Which Australian Companies are Thriving in Thailand? Could Yours? James Wise Australian Ambassador to Thailand Greg Wallis Senior Trade Commissioner Australian Embassy Bangkok Roadshow on Thailand: WHY? Australian companies in Thailand are asking: • How good can it get? • Why are so few Australian companies here? Thai market is misunderstood in Australia? • Why? What is Thailand really like? Australia Unlimited 2 Why Is Thailand’s Profile Low? • Overshadowed by understandable focus on: – China – India • Indonesia naturally looms large • Other ASEANs more familiar: – Singapore, Malaysia, Vietnam • “Flavours of the month” – Myanmar Australia Unlimited 3 Thailand: Common Views • Poor and undeveloped • Good place for a holiday • Language barrier • Natural disasters • Corruption • Political instability Australia Unlimited 4 Rank Country 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 United States China Japan India Germany Russia Brazil United Kingdom France Italy Mexico Korea Spain Canada Indonesia Turkey Iran Australia Taiwan, China Poland Argentina Netherlands Saudi Arabia Thailand South Africa 2011 GDP (PPP) ($Billions) 15,076 11,300 4,444 4,421 3,114 2,383 2,294 2,288 2,214 1,847 1,667 1,554 1,406 1,395 1,125 1,075 991 915 876 771 716 701 688 602 555 Thai Economy: Big ASEAN Ranking Rank Country 2011 GDP (PPP) (Billions) 15 Indonesia 1,125 24 Thailand 602 29 Malaysia 464 32 Philippines 391 39 Singapore 315 41 Vietnam 300 75 Myanmar 83 102 Cambodia 34 122 Brunei 21 130 Lao P.D.R. 17 Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook Database, October 2012 Australia Unlimited 5 Thai Economy: Sophisticated • 10th biggest car maker (>2m cars) • Regional hub for auto, electronics, consumer goods, processed food. • Middle class: 12 million - Malaysia (12m) - Indonesia (2.6m) - Vietnam (1.6m) • Dynamic retail sector Australia Unlimited 6 Great Place for a Holiday Australia Unlimited 7 Great Place for a Holiday • 952,000 Australian visitors – ≅ one in 25 Australians • Over 99% have a trouble-free stay Australia Unlimited 8 But I don’t speak Thai …. • You don‟t have to • Money and English are the languages of business • English is more widely spoken than before – and its use will continue to spread • Bilingual professional help easy to find Australia Unlimited 9 Natural Disasters Australia Unlimited 10 Floods • Floods showed Thailand is critical to supply chains • Forced Japan to reassess Thailand – Verdict: nowhere better – New Japanese investment boom Australia Unlimited 11 Corruption Country Ranking Singapore 5 Brunei 46 Malaysia 54 China 80 Thailand 88 India 94 Philippines 105 Indonesia 118 Vietnam 123 Cambodia 157 Laos 160 Myanmar 172 • Corruption risk is in government sector • Massive private sector is corruption-free Source: Transparency International Australia Unlimited 12 Corporate Governance 2007 2010 2012 1. Hong Kong (67) 1. Singapore (67) 1. Singapore (69) 2. Singapore (65) 2. Hong Kong (65) 2. Hong Kong (66) 3. India (56) 3. Japan (57) 3. Thailand (58) 4. Taiwan (54) 4. Thailand (55) 4. Japan (55) 5. Japan (52) 4. Taiwan (55) 4. Malaysia (55) 6. Korea (49) 6. Malaysia (52) 6. Taiwan (53) 6. Malaysia (49) 7. India (49) 7. India (51) 8. Thailand (47) 7. China (49) 8. Korea (49) 9. China (45) 9. Korea (45) 9. China (45) 10. Philippines (41) 10. Indonesia (40) 10. Philippines (41) 11. Indonesia (37) 11. Philippines (37) 11. Indonesia (37) Source: Asian Corporate Governance Association, September 2012 Australia Unlimited 13 Corporate Governance 154 signatory companies Australia Unlimited 14 Political Instability % 4,000 3,500 Coup Attempted coup 2011 Tsunami and floods Major protests 3,000 2008 GFC 2,500 2,000 1,500 1997-98 Asian Financial Crisis 1,000 500 0 Source: GDP Data from Thailand‟s National Economic and Social Board Australia Unlimited 15 Meritocracy, Money and Virtue • Uneven government, strong administration • Workplaces are not politicised • All politicians are pro-market, pro-business • Virtue in Thailand to be rich or richer • Thais are pragmatic Australia Unlimited 16 What colour is this car? This car is green. This car is black. This car is red. This car is blue-red. Australia Unlimited 17 The Business Environment for Australia in Thailand 18 Ease of Doing Business ASEAN + China/India 1. Singapore 11. Finland 2. Hong Kong, China 12. Malaysia 12. Malaysia 3. New Zealand 13. Sweden 18. Thailand 4. United States 14. Iceland 79. Brunei 5. Denmark 15. Ireland 1. Singapore 91. China 99. Vietnam 6. Norway 16. Taiwan, China 7. United Kingdom 17. Canada 132. India 8. Korea, Rep 18. Thailand 133. Cambodia 9. Georgia 19. Mauritius 138. Philippines 10. Australia 20. Germany 163. Lao PDR 128. Indonesia Source: The World Bank‟s Doing Business 2013 Australia Unlimited 19 Bloomberg’s Most-Promising Emerging Markets for Investors* Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Country China Thailand Peru Chile Malaysia Poland Turkey Russia Indonesia Czech Republic Hungary Colombia South Africa Mexico India Overall Score 80.2 63.5 60.9 56.5 52.4 51.3 50.9 50.5 49.8 47.7 47.4 47.1 44.7 44.0 42.3 * March 2012 issue of Bloomberg Markets Australia Unlimited 20 Thailand and Australia (1) › Australia‟s 9th biggest trading partner › Bilateral trade (2011-2012) worth A$ 17.7 billion › Bilateral trade (1989-2011) has grown 3.6 times faster than Australia‟s global trade › Important source of students › 20,000 students (6th biggest globally) › TAFTA in place since 2005 › Strong government links Australia Unlimited 21 Thailand and Australia (2) › Significant Australian investments in Thailand: Sectors: • Auto Parts • Consumer • Marine • Manufacturing • Mining • Logistics • Infrastructure & Construction • Professional Services Companies: Bluescope, Worley Parsons, ANCA, Visy, Toll, Linfox, Kingsgate, Futuris, Grant Thornton, Blackmores, Macquarie, Brambles, QBE Australia Unlimited 22 Australia Unlimited 23 What are 23 Australian Companies in Thailand Saying? › “We are here because Australia isn’t big enough.” › “It is a good business environment; much easier than China, Vietnam, India & Indonesia”. › “think about your ROE” › “ Business is good, with strong growth & profitability.” › “Our engineering and R&D is still done in Australia.” Australia Unlimited 24 What are 23 Australian Companies in Thailand Saying? › “There is a shortage of skilled labour.” › “Thailand is no longer a low cost labour market.” › “Productivity needs to be improved.” Australia Unlimited 25 Reasons for setting up business in Thailand To service regional or international market 64.1% To service Thai market To re-export to Australia Other 59.4% 14.1% 6.3% Source: Online Survey by AustCham Thailand Australia Unlimited 26 Thailand-Australia Free Trade Agreement (TAFTA) › 94% of Thai tariffs on Australian goods eliminated › Special Agricultural Safeguards (SSGs) limit import of some products (beef, dairy, some horticultural) under TAFTA duty rates › Trigger levels increasing yearly › Improved access for investors with Australian ownership permitted in various sectors › Helps facilitate visa requirements for Australians working in Thailand Australia Unlimited 27 Bilateral trade between Australia and Thailand from 2005-2012 25000 A$M 20000 18,707 15000 10000 16,339 19,089 17,708 13,642 TAFTA 9,609 20,324 11,336 5000 0 Source: 1) ABS 5368.0 - International Trade in Goods and Services, Australia, Dec 2012 2) ABS 5368055003 table 5.13 and 7.13- International Trade in Services by Country, by State and by Detailed Services Category, Financial Year, 2011-12 Australia Unlimited 28 Board of Investment (BOI) Incentives to Invest in Thailand › Many benefits provided › Current system: 3 zones that have different levels of incentives › New regulations (2014) will focus on type of business activity › Aim is to boost knowledge based, creative, green, alternative energy, hospitality and logistics sectors Source: BOI Flyer Australia Unlimited 29 Board of Investment (BOI) Incentives to Invest in Thailand Future Supported Sectors • Basic infrastructure and logistics • Basic industry (steel, petrochemicals, pulp and paper, machinery) • Medical devices and scientific equipment • Alternative energy and environmental services • Services that support industrials sectors • Advanced core technologies (biotechnology, nanotechnology, advanced material technology) • Food and agricultural processing • Hospitality & Wellness • Automotive and transport equipment • Electronics and electrical appliances Australia Unlimited 30 Australian Business Discovering Thailand: Export and Investment Success Stories 31 Futuris Automotive Finds Success in the 'Detroit of the East' • • • • • One of 20+ Australian companies 2011: 7,500 m2 facility 2013: new 8,000 m2 facility open Supply full seat systems and interior trim to GM, Ford and AAT in Thailand plus multiple export contracts Design & Development in Melbourne Success Stories # 1 Images used with permission from Futuris Australia Unlimited 32 Visy Captures Food Packaging Market • • • 2009: VisyFood Plastics decided to be where its customers are Supply packaging solutions for Dole, Coca-Cola and Heinz Manufacturing in Thailand for local use and export to Japan, China and USA Source: www.dole.co.th Success Stories # 2 Australia Unlimited 33 Honeycombes Revives Used Cane Harvesters • • Before refurbishment After refurbishment • • Good quality machines in Queensland Demand growing for mechanisation in Thailand 40 refurbished machines sold $8 million business to date Success Stories # 3 Australia Unlimited 34 Sweet Arrival for Pink Lady Apples • • • Launched in August 2012 at Bangkok‟s major supermarket chain. Austrade Bangkok promotion with the Victorian Government and Apple and Pear Australia Success with an initial export of three containers in the first two months Success Stories # 4 Australia Unlimited 35 Ballantyne’s 60 Years in the Kingdom • • Began in Thailand 60 years ago selling cheese and dairy produce to the Royal Household Supply cheese powders to bakeries, and butter and milk powder to the Kim Chua Group for its Imperial biscuit line. Source: http://nla.gov.au/nla.pic-an13031955-4 Success Stories # 5 Australia Unlimited 36 Blackmores Supplements Global Growth • Blackmores launched into Thailand in 1997 • Already a market leader and premium supplement brand • Growth rate year on year of over 20% • Thailand amongst most profitable markets globally Success Stories # 6 Australia Unlimited 37 A Precise Springboard for Success • • • Gibbens Industries - small Central Coast (NSW) manufacturer of industrial springs In Thailand to serve regional markets and customers Cash-flow positive 18 months after arrival in Thailand Success Stories # 7 Australia Unlimited 38 Where are the Opportunities for Australian Businesses? › Global Value Chains (GVCs), especially in the automotive, manufacturing, and food sectors › Education (at all levels) › Skills development & vocational training for industry, especially in the automotive, manufacturing, and food sectors › Meat, wine, seafood, dairy, grocery, grains & horticultural produce › Consumer & lifestyle products › Energy and energy technologies › Transport infrastructure › Agricultural business › Marine › Green Building Products and Technologies › Deep open-cut lignite (brown coal) mining › Oil & Gas Australia Unlimited 39 Automotive component supply and aftermarket • • • • Global production base of 1-tonne pick-up trucks Opportunity to access Global Supply Chains Vehicle production in 2012 was 2.45 million units Australia has a reputation as the premier off-road aftermarket design and innovation centre Source: www.saveprakan.com Australia Unlimited 40 Education Education dominates Australia‟s services exports to Thailand. An Australian education is highly regarded by Thais Opportunities: • English language skills • Teacher training (up to Masters and PhD levels) and teaching and learning methodologies • University research collaboration, curriculum development, student and staff exchange, internship programs, study tours Australia Unlimited 41 Skills development and vocational training • Traditionally, a „higher education prestige oriented‟ society • Thailand needs to address critical skills shortages in its manufacturing and services sectors; 1) Automotive 2) Hospitality (food safety and food handling) 3) Aged care Australia Unlimited 42 Meat, wine, seafood, dairy, grocery, grains & horticultural produce (1) BEEF & LAMB • • • • Growing demand for beef as local production is limited and inferior quality Australian beef has 90% of the imported beef market Beef from Australia has TAFTA tariff of 18.67% in 2013 (normal tariff of 50%) Lamb can be imported without any TAFTA tariff (normal rate 30%) WINE • • France used to dominate, but Australian wines now run a close second (35% vs 28%) From Penfolds to Berri Estates Image used with permission of Bangkok Beer & Beverages Australia Unlimited 43 Meat, wine, seafood, dairy, grocery, grains & horticultural produce (2) SEAFOOD • All seafood without tariff under TAFTA • Growing demand due to higher disposable income • More higher-value products for supply to the growing tourism industry DAIRY • Thailand is not self-sufficient in dairy production • TAFTA has helped Australia gain market share (various tariffs apply) • Growing interest in specialty products, especially cheeses Australia Unlimited 44 Meat, wine, seafood, dairy, grocery, grains & horticultural produce (3) GROCERY • Main competitors are from Europe, USA and Japan, not low cost suppliers • Increasing interest in gluten-free and healthy snacks, high-fibre, lowsugar, organic foods • More than 50 brands available - Arnotts, Bickfords, Uncle Tobys, Beerenberg, Capilano, Olive Grove, Bulla, Coon, Meadow Lea, Allowrie, Peerless, Sanger, Tassal, San Remo, Cerebos, Berri, True Organics GRAINS • All grains under TAFTA are tariff free • Growing demand for grains for food production and feed grade HORTICULTURE • Thailand is negotiating with Australia on import protocols • Most fruit enjoys lower or zero tariff under TAFTA Australia Unlimited 45 Consumer & lifestyle products Consumer and lifestyle products that meet Australian country of origin requirements can enter Thailand duty free LIFESTYLE • Australia has credibility and aspirational status • Billabong, Quiksilver, Roxy, Seafolly, Bloch, Holster, Diva ++ COSMETICS • Niche market opportunities e.g. natural spa products, natural skin care, cosmetic ingredients • Cancer Council, Jurlique, Skin Doctors, Emu ++ NATURAL HEALTH SUPPLEMENTS • Beauty and appearance create demand for specific segment e.g. Coenzyme Q10, Glucosamine, Calcium • Weight management and sports nutrition • Blackmores, Musashi Australia Unlimited 46 Energy and energy technologies • 2012: Thailand starts to import Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) • Tender for six new power plants in late 2013, with a combined capacity of 5400MW and cost of US$10.8bn • Business opportunities from government authorities and independent power producers: – – – – Power generators, transmission and distribution equipment Clean coal technology: sulphur calcium oxide reduction Alternative/renewable energy technology Smart Grid, Smart Metering, Smart Energy Management and Energy Storage Technology Australia Unlimited 47 Transport Infrastructure THB4trn (US$63bn) to be invested in transport infrastructure projects over the next 7 years • • • • • High-speed railway network Urban transport – Bangkok MRT Highway networks - ASEAN Highway Network Project (by 2020) Water transport development of 5 ports in south Air Transport – 2nd phase Suvarnabhumi Pak Bara: www.thealami.com Image source: www.bangkokmetro.co.th Source: Business Monitor International, Thailand Infrastructure Report Q1 2013 Australia Unlimited 48 Agricultural Business • Services and technology to increase productivity and competitiveness, for sugar, livestock, dairy, grains and horticulture • Need for increased mechanisation • Thailand still imports 65% of its processed dairy products requirements • Thailand is Australia‟s third biggest market for cotton • Co-operation with Thai conglomerates for supply into their international operations Australia Unlimited 49 Marine • Phuket - Asia‟s most attractive leisure marine destination • Industry in Thailand has grown with tourism growth (> 22 million arrivals in 2013) • Leisure craft, transfer ferries and related products and services • Several Australian manufacturers already active Australia Unlimited 50 Green Building Products and Technologies • Climate change concerns drive demand • Increasing awareness of building standards, safety, and environmentally friendly products • Future growth in areas outside of Bangkok, especially Phuket, for high end luxury condos, hotels and marinas Australia Unlimited 51 Deep open-cut lignite (brown coal) mining • EGAT has issues with operation of deep open-cut lignite mining • Opportunities may exist for: – Slope stability: Geotechnical review and consulting of in-house pit designs – Transportation & communication systems – Environmental management – Production improvement – Drainage/Sludge/Pumping systems Australia Unlimited 52 Oil & Gas • Equipment Needed for Water and Sand Management, and Subsea Production o Enhanced oil recovery o Marginal field development / innovative processes for small oil & gas fields including flare recovery systems o Water treatment and sand management o Sub-sea production systems o Carbon reduction equipment o Solutions for equipment fatigue, erosion, and corrosion to prolong equipment life o Decommissioning of platforms, particularly fields with high mercury content Australia Unlimited 53 Summary › › › › › A large & sophisticated market with a high “ROE” The “Teflon Economy” Global manufacturing power Growing middle class driving demand Australia a respected partner for supply of consumer goods, foods, grains, services and education › Australian businesses have come to Thailand to grow regionally › TAFTA and BOI facilitate business growth Australia Unlimited 54 Doing Business in Thailand › Be aware of Thai culture (smile, wai and gifts) and recognise the cultural and language barriers › “Yes” doesn‟t always mean “Yes” › Understand and respect social status › Respect for the monarchy › Relationship building is critical › Be patient with bureaucracy › Be flexible and accommodating › Be open for technology transfer › Use the BOI for investment Australia Unlimited 55 Useful contacts • Australian Embassy, Bangkok www.thailand.embassy.gov.au • Austrade www.austrade.gov.au • Thailand‟s Board of Investment www.boi.go.th • Australian-Thai Chamber of Commerce www.austchamthailand.com • Australia-Thailand Business Council (ATBC) www.aust-thai.org.au Australia Unlimited 56
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