1 120 HA SEMI-CLOSED GREENHOUSE CONSTRUCTION PROJECT IN NORAGAVIT AREA CONTENTS GREENHOUSE INDUSTRY TRENDS OF ARMENIA ................................................................................. 3 PROJECT DESCRIPTION ................................................................................................................................ 5 INVESTMENTS ................................................................................................................................................. 7 OPERATING COSTS ........................................................................................................................................ 7 PROJECT SUMMARY ...................................................................................................................................... 9 APPENDIX 1 2|Page GREENHOUSE INDUSTRY TRENDS OF ARMENIA Agricultural production in high-tech industrial greenhouses is considered to be one of the most profitable and prospective sectors of agriculture. This kind of greenhouses gives opportunity to organize a whole-year agricultural production, and provide a high yield from unit area and maximal profits. Armenian greenhouse industry, which today covers more than 200 hectares of production territory, has been developed in the recent 10 years. In 2003, there were 39 ha of operating small greenhouses, which means that the greenhouse area has expanded 5 times in 12 years. The construction of large industrial greenhouses started in 2011. Over the past 5 years in different regions of Armenia a number of glass and plastic high-tech greenhouses were constructed with a total area of over 80 hectares,where the main cultivated crops are tomatoes, cucumbers, roses, radish, and strawberry (see Charts 1 and 2). The construction was carried out by French and Dutch greenhouse manufacturing companies. Total Area (ha) Currently produced crops 80 6% 70 6% 60 21% 50 Tomato Raddish 40 25% 30 Rose 20 Cucumber 42% 10 Strawberry 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Chart 1: The area of high-tech greenhouses in Armenia, 2011-2015 Chart 2: Currently produced crops in high-tech greenhouses of Armenia, 2016. Armenia has all the favourable preconditions for the development and expansion of greenhouse industry, which are: 1. Favourable local geographical and climate conditions: - More than 300-320 sunny days a year, allowing to grow fruits and vegetables all year round without the use of expensive assimilation lighting technologies; - Mild winter climate that reduces the cost of heating; - The difference between day and night temperatures allowing to grow high-quality products at the lowest cost in the hot summer months; 3|Page - Availability of fresh water resources. 2. Favourable tax system for agricultural production. Armenian Government chose agriculture as one of the country’s strategic development directions in the Government’s long-run development policy of the 2014 – 2025. As a result favorable tax system for agricultural production has been adopted, including exemption from profit tax, zero rate value added tax during export and for a number of products during import (including greenhouses, seeds, cocopeat substrate, fertilizers, products for biological control, etc.). 3. Wide export markets: Georgia, Eurasian Economic Union member states, Middle East, etc.. Besides, exports from Armenia to the EAEU countries are free from customs duties and the customs procedures are more simplified. Armenia has a great potential to multiply the quantities of such greenhouses and production volumes, as already existing local experience has proved that high-tech greenhouses are an efficient solution for a whole-year crop cultivation. In recent years, new semi-closed technology has been actively used in greenhouses in the European countries and the United States, which has a number of advantages compared to the older technology. All the above mentioned conditions have become the basis for the development of 120 ha semi-closed greenhouse construction project in Noragavit area. The choice of this particular area is related with favorable land conditions which will enable construction of the greenhouses with relatively low land preparation works, as well as the availability of necessary water, electricity, natural gas and thermal power resources. 4|Page PROJECT DESCRIPTION According to the project it is planned to construct three 40 hectares semi-closed greenhouse complexes with 120 ha total area. Each of the three greenhouses will consists of two units of 20 hectares with its technical-administrative block (storage, packaging section, etc). The Yerevan TPP’s thermal energy resources can be used as an additional impulse for the construction of the greenhouses in Noragavit area. The TPP’s resources can be used to provide the heating for the greenhouse with up to 40 hectares which as a result will considerably reduce the heating expenses (approximately 30% natural gas savings). The invsetment calculations for greenhouse construction are based on the commercial and technical proposal of semi-closed greenhouse submitted by leading French greenhouse manufacturing company Richel Group, which has more than 50 years experience in the implementation of large investment projects worldwide, including 15 years experience in the CIS countries. Annually around 250 ha of greenhouses are constructed worldwide by Richel. In Armenia during 2014 – 2015 Richel has constructed 47 ha high-tech greenhouses, and a number of projects have been launched for 2016-2017. According to the technical proposal the greenhouses are a steel construction with the height of 9,7 m (on top) covered by double layer polyethylene. The greenhouses will be equipped with drip irrigation, heating, CO2 systems, as well as cooling and automated climate control systems. The crop cultivation in the greenhouse will be made by hydroponic system, using coco peat substrate. By having excellent water retention, drainage and air conditioning properties coco peat substrate allows the plant to develop a strong root system and to uptake its food with very little effort, in this way providing higher yields. Besides, it is completely organic and doesn’t pollute the environment. The natural pollination of plants will be carried out using bumblebees, and the pest control in the greenhouse will be organized mainly through biological protection products, which together with fresh irrigation water will enable to get ecologically clean products. Besides, semi-closed technology enables to create an optimal microclimate inside the greenhouse by reducing the risks of pests and diseases and enabling the plant to grow faster and healthier. Thus, usage of this technology will reduce the costs on means of biological and chemical pest control, as well as salary costs, as in this case less workforce will be required. Moreover, the heating costs will be considerably reduced, which is related with the new ventilation system. 5|Page Taking into consideration the advice of European experts and the climate conditions of Armenia it is planned to cultivate tomato in one cycle. By transplanting the plants in mid-August (if grafted 50-60 days young plants), the yield will be harvested from September to mid-June. In general, depending on the season, the annual harvest is estimated to be 54 kg per square meter. The investments to carry out 120 ha greenhouse project sum to 139.9 mln EUR, which will totally be paid off in less than 7 years. Yearly it is expected to get around 64.8 thousand ton yield (valuing to 66.7 mln EUR in total). The main part of the production will be exported to the EAEU and Middle East countries. INVESTMENTS 6|Page According to the project schedule land preparation works, construction of infrastructures as well as installation of the first 20 ha greenhouse unit is planned to carry out during 2017, so that the greenhouse is put into operation in December, 2017. Thus, the first yield of tomatoes is planned to harvest in February, 2018. The second 20 ha greenhouse unit will be constructed by June, 2018. The total investment required for the implementation of the 40 ha project is about 46.65 mln EUR, including: - 22.23 mln EUR investments in the first year for the land preparation works, construction of infrastructures, acquisition and assembly of 20 ha greenhouse structures and technologies, - 21.85 mln EUR in the second year, necessary for the construction of the second 20 ha greenhouse. -2.56 mln EUR to acquire land. Note that the cadastrial value for 1 square meter land is 5.65 EUR, and the payment for it will be made in equal parts within 2 years starting from the third year, when the project generates enough financial resources to cover that cost. It is planned that 30% of the investments for construction and operation of the greenhouse will be financed by owner's equity, while 70% will be financed through long-term loans. According to the estimates, the investments will be fully paid off after 6.7 years. The expected profit margin of the greenhouses will be around 38%. OPERATING COSTS Variable and fixed costs are based on actual results of existing companies with similar technologies. The annual operating costs for a greenhouse with 40 ha production area varies around 13.1-14.6 mln EUR1. Below you can find the pie chart representing the cost structure (expressed in percentages). The main directions of expenses are: acquisition costs of agro-technical products (including fertilizers, plant protection products, artificial pollination costs, plants, coco peat substrate and other agro-technical products) 28%, utility costs (including gas, electricity, water) 25%, salary costs 15%, and packaging 18%. 1 Excluding amortization. 7|Page For normal functioning of 40 ha greenhouse about 443 employees are needed, of which 43 administrative and 400 production (10 people per 1 ha): The operation of the greenhouse will be carried out with the consultancy of an expert invited from abroad. Selling and marketing costs are not included in the calculations. They will be carried out from the free cash funds. Chart 3: The Structure of Fixed and Variable costs of 40 ha greenhouse 8|Page PROJECT SUMMARY Total Greenhouse area Production area (tomato) Administrative area 123.6 ha 120 ha 3.6 ha Total Annual Production Total Annual Revenues Number of created jobs 64.8 thousand ton 66.7 mln EUR 1329 Total Investments Long term loan 139.9 mln EUR 92.6 mln EUR Loan period Grace period Annual interest rate Payback period Discounted payback period Marginal profit /PM/ Net present value /NPV/ Internal rate of return /IRR/ 7 years 1 year 7% 6.7 years 9.3 years 38% 2 828 974 11% 9|Page
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