Plant Ecology & Diversity Vol. 1, No. 2, November 2008, 197–207 A bridge or a barrier? Beringia’s influence on the distribution and diversity of tundra plants TPED Eric G. DeChaine* Of bridges and barriers in Beringia Department of Biology, Western Washington University, Bellingham, USA (Received 13 December 2007; final version received 4 April 2008) Background: Evidence strongly suggests that Beringia was a refugium for tundra taxa throughout the Quaternary (the last 2 million years). However, the genetic consequences of the repeated formation and flooding of the Bering Land Bridge remain uncertain. Aims: The goal of this paper was to determine the role that the unique environmental history of Beringia played in the diversification of tundra flora. Methods: I adopted a comparative coalescent approach to test models of divergence for arctic flora within Beringia. The literature was surveyed for phylogeographic studies that sampled broadly across the region and incorporated molecular markers appropriate for coalescent analyses. Of the 13 possible taxa, only two fit these criteria: Saxifraga oppositifolia (Saxifragaceae) and Vaccinium uliginosum (Ericaceae). Observed gene trees were compared with a distribution of trees simulated under neutral coalescence to test models of population divergence. Population models fell within two major categories reflecting the importance of either the Bering Land Bridge or the Bering Sea dispersal barrier on the distribution of genetic diversity in the species. Results: Both species fit ‘bridge’ models, but S. oppositifolia supported a model of eastward migration while V. uliginosum fits a unified Beringia refugium model. The evolutionary implications of these findings are discussed. Conclusions: The limited number of studies emphasises the need for more sequence-based research in the region. This will help resolve the history of the Beringia tundra ecosystem, which has important implications for the diversification of tundra flora, the history of Beringia, and the potential consequences of climate change on the distribution of biological diversity. Keywords: comparative phylogeography; coalescence; arctic refugia; Bering Land Bridge; Quaternary climate cycles Introduction By repeatedly redefining the geographic distribution of continental ice sheets, mountain glaciers, land bridges, seaways and open habitat, the Quaternary climate cycles played a dominant role in shaping geographic ranges of species, genetic divergence within species, and the composition of ecological communities (Webb and Bartlein 1992; Bond et al. 1993; Hewitt 1996, 2000; Avise 2000). The climate oscillated throughout the Quaternary (the last 2 million years) with pronounced cycles of approximately 100,000 year cold glacial periods, interrupted by about 20,000 years of warm interglacial over the last 700,000 years, as demonstrated through sea bed cores, pollen cores and ice cores from Antarctic and Greenland glaciers (Imbrie et al. 1989; Bennett 1997; Landwehr et al. 1997; Winograd et al. 1997; Petit et al. 1999; North Greenland Ice Core Project Members 2004). In response to paleoclimatic fluctuations, geographic ranges of species tracked suitable environmental conditions across this shifting landscape (e.g. West 1980; Coope 1995). During glacial episodes, vast areas of the northern hemisphere were repeatedly blanketed by ice, while smaller regions provided suitable habitat throughout the Quaternary and thus served as refugia for species (Betancourt et al. 1990; Hewitt 1996; Avise 2000; Stewart and Lister 2001; Tzedakis et al. 2002). Refugia played a critical role in *Email: [email protected] ISSN 1755-0874 print/ISSN 1755-1668 online © 2008 Botanical Society of Scotland and Taylor & Francis DOI: 10.1080/17550870802328660 http://www.informaworld.com preserving genetic variation by (1) providing a range of environments through climate changes such that populations were able to persist within a given region and (2) promoting genetic divergence among geographically isolated populations (Hewitt 1996, 2000). As the climate warmed and glaciers retreated, temperate populations expanded and became re-connected, while the distributions of cold-adapted species shrank and became fragmented. In this way, the climatic vicissitudes of the Quaternary generated the cyclical expansion and contraction of species ranges and influenced their evolutionary trajectories (Pielou 1991; Hewitt 1996, 2000; Avise 2000; Petit et al. 2003). No environmental region on Earth has been more sensitive to climatic change than the Arctic (Bartlein et al. 1997; Watson et al. 1998; IPCC 2007) Several refugia within the Arctic (e.g. the Canadian Arctic Archipelago, Greenland, eastern North America, Beringia and the Taymyr Peninsula of Siberia) have been proposed based on phytogeographical (e.g. Hultén 1937), pollen and macrofossil (e.g. Edwards et al. 2000; Sher et al. 2005) and molecular (e.g. Abbott et al. 2000) evidence. Of these, Beringia is arguably the best-documented refugium. Hultén (1937) hypothesised that Beringia, an expanse of the Arctic extending from the Lena River just west of the Verkhoyansk Mts in northeast Russia to the Mackenzie River in northwest North America and from 198 E.G. DeChaine the Arctic Ocean to mountains in southern Siberia and Alaska (Figure 1), was never glaciated, but rather provided refuge for tundra species throughout the Quaternary. Beringia likely remained unglaciated because the growth of massive glaciers was inhibited by the region’s low precipitation (Hopkins 1967) and its location, geographically distant from the nuclei of ice-sheet formation (Greenland [Richmond 1965] and Severnaya Zemlya [Möller et al. 2006]). Geological (Hamilton and Thorson 1983; Porter et al. 1983), phytogeographical (e.g. Hopkins 1967), palynological and macrofossil (Nimis et al. 1998; Edwards et al. 2000; Tarasov et al. 2000; Brubaker et al. 2005; Sher et al. 2005; Birks 2008) and molecular evidence from plants (Tremblay and Schoen 1999; Abbott et al. 2000; Abbott and Brochmann 2003; Dobes et al. 2004; Abbott and Comes 2004; Alsos et al. 2005; Thompson and Whitten 2006; Brochmann and Brysting 2008), fungi (Geml et al. 2006), and animals (MacNeil and Strobeck 1987; Bernatchez and Dodson 1991; Quinn 1992; Weider and Hobaek 1997; Reiss et al. 1999; Ehrich et al. 2000; Hundertmark et al. 2001; Federov et al. 2003; Cook et al. 2004; Galbreath and Cook 2004; Waltari et al. 2004) support the Beringia refugium hypothesis. During glacial periods, mountain glaciers and massive ice sheets bounded Beringia, cutting the flora and fauna within the region off from other parts of the tundra (Richmond 1965; Pielou 1991). Within Beringia, the tundra was expansive, but heterogeneously distributed and mixed with grasslands and forest (Ritchie and Cwynar 1982; Schweger 1982; Guthrie 2001; Yurtsev 2001; Brubaker et al. 2005; Swanson 2006). This could have allowed populations to persist within the region for long periods of time and potentially diverge from one another through isolation (Abbott et al. 2000; Abbott and Brochmann 2003). Thus, the relative ecological stability of the region provided long-standing tundra habitat, making Beringia a major refugium in the Arctic as Figure 1. Quaternary environmental change in Beringia and accompanying models of population divergence. Maps of the Arctic are shown for (a) glacial and (b) interglacial times, based on the distribution of land, sea, and ice during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) as per CLIMAP (1981), West (1996), Svendsen et al. (2004) and the present, respectively. In both illustrations, the Arctic Circle is approximated by a dashed line, glaciers are shown in dark grey, and land extensions appear in light grey. In (a) Beringia is delineated by black lines and the approximate location of the Verkhoyansk Mts (V) and Mackenzie River (M) are shown. Potential refugia (NR = northern Russia, WB = western Beringia, EB = eastern Beringa, and ENA = eastern North America) are labelled in (B). The population divergence models discussed in the text are shown in parts c–f. Of bridges and barriers in Beringia well as serving as an especially important conduit, via the Bering Land Bridge, for flora, fauna and human migration between the Palearctic (Eurasia) and the Nearctic (North America) (e.g. Hoffecker et al. 1993; Donoghue and Smith 2004). Shortly after Hultén (1937) proposed the Beringia refugium hypothesis based on phytogeographical data, Hopkins (1959) demonstrated that the region experienced repeated changes in sea level associated with the paleoclimatic cycles. As the climate cooled with the onset of a glacial period, water became locked up in ice and sea levels dropped, transforming the ‘monotonously flat’ Bering-Chuckchi undersea platform into the Bering Land Bridge (Hopkins 1959), expanding the area of available terrestrial habitat, and connecting western (northeastern Russia) and eastern (northwestern North America) Beringia (Figure 1a). Because eastern Beringia was cut off from the rest of North America by glaciers, it essentially became part of Siberia, biogeographically (Hopkins 1967). The land bridge would have facilitated gene flow among populations within a united Beringia. Higher sea levels in warm periods (Figure 1b), either interstadials nested within a glacial period or during interglacial episodes, submerged the land bridge beneath the Bering Sea (Hopkins 1973; Marincovich and Gladenkov 1999). The Bering Sea acted as a dispersal barrier for terrestrial species, dividing populations in western and eastern Beringia from one another. Further east and west, the retreat of continental glaciers would have permitted population expansion and mixing within each continent. Because of the unique environmental history of the region, the inhabitants of Beringia experienced repeated cycles of isolation within a unified Beringia interrupted by separation across the Bering Sea. A unifying bridge The emergence of the Bering Land Bridge during glacial periods facilitated dispersal between northeastern Eurasia and northwestern North America (reviewed in Waltari et al. 2007), but movement of individuals would have been restricted to within Beringia due to bordering continental ice sheets and mountain glaciers. From a demographic perspective, populations had the opportunity to mix substantially within Beringia, depending on environmental factors and availability of suitable habitat, but would have remained isolated from populations outside the region. Isolation and population mixing within a unified Beringia would have maintained genetic variation within the region and promoted genetic divergence among Beringia and neighbouring glacial refugia (e.g. northern Russia and eastern North America; Figure 1c). In addition to population mixing, contiguous eastward and/or westward range expansion across the bridge could have permitted colonisation of previously unoccupied habitat. From geological evidence indicating the sequential opening and closing of the Bering Land Bridge followed by the opening and closing of an ice-free corridor from Alaska to the rest of 199 North America, Hopkins (1967) hypothesised a series of ‘one-way valves’ to explain why dispersal was predominantly from west to east, with only limited flow in the opposite direction. From this, contiguous, directional range expansion across the bridge would have led to stepwise genetic divergence from the source population to newly colonised areas. As additional habitat became available through de-glaciation and species’ ranges continued to expand, populations in newly colonised areas would harbour increasingly more derived lineages, yielding paraphyletic gene trees (Figure 1d; Eastward Bridge). In either case, the Bering Land Bridge opened a route connecting the Palearctic and Nearctic, making subsequent genetic exchange between the regions possible. A divisive barrier During warm climatic episodes, the Bering Sea flooded the land bridge, formed a barrier to east–west dispersal for terrestrial taxa, and physically isolated populations in western and eastern Beringia from one another (Gladenkov et al. 2002; Lozhkin 2002). This vicariant event punctuated periods of unification, likely initiating genetic divergence (differentiation among populations) between Palearctic and Nearctic populations, depending on the duration of isolation. Because genetic divergence is governed by gene flow, genetic drift and natural selection (Slatkin 1987), isolation would have promoted divergence and possibly speciation (Mayr 1963; Lewontin 1974; Bush 1975; Endler 1977). Though interglacials were typically of shorter duration than glacial periods, genetic divergence across the Bering Sea has been inferred for several northern taxa (e.g. Ehrich et al. 2000; Federov et al. 2003). The genetic consequences of this vicariant event could take on two main forms: (1) a deep division between Eurasian and North American lineages due to the Bering Barrier with closer relationships among populations within a continent (Figure 1e) or (2) Divided Refugia representing isolation among all potential refugia (Figure 1f) in the region (northwestern Russia, western Beringia, eastern Beringia and northeastern North America). These two scenarios depended on the degree to which populations within a continent were able to mix, because the Bering Land Bridge would have been sundered as continental glaciers melted. By allowing populations to remain in place throughout the climate cycles and providing an intermittent dispersal corridor, Beringia could have played a key role in the evolution of tundra taxa, preserving genetic variation throughout the Quaternary and promoting east-west genetic divergence across the Bering Sea. While the flora of Beringia shared a common history of paleoclimatic cycles, the myriad bridging and barring events provided multiple opportunities for population reshuffling and isolation, each of which likely impacted species differently and to a different degree owing to species-specific biological constraints, dispersal capacities and historic distributions (West 1964, 1980; Bennett 1990, 2004; Coope 1995; Elias 1996; Whitlock and Bartlein 200 E.G. DeChaine 1997; Peterson and Denno 1998; Taberlet et al. 1998; Hewitt 1999; Jackson and Overpeck 2000; Barnosky 2001; Davis and Shaw 2001). Furthermore, because the formation and inundation of the bridge were recurrent events, the demographic histories of different species may have been strongly affected by similar events, but at different times. For instance, the flooding of one land bridge may have been a critical event in the history of a given species, whereas the magnitude of that specific event was potentially of less importance to other taxa. Evolution during the Quaternary must of course be viewed as an ongoing process, wherein the geographic distribution of genetic variation in a given species fluctuated continually in response to cyclic environmental conditions. In some species, recurrent genetic changes due to population oscillations could have confounded the historic signal. Yet, if one paleoclimatic event had greater demographic and genetic consequences than another, that event would have left a more evident footprint in the evolutionary path of a species. The overarching goal of this study was to investigate the role that the unique environmental history of Beringia played in the distribution and diversification of species in the arctic tundra. The tundra flora is an excellent model for examining the paleo-environmental history of Beringia. The Arctic has been an exciting landscape for floral diversification due to its unique geographic position, dynamic climate history, dramatic species range shifts, and the long-term persistence of tundra. I adopted a comparative coalescent approach (DeChaine and Martin 2006) to test five potential models of population divergence using published datasets on plants whose ranges span Beringia and neighbouring refugia in Russia and North America (Figure 1). (1) Unified Beringia Model. Unification of populations within Beringia and isolation from neighbouring refugia (following Hultén 1937) maintained three independent populations: Northern Russia, Beringia, eastern North America (Figure 1c); (2) Eastward Bridge Model. One-way contiguous range expansion eastwards (following the oneway valve hypothesis of Hopkins 1967) led to a paraphyletic tree with basal populations in the west and derived populations in the east (Figure 1d); (3) Westward Bridge Model. Same as the Eastward Bridge Model, but with westward migration; (4) Barrier Model. The Bering Sea separated populations, promoting genetic divergence, such that populations east and west of the Bering Sea form monophyletic clades and the greatest degree of divergence is between the Palearctic and Nearctic (Figure 1e); (5) Divided Refugia Model. Divergence governed the geographic distribution of genetic variation such that one expansive population was fragmented by the ice sheets of the glacial periods and the Bering Sea producing a star-like phylogeny with four refugia (Figure 1f). Determining the processes affecting the distribution, diversity and history of tundra flora is central to understanding the history of the Arctic biome and its role in species diversification. Materials and methods In order to investigate how the Beringia tundra ecosystem was impacted by Quaternary climate cycles, I performed a comparative phylogeographic analysis on two species of tundra angiosperms based on phylogeographic estimates from the literature. The phylogeographic approach examines the contemporary geographic distribution of genetic variation within and among populations to infer the demographic history of a species and how paleoclimatic events (e.g. flooding of the Bering Land Bridge) impacted divergence (Avise 2000). In turn, the field of comparative phylogeography attempts to infer the evolutionary history of an ecosystem, such as the tundra, by comparing genealogical estimates of history (gene trees) from multiple species, and thus provides a framework for understanding the assemblage, structure and evolution of communities (Bermingham and Moritz 1998; Moritz and Faith 1998; Arbogast and Kenagy 2001). When evaluating the evolutionary history of an ecosystem, analyses must accommodate the stochastic variation in genealogies due to the coalescent process and life history strategies of each species. A growing body of comparative studies have taken this approach (e.g. Carstens et al. 2005a,b; DeChaine and Martin 2005, 2006; Hickerson and Cunningham 2005). Parameters associated with different aspects of genetic variation, such as mutation rates, effective population size and divergence time, can vary widely among genes and across taxa due to the stochastic nature of the coalescent process (reviewed in Nordburg 2001). Coalescent methods explicitly account for the uncertainty in the estimates of historical events and are specifically tuned to the focal taxa through the use of probabilistic models to generate expected distributions for relevant parameters (Kingman 1982; Wakeley 2008). These estimates can then be used to test phylogeographic hypotheses developed from independent data (e.g. geologic or paleoclimatic records). The literature was surveyed for phylogeographic studies that focused on plant species whose distributions included Beringia. The criteria for choosing whether or not to include a species in this comparative study were based on the availability of several types of data: (1) representative sampling of populations within the various refugia (northwestern Russia, western Beringia, eastern Beringia and eastern North America) was the single, most limiting factor. Due to small sampling sizes, Eurasian samples were included within the northern Russia populations; (2) in order to perform tests based on coalescent Of bridges and barriers in Beringia theory, gene trees estimated from independent markers were required. Appropriate markers included sequence data and chloroplast RELPs (restriction fragment length polymorphism), because organelles are expected to evolve as a single locus (McCauley 1995). While AFLP (amplified fragment length polymorphism) data are excellent for population genetic studies, they are not appropriate for testing coalescent models because they sample the entire genome and are not independent (Hartl 2000). Finally, (3) estimates of divergence (either percent divergence or diversity estimates that could serve as proxies for relative differences in divergence between clades or effective population size) were sought in order to provide relative differences in branch lengths. Of the thirteen taxa examined (Table 1), only two species (Figure 2) met the criteria for this comparative coalescent analysis. This dearth of data Table 1. 201 underscores the need for further studies on plants in the region. The idea of the comparative coalescent approach (DeChaine and Martin 2006) is to test the observed gene trees reconstructed from genetic data within each region against an expected distribution of gene trees generated from coalescent simulations, to determine which model of history best fits each species and whether Beringia plants responded similarly to climate cycles. To do so, population divergence models (Figure 1) were created based on paleoclimatic chronologies (Imbrie et al. 1989; North Greenland Ice Core Project Members 2004), geological data (Hopkins 1967) and biogeographic inferences (Hultén 1937; Abbott and Brochmann 2003). Each population model is comprised of the tree topology, estimates of effective population size for each population, Review of phylogeographic research on plants in Beringia. Taxon Angiosperms Arabis spp. (Brassicaceae) Cassiope tetragona (Ericaceae) Dryas integrifolia (Rosaceae) Juncus biglumis (Juncaceae) Potentilla sect. Niveae (Rosaceae) Saxifraga hirculus (Saxifragaceae) Saxifraga oppositifolia (Saxifragaceae) Saxifraga rivularis (Saxifragaceae) Townsendia hookeri (Asteraceae) Vaccinium uliginosum (Ericaceae) Veronica alpina (Plantaginaceae) Gymnosperms Picea glauca (Pinaceae) Larix spp. (Pinaceae) NR* WB EB ENA Markers 10 40 2 0 19 120 382 82 5 107 cpDNA (trnL intron, trnL/F, rpoC1) AFLP cpDNA RFLP cpDNA (trnL/F, rsp16), AFLP cpDNA (microsatellites), AFLP Dobes et al. 2004 Eidesen et al. 2007b Tremblay and Schoen 1999 Schönswetter et al. 2007 Eriksen and Töpel 2006 0 0 180 0 cpDNA RFLP Hollingsworth and Gornall 2006 38 40 119 171 cpDNA RFLP 0 26 0 5 0 0 57 0 2 49 References 9 3 24 7 AFLP Abbott et al. 2000; Abbott and Comes 2004 Jørgensen et al. 2006 0 0 5 0 cpDNA (trnK, ndhF) Thompson and Whitton 2006 12 8 17 12 3 0 2 9 cpDNA (trnL/F, trnS/G), nDNA (ITS), AFLP cpDNA (trnL/F), AFLP Alsos et al. 2005; Eidesen et al. 2007a Albach et al. 2006 0 144 110 0 144 0 cpDNA (trnL/F, trnL-T, ndhK-C) mtDNA RFLP Anderson et al. 2006 Semerikov and Polezhaeva 2007 0 0 Sample sizes within each region (NR = northern Russia, WB = western Beringia, EB = eastern Beringia and ENA = eastern North America), the type of genetic marker used to infer population processes, and references are given for each species. *Numbers are shown only for individuals sampled from northern Russia, though the region (NR) could have included additional individuals from throughout Europe. In cases where actual sample sizes were not included in the manuscript, sample sizes were estimated based on available data. Figure 2. Gene trees of species used in the comparative coalescent analyses. The genealogies of Saxifraga oppositifolia (Abbott et al. 2000) and Vaccinium uliginosum (Alsos et al. 2005) are shown with the geographic distribution of lineages marked by horizontal lines and labels. NR = northern Russia, WB = western Beringia, EB = eastern Beringa, and ENA = eastern North America. 202 E.G. DeChaine and time (in generations) given as branch lengths in generations (Figure 1). For both species, I arbitrarily assumed an overall Ne = 1000 (following Knowles 2001, where Ne is the effective population size) because no direct estimates were available from the literature. Because the relationship between Ne and branch lengths is sufficient for these analyses and is expected to be proportional under neutral coalescence, unless one is attempting to estimate specific dates where direct estimates of Ne are required the actual estimate of Ne did not impact the results (Nordburg 2001). Thus, each model could be tuned to individual species using relative estimates of diversity or % divergence for each population. From these estimates of divergence, the proportion of total Ne (a fraction of 1000) for each population (Nep) was estimated. Branch lengths were also adjusted relative to estimates of Nep, so that tests of each model could be performed over a range of relative branch lengths. Because of the lack of robust estimates of Ne, the models of population divergence are necessarily simple. Coalescent simulations of genealogies constrained within models of population divergence (Figure 1) were performed with MESQUITE 2.0 (Maddison and Maddison 2006), following Knowles (2001). Briefly, genetic and population data (e.g. number and distribution of haplotypes, sample sizes, percent divergence between each population) were incorporated into the simulations, to tune the simulated genealogies to a given species. Gene trees were simulated by constraining the coalescence of lineages within the topology, branch lengths, Ne and Neps for a given model. This yielded 1000 simulated gene trees for both species within each model of divergence, over a range The expected distribution of discordance between a gene trees and the population model was measured by S, the number of parsimony steps in a character (using the source population as the character state) for a gene tree, such that a greater degree of discord between the model of divergence and the gene tree leads to an increase in S (Slatkin and Maddison 1989). Under this test, discordance could be caused by migration if the populations have been separated for a long duration (N >> sample size), or incomplete lineage sorting. Overall, the coalescent simulations produced a null distribution of 1000 S-values for each model of population divergence, over a range of branch lengths. The S-value from the published gene tree for each species was compared with the null distribution from the simulations (Figure 3) to test statistically whether Table 2. Figure 3. Testing models of divergence. (a) The amount of discord between the observed tree based on genetic data and the population model (using the Bering Barrier model as an example in the illustration) was measured by S (Slatkin and Maddison 1989). (b) The S-value for the observed tree was compared to distribution of S-values derived from the coalescent simulations. If the observed S fell outside of the expected distribution, then the model was rejected as in this hypothetical example. the observed tree (Figure 2) could have been generated under the expected distribution for the population model. If the observed S did not fit the expected distribution (α = 0.05 or 0.1) for a given model, that model was rejected (Figure 3). If the observation fell within the expected distribution for a model of population divergence, that model was not rejected, but rather was accepted as a possible scenario that could have led to the distribution of genetic variation observed today. The possibility of long distance colonization (LDC) has not been ignored in these analyses, particularly because this probabilistically rare event has likely played a large role in the distribution of arctic species (Alsos et al. 2007). The rapid dispersal of one or a few propagules over vast distances is independent of land bridges and could occur at any time that a suitable habitat existed. Because LDC, unlike contiguous range expansion, is associated with a strong founder effect as evinced by low genetic diversity in the new population and does not follow a stepwise progression of lineage divergence, species that experienced LDC would most likely reject all population models tested in this study. But, the possibility of LDC cannot be ruled out by these models. Results Tests of population divergence models (Table 2) illustrate the greater influence of the ‘bridge’ scenario on Beringia taxa and that species responded individually to historic environmental changes associated with paleoclimatic cycles. The S-value for the gene tree of a species was calculated and compared with the expected distribution of Fit of observed genealogies to models of population divergence. Model of population divergence Study taxa S Saxifraga oppositifolia Vaccinium uliginosum 4 6 Unified Beringia 0.054 0.155 Eastward Bridge 0.163 0.042 Westward Bridge 0.054 0.019 Bering Barrier 0.009 0.003 Isolated Refugia 0.028 0.003 P-values are shown for the fit of each species observed S-value to the expected distribution of S-values generated through coalescent simulations for each model of population divergence. Significant fits (where the model could not be rejected even at α = 0.1) of observed gene trees to population models are highlighted in bold. Of bridges and barriers in Beringia S-values estimated through coalescent simulations of genealogies constrained within each model to determine whether the observed tree could have been generated under a given model of population divergence. Both ‘barrier’ models were rejected by both species at α = 0.05. Saxifraga oppositifolia most strongly fit the Eastward Bridge model (P = 0.163), but narrowly failed to reject the other ‘bridge’ models at α = 0.05. Vaccinium uliginosum rejected all but the Unified Beringia model (P = 0.155). Discussion The formation, rather than the flooding, of the Bering Land Bridge had a profound influence on the evolutionary history of both species of tundra plants examined in this study. Only the ‘bridge’ models of population divergence were supported by the comparison of observed gene trees to the expected distributions generated through coalescent simulations. The ‘barrier’ models were all rejected (even at α = 0.1), and thus divergence under the simple vicariant scenarios (given the model parameters) could not have yielded the geographic distribution of genetic variation observed today. Though both S. oppositifolia and V. uliginosum fit ‘bridge’ models, the two species responded differently to the unification and isolation of Beringia during glacial episodes. The demographic history of S. oppositifolia inferred from chloroplast RFLPs demonstrates that the Bering Land Bridge served as a corridor for eastward migration for this species, though the other bridge models, Unified Beringia and Westward Migration, could not be rejected at α = 0.05. A significant fit between the observed chloroplast RFLP tree and the Eastward Migration model of population divergence corroborates previous analyses of the evolutionary history of this species. Abbott and colleagues (Abbott et al. 2000; Abbott and Brochmann 2003; Abbott and Comes 2004) inferred that Beringia served as a refugium for S. oppositifolia during glacial times and that the species likely experienced contiguous range expansion from there; though eastward migration was likely, the dispersal direction remained uncertain. Fossil data demonstrate that the species was in the region throughout the Pleistocene glacial cycles (Goetcheus and Birks 2001). Furthermore, the inferences for S. oppositifolia support the geologically based one-way valve hypothesis of Hopkins (1959), which states that due to the sequential timing of the opening and closing of glacial and land bridge corridors (valves), eastward migration was favoured over multi-directional range expansion. The combination of a poorly resolved phylogeny based on cpDNA RFLPs and the competing impacts of multiple, recurrent historic events probably had a large effect on the inability of simulation tests to discern among the various bridge models for this species at the α = 0.05 level. Vaccinium uliginosum rejected all models except that of a Unified Beringia. Explicit tests of possible population models illustrate the importance of an isolated population of V. uliginosum in Beringia, as suggested by earlier 203 studies. Previously, Beringia was inferred to be a likely site of origin of the species, a region where the species could have survived continuously throughout the Quaternary, and an area from which expansion occurred (Alsos et al. 2005; Eidesen et al. 2007a). The authors suggested that polyploidisation events added to the uncertainty in resolving the history of this species. Even in the face of a complex history of polyploidy, the coalescent tests clearly showed that a unified Beringia served as a refugium for V. uliginosum, at the very least. Unlike S. oppositifolia, there is no evidence from the coalescent simulations that V. uliginosum experienced unidirectional range expansion, but rather the tests support the hypothesis that refugial populations remained mostly isolated from one another. Better estimates of Ne and mutation rates for this species would enable more robust tests of when divergence among the refugia occurred. The results of these analyses suggest that, to the degree that these two species represent the arctic flora, the unification of Beringia has played a stronger role in intraspecific histories than has separation of regions due to the rise of the Bering Sea. From a demographic perspective, this means that dispersal and population mixing has had a greater influence than vicariance, or erased previous signatures of vicariance, on the evolutionary histories of species within Beringia. This genetic signature fits with expectations from the paleoclimatic chronology (Hopkins 1959; Richmond 1965) – a unified Beringia existed during protracted glacial episodes (approximately 100,000 years), while the higher sea levels associated with interglacials were of shorter duration (about 20,000 years). Isolation across the Bering Sea was either not complete, such that gene flow was possible among Russian and Alaskan populations, or populations were not isolated for long enough duration to allow genetic drift or local environmental selection to yield genetic divergence between the regions. However, at a larger scale extending beyond Beringia, both dispersal and vicariance have had significant effects, as demonstrated by the eastward migration of S. oppositifolia and isolation among refugial populations in V. uliginosum. Beringia had a large impact on the geographic distribution of genetic variation in arctic flora, providing habitat for long-term persistence of lineages and a means of connecting Palearctic and Nearctic populations. The inferences based on the arctic plants examined in this study fit the general pattern exhibited by the terrestrial fauna of Beringia (reviewed in Waltari et al. 2007) – a greater importance of the Palearctic-Nearctic connection via the Bering Land Bridge over the divisive influence of the Bering Sea dispersal barrier. While the review of transBeringian taxa revealed that the majority of interspecific studies exhibited eastward migration, only 9 of the 16 intraspecific studies did so. Based on previous analyses, S. oppositifolia and V. uliginosum did not provide a unidirectional genetic signal, but rather one of expansion out of Beringia. The explicit test of population models in this study revealed that S. oppositifolia actually does most strongly fit a model of eastward migration as well. 204 E.G. DeChaine Obviously, with only two species of plants available for analyses and both of them exhibiting individual responses to environmental changes, any generalisations about the flora of Beringia would be premature. The limited number of studies on arctic flora amenable to statistical phylogeographic analyses (the two species investigated herein) highlights the need for further research. Because of the large uncertainty in parameters estimated from a single locus, this comparative analysis was necessarily limited to very simple models of population divergence. Better estimates of species’ histories, effective population sizes and divergence times could be accomplished through multi-locus analyses (Jennings and Edwards 2005). In addition, more realistic population models could be developed by including paleodistribution models tuned to each species (Carstens and Richards 2007; Richards et al. 2007), as well as by making direct comparisons with fossils records as they become available (e.g. Goetcheus and Birks 2001). The incorporation of multiple genes, parameter estimates with narrower confidence intervals and geographic models specific to the species of interest, would yield more robust estimates of tree topologies, divergence times, and migration rates, and thus a more complete estimate of history. Finally, increasing not only the number of species, but also the phylogenetic and ecological breadth of study species will provide a more complete picture of how the tundra flora in general responded to the unique environmental history of Beringia. The field of comparative phylogeography in the Arctic is burgeoning (e.g. Alsos et al. 2007; Waltari et al. 2007; Brochmann and Brysting 2008), but there is a great need for more research couched in a hypothesis-testing framework before a general understanding of the history of the region and the specific role(s) that Beringia played in the distribution and diversification of arctic plants will be gleaned. Conclusions Because tundra plants have likely persisted in the region throughout the Quaternary and are abundant and accessible, the flora is an excellent model for investigating the history of Beringia, and yet, only two studies have been performed using genetic data appropriate for coalescent analyses. The two species examined herein support two different models, both of which underscore the importance of the Bering Land Bridge in the evolutionary history of the region. Investigations of additional species using multi-locus, coalescent techniques will greatly expand our understanding of the history of Beringia. Moreover, understanding the history and distribution of the arctic flora is gaining urgency because of the profound effect of climate change. Rapid changes in the tundra due to global warming and land-uses (Nelleman et al. 2001) are forcing the distribution of the arctic tundra to shift in response. Indeed, species new to the Arctic are colonising the tundra (Walker et al. 2006). Uncovering which historic events had the largest genetic consequences for arctic flora will not only aid in our understanding of the role that climate cycles played in species evolution, but also provide an explicit timeframe of events that likely impacted the rest of the flora and fauna of Beringia. 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