also required The multitude of parameters influencing The accuracy of these models will highly on a well-documented thorough events. This means that the expertise of experts [email protected] Flatschacher Straße 70 9020 Klagenfurt [email protected] Seite 93 Seite 92 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU Literatur / References: [1] BÄK, EBERHART, GOLDSCHMIDT, KOCIU, LETOUZE-ZEZULA & LIPIARSKI (2005): Ereigniskataster und Karte der Phänomene als Werkzeug zur Darstellung geogener Naturgefahren (Massenbewegungen), Arb. Tagg. Geol. B.-A., Gmünd 2005 [20] MELZNER, S., LOTTER, M. & A. KOCIU (2009): Development of an efficient methodology for mapping and assessing potential rock fall source areas and runout zones. European Geosciences Union (EGU), General Assembly, 19-24th April 2009, Vienna. (http://www. geologie.ac.at/pdf/Poster/poster_2009_egu_melzner.pdf) [2] BGBl. Nr. 436/1976: Verordnung des Bundesministers für Land- und Forstwirtschaft vom 30. Juli 1976 über die Gefahrenzonenpläne [21] MELZNER, S., DORREN, L. , KOCIU, A. & R. BÄK (2010B): Regionale Ausweisung potentieller Ablöse- und Wirkungsbereichen von Sturzprozessen im Oberen Mölltal/Kärnten. Poster Präsentation beim Geoforum Umhausen 2010, Niederthai, Tirol. (Poster download on GBA homepage www.geologie.ac.at) [3] BMLFUW (2010): Richtlinie für die Gefahrenzonenplanung-LE.3.3.3/0185-IV/5/2007 vom 12. Jänner 2010 [4] BUNZA, G. (1996): Assessment of landslide hazards by means of geological and hydrological risk mapping [22] MELZNER, S., TILCH, N., LOTTER, M., KOÇIU, A. & BÄK, R. (2010C): Rock fall susceptibility assessment using structural geological indicators for detaching processes such as sliding or toppling. European Geosciences Union (EGU), General Assembly, 02-07 Mai 2010, Wien. (http://www. geologie.ac.at/pdf/Poster/poster_2010_egu_melzner_etal.pdf) [5] BUWAL: Symbolbaukasten zur Kartierung der Phänomene. Mitt. Bundesamt f. Wasser u. Geologie 6, p. 41, 2004 [23] MELZNER, S., MÖLK, M., DORREN, L. & R. BÄK (2010A): Comparing empirical models, 2D and 3D process based models for delineating maximum rockfall runout distances. European Geosciences Union (EGU), General Assembly, 02-07 Mai 2010, Vienna. (http://www. geologie.ac.at/pdf/Poster/poster_2010_egu_melzner_2d_3d.pdf) [6] CRUDEN, D.M.; VARNES D. J. (1996): Landslide Types and Processes. In: Turner A.K. and Schuster R.L. (eds.): Landslides: Investigation and mitigation. Special report 247. Washington D.C.: National Academic Press, 36-45,1996. [7] DORREN, L., JONNSON, M., KRAUTBLATTER, M., MOELK, M. AND STOFFEL, M. (2007): State of the Art in Rock-Fall and Forest Interactions, Schweizerische Zeitschrift für Forstwesen 158 (2007) 6: S 128-141 [8] Forstgesetz 1975, § 11 [9] FUKOZONO T. (1985): A new method for predicting the failure time of a slope. Proc. 4th Int. Conf. and field workshop on landslides, Tokyo, 145-150, 1985. [24] MÖLK, M. (2008): Regionalstudie Wipptal Südost: Erfassung und Darstellung von Naturgefahrenpotentialen im Regionalen Maßstab nach EtAlp Standards. Poster Präsentation beim Geoforum Umhausen 2008, Niederthai, Tirol. [25] MÖLK M. und NEUNER G. (2004): Generelle Legende für Geomorphologische Kartierungen des Forsttechnischen Dienst für Wildbach und Lawinenverbauung, Geologische Stelle, Innsbruck, S.49, 2004 [26] ÖNORM EN 1990: Eurocode: Grundlagen der Tragwerksplanung [10] HUNGR, O.; EVANS, S.G. (2004): The occurrence and classification of massive rock slope failure. Felsbau 22, 16-23, 2004. [27] ÖNORM EN 1997-1: Eurocode 7: Entwurf, Berechnung und Bemessung in der Geotechnik. Teil 1: Allgemeine Regeln [11] HUTCHSINSON, J.N. (1988): General Report: Morphological and geotechnical parameters of landslides in the relation to geology and hydrogeology. In: Bonnard (ed.): Proceedings of the 5th International Symposium on Landslides, Vol 1. Rotterdam: Balkema, 3-35, 1988. [28] ONR 24810: Technischer Steinschlagschutz: Begriffe und Definitionen, geologischgeotechnische Grundlagen, Bemessung und konstruktive Ausgestaltung, Instandhaltung und Wartung. – In preparation, foreseen publication: 2011 [12] HÜBL, J., KOCIU, A., KRISSL, H., LANG, E., LÄNGER, E., RUDOLFMIKLAU, F., MOSER, A., PICHLER, A., RACHOY, Ch., SCHNETZER, I., SKOLAUT, Ch., TILCH, N. & TOTSCHNIK, R. (2009): Alpine Naturkatastrophen – Lawinen-Muren-Felsstürze-Hochwässer, 120 S..Leopold Stocker – Verlag, Graz. [13] JABOYEDOFF Michel, BAILLIFARD Francois, MARRO Christian, PHILIPPOSSIAN Frank & ROUILLER Jean-Daniel (1999): Detection of Rock Instabilities: Matterock Methodology. Joint japa-Swiss [14] KIENHOLZ, H, KRUMMENACHER, B, LIENER, S. (1995): Erfassung und Modellierung von Hangbewegungen als Beitrag zur Erstellung von Gefahren-Hinweiskarten. Report, Münchner Forum für Massenbewegungen, München [15] KLINGSEISEN, B., LEOPOLD, Ph., TSCHACH, M. (2006): Mapping Landslide Hazards in Austria: GIS Aids Regional Planning in NonAlpine Regions. ArcNews 28 (3): 16, 2006. [16] KOCIU A. et al. (2007): Massenbewegungen in Österreich. – JB der Geol. B.-A. Band 147, Heft 1+2, S 215-220. – Wien 2007 [17] KOCIU, A., TILCH N., SCHWARZ L,. HABERLER A., MELZNER S. (2010): GEORIOS - Jahresbericht 2009; Geol.B.-A. Wien 2010. [18] KOLMER, Ch. (2009): Geogenes Baugrundrisiko Öberösterreich. Vortrag im Rahmen des Landesgeologentages 2009, St. Pölten 2009. [19] KRÄHENBÜHL R. (2006): Der Felssturz, der sich auf die Stunde genau ankündigte. Bull. Angew. Geol., 11(1), 49-63, 2006. [29] POISEL, R., ANGERER, H., PÖLLINGER, M., KALCHER, T., KITTL, H. (2006): Assessment of the Risks Caused by the Landslide Lärchberg ? Galgenwald, Austria. Felsbau 24, No. 3, S. 42-49 (2006) [30] POSCH-TRÖZMÜLLER, G. (2010): Adapt Alp WP 5.1 Hazard Mapping - Geological Hazards. Literature Survey regarding methods of hazard mapping and evaluation of danger by landslides and rock fall. Final Report, Geologische Bundesanstalt, Wien, 2010 (www.ktn.gv.at/Verwaltung/Abteilungen/Abt.15 Umwelt, Thema Geologie und Bodenschutz) [31] PRAGER, Ch.; ZANGERL, Ch.; NAGLER, Th. (2009): Geological controls on slope deformations in the Köfels rockslide area (Tyrol, Austria). AJES 102/2 (2009), 4-19 [32] ROSE, N.D. and HUNGR O. (2007): Forecasting potential rock slope failure in open pit mines using the inverse-velocity method. Int. Jour. of Rock Mech. and Min. Science, 44, 308-320, 2007. [33] RUDOLF-MIKLAU F. & SCHMIDT F. (2004): Implementation, application and enforcement of hazard zone maps for torrent and avalanches control in Austria, Forstliche Schriftenreihe, Universität für Bodenkultur Wien, Bd. 18, p. 83-107, 2004 [34] RUFF, M. (2005): GIS-gestützte Risikonanalyse für Rutschungen und Felsstürze in den Ostalpen (Vorarlberg, Österreich). Georisikokarte Vorarlberg. Diss. Univ. Karlsruhe, 2005. [35] SCHWARZ, L., TILCH, N. & KOCIU. A. (2009): Landslide sucseptibility mapping by means of artificial Neuronal Networks performed for the region Gasen-Haslau (eastern Styria, Austria) – 6th European Congress on regional Geoscientific Cartography and Information Systems. (http://www.geologie.ac.at/pdf/Poster/poster_2009_euregio.pdf) [36] SCHWEIGL, J.; HERVAS, J. (2009): Landslide Mapping in Austria. JRC Scientific and Technical Report EUR 23785 EN, Office for Official Publications of the European Communities, 61 pp. ISBN 978-92-79-11776-3, Luxembourg, 2009. [43] WP/WLI - Working Party on Landslide Inventory (International Geotechnical Societies of UNESCO) (1990): Suggested Method for Reporting a Landslide . – Bull. Intern. Ass. Eng. Geology, No. 41, Paris 1990 [37] TERZAGHI, K. (1950): Mechanism of landslides. Geological Society of America. Berkey Volume 1950, 83-124 [44] WP/WLI - Working Party on Landslide Inventory (International Geotechnical Societies of UNESCO) (1991): A Suggested Method for a Landslide Summary. – Bull. Intern. Ass. Eng. Geology, No. 43, Paris 1991 [38] TILCH, N. (2009): Datenmanagementsystem GEORIOS (Geogene Risiken Österreich). Vortrag im Rahmen des Landesgeologentages 2009, St. Pölten 2009. [39] TILCH, N. (2010): Räumliche und skalenabhängige Variabilität der Datenqualität und deren Einfluss auf mittels heuristischer Methode erstellte Dispositionskarten für Massenbewegungen im Lockergestein - eine Fallstudie im Bereich Niederösterreichs –, 12. Geoforum Umhausen 14.-15.10.10, Niederthai, (http://www.geologie.ac.at/pdf/Poster/poster_2010_geoforum_tilch.pdf). [40] TILCH, N. (2010): Erstellung von Dispositionskarten für Massenbewegungen – Herausforderungen, Methoden, Chancen, Limitierungen.- Vortrag Innsbrucker Hofgespräche 26.05.2010, Innsbruck; (http://bfw.ac.at/050/ pdf/IHG_26_05_2010_Tilch_Schwarz.pdf) [41] TILCH, N., MELZNER, S., JANDA, C. & A. KOCIU (2009): Simple applicable methods for assessing natural hazards caused by landslides and erosion processs in torrent catchments. European Geosciences Union (EGU), General Assembly, 19-24th April 2009, Vienna. (http://www.geologie.ac.at/pdf/Poster/poster_2009_egu_tilch_etal.pdf) [42] WP/WLI - Working Party on Landslide Inventory (International Geotechnical Societies of UNESCO) (1990): Suggested Nomenclature for Landslides . – Bull. Intern. Ass. Eng. Geology, No. 41, Paris 1990 [45] WP/WLI - Working Party on Landslide Inventory (International Geotechnical Societies of UNESCO) (1993): A Suggested Method for describing the Activity of a Landslide. – Bull. Intern. Ass. Eng. 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American Rock Mechanics Association, 0863, (2008) Seite 95 Seite 94 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU Introduction step the hazard of landslides is assessed according to the methods used in the Swiss strategy against Switzerland is a country exposed to many natural all natural hazards (e.g. floods, avalanches). The hazards. These hazards include earthquakes, floods, hazard assessment is then integrated into land use forest fires, snow avalanches, rock falls and debris planning and in the risk management (3. step). flows. More than 6% of Switzerland is affected by hazards due to slope instability. These areas occur First step: Hazard identification mainly in the Prealps and in the Alps. The Randa HUGO RAETZO, BERNARD LOUP Geological Hazard Assessment in Switzerland Geologische Gefahrenbeurteilung in der Schweiz Summary: Geological hazard assessments are based on Swiss laws dealing with natural hazards. Guidelines are published by the Federal Office for the Environment (FOEN/BAFU). According to the integrated risk management, the methods are applied for all natural hazards (landslides, floods, snow avalanches). The hazard maps are dealing with five degrees: high (red), medium (blue), low (yellow), residual (yellow-white), no hazard (white). Zusammenfassung: Geologische Gefahren werden in der Schweiz gemäß den eidgenössischen Gesetzen über den Wald und den Wasserbau erhoben und beurteilt. Dazu hat das zuständige Bundesamt (heute das Bundesamt für Umwelt BAFU) entsprechende Empfehlungen und Richtlinien veröffentlicht. Im Sinne des integralen Risikomanagements werden für alle Gefahrenprozesse vergleichbare Methoden angewendet und anschließend in der Planung umgesetzt. Das gilt für geologische Massenbewegungen, Hochwasser und Lawinen. Für diese Prozesse werden Gefahrenkarten erstellt, die immer fünf Gefahrenstufen ausscheiden: Hohe, mittlere und geringe Gefahr sowie Restgefährdung und keine Gefährdung. Daraus entstehen die roten, blauen, gelben, gelb-weiß gestreiften und weißen Zonen auf den Gefahrenkarten. rock avalanches of 1991 are a good example of the Landslides can be classified according to the potential of such hazards. Thirty million m3 of fallen estimated depth of the sliding plane (< 2m: shallow; debris cut off the valley for two weeks. In another 2-10 m: intermediate; >10 m: deep) and the long case, a landslide was reactivated with historically term mean velocity of the movements (< 2 cm/year: unprecedented rates of displacement up to 6 m/ substabilised; 2-10 cm/year: slow; > 10 cm/year: day, causing the destruction of the village of Falli- active). These depth and velocity parameters are Hölli in the year 1994. not always sufficient to estimate the potential The legal and technical background danger of a landslide. Differential movements must conditions for the protection against landslides also be taken into account since they can generate have undergone considerable changes since the buildings to topple or cracks to open. 80’s. The flooding of 1987 promoted the federal authorities to review criteria governing natural (< 40 m/s), the size of their elements (Østone < 0.5 m, hazard protection. The Federal Flood Protection Øblock > 0.5 m) and the volumes involved. Rock Law and the Federal Forest Law came into force in avalanches with huge volumes (v > 1million m3) 1991. Their purpose is to protect the environment, and high speed (> 40 m/s) can also happen human lives and property from the damage caused although these are rare. by water, mass movements, snow avalanches and forest fires. Following the promulgation of these very shallow landslides are frequent in Switzerland. new regulations, greater emphasis has been These are moderate volume (< 20,000 m3) and placed on preventive measures. Consequently, high speed features (1-10 m/s). These phenomena hazard assessment, the identification of protection are very dangerous and annually cause important objectives, purposeful planning of preventive traffic disruptions and fatalities. measures and the limitation of the residual A map of landslide phenomena and risk are of central importance. The cantons are an associated technical report provide signs now required to establish inventories and maps and indications of slope instability as observed denoting areas of hazards, and to take them in the field. The map represents phenomena into account in the land use planning. For the related to dangerous processes and delineates the improvement of the inventories and the hazard vulnerable areas. maps, the federal government provides subsides to the cantonal authorities (50%). allows areas vulnerable to landslides to be Rock falls are characterized by their speed Due to heavy rainfall, debris flows and Field interpretation of these phenomena In a first step the landslides are identified mapped. This is based on the observation and and classified. During this phase inventories and interpretation of landforms, on structural and maps of phenomena are established. In a second geomechanical properties of slope instabilities, Seite 97 Seite 96 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU and on historical traces. Extensive knowledge of An additional distinction is made between allow an overview of the different natural disasters blue and yellow. The estimated degrees of danger past and current events in a catchment area is potential, inferred or proved events. According to and potential associated damage in Switzerland. have implications for land use. They indicate the essential if zones of future instability are to be the scale of mapping (e.g. 1:50,000 for the Master identified. Plan, 1:5,000 for the Local Plan), this legend may contain a large number of symbols. Some recommendations for the uniform Inventories: Recommendations level of danger to people and to animals, as well Second step: Hazard assessment of landslides as to property. In the case of mass movement, people are considered safer inside the buildings classification, representation and documentation for Hazard is defined as the occurrence of a potentially than outside. of natural processes have been established by the the definition of a uniform Register for slope damaging natural phenomena within a specific Swiss federal administration. Consequently, the instability events has been developed, including period of time in a given area. Hazard assessment potential damage caused by an event is based on definition of features on a natural hazard map is special sheets for each phenomenon (landslides, implies the determination of the magnitude or the identification of threshold values for degrees based on a uniform legend for landslides, floods floods, snow avalanches). Each canton is currently intensity of an event over time. Mass movements of danger, according to possible damage to and snow avalanches. The different phenomena compiling the data for its own register. These often correspond to gradual (landslides) or unique property. The intensity parameter is divided into are represented by different colours and symbols. databases (StorMe) are transferred to the FOEN to (falls, debris flows) events. It is sometimes difficult three degrees: RED: high hazard • People are at risk of injury both inside and outside buildings. • A rapid destruction of buildings is possible. or: • Events occurring with a lower intensity, but with a higher probability of occurrence. In this case, people are mainly at risk outside buildings, or buildings can no longer house people. The red zone mainly designates a prohibition domain (area where development is prohibited). BLUE: moderate hazard • People are at risk of injury outside buildings. Risk is considerably lower inside buildings. • Damage to buildings should be expected, but not a rapid destruction, as long as the construction type has been adapted to the present conditions. The blue zone is mainly a regulation domain, in which severe damage can be reduced by means of appropriate protective measures (area with restrictive regulations). YELLOW: low hazard • People are at slow risk of injury. • Slight damage to buildings is possible. A description of the magnitude of to make an assessment of the return period of High intensity: People and animals are at risk a massive rock avalanche, or to predict when a of injury inside buildings; heavy damage to dormant landslide may reactivate. buildings or even destruction of buildings is possible. Some federal recommendations have been proposed in the 90’s for the management Medium intensity: People and animals are of landslides and floods. Since 1984 similar at risk of injury outside buildings, but are at recommendations have already existed for snow low risk inside buildings; lighter damage to avalanches. Hazard maps, according to the federal buildings should be expected. “recommendations“ (guidelines), express three Low intensity: People and animals are slightly degrees of danger, represented by corresponding threatened, even outside buildings (except colours: red, blue and yellow (Fig. 1). The various in the case of stone and block avalanches, hazard zones are delineated according to the which can harm or kill people and animals); landslide phenomena maps, the register of slope superficial damage to buildings should be instability events and additional documents. expected. Numerical models (analysis of block trajectories, calculations of factors of safety) may be used to Criteria for the intensity assessment: determine the extent of areas endangered by rock There is generally no applicable measure to define falls, or to present quantitative data on the stability the intensity of slope movements. However, of a potentially unstable area. indicative values can be used to define classes A chart of the degrees of danger has been of high, mean and low intensity. Applied criteria developed in order to guarantee a homogeneous usually refer to the zone affected by the process, and uniform means of assessment of the different or to the threatened zone. The yellow zone is mainly an alerting domain (area where people are notified at possible hazard). kinds of natural hazards across Switzerland (floods, snow avalanches, landslides…) – for For rock falls, the significant criterion is the YELLOW-WHITE HATCHING: residual danger example, Fig.1 for fall processes. Two major impact energy in the exposed zone (translation parameters are used to classify the danger: the and rotation energy). The 300 kJ limit corresponds intensity, and the probability (frequency or return to the impact energy to which can be resisted period). Three degrees of danger have been by a reinforced concrete wall, as long as the defined. These are represented by the colours red, structure is properly constructed. The 30 kJ limit Low probability of high intensity event occurrence can be designated by yellow-white hatching. The yellow-white hatched zone is mainly an alerting domain, highlighting a residual danger. WHITE: no danger or negligible danger, according to currently available information. Seite 99 Seite 98 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU Low intensity Medium intensity High intensity Rock fall E < 30 kJ 30 < E < 300 kJ E > 300 kJ Rock avalanche - - E > 300 kJ Landslide v ≤ 2 cm/y v : 2-10 cm/y v>10 cm/year dv, D, T dv, D, T dv, D, T v > 0.1 m/day for shallow landslides; displacement > 1 m per event correlated with recurrent meteorological conditions. For example, considering a time period of 30 The probability of mass movement occurrence years, an event with a 30-year return period has should mainly be established for a given duration of a 64% probability of occurrence (or about 2 in land use. Thus, the probability of potential damage 3), of 26% (or about 1 in 4) for a 100-year return during a certain period of time, or the degree period, and of 10% (or about 1 in 10) for a 300- of safety of a specific area should be taken into year return period. account, rather than the frequency of dangers. The probability of occurrence and the occurrence clearly shows that even for a rather return period can be mathematically linked, if high return period (300 years), the residual danger attributed to the same reference period: remains not significant. Earth flows and debris flows p = 1 – (1 – 1/T)n real - h<1m h>1m E: kinetic energy; e: thickness of the unstable layer; h: height of the earthflow deposit; v: long term mean velocity, dv: variation of velocity (accelerations), D: differential movements, T: thickness of the landslide. corresponds to the maximum energy that oak- converted to danger classes. Other criteria as wood stiff barriers can resist (e.g. rail sleeper). velocity changes or accelerations (dv), differential For rock avalanches, the high intensity class movements (D) and thickness of the landslide (T) (E > 300 kJ) is always reached in the impact zone. can lead to increase resp. to reduce the intensity The target zones affected by block avalanches class as derived from the long term velocity. of low to medium intensity can only be roughly For earth flows and debris flows, delineated. Therefore, it is recommended not to the intensity depends on the thickness of the artificially delineate zones affected by low to potentially unstable layer. The boundaries defining medium intensities. the three intensity classes are set at 0.5 m and 2 m. Most landslides: A low intensity movement has an Probability: Probability of landslides is defined annual mean speed of lower than 2 cm per year. according to three classes. The class limits are set A medium intensity has a speed ranging from at 30 and 300 years and are equivalent to those one to 10 cm per year. The high intensity class established for snow avalanches and floods. The is assigned to velocities higher than 10 cm per 100-year limit corresponds to a value applied in year and to shear zones or zones with clear the design of flood protection structures. differential movements (D). It may also be assigned if reactivated phenomena have been observed or, determine if mass movements occur remain very if horizontal displacements greater than one meter uncertain. Unlike floods and snow avalanches, mass per event may occur. Finally, the high intensity movements are usually non-recurrent processes. class can also be assigned to very rapid shallow The return period, therefore, only has a relative landslides (speed > 0.1 m/day). In the area affected meaning, except for events involving stone and by landsliding field, intensity criteria can be directly block avalanches and earth flows, which can be exclude the intensity scale for high magnitude Whereby p is the probability of occurrence, n events. Hazards with a very low probability of represents the given time period (for example 30 occurrence are usually classified as residual or 50 years), and T is the return period. dangers under the standard classification. In the high e>2m RED medium 0.5 m < e < 2 m In principle, the probability scale does not exclude very rare events, neither does it BLUE low e < 0.5 m INTENSITY potential The calculation of the probability of YELLOW / WHITE Phenomena YELLOW The results of probability calculations to high Fig. 1: Matrix for the assessment of hazards Abb. 1: Matrix für die Gefahrenbeurteilung medium PROBABILITY low very low Seite 101 Seite 100 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU Anschrift der Verfasser / Authors’ addresses: domain of dangers related to mass movements, According to Art. 6 of the Federal Law for Land The degrees of danger are initially assigned the limit for a residual danger has been set for an use Planning, the cantons must identify all areas according to their consequences for construction event with a 300-year return period. that are threatened by natural hazards. activity. They must minimise risks to the safety Hugo Raetzo The cantonal Master Plan is a basic of people and animals, as well as minimising Federal Office for the Environment FOEN hazard matrix based on intensity and probability document for land use planning, infrastructural as possible damage to property. In agricultural Bundesamt für Umwelt BAFU criteria (Raetzo & Loup 2009). The resulting coordination and accident prevention. It consists zones, buildings affected by different degrees of 3003 Bern hazard map is mainly used for planning (land of a map and a technical report, and is based on danger are constrained by the same conditions as Schweiz use), while the design of protection measures studies. The Master Plan allows for deciding the those in built-up areas. needs more detailed investigations. In general following: The degree of hazard is defined in a Bernard Loup •It shows how to coordinate activities the methods used are related to the product, Conclusions Federal Office for the Environment FOEN associated with different land uses. scales and the risk in order to respect economic Bundesamt für Umwelt BAFU •It identifies the goals of planning and criteria: low efforts are done for the Swiss specifies the necessary stages. indicative map (level 1), important efforts • It provides are done when a hazard map is established legal constraints to the authorities in charge of land use planning. or reviewed (level 2). Detailed analyses and In Switzerland legal and technical references are 3003 Bern published to clarify which responsibilities the Schweiz authorities have and how the assessment has to be done in order to apply the concept of integral risk management. The hazard map indicates engineering calculations are foreseen for the planning of countermeasures (level 3). Applying The objectives of the Master Plan with respect to which areas are unsuitable for use, according this natural hazards are: to existing natural hazard. The integration of concept rising efforts for geological •To early detect conflicts between land use, investigations are planned when the assessment development and natural hazards. on the second or third level takes place. •To refine the survey of basic documents Third step: Land use planning and risk management concerning natural hazards. •To formulate principles that can be applied hazard maps into land use planning (including construction conditions, building licences) and the development of protective measures to minimise damage to property are main objectives. When the hazard map is compared with The hazard map is a basic document used in by the cantons to the issue of protection existing land use conflicts may occur. Since it is land use planning. Natural hazards should be against natural hazard. difficult or impossible to change land use, specific taken into account particularly in the following •To define necessary requirements and construction codes are required to reach the mandates to be used in subsequent desired protection level. Hazard maps are also planning stages. considered in planning protective measures as situations: •Elaboration and improvement of cantonal well as the installation of warning systems and Master Plan and Communal Local Plans for land use. •Planning, construction, transformation of buildings and infrastructures. •Granting of concessions and planning for construction and infrastructural installations. •Granting of subsidies for building and The constraints on Local Planning already allow emergency plans. The federal recommendations and ensure appropriate management of natural are on attempt to mitigate natural disasters by hazards with respect to land use. The objective restricting development on unstable areas. of these constraints is to delineate danger zones by highlighting restrictions, or to establish legal frameworks leading to the same ends. At the same time danger zones can be development (road and rail networks, delineated on the local plan with areas suitable residences), as well as for slope stabilisation for construction as well as additional protection and protection measures. zones. Literatur / References: BUNDESAMT FÜR RAUMPLANUNG, BUNDESAMT FÜR WASSERWIRTSCHAFT & BUNDESAMT FÜR UMWELT, WALD UND LANDSCHAFT, (1997). Empfehlungen, Berücksichtigung der Massenbewegungsgefahren bei raumwirksamen Tätigkeiten, EDMZ, 3000 Bern. CRUDEN D.M. UND VARNES D.J.: Landslide types and processes. In: A. Keith Turner & Robert L. Schuster (eds): Landslide investigation and mitigation: 36-75. Transportation Research Board, special report 247. Washington: National Academy Press, 1996. KIENHOLZ, H., KRUMMENACHER, B. et al.: Empfehlungen Symbolbaukasten zur Kartierung der Phänomene Ausgabe 1995, Mitteilungen BUWAL Nr. 6, 41 S., Reihe Vollzug Umwelt VU7502-D, Bern 1995. RAETZO et al.: Hazard assessment of mass movements – codes of practice in Switzerland, International Association of Engineering Geology IAEG Bulletin, 2002. RAETZO, H. & LOUP, B.; BAFU: Schutz vor Massenbewegungen. Technische Richtlinie als Vollzugshilfe. Entwurf 9. Sept. 2009. VARNES, D.J. and IAEG Commission on Landslides and other MassMovements: Landslide hazard zonation: a review of principles and practice. The UNESCO Press, Paris, 1984. Seite 103 Seite 102 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU Introduction 2)Landslide studies that have direct consequences to land planning laws, at local scale or higher. When facing a natural hazard, risk management GIS methods allow for performing analyses can be divided in several stages: over wide areas that are useful to be included in basin plans or master plans. National or local a)danger characterization, hazard assessment laws can require standard ways to present the and vulnerability analysis; b)risk evaluation and assessment; results (common graphical signs on the maps, STEFANO CAMPUS c)risk prevention (protective works, land use for example). Landslide Mapping in Piemonte (Italy): Danger, Hazard & Risk d)crisis and post-crisis management; regulation, monitoring, etc.); Legal framework in Italy and Piemonte e)feedback from experience. It is essential to properly distinguish the three High Level Legislation (national level) aspects of landslides studies: Kartierung von Rutschungen im Piemont (Italien): Gefahren & Risiken Summary: This paper briefly describes the legal framework of landslide danger, hazard and risk mapping in Italy and Piemonte. Laws or rules that indicate how a landslide analysis (danger, hazard, risk) has to be done, do not exist. As a general remark, it has to be observed that public legislation defines general principles and lines of conduct, functions, activities and authorities involved, while the regional administrations apply restrictions on land use through different regional laws. Keywords: Landslide, danger, hazard, risk, Piemonte, Italy Zusammenfassung: Diese Abhandlung beschreibt kurz den gesetzlichen Rahmen der Kartografie von Rutschungsgefahren und -risiken in Italien und im Piemont. Es gibt keine Gesetze oder Verordnungen darüber, wie eine Rutschungsanalyse (Gefahren und Risiken) auszuführen ist. Als eine allgemeine Bemerkung ist festzustellen, dass die öffentliche Gesetzgebung allgemeine Prinzipien und Richtlinien, Funktionen, Aktivitäten und betreffende Befugnisse festlegt, die Regionalverwaltungen hingegen erlegen auf der unterschiedlichen landesgesetzlichen Basis Einschränkungen hinsichtlich der Bodennutzung auf. Schlüsselwörter: Rutschung, Gefahr, Gefährdung, Risiko, Piemont, Italien •DANGER. Threat characterization (typology, The national Law n. 445/1908 (Transfer and morphology even quantitative, inventory…); consolidation of unstable towns) and Royal •HAZARD. Spatial and temporal probability, Decree R.D. n. 3267/1923 (Establishment of areas intensity and forecasting of evolution subject to hydro-geological constrains) were the (scenarios) are needed; first public regulations on land use planning. At •RISK. Interaction between a threat having the beginning of ‘70s, land use management was particular hazard and human activities. We transferred to the regions. need vulnerability and damage analysis. The national Law n. 183/1989 These differences are theoretically well known by introduced land use planning at a basin scale: the all technicians but often there are some problems government sets the standards and general aims when they have to be applied in a legal framework. without fixing a methodology to analyze and So, it is not so unusual to find inventory maps used evaluate the dangers, hazards, and risks related as hazard maps or damage maps called risk maps. to natural phenomena. The same law designated Therefore, we have to distinguish two situations: the Autorità di Bacino (Basin Authorities) whose 1)Landslides studies that have no influence from main goal is to draw up the Basin Plan, a tool for legal point of view. Typical cases are the studies planning actions and rules for conservation and carried out by universities about relevant protection of the territory. landslides. The aim is, for example, to understand the mechanical features of instability or to study in 2001 is called PAI (Piano per l’Assetto different ways of evolution of the phenomenon Idrogeologico or Hydrogeological System Plan (scenarios) in order to assess residual risk. Any of River Po Basin). It tries to verify the geological method to assess landslide hazard and risk can instability of the whole territory as regards the be used. They include statistical, deterministic, land use planning through a process of upgrading numerical, etc. methods for hazard and and feedback with the local urban management qualitative or matrix calculus for risk. Landslide plans. Moreover, all the municipalities are inventory can be made by means of historical, classified according different risk levels, mainly morphological, etc. approach. from a qualitative point of view. For landslides it About Po basin, the last plan adopted has two atlases (1:25,000 scale): Seite 105 Seite 104 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU 1) Atlas of Hydro-geological Risks (landslides, 2) Atlas of Landslides. It is an inventory, in government to give answers for development of geological and morphological features and floods, alluvial fans, avalanches) at the which polygons and points are divided in 3 regulation (to reduce or eliminate landslides historical analysis. municipal level. Every municipality is valued classes (fig. 1): losses). According to the national Law n. on the basis of the hazard, vulnerability • Fa-Area with Active Landslides (“very 267/1998, the government enforced legislative the Regional Law n. 38/1978, which regulate and and expected damage. Landslide hazard is high hazard”). No new buildings or measures at the national level, including the organise interventions related to severe instability function of ratio between area of landslides infrastructures are allowed. Only measures procedure to define landslide risk areas. phenomena), a specific article of the regional law within municipal boundaries and whole area of protection and reduction of vulnerability; of municipality. It has 4 qualitative classes: •R1-moderate risk. Social damages and few economic losses are possible. •R2-medium risk. Few damages to buildings and infrastructures without loss of functionality. •R3-high risk. Problems to human safety. Many damages and economic losses. •R4-very high risk. Deaths and severe injuries are possible. the 56/1977 (art. 9/bis) allows inhibiting or suspending •Fq-Area with Quiescent Landslides (“high Law n. 267/1998 regards the development of development in the involved areas. Consequently, hazard”). Some enlargements are allowed. “extraordinary plans” to manage the situations of new land-use planning must be realised (upgrade/ New buildings are allowed according to higher risk (R.M.E.-Aree a Rischio Molto Elevato), revision of the local management plan). city development plan. where safety problems or functional damages are possible. Local and regional authorities (Circolare del Presidente della Giunta Regionale, • Fs-Area with Stabilized (“medium-moderate Landslides hazard”). Another important aspect of In a state of emergency (as established by The last integrations to this law The are obliged to define, design and apply proper n. 7/LAP/1996 and Nota Tecnica Esplicativa, n. development of these areas is indicated in measures to risk mitigation, with national funding. 12/1999) introduced the concept of hazard and the city development plan. In Piedmont, these actions have been applied in risk zoning, classifying the whole territory in The catastrophic event of May 1998, which caused some significant cases such as in Ceppo Morelli different classes where land uses are precisely heavy damages and victims in municipalities (Valle Anzasca in northern part of Piemonte), regulated of Sarno and Quindici (Campania), urged the classified as a very high-risky area. forbidden, where preventive measures have to be and defined, where building is taken, etc… Low Level Legislation (Local Urban Development Plan) It is important to clarify that Regione Piemonte does not have an official regional Fig. 1: Example of Atlas of Landslides published by Po River Basin Authority (elaboration by Arpa Piemonte). Abb. 1: Beispiel des „Atlas of Landslides“ (Bergsturz-Atlas), veröffentlicht von Po River Basin Authority (Ausarbeitung von ARPA Piemonte). The classification of areas made by the Po Basin Geological Survey. Some geological functions Authority is a binding act. The municipality must are executed adopt a new town development plan taking into for Environmental account that classification. If the municipality “geological” departments: one dedicated to wants to change PAI classification, a deep analysis Geological Informative System, research and of the areas has to be done to justify new land use applied projects, the other one deals with destination. geological aspects of municipality urban plans. Regione Piemonte Regional Law for by Arpa Piemonte Protection) (Agency having two Therefore, we produce landslide danger, Urban Development L.R. n. 56/1977, which is the hazard and risk analyses that have not any legal main legal instrument of land use management at consequences. a local scale, as well as the Regional Law L.R. n. 45/1989 which regulates land use modification European and to out many experiences in fields of assessing environmental protection, divides areas in more methodology for landslides hazard assessment: detailed classes having (almost) same meaning of for instance, the IMIRILAND Project within Fifth PAI classification. Framework In Piemonte, the local management plan Project Fall or national Project of Geological (required by the Regional Law L.R. n. 56/1977) Cartography for shallow and planar landslides includes the danger/hazard zoning in order hazard maps in the southern hilly part of Piemonte to identify landslide prone areas on the basis region called Langhe (fig. 2). transformation in areas subject Within many regional, national and projects, Arpa Programme, Piemonte Interreg carried PROVIALP Seite 107 Seite 106 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU existing landslides (fig. 3). Every region decided Fig. 2: Extract from the shallow landslides hazard map of 1:50,000 scale sheet Dego in Piemonte. The traffic light colors indicate increasing hazard (from green to red), referring to return periods of critical rainfall (Arpa Piemonte, 2006). by itself if the results of IFFI Project (danger maps) Abb. 2: Auszug aus dem Gefahrenzonenplan rutschgefährdeter, oberflächennaher Hänge im Maßstab von 1:50.000 Dego im Piemont. Die Ampelfarben veranschaulichen die zunehmende Gefahr (von grün zu rot) mit Bezug auf Wiederkehrdauern kritischen Niederschlags (ARPA Piemonte, 2006). important tool for the planners who finally have So complete coverage of basic information is authorities and made locally by the regions. It available (lithology, geotechnical geo-database, is the first try of an inventory based on common landslides inventory, etc…), but only few rigorous graphical legend and glossary. applications of hazard & risk assessment. One of the available tools produced were recognized by interpreting aerial photos by Arpa Piemonte is the regional part of Italian and field surveys and the Informative System of Landslides Inventory (IFFI). It is a national program Landslides is constantly updated with inclusion of of landslide inventory, sponsored by national new landslides or corrections and deepening of In Piemonte, over 35,000 landslides do or do not have or a legal value. Currently, in Stefano Campus Piemonte landslides inventory coming from IFFI Arpa Piemonte Project is not a legal basis but it is one of the tools Dipartimento Tematico Geologia e Dissesto available that can be consulted. via Pio VII 9, 10135 TORINO (ITALY) [email protected] In any event, IFFI represents a very the first homogeneous, shared, detailed and most complete knowledge of the landslide occurrence on the whole territory. As a general remark for Italy, it has to be observed that public legislation defines general principles and lines of conduct, functions, activities and authorities involved, while the regional administrations apply restrictions on land use through different regional laws. Final remarks •Laws or rules that indicate how a landslide analysis (danger, hazard, risk) has to be done, do not exist; •There is often some confusion among danger, hazard and risk. An inventory map can be used as hazard map (i.e. susceptibility map), without any prevision of scenarios; •There is some lack of trust in quantitative methods. Qualitative approach seems to be preferred; The technicians who make the maps have to think firstly: •Who will be the end users? •What will be the use of maps? •Is the scale of work suitable for this? •Are the complexity of methods (time, resources, needed input data…) and Fig. 3: Arpa Piemonte Web-GIS Information Service of the IFFI Project. Abb. 3: ARPA Piemonte, Web-GIS Informationsdienst des IFFI-Projekts. Anschrift des Verfassers / Author’s address: results appropriate and understandable for decision makers? Literatur / References: ARPA PIEMONTE, (2006), Note illustrative della Carta della Pericolosità per Instabilità dei Versanti alla scala 1:50,000 Foglio n. 211 Dego. (S. Campus, F. Forlati & G. Nicolò editors), Apat, Roma. (in Italian); ARPA PIEMONTE, (2007), Evaluation and prevention of natural risks. (S. Campus, F. Forlati, S. Barbero & S. Bovo editors), Balkema Publisher; ARPA PIEMONTE, (2008), Interreg IIIa 2000-2006 Alpi Latine Alcotra. Progetto n. 165 PROVIALPProtezione della Viabilità Alpina. Final Report (in Italian); ARPA PIEMONTE, (2010), Geographic Information System on-line - http://webgis.arpa.piemonte.it V.A. (2004), Identification and mitigation of large landslides risks in Europe. The IMIRILAND project. (C. Bonnard, F. Forlati & C. Scavia editors), Balkema Publisher; Seite 109 Seite 108 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU Zusammenfassung: Slowenien liegt in einem komplexen Raum Adria – Dinaren – Pannonisches Becken, und seine allgemeine geologische Struktur ist bestens bekannt. Aufgrund seiner außerordentlich heterogenen geologischen Lage ist Slowenien Hangmassenbewegungen (SMM = slope mass movement) sehr stark ausgesetzt. Die slowenische Gesetzgebung (und darauf beruhend auch die entsprechenden Maßnahmen) sind vorwiegend auf die Schadenbehebungsphase und die Begrenzung der Auswirkungen bereits aufgetretener SMM-Vorkommnisse ausgerichtet, es mangelt jedoch an vorbeugenden Maßnahmen. Der Zweck dieses Artikels ist die Präsentation von Gefahrenhinweiskarten über Hangmassenbewegungen auf nationaler und regionaler Ebene, die zum Schutz vor schnellen Massenbewegungen in Slowenien erstellt wurden und die eine fachlich fundierte Grundlage für die entsprechenden Präventivmaßnahmen bilden. Der nächste logische Schritt wäre, dieses Know-how und diese Ansätze in die Gesetzgebung zu integrieren. Schlüsselwörter: Massenbewegungen, Gesetzgebung, Gefahrenhinweiskarte, Slowenien MARKO KOMAC, MATEJA JEMEC Standards and Methods of Hazard Assessment for Rapid Mass Movements in Slovenia Standards und Methoden der Gefährdungsanalyse für schnelle Massenbewegungen in Slowenien but they can be mitigated or avoided, applying 1. Introduction adequate legislation measures supported by corresponding expert argumentation. Although Slovenian territory occupies the Eastern flank of Slovenian legislation (and hence also measures) the Alpine chain. As in other areas of the Alpine mainly focuses on the remediation phase and region, Slovenia is exposed to different slope mass mitigation of consequences of SMM events that movements (SMM) above the average of the rest of have already occurred, it’s biggest deficiency lays Europe. SMM that represent substantial problems in the area of prevention measures. While, in the can be generally divided into three groups, 1) case of rare SMM events, the current approach of landslides, 2) debris-flows, and 3) rock falls. The exclusively post-event measures is conditionally majority of SMM events cannot be prevented, sustainable, in the case of frequent events it Summary: Slovenia is situated on the complex Adria – Dinaridic – Pannonian structural junction and its general geological structure is well known. As a consequence of an extraordinarily heterogeneous geological setting, Slovenia is highly exposed to slope mass-movement processes. While Slovenian legislation (and based on that also measures) mainly focuses on the remediation phase and mitigation of consequences of SMM events that have already occurred, its biggest deficiency lays in the area of prevention measures. The purpose of this paper is to represent slope mass movement susceptibility maps on a national and a local level that have been developed for protection from rapid mass movements in Slovenia and which form an expert foundation for the prevention measures. The next logical step would be to incorporate this knowledge and approach into legislation. Keywords: mass movement processes, legislation, susceptibility map, Slovenia Fig 1: Relation between hazards on one side and elements at risk on the other, and the risk in between (after Alexander, 2002). Abb. 1: Beziehung zwischen Gefahren und gefährdeten Elementen, und das dazwischen liegende Risiko (nach Alexander, 2002). Seite 111 Seite 110 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU becomes unsustainable and brings a huge burden Law on protection against natural and other disasters to the local, regional and state budget. The only (Official Gazette of RS, no. 64/94) Water Act (Official Gazette RS, no. 67/02, 4/09) included in the fifth development priority, which is designed to achieve sustainable development. Protection against the harmful effects of water reasonable approach would hence be minimising interaction between SMM events and elements The Act governs the protection against natural that is among other the issues dealt with this Regulation of the spatial order of Slovenia (Official Gazette at risk. Graphically this interaction would be and other disasters and includes the protection of act also refers to protection against landslides. of RS, no. 122/04) presented as a cross-section between the natural people, animals, property, cultural heritage and Threatened area is defined by Government, which hazard on one side and vulnerability of elements environment against any hazard or accidents (risk) is responsible for protecting the population, Regulation of spatial order in Slovenia provides at risk on other side (Fig 1). that can threaten their safety. The main goal of property and land in dangerous exposed areas. the rules for managing the field of landslide the protection against natural and other disasters In order to protect against the harmful effects of problematic. One of the important articles is 2. Legislation in the field of slope mass movement system is to reduce the number of disasters, and water, land in the threatened area is categorized Article 67, in which is mentioned how to plan domain to forestall or reduce the number of victims and into classes based on the risk. according to the limitations which are caused by other consequences of disaster. The basic tasks natural disasters and water protection. In the area of systematic prevention measures of the system are: prevention, preparedness, Act on measures to eliminate the consequences of certain regarding SMM, Slovenia lags behind other Alpine and protection against threats, rescue and help, large-scale landslides in 2000 and 2001 (Official Gazette Resolution of the National Environmental Act (Official countries or regions. One of the basic approaches providing of basic conditions for life, and recovery. RS, no. 21/02, 92/03, 98/05) Gazette of RS, no. 2/06) hazardous areas due to natural phenomena and National program of protection against natural and other Act defines the format and the method of The National Environmental Action Programme the inclusion of this information in spatial plans. disasters (Official Gazette of RS, no. 44/02) financing and form of allocating state aid for (NEAP) is the basic strategic document in the the implementation of remedial measures, to field of environmental protection, aimed at to solve the problem is to establish potentially Information on geology, upon which the slope mass movement occurrence heavily depends, it is On the basis of the Resolution, the National prevent the spread of landslide and stabilization improving the overall environment and quality not yet an integral part of spatial plans. Legislative Programme of Protection against Natural and of landslides on the specific area of influence. It of life and protection of natural resources. NEAP acts deal mostly with remediation issues instead Other Disasters for the period 2002 – 2007. covers several major landslides in Slovenia. was prepared under the Environmental Protection with the prevention measures. The National Programme is oriented towards Act and complies with the European Community The protection strategy against landslides the prevention and its basic aim is to reduce the Spatial Development Strategy of Slovenia (Official Gazette Environment Programme, which addresses the (within legislation the term landslide also other number of accidents and to prevent or minimise of RS, no. 76/04) key environmental objectives and priorities types of slope mass movements are included) its consequences. varies substantially and is tailored according that require leadership from the community. The Spatial Development Strategy of Slovenia is a The objectives and measures are defined in to different terrain conditions. They are mainly Law on the Remediation of consequences of natural public document guiding development in the field the four areas, namely: climate change, nature divided into prevention, emergency protective disasters (Official Gazette of RS, no. 114/05) of landslide problematics. It provides a framework and biodiversity, quality of life, and waste and for spatial development throughout the country industrial pollution. measures and permanent measures adopted in the process for remediation. In the frame of preventive The Act defines a landslide as a natural disaster. and sets guidelines for development in European actions, the emphasis is on creating a national According to the article 11, with some restriction space. It provides for the creation of spatial database of active landslides (and other SMM) and and at some level of damage, state budget funds planning, its use and conservation. The spatial intentions of government to include hazards doe may be used to ease the effects of natural disasters. strategy takes into account social, economic and Due to specifics of different slope mass movement to landslides into spatial planning. In the planning Damage assessment is made in accordance environmental factors of spatial development. processes, a single approach would be hampered and implementation of emergency protective with the Regulation on the methodology for measures, the emphasis is on protecting human damage assessment (Official Gazette of RS, Slovenia's Development Strategy presents an overview of approaches to slope lives and property. no. 67/03, 79/04), after which the landslide is Slovenia's Development Strategy sets out the mass movements (1 – landslides; 2 – debris-flows; considered a landslide, which threats a property vision and objectives of Slovenia and five 3 – rock falls) hazard assessment. The presented or infrastructure. development priorities with action plans. The approaches are similar to a certain level, they also chapter on protection against natural disasters is differ according to the scale of the assessment. The 3. Methodology in its results / prognosis. The following chapter Seite 113 Seite 112 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU final results (but not the only ones) of approaches GIS in raster format with a 25 × 25 m pixel size. presented in the following text were presented Five groups of lithological units were defined, in a form of warning maps that are still the main ranging from small to high landslide susceptibility. product used by end users. All the analyses were Furthermore, critical slopes for the landslide conducted in GIS, which enables the end users to occurrence, other terrain properties and land cover implement results also in a form of databases or a types that are more susceptible to landsliding were digital format. also defined. Among triggering factors, critical the rainfall and peak ground acceleration quantities terminology of slope mass movements in Slovenia were defined. These results were later used as are as follows: landslides are processes of a basis for the development of the weighted translational or rotational movement of rock or linear susceptibility model where several models soil as a consequence of gravity at discontinuity with various factor weights variations based on plane(s). Rock falls are processes of falling or previous research were developed. The rest of tumbling of a part of rock or soil along a steep the landslide population (35 %) was used for the slope. Debris-flows are processes of transportation model validation. The results showed that relevant of material composed of soil, water and air. precondition spatio-temporal factors for landslide According to Skaberne (2001) The landslide susceptibility model for occurrence are (with their weight in linear model): Slovenia at scale 1:250,000 was developed lithology (0.3), slope inclination (0.25), land cover at the Geological Survey of Slovenia in 2006 type (0.25), slope curvature (0.1), distance to (Komac & Ribičič, 2006). The final result of this structural elements (0.05), and slope aspect (0.05). approach was presented in a form of a warning map (Fig. 2). Based on the extensive landslide assessment, a rainfall influence on landslide database that was compiled and standardised occurrence was analysed since rainfall plays at the national level, and analyses of landslide an important role in the landslide triggering The debris-flow susceptibility model for Slovenia weighted sum approach was selected on the spatial occurrence, a Landslide susceptibility map processes. Analyses of landslide occurrences in at scale 1:250,000 was also developed at basis of easily acquired spatio-temporal factors to of Slovenia at scale 1 : 250,000 was completed. the area of Slovenia have shown that areas where Geological Survey of Slovenia in 2009 (Komac et simplify the approach and to make the approach Altogether more than 6,600 landslides were intensive rainstorms occur (maximal daily rainfall al., 2009). The final result of this approach was easily transferable to other regions. Based on the included in the national database, of which for a 100-year period), and where the geo-logical presented in a form of a warning map (Fig. 3). calculations of 672 linear models with different roughly half are on known locations. Of 3,257 settings are favourable an abundance of landslide For the area of Slovenia (20,000 km2), a debris- weight combinations for used spatio-temporal landslides with known locations, random but can be expected. This clearly indicates the spatial flow susceptibility model at scale 1:250,000 was factors and based on results of their success to representative 65% were selected and used for and temporal dependence of landslide occurrence produced. To calculate the susceptibility to debris- predict debris-flow susceptible areas, the best the univariate statistical analyses (χ2) to analyse upon the intensive rainfall. Regarding the landslide flow, occurrences using GIS several information factors’ weight combination was selected. To avoid the landslide occurrence in relation to the occurrence, the intensity of maximal daily and layers were used such as geology (lithology and over-fitting of the prediction model, an average of spatio-temporal precondition factors (lithology, average annual rainfall for the 30 years period distance from structural elements), intensive weights from the first hundred models was chosen slope inclination, slope curvature, slope aspect, was analysed. Results have shown that daily rainfall (48-hour rainfall intensity), derivates of as an ideal combination of factor weights. For distance to geological boundaries, distance to rainfall intensity, which significantly influences the digital elevation model (slope, curvature, energy this model an error interval was also calculated. structural elements, distance to surface waters, triggering of landslides, ranges from 100 to 150 potential related to elevation), hydraulic network A debris-flow susceptibility model at scale flow length, and land cover type) and in relation mm, most probably above 130 mm. Despite the (distance to surface waters, energy potential of 1:250,000 represent a basis for spatial prediction to the triggering factors (maximum 24-h rainfall, vague influence, if any at all, of the average annual streams), and locations of sixteen known debris of the debris-flow triggering and transport areas. It average annual rainfall intensity, and peak ground rainfall, the threshold above which significant flows, which were used for the debris-flow also gives a general overview of susceptible areas acceleration). The analyses were conducted using number of landslides occurs is 1000 mm. susceptibility models’ evaluation. A linear model- in Slovenia and gives guidance for more detailed Beside landslide susceptibility Fig. 2: Landslide susceptibility warning map of Slovenia at scale 1:250,000 (Komac & Ribičič, 2006, 2008). Abb. 2: Gefahrenhinweiskarte für Rutschungen in Slowenien im Maßstab von 1:250.000 (Komac & Ribičič, 2006, 2008). Seite 115 Seite 114 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU (4) Mapping of problematic areas at scale 1:5000 or 1:10,000 for the purpose of the highest detail planning (3) Development of detailed geohazard map at scale 1:25,000 as a combination of synthesis of phases (1) and (2) (1) Synthesis of archive geological data into the overview geohazard map at scale 1:25,000 (2) Development of statistical geohazard at scale 1:25,000 Fig. 3: Debris-flow susceptibility warning map of Slovenia at scale 1:250,000 (Komac et al., 2009). Fig. 4: Schematic diagram of the process of production of landslide and rock-fall susceptibility at the municipal scale (1:25.000) (Bavec et al., 2005). Abb. 3: Muren-Gefahrenhinweiskarte Sloweniens im Maßstab von 1:250.000 (Komac et al., 2009). research areas and further spatial and numerical processes, taking the Bovec municipality as analyses. The results showed that approximately the case study area. The geohazard map at the 4% of Slovenia’s area is extremely high susceptible scale 1:25,000 as the final product is aimed development that included relevant influence in the overview geohazard map at scale and approximately 11% of Slovenia’s area of to be directly applicable in spatial planning factors. For analytical purposes, 10,816 models 1:25,000 (Budkovič, 2002). susceptibility to debris-flows is high. As expected, of The were developed: 3,142 for landslide susceptibility these areas are related to mountainous terrain in requirements that were followed to achieve this and 7,674 for rock-fall susceptibility. In both the NW and N of Slovenia. aim were: expert correctness, reasonable time of cases, geology/lithology and slope angle showed •(3) Development of detailed geohazard local communities (municipalities). Abb. 4: Schematische Darstellung der Erstellung von Gefahrenhinweiskarten über Erdrutsch, Berg- und Felssturz im Maßstab einer Wanderkarte (1:25.000) (Bavec et al., 2005). •(2) Development of statistical geohazard at scale 1:25,000 (Komac, 2005). In the frame of a research project, slope elaboration, and easy to read product. Elaboration to be the most important influencing factors. map at scale 1:25,000 as a combination of mass movement geohazard estimation – The of the final product comprises four consecutive Regarding landslides, additional important factors synthesis geological map (1) and statistical Bovec municipality case study an approach to phases, of which the first three are done in the were land use and synchronism of strata bedding geological model (2) and delineating the assess the landslide and rock-fall susceptibility at office: 1) synthesis of archive data, 2) probabilistic and slope aspect, and in the case of rock-falls an most problematic areas. the municipal scale (1:25,000) (Bavec et al, 2005; model of geohazard induced by mass movement additional important factor was synchronism of Komac, 2005). The production of a susceptibility processes, 3) compilation of phases 1 and 2 into strata bedding and slope aspect. map that should represent (officially not included the final map at scale 1:25,000. As the last phase, among the documentation yet) one of basic layers field reconnaissance of most hazardous areas is the direct use of the final product in the process All presented approaches are based on a probability in the spatial planning process shown in the Fig. 4. foreseen. The susceptibility model development of spatial planning at the municipal level and is statistical model that is a part of a conceptual Methodology was developed for estimation was based on the upgrading of the expert geohazard divided into four phases as shown in Fig. 4: development model of general or detailed slope of geohazard induced by mass movement map at scale 1:25,000 with a probabilistic model The methodology is focused towards •(1) Synthesis of archive geological data •(4) Mapping of problematic areas at scale 1:5,000 or 1:10,000 for the purpose of the highest detail planning. mass susceptibility maps represented in Fig 5. Seite 117 Seite 116 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU Univariate analysis (x2) of SMM occurrence by classes within each of the influence factor Influence factors classes ranging based upon their influence on the SMM occurrence Values normalisation within each influence factor (0-1) Fig 5: Conceptual model of development of general or detailed slope mass susceptibility maps. Bad results Testing of different models developed on the weighted sum of influence factors Selection of optimal and most logical susceptibility model Field testing s ult res od Go Abb. 5: Konzeptionelles Modell für die Entwicklung von allgemeinen oder detaillierten Gefahrenhinweiskarten über Hangbewegungen. Development of phenomenon susceptibility map For all influence factors included in the weighted or discreet variable value. Final slope mass sum model calculation, original values were movements transformed into the same scale, which ranged is between 0 and 1) were classified into 6 from 0 – 1 to assure the equality of the input data. susceptibility classes: 0 – Negligible (or None); 1 In other words, within each factor original values – Insignificant (or Very Low); 2 – Low; 3 – Medium were normalised with the eq. 1. (or Moderate); 4 – High; 5 – Very High. (RV - Min) NVR = , Max - Min eq. 1 susceptibility values (the range 4. Conclusion Where NVR represents new and normalised Slope mass movement processes are specific in value, and RV the old (nominal) value. Min and their nature, hence separate analyses had to be Max represent the minimum and maximum performed and a different model development original value within the factor, respectfully. For had to be developed. In Slovenia, slope mass the purpose of the development of the best and movement at the same time the most logical susceptibility developed on national and on local level. In the model, a weighted sum approach (Voogd, 1983) case of the latter, which has an actual application, was used (eq. 2). value maps were developed only for some test n wj x fij H= eq. 2. j=l susceptibility maps have been areas. Thus several questions remain open and ∑ these are: when will the geohazard layer be included as a compulsory part of the spatial planning document, to what extent quality relative geological data will be used for the assessment, phenomenon susceptibility (0 – 1), wj represents and how the lack of detailed geological data the factor weight, and fij represents a continuous would be tackled. Where H represents standardised Anschrift der Verfasser / Authors’ addresses: Literatur / References: Marko Komac ALEXANDER, D.E., 2002. Principles of emergency planning and management. Oxford University Press, New York, 340 pp. Dimiceva ulica 14 1000 Ljubljana SI-Slovenia [email protected] Mateja Jemec Dimiceva ulica 14 1000 Ljubljana SI-Slovenia [email protected] BAVEC, M., BUDKOVIČ, T. AND KOMAC, M., 2005. Estimation of geohazard induced by mass movement processes. The Bovec municipality case study. Geologija, 48/2, 303-310. BUDKOVIČ, T., 2002. Geo-hazard map of the municipality of Bovec. Ujma, 16, 141-145. KOMAC, M. 2005. Probabilistic model of slope mass movement susceptibility - a case study of Bovec municipality, Slovenia. Geologija, 48/2, 311-340. KOMAC, M., RIBIČIČ, M., 2006. Landslide susceptibility map of Slovenia at scale 1:250,000. Geologija, 49/2, 295-309. KOMAC, M., KUMELJ, Š. AND RIBIČIČ, M., 2009. Debris-flow susceptibility model of Slovenia at scale 1: 250,000. Geologija, 52/1, 87-104. SKABERNE, D., 2001. Prispevek k slovenskemu izrazoslovju za pobočna premikanja. Ujma, 14–15, 454–458. Seite 119 Seite 118 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU KARL MAYER, ANDREAS VON POSCHINGER Standards and Methods of Hazard Assessment for Geological Dangers (Mass Movements) in Bavaria Standards und Methoden zur Verminderung von geologischen Gefährdungen durch Massenbewegungen in Bayern Zusammenfassung: Informationen über geogene Gefährdungen (z.B. Steinschlag, Felsstürze, Rutschungen) sind als GEORISK-Daten über das Bodeninformationssystem Bayern (BIS-BY) im Internet oder Intranet abrufbar (www.bis.bayern.de). Dieses Informationssystem wird bereits von vielen Fachstellen genutzt. Neben den Landkreisen sowie vielen Kommunen sind die Behörden der Wasserwirtschaft, der Straßen- und Forstverwaltung sowie private Planer die Hauptnutzer. Im BIS-BY ist bisher allerdings nur das Herkunftsgebiet von Gefährdungen dargestellt, nicht der planungsrelevante Gefährdungsbereich. Dieser kann nur durch empirische oder numerische Simulationen und Modellierungen abgegrenzt werden. Die Gefahrenhinweiskarte gibt eine Übersicht über die Gefährdungssituation. Sie basiert sowohl auf Modellrechnungen als auch auf empirischen Untersuchungen und wird mit dem GEORISK-Ereigniskataster (BIS-BY) auf Plausibilität geprüft. Bezüglich der räumlichen Abgrenzung kann sie Ungenauigkeiten enthalten und die Gefährdung nicht in jedem Fall genau wiedergeben. Die Gefahrenhinweiskarte hält für große Gebiete flächendeckend fest, wo mit welchen Gefahren gerechnet werden muss. Daraus lassen sich mit geringem Aufwand mögliche Konfliktstellen zwischen Gefahr und Nutzung ableiten. Die Gefahrenhinweiskarten können einerseits in Flächennutzungspläne mit einfließen und dienen anderseits zur Prioritätensetzung beim Erarbeiten weitergehender Maßnahmen. • Main data of the topic mass movements and 1. Introduction Summary: Information about geological hazards in the Bavarian Alps (e.g. rock falls, landslides) is available in the Internet or intranet section Georisk of the Bodeninformationssystem Bayern (BIS-BY) (www.bis.bayern.de). This information system is already used by a number of departments such as district administrations, water and traffic management offices, forest management as well as private users. By now the BIS-BY only shows the sites of origin of geological hazards and not the whole endangered area, which would be relevant for land use planning. This area, the so called process area, can only be defined by empirical or numerical simulations and models. A hazard map gives an overview of the situation. It is based on model calculations and empirical analysis and can be verified by the Georisk-cadastre (BIS-BY). Concerning the spatial extent of the process areas, possible inaccuracies may impair an exact expression of the danger. The hazard map shows large areas where a special type of danger can be assumed. Therefore, will be easier to deduce possible conflicts between hazards and land use. Hazard maps can be included in the land development plan or can be used to assign priorities while taking measures. subrosion / karst with information about the spatial positioning, about determination of In Germany, geogenic natural hazards, such coordinates, etc. as mass movements, karstification, large scale •Commonly shared technical data of the flooding as well as ground subsidence and uplift subject mass movements and subrosion / affecting building ground, shall be recorded, karst with information about the date assessed and spatially represented using a common of origin, about the land use and about minimal standard in the future. For this purpose, damage, etc. the “Geohazards” team of engineering geologists of the different German federal governmental departments of geology (SGD) are giving •Specific technical data of the subject mass movement and subrosion / karst •Data concerning subsidence and uplift recommendations on how to create a hazard map. Computerized modelling increasingly allows These recommendations of minimum requirements the identification of hazard areas that have been are directed at the employees of the SGD. An verified using the landslide inventory or through important component for developing hazard maps evaluation of the results of field work. The is the construction and evaluation of landslide current emphasis in Germany is on hydrological inventories (e.g. landslide or sinkhole inventories). modelling of flood events that are used for The recorded data in the inventories water management issues in flood prevention. should have a minimal nationwide standard and Geotechnical modelling is used increasingly for are divided into: rock falls, avalanches and shallow landslides. Seite 121 Seite 120 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU 2. Definition of a hazard map 3.2 Basis data for landslide modelling 4. Fall processes clarification and assessment of given situations. The federal geological surveys of Germany Information about geological hazards such as 4.1 Minimum requirements in Germany If necessary, in addition to the tools described above, field studies will be needed for exact In Alpine regions, natural hazards are agreed on definitions for the terminology used landslides, rock falls and earth falls, especially a common phenomenon. Landslides, rock falls for mapping of geological hazards (Personenkreis in the densely populated areas in the Bavarian In many states of Germany, only medium to long and mudflows occur in the course of mountain “Geogefahren” 2008) based on BUWAL (2005). A Alps, is available in the section Georisk of term, large-scale numeric modelling of rock degradation that reflects the natural slope hazard map gives a first overview of areas affected the Bodeninformationssystem Bayern (BIS-BY, fall hazards are possible using high resolution instability of mountain areas. Landslides are mostly by landslides (potentially endangered area) and www.bis.bayern.de), a GIS-based inventory of terrain models and specialised software. In the triggered by extreme rainfall that will, according can be a basis for the detection of conflicts of Bavaria including numerous geological data. By first stage, a “black and white map” is created to climate scientists, become more relevant in interests. By defining a most probable design now (October 2010), about 4,500 landslide events showing verified / potential rock fall areas derived Alpine regions in particular (Umweltbundesamt event and integrating it in the landslide modelling have been detected and evaluated within the from the landslide inventories and / or remote 2008). With an increase in heavy rainfall events process, a hazard map also gives a qualitative project area. Every event is described concerning sensing (DEM). This map shows verified as well an increase in landslide events must be expected. statement about the probability of a landslide its process type and dimension, the age and as potential rock fall escarpments i.e. slopes with With approximately 4450 km², the event. The potential process areas of the expected potential future trend of the landslide as well as an inclination > 45° (in Alpine areas). The entire Bavarian Alps cover about 6.3 % of Bavaria. The landslides vary depending on the design event, annotations about the source and the degree of process area is, however, not depicted. Bavarian Alps are the most important tourist region the geological, topographical and morphological information. Origin and accumulation zones of of Bavaria and, therefore, of particular importance. situation and the existence of forest. Modelling landslides have been digitised and stored as well the entire process area, is depicted. That means Furthermore, they have a unique ecological value parameters for rock fall and shallow landslide as significant photos. With all of this the BIS-BY is areas prone to rock falls due to the inclination, but that has to be specially protected. Since it is more simulations can be deduced and trivialised from the most important source of information. which are not confirmed. To define these areas, and more difficult to ensure this protection by comprehensive data. estimated empiric angle methods or physical structural activities, protective measures need Generally the scale of a hazard map of active areas that have been mapped by field deterministic models can be used. to be involved in the planning process and also ranges from 1:10,000 to 1:50,000. Within this work, aerial photo analysis and archive data for allow sustainable and cost effective strategies. project, despite the possibilities of the zoom the main settlement areas. Within these maps shadow angle and the geometric slope angle is function of a GIS, the hazard map is produced for landslides are classified into four levels of activity applied. Both the shadow angle (e.g. 27°) as well a scale of 1:25,000. to give an indirect statement about the level of as the geometric slope angle (e.g. 32°) can be danger. These maps can be used to estimate the used as the estimated angle (Mayer & Poschinger extension of deep-seated landslides, for example. 2005). An angle of deflection from the vertical slope can be used as a lateral boundary of the The most effective and sustainable method to prevent losses arising from hazardous events is to avoid land use in the endangered areas. In areas where construction already has 3. Material and methods been established or where construction of new infrastructure or buildings is unavoidable, it 3.1 Basis maps is essential to determine areas endangered by Also integrated in the BIS-BY are maps Above all, results of two other projects In the second stage, the run-out zone, i.e. To determine rock fall escarpments, the have been used: Within the project HANG process area (e.g. 30°). (historical analysis of alpine hazards), historical In Bavaria this method is used for geological hazards. Essential data basis for modelling the hazard map data of landslides have been evaluated and huge rock masses. For single blocks, a physical In May 2008, the Bavarian Environmental is a high resolution digital elevation model (DEM) digitised. Within the project EGAR (catchment trajectory model from Zinggeler + GEOTEST is Agency launched the project hazard map for the derived from airborne laser scanning. The datasets areas in alpine regions), the risk potential of used (MAYER 2010). Bavarian Alps. The aim of the project is to create are used in different resolutions (1 m, 5 m, 10 m) alpine torrents has been estimated analysing the a hazard map for deep seated landslides, shallow depending on the modelling approach. The discharge and catchment potential. landslides and rock fall areas for the whole of vertical resolution is better +/- 0.3 m, except for the Bavarian Alps. It will be finished during very few areas where currently no laser scanning December 2011. data is available. 4.2 Modelling rock fall of single blocks (methods use in Bavaria) For the detection of potential starting zones of rock falls, two empirical approaches can be applied. In a first step, potential starting zones Seite 123 Seite 122 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU 4.3 Modelling rock fall masses (Bavarian approach) stored in the BIS-BY are extracted. These starting by field work. As a result, a mean block size and zones are detected by field work. In areas where geometry that represents the most probable event no information is available, an even more empiric has been determined for every geological unit. The trajectory model for rock fall (chapter 4.2) decision for one global angle model can be approach must be applied: it has to be assumed This design event has been assigned to one of calculates the reach of single blocks. For the run- reached by the quotient of shadow angle tangent that every slope steeper than 45° is a potential four volume classes. For each of these classes the out zone of larger rock fall volumes, an empirical and geometrical slope tangent. If the quotient is detachment zone (Wadge et al. 1993). mean block mass has been calculated. The block process model with a worst case approach is used. below 0.88, the shadow angle has to be used. mass of a geological unit is an input parameter for Numerous papers (Lied 1977, Onofri & Canadian Otherwise the geometrical slope angle is better the simulation. 1979, Evans & Hungr 1993, Wieczorek et al. 1999, suited to describe the maximum run-out zone Fig. 1: Basic processes during rock fall simulation (Krummenacher et al. 2005). Abb. 1: Schematische Darstellung der prinzipiellen Prozesse der Steinschlagmodellierung (Krummenacher et al. 2005). According to Meißl (1998) or Hegg & The application of the different global angles depends on slope morphology. A proper The simulation of the block movement Meißl 1998) show that a global angle method is an (Mayer & von Poschinger 2005). is carried out according to physical principles of appropriate approach to determine the maximum mechanics and is separated into falling, bouncing run-out zone of rock fall. Two different global with implemented functionalities of standard and rolling (Fig. 1). The calculation is a succession angles have been applied. The first and more GIS programs. Within the project, the viewshed of these processes with intermediate contacts to important one is the shadow angle (β in Fig. 3). It is function of Spatial Analyst in ArcGIS has been underground and tree trunks. defined as angle between the horizontal line and employed. This function identifies all cells on Global angles can easily be modelled The loss of energy during tread mat the connecting line from the block with maximum a surface (DEM) that can be seen from selected is controlled by deformability and surface run out and the top of the talus. According to observation points (Fig. 4). There are a number roughness. These parameters have to be deduced Evans & Hungr (1993) a shadow angle of 27° of important attributes of every starting point and trivialised from the basis data of the area to be has been assumed. The other global angle is the necessary for the modelling process: the vertical investigated. geometrical slope angle that spans between the view angle, which is the predefined global angle horizontal line and top of detachment zone (α in (Fig. 3), the horizontal view angle that is defined Fig. 3). A minimum geometrical slope angle of 30° with 30°, as well as the aspect that can be is presumed (Meißl 1998). calculated out of the DEM. Kienholz (1995) the process model can be divided into two parts: the trajectory model calculating the paths of the blocks as vectors and the friction model calculating the energy along these paths as well as the run-out length. In this project, the vector based simulation model of Zinggeler & GEOTEST (Krummenacher et al. 2005) is used. Beside the topographical information derived from the DEM, damping and friction characteristics of the slope surface and the vegetation have to be known. Furthermore it is very important to define a design event for rock fall. That means that, Fig. 2: 3D Trajectories with (red) and without (orange) the protecting function of forest. according to the geology, form and dimension of Abb. 2: 3D Sturztrajektorien mit (rot) und ohne (orange) Berücksichtigung der Schutzfunktion des Waldbestandes. typical blocks have to be determined. As the block dimension is the only variable parameter within the simulation, it plays The simulation has been run for two an essential role in the calculation of the run- out different scenarios. Within the first scenario, the zone. To assess the design events, the starting zones forest with the protecting function of the trees already determined within the disposition model has been considered. To simulate a worst-case have been intersected with the geological map. scenario, the forest has not been included in the The affected geological units have been checked second scenario. Fig. 3: Global angle models: shadow angle (β) and geometrical slope angle (α) (Meißl 1998, modified). Abb. 3: Pauschalgefällemodelle: Schattenwinkel (β) und Geometrisches Gefälle (α), verändert nach Meißl (1998). Seite 125 Seite 124 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU To identify of hazard areas, only important rock potential demonstrated that deep-seated landslides mostly more related to water-related hazards and for this fall areas with evidence of activity have been landslide areas are determined in addition to occur in areas already affected by landslides reason not explained here in detail. processed. Due to long-lasting field work, there the verified landslide areas. That means areas in the past. For this reason they can be used as is an excellent overview of the situation within prone to landslides due to the geological and design events. To detect these areas, information in the same way as the slide processes. The the densely populated areas in the Bavarian Alps. morphological situation and the land use (were about known landslides, extracted from the process occurring in the run-out zone of shallow Beyond those areas it is assumed that all important landslides have not yet taken place). These areas databases listed in chapter 3.2 has to be evaluated. landslides is also mostly a flow process. To estimate rock fall areas are known. To start the modelling can be found by using empirical methods due to Permanent activity or more or less recurrent this process as disposition model in Bavaria, the process, first the global angle approach has to be the geological and morphological circumstances reactivation likely produces enlargement of the physical computer model SLIDISP is used. To find chosen (shadow angle or geometrical angle). After and the land usage; alternatively / additionally: landslide area identified in the disposition model, the run-out zones and to simulate the process, the digitizing the starting points and determination of Visualisation of semi-automatically derived areas both the detachment and run-out zone upward model SLIDEPOT (GEOTEST) is applied. necessary attributes, the viewshed modelling with (cross-over between DEM / geological entity); e.g. and downward. ArcGIS can be executed. using an additional signature 5. Slide processes 5.1 Minimum requirements in Germany In the second stage, Since a numeric modelling of deep seated The deep-seated landslides are handled 6.2 Modelling shallow landslides (methods used in Bavaria) The distinction between shallow and landslides is not available for a regional scale, the deep-seated slides is optional when visualising determination of the potential process area has Shallow landslides are usually triggered by heavy the hazard map. Near-surface landslides of to be worked out with empirical methods, taking rainfall, depending on the predisposition of the a small volume (shallow slides) are either into account the local geology and morphology. slope. Like the rock fall simulation, the modelling separately determined using above procedure or Under extreme conditions, the process of shallow landslides is carried out in two steps. In the first stage, landslide inventories, e.g. all are displayed simultaneously alongside the deep- area can reach the next ridge, terrace or depression The starting zones are calculated in the disposition registered objects and the associated near-surface seated slides. in the greater surroundings of the landslide. In the model and the run-out zones are calculated in the case of small-scaled scars in smooth slopes, a margin process model. means affected by definite indications of active 5.2 Modelling deep seated landslides of 20 – 30 m has been added to the detachment and inactive landslides and landslides that have (methods used in Bavaria) areas to assess the potential process area. deterministic numerical model SLIDISP (Liener To determine the potential run out of an 2000 and GEOTEST AG) is used. This assumes an processes, should be visually displayed. That already occurred (reactivation or enlargement of For the disposition model, the the landslide area is possible). The areas can be Deep-seated landslides are mostly result of the active or reactivable landslide, the present run- above average precipitation for a certain area. The found using mapping (registers) or remote sensing activation of predefined failure zones, i.e. by out length has been determined by databases, Infinite-Slope-Analysis is applied to calculate the (DEM) methods. long lasting rainfall. Experience shows that they hillshades and field work in a first step. If there are slope stability for every raster cell. Fundamental can range from about 5 m up to more than 100 indications for active movements in the landslide basic data are the slope angle, derived from the DEM m in depth. To identify areas endangered by deep toe, it is assumed that the run-out length will from which the thickness of soil will be deduced seated landslides, two different approaches have proceed even further in case of a reactivation. The and the geology which allows to determine friction been applied. On the one hand, areas showing danger area has to be dimensioned according to angle and cohesion as geotechnical parameters. evidence of previous deep-seated landslides, with geomorphologic conditions. The factor of safety F will be calculated for every either ongoing activity or a clear probability of reactivation, have been evaluated. On the other raster cell to describe the ratio of retentive and 6. Flow processes hand, the terrain has been evaluated concerning an increased susceptibility for deep-seated 6.1. General approach landslides. Fig. 4: The viewshed function identifies all raster locations to be seen from appointed starting points with defined global angle. Abb. 4: Die Viewshed-Funktion ermittelt alle Bereiche, die von festgelegten Startpunkten mit einem definierten Vertikalund Horizontalwinkel gesehen werden. impulsive forces (Fig. 5, Selby 1993). The natural range in the variation of different input parameters will be considered using a Monte-Carlo-Simulation. For every The locality of the origin of danger (areas The procedure and depiction of flow processes raster cell, the number of instable cases will be showing a higher probability for the development like deep-seated landslides (Talzuschub) is similar determined. The higher the number of instabilities of a deep seated landslide) has been identified to the method used for slide processes. Flow the higher is the probability of slope failure. within the previously cited disposition model. processes rarely occur in low mountain ranges. Since the occurrence of forest affects the stability In the German Alpine area, debris flows are in an enormous way, the root strength will be Previous experiences and analysis have Seite 127 Seite 126 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU influences on karstification, can be noted in an additional category. Optionally, a differentiation between carbonate, sulphate and chloride karstification can be implemented in the first or second stage of the hazard map. If the information is available in individual states, the spread of the inner and outer salt slopes as well as intact salt domes should be entered into the hazard map. 8. Discussion The hazard map has been worked out for a regional scale (1:25,000). Therefore the boundaries of the hazard areas are not sharply bounded lines and Fig. 6: Calculation of accumulation: for the central cell with exposition of 210° –230°, the 20° sector identifies 3 cells that are either starting zones or already show accumulation (orange cells). Fig. 5: Principle for the calculation of the factor of safety F for every raster cell (Selby 1993). Abb. 6: Berechnung der Auslaufbereiche: Für die Rasterzelle in der Mitte mit der Zellexposition 210°–230° wurden drei Rasterzellen im Sektor von 20° ermittelt, die sowohl Anbruchzone als auch Auslaufbereich sind (orange Rasterzellen). Abb. 5: Grundlagen zur Berechnung des Sicherheitsgrades F einer Rasterzelle (Selby 1993). a detailed view on particular areas or objects is not allowed. In addition, the modelling of the different processes can make no claim to be complete. The maps show potentially endangered areas that have been determined on the basis of available information and that has been computed integrated in the calculation of the factor of safety angle. The expansion stops if a defined number as an additional parameter. Considering the root of expansion steps is achieved or if the calculated strength and its effect on soil stability it is possible value falls below a defined threshold. Geological map, event register or remote sensing into the models. to simulate two scenarios with different intensities The run-out zones will be calculated for (e.g. DEM) methods. In the first stage, superficial of the “root effect” (high and low). both scenarios. In both cases, a maximum of 8 or near-surface subrosion features (e.g. sinkholes, been considered. Instead, frequently occurring Verified karstification features from the with modern numerical models. Anthropogenic preventive measures have not been introduced Improbable and extreme events have not To calculate the run-out zones. the expansion steps have been calculated while the depressions, clefts) are visualised. There is events have been modelled since they are more raster-based model SLIDEPOT is used (GEOTEST degradation factor has been reduced in the forest. no differentiation between fossil and current representative and felt more as a risk. From a AG). For every raster cell in the starting zone, Because of uncertainties concerning complex subrosion features. The second stage includes geological view, rare and extreme events have the accumulation will be modelled in the flow edge conditions, the degradation factors have the visualisation of the dispersion of karstifiable to be accounted as an unavoidable residual and direction. The model is based on neighbourhood been defined quite pessimistically. With this the sediments. Hazard fields can be derived using remaining risk. statistics. Above a potential accumulation cell, the run-out zones are large enough and rather too a point or area statistical evaluation (e.g. using raster cells inside a 20° sector will be analysed large in the case of doubt. the feature density or a raster based density blocks and rock fall masses and deep-seated calculation), as well as using influencing factors, landslides are based on field work for the most such as geology, tectonics and hydrogeology. part. On the contrary, the hazard areas of shallow (Fig. 6). Accumulation will be calculated if there is a starting zone and if the topography in the 7. Subrosion / karstification The hazard maps for rock fall of single The result of the second stage determines landslides are solely based on computer models expansion will analyse the neighbourhood up to a Superficial or near-surface subrosion features the differentiation of hazard areas. Where and represent a typical susceptibility map. defined distance (4 cells; red circle in Fig. 6). With (sinkholes) and the knowledge of subrodable applicable, the hazard areas can be coupled Therefore, they are presented as hatched areas. every step, the hypothetical starting volume and sediments serve as criteria for the analysis of with general geotechnical recommendations as In the field, witnesses of former traces of shallow the rest volume will be reduced by a degradation a process area. In the first stage, the following to construction work in karst landscapes. Special landslides are hard to find due to weathering. factor, which depends foremost on the slope hazard areas are distinguished: conditions in individual states, e.g. mining However, if the predicted consequences of sector named above is not convex. Every step of Seite 129 Seite 128 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU climate change with an increase in extreme To help potential users interpret the rainfalls will come true, an increasing number of hazard map, the results are presented to all shallow landslides must be taken into account. authorities. Furthermore, an intensive cooperation Climate change predictions could be with the Bavarian Environment Agency is offered. implemented in the model if maps with predicted In addition, a limited version of the hazard map is precipitation on a local scale were available. published on the Internet (www.bis.bayern.de). This would allow the identification of hot spots with heavy rainfall and, therefore, a higher only region affected by geological hazards. The susceptibility for landslides. The identification of Alpine foothills and the Swabian-Franconian such hot spots is one target in the Alpine Space Jurassic-mountains are affected as well. For the Programme project AdaptAlp that also focuses mid-term, the goal is to develop hazard maps for on evaluation, harmonizing and improvement of the whole of Bavaria. But the Alpine part of Bavaria is not the different methods for hazard mapping. 9. Conclusions Anschrift der Verfasser / Authors’ addresses: A hazard map is a very helpful tool for planning Karl Mayer authorities to get an overview about land use Bavarian Environment Agency (LfU) conflicts and potentially endangered areas. It is (Office Munich) a general map created under objective scientific Lazarettstraße 67 criteria and indicating geological hazards that 80636 Munich – GERMANY have been identified and localized but not analysed and evaluated in detail. A hazard map Andreas von Poschinger does not contain specifications about the degree Bavarian Environment Agency (LfU) of hazard or the intensity or probability of an (Office Munich) event. Lazarettstraße 67 The map will be provided to local and 80636 Munich – GERMANY regional planning authorities for water, traffic, and forest management. It helps the planner identify hot spots and make decisions concerning Literatur / References: measures of protection. On the other hand, it also shows areas not endangered and free for planning. In critical cases, the hazard map has to disclose the requirement for further analysis. In this cases a detailed expertise analysis has to decide if measures are technically feasible, economically reasonable and under sustainable aspects really necessary. BUNDESAMT FÜR RAUMENTWICKLUNG, BUNDESAMT FÜR WASSER UND GEOLOGIE, BUNDESAMT FÜR UMWELT, WALD UND LANDSCHAFT (BUWAL) [eds.] (2005): Empfehlungen Raumplanung und Naturgefahren. – 50 p., Bern. EVANS, S. G. & HUNGR, O. (1993): The assessment of rock fall hazards at the base of talus slopes. – Canadian Geotechnical Journal, 30 (4): 620-636, Ottawa (Nat. Res. Council of Canada). HEGG, C. & KIENHOLZ, H. (1995): Deterministic paths of gravity-driven slope processes: The „Vector Tree Model“. In: Carrara, A. & Guzzetti, F. (eds.): Geographical Information Systems in Assessing Natural Hazards, 79 – 92, Dordrecht. KIENHOLZ, H., ERISMANN, TH., FIEBIGER, G. & MANI, P. (1993): Naturgefahren: Prozesse, Kartographische Darstellung und Maßnahmen. – In: Tagungsbericht zum 48. Deutschen Geographentag in Basel, 293 – 312, Stuttgart. MEISSL, G. (1998): Modellierung der Reichweite von Felsstürzen. – In: Innsbrucker Geographische Studien, 28: 249 p., Innsbruck (Selbstverl. des Instituts für Geographie der Universität Innsbruck). KRUMMENACHER, B., PFEIFER, R., TOBLER, D., KEUSEN, H. R., LINIGER, M. & ZINGGELER, A. (2005): Modellierung von Stein- und Blockschlag; Berechnung der Trajektorien auf Profilen und im 3-D Raum unter Berücksichtigung von Waldbestand und Hindernissen. – anlässlich Fan-Forum ETH Zürich am 18.02.2005, 9 p., Zollikofen. ONOFRI, R. & CANDIAN, C. (1979): Indagine sui limiti di massima invasione dei blocchi franati durante il sisma del Friuli del 1976. – Regione Autonoma Friuli-Venezia Giulia e Università degli Studi di Trieste, 41 p., Trieste (Cluet Publisher). LIED, K. (1977): Rockfall problems in Norway. – In: Istituto Sperimentale Modelli e Strutture (ISMES), 90: 51-53, Bergamo. LIENER, S., (2000): Zur Feststofflieferung in Wildbächen. Geographisches Institut Universität Bern. Geographica Bernensia G64, Bern. MAYER, K. & VON POSCHINGER, A. VON (2005): Final Report and Guidelines: Mitigation of Hydro-Geological Risk in Alpine Catchments, “CatchRisk”. Work Package 2: Landslide hazard assessment (Rockfall modelling). Program Interreg IIIb – Alpine Space. MAYER, K., PATULA, S., KRAPP, M., LEPPIG, B., THOM, P., POSCHINGER, A. VON (2010): Danger Map for the Bavarian Alps. Z. dt. Ges. Geowiss., 161/2, p. 119-128, 10 figs. Stuttgart, June 2010 PERSONENKREIS “GEOGEFAHREN“ (2008): Geogene Naturgefahren in Deutschland – Empfehlungen der Staatlichen Geologischen Dienste (SGD) zur Erstellung von Gefahrenhinweiskarten; not published. SELBY, M.J. (1993): Hillslope Materials and Processes, Oxford University Press, Oxford. UMWELTBUNDESAMT [eds.] (2008): Klimaauswirkungen und Anpassung in Deutschland – Phase 1: Erstellung regionaler Klimaszenarien für Deutschland. – http://www.umweltdaten.de/ publikationen/fpdf-l/3513.pdf WADGE, G., WISLOCKI, A.P. & PEARSON, E.J. (1993): Spatial analysis in GIS for natural hazard assessment. In: Goodchild, M.F., Parks B.O. & Steyaert, L.T. (Hrsg.) – Environmental modelling with GIS: 332-338, New York, Oxford. WIECZOREK, F. G., MORRISSEY, M. M., IOVINE, G. & GODT, J. (1999): Rockfall Potential in the Yosemite Valley, California. – In: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 99-0578, http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/1999/ofr-990578/. Seite 131 Seite 130 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU DIDIER RICHARD Standards and Methods of Hazard Assessment for Rapid Mass Movements in France Standards und Methoden der Gefährdungsanalyse für schnelle Massenbewegungen in Frankreich Summary: Hazard assessment is required for different purposes and is carried out through expertise assessments at different levels, using various approaches. Hazard assessment and mapping methods are standardized at least for their use in the frame of land-use planning in what is called the plan for the prevention of natural hazards (plan de prévention des risques naturels prévisibles, PPR). This is one of the main instruments used by the French national authorities for preventing natural hazards while taking them into account in land use development. Within this procedure, a general methodological guidelines document and other documents specific to the different types of hazards specify the conditions and clarify the method and approach proposed to draw up the PPR. One of these documents is dedicated to mass movement hazards. In this procedure, the hazard map is an intermediate step in elaborating the risk map, i.e. the regulations stemming from the PPR (together with the associated regulations). Various types of information available and databases can be used for hazard assessment and hazard mapping, based on an inventory of phenomena and a back-analysis of current and past events. Hazard assessment must characterize a given hazard in terms of intensity and frequency of occurrence. For mass movements, specific approaches are proposed, given the specific characteristics of these phenomena. dung im Rahmen der Flächennutzungsplanung standardisiert: Der Plan für die Verhinderung von Naturgefahren (plan de prévention des risques naturels prévisibles, PPR) ist eines der wichtigsten Mittel der französischen nationalen Behörden für die Vermeidung natürlicher Gefahren und findet in der Flächennutzungsplanung Berücksichtigung. Im Rahmen dieses Verfahrens beschreiben allgemeine methodologische Richtlinien und andere, für die verschiedenen Arten von Gefahren spezifische Dokumente die Bedingungen und geben Aufschluss über die empfohlenen Methoden und Ansätze zum Erstellen des PPR. Eines dieser Dokumente befasst sich mit den durch Massenbewegungen verursachten Gefahren. In diesem Verfahren ist der Gefahrenzonenplan ein Zwischenschritt in der Erstellung des Risikoplans, d.h., die Vorgaben stammen vom PPR (gemeinsam mit den zugehörigen Bestimmungen). Für die Erstellung von Gefährdungsanalysen und die Gefahrenzonenplanung (Gefahrenkartierung) stehen – beruhend auf einem Bestand von Phänomenen und einer Analyse aktueller und vergangener Ereignisse – verschiedene Arten von Informationen und Datenbanken zur Verfügung. Gefährdungsanalysen müssen eine gegebene Gefahr in Bezug auf die Intensität und Häufigkeit des Auftretens beschreiben. Für Massenbewegungen sind spezifische Ansätze empfohlen, welche die spezifischen Merkmale dieser Erscheinungen berücksichtigen. of territorial coherence at an inter-urban scale and Introduction local urban planning at the community scale. Typically, urban planning procedures Hazard assessment of rapid mass movements and decisions, under the jurisdiction of national or is required for different purposes than for other local authorities, must integrate natural hazards. natural phenomena. Depending on the objectives, The plan for prevention of natural hazards (plan de this must be carried out at different scales. Hazard prévention des risques naturels prévisibles - PPR) assessment can also take different forms, but established by the law of February 2, 1995, is now most often its final outcome is a hazard map. one of the national authority’s main instruments Different types of expertise from various experts for preventing natural hazards. The PPR is a and approaches contribute to hazard assessment. specific procedure designed to take into account Therefore, establishing standardized approaches, natural hazards in land-use development. methods and tools is demanding. The field of land- use planning, however, integrates standardized of the department’s prefect, which approves it hazard assessment and mapping methods. after formal consultation with municipalities and The PPR is elaborated under the authority a public inquiry. The PPR involves the local and Zusammenfassung: Gefahrenbeurteilungen sind für verschiedene Zwecke erforderlich und werden in Form von fachlichen Gutachten auf unterschiedlichen Ebenen anhand verschiedener Ansätze vorgenommen. Gefährdungsbeurteilung und Kartierungsmethoden sind zumindest für die Verwen- Hazards mapping and land-use planning regional authorities concerned from the very first steps of its preparation (Fig. 1). It can cover one Natural hazards must be taken into account in land- or several types of hazards and one or several use planning documents. These are mainly schemes municipalities. Seite 133 Seite 132 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU craft, commercial or industrial activity, for their are exposed to various phenomena stemming completion, use or exploitation and requirements from the instability of slopes and cliffs (collapses, of any kind can be used, up to total prohibition. rock falls, landslides). The PPR may also define general preventive, protection and safety measures that must be of the gravitational movement of ground masses Fig. 1: PPR elaboration scheme (Source: V. Boudières; 2008) taken into account by communities as well as destabilized under the influence of natural individuals. This option particularly concerns solicitations (snow melting, abnormally heavy measures relating to the safety of persons and the rainfall, an earthquake, etc.) or human activities Abb. 1: Programm zur Ausarbeitung eines PPR (Quelle: V. Boudières; 2008) organization of rescue operations as well as all (excavation, vibration, deforestation, exploitation general measures that are not specifically related of materials or groundwater, etc.). to a particular project. Finally, the PPR may take an interest the multiplicity of triggering mechanisms (erosion, in existing structures as well as new projects. dissolution, deformation and collapse under However, for property construction that has been static or dynamic load), themselves related to the allowed in the past, only limited improvements complexity of the geotechnical behaviour of the whose cost is less than 10% of the market or materials (geologic structure, geometry of the fracture networks, groundwater characteristics, etc.) Mass movements are demonstrations They vary greatly in form, resulting from For areas exposed to greater hazards, the PPR is applied when the safety of persons is involved. estimated value of the property can be required. a document which informs the public on zones In other cases, this principle remains particularly that expose populations and property to hazards. warranted by the cost of preventive measures to tool of the French national authorities’ natural According to the velocity of movement, two It regulates land use, taking into account natural reduce the vulnerability of future constructions hazards prevention action – other procedures groups can be distinguished: hazards identified in this zone and goals of and the cost of compensation in cases of and tools are designed to provide preventive • Slow movements, for which the deformation nonaggravation of risks. This regulation extends disaster, financed by society. However, since information that must be provided to inhabitants is progressive and can be accompanied by from authorising construction under certain the prevention objectives are then based on possibly exposed to hazards (information tools: collapse but in principle without sudden conditions to prohibiting construction in cases economic considerations, it is possible to discuss DDRM, DCS, DICRIM, IAL, etc.) as well as acceleration: where the foreseeable intensity of hazard or the the limits of prohibitions and requirements with measures relating to the safety of persons and the nonaggravation of existing risks warrants such local actors, elected officials and economic and organization of rescue operations that must be to changes in natural or artificial action. This guides development choices on less consumer representatives without departing from taken into account by communities and private subterranean cavities (quarries or mines); exposed land in order to reduce harm and damage this principle. Adjustments can be accepted when individuals (safety measures plan: PCS). These Compaction by shrinkage of clayey to persons and property. the situation does not allow alternatives. For procedures are mandatory for the municipalities grounds and by consolidation of certain The PPR is designed for urban planning example in urban centres, where requirements with an existing PPR. Danger studies are also compressible grounds (muck, peat); and is incumbent on everybody: individuals, to reduce the vulnerability of projects and mandatory for certain classes of hydraulic works Creep of plastic materials on low slopes; companies, preventive, measures (new regulations for dams and dikes). Adequate Landslides, i.e. a mass movement along authorities, especially when delivering building allowing the organization of emergency services hazard assessment (and mapping) is of course also a flat, curved or complex discontinuity permits. It must therefore be annexed to will be set up. necessary for all these prevention tools. surface of cohesive grounds (marls and the local urban planning plan when such a document exists. directly at risk, but also in other zones that are communities and government protection and safety As a complement to the PPR – the central Ground subsidence consecutive clays); The PPR may operate in zones that are Rapid mass movements Shrinkage or swelling of certain clayey materials depending on their moisture The basis for the regulation of projects not in order to avoid aggravating existing risks in the perimeter of a PPR is to discontinue or causing new ones. It regulates projects for Approximately 7,000 French municipalities are development in areas with the greatest hazard new installations. It may prohibit or impose threatened by mass movements, one-third of •Rapid movements which can be split into and, therefore, to prohibit land development requirements on any type of construction, which can be highly dangerous for the population. two groups, according to the propagation and construction. This principle must be strictly structure, development or any farming, forestry, Most of these towns, located in mountain regions, mode of materials: content. Seite 135 Seite 134 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU The first group includes: Standards and methods Subsidence resulting from the sudden sinking, collapse, rock falls, landslides, and The regulations define the conditions associated mud flows, but it excludes debris flows required in general. prevention, protection and safety measures for carrying out projects, collapse of the top of natural or artificial In subterranean cavities, without damping organization, certain activities and policies remain The general guide, published in August that must be taken by individuals or by the surface layers; the jurisdiction of centralised authorities, such as 1997, presents the PPR, specifies how it should communities, but also measures applicable Rock falls resulting from the mechanical the policy for natural risk prevention, overseen by be drawn up and tries to answer the numerous alteration of fractured cliffs or rocky the Ministry of the Environment. This is probably questions that may arise for their implementation. The regulatory zoning of the PPR is based on scarps (volumes ranging from 1 dm3 to one of the most significant differences compared The other guidelines, such as the one dedicated risk assessment, which depends on the analysis 10 or 10 m ); with other Alpine countries. One consequence to mass movements, clarify the method and of the natural phenomena that may occur and is the willingness to maintain a minimum approach proposed for the various types of risks. of their possible consequences in terms of land homogeneity and coherence at the national level The general methodology establishes that the PPR use and public safety. This analysis includes four and in the way different types of natural hazards is composed of: preliminary stages: 4 5 3 Some rock slides. The second group includes: Debris flows, which result from the France’s administrative and institutional are treated. • a presentation report explaining the transport of materials or viscous or fluid Within the framework of this common analysis of the phenomena considered to existing property and activities. •Determination of the risk basin and the study perimeter; mixtures in the bed of mountain streams; procedure, a general methodological guidelines and the study of their impacts on people • Knowledge of the historic and active natural Mud flows, which generally result from document has been published, followed by others and existing or future property. This report phenomena: inventory and description; the evolution of landslide fronts. Their specific to the different types of hazards: floods, explains the choices made for prevention, •Hazard qualification: characterization of propagation mode is intermediate between forest fires, earthquakes, snow avalanches (to be stating the principles the PPR is based on natural phenomena which can arise within mass movement and fluid or viscous approved), torrential floods (to be approved)… and commenting the regulations adopted. the study perimeter; transport. One of these guideline documents is dedicated •a regulatory map at a scale generally to geological hazards, including subsidence, between 1:10,000 and 1:5,000, which • Evaluation of the socioeconomic and human stakes subjected to these hazards. delineates areas controlled by the PPR. The elaboration of the PPR generally begins These are risk-prone areas but also areas with the historical analysis of the main natural where development could aggravate the phenomena that have affected the studied risks or produce new sources of risk. territory. This analysis, possibly supplemented •regulations applied to each of these areas. by expert advice on potential hazards, results Fig. 2: The PPR methodological guidelines collection Abb. 2: Die Sammlung methodologischer Richtlinien für einen PPR Fig. 3: Positioning of the hazard map within the general procedure of PPR elaboration Abb. 3: Positionierung des Gefahrenzonenplans in der allgemeinen Ausarbeitungsphase eines PPR Seite 137 Seite 136 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU in a hazard map that evaluates the scope of and field surveys. Priority must be given to these predictable phenomena. This map, including an elements, as stipulated by article 3 of the decree analysis of the territory outcomes carried out in of October 5th, 1995, which specifies that the consultation with the various local partners, is elaboration of PPR takes into account the current the basis for reflection during the elaboration state of knowledge. of the PPR. Combining the levels of hazard and The main information sources are: •Municipal archives (technical documents, outcomes allows defining risk zones. Therefore, in this procedure the hazard deliberations, miscellaneous documents, map is an intermediate step necessary to elaborate petitions, general reports or accident the risk map, i.e. the real regulatory outcome of reports, etc.); the PPR (together with the associated regulations). •Parochial archives; The study of phenomena by risk basin produces •Departmental sources (archive and quarry the hazard map, which is combined with the services, miscellaneous diagnoses, etc.); identification of elements at risk in drawing up the •Engineering consulting firm documents Fig. 5: Geological maps and databases (www. brgm.fr) Abb. 5: Geologische Karten und Datenbanken (www. brgm.fr) (geotechnical and geological reports, civil risk map. engineering studies and reports, field visit Data and information reports, etc.); •General and research documents (scientific papers, geological guides, monographs, The first step in elaborating hazard maps consists PhD theses, etc.); of collecting all available data and information that can be exploited for hazard assessment. •Field surveys and eye witness accounts; Priority is given to the qualitative general studies • Existing databases and maps, aerial photographs. and to the back-analysis of past events. The general studies are conducted based on existing Historical and existing studies as well as field data, the back-analysis of past or current events investigations are collected for the study of the Study of phenomena by risk basin Identification of elements at risk Historical and existing studies, field investigation Available maps and data bases Informative map of natural phenomena Elements at risk appreciation Regulatory documents Risk Prevention Plan (PPR) Hazard map Necessary information and consultation Risk management Annexation as servitude in the PLU Fig. 4: The first step of hazard mapping Abb. 4: Der erste Schritt der Gefahrenzonenplanung Fig. 6: Example of a ZERMOS map Abb. 6: Beispiel eines ZERMOSPlans Seite 139 Seite 138 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU Intensity level Low Medium Fig. 7: The BDMVT, French database of mass movements (www. bdmvt.net) Abb. 7: BDMVT – französische Datenbank für Massenbewegungen (www. bdmvt.net) Coutermeasures importance level Can be financed by an individual owner Can be financed by a limited group of owners High Concerns a spatial area larger than the individual ownership scale and/or very higth cost and/or technically difficult Major No possible technical countermeasure Only a few cases in France (Séchilienne, la Clapière...) Fig. 8: Example of relationships proposed between the importance of countermeasures and intensity level Abb. 8: Beispiel der empfohlenen Beziehungen zwischen der Bedeutung der Gegenmaßnahmen und der Intensitätsstufe implement. Different classes of intensity can In most cases, the occurrence probability is not be identified if these measures remain within a true probability, but is simply a scale of relative the domain of an individual owner or a group susceptibility, relying on elements such as slope of owners or if they require community angle, lithology, fracturing of the rock mass, intervention and investment (Fig. 8). presence of water, etc. Geological hazard qualification is based on The hazard is graded by combining the phenomena step. Maps and databases are available it is difficult to directly translate their physical qualitative criteria, such as the observed or expected time occurrence and the intensity, typically in a for this work: geological maps at a 1:50,000 scale, characteristics in terms of intensity, except by damage or impacts or the cost range of possible 2D table (Fig. 10). There is no general specification covering France (Fig. 5 - www.brgm.fr); a few defining as many hazards as movement types, countermeasures for the intensity evaluation. for this stage of the hazard evaluation, but Zermos maps (Fig. 6) of zones exposed to soil which would make the hazard zoning document presenting the key of the hazard evaluation is movement hazards, a combination of susceptibility difficult to read. It is therefore necessary to refer to the basis of the historical events identified on strongly recommended. levels and geomorphologic features, which are more global criteria so they can be compared and the site. The reference hazard is the most severe quite old and not exhaustive; a French database their use for regulatory zoning facilitated. potential events considered by the expert as likely and of mass movements (Fig. 7 - www.bdmvt.net); Different methods are possible to assess a to occur in a 100-year period (or more frequently tools specifying the spatial extension of the and an events database of the RTM services that representative intensity level for all phenomena: if human lives are concerned), or the most severe phenomena, thus reducing uncertainty, can be historical event identified on an equivalent site. used: run-out modelling for rock falls, geophysics translated in terms of potential for damage, The probabilistic approach based on surveys delineating underground mines, etc. In using parameters such as the volume of a frequency analysis is possible only for some case of rock falls and related phenomena, hazard soil or rock involved, the depth of the phenomena such as rock falls. This assumes that evaluation includes both the stability analysis Hazard evaluation includes three components: failure surface, the final displacement, sufficient data are available, which is actually of rock masses and run-out distance evaluation. the intensity of mass movements, the time of the kinetic energy, etc. However, damage rare. As most mass movements are not repetitive Numerical tools are increasingly used to estimate occurrence and the spatial extension. Once potential depends not only on the physical processes, contrary to earthquakes or floods, it is the maximal run-out distance, but the reliability of translated into regulatory zoning, the information phenomenon, but also on the vulnerability necessary to consider a probability of occurrence the results is highly dependent on the experience of buildings, which introduces a bias. will soon be on line. Hazard assessment • As for earthquakes, intensity can be The frequency of events is estimated on In the presence of substantial human socioeconomic danger, methods and of an event qualitatively over a given period (e.g. of the engineering geologist. plan land development and construction works. •Intensity can be assessed according to 50 or 100 years), without reference to numerical Hazards are thus qualified in terms of intensity. the importance and the cost of protection values. For instance, three levels or probabilities the IGN (National Geographic Institute) 1:25,000 Considering the variety of mass movements, measures that would be necessary to may be used: low, medium and high. map, enlarged to 1:10,000. In presence of contained in this map will be used to manage and Generally, the topographic basis used is Seite 141 Seite 140 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU Conclusion Acknowledgements Methods assessing hazards for rapid mass Jean-Louis movements are still mostly empirical and rely l'environnement et du développement durable. on the experience of the engineering geologist. Alison Evans, Service de Restauration des Terrains The PPR guidelines give a general framework en Montagne de Haute-Savoie. Durville, Conseil général de and general principles for hazard assessment and mapping. Precise rules are not yet available at the The person to contact for more information on this national level. The geological analysis remains the policy within the French Ministry of Sustainable- basis of hazard evaluation, but numerical tools as development, GIS and computer simulation are also used. The [email protected]). is François Hédou (Francois. main requirement is that the method used should be explained. Literatur / References: Anschrift des Verfassers / Author’s address: Didier Richard Fig. 9: Decision process for assessing the reference hazard Abb. 9: Entscheidungsprozess zur Bewertung der Bezugsgefährdung WEBSITE OF THE FRENCH MINISTRY IN CHARGE OF RISK PREVENTION POLICY: http://www.developpement-durable.gouv.fr/ “érosion torrentielle, neige et avalanches” FRENCH MASS MOVEMENTS DATABASE: http://www.bdmvt.net/ substantial damage potential or if the precision or Séchilienne (Isère), involving more than 10 Tel. : +33 4 76 76 27 73 of the study and the amount of available data million cubic metres of material, ad hoc methods mail : [email protected] allow it, it is possible to map the hazards on a of hazard assessment have been set up, including 1:5,000-scale map. the computer simulations. As far as very large mass movements are of movement and various concerned, such as La Clapière (Alpes-Maritimes) Medium High Intensity level Determining factors identified on the site are diffuse, poorly determined. Many determining factors are identified on the site. Some factors unlisted can appear with time. Some nonidentified determining factors on the site. The intensity of the factors is high. Low Very low to low hazard Very low to low hazard / Rock Falls < 100 m3 Medium Very low to low hazard Medium hazard High hazard High / High hazard High hazard Rock Falls < 1 dm3 Collapses > 100 m3 Abb. 10: Beispiel für die Erstellung einer Übersichtstabelle über Steinschlaggefahr (von CETE du sud-ouest) Fig 10: Example of hazard table determination for rock fall hazard (from CETE du sud-ouest) BRGM (bureau de recherches géologiques et minières) Website: http:// www.brgm.fr/ LCPC (1999) L'utilisation de la photo-interprétation dans l'établissement des plans de prévention des risques liés aux mouvements de terrain. Collection Environnement, 128 p. LCPC (2000) Caractérisation et cartographie de l'aléa dû aux mouvements de terrain. Collection Environnement, 91 p. MINISTÈRE DE L'AMÉNAGEMENT DU TERRITOIRE (1999). Plans de prévention des risques naturels (PPR). Risques de mouvements de terrain. La Documentation française, 71 p. Probability of occurrence Low RISK MAPPING: http://cartorisque.prim.net/ Cemagref – Unité de Recherche BP 76 – F 38402 Saint-Martin-d’Hères Cedex monitoring RISK PREVENTION FRENCH WEBPORTAL: www.prim.net Seite 143 Seite 142 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU Geological Hazard Prevention Map of Catalonia Introduction 1:25,000 (MPRGC25M) With Law 19/2005, the Parliament of Catalonia PERE OLLER, MARTA GONZÁLEZ, JORDI PINYOL, JORDI MARTURIÀ, PERE MARTÍNEZ Geohazards Mapping in Catalonia Kartierung von geologischen Gefahren in Katalonien approved the creation of the Geological Institute The most important mapping plan is the Geological of Catalonia (IGC) assigned to the Ministry of Hazard Prevention Map of Catalonia 1:25,000 Land Planning and Public Infrastructures (DPTOP) (MPRGC25M). This project started in 2007. The of the Catalonian Government. MPRGC includes the representation of evidence, One of the functions of the IGC is to phenomena, susceptibility and natural hazards “study and assess geological hazards, including of geological processes. These are the processes avalanches, to propose measures to develop generated by external geodynamics (such as slope, hazard forecast, prevention and mitigation and torrent, snow, coastal and flood dynamics) and to give support to other agencies competent in internal (seismic) geodynamics. The information land and urban planning, and in emergency is displayed by different maps on each published management”. Therefore, the IGC is in charge of sheet. The main map is presented on a scale of making official hazard maps for such a finality. 1:25,000, and includes landslide, avalanche and These maps comply with the Catalan Urban Law flood hazard. The hazard level is qualitatively (1/2005) which indicates that building is not classified as high (red), medium (orange) and low allowed in those places where a risk exists. (yellow). The methods used to analyze hazards basically consist of geomorphological, spatial and and The high density of urban development infrastructures geo-thematic in information Catalonia for requires planning. As statistical analysis. Several complementary maps on a a component of the Geoworks of the IGC, 1:100,000 scale show hazards caused individually the strategic programme aimed at acquiring, by different phenomena in order to facilitate the elaborating, integrating and disseminating the Summary: This paper presents the different lines of work being undertaken by the Geological Institute of Catalonia (IGC) on geological hazard mapping. It describes the different map series, scales of representation, methodologies and its expected use. Keywords: hazard mapping, geohazards, Catalonia. Zusammenfassung: Diese Abhandlung bietet einen Überblick über die verschiedenen Aktivitäten des Geologischen Instituts Katalonien (IGC) für die Kartierung geologischer Gefahren. Sie beschreibt die unterschiedlichen Kartenserien, den Umfang der Darstellungen, die angewandte Methodik und den erwarteten Gebrauch der Karten. Schlüsselwörter: Gefahrenkartierung, Geogefahren, Katalonien. basic geological, pedological and geothematic information concerning the whole of the territory in scales suitable for land and urban planning. Geo-hazard mapping is an essential part of this information. Despite some tests carried out with wide land recovery (Mountain Regions Hazard Map 1:50,000 [DGPAT, 1985], Risk Prevention Map of Catalonia 1:50,000 [ICC, 2003]), at present the work is done mainly on two scales: land planning scale (1:25,000), and urban planning scale (1:5,000 or more detailed). These scales imply different approaches and methods to obtain hazard parameters used for such a purpose. The maps are generated in the framework of a mapping plan or as the final product of a specific hazard report. These different types of hazard mapping products are explained below. Fig. 1: First published sheet, Vilamitjana (65-23), in 2010. Abb. 1: Das erste veröffentlichte Blatt, Vilamitjana (65-23), 2010. Seite 145 Seite 144 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU reading of the sheet and understanding of the 4.Population inquiries: the goal of this stage is to equate the parameters that define them. The An epigraph is assigned, to identify the hazard mapped phenomena. Two additional maps for complement the information obtained in the same frequency/activity values were used for all level and the phenomena that causes it, especially flooding and seismic hazards, represented on earlier stages, especially in aspects such as the phenomena, but magnitude values were adapted in overlapping areas (Fig. 5). This epigraph a 1:50,000 scale, are added to the sheet. The intensity and frequency. It is done through a to each of them. consists of two characters, the first in capital map is to provides government and individuals survey to witnesses who live and/or work in the some letters, indicates the value of hazard (A for high study areas. Each hazard level contains considerations for prevention (Fig. 3). These hazard, M for medium hazard and B for low geological hazards, identifying areas where it is In a second step, areas susceptible to be considerations inform about the need for further hazard), and the second, in lower-case, indicates advisable to carry out detailed studies in case of affected by the phenomena are identified from the detailed studies and advise about the use of the type of phenomena (e for large landslides, s action planning. At the same time, a database starting zone to the maximum extent determinable corrective measures. for landslides, d for rockfalls, x for flows, a for is being implemented. It will incorporate all the at the scale of work. Their limits are drawn taking avalanches and f for subsidence and collapses). information obtained from these maps. In the into account the catalogue of phenomena, The higher the overlapping is, the longer the future it will become the Geological Hazard geomorphological indicators of activity, and from epigraph will be. Information System of Catalonia (SIRGC). the identification of favourable lithologies and with an overview of the territory with respect to morphologies of the terrain. This phase includes The procedure followed in the main map consists the completion of GIS and statistical analysis of three steps: to support the determination of the starting and 1.Catalogue of phenomena and evidences run-out zone. It can be extensively applied with 2.Susceptibility determination satisfactory results with regard to the scale and 3.Hazard determination purpose of the work. Finally, hazard is estimated on the basis Fig. 3: Prevention recommendations. Abb. 3: Empfohlene Präventivmaßnahmen. The catalogue of phenomena and evidence is of the analysis of the magnitude and frequency (or the base of the further susceptibility and hazard activity) of the observed or potential phenomena. analysis. It consists of a geomorphologic approach Susceptibility areas are classified according to analyzed individually. The main challenge of the and it comprises the following phases: the hazard matrix represented in Fig. 2. Hazard map is to easily present the overlapping hazard of 1. Bibliographic and cartographic search: the zones are represented as follows: areas where different phenomena. A methodology identifying information available in archives and databases no hazard was detected (white), zones with low that this overlap exists has been established is collected. hazard (yellow), medium hazard zones (orange), with this objective in mind. It indicates what the Hazard from each phenomena is and areas with high hazard (red). maximum overlapped hazard is (Fig. 4), but in any aerial photos of flights from different years case, without obtaining new hazard values. (1957, 1977, 1985, 2003, etc.). The observation for each phenomena, an effort was made to 2. Photointerpretation: carried out on vertical In order to obtain an equivalent hazard Fig. 5: Example of multi-hazard representation. Abb. 5: Beispiel von Mehrfachrisiken. of the topography and the vegetation allows the identification of areas with signs of instability coming from the identification and characterization of events that occurred recently or in the past, and from activity indicators. 3.Field survey: checking and contrasting on the field, the elements identified in the previous Fig. 6: Main map 1:25000, which includes landslides, avalanches, sinking and flooding according to geomorphologic criteria. phases. Field analysis allows a better approach and understanding, and therefore identifying signs and phenomena are not observable through the photointerpretation. Fig. 2: Hazard matrix (based on Altimir et al, 2001). Fig. 4: Multi-hazard representation. Abb. 2: Gefahrenmatrix (auf der Grundlage von Altimir et al, 2001). Abb. 4: Darstellung von Mehrfachrisiken. Abb. 6: Hauptkarte 1:25000; sie veranschaulicht die Gefahren hinsichtlich Bergstürze, Lawinen, Absenkung und Hochwasser nach geomorphologischen Kriterien. Seite 147 Seite 146 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU Complementary maps The final map (Fig. 8) also represents the values of the basic seismic acceleration of the compulsory Complementary maps represent the hazard "Norma de Construcción Sismorresistente established for each individual phenomena at Española" (NCSE-02) for a placement in rock, 1:100,000 scale. The purpose of these maps is and the intensity of the seismic emergency plan to facilitate the interpretation of the main map. (SISMICAT). Depending on the type of phenomena identified in the main map, the number of complementary maps can vary from 1 to 6. Fig. 10: Flooding hazard map 1:100,000 based on hydraulic modeling. Fig. 12: First published Avalanche Paths Map, “Val d’Aran Nord”, in 1996. Abb. 10: Hochwasser-Gefahrenzonenkarte 1:100.000 auf der Grundlage hydraulischer Modellierung. Abb. 12: Erste veröffentlichte Lawinenzugkarte „Val d’Aran Nord“, 1996. The termination of the MZA allows a first global vision of the avalanche hazard distribution in this Fig. 8: Seismic hazard map 1:100,000. region. The area potentially affected by avalanches Abb. 8: Seismische Gefahrenzonenkarte, 1:100.000. covers 1,257 km2. That is at 3.91% of the Catalan country, and considering the Pyrenean territory, it Fig. 7: Complementary map of surface landslide hazard. affects 36%. Abb. 7: Komplementärkarte über Erdrutschrisiken. Fig. 11: Flooding hazard map symbology. Abb. 11: Symbologie Hochwasser-Gefahrenzonenkarte. Seismic hazard map At present, all the avalanche information is stored in the avalanche database of Catalonia (BDAC). New events, coming from avalanche observation, are added to this database. The Avalanche Paths Map (MZA) This map was obtained from the map of seismic http://www.icc.cat/msbdac/. areas for a return period of 500 years, for a middle ground, and considering the effects of soil A second mapping plan, already finished, is amplification. the Avalanche Paths Map (MZA). It was begun in 1996 and finished in 2006. An extent of To take into account the amplification of the seismic motion due to soft ground, a geotechnical classification of lithologies from the Geological Map of Catalonia 1:25,000 into Fig. 9: Seismic hazard map symbology. Abb. 9: Symbologie seismische Gefahrenzonenkarte. 4 types was carried out: R (hard rock), A (compact rocks), B (semi-compacted material) and C (non information is available via the Internet at: Flooding hazard map Hazard maps for urban planning 5,092 km2 was surveyed. During this process At present, for all the municipalities that want to 17,518 avalanche paths were mapped. This is increase their building limits, the procedure is a susceptibility map on a scale of 1:25,000, first of all to make a preliminary hazard map on a useful for land planning in the Pyrenean areas. 1:5,000 scale. This element is, in fact, just a map The methodology is based on the French “Carte of “yes or no”, which states if a hazard exists or de Localisation des Phénomènes d’Avalanches” not. If the municipality decides not to develop in the speed of the S-wave through them (Fleta et al., The flooding hazard map at 1:50,000 scale shows (Pietri, 1993). On this map, the avalanche paths, hazardous areas, the process finishes. In the case 1998). The proposed amplifications were assigned the limits of the hydraulic modeling for periods of mapped from terrain analysis (photointerpretation that the municipality wants to build in the hazard- to each group of lithologies. For types R and A no 50, 100 and 500 years provided by the Catalan and field work), are represented in orange, and the zone areas, more detailed studies have to be additions of any degree of intensity were made, Water Agency (ACA). A flooding map according to inventory information (witness surveys, historical completed. These studies include complex data but for types B and C, there was an addition of geomorphologic criteria was done in those streams documents, field surveys and dendrochronology) collection, usually via drilling specific boreholes, 0.5 degrees of intensity. were hydraulic modeling was not performed. is represented in violet. other geotechnical work, and advanced modelling. cohesive material). This classification is based on Seite 149 Seite 148 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU Anschrift der Verfasser / Authors’ addresses: Pere Oller, Marta González, Jordi Pinyol, Jordi Marturià, Pere Martínez Institut Geològic de Catalunya C/ Balmes 209/211 08006 Barcelona Fig. 13: Interface of the avalanche data server Abb. 13: Benutzeroberfläche des Lawinendatenservers The phenomena taken into account are landslides, rock falls, sinking and snow avalanches. In these maps, the hazard mapping is obtained from frequency/intensity analysis. Advanced modelling analysis is performed in order to obtain the most accurate results, and to support the observational data and expert criteria. Up to the present day, there is no standard methodology. The current challenge for the IGC is to prepare guidelines for such a goal in order to guarantee the standards of quality and homogeneity. There are preliminary studies of a hazard mapping plan 1:5,000 for snow avalanches. In this map terrain is classified into high hazard (red), medium hazard (blue) and low hazard (yellow). Urban planning implications regarding hazard have not been defined yet. An analysis of the MZA, supported by the statistical α−β model, resulted in the identification of 24 urban areas to be mapped. The mapping methodology includes terrain analysis, avalanche inventory, nivometeorological analysis and numerical modelling to complete the information. Literatur / References: PIETRI, C., 1993: Rénovation de la carte de localisation probable des avalanches. Revue de Géographie Alpine nº1. P. 85-97. AGÈNCIA CATALANA DE L’AIGUA (Departament de Medi Ambient i Habitatge). Directrius de planificació i gestió de l’espai fluvial. Guia tècnica. 45 pp. ALTIMIR, J.; COPONS, R.; AMIGÓ, J.; COROMINAS, J.; TORREBADELLA, J. AND VILAPLANA, J.M. (2001): Zonificació del territori segons el grau de perillositat d’esllavissades al Principat d’Andorra. Actes de les 1es Jornades del CRECIT. 13 I 14 de setembre de 2001. P. 119-132. FLETA, J., ESTRUCH, I. I GOULA, X. (1998). Geotechnical characterization for the regional assesment of seismic risk in Catalonia. Proceedings 4th Meeting of the Environmental and Engineering Geophysical Society, pàg. 699-702. Barcelona, setembre 1998. NCSE-02 (2002). Norma de Construcción Sismorresistente Española. Parte General y de Edificación, Comisión Permanente de Normas Sismorresistentes, Real Decreto 997/2002 del 27 de septiembre de 2002, Boletín Oficial del Estado nº 244, viernes 11 de octubre de 2002. Ministerio de Fomento. P. 35898-35987. Seite 151 Seite 150 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU CLAIRE FOSTER, MATTHEW HARRISON, HELEN J. REEVES Standards and Methods of Hazard Assessment for Mass Movements in Great Britain Standards und Methoden der Gefahrenbewertung von Massenbewegungen in Großbritannien Summary: With less extreme topography and limited tectonic activity, Great Britain experiences a different landslide regime than countries in many other parts of the world e.g. Italy and France. Glacial modification of the landscape during the Pleistocene, followed by severe periglacial conditions have led to the presence of high numbers of ancient or relict landslides. Debris flows and rock falls common to higher relief areas of Europe occur but are less likely to interfere with development and population centres. Despite the often subdued nature of landslides in Great Britain, numerous high profile events in recent years have highlighted the continued need to produce useable, applied landslide information. The British Geological Survey has developed a national landslide susceptibility map which can be used to highlight potential areas of instability. It has been possible to create the national susceptibility map (GeoSure) because of the existence of vast data archives collected by the survey such as the National Landslide Database, National Geotechnical Database and digital geological maps. This susceptibility map has been extensively used by the insurance industry and has also been adopted for a number of externally funded projects targeting specific problems. Keywords British Geological Survey, Landslides, GeoSure, National Landslide Database Zusammenfassung: Aufgrund einer weniger extremen Topographie und der beschränkten tektonischen Aktivität des Landes unterscheiden sich Auftreten und Verlauf von Erdrutschen in Großbritannien von denen in vielen anderen Ländern der Welt, z.B. Italien und Frankreich. Glaziale Veränderungen der Landschaft während des Pleistozäns, denen schwierige periglaziale Bedingungen folgten, haben eine hohe Anzahl von vorzeitlichen oder relikten Bergstürzen verursacht. Die für höhere Entlastungszonen in Europa typischen Muren und Felsstürze treten zwar auf, doch ihre Wahrscheinlichkeit, Entwicklungs- und Bevölkerungszentren zu beschädigen, ist gering. Trotz des häufig geringen Ausmaßes von Erdrutschen in Großbritannien heben zahlreiche bekannte Ereignisse der letzten Jahre nach wie vor die Notwendigkeit hervor, anwendbare Informationen über Rutschungen zu erstellen. Vom British Geological Survey (BGS) wurde eine nationale Gefahrenhinweiskarte für Rutschungen entwickelt, anhand derer potentielle Bereiche von Instabilität aufgezeigt werden können. Die Erstellung der nationalen Gefahrenhinweiskarte (GeoSure) war auf der Grundlage umfangreicher Datenarchive möglich, die vom BGS zum Beispiel auf der Grundlage der National Landslide Database, der National Geotechnical Database und von digitalen geologischen Karten angelegt wurden. Diese Gefahrenhinweiskarte findet beispielsweise in der Versicherungsbranche Anwendung und wurde für eine Reihe extern finanzierter Projekte übernommen, die auf bestimmte Probleme abzielen. Schlüsselwörter British Geological Survey, Rutschungen, GeoSure, National Landslide Database planners. This view led to national assessments Background on landslide research and planning in of landslides being carried out in the 1980’s and Great Britain 1990’s on which the current national policy is largely based. These assessments provided the Prior to the 1966 Aberfan disaster, which basis for planning policies and guidance that, to led to the deaths of 144 people, landsliding some degree, continue to control development was not widely considered to be particularly on or around unstable ground. However, limited extensive or problematic in Great Britain (GB). resources since this initial push to understand the In the years following the disaster, a limited problem meant that these initiatives have failed amount of research into landslide distribution to develop into an effective, integrated, national and mechanisms was undertaken but failed to response to deal with landslides in GB. The lead to a structured regulatory framework for current systems, which are neither centralized nor managing landslide risk. The Aberfan landslide legally binding, comprise a system of planning and costly disruptions to infrastructure projects regulations (Town and Country Panning Act in the 1960/70’s (Skempton & Weeks 1976 and 1990), guidance notes, operational regulations Early & Skempton 1972) strengthened the view and building codes (Building Regulations, 2006). that the extent of ground instability was neither With the exception of the Building Regulations, well understood nor managed by developers or none of these legal statutes specifically mention Seite 153 Seite 152 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU landslides. The majority of the legislation can GIS and advises that citizens consult geological The BGS has since developed a Geographical were assessed as an important causative factor be interpreted as placing responsibility with the maps and the now defunct Department of the Information System (GIS)-based system (GeoSure) as they reflect the mass strength of a material, its developer, utility operator or landowner to ensure Environment Landslide Database. These sources to assess the principal geological hazards across the susceptibility to failure and its ability to allow water landslides are not an issue. of information have been superseded by the BGS’s country (Foster et al. 2008, Walsby 2007, 2008). to penetrate a rock mass. Scores were defined in regulatory ‘GeoSure’ and continually updated National One output is a GIS layer that provides ratings of line with those used in the British Standard 5930: information regarding slope instability issues Landslide Database. Despite the availability of the susceptibility of the country to landsliding on Field Description of Rocks and Soils (British is contained within Planning Policy Guidance these resources, national guidance has never a rating scale of A (low or nil) to E (significant), Standards Institute 1990) and by Bieniawski (1989). Note 14 (PPG14) and its associated Annex (Anon been updated to take this into account. Despite which has been simplified for Fig. 1. Importantly, a Analysis of known landslides showed that slope 1990, 1994). The Annex sets out the procedure for the advances in landslide mapping and hazard high susceptibility score does not necessarily mean angle is one of the major controlling factors and landslide recognition and hazard assessment and mapping, there is still no legal compulsion to use that a landslide has happened in the past or will this was derived from the NEXTMap digital terrain emphasises the need to consider ground instability or consider it within a planning application in GB. do so in the future, but where a landslide hazard model of Britain at a 5m resolution. The scores is most likely to occur if the slope conditions are for all the causative factors at each grid cell are The main source of throughout the whole development process from land-use planning, through design to construction. Development of landslide susceptibility maps and adversely altered by a change in one or more of combined in an algorithm to give an overall score These databases in GB the factors controlling slope instability (Fig. 1). based on the relative susceptibility to landsliding. documents provide recommendations GeoSure is produced at 1:50,000 scale and can The method is flexible enough to allow alteration planning decision. If landsliding is a known BGS began to map geological hazards digitally in be integrated to show the spatial distribution of (nationally or locally) of the algorithm in the future issue, ‘a developer’ must provide evidence that the mid 1990’s. These early steps have paved the landslide susceptibility in relation to buildings and and include other factors such as the presence and any development activity will not exacerbate way for the development of much more detailed infrastructure. According to the dataset, 350,000 nature of superficial deposits. landslide activity and that any building will be hazard maps that cover the whole of Great Britain households in the UK, representing 1% of all safe. However, PPG14 is not legally compulsory and are complimented by detailed landslide housing stock, are in areas considered to have a and only recommends that the local planning mapping and an extensive National Landslide 'significant' landslide susceptibility (Rated E). authorities should endeavour to make use of Database (NLD). any relevant expertise when assessing whether a of factors of landsliding: lithology, slope angle and planning application may be affected by ground hazards was triggered by the insurance industry discontinuities being of prime importance. This has instability. The guidance notes do not specifically after it identified a need to better understand been made possible through the use of GIS due refer to geological or geotechnical expertise geological hazards. Insurance losses caused to its ability to spatially display and manipulate but details of some information sources of are by ground movements (including subsidence) data (Soeters & Van Westen, 1996). The GeoSure provided, including BGS data. Despite this, there between 1989 and 1991 reached around £1- methodology uses a heuristic approach to assess and is no legal compulsion for a planning authority 2bn following a particularly dry period and, as classify the propensity of a geological formation to to understand the extent or nature of landslide a result, a digital geohazard information system fail as well as to score the relevant causative factors. hazards within their area of concern and, thus, (GHASP – GeoHAzard Susceptibility Package) The BGS holds large amounts of information about include them in planning decisions. Building was developed by the BGS. This first decision the lithological nature of the rocks and soils within regulations put further emphasis on the role of support system (DSS) gave a weighted averaged Great Britain. The National Geotechnical Physical the developer to control the impact of instability result for each of the 10000 postcode sectors Properties database contains information on the requiring that “The building shall be constructed in GB and came to be used by around 35% of geographical distribution of physical properties so that ground movement caused by…. land-slip the Industry (Culshaw & Kelk, 1994). Since (such as strength) of a wide range of rocks and soils or subsidence (other than subsidence arising from the development of GHASP, improvements in present in GB. This information is vitally important shrinkage), in so far as the risk can be reasonably GIS technology and the availability of digital in determining the propensity of a material to foreseen, will not impair the stability of any part of topographical and geological mapping for 98% fail. The scores assigned to each lithology are the building.” (Anon. 2004). of GB have led to advances in the methods used based on material strength, permeability and to map geohazard potential. known susceptibility to instability. Discontinuities that slope instability be considered in any The current PPG14 predates the era of The first systematic assessment GeoSure works by modelling the causative Fig. 1: GeoSure layer showing the potential for landslide hazard Abb. 1: GeoSure-Schicht veranschaulicht das Potential von Rutschungsgefährdungen. Seite 155 Seite 154 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU Another important tool to both inform and assess 'style of activity.' Whilst the NLD follows the are most likely to occur in the future. An initial landslide susceptibility in GB is the National style of activity definitions, it has simplified the study determined five main components which Landslide Database (NLD). Landslide databases state of activity terms defined by Varnes (1978) should be considered when determining the are commonplace in Europe but there is variability into active, inactive and stabilised whilst also hazard potential of debris flows affecting the road in their complexity and amount of further work adding descriptions on the state of development network: carried out to further enhance or update the (Advanced, degraded, incipient). Whilst activity 1.Availability of debris material datasets. Assessing an area’s susceptibility to state and style have been described in the WP/ 2.Hydrogeological conditions landsliding requires knowledge of the distribution WLI definitions (WP/WLI, 1993), age has been 3.Land use of existing failures and also an understanding of somewhat neglected. Data for modern landslides 4.Proximity of stream channels the causative factors and their spatial distribution. observed either at the time of the event or through 5.Slope angle This type of information is only available from a comparison of aerial photographs and geological It was considered that information regarding each detailed database of past events from which one mapping, is included in the NLD. To record cause, of these could be extracted from existing digital can draw out relevant information which may the NLD has incorporated both triggering and datasets. The resulting interpreted data were inform the user of where landslides may occur preparatory factors, limited to those most likely to combined to produce a working model of debris in the future. The National Landslide Database be identifiable and relevant in GB. The definitions flow hazard that could be validated by comparing is the most comprehensive source of information are based upon the WP/WLI (1990). with known events (Fig. 2). The A85 debris flow on recorded landslides in GB and currently holds event in 2004 is shown alongside the modelled records of over 15,000 landslide events (Fig. Further adaptations of landslide susceptibility maps susceptibility layer, existing drainage channels 2). Each of the 15,000+ landslide records can in Great Britain are shown as particularly susceptible to failure hold information on over 35 attributes including location, dimensions, landslide type, trigger mechanism, damage caused, slope angle, slope aspect, material, movement date, vegetation, hydrogeology, age, development and a full through debris flows. Whilst the assessment of Fig. 2: Distribution of landslide database points from the National Landslide GIS database. OS topography © Crown Copyright. All rights reserved. Following Abb. 2: Verteilung der Rutschungs-Datenbankpunkte von der National Landslide GIS Datenbank. OS Topographie © Crown Copyright. Alle Rechte vorbehalten. has the worked Geosure within a consortium including the Transport Research debris flows highlights areas where they may occur in the future, it does not attempt to model the run-out of such failures. Laboratory (TRL) and the Scottish Executive to has been developed at BGS to enable capture internationally of landslide information. The first stage of the process involves using digital aerial photograph the conventions set out by Varnes (1978), the to two debris flows trapping 57 motorists on the Currently, work is ongoing to validate the current interpretation software (SocetSet) to capture EPOCH project (Flageollet, J.C., 1993) and the A85 trunk road in Scotland. As a consequence methodology against statistical methods such digital landslide polygons which can then be WP/WLI (1990). Age and activity of a landslide of this event and others during the same period, as bivariate statistical analysis and probabilistic altered through field checking using BGS·SIGMA are important factors to record within a landslide the Scottish Executive commissioned a study to methods. The GeoSure method is based upon mobile technology (Jordan 2009; Jordan et al. inventory. Temporal landslide data is as important assess the potential impact of further debris flows expert knowledge and a heuristic approach 2005). BGS·SIGMAmobile is the BGS digital field to understanding the geomorphic evolution of an on the transport network of Scotland (Winter et which is being tested against more statistic-based data capture system running on rugged tablet PCs area as the spatial distribution of slides. However, al., 2005). BGS was involved in the provision of a approaches to assess its validity. Naranjo et al., with integrated GPS units, and is used extensively it is extremely difficult to date ancient landslide GIS layer highlighting slopes susceptible to debris (1994) consider statistical methods to be the for all geological mapping activities within the events with any degree of accuracy and, as such, flows. Debris flows, one of the five main types most appropriate method for mapping regional British Geological Survey (Jordan et al., 2008). the ages assigned to landslides only provide an of landslides, have a specific set of preparatory landslide susceptibility because the technique is When collecting landslide information, arbitrary indication of age. The WP/WLI (1990) criteria which differs from translational and objective, reproducible and easily updateable. either for the NLD or for digital maps, regrouped the Varnes (1978) definitions on rotational assessment Bivariate analysis for instance relies upon the internationally recognised standards have been age and activity under the following headings: sought to digitally capture this set of criteria and availability of landslide occurrence and causal followed 'state of activity,' 'distribution of activity' and create a layer showing areas where debris flows parameter maps, which are compared against The database using create a digital hazard layer specifically for debris For flows. This work was triggered in August 2004 landslide type, the dictionary definitions follow following a period of intense rainfall which led recognised produced BGS of dictionaries appropriate. been methodology, creation bibliographic reference. A fully digital workflow where have the terminology. slides. This modified Future Developments Seite 157 Seite 156 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU distributed data and causal factor information contained in the National Landslide Database of Great Britain, assesses the landslide susceptibility in Great Britain. It uses a heuristic approach to model the causative factors that cause these events. It assesses and classifies the propensity of a geological formation to fail as well as to score the relevant causative factors (e.g. slope angle). By using these methodologies and datasets, a national assessment of the potential hazard to landsliding mass movement events in Great Britain can therefore be undertaken. Anschrift der Verfasser / Authors’ addresses: Dr. Helen J. Reeves Head of Science Land Use Fig. 3a: Extract from the debris flow susceptibility layer along with b: the Glen Ogle debris flow of 2004. Planning & Development Abb. 3a: Ausschnitt der Gefahrenhinweiskarte für Muren, gemeinsam mit b: dem Murgang in Glen Ogle, 2004. British Geological Survey, Kingsley Dunham Centre, each other to create a weighted value for each in the future by numerical methods for smaller, Keyworth, Nottingham. parameter determined by calculating the landslide regional studies. United Kingdom, NG12 5GG. density (Aleotti and Chowdhury, 1999 and Süzen Direct Tel:- +44 (0)115 936 3381 and Doyuran, 2004). Results from an initial pilot methodology, similar to those used to assess Mobile:- +44 (0)7989301144 study suggest that, in small areas, where detailed debris flows, are planned for the future. Rock fall Fax:- +44 (0)115 936 3385 landslide mapping exists, bivariate (conditional hazard could be another type of mass movement E-mail:- [email protected] probability) and probabilistic approaches are able that is investigated using the heuristic GeoSure to more accurately predict landslide susceptibility approach applying different causal factors and than GeoSure. However, this approach only scoring algorithms. Further adaptations to the GeoSure works where landslides have been mapped. This technique cannot be used where no landslide Conclusion mapping has been undertaken. Another issue with the conditional probability technique is that In Great Britain, landsliding does not have a it relies on the assumption that all the parameters structured regulatory framework, but historical are mutually exclusive. The value of the heuristic events, such as the Aberfan disaster and Scottish approach is its ability to highlight areas where debris flow events (Winter et al, 2005), have there are no known landslides but where there is highlighted the importance of understanding existing knowledge on the underlying causative the distribution and mechanisms that cause factors. The heuristic approach is able to produce landslide mass movement events in Great Britain. national scale assessments which could be refined The BGS GeoSure methodology, using spatially Literatur / References: ALEOTTI, P., AND CHOWDHURY, R. 1999. Landslide hazard assessment: Summary review and new perspectives. Bulletin Engineering Geology and Environment, Vol. 58, pp. 21–44. ANON. (1990). Planning Policy Guidance 14: Development on Unstable Land. Department of the Environment, Welsh Office. Her Majesty's Stationery Office, London. ANON. (1994). Planning Policy Guidance 14 (Annex 1): Development on Unstable Land: Landslides and Planning. Department of the Environment, Welsh Office. Her Majesty's Stationery Office, London. Anon. (2004). The Building Regulations 2000 (Structure), Approved Document A, 2004 Edition. Office of the Deputy Prime Minister. Her Majesty's Stationery Office, London. CULSHAW, MG & KELK, B (1994). A national geo-hazard information system for the UK insurance industry - the development of a commercial product in a geological survey environment. In: Proceedings of the 1st European Congress on Regional Geological Cartography and Information Systems, Bologna, Italy. 4, Paper 111, 3p. BIENIAWSKI Z T (1989). Engineering Rock Mass Classifications. Wiley Interscience, New York, 272 p BRITISH STANDARDS INSTITUTE. (1990). BS 5930. The Code of practice for site investigations. HMSO, London, 206 p EARLY, K.R. & SKEMPTON, A. 1972. Investigation of the landslide at Walton's Wood, Staffordshire. Quarterly Journal of Engineering Geology, 5, 19-41. FLAGEOLLET, J. C. (Ed) 1993. Temporal occurrence and forecasting of landslides in the. European Community. EPOCH (European Community Programme). FOSTER, C, GIBSON, AD & WILDMAN, G (2008). The new national landslide database and landslide hazards assessment of Great Britain. In: Sassa, K, Fukuoka, H & Nagai, H + 35 others (eds), Proceedings of the First World Landslide Forum, United Nations University, Tokyo. The International Promotion Committee of the International Programme on Landslides (IPL), Tokyo, Parallel Session Volume, 203-206. JORDAN, C. J., 2009. BGS∙SIGMAmobile; the BGS Digital Field Mapping System in Action. Digital Mapping Techniques 2009 Proceedings, May 1013, Morgantown, West Virginia, USA, Vol. U.S. Geological Survey Openfile Report. JORDAN, C. J., BEE, E. J., SMITH, N. A., LAWLEY, R. S., FORD, J., HOWARD, A. S., AND LAXTON, J. L., 2005. The development of digital field data collection systems to fulfil the British Geological Survey mapping requirements. GIS and Spatial Analysis: Annual Conference of the International Association for Mathematical Geology, Toronto, Canada, York University, 886-891. NARANJO, J.L., VAN WESTEN, C.J. AND SOETERS, R. 1994. Evaluating the use of training areas in bivariate statistical landslide hazard analysis: a case study in Colombia. International Institute for Aerial Survey and Earth Sciences. 3 : 292–300 SKEMPTON, A. & WEEKS, A. 1976 The Quaternary history of the Lower Greensand escarpment and Weald Clay vale near Sevenoaks, Kent. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society, A, 283, 493-526. SOETERS, R. & VAN WESTEN, C.J. 1996. Slope instability recognition, analysis and zonation. In: Transportation Research Board Special Report 247, National Research Council, National Academy Press, Washington, D. C., 129-177. SUZEN, M.L. AND DOYURAN, V. 2004. A comparison of the GIS based landslide susceptibility assessment methods: multivariate versus bivariate. Environmental Geology, 45, 665- 679. THE BUILDING AND APPROVED INSPECTORS REGULATIONS (Amendment). 2006. HMSO. TOWN AND COUNTRY PLANNING ACT. 1990. HMSO. VARNES D. J.: Slope movement types and processes. In: Schuster R. L. & Krizek R. J. Ed., Landslides, analysis and control. Transportation Research Board Sp. Rep. No. 176, Nat. Acad. oi Sciences, pp. 11–33, 1978. WALSBY, JC (2007). Geohazard information to meet the needs of the British public and government policy. Quaternary International, 171/172: 179-185. WALSBY, JC (2008). GeoSure; a bridge between geology and decision-makers. In: Liverman, D.G.E., Pereira, CPG & Marker, B (eds.) Communicating environmental geoscience. Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 305: 81-87. WINTER, M. G., MACGREGOR, F & SHACKMAN, L (Eds) 2005. Scottish Road Network Landslides Study. The Scottish Executive. Edinburgh. WP/ WLI. 1993. A suggested method for describing the activity of a landslide. Bulletin of the International Association of Engineering Geology, No. 47, 53-57. WP/ WLI. (International Geotechnical Societies UNESCO Working Party on World Landslide Inventory) 1990. A suggested method for reporting a landslide. Bulletin of the International Association of Engineering Geology, No. 41, 5-12. Seite 159 Seite 158 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU KARL MAYER, BERNHARD LOCHNER International Comparison: Summary of the Expert Hearing in Bolzano on 17 March 2010 Internationaler Vergleich: Zusammenfassung des Expert Hearings in Bozen vom 17. März 2010 Summary: The AdaptAlp work package 5 “Expert Hearing” on March 17th, 2010 in Bolzano was attended by 28 experts from eight countries. It was dedicated to the goals of action 5.1: The creation of a multilingual glossary on landslides and especially the elaboration of minimum requirements for “hazard mapping”. Beside a short presentation on the progress and the further approach of the multilingual glossary, the “state of the art” in hazard mapping for each involved region was presented by several people responsible. Based on these presentations, which build the basis for the further approach, short abstracts were composed for each region. These short descriptions can be seen inside the official Hearings report published on the AdaptAlp Homepage (www.adaptalp.org). In a further step, based on these abstracts and the presentations, two tables were created. On the one hand, all used maps were grouped according to different types and on the other hand diverse characteristics of maps were summarized and compared at the country level. With these matrices, similarities and differences between the involved regions become visible and a “least common denominator” could be elaborated. These denominators should be discussed at the next meeting (December 2010) and, as a result, a compilation of minimum requirements to the creation of “Danger, Hazard and Risk maps” will be published. Zusammenfassung: Das AdaptAlp Workpackage 5 „Expert Hearing“ am 17. März 2010 in Bozen wurde von 28 Experten aus acht Ländern besucht und widmete sich inhaltlich vollständig den Zielen von Action 5.1: Der Aufbau eines mehrsprachigen Glossars zu Hangbewegungen und insbesondere die Erarbeitung von Mindestanforderungen zur Erstellung von Gefahrenkarten. Neben einer kurzen Vorstellung des Projektfortschrittes und der weiteren Vorgehensweise hinsichtlich der Erarbeitung eines mehrsprachigen Glossars wurde von Vertretern aus allen beteiligten Ländern der jeweilige „State oft the Art“ bezüglich Gefahrenkartierung vorgestellt. Ausgehend von diesen Präsentationen, welche die Grundlage für das weitere Vorgehen bilden, wurden im Anschluss an das Treffen Kurzzusammenfassungen für jede Region verfasst, welche innerhalb eines Gesamtberichtes auf der AdaptAlp Homepage (www.adaptalp.org) einzusehen sind. In einem weiteren Schritt wurden auf Basis dieser Beiträge zwei Tabellen erstellt, welche einerseits alle verwendeten Karten strukturiert nach verschiedenen Typen und andererseits unterschiedliche Charakteristiken von Karten zusammenfassen und auf Länderebene vergleichen. Mithilfe dieser Matrizen werden Gemeinsamkeiten und Unterschiede zwischen den beteiligten Regionen sichtbar und ein „kleinster gemeinsamer Nenner“ kann erarbeitet und in einem nächsten Meeting (Dezember 2010) fixiert werden. Ergebnis dieses Vorgehens und des Projektteiles wird eine Zusammenstellung von Mindestanforderungen zur Erstellung von Gefahrenhinweiskarten und Gefahrenkarten sein. processes, a large variety of maps and methods 1. Introduction are used in the different European countries to prevent natural disasters. In dealing geotechnical with geological (active) and hazards spatial today, (passive) Exactly this variety, which reaches from simple danger mappings to legally binding measures come to implementation to minimize “Hazard risk. Because of a time limitation of active should be shown inside this part of the AdaptAlp Zone Plans” (Gefahrenzonenplan), measures (e.g. protective walls) and the decrease project. However main goal of work package 5 of space for permanent settlings, spatial planning (WP 5) is not only the description of this variety, but gets more and more important. Due to avalanche a development of a “least common denominator” catastrophes in the 1950’s which were affecting which includes the minimum requirements for the large parts of the Alps, in 1954 in the Swiss creation of Danger, Hazard and Risk maps. municipal Gadmen, the first “Avalanche-Zone- Plan” was passed. This was the first time a natural “Expert Hearing” from 17 March 2010 take place hazard was considered in spatial planning (cf. in Bolzano and which dedicates the contents of Glade a. Felgentreff 2008, p 160f). work package 5. In the following sections, the This article focuses on the AdaptAlp Nowadays, almost 60 years later, “hazard main goals of this meeting and the contributions mapping” is a central part in risk management. from the involved experts were shown. In the Countless types of “Danger, Hazard and Risk final chapter, first basic approaches concerning a maps” are produced for all kinds of risks. With possible synthesis out of the big variety of “hazard regard to natural hazards, especially geological planning methods” is pointed out. Seite 161 Seite 160 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU 2. Main goals of the “Expert Hearing” addressed inside a short presentation at the “harmonisation”. Within the hearing in Bolzano, •Specific technical data of the subject area beginning of this meeting. The rest of this one-day the plenum discussed the possible commitment The topics of the expert hearing are all about the session was dedicated to the contents of hazard of such a report for each country. However the goals of the AdaptAlp Work package 5 – “Hazard mapping. Due to this and the fact that the glossary title of the project contained the term “minimum Mapping”: part is already described in detail within chapter standards”, which rather sounds like a legal Regarding landslides, slide, fall, flow and 2.6 of this publication, this article only refers to term, the involved experts decided to switch to subrosion the hazard mapping part. word standards with “requirements”. So this legal inventories. Methods lasting from field studies to character is avoided and the final report will computerized modelling are used for the creation include a part with “minimum requirements to the of these “danger maps”. In Germany, danger creation of danger, hazard and risk maps”. maps serve as a first estimation of possible natural “Hazard zones are designated areas threatened by natural risks such as avalanches, landslides or flooding. The formulation of these hazard zones is an important aspect of spatial 3. Hazard mapping in the Alpine regions planning. AdaptAlp will evaluate, harmonise and mass movement and subrosion / karst •Surface data concerning subsidence and uplift processes are recorded in the improve different methods of hazard zone planning At the beginning of this chapter, it is important applied in the Alpine area. Focus will be on a to clarify that, because of the scheduled timing 4. Short summary from the “expert-contributions” and should serve as a planning reference for comparison of methods for mapping geological of the project, at this time no final results can be in Bolzano possible investigations of individual objects where and water risks in the individual countries. A presented. Nevertheless, the theoretical approach glossary will facilitate transdisciplinary and and the already achieved marks can be shown. In In the following sections, the “state of the art - natural hazards are possible are not delineated translingual cooperation as well as support the general the course of action in getting a “synthesis” presentations” from several experts in Bolzano are precisely and local conditions (e.g. prevention harmonisation of the various methods. In selected to hazard mapping is structured in three steps. shown in short summaries for each country. schemes, topographic peculiarities) are not taken model regions, methods to adapt risk analysis to First step is the evaluation of the “state of the art” the impact of climate change will be tested. This in hazard mapping in each country involved. should support the development of hazard zone Exactly this point was the intention and the planning towards a climate change adaptation main goal of the hearing in Bolzano. Two main In Germany, geogenic natural hazards, such strategy. The results will be summarized in a questions remained to be answered: as mass movements, karstification, large scale 1:25,000 scale and is not precise. It serves as a flooding, as well as building ground that is first estimation of possible engineering geological affected by subsidence and uplift, shall in future hazards and cannot replace a geotechnical be recorded, assessed and spatially represented survey. Areas within the immediate vicinity of using • What kinds of danger, hazard and risk maps synthesis report (www.adaptalp.org). are officially applied in each country? The official description of WP 5 shows •Which standards are these maps based on? two main parts (goals), which are worked out in hazards caused by certain geological conditions necessary. On the danger map, the areas in which into consideration in every case. Because of these 4.1 Germany reasons, it is recommended adding the following annotations for each subject area: An danger fields can also be affected. The intensity Environment Agency (LfU) in collaboration with To answer these questions, each participant gave important component for developing danger maps and probability of a possible event cannot be the alpS – Centre for Natural Hazard and Risk a short overview of the official used danger, is the construction and evaluation of landslide extracted from the map.” Management in Innsbruck and with the inputs hazard and risk maps and also information on inventories (e.g. landslide or sinkhole inventories). from the international experts of the project the creation of such maps were given in short The recorded data in the inventories should have a partners. presentations. minimal nationwide standards and are divided into: Action 5.1 under the leadership of the Bavarian second step will be minimum standard. 4.2 Austria • Main data on the topic area mass At this time there is no regulatory framework or of a “multilingual glossary to landslides” and the “harmonisation” of the different methods used in movements and subrosion / karst with technical norm concerning mass movements in development of “minimum standards to create several countries. Therefore similarities should be information about the spatial positioning, Austria. Only the course of actions concerning danger, hazard and risk maps”. worked out and the “least common denominator” about determination of coordinates, etc. floods, avalanches and debris flows are regulated As announced in the introduction, in the methods of hazard mapping should be the main focus of the hearing in Bolzano lies on the elaboration of basics for the definition The two main goals are the elaboration The common the a “The following map was created for a of by law. This includes the generation of “hazard found. This second step is to be discussed in detail the subject area mass movements and zoning maps” (“Gefahrenzonenplan”). These are in the next workshop at the end of 2010. subrosion / karst with information about generated by the Austrian Service for Torrent and of minimum standards for hazard mapping. the date of origin, about the land use and Avalanche Control (Forsttechnischer Dienst für Therefore the progress of the glossary was only of a report, which includes the results of this about damage, etc. Wildbach- und Lawinenverbauung, WLV). The final part will be the creation • Commonly shared technical data Seite 163 Seite 162 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU As there are no legal instructions or standards elementary form of a hazard map and, based for developing these maps are outlined in the documents is dedicated to geological hazards, in Austria about if or how to deal with the on this, enforce rules and obligations addressing federal guideline where a three step procedure is which includes subsidence, sinking, collapse, evaluation of mass movements, the federal states landslide hazard reduction: only existing hamlets proposed: rock falls, landslides, and associated mud flows, are all following a different course of action. and villages can extend on dormant landslides; The status of available data is very different in on active ones, all new construction is forbidden. 1)Firstly, an indispensable prerequisite for the the individual states. In some of the federal Otherwise, the use of a purely descriptive landslide hazard identification is obtaining states almost no data is available, others have a terminology the information about past slope failure events: lot of data but not digitally available. And then usability of this map, being often obsolete, and is the maps of phenomena and the registration Up until 1966, the UK Government were not there are states that can rely on a lot of digitally therefore a frequent bone of contention. of events (database). interested in Geohazards, they were more available data and are working on generating In the federal state law from 11 August 2)Secondly, hazard assessment implies the interested in finding oil and gas to help the UK landslide susceptibility maps. 1997, the base for the approval of guidelines to the determination of magnitude or intensity economy develop and expand. After the Aberfan creation of hazard plans (Gefahrenzonenpläne) for over time. Five classes of hazard are disaster (where 144 people, 116 of them children), South Tyrol was laid. Also the role of municipalities determined in Switzerland: high danger the UK government were much more interested was defined to carry out the planning within (red zone), moderate danger (blue zone), and funded a number of research projects to look In Italy the national law (high level, n. 445/1908) three years. Finally, the approval of plans and the low danger (yellow zone), residual danger at the UK’s geohazards. and Royal Decree R.D. (n. 3267/1923) were the role of coinvolved partners are also part of this (yellow-white zone) and no danger (white first public regulations on land use planning. At law. The scale of this legal binding hazard plan zone). building an understanding of the occurrence of the beginning of ‘70s the land use management (“Gefahrenzonenplan”) in South Tyrol tends to the 3)Based on the hazard maps and risk analysis, geohazards. Currently BGS maintains two main was transferred to regions. working level of detail for the analyzed area. In three kinds of measures can be then taken shallow geohazard databases: the National 4.3 Italy (Piemonte, Emilia-Romagna, Province Bolzano) (active, dormant), restricts but excludes debris flows. 4.6 England An inventory is the first step in 183/1989 settlements, a 1:5,000 scale and in other regions a (third step): planning measures, technical Landslide and Karst Database (www.bgs.ac.uk). introduced land use planning at a basin scale. 1:10,000 scale is used and landslides, hydrological measures and organizational measures. These inventories provide the basis for analysing The government sets the standards and general hazards and avalanches are analyzed. The national Law n. evaluate the dangers, hazards and risks related the spatial distribution of the geohazard and 4.5 France aims without fixing a methodology to analyse and their causal factors. From this understanding 4.4 Switzerland to natural phenomena. The same law designated susceptibility can be assessed. In 2002, BGS The plan for prevention of natural hazards (plan developed a nationwide susceptibility assessment the Autorità di Bacino (Basin Authority) whose Switzerland is a hazard-prone country exposed de prévention des risques naturels prévisibles - of deterministic geohazards such as landslides, main goal is to draw up the Basin Plan, a tool for to many mass movements, but also to floods and PPR) established by the law of 2 February 1995 skrink-swell, etc. called GeoSure (http://www.bgs. planning actions and rules for conservation and snow avalanches. Active and dormant landslides is the “central” tool of the French State's action ac.uk/products/geosure/). protection of the territory. take some 6% of the national surface. Most of the in preventing natural hazards. The elaboration One of the available tools produced by landslides are very slow or slow reaching some of the PPR is conducted under the authority of ARPA Piemonte is the Italian Landslides Inventory millimetres to centimetres of displacement per the prefect of the department, which approves it (IFFI). It is a national program of landslides year. Sudden slope movements with velocities up after formal consultation of municipalities and a The Parliament of Catalonia approved, with Law inventory, sponsored by national authorities and to 40 m/s are also observed (e.g. rock avalanches). public inquiry. The PPR is achieved by involving 19/2005, the creation of the Geological Institute made locally by the regions. It is the first try of The federal laws came into force in 1991 and are local and regional concerned authorities from the of Catalonia (IGC), assigned to the Ministry an inventory based on common graphical legend based on an integrated approach to protect people beginning of its preparation. It can handle only of Land Planning and Public Infrastructures and glossary. and property from natural hazards. The non- one type of hazard or more and cover one or (DPTOP) of the Catalonian Government. The 4.7 Spain (Catalonia) The Emilia-Romagna Landslide Inventory technical, preventive measures are of particular several municipalities. most important mapping plan is the Geological Map (LIM) reports over 70,000 landslides, while importance: land-use planning, zoning, building Hazard Prevention Map of Catalonia 1:25,000 the historical data base contains about 6,600 codes. The reference documents in Switzerland a general methodological guidelines document (MPRGC25M). landslide events. LIM may be considered as an are the natural hazard maps. The techniques has been published. One of these guideline Geoworks of the IGC, the strategic program In the frame of this common procedure, As a component of the Seite 165 Seite 164 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU Comparison of different maps and their scales Austria basic Level Type of map Geomorphologic map Geotechnical map Engineering geological map GBA and Kärnten WLV Germany Switzerland Slovenia Bayern CH Slovenia large scale variable scales 1:5,000-1:50,000 1:200,000 1:5,000 (landslides) Italy Arpa Piemonte South Tyrol Emilia Romagna 1:10,000 1:5,000 1:10,000 France Spain UK France Catalonia UK 1:10,000 1:250,000 Level of attention inventory Inventory map suscepti-bility Municipal 1:25,000 to 1:50,000 1:5,000 to 1:2,000 and 1:25,000 to 1:50,000 1:50,000 and bigger Map of area of activity Landslide susceptibility map, danger map (Gefahrenhinweiskarte) hazard index map 1:10,000 1:10,000-1:50,000 (M1), 1:2,0001:10,000 (M2), 1:5,000-1:2,000 or bigger (M3) 1:10,000 1:25,000 1:200,000 (K, regional), 1:50,000 (St., local) 1:25,000 1:10,000 1:25,000- 1:10,000 1:100,000 1:25,000 1:10,000 variable scales 1:10,0001:25,000 1:50,000 and bigger 1:5,000 or 1:10,000 1:10,0001:50,000 1:10,000 1:10,000-1:50,000 1:250,000 1:2,000-1:10,000 1:25,000 1:10,000 yes 1:25,000 (2000) 1:5,000 (2009) 1:25,000 K, Bleiberg: 1:10,000 Hazard map hazard 1:10,0001:25,000 1:10,000-1:50,000 (M1), 1:2,0001:10,000 (M2), >1:50,000 1:5,000-1:2,000 or bigger (M3) Multi-temporal inventory map Map of phenomena 1:5,000-1:2,000 or more Detailed Study (Detailstudie) Hazard zone map (Gefahrenzonenkarte) not smaller than 1:50,000, usually 1:2,000 to 1:5,000 Risk zoning map, risk map Fig. 1: Comparison of different maps and their scales Abb. 1: Vergleich unterschiedlicher Karten und deren Maßstab 1:25,000 1:5,000 1:1,000 1:5,000; 1:10,000 1:10,000 1:5,000; 1:10,000 1:5,000; 1:10,000 Map of potential damage Vulnerability map 1:10,0001:25,000 1:10,000 Hazard zone map of the development plan risk variable 1:250,000 1:5,000; 1:10,000 1:5,000 1:50,000 x x x x weathering geotechnical properties (rock, debris) geotechnical parameters (shear,…) rock mass structure joints x x x Land use Hydrogeology structural contributions x x bedding attitude x x x x x x material x x x x x x Abb. 2: Vergleich von Charakteristiken und eingehende Informationen für unterschiedliche Inventare und Karte x x x Bibliography included Fig. 2: Comparison of characteristics and information collected for different inventories and maps x x x x x x x x Investigations, reports, documentation, references included x Certainty/ reliability of information Degree of precision of information x x x x x Method used to gather info (field survey, aerial photo-interpretation,…) x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x Costs of investigation x x Remedial measures x x "Hazard" to infrastructure Costs of rem. Measures x Damage x x x Rock fall: (geometric) slope gradient x x x x x Rock fall: shadow angle x x x Causes Trigger water content x x rate of movement Classification type x Classification of mass movements (not specified) x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x stratigraphy x x x x lithology Land cover Silent witnesses x x x x x x x x x x x ST discontinuities x tectonic unit x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x AP joint spacing x x geologic unit x x x slope x x x x x Geology, specified Precursory signs (fissures,…) x x x x x x x EmRo slope aspect x Relationship to rainfall x x x x x x x x x SLO Italy x x x x x x x x x x F F x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x UK UK x x x x x x x x x x x x x x Catalan ES x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x CH SLO depth to basal failure plane x x x x x x x x x x x x x By CH x x x x x x x x x x x x K Ger depth to bedrock site description x x positional accuracy x x reported when approx. original slope x who slope position x why x x activity ( number of events...) x what x geometry (width, length...) when x study/ detailed scale x x regional scale where x national scale x GBA Austria Geology in general Landslide conditions Basic information Inventory Characteristics Comparison of information collected for different inventories Seite 167 Seite 166 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU Seite 169 Seite 168 Hazard assessment and mapping of mass-movements in the EU 5. Conclusion Anschrift der Verfasser / Authors’ addresses: and geothematic information concerning the As mentioned in the introduction of this article, Karl Mayer whole of the territory in the suitable scales for the “state of the art in hazard mapping“ in the Bavarian Environment Agency (LfU) the land and urban planning. This project started involved countries isn’t in balance. This fact was (Office Munich) in 2007. In the MPRGC, evidence, phenomena, also confirmed inside the “Expert Hearing” in Lazarettstraße 67 susceptibility and natural hazards of geological Bolzano. 80636 Munich – GERMANY processes are represented. These processes are KOMAC, M. (2005): Probabilistic model of slope mass movement susceptibility - a case study of Bovec municipality, Slovenia. Geologija, 48/2, 311-340. generated by external geodynamics (such as slope, big variety of maps applied in the several regions Bernhard Lochner KOMAC, M. & RIBIČIČ, M. (2006): Landslide susceptibility map of Slovenia at scale 1:250.000. Geologija, 49/2, 295-309. torrent, snow, coastal and flood dynamics) and was summarized in one table (see Fig. 1). This chart alpS – Centre for Natural Hazard and Risk internal (seismic) geodynamics. The information builds the basis for further actions concerning Management is displayed by different maps on each published the creation of minimum requirements. It is Grabenweg 3 sheet. The main map is presented on a scale of structured into different levels and the associated 6020 Innsbruck - AUSTRIAText 1:25,000, and includes landslide, avalanche type of maps. The levels lasting from “basic” (e.g. and flood hazard. Hazard level is qualitatively geomorphologic maps) over “inventories” (e.g. classified as high (red), medium (orange) and low inventory map), “susceptibility” (e.g. susceptibility (yellow). The methods used to analyze hazards map) and “hazard” (e.g. hazard map) to “risk” basically consist of geomorphologic, spatial and (e.g. risk map). statistical analysis. aimed to acquiring, elaborating, integrating and disseminating the basic geological, pedological To solve this problem, in a first step the Furthermore, a matrix (see Fig. 2) with specified characteristics and information 4.8 Slovenia collected for different maps was created out of the great wealth of information given at the Legislation, planning and prevention measures are hearing in Bolzano. In particular, this table should not satisfying in the field of landslides in Slovenia help to find accordance’s between the different and the primary activities are still focused on approaches. All the characteristics used in any remediation instead on the prevention measures. involved country (e.g. inventory) form the basis The updated Act on Spatial planning from for the definition of minimum requirements to 2007, governing natural disasters also discusses “hazard mapping”. problems with mass movements, but a common methodology and procedures to prevent geology- recommendation will be created and, based related natural disasters does not exist yet. thereon, the final minimum requirements should Finally, out of these two matrices a a be fixed in the next workshop on December 2010 “landslide susceptibility map” (scale 1:250,000) in Munich. The final report on the whole project and a “debris-flow susceptibility map” (scale will include a chapter with the decided minimum 1:250,000) is elaborated by the Geological Survey requirements to the creation of “Danger, Hazard of Slovenia. In addition to this, a probabilistic and Risk maps”. At the moment for Slovenia, model of slope mass movement susceptibility for the Bovec municipality in north-western Slovenia was developed based on the expert geohazard map at scale 1:25,000 and several other relevant influence factors. Literatur / References: CRUDEN, D.M. & VARNES, D.J. (1996): Landslide types and processes. In A. Keith Turner & Robert L. Schuster (eds), Landslide investigation and mitigation: 36-75. Transportation Research Board, special report 247. Washington: National Academy Press. FELGENTREFF, C. & GLADE, T. (Hrsg.) (2008): Naturrisiken und Sozialkatastrophen. Spektrum Akademischer Verlag, Heidelberg, 454 S. KOMAC, M., KUMELJ, Š. & RIBIČIČ, M. (2009): Debris-flow susceptibility model of Slovenia at scale 1: 250,000. Slovenia. Geologija, 52/1, 87-104. MAYER, K. & POSCHINGER, A. von (2005): Final Report and Guidelines: Mitigation of Hydro-Geological Risk in Alpine Catchments, “CatchRisk”. Work Package 2: Landslide hazard assessment (Rockfall modelling). Program Interreg IIIb – Alpine Space. MAYER, K., Patula, S., Krapp, M., Leppig, B., Thom, P., Poschinger, A. von (2010): Danger Map for the Bavarian Alps. Z. dt. Ges. Geowiss., 161/2, p. 119-128, 10 figs. Stuttgart, June 2010 RAETZO, H., LATELTIN, O., TRIPET, J.P., BOLLINGER, D. (2002): Hazard assessment in Switzerland – codes of practice for mass movements. Bull. of Engineering Geology and the Environment 61(3): 263-268. RIBIČIČ, M., KOMAC, M., MIKOŠ, M., FAJFAR, D., RAVNIK, D., GVOZDANOVIČ, T., KOMEL, P., MIKLAVČIČ, L. & KOSMATIN FRAS, M. (2006): Novelacija in nadgradnja informacijskega sistema o zemeljskih plazovih in vključitev v bazo GIS_UJME : končno poročilo. Ljubljana: Fakulteta za gradbeništvo in geodezijo (in Slovene). Seite 170 AdaptAlp DI Maria Patek, MBA Bundesministerium für Land- und Forstwirtschaft, Umwelt und Wasserwirtschaft Abteilung IV/5 Marxergasse 3 1030 Wien Tel.: 01/711 00 - 7334 Fax: 01/71100 - 7399 E-Mail: [email protected]
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