Southeast Asia Treaty Organization Lora You Chair Alan Lai Chair GSMUN XX Delegates, GSMUN XX Our World, Our Future Robin Schwartzkopf Secretary-General Harish Tekriwal Director-General Isha Gangal Undersecretary-General for External Communications Jessica Kong Charge d’Affaires Parth Kotak Undersecretary-General for Logistics Avery Gagne Undersecretary-General for Crisis Simulations Annie Zhang Director of Specialized Agencies Dharaa Rathi Director of General Assemblies Kiersen Mather Director of Press and Publications Ketty Bai Director of Charitable Giving We warmly welcome you to GSMUN XX’s Southeast Asian Treaty Organization, co-chaired by Alan Lai and Lora You. As representatives of nations within SEATO, you all have a responsibility to address the pressing issues that plague Southeast Asia. With problems growing bigger each day, the cooperation of nations is imperative in order to find a common solution to the rampant drug trade that runs throughout the region, and the widely known South China Sea Dispute. It is the job of SEATO to cleanse corruption and restore order throughout the region. How this is done is left in your hands, as delegates. Though, before doing so, an introduction to your dais is necessary! Alan Lai, a sophomore, is pleased to be a co-chair of this committee. This is his second year of Maggie Walker’s Model UN club and his first year of chairing for GSMUN. He participates in many other school clubs, such as Model Congress and debate. Alan is a fan of sports, and enjoys playing basketball, swimming, and running track. He runs with fall track club, and partakes in spring track and field. In the winter, he plays basketball for the MLWGS JV team. Outside of school, he plays piano and lazes about watching an unhealthy amount of Netflix. He volunteers with the Science Museum along with the Henrico Doctor’s Hospital in the Forrest Campus. Approaching her final year of high school, Lora You is ecstatic to wrap up her four-year experience in Maggie Walker’s Model UN club as your co-chair at GSMUN. She has been a part of the Model UN club for four years, and was a chair at GSMUN last year. Cooking and eating are two of her favorite hobbies, and she also enjoys watching TV and spending time with friends and family. She likes volunteering at various elementary schools tutoring students or teaching them the piano. Now that you’ve been introduced to your co-chairs, here are some tips and tricks to excel at this committee meeting. It is expected of delegates to be knowledgeable of the topic at hand, and to have research already done before attending the meeting. The briefings that your chairs have written gives an introductory overview of the topics, but should not be your only source of information when writing a position paper. Delve deeper into the subjects and learn more individually in order to be as prepared as possible. When writing a position paper, please refer to the Chicago Manual of Style for formatting, and remember to always cite your sources! Plagiarism is unacceptable and not tolerated within our community. Remember that quality is superior to quantity. Ideas that stimulate debate and provoke thought are looked favorably upon. With this in mind, we wish you luck on writing your papers and hope that you find success with your research! If there are any questions, comments, or concerns, contact us at [email protected]. Best Wishes, Andrew McCullough Director of Technology Mr. Max Smith MUN Club Sponsor Lora You [email protected] Alan Lai [email protected] Committee Overview Signed in 1954, the Manila Pact established the international organization known as the Southeast Asian Treaty Organization (SEATO) in order to provide for a collective defense against the spread of communist powers in Southeast Asia. For SEATO, this power was communist China. The nations involved were: U.S., France, New Zealand, Australia, Philippines, Thailand, Pakistan, and Bangladesh. While these were the main nations, other nations, such as Vietnam, Laos, and Cambodia were granted observer status, which meant that they were protected nations of SEATO. Headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand, SEATO has few real functions. Although it did not have an official military force of its own, it hosted joint military exercises for the member-states each year. Since the spread of communism became less about conquest and more about internal corruption, SEATO focused primarily on strengthening the economic and cultural foundations of its members. It hosted a plethora of meetings and exhibitions on cultural, religious, and historical topics in order to teach member nations more about the subjects. This was considered to be SEATO’s greatest success, as from this, many facilities were established in its nations that were specialized in training the future of the nations. In 1959, the organization even established a cholera research laboratory in Bangkok, and another in Bangladesh. The one in Bangladesh would later go on to be the world’s leading cholera research facility. From engineering schools to military camps, SEATO established a solid base for nations to use as a stepping stone for the future. The organization was intended to be a Southeast Asian form of NATO, but ultimately was considered to be a failure due to long-standing internal conflicts that rendered the SEATO useless. Nations reaped the benefits of the joint cooperation between nations, but did little to contribute towards the growth of the organization. This lead to the withdrawal of many nations, and eventually the dissolvement of SEATO on June 30, 1977. However, the programs, initiatives, treaties, pacts, established by the organization still remain in effect as of today. Many, if not all nations, still consider the mutual defense aspects of the organization to still be in effect, even after its official disbanding in 1977. For this reason, SEATO is still somewhat alive. Since many still uphold certain agreements made during its existence, more initiatives can be made out of the initial agreements in order to protect all nations involved. Although the fight against communism was the primary reason for the establishment of SEATO, its new duty is to ensure the safety of its nations in times of need. With conflicts such as the global drug trade and South China Sea occurring, it is left to SEATO to determine where the pieces will go on the board. Drug Trade in Asia Background In Southeast Asia, the “Golden Triangle,” a lawless region overlapping the countries Myanmar, Laos, and Thailand, is one of the world’s biggest opium-producing regions. Most of the world’s illicit opium was originated in the Golden Triangle in the early 1950’s to mid-1990’s. These countries were the main producers of heroin and opium before the Golden Crescent, located in Middle-east Asia, including Afghanistan, in the twenty-first century. Opium bans were enforced in Myanmar in the mid 1990’s, not by the central government, but by armed ethnic-based armies. In 1994, after a ceasefire agreement, the Kachin Independence Organization in Myanmar pledged for the ban of opium production. The United Wa State Army (UWSA) and the Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army (MNDAA) soon followed suit, in 1995 and 1997 respectively. The more influential bans in particular that helped reduce the overall opium production were in 2003 and 2006, from the regions of Kokang and Wa, which are both located in the Shan state of Myanmar, where 90% of Myanmar’s opium was produced in the early 20th century. However much the bans were successful, they left a counterproductive impact in many of the regions, as many farmers lost their main and usually only source of income, leaving them impoverished without any compensation from the government. Throughout the 1950’s and 1960’s, America played an active role in the opium business in Southeast Asia. To fight against communism, the CIA allegedly funded a Chinese rebel group against the communists of Mao Zedong. This, in turn, pushed the local farmers to increase their production of opium, and leads to the large-scale trade today. In 1962, Myanmar first enforced prohibitionist laws against opium. The three countries of the Golden Triangle, China, and the United Nations International Drug Control Program signed a Memorandum of Understanding Drug Control and met again in 2000 to discuss solutions to drug production, abuse, and trafficking. ASEAN launched a commitment to make the Southeast Asian countries drug free by 2015. Much of the illegal opium production in the Southeast Asia receded in the early 21st century, after many decades of expansion. In 2006, there was an estimated total of 60,000 acres of cultivation, a significantly lower number from the estimated 390,000 acres in 1998. Thailand almost completely eradicated its cultivation, with just 388 acres in 2006. However, opium, methamphetamines, and heroin are back in the markets, both in regional and global levels. One of the factors for this increase in the markets is due to small-scale agricultural investors from the province of Yunnan, who fund projects that build highways for faster global distribution of illicit produce. Other factors include more favorable weather and climate, rising demand and opium prices, and internal conflicts in Myanmar. Current Status Since 2006, the opium production has nearly tripled in the Golden Triangle. It remains a crucial part of the economy and a major subsistence for farmers in many rural parts of Myanmar and Laos. Although opium production has not resumed in the Kokang and Wa regions, Myanmar alone produces 90% of the world’s opium today, in the southern parts of the Shan state. An estimate of 762 tons of opium and 76 tons of heroin were produced in the Shan state of Myanmar in 2013. Since 2014, the trade is estimated to be more than 16.3 billion. With the high production rates, criminality, corruption, and addiction rise as continuing problems in the society. Although Myanmar has joined many other Southeast Asian countries in adopting strict prohibitionist laws against drug trafficking, the efforts remain minimal due to corruption and lack of willingness and commitment from the government, especially due to the government being complicit in this operation. Moreover, its resurgent conflicts boost the regional production rebound from the early 2000’s. Additionally, the mountains and hills that overlap the regions and the lack of transport infrastructure make them hard for the government and anti-drug agencies to patrol. There do exist resistant groups against the drug production and trade in the Golden Triangle, the largest organized group being a Christian vigilante group called Pat Jasan, which has roughly 100,000 members and is known to create extreme confrontations against drug addicts and farmers. However, because this group does not receive funds from foreign nations, they are rather powerless in successfully halting the trade and production. Analysis Eradication has been one approach of counter-narcotic efforts, by destroying the crops with force before harvest. However, complete eradication of drug production and trafficking would leave millions of farmers with a loss in their entire crop, investment, revenue, and no viable alternatives, as many of them live in poverty in rural regions. In turn, this leaves a place for increase in crime as it threatens precarious livelihoods and farmers resort to looking for more remote areas to continue production. Long term solutions should address and eliminate the problem of poverty that is driving many of the opium growers in the Southeast Asian countries. Additionally, there needs to be improvement in coordination between intelligence agencies as well as increased funding from foreign countries to boost antidrug campaigns. Many attempts in the past were focused on supply reduction in the Golden Triangle; however, the demand reduction should be lowered in order for supply reduction to happen. In order to attract investment in these rural areas in these countries, expenditure on agricultural programs and the infrastructure should increase. Investment in alternative cash crops, such as coffee or rubber, may help curb the production of opium and methamphetamine. However, these lucrative crops take a considerably longer time to harvest, about 3-7 years. Additionally, the lack of infrastructure and high transportation costs create problems and less incentives discourage farmers from other crops. Specifically in Myanmar, advances in the peace process to end the ongoing civil war will subdue the high crop production. Opium production should be approached with a socio-economic perspective; it should be viewed as a consequence or a coping mechanism from poverty and low availability of assets, rather than the approach that it is the cause for future problems. As illegal drug production dominate the countries’ economies and markets, proper social and economic solutions must be found in order for counternarcotics to be effective in the near future. Questions to Consider 1. What are the major drug-related problems in different regions of SE Asia? 2. What are some of the short-term solutions to the increased amounts of kidnappings and extortion cases? 3. How should Southeast Asian countries address and reduce food insecurity that’s largely driving illegal drug production? 4. How should Myanmar and other SE Asian countries work with one another and other countries and international organizations to decrease drug-related activities? 5. Should the military and/or government have a prominent role in the fight against drug trafficking, especially when there is corruption in some countries? 6. Will legalizing drugs improve the situation at hand? Should they be legalized? South China Sea Dispute Background Located in the midst of China, Vietnam, Taiwan, Philippines, and Malaysia, the South China Sea is home to a plethora of businesses from all countries. The sea hosts $5.3 trillion of trade and produces around 11 million barrels of oil annually. However, the annual production rate is rather miniscule in comparison to the total amount within the sea; the U.S. Geographical Survey has determined that there may still be 5 to 22 billion barrels of oil left, and 70 to 290 trillion cubic feet of gas, enough to last countries for centuries. According to the UN Food and Agriculture Organization, Asia was responsible for all of the 134.6 million metric tons of fish caught in 2013, with China being the source of 32% of this. This fishing industry provides approximately 3% of China’s GDP, generating up to $279 billion per year. Since the sea is a resource amidst so many countries, it was distributed evenly amongst the countries, allowing each country to lay claim to their respective parts of the sea in order to establish industries. By the decree of the United Nations Convention on Law of the Sea, a country is given an exclusive economic zone (EEZ) in which they are granted unconditional use to all area 200 nautical miles away from their shores. This allows all countries to individually use the South China Sea’s abundance of supplies, such as fish and oil, and govern trade that occurs within these boundaries. These resources make the sea a coveted source of economic stability for any country who utilizes its resources. Although the sea was equitably distributed amongst the countries, border conflicts still occur, raising tensions amongst involved nations and creating undesired animosity. In 1947, shortly after the end of World War II, the “Map of South China Sea Islands” was produced by the Republic of China. It clearly illustrates an eleven-dashed line that marks the ‘official’ borders of China in the South China Sea. This eleven-dashed line encompassed the majority of the South China Sea, but was later reduced to the current nine-dashed line in 1949, when the Chinese Communist Party renovated the map to give the Gulf of Tonkin to communist Vietnam. However, the nine-dashed line still stretches and covers hundreds of miles south and east of China. Through the next few decades, no controversy surrounded the map, as it was rarely spoken of. However, in 2009, using the CCP’s 1949 version of the map as a basis, China made a claim that they owned all lands within the nine-dash line. As a result, China declared themselves as sole sovereigns of the South China Sea and the adjacent waters/EEZs that are issued with the islands in the sea. This stirred much unrest amongst neighboring nations and controversy about the validity of the map. Asides from the clear conflict between the UNCLOS issued EEZs and China’s nine-dashed line, a major problem that the countries have is the sudden claim with that infringes upon their sovereignty. Within the current dashed line lies heavily disputed territories, such as the Paracel Islands, Spratly Islands, and the Scarborough Shoal. All three of these archipelagos are heavily sought after due to their strategic location, as well as the potential economic benefit from the large deposits of oil and fish nearby. Similarly, the UNCLOS also issued EEZs to the islands, so whichever nation owns one of the archipelagos also gets a large portion of the sea along with it. Taking any of these locations from their current owner will put a large dent in a nation’s economy. While disputes have arisen pertaining to all three of these archipelagos, the most prominent is the one between the Spratly Islands. The Spratly Islands are positioned in the center of the South China Sea, making it the most valued archipelago. It also makes it the most contentious issue within this dispute. Trillions of dollars in trade flow through the islands, with 50% of all merchants travelling past the islands. However, the Spratly Islands are located within the Philippines EEZ, so sovereignty falls within their hands as the rightful rulers of this area. Any conflict over these islands would have tremendous repercussions throughout the world. If actions are actually taken by the nations, the world economy will be heavily affected. Worldwide stock markets and consumer prices would experience radical change. The best outcome to this situation would be no conflict, but this is seemingly unavoidable. China, along with the other nations, have interest in this archipelago due to its location. Vietnam has provided documents to show that it has actively ruled over both the Paracels and the Spratlys, and heavily refutes China’s claim of sovereignty over these islands. Whichever nation asserts control over the Spratlys Island essentially takes control of the entire South China Sea. Since so much maritime trade occurs, the ruling nation would be allowed to regulate trade of all products that pass by the islands. The islands are also a prime position to increase efforts for gas/oil exploration. This agitation spread to more than just the Spratly Islands. In 2011, China reaffirmed its claim of the nine-dashed line and ended up annexing the Scarborough Shoal from the Philippines. Located as well within Philippines EEZ, the Scarborough Shoal, like the Spratly Islands, is a heavily contested area. This created a standoff between the Chinese and the Filipino military. In the end, the U.S. was forced to intervene and negotiate a truce between the two. Both agreed to pull back, but China went against their word and kept their troops in the Shoal, establishing control over it. This prompted the Philippines to file a case in 2013 with the United Nations’ Permanent Court of Arbitration. The case was against China’s claims of the South China Sea, specifically whether or not certain islands are entitled to EEZs issued by UNCLOS or not. Current Status Currently, the involved nations are China, Vietnam, Philippines, Taiwan, Malaysia, Indonesia, and Brunei. The source of the dispute is still the conflict between China’s sweeping claim of ownership, and the EEZs of all the other nations. Fortunately, no brawls have occurred between the countries, but each has taken its own initiative to protect their land. Countries have militarized, with the Spratly Islands being the most contested still. China has made efforts in land reclamation by creating new artificial islands nearby by pumping sand onto the coral reefs and paving over it with concrete. China is attempting to pass these artificial islands off as real land, in order to receive EEZs from UNCLOS, which would only expand their rule over the South China Sea. Similarly, China has built three new airstrips on top of the artificial islands near the Spratlys. However, under UNCLOS, these artificial islands do not have any maritime rights, along with submerged reefs. In order to mitigate territorial disputes, the U.S. has involved themselves as a middleman to be a deterrent for any serious military action. They have given their support to the Philippines, as they are the most affected by China’s militarization of the islands. However, when the U.S. exercised their right to freedom of navigation by sending a navy ship near the Spratly Islands, they discovered that China was attempting to create a new civilization on top of the artificial islands. As a response, China mobilized jets and three navy warships to force the U.S. out of their territory. The conditions are rather tense right now, with China, Vietnam, Philippines, Taiwan, and Malaysia building airstrips capable of holding cargo, surveillance and fighter jets. The case submitted by the Philippines in 2013 received an official response from the international tribunal. The tribunal declared that the nine-dashed line could not be used by Beijing to make their historic claims on the South China Sea. It was deemed to have “no legal basis” for maritime claims by the Permanent Court of Arbitration in the Hague. To say the least, Beijing was not thrilled to hear of this. By the decree of the international law, this decision completely illegitimized all of China’s advances in the South China Sea and ruined their ambitions. Shortly after, on the same day of the decision, the Philippines experienced a series of crippling distributed denial of service attacks (DDoS) that took down 68 government websites. The source of the attacks is unknown, but the Filipinos strongly believe that Chinese hackers were behind this plot. Aggravated by the decision, many Chinese believe that the international court is disrespecting history. In response to this, China’s naval chief, Wu Shengli, told the U.S. chief of naval operations that Beijing would not halt its effort to replace the contested South China Sea coral reefs with artificial islands. It was said that China “will never give up halfway” on its efforts to build the islands. Shortly after, the Chinese sent ‘normal battle patrols’ of bombers across the Scarborough Shoal. Many worry that China is doing this in order to clear way to build on the shoal. If they militarized this island, it would not bode well for the future, as the shoal was originally part of the Philippines’ EEZ. This means that a militarized island, right next to the Philippines, would be ready to respond in case the situations turns dire. Essentially, China has ignored the court decision and continued on with their operations, regardless of the international decision that voided their basis for the claim. Analysis Many thought that taking the dispute to the International Court of Justice for an overview and a ruling on the situation would have ended the dispute. However, after the international ruling on July 12th, 2016, the contrary happened; China did not stop, instead, they completely ignored the decision and forged onwards. While it is only a ruling from the court, it is backed by international law. This also goes against their signatures of the UNCLOS agreement in 1982; they have not respected any of the EEZs granted to their neighboring countries. Tensions have risen so high that all countries are on the brink of war. The militarization of all countries has the entire world waiting for the next move. Resounding repercussions will follow if a war does break out. With China intruding on all countries’ EEZ, many have to adapt. China has sent in many fishing trawlers into other countries’ territory, only to have them extricated using their navy and coast guard. Indonesia has made changes to prevent the Chinese from intruding on their EEZ. They have developed new nanosatellite technology to detect boats fishing within certain areas. Vietnam has even moved mobile rocket launchers onto their islands that are capable of destroying China’s runways and military installations on the Spratlys. They have yet to be armed, but are the most updated forms of rocket launchers that Vietnam can produce. This is also the most defensive move that Vietnam has made during this dispute. This uncertainty of what will happen next has everyone on the defensive. China has deployed anti-ship missiles on Woody Island, and has repeatedly denied access to Americans asking to enter. This goes against the UNCLOS right to free navigation, and signifies that China has a response to any potential attacks. While no military brawls have occurred, the chance that one might occur is continuously increasing. If one does occur, many will have to pick sides in order to end the conflict as fast as possible. The goal is to end this conflict as peacefully as possible. Since using international court ruling did not work, perhaps a development of a new law code by the Association of Southeastern Asian Nations (ASEAN) will smooth things out. Whatever the case, a war must be avoided at all costs to ensure safety of world economy. Questions to Consider 1. How can tensions be reduced to avoid potential clashes between the countries’ militaries? 2. What can the countries do in order to reach a peaceful resolution? 3. How can the already established EEZs of each country be reinforced/respected? 4. Should China’s efforts to create artificial islands be stopped? How could this be handled? 5. Should countries continue to exercise their right to utilize their EEZs, regardless of China’s actions? Bibliography Beech, Hannah. “Just Where Exactly Did China Get the South China Sea NineDash Line From?” Time. Last modified July 19, 2016. Accessed August 27, 2016. http://time.com/4412191/nine-dashline-9-south-china-sea/. Mollman, Steve. “The Line on a 70-year-old Map that Threatens to Set Off a War in East Asia.” Quartz. Last modified July 7, 2016. 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