A Review of the Interim Economic Partnership Agreement between Ghana and the European Union 1.0 Introduction The history of Ghana following independence has been characterized by weak political stability and unrealized economic development aspirations. From the economic perspective, the level of sustained growth needed to transform the economy and improve the standard of living for majority of its citizens has not yet been achieved. A review of the factors underpinning the poor performance of the economy suggests that the needed growth to support economic development could be achieved if Ghana develops a strong and vibrant export sector that is efficient and also diversified. Identifying and addressing supply side constraints that impede the development and expansion of the export sector would be a key to achieving this goal. The main challenge is dealing with the lack of competitiveness of Ghanaian industries and moving away from an export sector based largely on cocoa beans. Historically Europe has been Ghana’s largest trading partner. The volume of Ghana’s exports to Europe has increased steadily over the years, although the share has steadily declined since independence. This trend is also characteristic of all the African, Caribbean and Pacific (ACP) countries, despite the preferential access to the European Union (EU) market they enjoy through the various accords and agreements. The preferential access to the EU market by the ACP countries is envisaged as a means for accelerating development through export stimulation in the newly emerging countries aligned to the European countries. In this regard, the steady decline in the share of the EU market in the total exports of ACP countries calls for urgent steps to be taken to counter the constraining factors to trade in these countries. Among the factors constraining the expansion of the share of EU trade by the ACP countries is the need for the export portfolio of these countries to be diversified to include a wider range of products. In recent years, Ghana has demonstrated a competitive advantage in tropical agricultural products. Expanding the production base of these products as well as seeking the avenues of promoting value addition through processing could provide the scope of increasing Ghana’s share in EU trade. Expanding the food processing industry should be an important component of the industrial policy. 1 If properly harnessed, the Economic Partnership Agreements (EPA) between the EU and the ACP countries could serve as a platform for achieving accelerated export growth and sustained economic growth. This paper focuses on the many potential positive benefits that the EPA could bring to Ghana. Section two through three provides a background to the ACP/EU relation, focusing on the non-compatibility of the Cotonou Agreement between the EU and the ACP with the World Trade Organization (WTO) and the heterogeneity of interests among African countries. We deal with Ghana and the EPA in section four and conclude in section five by highlighting issues and concerns that need to be addressed by the authorities. 2.0 Background to the ACP/EU Relation In December 2007, Ghana and the EU initialed an Interim Economic Partnership Agreement (IEPA) in Accra, which provides a framework for trade in goods only between the two parties. The IEPA was necessitated by the looming deadline for the previous agreement that governed trade and aid relations between the ACP countries and the EU. The previous agreement, known as the Cotonou Agreement, had been in existence since 2000. The Cotonou Agreement was preceded by four Lome Accords. These agreements set the terms for trade between the EU and ACP from the post-colonial period of the late 1950s up to 2007. A special feature of these agreements was their being underpinned by the so-called ‘special relationship’ between the EU and the ACP Countries, which among other things, sought to grant ACP Countries preferential access to the EU market. The origins of the relationship between the EU and the ACP States go back to post-World War II period, when the European countries saw integration as one of the measures to reduce the probability of another large-scale war in Europe. The Treaty of Rome constituted the European Regional Body, with the original six signatories being Germany, Belgium, France, Italy, Luxemburg and Holland. At the time of signing the Treaty of Rome, an avenue was created for the cooperation with another group of countries – mainly ex-colonies of signatory countries of the treaty – known as the Overseas Countries and Territories (OCTS). Because the OCTS countries were essentially West and Central African Countries with colonial ties to France, France made it a condition for accession to the Regional Body that this accommodation was made for its colonies and ex-colonies. An instrument called the Regime of Association was created in 1957 to serve as a vehicle for transmission of funds for development in the OCTS under the first European Development Fund (EDF), which was established in 1958. 2 In 1963, the relationship between the 18 newly independent francophone African countries and the European Economic Commission (EEC) was formalized with the signing of the Yaounde Convention in Yaounde, Cameroon, establishing the basis for future ACP-EU cooperation. The objective of this cooperation was accelerated economic development of the newly independent African countries. To support this objective, the European Development Fund was set up and earmarked for development and infrastructural projects. At this stage, the British Commonwealth Countries with colonial and historic ties to the United Kingdom were not part of this Euro-African partnership, but that changed with the accession of the UK to the EU in 1973. The partnership was now between an expanding Europe and countries now including some from Africa, the Caribbean, and Pacific States. The EU made a distinction among the Commonwealth Countries, excluding the ‘associable’ – countries like India, deemed too developed to warrant special relations stemming from the partnership. Other countries in Africa, the Caribbean and Pacific called the ‘non-associable’, considered underdeveloped, were invited to negotiate with the EU for preferential trade access. The Georgetown Agreement that created the ACP Group was signed in 1975 between the EU and 46 ACP countries. This was after the ACP countries had taken a decision in 1973 to renegotiate the Yaounde agreements with the EU as a bloc rather than in regional groupings. Consequently, the stronger negotiating position won the ACP countries major concessions, resulting in a non-reciprocal trade agreement as well as compensation mechanisms to offset losses resulting from commodity price instability. This was a period of substantial world commodity price instability following the oil crisis in 1973, brought about when the organization of petroleum exporting countries (OPEC) restricted global oil exports. The EU was anxious to secure raw material supplies from its former colonies to cushion global commodity price increases, hence the sweeping concessions to the ACP States. The concessions were also in response to the United Nations’ (UN) call to rich nations to take steps to address terms of trade inequalities between themselves and the developing world. The Lome I Convention that succeeded the two Yaounde Conventions (1963-1969, 1969-1975) was signed in 1975 and differed from its predecessors in very fundamental ways. The Yaounde Conventions emphasized reciprocity and non-discrimination, whilst Lome I, and its successors, were based on non-reciprocal and discriminatory arrangements in favour of the ACP States. The Yaounde Conventions had as one of its goals the creation of regional partnerships to ensure easy 3 and smooth transition to a free trade area between Europe and Africa. Of course, at the time the non-European partner countries to the agreement were all African countries so this was not difficult to envisage. However, this dream evaporated with the Lome I, when the ACP countries decided to negotiate as a bloc so as to strengthen their bargaining power vis-à-vis the EU. In subsequent years, events leading to shifts in geo-political alignments, as well as downturns in the global economy, resulted in the erosion of the bargaining power of the ACP bloc, therefore subsequent renewals of the Lome convention exhibited less of the spirit of true partnership that existed in Lome I. Concessions that had been won were rolled back with each renewal leading up to the Cotonou Agreement which had the termination date of December 2007. Nonetheless, the subsequent weakening of the original terms of the Lome conventions could also be attributed to their incompatibility with the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT)1 and its successor World Trade Organization (WTO) in terms of their being discriminatory and nonreciprocal. The Lome IV convention could only come into force after a waiver had been obtained from the WTO in 1995. Non-compatibility of Cotonou Agreement with the WTO The successive Lome Conventions and the Cotonou Agreements between ACP countries and the EU, in principle, guaranteed preferential and discriminatory trade terms in favour of the ACP Countries. As has been noted, Lome IV required a waiver in order to be executed. Similarly, the Cotonou accord of 2000, which succeeded Lome IV also required an extension of the previous waiver. The Cotonou Agreement was different from Lome IV in several ways; most significant, the requirement in Article I of the Cotonou Agreement that there would be an effort for a gradual integration of ACP countries into the world economy by elimination of preferential treatment: “.. to promote and expedite the economic, cultural, and social development of the ACP states, with a view to contributing to peace and security and to promoting a stable and democratic political environment. The partnership shall be centred on the objective of reducing and eventually eradicating poverty consistent with the objectives of sustainable development and the gradual integration of the ACP countries into the world economy”. 1 GATT is a United Nations agency to promote trade by the reduction of tariffs and import quotas, while the WTO is an international organization based in Geneva that monitors and enforces rules governing global trade. 4 The Cotonou Agreement was meant to commence the process of replacing non-reciprocal trade preferences of the Lome Accord with Regional Trade Agreements (RTAs), which unlike the Cotonou Agreement would be compatible with WTO rules. Fundamentally, the Lome Accords, as well as the Cotonou Agreement, violated the rules regarding reciprocity as stated in Article XXVI of GATT (regarding trade in goods) which stipulates that trade agreements between two parties must be essentially reciprocal, have extended coverage and not create new obstacles for trade with third parties. The Lome Accords and the Cotonou Agreement were based on discriminatory treatments against non-ACP developing countries on the basis of historical colonial ties with Europe. These agreements also violated the Enabling Clause (officially called “Decision on Differential and More Favourable Treatment, Reciprocity and Fuller Participation of Developing Countries”), which allows for more favourable trade conditions to be applied to a group of nations defined by economic or development criteria only. One example of these constructs currently in existence is the classification of ‘developing countries (DC)’, which enjoy the Generalised System of Preferences (GSP). The GSP has less favourable conditions compared the Cotonou Agreement or the IEPA. Another classification is the ‘Least Developed Countries (LDC)’, which enjoys “Everything But Arms (EBA)” preference that guarantees quota-freetariff-free access to the EU market for all goods except for armaments. In addition to these instruments, there is another classification known as GSP Plus (Appendix 1), which was specially constructed for the former Eastern European countries of the Soviet Bloc that aspire to joining the EU. The criteria for beneficiaries include meeting established standards in governance, corruption, child labour, and environmental protection. The favourable treatment of ACP countries provided by the EU through the preferential guarantees in the Lome and Cotonou Agreements also contradicts the WTO principle of ‘Most Favoured Nation (MFN) Treatment’. The MFN principle is one of the fundamental principles of the multilateral trading system. Under the WTO agreements, countries cannot normally discriminate between their trading partners. When special consideration, such as a lower customs duty rate for one of their products is given to a country the same has to apply for all WTO member countries. The EU countries and most of the ACP Countries are members of the WTO and are therefore subject to WTO rules. The violation of WTO rules inherent in the Lome 5 and Cotonou agreements, for example, formed the basis of the so called ‘banana wars’, when banana producing non-ACP countries, some of which were developing countries, challenged the favourable treatment given ACP countries by the EU in terms of banana imports. Specifically, the MFN (Article I of GATT 1947) stipulates “ customs duties and changes of any kind imposed… by any contracting party to any products originating in … any country shall be accorded immediately and unconditionally to the like product originating in the territories of all the contracting parties”. This principle prevents discrimination among member states and enjoins contracting parties to confer identical treatment to all GATT contracting parties in terms of import and export modalities. Consequently, there was a pressing need to replace the Cotonou Agreement with a WTO compatible agreement and the EU proposed the EPAs as the next best thing that came closest to the provisions of Cotonou Agreement without violation the WTO rules. Nonetheless, there was strong opposition to the EPAs in their original form, as they covered non-trade issues like services and investments. This resulted in a stalemate that would have proved damaging especially to vulnerable economies within the ACP, states such as Ghana. Heterogeneity of Interests among African countries The Cotonou Agreement was by no means renewable or extendable; therefore, countries governed by the agreement would have reverted to GSP, which applied to all developing countries. The terms of GSP are, however, much less favourable than those of the Cotonou Agreement, thus requiring the countries affected to find alternatives that matched the favourable terms of Cotonou. Moreover, it was agreed upon in principle at the signature of the Cotonou Agreement that, upon expiration, it could only be replaced by a WTO compatible accord. The ACP countries were aware that the EU would be unable to obtain further waivers beyond Cotonou to extend favourable terms of trade to its ex-colonies from among the group of developing countries. This was implied in the challenge of the regime governing trade in bananas and the WTO Panel conclusion that the EU’s tariff-free arrangement with the ACP countries was in contravention of WTO rules. The issue is yet to be resolved as the tariff-free quotas for bananas, granted under the Interim EPAs is also being challenged on the basis that the arrangement still favours the ACP States from among the group of developing countries. These challenges are being mounted by other developing countries that are focused on their own development and national interest. 6 The expiration of the Cotonou Agreement was, however, bound to have differential impact on ACP countries within and across regions even in Africa. Countries classified by the UN as LDC, 33 of which are in Africa, even without EPA would still have full tariff-free, quota- free access to the EU market under its EBA program. These countries also happen to be in the ACP, but the expiration of the Cotonou Agreement posed no threat to their exports to Europe as the EBA is a way out for them. In West Africa, 12 of the 15 countries of the regional block, the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS), are classified LDC, with Cote d’Ivoire, Ghana, and Nigeria classified as non-LDC. Like other oil-producing countries in Africa, Nigeria is secured by its major export commodity being exempt from tariffs. Thus, for Nigeria, reverting to GSP would have no significant impact on overall exports to Europe. With respect to Cote d’Ivoire, being a member of the West African Economic and Monetary Union (UEMOA),2 has provided a potential exit strategy should ECOWAS not come through with a viable agreement. ECOWAS was established before UEMOA, but the latter is a better organized union and more advanced in terms of the depth of integration. UEMOA is also formally and duly recognized by the WTO as a legitimate customs union with a common currency. It is also recognized as such by the EU in the EPA negotiations. Cote d’Ivoire, UEMOA’s biggest and most influential member could therefore obtain derogation from the group in order to negotiate with the EU as an independent state. Under these circumstances, Ghana was left in the precarious position of being the only country in West Africa without a viable alternative to the Cotonou Agreement. With a budding nontraditional export sector and an economic growth strategy based on the expansion of exports, Ghana would have faced serious economic setbacks if the IEPA was not initialed. Without an agreement to succeed Cotonou, exports from Ghana would attract tariffs consistent with the GSP.3 Exports of processed cocoa, horticultural products and tuna, among others, would have been faced with tariffs that could have threatened the viability of the entire sectors. All of Africa’s 14 non-LDCs, other than South Africa, that did not initial interim EPAs would have reverted to the EU’s less favorable GSP in January 2008. Nine of these countries, all of which initialed interim EPAs, would have faced significant losses of market access if they switched to GSP status. 2 UEMOA is made up of Francophone countries in West Africa, which use the CFA as common currency. The GSP which is significantly less favourable than both the Cotonou Agreement and the proposed EPA applies to all ‘developing countries’ including Ghana, see also Appendix 2). 3 7 Taking into account both avoidance of losses from reverting to GSP status and the likely near term gains from improved market access under EPAs, the nine countries had significant immediate market-access incentives to enter into interim EPAs. Botswana, which would have faced a smaller immediate loss, also entered into an “initial” EPA. The remaining four nonparticipating, non-LDCs are South Africa, which already had a satisfactory and separate preexisting free trade agreement with the EU; and three oil exporters (Nigeria, Gabon, and the Democratic Republic of Congo), which will lose virtually nothing from the switch from the Cotonou Agreement to GSP because their principal exports face zero or very low MFN or GSP tariffs in the EU. In contrast, LDCs had neither an immediate need nor a strong incentive to enter into IEPAs. Shifting to the EBA program might possibly cause some limited losses of markets for a few products in the longer term because of the EBA has slightly more restrictive rules of origin than the Cotonou Agreements, although not a significant concern for most LDCs. With automatic eligibility for the EBA arrangement, many LDCs thus had little interest in liberalizing their imports from the EU to obtain similar market access under EPAs. As a result, the participation of LDCs in interim EPAs has been quite limited. Only eight of the 33 eligible African LDCs have signed interim EPAs. Moreover, four of these (Burundi, Rwanda, Tanzania, and Uganda) are members of the East Africa Community (EAC), which collectively entered as a customs union into an IEPA under the leadership of Kenya, a non LDC with a strong incentive to sign an IEPA. 3.0 Ghana’s Interim EPA The agreement governing the trade relations between Ghana and the EU that was initialed in December 2007, known as the Interim Economic Partnership Agreement (IEPA) is different from the original EPA originally proposed by the EU to replace the Cotonou Agreement. This is because the original agreement guaranteeing privileged access for ACP states to the EU market was challenged by other non-ACP developing countries. The basis for the challenge was that ACP countries are ex-colonies of European countries and their delineation by the EU for special treatment was based on historical ties and therefore not consistent with the WTO.4 Going by WTO rules, discrimination in favour of some countries may be allowed if the criteria for selecting those countries are based on economic indicators. By implication, all other countries that meet the criteria should also enjoy the benefits offered by the country providing the favour. 4 Similarly, the Africa Growth Opportunities Act (AGOA), which is based on favourable terms granted by the USA to African countries, has also been challenged. 8 The original EPA proposed by the EU was deemed not acceptable by the ACP States; it covered both trade and non-trade issues such as investments and trade in services which are currently under negotiations at the WTO. These non-trade contentious issues are all excluded from the interim-EPA, as a result of the strong opposition to the agreement. In the last quarter of 2007, Ghana was faced with a major challenge. Because of its location in the West African sub-region, Ghana had to negotiate its EPA with the EU as part of ECOWAS, but both ECOWAS and the EU showed no sign of reaching an agreement before the December 2007 expiry date of Cotonou. In the absence of the agreement, Ghana’s exports to the EU would have faced increased tariffs. This would have affected the newly emerging export commodities such as horticultural products as well as processed cocoa. In order to avert this, Ghana proposed a Market Access Offer based on a goods only agreement to the EU. This agreement was envisaged as an interim measure until a full EPA was concluded. The IEPA also raised concern among civil society organizations which feared that Ghana’s trade regime with the EU would lead to rapid dismantling of tariffs on goods originating from the EU and thereby precipitate the premature collapse of the export sector. The IEPA deals decisively with this concern by placing locally produced items in an exclusion list that is free from the trade agreement. This includes all agricultural produce and products currently manufactured in Ghana. The agricultural products excluded from this arrangement include tomatoes, chicken, pepper and all other tropical crops grown in Ghana as identified by the Ministry of Trade. All products manufactured in Ghana are also excluded from any dismantling arrangement. The exclusion list represents 20 percent of exports to the EU and places no legal obligation to remove or reduce tariff on these products. Ghana would dismantle tariffs on 80 percent of imports from the EU over a 15-year period. The first five years of this period would see no dismantling whatsoever. In this agreement, the EU grants 100 percent quota and tariff free access to its market for all products originating in Ghana, except for rice and sugar. 4.0 Interim EPA - Selected Issues and Concerns Non-traditional export sector The non-traditional export sector is an emerging sector in the Ghanaian economy with great potential for growth and expansion. The threat to the sector was in not signing a successor agreement to the EPA that guarantees the tariff-free access to the EU market under the Cotonou regime. The expiration and non-replacement of Cotonou would have automatically reverted 9 Ghana to the Generalised System of Preferences (GSP) regime, which is applied to all developing countries. The terms of the GSP regime are less favourable than Cotonou, with additional tariffs on horticultural products and processed cocoa among other things. These very products form a substantial proportion of non-traditional exports from Ghana therefore the threat was not limited to operators in the sector but also to the very strategy of export-led growth that Ghana aspires to utilize in the quest for economic prosperity. Import competing sector During the process of negotiating the IEPA, industrial producers in Ghana were worried that removal of import duties on imported goods from the EU would expose them to a level of competition they would not be able to withstand. The prospect of losing the local market to EU imports posed a threat to industries and the very existence if an industrial sector in Ghana. Players in the sector therefore took the position that the EPA should not be considered as a successor to Cotonou. This position was incompatible with international commitments that Ghana has signed up to as a member of the WTO. The EPA was modeled on the concept of Free Trade Area (FTA) as defined by guidelines of international trade. The underlying principle of any Free Trade Area is that of reciprocity and the lowering of all barriers to trade therefore fundamentally, trade liberalization cannot be avoided in an FTA. Also, Ghana as a party to the Cotonou Agreement committed to ensuring that the successor agreement to Cotonou would be reciprocal. Perceived threats with EPAs led to the formation of a coalition to articulate the voices of opposition and to caution Government to resist apparent pressure from the EU to sign. The coalition was made up of, among others, NGOs, Labor, Industry, and religious bodies. Their main concerns included the following: Devastation of the agricultural sector and the impoverishment of the farmers as subsidized European agricultural produce displace import-competing domestic substitutes. To mitigate this outcome, agricultural products that are considered sensitive are all in the exclusion list of the Market Access Offer (MAO). This is a list of items that are excluded from any tariff liberalization. Ghana is under no legal obligation to reduce or remove tariffs from these items at anytime. 10 Failure and demise of local enterprises unable to compete against cheaper imports from the EU. Part of addressing this concern is the five-year grace period provided before dismantling of tariffs. Local enterprises can use this opportunity to enhance their capacity in order to improve their competitiveness. Loss of jobs associated with the demise of local enterprises, and the implications for an already impoverished population. If local industries are assisted to improve their competitiveness their productivity would be enhanced and this would lead to increased employment. Revenue losses arising from the reduction and or elimination of tariffs on imports from the EU, and the consequent impairment of the capability of the country to provide essential services for the people. A strategy of raising revenue from taxes on incomes and profits is preferable to one of revenue from tariffs on imports. A vibrant economy anchored on an export base that is competitive in global markets is a better and more sustainable source of revenue to the country. Undermining the process of regional integration in the West African (ECOWAS and UEMOA) sub-region. This concern appears to rest on the presumption that the 12 LDCs that enjoy the non-reciprocal EBA scheme with the EU may not be willing to give it up for a more demanding reciprocal EPA. However, the challenges related to regional integration within the Wet Africa sub region predate the advent of EPAs. The fact that UEMOA came about long after ECOWAS, yet UEMOA is a customs union, that has been notified to the WTO is significant in this regard. The difficulties in ECOWAS predate the EPAs and would need to be addressed anyway. 5.0 Way Forward In conclusion, there is a need for expedited in Ghana the implementation of comprehensive and dynamic private sector development strategy, especially in the context of the Economic Partnership Agreement with the European Union, where Ghana has four clear years to prepare for the tariff dismantling schedule to commence. The Center for Policy Analysis (CEPA) takes the position that international trade promotion is the route that Ghana must take on the journey to macroeconomic stability and shared prosperity. The way to facilitate effective trade would be to reduce the cost of doing business and improve competitiveness of Ghanaian industries 11 through the application of modern technology and improved capacity. In CEPA’s view, capacity building should be at several levels from shop floors through management to the bureaucracy. This can be achieved through comprehensive needs assessments, training, skills upgrade and skills acquisition. New and advanced technology must be applied in production processes in the bid to reduce cost of production and enhance competitiveness. The use of modern technology has the added advantage of attracting investments in new technology-drives sectors that currently do not exist. Appendix 1 The Special Incentive arrangement for Sustainable Development and Good Governance (GSP+) The EU’s GSP+ is a scheme of special preferences for developing countries that commit to ratifying and implementing a set of human rights and good governance conventions. The term GSP+ is frequently used as a short hand for the ‘special incentive arrangement for sustainable development and good governance’. It is one of three systems of tariff preferences in the EU’s GSP Regulation (Articles 8-11 of EU Council Regulations 980/2005 of June 27, 2005). The others are: The normal GSP system of preferences – GSP (standard) – for all developing countries ‘Everything but Arms’ (EBA) system of preferences for the UN-designated ‘Least Developed Countries’. The WTO rules applicable to these three EU systems of preferences are set out in the November 28, 1979 Enabling Clause – Differential and More Favourable Treatment Reciprocity and Fuller Participation of Developing Countries. The Enabling Clause states that the most favoured nation obligation in Article 1 of the GATT is not applicable to the grant of preferences by developed WTO members to developing countries in accordance with the Generalized System of Preferences as described in the 1971 GSP Decision of the GATT contracting parties. As a result, preferences granted under the Enabling Clause must be generalized, non-reciprocal and nondiscriminatory. The GSP+ provides for duty-free treatment of all products falling under the normal GSP. However, for products on which both ad valorem and specific tariffs are applied, the ad valorem but not the specific tariffs are eliminated. Again, specific duties on certain confectionery 12 products are limited to 16 percent of their value. Major exceptions from the coverage of the GSP+ include bananas (except plantain) tubers, manioc and aluminum (see Appendix 3). The GSP+ was only available to countries that applied by October 31, 2005. This means that the GSP+ is closed to new applicants and therefore there is no possibility of adding new beneficiaries until 2009 when a revised GSP comes into effect. This absence of an open application procedure for all developing countries – could be ruled though not yet challenged and so ruled to be discriminatory, making the EU in violation of its WTO obligations. This view is based on a ruling by the WTO Appellate Body on a predecessor to the GSP+ - the so-called ‘Drugs Arrangement’. A reportedly central feature of the ‘Drugs Arrangement’ was that it lacked an open application procedure for beneficiaries. The Appellate Body considered this discriminatory and therefore in violation of EU obligations to the WTO – specifically the non-discrimination requirement. In the context of the ‘Drugs Arrangement’, the issue was that according benefits to countries other than the 12 identified beneficiaries would require an amendment to the Regulation that set it up. By extension the contention is that like the predecessor ‘Drugs Arrangement’, GSP+ lacks an open application procedure for beneficiaries and would require an amendment to the Regulation in order for any country other than the present 15 to enjoy GSP+ benefits. It must be emphasized however that as the present GSP+ is set out in an EU Council Regulation, any amendment will require a new Council Regulation, which will take some time – certainly going beyond December 31, 2007 when Cotonou expires. By a ruling of the WTO Appellate Body, a developed country would not be in violation of the non-discrimination condition if it grants additional preferences to developing countries that share a special development need. The GSP+ is designed to encourage countries to meet certain human rights and good governance standards. This latter could be interpreted as constituting an appropriate ‘special development need’ as ruled by the WTO Appellate Body referred to above. In recent times, human rights and good governance have been increasingly recognized as critical to shared accelerated growth and economic development. And according to the EU Regulation that set up GSP+ the additional preferences are granted to compensate for the cost involved in meeting specified human rights and good governance standards. 13 Accordingly, the GSP+ scheme required that a country: Ratify and implement a list of sixteen human rights conventions by October 31st 2005, it must also give an undertaking that it would continue to maintain ratification and accept regular monitoring and review of implementation. Countries facing ‘specific constitutional constraints’ had until December 31st 2006 to ratify and implement a maximum of two conventions (this was applied in the case of El Salvador) and ratify and implement at least seven of eleven listed ‘good governance’ conventions by October 31st 2005 and the remainder by December 31st 2008. It must also give an undertaking to continue to maintain ratification and accept regular monitoring and review of implementation. The GSP+ is only available to a subset of ‘vulnerable’ developing countries. The criterion of vulnerability is assessed on the basis of the following: Poverty – A country must not have been classified by the World Bank as a high income country during three consecutive years, Non-diversification of exports: A country’s five largest exports must represent more than 75 percent of its GSP – covered exports to the EU, and Low proportion of EU imports: A country’s GSP-covered exports to the EU must make up no more than 1 percent of the EU’s GSP-covered imports. The first two of the above are standard conditions applicable to any developing country for the normal GSP. The third serves to restrict the potential beneficiary list. In Africa, this could make South Africa ineligible for the GSP+. The GSP+ scheme therefore requires that a country Ratifies and implements a list of sixteen human rights conventions by October 31, 2005 and gives an undertaking that it would continue to maintain ratification and accept regular monitoring and review of implementation. Countries facing ‘specific constitutional constraints’ has until December 31, 2006 to ratify and implement a maximum of two conventions. Ratifies and implements at least seven of eleven listed ‘good governance’ conventions by October 31, 2005 and the remainder by December 31, 2008, and give an undertaking to continue to maintain ratification and accept regular monitoring and review of implementation. 14 GSP+ preferences may be withdrawn if the relevant conventions are no longer incorporated into domestic legislation or being effectively implemented. They may also be withdrawn for reasons common to the normal GSP. Except for the UN ILO Convention concerning Minimum Age for Admission to Employment (No. 138) Ghana has ratified all the specified conventions although incorporation into legislation and implementation would be another matter. Thus, at least, in principle Ghana could be considered as eligible for GSP+ preferences. On the other hand, no ACP member state applied to be considered for GSP+ by the deadline date of October 31, 2005. This was because the Cotonou preferences they already had were superior. Consequently, the closure data of October 31, 2005 for applications whether this be in violation of EU’s obligations to the WTO or not, could not be held as having interfered with Ghana’s rights to the GSP+. In two main reports, the GSP+ is inferior to the preferences granted under both Cotonou, all the EU’s (even better) duty-free, quota-free market access for countries concluding an EPA. The first is in the limited coverage of the GSP+, especially on bananas, tuna and manioc. The second is in its rules of origin, which are inferior to those applicable in Cotonou and, most likely, the EPAs on matters including the degree of tolerance afforded to non-originating inputs and cumulating – in which all value additions within the Free Trade Agreement (PTA) member states would be counted as originating from the member making the application. Appendix 2 Reasons why Lome and Cotonou did not deliver During the course of the Lome Conventions and the Cotonou Agreements, the ACP States actually lost market share in the EU, whilst exporters for other developing countries who did not have the benefits of preferential treatment were able to increase their market share of the EU. Compared to developing countries as a whole, the ACP States also recorded a more modest overall trade performance over the period. Most ACP States were also unable to significantly diversify their export portfolios, with most still relying on the mainly primary product that they were exporting at the onset of ACP-EU relations. There was also an overall decline in Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) for ACP States. FDI to African ACP States doubled to 1.2 percent between the mid 1980s and early 1990s but this represents a drop from 6 percent to 4 percent of all FDI to all developing countries excluding China. The FDI destined for Africa was devoted mainly to the extractive sectors. Yet, the EU market continued to remain relatively important for 15 ACP States, accounting for about 40 percent of overall export earnings. The EU market accounts for 46 percent of export earnings of African countries, compared to 18 percent of Caribbean countries and 23 percent of Pacific States. The ACP states, which experienced growth during this period were those that took steps to diversify their export portfolios to include non-traditional products or benefited from the protocols. These include Mauritius, Botswana, Cote d’Ivoire and Jamaica. (Note that according to a World Bank report on EPAs, Botswana, which would have faced a smaller immediate loss compared to other countries that are more vulnerable to trade distortions with Europe signed an Interim EPA). The poor performance of ACP States over the period of preferential treatment is attributed to the following among others; Lack of infrastructure; Shortage of entrepreneurship; Low levels of physical and human capital; Low levels of saving and investment; and Under-developed financial sectors. Economic growth is also underpinned by sound policies that encourage productivity and efficient resource allocation policies; however, these policies were either non-existent or poorly structured and implemented in the ACP States. They include; Macroeconomic stability Realistic and stable exchange rates Strong institutions of good governance Stable and credible import and taxation regimes Reduced trade protection Addressing these issues should ensure competitiveness and improved export performance. Economic policies of Sub-Saharan African countries also suffered from low credibility in the view of local and foreign economic operators. This is because the countries were generally poor, weak, and politically unstable and were erratic and unpredictable in their adherence to policies. 16 Appendix 3 GATT Article XXIV Article XXIV of the GATT provides guidelines for the formation of FTAs, and two of such requirements that informed the market access offer are outlined in paragraphs 5 and 8. Paragraph 5(c) deals with the timetable for implementation of an FTA and it states: “…any interim agreement referred to in sub-paragraphs (a) and (b) shall include a plan and schedule for the formation of such a customs union or of such a free-trade area within a reasonable length of time.” What can be termed “reasonable length of time” was further clarified in the Understanding on the Interpretation of Article XXIV of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade 1994 and it reads: “The "reasonable length of time" referred to in paragraph 5(c) of Article XXIV should exceed 10 years only in exceptional cases. In cases where Members parties to an interim agreement believe that 10 years would be insufficient they shall provide a full explanation to the Council for Trade in Goods of the need for a longer period.” In the case of the Interim EPA, the agreed “reasonable length of time” exceeds the stipulated time in paragraph 5(c) of Article XXIV. The EU has accepted the responsibility for providing the “full explanation” for exceeding the stipulated period of 10 years to the WTO. Paragraph 8(b) of the same Article XXIV addresses the issue of how much liberalization is required for FTAs. It states: “ A free-trade area shall be understood to mean a group of two or more customs territories in which the duties and other restrictive regulations of commerce (except, where necessary, those permitted under Articles XI, XII, XIII, XIV, XV and XX) are eliminated on substantially all the trade between the constituent territories in products originating in such territories.” There is no further clarification on what exactly is meant by “substantially all trade”, and issues have been raised about the qualitative as well as quantitative definitions of trade. Does “substantially all trade” cover an entire sector like agriculture or textiles; and what percentage of trade can be quantified as substantial? 17 These issues are yet to be resolved but, the EU has taken the position that “Substantially All Trade” means liberalisation of at least 90 percent of existing trade between the members of an RTA. Moreover, this 90 percent coverage can be split unequally between the two regions forming the RTA, in order to reflect development asymmetries. With the EU’s FTA with South Africa for example the EU accepted to liberalise 98% of its trade and South Africa 82 percent. In the case of the interim-EPA, the EU has liberalized 100 percent (except for rice and sugar) of its trade. This means that except for these two, all goods originating from Ghana can enter the EU territories 100 percent quota and tariff free. In turn, Ghana has committed to liberalise 80 percent of duties on imports from the EU over a 15-year period. Duties on the remaining 20 percent are totally excluded from any liberalization. 18
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