J Antimicrob Chemother 2016; 71: 2273 – 2279 doi:10.1093/jac/dkw119 Advance Access publication 26 April 2016 Risk factors for the acquisition of OXA-48-producing Enterobacteriaceae in a hospital outbreak setting: a matched case–control study M. J. D. Dautzenberg1–3*, J. M. Ossewaarde3, S. C. de Greeff4, A. Troelstra1 and M. J. M. Bonten1,2 1 Department of Medical Microbiology, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands; 2Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands; 3Department of Medical Microbiology, Maasstad Ziekenhuis, Rotterdam, The Netherlands; 4Center for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, The Netherlands *Corresponding author. Tel: (+31)-(0)88-75-686-33; E-mail: [email protected] Received 4 January 2016; returned 29 January 2016; revised 4 March 2016; accepted 9 March 2016 Objectives: In the context of a large outbreak of OXA-48-producing Enterobacteriaceae (OXA-E) in a Dutch hospital we determined risk factors for acquisition of OXA-E. Patients and methods: A matched case–control study was performed in which cases (culture positive for OXA-E) were matched 1:3 to controls (culture negative for OXA-E) based on hospital ward, index date (+1 week) and time exposed in the hospital (best match). Stratified analyses were performed for patients with OXA-E producing and not producing ESBL. Potential risk factors included age, gender, surgery and ICU admission within 30 days preceding the index date, presence of comorbidities and in-hospital antibiotic treatment within 30 days preceding the index date. Data analysis was performed using multivariable conditional logistic regression with Firth correction. Results: In total, 73 cases were matched to 211 controls. In the multivariable conditional logistic regression model, male gender (OR 2.63, 95% CI 1.25 – 5.53), age (per year increase, OR 1.03, 95% CI 1.00 – 1.05) and use of fluoroquinolones within 30 days preceding the index date (OR 2.98, 95% CI 1.06– 8.41) were risk factors for acquisition of OXA-E. In the stratified multivariable conditional logistic regression model, quinolone use was a risk factor for the acquisition of ESBL-producing OXA-E and surgery was a risk factor for the acquisition of non-ESBL-producing OXA-E. Conclusions: During a large, hospital-wide OXA-E outbreak, male gender, age and previous use of fluoroquinolones were risk factors for acquisition of OXA-E. These findings may help in optimizing screening and isolation strategies in future OXA-E outbreaks. Introduction The spread of carbapenemase producers in Enterobacteriaceae has been identified worldwide. OXA-48 belongs to class D carbapenemases, consisting of OXA-type b-lactamases, and was first identified in a Klebsiella pneumoniae isolate from Istanbul, Turkey, in 2001.1 OXA-48 carbapenemases are plasmid mediated and frequently detected in K. pneumoniae, but also in other Enterobacteriaceae, including Escherichia coli, Enterobacter cloacae and Citrobacter freundii. OXA-48 hydrolyses penicillins and carbapenems, but spares cephalosporins. OXA-48-producing Enterobacteriaceae (OXA-E) pose major challenges in patient management as resistance is not consistently phenotypically expressed, especially in isolates not coproducing ESBL, hampering identification by routine microbiological laboratory methods.2,3 OXA-48-type carbapenemases have been identified mostly in eastern and southern Mediterranean countries and are widely disseminated throughout Europe.4 Hospital outbreaks in western European countries and in the northern part of Africa have been linked to transfer of patients from endemic regions, including Turkey and Morocco.5 During hospital outbreaks, identification of patients at the highest risk of acquisition will optimize screening and isolation strategies. However, risk factors for acquisition of OXA-E have not been identified, so far. The reported risk factors for other carbapenemase-producing and/or carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae include illness severity,6 comorbidities such as pulmonary disease,7,8 presence of invasive devices,9 previous hospitalization or ICU stay,7,8 and prior antibiotic use,8,10 including carbapenems,7,11 b-lactam/b-lactamase inhibitors,7 cephalosporins6,12 and fluoroquinolones.6 # The Author 2016. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the British Society for Antimicrobial Chemotherapy. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please e-mail: [email protected] 2273 Dautzenberg et al. In the Netherlands OXA-48 is only sporadically detected in hospitalized patients and the community. Between 2009 and 2011 an outbreak of OXA-E occurred in a Dutch hospital, in which at least 118 patients were involved, and most likely with interspecies spread of the OXA-48 plasmid.13 In the context of this OXA-E outbreak we determined risk factors for acquisition of OXA-E (colonization or infection) using a matched case – control study design. Patients and methods Setting During an outbreak of OXA-E (July 2009 to July 2011), 72 147 patients were classified into risk groups based on assumed risk of acquisition of OXA-E and screened accordingly, as described in Dautzenberg et al.13 In short, screening swabs were collected from the rectum, throat and possible infection sites on three consecutive days, inoculated in ertapenem broth and screened for OXA-48 using high-throughput PCR methods. In total, 7527 patients were screened during hospitalization (hospital screening), after hospital discharge at home (post-discharge screening) or when readmitted. The presence of OXA-48 was also determined retrospectively in stored isolates (retrospective screening). Selection of cases and controls All patients eligible for the current study had been hospitalized in the Maasstad Hospital, Rotterdam, the Netherlands, during the OXA-E outbreak period (from 1 January 2009 to 18 July 2011) and had been screened for OXA-E carriage. Cases had documented OXA-E carriage and controls had documented absence of OXA-E carriage based on at least one screening culture. Cross-transmission of bacteria or plasmids is the main driving factor for OXA-E acquisition during a hospital outbreak, especially in a setting of low prevalence of OXA-E in a hospital and the community. Therefore, differences in colonization pressure should be taken into account when determining risk factors.14,15 As the number of colonized patients per day could not be quantified, a proxy was used to distinguish differences in colonization pressure, which includes location in the hospital and assumed exposure duration. For patients screened during hospitalization, the day of obtaining the first culture yielding OXA-E (for cases) and the days of obtaining cultures that did not yield OXA-E (for potential controls) were used as index dates. For patients screened in post-discharge screening, the last day of hospitalization during the outbreak period was used as the index date. Controls were matched to cases based on: (i) the index date (+1 week); (ii) the ward of admission at the index date (exact match); and (iii) the logarithm of length of stay in the hospital during the outbreak period, before the index date (best match) (Figure 1). For controls an index date could be selected based on all available negative culture results, including negative cultures preceding a first positive culture result of case patients. For each case patient three control patients were selected. Case patients for which, based on the above-mentioned criteria, no suitable controls were available, were excluded from analysis. For efficiency reasons, controls could only be selected once. When individual control patients were eligible for matching to multiple case patients (i.e. multiple OXA-E carriers in a single ward in a short time period), selection of control patients was performed in successive steps, each time selecting the bestmatching control for each consecutive case patient. Data collection Potential risk factors and matching variables were collected retrospectively from the hospital information system and included age, gender, hospital admission and discharge dates, ward of admission, in-hospital antibiotic treatment, Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) and comorbidities (diabetes, peptic ulcer, respiratory illness, kidney disease, transplant and cancer). These comorbidities were selected based upon their inclusion in the Chronic Disease Score – Infectious Disease (CDS-ID).16 Data analysis Data analysis was performed using multivariable conditional logistic regression that took matching of cases and controls into account,17 with acquisition of OXA-E as a dependent variable and potential risk factors as independent variables. All potential risk factors were included in the multivariable analysis. Because of differences in resistance profiles, additionally a stratified analysis was performed for carriers of OXA-E with and without ESBL. For stratification, only isolates from the first culture were considered. Patients cultured in hospital screening Admission Culture Index date Start of outbreak End of outbreak 3. 1.&2. Patients cultured in post-discharge screening Last admission during outbreak period Culture End of outbreak Start of outbreak 3. 1.&2. Figure 1. Matching of cases and controls. Matching was performed on: (1) index date (+1 week); (2) ward (exact match); and (3) log(exposure time) (best match). 2274 JAC Risk factors for the acquisition of OXA-E For this analysis, only variables with P,0.20 in univariable analysis were included in the multivariable model. Analyses were performed with Firth correction because of low patient numbers and a relatively large number of independent variables.18 Results are given as ORs with 95% CIs and P, 0.05 was considered statistically significant. Analyses were performed using the package ‘coxphf’ in R version 3.0.3. Ethics The Medical Ethics Review Committee of the Maasstad Ziekenhuis determined that this study was exempted from evaluation with regard to the Dutch Medical Research Involving Subjects Act (reference number 13.153). Results In all, 73 OXA-E carriers were identified during hospital and postdischarge screening, of which 2 were excluded (no suitable controls available), and for 1 patient only 1 suitable control could be included, yielding 71 cases matched to 211 controls for analysis. There were no missing data. Baseline characteristics are shown in Table 1. All patients had documented carriage of OXA-E and five of them an infection with OXA-E. The most widely used antibiotics in these patients were amoxicillin with clavulanic acid (n ¼ 37 cases and 53 controls), ciprofloxacin (n ¼ 22 cases and 26 controls) and cefazolin (n¼6 cases and 24 controls). Meropenem was the only carbapenem used (n ¼ 4 controls). Other antibiotics included, amongst others, trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole and metronidazole (Table S1, available as Supplementary data at JAC Online). As there was no carbapenem use or organ transplant in cases (Table 1), these variables could not be included in the multivariable conditional logistic regression model. Multiple OXA-48-producing microorganisms were detected in 39 of 71 patients (54.9%). In 53 cases OXA-48-producing K. pneumoniae were detected and in 44 cases OXA-48-producing E. coli were detected (Table 2). OXA-E isolates that also produced ESBL were more frequently resistant to cephalosporins, ciprofloxacin, trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole, gentamicin and amikacin than non-ESBLproducing isolates (Table 3). In the multivariable conditional logistic regression model, male gender, increasing age and quinolone use during the 30 days preceding the index date were identified as risk factors for the acquisition of OXA-E (Table 4). In the stratified multivariable conditional logistic regression model, quinolone use was associated with acquisition of ESBL-producing OXA-E and surgery was associated with acquisition of non-ESBL-producing OXA-E (Table 4). Results of analyses with and without Firth correction are provided in Tables S2, S3 and S4. Because of the observed difference in exposure time of cases and controls, a sensitivity analysis was performed, using only controls with a maximum of 7–14 days difference in exposure time compared with their corresponding case patients, yielding similar results, with, as expected, no association with exposure time (Table S5). Table 1. Baseline characteristics All OXA-E ESBL-producing OXA-E Non-ESBL-producing OXA-E cases (n¼71) controls (n ¼211) cases (n¼22) controls (n¼66) cases (n¼50) controls (n ¼148) Exposure time (days), median (IQR) 19 (6–39) 11 (5–26) 16 (5– 23) 11 (4–20) 21 (7– 43) 13 (5–29) Male gender 43 (60.6) 93 (44.1) 16 (72.7) 31 (47.0) 27 (54.0) 61 (41.2) Age (years), median (IQR) 70 (61 –78) 66 (48– 79) 71 (53 –78) 62 (46– 77) 69 (61 –78) 67 (49– 80) CCI, median (IQR) peptic ulcer diabetes mellitus chronic pulmonary disease malignancy transplant mild to severe renal disease 2 (1–3) 4 (5.6) 12 (16.9) 17 (23.9) 18 (25.4) 0 (0.0) 4 (5.6) 1 (0–2) 8 (3.8) 31 (14.7) 48 (22.7) 29 (13.7) 2 (0.9) 12 (5.7) 1.5 (1– 3) 0 (0.0) 6 (27.3) 6 (27.3) 4 (18.2) 0 (0.0) 1 (4.5) 1 (0–2.8) 1 (1.5) 10 (15.2) 14 (21.2) 13 (19.7) 1 (1.5) 3 (4.5) 2 (1– 2.8) 4 (8.0) 8 (16.0) 11 (22.0) 14 (28.0) 0 (0.0) 3 (6.0) 1 (0–2) 2 (4.7) 21 (14.2) 34 (23.0) 17 (11.5) 1 (0.7) 10 (6.8) Use of antibioticsa penicillins (+inhibitor) cephalosporins carbapenems quinolones aminoglycosides macrolides/lincosamides other 38 (53.5) 7 (9.9) 0 (0.0) 23 (32.4) 8 (11.3) 13 (18.3) 14 (19.7) 62 (29.4) 31 (14.7) 4 (1.9) 27 (12.8) 4 (1.9) 12 (5.7) 42 (19.9) 9 (40.9) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 9 (40.9) 0 (0.0) 3 (13.6) 4 (18.2) 17 (25.8) 10 (15.2) 1 (1.5) 5 (7.6) 1 (1.5) 2 (3.0) 12 (18.2) 26 (52.0) 6 (12.0) 0 (0.0) 13 (26.0) 8 (16.0) 10 (20.0) 10 (20.0) 46 (31.1) 21 (14.2) 3 (2.0) 21 (14.2) 3 (2.0) 10 (6.8) 31 (20.9) Surgerya 35 (49.3) 84 (39.8) 10 (45.5) 32 (48.5) 27 (54.0) 55 (37.2) 10 (14.1) 18 (8.5) 0 (0.0) 5 (7.6) 10 (20.0) 14 (9.5) Variable a Admission to ICU Values are given as n (%) unless otherwise specified. Within 30 days before the index date. a 2275 Dautzenberg et al. Discussion The results of this study demonstrate that, during an outbreak of OXA-E, fluoroquinolone use was the only modifiable risk factor for acquisition of OXA-E that could be identified, which underscores the relevance of selective antibiotic pressure during nosocomial outbreaks of bacteria resistant to multiple antibiotics. Our findings also demonstrate that this outbreak occurred in the almost complete absence of selective pressure induced by carbapenems. Most OXA-48-producing isolates involved in this outbreak did not harbour ESBL genes and were susceptible to fluoroquinolones, cephalosporins and carbapenems. In the stratified analysis, acquisition of these isolates was associated with surgery. For this analysis stratification was based on the presence or absence of ESBL genes in the first positive culture, as follow-up cultures with OXA-48 in a different species or with a different resistance profile can be the result of new acquisition, but also of horizontal gene transfer within the patient. In our study risk factors for ESBL-coproducing Enterobacteriaceae appeared similar to risk factors previously reported for only ESBL producers (quinolones, diabetes mellitus), suggesting that OXA-48 might have been a mere bystander for ESBL production. The statistically significant effect of exposure time in the regression model resulted from imperfect matching. Especially Table 2. OXA-48-producing microorganisms detected in cases Organism Number of patients Only K. pneumoniae K. pneumoniae and E. coli K. pneumoniae and other K. pneumoniae and E. coli and other Only E. coli E. coli and other Only other 19 17 5 12 10 5 3 for case patients with long exposure time, it was difficult to identify controls with comparable exposure times. Despite the use of the logarithm of exposure time for matching, because of the rightskewed distribution of exposure time, case patients had longer average exposure times than controls. The sensitivity analysis, using only controls with a maximum of 7 – 14 days difference in exposure time compared with their corresponding case patients yielded similar results, with, as expected, no association with exposure time. Strengths of this study include the large number of cases (in comparison with previous studies19 – 22) and the use of an adequate control group, with correction for colonization pressure, which was not performed in other risk factor analyses for acquisition of resistant bacteria.23,24 Often, control groups consisting of patients carrying the susceptible variant of the bacteria are used. However, as de novo emergence of OXA-48 in Enterobacteriaceae is highly unlikely, patients colonized with susceptible Enterobacteriaceae are not representative of the source population. Using such controls could therefore lead to an inflated (biased) estimate of the effect of antibiotic exposure, as receiving certain antibiotics might inhibit the recovery of susceptible organisms.24,25 A case –control design using patients uncolonized with OXA-48 as controls does select controls representative of the source population. With this design, risk factors for the acquisition of OXA-E in general are identified, not risk factors for acquiring a resistant strain compared with acquiring susceptible strains, as would be the case when using controls colonized with susceptible variants.23 This design, however, also has some limitations. It cannot be elucidated whether the risk factors are associated with acquisition of the organisms in general (Enterobacteriaceae with or without OXA-48) or with the resistant phenotype (OXA-48 producers).25 Also, there is a risk of misclassification bias if undetected cases without a clinical culture taken are included as controls.26 To avoid this, we included only patients that were screened as possible controls. Sensitivity of screening for OXA-E is very high,27 so there is a high likelihood that controls were not colonized with OXA-E at the moment of screening. Yet the possibility of misclassification due to Table 3. Antibiotic resistance among OXA-48-producing K. pneumoniae and E. coli isolates OXA-48-producing K. pneumoniae Antibiotic Meropenem Ertapenema Ciprofloxacin Trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole Amikacin Gentamicin Cefotaxime or ceftriaxone Cefepime OXA-48-producing E. coli Susceptibility breakpoint (mg/L) ESBL producing (n¼60) non-ESBL producing (n¼36) ESBL producing (n¼3) non-ESBL producing (n¼26) ≤2 ≤0.5 ≤0.5 ≤2 ≤8 ≤2 ≤1 ≤1 25 100 100 100 12 100 100 100 8 94 72 78 0 17 11 0 0 33 67 100 33 0 100 33 0 57 8 12 0 4 8 0 Numbers are percentages of isolates with intermediate susceptibility or resistance to the given antibiotics, as determined by Vitek 2 (EUCAST 2012 breakpoints). a Ertapenem susceptibility testing was performed on 56 K. pneumoniae ESBL-positive isolates, 35 K. pneumoniae ESBL-negative isolates, 3 E. coli ESBL-positive isolates and 23 E. coli ESBL-negative isolates. 2276 JAC Risk factors for the acquisition of OXA-E Table 4. Multivariable conditional logistic regression risk factor analysis for acquisition of OXA-E All, 71 cases and 211 controls Variable Exposure time, per day Male gender Age, per year Peptic ulcer Diabetes mellitus Chronic pulmonary disease Malignancy Mild to severe renal disease Penicillins (+inhibitor)a Cephalosporinsa Quinolonesa Aminoglycosidesa Macrolides/lincosamidesa Other antibioticsa Surgerya Admission to ICUa ESBL-producing OXA-E, 22 cases and 66 controls Non-ESBL-producing OXA-E, 50 cases and 148 controls OR (95% CI) P OR (95% CI) P OR (95% CI) P 1.08 (1.03–1.13) 2.63 (1.25–5.53) 1.03 (1.00–1.05) 1.41 (0.52–3.78) 0.66 (0.28–1.57) 1.12 (0.41–3.06) 2.16 (0.37–12.72) 1.45 (0.38–5.48) 1.82 (0.73–4.54) 0.92 (0.30–2.85) 2.98 (1.06–8.41) 6.16 (0.75–50.86) 1.62 (0.41–6.41) 0.88 (0.30–2.56) 2.35 (0.84–6.56) 0.60 (0.17–2.09) 0.001 0.011 0.041 0.498 0.348 0.818 0.395 0.583 0.201 0.884 0.039 0.091 0.491 0.808 0.102 0.425 1.11 (0.98–1.26) 2.34 (0.58–9.36) 1.03 (0.98–1.08) 0.105 0.230 0.266 1.06 (1.01–1.11) 1.80 (0.74–4.33) 0.012 0.193 6.12 (0.97–38.55) 0.054 2.19 (0.62–7.75) 0.225 1.00 (0.22–4.45) 0.997 2.46 (0.80–7.54) 0.115 13.76 (1.88–101.00) 0.010 1.01 (0.08–13.11) 0.992 1.21 (0.31–4.75) 6.02 (0.82–44.23) 2.29 (0.42–12.40) 0.787 0.078 0.338 4.52 (1.20–16.98) 0.78 (0.19–3.27) 0.025 0.738 For the ESBL-producing OXA-E and non-ESBL-producing OXA-E groups only variables with P, 0.20 in the univariable analysis were included in the multivariable model. a Within 30 days before the index date. decolonization remained, which may occur especially after hospital discharge, when antibiotic pressure declines. However, as the prevalence of OXA-E carriage in the hospital population was low (even in the high-risk group only 1% of patients tested positive), the likelihood of misclassification bias among controls is also very low and, if any bias exists, estimates would be biased towards the null effect. Another proposed study design in risk factor analysis for resistant bacteria is the case –case – control study design.25 However, as we investigated acquisition of colonization, it would be very difficult to define a timepoint at which carriage with susceptible Enterobacteriaceae was acquired. Colonization pressure is a main driving factor for acquisition during hospital outbreaks and is typically related to the physical location of the patient within the hospital. We therefore matched on ward, precluding spurious effects of admission speciality being detected. Patients detected in retrospective screening were not included in this analysis. They were identified based on stored clinical cultures and the date of acquisition could not be determined. Also, as patients cannot be considered OXA-E negative based on clinical cultures only, it was not possible to select a proper control group for these patients. This study has some potential limitations. It is a single-hospital outbreak study, which hampers generalizability. Although the outbreak was one of the largest reported OXA-48 outbreaks as of today, the number of patients involved is still relatively low compared with the number of variables tested. We aimed to identify risk factors without a priori hypotheses relative to particular variables. Although we incorporated a Firth correction in order to reduce bias (Tables S2, S3 and S4), identification of spurious associations is not excluded. In fact, the finding of male gender as a risk factor for OXA-E acquisition may well indicate the presence of residual confounding. We investigated the effect of surgery and ICU admission. In general, however, the true risk factors might have been, e.g. wound treatment after surgery or mechanical ventilation on the ICU. Data on antibiotic use was only available for in-hospital antibiotic use. Prescriptions before hospital admission could not be traced. Although the use of matching in the study had advantages, it may also have posed some limitations. Because of the matching, the effect of exposure time or colonization pressure cannot be quantified. Also, matching on admission ward and length of stay prior to the culture might have caused additional matching on, e.g. comorbidities (patients admitted to the same ward are more likely to have similar comorbidities than patients admitted to different wards) and disease severity (patients with a higher disease severity are more likely to stay longer in the hospital). Formal risk-factor analyses for the acquisition of OXA-E have not been performed previously; however, case reports or patient cohorts have been described with respect to possible risk factors. In different populations of patients colonized or infected with OXA-E, the reported median age ranges from 59 to 74 years and the percentage of males ranges from 50 to 57.5, with high prevalence of comorbidities (malignancy), previous healthcare contacts or nosocomial acquisition, use of antibiotics (carbapenem use), presence of invasive devices and ICU stay.19,20,22,28 An outbreak of OXA-48-producing K. pneumoniae has been linked to the use of a possibly contaminated duodenoscope for endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography.21 Also, two patients were infected with OXA-48-producing K. pneumoniae through a solid 2277 Dautzenberg et al. organ transplant (liver and kidney) from the same donor.29 As these studies do not have control groups, associations could not be quantified. Prior fluoroquinolone use is known to be associated with acquisition of quinolone-resistant E. coli and K. pneumoniae,30,31 and also with Enterobacteriaceae resistant to non-fluoroquinolones, including carbapenemase-producing Enterobacteriaceae.6,10,32 Our finding of prior fluoroquinolone use as a risk factor of OXA-E acquisition is in line with these findings. Explanations for this include suppression of intestinal flora susceptible to fluoroquinolones, as well as (plasmid-mediated) co-resistance of OXA-E to fluoroquinolones.33,34 Conclusions This hypothesis-generating study suggests that recent use of fluoroquinolones and increasing age were risk factors for the acquisition of OXA-E during a large hospital outbreak of OXA-E. These findings may be used to identify high-risk patients for screening and isolation in other OXA-E outbreak settings, but should—preferably—be validated in future studies. Acknowledgements Preliminary results of this research were presented at the Twenty-fifth European Congress of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases, Copenhagen, Denmark, 2015 (Oral Presentation O125). We would like to thank W. C. Rottier and C. H. van Werkhoven for their advice on study design and analysis. Funding This study was supported by internal funding. Transparency declarations None to declare. 5 Poirel L, Ros A, Carrër A et al. Cross-border transmission of OXA-48producing Enterobacter cloacae from Morocco to France. J Antimicrob Chemother 2011; 66: 1181– 2. 6 Gasink LB, Edelstein PH, Lautenbach E et al. Risk factors and clinical impact of Klebsiella pneumoniae carbapenemase-producing K. pneumoniae. Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol 2009; 30: 1180–5. 7 Papadimitriou-Olivgeris M, Marangos M, Fligou F et al. Risk factors for KPC-producing Klebsiella pneumoniae enteric colonization upon ICU admission. 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