New Wine in an old Bottle? President Mwanawasa’s New Deal Government and its Impact on Zambian Society (2001 – 2006)1 Alex Mwamba Ng’oma Department of Political and Administrative Studies, University of Zambia, and Department of Political Science, Southern Illinois University Carbondale, USA. Abstract When, in 2001, Levy Patrick Mwanawasa became Zambia’s third Republican President, he informed his supporters that he was going to give the nation a New Deal government. This article asserts that the concept of the New Deal that Mwanawasa used to symbolize his style of administration was not his innovation, although he wanted it to look that way among unsuspecting Zambians. Mwanawasa actually borrowed, or copied this term from Franklin Delano Roosevelt, America’s thirty-second President (1933–1945). Roosevelt is widely acknowledged as having popularized the use of the term New Deal during the Great Depression; he used it to describe the series of reform programs that he formulated and implemented, in an effort to stabilize the American economy during that turbulent era. Taking a leaf from Roosevelt’s administration, this article posits that Mwanawasa adopted the New Deal approach to governmental affairs because he hoped to make drastic policy changes. Understood from this perspective, the anticipated changes should have constituted a substantial departure from the President’s party manifesto, in favor of reason, professional experience and personal beliefs. The article comes to the conclusion that Mwanawasa did not actually succeed in departing substantially from his party’s manifesto. Key words: government, New Deal, change, ideology, manifesto, Great Depression Introduction When Presidents ascend to the corridors of power, they do so normally with a clear national agenda to follow. In some cases, such an agenda reflects the President’s party ideology and/or manifesto. In other, less common, cases, it turns out to be largely an innovative program of action reflecting the individual leader’s professional experience and personal beliefs. What determines whether a particular President follows the former or the latter approach, or indeed any other approach is, nonetheless, a topic for a different article altogether. 1 The presidential term of office in Zambia is 5 years. Mwanawasa was controversially declared the winner of the presidential poll that was conducted in December 2001. He was sworn in as Zambia’s third Republican President only in January 2002. When Levy Patrick Mwanawasa moved to State House as Zambia’s third Republican President in 2001, he announced that he was going to give the nation a New Deal. The concept of a New Deal aroused a lot of curiosity in Zambia at that time. For one thing, the concept was not contained anywhere in the Movement for Multi-party Democracy (MMD)’s party manifesto, Mwanawasa’s political party. For another thing, the concept was unfamiliar to the ordinary Zambian, because it was not a regular term in everyday language or, indeed, in Zambian media jargon per se. As such, members of the press as well as members of the general public begun asking the President to shed some light on what exactly he meant by his chosen style of administration. Surprisingly, the number one citizen flatly refused to yield. At the same time, however, the President expected the people of Zambia to rally behind him and to support his administration even if they did not understand what exactly it stood for. This article posits that Mwanawasa’s New Deal administration took a cue from Franklin Delano Roosevelt (1882-1945), America’s thirty-second President (1933–1945). Roosevelt, popularly known as FDR, is widely acknowledged as having popularized the use of this term during the Great Depression. In his speech accepting his nomination as the Democratic Party’s presidential candidate for the summer elections of 1932, Roosevelt asserted: “I pledge you, I pledge myself, to a new deal for the American people” (Edsforth 2000: 1). Afterwards, Roosevelt repeatedly used the term New Deal to characterize the set of economic reform programs that he formulated and implemented in an effort to stabilize the American economy during that turbulent era. Former British Prime Minister, Tony Blair, (1997-2007), is also believed to have presided over a New Deal type of administration. According to the British media, Blair’s New Deal government was, among other things, a long-term job-creation program. And according to Rile and Young (2001: 1), “Welfare-to-work programs (such as Britain’s New Deal) were implemented in several OECD countries during the 1990s.” Some of these OECD countries are: Australia, Denmark, Switzerland and Sweden (OECD 1996). Britain joined them as a latecomer in 1997. This article uses data gathered through desk research to assert the view that Mwanawasa’s New Deal is not genuinely a case of “new wine in an old bottle.” Rather, it is a case of old ideas that are recycled and presented in an old approach unknown to the local people. To lay the groundwork for this discussion, this paper first of all recounts Roosevelt’s and Blair’s New Deal programs which appear to have inspired Mwanawasa’s administration. Evolution of the Concept Roosevelt’s New Deal Programs. In November, 1932, Roosevelt (a Democratic) defeated Herbert Hoover (a Republican) in the presidential election and moved to the White House a year later, as America’s thirty-second President (1933–1945). At that time, the now famous Great Depression was already in its third-year. The Great Depression was the culmination of the instability that had characterized the global market in the late 1920s. On Tuesday, October 29th, 1929, that instability, which was marked by falling commodity and stock prices, finally caused the American stock market at the Wall Street in New York to crash (Edsforth 2000). The crash, in turn, triggered off the Great Depression whose impact reached all the corners of the globe. For this reason, Tuesday, October 29th, 1929, is now historically referred to as Black 2 Tuesday. In America in particular, the impact of the Great Depression was catastrophic. Most hit by it was the banking sector which was instantly thrown into disarray: 20 percent of the banks simply folded up, leading to a 15-percent loss of the people’s deposits held in them (Brogan 1950). It was not surprising, therefore, that many Americans lost confidence in their banking sector and hastily began to withdraw their money from the surviving banks and keeping it at home. Falling manufacturing output, poor agricultural performance, and sky-rocketing unemployment were the other symptoms of the Great Depression in America. At the beginning of his first-term of office in 1933, Roosevelt, aged 51, did not have a clearly defined reform program to tone down the ill-effects of the depression. At the same time, he appeared to have had no wish to follow the prescriptions of his party’s manifesto or ideology. Rather, he opted to depend on his professional experience and personal beliefs. Coming from a legal back ground, his experience in public life included his term of office as Senator of New York (1910-1913), his appointment as Assistant Secretary of the Navy in President Woodrow Wilson’s administration (1913-1919), and his two-term reign as a distinguished Governor of New York State (1928-1932). In his inaugural speech as President, Roosevelt, a survival of poliomyelitis (1921) which left him walking in crutches for the rest of his adult life, courageously urged the American people not to allow themselves to be overwhelmed by what they saw around them. “The only thing we have to fear,” he suggested infectiously, “is fear itself” (Brogan 1950: 44). His short-term response to the economic malaise came in the form of a set of practical measures, dubbed as the New Deal, which were largely experimental. Edsforth (2000: 1) confirms this when he writes that: “The New Deal” is what the new President, the Press, and everyone else in the country called the laws Congress began enacting just days after FDR took office in the first week of March 1933. This New Deal, an unprecedented expansion of federal government programs during Franklin Roosevelt’s first two administrations, was America’s national response to the Great Depression. Political historians suggest that Roosevelt adopted the term New Deal from the title of Stuart Chase’s book, A New Deal, and began using it to distinguish his reforms from those of his uncle and former President, Theodore Roosevelt. The latter’s economic measures had been known as the Square Deal (Bernstein, in Bernstein [ed], 1968). Roosevelt’s New Deal reform programs implemented between 1933 and 1937 came in two phases, known respectively as the “First New Deal” (1933-1934) and the “Second New Deal” (1935-1937) (Brogan 1950: 360). These programs had three main components: financial reforms, general economic recovery programs, and direct relief measures; together they were referred to as the Three Rs (Edsforth 2000; Spies 1999). Through these reforms, Roosevelt sought to address the various effects of the Great Depression. In so doing, he also hoped to undo the excesses of the unfettered individualism that had characterized Hoover’s economic plans. Hoover had been an ardent believer in the private-sector as an engine for economic development. As such, he gave the big corporations all the lee way they said they needed in order to propel the American economy to greater heights. Roosevelt responded to this scenario by passing a set of laws, especially in his first 100 days in to 3 reverse the trend. The measures of the First New Deal were designed to address group interests, to ensure that no American starved to death (Edsforth 2000). For instance, they were the ones that created the Civilian Conservation Corps (CCC), among other government agencies, to provide employment to Native Americans and to young people, in rural-based development programs where special skills were not required. These laborrelated measures reduced unemployment from 24.9 % in 1933 to 1.9 % in 1945 (Spies 1999). The reforms of the Second New Deal, on the other hand, passed the Social Security Act in 1935, among many others, leading to the creation of social security and unemployment insurance programs. Through such reforms, Roosevelt allowed his government to exercise greater control over the people’s private domains of life generally. Roosevelt’s New Deal programs were based, in part, on the prescriptions of the British economist, John Maynard Keynes, that government had a role to play in economic affairs. That role, in Keynesian economic theory, was that of providing an enabling environment for business to flourish. Roosevelt’s opposition to monopoly and his overt sympathy and support for the disadvantaged turned him into an instant enemy of the wellto-do in society. His New Deal reforms inspired hope in many American people. The reforms are believed to have been successful in arresting the down-turn of the American economy, although they did not end the Depression. Roosevelt ruled America for four consecutive terms, having been re-elected three times more after his first-term of office. He died of cerebral hemorrhage while still in office, on April 12th, 1945, at Warm Springs in Georgia (Spies 1999). For a majority of Americans who lived through the Great Depression and a majority of their children, the New Deal was understood to be a great national achievement, something akin to establishing the Republic or abolishing slavery” (Edsforth 2000: 2). However, for Roosevelt’s critics (the conservatives), especially the bankers and businessmen, the New Deal reform programs were ideologically incoherent. The critics, thus, began to ridicule them by referring to them as the “alphabet soup,” in apparent reference to the many alphabet agencies that the President had created, to deal with the various problems of that time. The critics abhorred the fact that political power, especially as it pertained to decision-making, came to be concentrated in the Executive Branch. They also argued that the New Deal programs were costly for the nation and, thus, needed to be halted. On that account, they began to challenge some of them in Court, and were actually successful in stopping some of them (Brogan 1950). Blair’s New Deal. Tony Blair, whose full names are Anthony Charles Lynton Blair, led his Labor Party in implementing a type of New Deal too, beginning in 1997 (Stephens 2004). Two years before that, Blair had mobilized to repeal Clause IV of his party’s Constitution, thereby abandoning the policy of common ownership of national assets (that is, nationalization), and replacing it with democratic socialism (Rentoul 2002). Blair popularized the use of the term New Labor, to emphasize the point that his party was, under his leadership, very different in its outlook, aims and orientation, especially by being pro-market and less collectivist (Beckett and Hencke 2004). 4 Born on May 6th, 1953, Blair, a charismatic person and a Member of Parliament (MP) for the Constituency of Sedgefield (1983-2007), assumed the leadership of the Labor Party in July 1994, following the untimely demise of the incumbent, John Smith. Blair went on to become Britain’s Prime Minister on May 2, 1997, at the age of 43. He was re-elected in 2001 and again in 2005. He voluntarily stepped down ten years later, half-way through his third-term of office, on June 27th, 2007. He now has gone down the annals of political history as Britain’s longest-serving Prime Minister in almost two centuries. His voluntary departure from public office half-way through his third-term of office is believed to have been intended to allow his successor, Gordon Brown (Blair’s former Chancellor of the Exchequer), to consolidate himself in power, in readiness for the next round of general elections. On October 1, 1996, Blair, in a speech he delivered at his party’s pre-election conference, declared that his government would make education a priority in combating unemployment. “Ask me my three main priorities of government,” he taunted, “and I will tell you: education, education and education” (Rentoul 2002: 501). True to his word, his regime provided training for the unemployed as well as subsidized jobs. Blair’s Employment-Creation Schemes Program Participants Found Work Young People 931, 400 550, 840 25 Plus 559, 780 213, 680 Lone Parents 575, 210 318, 620 Disabled People 120, 6000 54, 580 Partners 98, 040 33, 860 50 Plus 120, 600 54, 580 2, 405, 630 1, 226, 160 Total Source: Department of Work and Pensions SR2004, p. 27. According to the Department of Work and Pensions, 2, 405, 630 people participated in Blair’s New Deal’s preparatory programs, to improve their employability. During their period of training, referred to as the “gateway,” which lasted for four to six months, the participants were entitled to a job-seekers’ allowance (Stephens 2004). Their training consisted of discussions of their individual job needs, aspirations and openings. Such discussions were held with personal advisers and were designed to help each participant to choose among one of the four options: “(a) a subsidized job; (b) full-time education or training; (c) voluntary work; and (c) work with the environmental task force” (Blair 1999: 1). Once they graduated from their preparatory programs, the participants had another paid four months in which to prepare to pursue their chosen option. Of all the people who went through Blair’s New Deal programs, 1,226, 160, according to the 5 Department of Work and Pensions, finally found employment. The majority of the program participants were said to be young people. Blair’s administration refrained from adjusting income tax upwards, to avoid disadvantaging the new employees even further. His administration also set the National Minimum Wage for all, to ensure that the entrants in the labor market were not underpaid because of their lack of work experience generally. Employers who absorbed some of the New Deal program participants, or took part in training them, were given some weekly subsidies, for a period of up to six months. To discourage undue dependency on the New Deal programs’ unemployment benefits, Blair’s administration denied such benefits to anybody who went through the New Deal’s preparatory programs but later refused to take up reasonable salaried-employment. In his newsletter published in the Oxford Mail (January 28, 1999), Blair described his “New Deal jobs scheme as an unqualified success.” Nonetheless, the results of a research recently conducted by Riley and Young (2001: 1), on “welfare-to-work” programs, suggest that the impact of Blair’s New Deal programs has been minimal, contrary to Blair’s claims. In the view of the two researchers from the National Institute of Economic and Social Research, Britain’s unemployed could have found employment even without going through the New Deal’s preparatory programs, going by the many job openings that were popping up in the ever expanding civil service. And Field (2007: 2), an MP who once served as Britain’s Minister for Welfare Reform, asserts that “new statistical evidence … rebuts some recent claims by the Government that youth unemployment has, in Britain, been virtually abolished.” Field’s assertion turned out to be a very welcome finding to the Conservative Party (the party of the Tories), which vowed to scrap Blair’s New Deal programs (Blair, 2005), once in power again. According to the Tories, the New Deal programs have simply tended to inflate the national budget. Following this line of critique, Hale (2006: 3), has surprisingly claimed that “… Blair and Labor did not, and have never been communitarian despite frequent appeals to community …” By making this assertion, Hale pleads ignorance of the contents of Blair’s pamphlet, The Third Way: New Politics for a New Century, which lays out Blair’s communitarian inclinations. Mwanawasa’s New Deal To assess Mwanawasa’s New Deal, it is necessary to compare the policies, programs and objectives of his regime with those contained in his party’s manifesto. To be a real New Deal, the policies, programs and objectives of Mwanawasa’s regime must be substantially different from the prescriptions of his party manifesto. According to the MMD manifesto (2001: 3), to begin with, the party, in 1991, ten years before Mwanawasa’s Presidency, “rejected dictatorship” in the form of the OneParty State, as well as “economic bondage,” in the form of state control of the economy. In their place, the party promised democratic governance based on the rule of law, as well as economic reforms with three components: “the Public Sector Reform Program, the Privatization Program, and Export and Investment Promotion” (International Labor Organization 2002: 1). In pursuance of these IMF-sponsored reforms, the MMD government, under Dr. Frederick, J.T. Chiluba’s Presidency, drastically reduced the size of the civil service, liberalized the economy and privatized most of the parastatal organizations. By June 1996, ninety-seven companies had already been privatized, “resulting in the realization of US$119 million” (World Bank 1996: 2). Chiluba’s liberal 6 agenda actually brings him closer to Hoover and away from Roosevelt, in terms of economic orientation. When Mwanawasa became Zambia’s President in 2001, he did not offer a clear and direct explanation of what exactly he meant by a New Deal government. As such, to gain an insight into the intentions of his administration, one has to pick up bits and pieces of information here and there and then knit them together, to form a picture of some kind. To begin with, Mwanawasa, a lawyer like Roosevelt, seems to have chosen to be guided by his professional experience and beliefs, just like Roosevelt had done, rather than being guided by ideology or party manifesto per se2. Although Mwanawasa did not state explicitly, in his early days, that he was going to be his own man in his Presidency, his regular public pronouncements actually told it all. Many times, Zambia’s third Republican President declared publicly that his government was going to be a government of laws rather than a government of men. The ordinary Zambian generally took this kind of language at its face value, to imply that Mwanawasa possibly intended to use his superior legal skills to ensure that Zambian Law was enforced more forcefully and uncompromisingly than ever before. Analysts, on the other hand, avoided being so simplistic; they took Mwanawasa’s assertions to a higher level where they wondered whether the President implied that the regime of his predecessor, Chiluba, had not been based on the Rule of Law as such. One way of resolving this polarization of viewpoints is to look at where Mwanawasa was coming from, to arrive at the decisions and the political strategy that came to characterize his administration. During the economic adjustment that took place in the decade before Mwanawasa’s Presidency, the Zambian economy shrunk remarkably; copper mining, which is Zambia’s many stay, was halted and the once vibrant mining towns of Kitwe, Chingola, Ndola and Luanshya were literally turned into near ghost towns. Unemployment soared, impoverishing up to 80 % of the population, and inflation3 and interest rates simply went through the roof (Southern African Press Association 2005). The International Labor Organization (2002: 1) succinctly summarized the negative effects of Chiluba’s economic reforms when it stated that: The (Zambian) economy remained virtually stagnant during Chiluba’s Presidency (1991- 2001). Copper production fell sharply. Average economic growth was negative… GDP per capita declined from US$ 375 in 1980 to US$ 305 in 1990 and then to US$ 257 in 1995 (in 1987 US$). In 1998, the economy contracted by 2 per cent, thus lowering income per capita by around 5 per cent. 2 Mwanawasa was born in Mufulira on 3rd September, 1948. He acquired a law degree from the Law School of the University of Zambia where he was once Secretary General of the student union (UNZASU). President Kaunda, Zambia’s first Republican President, appointed him as Solicitor General in 1985 only to fire him a year later. Mwanawasa proved to be very useful during the formative months of the MMD when he won several injunctions on behalf of the MMD. He is married to Maureen with whom he has four children. 3 “Zambian consumers suffered high levels of inflation throughout the 1990s, with the rate peaking at 188% in 1993, before falling to an annual average of 26% at the end of the decade. The Kwacha (national currency) fell by 22% and 53.8% against the dollar in 1999 and 2000 respectively” (International Labor Organization 2002: 2) 7 The economic downturn that Zambia experienced during Chiluba’s Presidency (1991-2001) is, coincidentally, reminiscent of the economic malaise that America experienced during Hoover’s Presidency (1928-1932). However, that is not the only negative entry there is to be found on Chiluba’s résumé. The former President is also believed to have presided over an administration in which corruption in high places was believed to have reached alarming proportions. Details of the scam began to surface when the privately owned Post Newspaper, on August 17, 2001, carried an editorial entitled “A thief for President,” referring to Chiluba (The Post, July 9, 2002). Following that editorial, Fred M’membe (Post Editor), Bivan Saluseki (Post reporter), Dipak Patel and Edith Nawakwi (opposition Members of Parliament) were indicted to face charges of conspiring to defame the President. Their charges were dropped only when Mwanawasa moved to State House as Zambia’s third Republican President. In 1993, Stanford Hlazo, MMD Member of Parliament for Mumbwa district, resigned from the party, citing rampant corruption in the MMD government as the reason for his resignation. “Men who were with nothing (before the transition elections) on October 31, 1991,” deplored Hlazo, “have become overnight billionaires” (Weekly Post, 12 November 1993). Mwanawasa, like Hlazo, resigned his government portfolio as Chiluba’s Vice President in 1994, to distance himself from his boss’s failure to deal firmly and decisively with allegations of corruption (Lewanika 2005). Baldwin Nkumbula (Minister of Youth, Sport and Child Development), and Akashambatwa Mbikusita Lewanika (Minister of Education, Science and Technology) also resigned from Chiluba’s cabinet, in protest against the President’s failure to combat corruption. In July 2001, “Paul Tembo, former campaign manager for Chiluba who joined the opposition, was murdered shortly before he was due to testify against three ministers, in a high-level corruption case” (Sichalwe 2004: 1). Meanwhile, the donors decided to withhold US$96 million of the US$860 million that they had pledged to the Zambian government in bilateral assistance. Their demand was that corruption had to be dealt with before the rest of the pledges could be released (Africa Report, March-April 1993). These, in a nutshell, were some of the effects of the murky world of the plunder of national resources that prevailed just before Mwanawasa moved to State House at the beginning of his Presidency in 2001. Zambia was, at that time, ranked by Transparency International (TI) as the 90th most corrupt country in the world and as the 9th most corrupt country in Africa. “This is not an achievement (to be proud of)” (SABC NEWS, March 15, 2002), lamented an angry Mwanawasa, and added: “Zambia must be the number one corruption-free country in the world.” It was not surprising, therefore, that immediately he assumed power, the number one citizen established the country’s National Movement Against Corruption (NAMAC). Through NAMAC, Mwanawasa launched a serious assault on corruption in high places. It is, in fact, no exaggeration to state that Mwanawasa made the fight against corruption the centerpiece of his administration. The President, who explicitly regarded corruption as the “AIDS of democracy” (Hope, Sn. 1999: 289), urged his African counterparts to exercise zero tolerance for corruption by prosecuting anyone implicated in it. He suggested to them that democracy should, in the contemporary era, be defined, above everything else, in terms of the fight against corruption in all its various forms. Seven months into his first term of office, Mwanawasa, in July 2002, addressed Parliament and requested it, as required by the national Constitution, to lift his 8 predecessor’s presidential immunity, so that Chiluba could answer corruption charges (BBC News, Friday 12 July, 2002; Mulafulafu, in Drevensek [ed], 2002). This constitutional act shocked Chiluba beyond imagination, considering the fact that Chiluba was actually single-handedly responsible for making Mwanawasa President of Zambia. The act also seemed “to go against the continent’s unwritten policy of not pursuing former rulers who committed economic crimes” (Open Society Initiative for Southern Africa 2007: 1). Mwanawasa stated that he was prepared to pardon Chiluba if he accepted the charges leveled against him and also “returned 75% of the cash he allegedly stole” (BBC News, 2004). However, the former President rejected his successor’s offer and defiantly declared himself innocent. Chiluba contended that the charges leveled against him were politically motivated and deserved to be dropped. From the foregoing account, it appears that Mwanawasa’s vision for his Presidency was shaped largely by the economic crisis Zambia found herself in as well as by rampant corruption in high places. More information about Mwanawasa’s response to the economic crisis and to other related national issues is contained in the conclusion of the budget speech delivered to Parliament on Friday, March 1, 2002, by Emmanuel Kasonde (MP). Kasonde was Mwanawasa’s Finance and National Development Planning Minister at that time. According to the local media (Daily Mail, Saturday 2, 2002; The Post, Saturday 2, 2002; Times of Zambia, Saturday 2, 2002), the Minister’s budget speech stated that Mwanawasa’s New Deal meant: • • • • • • human-centered development, defined in terms of benchmarks that measured material improvements in people’s lives; good governance, based on strengthened governance institutions; advancing national interest in the international arena, by pragmatically accepting that Zambia is part of the global village and must interact with the rest of the world; the development of a vibrant private sector, and working in partnership with the government, to boost economic growth, to make Zambia competitive, and to substantially reduce poverty; ensuring food security, by providing affordable fertilizer to small-scale farmers, making concessionary financing to commercial farmers as a way of encouraging large-scale investment in the sector, establishing a crop marketing institution, and reducing taxes on diesel and electricity to make them affordable to farmers; and improving access to health and education, by providing bursaries for basic school students and free health and education to the most vulnerable. Beyond this brief statement, information about what Mwanawasa’s New Deal stands for is rare to find. The print media (the main source of information on government activities in Zambia) are fraught with accounts that simply state what the New Deal has done, or intends to do. For example, “Mwanawasa’s New Deal government flags off the Chembe bridge project” (Times of Zambia, Wednesday, 11 October 2006); and “Mwanawasa’s New Deal government is in a hurry to develop North-western Province.” Such statements are not very helpful when it comes to understanding what the main tenets of the New Deal. 9 Impact of Mwanawasa’s New Deal Measures Mwanawasa’s failure to explain to the Zambian people what exactly he meant by a New Deal government created long-run uncertainty in the nation. That uncertainty did not go away even when Kasonde attempted to put it to rest, in his budget speech. For, Kasonde’s explanation was regarded by the ordinary Zambian simply as his own interpretation of the New Deal and not Mwanawasa’s formulation of it. Furthermore, the budget speech that Kasonde took advantage of was actually an inappropriate forum on which to try and shed some light on a buzz word, such as a New Deal. For, the ordinary Zambian simply does not pay much attention to such things as budget presentations. The lack of clarity on Mwanawasa’s New Deal also denied many people an opportunity to understand the kind of government that was obtaining at home at the turn of the Century. That information gap made it difficult for the people to think critically and constructively about governmental affairs as well as to follow the twists and turns of political life in the nation generally. It was not surprising, therefore, that the New Deal concept stood indicted in the court of public opinion in Zambia. Some of Mwanawasa’s opponents began to satirize the New Deal regime by referring to it as the “New Ordeal” government. Other critics, either out of sheer frustration or simply in jest, tended to misapply this term to anything unfortunate that happened in their lives, such as being broke half-way through the month. A third category of citizens simply dismissed the notion of the New Deal as Mwanawasa’s new slogan for his political party, the MMD. Kasonde’s budget address stated that Mwanawasa’s New Deal meant “humancentered development” (Daily Mail, Saturday 2, 2002). The concept of human development is, however, not Mwanawasa’s innovation too; it is an alternative development strategy that has been popularized by the United Nations Development Program (UNDP), in the publications that the Agency has been churning out annually, since 1990. The publications are entitled simply as the Human Development Report. According to Kasonde, Mwanawasa’s New Deal “defined (human-centered development) in terms of benchmarks that measured improvements in people’s lives” (The Post, Saturday 2, 2002). However, Kasonde failed to state the specific “material improvements” that were foreseen by the regime, in the people’s lives. He equally failed to state the specific “benchmarks” that Mwanawasa’s New Deal intended to use in measuring the said “material improvements” in the people’s lives. This, therefore, makes Mwanawasa’s human-centered development look more of a theory than a practical development strategy. Human development, as a practical development strategy, was concisely summarized by Griffin and McKinley (1994: 1) when they wrote that: The objective of development, (when properly conceived), is not to produce more ‘stuff,’ more goods and services (as in mainstream development approaches). Rather, its objective is to enrich human lives, (by increasing) the capabilities of people to lead full, productive, satisfying lives… Material enrichment, (measured, say, by gross national product per head) may contribute to (the attainment of) this (objective). Thus, the core of human development is the centrality of mankind in the thinking about national development and planning. This centrality is meant to ensure that people 10 rightfully become the intended as well as the actual beneficiaries of all development activity, rather than being mere agents of it. To make this objective a reality, human development requires governments of nations to design and implement short- and longterm policies, programs and plans that consider people first. These policies, programs and plans should, according to Griffin and McKinley (1994: 2), also specify development objectives in terms of enabling the people to acquire “... knowledge, skills, ideas, and experience” that they need in order for them to live decently and to be able to function one way or another in their environment. The people can, according to this view, acquire the various abilities they need in a variety of ways, but especially through formal and informal education, training and apprenticeship programs. Thus, human development, as defined by the United Nations, is a process of creating opportunities for people to enlarge their abilities, in order for them to “acquire knowledge … (and, in turn) to have access to resources needed for them to lead a decent, long and healthy life” (UNDP 1990: 10). Mwanawasa’s regime should have designed its policies, programs and plans in similar language if it really intended to be a human-centered New Deal government. Concerning “good governance” (Times of Zambia, Saturday 2), Mwanawasa’s administration did not do very well with regard to upholding democratic ideals, such as political participation, political competition, and respecting civil and political liberties. To begin with, Mwanawasa himself stifled political participation in the nation, by his intolerance to the criticism leveled against the way he handled some of the national affairs. The President appeared to be a “one-man army” who wanted to be left alone to do exactly as he pleased with national affairs, hoping that the members of the general public would simply concentrate on their private lives. The President also tended to use the Police to silence his critics by intimidating them with unwarranted arrests. Over and above that, the President often used the Police to contain the activities in the opposition camps, for example, by ensuring that opposition political parties wishing to hold rallies were denied Police permits to do so. Civil society organizations (CSOs) intending to hold protests also often suffered the same fate at the hands of the Police. Political violence, which has characterized routine politics in Zambia’s new era, did not attract the full attention of the Police as required by law; all that one heard in the media was that government was concerned about it. The perpetrators of political violence were largely cadres from the ruling party, the MMD. The Electoral Commission of Zambia, which is responsible for organizing Presidential, Parliamentary and Local Government elections, was (and still is) run by government-appointed Electoral Officers. This being the case, the opposition felt, and genuinely so, that the Electoral officials were there simply to manipulate the electoral process, in favor of the appointing authority. Indeed, the Electoral Commissioners should have been appointed by the major political parties in the nation and not by the government. Apart from that, Mwanawasa, who had vowed to run a government of Laws, chose to disobey the National Constitution as it pertains to the death penalty. He was totally opposed to capital punishment, although capital punishment was enshrined in the national Constitution. The President, who is an excommunicated member of the Watch Tower Movement, argued that he did not want blood on his hands. Thus, in his first term of office, not even a single death-row convict was executed. In fact, the President chose to commute to life imprisonment, the death sentences of some of the soldiers who were convicted in the 1997 coup plot. 11 However, Mwanawasa’s call for zero tolerance to corruption, on one hand, appeared to have found fertile ground in the nation, theoretically at least. Many Zambians became more enlightened than ever before, that “Corruption is a cancer that eats away at the fabric of society” (The Corruption Eye 2002: iii). As a result of that enlightenment, it was not uncommon to hear many Zambians remind each other, albeit in jest: “Be careful,” they would say, “or, the law will visit you.” It was also in this spirit that civil society joined Mwanawasa in pushing for a full investigation into allegations of corruption in government during the Chiluba era. Luckily, the Zambian Parliament that had the mandate to make appropriate decisions on matters of presidential immunity clearly understood the mood in the nation at that time. Thus, without hesitation, it voted to lift Chiluba’s presidential immunity, so that the former President could face prosecution. This, then, set in motion, the machinery that saw Chiluba and his cronies prosecuted for corruption and abuse of public office. “On 24 February 2003, Chiluba was formally arrested and charged, along with about 20 of his cronies, with over 65 counts of theft by public servant” (Open Society Initiative for Southern Africa, 2007: 1). Chiluba was subsequently released on bail while his passport was confiscated by the State, to ensure that he did not go into hiding abroad. The former President and his cronies were indicted not only in the Zambian Courts but also in those of the British government, because the crimes they were alleged to have committed, as explained in the ensuing paragraphs, extended there too. According to the details of what the media came to describe as Chiluba’s “money laundering matrix” (Global Safety Security Analysis 2002: 1), Chiluba, from about 1995, used Katele Kalumba, his Minister of Finance and Economic Development Planning, to channel huge sums of money from national coffers to a local account, known as Permace General, held at the government-owned Zambia National Commercial Bank (ZANACO) in Lusaka, and operated by the Zambia Intelligence Service (ZIS). From Permace, the money was channeled to the ZAMTROP Account in London, at the ZANACO Branch. Xavier Chungu, Chiluba’s intelligence chief, was later made the sole signatory to the London Account. Following Chiluba’s instructions, Chungu regularly traveled to London where he used the ZAMTROP Account to make several payments to several individuals and corporations “for dubious supplies as well as for straight theft of public resources” (Global Energy Security Analysis 2002: 1). The members of Chiluba’s inner circle who were either direct players or were believed to have benefited from the money-laundering matrix included4: Xavier Chungu (US$ 58M); Francis Kaunda (former Chairman and Chief Executive of Zambia’s mining conglomerate); Attan Shansonga (Chiluba’s ambassador to the UK and later to the US); Regina Chiluba (Chiluba’s wife – US$ 120, 000); Faustino Kabwe (Director of Access Finance Services – US$ 53M); Moses Katumbi (Chairman of Chani Fisheries); Aaron Chungu (Co-Director of Access Finance Services – US$ 27M); Mike Sikazwe (Access Finance Services); Benjamin Yorum Mwila (Business magnet and Chiluba’s former Minister of Defense); Bede Mpande (Chief Economist in the Ministry of Finance); Boniface Nonde (former Permanent Secretary in Chiluba’s government); Kashiwa Bulaya (Chiluba’s former Permanent Secretary of Health); Stella Chibanda (former Finance Permanent Secretary in Chiluba’s government – US$ 58M); Professor Benjamin 4 The amounts of money stated after the names of some of the players are the amounts that the players were believed to have received, through their involvement in Chiluba’s money-laundering matrix. 12 Mweene (former secretary to the Treasury); Chief Justice Ngulube; Vernon J. Mwaanga; Bimal Thacker (of Cave Malik, a Law Firm), and Raphael Soriano (a Congolese citizen whose nickname was Katebe Katoto – US$29M) (South Africa Press Association, 27/09/2005). Great Britain moved swiftly and pronounced the accused guilty of embezzlement of public funds. Chiluba defiantly rejected the ruling, arguing that he was answerable only to the Zambian people and in Zambian Courts. However, Mwanawasa’s anti-corruption crackdown has come to be criticized on a number of grounds. First, the prosecution of plunderers of national resources appears to have been very selective; it was confined only to the government sector. The public contends that the boundaries of the crackdown should have been made national rather than sectoral. Second, Mwanawasa’s ruling MMD still has, in its leadership, people who were named as key players in Chiluba’s infamous “money laundering matrix.” Most notable among them is Katele Kalumba who was Chiluba’s former Minister of Finance. Kalumba is the current National Secretary of the MMD; he is also MMD Member of Parliament for Nchelenge district. He is even aspiring to replace Mwanawasa as President. The belief is that Kalumba is being shielded from the long arm of the Law, by the government machinery which is actually supposed to be prosecuting him. Third, the prosecution of suspected plunders of national resources proceeded at a snail’s pace – it was characterized by several procedural challenges and adjournments. That resulted in frustration and desperation among the members of the general public who concluded that the prosecutors were simply incompetent and that was why they lost most of the cases they took to the courts. In August 2007, for example, the government dropped corruption charges against Regina Chiluba, due to lack of witnesses to buttress its case. Regina is charged with nine counts of failing to account for property believed to have been stolen (from the State). The property in issue includes a 61-inch Toshiba color television set, K447 million cash, real estates in Ndola and Kitwe (The Post Newspaper, Friday September 07, 2007). Fourth, the Zambia police, which was part of the prosecution, was perceived by many citizens to be the most corrupt institution in the nation. The dominant theory was that the extremely low salaries of the policemen compelled them to engage in corrupt practices, thereby undermining law enforcement in the country. The alleged corrupt behavior of the police officers, according to this theory, led to a lot of suspected corrupt officers being let off the hook when, in fact, they should have ended up behind bars, serving long jail sentences. Understandably, this led to anger and frustration among the Zambian people. As one media institution confirmed: Today, the Zambian people say that their government has become as corrupt as the authoritarian State it replaced. Graft is as endemic in institutions ranging from the police department to the soccer association, Zambia’s biggest source of pride today…. (The New York Times, January 30, 1994). Fifth, the failure or refusal, by the ruling party, to privatize at least some of the government-owned media institutions has prevented these institutions from playing an objective and independent role as the people’s watch dog for corruption and abuse of 13 office especially by public officials. For, the official position on the operations of the government-owned print and electronic media is that none of them should ever criticize the government or any of its activities, or their editors-in-chief will be fired. Sixth, the government has been very hard on civil society organizations, especially NGOs. This has caused them to operate cautiously, for fear of de-registration, as was once the fate of SACCORD, a conflict resolution Zambian NGO. On the economic front, and on a positive note, Mwanawasa’s pursuance of what one commentator has aptly described as a “prudent economic policy” (Times of Zambia, January 6, 2007) caused the national economy to slowly begin to come alive again. In April 2005, the administration’s strict fiscal and monetary policy led to the country’s attainment of the IMF and World Bank’s completion point of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) (Wood 2005). In return, the two money-lending institutions wrote off US$ 3.8 billion of the country’s national debt. Around the same time, Zambia also qualified for inclusion in what was known as the Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative, a program in which 18 African nations’ debt was cancelled by their co-operating partners. In this spirit, furthermore, Zambia’s bilateral partners that are members of the Paris Club decided to write off the country’s debt in full. Thus, Zambia’s debt that stood at about US$ 7.2 billion in 2005 was substantially reduced to a mere US$ 500 million. However, critics of the government came to argue, and rightly so, that the national savings that were made from the foregoing debt-relief did not translate into benefits for the ordinary people. Copper mining also slowly began to make a steady return to normalcy. Following the abrupt departure of the Anglo-American Corporation (AAC) which had dominated the mining sector in the country’s mining towns of the Copperbelt, the Lumwana Mining Company (LMC), a subsidiary of Equinox Minerals Ltd., was happy to move in and take its place, in 1998. That was, however, at a different location called Lumwana, located 95 kms south-west of Solwezi district in the country’s North-western province. The LMC’s mining area, which covers a land mass of about 1, 355 square kms, and which has a life span of 37 years, is believed to be the largest mining operation on the continent of Africa at the moment. It is also believed to be “the single largest mining investment in the history of Zambia’s mining industry” (Times of Zambia, July 19, 2007). Harry Michael, LMC’s Managing Director, explained that his company obtained a loan of about US$584 million from 12 international money-lending institutions5 and pumped it in the company’s mining operations (Times of Zambia, 28 August, 2007). Some of the company’s most notable mining sites are found at Chimulundu, Chimuwungo and Mulundwe. Lumwana, which is also believed to be laden with gold, uranium and cobalt, created about 3, 500 jobs. Harris explained that his target was to employee at least 5, 000 people by the time the mines assumed full operational capacity in January 2008. In 2006, “440, 000 tons of copper were produced by the mines; production is actually expected to surpass the historical high of 700, 000 tons per year, by 2010” (Times of Zambia, January 6, 2007). Apart from Lumwana, Kansanshi open-pit mine, which was abandoned for many years, was revived by First Quantum Minerals Ltd, with an initial investment of 5 Most prominent among the international lending institutions that made the money available were: the African Development Bank, DEG of Germany, the European Development Bank, the Export Credit Insurance Corporation of South Africa (pty) Ltd, and DEG of the Netherlands. 14 US$ 411 million, as at December 31, 2006. Located 8 KMs north of Solwezi, Kansanshi currently employs about 1, 105 people in various capacities. The success story in the mines began to energize business in many other areas of the economy. Most notable among them were: the stone-crushing companies; the trucking companies; lime producing companies; cement producing companies, and the oil marketing companies. Zambia’s North-western province has, thus, slowly begun to replace the Copperbelt province as the hub of the country’s industrial development. However, Mwanawasa’s MMD government was strongly criticized, especially by the opposition, for having given unrealistic tax breaks to the mining companies, in its Mines and Minerals Act (No. 31) of September 13, 1995, during the Chiluba era. Mwanawasa’s administration has, thus, been compelled to slowly begin to revisit the issue of tax breaks for investors. And according to recent exploration reports, oil and natural gas deposits were discovered in Chavuma and Zambezi districts of the country’s North-western province. However, the government suspended the corporate licenses it issued earlier, for the exploration of the commodities. The reason for the suspension of the licenses, according to Dr. Kalombo Mwansa, the Minister of Mines and Mineral Development, was that the Petroleum Act that was passed in 1985, to regulate the exploration of petroleum-related products failed to meet international guidelines and, thus, required revising (Times of Zambia, 28 August, 2007). Full scale exploration is anticipated to resume only in 2008. Following increased activity in the mines, Zambia’s economy registered an average annual economic growth of five per cent for the first four years of Mwanawasa’s New Deal government. Inflation also fell to eight per cent, which is the lowest that the country has recorded in the last 30 years. The Kwacha (national currency) also posted positive gains against the major international currencies and held firm over the last few years. That compelled the commercial banks to adjust their lending rates, from 65 per cent to about 19 per cent. However, the jobs created in the economy, according to The Post (Monday, September 03, 2007), reduced unemployment only marginally; “unemployment which stood at 87 per cent” (in 2001) has been reduced only by 12 per cent, to “75 per cent in” 2007. In agriculture, Mwanawasa’s predecessor had embarked on a very serious liberation of the sector in which crop-marketing and inputs distribution were passed on to the private sector. When Mwanawasa ascended to power, his New Deal government formulated a 16-year comprehensive “National Agricultural Policy (NAP) encompassing the following facets” (Ministry of Agriculture 2004: i), to make the government more involved in the sector: • food and cash crop production • inputs • agro processing • agricultural marketing, including exports • sustainable resource use • livestock and fisheries development • irrigation • agricultural research and extension services • institutional and legislative arrangements • co-operatives and farmers’ organizations 15 • • biodiversity emergency preparedness and cross-cutting issues, such as HIV/AIDS, gender and environment. In its efforts to boost productivity in the agricultural sector, Mwanawasa’s government began to subsidize fertilizer, to place the commodity within the reach of every farmer, large and small. The government itself also once experimented with a summer maize program, which opponents said, was doomed to fail; it did not fail. As a result of these efforts, growth in the agricultural sector averaged 3.9 per cent during Mwanawasa’s first-term of office. This translated into additions of “18 to 20 per cent of the national Gross Domestic Product (GDP)” (Times of Zambia, 3 August, 2007). Productivity in the agricultural sector resulted in a bumper harvest during Mwanawasa’s first term of office. Over the years, the government, through the Food Reserve Agency (FRA), became the chief buyer of maize from the farmers. This move has received praises from many sectors of society. However, the performance of the agricultural sector was dwarfed by a number of obstacles. Most notable among them were: the lack of irrigation systems which compelled farmers to be active only during the rainy season; poor road infrastructure connecting the farms and the cities, and low producer prices which made farmers vulnerable to manipulation by unscrupulous traders. In education, Mwanawasa’s government built more schools and made basic education (first to the ninth grade) free. The result of that move was that school enrolment levels went up remarkably while drop-out figures pleasantly went in the opposite direction. “By 2004, the gross basic school enrolment rate had increased to 93.1%, with over 2 million children (7-15 years old) enrolled in public schools, compared to 715, 000 enrolments in 2000” (Wood 2004: 2). However, that achievement, in turn, created a shortage of at least 9000 teachers in the educational system. Unfortunately, the government could not engage more teachers from those graduating from the country’s many Teachers’ Training Colleges (TTC). That was because the government was required by the IMF to observe “a wage and hiring freeze” (Wood 2004: 1), in order to service IMF loans and finally qualify for debt relief. Apart from that, the entire educational system in Zambia was heavily underfunded. That made the learning process ineffective. Many rural schools still lacked desks, chairs and teaching aids. In many cases, pupils lacked textbooks and still continued to sit on the floor, in overcrowded classrooms which lacked both electricity and window panes (Oxfam International, Sept. 2003). Their teachers were generally demotivated by the meager salaries they were paid. It was not surprising that the teachers regularly went on strike, to press for better wages. Many of them also opted to spend time conducting fee-paying private tutorials to supplement their incomes. Colleges and universities were not better off in any way; many students leaving high school had to face serious competition for admission to the few colleges and the country’s two government-owned universities. The tertiary learning institutions have been dogged by instability caused by striking lecturers, workers, or students; premature closures are not uncommon. University infrastructure was (and still is) dilapidated beyond imagination. Crimi (2007: 1) had this to say, in reference to student housing at the University of Zambia: 16 At first glance, the student residence at the University of Zambia (UNZA) looks decent (from outside), but there’s a reason why students call (one section of it) “The Ruins.” The buildings look like they have been destroyed. Buckets line the hallways to catch dripping water; rooms smell damp and some have leaky ceilings; the shared toilet and washroom facilities appear condemned; loose wires are exposed along the walls, and counters are covered in burn marks made by portable stoves. Conclusion This analysis has established that the idea of a New Deal is not completely new as President Mwanawasa wanted to make it appear. It is an old concept that originated in American literature and worked its way into American political history. The novelist, Stuart Chase, first used it as the title of his book, A New Deal, which he authored in 1932. Thereafter, America’s thirty-second President, Franklin Delano Roosevelt (1933-1945) adopted it to characterize the series of experimental and pragmatic reform programs which he implemented, in an attempt to stabilize the American economy during the Great Depression. Roosevelt used the term New Deal also to distinguish his reforms from those of his uncle and former President, Theodore Roosevelt whose economic measures had been referred to as the Square Deal (Bernstein, in Bernstein [ed], 1968). The concept of a New Deal actually suggests a departure from the doctrine, philosophy, or manifesto of the New Dealer’s political party, in preference to one’s professional experience and personal beliefs. In this sense, the New Deal approach involves practical, usually short-term, trial-and-error measures intended to address society’s immediate problems. Mwanawasa adopted the New Deal approach largely as an anti-corruption strategy. However, although Mwanawasa’s predecessor was corrupt, this does not mean that he never tried to condemn the scourge. Evidence is there to show that Chiluba actually fired his first Minister of Works and Supply, for corrupt practices involving the renovation contracts for State House. On this basis, Mwanawasa’s regime is not a real New Deal in that it does not constitute a substantial departure from the prescriptions of his political party’s manifesto. His administration still continued with the IMF and World Bank-sponsored policies started by Chiluba, centered on economic liberalization, privatization and foreign investment. His government had no strategy for creating jobs, both in government and in the private sector. His failure to explain to the people of Zambia what exactly he meant by a New Deal created uncertainty in the nation. That uncertainty is what explains why the average Zambian actually failed to follow the twists and turns of political life in Zambia, during Mwanawasa’s first term of office (2001-2006). Nonetheless, Mwanawasa’s New Deal programs had both positive and negative effects on Zambian society. 17 Bibliography BBC News. “Chiluba Defamation Case Dropped.” 12 July, 2002. BBC News. “Chiluba Corruption Case Cut Back.” 14 September, 2004. 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