International Journal of Obesity (2003) 27, 1167–1177 & 2003 Nature Publishing Group All rights reserved 0307-0565/03 $25.00 www.nature.com/ijo PAPER Clinical and cost effectiveness of surgery for morbid obesity: a systematic review and economic evaluation A Clegg1*, J Colquitt1, M Sidhu1, P Royle1 and A Walker2 1 Southampton Health Technology Assessments Centre (SHTAC), Wessex Institute for Health Research and Development, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK; and 2Robertson Centre for Biostatistics, University of Glasgow Level 11 Boyd Orr Building, University Avenue, Glasgow, UK OBJECTIVE: To assess the clinical and cost effectiveness of surgery for people with morbid obesity. DESIGN: A systematic review of randomised control trials (RCTs), prospective clinical trials and economic evaluations identified from 14 electronic databases (including Medline, Cochrane library and Embase from their inception to October 2001), bibliographies and consultation with experts and manufacturers was performed to assess the clinical and cost effectiveness of different surgical procedures and nonsurgical management for morbid obesity. An economic evaluation was undertaken to assess cost effectiveness in the UK. SUBJECTS: People diagnosed as morbidly obese, defined as a body mass index (BMI) (weight in kilograms/height in metres2) 440 kg/m2, or with a BMI435 kg/m2 with serious comorbid disease, in whom previous nonsurgical interventions had failed. MEASUREMENTS: The outcomes assessed included weight change, quality of life, peri- and postoperative morbidity and mortality, revision rates and obesity comorbidities. Cost effectiveness was modelled from these data and presented as cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY). RESULTS: Included studies differed in methodological quality. Surgery resulted in a significantly greater loss of weight (23–37 kg more weight) than nonsurgical treatment, which was maintained to 8 years and led to improvements in quality of life and comorbidities. The economic evaluation of surgery compared with nonsurgical management suggested that surgery was cost effective at d11 000 per QALY. Comparisons of the different types of surgery were equivocal. CONCLUSION: Surgery for morbid obesity appears to be clinically and cost effective. Because of the nature of the evidence, particularly the uncertainty in the clinical and economic evaluations, it is difficult to distinguish between the different surgical procedures. International Journal of Obesity (2003) 27, 1167–1177. doi:10.1038/sj.ijo.0802394 Keywords: morbid; surgery; review; literature; model; economic Introduction Obesity is an increasing public health problem worldwide. Some 31% of adults aged 20–74 y in USA in 1999–20001 and 17% of men and 21% of women in England in 19982 were obese (body mass index (BMI)430 kg/m2). Trends among children and adults suggest that the problem will continue to grow.1–3 Obesity is associated with increased morbidity and mortality from cardiovascular disease, type II diabetes, cancer, degenerative diseases of the musculoskeletal system, *Correspondence: Dr A Clegg, SHTAC, Wessex Institute for Health Research and Development, Mailpoint 728, University of Southampton, Southampton SO16 7PX, UK. E-mail: [email protected] Received 29 August 2002; revised 20 May 2003; accepted 24 May 2003 reproductive disorders and respiratory disorders. The economic burden on society is considerable. Direct costs of obesity in England were estimated at d480 million in 1998 or about 1.5% of National Health Service (NHS) expenditure and indirect costs through lost earnings at d2.1 billion.2 In the UK, obesity tends to be managed either within the primary care sector in the NHS or in private sector clinics through advice on weight control, diet, physical exercise and lifestyle, although referral to specialist services, drug therapy or very low calorie diets (VLCD) may be considered. Surgery is usually considered for people with morbid obesity when all other measures have failed. Traditionally, these procedures have been viewed with some caution, as they are major surgical procedures associated with significant risk of morbidity and mortality. Recent advances, such as the use of adjustable gastric bands and laparoscopic techniques, Surgery for morbid obesity A Clegg et al 1168 have brought renewed interest in the clinical and cost effectiveness of these procedures. In view of the continuing debate, the National Institute for Clinical Excellence (NICE) in the UK, which provides patients, health professionals and the public with guidance on current best practice, was asked to provide national guidance.4 This paper reports the results of a systematic review and economic evaluation commissioned to assist NICE in their deliberations. Although several reviews have been published, either they were limited in the interventions included, are known not to include recently published evidence or do not consider the cost effectiveness of procedures.5–10 Methods We searched for published and unpublished studies in the English language using 14 electronic databases, including Medline, Cochrane library, and Embase from their inception to October 2001(details of search strategy are presented elsewhere and can be obtained from http://www.hta.nhsweb.nhs.uk/fullmono/mon612.pdf)).11 Additional references were identified through searching bibliographies of related publications and through contact with relevant experts and industry. Studies reported as abstracts or conference presentations were excluded. We included randomised control trails (RCTs), prospective controlled clinical trials, economic evaluations and costing studies of the different surgical procedures for morbid obesity when compared with each other or with nonsurgical interventions. Surgical interventions included jejunoileal bypass, biliopancreatic diversion, gastric bypass, gastroplasty and gastric banding that were used for treating patients diagnosed as morbidly obese, defined as a BMI 440 kg/m2, or with a BMI435 kg/m2 with serious comorbid disease, in whom previous nonsurgical interventions had failed. Although jejunoileal bypass and horizontal gastroplasty procedures are rarely performed in the UK and elsewhere, they were included as opinions differ as to their efficacy and whether recent developments may have overcome apparent limitations. Studies were included if they assessed clinical effectiveness using outcome measures of weight change, fat content, fat distribution, quality of life, peri- and postoperative morbidity and mortality, revision rates and obesity–related comorbidities assessed as primary outcomes at baseline and at least 12 months follow-up. The quality of the studies that met the stated inclusion criteria for the systematic review were assessed using standard components for judging internal validity,12,13 and through an adapted method for the external validity of economic evaluations and model bias.11 Inclusion criteria were applied, data were extracted and quality was assessed by one reviewer and checked by a second reviewer, with any differences resolved through consensus. To compare clinical and cost effectiveness across different studies, standard information on study characteristics, International Journal of Obesity Table 1 Benefits from treatment used in the economic evaluation Nonsurgical management Gastric bypass Patients’ body mass index (BMI) following treatment19–31,33,35,36,38,40,42,53 Baseline 45 45 Year 1 45 29 Year 2 45 29 Year 3 45 29 Year 4 45 29 Year 5 45 29 Years 6–20 45 45 Vertical banded Adjustable gastroplasty gastric banding 45 34 35 36 37 38 45 Quality-adjusted life year (QALY)16 Change in QALYs 0.077 QALY 0.077 QALY 0.077 QALY for a one unit, change in BMI Comorbidities F diabetes30,31,53 Baseline prevalence 0.1 Incidence to 8 y 0.023 Incidence after 8 y 0.023 0.025 0.0045 0.023 0.025 0.0045 0.023 45 36 32 31 32 30 45 0.077 QALY 0.025 0.0045 0.023 methods and results was extracted wherever possible for the systematic review (limited data are presented in this article, full details are available elsewhere).11 Clinical and cost effectiveness were assessed through a narrative comparison of different outcomes. Meta-analysis was precluded due to differences in, or insufficient details on, outcomes used, patient characteristics or intervention used. The economic evaluation developed for this study followed NICE guidance on the conduct of such studies, taking the perspective of the NHS and Personal Social Services for costs and benefits.4 Sources of costs were restricted to the published information for 1999/2000,14,15 with resource use based on scenarios developed from the evidence of clinical effectiveness and expert advice. Efficacy was analysed in terms of change in the health-related quality of life gained from a change in BMI for a stereotypical person (baseline weight 135 kg, BMI 45 kg/m2, aged 40 y, life expectancy 20 y) and the impact of comorbidities (restricted to prevalence of diabetes and costs averted from change in medication) derived from studies of clinical effectiveness included in the systematic review. Utility values originate from an economic evaluation of orlistat.16 The evaluation provided a range of utility values categorised by patient age and BMI, based on time–trade-off values. Although other sources were found,7,17 these utility values were thought to be the most comprehensive. Costs and savings were discounted at 6% and quality-adjusted life year (QALYs) at 1.5%. The assumptions underlying the economic evaluation were specific to the UK setting and are summarised in Tables 1 and 2. These were deliberately biased, within the range of the evidence from the literature and expert opinion, against surgical procedures with the intention of assessing the worst-case Surgery for morbid obesity A Clegg et al 1169 Table 2 Resource use and costs of care used in economic evaluation NonSurgical management (3 y cycle)a Years 1 and 2 GP visits Dietician contacts Practice nurse contacts District nurse contacts Nonsurgical management Gastric bypass Vertical banded gastroplasty Adjustable gastric banding 4 2 2 2 F F F F F F F F F F F F F F F Year 3 As years 1 and 2 with 12 week very low calorie diet (two cans of Slimfast per day) a Surgical management Preoperative care per patient Outpatient visits Dietitian consultations Psychologist consultations F F F 7 4 1 7 4 1 7 4 1 Operative care per patient33,35,37,40,42,45–54,61 Laparoscopic surgery Patients undergoing procedure (%) Time in theatre (minutes) Length of stay (days) Patients admitted to ITU care (1 night) (%) Patients admitted to HDU care (1 night) (%) F F F F F 90% 235 6a 7.6% 92.4% 100% 120a 4a 0%a 100%a 92% 150 5 7.6% 92.4% F F F F F 10% 147.5a 7 21.1% 79.9% 0%a 0 0 0% 0% 8% 76 6 21.1% 79.9% F 1%a 0.5% F 15%a 15%a 0.5% 48% (open) 8% (laparoscopic) F F F F F F 6 2 4 4 12 2 6 2 4 4 12 2 6 2 4 4 12 2 F F F 4 4 2 4 4 2 4 4 2 F F F d1550 2 2 1 d1550 2 2 1 d1550 2 2 1 d1550 Open surgery Proportion of patients converted to open procedure Time in theatre (min) Length of stay (days) Patients admitted to ITU care (1 night) (%) Patients admitted to HDU care (1 night) (%) Complications/revisions/additional procedures Mortality rate Proportion with complications and/or Undergoing revisions/additional procedures Post dischargea Year 1 GP visits Practice nurse visits District nurse visits Outpatient visits Community dietitian visits Psychologist consultations Year 2 Outpatient clinics Community dietician contacts Psychology consultation Years 3–20 Outpatient clinics Community dietitian contacts Psychologist consultations Annual health care costs of diabetes62 ITU F intensive treatment unit; HDU F high dependency unit Data has been informed by expert opinion. a scenario. Owing to the limited data available for the different surgical procedures, data on quality of life and some resource use and cost items were assumed not to differ. The model was specified for a hypothetical cohort of 100 patients (90 females and 10 males) over a time horizon of 20 y following surgery. One-way sensitivity analysis examining different International Journal of Obesity Surgery for morbid obesity A Clegg et al 1170 Table 3 Comparison of the methodological quality of studies included in the assessment clinical effectiveness Study Random assignment Proper sampling Sample size Objective outcomes Blind assessment Eligibility criteria Attrition reported Comparable groups Generalizable results NR NR x | NR x | NR NR | | | x NR n/a | | | | | | | Sub x | | | Comparison of different surgical procedures Gastric bypass vs gastroplasty Hall et al (1990)53 | Howard et al (1995)33 NR | Laws et al (1981)46 Lechner et al (1981)34 NR 35,36 MacLean et al (1995) NR | Naslund et al (1988)47–52 Pories et al (1982)41 | Sugerman et al (1987)40 | | NR | NR NR | NR NR | NR NR NR NR NR NR NR | | | | | | | | NR NR NR NR NR NR | NR | | Sub | x | Sub | | | x x | | | | | | Sub | | | | | | | | | | | | | Gastric bypass vs jejunoileostomy Buckwater et al (1980)39,43,44 Griffen et al (1977)32 NR NR NR NR | | NR NR | | x x | | | | | NR | NR Sub x Sub Uncertain Vertical banded gastroplasty vs adjustable gastric banding Nilsell et al (2001)38 | NR NR | x | | | | Open vs laporoscopic gastric bypass Nguyen et al (2001)54 Westling et al (2001)37 | Sub | NR | | x Sub | | | | | x | | Open vs laparoscopic adjustable silicone gastric banding | NR De Wit et al (1999)42 | | NR | | | | Surgery vs nonsurgical interventions Andersen et al (1988)18,19 Danish Obesity Project20–22 Swedish obese subjects23–31 | Sub Vertical banded gastroplasty vs horizontal gastroplasty Andersen et al (1987)45 | | | | ¼ yes; x ¼ no; NR ¼ not reported; sub ¼ substandard or incomplete. scenarios was carried out across a range of variables reflecting the different views of experts (full details of economic evaluation are provided elsewhere and can be obtained from http://www.hta.nhsweb.nhs.uk/fullmono/mon612.pdf).11 Results studies used objective outcome measures, only one study adequately blinded their assessment.41 In total, 14 studies used eligibility criteria to include patients18–34,37–40,42–44,47–54 and 13 studies18,19,32–36,38–44,47–54 had comparable groups at baseline assessment. Attrition was adequately reported in 13 studies18–31,33,35–38,40–42,47–54 and results were thought to be generalisable in 17 studies.18–44,46–54 Systematic review of clinical effectiveness of surgery for morbid obesity We included 17 RCTs and one nonrandomised trial: two RCTs18–22 and one non-randomised clinical trial23–31 comparing surgery with nonsurgical management and 15 RCTs comparing different types of surgery. Characteristics of, and results from, the RCTs, and nonrandomised trial are summarised in Tables 3 and 4. The methodological quality of the included studies varied (see Table 3). Of the 18 studies included to assess clinical effectiveness, seven lacked an adequate description of the method of allocation,18–36 12 failed to discuss or reported inappropriate sampling methods20–44 and 14 did not provide a sample size or power calculation.20–41,43–52 Although all 18 Clinical effectiveness of surgery compared with nonsurgical management The three studies comparing surgery with nonsurgical management assessed different interventions, specifically horizontal gastroplasty and diet compared with VLCD,18,19 jejunoileostomy with medical management20–22 and either vertical banded gastroplasty, gastric banding or gastric bypass with nonsurgical management.23–31 All three of these studies showed statistically significant weight loss following surgery compared with nonsurgical management at 2 y follow-up, losing between 23 and 37 kg more weight (Table 4).18–31 Two studies assessed weight loss beyond 2 y, International Journal of Obesity Surgery for morbid obesity A Clegg et al 1171 Table 4 Summary of the key outcomes of weight change following treatment Study details Measures of weight change Surgery vs nonsurgical interventions Andersen et al,18,19 Design: RCT Intervention: horizontal gastroplasty (GP) and diet (n=27); very low calorie diet (VLCD) (n=30) Patients: Z60% overweight 20–22 Net weight change 12 months VLCD 18 kg; GP 23 kg (P=ns) 18 months VLCD 10.5 kg; GP 18.5 kg (P=ns) 24 months VLCD 9 kg; GP 32 kg (Po0.05) Danish Obesity Project Design: RCT Intervention: Medical management (n=66); Jejunoileostomy (n=130) Patients: Z80% overweight Median weight loss (range) 24 months medical management 5.9 kg (11.9, 40.4); jejunoileostomy 42.9 kg (20.5, 108.5) (Po0.001) Swedish obese subjects23–31 Design: Cohort study with matched controls. Intervention: surgical (vertical banded gastroplasty; gastric banding; gastric bypass); nonsurgical. Patients: BMI X38 kg/m2women, X34 kg/m2 men Weight loss 24 months surgical 28.0 kg; nonsurgical 0.0 kg (Po0.001) 8 y surgical 20.1 kg; nonsurgical 0.7 kg (gain) (Po0.001) Comparison of different surgical procedures Gastric bypass vs gastroplasty Hall et al. (1990)53 Design: RCT Interventions: vertical Gastroplasty (GP) (n=106); Gastrogastrostomy (GG) (n=105); Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB) (n=99). Patients: >160% ideal weight Median body weight (range) Baseline GP 112 kg (88–157); GG 110 kg (78–162); RYGB 115 kg (83–170) 12 months GP 76 kg (50–115);GG 81 kg (56–132); RYGB 73 kg (53–128) 24 months GP 75 kg (49–121); GG 86 kg (58–132); RYGB 71 kg (49–140) 36 months GP 79 kg (44–125); GG 93 kg (60–156); RYGB 76 kg (55–140) Howard et al (1995)33 Design: RCT Interventions: gastric bypass (GB) (n=20); vertical banded gastroplasty (VBG) (n=22) Patients: BMI>40 kgm2 Percent of excess weight loss compared to maximum excess weight 12 months GB 78%, VBG 52%, Po0.05 60 months GB (n=6) 70%, VBG (n=6) 37%, Po0.05 Laws et al (1981)46 Design: RCT Intervention: gastric bypass (GB) (n=27); gastric partitioning (GP) (n=26) Patients: twice ideal weight for height Fraction of initial weight 12 months GB 0.65; GP 0.84 (Po0.001) Lechner et al (1981)34 Design: RCT Intervention: horizontal gastroplasty (GP) (n=50); Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB) (n=50) Patients: X45 kg over metropolitan life insurance desirable weight table Mean weight loss (7s.d.) 12 months RYGB 45.2 kg (711.3); GP 33.5 kg (713.3) (Po0.01) Percent of excess weight loss (7s.d.) 12 months RYGB (n=15) 64.0% (713.9); GP (n=14) 54.1% (718.6) (P=ns) MacLean et al (1995)35,36 Design:RCT Interventions: vertical banded gastroplasty (VBG) (n=54); Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB) (n=52) Patients: not stated Success rate (BMIo35 kg/m2 or >50% excess weight and no reoperation) B36 months VBG 39%;RYGB 58% (P=ns) B78 months VBG 16%; RYGB 34% (P=ns) Naslund et al (1988)47–52 Design: RCT Interventions: gastric bypass (GBY) (n=29); gastroplasty (GPL) (n=28) Patients: Morbidly obese (Broca’s Index 1.50) Mean weight loss (7s.d.) 12 months GB 42.3 kg (710.9); GP 29.9 kg (710.0) (Po0.001) 24 months GB 42.9 kg (713.6); GP 27.6 kg (710.7) (Po0.001) 36 months GB 38.4 kg (713.2); GP 24.7 kg (713.1) (Po0.001) Percent over ideal weight(7s.d.) 12 months GB 32% (719.7); GP 54% (721.3) (Po0.001). 24 months GB 32% (718.1); GP 57% (724.0) (Po0.001). Pories et al (1982)41 Design: RCT Intervention: Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB) (n=42) Gastric partition (GP) (n=45) Patients: at least twice their normal weight Percentage of original weight (standard error): 12 months GP 76.9% (1.36); RYGB 61.8% (1.04) 18 months GP 81.0% (2.64); RYGB 60.0% (2.02) Sugerman et al (1987)40 Design: RCT Intervention:Roux-en-Y Gastric Bypass (RYGB) (n=20); Vertical Banded Weight loss (s.d.) (kg) 12 months RYGB 43.5 kg (711.3); VBG 32.2 kg (710.9) (Po0.001) 24 months RYGB 43.5 kg (715.4); VBG 30.4 kg (712.2) (Po0.001) International Journal of Obesity Surgery for morbid obesity A Clegg et al 1172 Table 4 (Continued) Study details Gastroplasty (VBG) (n=20) Patients: >45 kg above ideal weight Gastric bypass vs jejunoileastomy Buckwater et al (1980)39,43,44 Design: RCT Intervention: jejunoileal bypass (JB) (n=19); gastric bypass (GB) (n=19) Patients: at least twice normal body weight or Z45 kg overweight for 5 y Measures of weight change 36 months RYGB 41.3 kg (712.7); VBG 27.2 kg (714.5) (Po0.01) Percent excess weight lost (standard deviation): 12 months RYGB 68% (717); VBG 43% (718) (Po0.001). 24 months RYGB 66% (729); VBG 39% (724) (Po0.001). 36 months RYGB 62% (718); VBG 37% (719) (Po0.001). Percent (mean) excess weight loss 12 months JB 53%, GB 44% 24 months JB 66%, GB 50% 36 months JB 64%, GB 55% (P not stated). Griffen et al (1977)32 Design: RCT Intervention: jejunoileal bypass (JB) (n=27); gastric bypass (GB) (n=32) Patients: 50 kg over ideal weight Vertical banded gastroplasty vs horizontal gastroplasty Mean (range) weight loss 12 months GB (n=18) 51.0 kg (13.0–100), JB (n=22) 57.9 kg (15.2–116.3) (P=ns). Andersen et al (1987)45 Design: RCT Intervention: vertical banded gastroplasty (VBG) (n=23); Horizontal gastroplasty (GP) (n=22). All pretreated with a very low calorie diet (VLCD) Patients: Morbid obesity, Z40% of initial overweight lost and maintained Vertical banded gastroplasty vs adjustable gastric banding Median (range) preoperative weight loss GP 30.3 kg (10.3–88.6); VBG 34.0 kg (17.4–75.3). Median (range) postoperative weight loss 12 months GP (n=20) –1 kg (gained) (15.0–36.5), VBG (n=21) 9.7 kg (28.2–28.7) Po0.001. Weight reduced compared with preoperative. Weight for VBG (Po0.01) but not GP. Median (range) total weight loss 12 months VLCD+GP 32.6 kg (3.7–125.1), VLCD+VBG 48.5 kg (6.4–104.0), (Po0.02) Nilsell et al (2001)38 Study design: RCT Intervention: adjustable gastric banding (AGB) (n=29) vertical banded gastroplasty (VBG) (n=30) Patients: BMI >40 kg/m2 Open vs laparoscopic gastric bypass Weight (mean (s.e.) Baseline AGB 124 kg (29); VBG 1 y AGB 98 kg (28); VBG 82 kg 2 y AGB 88 kg (23); VBG 85 kg 3 y AGB 85 kg (13); VBG 90 kg 4 y AGB 86 kg (17); VBG 95 kg 5 y AGB 81 kg (16); VBG 88 kg Nguyen et al (2001)54 Design: RCT Intervention: Laparoscopic gastric bypass (n=79); open gastric bypass (n=76) Patients: BMI 40–60 kg/m2 Percentage excess body weight loss (s.d.) 12 months: laparoscopic (n=29) 68% (715); open (n=25) 62% (714) (P=0.07) Westling et al (2001)37 Design: RCT Intervention: laparoscopic gastric bypass (lap) (n=30); Open Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (n=21) Patients: BMI >40 or >35 kg/m2 with significant comorbidity Open vs laparoscopic adjustable silicone gastric banding Mean change in BMI 12 months: laparoscopic 14 kg/m2 (73); open 13 kg/m2 (73) (P=ns). De Wit et al (1999)42 Study design: RCT Intervention: laparoscopic Adjustable silicone gastric banding (ASGB) (n=25); open ASGB (n=25) Patients: BMI >40 kg/m2 Mean weight loss 12 months laparoscopic ASGB 35 kg, open ASGB 34.4 kg (P=ns). Reduction from baseline Po0.05 for laparoscopic ASGB and open ASGB. with one study finding a statistically significant 21 kg weight loss maintained at 8 y following surgery.23–31 Two studies assessed the effects of surgery and nonsurgical management on quality of life and comorbidities.20–31 Quality of life was shown to improve significantly following surgery compared to nonsurgical management on many somatic symptoms, psychological symptoms and social factors at 15 months International Journal of Obesity 123 kg (30); (25); (29); (15); (15); (16); (Po0.05)20–22 and on all Health Related Quality of Life measures at 2 y follow-up.23–31 Surgery had a statistically significant beneficial effect on blood pressure,20–31 hypertension,23–31 and diabetes compared to nonsurgical management at 2 y follow-up.23–31 The effects on diabetes were maintained at 8 y.23–31 Although there were no operative deaths reported, there were complications from surgery Surgery for morbid obesity A Clegg et al 1173 (eg wound infection and subphrenic abscess) and side effects from the surgical procedures (eg vomiting). Some patients required reoperation or reversal of the procedure. Complications differed little between the procedures, although vertical banded gastroplasty patients suffered significantly more occasional vomiting.45 Reoperations, revisions and reversals were not reported. Clinical effectiveness of different surgical procedures Gastric bypass vs gastroplasty. Eight RCTs compared gastric bypass with different types of gastroplasty, three with vertical banded gastroplasty,33,35,36,40 four with horizontal gastroplasty34,41,46–52 and one with vertical gastroplasty and gastrogastrostomy.53 Seven of the eight RCTs showed that gastric bypass led to significantly greater weight loss than from gastroplasty, losing an additional 6–12 kg (Table 4).33,34,40,41,46–53 In four RCTs the differences in weight loss remained significant beyond 1 y follow-up, to 3 y 40,47–53 and 5 y.33 None of the RCTs assessed the effects of surgery on quality of life. Three RCTs assessed the effect of surgery on comorbidities at either 1 or 3 y follow-up,41,47–53 showing improvements in diabetes, hypertension, joint pain and asthma. While none of the RCTs reported perioperative deaths, three RCTs reported five postoperative deaths following gastric bypass34,40,53 and one following horizontal gastroplasty.34 Although complications were common following all forms of surgery, dumping syndrome and heartburn were more evident following gastric bypass than gastroplasty.47–52 Revisions, reoperations and/or conversions were more common following gastroplasty (vertical banded gastroplasty 2–53% of patients, horizontal gastroplasty 1–19% of patients) than following gastric bypass (0–39% of patients).34–36,40,41,47–53 Vertical banded gastroplasty vs adjustable gastric banding. One RCT compared vertical banded gastroplasty with adjustable gastric banding.38 At 5 y, weight-loss following adjustable gastric banding exceeded that following vertical banded gastroplasty (8 kg difference), although it was not statistically significant (Table 4). Quality of life and comorbidities were not assessed. One postoperative death was reported following vertical banded gastroplasty and adjustable gastric banding. There was little difference in complications between the procedures. A third of vertical banded gastroplasty patients were reoperated due to staple line disruption or strictures of the stoma, while 10% of adjustable gastric banding patients were reoperated due to gastric pouch dilation. Gastric bypass vs jejunoileal bypass. Two RCTs compared gastric bypass with jejunoileal bypass.32,39,43,44 Although the two RCTs showed slightly greater weight loss (9% or 7 kg more weight loss) following jejunoileal bypass than gastric bypass at 1-y follow-up, differences were not statistically significant (Table 4). One RCT found that differences continued at 3 y.39,43,44 Quality of life and comorbidities were not assessed by either RCT. Two RCTs reported two postoperative deaths following gastric bypass and one following jejunoileal bypass. Serious complications associated with liver disease affected 80% of the patients undergoing a jejunoileal bypass.32 Other complications, including wound and urinary tract infection, were evident among gastric bypass and jejunoileal bypass patients.32,39,43,44 Reoperation, revision or reversal was required by 16% of gastric bypass and 32% of jejunoileal bypass patients.32,39,43,44 Vertical banded gastroplasty vs horizontal gastroplasty. The one RCT comparing vertical banded gastroplasty with horizontal gastroplasty after pretreatment with VLCD found statistically significant weight loss at 1 y following vertical banded gastroplasty (9.7 kg) but weight gain after horizontal gastroplasty (1 kg) (Table 4).45 Quality of life and comorbidities were not assessed. No deaths were reported. Open vs laparoscopic gastric bypass. Two RCTs compared open with laparoscopic gastric bypass. Although the two RCTs showed weight loss following gastric bypass (approximately 30% loss of excess weight), neither RCT found a statistically significant difference in weight loss between the procedures (Table 4).37,54 Early differences in quality of life were assessed using the Short Form Health Survey (SF-36) at 1 month and the Moorehead-Ardelt questionnaire at 3 months that favoured laparoscopic gastric bypass, disappeared at later follow-up (3 and 6 months respectively).54 One postoperative death was reported following laparoscopic gastric bypass surgery.37 There were limited differences between the procedures when comparing major, minor and late complications. Reoperations were more common following laparoscopic than open procedures. Although laparoscopic procedures had longer operative times, they caused significantly less blood loss, required shorter intensive care unit stay, shorter hospital stay and shorter time to return to activities of daily living and work.37,54 Open vs laparoscopic adjustable silicone gastric banding. One RCT42 compared open and laparoscopic adjustable silicone gastric banding. Although both procedures resulted in statistically significant weight loss at 1-y follow-up (approximately 35 kg), there were no statistically significant differences between the procedures (Table 4). Neither quality of life nor comorbidities were assessed. Surgical and early postoperative complications showed limited difference between the procedures. Readmissions and overall length of stay were significantly higher among those undergoing open compared to laparoscopic procedures. A small proportion of laparoscopic patients converted to open procedures. Systematic review of cost effectiveness of surgery for morbid obesity. Searching found four economic evaluations, three comparing different types of surgery with nonsurgical International Journal of Obesity Surgery for morbid obesity A Clegg et al 1174 Table 5 Characteristics of included economic studies Author Martin et al (1995)56 Van Gemert et al (1999)17 Base year prices Intervention Unclear Unclear Surgical: Roux-en-Y gastric bypass. Treatment: vertical banded gastroplasty Chua et al (1995)57 Medical: very low calorie diet F No treatment: no treatment consumption for at least 12 weeks given plus weekly behavioural modification meetings for at least 4 months. Study type Cost effectiveness Cost effectiveness and cost-ofillness Patient group Obese Morbidly obese (BMI>40 kg/m2) Perspective Unclear Unclear Industry role Unclear Unclear Country of origin US The Netherlands Results Cost per pound lost: surgery Vertical banded gastroplasty cost US$250 to US$750; medical effective compared to no therapy US$100 to US$1600 treatment, saving US$4004 to (2 to 6 years) US$3928/quality adjusted life year (over lifetime of patient) Sensitivity analysis None Limited to cost-of-illness management and one comparing different types of surgery.17,55–57 The characteristics of, and results from, the economic evaluations are summarised in Table 5. Judgement of the methodological quality of these economic evaluations was based on standard criteria for internal validity that assess the approaches used to minimise four sources of bias,12 specifically framing of the model (ie well-defined question, description of alternatives, study type and clinical effectiveness of technology), model construction (ie identification, measuring and credibility of costs and consequences), reliability of estimates used (ie discounting applied, incremental analysis and modelling undertaken appropriately) and the way sensitivity analysis was performed (full details provided elsewhere).11 Using these criteria, and with limited access to models, one study appeared to be the most robust, only lacking adequate discussion of model construction.17 The other studies had some inadequacies in model construction, reliability of estimates and sensitivity analysis.55–57 Issues concerning external validity were less clear, with all four studies set in different health care systems. As such comparisons between the results of economic evaluations should be made with caution, due in part to the different perspectives adopted and, consequently, the different component costs and benefits included. Cost effectiveness of surgery in the UK With no relevant cost effectiveness studies available, an economic evaluation was undertaken to consider cost International Journal of Obesity Sjostrom et al (1995)55 Unclear Unclear Laparoscopy: Laparoscopic vertical Surgery: Banding or vertical banded gastroplasty banded gastroplasty, or gastric bypass Conventional: not clearly Open: open vertical banded gastroplasty and Open Roux-en-Y described. gastric bypass Cost effectiveness Cost effectiveness Morbidly obese Unclear Unclear US Laparoscopic vertical banded gastroplasty compared to open gastric bypass had lower costs (US$ 12 800 compared to US$16 700 1993/1994 prices) shorter hospital stay but longer operating time None Obese Society Unclear Sweden Direct cost of surgery 16.5 million SEK/100 surgical patients/10 years F patients lost 30–40 kg over 2 y and Health-related quality of life improved. None effectiveness in the UK (Tables 1, 2 and Table 6). It focused on the three types of surgery that appeared most clinically effective, specifically gastric bypass (Roux-en-Y), vertical banded gastroplasty and adjustable gastric banding, and nonsurgical management. Horizontal gastroplasty and jejunoileostomy were excluded as they are rarely carried out in the UK and jejunoileostomy is widely regarded as unsafe.58,59 Comparison of surgery with nonsurgical management showed that surgery offered additional QALYs at an additional cost, with gastric bypass (d6289/QALY), silicone adjustable gastric banding (d8527/QALY) and vertical banded gastroplasty (d10 237/QALY) having net cost per QALY below d11 000. When comparing different surgical procedures the difference was less clear. Gastric bypass appeared to have a modest net cost per QALY gained compared to vertical banded gastroplasty (d742/QALY). In contrast, adjustable silicone gastric banding had large net cost per QALY gained compared to gastric bypass (d256 856/ QALY). However, these incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were based on small differences in clinical effectiveness and should be interpreted with extreme caution. Longer-term follow-up studies are required before a definitive judgement can be made about the most clinically and cost effective surgical technique. Several different scenarios were examined in the one-way sensitivity analyses for gastric bypass surgery compared to nonsurgical management. Increased length of hospital stay to 14 days (d10 323/QALY) increased costs of pre- and postoperative care to include additional surgical outpatient and dietitian follow-up and a VLCD Surgery for morbid obesity A Clegg et al 1175 Table 6 Net cost per quality adjusted life year (QALY) gained for each intervention Comparison Vertical banded gastroplasty vs nonsurgical management Silicone adjustable gastric banding vs nonsurgical management Silicone adjustable gastric banding vs vertical banded gastroplasty Gastric bypass vs nonsurgical management Gastric bypass vs vertical banded gastroplasty Silicone adjustable gastric banding vs gastric bypass (d7255/QALY), increased weight loss from nonsurgical management from no weight loss to a loss of 3 on BMI (d8931/QALY), decreased weight loss from surgery by 50% (d16 819/QALY), increased costs for developing the service through poorer performance and higher training costs (d20 768/QALY), decreased costs of treating comorbidities by halving cost of diabetic care (d8715/QALY) and decreased utility gains to one-third (d18 867/QALY) resulted in cost per QALYs below d21 000. Caution should be taken when comparing surgical procedures as the economic evaluation was based on several assumptions. Comment Reasonably good-quality evidence comparing the clinical effectiveness of surgery and nonsurgical management showed that surgery resulted in significantly greater longterm weight loss (23 to 37 kg more weight lost at 2 y with 21 kg difference maintained to 8 y) and improvements in quality of life and comorbidities. Evidence of clinical effectiveness of different surgical procedures was of varying methodological quality. Comparison of the different types of surgery showed that gastric bypass appeared more beneficial, with greater weight loss (6 to 14 kg more weight) and/or improvements in comorbidities and complications than either gastroplasty or jejunoileal bypass. Assessment of open and laparoscopic procedures showed laparoscopic procedures had longer operative time, fewer serious complications, reduced intensive care unit and hospital stay and earlier return to activities of daily living and work. The economic evaluation showed that surgery appears cost effective compared to nonsurgical management assuming a threshold of d30 000, offering additional QALYs at an additional cost under d11 000/QALY. Comparison of the different surgical procedures was less certain. One way sensitivity analyses suggested that surgery compared to nonsurgical management remained cost effective under a range of assumptions. Consistent methods for undertaking systematic reviews were applied,60 with support from an expert advisory group of clinicians, health professionals and academics. Potential limitations were exclusion of nontrial evidence affecting newer surgical procedures with a limited evidence base, lack Additional QALYs Additional cost Net cost per QALY gained 26 45 19 45 19 0.4 d266 275 d383 102 d116 826 d280 020 d13 745 d103 082 d10 237 d8527 d6176 d6289 d742 d256 856 of follow-up with authors to clarify study details, and limited information available for the economic evaluation. Possible inadequacies in primary studies may undermine the evidence. Frequently, initial weight loss has been modified by subsequent weight regain. To adequately assess efficacy, studies should have a long-term follow-up, yet only four of 18 studies reported outcomes at 5 y and beyond. Limited attention was given to quality of life with only three of 18 studies including some form of assessment. No account was taken of the role of patient preference for different treatment options, which would affect the implementation of a service. Most studies focused on morbidly obese women aged 30–50 y old. Greater benefits may accrue among younger adults, particularly men. Methodological quality of the studies appeared poor through noncompliance with, or poor reporting of, key aspects of their methods, providing the potential for bias. As a consequence further research should examine the epidemiology of morbid obesity, as well as undertake good quality controlled trials of the different procedures with follow-up beyond 5 y, include quality of life outcomes, and prospective economic evaluations. Conclusions Surgery appears to be a clinically and cost-effective treatment for people who are morbidly obese (BMI 440 kg/m2) or have a BMI 435 kg/m2 with significant comorbid conditions. Due to the nature of the evidence, particularly the uncertainty in the economic evaluation, it is difficult to distinguish between the different procedures. With evidence continuing to emerge, we recommend that our findings are periodically reviewed and revised. Contributors All authors contributed to the design of the protocol, execution of the review and content of the paper. AC coordinated the project and developed the research protocol. PR undertook the searching. JC, AC, MS and AW applied the inclusion criteria and extracted data with PR. All authors were involved with drafting the paper, AC, JC and AW providing critical review and revisions. AC and AW are guarantors for the paper. International Journal of Obesity Surgery for morbid obesity A Clegg et al 1176 Acknowledgements We thank the advisory group for advice and peer review of the research protocol and/or a draft of the original report for NICE, including Professor JN Baxter, Professor of Surgery, University of Wales; Sir Alfred Cuschieri, Professor of Surgery, University of Dundee; Professor Philip James, Chairman, International Obesity Task Force; Professor Roland Jung, Chief Scientist to Scottish Executive, Dundee; Dr AM Mir, Consultant Physician and Senior Lecturer, University of Wales College of Medicine, Cardiff; Mr JDB Miller, Consultant Surgeon, Dr Gray’s Hospital, Elgin; Dr Ian Campbell, NOF Chairman, Nottingham; Dr JPH Wilding, Reader in Medicine, University Hospital Aintree, Liverpool; Mr Peter Sedman, Consultant Surgeon, Hull Royal Infirmary; Ms Mary O’Kane, Chief Dietitian, The General Infirmary, Leeds; Professor Bruce Campbell, Consultant General Surgeon, Royal Devon & Exeter Hospital, Exeter. 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