COMPARISON OF CARBON CAPTURE AND STORAGE WITH RENEWABLE ENERGY TECHNOLOGIES IN THE YEAR 2020 BY WAY OF A LIFE CYCLE AND A COST ASSESSMENT Peter Viebahn, Joachim Nitsch (Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt) Manfred Fischedick (Wuppertal-Institut für Klima, Umwelt, Energie) ABSTRACT · To use coal and natural gas in a more environmentally-friendly way, the option of "carbon capture and storage" (CCS) is discussed, · a first system-analytic view in the form of a life cycle and a cost assessment and a comparison with renewable energies was done regarding future conditions in the power market (2020), · the results show that a realistic CO2 emissions' capture rate of 88 % at the power plant results in a reduction of greenhouse gases by only 65 %, · renewables will be competitive with electricity from CCS power plants from the beginning of CCS technology in 2020. · 1000 Power plant Pulverised Hardcoal eta: 49% -> 40% / 38% Sequestration and Liquefaction Pulverised Lignite eta: 46% -> 34% NGCC eta: 60% -> 51% · Coal is the most abundant fossil fuel. Therefore the question arises how coal can be used in a more environmentally-friendly way to meet the international greenhouse gas reduction goals, · the option of "carbon capture and storage" (CCS) is discussed, that means the capture of the CO2 at the power plant, its liquefaction, transport, and storage in the underground, · CCS requires a high energy consumption; levelised electricity costs are expected to increase by 50 %. METHODS · Ecology: LCA according to ISO 14.040ff., modelled via a material flow network,using the "UBA-method of impact categories" (German Env. Authority) · Economy: Experience curves and learning rates, · CCS technologies: post-combustion, pre-combustion, and oxyfuel with data from the industry, · "Future situation": Higher efficiency and sensitivity analyses for hard coal methan emissions, CO2-capture rate, operation materials, leackage rates. Figure: Schüwer Storage Wind Solarthermal 900 800 700 600 -79% -68% 500 -78% -65% 400 300 -65% Fossil fired power plants in 2020 · Location: Ruhrgebiet (western part of Germany), · transportation of the CO2 via a pipeline from the Ruhrgebiet to Northern Germany (empty natural gas fields) over 300 km, · CO2-capture rate at the power plant of 88 % (oxyfuel: 99.5 %), · no leakage rate of the storage, · using higher efficiencies considered to be possible for 2020. 100 0 PC PC + CCS PC + Oxyfuel + CCS PC PC + CCS NGCC NGCC + CCS Power Plant Fuel Capture method Pulverized Coal Hard coal Pulverized Coal Pulverized Coal Hard coal Lignite Integrated Gasification combined cycle (IGCC) Natural gas combined cycle (NGCC) Natural Gas Chemical scrubber (MEA) Oxyfuel Chemical scrubber (MEA) Physical absorption (Rectisol) Chemical scrubber (MEA) Hard coal Decrease of Efficiency 49% > 40% IGCC + CCS Wind Solarthermal (2) Further impact categories · The impact indicators increase by 37 % to 96 % in the case of a pulverised coal power plant, · the increase of about 40 percentage points is caused by the higher energy resource consumption (+34 %) as well as through the additonal energy used for transport and storage, · the photo-oxidant formation increases much above average (+ 96%) due to the production of the solvent monoethanolamine (MEA) used for scrubbing. Fuel supply 0.15 Photo-oxidant formation [g Ethen eq/kWh,el] Power plant Sequestration and Liquefaction Acidification [10*g SO2-eq/kWh,el] Eutrophication [g PO 4-eq/kWh,el] Transport Storage PM10-Equivalents [10*g PM10eq/ kWh,el] Cum.EnergyDem. 0.12 + 39% + 37% 0.09 + 44% 0.06 + 96% + 38% 0.00 PC 49% > 38% 46% > 34% IGCC Greenhouse gas emissions (CO2 and methane) for fossil fired power plants compared with renewable energies 0.03 Figure: Photo Disc Transport IGCC (Hardcoal) eta: 50% -> 42% 200 INTRODUCTION Figure: Photo Disc Fuel supply g CO2-eq / kWh,el PC and CCS PC PC and CCS PC PC and CCS PC PC and CCS PC PC and CCS Further impact categories illustrated by way of a hard coal fired pulverized coal power plant 50% > 42% 60% > 51% Renewable power plants in 2020 · Location: wind offshore power plants in the North Sea and solar thermal power plants in North Africa, · electricity transport via high voltage direct current lines (HVDC) to the Ruhrgebiet. (3) Electricity production costs · Both CO2 penalties for coal and natural gas and increasing prices of natural gas increase the levelised fossil electricity costs to 6.5 - 7 Eurocent/kWh until 2050, · in addition, CCS technologies increase the electricity costs by about 50%, · keeping the dynamic development in the past the renewable power plants can decrease their levelised electricity costs from 12-13 Eurocent/kWh today to 6 Eurocent/kWh until 2050. This means, renewables will be competitive with electricity from CCS power plants from the beginning of CCS technology in 2020. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION NGCC, low price NGCC + CCS, low price wind-offshore (1) Greenhouse gas emissions PC (coal), low price IGCC (coal) + CCS, low price renewable mix NGCC, high price NGCC + CCS, high price PC (coal), high price IGCC (coal) + CCS, high price 14 Therefore it does not seem justified to talk about "CO2-free" fossil power plants to reduce the greenhouse effect in a sustainable manner. 12 levelized electricity costs ct(EUR) / kWh,el · capture, transport, and storage of CO2 require 23 % - 40 % more energy, · CO2 and methane are emitted also in the preprocesses (mining industry, transport), · the greenhouse gas emissions in total are reduced by only 65 % to 79 %, · renewable electricity causes only 2 % of the fossil fired power plant’s greenhouse gas emissions, · the cleanest power plant without CCS (natural gas combined cycle) causes only 45 % more emissions (400 g CO2-equ./kWh) than the worst power plant with CCS (pulverized hard coal with 274 g CO2-equ./kWh). 10 including CCS 8 6 without CCS 4 two fuel price developments 2 0 2000 2005 2010 Institute of Technical Thermodynamics Contact: [email protected] 2020 2030 2040 2050 Levelised electricity costs - comparison between “CO2-free” fossil power plants and renewable power plants between 2020 and 2050 (each with low and high development of fossil fuel prices) A research project in co-operation with
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