MOZAMBIQUE JUNE 2012 INTERNATIONAL SUPPORT KIT OF OPPORTUNITIES The Country's Economic Context Industry Structure International Trade, Bilateral Trade with Portugal and Opportunities BES Group’s Internationalisation Support: International Premium Unit BES Group's International Offering Contacts ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research Mozambique Business environment and key factors Business environment Ease of doing business Pemba 139/183 (Doing Business 2012 ranking) Investor protection Cross-border trade Contract fulfilment Economic Freedom 46/183 136/183 131/183 Nacala Nampula Tete 108/179 (Economic Freedom 2012 ranking) Competitiveness 133/142 Beira (Global Competitiveness Index 2011-2012 ranking) Basic Requirements Infrastructure Institutions 123/142 105/142 Efficiency Enhancers 129/142 Innovation and Sophistication 115/142 Inhambane Maputo Cosec (Risk group) 6 Grade 1 (lowest risk) to 7 (highest risk) Standard & Poor’s (Rating) (AAA rating (lowest risk) to D (highest risk, default)) Long term debt in local currency Long term debt in foreign currency Outlook B+ B+ Stable Capital: Maputo Population (Millions): 22.5 (2012) Time Zone: GMT +2 Type of Government: Unitary Republic Official Language: Portuguese Surface Area: 744.9 thousand km2 Currency: Metical (MZN) Religion: Christian majority (Catholics 24%), Muslims (18%). Sources: IMF, World Bank, COSEC, World Economic Forum, Global Heritage, Commonwealth. ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research 03 Mozambique Macroeconomic Indicators 2011 2012E 2013E 2014E 9.2 10.9 11.8 13.3 7.1 6.8 7.1 6.7 7.2 7.8 12.7 10.4 7.2 5.6 5.6 40.4 35.5 35.5 35.5 -13.0 -12.7 -12.4 -11.9 -4.9 -6.3 -6.0 -5.6 2010 GDP Current prices EUR billion GDP real growth rate Percentage Inflation Rate Percentage Exchange Rate 45.5 EUR/MZN Current Account Percentage of GDP Fiscal Balance Percentage of GDP -11.7 -4.0 E Estimates Sources: IMF, Bloomberg. ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research 04 Mozambique Economic summary (I) The economic performance of Mozambique continues to be very favourable. Real GDP growth is expected to have accelerated to 7.1%, in 2011, in line with the forecast in the Economic and Social Plan (PES 2011) and well above growth in neighbouring countries. Real GDP growth in the SADC is expected to be equal to 4.3%, in 2012, and 4.5%, in 2013. Between 2011 and 2015, Mozambique is expected to be one of the five fastest growing economies in the world, with real GDP growth expected to be close to 8%. Mozambique was 14th in Africa in terms of attraction of foreign direct investment since 2003. South Africa is the country which has promoted the largest number of FDI projects in Mozambique, followed by Portugal, the United Kingdom, India and Brazil. Over the next ten years, public and private investment in Mozambique will cover a vast range of opportunities in construction, public works, energy, machinery and equipment, housing and tourism, logistics, services rendered to companies, agriculture and consumer products. In energy, infrastructure and mining, investment is expected to exceed USD 90 billion. Although an increase in imports related to the investment effort has resulted in an increase in the Current Account deficit (13% of GDP, in 2011), a big increase in capital inflows, growth in exports and development of the financial sector have contributed to a comfortable level of foreign reserves (equal to approximately 5 months of imports). The medium-term outlook continues to be favourable and an increase in the pace of activity related to mega projects is foreseen, with the start-up of operations relating to various projects expected over the next few years and seen sustaining an acceleration in economic growth and exports. The authorities’ commitment to tighter fiscal and monetary policies, prudent budget execution, favourable developments in international prices, good harvests and a strong Metical, have contributed to a sharp reduction in inflation, which is expected to remain close to 7% in 2012. Banco de Moçambique forecasts point to a potentially more marked decline in inflation and a deceleration in prices in 2013 and 2014. In line with the final objectives for economic growth and inflation for 2012 and in the context of short and medium-term trends, the Banco de Moçambique reduced the Permanent Facility for Granting Liquidity rate by 100 basis points to 12.5% and the Mandatory Reserves Ratio by 25 basis points to 8%. The authorities affirm that “conditions exist to maintain a expansionary monetary policy, in order to allow a greater increase in bank financing to the private sector.” Sources: IMF, OECD, AICEP, BoM, Ernst & Young, ES Research - Sectoral Research. ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research 05 Mozambique Economic summary (II) The forecast increase in investment in transport and energy infrastructure necessary for the country’s development should be compatible with macroeconomic stability and debt sustainability, focusing on integrated projects with proven economic returns within the terms of the recently presented Integrated Investment Plan. The temporary recourse to non-concessional loans is seen being replaced, in the long-term, by the availability of revenue associated with the development of natural resources, which should create the necessary fiscal base required to meet investment commitments and other social priorities. The widening of the fiscal base – the number of tax payers is expected to be equal to17% of the active population (two million people), by the end of 2012 – will also be an important contribution to meet future expected costs with internal resources. The Poverty Reduction Plan (Plano de Acção para a Redução da Pobreza) (PARP 2011-2014) establishes a more inclusive growth strategy for Mozambique, calling for the strengthening of social welfare, and is at the heart of the Economic and Social Plan for 2012 (PES 2012). It foresees an improvement in the quality and quantity of public services related to education, health, water and sanitation, in roads and energy; in the promotion of employment and in the increase of agricultural and fisheries production and productivity. The unemployment rate is considered to be close to 20%, although up-to-date statistics are not available. Mozambique enjoys a strategic geographic location within the SADC (Southern African Development Community). It is a gateway to the region. The aggregate GDP of Southern Africa is currently equal to around USD 700 billion and comprises 300 million consumers. Therefore, investments made in Mozambique are ideal to allow for easy penetration of the regional market. Mozambique ranks 18th in terms of business environment amongst the 46 countries in Sub-Saharan Africa, according to the Doing Business 2012 index (5th in terms of investor protection), ranking 139th out of 183 countries evaluated. In terms of the Index of Economic Freedom 2012, Mozambique ranked 15th amongst Sub-Saharan African states. Sources: IMF, OECD, AICEP, BoM , Ernst & Young, ES Research - Sectoral Research. ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research 06 Mozambique International Integration Mozambique, enjoying a strategic location in Southern Africa, is a member of several international organisations, of which the following are most notable: SADC – Southern African Development Community The SADC, a regional economic integration organisation comprising countries in Southern Africa, has 250 million consumers in the South of the African continent. Mozambique is considered to be a gateway to the region. www.sadc.int CPLP – Community of Portuguese-Speaking Countries Comprises the following countries: Angola, Brazil, Cape Verde, Guinea Bissau, Mozambique, Portugal, São Tomé and Príncipe and East Timor. Senegal, Equatorial Guinea and Mauritius have associated observer status. www.cplp.org Commonwealth of Nations Formed by a total of 55 countries, spanning all continents, almost all of which have historic ties with the United Kingdom. www.thecommonwealth.org The country’s relationship with the European Union, its second most important economic partner, is guided by the interim Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) signed in June 2009, together with Botswana, Lesotho, Namibia and Swaziland. The interim EPA provides duty free and quota free access to EU markets and foresees reduced import tariffs on the part of Mozambique. Mozambique participates in the African Growth and Opportunity Act (an initiative of the US federal government) under the terms of which African countries can export products to the USA exempt of tariffs. Mozambique is a candidate to EITI – the Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative. In August 2011, Mozambique’s progress was recognised and a set of additional procedures were requested. The country has 18 months to complete the requirements identified (by February 2013).eiti.org Sources: European Commission, CIA, EITI, CPLP, ES Research - Sectoral Research. ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research 07 The Country's Economic Context Industry Structure International Trade, Bilateral Trade with Portugal and Opportunities BES Group’s Support to Internationalisation: International Premium Unit BES Group's International Offer Contacts ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research Mozambique Sectoral and regional structure of GDP Agriculture still represents 27% of Mozambique’s GDP and the province of Maputo almost a third of the national economy. Breakdown of GDP by sector (2010) Breakdown of GDP by province (2009) 3.3% Niassa 1.2% Mining 4.9% Cabo Delgado 1.8% Hotels and restaurants 3.8% Construction 5.3% Gaza 5.2% Electricity and water 9.7% Public administration, health and education 26.9% Agriculture and fisheries 30.6% Maputo 6.1% Tete 7.0% Inhambane 11.7% Transport and telecommunications 12.2% Distribution and repair services 14.5% Financial and other services rendered to companies 10.6% Zambézia 13.1% Manufacturing 12.3% Sofala 14.4% Nampula Source: Banco de Moçambique, INE Moçambique, ES Research - Sectoral Research ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research 09 Mozambique Development Corredores Nacala, Beira and Maputo Development Corridors Rovuma Basin Tanzania Mocimboa da Praia Zambia Lichinga Pemba Mozambique is a natural gateway to the northeast of South Africa, Swaziland, Zimbabwe, Zambia and Malawi; Malawi Cahora Bassa/ Moatize The ports of Maputo, Beira and Nacala are key elements in the promotion of the development of their respective hinterlands, being true potential development corridors; The challenge is to link the development of the corridors to the development of the Mozambican business community; in agriculture, industry; mining, services, removing barriers to trade and in transport. Nampula Nacala Tete To Harare Quelimane To Harare ZIMBABWE Chimoio Beira Mega energy projects To Harare Cahora Bassa and Mphanda Nkuwa Hydroelectric energy Vilankulo Moatize e Benga - Coal Rovuma Basin – Oil and Natural Gas (various discoveries were announced by Anadarko, in 2011) Ports Inhambane To Johannesburg Xai Xai South Africa Sources: CPI – Investment Promotion Centre, ES Research - Sectoral Research ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research Indian Ocean Swaziland Maputo Airports Moza Bank agencies Main Roads Rail lines 10 Mozambique The economy’s sectoral structure (I) There are currently eighteen financial institutions in the Mozambican financial system. However, the four largest banks account for over 80% of banking revenue. The Banco Internacional de Moçambique (BIM), controlled by the Portuguese group, BCP, and by the Mozambican treasury, is the largest bank in the country. BIM has the highest market share (around 40%) in terms of banking revenue, leading also in terms of total assets and loans granted. Second in the list of the largest Mozambican banks is Banco Comercial e de Investimentos (BCI), owned by Caixa Geral de Depósitos (51%) and BPI (30%), followed by Standard Bank (South African), both with a market share, in terms of banking revenue, in excess of 15%. The largest banks operating in Mozambique, 2010 FINANCIAL SYSTEM (I) Bank Banking Revenue, 2010 (Meticals millions) Growth Rate 2009-2010 (Percent) BIM – Banco Internacional de Moçambique 6 560.0 30 BCI – Banco Comercial de Investimentos 3 220.0 33 Standard Bank 2 857.3 17 Barclays Bank Mozambique 1 548.7 19 Banco Procredit, S.A. 546.0 2 African Banking Corporation (Mozambique) 431.4 11 FNB – First National Bank Moçambique 417.7 39 Moza Banco 294.5 46 Sources: Banco de Moçambique, KPMG. ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research 011 Mozambique The economy’s sectoral structure (II) BIM and BCI are both amongst the 100 largest banks in Africa, ranked 77th and 99th, respectively, whilst Standard Bank (Group) is the largest African banking group. BES, through its affiliate, BES Africa, holds 25.1% of Moza Banco’s capital (Moçambique Capitais, held by Mozambican investors, is the majority shareholder, with 50.4%). In 2011, Banco Unico was launched by the Portuguese groups, Visabeira and Amorim (Gevisar S.G.P.S., 62%). In addition, the Portuguese state holds 49.5% of the capital of Banco Nacional de Investimentos. The expansion of banking operations in Mozambique continues to be a priority for the Banco de Moçambique. The number of districts with bank branches increased from 27 to 58, between 2007 and 2012 (June). Currently, 488 branches are in operation and 504 are authorised. Coverage of the financial institutions’ networks, by province, 2012 (June) FINANCIAL SYSTEMS (II) Provinces Branches in operation Branches authorised 169 177 Maputo Província 48 53 Nampula Sofala 47 45 57 46 Tete Gaza 30 30 34 33 Ihnambane 29 29 Manica 23 27 Zambézia 21 23 Cabo Delgado Niassa 14 10 15 11 Maputo cidade Sources: Banco de Moçambique, KPMG. ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research 012 Mozambique The economy’s sectoral structure (III) Approximately a mere 10% of Mozambique’s arable land (48 million hectares) is under cultivation. The country has enormous potential in terms of irrigation. Vast hydrographic basins remain largely undeveloped (Zambeze, Save, Limpopo). The reason for this underdevelopment is largely due to a lack of infrastructure: roads, irrigation and storage, areas in which the investment effort is now increasing. Within the context of the SADC, Mozambique is one of the best-endowed countries in terms of land, which, given low levels of mechanization and usage of modern agricultural techniques, has led to a wide consensus in terms of its enormous potential in the agricultural sector. Uncultivated arable land, SADC, 2009 (Thousand km2) 848.8 AGRICULTURE (I) 542.9 442.5 379.0 20.0 19.7 10.5 0.1 Malawi Swaziland Mauritius 122.2 Lesotho 157.5 Zimbabwe 200.4 D.R. Congo 255.0 Zambia Botswana Madagascar Namibia Mozambique Angola South Africa 256.0 Tanzania 380.1 Sources: FAO, CPI Mozambique, PES 2011, ES Research - Sectoral Research. ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research 013 Mozambique The economy’s sectoral structure (IV) Agriculture was classified as a priority sector in the 2012 Budget, with 11.6% of total expenditure earmarked for the sector. The priority given to the sector is a reflection of alignment with the objectives of the Programa Estratégico para o Desenvolvimento Agrário (PEDSA 2010-2013) (Strategic Program for Agricultural Development), which aims for average annual growth in the agricultural sector of at least 7%, a doubling of production, the intensification of livestock replenishment, the increase in poultry production capacity and good management of natural resources. In order to increase the availability of foodstuffs, the government will continue to focus its attention on increasing production on family farms (cereals, horticulture and root crops), on making available quality seeds to farmers and on the construction and reconversion of irrigation systems (the Mozambican government aims to invest around USD 540 million in irrigation, over the next ten years, in order to stimulate production and productivity in the agricultural sector. The PES 2012 foresees the restoration of 5 thousand hectares of irrigated land in Gaza Province and the construction of irrigation systems in the provinces of Sofala, Tete and Zambézia). AGRICULTURE (II) In the Save Valley (Inhambane) public works are also planned relating to the construction of two irrigation systems, one covering an area equal to 2 thousand hectares, for plantation of rice, corn, black-eyed peas and horticultural products. The objective is to double the amount of irrigated land in Mozambique by the end of the decade, to a total of 60 thousand hectares, aiming, in particular, to promote the production of rice, area in which assistance from China has been very significant, and in horticulture The country has 15 large hydrographic basins with potential to support an increase in agricultural productivity and production, of which nine are shared with other countries, The development of the agricultural and agro-business sectors continues to be a priority in the fight against poverty and dependence on foreign foodstuffs. Over 80% of cultivated land is used to produce basic food crops without irrigation. Corn, mandioca and black eyed peas occupy around 60% of total cultivated land. Horticulture occupies a mere 5% and cash crops (sugar cane, tea, vegetable oils, tobacco) only 6%. Where non-irrigated agriculture is conducted, the risk of loss of crops due to unfavourable weather conditions is very high in some regions: it exceeds 50% in all of the area south of the Save River and can attain 75% in the interior of Gaza province. Sources: CPI Mozambique, PES 2012, INP, ES Research Sectoral Research. ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research 014 Mozambique The economy’s sectoral structure (V) The 2011/2012 agricultural season represented an increase in production of around 8.5% in relation to 2010/2011, in line with forecasts in the PES 2012. Of particular note was the increase in the production of mandioca and tomato which grew by around 13%. In terms of their size of production, cereals (corn, sorghum and rice), leguminous plants (black eyed peas, peanuts) and potatoes stand out. AGRICULTURE (III) Tobacco, sugar, cashew nuts and cotton are some of the traditional exports of Mozambique: i) Tobacco – This sector is dominated by the largest agricultural company in Mozambique (9th in terms of turnover in the country and 2nd in terms of employment), the Mozambique Leaf Tobacco, Lda (Tete, Zambézia), subsidiary of the North-American company, Universal Corporation. Mozambique was the fourth largest tobacco producer in Africa, in 2010, after its neighbours (Malawi, Zimbabwe and Zambia); ii) Sugar – Mozambique has four sugar-cane distilleries: Marromeu and Mfambisse, both located in Sofala Province, and Maragra and Xinavane, in Maputo Province. New projects are slated for the provinces of Zambézia, Sofala and Gaza. The 2011/2012 season represented a significant increase in the production of sugar-cane, of over 50% in relation to 2010, resulted not only from a significant rise in the area under cultivation, but also from improvements in productivity; iii) Cashew nuts – There has been a recovery in production of cashew nuts resulting from active policies to support the replacement of old cashew trees with faster-growing varieties and the expansion of the area under cultivation. Nampula Province is the main producing region, representing around 50% of total production. Currently, production is around 100 thousand tons per annum, the government’s objective being to double production by the end of the decade. A large part of the crop is exported in bulk, in particular to India, the world’s leading importer of cashew nuts, due to lack of internal processing capacity. iv) Cotton – Cotton production has traditionally been concentrated north of the Zambeze River, where agricultural and weather conditions are more favourable for its cultivation. Nampula and Cabo Delgado provinces harbour around two thirds of total production. Some of the leading international players in the sector are present in Mozambique: Plexus (United Kingdom), OLAM (Singapore); China Africa Cotton (China). The Asian market absorbs three quarters of Mozambican cotton fibre exports. Sources: CPI Mozambique, PES 2012, INP, ES Research - Sectoral Research. ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research 015 Mozambique The economy’s sectoral structure (VI) The bio-fuels sector also remains a strategic priority so as to reduce the country’s dependence on oil. Foreign companies have been investing in this area, including Portucel (which has the rights to use and develop 356 thousand hectares in the provinces of Manica and Zambézia), which is testing various varieties of eucaliptus, with a view to the future development of an integrated forestry management, pulp and energy production operation, strategically located in relation to emerging Asian markets. Petrobrás Biocombustível (Brazil), which already produces sugar in Mozambique, has also revealed its intention to begin ethanol production from molasses. Additionally, GALP Buzi (a partnership between GALP and Companhia do Buzi, in Sofala Province) has announced its intention to start producing and exporting bio-diesel, made from jatropha, in 2014. Moçamgalp (a joint venture between Visabeira Group and GALP) is also undertaking an agro-industrial bio-fuels project. AGRICULTURE (IV) According to CEPAGRI – Centre for the Promotion of Agriculture, there is enormous potential for cultivation of cereals, fruits, flowers and horticultural produce for local and export markets. The country already exports various products, namely, flowers, citrus fruits, pepper and paprika to European markets. The Zambeze Valley represents an excellent opportunity for the agricultural sector, according to preliminary feasibility studies. In the Nacala Corridor, a partnership between Brazilian, Japanese, Mozambican institutions and FAO aims to promote the development of agri-business, with recourse to the so-called Nacala Fund, entailing USD 2 billion in investment in the initial phase. This project, based on an initiative carried out in Brazil in the 1970s relating to the development of the Cerrado region, seeks to recreate this project in this African savannah region, which has similar climate and soils. Support for private initiative in agriculture is a central element of the project, with the Fund aiming to capture financing in Brazil and Japan for the agricultural development of the Nacala Corridor. Sources: CPI Mozambique, PES 2012, INP, ES Research - Sectoral Research. ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research 016 Mozambique The economy’s sectoral structure (VII) Mozambique is a country with many opportunities in the fisheries sector, due to its coast which has a length equal to 2 750 km and an Exclusive Economic Zone (ZEE) of 586 thousand km2 of ocean with a wide diversity of fish stock. Industrial and semi-industrial scale fishing are the commercial fishing segments which are essentially geared towards the external market. However, it is important to note that the development strategy for the Artisanal Fishing and Fish Farming segments aims to increase production in these segments and create the means for them to add value so as to be able to access international markets, as well as improve supply in the local market, contributing to food and nutritional security of the population and improvement in living standards. FISHERIES The estimated potential of fishing resources is equal to around 300 thousand tons, of which around 270 thousand tons are in the ocean and 30 thousand tons are in inland waters. The PES 2012 estimates that a total production volume of 178.2 thousand tons was reached in 2011 and forecasts an increase of 18.4% in 2012. The mains species of commercial fishing, shrimp and kapenta, have already reached maximum production capacity. There is scope to increase production of deep water crustaceans (prawns, Norway lobster, lobster and crab) once appropriate means are made available. Mozambique enjoys favourable weather conditions and area available for fish farming. In terms of resources and potential for the development of maritime fish farming, the Mozambican coast can be divided as follows: Northern Region (suitable for the farming of bivalves molluscs, with conditions also favourable for the farming of shrimp), Central Region – North (favourable for farming of shrimp, mullet and mangrove crabs) and Southern Region (suitable for farming of shrimp and crab). Specific areas, such as Inhambane Bay and some areas in Maputo Bay, are suitable for bivalve mollusc farming). There is also potential for algae farming in the north of the country (Cabo Delgado and Northern Nampula) and in the South, in Inhambane. Sources: CPI Mozambique, PES 2012, INP, ES Research - Sectoral Research. ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research 017 Mozambique The economy’s sectoral structure (VIII) MINERAL AND ENERGY RESOURCES (I) The energy sector and natural resources will continue to play a key role in the future of the Mozambican economy. The implementation of big projects in the field of hydroelectric energy (Hidroeléctrica de Cahora Bassa), natural gas and oil exploration, coal production (Tete), heavy sands – Moma (Nampula) and Chibuto (Gaza) – and other metals, industrial minerals and precious and semi-precious stones, will be key areas of development for the country in the next few decades. In 2011, three of the five largest Mozambican companies hailed from these sectors. The importance given to mining within the scope of the PES 2012 – the Economic and Social Plan for 2012, reflects the economic development objectives for the mineral resources sector set out in the government’s Five Year Plan for 2010-2014. Mozambique has significant potential and diverse resources, as evident in the enormous natural gas reserves of 80 to 110 trillion cubic feet. Frequent, large-scale discoveries of natural gas in Mozambique’s offshore fields marked 2011 and the first few months of 2012. Following the announcement, in October 2011, by the North-American company, Anadarko Petroleum, the operating company in Area 1, with a shareholding equal to 36.5% (the remaining partners are Mitsui&Co of Japan, with 20%; Bharat Petroleum and Videocon Industries, both from India, with 10% each; the state-owned Mozambican company, Empresa Nacional de Hidrocarbonetos, with 15%; and Cove Energy from Ireland, with 8.5%) of exploration results pointing to natural gas reserves equal to 10 trillion cubic metres, estimates were revised upwards repeatedly to between 30 and 60 trillion cubic feet. At the end of February 2012, the Shell Group (the Netherlands) made a proposal to acquire Cove Energy’s share. This position has been hotly contested, indicative of the level of interest that the oil and gas sector in Mozambique is attracting, resulting in a higher offer by the state-owned Thai group, PTT Exploration and Production, equal to USD 1.9 billion. An Indian consortium, comprising ONGC Videsh and GAIL, also expressed an interest in the position, which it subsequently withdrew. Sources: CPI Mozambique, KPMG, PES 2012, INP, ES Research - Sectoral Research. ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research 018 Mozambique The economy’s sectoral structure (IX) The disposal of Cove Energy’s position re-opened the discussion about the taxation of capital gains on the sale of shares in mining projects in order for Mozambique to gain a greater share in the profits resulting from the various exploration projects underway. Cove Energy has confirmed that it has been informed by the government of Mozambique that a capital gains tax equal to 12.8% will be applied on the gain resulting from the sale of the asset. Area 4, an offshore exploration block has also yield a set of very significant discoveries. In this block, where the Italian company ENI is the operator (70%), in partnership with Galp Energia (10%), Kogas of South Korea (10%) and Empresa Nacional de Hidrocarbonetos of Mozambique (10%), estimates of natural gas reserves have been repeatedly increased, having been set at between 47 and 52 trillion cubic feet, on 16 May 2012. MINERAL AND ENERGY RESOURCES (II) The size and quality of the natural gas discoveries merits a study on the implementation, on a largescale, of a LNG project, perhaps in the Palma district, in the north of Cabo Delgado Province, geared towards the national, regional and international markets. By 2018, Mozambique may become the second largest natural gas exporter in Africa, only behind Nigeria. In distribution, GALP Energia (Portugal) operates a network of 29 services stations (14 in Maputo city), with stations in all of the provinces, with the exception of Niassa. Presently, the only gas fields in production are located in Inhambane Province, at Temane, from where gas is exported to South Africa, by the South African company, Sasol. In June 2012, a new central natural gas processing unit was inaugurated which will allow for an increase in annual production of around 50%, thereby guaranteeing greater supply in the external and domestic markets and rendering feasible the construction of gas-fired thermoelectric power stations at Ressano Garcia and Chokwé. Sources: CPI Mozambique, PES 2011, INP, ES Research - Sectoral Research. ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research 019 Mozambique The economy’s sectoral structure (X) Petronas of Malaysia is also undertaking projects and geological and seismic studies relating to oil and gas exploration in Mozambique,in Areas 3 and 6. In Areas 2 and 5, the main operator is the Norwegian company, Statoil, (90%), with the remaining 10% pertaining to Empresa Nacional de Hidrocarbonetos. The Australian multinational Rio Tinto has also announced the discovery of natural gas amongst the coal reserves that it is developing at Moatize, in Tete Province, and is planning to conduct prospection to determine the volume of reserves and their respective economic value. As regards coal, Mozambique is considered one of the countries with greatest global potential. There is every indication that the country will soon be a leading producer and exporter of this mineral resource, which has been extensively prospected in the country, due to the high demand in the international market for coal, particularly in China, Brazil, India, Japan and South Korea. MINERAL AND ENERGY RESOURCES (III) The majority of Mozambique’s coal reserves are located in Tete Province, but it is also to be found in the provinces of Manica and Niassa. Coal resources can be found in three basins: Moatize, lower Zambeze and Mucanha-Vusi. Coal deposits have also been confirmed in the districts of Changara, Cahora Bassa, and in parts of Magoe, in Tete Province, as a result of recent exploration activity. Large international companies such as the Brazilian company, Vale (Moatize), the Australian company, Rio Tinto (Benga and Zambeze), the British companies, Ncondezi Coal Company (Ncondezi) and Beacon Hill Resources – Minas de Moatize (Moatize), JPSL of India (Changara), Eta Star from Dubai (Moatize), ENRC (Cahora Bassa), Minas de Revubué – Talbot/Nippon Steel (Revubué) are active in Mozambique. Sources: CPI Mozambique, PES 2011, INP, ES Research - Sectoral Research. ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research 020 Mozambique The economy’s sectoral structure (XI) The Rio Tinto Group and Ncondezi Coal (United Kingdom) have announced their intention to build thermoelectric power stations to supply electricity, not only to their mining operations, but also to supplement the electricity network in Mozambique and South Africa. The transport of coal output, which is expected to increase substantially over the next few years, continues to be one of the main problems that the leading operators have been facing. Recent studies indicate that Mozambique may have mineral coal reserves in excess of 23 million tons, the mining of which should make the country the leading exporter of coal in Africa in the medium term. An improvement in road, rail and port infrastructure to facilitate export of coal is a key factor in rendering feasible these exploration projects, particularly in Tete Province. In August 2011, Vale transported the first shipment of coal to the port of Beira, via the Sena Railway Line. The new coal terminal at Beira Port, a partnership between Rio Tinto and Vale with Caminhos de Ferro de Moçambique, represents an important step in the development of the necessary export infrastructure for the coal sector. MINERAL AND ENERGY RESOURCES (IV) In relation to industrial minerals, limestone has been prospected in various regions where it is known to exist, namely in the districts of Búzi and Muanza, in Sofala. As a result of limestone and plaster prospecting, mineral reserves of raw materials needed to supply new cement factories have been identified. These plants are to be located in the provinces of Maputo, Sofala and Tete. Since exploration of the heavy sand reserves at Moma - one of the largest in the world - began, in 2007, the Irish company, Kenmare Resources, has invested in the mining of ilmenite (a titanium ore), zircon and rutile. An increase in investment, of approximately EUR 150 million, has been announced to raise production from 800 thousand tons to 1.2 million tons. In June 2012, Delta Zambeze Consortium won the tender to develop the heavy sands at Chibuto (Gaza), which had been explored by the Australian company, BHP-Billition, up until 2009. Some companies have been conducting technical and economic feasibility studies relating to the exploration and production of base metals such as iron, copper, nickel and zinc, and also graphite (Cabo Delgado) and phosphates-fertilizer extraction. If these projects go ahead, they will imply the mining of mineral resources that has never previously been conducted in the country. Sources: CPI Mozambique, PES 2011, INP, ES Research - Sectoral Research. ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research 021 Mozambique The economy’s sectoral structure (XII) Demand has increased in the construction sector in Mozambique, given the large projects planned in the mining, energy and transport sectors. The country’s economic expansion requires investments in infrastructure, particularly around the three main logistics corridors (Maputo, Beira and Nacala) which serve, not only the coal exporting activity, but also to promote the development of other sectors of the national economy and the link to neighbouring inland countries. Mozambique, by means of its road and rail infrastructure, grants access to the sea to neighbouring countries without a coastline (Zambia, Malawi, Zimbabwe, Swaziland, D.R. Congo, Botswana). These facilities are also indispensable for promoting development in the interior of the country. The Strategy for the Development of Transport System (Estratégia para o Desenvolvimento do Sistema de Transportes), currently being implemented, aims to conduct a profound transformation in terms of logistics infrastructure in the country. CONSTRUCTION AND INFRASTRUCTURE (I) The capacity of the Sena Railway Line is to be doubled to 6 millions tons per annum by 2013, although this will still be insufficient to meet expected demand. Once this first phase is complete, the stateowned company Portos e Caminhos de Ferros de Moçambique (CFM) plans to continue work with a view to increasing capacity on the Sena Line to 20 millions tons per annum by 2016. In the meantime, the modernisation of the coal terminal at Beira Port, inaugurated in June 2012, to allow the processing of 6 million tons per annum at a cost of USD 200 million, has equipped the port with a modern facility for reception and unloading of railcars, warehousing and loading of ships. Equally important will be the planned repair works on the Machipanda Line, connecting Beira with Zimbabwe. Additional railway lines are planned for Tete Province. A memorandum was signed with the government of Malawi, which calls for the construction of a railway line between Moatize and Nacala, crossing the south of Malawi. Nacala Port, a unique, deep-water port on the East African coast, offers excellent conditions for the transhipment of cargos from wide-berth ships to smaller vessels, which will deal with distribution of goods at smaller ports in East Africa. The projects underway at Nacala Port include a coal terminal, belonging to Vale. Sources: CPI Mozambique, PES 2011, INP, ES Research - Sectoral Research. ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research 022 Mozambique The economy’s sectoral structure (XIII) The government of Mozambique is also in negotiations with the Development Bank of China in relation to the development of the Nacala-a-Velha Port and the construction of a rail link to Moatize, to facilitate the installation of steel factories in the region. The use of the Zambeze River, due to the limitations of the Sena Railway Line, is of particular importance to the mining companies, but raises problems in terms of environmental concerns. Technical studies are proceeding to clarify the feasibility of this solution. Amongst other investments in airports, the modernisation and expansion of Maputo International Airport is planned and construction of Nacala International Airport (Odebrecht, the Brazilian company in charge of the project, expects to complete work in 2013) and new airports in Pemba and Tete proceeds. CONSTRUCTION AND INFRASTRUCTURE (II) In general, road, rail, port and airport transport infrastructure will need to be upgraded to meet the expansion of the country’s economy. Investment will be particularly necessary where there are mineral and agricultural resources, in order to maximize the return on investment and the impact on the business community. In Mozambique, their is also great scope for investment in housing, given an estimated deficit of 2.5 millions homes, and in water, sanitation, energy and access roads. In energy, a tender has been launched for the construction of an electricity transmission line between Tete, in the centre of the country, and the south of Mozambique. This project is budgeted at EUR 2.7 billion and is expected to be completed by 2016. REN (which holds 7.5% of HCB) and China Grid are seen as potential partners in this project. Currently, the electricity supplied by HCB – Hidroeléctrica de Cahora Bassa is via South Africa, increasing operating costs. The planned line will exceed 1 500 km in length and should be complete Sources: CPI Mozambique, PES 2011, INP, ES Research - Sectoral Research. ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research 023 Mozambique The economy’s sectoral structure (XIV) in three years time. In addition to connecting the provinces of Tete and Maputo, it will include substations along its length to allow for electricity supply in Gaza, Inhambane, Manica and Sofala Provinces. In the future, the Mphanda Nkuwa dam will allow for a significant increase in generation capacity, of approximately 1 500 MW. It is estimated that Mozambique has 12 500 MW of potential energy capacity, which corresponds to an average annual generation of 60 000 GWh. Most of the potential is located in the Zambeze River. In terms of locations already analyzed, the hydro-electric potential of Cahora Bassa, Mphanda Nkuwa, Boroma and Lupata stand out. Up to the present time, the only potential being exploited is the hydroelectric power station of Cahora Bassa (2 075 MW), up river from Mphanda Nkuwa. The Mozambican government also plans to involve private investors in the renewable energies sector, in order to increase the supply of electricity to the population. In May 2011, the government approved a development strategy for renewable energies for the next fifteen years. CONSTRUCTION AND INFRASTRUCTURE (III) The SADC Infrastructure Development Plan, the Regional Master Plan for Infrastructure, with an overall budget of approximately USD 500 billion, is expected to be approved in 2012, aiming to improve transport, telecommunications, electricity generation and distribution, water supply and tourist facilities in the entire region. The plan is expected to be implemented in three five-year periods, between 2012 and 2027. This plans aims to respond to the challenge, in terms of infrastructure, resulting from the recent formation of the Tri-partite Free Trade Area (T-FTA) – including the SADC, COMESA (Common Market of Eastern and Southern Africa) and EAC (East African Community). Mphanda Nkuwa Sources: CPI Mozambique, PES 2011, INP, ES Research - Sectoral Research. ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research 024 Mozambique The economy’s sectoral structure (XV) Industrial production has increased at an average annual rate in excess of 3% in the last two years and is expected to grow by 3.6%, in 2012. The sectors with the greatest growth potential are cement, clothing and also food and beverages, which are expected to grow by around 10%. Massive investment in the cement sector will treble production capacity by 2013, currently equal to around 1.3 million tons per annum. Chinese, Indian and South African companies are entering the market, carrying out investments that may treble cement production in Mozambique, where Cimentos de Moçambique (Cimpor) has had a dominant position. The coming online of Cimentos da Matola’s (Cimpor) new mill during the second half of 2011 has already led to an increase in production capacity in the sector. INDUSTRY (I) The food and beverages industry continues to grow sharply, in particular in the production of vegetable oils, cereals, pastry production, animal food and beverages. Sumol+Compal has announced the investment of EUR 8 million in a factory in Mozambique, which has already been approved by the Mozambican authorities. This is the first investment by this group outside of Portugal and may have multiplying effects on local agriculture. The Swiss multinational, Nestlé, announced the construction of a food factory in Sofala Province, in the municipality of Dondo (30 Km from the city of Beira). This is a EUR 21 million investment which will supply, not just the local market but also, other SADC countries and should come into operation before the end of 2012. The base metals industry is an important export sector in Mozambique – currently, the weight of large projects is around 75%. The outlook is for stable production levels. This sector includes the largest company operating in Mozambique, Mozal (aluminium smelting) and a new company, Capital Star Steel, in the iron and steel sub-sector, which has been set up in the Beluluane (Maputo) Free Enterpise Zone. Sources: CPI Mozambique, PES 2011, INP, ES Research - Sectoral Research. ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research 25 Mozambique The economy’s sectoral structure (XVI) The Nacala Special Economic Zone and the Beluluane (Maputo) Free Enterprise Zone are free trade zones where companies benefit from special tax exemptions (income, VAT, import tariffs). In May 2012, the formation of a third Special Economic Zone, at Manga-Mungassa, in Sofala Province, was announced. These zones enjoy preferential tax regimes and non-tax incentives approved by law with a view to promoting and stimulating the development of the country, including exemption from import tariffs, Value Added Tax (VAT) on the import of equipment and materials destined for the activity licensed in the zones. Nacala Special Economic Zone In the Maputo Corridor, only 75 km from Ressano Grarcia, on the border between Mozambique and the Republic of South Africa. The N4, which connects Maputo with the economic heart of South Africa, Witbank, Johannesburg and Pretoria, serves Beluluane. INDUSTRY (II) Located at the terminus of the transport axis, known as the Nacala Development Corridor, comprising the road which links the provincial capital (Nampula) with the countries in the interior, in particular Malawi and Zambia, an economic and social developent axis. Within the scope of its responsibilities and competencies, GAZEDA – Gabinete das Zonas Económicas de Desenvolvimento Acelerado, can guarantee access to these incentives. GAZEDA is a Mozambique state entity, with administrative autonomy, under the auspices of the ministry which supervises Planning and Development. GAZEDA is responsible for promoting and coordinating all initiatives relating to the creation, development and management of the Special Economic Zones, including Free Enterprise Zones. Sources: GAZEDA, PES 2011, INP, ES Research - Sectoral Research. ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research 26 Mozambique The economy’s sectoral structure (XVII) Although it still has a tiny weight in the country’s GDP, equal to about 2% (5% if we include indirect impacts), the tourism sector continues to recover ground, both in terms of attracting investments to increase accommodation capacity and the quality of the service offering and in terms of improvement in telecommunications and transport infrastructure. According to WTTC – World Travel and Tourism Council forecasts, the sector should grow at an average annual rate of 6% over the next ten years. The majority of tourists who travel to Mozambique are from South Africa. In 2010, 51% of tourists were from the neighbouring country. Malawi, Zimbabwe, Swaziland, Portugal, Germany, the United Kingdom and the United States are other key markets for Mozambique’s tourism sector. According to the Direcção Nacional de Turismo, the number of foreign tourists visiting Mozambique in 2011 increased by 11%, from 1.8 million, in 2010, to around 2 million, in 2011. TOURISM (I) In July 2011, the government designated four Tourism Interest Zones, areas which have natural and cultural features appropriate for tourism development: Pemba and Pemba Bay (Cabo Delgado Province), parts of the districts of Lago and Lichinga (Niassa Province), the municipality of the Island of Mozambique and parts of the district of Mossuril – Matibane and Cruss and Jamali Islands (Nampula Province) and Inhassoro (Inhambane Province). Through the implementation of projects in specific Pemba and East localities, Mozambique plans to transform these provinces Lago Coast to Murrébué into important centres for development of high quality Pemba Bay Lichinga tourism. The Arco-Norte project, funded by the North-American Mossuril development agency, USAID, has been providing technical assistance to tourism sector entities in the northern provinces of Nampula, Niassa and Cabo Delgado. Island of Likewise, the so-called Âncora projects, underway in these Mozambique areas, are stimulating growth and investment in the tourism sector in Mozambique, by implementing projects in Inhassoro Sources: Inatur, PES 2012, WTTC, ES Research - Sectoral Research. ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research 27 Mozambique TOURISM (II) The economy’s sectoral structure (XVIII) specific locations, with the objective of turning these provinces into important centres for the development of high quality tourism. The implementation of plans for these priority zones, for investment in tourism and the promotion of construction of basic infrastructure in these areas are included in the PES 2012. Investment in professional training and in the construction of new hotels is planned within the scope of the Kapulana project promoted by Inatur – Instituto Nacional do Turismo, which is responsible for promoting tourism development, classifying tourist establishments, developing tourism interest zones, studies and development programs and promoting tourism activities. The project consists of the phased construction of medium and high standard hotels, at reasonable costs, to be managed by the local business community, in at least 56 districts in Mozambique, in accordance with regional distribution criteria and the funding available to the institution. Among the key objectives defined in the PES 2012 for the tourism sector are the continuation of the rehabilitation of Conservation Areas and the protection of biodiversity, carrying out promotion initiatives to position Mozambique as a world-class tourism destination and development of a tourism management information system. The niche markets of strategic interest for Mozambique, according to the Strategic Plan for the Development of Tourism in Mozambique (2004-2013) are as follows: i) Deep sea fishing and diving: ii) Hunting, bird watching and ecotourism; iii) Cruise ships; iv) Luxury (tropical islands); v) Culture. The nature of tourism in the South emphasises regional and domestic tourism, coastal tourism and nautical sports; the Central region is better geared as a ecotourism and adventure tourism destination, mainly for niche international markets; the North will tend to be developed exclusively as a beach and international ecotourism destination with a signficant cultural component. The Portuguese groups Visabeira (which controls Turvisa, the largest company in the tourism sector in Mozambique with five hotels in operation and three planned) and Pestana already operate several hotel units in Mozambique. The main airline serving Mozambique’s airports are, in addition to Linhas Aéreas Moçambicanas, South African Airways, TAP – Air Portugal, Kenya Airways, Ethiopian Airlines and Airlink. Sources: Inatur, PES 2012, KPMG, ES Research - Sectoral Research. ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research 28 The Country's Economic Context Industry Structure International Trade, Bilateral Trade with Portugal and Opportunities BES Group’s Internationalisation Support: International Premium Unit BES Group's International Offering Contacts ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research Mozambique International Trade – Partners Mozambique’s imports by country, 2011 Rank Country Imports Share (EUR millions) (%) Mozambique’s exports by country, 2011 Rank Country Imports Share (EUR millions) (%) 1 South Africa 1 532.6 33.6 1 The Netherlands 1007.0 38.9 2 The Netherlands 485.6 10.7 2 South Africa 419.4 16.2 3 UAE 288.1 6.4 3 United Kingdom 142.7 5.5 4 China 268.5 5.9 4 China 120.4 4.7 5 India 215.8 4.8 5 Iran 109.0 4.2 6 USA 210.0 4.6 6 Malaysia 100.4 3.9 7 Portugal 162.0 3.6 7 Zimbabwe 91.4 3.5 8 United Kingdom 160.0 3.5 8 Switzerland 71.7 2.8 9 Japan 133.2 2.9 9 India 62.6 2.4 10 Kuwait 121.5 2.7 10 Spain 59.9 2.3 … … … … 15 Portugal 30.7 1.2 Source: UNComtrade. ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research 30 Mozambique International Trade – Goods Imports and Exports (World) Mozambique’s top 10 exports, 2011 Mozambique’s top 10 imports, 2011 2011 (EUR Million) Share (%) CAGR06-11 (%) 7604 - Bars, Rods And Profiles, Of Aluminium, N.E.S. 968.7 37.4 1 900.4 2716 -Electrical Energy 213.5 8.2 10.8 30.3 7601 - Unwrought Aluminium 198.3 7.7 -27.7 4.3 17.0 2711 - Petroleum Gas And Other Gaseous Hydrocarbons 134.1 5.2 11.2 147.4 3.3 69.8 2401 - Unmanufactured Tobacco; Tobacco Refuse 128.1 5.0 10.1 8431 - Parts Suitable For Use Solely Or Principally With The Machinery Of Heading 8425 To 8430, N.E.S. 112.7 2.5 75.6 803 - Bananas, Incl. Plantains, Fresh Or Dried 121.2 4.7 151.7 1001 - Wheat And Meslin 100.6 2.2 16.1 4407 - Wood Sawn Or Chipped Lengthwise, Sliced Or Peeled, Whether Or Not Planed, Sanded Or End-Jointed 89.9 3.5 72.2 1006 - Rice 97.2 2.1 8.1 2614 - Titanium Ores And Concentrates 87.6 3.4 n.a. 7308 - Structures And Parts Of Structures "E.G., Bridges And Bridge-Sections, Lock-Gates, Towers, Lattice Masts, Roofs, Roofing Frameworks, Doors And Windows 93.2 2.1 36.5 1701 - Cane Or Beet Sugar And Chemically Pure Sucrose, In Solid Form 62.9 2.4 20.4 8703 - Motor Cars And Other Motor Vehicles Principally Designed For The Transport Of Persons 89.6 2.0 17.3 801 - Coconuts, Brazil Nuts And Cashew Nuts, Fresh Or Dried, Whether Or Not Shelled Or Peeled 59.9 2.3 17.7 2011 (EUR Million) Share (%) CAGR06-11 (%) 2710 - Petroleum Oils And Oils Obtained From Bituminous Minerals (Excl. Crude) 788.2 17.4 23.8 7601 - Unwrought Aluminium 432.0 9.5 1 254.7 2716 -Electrical Energy 225.6 5.0 8704 - Motor Vehicles For The Transport Of Goods, Incl. Chassis With Engine And Cab 195.6 8429 - Self-Propelled Bulldozers, Angledozers, Graders, Levellers, Scrapers, Mechanical Shovels, Excavators, Shovel Loaders, Tamping Machines And Roadrollers Products (H.S. 4) Products (H.S. 4) Source: UNComtrade. ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research 31 Mozambique International Trade – Bilateral relations with Portugal (I) Portugal’s trade balance with Mozambique, 2006, 2010 and 2011 (EUR millions) Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) CAGR06-11 of exports = 22.8% CAGR06-11 of imports = 7.8% Surplus balance EUR 223 million Exports 305 86 213 109 2006 82 61 56 2010 Exports of goods and services In 2011, 2 036 companies exported goods to Mozambique 2011 218 Services (28%) Imports Goods (72%) 874 Services (45%) 37 45 Goods (55%) 2011 +34% In 2010, 1 518 companies exported goods to Mozambique Imports of goods and services Sources: INE, Banco de Portugal. ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research 32 Mozambique International Trade – Bilateral relations with Portugal (goods) (II) Top 10 Portuguese imports from Mozambique, 2011 Top 10 Portuguese exports to Mozambique, 2011 2011 (EUR Million) Share (%) CAGR06-11 (%) 2011 (EUR Million) Share (%) CAGR06-11 (%) 20.7 49.3 41.6 8429 - Self-Propelled Bulldozers, Angledozers, Graders, Levellers, Scrapers, Mechanical Shovels, Excavators, Shovel Loaders, Tamping Machines And Roadrollers 10.3 4.7 67.0 0306 - Crustaceans, Whether In Shell Or Not, Live, Fresh, Chilled, Frozen, Dried, Salted Or In Brine, Even Smoked, Incl. Crustaceans In Shell Cooked By Steaming Or By 9.2 21.8 -12.4 8504 - Electrical Transformers, Static Converters, E.G. Rectifiers, And Inductors; Parts Thereof 9.2 4.2 36.8 2401 - Unmanufactured Tobacco; Tobacco Refuse 8.9 21.3 46.3 8544 - Insulated "Incl. Enamelled Or Anodised" Wire, Cable "Incl. Coaxial Cable" And Other Insulated Electric Conductors; Optical Fibre Cables 9.2 4.2 23.0 5201 - Cotton, Neither Carded Nor Combed 2.2 5.3 -12.2 8901 - Cruise Ships, Excursion Boats, Ferry-Boats, Cargo Ships, Barges And Similar Vessels For The Transport Of Persons Or Goods 8.4 3.8 --- 0302 - Fish, Fresh Or Chilled (Excl. Fish Fillets And Other Fish Meat Of Heading 0304) 0.2 0.4 -23.6 4901 - Printed Books, Brochures And Similar Printed Matter, Whether Or Not In Single Sheets 8.1 3.7 0.6 8544 - Insulated "Incl. Enamelled Or Anodised" Wire, Cable "Incl. Coaxial Cable" And Other Insulated Electric Conductors; Optical Fibre Cables 0.2 0.4 353.7 7308 - Structures And Parts Of Structures "E.G., Bridges And Bridge-Sections, Lock-Gates, Towers, Lattice Masts, Roofs, Roofing Frameworks, Doors And Windows 7.7 3.5 25.8 1202 - Groundnuts, Whether Or Not Shelled Or Broken (Excl. Roasted Or Otherwise Cooked) 0.1 0.2 --- 9403 - Furniture And Parts Thereof, N.E.S. (Excl. Seats And Medical, Surgical, Dental Or Veterinary Furniture) 5.7 2.6 40.4 0713 - Dried Leguminous Vegetables, Shelled, Whether Or Not Skinned Or Split 0.1 0.2 --- 8517 - Telephone Sets, Incl. Telephones For Cellular Networks Or For Other Wireless Networks; Other Apparatus For The Transmission Or Reception Of Voice, 5.1 2.4 27.5 7108 - Gold, Incl. Gold Plated With Platinum, Unwrought Or Not Further Worked Than Semi-Manufactured Or In Powder Form 0.1 0.2 13.0 2204 - Wine Of Fresh Grapes, Incl. Fortified Wines; Grape Must 5.1 2.3 7.2 5308 - Yarn Of Vegetable Textile Fibres; Paper Yarn 0.0 0.1 --- 8537 - Boards, Panels, Consoles, Desks, Cabinets And Other Bases 4.9 2.2 23.1 Products (H.S. 4) 1701 - Cane Or Beet Sugar And Chemically Pure Sucrose, In Solid Form Products (H.S. 4) Sources: INE, Banco de Portugal. ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research 33 Mozambique Goods export opportunities (I) Set of products (goods) identified as needs (imports) of Mozambique for which Portugal has production and export capacity, thus representing opportunities to increase the volume of Portuguese exports to Mozambique. Top 10 export opportunities to Mozambique, 2010 8507 - Electric accumulators, incl. separators therefor, whether or not square or rectangular; parts thereof (excl. spent and those of unhardened rubber or textiles) 2204 - Wine of fresh grapes, incl. fortified wines; grape must excluding those included in heading 2009 8207 - Tools, interchangeable, for hand tools, whether or not 3102 - Mineral or chemical nitrogenous fertilisers (excl. those in pellet or similar forms, or in packages with a gross weight of <= 10 kg) power-operated, or for machine tools 4014 - Hygienic or pharmaceutical articles, incl. teats, of vulcanised rubber (excl. hard rubber), with or without fittings of hard rubber 7310 - Tanks, casks, drums, cans, boxes and similar containers, of iron or steel, for any material "other than compressed or liquefied gas", of a capacity of <= 300 l, not fitted with mechanical or thermal equipment 8428 - Lifting, handling, loading or unloading machinery, e.g. lifts, escalators, conveyors, teleferics 7010 - Carboys, bottles, flasks, jars, pots, phials, ampoules and other containers, of glass, of a kind used for the conveyance or packing of goods, preserving jars, stoppers, lids and other closures, of glass 6309 - Worn clothing and clothing accessories, blankets and travelling rugs, household linen and articles for interior furnishing, of all types of textile materials, incl. all types of footwear and headgear 8708 - Parts and accessories for tractors, motor vehicles for the transport of persons, motor cars, motor vehicles for the transport of goods Sources: UNComtrade, OECD, ES Research - Sectoral Research. ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research 34 Mozambique Goods export opportunities (II) Top 10 export opportunities to Mozambique (Amount and rank of Mozambique’s world imports) 2006 2010 (EUR Millions) (EUR Millions) CAGR06-10 (%) Rank 2010 Share (%) 3102 - Mineral or Chemical Nitrogenous Fertilisers 10.2 28.1 28.9 12 1.0 8428 - Lifting, Handling, Loading Or Unloading Machinery, E.G. Lifts, Escalators, Conveyors, Teleferics 2.9 21.4 64.7 17 0.8 8708 - Parts And Accessories For Tractors, Motor Vehicles For The Transport Of Ten Or More Persons, Motor Cars And Other Motor Vehicles Principally Designed For The Transport Of Persons 10.5 15.3 9.8 23 0.6 6309 - Worn Clothing And Clothing Accessories, Blankets And Travelling Rugs, Household Linen And Articles For Interior Furnishing, Of All Types Of Textile Materials 10.6 15.0 9.0 25 0.6 7010 - Carboys, Bottles, Flasks, Jars, Pots, Phials, Ampoules And Other Containers, Of Glass, 4.2 9.1 21.5 41 0.3 7310 - Tanks, Casks, Drums, Cans, Boxes And Similar Containers, Of Iron Or Steel 6.2 8.9 9.4 44 0.3 4014 - Hygienic Or Pharmaceutical Articles, Incl. Teats, Of Vulcanised Rubber (Excl. Hard Rubber) 1.5 8.9 55.7 45 0.3 8207 - Tools, Interchangeable, For Hand Tools, Whether Or Not Power-Operated, Or For Machine Tools 0.6 8.2 92.8 49 0.3 2204 - Wine Of Fresh Grapes, Incl. Fortified Wines; Grape Must 2.5 7.2 30.0 57 0.3 8507 - Electric Accumulators, Incl. Separators Therefor, Whether Or Not Square Or Rectangular; Parts Thereof 4.2 6.1 9.8 66 0.2 Products (H.S. 4) Sources: UNComtrade, OECD, ES Research - Sectoral Research. ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research 35 Mozambique Goods export opportunities (III) Cloud of Export Opportunities to Mozambique Base and processed metals Agricultural produce and foodstuffs Machines and apparatus 7324 - Sanitary ware, and parts thereof, of iron or steel 1209 - Seeds, fruits and spores, for sowing 8463 - Machine tools for working metal, sintered metal carbides or cermets 8205 - Hand tools, incl. glaziers' diamonds, of base metal, N.E.S.; blowlamps and the like; vices, clamps and the like 8301 - Padlocks and locks "key, combination or electrically operated", of base metal; clasps and frames with clasps, incorporating locks, of base metal; keys for any of the foregoing articles, of base metal 8303 - Armoured or reinforced safes, strong-boxes and doors and safe deposit lockers for strong-rooms, cash or deed boxes and the like, of base metal Plastics 1905 - Bread, pastry, cakes, biscuits and other bakers' wares, whether or not containing cocoa; communion wafers, empty cachets of a kind suitable for pharmaceutical use, sealing wafers, rice paper 2009 - Fruit juices, incl. grape must, and vegetable juices, unfermented, not containing added spirit 2104 - Soups and broths and preparations therefor; food preparations consisting of finely homogenised mixtures of two or more basic ingredients 8470 - Calculating machines and pocket-size data recording, reproducing and displaying machines; accounting machines, postage-franking machines, ticket-issuing machines; cash registers 8530 - Electrical signalling, safety or traffic control equipment for railways, tramways, roads, inland waterways, parking facilities, port installations or airfields 8547 - Insulating fittings Other sectors 3917 - Tubes, pipes and hoses, and fittings therefor, e.g. joints, elbows, flanges, of plastics 3923 - Articles for the conveyance or packaging of goods, of plastics; stoppers, lids, caps and other closures, of plastics 3924 - Tableware, kitchenware, other household articles and toilet articles, of plastics 3209 - Paints and varnishes, incl. enamels and lacquers, based on synthetic polymers or chemically modified natural polymers, dispersed or dissolved in an aqueous medium 4819 - Cartons, boxes, cases, bags and other packing containers, of paper, paperboard, cellulose wadding or webs of cellulose fibres, N.E.S.; box files, letter trays, and similar articles, of paperboard of a kind used in offices, shops or the like 4821 - Paper or paperboard labels of all kinds, whether or not printed ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research 6910 - Ceramic sinks, washbasins, washbasin pedestals, baths, bidets, water closet pans, flushing cisterns, urinals and similar sanitary fixtures 6908 - Glazed ceramic flags and paving, hearth or wall tiles; glazed ceramic mosaic cubes and the like 6401 - Waterproof footwear with outer soles and uppers of rubber or of plastics 9402 - Medical, surgical, dental or veterinary furniture; barbers' chairs and similar chairs 36 The Country's Economic Context Industry Structure International Trade, Bilateral Trade with Portugal and Opportunities BES Group’s Internationalisation Support: International Premium Unit BES Group's International Offering Contacts ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research Mozambique BES Group's Internationalisation Support (I) BES is the Portuguese bank with the largest international presence and the best international offering: for the 5th consecutive year it won the award for “The Best Trade Finance Bank”. Subsidiaries and Associates: BES Angola, BES Oriente (Macao), BES Cape Verde, ESIB (Brazil, Mexico, Poland, USA, United Kingdom, Angola, Spain), Moza Banco (Mozambique), BES Vénétie (France), ES Bank (USA), ES Plc (Ireland), Aman Bank (Libya), IJAR Leasing (Algeria), Dublin London New York Madrid Lisbon Toronto Newark Miami Mexico City Nassau Cape Verde Cayman Islands Algiers Warsaw Paris Cologne Zurich Lausanne Geneva Execution Noble (China and India), Banque Extérieur d’Algérie (Algeria), Banque Marocaine du Commerce Extérieur Shanghai Tripoli Macao Caracas Mumbai Hong Kong (Morocco), Banco delle Tre Venezie (Italy). International Branches: Madrid, New York, London, Luxembourg, Nassau, Cayman Islands, Caracas. Luanda Off-shore branch: Madeira. Maputo Representative and Remittances Offices: Rio de Janeiro São Paulo Johannesburg Toronto, Mexico City, Caracas, Rio de Janeiro, São Paulo, Lausanne, Geneva, Zurich, London, Cologne, Johannesburg, Shanghai, Newark. ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research 38 Mozambique BES Group’s Internationalisation Support (II) Moza Banco is commited to being the Bank of choice for Portuguese companies doing business with and in Mozambique ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ Bank in operation since June 2008. # (#) N. of Business Units Dec 2012 (36) (N. of Bank Branches) Dec 2012 (23) Activity focused on the corporate, private and affluent segments. Current branch network equal to 10 (20 Business Units). Retail network expansion to all provinces under way, expected to rise to a total of 23 Branches comprising 36 Business Units (22 Branches, 10 Corporate Centres and 4 Private Banking Centres). 2(1) 0(0) Niassa Nampula 4(2) Tete Zambézia Wide range of Corporate Banking products, including: Sofala Manica Letters of Credit, Import/export collection, Bank Guarantees treasury management ▪ Transactional banking services in the 1(1) 3(1) Inhambane 1(1) Gaza 1(1) Current network Coal mines Water dam domestic and international markets 17(13) ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research 5(2) 2(1) ▪ Trade Finance: Import and Export ▪ Funding for investment projects and Cabo Delgado Maputo Oil and gas Ports and railways 39 Mozambique BES Group's Support to Internationalisation (III) Banco Espírito Santo, through the team of international bankers of its International Premium Unit, actively supports the Portuguese business community: Bankers with deep market expertise in charge of the various geographical areas: INTERNATIONAL BANKERS Eastern Europe and Asia Mature markets + China Maghreb and Turkey Middle East Africa Latin America Search for credit solutions for the clients from the vast network of Correspondent Banks; CORRESPONDENT BANKERS Search for business opportunities from the corporate banking areas of the Correspondent Banks. ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research 40 The Country's Economic Context Industry Structure International Trade, Bilateral Trade with Portugal and Opportunities BES Group’s Internationalisation Support: International Premium Unit BES Group's International Offering Contacts ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research Mozambique BES Group's International Offering A Global and Innovative Offering to Support the Internationalisation of the Portuguese Companies ES Research: Market Data Investment Banking Multipessoal Group Macroeconomic surveys Project Finance Recruitment of specialists (M Search) Sectoral surveys M&A Market research Corporate Finance Outsourcing, temporary work, training and consulting services with presence in Angola and Spain Commercial Banking Business Development Support to Account Opening / KYC Support to treasury monitoring / centralisation Venture Capital Support as partner in internationalisation projects Tranquilidade International Transport Insurance ES Ventures FX Risk Hedging Support to Exports/Imports; Trade Finance; Import Financing Bank Guarantees / Stand By Letters of Credit International Factoring – agreement to use Eurofactor’s European network Support to business partners’ search ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research ES Capital 2bCapital Espírito Santo Rockefeller Global Energy Fund 42 Contexto Económico do País Estrutura Sectorial Comércio Internacional, Bilateral com Portugal e Oportunidades Apoios à Internacionalização: Unidade Internacional Premium Oferta Internacional do GBES Contactos ISKO Mozambique International Premium Unit/ ES Research - Sectoral Research Disclaimer This document was prepared by Banco Espírito Santo and/or any of its subsidiaries (“BES”) and is intended solely for release by BES to qualified investors. 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Investors should make their own assessment of the risks from a legal, tax and accounting perspective prior to investing in such products. Past performance is no guarantee to future performance. This document is being distributed to, and is intended solely for the use of, institutional investors. Notwithstanding the generality of the preceding sentence, this document is intended solely for the use of the institutional investor to which it has been sent by BES and such recipient’s agents, employees, advisors and representatives. If you have received this document in error, you are urged to destroy it or return it immediately to BES. The prices of any financial instruments described in this document are indicative prices only and do not constitute firm bids or offers. BES or its affiliates may choose to make a market for any such financial instruments, but neither BES nor any of its affiliates has an obligation to do so. Any such market-making activities may be discontinued at any time without notice. Certain information contained in this document has been derived from public sources that BES deems to be reliable. Neither BES nor any of its affiliates, however, have independently verified such publicly available information nor do they take responsibility for its accuracy or completeness. Any U.S. person receiving this document and wishing to effect transactions in any financial instruments discussed herein should do so, if applicable, through BES and not through any non-U.S. affiliate of BES. 44 International Premium Unit Head Ricardo Bastos Salgado [email protected] International Business Manager Marta Mariz [email protected] Managers Miguel Frasquilho [email protected] Francisco Mendes Palma [email protected] Head Sectoral Strategist International Premium Unit – Africa International Business Head Bruno Pereira [email protected] Joana Reis [email protected] Financial Institutions Manager Bernardo Sotto Mayor [email protected] Sectoral Research Susana Barros [email protected] Luís Ribeiro Rosa [email protected] Paulo Talhão Paulino [email protected] Conceição Leitão [email protected] João Pereira Miguel [email protected] Patrícia Agostinho [email protected] Salvador Salazar Leite [email protected] Miguel Bidarra [email protected] José Manuel Botelho [email protected] 45
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