Eastern Poland Development challenges Edited by Bartosz Jóźwik · Mariusz Sagan Eastern Poland Development challenges Eastern Poland Development challenges Edited by Bartosz Jóźwik · Mariusz Sagan Edited by Bartosz Jóźwik Mariusz Sagan Copy editor Dorota Partyka Language editor Dominika Kopaczek Cover and book design, typesetting Amadeusz Targoński www.targonski.pl Cover photo: © Mikołaj Majda © Equestrian Portrait of Wladyslaw Jagiello from the collections of the Lublin Museum Reviewers Jesús Sánchez Cotobal Wojciech Kosiedowski Wojciech Misterek Teresa Pakulska ISBN 978-83-60695-73-9 © Copyright by Authors and Instytut Europy Środkowo-Wschodniej, Lublin 2013 Instytut Europy Środkowo-Wschodniej ul. Niecała 5, 20-080 Lublin tel. (48) 81 532 29 07, fax (48) 81 534 72 32 [email protected] www.iesw.lublin.pl Printing Perfekta info www.perfekta.info.pl Contents Janusz Lewandowski Wprowadzenie . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 Janusz Lewandowski Preface . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 Bartosz Jóźwik, Mariusz Sagan Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 Bartosz Jóźwik Economic growth and competitiveness . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 1. Historical conditions of economic growth in the voivodships of Eastern Poland. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 2. Economic growth in the voivodships of Eastern Poland. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 3. Growing disparities in the regional development in Poland . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34 4. Competitiveness as a principal development tendency in the voivodships of Eastern Poland . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38 Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45 6 CONTENTS Joanna Szafran Cohesion policy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47 1. Voivodships of Eastern Poland as the poorest EU regions in 2004-2006 . . . . . . . 49 2. Participation of voivodships of Eastern Poland in the 2007-2013 Cohesion Policy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58 Summary. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67 Henryk Ponikowski Demography . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71 1. Demographic situation of Eastern Poland voivodeships. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73 2. The characteristics of diagnostic demographic features . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 76 3. Demographic distances in Eastern Poland voivodeships on European background. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83 4. Demographic future of Eastern Poland voivodeships. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 93 Summary. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 98 Paweł Pasierbiak Labour markets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101 1. Main economic indicators in voivodships of Eastern Poland and relations between economic growth and labor markets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 103 2. Condition of the labor markets in the voivodships of Eastern Poland. . . . . . . . . . 106 Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 117 Katarzyna Sołkowicz Cultural potential . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 121 1. Cultura as a potential of development . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 122 2. Importance of cultural identity. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 125 3. Role of historical conditioning. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 135 4. Multiculturalism in Eastern Poland . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 139 Summary. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 145 Mariusz Sagan Five regional capitals and their development potential . . . . . . . . . . 147 1. Economic potential . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 152 2. Academic potential . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 155 3. Potential of municipal government. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 160 Fund acquisition for development by local governments (EU funds) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 160 4. Potentials of cultural communities and tourism . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 163 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES CONTENTS 5. Assessing the potentials of Lublin, Białystok, Olsztyn, Rzeszów and Kielce . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 165 Summary. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 168 Teresa Szot-Gabryś Factors Influencing Entrepreneurship Development . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 169 1. The significance of entrepreneurship in economical development. The level of entrepreneurship growth in Eastern Poland. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 169 2. Conditions for the development of entrepreneurship in Eastern Poland . . . . . . . 175 3. Conditions for undertaking economic activity – entrepreneur’s perspective . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 179 4. The system of entrepreneurship and MSMEs sector support . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 186 5.Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 195 Krystyna Leszczewska Condition of entrepreneurship and the micro, small and medium-sized enterprise sector . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 197 1. Regional conditions of entrepreneurship. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 200 2. Regions of Eastern Poland – characteristics. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 203 3. Entrepreneurship in the regions of Eastern Poland . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 205 4. Innovative entrepreneurship. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 213 5. Developing structures of clusters. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 218 Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 221 Aneta Karasek Creative class. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 223 1. Concept of the creative class. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 225 2. Measuring the creative class in Poland. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 230 3. 3T model applicable to Polish voivodships. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 234 4. Regional economic growth impacted by the creative class . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 238 Summary. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 240 Jarosław Kuśpit Foreign direct investment. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 243 1. Foreign direct investment in theoretical and practical research. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 244 2. Eastern Poland as a location for direct foreign investment. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 246 Transport accessibility . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 249 Size and quality of labor force. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 250 Labor cost . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 253 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 7 8 CONTENTS Access to sales markets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 253 Economic infrastructure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 254 Social infrastructure. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 255 The level of economic development. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 256 Natural environment protection . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 257 General safety level. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 258 Voivodeship self-government activity in attracting investors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 258 Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 260 Anna Nowak Agriculture . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 265 1. Agricultural transformation – conditions and significance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 266 2. The significance of agriculture for the economy of the voivodships of Eastern Poland . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 270 3. Structural reforms and changes in the productivity of productive forces . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 279 Summary. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 289 Bożena Oleszko-Kurzyna Rural areas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 293 1. Defining rural areas and the difficulties in rural development in the EU and Poland . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 295 2. Rural areas of the macro-region of Eastern Poland – their principal development potentials . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 302 Summary. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 308 Małgorzata Dolata Environmental infrastructure. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 313 1. Infrastructure as a development determinant . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 314 2. Infrastructure in the rural areas of Polish eastern voivodships. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 317 Summary. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 331 Bartosz Jóźwik, Mariusz Sagan Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 333 Bibliography . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 339 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES EASTERN POLAND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES Edited by Bartosz Jóźwik & Mariusz Sagan, Lublin 2013 J A N U S Z L E WA N D O W S K I Wprowadzenie Wyzwania rozwojowe mają charakter powszechny. Słabsze regiony usiłują „równać w górę”, w stronę silniejszych. Lepiej rozwinięte regiony nie mogą spocząć na laurach, bo ich przewaga konkurencyjna nie jest dana raz na zawsze. Problemy „ściany wschodniej” w Polsce – analizowane głęboko i wszechstronnie w pracy Bartosza Jóźwika i Mariusza Sagana – stanowią interesującą ilustrację zjawiska obecnego w wielu krajach członkowskich Unii Europejskiej. Zabieganie o większą spójność terytorialną i wyrównywanie warunków życia jest celem świadomej polityki wszystkich państw. Od lat 80. jest też deklarowanym celem unijnej polityki spójności, wspartej przez wieloletnie ramy finansowe. Poligon doświadczalny Europy jest pod 10 JANUSZ LEWANDOWSKI tym względem bogaty, natomiast efekty tych zabiegów są mocno zróżnicowane. Dla przykładu, na dobrej drodze jest Saksonia, ale inne landy wschodnie RFN nie zmniejszyły dystansu wobec landów zachodnich. Podobne kłopoty ma Extremadura w Hiszpanii oraz Walia w Zjednoczonym Królestwie. Szczególnym przypadkiem jest jednak włoskie Mezziogiorno, zasilane od stu lat przez transfery publiczne, najpierw krajowe, potem europejskie. Miliardy lirów i euro nie zmniejszyły dystansu rozwojowego południa Włoch w stosunku do Mediolanu i Turynu – różnica nie maleje, a nawet rośnie! Jest to wyrazisty, empiryczny dowód, iż subwencje publiczne nie są wystarczającą odpowiedzią na wyzwania rozwojowe. Są prawdopodobnie warunkiem koniecznym, ale niewystarczającym do awansu regionów, które z rozmaitych przyczyn – historycznych, geograficznych, klimatycznych, kulturowych – nadrabiają zaległości. Pochodzę z Lublina. Obserwuję losy wschodniej części Polski od początku naszych przemian ustrojowych. Pamiętam niechęć zagranicznych inwestorów, których namawiałem do lokowania kapitału w Polsce na progu lat 90., by przekroczyli Wisłę. Preferowali jednak Wrocław, Poznań, Śląsk i Pomorze. Widzę dobrze mapę autostrad, szybkich pociągów oraz wielkich imprez w rodzaju Euro 2012 – mapę niezbyt korzystną dla wschodu. Dobrze, więc, że „ściana wschodnia” miała dodatkową alokację funduszy Unii Europejskiej w latach 2007-13 i nieźle wykorzystała pieniądze inwestycyjne. Podobnie będzie w Perspektywie Finansowej 2014-20. Cieszą mnie statystyki i oceny wskazujące, że mój Lublin i Ziemia Lubelska idą śladem Drezna i Saksonii, czyli nadrabiają dystans, ożywiając nie tylko gospodarkę, ale także ofertę kulturalną i naukową. Jest to i nadal będzie praca w toku. Przypominam i ostrzegam, że Unia Europejska to nie tylko miliardowe fundusze rozwojowe, ale także surowe reguły pomocy publicznej i konkurencji. Szczęśliwie, zauważa się w nich szczególne wyzwania rozwojowe słabszych regionów, co przekłada się na większy poziom dozwolonej pomocy publicznej. Polska Wschodnia pozostanie na poziomie 50% tolerowanej pomocy do końca 2020 roku. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES WPROWADZENIE Zachęcając do lektury niniejszej książki, wyrażam życzenie mieszkańców „ściany wschodniej” i życzenie osobiste: by możliwie szybko kojarzenie wschodu z „Polską B” – pejoratywne i krzywdzące – straciło aktualność. Mam nadzieję, że pomogą w tym diagnozy i recepty kreślone w monografii redagowanej przez Bartosza Jóźwika i Mariusza Sagana. Janusz Lewandowski EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 11 EASTERN POLAND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES Edited by Bartosz Jóźwik & Mariusz Sagan, Lublin 2013 J A N U S Z L E WA N D O W S K I Preface Development challenges are universal and poorer regions attempt to adopt a top-runner approach to catch up with stronger regions. Better developed regions cannot rest on their laurels because their competitive advantage is not given once and for all. The problems faced by Poland’s Eastern Wall which are thoroughly and comprehensively examined in the monograph edited by Bartosz Jóźwik and Mariusz Sagan can interestingly illustrate the phenomenon present in many European Union member states. Striving for greater territorial cohesion and ironing out disparities in the quality of life is the aim of a conscious policy of all countries. Since the 1980s, these have become a declared aim of the EU cohesion policy, supported by the multiannual financial framework. Europe is a great testing ground for 14 JANUSZ LEWANDOWSKI these actions whose effects are highly diverse. For example, Saxony is on a right path unlike the other Eastern German federal states which have not reduced their distance to the Western German federal states. Extremadura in Spain and Wales in the United Kingdom encounter similar problems. However, a special case can be called Mezziogiorno in Italy which has been supported for a hundred years by public transfers, at first national and later European. Billions of lire and euros have not managed to reduce the development distance between the South of Italy and Milan and Turin – the disparity is not decreasing and actually even growing! It is clear and empirical evidence that public subsidies are not a sufficient response to development challenges. They are probably a necessary though insufficient condition to advance regions which for various reasons like historical, geographical, climatic, cultural are catching up with the best. Lublin is my hometown and I have been following the situation of Eastern Poland since the beginning of our political transformation. I remember how much foreign investors were reluctant when I persuaded them to invest in Poland in the early 1990s and to cross the Vistula River. Unfortunately, they preferred Wrocław, Poznań, Śląsk [Silesia] and Pomorze [Pomerania]. I can clearly see a map of highways, high-speed trains and great events such as Euro 2012 – a map which is not favourable enough for Eastern Poland. It is perfect that the so called Polish Eastern Wall received an additional allocation of EU funds in 2007-13 and used the investment money quite well. It will be similar in the Financial Perspective 2014-20. I enjoy statistics and assessments indicating that my Lublin and Lublin Region are following the best practice of Dresden and Saxony, or they are catching up and reviving not only their economies but also cultural and scientific offer. These efforts are already underway and will be continued. I am reminding and warning that the European Union means not only billion-worth development funds, but also strict rules of public aid and competition. Luckily, these are considered as a particular challenge in a development of weaker regions, which is reflected in a greater level of allowable aid. Eastern Poland will remain at a 50% tolerated aid level by the end of 2020. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES PREFACE Encouraging to read this monograph, I am expressing the wish of residents of the Polish Eastern Wall and my own that the derogatory and hurtful association of the so called “Poland B” with the East could become invalid as soon as possible. I hope that the diagnosis and recommendations contained in the monograph edited by Bartosz Jóźwik and Mariusz Sagan can be helpful. Janusz Lewandowski Translated by Dominika Kopaczek EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 15 EASTERN POLAND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES Edited by Bartosz Jóźwik & Mariusz Sagan, Lublin 2013 BARTOSZ JÓŹWIK, MARIUSZ SAGAN Introduction Eastern Poland1 as a border region in the EU is regarded just like Southern Italy known as Mezzogiorno and the eastern states of Germany as a distinct area of the European Union that faces numerous difficulties such as socioeconomic backwardness, underdeveloped infrastructure and unfavourable age dependency. The European debate on the determinants behind and trends in assistance policies to support poorer regions emphasises that those macro-regions are fairly similar with respect to factors that hinder their development. However, certain economic achievements in the selected regions of eastern Germany indicate that correctly targeted assistance policies and 1 Considering the needs of this monograph and simplifying things somewhat, Eastern Poland is regarded here as an area of 5 Polish voivodships: lubelskie, podlaskie, podkarpackie, świętokrzyskie and warmińskomazurskie. Based on the NUTS 2 delimitation, this approach chiefly relates to the implementation of the EU programme for that area of Poland, i.e. Operational Programme Development of Eastern Poland 2007-2013. 18 BARTOSZ JÓŹWIK, MARIUSZ SAGAN their substantial volume can overcome any adverse trends in development. Unfortunately, the long-term assistance to southern Italy has failed to bring the expected results there, and that region remains a significant financial burden to rich northern Italy. Despite being a problem region that has been regarded as “a trendy research topic” in the Polish literature for less than 10 years, Eastern Poland has already been indicated as a region where good and bad experiences need to be applied to shape a dedicated and based on endogenous potentials regional policy in the EU and the USA. Therefore, the European reader should be introduced into the nature and specificity of that region in view of the possible policies implemented by the EU and national authorities to support development and the present efforts to do so. It should also be borne in mind that Eastern Poland as a region neighbouring Ukraine, Belarus and Russia has become an important element of the geopolitical and economic jigsaw puzzle. Accordingly, its possible economic success can accelerate the convergence of European values into the East, extend stabilisation in Europe and increase trade and investment flows. Regarding that fact, the assistance policy to that region may become much more significant (also for that region itself) than peripheral southern Italy (in view of today’s geopolitics). Today’s low social-economic development and investment attractiveness of Eastern Poland in relation to Central and Western Poland chiefly result from the past implications that date back to the 19th century. Firstly, the backwardness of that macro-region was caused by the unfavourable circumstances that accompanied the system transformation in Poland after 1989, i.e. the collapse of the industry along with the frequently passive local elites who expected “invisible market forces” or decision-makers from the capital2 to remedy that unfavourable situation. The poor government involvement and assistance, especially in investment for over twenty years of the system 2 More in: M. Stefański, Świat jest płaski czy kolczasty; czyli jak wspierać innowacyjność w regionie lubelskim? [Is the world ‘flat’ or ‘spiky’? How to support the innovativeness in the Lublin region?], [in:] Wspieranie procesów innowacyjnych w gospodarce regionu [Assistance to innovative processes in the regional economy], ed. M. Stefański, Innovatio Press, Lublin 2009, p. 60 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES INTRODUCTION transformation, accompanied by typical phenomena for less developed regions like insufficient civil society activities, no enthusiasm among people that taking matters into one’s own hands can change the adverse economic situation have deteriorated the already difficult situation of Eastern Poland. Actually, the unfavourable allocation of EU financial aid in 2004-2006 can be an excellent example. Its algorithm favoured the richer regions of Western Poland and a majority of special economic zones to be established outside Eastern Poland. This, in fact, lasted from 1995 to 20073. Secondly, unlike the German or Spanish assistance policies to their poor regions, the Polish regional and transport policies provided for no investment to modernise the road and railway infrastructure in eastern voivodships. The idea that Eastern Poland should be abandoned or, as some decision-makers would wish, be left to the free market was held until the first decade of 21st century, or after nearly 20 years of the government assistance policy to almost only rich regions or border regions in Western Poland. In the EU’s financial perspective for 2007-2013, much more funding was allocated for poorer regions under the Regional Operational Programmes and the regional components of the Operational Programme Human Capital as well as the Operational Programme Development of Eastern Poland which is a special, individualised assistance programme for Eastern Poland. The fact that Eastern Poland is a peripheral region is another important though adverse factor behind the competitiveness of that region and consequently Poland. Moreover, when Poland joined the EU, Eastern Poland turned from interface peripheries into external peripheries, which was accompanied by separating from Belarus, Russia and Ukraine4. The fact that Eastern Poland’s economy depends on low-productive agriculture which 3 4 More in: M. Sagan, Potencjał rozwojowy miast wojewódzkich Polski Wschodniej [The development potential of the regional capitals in Eastern Poland], [in:] Strategiczna problematyka rozwoju Polski Wschodniej [The strategic issues of the development of Eastern Poland], ed. D. J. Błaszczuk, M. Stefański, Innovatio Press, Lublin 2010, p. 220. T. Zarycki, Polska wschodnia w perspektywie centro-peryferyjnej [Eastern Poland in the central and peripheral perspective] [in:] Strategiczna problematyka rozwoju Regionu Lubelskiego [The strategic issues of the development of Eastern Poland], ed. M. Stefański, Innovatio Press, Lublin 2011, pp. 96-97. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 19 20 BARTOSZ JÓŹWIK, MARIUSZ SAGAN generates low income and reinforces the unfavourable economic structure there is the key and intractable problem of that region5. Unfortunately, Eastern Poland is still quite often externally and internally stigmatised, which is, unfortunately, a bad “habit” of Poland. Accordingly, rational decisions about relevant policies of government intervention in that region can be hampered and potential investors, tourists or students can often be frightened off. Basically, this monograph discusses the implications of and obstacles to the development and changes, especially in 2000-2010 in that macro-region of the European Union in view of contemporary global socio-economic processes. An important objective of this study is the investigation on the nature of the challenges faced by Eastern Poland both in view of the EU cohesion policy for 2014-2020 and the economic governance of the global economy that has been shaped since the 2008 financial crisis. Eastern Poland is most likely to obtain much more EU funding than it was in the 2007-2013 financial perspective. Therefore, any attempts to formulate recommendations for the Polish economic policy to accelerate development in that region are justified. Actually, the faster development of Eastern Poland seems to be critical, especially in the light of the implemented and planned expansion of the EU to the East. Joining such a discussion is a great intellectual challenge, given the difficulties in evaluating the efficiency of today’s policies addressed that part of Poland6. Also, the assistance to that region – much more significant than previously – started in the late 2000s so the data available is insufficient to pre-evaluate the existing policy. Numerous endogenous and exogenous factors are behind the development processes in Eastern Poland. Combining those two types of factors of growth is an opportunity to improve the growth rate of the socio-eco- 5 6 M. W. Kozak, Kluczowe problemy rozwojowe Polski Wschodniej: próba identyfikacji [Key development difficulties in Eastern Poland. An attempt of their identification] [in:] Ibidem, p. 154. The Central Statistical office provides the data on regional GDP with a 2-year delay so the scope of the true convergence of Eastern Poland in relation to Poland and other EU regions is difficult to be estimated. The latest data available concern the year 2010 when the total 2007-2013 EU funds allocation to Eastern Poland was still negligeable. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES INTRODUCTION nomic changes there. At a time of certain internal potentials, Eastern Poland should necessarily attract external capital generated to a far greater extent by the inflow of foreign investment. The cases of the world’s less developed regions that undergo a successful process of transformation and convergence indicate that a skilful combination of individual endogenous potentials and strong, mainly private external capital is an extremely important factor. Therefore, this study examines the selected but important implications of the development of Eastern Poland. They can enhance faster development there although they are problem areas that require government assistance, e.g. agriculture, SMEs, basic urban centres, age dependency. The goals of this monograph are reflected in the layout and structure. The investigation concerns Eastern Poland’s system and macroeconomic determinants, implications for its demography and labour market and cultural environment; its entrepreneurship, creative classes and foreign direct investment; its agriculture and rural areas. Chapter 1 by Bartosz Jóźwik compares the economic growth and competitiveness of Eastern Poland and the remaining EU regions. The author stresses that the deteriorating position of Eastern Poland in the ranking of the EU regions based on the per capita GDP criterion can be improved in the next financial perspective as a result of more involvement of the Polish authorities. Chapter 2 by Joanna Szafran explores the opportunities of the EU cohesion policy offered to the voivodships of Eastern Poland. The author carefully studies the scopes of the use of the EU assistance programmes in 2004-2006 and 2007-2013. She claims that Eastern Poland’s future absorption capacity and effective use of the EU assistance relate to the abilities of that macro-region to co-finance projects and respecting its needs in the government’s development programmes and state budget assistance. Henryk Ponikowski’s chapter is an attempt to answer the question to what extent Eastern Poland’ economic development is impacted by demographic phenomena there. The author formulates the thesis that Eastern Poland should be subject to demographic convergence, just as it is to economic one now. Regarding demographic trends, Paweł Pasierbiak carefully examines EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 21 22 BARTOSZ JÓŹWIK, MARIUSZ SAGAN the trends in the labour market in Eastern Poland in Chapter 4. Chapter 5 by Katarzyna Sołkowicz focuses on culture as an important element of regional changes. The author attempts to investigate the relationship between the culture and implications for the development in Eastern Poland. She investigates the meaning of selected aspects of cultural conditions like cultural identity, historical circumstances, multiculturalism and innovative culture for Eastern Poland. In Chapter 6, Mariusz Sagan evaluates the development potentials of Eastern Poland’s regional capitals. He formulates recommendations on the future state intervention policies for Eastern Poland which are funded mainly from the 2014-2020 EU budget. The author emphasises the need to concentrate financial assistance to be allocated to the largest cities regarded as engines of regions, which is consistent with a new EU’s approach to support large cities. Chapters 7 and 8 focus on the development of entrepreneurship in Eastern Poland, which is a fundamental issue. Teresa Szot-Gabryś examines its implications and institutional assistance to support it. Krystyna Leszczewska’s comprehensive investigation on the trends in the development of the entrepreneurship in all of the voivodships of Eastern Poland in 2000-2010 brings numerous recommendations on the assistance to develop small business in Eastern Poland. Chapter 9 by Aneta Karasek discusses the potential of the creative classes in Eastern Poland that as R. Florida claims is a valuable asset of any region in the world that should be used to develop the economy and innovation. She points out that the clusters of creative classes in Eastern Poland, i.e. the largest regional capitals, are not sufficiently used to facilitate development there although the EU funds in 2014-2020 should make a contribution. In chapter 10, Jarosław Kuśpit discusses Eastern Poland’s absorption potential concerning foreign direct investment (FDI). He attempts to indicate the reasons why investors are not interested enough in that part of Poland and the EU. Chapters 11, 12 and 13 focus on the agriculture and rural areas of Eastern Poland. Regarded as one of the key barriers to faster convergence there, the low productive agriculture in Eastern Poland is steadily changing and EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES INTRODUCTION being modernised. Those issues are investigated by Anna Nowak in Chapter 11, Bożena Oleszko in Chapter 12 and Małgorzata Dolata in Chapter 13. Certainly, this monograph does not attempt a survey of all of the difficulties, implications and development challenges faced by Eastern Poland as an area specially supported by the EU 2020 regional policy. We assume, however, this monograph can inspire researchers to do the further and in-depth research and prove to be useful in preparing recommendations for the new 2014-2020 programming period. We hope that the issues raised here can be interesting not only to researchers who investigate economically underdeveloped regions but also policy makers in the European countries and regions, e.g. the Balkans, Bulgaria, Ukraine that suffer from regional economic disparities and shall be able to take action, as Eastern Poland did, to develop their own programmes of considered, relevant, regular and long-term assistance. Bartosz Jóźwik, Mariusz Sagan Lublin (Poland), September 2013 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 23 EASTERN POLAND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES Edited by Bartosz Jóźwik & Mariusz Sagan, Lublin 2013 BARTOSZ JÓŹWIK Economic growth and competitiveness The economic growth and improvement of living conditions in the poorest European Union regions are frequently examined. Clearly, these issues are also tackled by the European regional policy, especially the policies implemented by the EU Central and Eastern Europe regions, including Polish eastern voivodships known as Eastern Poland. The economic development of this region basically differs from that of other regions in Poland so this region requires much attention, especially when economic growth is assisted by the EU cohesion policy. To explain the conditions of the economic development in the regions of Eastern Poland, the several year economic policy of the central authorities which chiefly supported the development of Warsaw and the Polish coal mining district is discussed here. Some measurable effects of this policy can be still experienced today. Only recently, the development of Eastern Poland has been improved. Unfortunately, even 26 BARTOSZ JÓŹWIK the accelerated growth as seen there has not stopped the growing dispersion measured by GDP per capita relative to the richer regions. These issues are discussed in the second and third part of this chapter. Finally, the chapter discusses the competitiveness of the regions of Eastern Poland and the priorities of regional operational programmes subsidised by the European Regional Development Fund and European Social Fund that are to improve it. 1. Historical conditions of economic growth in the voivodships of Eastern Poland The fact that the voivodships of Eastern Poland belong the least developed regions of the European Union has been chiefly conditioned by historical events like the Partitions whose impact on today’s Polish economy is now regarded as negligible and thus impossible. Such doubts can strengthen the current spectacular fast growing economic and housing infrastructure, both in developed countries and in some developing countries such as China and India. The new location of Eastern Poland when Poland’s post-war border was realigned1 was another significant and negative factor that hindered development in this area. The conditions for the development of the voivodships of Eastern Poland were also inconvenient when the government of People’s Republic of Poland was implementing its policies of making more than 40% of investments in the southern macro-region, especially Górnośląski Okręg Przemysłowy [Upper Silesian Industrial Region]. Accordingly, less than 0.1% of the government industrial investment2 was made in the eastern and northern Polish voivodships then. It should be pointed out that such a percentage of investment definitely determined development opportunities in Eastern 1 2 More in T. Zarycki, Polska Wschodnia w perspektywie centro-peryferyjnej [Eastern Poland and the centro-peripheral approach] [in:] Strategiczna problematyka rozwoju Regionu Lubelskiego [Strategic issues on the development of the Lublin region], ed. M. Stefański, Lublin 2011, p. 97. Strategia rozwoju społeczno-gospodarczego Polski Wschodniej do roku 2020 [Strategy for the socio-economic developement of Eastern Poland until 2020], Ministry of Regional Development, Warszawa 2008, p. 4. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES ECONOMIC GROWTH AND COMPETITIVENESS voivodships regardless of the then proclaimed ideological principles to balance development in each region. The collapse of communism has changed the conditions for economic development in Poland. Since then, the economic development of post-socialist countries and regions that joined the European Union has been impacted by two key processes/factors: economic transformation and European integration. The beginning of the economic transformation witnessed the economic downturn similar to the Great Depression, followed by the rapid growth primarily as a result of a change in labour productivity and resources of the labour force due to the changed economic activity of the population and demographic changes3. W. Siwiński’s analysis on how GDP per capita was being shaped in 1995-2004 in the countries under transformation that joined the European Union shows that these countries significantly managed to bridge the income gap caused by the crisis in the first stage of transformation. W. Siwiński pointed out that the countries under study were easily classified then as: a group of small Baltic states like Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania that managed to reduce very quickly their income gaps and a group of other countries like Hungary, Poland, Slovakia, Slovenia, Czech Republic that are reducing these disparities twice slower 4. At the time of the deep recession after the collapse of communism, the Polish government interventions focused primarily on balancing the negative effects of economic transformation. Again, the most of assistance was granted to the regions to which the most of development funds were allocated during communism. The already mentioned ”Strategy of socio-economic development of Eastern Polish 2020”, developed by the government, states clearly that “the voivodships of Eastern Poland had no chance to change their sta- 3 4 W. Siwiński, Wzrost gospodarczy Polski i krajów Europy Środkowo-Wschodniej: czy możliwa jest trwała konwergencja dochodowa z Europą Zachodnią? [Economic growth in Poland and EU Central and Eastern Member States. Is a sustainable income convergence with Western Europe possible?] [in:] Konwergencja gospodarcza Polski [Economic convergence in Poland], ed. Z. B. Liberda, Polskie Towarzystwo Ekonomiczne, Warszawa 2009, p. 126. W. Siwiński, op. cit., p. 139. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 27 28 BARTOSZ JÓŹWIK tus and they grew relatively slower in the 1990s than the rest of the country [...], which resulted from both the decisions by the central authorities and internal conditions in each region of Eastern Poland”5. These unfavourable conditions for socio-economic development of the voivodships of Eastern Poland triggered and gradually increased discrepancies between them and the other Polish voivodships. The development disparities between the former Polish 49 voivodships were discussed by, e.g. Franz Barjak. He applied the method of cluster analysis to classify these disparities into four categories/clusters6: a rural cluster with low economic capability and insignificant potential for growth; a cluster with medium economic capability and significant labour market problems; a cluster with high economic capability, a very good supply of human capital and with growth potential through technical progress; a manufacturing cluster with a very good supply of capital and low-skilled labour force. The entire area of the five voivodships of Eastern Poland is classified as rural areas with low economic and growth potentials, see Map 1. F. Barjak stresses that areas classified as rural are not homogeneous and sub-regions of more considerable economic and growth potentials should be distinguished there. Urban centers, including Lublin, Białystok, Rzeszów and Kielce are such sub-regions in Poland. 5 6 Strategia rozwoju społeczno–gospodarczego Polski Wschodniej...[Strategy for socio-economic development of Eastern Poland...], p. 7. F. Barjak, Regional Disparities in Transition Economies: a Typology for East Germany and Poland, “Post-Communist Economies” 2001, vol. 13, no. 3, p. 299. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES ECONOMIC GROWTH AND COMPETITIVENESS Map 1. Clusters in the Polish voivodships as in the 1997 administrative division Source: F. Barjak, Regional Disparities in Transition Economies: a Typology for East Germany and Poland, Post-Communist Economies, vol. 13, no. 3, 2001, p. 299. The pre-accession period was not more favourable for Eastern Poland, either. The allocation of pre-accession funds as specified in the adopted priorities was more favourable for the central and western voivodships. Large projects subsidised under the Instrument for Structural Policies for PreAccession (ISPA) were mainly implemented in the most developed regions. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 29 30 BARTOSZ JÓŹWIK Also, the relatively low GDP per capita in the regions of Eastern Poland relative to a larger geographical space, i.e. the entire European Union, is regarded as a result of the past system. In 2008, or nearly twenty years after the fall of communism, GDP per capita in almost all of the regions in the post-socialist countries was low (Map 2). Map 2. GDP per capita as measured by PPS in the EU regions in 2008 (UE-27average =100) Source: Eurostat The favourable socio-economic development in Eastern Poland started as soon as the EU cohesion policy was implemented. Obviously, considered to be one of the key areas of European integration, the EU cohesion policy is to promote the harmonious development of the European Union, EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES ECONOMIC GROWTH AND COMPETITIVENESS to strengthen economic, social and territorial cohesion in the EU, and in particular to reduce any development disparities between various EU regions and the underdevelopment of the least favoured regions, including rural areas and areas affected by industrial transformation7. It should be emphasised, however, that the voivodships of Eastern Poland witnessed significant limitations in the absorption of funds for socio-economic development in the first period of membership, i.e. in 2004-2006 because the implementation of sectoral economic priorities continued to focus on large transport and environmental protection investment projects to be implemented in the western and central voivodships8. 2. Economic growth in the voivodships of Eastern Poland The unfavourable historical conditions, including the insignificant allocation of funds on economic development triggered considerable disparities in economic development between the voivodships of Eastern Poland and other regions of Poland and Western Europe. The statistics by Eurostat for the EU regions NUTS 2 on how GDP per capita in 2010 was developing indicate that the five voivodships of Eastern Poland belong to the poorest EU regions (Table 1). Table 1. NUTS2 EU regions with the lowest GPD per capita in 2010 Region 7 8 Country GPD per capita Region Country GPD per capita Severozapaden BG 2,900 Lubelskie PL 6,200 Severen tsentralen BG 3,100 Podkarpackie PL 6,200 Yuzhen tsentralen BG 3,300 Dél-Alföld HU 6,300 Nord-Est RO 3,600 Dél-Dunántúl HU 6,600 Severoiztochen BG 3,900 Vest RO 6,600 Art. 174 of the consolidated version of the Treaty on the functioning of the European Union. Strategia rozwoju społeczno-gospodarczego Polski Wschodniej... [Strategy for socio-economic development of Eastern Poland...], p. 4. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 31 32 BARTOSZ JÓŹWIK Region Country GPD per capita Region Country GPD per capita Yugoiztochen BG 3,900 Podlaskie PL 6,700 Sud-Vest Oltenia RO 4,500 Warminsko-Mazurskie PL 6,800 Sud-Est RO 4,800 Świętokrzyskie PL 7,000 Sud - Muntenia RO 4,800 Opolskie PL 7,300 Nord-Vest RO 5,200 Kujawsko-Pomorskie PL 7,700 Centru RO 5,600 Małpolskie PL 7,800 Észak-Magyarország HU 5,900 Lubuskie PL 7,800 Észak-Alföld HU 6,100 Zachodniopomorskie PL 8,000 Source: Prepared by the author based on the data from Eurostat The long lasting low position of the voivodships of Eastern Poland in the ranking of the poorest EU regions is associated with a relatively low value of GDP per capita which cannot significantly reduce the gap between the most or even medium-developed European regions, even if growth rates are significant. For example, the average GDP per capita in the European Union region in 2010 was three and a half times higher than the average value for the voivodships of Eastern Poland or almost four times, i.e. 3.8 higher than in the lubelskie voivodship. Such considerable disparities mean that certain long-run fundamental economic changes if, of course, ever possible are required to bridge the gap in the economic development between the least developed EU regions and the EU average. The growth rate of GDP per capita in the voivodships of Eastern Poland is high enough relative to that of other EU regions. The medium-term growth rate of GDP per capita in the voivodships of Eastern Poland in 20002010 was 6.27%, whereas the average value for all EU NUTS2 regions was 3.47%9. The growth rate of GPD per capita in the voivodships of Eastern Poland was as follows: 6.58% in świętokrzyskie, 6.41% in podlaskie, 6.19% in lubelskie and podkarpackie, and 5.99% only in warmińsko-mazurskie. 9 The EU regional average was calculated without four German regions: Brandenburg, Dresden, Chemnitz, Leipzig and two Italian ones: Emilia-Romagna and Marche due to no relevant data in Eurostat. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES ECONOMIC GROWTH AND COMPETITIVENESS Such a fast annual growth rate of GDP per capita increased nearly to Euro 3,500 in 2000 and to 6,500 in 2010. However, this high growth rate of GDP per capita in the Polish eastern voivodships compared to the average value calculated for all of the EU regions is insufficient to improve their rating in the GDP per capita ranking of EU regions. Other less wealthy regions also grow fast as they compete with the voivodships of Eastern Poland. The voivodships of Eastern Poland were steadily rated lower until 2007 (Figure 1). This situation changed after 2008, or when the economic crisis made GDP drop in many EU Member States and regions. Fig. 1. Voivodships of Eastern Poland in the rating of the EU regions in terms of GDP per capita as measured by PPP in 2000-2010 Source: Prepared by the author based on the data from Eurostat Since 2008, the Polish eastern voivodships has been rated higher for their GDP per capita among EU regions. Surprisingly, these changes have been caused by the slower decrease rate of GDP per capita than that of their competitors. In 2008-2010, the medium-term growth rate of GDP per capita EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 33 34 BARTOSZ JÓŹWIK was negative for 187 regions, including the voivodships of Eastern Poland. Despite this relatively more favourable situation of Polish Eastern voivodships, the decline rate of GDP per capita (-1.74%) is bothering as it was after all almost twice the average for the EU regions (-0.95%). 3. Growing disparities in the regional development in Poland Irregular regional growth of GDP per capita has increased disparities in the economic development of many European Union Member States. While GDP per capita is similar in the entire European Union, which is confirmed by the studies on convergence in the European Union regions, the disparities in GDP per capita across regions, most notably in the European Union Central and Eastern European Member States are increasing. The phenomenon was discussed by, e.g. Petrakos G., P. Artelaris who studied the convergence in the EU regions in 1990-200010. They claim that the growing disparities may be due to the opening of markets as a result of the European economic integration, and thus the intensified competition there. Therefore, G. Petrakos, P. Artelaris stress the role of regional policy as one of the most important types of European Union policy in the foreseeable future. M. Smętkowski, P. Wójcik concluded in a similar way while studying the convergence in the regions of the European Union Central and Eastern European Member States11. They say that this area showed quite weak regional convergence, and most of these countries hardly tended to polarise development processes although the situation in smaller countries was quite stable. Similar conclusions can be drawn from the study by E. Łaźniewska, T. Górecki and R. Chmielewski on the regional development in the EU Central and 10 11 G. Petrakos, P. Artelaris, European Regional Convergence Revisited: A Weighted Least Squares Approach, Growth & Change vol. 40, no. 2 (Jun2009), p. 327. M. Smętkowski, P. Wójcik, Regiony w Europie Środkowo-Wschodniej: tendencje i czynniki rozwojowe [Regions in Central and Eastern Europe: development trends and factors], Centrum Europejskich Studiów Regionalnych i Lokalnych Uniwersytet Warszawski, Warszawa 2008. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES ECONOMIC GROWTH AND COMPETITIVENESS Eastern European Member States, Cyprus and Malta. The results prove, for example, that geographical convergence occurred in this area although the gap between the regions with the lowest GDP per capita and the highest one increased. Moreover, the disparities between GDP per capita increased in all of the countries studied, which may be due to the phenomenon typical of early stages of national economic development, namely several core regions drive a process of catching up as a result of strong agglomeration effects12. Many countries face the problem of growing disparities between regional GDP per capita in the various EU Member States. Table 2 shows the values of dispersion index calculated as follows13: D – dispersion, yi – GDP per capita in the i-th region of a given country, Y – GDP per capita of a given country, pi – population of the i-th country, p – population of a given country, n – number of regions in a given country. The so defined dispersion is zero if the values of GDP per capita across regions are identical. Dispersion increases if the disparity in GDP per capita across regions increases. For example, the value of 20.7% in Poland in 2009 means that GDP as measured by the population size of all Polish 12 13 E. Łaźniewska, T. Górecki, R. Chmielewski, Konwergencja regionalna [Regional convergence], Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego in Poznań, Poznań 2011, p. 204. A. Krueger, Convergence and disparities in regional Gross Domestic Product, Economy and Finance, Eurostat. Statistics and Focus, 46/2011, p. 7. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 35 36 BARTOSZ JÓŹWIK voivodships/regions differs from the national average by 20.7% on average. The dispersion index for Poland increased by 3.3 percentage points in 19992008. In 2009, a similar difference in regional gross domestic product was recorded in Italy and Sweden (Table 2). Table 2. Regional (NUTS2) GDP per capita dispersion index in the selected UE Member States in 1999-2009 (given in % of national GDP per capita). 1999 2001 2003 2004 2007 2009 EU-27 32.4 31.6 30.1 29.4 28.2 27.2 Hungary 30.8 33.6 34.6 34.3 37.4 39.8 Bulgaria 21.9 20.5 24.3 25.8 36.1 39.6 Slovakia 25.9 26.8 27.8 28.1 30.8 33.2 Romania 20.8 22.9 23.5 23.1 28.5 30.4 Czech Republic 22.1 24.3 25.0 24.2 26.5 26.9 Great Britain 20.4 21.3 22.5 22.3 23.4 24.9 Belgium 25.4 25.6 25.2 25.3 24.3 24.2 Portugal 22.0 22.0 23.2 23.6 23.5 23.6 France 20.7 20.4 20.8 20.0 23.2 23.1 Italy 24.8 24.3 24.2 24.3 23.1 22.3 Poland 17.4 18.3 18.3 18.7 19.9 20.7 Sweden 16.2 14.9 14.9 15.6 15.5 19.0 Spain 20.5 20.4 19.1 18.8 18.3 18.5 Ireland 15.9 15.9 16.8 15.4 16.3 16.5 Germany 17.5 18.0 17.8 17.5 16.9 16.1 Finland 17.7 17.3 15.0 15.5 14.8 15.6 : : : : 15.1 15.2 Austria 18.5 18.3 17.9 16.8 15.1 15.1 Netherlands 10.8 10.9 11.0 11.3 10.6 10.6 Denmark Source: Prepared by the author based on the data from Eurostat This dispersion index changed in a varied way in the remaining EU Member States for which statistics are available. Dispersion increased mostly in Bulgaria (by 17.7 percentage points), Romania (by 9.6 percentage points) EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES ECONOMIC GROWTH AND COMPETITIVENESS and Hungary (by 9 percentage points), whereas it decreased mostly in Finland (by 2.1 percentage points), Italy (by 2.5 percentage points) and Austria (by 3.4 percentage points). Actually, the reduced dispersion index calculated for the European Union is an advantage for the balanced regional development within the European regional policy. In 1999, this indicator amounted to 32.4% and in 2009 it was 27.2%, followed a steady decline. Fig 2. Regional GDP per capita deviation in Poland in relation to the average value for 1995-2010 Source: Prepared by the author based on the data from Eurostat EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 37 38 BARTOSZ JÓŹWIK The growing disparities in the regional development in Poland are similar to the EU average of 2.4%. Accordingly, the dispersion in Poland can be assessed as similar to that in the European Union although it is worth being examined in detail. Fig. 2 depicts how the regional GDP per capita in Poland differs from the average for Poland in 1995-2010. Clearly, the deviation was increasing over the entire period, which reflects the growing dispersion. The standard deviation of regional GDP per capita was five times higher then. Although the voivodships of Eastern Poland are relatively steadily poorer, their GDP per capita is increasing in relation to the average value for Poland. The five lowest lines in Fig. 2 stand for the changes in the voivodships of Eastern Poland, i.e. the lowest line refers to lubelskie, followed by podkarpackie, podlaskie, warmińsko-mazurskie and świętokrzyskie. The fact that these disparities are growing may mean that the Polish economic policy is not efficient enough although it has been recently dedicated to bridge the development gaps amongst the regions. This issue will be discussed in detail in the next section. 4. Competitiveness as a principal development tendency in the voivodships of Eastern Poland In the current 2007-2013 programming period, the government (national) economic programmes like the National Cohesion Strategy, Development of Eastern Poland Operational Programme and regional operational programmes for the five voivodships of Eastern Poland directly indicate the development trends for the voivodships of Eastern Poland. Following the principles of EU subsidised socio-economic projects, project objectives and priorities must be consistent with the guidelines specified in the Commission Communication “Cohesion Policy in Support of Growth and Jobs: Community Strategic Guidelines, 2007-2013”14. 14 Communication from the Commission: Cohesion Policy in Support of Growth and Jobs: Community Strategic Guidelines, 2007-2013, COM(2005) 299 final, Brussels, 5 July 2005. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES ECONOMIC GROWTH AND COMPETITIVENESS The one of the goals of the basic strategy, or the National Cohesion Strategy, i.e. “Enhancing the competitiveness of Polish regions and preventing their social, economic and territorial marginalisation” refers to the voivodships of Eastern Poland. This goal is implemented by the national and regional operational programmes such as the national Development of Eastern Poland Operational Programme whose main goal, i.e. accelerating the socio-economic development of Eastern Poland following the principle of sustainable development was formulated quite universally. Its objectives15, i.e. the stimulation of the development of a competitive knowledge-based economy, better broadband Internet access and the removal of failures in the nextgeneration network (NGA) market and basic infrastructure for broadband Internet access, the development of selected metropolitan functions of regional capitals, the better availability and quality of transport connections in the voivodships of Eastern Poland, the stronger impact of sustainable tourism on macro-economic development and optimisation of the implementation of this operational programme can specify how this development can be achieved. The implementation of these objectives should improve the dynamics of diffusion of development from metropolitan centers into the surrounding areas and accelerate structural changes in these areas such as agricultural transformation and modernisation, non-agricultural job creation and improving education and qualifications of people in rural areas and small towns that serve these areas16. The regional strategic objectives, i.e. the ones in the operational programmes of the five voivodships of Eastern Poland have been formulated in a different way. They are primarily dedicated to enhance regional competitiveness. The main objectives of the five regional operational programmes Program Operacyjny Rozwój Polski Wschodniej 2007-2013. Narodowe Strategiczne Ramy Odniesienia 20072013 [2007-2013 Development of Eastern Poland Operational Programme. 2007-2013 National Strategic Reference Framework], Ministry of Regional Development, Warszawa 2009, p. 66. 16 Narodowe Strategiczne Ramy Odniesienia 2007-2013 wspierające wzrost gospodarczy i zatrudnienie. Narodowa Strategia Spójności [National Strategic Reference Framework 2007-2013, supporting the economic development and employment in Poland. National Cohesion Strategy], Ministry of Regional Development, Warszawa 2007, p. 69. 15 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 39 40 BARTOSZ JÓŹWIK are summarised in Table 3. Importantly, the strategies adopted to achieve the main objectives specified in Table 3 vary across regions. Table 3. Main objectives of the five regional operational programmes for Eastern Poland Voivodship Main objective of the regional operational programme lubelskie Competitiveness enhancement in the lubelskie voivodship to achieve faster economic development and increase employment given regional environmental and cultural qualities podkarpackie National and international economic competitiveness enhancement and improvement of regional accessibility podlaskie Acceleration of economic growth and non-agricultural job creation respecting and preserving the regional natural and cultural heritage świętokrzyskie Improving the conditions that support the development of competitiveness and generate new jobs in the regional economy warmińsko-mazurskie Economic, social and spatial cohesion of the region of Warmia and Mazury with other EU regions Competitiveness growth of the economy and number and quality of cluster relations Source: Prepared by the author based on the regional operational programmes Unfortunately, the indicators applied to achieve the main objectives of the operational programmes as specified in Table 4 do not directly refer to regional competitiveness but the number of jobs created and the impact of implementing the programmes on how regional GDP can change (Table 4). This fact can be regarded as inconsistency or even confusion in strategic planning. Although one can imagine that the improvement of the competitiveness of the regional economy can cause higher employment and accelerate GDP, there is an additional difficulty in assessing the effectiveness and efficiency of administration if improvement competitiveness indicators are defined so. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES ECONOMIC GROWTH AND COMPETITIVENESS Table 4. Indicators of implementing the main objective of the regional operational programmes for Eastern Poland Indicator/voivodship lubelskie podkarpackie podlaskie świętokrzyskie warmińskomazurskie Additional increase in GDP generated owing to the ROP assistance* 2.2% 1.28% 2.88% 2.15% 2.6% Net number of created jobs** 6,500 - 546 14,020 5,285 4,300 Gross number of created jobs 5,980 3,696 3,667 951 4,710 * The impact of the implementation of the programme on the change in GDP means the change in GDP as measured by fixed market price (in %) – the difference between the scenarios “with and without ROP”. Estimated following the HERMIN model, the target values reflect the cumulative impact of ROP in 2013. ** Net number of created jobs stands for the additionally employed in general as a result of implementing ROP – difference between the scenarios “with and without ROP”. Estimated following the HERMIN model, the target values reflect the status for the end of 2013. These values are not cumulative. Source: Prepared by the author based on the regional operational programmes for Eastern Poland An unambiguous evaluation of the competitiveness of Polish Eastern regions and its possible change due to the implementation of the regional operational programmes is not an easy task, either. The competitiveness of economies is measured and defined in many ways in the economic literature. Definitions and methods to measure economic competitiveness are comprehensively described in the Polish literature by J.W. Bossak and W. Bienkowski17 and J. Misala18. However, some of the most popular indicators of international economic/regional competitiveness are reported, for instance, in The Global Competitiveness Index published by the World Economic Forum, the World Competitiveness Yearbook published by the Swiss Institute for Management Development since 1989, the European Competitiveness Index published by the University of Wales Institute in Cardiff and 17 18 J. W. Bossak, W. Bieńkowski, Międzynarodowa zdolność konkurencyjna kraju i przedsiębiorstw. Wyzwania dla Polski na progu XXI wieku [Country’s and enterprise’s international competitive competence. Challenges for Poland at the edge of the 21st century], Szkoła Główna Handlowa in Warszawa, Warszawa 2004. J. Misala, Międzynarodowa konkurencyjność gospodarki narodowej [International competitiveness of the national economy], Polskie Wydawnictwo Ekonomiczne, Warszawa 2011. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 41 42 BARTOSZ JÓŹWIK the Atlas of Regional Competitiveness – Eurochambers published by the Association of European Chambers of Commerce and Industry. Describing the European Union regional competitiveness, the European Commission in the fifth report on economic, social and territorial cohesion refers to the EU Competitiveness Index developed by the Joint Research Centre’s Institute for the Protection and Security of the Citizen (IPSC) and the Commission’s Directorate General for Regional Policy. This index is made up of 69 variables related to eleven areas called pillars, classified into three groups19: the first group (basic) covers indicators of key stimuli for each type of economy: institutions, macroeconomic stability, infrastructure, health and quality of primary and secondary education; the second group (efficiency) refers to aspects that become important as the region develops: higher education and lifelong learning, labour market efficiency and size; the third group (innovation) covers stimuli of advanced regional economies: technological preparedness, business sophistication and innovation. Each of the eleven pillars enables the evaluation of regional performance in relation to the other EU regions. Map 3 represents this competitiveness index for the 271 UE regions. The evaluation of competitiveness of the EU regions in 2010 in the fifth report on the EU cohesion indicates that Polish eastern voivodships are less competitive regions. Their low competitiveness is reflected in a low level of investment attractiveness there, which can significantly hamper their development20. A. Golejewska studied the inflow of foreign direct investments into Polish voivodships in 1995-2005, i.e. before the economic programmes subsidised in the present financial perspective and called all of the voivodships of Eastern Poland and actually only them losers21. Therefore, competiCompare: P. Annoni, K. Kozovska, EU Regional Competitiveness Index RCI 2010, European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Institute for the Protection and Security of the Citizen, Luxemburg 2010, p. 29. 20 This issue was studied in detail in, e.g. P. Opala, B. Osieka, Atrakcyjność województwa lubelskiego [Attractiveness of the lubelskie voivodship] [in:] Uwarunkowania krajowej i międzynarodowej konkurencyjności województwa lubelskiego [Conditions for the competitiveness of the lubelskie voivodship in Poland and abroad], eds. P. Ciżkowicz, P. Opala, Ernst&Young, Warszawa 2011, pp. 111-112. 21 A. Golejewska, Rola bezpośrednich inwestycji zagranicznych w kształtowaniu struktury gospodarczej pol skich regionów w latach 1995-2005 [Role od indirect foreign investment in shaping the economic structure 19 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES ECONOMIC GROWTH AND COMPETITIVENESS Map 3. EU regional competitiveness in 2010 Source: Prepared by the author based on Investing in Europe’s future. The fifth EU report on the EU economic, social and territorial cohesion, Publications Office of the European Union, Luxemburg 2010, p. 69 tiveness enhancement seems to be reasonably a main objective. Nevertheless, the Polish Eastern voivodships are unlikely to improve their competitive- of the Polish regions in 1995-2005] [in:] Spójność ekonomiczno-społeczna regionów Unii Europejskiej. Tom II Spójność ekonomiczno-społeczna w Polsce [Economic and social cohesion of the EU regions. Volume II Economic and social cohesion in Poland], eds. B. Jóźwik, P. Zalewa, Wydawnictwo KUL, Lublin 2010, p. 32. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 43 44 BARTOSZ JÓŹWIK ness during one programming period so as it could be clearly distinctive across the European Union or the EU Central and Eastern European Member States. Moreover, the EU subsidised economic priorities that are implemented in the current financial perspective focus chiefly on infrastructure and transport22, which is a prerequisite though insufficient for competitiveness enhancement. If the regional economic policy implemented by the local governments of Eastern Polish voivodships is to be evaluated, experts’ opinions should be considered. Experts actually point out that the peripheral location of Eastern Poland is not only determined by its inhabitants’ will, resourcefulness or attitudes but largely by geopolitical aspects23. If such an evaluation is approached in a balanced way, much greater cross-regional support, e.g. by the government is justifiable. As similar development difficulties are faced by all regions of Eastern Poland, it definitely means that this problem is regional. A good solution in the 2007-2013 EU financial perspective is the national Development of Eastern Poland Operational Programme. A key challenge is also how to improve the efficiency of business environment. The increasing complexity of business activity in the single European market requires increasingly skilled, experienced and knowledgeable regional administration staff who deal with increasingly advanced planning, organising, coordinating, implementing and monitoring the implementation of the EU subsidised economic programmes. In the years ahead, the experience of the administration staff can be reliable and beneficial enough given that a personnel policy in local government administration is correct. 22 The threats due to the allocation of EU funds for infrastructure that can be faced by the least developed regions in the EU Central and Eastern Member States, including the voivodships of Eastern Poland are discussed by: A. Cieślik, B. Rokicki, Cohesion Policy In the EU New Member States, [in:] Polityka spójności i sąsiedztwa Unii Europejskiej [EU cohesion and neighbourhood policy], eds. B. Jóźwik, M. Sagan, T. Stępniewski, „Rocznik Instytutu Europy Środkowo-Wschodniej”, Year 9 (2011), Issue 4, p. 116. 23 T. Zarycki, op. cit., p. 99. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES ECONOMIC GROWTH AND COMPETITIVENESS Summary The voivodships of Eastern Poland are the least developed EU regions. The examination here indicates that this fact is chiefly historically based. Less than 0.1% of government industrial investments were granted to the eastern and northern voivodships according to the communist government policies, which significantly weakened the development opportunities of eastern Polish voivodships. The regions which had been mostly financially supported during communism received again most assistance when this system collapsed. The more favourable conditions for the socio-economic development of the voivodships of Eastern Poland are only in the 2007-2013 European financial perspective. Regional competitiveness enhancement is the main priority of the regional economic policy of the five regions of Eastern Poland, which seems to be a reasonable though not doubtful approach. It is reasonable because the low competitiveness of eastern Polish regions means their poor investment attractiveness, which hampers development there. The doubts regard both the impact of the economic policy on this investment attractiveness and the methods to measure regional competitiveness and thus an evaluation of effectiveness and efficiency of measures taken. This examination on the evolution of GDP per capita indicates that the dynamics of the growth in the voivodships of Eastern Poland is good relative to other EU regions. The medium-term growth rate of GDP per capita in the eastern voivodships in 2000-2010 was 6.27%, while the average for all of the European Union NUTS2 regions was 3.47%. The fastest GDP per capita growth across the eastern voivodships was recorded in świętokrzyskie, followed by podlaskie, lubelskie, podkarpackie and warmińsko-mazurskie. Moreover, it should be added that the medium-term growth rate of GDP per capita in the eastern Polish regions in 2008-2010 was negative, just like in the other 182 EU regions. However, the decline rate of GDP per capita in the eastern Polish regions was quite high, i.e. -1.74%, almost twice as high as the average for the EU regions then, i.e. -0.95%. Although the regions of Eastern Poland Europe have been significantly assisted in the current financial perspective to develop their economies, dis- EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 45 46 BARTOSZ JÓŹWIK parities between these and the other Polish regions are still growing. The phenomenon of increasing dispersion can be noticed in many EU Member States. The disparities in regional development in Poland are similar to the EU average of 2.4% so this phenomenon can be regarded as similar to the one in the European Union. It should be stressed, however, that the standard deviation of GDP per capita in Polish regions increased five times in 1995-2010. At that time, the regions of Eastern Poland steadily became relatively poorer in comparison to the remaining Polish regions. The decisions about the financial allocation in the forthcoming financial perspective for 2014-2020 will be critical to reduce development disparities between the regions of Eastern Poland and the other EU regions. However, the uncertainty about the appropriate fund allocation is even greater now due to the attempt to change the European cohesion policy from a policy that chiefly supports the poorest Member States to a policy that supports development and growth in all Member States24. 24 M. Sapała, Polityka spójności w Wieloletnich Ramach Finansowych Unii Europejskiej 2014-2020. Zmiana i kontynuacja [Cohesion Policy in the 2014-2020 EU Long-Term Financial Framework. Change and Continuation] [in:] Polityka spójności i sąsiedztwa Unii Europejskiej [Policy of EU cohesion and neighbourhood], eds. B. Jóźwik, M. Sagan, T. Stępniewski, „Rocznik Instytutu Europy Środkowo-Wschodniej”, Year 9 (2011), Issue 4, p. 17. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES EASTERN POLAND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES Edited by Bartosz Jóźwik & Mariusz Sagan, Lublin 2013 JOANNA SZAFRAN Cohesion policy Historically, the voivodships of Eastern Poland, i.e. lubelskie, podkarpackie, podlaskie, świetokrzyskie and warmińsko-mazurskie were poorly urbanized, industrialized, infrastructurally developed and undercapitalized and thus less socially and economically developed relative to the rest of Poland. The transformation has brought new challenges and phenomena that considerably have impacted on a regional structure1. Accordingly, the social and economic development and regional competitiveness was reevaluated and regional disparities deepened. Many researchers point out that the processes of internationalization and structural change in CEE tend to favor metro- 1 Compare Raport OECD: Regional development problems and policies in Poland. Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development: Centre for Co-operation with the European Economies in Transition, Paris, c1992; Prace Instytutu Badań nad Gospodarką Regionalną. 48 JOANNA SZAFRAN politan and western regions, as well as regions with strong industrial base2. Actually, poorly developed agriculture with small farms dominates in the developmentally lagged eastern regions of Poland or the problem of no alternative employment due to liquidated large state-owned farms is faced by the areas of Warmia and Mazury. Moreover, these insufficiently urbanised regions have poorly developed service and private sectors, infrastructures, business environments, insufficiently educated and trained population, hidden unemployment, and thus suffer from immigration, especially of young people, and least foreign investment. Also, the political transformation and economic crisis beyond the eastern Polish border limited export opportunities and economic cooperation. Western regions in CEE countries sharing common borders with EU countries will experience a faster and more successful adaptation to the new economic conditions than the eastern regions3. In the 1990s, the Polish regional policy was subordinated to macroeconomic purposes and focused on reducing the adverse effects of the transformation, in particular the growing unemployment. Entered into force in 1999, the territorial and administration reform of the country was an important challenge for voivodships as it introduced a three-level model, i.e. gmina – powiat – województwo [commune – district – voivodship]. The 49 small and dependent voivodships were replaced by 16 large voivodships with their local authorities elected. Also, decentralization referred to public finance (voivodships received specific sources of their own income and were responsible for their financial policies) and the way their development is programmed (adopting their regional development strategies). Agenda 2000 and the accession negotiations on regional policy (in 2000) triggered the process of adapting law, institutions and instruments to ful- 2 3 G. Petrakos, Patterns of regional inequality in transition economies, “European Planning Studies” 2001, Vol. 9, No 3, p. 360.; G. Petrakos, G. Maier, G. Gorzelak (Eds.), Integration and transition in Europe: the economic geography of integration, Routledge, London 2000, pp. 131-149. G. Petrakos, Patterns of regional inequality..., p. 364; E. Ehrlich, L. Faltan, G. Gorzelak, M. Ihner (eds.), Central Europe in transition: toward EU membership, Scholar Publishing House, Warsaw 2001. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES COHESION POLICY ly participate in the EU’s regional policy. Accordingly, the activities to join the EU obliged the authorities to implement a new model of regional policy4. Could possibly the disturbing fact of belonging to the so-called Poland B or Eastern Wall prevent these regions from seizing the opportunity offered by the European Union’s Cohesion Policy to accelerate their development? Are they active participants in the programming and implementing of the European Union’s Cohesion Policy? Finding the answers to these questions is the aim of the considerations here, which comes from the experience gained in the first (2004-2006) and second (2007-2013) period of Polish membership in the European Union, as well as on the basis of the findings and official positions in the debate on the future of cohesion policy after 2013. 1. Voivodships of Eastern Poland as the poorest EU regions in 2004-2006 When Poland joined the European Union (EU) in 2004, the entire country was qualified under Objective 1 as a less developed area because its GDP per capita for all of its regions (corresponding to NUTS 2) was below 75% of the EU average. Table 1 shows the changes in regional GPD per capita, compared to an EU average of 25 and 27 member states. Table 1. Regional gross domestic product (PPS) per capita in % of the EU-25 and 27 average by NUTS 2 regions, 2000-2009 20002002a 2003 Mazowieckie 71.3 72.8 Dolnośląskie 47.7 Śląskie Wielkopolskie Voivodships 2004 2005 2006 2007 77 81 83 87 89 97 48.2 51 53 55 59 61 66 50.1 51.2 57 55 55 58 61 65 48.9 49.3 54 55 55 57 59 65 EU-25 = 100 4 2008 2009 EU-27=100 P. Churski, Problem areas in Poland in terms of the Objectives of the European Union’s Regional Policy, “European Planning Studies” 2005, Vol. 13, No 1, p. 56. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 49 50 JOANNA SZAFRAN 20002002a 2003 Pomorskie 45.9 46.3 Łódzkie 41.2 Zachodniopomorskie 2005 2006 2007 49 50 51 54 53 59 43.4 47 47 48 50 52 55 46.3 44.6 47 48 47 49 51 53 Małopolskie 39.7 40.4 43 44 45 47 49 52 Lubuskie 42.0 40.6 45 46 46 48 48 52 Kujawsko-pomorskie 42.4 42.1 45 45 45 47 49 51 Opolskie 38.2 37.3 43 43 42 45 48 50 Świętokrzyskie 35.5 36.7 39 38 39 42 45 47 WarmińskoMazurskie 35.6 37.0 39 39 39 40 42 45 Podlaskie 35.6 35.7 38 38 38 40 41 45 Podkarpackie 32.5 33.2 35 35 35 37 39 42 Lubelskie 32.7 33.2 35 35 35 37 39 41 Poland 46.4 47.0 51 51 52 54 56 61 Voivodships 2004 EU-25 = 100 2008 2009 EU-27=100 Explanation: a – the average for the years studied Source: EUROSTAT & Gross Domestic Product Regional Account in 2010, Central Statistical Office, Statistical Office in Katowice, Katowice 2012, p. 26. Table 1 shows significant differences in the level of economic development between Polish regions. At the beginning of the Polish accession to the EU, the GDP per capita in the richest mazowieckie voivodship reached almost 73% of the EU average, whereas it was less than 40% of the EU average in the voivodships of Eastern Poland, which qualified them as the poorest regions in the EU-25. Regarding the so-called statistical effect caused by the enlargement of the Union in 2007 by further poorer countries of Central Europe, it is clear that the mazowieckie voivodship reached already 89% of the EU average in 2008. This voivodship is, therefore, an undisputed leader of growth and can reduce its development gap quickly as compared to the EU average, i.e. 20 percentage points in 2004-2009. The level of regional GPD per capita in Eastern Poland is still low as compared to the EU average, e.g. from 41% in the lubelskie voivodship to 47% in the świętokrzyskie voivod- EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES COHESION POLICY ship. Also, the processes of convergence are slower there. However, this group shows some differences and positive changes. The świętokrzyskie voivodship belongs to the voivodships where the level of convergence is fairly similar to the national average and the other voivodships, i.e. 8 percentage points in 2004-2009. GDP per capita in the comparable period changed slowly, i.e. 6 percentage points in the following voivodships: lubelskie, warmińskomazurskie, kujawsko-pomorskie, and zachodniopomorskie. In the first period of Poland’s EU membership, the allocation for Poland totaled Euro12.8 billion from the EU’s budget. The EU’s financial contribution to implement the operational programmes and Community Initiatives for 2004-2006 amounted to approximately Euro 8.6 billion, which is PLN 35.6 billion and represents 101.3% of the allocation of structural funds5. The highest share in implementing the structural policy in Poland in 20042006 belonged to the European Regional Development Fund (ERDF), concentrating 60% of the funds, the European Social Fund (ESF) – 24% of the funds, the European Agricultural Guidance and Guarantee FundGuidance Section (EAGGF) – 14%, and the Financial Instrument for Fisheries Guidance (FIFG) – 2%. The Cohesion Fund functioned until the end of 2006 under separate laws and rules6. The financing of Polish large infrastructural environmental and transport projects within this Fund and ISPA amounted to nearly Euro 5.64 billion in 2000-20067. 5 6 7 Zamknięcie pomocy na lata 2004-2006, Ministerstwo Rozwoju Regionalnego, Komitet Monitorujący Narodowy Plan Rozwoju/Podstawy Wsparcia Wspólnoty, Warszawa, czerwiec 2011 r. [Closing the 2004-2006 Assistance, Ministry of Regional Development, Monitoring Committee for the National Development Plan/ Community Support Framework, Warsaw, June 2011. Council Regulation (EC) No 1264/1999 of 21 June 1999 amending Regulation (EC) No 1164/94 establishing a Cohesion Fund, OJ L 161 26.06.1999. Projects submitted to ISPA, a pre-accession programme, were taken over and continued by the Cohesion Fund on the day of accession, i.e. 1st May 2004. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 51 52 JOANNA SZAFRAN Figure 1. Subsidies granted to voivodships with the participation of EU funds in 2004-2006 (in million PLN) Source: Ministry of Regional Development “Map of the EU grants” (30 July 2011) As seen, the regional distribution of the EU assistance received in 20042006 indicates that the most considerable amount, i.e. 45% was assigned to the four richest voivodships: mazowieckie, śląskie, dolnośląskie and wielkopolskie. Unfortunately, less than 17% of the total of the EU aid was granted to the five poorest voivodships of Eastern Poland. The financial assistance from the Structural Funds was allocated then to implement the Community Support Framework (CSF), the National Development Plan (NDP), the seven operational programmes (OPs), and two programmes of the Community Initiatives (CI): INTERREG III and EQUAL8, whereas the financial assistance from the Cohesion Fund was granted within The Strategy for Assistance from the Cohesion Fund. The Community Support Framework was then the key document to implement the Cohesion Policy. It broadly dealt with regional and spatial is8 Other initiatives, i.e. URBAN II and LEADER+ were not undertaken in Poland and the other countries of the 10EU new member states. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES COHESION POLICY sues, identified varied areas that required financial assistance and presented the operational programmes and their funding in detail. The operating systems of CSF and NDP consisted of: • one integrated regional operational programme known as the Integrated Regional Operational Programme for Regional Development (abbreviated in Polish as ZPORR) • five sectoral operational programmes such as Increase of Economic Competitiveness (SPO WKP); Transport (SPO Transport); Human Resource Development (SPO RZL); Agriculture (SPO Rolnictwo) to restructure and retrofit the food sector and develop rural areas; Fisheries (SPO Rybołówstwo) to deal with fisheries and fish processing, • a technical assistance programme (PO PT). Figure 2. Value of funding under the Operational Programmes in 2004-2006 by voivodship (in million PLN) Source: Ministry of Regional Development “Map of the EU grants” (30 June 2011) EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 53 54 JOANNA SZAFRAN In this period, half of the regions depended on the Integrated Regional Development Operational Programme as the main programme to receive the EU funding. Also, this programme was the main and sole operational programme to implement the national administration policy with the EU funding. However, only about one third of the total allocation under the Community Support Framework was allocated to implement it. The following four priorities were implemented under the Integrated Regional Development Operational Programme: I. Infrastructural development and retrofit to enhance regional competitiveness; II. Regional human resources development; III.Local development; IV.Technical assistance. The first and third priorities concerned largely infrastructural projects financed by about 75% of the total funds of this programme. Less than 5% of the funding were allocated for regional entrepreneurship and the development of a modern economy. Accordingly, the Integrated Regional Development Operational Programme focused more on the development of basic infrastructure and improvement of living conditions rather than strengthening the competitiveness of regional economies, which was to be its strategic goal9. Although the allocation algorithm was applied to distribute the Integrated Regional Development Operational Programme and include the level of regional development, the majority of funds, i.e. almost 40% was allocated in the four more developed voivodships: mazowieckie, śląskie, dolnośląskie and pomorskie. The another group of regions that has acquired from PLN 1.8 to 1 billion included, e.g. lubelskie, podkarpackie and warmińsko-mazurskie. However, the voivodships of świętokrzyskie and podlaskie belonged to the group of the least funded regions, i.e. less than PLN 1 billion. 9 J. Szafran, Implementacja unijnej polityki regionalnej w Polsce [Implementing the EU Regional Policy in Poland], Wydawnictwo UMCS, Lublin 2010, p. 82. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES COHESION POLICY The most of the structural funds was allocated in 2004-2006 to implement the sectoral operational programmes. Higher shares of the funding within the sectoral programmes were in the following regions: SPO Transport in the mazowieckie and łódzkie voivodships, SPO WKP – in the voivodships of mazowieckie, śląskie, wielkopolskie and zachodniopomorskie and SPO Rolnictwo – the wielkopolskie and podlaskie voivodships. If the total pool of the EU funds allocated to the voivodships to finance their sectoral projects is compared, one can notice the advantage of the mazowieckie, śląskie, wielkopolskie and łódzkie voivodships. The least financial assistance was allocated in the voivodships of opolskie and lubuskie as well as świętokrzyskie, podkarpackie and podlaskie. A higher share of the funding from SPO Rolnictwo was reported in the eastern voivodships, except podkarpackie, as compared to the other Polish regions. This fact results from the highest share of the agricultural sector in the gross value added. For example, the share of this programme in the podlaskie voivodship accounted for almost 40% of EU funding in this period. This assistance focused primarily on retrofitting farms, adapting the agri-food sector and supporting young farmers10. The funding for direct assistance for enterprises is similar to the national average in the podkarpackie, świętokrzyskie and lubelskie voivodships and was allocated basically for investment in real capital and access to external financing. However, relatively significant assistance for large enterprises was reported in these regions (besides łódzkie and opolskie). The voivodships of Eastern Poland, except the podlaskie voivodship, do not resolve the other regions in raising funds to develop human resources within SPO RZL. Moreover, they show a significant share of expenditure on social infrastructure and health protection, i.e. from 9% in świętokrzyskie to 3.6% in warmińskomazurskie related to about 2.5% of the national average)11. The eastern regions spent two thirds of their funding for infrastructural projects on telecommu- 10 11 Doświadczenia i szanse regionów [Experience of regions and their opportunities], „Przegląd regionalny” No. 2, Ministerstwo Rozwoju Regionalnego, Warszawa, September 2008, p. 11. Ibidem, p. 23. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 55 56 JOANNA SZAFRAN nication and information society; whereas the other regions largely invested the EU funds in R&D, including R&D infrastructure12. The voivodships of Eastern Poland also received the least considerable aid from the Cohesion Fund which just as the European Regional Development Fund was the main source of assistance in most voivodships13. The funds from the Cohesion Fund, including the ISPA Programme were allocated to 130 projects, including 111 investment projects, 2 horizontal assistance projects, and technical assistance projects. The transport sector was dominated by projects on road and highway construction (almost 50% of the allocation of the Fund), railway line modernisation (37%) and national road modernisation (10%). 94% of the Fund was allocated for water and sewage management which dominated the assistance in the environmental sector. Such a sectoral structure of funding from the Cohesion Fund is reflected in the territorial distribution of assistance14. The highest number of co-financed projects was recorded in the following voivodships: śląskie, mazowieckie, dolnośląskie, wielkopolskie and małopolskie with the best developed though requiring retrofitting transport infrastructure in Poland. The same regions, except the last one also received the largest amount of assistance. However, the least financial aid was granted to the regions with the least developed infrastructure: lubelskie, podlaskie, warmińsko-mazurskie and świętokrzyskie.The voivodeships of Eastern Poland differ in their activity in obtaining EU’s subsidies, e.g. lubelskie voivodeship ranked between mazowieckie and wielkopolskie in terms of the number of subsidised projects (8,796 as for the end of June 2011). On the other hand, the value of grants granted to the lubelskie voivodeship was more than PLN 4 billion. Slightly 12 Ibidem, p. 12. By the end of 2011, the European Commission transferred about Euro 4.8 billion, i.e. more than 85% of the available allocation. The period of eligibility for the Cohesion Fund was in force until the end of 2010 but the deadline for eligibility for the projects financed by the Fund was extended until 2012 due to the crisis and flooding that affected some of these projects. The data are based on the monthly information by the Ministry of Regional Development: The use of EU funds within the Cohesion Fund Strategy 2004-2006 and the National Strategic Reference Framework 2007-2013, Warszawa, January 2012, p. 2. 14 The regional data do not refer to the 14 projects implemented in the area larger than a single voivodship. 13 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES COHESION POLICY lower amounts of assistance, i.e. PLN 3.88 billion and 3.58 billion were acquired by the voivodships of warmińsko-mazurskie and podkarpackie, respectively. The smallest amount of aid was granted to the podlaskie and świętokrzyskie voivodships, i.e. approximately PLN 2.7 billion and 2.6 billion, respectively but they were ranked ahead of the voivodships of lubuskie and opolskie where the subsidy in the latter amounted to less than PLN 2 billion. At the same time, the świętokrzyskie, podlaskie and warmińskomazurskie voivodships had one of the highest shares of equity in the subsidised projects, i.e. about 50%15. However, the amount of own funds generated by the regions in financial engineering in terms of the number of their inhabitants looks slightly different. The least of own funds per inhabitant was generated by the voivodships of małopolskie, podkarpackie, świętokrzyskie, lubelskie and podlaskie, i.e. below PLN 1,100 while the national average was PLN 1,516.75, which would reinforce the idea that poorer regions cannot so easily raise funds to fulfill the principle of additionality. To sum up, sectoral policies were dominant over regional policies in the first period of Polish membership in the EU and thus priorities to develop the country were prevailing over specific ones and those of poorer regions. The amount of assistance granted to individual regions was determined by the amount of funding from the Cohesion Fund and then followed by the Integrated Regional Development Operational Programme. This means that the richest regions received most funds as they were implementing large infrastructural projects on transport and environmental protection. These developmental disparities were not wiped out in such a short time by a regional programme that was actually centralised. The priorities of the Integrated Regional Development Operational Programme were arbitrarily imposed to all voivodeships regardless of the disparities between them. The appropriate department in the Ministry of Economy, Labour and Social Policy and then in the Ministry of Regional Development served 15 Doświadczenia i szanse regionów [Experience of regions and their opportunities], „Przegląd regionalny” No. 2, Ministry of Regional Development, Warszawa, September 2008, p. 8. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 57 58 JOANNA SZAFRAN the main function of the management process as a managing institution of the Integrated Regional Development Operational Programme whereas regional offices, or government agencies in regions functioned as intermediary institutions. The role of regional governments was limited so that they functioned as the so-called units involved in managing regional component and a steering committee. Accordingly, their participation in both the programming and management of the Integrated Regional Development Operational Programme became marginal. Also, a too large group of institutions that managed this programme was criticized as this solution delayed the selection and implementation of projects16. 2. Participation of voivodships of Eastern Poland in the 2007-2013 Cohesion Policy The reform of Cohesion Policy for 2007-2013 amended its objectives, policies and funding instruments that operated under new legal acts. The Convergence objective which actually continued Objective 1 regarded the whole of Poland. In addition, the programmes implemented under INTERREG III Initiative were taken over by a new objective known as European Territorial Cooperation (ETC). It served the strengthening of cross-border, transnational and interregional cooperation by promoting joint ventures by local governments in various countries to develop their urban, rural and coastal areas, develop economic relations and to create the networking of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). However, the Community Initiatives are not currently continued. 16 Compare, e.g. T. Parteka, Warunki programowania i realizacji rozwoju regionalnego przez województwa samorządowe po roku 2006 [Conditions to programme and implement regional development by self-governing voivodships], [in:] Polska wobec nowej polityki spójności Unii Europejskiej [Poland and the EU New Cohesion Policy]. ed. T G. Grosse. ISP. Warsaw 2004, pp. 277-278; T. G. Grosse, Analiza zagrożeń korupcyjnych w systemie zarządzania ZPORR 2004-2006 [Analysis of the corruption risks in the managing system for IRDOP 2004-2006], „Studia Regionalne i Lokalne” 2006, no 4, p. 19 and following. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES COHESION POLICY Remaining a priority for the Structural Funds and the Cohesion Fund, the objective of Convergence concentrates more than 80% of their financial resources. However, the number of structural funds has been reduced from four to two only, i.e. the European Regional Development Fund and European Social Fund. The regional distribution of the assistance from ERDF and ESF and the Cohesion Fund is depicted in Chart 3. Chart 3. Subsidies from EU funds that were granted to voivodships in 2007-2013 as for 31 January 2013 (in milion PLN) Source: Ministry of Regional Development “Map of the EU grants” (31 January 2013) The most significant aid from the Structural Funds and the Cohesion Fund (more than one third) was granted again to the richest and more developed voivodships like mazowieckie, śląskie, and małopolskie. It is worth pointing out that the value of the subsidy for projects implemented in the mazowieckie voivodship was twice as high (PLN 61.8 billion) as in the małopolskie voivodship (PLN 30.5 billion). Another group of voivodeships with the grants ranging from PLN 20.7 billion to 28.8 billion is opened by the podkarpackie voivodship which ranks before the voivodships of śląskie, łódzkie and wielkopolskie and finally the lubelskie voivodship. However, the least subsidy, EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 59 60 JOANNA SZAFRAN i.e. ranged from PLN 8.2 billion to 13 billion was granted to the voivodships of opolskie, lubuskie, podlaskie and świętokrzyskie. The five voivodships of Eastern Poland received in total just over 24% of the 2007-2013 EU funds. The growing share of these regions in obtaining the EU assistance is due to launching for them a separate operational programme known as Development of Eastern Poland and using the allocation from the Regional Operational Programmes. The entire allocation of the Cohesion Fund for Poland, i.e. Euro 22.18 billion with the funding from the ERDF, i.e. Euro 5.76 billion and national funds, i.e. Euro 9.7 billion has been allocated to implement the Operational Programme Infrastructure and Environment (OP IE) which is the greatest programme recognised in the EU. It aims at “improving the investment attractiveness of Poland and its regions by developing technological infrastructure while protecting and improving the environment, health, preserving cultural identity and developing territorial cohesion”17. Under the OP IE, there are conducted large infrastructural projects on transport with 71% of the resources allocated, the environment – 17%, energy – 6%, higher education, culture and national heritage – about 2% for each and health care – 1% as well as projects on technical assistance. The sectoral structure of the funding has determined the territorial allocation within this programme. The lowest value of the proposed project funding within the OP IE has been reported in the voivodships of opolskie, podlaskie and świętokrzyskie, i.e. from PLN 2.0 billion to PLN 3.2 billion since the programme was launched. The number and value of projects submitted by the voivodships of lubelskie (PLN 5.7 billion) and warmińsko-mazurskie (PLN 7.2 billion) has significantly increased. The podkarpacie voivodship ranked immediately after the voivodships of mazowieckie, śląskie and małopolskie which remain leaders in implementing major transport and environmental projects. OP IE will be continued in 2014-2020, focusing on the low-carbon economy, 17 Operational Programme Infrastructure and Environment. National Strategic Reference Framework 20072013. Version 2.0, approved by the European Commission Decision K(2011) 5563, 3.08.2011, p. 88. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES COHESION POLICY environmental protection, prevention of and adaptation to climate change, transport and energy security. The program budget (over Euro 27.5 billion) will come from the total allocation of the Cohesion Fund and partly form the ERDF (and cross financing ESF). Worth about Euro 11.5 billion, the Human Capital Operational Programme 2007-2013 is another programme in terms of contribution for which the entire allocation of ESF in Poland, i.e. Euro 9.7 billion was spent, which is an unrecognisable contribution in the EU. This programme set six national-level and four regional-level priorities to be implemented. Regionally, the majority of subsidies was granted to the most populous voivodeships like mazowieckie, śląskie, wielkopolskie, małopolskie and dolnośląskie as well as lubelskie and podkarpackie, i.e. more than PLN 2 billion. A slightly smaller allocation was for the voivodships of warmińsko-mazurskie and świętokrzyskie. However, the lubuskie, opolskie and podlaskie voivodships have got the lowest share in the programme, i.e. less than PLN 1 billion. The available allocation in this programme for 2007-2013 was contracted most by the voivodships of łódzkie and małopolskie, i.e. 82% and 77%, respectively and least, i.e. below 67% by the voivodships of wielkopolskie, opolskie and warmińsko-mazurskie. Other Eastern voivodships contracted from 69% to 73% of the allocation18. It is worth mentioning that these regions have generated their own contributions for the Human Capital Operational Programme as highest per inhabitant, i.e. from PLN 768.2 in podlaskie to PLN 937.2 in świętokrzyskie. This programme will also continue after 2013 under the name Knowledge, Education and Development. In addition to the development of competencies and skills it will focus on social inclusion and good governance, with around Euro 4.4 billion from the ESF (and the ERDF cross financing). 18 The data for the end of June 2012 based on „Sprawozdanie z realizacji PO KL za I półrocze 2012 r.” [Report on the implementation of the Human Capital OP for the first six months of 2012], Ministry of Regional Development, Warszawa 2012, p. 7. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 61 62 JOANNA SZAFRAN The ERDF financial resources of approximately Euro 33.7 billion were distributed in 2007-2013 among 4 national programmes like Infrastructure and Environment – OPIaE, Innovative Economy – OPIE, Development of Eastern Poland – DEP and Technical Assistance – PT and 16 regional programmes for each voivodship and 13 programmes within the European Territorial Cooperation. The territorial distribution of the ERDF assistance of selected operational programmes is depicted in Chart 5. Chart 4. Subsidy from the ERDF resources granted to the voivodships within IE OP, DEP OP and ROP in 2007-2013 (in mln PLN) Source: Ministry of Regional Development “Map of the EU grants” (30 January 2013) About Euro 8.25 billion, including the measures of the national budget in the amount of Euro 1.46 billion out of the total ERDF envelope was allocated to implement the Innovative Economy OP that best fits the priorities of the Lisbon Strategy. Its main objective is to develop the Polish economy based on innovative enterprises, which results in the enhancement of competitiveness and innovation and mutual cooperation between enterprises and business institutions, R&D centers, and public administration. An unquestionable leader in terms of funds acquired from the IE OP is the ma- EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES COHESION POLICY zowieckie voivodship with more than 17% of the contracted funds, while the five Eastern voivodships managed to contract a total of just over 14% of the funds. The most of the OP IE funds was contracted by the podkarpackie voivodship, i.e. over PLN 3.4 billion and then the lubelskie and podlaskie voivodships. However, the voivodships of warmińsko-mazurskie and świętokrzyskie just like zachodniopomorskie can be called outsiders for their less than PLN 1 billion. In addition, the podkarpackie voivodship submitted most projects per 1,000 enterprises, which made it ahead of the regions with the highest number of registered enterprises like the mazowieckie, małoposkie and wielkopolskie voivodships. However, the lubelskie voivodship ranks at the forefront in terms of the average value of contracts for financing. At the end of 2012, within the Innovative Economy Operational Programme all voivodships were dominated by projects on the information society (Priority Axis 8), the promotion of the economy on international markets (Priority Axis 6), innovation and entrepreneurship (Priority Axis 4) and research and technological development (Priority Axis 1)19. In the new programming period such fields as research, technology development and innovation, entrepreneurship (especially SMEs) will be supported under the Operational Program Intelligent Development (which provides Euro 8,6 billion from ERDF). In turn, the development and dissemination of digital technology, broadband Internet access, e-government services will be devoted to Operational Program Digital Poland (Euro 2,25 billion allocation from ERDF). These areas just like transport, social infrastructure and environmental protection and risk prevention were prevailing priorities of the regional operational programs 2007-2013, e.g. in terms of the value of signed contracts. A total of about Euro 16.5 billion from the ERDF and the national budget and local government budgets was booked for the regional programmes in our voivodship. These programmes have a special role in planning the develop19 Sprawozdanie okresowe z realizacji PO IG 2007-2013 [Periodic report on the implementation of OP Innovative Economy 2007-2013], Ministry of Regional Development, Warszawa 2012. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 63 64 JOANNA SZAFRAN ment of various regions and the integration of their priorities in the development strategies of the European Union. At the end of 2012 under the regional operational programme, 55,274 applications for the EU funding were submitted for a total amount of PLN 110 million, and nearly 60% of the applications was approved and for more than 50% of the applications were contracted or decided to be financed. In the seven voivodships, including podkarpackie the value of contracts in relation to the available ROP allocation was above the average of 85.1% at the end of 2012. The remaining voivodships of Eastern Poland failed to exceed the average, and the voivodships of lubelskie and kujawsko-pomorskie reported the lowest level of absorption of the available allocation. The voivodships of Eastern Poland differ in terms of the ROP priorities and the structure of their funding, which is related to their individual problems as well as the established lines of development. For example, the podlaskie and warmińsko-mazurskie voivodships allocated more funds for tourism and culture as a third priority in their regional programmes as to the value of the reserved allocation. On the other hand, the voivodships of podkarpacie, lubelskie and świętokrzyskie planned to allocate about 15% of the ROP on environmental protection and risk prevention, and clean energy. In 2014-2020 mazowieckie voivodship will be eligible for the more developed areas, while the remaining voivodships will continue to be less developed areas. In the fifteen voivodships included in the less developed regions will implement regional programs (ROPs), which planned increase (from 37% to 60%) in spending of structural funds, with both the ERDF and the ESF. The planned share of the five eastern voivodships represents of over Euro 8.5 billion (30%) of the allocation of European Funds in ROPs. An additional element in the EU’s support for the five regions of Eastern Poland is the Development of Eastern Poland Operational Programme (DEP OP) which should accelerate the socio-economic development in line with the principle of sustainable development. Its priorities focus on20: 20 Program Operacyjny Rozwój Polski Wschodniej 2007-2013, NSRO 2007-2013 [Operational Programme Development of Eastern Poland 2007-2013, NSRF 2007-2013], approved the European Commission Decision K EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES COHESION POLICY stimulating the development of modern knowledge-based economy; increasing wide-band Internet access; developing the selected functions of metropolitan regional capitals; improving the access to and quality of a transport network between these voivodships, especially by developing road infrastructure; increasing the role of sustainable tourism. To implement the Development of Eastern Poland Operational Programme, a total of Euro 2.67 billion, including Euro 2.27 billion from the ERDF and some additional support granted by the European Council for the poorest regions in the EU-25 and Euro 401.3 million of national public funds. The algorithm for allocating those funds among the five voivodships of Eastern Poland refers to, e.g. the level of their development and a funding source21. 181 grant contracts worth PLN 7.53 billion were signed at the end of September 2012 within the DEP, OP which enabled the contracting of two thirds of the 2007-2013 subsidies22. The lubelskie and podkarpackie voivodships have been reported to submit the highest number and value of subsidised projects, i.e. their share in the total amount of funding reached 23% and 22%, respectively, whereas the świętokrzyskie voivodship submitted the least of projects and warmińsko-mazurskie acquired the least funds. Moreover, around 30 projects are trans-voivodship. This structure of funding within the DEP OP is dominated by projects on education and science (over 40%) and transport (35%), followed by enterprise (10%). The greatest beneficiaries of this programme are already universities and communes and then government authorities, enterprises and regional governments. (2009) 5712, 1.10.2009, p. 65. The highest ERDF funding was planned for the voivodships of lubelskie – Euro 508.57 mln and podkarpackie – Euro 487.48 mln; and then for the voivodships of: warmińsko-mazurskie – Euro 447.37 mln, podlaskie – 386.86 and świętokrzyskie – 375,30 mln Euro. 22 The data from Kwartalne informacje z realizacji Programu Rozwój Polski Wschodniej [Quarterly data on the implementation of the Development of Eastern Poland Operational Programme] for 2012 and Dla Rozwoju Polski Wschodniej. POKL 2007-2013 w liczbach [Developing Eastern Poland. HC OP 2007-2013 in figures], Ministry of Regional Development 2011. 21 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 65 66 JOANNA SZAFRAN In effect, it is reasonable to create future programs to be targeting the poorest voivodships, which are included in the Key Areas of Strategic Intervention in the National Strategy of Regional Development 2010-2020 (adopted by the Council of Ministers on 13 July 2010) and it will enable the implementation of the Strategy of socio-economic development of Polish Eastern 2020. Operational Program in Eastern Poland 2014-2020 will cover the same five voivodships and will continue to be managed by Ministry of Infrastructure and Development, and the main source of its co-financing remains ERDF (slightly more than Euro 2 billion). The regions of Eastern Poland are also active in the European Territorial Cooperation programmes devoted to cross-border, transnational and interregional cooperation. Besides the two transnational programmes such as the 2007-2013 Baltic Sea Region programme and Central Europe programme which cover the entire area of Poland, some sub-regions and regional institutions in the Polish eastern voivodships participate in the two cross-border cooperation programmes and five inter-regional cooperation programmes. The municipal district of Rzeszów and sub-region (NUTS 3) of Krosno-Przemyśl are both participants and managing parties in the 20072013 cross-border cooperation programme of the Republic of Poland – Slovak Republic. On the other hand, the sub-regions (NUTS 3) of Białystok-Suwałki and Ełk manage cross-border cooperation in the Poland-Lithuania programme. Additionally, the sub-region of Elbląg receives assistance as an area adjacent to the core area that is covered by the South Baltic programme23. However, very few Polish regions could benefit by far from the joint initiatives of the European Commission and the European Investment Bank and other financial institutions that have been set up since 2007 to provide return financial support such as Jeremie, Jessica or Jasmine or substantive like Jasmine, Jaspers in selected areas. The regions of Eastern Poland participated only in the assistance from the Jaspers initiatives that funded 237 projects in Poland, including large transport projects, e.g. expansion and 23 Pursuant to Art. 21 of Regulation No 1080/2006. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES COHESION POLICY retrofit of the road network, construction and expansion of airports in Lublin, Olsztyn and Rzeszów or trolleybus traction in Lublin, etc.; energy projects, e.g. an electricity distribution network in the lubelskie voivodship; water, sewage and waste projects, e.g. municipal waste management system in Białystok; cultural projects, e.g. construction of the European Centre for the Arts in Białystok; and preparation the broadband Internet project within the Development of Eastern Poland OP24. Strong interest in professional assistance in preparing complex and large projects corresponds to the enormous need of those regions to construct, extend and retrofit their technical infrastructure by means of the EU funds. However, they do not undertake other initiatives to promote innovative financial engineering solutions and those based on return funding that gradually are replacing non-repayable grants. Summary The experience gained in the first and current programming periods indicates that the EU funds available within particular programmes to a greater extent are absorbed by the richest voivodships, which would, in fact, result in increasingly deep disparities. However, the voivodships of Eastern Poland are as efficient as leaders in absorbing funds available to them, e.g. to compare the ratio of the value of submitted projects and signed contracts for the intended allocation, and even they are capable of generating higher own contribution per capita for structural funds than the other voivodships. The voivodships of Eastern Poland are participating in all national programmes, pursuing their own regional programmes and the territorial cooperation programmes financed by the Cohesion Policy 2007-2013. However, they received technical expert assistance within Jaspers only which is a programme within the joint initiatives of the Commission and the EIB. The trends in the investment of the EU funds indicate that large share of projects on R&D and innovation, information society, and human capi24 Website: http://www.jaspers-europa-info.org/index.php/poland.html EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 67 68 JOANNA SZAFRAN tal is a positive result and can benefit to the availability, competitiveness and innovation of enterprises in each region and of the entire region. In the first and current programming period, the voivodships of Eastern Poland stand out thanks to a higher value of contracts for human resources, infrastructure, health and social services. Moreover, they have pursued their own development priorities by investing in tourism, culture, environment and risk prevention. This group of voivodships, however, is differentiated for the number of submitted projects and the amount of received funding from various programmes (the podkarpackie voivodship is coping much better in the current period, whereas the podlaskie voivodship is remaining “behind”). The lower absorption capacity of these regions may be due to deficiencies in their economic bases, staff education and research centers, and institutional environment that supports modern sectors of their economies. In 2004-2015, the Polish Eastern regions should receive the largest support per inhabitant, which according to macroeconomic models (Hermin, Mamor3, EuImpact) would speed up their growth and structural changes25. Actually, the positive results of the EU assistance can be noticed today as in 2008 as many as the three voivodships of Eastern Poland, e.g. podkarpackie, lubelskie and świętokrzyskie were among the leaders in economic growth (around 7%) and GDP per capita. These regions also recorded rapid growth in the service sector, while the podlaskie voivodship in industry, which means a decline of agricultural in their economic structure. In the new financial perspective eastern regions will be the beneficiaries of the programmes to be implemented at the national level include: European Territorial Cooperation (financed under ERDF), 6 operational programmes (financed under Structural Funds and Cohesion Fund), the operational programme for rural development (European Agricultural Fund for Rural Development), the operational programme for the development of marine and 25 Wpływ funduszy europejskich na gospodarkę polskich regionów i konwergencję z krajami UE. Raport 2010 [Impact of the EU funds on the economy in Polish regions and their convergence with the EU member states. Report for 2010], Ministry of Regional Development, Warszawa 2010, pp. 39-43. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES COHESION POLICY fishing (European Maritime and Fisheries Fund) as well as the new instruments such as the Connecting Europe Facility (CEF) or support unemployed youth. However, its regional programmes (dual-funds) will be implemented at the regional level (by voivodships management). Such programmes should also take new initiatives and learn new financial engineering solutions which are increasingly entering the instruments of the Cohesion Policy. However, their absorption capacity and efficiency of using EU assistance are related to their capabilities of project co-financing, including the needs of those regions in the government’s development programmes and support from the state budget. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 69 EASTERN POLAND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES Edited by Bartosz Jóźwik & Mariusz Sagan, Lublin 2013 HENRYK PONIKOWSKI Demography The region of Eastern Poland is not identified as a separate statistical unit for scientific research. Thus, the demographic analysis of this territory will be conducted using NUTS 2 units, that is voivodeships: lubelskie, podkarpackie, podlaskie, świętokrzyskie and warmińsko-mazurskie. Polish and foreign regional policies emphasize that Eastern Poland is an underdeveloped area, which is strongly conditioned by history. As a border region it shows typical features of economic peripherality1. Therefore, the Operational Program – Development of Eastern Poland was launched to provide this area 1 See A. Miszczuk, Uwarunkowania peryferyjności regionu przygranicznego, Norbertinum, Lublin 2013, Zarycki T, Polska Wschodnia w perspektywie centro-peryferyjnej, [in:] Strategiczna problematyka rozwoju regionu lubelskiego, M. Stefański (ed.): Innovatio Press Wydawnictwo Naukowe Wyższej Szkoły Ekonomii i Innowacji, Lublin 2011, pp. 91-198. 72 HENRYK PONIKOWSKI with a special kind of aid. Obviously, it chiefly aims at improving economic and not demographic cohesion in this area as compared to that of the EU. It is a common opinion that economic barriers play a decisive role in the development of Eastern Poland, while demographic problems are usually marginalized. M. Okólski points out that “perhaps demographic factors – the population size and dynamics as well as its basic structural features – will turn out to be the most serious challenge for Europe in the 21st century”2. At the same time, Eastern Poland is also characterized by demographic peripherality, i.e. low level of urbanization, low population density and population decrease3. The aim of this study is to present the demographic situation of Eastern Poland voivodeships in relation to other NUTS 2 type European regions. Various research questions occur in this field of study. Do demographic phenomena correspond to economic problems; do they facilitate or halt economic development? Or maybe the demographic circumstances constitute the main obstacle of Eastern Poland development? The demographic situation in Eastern Poland voivodeships in relation to other NUTS 2 type regions will be analyzed using distance measures. The method will allow for the evaluation of the position of the analyzed voivodeships in the European demographic space. Economic distances for the analyzed voivodeships will also be presented later in this chapter. The basis for the measure will be GDP per capita. Comparison of the two measures will make it possible to present the spread between the demographic and economic distances in the analyzed voivodeships of Eastern Poland. The calculation of distance measures for the demographic and economic situation of the analyzed voivodeships in 2011 was conducted on the basis of appropriate data from the Central Statistical Office and Eurostat. 2 3 M. Okólski, Wyzwania demograficzne Europy i Polski, [in:] Europejskie wyzwania dla Polski i jej regionów, A. Tucholska (ed.), Ministry of Regional Development, Warsaw 2010, p. 93. See M. Wesołowska, Migracje ludności i ich skutki w regionie peryferyjnym (na przykładzie województwa lubelskiego), “Regional Barometer. Analyses and prognoses” No 3(25) 2011. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES DEMOGRAPHY 1. Demographic situation of Eastern Poland voivodeships Many modern demographic principles are the effect of so called second demographic transition4. This model is characterised with the following features: decrease in the number of deaths resulting in longer life expectancy. This is an effect of better living conditions and development of medical care. At the same time, number of births is falling to such an extent that the decreasing birth rate does not ensure even simple generational replacement. Meanwhile, women become more and more professionally active, the age of marriage and procreation is getting older and the model of large family is petering out. In effect of the above described processes the population is shrinking. Moreover, the population is aging and, at the same time, is interested in active lifestyle. It brings about certain social and economic consequences, especially on the job market, in the pension system, the level of health care and rehabilitation spending or the development of personal care and assistance services for the elderly5. In turn, this direction of demographic changes facilitates the development of a new sector called silver economy. The demographic situation of Eastern Poland voivodeships, apart from the principles of second demographic transition, is defined by many current phenomena, especially condition and distribution of population, demographic structures, natural population movement and migration. The population of Eastern Poland is 8232.3 thousand people, i.e. 21.4% of the population of Poland and 1.6% of the EU population. The distribution of the total number of Eastern Poland region inhabitants among particular voivodeships is the following: lubelskie – 26.4%, podkarpackie – 25.9%, podlaskie – 14.6%, świętokrzyskie – 15.5%, warmińsko-mazurskie – 17.6%. The condition and distribution of the population is strongly connected with urbanization. The proportion of city inhabitants in the total population 4 5 M. Okólski, Demografia. Podstawowe pojęcia, procesy i teorie w encyklopedycznym zarysie, Wydawnictwo Naukowe Scholar, Warsaw 2005. Diagnosis, development tendencies and consequences of demographic situation for the development of Eastern Poland are included in: D. Celińska-Janowicz, A. Miszczuk, A. Płoszaj, M. Smętkowski, Aktualne problemy demograficzne regionu Polski wschodniej, EUROREG Reports and Analyses 5/2010, Warsaw 2010. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 73 74 HENRYK PONIKOWSKI of Eastern Poland is 49.2%. In Poland the proportion is 60.7% and in the EU it is 76.5%. In Eastern Poland, the most urbanized voivodeships are podlaskie and warmińsko-mazurskie. In the podlaskie voivodeship, urban population constitutes 60.3% living in 40 towns and in warmińsko-mazurskie 59.4% in 49 towns. In the lubelskie voivodeship, 46.5% of people live in 42 towns, in świętokrzyskie 45% in 31 towns and in podkarpackie 41.4% in 50 towns. It should be pointed out that the number of towns and cities in Eastern Poland does not directly translate to the proportion of urban population. This is mainly caused by the fact that the towns are mostly small (up to 10 thousand inhabitants). In Eastern Poland, there are 212 towns and cities altogether but only three of them – Lublin, Białystok and Kielce have over 200 thousand inhabitants. Together, these three cities have a population of 844.7 thousand inhabitants, which is 20.8% of the total number of Eastern Poland urban population and 3.6% of urban population of Poland. Regarding the development of the analyzed voivodeships, the population aging process is highly significant. The demographic old age may be used as a measure for this phenomenon. It is determined by calculating the ratio of the population aged over 65 years to the population aged 0-14 years within the current year6. The value of the measure lower than 1.0 means that the population aged 0-14 years is larger than the population aged over 65 years. In the analyzed year 2011, such a value was observed both in the entire country (0.85) and in the region of Eastern Poland (0.84). The most favorable index ratios characterized warmińsko-mazurskie (0.70) and podkarpackie (0.77) voivodeships. The demographic situation was worse in the lubelskie (0.89), podlaskie (0.92) and świętokrzyskie (0.98) voivodeships. In relation to gender, the index shows that there are more boys than girls both in Eastern Poland (0.62) and the whole country (0.62). The most numerous population group are women aged over 65: in Eastern Poland 6 See Z. Długosz, S. Kurek, A. Kwiatek-Sołtys, Stan i perspektywy starzenia się ludności w Polsce i Europie, [in:] Człowiek w przestrzeni zurbanizowanej, M. Soja, A. Zborowski (ed.), Institute of Geography and Spatial Management of the Jagiellonian University, Cracow 2011, pp. 11-26. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES DEMOGRAPHY (1.07) and the entire country (1.09). Summing up, it can be concluded that so far the population of Eastern Poland in not too old from the demographic point of view. In the literature, it is stressed that, in 2005, in the whole Europe, the proportions of these two population groups were the same although there were significant differences between particular countries. Development tendencies show that in 2045, in all European countries, the demographic old age ratio will exceed 1.07. The demographic situation of Eastern Poland is affected by the migration balance defined as the difference between in-migration and out-migration in a particular region. The balance is the effect of domestic and international population movements. The migration balance in all voivodeships of Eastern Poland is negative. Due to this fact, the lubelskie voivodeship loses 2.4 persons per 1000 inhabitants (the highest number in Poland); in warmińskomazurskie the balance is -2.1/1000, in świętokrzyskie -1.8/1000, in podlaskie -1.6/1000 and in podkarpackie -1.0/1000 inhabitants. In Eastern Poland voivodeships, international migration is not as important as domestic economic migration, mainly to regions characterized with lower unemployment rates. It is also essential that the analyzed voivodeships mainly lose young people including ones who take up studies in other, renowned academic centers and usually do not come back to their home towns and villages. An important element of the demographic situation of Eastern Poland – apart from migration balance – is the natural population movement. In 2011, the birth rate reached values from 9.1‰ in świętokrzyskie to 10.2‰ in warmińsko-mazurskie. At the same time, the mortality rate was in the range of 8.6‰ in the podkarpackie voivodeship to 10.7‰ in świętokrzyskie. Thus, the result of the natural population movement is surplus population growth in the podkarpackie (1.4‰) and warmińsko-mazurskie voivodeships (1.2‰). From this perspective, the świętokrzyskie (-1.7‰), lubelskie (-0.7‰) and podlaskie (-0.4‰) voivodeships are depopulational. 7 Ibid, p. 14. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 75 76 HENRYK PONIKOWSKI Despite increasing migration movements in Eastern Poland, similarly to the whole country, the inhabitants of the region are mostly of Polish origin and have Polish citizenship. Considering the national-ethnic structure, people who declare themselves as not Polish constitute only 0.4% of population in lubelskie, 0.5% in podkarpackie, 4.2% in podlaskie, 0.3% in świętokrzyskie and 1.7% in warmińsko-mazurskie. In the entire country the proportion is 3.6%. 2. The characteristics of diagnostic demographic features The methods of multidimensional comparative analysis facilitate research of objects (regions, enterprises) simultaneously described by many diagnostic features (variables). In analysis of such objects, it is important to select appropriate variables. They should be measurable, factually justified and concern only significant aspects of the analyzed objects. The following demographic variables were selected for multidimensional demographic analysis of Eastern Poland voivodeships: total population in thousands, population density per 1 km2, fertility index and male life expectancy. These Eastern Poland characteristics alongside extreme values for all NUTS 2 type regions in the 27 EU members have been presented in Table 1. It is stressed in the literature that features selected for multidimensional evaluation should be entirely independent or at least as weakly correlated as possible8. The variables selected for the analysis meet the condition of weak correlation. 8 A. Zeliaś (ed.), Ekonometria przestrzenna, Państwowe Wydawnictwo Ekonomiczne, Warsaw 1991, p. 84. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES DEMOGRAPHY Tab. 1. Selected demographic characteristics of Eastern Poland voivodeships in 2011 Voivodeships Total population Population density per 1 km2 in thousands Fertility index Male life span in years xi1 xi2 xi3 xi4 lubelskie 2151.9 86 1.41 70.7 podkarpackie 2103.5 118 1.35 73.3 podlaskie 1188.3 59 1.34 72.1 świętokrzyskie 1266.0 108 1.34 71.5 warmińsko-mazurskie 1427.2 59 1.45 70.9 min EU 27 28.0 Åland (FI) 3 Övre Norrland (SE) 1.05 Principado de Asturias (ES) 67.3 Lietuva (LT) max EU 27 11866.9 Île-de-France (FR) 9366 Inner London (UK) 3.59 Guyane (FR) 80.8 Åland (FI) Source: Own study based on: 2012 statistical yearbook of voivodeships, GUS, Warsaw, pp. 658-673 and Eurostat data Despite the fact that there is a large spread between the highest and lowest population of particular voivodeships of Eastern Poland (963.6 thousand people), the average variation of this diagnostic feature is only 28.6%. Analyzing the population sizes in all NUTS2 type regions in the EU 27, it turns out that the difference between the highest population number region of Île-deFrance (FR) and the lowest Åland (FI) – an archipelago located in the Baltic Sea, is as large as 11838.9 thousand people. In Europe, the population size used as a diagnostic feature is also characterized with very large variation (the coefficient of variation is 83.7%). The distribution of population in Europe according to NUTS 2 units has been presented in Map 19. 9 Collection of maps of various demographic phenomena in various research periods can be found in: The ESPON 2013 Programme. DEMIFER Demographic and migratory flows affecting European regions and cities. Applied Research Project 2013/1/3. Atlas of maps for Draft Final Report, April 2010, http://www.espon.eu/ export/sites/default/Documents/Projects/AppliedResearch/DEMIFER/DEMIFER_Deliverable_11.pdf EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 77 78 HENRYK PONIKOWSKI Map 1. Population size according to NUTS 2 regions in 2011 in the EU 27 regions and candidate states as well as EFTA members Source: Eurostat, http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/cache/RSI/ The population density is another diagnostic variable used in our analysis. As a measure of population distribution, it directly corresponds to the total area of the analyzed territory. The area of Eastern Poland is 99039 km2, which constitutes 31.7% of the territory of Poland and 2.2% of European Union. In Eastern Poland, the biggest voivodeship is lubelskie (third in Poland) while świętokrzyskie is the smallest. It should be pointed out that the consid- EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES DEMOGRAPHY erable portion of Eastern Poland area is occupied by rural areas and forest complexes with important national and landscape parks. Thus, the population density in Eastern Poland ranges from 118 people per 1 km2 in the podkarpackie voivodeship (the highest in Eastern Poland) to 59 people per 1 km2 in the podlaskie and warmińsko-mazurskie voivodeships. Map 2 presents population density in all regions of the EU 27. Map 2. Population density according to NUTS 2 regions in 2011 in the EU 27 regions and candidate states as well as EFTA members Source: Eurostat, http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/cache/RSI/ EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 79 80 HENRYK PONIKOWSKI Considering all European NUTS 2 units, the population density is extremely varied. The spread between the highest density in the Inner London region (UK) and the lowest in Övre Norrland (SE) is as wide as 9363 people per 1 km2. The coefficient of variation for population density is as high as 245.5%. Map 3. Birth rate according to NUTS 2 regions in 2011 in the EU 27 regions and candidate states as well as EFTA members Source: Eurostat, http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/cache/RSI/ EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES DEMOGRAPHY Another demographic feature selected for the analysis is fertility index which conveys the average number of children per one woman in reproductive age (15-49 years). The analyzed Eastern Poland voivodeships are very similar to one another in this respect. Unfortunately, in all the five voivodeships fertility index is lower than 1.45. This means that the number of live births per one woman in reproductive age does not even ensure simple generational replacement. Map 3 presents the spatial distribution of fertility index in all NUTS 2 type regions. European fertility in all NUTS 2 units is characterized by 19.5% variability. The spread of the index values is also quite wide: from 3.59 in Guyane (FR) to 1.05 in Principado de Asturias (ES). The last diagnostic variable used in the demographic analysis was male life expectancy. It is a demographic feature indicating population variability according to sex. Obviously, male life span is significantly shorter than female. It has its demographic consequences. Spatial distribution of male life expectancy in the EU 27 regions has been presented in Map 4. The average male life span in Eastern Poland is 71.7 years and the variation is about 1 year on average. In the European Union, the mean life expectancy is 76.6 years, with average variation of 3 years. In Eastern Poland, the longest male life expectancy is noted in the podkarpackie voivodeship (73.3 years) and the shortest in the lubelskie voivodeship (70.7 years). In all NUTS 2 units the spread of male life span is as wide as 13.5 years. The longest male life expectancy of 80.8 years is observed in Åland (FI) region and the shortest in Lietuva (LT). Life expectancy is not only a demographic measure. Along with the level of education and wealth – it constitutes the basis for the calculation of Human Development Index (HDI) which specifies the level of social development. In UNDP report concerning regional and local development it has been stressed that the main reasons for male deaths in Eastern Poland are cardiovascular system diseases and neoplasms10. High mortality 10 National Report of Social Development Poland 2012. Regional and local development, http://issuu.com/undp_ poland/docs/raport_lhdi [ 10.07.2013]. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 81 82 HENRYK PONIKOWSKI rate indicates poor prophylactics characteristic for poorly developed regions of Europe. This observation is confirmed be the spatial distribution of this demographic feature (Map 4). Map 4. Male life expectancy according to NUTS 2 type regions in the EU 27 regions and candidate states as well as EFTA members. Source: Eurostat, http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/cache/RSI/ EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES DEMOGRAPHY Numerical values of all the presented demographic features will form a basis for the study of demographic distances in Eastern Poland voivodeships in relation to all other NUTS 2 type regions11. 3. Demographic distances in Eastern Poland voivodeships on European background NUTS 2 units are treated as points in a multidimensional space of demographic variables. This approach will let us determine a distance measure in such a multidimensional classification space. Lower values of the measure indicate the shorter distance between regions, which means that the regions are characterized with similar demographic features. Higher values of the distance measure signify the longer distance between the analyzed regions. The selected demographic features of the analyzed territorial units are described in the form of the following data matrix: where: n is the number of NUTS 2 units and m is the number of analyzed variables. It should be noted that the selected demographic features have various measurement units and dispersion. Certainly, the ones with bigger dispersion possess larger information resources. Achieving compatibility of the primary values of diagnostic variables constitutes an important stage in multidimensional analysis. The compatibility was obtained using a standardized formula which makes the values of all the demographic variables absolute, 11 Comprehensive review of theoretical issues and empirical analysis concerning demographic phenomena may be found in: Bauer Ramon, Demography of European Regions. A Spatial Perspective on Current Population Patterns, Self-published by metropop.eu, 2010, http://www.metropop.eu/metropop001/metropop001. pdf EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 83 84 HENRYK PONIKOWSKI with their arithmetic mean 0 and standard deviation 1. The following standardisation method is used: In order to measure the demographic distance between the analyzed Eastern Poland voivodeships and other EU-27 NUTS 2 type regions, the customary Euclidean metric was used, calculated with the following formula12: 13 14 Zeliaś A. (ed.), Ekonometria przestrzenna, Państwowe Wydawnictwo Ekonomiczne, Warszawa 1991, p. 83. Ibid, p. 82. 14 A. Młodak in: Analiza taksonomiczna w statystyce regionalnej, Difin, Warsaw 2006, p. 47 states that the nonnegativity condition results directly from other principles of topological matrix. 12 13 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES DEMOGRAPHY Obviously, the distances of the analyzed territorial units may result from linked time relations. This type of mutual object relocations usually also results in a change of distances between them. The distance measures calculated according to formula (3) do not have a dynamic character. They are rather cross-sectional, as they concern all EU-27 regions in statistical approach. They indicate the extent of demographic distances between each Eastern Poland voivodeship and all the remaining NUTS 2 type regions in 2011. At the same time, distances between respective Eastern Poland voivodeships were also calculated. Obviously, the measure of demographic similarity between the analyzed territorial units is gradable. A higher value of the distance measure means that the analyzed territorial units are remote from one another while low values indicate close similarity of the analyzed objects. The demographic distances between Eastern Poland voivodeships are presented in Table 2. Tab.2. Demographic distances matrix for Eastern Poland voivodeships in 2011 i/k lubelskie lubelskie podkarpackie podlaskie święto krzyskie warmińskomazurskie 0 0.89 0.81 0.68 0.49 podkarpackie 0.89 0 0.72 0.81 0.97 podlaskie 0.81 0.72 0 0.21 0.57 świętokrzyskie 0.68 0.81 0.21 0 0.43 warmińskomazurskie 0.49 0.97 0.57 0.43 0 Source: own calculations on the basis of Eurostat data. According to previous studies, considering all the analyzed features, Eastern Poland voivodeships with the biggest demographical similarity are podlaskie and świętokrzyskie. The value of the distance measure between them is 0.21. A large degree of demographic similarity also characterizes the świętokrzyskie and warmińsko-mazurskie (0.43) and lubelskie and warmińsko-mazurskie (0.49) voivodeships. The most demographically EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 85 86 HENRYK PONIKOWSKI distant voivodeships are podkarpackie and warmińsko-mazurskie. The distance between these voivodeships is 0.97. Also, podkarpackie and lubelskie (0.89) as well as podkarpackie and świętokrzyskie (0.81) are quite distant demographically. It turns out that about 10% of all European NUTS 2 type units are characterized with a similar distance correlation as podkarpackie and warmińsko-mazurskie. According to previous studies, all the voivodeships of Eastern Poland are the most demographically distant to the metropolitan region of Inner London (UK). There is also a very large demographic distance to the metropolitan region of Île-de-France and highly urbanized Région de Bruxelles-Capitale/ Brusseles Hoofdstedelijk Gewest. Minimum and maximum distances and territorial units similar to particular Eastern Poland voivodeships within the first decentile of demographic distance have been presented in Table 3. The closest region for the lubelskie voivodeship is Bulgarian Yugozapaden. We may say that these are nearly twin regions. The lubelskie voivodeship has only slightly higher population density. The podkarpackie voivodeship has a minimum distance to the Stredni Morava voivodeship (CZ), podlaskie to świętokrzyskie and, obviously, the other way round. The warmińskomazurskie voivodeship has a minimum demographic distance to the Yuzhen tsentralen region (BG). It should be noted that within the scope of the first decile of demographic distance, in a group of regions demographically similar to respective Eastern Poland voivodeships, the majority of territorial units are poorly urbanized15. Often, these are agricultural regions or regions with predominantly rural areas, that is terrains located outside administrative city limits. For the analyzed Eastern Poland voivodeships, the group of 10% of demographically closest regions include mostly Polish territorial units alongside other Eastern and Central 15 Information about the degree of urbanization of NUTS 2 type regions van be found in a report by T. Tivig, K. Frosch, S. Kühntopf, Mapping Regional Demographic Change and Regional Demographic Location Risk in Europe, Schriftenreihe zu Nachhaltigkeit und CSR Band 2, Series on Sustainability and CSR Volume 2, Rostocker Zentrum zur Erforschung des Demografischen Wandels; http://www.demographicrisk-map.eu/downloads/final-report.pdf EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES DEMOGRAPHY Europe regions. The only exceptions are two German regions (MecklenburgVorpommern and Sachsen-Anhalt) demographically similar to the podkarpackie voivodeship, two Portuguese regions (Região Autónoma da Madeira, Região Autónoma dos Açores) least distant from the podlaskie voivodeship as well as Estonia and the Portuguese region of Região Autónoma dos Açores which are demographically closest to the warmińsko-mazurskie voivodeship. It is also interesting that these 10% of demographically closest regions are characterized with a low level of economic development expressed by GDP per capita. It confirms high convergence of the analyzed demographic phenomena with the level of economic development of these territorial units. With only a few exceptions, Eastern Poland shares similar demographic distances with these NUTS 2 type regions which – similarly to the analyzed voivodeships – are included in the convergence program. These are territorial units with GDP per capita below 75% of the EU average. The comparison of distance measures and GDP per capita distance measures has been presented in Figures 1-5. The studies conducted so far confirm that the demographic distances calculated for the analyzed Eastern Poland voivodeships compared to other European NUTS 2 units are generally larger than the distances of economic development measured by GDP per capita. It should be pointed out that this rule also applies to the differences between the analyzed Eastern Poland voivodeships themselves. There is a larger demographic than economic distance between them. It seems that the discrepancies indicate a larger scale of regional demographic problems than economic ones. Eastern Poland voivodeships have the largest demographic distance to: Inner London (UK), Région de Bruxelles-Capitale / Brussels Hoofdstedelijk Gewest (BE) , Berlin (DE), Andalucía (ES), Ciudad Autónoma de Ceuta (ES), Ciudad Autónoma de Melilla (ES), Guyane (FR), Île de France (FR), Lombardia (IT), Inner London (UK), Outer London (UK). Except for Andalucía (ES) and Guyane (FR), these are certainly regions characterized with a high level of economic development. At the same time, it is also worth noticing that most regions, even the highly developed ones have smaller economic than demographic distance to Eastern Poland voivodeships. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 87 0.95 0.21 PODLASKIE 0.65 Közép-Magyarország SI HU PT Bratislavsky kraj, Stredné Slovensko Západné Slovensko Dél-Alföld, Dél-Dunántúl, Észak-Alföld, Közép-Dunántúl, Nyugat-Dunántúl SK HU Vest RU Moravskoslezko, Severozápad, Strˇedni Morava Kujawsko-pomorskie, Lubelskie, Lubuskie, Opolskie, Podkarpackie, Pomorskie, Świętokrzyskie, Warmińsko-Mazurskie, Zachodniopomorskie Região Autónoma da Madeira, Região Autónoma dos Açores Vzhodna Slovenija SK Severen tsentralen, Yugozapaden, Yuzhen tsentralen Bratislavsky kraj, Stredné Slovensko, Západné Slovensko RU PL Centru CZ BG Dolnośląskie, Kujawsko-pomorskie, Lubelskie, Małopolskie, Opolskie, Podlaskie, Pomorskie, Świętokrzyskie, Warmińsko-Mazurskie, Wielkopolskie, Zachodniopomorskie Jihovy chod, Jihozápad, Moravskoslezko, Severovy chod, Severozápad, Strˇedni Cechy, Strˇedni Morava HU Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, Sachsen-Anhalt Dél-Alföld, Dél-Dunántúl, Észak-Alföld, Közép-Dunántúl SK PL Stredné Slovensko, Vchodné Slovensko, Západné Slovensko RU DE Centru, Nord-Vest, Sud – Muntenia, Sud-Est, Sud-Vest Oltenia, Vest CZ Yugozapaden Dolnośląskie, Kujawsko-pomorskie, Lubuskie, Łódzkie, Podkarpackie, Podlaskie, Pomorskie, Świętokrzyskie, Warmińsko-Mazurskie, Zachodniopomorskie Moravskoslezko BG Severen tsentralen, Yugozapaden, Yuzhen tsentralen PL The first decile of distance BG 1.01 CZ 1.06 PODKARPACKIE 0.05 LUBELSKIE Min. Tab. 3. Demographic distance measures 10.08 9.89 10.07 Max. Inner London (UK) Inner London (UK) Yugozapaden (BG) Stredni Morava (CZ) Stredni Morava (CZ) EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES Inner London (UK) 88 HENRYK PONIKOWSKI 0.94 Severen tsentralen, Yugozapaden, Yuzhen tsentralen Kujawsko-pomorskie, Lubelskie, Lubuskie, Opolskie, Podkarpackie, Podlaskie, Warmińsko-Mazurskie, Zachodniopomorskie Região Autónoma da Madeira, Região Autónoma dos Açores Moravskoslezko, Severozápad, Strˇedni Morava, Centru, Sud-Vest Oltenia, Vest Bratislavsky kraj, Stredné Slovensko, Západné Slovensko Dél-Alföld, Dél-Dunántúl, Észak-Alföld, Közép-Dunántúl, Nyugat-Dunántúl BG PL PT CZ RU SK HU 0.92 Região Autónoma dos Açores Moravskoslezko, Severozápad Centru, Vest Stredné Slovensko, Vchodné Slovensko Dél-Alföld, Dél-Dunántúl, Észak-Alföld, Észak-Magyarország, Közép-Dunántúl RU SK HU PL CZ Kujawsko-pomorskie, Lubelskie, Lubuskie, Łódzkie, Podlaskie, Pomorskie, Świętokrzyskie, Zachodniopomorskie EE PT Severen tsentralen, Severoiztochen, Severozapaden, Yugozapaden, Yuzhen tsentralen Eesti BG Source: own calculations on the basis of Eurostat data. 0.20 WARMIŃSKO-MAZURSKIE 0.21 ŚWIETOKRZYSKIE Podlaskie (PL) Yuzhen tsentralen (BG) The first decile of distance 10.10 10.06 Max. Inner London (UK) Inner London (UK) Min. DEMOGRAPHY EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 89 90 HENRYK PONIKOWSKI There are bound to be some exceptions, of course. Few European regions have larger economic than demographic distance to Eastern Poland voivodeships. A good example is the region of Luxemburg (see Fig. 1-5). Fig. 1. Lubelskie voivodeship’s span of demographic and economic distances from all EU 27 regions Source: own calculations on the basis of Eurostat data In the case of the lubelskie voivodeship the economic distance is larger than the demographic one in relation to only 12 European regions. The largest difference in the economic distance compared to the demographic one occurs for the following regions: Luxemburg, Hovedstaden (DK), HelsinkiUusimaa (FI), Bratislavský kraj (SK), Hamburg (DE) (see Fig. 1). Fig. 2. Podkarpackie voivodeship’s span of demographic and economic distances from all EU 27 regions Source: own calculations on the basis of Eurostat data EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES DEMOGRAPHY The podkarpackie voivodeship has a larger economic than demographic distance to as many as 45 European regions. They are 4 Belgian regions, 4 Danish regions, 15 German regions, 1 Spanish region, 3 Italian regions, Luxemburg, 5 Dutch regions, 7 Austrian regions, 1 Slovakian region, 2 Finnish regions and 2 Swedish regions (see Fig. 2). The largest difference in the economic distance compared to the demographic one occurs for the following regions: Luxemburg, Hovedstaden (DK), Groningen (NL), Hamburg (DE), Tübingen (DE), Bratislavský kraj (SK). Fig. 3. Podlaskie voivodeship’s span of demographic and economic distances from all EU 27 regions Source: own calculations on the basis of Eurostat data In the case of the podlaskie voivodeship, the collection of regions with larger economic than demographic distances includes 33 territorial units. The largest margin of difference between the economic and demographic distance is seen between the podlaskie voivodeship and Luxemburg, Hovedstaden (DK), Groningen (NL), Helsinki-Uusimaa (FI), Bratislavský kraj (SK), Hamburg (DE), Bremen (DE), Tübingen (DE), Stockholm (SE). EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 91 92 HENRYK PONIKOWSKI Fig. 4. Świętokrzyskie voivodeship’s span of demographic and economic distances from all EU 27 regions Source: own calculations on the basis of Eurostat data The świętokrzyskie voivodeship has a larger economic than demographic distance in comparison with 18 regions. The largest span between the distances occurs for the following regions: Luxemburg, Hovedstaden (DK), Helsinki-Uusimaa (FI), Bratislavský kraj (SK), Groningen (NL), Hamburg (DE), Bremen (DE). Fig. 5. Warmińsko-Mazurskie voivodeship’s span of demographic and economic distances from all EU 27 regions Source: own calculations on the basis of Eurostat data The warmińsko-mazurskie voivodeship has a larger economic than demographic distance in relation to 13 European regions. The largest distance EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES DEMOGRAPHY span is observed in comparison with: Luxemburg, Hovedstaden (DK), Helsinki-Uusimaa (FI), Groningen (NL), Bratislavský kraj (SK), Hamburg (DE), Stockholm (SE). To sum up the distance analysis, it seems that, considering the demographic variables used in the analysis, it does not give us grounds for drawing far-reaching conclusions. However, we can certainly claim that, compared to other Polish and European regions, Eastern Poland voivodeships are much more distant demographically than economically. This means that the demographic disadvantages of Eastern Poland voivodeships should be addressed within the framework of Polish and European regional policy at least as much as economic ones. These large demographic distances of Eastern Poland voivodeships in comparison with other NUTS 2 type regions result from insufficient population, especially the urban one, lower population density, similar fertility index and lower male life expectancy. These demographic phenomena shaped the value of the analyzed demographic distance measures. 4. Demographic future of Eastern Poland voivodeships In Eastern Poland voivodeships, previous population changes were taking place with various intensity. In 2011, there were 1.47% less people than in 2000. It translates to 32.4 thousand people, which is more than the current population of a district capital town of Łuków. In the świętokrzyskie voivodeship the population decreased by 1.71%, that is 22.3 thousand people, which is more than the current population of the town of Końskie. In the podlaskie voivodeship the decrease was 0.77%, that is 9.3 thousand people, almost as many as the population of Wysokie Mazowieckie. In the analyzed period, in the podkarpackie voivodeship the population decreased by 1.34%, that is 28.2 thousand people, more than the current population of Lubaczów and Leżajsk. The population decrease of 1.9% also took place in warmińskomazurskie; this means 27.1 thousand people less, almost the population of the town of Kętrzyn. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 93 94 HENRYK PONIKOWSKI According to the prognosis elaborated by the Central Statistical Office (GUS), the tendency of population changes in all Eastern Poland voivodeships will continue to be negative. The prepared prognosis takes into account not only the expected general trends of fertility, mortality and migration but also changes of demographic patterns and specificity of territorial population processes, separately analyzed for each voivodeship. The starting point for the population change prognosis prepared by GUS is the population on 31 December 200716. In 2007 Eastern Poland was inhabited by 8157.9 thousand people, which was 21.4% of the population of Poland. In 2035, the population of Eastern Poland will be 10.2%, that is 836 thousand, smaller than in 2007. Thus, the proportion of the forecasted Polish population inhabiting Eastern Poland will decrease from 21.4% in 2007 to 20.3% in 2035. Graphic presentation of forecasted population of Eastern Poland voivodeships has been shown in Figures 6-8. Fig. 6. Total population forecast (year 2007=100) Source: own preparation based on Population prognosis for years 2007-2035, GUS, Warsaw 2009, p. 194. In comparison with 2007, the largest population decrease by 2035 will take place in świętokrzyskie (by 15.6%) and lubelskie (by 13.6%). The lowest 16 Population prognosis for the years 2008–2035, GUS, Warsaw 2009. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES DEMOGRAPHY negative tendency will characterize podkarpackie (by 5.0%) and warmińskomazurskie (by 8.2%). In the podlaskie voivodeship, the population will decrease by 10.1% (Fig. 6). In absolute figures, the population decrease in respective voivodeships will be: 295 thousand people in lubelskie, equal to the current total population of Chełm, Zamość, Biała Podlaska and Świdnik; 199 thousand people in świętokrzyskie, equal to the current population of the voivodeship capital, Kielce; 120 thousand people in podlaskie, equal to the current population of Łomża and Suwałki; 117 thousand in warmińsko-mazurskie, equal to the current population of the voivodeship capital, Elbląg; 105 thousand in podkarpackie, equal to the current population of Krosno and Przemyśl. Fig. 7. Urban population forecast (year 2007=100) Source: own preparation based on Population prognosis for years 2007-2035, GUS, Warsaw 2009, p. 194 In 2035, compared to 2007, urban population will decrease in the podlaskie (by 5.8%) and warmińsko-mazurskie (by 8.1%) voivodeships. The largest urban population decrease will occur in the świętokrzyskie voivodeship (by 23.8%). In the lubelskie and podkarpackie voivodeships, the decrease will be 16.8% and 11.2%, respectively (Fig. 7). EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 95 96 HENRYK PONIKOWSKI Fig. 8. Rural population forecast (year 2007=100) Source: own preparation based on Population prognosis for years 2007-2035, GUS, Warsaw 2009, p. 194 By 2035, the rural population will also decrease in Eastern Poland voivodeships. The biggest reduction will take place in the podlaskie voivodeship (by 16.4%), in lubelskie it will be reduced by 10.9%, in świętokrzyskie by 8.7% and in warmińsko-mazurskie by 8.3%. A specific situation will occur in the podkarpackie voivodeship. In the analyzed period, the number of rural population in this voivodeship will be higher than in the base year 2007. Only in 2035, the number will decrease slightly (by 0.7%) (Fig. 8). From the point of view of aging society, it is necessary to conduct a demographic forecast of aging. Current and forecasted changes in the structure of population according to biological age groups in Eastern Poland voivodeships have been presented in Figure 9. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES DEMOGRAPHY Fig. 9. Diagnosis and prognosis of total population according to biological age groups (in %) Source: own preparation based on Population prognosis for years 2007-2035, GUS, Warsaw 2009, pp. 204-205 In all the voivodeships, we observe decreasing proportion of age groups 0-14 years (children) and 15-64 years (adults), while the proportion of older people aged 65+ and 80+ is increasing. By the forecasted year 2035, the proportion of children will decrease from 3.5% in podlaskie to 4.1% in podkarpackie. In the analyzed period, the adult group will also decrease from 5.9% in podlaskie to 7.5% in świętokrzyskie. The proportion of older people will continuously grow with predominance of women. The largest population increase in the 65+ age group will take place in the świętokrzyskie (11.3%) and warmińsko-mazurskie (11.2%) voivodeships. In the other voivodeships the increase will be sligthly lower: in lubelskie – 10.1%, in podlaskie – 10.1% and in podkarpackie – 10.0%. In all voivodeships the proportion of the oldest people aged 80+ will also grow. This means that we are going to see a progressive and systematic process of Eastern Poland society aging. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 97 98 HENRYK PONIKOWSKI Summary In the light of the criteria adopted for this analysis, Eastern Poland voivodeships are demographically varied. The most similar voivodeships are podlaskie and świętokrzyskie. The most distant ones are podkarpackie and warmińsko-mazurskie. The podkarpackie voivodeship is the least demographically similar to all other Eastern Poland territorial units. Other studies confirm that it is the only „demographically active”17 voivodeship in Eastern Poland. The voivodeship that is the most demographically similar to all others is warmińsko-mazurskie. In a European perspective, the characteristic demographic feature of all Eastern Poland voivodeships is that they are the most similar to poorly urbanized European regions. Despite the fact that the calculated distance measures should only be interpreted in the context of the demographic features they represent, it should be noted that there is a close correlation between demographic distances and the level of urbanization of the analyzed regions. At the same time, the largest demographic distances separate Eastern Poland voivodeships from highly developed European regions, while poorly developed Polish and Central and Eastern European regions are the closest. The conducted studies show that Eastern Poland voivodeships are more demographically than economically distant from one another as measured by GDP per capita. This principle, with just a few exceptions, is also true for other European NUTS 2 type regions. In other words, Eastern Poland voivodeships are much more distant from other European regions in terms of demographic distance than economic one. This does not mean that they are subject to different demographic rules. The nature of demographic phenomena, lifestyle or family models are similar and only the pace and intensity of changes differs between regions. The differences in demographic distances are mainly grounded in the degree of urbanization and socio-cultural conditions. 17 D. Celińska-Janowicz, A. Miszczuk, A. Płoszaj, M. Smętkowski, Aktualne problemy demograficzne regionu Polski wschodniej, EUROREG Reports and Analyses 5/2010, Warsaw 2010. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES DEMOGRAPHY The demographic problems of Eastern Poland voivodeships, that is natural decrease and out-migration, are characteristic for depopulating areas. Thus, the demographic problems are not limited only to low birth rate and progressive aging but also the decreasing number of young people due to migration. It should be pointed out that migratory phenomena are not easily registered. Official statistical data indicate that Eastern Poland voivodeships are population outflow regions. Demographic forecasts show that the analyzed voivodeships are depopulational regions. The presented considerations mean that, after EU enlargement, Eastern Poland demographic problems have been marginalized in European and Polish regional policies. The demographic problems have their specificity but they are strictly connected with the issues of economic and social development. In order to minimize European development disproportions observed in Eastern Poland, more attention should be paid not only to economic development but also to demographic problems of this region. If the problems are neglected, there will occur further demographic divergence of NUTS 2 type regions18. It seems that Eastern Poland voivodeships should be included in a demographic convergence program. 18 Specificity and conditions for European demographic variation is presented by M. Okólski in: Wyzwania demograficzne Europy i Polski, [in:] Europejskie wyzwania dla Polski i jej regionów, A. Tucholska (ed.), Ministry of Regional Development, Warsaw 2010. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 99 EASTERN POLAND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES Edited by Bartosz Jóźwik & Mariusz Sagan, Lublin 2013 P AW E Ł P A S I E R B I A K Labour markets The economic development of Eastern Poland region is affected by economic activities of entities treating this region as an area of their operation. The degree of this activity is reflected by indicators describing the state of the economy and regional labor market there. Regardless of the level of analysis, or whether the reference point will be local, regional, national or supranational (e.g. the EU), current and previous economic conditions determine conditions of the labor market. The overall condition of the labor market at the supranational or national levels results from the situation at lower levels (regional or local) and vice versa. Analysis of the labor markets of the European Union shows that depending on the period of analysis labor markets of Member States tend to converge or diverge1. This trend also occurs 1 See, e.g. Employment and Social Development in Europe 2012, European Commission, Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg 2012, p. 17 and following pages. 102 PAWEŁ PASIERBIAK at the regional level on the scale of a single country. In Poland, the degree of divergence of labor markets at the regional level is assessed as relatively high2. Accordingly, the assessment of the domestic labor market should also rely on the examination of markets at lower levels. Beside evaluating the state of regional economy, the regional labor market also allows for other insights. The labor market reveals the degree to which the region is able to utilize available labor resources and create jobs for different groups of society, including the long-term unemployed. In this sense, the current state of the labor market is a measure of economic effectiveness. The subject of this study is the labor market in Eastern Poland. The paper analyzes certain changes that have occurred in this market since the beginning of the 21st century to distinguish its most important trends and thus give us insights into its basic characteristics. The time horizon of the analysis covers the period 2000-2012. The examination employs a research method of a presentation, analysis and statistical data interpretation as well as a descriptive method. The assumed aim of the analysis has determined a twopart structure of this paper. The first part discusses the international context which determines to some extent the situation at lower levels of this analysis. For this purpose, changes in labor markets of the most important global economies are synthetically presented. The growing internationalization of economies makes the internal situation increasingly dependent on exogenous factors, which also applies to regional labor markets. The second part examines the situation on the labor markets of the five voivodships of Eastern Poland and identifies certain regularities in their development. The analysis ends with conclusions. 2 See, e.g. Terytorialne zróżnicowanie bezrobocia w Polsce w 2011 roku [Spatial divergence in unmenployment in Poland in 2011], Ministerstwo Pracy i Polityki Społecznej, Departament Rynku Pracy, Warszawa 2011, p. 9; E. Kwiatkowski, P. Kubiak, Poziom rozwoju regionalnego i dynamika restrukturyzacji a bezrobocie regionalne w Polsce [Level of regional development and transformation rate in relation to regional unemployment in Poland], Gospodarka Narodowa, No 7/1998, p. 30. Eurostat’s data show that a degree of differentiation measured by dispersion of regional employment rate dropped in Poland from 2000 (from 7.5) to 2012 (5.1). See: Eurostat Database, Dispersion of regional employment rates, by sex, [tsdec440]. http://epp.eurostat. ec.europa.eu/portal/page/portal/statistics/search_database#. Date of access: 2013-7-16. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES LABOUR MARKETS 1. Main economic indicators in voivodships of Eastern Poland and relations between economic growth and labor markets Despite a contemporary strong dependency on national and international external conditions, a regional labor market is to some extent an autonomous area due to the explicit specificities that involve spatially defined employment opportunities or availability of workers who are not required to change their place of living3. If analyzed at the level of voivodship and district, Polish regional markets show such specificity4. In Poland, beside a group of highly developed voivodships whose labor market is in generally better condition, there is also a group of voivodships whose labor markets are assessed as relatively weak due to the specific nature of those voivodships. The data collected in Table 1 illustrates the main indicators of the economic situation of Polish voivodships relative to the average for Poland and the European Union. Table 1. Selected economic indicators for Polish voivodships in the years 2000-2012 Specification Unemployment Employment rate 2000 2010 2000 2012 2000 2012 EU-27 100% 100.0% 9.2 10.4 62.1 64.1 Poland 48.4% 62.4% 16.3 10.1 55.1 59.7 Łódzkie 43.2% 57.6% 16.2 11.1 56.0 61.0 Mazowieckie 73.7% 101.6% 13.3 8.0 61.2 65.8 Małopolskie 42.1% 53.1% 11.6 10.4 59.0 59.1 Śląskie 52.1% 66.9% 18.9 9.4 48.7 57.6 Pomorskie 47.9% 60.0% 17.1 9.5 53.0 59.3 Wielkopolskie 51.6% 64.9% 14.1 8.5 56.7 61.0 Zachodniopomorskie 48.4% 54.3% 20.4 10.9 51.7 55.9 Lubuskie 43.2% 52.7% 21.3 9.0 49.6 57.2 Dolnośląskie 49.5% 70.2% 22.6 11.1 50.7 57.6 3 4 GDP per capita [in % of EU’s av.] A. Jakubowski [ed.], Rynek pracy w województwie lubelskim w latach 2007-2010 [The labour market in the Lubelskie voivodship in 2007-2010], Urząd Statystyczny in Lublin, Lublin 2011, p. 27. The analysis in this paper covers the regions considered as the NUTS 2 level (voivodships). EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 103 104 PAWEŁ PASIERBIAK Specification GDP per capita [in % of EU’s av.] Unemployment Employment rate 2000 2010 2000 2012 2000 2012 Opolskie 40.0% 49.8% 14.6 9.5 55.9 59.7 Kujawsko-pomorskie 44.2% 52.2% 18.2 11.9 52.5 58.2 EASTERN POLAND Lubelskie 34.2% 42.0% 13.6 10.5 60.2 60.2 Podkarpackie 33.7% 42.0% 14.5 13.2 56.3 57.0 Świętokrzyskie 37.4% 47.3% 16.9 13.1 53.4 59.1 Podlaskie 36.3% 45.3% 15.7 9.2 58.4 61.6 Warmińsko-Mazurskie 37.9% 45.7% 22.4 11.0 50.5 53.6 Source: Own preparation based on Eurostat Database: Employment rates by sex, age and NUTS 2 regions (%) [lfst_r_lfe2emprt]; Unemployment rates by sex, age and NUTS 2 regions (%) [lfst_r_lfu3rt]; Gross domestic product (GDP) at current market prices by NUTS 2 regions [nama_r_e2gdp]. Date of access: 2013-7-15. The data in Table 1 shows that unemployment unlike employment rate in the more developed regions, measured by GDP was usually lower. Voivodships such as Mazowieckie, Dolnośląskie and Wielkopolskie were quite quickly converging the value of their GDP relative to the EU’s average. Consequently, the high level of economic activity improved the condition of the labor market there. Those five voivodships of Eastern Poland are the least advanced regions for economic development not only in Poland but also in the European Union. Despite some improvements since 2000, the per capita GDP in those voivodships in 2012 reached only 42% in Lubelskie and Podkarpackie in relation to the EU’s average GDP and 47.3% in Świętokrzyskie. Those indicators show a wide development gap between regions in relation to other regions of Poland and the European Union. That gap also determines the functioning of the labor market in Eastern Poland. The relationship between the degree of economic development and the functioning of the labor market is quite obvious5. Actually, more developed regions have a relatively modern economic structure, which also means 5 E. Kwiatkowski, P. Kubiak, Poziom, op. cit., p. 31. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES LABOUR MARKETS a higher level of competitiveness of their companies and products. The higher share of services in output and employment reduces the dependence of regional economy on changes of conjuncture. More developed regions have a more skilled and mobile workforce, which facilitates structural matching between labor demand and supply there. Moreover, less developed regions are less attractive to potential foreign investors, which adversely affects the demand for labor and thus the labor market. Such regions, however, offer cheaper workforce, which may encourage investors to become more interested in them. Graphs 1 and 2 visualize some changes in and relationship of economic growth and unemployment of the voivodships of Eastern Poland against the background of Mazowieckie voivodship – one of the fastest growing regions in Poland. Chart 1. GDP growth in the voivodships of Eastern Poland in the years 2003-2010, 2003=100 Source: Own preparation based on the data of the Local Data Bank of the Central Statistical Office, http://www.stat.gov.pl/bdl/app/ strona.html?p_name=indeks. Date of access: 2013-07-15. Analysis of those changes confirms a strong correlation between the economic growth rate and level of unemployment in those regions. At the same time, we can notice a growing imbalance in the development of the individual voivodships. As depicted in the graphs, the Mazowieckie voivodship was the most dynamically developing region, and the five provinces of Eastern Poland failed to match its high level of development. Examining the developmental points of departure which were definitely beneficial for Mazowieckie EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 105 106 PAWEŁ PASIERBIAK we can conclude that such uneven economic development continued and even deepened. That fact is reflected in labor market indicators which in eastern Polish provinces unfavorably changed in relation to the more developed regions. 2. Condition of the labor markets in the voivodships of Eastern Poland In 2000, the unemployment rate in Poland amounted to an average of 16.3%, whereas it was 13.3% in Mazowieckie, 13.6% in Lubelskie, 14.5% in Podkarpackie 15.7% in Podlaskie, 16.9% in Świętokrzyskie, and 22.4% in WarmińskoMazurskie6. Twelve years later, in 2012, the unemployment rate changed as follows: the average for Poland amounted to 10.1%, 8% in Mazowieckie, 9.2% in Podlaskie, 10.5% in Lubelskie, 11% in Warmińsko-Mazurskie, 13.1% in Świętokrzyskie and 13.2% Podkarpackie. Chart 2. Unemployment rate in the voivodships of Eastern Poland in the years 2000-2012, in % Note: Data on the economic activity of the population aged 15 and more developed on the basis of representative Labor Force Survey (LFS). Source: Own preparation based on the data of the Local Data Bank of the Central Statistical Office, http://www.stat.gov.pl/bdl/app/ strona.html?p_name=indeks. Date of access: 2013-07-15. The decreased unemployment rate should be considered a success. It should, however, be borne in mind that the methodology of the LFS is ap- 6 See data in Table 2. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES LABOUR MARKETS plied to measure that indicator7. When considering the unemployment rate registered by labor offices, unemployment rate indicators change significantly. In this perspective, the unemployment rate for Poland in 2011amounted to 12.5% and 13.2% for the Lubelskie voivodship, 15.5% for the Podkarpackie voivodship, 14.1% for the Podlaskie voivodship, 15.2% for the Świętokrzyskie voivodship, and 20.2% for the Warmińsko-Mazurskie voivodship8. Those figures indicate a significant spatial divergence in Polish labor markets. This is also true for the voivodships of Eastern Poland9. A regional economic structure is another factor behind divergence. For example, the figures on the employment and unemployment in the Podlaskie and Lubelskie voivodships are largely distorted due to the so-called hidden unemployment there. The high share of the agricultural sector in their economic structures causes part of unemployment there to take a form of agrarian unemployment. Therefore, it is difficult to estimate the exact number of the unemployed, which helps artificially lower the rate of registered unemployment. The earlier mentioned regional economic structure is another factor negatively affecting the labor markets of the voivodships of Eastern Poland. If those regions and more economically developed regions are compared, it is clear that the former group depends more on agriculture than industry and services. Table 2 presents the data on the employment structure of the population by economic sector in the regions studied. In Poland, this is BAEL method (Badania Aktywności Ekonomicznej Ludności – Research on Economic Activity of Population). 8 Statistical yearbook of voivodships 2012, GUS, Warszawa 2012, p. 318. 9See: Rynek pracy w Polsce. 2012 rok [Labor market in Poland in 2012], Ministerstwo Pracy i Polityki Społecznej, Departament Rynku Pracy, Warszawa 2013, p. 7. 7 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 107 108 PAWEŁ PASIERBIAK Table 2. Employment structure by economic sector in the voivodships of Eastern Poland in the years 2000-2012, in% Specification Agriculture Industry Services 2000 2005 2012 2000 2005 2012 1999 2005 2012 Mazowieckie 20.3 16.0 11.0 24.5 21.7 22.3 55.2 62.3 66.7 Lubelskie 39.0 35.9 27.7 20.6 19.3 21.5 40.4 44.8 50.8 Podkarpackie 26.8 25.7 19.7 28.8 28.3 30.4 44.4 46.0 49.9 Podlaskie 33.8 34.4 25.1 20.9 20.7 23.1 45.3 44.9 51.8 Świętokrzyskie 31.7 33.3 24.0 27.0 22.4 28.5 41.3 44.3 47.5 Warmińsko-Mazurskie 14.6 16.4 11.9 29.3 30.4 32.2 56.1 53.2 55.9 Note: Data on the economic activity of the population aged 15 and more developed on the basis of representative Labor Force Survey (LFS). Source: Own preparation based on the data of the Local Data Bank of the Central Statistical Office, http://www.stat.gov.pl/bdl/app/ strona.html?p_name=indeks. Date of access: 2013-07-15. Despite the positive developments, agriculture is still very important in the economies of the Lubelskie, Podlaskie and Podkarpackie voivodships. Accordingly, the share of this sector in employment in 2012 ranged there from 24 to 27.7%, whereas in the Mazowieckie voivodship it was 11% only. The changes in the employment in the industry and services in Eastern Poland are clearly adverse, especially if compared to the Mazowieckie voivodship. The share of employment in industry slightly increased in Eastern Poland, whereas it declined in favor of employment in services in Mazowieckie. The growth rate of employment in services is today one of the inherent features of dynamically developing economic regions. Simultaneously, a high share of services in output and employment causes the economy of those regions to be less sensitive to cyclical changes. This is of great importance, particularly in the current unstable macroeconomic situation in Poland and the European Union. Therefore, those changes that occurred in Eastern Poland should be evaluated as negative. Analysis of regional labor markets in terms of a structure of professional qualifications (education) confirms a national characteristic of the labor market, i.e. regional labor markets with a highly qualified workforce (with EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES LABOUR MARKETS a higher level of education) tend to be in relatively favorable condition. Nevertheless, in the second half of the decade the situation began to change. In the voivodships of Eastern Poland, the percentage of unemployed tertiary graduates significantly increased. The highest rise in this group as reported in the Lubelskie voivodship. In 2000, 6.1 thousand tertiary graduates remained out of work, which accounted for 3.8% of all the unemployed there. In 2012, this number increased to 20 thousand and the share of this group increased to 15.2%. This situation results from a relatively low absorbency of the local labor market, a high number of graduates from public and private universities. The labor market is unable to absorb so many graduates. This situation is symptomatic as analogous changes occurred in the other regions of Eastern Poland. Actually, a higher percentage of unemployed tertiary graduates is reported in all of these regions. At the same time, there is a phenomenon of reducing unemployment in the group of persons with secondary education only. In 2012, they accounted for the lowest percentage of the unemployed in virtually all Polish regions, except the WarmińskoMazurskie voivodship. Typically, the voivodships of Eastern Poland show a larger drop of the unemployed with vocational education or lower that the national average. In this respect, the most dynamic changes were reported in the Podkarpackie and Świętokrzyskie voivodships. Accordingly, it is worth pointing out that there were more women in a group of unemployed tertiary graduates, whereas male unemployment was higher only in the group of those with vocational and lower secondary education. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 109 110 PAWEŁ PASIERBIAK Table 3. Registered unemployment by level of education in the years 2000-2012, in thousands of persons and % Specification 2000 2005 2010 2012* 2000 in thousand persons 2005 2010 2012* Share Poland Tertiary 69.4 152.4 204.7 225.8 2.6% 5.5% 10.5% 11.4% Vocational secondary 561.9 606.7 429.9 440.7 20.8% 21.9% 22.0% 22.2% General secondary 168.7 211.5 213.1 214.5 6.2% 7.6% 10.9% 10.8% Basic vocational 998.8 903.6 556.2 555.8 37.0% 32.6% 28.5% 28.0% Lower secondary, primary 903.8 898.8 550.8 545.9 33.4% 32.4% 28.2% 27.5% Total 2702.6 2773 1954.7 1982.7 100% 100% 100% 100% 13.9% 15.2% Lubelskie voivodship Tertiary 6.1 12.7 16.7 20.0 3.8% 8.1% Vocational secondary 39.6 40.4 29.4 32.3 24.8% 25.8% 24.6% 24.7% General secondary 11.7 14.0 15.1 15.9 7.3% 8.9% 12.6% 12.1% Basic vocational 58.0 47.1 29.8 32.4 36.3% 30.0% 24.9% 24.7% Lower secondary, primary 44.4 42.7 28.6 30.6 27.8% 27.2% 23.9% 23.3% Total 159.7 156.8 119.7 131.1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Podkarpackie voivodship Tertiary 4.9 10.2 16.6 20.2 2.7% 6.2% 11.7% 13.1% Vocational secondary 40.5 40.6 36.0 39.4 22.2% 24.7% 25.3% 25.6% General secondary 10.5 12.6 14.7 15.8 5.8% 7.7% 10.4% 10.3% Basic vocational 73.2 57.7 43.9 47.0 40.2% 35.2% 30.9% 30.5% Lower secondary, primary 53.0 42.9 31.0 31.5 29.1% 26.2% 21.8% 20.5% Total 182.2 164.0 142.3 153.8 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Podlaskie voivodship Tertiary 2.5 5.3 7.9 9.3 3.2% 7.3% 12.3% 13.6% Vocational secondary 18.6 17.7 14.6 15.8 23.5% 24.2% 23.0% 23.0% General secondary 5.7 6.4 7.9 8.2 7.3% 8.8% 12.4% 11.9% Basic vocational 26.8 20.9 15.6 16.6 33.8% 28.6% 24.4% 24.2% Lower secondary, primary 25.5 22.8 17.8 18.7 32.2% 31.2% 27.9% 27.3% Total 79.2 73.2 63.8 68.7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES LABOUR MARKETS Specification 2000 2005 2010 2012* 2000 in thousand persons 2005 2010 2012* Share Świętokrzyskie voivodship Tertiary 4.1 Vocational secondary 9.2 10.9 12.6 3.5% 7.8% 13.3% 14.5% 27.3 29.1 20.4 22.0 23.1% 24.7% 24.9% 25.3% General secondary 8.3 10.1 9.2 9.4 7.0% 8.6% 11.2% 10.8% Basic vocational 45.4 39.2 23.7 24.6 38.3% 33.3% 28.8% 28.4% Lower secondary, primary 33.3 30.1 17.9 18.1 28.1% 25.5% 21.8% 20.9% Total 118.5 117.8 82.1 86.7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Warmińsko-Mazurskie voivodship Tertiary 2.9 5.7 7.8 9.9 1.8% 3.8% 7.4% 8.8% Vocational secondary 29.1 29.5 20.4 22.0 18.4% 19.5% 19.2% 19.4% General secondary 8.2 10.9 11.3 12.1 5.2% 7.2% 10.7% 10.7% Basic vocational 54.1 47.6 30.3 32.0 34.2% 31.5% 28.6% 28.3% Lower secondary, primary 63.9 57.3 36.1 37.2 40.4% 38.0% 34.1% 32.9% Total 158.2 150.9 105.9 113.2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% * Data for Poland: 2011. Source: Own preparation based on: Rocznik statystyczny Rzeczpospolitej Polskiej 2012. Rok LXXII. GUS. Warszawa 2012. pp. 241-242 and the Local Data Bank of the Central Statistical Office. http://www.stat.gov.pl/bdl/app/strona.html?p_name=indeks. Date of access: 2013-07-15. An important feature of the Polish labor market is the relatively long time of being unemployed, which is reflected in a high long-term unemployment rate. This phenomenon is highly disadvantageous as economic activity and effective job search can be significantly reduced if persons remain unemployed. The changes that occurred in Poland and those regions show that the number and share of the unemployed over 12 months in 2008-2009 decreased. One of the favorable factors was the economic upturn which increased the demand for labor in Poland and in particular provinces. However, adverse effects began since 2010 (see Table 4). EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 111 112 PAWEŁ PASIERBIAK Table 4. Share of the long-term unemployed relative to a total of the unemployed, in % Specification 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Mazowieckie 53.9 50.2 40.8 30.8 34.6 39.1 39.6 Lubelskie 52.4 48.8 39.9 31.8 32.2 39.7 41.2 Podkarpackie 52.8 49.4 39.9 33.6 37.4 41.6 41.7 Podlaskie 46.4 43.5 32.6 27.8 34.0 39.1 41.0 Świętokrzyskie 52.9 49.7 43.2 31.7 30.7 35.1 36.8 Warmińsko-Mazurskie 47.1 42.7 31.5 26.1 28.1 32.7 34.4 Source: Own preparation based on the data of the Local Data Bank of the Central Statistical Office, http://www.stat.gov.pl/bdl/app/ strona.html?p_name=indeks. Date of access: 2013-07-15. The data in Table 4 confirm that in 2011 and 2012, the percentage of the long-term unemployed increased in all regions analyzed. In 2011, the highest rates were recorded in the voivodhips of Podkapackie (41.6%), Lubelskie (39.7%) and Podlaskie (39.1%), whereas the average for Poland was 34.6%. The following year, these indicators even deteriorated. Thus, importantly, the situation was better in the voivodships of Świętokrzyskie and Warmińsko-Mazurskie than in the Mazowieckie voivodship. Long-term unemployment in the labor markets of Eastern Poland is accompanied by high youth unemployment there. Reported throughout the European Union, this very serious problem touches to a certain extent also Poland and its voivodships. In the period 2000-2008, the total number of the registered unemployed under 24 in Poland decreased. In 2000, it amounted to 823.5 thousand persons and by 2008 decreased to 304.6 thousand10. The following year, this downward trend was reversed, and already in 2009 the number of unemployed persons in this age group increased to 425.9 thousand. Since then, this number remained relatively stable. In 2012, the number of the registered unemployed under 24 reached 424.2 thousad. A similar analysis of the voivodships of Eastern Poland confirms these general 10 See: Local Data Bank of the Central Statistical Office, http://www.stat.gov.pl/bdl/app/strona.html?p_ name=indeks. Date of access: 2013-07-15. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES LABOUR MARKETS trends although the rate of decline in unemployment until 2008 and growth in the following years were lower than the average for Poland11. As stated in the analysis by the Ministry of Labor, the number of registered unemployed youth at the end of 2009 compared to the previous year increased in Świętokrzyskie to reach 13.2%, Lubelskie – 23.7%, WarmińskoMazurskie – 33.7%, Podkarpackie – 36.8% and Podlaskie – 48.4%12. The figures were much better than for the other provinces. For example, the highest rise was reported in the Wielkopolskie voivodship (60.5%) but only slightly lower in the voivodships of Śląskie (59%) and Pomorskie (58.9%). In comparison to the previous year, the changes in 2012 were not so dynamic. According to statistical data, the growth rate of unemployment among young people was low or even in some cases unemployment reduced, e.g. in Lubelskie (by 4.2%) and Podkarpackie (by 1.3%). Those figures remained at the same level in the Świętokrzyskie voivodship13. Those changes are confirmed by another indicator of the labor market. i.e. employment rate. As depicted in Chart 3, from 2000 to 2012 employment among people aged 15-24 initially fell slightly, but since Poland joined the European Union (2004) employment in this age group rapidly increased. By 2008, the growth rate was relatively high with the highest values reported in the Mazowieckie voivodship and followed by the voivodships of Lubelskie, Podlaskie and Świętokrzyskie. After 2008, the employment rate in the Podlaskie and Świętokrzyskie voivodships increased clearly from nearly 29% to 23-24% in 2012. In the other voivodships of Eastern Poland, employment rates remained stable at the level of 17-22%. 11 In the period 2000-2008, a decline in the number of the registered unemployed under 24 reached the following values: Poland – 63%, Lubelskie voivodship – 55.9%, Podkarpackie voivodship – 56.1%, Podlaskie voivodship – 56.7%, Świętokrzyskie voivodship – 54.4% and Warmińsko-Mazurskie voivodship – 57.9%. In 2008-2012, an increase in the number of the unemployed amounted to 39.3%, 20.2%, 33.2%, 44.5%, 11% and 19.5%, respectively. 12 According to the data presented here, a young unemployed person is a person under 25 years old. See: Sytuacja na rynku pracy osób młodych w 2009 roku [Condition of young people on the labor market in 2009], Ministerstwo Pracy i Polityki Społecznej, Departament Rynku Pracy, Warszawa 2010, p. 4. 13 Sytuacja na rynku pracy osób młodych w 2012 roku, Ministerstwo Pracy i Polityki Społecznej, Departament Rynku Pracy, Warszawa 2013, p. 4. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 113 114 PAWEŁ PASIERBIAK Chart 3. Employment rate for the age group of 15-24 in the years 2000-2012, in % Source: Own preparation based on the data of the Local Data Bank of the Central Statistical Office, http://www.stat.gov.pl/bdl/app/ strona.html?p_name=indeks. Date of access: 2013-07-15. This stable level may have also resulted from other important processes shaping labor markets, namely the migration process that occurs with varying intensity across Poland. For the labor market from where emigration outflows, this means a lower labor supply, which statistically (though in the short term) can have a positive impact on the local labor market. In the period analyzed, i.e. 2000-2012, less developed provinces of Eastern Poland had a net emigration. This was the interprovincial and international migration of temporary and permanent residency. Chart 4 illustrates the interprovincial migration for the voivodships of Eastern Poland and the Mazowieckie voivodship. The graph clearly shows the trend of depopulation of Eastern Poland. This phenomenon was most noticeable in the Lubelskie voivodship but the remaining voivodships of Eastern Poland witnessed the same phenomenon. The proximity of the Mazowieckie voivodship and wage differential between that voivodship and the regions of Eastern Poland meant that the Mazowieckie voivodship was the most popular destination for per- EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES LABOUR MARKETS manent emigration from Eastern Poland14. These adverse phenomena have far-reaching and serious consequences for regional economies. Decisions to emigrate are made usually by young, creative and well educated people. This influences a regional GDP growth in a longer term15. Chart 4. Net interprovincial migration for permanent residency in the years 2000-2012, in thousands of people Source: Own preparation based on the data of the Local Data Bank of the Central Statistical Office, http://www.stat.gov.pl/bdl/app/ strona.html?p_name=indeks. Date of access: 2013-07-15. Consequently, a region from which people emigrate suffers in the long term from adverse changes in the demographic structure and economic decline16. The possible decline of a given area as an investment and entre14 For example, an average monthly salary in the Mazowieckie voivodship in 2010 was by 38% higher than that in the Lubelskie voivodship. See: P. Maleszyk, Gospodarcze uwarunkowania regionalnego rynku pracy [Economic conditions of the regional labor market] [in:] A. Jakubowski [ed.], Rynek pracy [Labor market], op. cit., p. 40. 15 B. Mucha-Leszko, M. Kąkol, Procesy migracyjne po rozszerzeniu Unii Europejskiej [Migration processes following the enlargement of the EU], „Polityka Społeczna” No 8/2009, p. 11. 16 As estimated, over the decade of 2010-2020, the number of people in working age (aged 18-59/64) in the Lubelskie voivodship will decrease by 10.3%. See: P. Ciżkowicz, P. Opala, Uwarunkowania krajowej i międzynarodowej konkurencyjności województwa lubelskiego [Conditions for the domestic and foreign competitiveness of the Lubelskie voivodship], Ernst&Young, Warszawa 2011, p. 66. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 115 116 PAWEŁ PASIERBIAK preneurship destination can contribute to greater divergence in economic development. Similar effects are associated with a process of foreign emigration. In that case, people seem to be even more determined to find a better place to live and work. Table 5 shows the figures on migration for permanent residency17. These figures do not illustrate all foreign economic migration of Poles (temporary residency) but can be helpful to identify some trends18. Those data confirm that Eastern Poland is a favorable foreign emigration destination19. That process was intensive in particular immediately after Poland’s accession to the European Union. However, when in 20062008 the economic situation in Poland and Polish regions was steadily recovering, the phenomenon of emigration slowed down. In some years and regions, e.g. in Świętokrzyskie and Podkarpackie in 2009-2012, immigration had a clear advantage over emigration. Table 5. Balance of foreign migration for permanent residency Specification Mazowieckie 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 832 565 -823 -112 326 817 690 654 485 Lubelskie 91 4 -1433 -608 -315 84 -38 -176 -154 Podkarpackie -85 -384 -2083 -984 -772 111 44 35 0 Podlaskie -147 -103 -844 -346 -258 -69 100 -76 -63 32 -15 -688 -287 -317 65 22 103 52 Warmińsko-Mazurskie -542 -837 -1927 -1051 -739 -70 15 -44 -174 Poland -9382 -12878 -36134 -20485 -14865 -1196 -2114 -4334 -6617 Świętokrzyskie Source: Own preparation based on the data of the Local Data Bank of the Central Statistical Office, http://www.stat.gov.pl/bdl/app/ strona.html?p_name=indeks. Date of access: 2013-07-15. 17 It is the result of comparing the numbers of check-ins and check-outs in the province. For example, in 2004, the number of emigrants from Poland for temporary residency in the EU amounted to 750 thousand. In 2007, it increased up to 1.86 million people, and in 2010, it decreased to 1.62 million people. See: P. Kaczmarczyk, Labour market impacts of post-accession migration from Poland [in:] Free Movement of Workers and Labour Market Adjustment: Recent Experiences from OECD Countries and the European Union, OECD Publishing. Paris 2012, p. 175. 19E. Marek, Emigracja zarobkowa Polaków po akcesji do Unii Europejskiej [Polish post-accession labour migration], Polityka Społeczna nr 11-12/2008, p. 24; P. Zientara, G. Kuczyński, High Unemployment in Polish Regions: Is Hysteresis Behing It?, Wspólnoty Europejskie, Nr 6 (211)/2011, p. 57. 18 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES LABOUR MARKETS Since 2010, the phenomenon of foreign emigration became more significant, chiefly as a result of the deteriorating economic conditions households needed to operate in. At the same time, the process is geographically diversified. While the Mazowieckie voivodship reported a final positive net migration, the voivodships of Lubelskie, Podlaskie and Warmińsko-Mazurskie showed a negative total balance, which is another weakness of the labor market in Eastern Poland. Summary In the years 2000-2012, the Polish labor market showed a number of positive changes that have contributed to its overall improvement. One of these indicators may be unemployment rate which was relatively high at the beginning of this period but at its end it was close to the average level of the European Union. Such a situation does not mean, however, that at lower levels of analysis, i.e. regional, provincial or district, all markets function so effectively. On the contrary, the data and analysis presented in this paper support the thesis of a relatively high level of spatial divergence of labor markets. That statement applies in particular to the less developed five provinces of Eastern Poland. Carried out in this study, the analysis of the labor market in Eastern Poland gives rise to some conclusions. 1. The voivodships of Eastern Poland showed higher than average in Poland unemployment rates, except the Podlaskie voivodship in 2012. Employment rates were around the average for Poland (59.7%), but lower values were reported in the voivodships of WarmińskoMazurskie (53.6%), Podkarpackiep (57%) and Świętokrzyskie (59.1%). 2. The voivodships of Eastern Poland were touched more than other regions by long-term unemployment. Despite the temporarily reduced share of the long-term unemployed relative to total unemployment (2008-2010), this indicator increased in the period 2011-2012. Four out of the five regions analyzed had that the values of that indicator higher EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 117 118 PAWEŁ PASIERBIAK 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. than the average for Poland (34.6%), and the Warmińsko-Mazurskie voivodship was the only province where this indicator was lower. The analysis of the labor markets of Eastern Poland in terms of an educational structure confirms a nationwide feature of a relatively favorable condition of tertiary graduates. However, people with secondary education constitute the lowest share in a group of the unemployed, and the share of tertiary graduates grew rapidly. In the Lubelskie voivodship, that share increased from 3.8% to 15.2% between 2000 and 2012. The labor markets of Eastern Poland face a problem of youth unemployment although compared to the national average this problem occurs on a smaller scale. In fact, the analysis of the rise in youth unemployment indicates its lower level in the regions analyzed, except the Podlaskie voivodship where it was relatively high. One of the most serious economic problems of the voivodships of Eastern Poland is domestic and foreign migration. In all of the cases analyzed, there is a negative balance of interprovincial migration with the highest values reported in the Lubelskie voivodship. In the short run, the regional labor markets may be improved to a certain extent but over a longer period emigration can lead to serious negative consequences for investment and business opportunities. Both the Polish labor market and the regional labor markets of Eastern Poland show a high degree of correlation with the overall economic situation at global, supranational, national and regional levels. In the period 2000-2012, the rate of growth determined the changes in labor markets: at the national level, the situation improved considerably (catching up to the level of the EU), whereas at the regional level, or that of Eastern Poland, the situation relatively deteriorated. The low level of economic development compared to the EU average and other developed provinces is not conducive to the improvement of the situation on the local labor market in Eastern Poland. That factor can negatively affect economic activity in that region, resulting EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES LABOUR MARKETS in a lower demand for labor there, and thus lower employment and higher unemployment. 8. The economic structure of the voivodships of Eastern Poland is outdated. A largest share of the economy is the agricultural sector which is accompanied by a relatively low share of services resulting in: firstly, their quite high sensitivity to cyclical changes in the labor market and secondly, a phenomenon of hidden unemployment. In addition, regions with such economic characteristics cannot attract sufficient investment. The above conclusions have primarily negative connotations. However, the five provinces of Eastern Poland certainly have resources that can and should be effectively utilized. In order to improve that situation on their labor markets, there is a need for a long-term economic development plan. Actually, only regions that have highly developed economic structures are able to compete in domestic and international markets, which also enables a lasting improvement in the economic conditions of the labor market. Those issues should be of interest for socio-economic policy at the local, regional, national and transnational level. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 119 EASTERN POLAND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES Edited by Bartosz Jóźwik & Mariusz Sagan, Lublin 2013 K ATA R Z Y N A S O Ł K O W I C Z Cultural potential Cultural potential and development should be considered as different aspects of the same reality as they enable interaction, determine priorities and help solve everyday problems by the creation of local and regional networks and cooperative structures. They contribute to neutralising obstacles to regional development and create a positive atmosphere which matters in establishing the cooperation of all entities in these regions. This paper is in no way an exhaustive description of cultural conditions of the development of Eastern Poland. It is more an attempt to examine the relationship between the cultural potential and development conditions of Eastern Poland. Actually, this multidimentional concept of cultural capital cannot be expressed by a single indicator so its various dimensions should be identified to study the relationship between them. This chapter addresses the meaning of certain aspects of culture like the potential of cultural heritage and cultural identity, historical circum- 122 KATARZYNA SOŁKOWICZ stances, multiculturalism. This paper focuses on the aspects that are more or less recognisable in the consciousness and experiences of the residents of the region and attempts to identify these aspects, which is a part of qualitative research. Not studied here, cultural distinctiveness is subject to a number of historical, sociological, literary, ethnographic research. It should be pointed out that on the one hand culture can condition behaviour and attitudes, establish codes and means of communication and the ways society is organised, but it is a resource of tangible and intangible assets which create identity, including the identity of Eastern Poland. 1. Cultura as a potential of development Chiefly, cultural potential is an open resource that can dynamically change as a result of the continual reinterpretation of heritage and its manifestations as well as the continual creation of new cultural objects, i.e. artistic, architectural, symbolic, etc. Creativity is an area of life that impacts much on the relationship between cultural and creative potentials as well as on models for their efficient use. The creative attitude that is shaped and inspired by culture brings about innovation and development, also in other areas of social life and economy. Also, it helps cope with conflict as it can create a space to talk and find together a solution. The cultural potential of Eastern Poland can be also discussed in terms of institutions. If citizens are active and engaged in social life in various ways, from being informed to co-deciding, they regarded authorities and institutions as more trustworthy, they develop their skills, a dialogue and exchange of experiences are established. It can be concluded that the cultural potential of Eastern Poland determines the ways of making decisions, creates an atmosphere of openness and mutual trust. Regional social and economic development is impacted by the initiation of creative potential of population there. Inherited and culturally established norms, values a nd patterns of behaviour are important elements of cultural potential regarded as development potential. The cultural potential of Eastern Poland is both the foundation of national, regional, local identities. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES CULTURAL POTENTIAL Eastern Poland needs to have resources to support changes and development in this region. That is just cultural potential which can explain the purpose of changes, idea of action, most important decisions and responsibility for results. Actually, cultural potential is a true stimulus capable of triggering any changes in a region. Accordingly, cultural factors can be assumed as methodologically indispensable to understand the idea of social and economic changes in a given region. Cultural potential is the principle of human behavior that conditions the way a given region develops so it is capable of shaping individual’s values and behaviour, which is depicted by the model in Fig.1. This model contains the following elements: (1) national variables (economic, legal, technological, political conditions), (2) social variables (language, ethnicity, religion, beliefs), (3) national culture (4) regional culture, (5) individual’s behaviour, (6) individual’s values and (7) innovative behaviour (Fig. 1). Fig. 1 Model about the relationship between cultural variables and individual’s values and their relationship to economic and social behaviour (1) national variables, e.g. law, government, economy, technology (4) regional culture (3) national, social culture (2) social variables, e.g. language, ethnic origin, religion (6) individual’s values (7) economic and social behavoiur (5) individual’s behavoiur Source: Own developed EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 123 124 KATARZYNA SOŁKOWICZ What is more, cultural potential enables a kind of uniqueness that stands out positively and is the foundation of an appropriate development strategy for Eastern Poland. Cultural potential can be rightly regarded as a component of today’s regions, necessary though appearing in various guises. It is manifested in, e.g. innovation, active development strategy or becomes one of independent goals of regional development and also an important indicator of regional attractiveness. As a competitive environment becomes increasingly complex and diverse, each region needs to create a kind of diversity and originality if it wants to develop. This fact is manifested by the creation of social and economic changes that can support better efficiency and effectively performance of a strategy (relationship between certain elements of culture and the export performance of enterprises in the Lublin region are discussed in the papers by O. Gorbaniuk, B. Jóźwik, R. Mącik, K. Sołkowicz)1. Accordingly, cultural potential: allows inhabitants of a region to understand their regional identity; integrates individuals to work on regional objectives; integrates inhabitants to follow measures adopted to realise regional objectives; offers common assessment criteria to inhabitants of a region; enables collaborative improvement and reformulation of objectives if necessary; provides a common language and set of concepts; satisfies the need for security, friendship, co-operation; offers a religion, an ideology to release tension and anxiety due to uncertainty. 1 O. Gorbaniuk, B. Jóźwik, R. Mącik, K. Sołkowicz, Wyróżniki kultury organizacyjnej przedsiębiorstw z województwa lubelskiego prowadzących działalność eksportową [Distincive features of organisational culture in export enterprises in Lubelskie voivodship], „Przegląd Organizacji” 5, brak roku wydania, pp. 10-14. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES CULTURAL POTENTIAL 2. Importance of cultural identity Cultural systems operate in certain conditions, which may determine the way of perceiving culture that cannot be replaced by its signs. Nevertheless, a diverse system of signs, cultural formations which are necessary for a community to function should be recognised. Therefore, nature of a cultural system in which individuals live is not indifferent to the way they act and develop. An individual is, thus, somewhat thrown into the world of a particular cultural system, which is the raison d’etre of human life, the ways it functions, and as a determinant of individual’s cognition, behaviour, assessment.. Jerzy Kmita advises researchers to find common ground, contrary to the dominant trends in the so-called cultural studies, instead of farther dividing based on the premise that culture chiefly creates differences that matter in fact only. Martin Heidegger’s tradition, recently rediscovered by Zygmunt Bauman is worth mentioning here. Culture is a mental reality that describes separated communities by category. If perceived so, culture can be treated as knowledge. One should remember that each region has its own unique features like knowledge, practical activities, creative activities, and religion which demands a social context as indispensable to upgrade opportunities. These features can integrate culture, are non-contradictory or rather complementary to lines of human activities and constitute an important factor of development and coping with crises. Thus, social life makes the cultural context of human activities and what is more, culture seems to clearly manifest itself by social life. Without a doubt, permanent and unchangeable elements and ad-hoc and dynamic elements can be recognised in every culture. The development of the culture in Eastern Poland is mainly determined by geographical, historical, ethnic factors that impact on one another in an unconventional and unique way. This fact is reflected in people and the way they act. Moreover, individual’s own contribution according to his or her ability, talent and education to the culture of Eastern Poland cannot be neglected. Remember that individuals are shaped by culture that is assimilated by the fact of contact- EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 125 126 KATARZYNA SOŁKOWICZ ing their families and communities while being educated and influenced by the environment as well as by his or her fundamental ties with his or her home region. A region’s community is a community of individuals united by several common features but chiefly just culture. If the culture of Eastern Poland is respected and developed with care, individuals are respected above all. Someone from the outside since the first moment of contact with a given culture can notice its features that distinguish it from his or her culture and give a specific image out of elements of different nature. You may also claim that an inhabitant of a given region is sure that he or she can still identify himself or herself with this regional community for common goals, interests, history, cultural heritage, regardless the change of generations and conditions of life. These are subjective elements of the cultural identity of Eastern Poland. Cultural heritage as a resource that stimulates the creation and consolidation of a common identity and the development of creative potential is a key element of cultural potential. Understanding the role and meaning of the cultural identity of Eastern Poland is dynamically evolving because of social, cultural, economic and technological changes. The landscapes composed of objects of culture (cultural landscape) and nature (natural landscape) are crucial elements of the cultural identity of Eastern Poland. A similar proposition can be made in the context of engagement in culture, perceived on three levels here. The first level refers to access to the culture and cultural goods of Eastern Poland and actions for an open culture. The second one is engagement in culture, i.e. a form of activities. The third level would involve transforming this particular form of activity towards culture into one’s own creative activity. These levels intermingle. The relationship between the density of material heritage and its multimodal availability, i.e. by different means of communication is meaningful when heritage is examined in terms of cultural potential. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES CULTURAL POTENTIAL Fig. 2. Density of cultural material heritage and its multimodal availability Source: Research by ESPON 2006. The ESPON research shows that Poland has got only one region, i.e. Mazowsze with its highly dense and multimodally available heritage. Quite many other Polish regions, e.g. Wielkopolska, Dolny Śląsk, Górny Śląsk, Małopolska, Podkarpacie have highly dense and well accessible heritage. However, many regions, including those of Eastern Poland that are developmentally behind other European Union regions could benefit from a relatively high quality EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 127 128 KATARZYNA SOŁKOWICZ of their heritage as an important development factor. Accordingly, the cultural identity of Eastern Poland is not only subject to protection but also is the potential that should be used to develop the region today and in the future. The cultural identity of Eastern Poland includes not only tangible assets of culture but the memory and identity of the local community. This composition reflects both the attitudes of the inhabitants of Eastern Poland to values and the process of their reinterpretation. Therefore, one should identify the competitive advantages due to not only the better recognised sites of heritage but the attractiveness of the historical cities or towns of Eastern Poland and the impact of cultural heritage on the quality of life there. Cultural identity is perceived here most generally and operationally. Consequently, such an approach can relate cultural identity to identification by group and territory and not to the realm of imaginary identification shaped by media-created experiences. Discussing cultural identity, the author refers to the so called diffusing identities imposed by nationality, a local group, family traditions, religion and ignores complex situational identities which are not studied here. It should be emphasised that now people can choose from among many different identities, which is recognised by the well-known claim by Daniel Bell that social identification by class and layer is losing its meaning and is being replaced by cultural identity based on individual’s choice of scope and level of participation in culture. Thus, the factors that determine situational identity include: taste, lifestyle, and chosen habits and customs. The core of the cultural identity of Eastern Poland consists of the following elements: a geographical space, spiritual bonds among the people who live now, a similar way of understanding a reality, a similar way of acting and behaving. Cultural identity can become a kind of glue to keep people together in changing times and a geographical space. It should be pointed out that it is easy today to indicate difference in the use of the cultural identity of a given region. The idea of cultural identity is important as it helps better understand the changes both in evaluation and in levels of regional economic and social development. Moreover, cultural identity and socio-economic EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES CULTURAL POTENTIAL development are complementary notions. Their complementarity is proven by the set of functions of cultural identity, indicated by Leon Dyczewski: a foundation of duration and development of a region regarded as a culture creator; a factor of development of inhabitants’ personalities; a kind of bridge between what is individual with what is social; it can permanently join individual’s existence and private life with the existence of region’s community; on the other hand, the existence of region’s community is fulfilled and expressed by its inhabitants’ nature and activities; an important factor of interpersonal communication in a region; it can impact on what you can and should not accept from others or should even fight against; it helps region’s inhabitants be rooted in the entire cultural and social heritage of a region2. The cultural potential of Eastern Poland should be studied with reference to the notion of cultural capital which is treated as knowledge and competence to refer to values of symbolic culture. Introduced by Pierre Bourdieu, a French sociologist, this term describes the idea of knowledge, skills and items of a cultural value that people acquire when they take part in social life. It is expressed chiefly by individual’s linguistic and cultural competence. It is manifested in three forms: embodied as long-term dispositions of a body and mind, in particular good manners, a cultural taste, knowledge of forms of high culture, cultural and social conventions; institutionalised as basically formalised education, particularly approved by diplomas issued by prestigious universities; objectified as cultural assets like paintings, books, equipment, etc3. 2 3 L. Dyczewski, Trwałość polskiej kultury [in]: Wartości w kulturze polskiej [Durability of Polish culture [in]: Values in Polish culture], ed. Dyczewski L., Lublin 1992. T. Zarycki, Kapitał kulturowy. Inteligencja w Polsce i w Rosji [Cultural capital. Polish and Russian intelligentsia], Wydawnictwa Uniwersytetu Warszawskiego, Warszawa 2008. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 129 130 KATARZYNA SOŁKOWICZ Cultural capital can be exchanged for social capital and economic capital which are two other forms of capital, distinguished by Bourdieu. The objectified form of cultural capital can be relatively easily converted because it involves the acquisition of tangible property. However, to collect institutionalised cultural capital requires major investment and long-term activities. Cultural capital of the embodied form is most stable, can be collected even over many generations and thus it is hardest to acquire and be deprived of. The notion of regional cultural identity is related to the Polish term of “mała ojczyzna” [little homeland] used by Stanisław Ossowski4. However, this seems to be not merely „the most local individual’s environment” but now primarily a source and purpose of civil life with values s uch as freedom, rule of law, self-government, common good, regional social and economic development. Accordingly, cultural identity can be called a framework for individual’s judgments and evaluation though its content can be inferred only indirectly, based on claimed standards and guidelines, chosen contents and their justification. The Polish regions with clearly defined cultural identity include Górny Śląsk and Kaszuby. It is hard to clearly determine how the awareness of own cultural identity among the inhabitants of Eastern Poland is well established. However, one should not disregard cultural heritage and its impact on the level of the consciousness of the inhabitants of Eastern Poland and the role of collective life perceived in different ways, i.e. axiological, social, economic. D.C. North presents an extremely interesting theory on cultural and institutional structures. He claims that specific institutional arrangements vary from culture to culture, „ideas, ideologies, myths, dogmas, and prejudices matter; and an understanding of the way they evolve is necessary for further progress in developing a framework to understand societal change.”5 An institutional change generates from and is determined by self4 5 S. Ossowski, O ojczyźnie i narodzie [On the homeland and the nation], PWN, Warszawa 1984. D.C. North, Efektywność gospodarcza w czasie [Economic Performance through Time] [in]: Jasińska-Kania A., Nijakowski L.M., Szacki J., Ziółkowski M. (ed.) Współczesne teorie socjologiczne [Contemporary sociological theories], Warszawa 2006, vol. I, pp. 556-558 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES CULTURAL POTENTIAL serving social actions rooted in cultural identity. Accordingly, institutions decide about the continuity of a region in terms of axiology and are the basis for questions about the possibility of the formation of the cultural identity of Eastern Poland and development of this area. The studies on the sociocultural factors in the development of the regions of Central and Eastern Poland and the Bug Euroregion Transboundary Union demonstrate that6: 1. The residents of this region are highly homogeneous community in term of ethnicity, religion and rite. These examinations refute the established some journalists and linguists, myth-like opinions about multi-ethnicity and multi-religiosity of this area, which was its distinctive feature in the past (this issue will be discussed in detail later in this paper). Actually, diversity here is now more religious than ethnic, and this religious diversity is going in the creation of many religious groups of various origins and groups that are not interested in any religion. The authors of the study point out that the ethnic and religious minorities in Central and Eastern Poland are as numerous as those in other regions of Poland so they cannot make this region distinctive. 2. The residents of Eastern Poland are more open to ethnic and cultural differences. Simultaneously, the authors claim that a strong negative stereotype of a Ukrainian and a much more positive though not without negative features image of a Belarusian function in the mentality of the residents there. 3. The majority of the residents finds Eastern Poland as an extremely charming and ecological area. Moreover, they regard this fact as a positive value, a kind of competitive advantage and a factor of the devel6 The study within „Projekt zagospodarowania przestrzenno-gospodarczego makroregionu województw: bialskopodlaskiego, chełmskiego, lubelskiego, tarnobrzeskiego” [Planning the spacial and economic management of the macroregion of voivodships: bialskopodlaskie, chełmskie, lubelskie, tarnobrzeskie] coordinated by Lublin University of Technology, L. Dyczewski, Społeczno-kulturowe czynniki rozwoju regionu ŚrodkowoWschodniej Polski i Euroregionu Bug [Social and cultural factors of the development in Eastern and Central Poland and the Euroregion Bug], developed in cooperation with Jezior J., Lachowski S., Szwed R., Wadowski D., Wąsala P., Wydawnictwo Norbertinum, Lublin 1997, p. 338 and later. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 131 132 KATARZYNA SOŁKOWICZ 4. 5. 6. 7. opment of this region. Nevertheless, it should be pointed out that this fact results from less economic activities there. The researchers also point out that environmental awareness is strongly associated with a level of education, i.e. higher awareness comes from better education. You also need to pay attention to the fact that the residents are interested in their own environment and local, regional problems. Family, local and regional ties are closely interrelated. Family ties which are regarded as good are, of course, essential, which is particularly clear in rural communities. Work is a firmly established value both for individuals and a community. Strongly related with family ties, it is primarily a way to earn a livelihood. One should point out that the inhabitants of this region have shown a lot of concerns about their work, which is stimulated by satisfied with their job. The residents of Eastern Poland are hardly active in social and political life. The researchers even suggest that they are apolitical though aware of the issues of their region and declare their willingness to work for their local and regional environment. Religiosity is one of the most important elements that shape cultural identity. This is also the case of Eastern Poland where religion and religious beliefs are fundamental in residents’ lives, at an individual, family and local levels. Importantly, religious values a re an essential element of the system of values. This is a fundamental factor to determine the cultural identity of this region. The residents of the region show strong universalist tendencies. Simultaneously, their religious identity is most personal, more related to values and norms than a particular religious community. The development of cultural identity based on human values, related to none of religion is typical of the process of urbanisation of Eastern Poland as well as a higher level of education. The researchers emphasise the possible gradual dualism of social life and Christian norms and values. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES CULTURAL POTENTIAL 8. Buildings, spaces or objects represent the cultural identity and distinctiveness of a given region. They stand for the former Polish culture, manifest Polish craftsmanship, form historical and cultural background, confirm Polish identity. So it also is the case of Eastern Poland. The inhabitants of this region have indicated most frequently sacred objects such as churches, shrines, Orthodox churches, chapels, synagogues and cemeteries. This fact proves the values that are embedded in them and religious events consolidated by previous generations. Also, natural environment sites and qualities as well as cities and towns are meaningful, which means that the residents love and are sensitive to the natural environment. The residents also regard castles, palaces, manor houses, monuments to historical events and memorials as significant. 9. Events and people associated with a region are also a valuable indicator of regional identity. The inhabitants mostly have a knowledge of the events during the Second World War (Battles of Kock, Tomaszów, Bychawa; concentration camps at Majdanek, Sobibór, Treblinka, Bełżec; martyrdom of Poles and Jews; pacification in Zamojszczyzna). The events before 1939 like Polish-Lithuanian Union, the battle of Maciejowice, fighting in the January Uprising, the Miracle at the Vistula remain deep down in the identity of Eastern Poland. People who were important for Eastern Poland are, e.g. General Franciszek Kleeberg, General Stefan Grot-Rowecki, guerrillas, commanders of the Armia Krajowa [Home Army] troops, Jan Długosz, Mikołaj Rej, Szymon Szymonowicz, Stanisław Staszic, Leon Wyczółkowski, Stefan Żeromski, Boleslaw Prus, Julian Kawalec, representatives of the noble and aristocratic families like Jan Zamojski, Tomasz Zamojski, Adam Czartoryski. 10.The cultural identity of Eastern Polish also refers to folk and local art which is manifested by customs, tradition, legends, fairy tales, cultural events. The inhabitants of this region have a poor knowledge of legends, fairy tales, stories about the region. They also declare their EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 133 134 KATARZYNA SOŁKOWICZ strong commitment to the customs related to religious holidays, especially Christian, national and family events like weddings, baptisms, name’s days; harvest festivals, Chmielaki [a local beer festival], Andrzejki [an evening feast on St. Andrew’s Day]. Folk artists, especially poets, writers, painters, sculptors, artistic groups are respected much. Also, the development of cultural contacts and cooperation is regarded as a way to strengthen old international cultural ties. 11. The region of Eastern Poland is typically agricultural and its future is just related to agriculture, leisure and international tourism. The cultural potential of Eastern Poland can be threatened, if there is no access to and opportunity to participate in culture. Cultural exclusion can be caused by economic, temporal, spatial and geographical factors. Moreover, cultural exclusion results from quality of cultural offers, cultural aspirations of people and lifestyle changes. As with other areas of social activity, poor groups and communities which are poorly educated and of low social status are vulnerable to being culturally excluded. Financial barriers appear most often as the first reason for no participation in culture. A spatial factor is of a comparable power. Access to a cultural offer differs both in urban and rural areas and regions. The eastern voivodships and estates where used to be state-owned farms are hardly culturally active and have limited access to culture. At the same time, there is the process of separating cultural activities, i.e. art and artistic activity becomes more and more often niche7. If social capital is to be strengthened, the activities to support cultural life based on local tradition and patterns are meaningful. These activities include, e.g. cultural activities by Volunteer Fire Brigades, local leaders, folk artists, youth groups. 7 W. Burszta, M. Duchowski, B. Fatyga, J. Nowiński, M. Pęczak, E. A. Sekuła, T. Szlendak, Raport o stanie i zróżnicowaniach kultury miejskiej [Report on the conditions and disrepancies in urban culture], 2009. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES CULTURAL POTENTIAL Accordingly, the awareness of the inhabitants of Eastern Poland of their cultural identity is permanently associated with shaping culture, arranging a symbolic space which is crucial both for individuals and a community. Moreover, individuals and communities can identify themselves with a given territory, symbols, system of values reflected in the culture of Eastern Poland. However, one may get the impression that emotions or tradition shape this awareness. This issue should be examined interdisciplinary and is not studied here. 3. Role of historical conditioning The history of Eastern Poland is a factor that shapes this region today. Social development follows some general patterns that can be confirmed in the long run. No contemporary meanings of certain events can be understood unless one refers to the source and reconstructed mosaic of history. It is not too much to say that history is a bottomless memory of mankind, and individuals need their own memory and heritage. J. Zubrzycki claims that individuals use historical experience of a given group to shape their own sense of belonging to this group and affection to the way of life this group follows8. K. Dobrowolski expresses a similar opinion. He identifies a cultural identity of a given region as a historical aspect9. History manifests itself in different ways: „as a talent and skills, a structure of responses to stimuli, moral qualities, a level of education, attitudes towards religion and its practices, adaptation to work in the industry, self-esteem, a variety of local customs, slang”. The essence of the discussion here is to relate historical conditions to the cultural identity of Eastern Poland to make this region distinctive. History seems to be one of the basic elements of cultural identity, defined primarily as national fighting for freedom which has shaped the patterns 8 9 J. Zubrzycki, Wielokulturowość w teorii i praktyce [Multiculturalism. Theory and practice], „Znaki czasu”, 1990, no. 18, p. 161. K. Dobrowolski, Studia z pogranicza historii i socjologii [Historical and sociological studies], Ossolineum, Wrocław-Warszawa-Kraków, 1967, p. 21. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 135 136 KATARZYNA SOŁKOWICZ of coherence and integration of this region. Bearing in their minds the specific historical events, the inhabitants of this region accept the same values and ideals that stand behind them as well as they are ready to disseminate and defend them. Modernisation, economic development, urbanisation and globalisation impel individuals to identify determinants while suggesting a narrower and more community-oriented method of determining them. A regional cultural identity which is revealed by, e.g. multiculturalism gets priority over a wider national identity. One should point out that historical tradition is, undoubtedly, a factor capable of preserving the cultural identity of Eastern Poland. First, it is about the role of history in the development of this region, both subjectively, i.e. from the perspective of the inhabitants of this region and objectively, i.e. as methods to develop this region. Only if tradition is defined, the importance of tradition in the historical regional development can be determined. Following Jerzy Szacki’s opinion that „this term means all relationships between the present and the past”10, it can be concluded that the development of a region and tradition are inseparably related with history. It can be claimed that Eastern Poland is, in principle, traditional, and tradition has always been present there. Accordingly, the today’s development of this region cannot be completely separated from its past. Eastern Poland is subject to historical development as economy, socio-political relations and culture change. The communities of family and tribal or state structures though with a limited role for a state, depended mainly or even merely on customs as a source of historical tradition. The power of customs rooted from tradition, or a belief that a given standard is a pattern of behavior followed for a long time, and best for ages. Ancient customs as a part of regional culture made it distinct. Thus, many people find historical tradition a real control of behavior and actions. One can even say that historical experience shows that Eastern Poland cannot develop without tradition, or elements from the past that are constantly present there. Such persistence/stability is indis10 J. Szacki, Tradycja. Przegląd problematyki [Tradition. Reviewing the issues], Warszawa 1970, p. 19. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES CULTURAL POTENTIAL pensable to achieve a sense of stability and confidence in the society, otherwise an individual can lose his or her sense of security. No feeling of security in society can trigger internal disorders, coups, and revolutions. This is directly related to a deliberate recourse to the past, a reference to the system of values typical of Eastern Poland, and cultivation of one’s own memory about the past. All these efforts create basic characteristics that is the foundation to understand and preserve the awareness of the common past, and thus strengthen social ties in Eastern Poland. Additionally, the reference to the past can be one of the key elements to preserve the region’s cultural identity. The care to understand the history of Eastern Poland can guarantee its development and today’s shape. The historical conditions that preserve specific values of a given region can help not only deepen social ties but enrich the personality of individuals of such a regional community, and thus are an educational factor. The researchers who investigate Eastern Poland claim that „the nature of the historical consciousness of its inhabitants is primarily national, liberating and martyrdom. The events during the time of peace that express constructive actions known as Organic Work are weakly preserved in the minds and experiences of the inhabitants. Their historical awareness is firmly rooted in the remote past and not in the present so it is discontinuous, reference points to the past are irregularly distributed. Thus, the past is not helpful much in the present as it is simply too remote and too different from their normal life. Extreme situations and extraordinary people – heroes create the past.”11 Historical conditions influence different levels of the socio-economic development of Eastern Poland. Development disparities are extremely durable They deepened during the Partitions and failed to be reversed when the Second Polish Republic was reformed. In the 19th century and early 20th century, the economy of the regions of Eastern Poland was based on tra11 L. Dyczewski, Społeczno-kulturowe czynniki rozwoju regionu Środkowo-Wschodniej Polski i Euroregionu Bug [Social and cultural factors of the development in Eastern and Central Poland and the Euroregion Bug], developed in cooperation with J. Jezior, S. Lachowski, R. Szwed, D. Wadowski, P. Wąsala, Wydawnictwo Norbertinum, Lublin 1997, pp. 161-162. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 137 138 KATARZYNA SOŁKOWICZ ditional agriculture and did not stimulate strong economic growth there. From the beginning of the People’s Republic until 1985, despite the widely proclaimed ideology, no measures were taken to compensate for disparities. In 1950-1985, 0.1% of investment in industry was recorded in 18 out of 49 voivodships in the north-eastern Poland. Then, the centrally planned economy limited financial transfers to the poorest regions. The pace of industrialisation in Poland in the second half of the 20th century was one of the highest in Europe. When Western Europe invested in new technologies, Poland invested in traditional sectors. Moreover, negligible investment expenditures in Eastern Poland were over-scaled objects that did not match this region12. The historical background is still reflected in the level of development of sectors of economy of Eastern voivodships compared to the rest of Poland, the level of infrastructure development, as well as the approach to entrepreneurship13. The joining of Poland to the European Union revealed development disparities between the countries of the same continent as well as inter-regional disparities in the scale of the state and the entire Community. Deepening economic integration in Europe is preferable for more developed countries and regions though it poses a number of threats to the less developed regions and peripheral areas. The adverse phenomena include: no incentives to initiate sustainable development, low social activity and entrepreneurship, and a self-perpetuating lower standard of living. Historical heritage enables models of regional development to be standardised and a generation-to-generation transfer of beliefs and patters. Historical background also determines a regional economic structure. This means that development trends are determined not only by politics or economy but also by historical background as an integral part of this process. 12 13 Strategia rozwoju społeczno-gospodarczego Polski Wschodniej do roku 2020 [Strategy on the social and economic development of Eastern Poland until 2020], (project to be consulted), Ministry of Regional Development, Warszawa, December 2006, p. 8. Program Operacyjny Rozwój Polski Wschodniej 2007-2013 [Development of Eastern Poland Operational Programme], Ministry of Regional Development, Project 3, Warszawa, 11 July 2006, p. 6. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES CULTURAL POTENTIAL 4. Multiculturalism in Eastern Poland Multiculturalism, cultural diversity cannot be neglected if the meaning of cultural factors for the development of Eastern Poland is studied. Eastern Poland is typically a region where Polish culture coexists and overlaps with neighboring cultures of Lithuania, Belarusia, Ukraine. This long coexistence has generated numerous specific values there. These values as an important part of cultural identity determine its fundamental shape. Researchers of different disciplines like psychology, sociology, cultural studies apply these values to define culture of a given region. The Chapel of the Holy Trinity at the Castle of Lublin which is one of the most valuable piece of medieval art in Poland serves an example. Its early 15th century Ruthenian-Byzantine frescoes make is unique and invaluable. Multiculturalism in the Lublin region is reflected in the manner the frescoes are painted there. Researchers suppose that the most of the scenes associated with Christian holidays and the Lord’s Passion were painted by a painter called Andrew; the image of Maiestas Domini, the scene of Annunciation, the angels on the vaulting and the prophets and saints were painted by Kiryl, i.e. Cyril, a painter who represents a hieratic and iconic manner of painting; the archaic-like polychromy on the arch wall and at the lower past of the nave are attributed to a painter called Juszko who was connected with an artistic circle from Galicia and Volhynia. They all used archaic iconographic schemes. It is worth mentioning that the rich scientific literature by, e.g. F. Znaniecki, F. Koneczny, J. Kozielecki, J. Nikitorowicz, A. Sadowski discusses how to understand and explain history and cultural coexistence. Studies on cultural values followed by a population in a given region are a very difficult task because values are perceived differently and there are no appropriate research methods. The cultural identity of Eastern Poland has got three-levels of values, i.e. values of an individual known as values of the ego; values a cquired in education, socialisation; values d ue to the fact of being a member of a community, cultural or religious group, associated with a particular territory and its entire cultural heritage. The fact that EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 139 140 KATARZYNA SOŁKOWICZ these levels function causes a conflict or dilemma of preserving a regional identity. Multiculturalism seems to be a solution here. Multiculturalism is a model in which different cultures and national, ethnic, or religious groups live in the same territory but are not interrelated. Relationships and contacts are usually random. Society in this model consists of separate groups with their own interests protected by their own organisations and social institutions. Minorities in this system are not accepted or appreciated, at most passively tolerated. In multiculturalism, social majority is active in assimilating minorities, which often triggers tension and conflicts at the junction of “majority – minority”14. Rooted in rulers’ effort to join their subjects to cooperate socially, multiculturalism was a model that was wide spreading in Western Europe since the Middle Ages to make Western Europe different from despotic Eastern European traditions. The tolerance and democratic system of the Republic of Poland favoured such a model of multiculturalism so that it could develop unrestrained. The institutional bodies of the Nobles’ Republic of Poland were a kind of reaction that resulted from the responsibility of Polish nobles for the condition of the state and depended mainly on them. Nobles, in turn, spread it to other social classes. Thus, the model of multiculturalism relied on tolerance and spontaneity of system processes. One should not neglect the importance of the Union of Lublin which resulted in a kind of community composed of the king, parliament, senate, money and foreign policy with autonomous and separate armies, identities, administrations and treasuries. Differences were visible and preserved by regional councils whose ranges overlapped those in the lands after the 12th century fragmentation of Poland15. The Eastern Poland of the time was inhabited 14 15 M. Golka, Oblicza wielokulturowości [Faces of multiculturalism] [in:] Kempy M., Kapciak A., Łodziński S. (ed.): U progu wielokulturowości. Nowe oblicza społeczeństwa polskiego [On the cusp of multiculturalism. New faces of Polish society], Oficyna Naukowa Warszawa 1997, p. 55 and later. J. Siewierski, Idea wielokulturowości. Tradycja Rzeczpospolitej i doświadczenia obecne [The concept of multiculturalism. The tradition of Rzeczpospolita and today’s experience], Oficyna Wydawnicza Szkoły Głównej Handlowej, Warszawa 2010, p. 30 and later. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES CULTURAL POTENTIAL by: Catholic Poles, Orthodox Russians, Lithuanians, Armenians, Muslims, Tatars, Karaites, Jews. Given such a melting pot of religions and nationalities, full tolerance and none of enforcement by Catholicism need to be stressed here. The Republic of Poland guaranteed autonomy, an opportunity to follow one’s own lifestyle and cultural heritage. These different cultures were under the direct supervision of the rulers of the Crown and Lithuania. These rulers granted to religious or ethnic minorities privileges which indicated the place of their settlement and type of business, e.g. craft, trade, land holding, farming. The Jews received the greatest autonomy as the most populous and skillful community. The multiculturalism in Eastern Poland can be thought of as a continuum which needs to be understood in terms of the degree or level of differentiation by relevant dimensions, and not as an absolute phenomenon. Multiculturalism that is the coexistence of different values and customs within a single state becomes increasingly important and provokes thought, especially in view of determinants of growth. Multiculturalism may be regarded with reference to „a territory – usucapion or a process – referring to revealing differences, revival of ethnic and nationalist movements, emergence of new independent states, and in the context of migration and democratisation”16. Modern regions are becoming more and more culturally diverse. One should notice that legislation and globalisation contribute to this diversity. The cultural diversity of Eastern Poland may facilitate social changes in this region but at the same time it is influenced by it. One can also claim that the cultural diversity of this region is its competitive advantage in today’s market. Regions that managed to tame their cultural diversity are positively perceived and can attract both investors and human capital. Furthermore, regions with highly diverse culture can be more creative and innovative than others. The cultural diversity of Eastern Poland brings more information, 16 J. Nikitorowicz, Pogranicze. Tożsamość. Edukacja międzykulturowa [Borderland. Identity. Intercultural education], Wyd. Uniwersyteckie Trans Humana, Białystok 1995, pp. 63-73. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 141 142 KATARZYNA SOŁKOWICZ which can increase its flexibility with respect to changing conditions, including the ones of the economic environment, coping with crises. J. Siewierski states that „many cultures can be understood as the sum of mono-cultures coexisting in a compatible social environment though also strongly autonomous and separated. Generally, excluding perhaps agreeable coexistence, this is typical of most European societies. Multiculturalism may be, however, understood as trans-culturalism, constant diffusion and interpenetration. In the former case, a cultural identity is preserved by separation but communication between cultures is neglected, whereas in the latter one, on the contrary, mutual communication kills identity and creates a hybrid culture”17. This corresponds to the idea of interculturalism which is distinguished by the nature of social relations prevailing in a given community. Interculturalism is, in turn, a model in which different ethnic, national, or religious groups that live in the same area interact with each other in an open, regular and sustained way. Such contacts are accompanied by an understanding of different lifestyles and mutual respect shown to recognised values and standards. This concept relies on the dialogue to prevent any cultural conflict. By learning about different cultures and interacting with them, people enrich their own personalities. Any hierarchies of cultures are eliminated so cultures are equal and evaluated by their own values only. The boundaries between multiculturalism and interculturalism are slowly fading away. Multiculturalism and interculturalism can be discussed in today’s society unless tolerance and intercultural dialogue are mentioned. These are two essential elements to ensure good relations between different ethnic groups and cultures. It is worth pointing out that multiculturalism is a dynamic, constantly changing process in which cultural diffusion, hybridisation or assimilation occur. A policy of multiculturalism should, therefore, teach people how to respect diversity and should 17 J. Siewierski, Idea wielokulturowości. Tradycja Rzeczpospolitej i doświadczenia obecne [The concept of multiculturalism. The tradition of Rzeczpospolita and today’s experience], Oficyna Wydawnicza Szkoły Głównej Handlowej, Warszawa 2010, p. 9. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES CULTURAL POTENTIAL give a chance to preserve one’s national identity. Diversity is recognised as a factor that can activate social, political and economic growth, and social relations are considered from the perspective of individuals rather than a group. Accordingly, an individual has got the right to have and express his or her own identity, difference and distinctiveness as long as they do not infringe rights of others. Adopting a particular model of cultural diversity or dealing with it as a paradigm as well as fundamentals of a nature of a given environment are also associated with the appropriate way of defining the situation of individuals and groups in society as well as the development of an appropriate concept of education. J. Siewierski introduced an extremely interesting model of multiculturalism and claimed that „the principle of multiculturalism was followed peacefully in the union in Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth unlike the European Union because Poland required no different cultural communities to respect individual’s rights and, in general, did not interfere with the internal life of self-governing communities whose frameworks defined itself ”18. J. Siewierski claims that this approach was successful thanks to the following collectively developed rules: the principle of separation consisted in voluntary separation accepted by parties but representatives of a community could still join the life of broader society; the principle of autonomy meant subordination to its own regulations, judicial authorities and government representatives elected from among themselves; the principle of the priority of a community over an individual; the rights of communities dominate the rights of individuals who were subordinated to the authorities of his or her community19. 18 19 J. Siewierski, Idea wielokulturowości..., op. cit., p. 9. J. Siewierski, Idea wielokulturowości..., op. cit, pp. 85-86. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 143 144 KATARZYNA SOŁKOWICZ The skillfully applied multiculturalism of Eastern Poland to gain a competitive advantage of this region gives unique opportunities so particular attention should be paid to match it harmoniously to the existing conditions while ensuring stability and protection against conflict. Mutual understanding must depend on both tolerance and the ability to interact. The process of communication is becoming a bridge of between different cultures that function within a community. Social interaction can lead to a common understanding of specific content. In the case of the different cultures of Eastern Poland, communication creates opportunities for avoiding erroneous perception or misinterpretation in terms of a language, behaviour, attitudes, and symbols. It seems that communication in the model of multiculturalism serves a kind of blood circulation of a regional community. The features which can definitely ensure conditions for coexistence of different cultures include: understanding, empathy, tolerance, communication, no prejudice and discrimination. The quality of communication impacts on inhabitants’ satisfaction, standard of living, productivity and efficiency of their actions, involvement in the life of a given region. Humboldt offers an extremely interesting theory of language: „the language is not created by nations but it is a gift assigned to them by their internal development. (...) however, it can be applied consciously only if members of a given community are intellectually mature; languages can be regarded aslimited from the outset and nation-dependent”20. Religiosity which is strongly rooted in families and schools denotes the multiculturalism of Eastern Poland. Most of the population of this region are Christians, mostly Catholics as well as Orthodox Christians and a small number of Muslims. Nevertheless, one should notice an utterly significant role of Jewish culture in shaping the cultural identity. Jews rarely assimilated into a given community. They rather sought to consolidate their identity. 20 E. Kowalska, Wprowadzenie do Rozmaitość języków a rozwój umysłowy ludzkości [Introduction to On Language: The Diversity of Human Language-Structure and its Influence on the Mental Development of Mankind] W. von Humboltd, Wydawnictwo KUL, Lublin 2001, p. 14. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES CULTURAL POTENTIAL Religious beliefs seem to be an important part of personal and family life. Religion as an integrating element enables storing the experience of past generations and maintaining the continuity of cultural heritage. However, religious beliefs are becoming more specific of individuals or their families. Here, one needs to mention the role of a language as a tool of communication which primarily integrates and differentiates the multicultural population of a region. Summary In conclusion, cultural potential has a strong impact on the development of Eastern Poland and is a kind of agreement in the region to unite its inhabitants and overcome any barriers to cooperative promotion of regional economy, cooperation for the regional environment, infrastructure, implementation of joint projects on sport, education, culture. Culture is neither the only nor the most important factor in the development and functioning of Eastern Poland. Cultural factors can be studied from different points of reference if their impact on this process is regarded. These points of reference may result from a specific system of general cultural values and refer to the individual domains of social life where they function locally. To distinguish between universal and regional levels is essential for conditions of development. Universal values determine a certain shape of this process and also partly its nature. It is worth pointing out that it must be subject to much attention as the relationship between the world of culture and various elements that determine its development need to be examined all the time. It may be more difficult to identify successive layers of culture that influence social change and development. Some values and norms are not always observed by residents of a region and remain a declaration only, while others may be truly followed. Undoubtedly, there are some common elements that bring about a similar behaviour of inhabitants of Eastern Poland. Attempts to study this issue will be continued because of the significance of different elements of the cultural potential of Eastern Poland for development as well EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 145 146 KATARZYNA SOŁKOWICZ as the resulting popularity of research on the relationship between cultural and economic potentials. Thus, it is worth discussing the identification of cultural factors in the development of Eastern Poland to draw attention to their potential drawbacks and find the most reliable ways to operationalise cultural potential in a given research context. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES EASTERN POLAND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES Edited by Bartosz Jóźwik & Mariusz Sagan, Lublin 2013 MARIUSZ SAGAN Five regional capitals and their development potential The Polish regional capitals, or capitals of 16 voivodships in Poland are regarded as centres with potential that should impact on their region’s environment, create jobs, innovation and knowledge and stimulate entrepreneurship. The regional centres of Eastern Poland seems to play the special pro-development role as they are located in the most deprived area of high growth which is the most of the east of Poland. Their economic, social, cultural, innovation potentials should bring wealth and new ideas to their regions1. The largest cities of eastern Germany that develop modern industries, e.g. automotive industry and business services and diffuse their development 1 M. Sagan, Potencjał rozwojowy miast wojewódzkich Polski Wschodniej [Development potential of the regional capitals in Eastern Poland] [in:] Strategiczna problematyka rozwoju Polski Wschodniej [Strategic issues for the development of Eastern Poland], eds. D. J. Błaszczuk, M. Stefański, Innovatio Press, Lublin 2010, p. 197. 148 MARIUSZ SAGAN into their regions can serve a good example of the impact of rapidly growing cities on their poor regions. The literature cannot clearly define city’s potential. In this monograph, the author adopts that city’s economic potential is a combination of many socio-economic, cultural, demographic, technological and institutional variables which can determine the rate of development of a given centre and its impact on its immediate environment and region. Economic potential is measured by quantitative and qualitative indicators though they refer primarily to city’s “economic weight”, e.g. the total of GDP generated in the city/ agglomeration, and to a lesser extent these indicators are calculated per capita. The literature focuses more on defining region’s potential. For example, the strategic government document on the development of Eastern Poland has listed and analysed four types of development potential, i.e. social, economic, institutional and spatial2. Demographic trends, level of education and qualifications of labour force, incomes of population and local government, living conditions were studied as social potential. Economic potential, according to the authors of the report, consists of GPD per capita, productivity and sectoral structure of economy, innovation in business, and level of foreign direct investment. The third potential, i.e. institutional refers to the level of development of higher education, R&D, access to the Internet, efficiency of local government and business environment institutions. The last potential, i.e. spatial focuses on metropolitan functions of provincial cities, their accessibility, geopolitical and tourism spaces. The Polish literature on the subject offers a number of studies on the potentials of selected cities and regions, but it insufficiently focuses on the potential of the regional capitals of Eastern Poland which should trigger development and diffuse wealth to their closest neighbourhood, just like the largest metropolitan areas in Poland which can combine their rapid growth and strong 2 Strategia rozwoju społeczno-gospodarczego Polski Wschodniej do roku 2020 [Strategy for Socio-economic Development of Eastern Poland until 2020], document adopted by the Council of Ministers on 30 December 2008 by Act 278/08, Ministry of Regional Development, Warszawa 2008, pp. 25-47. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES FIVE REGIONAL CAPITALS AND THEIR DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL positive impact on their regional environment. Report Strategy for Socio-economic Development of Eastern Poland until 2020 mentions only that the metropolitan functions of the regional capitals of Eastern Poland are poor and what is more, these cities are insufficiently connected with the rest of Poland3. The growth of potential of regions and metropolitan areas depends on combining certain factors, i.e. exogenous and endogenous. The endogenous growth theories emphasise the quality and price of human capital as well as the relationship between these two variables as an important factor in the processes of real convergence and growth of potentials of a country, region, and city/agglomeration. The important areas of endogenous development include knowledge and science, technology and innovation4. The literature on the subject provides several interpretations of the endogenous growth theories. The following factors of endogenous regional development are mentioned: entrepreneurship and innovation, culture and tourism, environment and renewable energy, modern agriculture and food processing, inter-regional cooperation and management by local government5. The new concepts on regional and urban development treat the creative potential of inhabitants and institutions as one of key factors in transition from traditional to modern ways of development6. This means that talented city residents become a key resource to trigger rapid development of local/ regional economies based on knowledge, investments in technology, culture, science and art, accompanied by appropriate support by business in3 4 5 6 Ibidem, p. 42. W. Orłowski, W pogoni za straconym czasem. Wzrost gospodarczy w Europie Środkowo-Wschodniej 19502030 [Making up for lost time. Economic growth in East-central Europe], PWE, Warszawa 2010, pp. 207-210 Analiza aktualnej sytuacji, trendów rozwojowych i prognoza zmian społeczno-gospodarczych w województwie lubelskim [Studying the current situation, development trends and forecast for socio-economic changes in the lubelskie voivodship], Instytut Badań i Analiz Olsztyńskiej Szkoły Biznesu, Urząd Marszałkowski Województwa Lubelskiego, Lublin 2009, p. 31. G-J. Hospers, R. van Dalm, How to create a creative city? The viewpoints of Richard Florida and Jane Jacobs, “Foresight” 2005, Vol. 7, no 4, pp. 9-10. Compare: J-M. Rousseau, Europejskie regiony w kontekście globalnej bitwy o przyszłość [European regions and the global battle for the future], [in:] Problematyka przyszłości regionów. W poszukiwaniu nowego paradygmatu [The Future of European Regions. Looking for a New Paradigm], eds. P. Jakubowska, A. Kukliński, P. Żuber, Vol. 1, Ministry of Regional Development, Warszawa 2008, p. 107. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 149 150 MARIUSZ SAGAN stitutions, NGOs and local governments7. The result is the increasing added value derived from the so-called creative industries that can absorb individuals’ talent, artistic skills and a broad innovative potential to produce unique and competitive goods and services. The sale of such goods and services in the global market is now more than 3% of global exports of goods and services8. The UNCTAD recognises as creative industries: cultural heritage (festivals, museums, libraries, etc.), the arts, media (electronic and print), functional services (designing and pattern-designing, computer games, architecture, advertising, etc.)9. Development in creative cities can be triggered by creative industries, creative economy, creative employment concentrated there and interesting cultural offers that can encourage foreign investors. The report by UNCTAD and UNDP on creative economy indicates that development is triggered by factors such as: technology, the demand for creative products and services, and tourism10. Thus, the question is which cities – regional capitals of Eastern Poland besides traditional potential have got creative potential to be capable of offering a higher level of prosperity and attractiveness to their residents in the future and thus which could favour the process of turning these centres into metropolises. By far no comprehensive answer has been given to this question. The development of the cities of Eastern Poland should also be considered in the wider context of the processes of the global economy, the European Union and the adaptations made by decision-makers in Poland to adapt to new strategic and institutional realities and business signals from outside the country. As soon as the Lisbon Strategy failed to be implemented, the European Union prepared a strategic framework for development until 2020. These assumptions are in the document entitled Europe 2020. A European See: R. Florida, The Economic Geography of Talent, “Annals of the Association of American Geographers” 2002, 92(4), pp. 743-755. 8 Creative economy. Report 2008, The Challenge of Assessing the Creative Economy: towards Informed Policymaking, UNDP, UNCTAD, Geneva, New York 2008, p. 115. 9 Ibidem, p. 14. 10 Ibidem, p. 23. 7 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES FIVE REGIONAL CAPITALS AND THEIR DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL strategy for smart, sustainable and inclusive growth11. They slowly become the point of reference for the strategy drawn up at national and regional levels. They should also be taken into account by the cities of Eastern Poland. The European Union sets out three strategic objectives to be achieved by 2020: a) “smart” growth based on knowledge and innovation, b) “sustainable” growth based on increasingly renewable energy sources, and c) “inclusive” growth which also contributes to achieving better social and territorial cohesion12. This means that the programming of regional development in Poland, which is implemented mainly by EU funds, shall take account of these three goals. For the cities of Eastern Poland, the new strategy will involve first of all better assistance to their schools of higher education and scientific centres and innovative companies as well as the Lublin Metropolitan Area13. The new urban EU policy 2014-2020 could serve as additional support to the cities of Eastern Poland. This new trend in the EU regional policy consists in strengthening urban areas as key initiators and diffusers of growth. As for national development conditions in the five cities, the National Regional Development Strategy also envisages that the voivodships of Eastern Poland will be able to play a decisive role in the restructuring of the whole area as soon as they reach their appropriate critical mass14. This chapter discusses the basic elements of the development potential of the five regional capitals of Eastern Poland, i.e. economic, academic, and governmental, cultural and tourism potentials, given in figures. Also, the paper attempts to assess the potential of the regional capitals of Eastern Poland and to formulate the recommendations concerning the future poliEurope 2020. A European strategy for smart, sustainable and inclusive growth, COM (2010) 2020, European Commission, Brussels 2010. 12 Ibidem, p. 3. 13 Koncepcja Przestrzennego Zagospodarowania Kraju 2030 [National Spatial Development Concept 2030] adopted by the government in December 2011 recognizes the city of Lublin as the only city in Eastern Poland that is a fundamental centre in the Polish settlement system and economy (national metropolia). Consequently, Lublin is obliged to create a metropolitan area. 14 Krajowa Strategia Rozwoju Regionalnego 2010-2020: Regiony, Miasta, Obszary wiejskie. Projekt [National Strategy of Regional Development 2010-2020. Regions, cities, rural areas. Draft], Ministry of Regional Development, Warszawa, September 2009 r., p. 63. 11 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 151 152 MARIUSZ SAGAN cies of state intervention in this area, mainly assisted by the proposed 20142020 EU funds and the methods of their implementation. 1. Economic potential Lublin is the largest centre in Eastern Poland. In 2010, its population was 348,000 and Lublin agglomeration had more than 700,000 inhabitants15. The second largest centre in Eastern Poland is Bialystok (295,000 residents). The populations of the next three cities are much smaller, i.e. 203,000 in Kielce, 176,000 in Olsztyn and 178,000 in Rzeszów (twice less than in Lublin)16. The regional capitals of Eastern Poland have, therefore, much smaller population potential than centres of intensive development in Western Poland. Moreover, these cities are the capitals of five least economically developed regions in Poland. The already poorly developed regional surrounding of the regional capitals of Eastern Poland is believed to significantly block and hamper their economic development and metropolitan functions. Lublin has got the best economic potential among these cities, see Table 1. This city generates the highest level of employment in the enterprise sector, i.e. nearly 56,000 employed in the first half of 2009, and the enterprises from Lublin achieve the highest revenue, i.e. PLN 15 billion. The largest number of entities of the national economy, i.e. nearly 40,000 are seated in Lublin, and what is especially important, the majority of foreign investment companies, i.e. nearly 460. Lublin was indicated in the KPMG report as one of the eight key locations for Shared Services Centres (SSC) just like Kraków, Lubelski Obszar Metropolitalny [Metropolitan Area of Lublin], Statystyczne Wademekum Samorządowca, Urząd Statystyczny w Lublinie, Lublin 2011, p. 4, Miasta Wojewódzkie. Podstawowe dane statystyczne [Regional Capitals. Basic statistics], Urząd Statystyczny in Poznań, Główny Urząd Statystyczny, Warszawa, November 2009, p. 14. 16As in: Miasto Kielce [City of Kielce], Statystyczne Wademekum Samorządowca, Urząd Statystyczny in Kielce, Kielce 2011, pp. 1-4, Miasto Olsztyn [City of Olsztyn], Statystyczne Wademekum Samorządowca, Urząd Statystyczny in Olsztyn, Olsztyn 2011, pp. 1-4, Miasto Białystok [City of Białystok], Statystyczne Wademekum Samorządowca, Urząd Statystyczny in Białystok, Białystok 2011, pp. 1-4, Miasto Rzeszów [City of Rzeszów], Statystyczne Wademekum Samorządowca, Urząd Statystyczny in Rzeszów, Rzeszów 2011, pp. 1-4. 15 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES FIVE REGIONAL CAPITALS AND THEIR DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL Łódź, Poznań, Szczecin, Trójmiasto, Warsaw and Wrocław17. This proves that Lublin is capable of attracting industrial investment as well as modern services. Six large SSCs are located in Lublin: Genpact, Proama, Orange, PKO BP / Inteligo, Asseco Business Solutions, e-sąd18 and several smaller centres. The rest of the regional capitals of Eastern Poland are considered either as unattractive or of regional importance only (for this type of investment)19. Lublin has the highest share of services in total revenue of enterprises despite its relatively low number of enterprises, i.e. 1,194 per 10,000 inhabitants. 20 Table 1. Selected indicators of the economic potential in the regional capitals of Eastern Poland. Average emEntities of the ployment national econin the sector of omy enterprises (for 30 June (January-June 2009) 2009) Foreign enterprises (for 30 June 2009) Revenue of Revenue of industrial enterprises enterprises (January-June (January-June 2009) 2009) 55,791* 39,162 458 15.0 BLN PLN 1.7 bln PLN 2. Białystok 38,606 29,744 251 6.56 bln PLN 1.7 bln PLN 3. Olsztyn 31,015 21,254 242 4.29 bln PLN 2.4 bln PLN 4. Rzeszów 45,475 19,448 209 6.33 bln PLN 1.4 bln PLN 5. Kielce 38,501 28,258 242 7.08 bln PLN 1.3 bln PLN 1. Lublin * Figures in bold and underlined stand for the highest value of a given parameter among the five cities ** Figures in italics and underlined stand for the lowest value of a given parameter among the five cities Source: Miasta Wojewódzkie..., pp. 17, 25-27. Kielce is also a city of significant economic potential, especially if the data on enterprises there is compared to its population21. The strong point of Kielce is its high level of entrepreneurship, i.e. the number of entities per 10,000 resiPoland as the destination for Shared Services Centers, KPMG in Poland, Warsaw 2009, Chapter 5. Onshore, Nearshore, Offshore: Unsure?. A 2010 Polish Perspective, Jones Lang LaSalle, Warsaw 2010, p. 9. 19 Olsztyn and Rzeszów have got one SSC only each, i.e. Citi Group and Pratt&Whitney, respectively. No SSCs are reported there in Kielce and Białystok. See: Ibidem. 20 Miasto Lublin [City of Lublin], Statystyczne Wademekum Samorządowca, Urząd Statystyczny in Lublin, Lublin 2011, pp. 3-4. 21 The rates of entrepreneurship are as in: Miasto Lublin..., pp. 1-4, Miasto Kielce..., pp. 1-4, Miasto Olsztyn..., pp. 1-4, Miasto Białystok..., pp. 1-4, Miasto Rzeszów..., pp. 1-4 17 18 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 153 154 MARIUSZ SAGAN dents in this city is 1,401, which is the highest among the studied cities as well as its highest, ranked second after Lublin, revenue in the sector of enterprises. Białystok also shows a considerable economic potential. This city ranks second in Eastern Poland in terms of the number of enterprises, including foreign investment ones. However, its rate of entrepreneurship is clearly the lowest among the studied cities, i.e. only 1,058 entities per 10,000 residents. Rzeszów has got a high level of employment, i.e. over 45,000 employed, ranked second in this group of the cities but the lowest number of enterprises and the lowest number of foreign investment companies as well as the relatively low rate of entrepreneurship, i.e. 1,196 companies per 10,000 residents. Also, Olsztyn shows weak economic potential despite its relatively high rate of entrepreneurship – 1,246 companies per 10,000 residents. This city has got low employment and business revenue as well as is much dependent on industry, i.e. Michelin which is actually the largest plant in Olsztyn (this city has got the highest industry-generated revenue compared to the other cities of Eastern Poland, which is clearly related to the investment by the French concern). Economic potential can be reflected in, e.g. indicators on national gross product. Although the GDP statistics prepared by Główny Urząd Statystyczny [Central Statistical Office] do not relate directly to the cities of Eastern Poland in their administrative boundaries but can perfectly reflect any economic changes in individual metropolitan areas and their surroundings. This is especially true of the three cities, i.e. Lublin, Bialystok and Rzeszów where the corresponding NUTS 3 sub-regions coincide perfectly with an area of agglomeration (or potential agglomeration). This can also enable the estimation of GDP per capita in each city. The consolidated data in Table 2 shows that the richest sub-regions (and thus probably the wealthiest agglomerations) in Eastern Poland are the subregions of Lublin (with the city of Lublin) and Bialystok (with the city of Bialystok)22, whereas Rzeszów is the weakest regional capital of Eastern 22 Estimated data on the GPD per capita in Lublin and Białystok were provided by consulting office PwC. As specified, the GPD per capita in Lublin in 2008 was 111% of the national average, whereas in Białystok EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES FIVE REGIONAL CAPITALS AND THEIR DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL Poland if the criterion of GDP per capita is adopted. Thus, the power of impact of Rzeszów on south-eastern Poland is, and is likely to remain, negligible. On the other hand, the sub-region of Rzeszów reduced its development gap (the gap in GDP) compared to the national average as the only sub-region in the studied period of 2000-2010. The city of Lublin and the sub-region of Lublin face some adverse changes. Its GDP per capita related to the national average was 92.0% in 2000 but this rate lowered to 87.7% in 2010. It is difficult to analyse this phenomenon in Olsztyn and Kielce because the GDP figures refer to a much larger area than just a city and its metropolitan area. It should be pointed out that the agglomeration of Olsztyn left the farthest behind the national average as its indicator – GDP per capita reduced as much as 7 percentage points. Table 2. Changes in GDP per capita in the metropolitan sub-regions of Eastern Poland in 2000-2010 PKB per capita (Poland=100) 2000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2009 2010 Sub-region of Lublin 92.0 91.7 89.5 86.9 85.5 84.9 85.1 87.9 87.7 Sub-region of Białystok 89.8 89.3 89.4 86.4 85.2 85.5 86.4 86.4 84.5 Sub-region of Olsztyn 88.8 86.9 90.3 87.7 86.7 84.8 82.6 82.4 81.6 Sub-region of Rzeszów 78.2 78.7 77.4 76.0 76.7 75.0 73.6 80.2 80.0 Sub-region of Kielce 84.0 82.0 82.7 82.1 80.0 80.1 82.6 83.9 81.5 Source: Own calculations based on Produkt Krajowy Brutto. Rachunki regionalne w 2010 r. [Polish GPD. Accounts in regions in 2010], Urząd Statystyczny in Katowice, Katowice 2012, pp. 102-107, Produkt Krajowy Brutto. Rachunki regionalne w 2009 r. [Polish GPD. Accounts in regions in 2009], Urząd Statystyczny in Katowice, Katowice 2011, pp. 105-110, Produkt Krajowy Brutto. Rachunki regionalne w 2007 r. [Polish GPD. Accounts in regions in 2007], Urząd Statystyczny in Katowice, Katowice 2009, pp. 140-149 2. Academic potential Human capital, closely related with the quality of higher education and the level of education in a given academic centre is considered to be one of the key factors of endogenous regional development. The quality of human capital determines the way of development of a city and decides on its 102%. See: Raporty na temat wielkich miast Polski, Lublin, Białystok [Reports on the large cities in Poland. Lublin, Białystok], PwC, Warsaw 2011, p. 5. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 155 156 MARIUSZ SAGAN specialisation: rooted in traditional services and industries or that can create a sector of modern services, e.g. Business Process Outsourcing, designing and a sector of creative products23. Human potential in cities can also determine the opportunities to create entrepreneurship in a given area both in terms of the opportunities to develop traditional start-up businesses and innovative high-tech companies like spin-off ones. The development of the latter ones is impossible if there are no high-quality higher education institutions and mechanisms to transfer technology to a private sector. A number of public and private higher education institutions operate in the regional capitals of Eastern Poland. Table 3 summarises selected indicators, including academic potential of the cities – capitals of Eastern Polish regions. A number of students is one of the indicators of academic potential although this indicator is not fully reliable as it does not cover technical and intellectual levels of students. In the academic year 2010/2011, most students, i.e. over 82,000 studied in Lublin, whereas the least number, i.e. 39,000 in Olsztyn. The interesting thing can be a large disparity between the largest academic centre in Eastern Poland, i.e. Lublin and the other four centres that have a relatively similar number of students. Table 3. Selected indicators of the academic potential in the regional capitals of Eastern Poland Students Foreign students* PhD students PhD degrees 2010/11 2010/11 2008/9 2010/11 Lublin 82,445 1,372 2,298 394 Białystok 45,547 1,001 412 123 Olsztyn 38,831 130 279 101 Rzeszów 54,529 94 295 40 Kielce 48,106 10 56 19 City * data on state schools of higher education Source: Own developed and calculated on Szkoły wyższe i ich finanse w 2010 r. [Schools of higher education and their finances in 2010], Główny Urząd Statystyczny, Warszawa 2011, pp. 239-300, Statystyczne Wademekum Samorządowca [Statistical handbook for local authorities], Urząd Statystyczny in Lublin, Kielce, Olsztyn, Białystok and Rzeszów, GUS, Warszawa 2011, Bank Danych Lokalnych GUS. 23 M. Sagan, op. cit., p. 202. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES FIVE REGIONAL CAPITALS AND THEIR DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL The ability of higher education institutions to create courses to be studied in foreign languages and to encourage foreign students to study them is a very important indicator of academic potential. This strategic ability is considered to be a key element in determining the competitive position of higher education institutions in the educational market. The internationalization of studies increases the effectiveness and efficiency of higher education institutions, generates their higher revenue and positively impacts on the processes of their restructuration and strategic changes24. Lublin stands out positively among the academic centres studied as it is at the forefront of Polish academic centres with the largest number of foreign students; Białystok is ranked the second25. The success of these cities depends largely on medical universities that attract students from the USA, Western Europe and Asia. It is worth mentioning that foreign students who study in Poland can become a counterweight to the impending demographic decline in Poland. The other centres in Eastern Poland have much less foreign students, which means a low level of education and research potentials of their schools of higher education. In terms of opportunities for business coupled with science, academic potential is reflected in a number of PhD students. The examination indicates that PhD students show a high potential of economic cooperation (potential entrepreneurs and potential employees that are capable of transferring their knowledge from universities to their enterprises). Most doctoral students, i.e. nearly 2,300 studied in Lublin, which is almost six times more than in Bialystok, ranked the second; and almost eight times more than in Olsztyn and Rzeszów. As a result, in the academic year 2010/2011, the majority of doctoral degrees were defended in Lublin, whereas the least in Kielce (Table 3). See more: M. Sagan, Przewagi konkurencyjne polskich uczelni wyższych na globalnym rynku edukacyjnym [Competitive advantages of Polish universities in the global educational market], „Zeszyty Naukowe WSEI” Seria Ekonomia, Lublin 2011, no 1. 25 Internationalization indicators, i.e. share of foreign students in the total number of students in a city in Lublin and Białystok in 2010 amounted to 1.8% and 2.4%, respectively and are also one of highest in Poland. 24 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 157 158 MARIUSZ SAGAN To comprehensively present the academic potential in the studied cities, the indicators for their potentials were calculated total, based on the rating of higher education institutions by Rzeczpospolita and Perspektywy (for 2004, 2009 and 2012) which is the most meaningful and recognized as reliable and impartial26. This rating measures prestige, academic power, internationalization and studying conditions. The results are given in Table 4. Table 4. Summary of the rating of the academic centres in the regional capitals of Eastern Poland Rating of the academic centre 1. Lublin 2. Białystok 3. Olsztyn 4. Kielce 5. Rzeszów Points awarded in 2012 Points awarded in 2009 Points awarded in 2004 30 25 10 4 4 40 17 8 4 4 48 14 8 4 4 Source: Own calculation based on: Ranking Szkół Wyższych 2012 [Rating on schools of higher education in 2012], „Rzeczpospolita”, Ranking Szkół Wyższych 2009 [Rating on schools of higher education in in 2009], „Rzeczpospolita”, 12 May 2009, Ranking Szkół Wyższych 2005 [Rating on schools of higher education in in 2005], „Rzeczpospolita”, 12 April 2005. The best total position in 2012 was held by Lublin (33 points) and then Bialystok (22 points)27. Compared to 2004, the academic position of Lublin (according to this indicator) clearly weakened, whereas the results of Bialystok improved. Olsztyn was ranked as the third, and the universities from Kielce and Rzeszów show poor results here. Actually, there is a kind of academic gap between Lublin and Bialystok as the strongest academic centres in Eastern Poland and very weak academic institutions from Rzeszów and Kielce. Simultaneously, these two cities did not show any improvement over the period, and their disadvantageous position in terms of quality of their 26 The synthetic indicator of the academic potential of regional capitals in Eastern Poland refers to the following criteria: established rank for each position (by tens) in the global ranking for Poland. 20 points were awarded if in the 10 top, 15 points if in the second 10, 10 points if in the third 10, 8 points if in the fourth 10, and 5 points if in the fifth 10. 2 points were awarded for positions from 51 to 75 and 1 point was awarded for position beyond 75. Universities only are indicated in this summary. 27 Uniwersytet Medyczny in Białystok holds in the Rzeczpospolita rating the 1st place among the schools of higher education in Eastern Poland, which is the 17th position in Poland. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES FIVE REGIONAL CAPITALS AND THEIR DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL teaching and status of their higher education institutions was deepened. The higher education institutions from Rzeszów, i.e. Rzeszów University of Technology and University of Rzeszów and from Kielce, i.e. Jan Kochanowski University of Humanities were ranked in the Rzeczpospolita Rating as 51, 54 and 57, respectively. The general marks awarded to the individual cities are reflected in the selected academic indicators such as the development of academic staff. In 2010, the title of professor was granted to 36 academics in Lublin, 18 in Bialystok, while only 2 in Rzeszów. In the same year, a PhD degree was granted to 47 academics in Lublin and only 2 in Rzeszów and Kielce!!! 28 The academic centre of Lublin is ranked as the 6th in Poland in terms of the number of papers published in journals included in the ISI Master Journal List. The rest of the regional capitals of Eastern Poland, especially Olsztyn, Rzeszów and Kielce occupy the end of this rating29. The entrepreneurial activity of the students’ community can reflect to some extent the potential of the academic character of a city, especially in the time of knowledge-based economy. The higher city’s academic potential and the quality of its academic accumulated human capital is, the number of incubated enterprises at universities, including spin-offs should be higher30. This principle seems to be true in the case of the regional capitals of Eastern Polish regions. The most of companies is incubated in the strongest academic centres of Lublin and Bialystok where there were around 60 companies31 at the Academic Incubators of Entrepreneurship (AIE)32 in both cities in early 2012. In the smaller centres like Olsztyn and Rzeszów, there were 9 and 14 micro-businesses, respectively. Kielce is an interesting case as the number 28 Szkoły wyższe i ich finanse w 2010 r...., pp. 294-306. 29As in: Polska 2030. Wyzwania rozwojowe [Poland 2030. Development challenges], Kancelaria Prezesa Rady Ministrów, July 2009, p. 248. See, e.g. the research in the USA: S. Y. Lee, R. Florida, Z. J. Acs, Creativity and Entrepreneurship: A Regional Analysis of New Firm Formation, „Regional Studies” November 2004, Vol. 38, p. 890. 31 Academic Business Incubators are the most important institution that assists in establishing student enterprises in Poland. 32 According to the data published on the Academic Business Incubators’ website (data acquired in February 2012). 30 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 159 160 MARIUSZ SAGAN of incubated companies there, i.e. about 30 did not correspond with its position as an academic centre. However, Kielce, as already mentioned, is a city with the highest entrepreneurship rate (number of companies per 10,000 inhabitants) among the five centres studied. Hence, its relatively high culture of entrepreneurship encourages students to be more likely self-employed. 3. Potential of municipal government The potential of municipal governments determines their ability to really compete for external resources, i.e. financial capital, particularly foreign investment, human capital, including the competition for students and the so called creative classes. The ability to compete for scarce resources, especially the abilities of these cities to absorb external funds will be largely decided in the next few years of growth and development of these centres33. The potential of the regional municipalities in Eastern Poland was assumed to consist of two key elements: their ability to attract external investors and ability to acquire external, basically EU funds. The potential to absorb students and partly outside investors have been discussed earlier. Fund acquisition for development by local governments (EU funds) Regional capital cities in Eastern Poland, except Rzeszów, to a small extent made use of the opportunity of fund raising in the EU’s 2004-2006 perspective. Unfavourable to Eastern Poland and arbitrarily adopted, the allocation algorithm of regional management (Integrated Regional Operational Programme) resulted in a limited amount of funding allocated to the said cities over that period. The capacities to absorb funds for development in the 20072013 perspective are incomparably greater. Table 5 summarises the statistical data on the acquisition of EU funds by each of the cities in the current financial perspective (2007-2013) from the three programs, i.e. Regional Operational Programmes, Infrastructure and Environment Operational Pro33 M. Sagan, Potencjał rozwojowy..., p. 205. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES FIVE REGIONAL CAPITALS AND THEIR DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL gramme, and Development of Eastern Poland Operational Programme34. This summary covers the projects with already signed grant agreements. Moreover, the selected projects to be studied have to comply with the condition of EU funding in the amount of at least PLN 5 million. The data show types of EU funding and their amounts that will be acquired by each city, and thus what could be the inner potential of these cities to compete for external resources. Białystok is the most active city as contracts for the largest pool were signed there, i.e. for over PLN 843 million of the EU funding. Relatively high amounts, i.e. PLN 635 million and 459 million were acquired by Lublin and Kielce, respectively. The acquisition of EU funds by Rzeszów is the least preferred. This city that was a leader in raising the EU funds in 20042006 in Eastern Poland has now become the weakest member in the group of the four cities which attempt to effectively acquire the 2007-2013 EU funds. By far, Rzeszów managed to gain PLN 163 million from the 20072013 EU budget only. It is worth pointing out that the funds acquired by the regional capitals in Eastern Poland largely come from the specific priorities of the Development of Eastern Poland Operational Programme, i.e. public transport and road infrastructure and the Infrastructure and Environment Operational Programme, i.e. sewage networks and water supply, waste management. Therefore, these are large investments in infrastructure and largely indicated earlier on the priority lists. In total, Białystok and Kielce acquired the largest amounts of EU funds per capita to the end of 2011, i.e. PLN 2,858 and 2,252, respectively. The rating is as follows: Lublin – PLN 1,822, Olsztyn – PLN 1,326, and finally Rzeszów – PLN 915 per capita35. 34 This summary does not include the funds from the Human Capital Operational Programme (negligible value of the projects) and the Innovative Economy Operational Programme (local authorities are beneficiaries here but to a limited extent). 35 Own calculated on the data in Table 5 and demographic statistics. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 161 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES - 5. Kielce - 76.5 101.7 - 48.6* Project EU financing in mln PLN 2 - 1 6 3 Number of projects 288.5 - 55.1 649.6 405.1 Project EU financing in mln PLN 7 4 8 4 8 Number of projects 170.8 86.6 77.1 193.6 181.3 Project EU financing in mln PLN Regional Operational Programmes Project EU financing in total in mln PLN 635 843 234 163 459 Number of projects 15 10 11 7 9 Funds in total * This summary includes the projects in which the EU funding was higher than PLN 5 million (Euro 1 mln was adopted as the estimated and standard limit of the EU funding). Source: Own developed and calculated upon Mapa Dotacji UE [Map of EU funds], Ministry of Regional Development, the end of December 2011 (http://www.mapadotacji.gov.pl/) 2 3 4. Rzeszów - 2. Białystok 3. Olsztyn 4 1. Lublin Number of projects Infrastructure and Environment Operational Programme Development of Eastern Poland Operational Programme Number of projects Table 5. Scope of 2007-2013 EU fund raising by the regional capitals of Eastern Poland (for the end of December 2011) 162 MARIUSZ SAGAN FIVE REGIONAL CAPITALS AND THEIR DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL 4. Potentials of cultural communities and tourism The ability to mobilize cultural communities and their resources and potentials is a key factor to develop creative entrepreneurship in a city, metropolitan area or region36. Consequently, not only more and more tourists visit a given city but also more students come to study and in the long run more and more new residents and new businesses (creative and other) appear. The regional capitals of Eastern Poland differ with this respect but business results in each city, e.g. number of established creative enterprises cannot be examined for no comparable statistical data. Thus, this examination depends on a partly reliable indicator which is the number of tourists who visit a city. The potential of cultural communities needs to be analysed more thoroughly and in detail. Looking at how the creative class functions and develops by mobilising cultural communities, Lublin is the city that is coping best and is likely to do so in the future, see Table 6. The city of Lublin was a strong candidate for the title of European Capital of Culture 2016 (the city participated in the second and final stage of this competition) and is one of the largest centres that create culture in Poland. Every year, more than 40 cultural festivals and massive events, especially Jarmark Jagielloński (Jagiellonian Fair) and Carnaval Sztukmistrzów attract foreign and Polish tourists. It also has numerous historical and cultural heritage sites, which has resulted in granting to Lublin two prestigious European titles, i.e. European Heritage Label and Intercultural City. As a result, Lublin is visited by the largest number of domestic and foreign tourists among the other regional capitals of Eastern Poland, see Table 7. However, its poor accessibility is an obstacle to attract as many visitors as the cities of Central and Western Poland. 36 N. C. Wilson, D. Stokes, Managing creativity and innovation. The challenge for cultural entrepreneurs, „Journal of Small Business and Enterprise Development” 2005, Vol. 12, no 3, p. 367. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 163 164 MARIUSZ SAGAN Tabela 6. Activities that support culture and tourism in the regional capitals of Eastern Poland Tourist events (10 top most frequently visited mass events in Poland) Labels/Titles of European recognition Jarmark Jagielloński (8th position) 110,000 visitors 1. European Heritage Label 2. Intercultural City Białystok - Olsztyn Candidate for the Number of culEuropean Capital tural festivals (per of Culture 2016 year) YES 43 - YES 17 - - - 9 Rzeszów - - - 5 Kielce - - - no data Lublin Source: Municipal Offices (Lublin, Białystok, Olsztyn, Rzeszów, Kielce) The second ranked centre which is potentially capable of creating the creative class is Białystok. This city also competed for the title of European Capital of Culture 2016. It has a huge resource of human capital in culture (almost 20 festivals per year) and is gradually attracting more and more tourists. Olsztyn is also able to develop based on its cultural potential. The other regional capitals, i.e. Kielce and Rzeszów practically use no opportunities to stimulate and create their culture – and tourism – based industries. In terms of culture and tourism, they are recognised as local centres. Perhaps, this tendency results from their development strategies that focus more on the development of entrepreneurship and exhibition industry (Kielce) and aviation industry (Rzeszów). Table 7. Accommodation offered in 2010 in the regional capitals of Eastern Poland Number of accommodation offered Totally in thousands Lublin Białystok Olsztyn Rzeszów Kielce 283.5 245.8 234.7 198.8 211.5 Source: Statystyczne Wademekum Samorządowca, Urzędy Statystyczne in Lublin, Kielce, Olsztyn, Białystok and Rzeszów, GUS, Warszawa 2011 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES FIVE REGIONAL CAPITALS AND THEIR DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL 5. Assessing the potentials of Lublin, Białystok, Olsztyn, Rzeszów and Kielce This study although it does not cover all issues enables some conclusions and recommendations. These concern both the status of each regional capital of Eastern Poland and the entire region of Eastern Poland in terms of dynamically changing global economy and the emergence of new pro-growth factors there as well as recent proposals by the Polish government to amend the existing models of assisting regional development37. The considerations on the potential of the five cities is summarised below. These cities are classified primarily in terms of their present and total potentials. The qualitative assessment is based on both the existing potential of these centres and forecasts until 2020 on attracting external investors, acquiring the EU funds and the activities of their academic and creative (culture) environment38. Lublin (leader). This city has the greatest economic, academic, tourism, cultural and creative potential. This potential has been accumulated for many years but the agglomeration of Lublin economically developed slower in 2000-2010 than the national average and much slower than the largest metropolitan areas in Poland like Warsaw, Poznań, Wrocław and Kraków. Its economy is increasingly diverse and restructured but a share of modern industry and foreign investors is still insufficient. It is a city which by 2020 will maintain its leading position in Eastern Poland and can reduce its development gap to Western Poland and Warsaw, providing its access to development stimuli improved (internal access and internationalising the city, or external access). Its capacity and competitive position can be enhanced by stimulating changes in the mentality of some of its residents, institutions and businesses as well as by supporting the creation of business ecosystems such as the strong IT industry and modern services (BPO/SSC, medicine). 37 38 See, e.g.: Polska 2030... As in: M. Sagan, Potencjał rozwojowy..., p. 214-217. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 165 166 MARIUSZ SAGAN Lublin also needs more governmental support to address its internal transport problems and to improve the quality of life of its residents. Białystok (catching-up). This city has got much of economic and academic potentials and significant cultural and tourism potentials. An important factor that can stimulate its growth in the following decade can be very large inflows of the EU funds, external investors as well as the development of local enterprises. An additional impetus for the development of Białystok will be its better accessibility (road connections with Warsaw). These factors enable the opinion that it is justified that the development gap between Białystok and Lublin can be reduced. A very rapid development of academic potential in Białystok will continue to be an important factor in its development. Kielce (potential city of business). Kielce with its considerable economic potential (and high rates of entrepreneurship) and low academic, cultural and creative potentials can still become a centre of rapid economic growth. This growth will not probably be so much as in Lublin and Białystok based on a combination of economic, academic and creative factors (preferably without the latter two). Actually, its advantageous location in central Poland, relatively easy access to the agglomeration of Warsaw and Kraków, the entrepreneurial potential of Kielce’s residents and the expected large inflow of the EU funds are significant factors for the development of Kielce. This city is also already one of the two most important exhibition centres in Poland (second after Poznań). The total potential of Kielce in 2020 will not be so much as the potentials of Lublin and Białystok also due to the size of Kielce and strong competitors like Łódź, Craków, Lublin and potentially Radom. Kielce will likely be a wealthy medium-sized city of regional importance with its limited total potential impact on the surrounding (the świętokrzyskie voivodship only). Olsztyn (prospective in the long run). Olsztyn in the previous many classifications holds in the middle of the ratings of potentials of the five cities. It is a prospective academic, cultural and tourism centre. Its weak point is its insufficient economic potential, which is accompanied by one dominant foreign investor. Moreover, its population potential is low, which makes EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES FIVE REGIONAL CAPITALS AND THEIR DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL that any possible increase in this total potential will last long. Therefore, by 2020 Olsztyn will have remained a centre of regional impact (like Kielce). Olsztyn is, however, the city in Eastern Poland that will be granted the highest EU support per capita in the next 5-6 years. This will improve the quality of life and facilitate competition for external capital resources and students and also the creative class in the future. Tourism should become a critical stimulus of development in Olsztyn as now this city benefits insufficiently from its location in the attractive for tourists part of Poland. On the other hand, Olsztyn is increasingly dominated by Trójmiasto which is becoming a strong economic centre. Rzeszów (outsider). Among the regional capitals of Eastern Poland, its potential is lowest. Rzeszów is the capital of the poorest region in Poland, i.e. podkarpackie voivodship and the agglomeration of very low GDP per capita. Rzeszów has not managed to increase significantly its total potential despite the time of its extensive growth, e.g. establishing the University of Rzeszów, enlarging its airport, increasing the employment in the Aviation Valley cluster, shifting the labour force from its rural areas to the city of Rzeszów and its very efficient absorption of the EU funds in the 20042006 perspective. It remains a very poor academic centre and even weaker cultural centre. Rzeszów ranks the EU fund acquisition in 2007-2013 as last as compared to the remaining regional capitals of Eastern Poland. Rzeszów is absorbing foreign direct investment and locating it mainly in the aviation industry. In the long run, it may result in region’s dependence on a single, medium-innovative sector and lead to consequent problems (problems of mono-cultural economy). This city should more diversify its economy (by developing IT industry there) and invest in its cultural potential. Its peripheral location in Poland and the worst of all the studied cities connection with Warsaw are its important problems. Its potential is insufficient to impact on the surrounding of south-eastern Poland and can be marginalised by the much stronger centres of Kraków and Lublin. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 167 168 MARIUSZ SAGAN Summary As already indicated, the selected elements of the potentials of the regional capitals of Eastern Poland and the selected cities should be assisted by the government more intensively than before. This support should be addressed the most promising cities and areas of their functioning (supporting the key functions). The author claims that additional development funds should be directed primarily to the two centres of Eastern Poland with the greatest potential, e.g. Lublin and Białystok despite the fact that Bialystok was wrongly omitted in the National Spatial Development Concept 2030 as one of the potential metropolitan centres. 39 The economic potential of Kielce and academic potential of Olsztyn should also be strengthened. The policy towards Rzeszów needs to be considered: could be more effective to invest additional funds in this city to boost its weak potential or could be a better solution to allocate financial assistance also in some other economic driving centres of the podkarpackie voivodship, especially Mielec and Stalowa Wola, which could stimulate the development of the entire region and overcome the unfavourable rating in terms of GDP and disposable revenue in the podkarpackie voivodship. The new 2014-2020 EU financial perspective should support the development of infrastructure in the regional capitals of Eastern Poland (making infrastructure towards and within these cities) but also a number of endogenous processes and activities, e.g. supporting academic potential which are associated with improving the internationalisation of these centres and stimulating the initiatives by people, institutions, governments and businesses there. 39 It should be pointed out that regional financial assistance for the new 2014-2010 perspective could be accompanied, as the continuation of the Development of Eastern Poland Operational Programme, by additional priorities such as „Supporting the strongest metropolitan centers of Eastern Poland” to allocate more funds for Lublin and Bialystok. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES EASTERN POLAND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES Edited by Bartosz Jóźwik & Mariusz Sagan, Lublin 2013 T E R E S A S Z O T- G A B R Y Ś Factors Influencing Entrepreneurship Development 1. The significance of entrepreneurship in economical development. The level of entrepreneurship growth in Eastern Poland In the 21st century, in the knowledge-based economy such factors as knowledge, innovation, social capital and entrepreneurship become more and more important in economical and social development. The above mentioned factors are non-material and coexist with the traditional, acknowledged economical factors, capital, land and labor. There is a shared opinion in scientific and economical circles that, in the free market economy, entrepreneurship is the driving force of economic development, and the dominant sector of micro, small and medium enterprises plays very important social and economical roles. Individual entrepreneurship and the whole MSMEs sector contribute to a decrease of unemployment rates through job 170 TERESA SZOT-GABRYŚ creation and positively affect the economic structure, economic growth and improvement of competitiveness and innovation in the economy1. Economic entities belonging to the sector of micro, small and medium enterprises play important social and economical functions because: “on the one hand, the MSMEs sector stimulates economic growth through an activation of innovative processes, which leads to a modernization of industrial structure and, on the other hand, it generates new jobs and may ease social tensions by providing entrepreneurial people with an opportunity of self-employment, achieving success and elevating their social status”2. The considerations included in this chapter concern the circumstances and perspectives of economic development in Eastern Poland, on the background of a domestic economic situation, in the context of challenges and expectations connected with the new EU Financial Perspective for the years 2014-2020. In this text, entrepreneurship is understood as a process of undertaking economic activity according to the regulations of Freedom of Business Activity Act3 and conducting the activity in its initial stage. The socio-economical system change in Poland in 1989 resulted in a dynamic development of entrepreneurship. Nowadays, MSMEs constitute over 99% of all economic entities. The statistical data for the years 2003-2009 concerning the economic situation in Poland show a continuous increase of the dynamics of newly established businesses, most of which are microenterprises. (Table 1). The number of closed businesses is also increasing, but in each of the analyzed years the number of newly established businesses was higher than the number of the closed ones. In the years 2000-2003, the number of newly established businesses within each year was decreasing. A positive alteration of this trend was reported in 2005, most probably as a result of introduction 1 2 3 K. Safin, Zarządzanie małą firmą, Wydawnictwo AE im. Oskara Langego we Wrocławiu, Wrocław 2003, p. 51. B. Piasecki, (ed.), Ekonomika i zarządzanie małą firmą, Wydawnictwo Naukowe PWN, Warszawa – Łódź 2001, pp. 77-79. Freedom of Business Activity Act of 2 July 2004, Dz. U. No 173, item 1807. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES FACTORS INFLUENCING ENTREPRENEURSHIP DEVELOPMENT of favourable revenue and legal regulations concerning social insurance rates for individual entrepreneurs4. Table 1. The number of newly established and closed businesses in Poland in the years 2003-2009 Year 2003 Year 2004 Year 2005 Year 2006 Year 2007 Year 2008 Year 2009 Newly established businesses, including: 274 837 228 538 289 406 316 681 314 091 340 074 402 407 micro 265 946 223 863 282 517 311 732 309 248 334 286 396 733 small 7 569 4 144 6 144 4 409 4 317 5 180 5 240 medium 1 071 484 651 448 442 526 381 251 47 94 92 84 82 53 Closed businesses, including: 153 409 209 845 233 067 287 642 257 060 264 111 383 440 micro 148 202 204 979 228 171 283 271 253 100 257 717 377 920 small 3 888 3 723 4 059 3 742 3 348 5 166 4 726 medium 978 911 665 451 490 988 612 large 341 232 172 178 122 240 182 Businesses large Source: Report of the condition of small and medium enterprises sector in Poland in the years 2008-2009, Polish Agency for Enterprise Development, Warsaw 2010, p. 229. In the years 2001-2006, the business survival index for newly established enterprises within the first year of their activity was between 61.5% and 67.6%, 4 High social insurance and health insurance rates were indicated as one of the main obstacles for undertaking economic activity by individuals. As a consequence of legal changes after 25 August 2005, an individual starting economic activity, who has not run any business within the previous 5 years and does not provide services for the former employer, may, in the period of the first 24 months of business activity, benefit from lower, preferential social insurance rates. The assessment basis for social insurance rate in this period is 30% of minimum wage. Consequently the social insurance cost for fresh entrepreneurs is almost two and a half times lower than for the existing enterprises paying social insurance according to regular rates (in 2013, together with health insurance, the preferential rate was 414.85 PLN, while the regular rate was 1026.98 PLN): Social Insurance System Reform Act of 1 July 2005, Dz. U. No 150, item 1248. The quoted changes in the fiscal regulations introduced a 19% flat rate tax on income of individuals as enterprises. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 171 TERESA SZOT-GABRYŚ while in the years 2007 and 2008 it was 70.7% and 76.4%, respectively5. In spite of the economic crisis, also in the subsequent years, that is 2010 and 2011, the business survival index for newly established enterprises still grew reaching 77.0% and 77.8%, respectively6. Regarding the situation in Eastern Poland, i.e. Podkarpackie, Świętokrzyskie, Lubelskie, Podlaskie and Warmińsko-Mazurskie voivodeships the number of newly established SMEs per 1000 inhabitants is the lowest in Poland (with the exception of the Opolskie voivodeship) but, at the same time, the number of closed businesses is lower than in other parts of the country7. The data have been presented in Tables 2 and 3. Świętokrzyskie Warmińsko – mazurskie 163 199 147 567 91 204 110 094 118 101 Proportion of the total number of businesses in Poland (%) 4.21 3.80 2.35 2.84 3.04 Number of businesses closed according to the number of employees 13 960 13 462 9 566 11 832 14 425 Businesses Number of businesses 0 Podlaskie Podkarpackie Table 2. Entities registered in the REGON register in 2009 by the number of employees Lubelskie 172 321 647 328 225 363 13 791 13 325 9 471 11 677 14 198 10-49 142 113 78 130 201 50-249 18 14 12 16 19 > 249 9 10 5 9 7 3.64 3.51 2.49 3.09 3.76 0-9 Proportion of the total number of closed businesses in Poland (%) 5Source: Report of the condition of small and medium enterprises sector in Poland in the years 2008-2009, Pol- ish Agency for Enterprise Development, Warsaw 2010, p. 37. 6Source: Report of the condition of small and medium enterprises sector in Poland in the years 2008-2009, Pol7 ish Agency for Enterprise Development, Warsaw 2010, p. 70. ibid, p. 142. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES Number of newly established businesses according to the number of employees 0 Warmińsko – mazurskie 14 991 Świętokrzyskie 18 163 Podlaskie Podkarpackie Businesses Lubelskie FACTORS INFLUENCING ENTREPRENEURSHIP DEVELOPMENT 9 589 10 320 14 474 495 430 354 269 955 17 993 14 833 9 523 10 187 14 293 163 145 60 124 165 50-249 7 10 5 4 15 > 249 0 3 1 5 1 4.51 3.73 2.38 2.56 1.89 0-9 10-49 Proportion of the total number of newly established businesses in Poland (%) Source: Report of the condition of small and medium enterprises sector in Poland in the years 2008-2009, Polish Agency for Enterprise Development, Warsaw 2010, pp. 85-131. Most of the registered as well as closed businesses were micro-enterprises. In Table 2, the microenterprises category includes individualpreneurs with no employees. Lubelskie Podkarpackie Podlaskie Świętokrzyskie Warmińsko – mazurskie Table 3. SMEs registered in the REGON register in 2009 in relation to the number of inhabitants SMEs in total Number of businesses per 1000 inhabitants Location in Poland 75.66 15 70.21 16 76.66 14 86.68 12 82.75 13 Newly established SMEs Number of businesses per 1000 inhabitants Location in Poland 8.42 12 7.13 16 8.06 15 8.13 14 10.14 11 Enterprises EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 173 Warmińsko – mazurskie Świętokrzyskie Podlaskie Enterprises Podkarpackie TERESA SZOT-GABRYŚ Lubelskie 174 Closed SMEs Number of businesses per 1000 inhabitants Location in Poland 6.47 3 6.41 2 8.04 4 9.32 8 10.11 9 SMEs with foreign capital Number of businesses per 1000 inhabitants Location in Poland 0.58 13 0.54 15 0.55 14 0.54 16 0.60 12 Source: Report of the condition of small and medium enterprises sector in Poland in the years 2008-2009, Polish Agency for Enterprise Development, Warsaw 2010, pp. 85-131. The data presented in the tables indicate that, compared to the nationwide values, Eastern Poland is characterized with the lowest index of entrepreneurship in relation to the number of inhabitants and the lowest level of foreign capital investment in the SMEs sector. Also, the mean number of microenterprises per 1000 inhabitants is significantly below the nationwide average. In 2010, the value of the index was 43.3% for all voivodeships, while it was just 35.9% in the Świętokrzyskie voivodeship, 33.7% in the Podlaskie voivodeship, 32.7% in the Lubelskie voivodeship and only 31.1% in the Podkarpackie voivodeship8. When we consider the number of registered SMEs per 1000 inhabitants in Poland, Eastern Poland voivodeships are among the worst in the country. However, the value of the index in each voivodeship was higher in 2010 than in 2009 reaching: 73.8% in Podkarpackie, 78.9 in Podlaskie, 86.0 in Warmińsko-Mazurskie, 80.6 in Lubelskie and 90.3 in Świętokrzyskie 90.39. 8 9 Report of the condition of small and medium enterprises sector in Poland in the years 2010-2011, Polish Agency for Enterprise Development, Warsaw 2012, p. 71. Ibid, p. 101. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES FACTORS INFLUENCING ENTREPRENEURSHIP DEVELOPMENT 2. Conditions for the development of entrepreneurship in Eastern Poland The significance of entrepreneurship in the social and economic development of the whole country as well as regional development is undeniable and has been stressed by many authors10. As a result of entrepreneurship understood as undertaking and conducting economic activity, business entities are created, generating new jobs, often in the form of self-employment and family businesses, higher income and thus creating increased local demand for goods and services. However, in Eastern Poland, entrepreneurship is characterized with the lower potential compared to other regions of Poland, which is the result of a general economic situation as well as the condition of the region’s economic and technical infrastructures. The diagnosis of the social and economical situation in Eastern Poland shows that this region is underdeveloped compared to the rest of the country, which does not form favorable conditions for the development of entrepreneurship. Eastern Poland has certain features due to which it is considered peripheral in relation to national and European centres of economic activity. The features include11: a low level of wealth, indicated by low GDP per capita, a low level of spatial, social and economic cohesion, a noneffective economic structure with predominant traditional farming and relatively low levels of entrepreneurship, competitiveness and innovation, insufficient potential of growth centres like well developed urban areas with established metropolitan functions for stimulating development, 10 11 T. Szot-Gabryś, Znaczenie przedsiębiorczości i innowacji dla rozwoju regionu [in:] Szot-Gabryś T., PałaszewskaReindl T., (ed.), Uwarunkowania rozwoju przedsiębiorczości i innowacji, Wydawnictwo Wyższej Szkoły Umiejętności im. Stanisława Staszica w Kielcach, Kielce 2008, pp. 34-43. Operational Program – Development of Eastern Poland 2007-2013. National Strategic Reference Framework 2007-2013, Ministry of Regional Development, Warsaw 2009, p. 58. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 175 TERESA SZOT-GABRYŚ an underdeveloped infrastructure of higher education and limited links between science and economy, a low level of technical infrastructure, especially in the sphere of IT and transportation as well as inefficient communication services make Eastern Poland poorly accessible. The above description of the situation in Eastern Poland indicates that it is a region with unfavorable conditions for entrepreneurship due to its insufficiently developed economic base. It has been confirmed by the studies of investment attractiveness of Eastern Poland voivodeships in comparison with other voivodeships. The results have been presented in Table 4. Resources and labour costs Market Economic infrastructure Social infrastructure General safety Active support of investors Investment attractiveness Table 4. Investment attractiveness of voivodeships in 2010 Transport accessibility 176 Weights 20 25 15 10 5 5 20 100 1. Śląskie 4 1 2 2 1 16 1 1 2. Dolnośląskie 1 5 4 1 3 15 2 2 3. Mazowieckie 3 13 1 3 4 13 3 3 4. Małopolskie 7 2 5 5 2 10 4 4 5. Wielkopolskie 2 3 8 6 10 7 5 5 6. Zachodniopomorskie 6 8 6 9 6 12 6 6 7. Łódzkie 9 4 11 7 7 9 7 7 8. Pomorskie 11 10 3 11 5 14 8 8 9. Opolskie 8 12 9 4 14 5 9 9 No. Voivodeships 10. Lubuskie 5 11 7 12 8 11 10 10 11. Kujawsko–pomorskie 10 6 10 14 9 8 11 11 12. Podkarpackie 14 7 14 8 12 1 12 12 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES No. Voivodeships Transport accessibility Resources and labour costs Market Economic infrastructure Social infrastructure General safety Active support of investors Investment attractiveness FACTORS INFLUENCING ENTREPRENEURSHIP DEVELOPMENT 13. Warmińsko – mazurskie 13 14 12 16 11 6 13 13 14. Świętokrzyskie 12 9 15 15 13 2 14 14 15. Lubelskie 15 15 16 10 16 3 15 15 16. Podlaskie 16 16 13 13 15 4 16 16 Source: K. Markowski, (ed.), Perspektywy rozwoju przedsiębiorstw z Lubelszczyzny. Studium empiryczne, European Meeting Centre – Nowy Staw Foundation, Lublin 2011, p. 27, elaborated on the basis of: M. Nowicki, (ed.), Atrakcyjność inwestycyjna województw i podregionów Polski 2010, Institute for Market Economics, Konrad Adenauer Stiftung, Gdańsk 2010, p. 7. In almost all aspects except for internal safety, Eastern Poland voivodeships are worse than the rest of the country. The region has underdeveloped communication, economic, human resources and local market infrastructure. These factors are very important for the development of entrepreneurship. Looking for possible scenarios for the development of Eastern Poland, one can begin with SWOT analysis12 in order to identify the region’s resources. The endogenous potential of Eastern Poland which could facilitate its development, according to strategic documents13, includes: natural environment, agriculture, tourism, 12In the document Strategy for Socio-Economic Development of Eastern Poland until 2020, Ministry of Regional 13 Development, Warsaw 2008, pp. 47-48, the following strengths of Eastern Poland were indicated: 1) Some well-developed branches of economy successful not only on the domestic but also on international market (e.g. aviation industry, furniture industry, cement manufacturing industry, car tyre production, milk processing); 2) Relatively high level of education and significant improvement in this aspect in the last several years; 3) Foreign language education and competence; 4) High natural, landscape and cultural benefits making the region attractive for tourism; 5) Academic centre development potential in some areas; 6) Experience of the regional business environment institutions; 7) Schools well-equipped with information technology devices; 8) Self government relatively eager to invest. Ibidem, p. 22. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 177 178 TERESA SZOT-GABRYŚ natural resources, cheap labor, polycentric urban network, border area. Whereas the development of entrepreneurship understood as a creation of new enterprises may be reinforced by a strong position of the existing economic entities in the branches constituting the regional specialization of Eastern Poland. The new businesses can function as spin-offs, cooperants or subcontractors of the existing companies. Generally speaking, in the whole region of Eastern Poland, according to studies conducted in all counties, the leading branches are14: agriculture and food industry, wood and furniture industry, textile industry, construction, machine building and means of transport industry as well as non-manufacturing branches such as healthcare and health resorts, education and tourism. Seeking perspectives for the development of entrepreneurship in Eastern Poland, one should keep in mind that the growth of business enterprise is conditioned by macro- and microeconomic factors. There is a strict connection between the level of regional economic development and the growth of entrepreneurship. General conditions for the development of entrepreneurship may be characterized in the following way: “The modern economy is shaped by three interconnected processes: globalization, competition and innovation. Permanent competitive advantage is achieved by regions in which there are enterprises capable of creating and absorbing innovation. Innovative companies locate their business in places guaranteeing favorable conditions for their development. In a competition for new investments, quantitative localization factors such as accessibility of natural resources, labor or transport infrastructure gradually begin to lose ground to qualitative factors such as qualifications, reliable and fast infrastructure, research and development 14 Development of Cluster Structures in Eastern Poland, Ministry of Regional Development, Warsaw 2007, pp. 72-121. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES FACTORS INFLUENCING ENTREPRENEURSHIP DEVELOPMENT facilities, well developed business support environment, efficient administration and life and work conditions. Not only the quality of human capital, involving elements such as qualifications and abilities of individuals, gain importance, but also social capital, that is the ability to cooperate, trust and institutional efficiency of the whole region”15. These are important factors for the development of entrepreneurship and general competitiveness in any region. Thus, considering conditions shaping the circumstances of small companies business activity in a competitive environment on the local market, one should pay attention to how the social and economic system is shaped by local government and non-governmental institutions. 3. Conditions for undertaking economic activity – entrepreneur’s perspective The development of entrepreneurship understood as starting and running own business, mainly by natural persons, is the result of individual decisions to establish a company. According to the literature, the determiners of entrepreneurship development, comprehended as factors influencing entrepreneurial attitudes, may be divided into internal, associated with the entrepreneurs themselves, and external ones – also referred to as objective factors, beyond enterprise’s influence as well as according to the character of a stimulus prompting business to action. These are political, cultural and economic factors16. The knowledge about the entrepreneurship factors is important for the sake of shaping the policy of assisting the entrepreneurial process. Regional Operational Program of the Lubelskie Voivodeship 2007-2013, Board of Lubelskie Voivodeship, Lublin 2007, p. 8. 16 A. Paździor, Kondycja finansowa przedsiębiorstw z województwa lubelskiego a perspektywy rozwoju „ściany wschodniej” [in:] M. Stefański (ed.) Wspieranie procesów innowacyjnych w gospodarce regionu, Wydawnictwo Naukowe Wyższej Szkoły Ekonomii i Innowacji in Lublin, Lublin 2009, p. 140. 15 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 179 180 TERESA SZOT-GABRYŚ Table 5. Entrepreneurship factors Factors External Internal Political economic system the range of state interventionism the scope of legal limitations the scope of decision making decentralization management evaluation criteria Economical fiscal system the system of subsidies monetary policy customs system enterprise goals enterprise efficiency evaluation criteria economic motivation system Cultural social acceptance of entrepreneurship the system of values and ethical standards organization culture management style professional promotion track Source: W. Janik, Przedsiębiorczość i przedsiębiorstwo, WSPA, Lublin 2001, p. 19 Many important circumstances for the development of entrepreneurship are systemic, which means that they are formed at the state level, within the scope of the country’s social and economic system. In order to complement the above described factors, local conditions of business development should also be pointed out because most MSMEs operate on local markets where local authorities and business environment institutions shape the background for economic activity. Coming back to the entrepreneur’s perspectives in the Polish model of entrepreneurship development, a typical scenario involves undertaking economic activity by a natural person and running a microenterprise, which takes some time to start creating new jobs and hiring first employees (most of these companies do not go beyond the self-employment stage). In the Polish structure of MSMEs, family businesses are dominant. This means that a well-developed entrepreneurship culture and business traditions are also important elements of entrepreneurial initiatives. Nowadays, a new generation is commencing their professional activity. Many are children of entrepreneurs who established their businesses in the 1990s and they often succeed their parents in family companies or establish their own businesses. In such a case the new entrepreneurs can use the existing business models and capital resources, which improves the chances for the enterprise survival EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 10.0 18.1 Podlaskie Świętokrzyskie Warmińsko -Mazurskie Poland average 3. 4. 5. Employed in a private company 28.4 24.4 27.3 14.6 24.1 37.0 Employment In a state-owned company 34.0 45.7 32.9 41.5 36.5 25.6 Running an individual farm business 2.9 2.5 0.0 5.9 8.3 4.3 3.7 1.4 2.9 2.9 4.1 2.6 in % Attending school or university 4.7 10.0 7.8 5.1 1.4 6.4 Source: R. Drozdowski, P. Matczak, (ed.), Samozatrudnienie. Analiza wyników badań, Polish Agency for Enterprise Development, Warsaw 2004, p. 12. 22.9 26.5 20.9 Podkarpackie 2. 16.7 Lubelskie Percentage in each line summing up to 100% Voivodeships Employed in public sector 1. No. Unemployed Table 6. Previous situation of self-employed entrepreneurs on the labor market Conducting economic activity 4.8 2.1 4.6 1.6 1.4 4.2 Other 3.4 3.9 1.6 1.9 3.3 3.2 Altogether 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 FACTORS INFLUENCING ENTREPRENEURSHIP DEVELOPMENT EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 181 182 TERESA SZOT-GABRYŚ in the market17. Economically, the weaker region of Eastern Poland does not have a sufficiently developed business culture, which is especially apparent in people’s mentality and attitudes. Self-employment is a typical phenomenon in the free market economy. In stable economies of European Union countries, 12% of professionally active people are self-employed18. Self-employment is defined as “generating one’s own income”, “earning one’s livelihood directly from one’s own business” or “working for oneself ”. The development of entrepreneurship and MSMEs sector in Poland has been thoroughly studied and analyzed. It should be stressed that, for a long time, private entrepreneurs were not held in high esteem in the society, which could have been a factor limiting entrepreneurship19. There are many barriers and difficulties of micro- and macroeconomical character that entrepreneurs encounter in their economic activity20. There are also various motivations for natural persons to undertake economic activity and very often the financial aspects are not the most important21. However, studies concerning self-employment indicate a significant stratification of the labor market situation of individuals choosing self-employment. See J. Jeżak, W. Popczyk, A. Winnicka-Popczyk, Przedsiębiorstwo rodzinne. Funkcjonowanie i rozwój, DIFIN, Warsaw 2004; Ł. Sułkowski, A. Marjański, Firmy rodzinne, jak osiągnąć sukces w sztafecie pokoleń, POLTEXT, Warsaw 2009. 18 The partial renaissance of self-employment, OECD 2000, p. 159. 19 K. Duczkowska–Małysz, Wizerunek przedsiębiorcy w świetle badań gospodarstw domowych i opinii lokalnych społeczności, in: Przedsiębiorcy jako grupa społeczna, Polish Foundation for Promotion and Development of Small and Medium Enterprises, Warsaw 1999, p. 30. 20 See R. Borowiecki, B. Siuta-Tokarska, Problemy funkcjonowania i rozwoju małych i średnich przedsiębiorstw w Polsce. Synteza badań i kierunki działania, DIFIN, Warsaw 2008. 21 The research conducted by A. Macko and T. Tyszka indicates that the hierarchy of motivations (from most important to least important) for running own business is the following: to be independent from others, to be able to make own decisions, to have good relations with colleagues, to make more money, to have more time for oneself and family, to have a chance to prove oneself, to have an opportunity to meet people and to manage people (A. Macko, T. Tyszka, Jacy są i jak są postrzegani przedsiębiorcy? „MBA” 1/2006, p. 13). 17 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES FACTORS INFLUENCING ENTREPRENEURSHIP DEVELOPMENT The results of the quoted studies show that self-employment is rather the consequence of Polish economy restructuring (redundancies)22, and to a lesser degree the result of own economic initiative. Moreover, a low index of undertaking economic activity by people who are unemployed or who have been involved in agriculture indicates a low level of entrepreneurship in these groups. The research results also point out that self-employment should be promoted in various social and economic environments and not only among the unemployed. In the common view, self-employment is often perceived as the way of commencing business activity by unemployed people who have no other chance of getting employed. It is especially justified, as there is a special program offering subsidies provided by the Labor Fund to the officially registered unemployed who undertake economic activity23. The decision to undertake economic activity is preceded by choosing: the sphere (category) of business activity, the legal and organizational form of the activity. Considering the classification of activity, three business categories are generally distinguished, manufacturing, trade and services. The choice of the branch of economic activity is determined by many factors such as: education, skills and professional experience of a person undertaking economic activity, 22 High proportion of the self-employed who used to work for private companies may result from a more and more frequent phenomenon of employers encouraging their own employees to open their own businesses and provide services for their former employer as contractors. This is how employers try to avoid high labour costs: social insurance costs are fully covered by the self-employed, there is no paid holiday leave or sick leave. There is a possibility to introduce a more flexible policy of contracting one’s services in case of deterioration of the company’s economic situation. In reality, a self-employed person very often does exactly the same job as before but loses all the benefits of an employee. 23 A program of subventions for the unemployed who undertake economic activity is provided by Employment Agencies. The subvention is appropriated for the purchase of fixed assets and partly for current assets necessary to begin economic activity. The subvention amount is six times of the average monthly salary (in 2013 it was almost 22000 PLN). In order to be able to apply for the subvention, a person has to be registered as unemployed and meet certain conditions (Employment Promotion and Labour Market Institutions Act of 20 April 2004, Dz.U. No 69 of 2008, item 415, as amended). EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 183 184 TERESA SZOT-GABRYŚ market capabilities of achieving success depending, including demand and competition, capital the entrepreneur invests in the economic activity and the ability for raising additional capital. According to the effective business rules, a person who is planning to start economic activity should begin with analyzing the conditions for the future business. The knowledge about the decision premises determining establishment of a new enterprise as well as about the barriers and obstacles encountered by an entrepreneur may serve as a basis for identification of areas and domains of business activity support. Putting oneself in the place of a person undertaking economic activity, you can ask yourself the following question: What do you need to start a new business?: Define the objectives of your activity – in practice it means a business idea, which in turn determines the category of business activity according to the Polish Classification of Business Activity (PKD); Depending on the chosen line of business, the entrepreneur needs employees with appropriate qualifications and professional competence. The human factor involves features such as: knowledge, experience, skills, expertise, motivation, mentality etc. An entrepreneur who establishes a new business as a natural person, without employing anyone at first, must accumulate all the necessary expertise including knowledge about management (taxes, finances, marketing) as well as professional skills because individual entrepreneurs must provide services themselves. About 60% of the self-employed choose the line of business compatible with their own professional qualifications. This is an argument in favor of vocational education and training24. The selected category of economic activity determines the market for the offered goods and services. In many cases, the business is “bound 24 R. Drozdowski, P. Matczak, (ed.), Samozatrudnienie. Analiza wyników badań, Polish Agency for Enterprise Development, Warsaw 2004, p. 13. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES FACTORS INFLUENCING ENTREPRENEURSHIP DEVELOPMENT to the land”, which means that the offer is limited to a local market. The market’s potential is an important factor of achieving success. In order to start a new business, it is necessary to accumulate sufficient resources (tangible, financial, human, intangible and legal assets). In Poland, a natural person can legally start a business without any capital guarantees, which obviously is not rational. In principle, a new enterprise suffers from a lack of sufficient resources, and the possibilities of acquiring external financing are limited. Awareness of the realities of opening and running a business in the early stages is important for an appropriate designation of the system for entrepreneurship support and promotion. In general, the most urgent needs concern raising capital and acquiring the necessary knowledge and skills. Thus, typical tools of business support in the initial stages of activity include: subsidies, preferential credits, short-term loans as well as training and free consulting and information services. Considering the circumstances of economic activity in its early stages and the limitations concerning its scale as well as conditions characteristic for Eastern Poland, it is possible to point to a few model business strategies for newly established enterprises: trade and services for a local market, services provided locally but directed towards customers from outside the region – for example tourism and recreation, services provided on customer’s premises, outside the company’s region, for example, construction services, specialized repair services, consulting, transport services, cooperation and subcontracting for larger companies within and outside the region , specialization (untypical or unique products, upmarket products) and targeting domestic and foreign markets, moving beyond the traditional form of providing services and using the Internet, e.g. online shops, consulting, translation etc. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 185 186 TERESA SZOT-GABRYŚ 4. The system of entrepreneurship and MSMEs sector support In Poland, since the pre-accession time until today, there has emerged an efficient institutional system of entrepreneurship support involving valid mechanisms stimulating the development of business activity which can serve as a solid base for continuing the supportive activities in the next European Union financial perspective 2014-2020. The administrative and instrumental structure of entrepreneurship support in Poland overlaps, to a large extent, with the support system for the micro, small and medium enterprise sector. Nevertheless, it might be useful to initiate a discussion concerning the introduction of more efficient mechanisms to stimulate entrepreneurship, taking into account the specificity of Eastern Poland as an area characterized with the underdeveloped technical infrastructure, including communication and information technology, poorly developed local markets, the lower level of urbanization and economy based mostly on agriculture. The general scope of the system of entrepreneurship and MSMEs sector support has been defined in the Freedom of Business Activity Act. Chapter 7 includes the following fragment: respecting the principle of equality and competitiveness, the state creates favorable conditions for the functioning and development of micro, small and medium enterprises, especially by25: initiating changes in the legal system favoring the development of micro, small and medium enterprises, including ones concerning access to financial resources from credits, loans and credit guarantees; supporting institutions facilitating entrepreneurship financing on favorable conditions within functioning government programs; evening out conditions for economic activity by adjusting regulatory liabilities; facilitating access to information, training and consulting; supporting institutions and organizations assisting entrepreneurs; promoting cooperation between micro, small and medium businesses and other Polish and foreign companies. 25 Freedom of Business Activity Act of 2 July 2004, Dz. U. No. 173, item 1807(103). EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES FACTORS INFLUENCING ENTREPRENEURSHIP DEVELOPMENT Institutions and tools within the system of entrepreneurship development support function on various levels and are financed using domestic funds as well as Structural Funds assets (European Regional Development Fund, European Social Fund): Due to a considerable significance of the MSMEs sector for the economic development of the country, the role of the state is to eliminate the obstacles inhibiting the development of entrepreneurship. The domestic economic policy is shaped by the government which creates and implements instruments to support small and medium enterprises. The Polish Agency for Enterprise Development is the main institution responsible for implementing government programs as well as European Union programs designed for the MSMEs sector. The agency administers, for example, the selected priorities of the Operational Program – Innovative Economy and Operational Program – Human Capital cooperating with business environment institutions in particular regions, accredited in the National System of Services (KSU) for Small and Medium Enterprises. On the regional scale, the development of entrepreneurship is influenced by self-governments of particular voivodeships which implement Regional Operational Programs and coordinate the implementation of regional components of Operational Program – Human Capital, as well as by business environment institutions like regional development agencies, chambers of craft, branch associations, science and technology parks, entrepreneurship incubators, loan and loan guarantee funds as well as other entities, mostly operating as non-profit organizations. Local business initiatives are supported by local authorities, agencies, foundations and associations. The support for the process of establishing and developing microenterprises in rural areas is also provided by local branches of the Agency for Restructuring and Modernisation of Agriculture using Common Agricultural Policy funds. Also, the LEADER program and Local Ac- EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 187 188 TERESA SZOT-GABRYŚ tivity Groups are financed from the same source. These institutions play a very important role of energizing local rural communities. In Eastern Poland, similarly to other regions, there functions a system of entrepreneurship development and MSMEs sector support. The tools and mechanisms used in this system are generally the same, however, it should be noted that the needs of micro, small and medium enterprises at the moment of their opening and in the early stage of development are different from the needs of well-established businesses present on the market for a long time. The needs usually result from the deficit of capital, knowledge and expertise. Thus, it should be pointed out that an efficient stimulation of entrepreneurship development process in Eastern Poland and in the rest of the country must be multidirectional because it takes place at various levels. They are26: Central, state level – legal regulations are formed here. The legal and economic frameworks for the social and economic system of the whole country are also shaped at this level as well as the financial and institutional scope for the system of entrepreneurship development in Poland; Regional, voivodeship level – a current degree of economic development and activities conducted in order to improve the existing economic base as well as the shape of the implemented operational programs along with the activities of business environment institutions play important role at this level; Local level – local government activities and initiatives along with local business environment institutions operations take place here. 26 T. Szot-Gabryś, Metody wspierania rozwoju sektora MMSP na szczeblu lokalnym [in:] Jóźwik B., Zalewa P. (ed.), Spójność ekonomiczno-społeczna regionów Unii Europejskiej. Tom II, Spójność ekonomiczno-społeczna w Polsce, Wydawnictwo KUL, Lublin 2010, pp. 273-291. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES FACTORS INFLUENCING ENTREPRENEURSHIP DEVELOPMENT Starting with the conditions dependent on the frameworks of the social and economic system shaped at the central level, according to research conducted among entrepreneurs, the most important obstacles for development resulting from macroeconomical circumstances (economic, political, social, legal environment) are27: poor quality of legislation, unclear and imprecise laws and regulations, an unstable legal system, a fiscal system – high taxes and unclear fiscal system regulations, unfriendly fiscal administration, labour law incompatible with the company operating conditions (for example, national minimum wage constituting high cost for an entrepreneur), grey economy, corruption and a low level of business ethics, high, non-payroll labor costs (mandatory social insurance costs), high interest rates, difficult access to external sources of economic activity financing, obstacles connected with the land management regulations. The state strives for the improvement of economic activity conditions for small and medium enterprises. For example, the gradual decrease (within the last few years) of income tax rates and introduction of a flat-rate tax have created better opportunities for reinvesting the retained profits. Other examples include the introduction of decreased social insurance rates for individual entrepreneurs in the first two years after registering business activity or a possibility of one time depreciation of the purchased fixed assets and non-material and legal assets by small business tax-payers28. The Polish Agency for Enterprise Development (PARP), which centrally administers entrepreneurship and MSMEs sector support programs, is a gov- Report of the condition of small and medium enterprises sector in the years 2005–2006, Polish Agency for Enterprise Development, Warsaw 2007. 28 Up to 50 000 euro, which in 2011 equaled 197 000 PLN. 27 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 189 190 TERESA SZOT-GABRYŚ ernment agency established for running economy development programs, especially in the sector of small and medium enterprises, export, national social and economic cohesion, utilization of new technologies as well as creating jobs, counteracting unemployment and developing human resources. PARP is a state legal person, formed on 1 January 2001 on the basis of the Polish Foundation for Promotion and Development of Small and Medium Enterprises which operated in the years 1995-200029. On its web page, PARP declared that the year 2011 was dedicated to newly established businesses, so called start-ups and technostarters30. An example of the agency’s activity in this respect is the introduction of a new service called “economic activity assistance”31. Within this service, for a symbolic charge (maximum 120 PLN), the interested enterprises, especially in the first 6 months of their activity, have their business needs assessed and then they are assisted with consulting. Currently, 23 institutions registered in the National System of Services are entitled to provide the above described service. Two of them are located in Eastern Poland. For over 10 years, PARP has coordinated a program involving the establishment and operation of Consultation Points. People planning to start economic activity as well as MSMEs sector companies may obtain (within the scope of de minimis aid) free information services concerning the procedure of starting business activity, available subventions as well as advice concerning finances, taxes, marketing, quality management and other issues related to economic activity. Consultation Points are operated by entities reg29www.parp.gov.pl 30 31 A start-up is a new business in the early stage of its activity, that is an enterprise which has just started its operation and is in the early stage of its development. Most often it is a micro or small enterprise. Technostarters are enterprises established by one or more researchers using innovative solutions that they are legally entitled to. Technostarters are most often associated with technical universities, research departments and medical universities. A technostarter can be financially or operationally connected with their parent institution as a spin-off or not as a spin-out (www.parp.gov.pl, 26.07.2011). Other services for newly established businesses are: educational support within the frameworkwork of elearning platform, information service provided by PARP Informatorium, educational and consulting support provided by Consultation Points as well as by the Enterprise Europe Network, and others (www.parp. gov.pl – 12.02.2013). EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES FACTORS INFLUENCING ENTREPRENEURSHIP DEVELOPMENT istered in the National System of Services (KSU). Within 284 KSU accredited centres, 73 entities are located in Eastern Poland, and among 58 Consultation Points operating in Poland, 12 are located in Eastern Poland32. Considering the system of entrepreneurship development at the regional level, apart from the Consultation Points, which provide information and consulting services, from the point of view of benefits for persons undertaking economic activity, the most attractive offer seems to be the opportunity of participation in a project realized by an entity selected in a competition (most often a District Employment Agency or a non-profit organization) as part of Operational Program – Human Capital, priority 6.2 “Support and promotion of entrepreneurship and self-employment”. Within this project, people who are planning to open a business get assistance in the form of substantive training, individual consulting (e.g. business plan preparation), investment subvention (a minimum project value is 50,000 PLN and a subvention is up to 40,000 PLN) as well as bridging support in the form of partial covering of current expenses for the first few months of business activity. Complex support obtained by new entrepreneurs gives them a chance to survive and expand their business. The number of people who can take part in such a project is limited due to fierce competition at the stage of application. On the other hand, the application process allows for selecting potential participants and choosing the most promising business ideas. Good, well designed mechanisms of entrepreneurship support should be continued also in the next financial perspective 2014-2020. A specific feature of the newly established businesses in the form of individuals as enterprises, at least in the initial phase of activity, is a small scale of operation, mostly limited to a local market. Businesses established in the rural environment often encounter the problem of insufficient demand. However, even if we take into account the relatively low level of Eastern Poland urbanization, we should still strive for improving entre32 In 2011, there were 110 Consultation Points in the country, including 27 in Eastern Poland. But consultants also provide their services in many local offices, outside the main office of the Consultation Points. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 191 192 TERESA SZOT-GABRYŚ preneurship in rural areas which are still struggling with hidden unemployment in agriculture. In the process of stimulation of entrepreneurship in rural areas, local authorities and non-government organizations should play a more significant role. District authorities usually include objectives concerning entrepreneurship support in their Local Development Strategies but these objectives are usually not reflected in specific action plans. It is therefore recommended for local authorities to prepare a different type of document – “Entrepreneurship Development Program” with the support of professional consultants, financed from a dedicated subvention program, including a module of training for self-government administration employees. The scope of possible mechanisms and tools for entrepreneurship stimulation as well as MSMEs sector development at the local level has been described by M. Strużycki33: land management, financial and economic plans and programs of public duties (including development strategies, land management plans, long term investment plans and programs, financial analysis); regulatory instruments in the form of orders and prohibitions, permits and decisions; property management – granting access to lands and municipal facilities and multiplying property value; instruments to stimulate an economy, e.g. differentiating tax rates and fees, setting prices for the access to public property and services; institutional instruments – forming organizational units responsible for a realization of objectives connected with local economy development; direct activities in the sphere of enterprises, e.g. construction of infrastructure; 33 M. Strużycki (ed.), Przedsiębiorczość w procesach rozwoju rynków lokalnych, Institute for Market, Consumption and Business Cycles Research, Warsaw 2006, p. 87, quoted after: A. Matuszko, (ed.), Rola gospodarki przestrzennej w pobudzaniu rozwoju ekonomicznego gminy, Institute of Spatial and Municipal Management, Cracow Branch, British Know-How Fund and Foundation in Support of Local Democracy, Warsaw 1998, p. 12. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES FACTORS INFLUENCING ENTREPRENEURSHIP DEVELOPMENT information instruments – granting access to data bases administered by district authorities; social policy instruments, including marketing. There is also a need for better access to free consulting services and information concerning establishment and running business. Although such services are provided by the Consultation Points, operated by organizations registered in the National System of Services for Small and Medium Enterprises, cooperating with the Polish Agency for Enterprise Development , but their number and, consequently, availability is insufficient. Such Consultation Points could be created in every district (operated by District Administrative Units or local non-governmental organization) fulfiling duty hours at set times in particular communities34. In the current financial perspective, entrepreneurship in rural areas is supported from the Rural Development Programme 2007-2013, within the measures “Creation and Development of Microenterprises” and “Nonagricultural Activities”. The competitions of projects within these measures are managed by the Agency of Restructuring and Modernization of Agriculture. There is also a separate budget administered by Local Activity Groups financed from the LEADER program35. Local Activity Groups possess the most thorough knowledge about local specificity, problems and needs which makes them more suitable for efficient administration of a limited subvention budget. The experience of the Local Activity Group in stimulating local development should be further utilized in the 2014-2020 period36. 34 Some of the consultants working in such consultation points could be employed as interns or volunteers. They could be students who had been coached by experienced consultants. 35 The basis for the LEADER approach is the cooperation of local partners representing three sectors: public economic and social, who form a Local Activity Group and promote economic activity within the local community in its area of operation, see: A. Futymski, R. Kamiński, Budowanie lokalnej strategii rozwoju w ramach osi 4 Leader Programmeu Rozwoju Obszarów Wiejskich na lata 2007-2013, Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development, Warsaw 2008. 36 Currently, the budget that Local Activity Groups can use for supporting entrepreneurship development depends on the regulations of Local Development Strategies and usually allows for granting 3.4 and not EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 193 194 TERESA SZOT-GABRYŚ In the local environment of MSMEs establishment and operation, the competitiveness of these enterprises can be improved through fruitful cooperation with business environment institutions such as insurance companies, banks, loan and loan guarantee funds, economic organisations – chambers of economy, societies and associations, for example of craftsmen, merchants, local and regional development agencies, incubators for entrepreneurship, research and development centres, universities. Some of the above mentioned institutions provide capital for micro, small and medium enterprises, others assist them with consulting and training services, provide information, act as brokers in trade contacts or support entrepreneurs in the process of implementing new technologies and transfer of knowledge and innovation. Some of the mentioned institutions are non-profit entities (foundations, associations) and their activity and the quality of services they provide positively influence the sphere of entrepreneurship. Thus, it is necessary to strengthen the business environment institutions in Eastern Poland, not only by reinforcing their tangible and human resources but also by allowing them to realize projects that would enable them to cover the costs of their functioning37. Another direction of activity is connected with promoting academic entrepreneurship, according to the idea of knowledge-based economy. Academic entrepreneurship is perceived as one of the options for efficient commercialization of inventions, innovations and transfer of technology from the academic and research and development sphere to the business sector. In a wider perspective, the main objective of academic entrepreneurship is a promotion of business activity among students and graduates as well as preparing them to utilize knowledge and skills acquired in course of their studies in their own economic activity. 37 more than several subventions within a single enrolment period (competitions are usually announced once a year or every second year). Non-governmental organizations established in order to support local development finance their activity with funds acquired from the implemented projects that they obtain by winning competitions. Limited resources of the non-governmental organizations limit the scope of their activity. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES FACTORS INFLUENCING ENTREPRENEURSHIP DEVELOPMENT 5. Summary The development of entrepreneurship in Eastern Poland is dependent on many microeconomic and macroeconomic factors. Thus, the support of this process in the next European Union financial perspective 2014-2020 requires diverse activities of direct and indirect character. The whole range of indirect factors is associated with strengthening the region’s economic base including technical (transport and municipal facilities), social and information technology infrastructures as well as reinforcement of the quality of human and social capital along with promotion of the idea of information society. Another aspect of the process is to improve public institutions functioning and reinforce business environment institutions including the creation of incubators for entrepreneurship, technology and innovation transfer centres as well as recapitalising or establishing new loan and loan guarantee funds. The direct policy of stimulating entrepreneurship development in the 20142020 perspective in Eastern Poland should be conducted on the basis of complex activities such as: 1. Stronger emphasis should be placed on developing district towns and strengthening their function as centres for local economic and social life. 2. Selecting the preferred business branches that would receive additional support. Their activity could be based on local resources and regional strengths, for example tourism (rich natural and cultural resources), agricultural and food production, wood processing. 3. Establishing centres for entrepreneurship based on key regional branches. Initiating and strengthening cluster structures. 4. Know-how worked out by Local Activity Groups should be used for a wider promotion of entrepreneurship in rural areas. This requires more funds to be made available to Local Activity Groups to be distributed among entrepreneurs by means of competitions. 5. Support for business environment institutions, including smaller local organizations. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 195 196 TERESA SZOT-GABRYŚ 6. Establishing Consultation Points in every district (and every municipality on selected days) providing free advice for people starting economic activity and for MSMEs. 7. Direct investment subventions for newly established businesses (e.g. a program that would continue the current mechanism of OP HR 6.2). 8. Implementating innovative programs and projects like business mentoring, coaching, internship, forming Business Angels networks, venture capital funds, innovative entrepreneurs clubs. 9. Activities promoting the idea of entrepreneurship and reinforcing human resources quality including instruments of information society through projects involving training, consulting and providing information. 10.Promoting entrepreneurship in academic communities as well as at the level of vocational and general secondary education. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES EASTERN POLAND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES Edited by Bartosz Jóźwik & Mariusz Sagan, Lublin 2013 KRYSTYNA LESZCZEWSKA Condition of entrepreneurship and the micro, small and medium-sized enterprise sector Entrepreneurship means the quality of activities, undertaking economic activities and creating and developing new enterprises and entrepreneurial centers in a region1. Entrepreneurs, local communities and business institutions are involved in developing economic activities manifested by establishing new enterprises. Observations, statistical data and research enable the premise that economic and social development in a region relies on entrepreneurial activities undertaken by region’s residents. The level of entrepreneurship is one of the elements that can describe the level of economy 1 A. Klasik, Przedsiębiorczość i konkurencyjność a rozwój regionalny. Synteza wyników projektu badawczego [Entrepreneurship, competitiveness and regional development. Synthetised results of the research project], [in:] Przedsiębiorczość i konkurencyjność a rozwój regionalny [Entrepreneurship, competitiveness and regional development], ed. A. Klasik, Prace Naukowe Akademii Ekonomicznej in Katowice, Katowice 2006, p. 11. 198 KRYSTYNA LESZCZEWSKA in a given area. Statistical data on the Polish economy show clear long-term territorial discrepancies in the level of economic and social activity, including entrepreneurship. Persistent discrepancies in the economic potential of individual regions are one of the main problems of the modern economy. This situation is not beneficial to the socio-economic development of Poland and even becomes one of the main constraints as confirmed by the reports prepared for the Member States2. The entrepreneurial potential of the voivodships of Eastern Poland is examined here with the use of a quantitative analysis of its development. The concept of entrepreneurship has not been clearly defined in the literature. The multidimensionality of entrepreneurship as a socio-economic phenomenon requires a multidimentional examination. Traditionally, entrepreneurship is approached chiefly in view of the establishment of new enterprises. It is defined as a process by stages that starts when an enterprise is established until it is managed, i.e. from a concept to value formation. As a multidimensional phenomenon entrepreneurship needs to be analysed on four interrelated levels: economic, social, individual and organisational3. The economic level of entrepreneurship refers to the phenomena related to economic development. Entrepreneurial economy means the economy in which one can recognise a number of processes that enable the economy to be easily adapted to the changing global environment. So defined, entrepreneurship is a feature of the economy that favours dynamic economic development. The level of entrepreneurship in the economy can be studied using statistics that can reflect: 2Compare: Fourth Report on Economic and Social Cohesion. Growing regions, Growing Europe, European Com- 3 mission, Luxembourg 2007, Territory matters for competitiveness and cohesion. Facets of regional diversity and potentials in Europe., ESPON Synthesis Report III, results by autumn, Luxembourg 2006. J. Strojny, B. Stankiewicz, Wielowymiarowa analiza przedsiębiorczości – metodologia, narzędzia i znaczenie dla społeczeństwa informacyjnego [Multidimentional study on entrepreneurship. Methogology, tools and significance for the information society] [in:] Rola przedsiębiorczości w kształtowaniu społeczeństwa informacyjnego [Significance of entrepreneurship in shaping the information society], ed. Z. Zioło, T. Rachwał, „Przedsiębiorczość – Edukacja” [Entrepreneurship – Education] 2009, no 5, p. 123. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES CONDITION OF ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND THE MICRO, SMALL AND MEDIUM-SIZED ENTERPRISE SECTOR state’s economic policy, in particular state’s participation in the economy and freedom of business entities; process of the development of small and medium-sized enterprises in the national economy, in particular their contribution to GDP and employment; ownership and industrial structures; growth of relations between economic entities, including the development of clusters; territorially differentiated entrepreneurship. The social dimension of entrepreneurship covers the behaviour of individuals and social groups which can guarantee that society can develop and adapt to new conditions. The issues examined here are as follows4: level of openness to new cultural and technological phenomena and level of knowledge; entrepreneur’s role in the local community; identification of social factors that determine entrepreneurial attitudes; process of building conditions to support entrepreneurship. The individual level of entrepreneurial refers to certain personal qualities, typical of entrepreneurs. Entrepreneurship in this sense is usually interpreted as a sign of activity triggered by the spirit of initiative, breaking standard rules, innovative ideas and solutions5. The premise that entrepreneurship is one of the most important factors of regional economic and social development calls for evaluating the entrepreneurial potential in the voivodships of Eastern Poland and studying the measures taken to stimulate entrepreneurship there. G. Garofoli describes the essence of entrepreneurship for regional development, as de4 5 J. Strojny, Przedsiębiorczość w badaniach empirycznych Instytutu Gospodarki Wyższej Szkoły Informatyki i Zarządzania w Rzeszowie [Entrepreneurship in the empirical studies by Instytut Gospodarki Wyższej Szkoły Informatyki i Zarządzania from Rzeszów] [in:] Rola przedsiębiorczości w podnoszeniu konkurencyjności społeczeństwa i gospodarki [Role of entrepreneurship in improving the competetiveness of society and economy], ed. Z. Zioło, T. Rachwał, Wydawnictwo Nowa Era, Warszawa 2006, p. 69. J. Targalski, A. Francik, Przedsiębiorczość i zarządzanie firmą. Teoria i praktyka [Entrepreneurship and enterprise’s management. Theoretical and practical approach], Wydawnictwo C.H. Beck, Warszawa 2009, p. 19. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 199 200 KRYSTYNA LESZCZEWSKA fined from the perspective of small and medium-sized enterprises. He indicates certain consecutive stages of creating them and their influence on the economy6: establishing small enterprises; establishing networks of local enterprises that cooperate with each other, e.g. to implement of innovative solutions, which improves the labour productivity in these enterprises and a given region; establishing a comprehensive system of local production capable of stimulating a further increase in labour productivity that results from launching production to foreign markets; an increase in exports outside the local system accompanied by the development of services and optimal use of regional resources; investment by local enterprises outside their region. Factors that condition the development of a region and regional entrepreneurship can be internal (endogenous) or external (exogenous). The internal factors rely on resources and potential of the regional economy and the premise that economic development should be initiated by bottom-up initiatives. The external factors depend on the premise that development is triggered by top-down initiatives. At present, the creation of a regional development strategy combines both concepts, i.e. endogenous and exogenous. The growth of regional entrepreneurship and regional development depend much on the development of a given region, its economic and spatial structure, its human capital and public authorities. 1. Regional conditions of entrepreneurship The factors of the development of regional entrepreneurship fall into four groups: 6 T. Pakulska, Bezpośrednie inwestycje zagraniczne w rozwoju przedsiębiorczości w regionie [Direct foreign investment in developing entrepreneurship in the region] [in:] Przedsiębiorczość a rozwój regionalny w Polsce [Entrepreneurship and regional development in Poland], ed. K. Kuciński, Difin, Warszawa 2010, p. 158. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES CONDITION OF ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND THE MICRO, SMALL AND MEDIUM-SIZED ENTERPRISE SECTOR natural, economic, social, institutional. Natural factors determine the physical capabilities of establishing and operation of enterprises: number of protected areas in a region which prevent from or limit conducting business activity and reduce the space for new enterprises. Economic factors are usually indispensable for making decisions whether an enterprise should be established in a given region. The most critical economic factors are: technical infrastructure, the possibility of financial support for entrepreneurs, including the availability of loan financing, local private capital, establishment expenses in a given region (availability of potential sites, renting costs). These factors reflect conditions for conducting business activity that are in a given community. These conditions result from regional cultural factors, e.g. attitudes, religious values as well as the quality of regional human capital (level of professionalism of labour resources, migration in a region, population age structure in a region). Socio-economic studies indicate that individual entrepreneurship can transform into business activity if there are favourable institutional conditions, created mainly by public authorities. Institutional conditions such as a legal framework for enterprises to operate, activity of local governments, creating a business climate in a region are treated in the literature as principal determinants to stimulate entrepreneurship in a region. Aydalot claims that it is not enterprises that make a local environment but a structured environment is a prerequisite for enterprises to be established7. Business and technical infrastructures, efficient public institutions make an area attractive for conducting business activity. 7 Z. Przygodzki, Teoretyczne podstawy rozwoju regionalnego i lokalnego [Theoretical principles of regional and local development] [in:] Region i jego rozwój w warunkach globalizacji [Regions and their development in the reality of globalisation], ed. J. Chądzyński, A. Nowakowska, Z. Przygodzki, CeDeWu, Warszawa 2007, p. 131. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 201 202 KRYSTYNA LESZCZEWSKA There are many theories of regional development that attempt to explain the reasons for uneven in space and time economic development. Each theory identifies some aspects of business activity that support its growth by a given type of impact on business entities, and thus contribute to regional development8. The concepts that explain and describe regional entrepreneurial opportunities and constraints are summarised in Table 1. Table 1. Regional development theories and the development of SME sector Theory Recommendations for SMEs Core-Periphery Model (Dependency Theory) SMEs are established and operate chiefly in well– there is a relationship between the developdeveloped centres. Development is balanced by ment of core and peripheral areas. Resources of keeping enterprises in peripheral areas. peripheral areas are drained due to initial disparities in regional development. Neo-Classical Theory of Economic Growth – relies on the premises of perfect competition model; provides for removing discrepancies in regional resources by shifting these resources between regions. Development of small and medium-sized enterprises can contribute to regional development which needs some support in less developed regions. Post-Keynesian economics states that the most important factor in regional development are investments that produce a multiplier effect. Differentiated level of investment in regions increases inter-regional disparities which need to be corrected by the state. To reduce disparities in development of individual regions, involvement of SMEs in public investment in economically underdeveloped areas should be assisted. Economic Base Theory assumes the relationship between economic growth and an owned sector (base) capable of producing for export. The dynamic development of this export due to higher export revenues can stimulate the growth of other sectors of the economy of this region. The most significant impact to stimulate development can trigger increased export of small and medium-sized enterprises in regions. Endogenous growth theories assume that re- Stimulating cooperation between SMEs and netgional development if initiated on the basis of working are methods to stimulate development its own resources creates an opportunity to firm- of small and medium-sized enterprises ly change regional economic potential. 8 Z. Makieła, Przedsiębiorczość regionalna [Regional entrepreneurship], Difin, Warszawa 2008, pp. 26-28. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES CONDITION OF ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND THE MICRO, SMALL AND MEDIUM-SIZED ENTERPRISE SECTOR Theory Recommendations for SMEs François Perroux’s Concept of A Growth Pole regards innovations as a major factors capable of shaping regional development. Innovations are, therefore, the driving force behind regional development because they can attract resources from other industries and regions. The driving force behind regional development can become innovative enterprises. The positive results can be achieved by establishing large innovative firms in a region such as subsidiaries of multinational corporations and technology parks. Theory of Cumulative Causation (G. Myrdal) – regional disparities tend to deepen over time if economic, political and cultural reasons cumulate. Economy faces backwash and spread effects that trigger the process of positive changes that results in positive growth and negative ones that bring about regression. Regional development can occur as a result of an intervention programme such as state’s assistance for certain activities by SMEs. If not large-scale, such intervention can bring multiplier effects. Source: Developed on: M. Bąk, M. Grabowski, P. Kulawczyk, M. Nowicki, M. Wargacki, E. Wojnicka, Małe i średnie przedsiębiorstwa a rozwój regionalny [Small and medium-sized enterprises and regional development], PARP, Warszawa 2001, pp. 24-29 2. Regions of Eastern Poland – characteristics Eastern Poland is an area of five neighbouring voivodships, i.e. podlaskie, warmińsko-mazurskie, lubelskie, podkarpackie, świętokrzyskie. These voivodships are called Polish peripheral areas. Started after 1989, the disparities in the development of Poland have not been reduced. Accordingly, these voivodships have been still ranking as last in GDP per capital value since the transformation began. In 2010, GDP per capita were only 67.3% and 67.6% of the average GDP per capita in Poland in the voivodships of podkarpackie and lubelskie, respectively, followed by 72.7% in podlaskie, 73.4% in warmińsko-mazurskie and 75, 8% in świętokrzyskie. These provinces form an spatially compact area that occupies 31.7% of the territory of Poland with its population of approximately 20.1% of the population in Poland in 2010 and 15% of GPD9. Presented in The Strategy for Socio-economic Development of Eastern Poland until 2020, the comprehensive research into the socio-economic situ9 Rocznik Statystyczny Województw 2012 [Statistical yearbook of voivodships for 2012], GUS, Warszawa 2012, pp. 259, 631. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 203 204 KRYSTYNA LESZCZEWSKA ation of the regions of Eastern Poland points out strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats to their development. Table 2. SWOT analysis for the voivodships of Eastern Poland Strengths Weaknesses Emerging clusters of modern branches of industry, e.g. clusters of milk processing, wood processing, aviation (“Dolina Lotnicza”) Relatively high-educated society and recent significant progress in education Developing academic centres with quite good R&D potential in some fields Certain tourism potential High efficiency in raising the EU funds Peripheral location, significant distance to capital and technological resources, less developed countries as neighbours Unfavourable demographic structure, reducing population Hardly accessible due to their underdeveloped transport infrastructure Low economic development and low income of their population Poorly developed network of cities. Underdeveloped economic structure, i.e. a considerable share of inefficient agriculture, underdeveloped modern branches of industry and service Opportunities Threats Investors who represent environment-friendly branches are more interested in this region Polish and foreign tourists are increasingly interested in Eastern Poland Eastern Poland joins research and cultural cooperation networks Inflow of EU funds Residents of the other Polish voivodships and foreigners are increasingly interested in Eastern Poland as a place to live Experience in international relations thanks to their peripheral location and residents’ travels for work abroad Other Polish voivodships and foreign regions are highly competitive Increasing external demand for labour force from Eastern Poland Poor relationship with the neighbouring countries, e.g. Russia, Belarus Poland and foreign countries still recognise Eastern Poland as a peripheral region in a peripheral country Source: Developed according to: Strategia Rozwoju Społeczno-Gospodarczego Polski Wschodniej do roku 2020 [Strategy for the Socioeconomic Development of Eastern Poland until 2020], Ministry of Regional Development, Warszawa, 2008, pp. 41-42 The table shows the weaknesses and strengths of the regions of Eastern Poland. These economically underdeveloped voivodships have got an unfavorable economic structure and deficient infrastructure. The opportunities for their growth and competitive potential include: a higher level of education of their population than it could be expected from the level of economic EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES CONDITION OF ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND THE MICRO, SMALL AND MEDIUM-SIZED ENTERPRISE SECTOR development and a significant progress in this area recently. Their growing academic centers with good research potential play a crucial role in improving education in Eastern Poland. The advantage that could stimulate the development of the regions of Eastern Poland are emerging clusters of modern branches of industry, e.g. aviation, milk processing, manufacturing furniture, cement, car tires. These branches are successful not only on the Polish market but also an international one. Areas where modern sectors of the economy are located are the beginning of regional centers of growth. Note also that the voivodships of Eastern Poland are highly efficient in applying for the EU funds. This fact can contribute to more investment in these regions and enhance their competitiveness relative to much economically developed regions. 3. Entrepreneurship in the regions of Eastern Poland Entrepreneurship in Poland was dynamically developing during the transformation. Entrepreneurial potential varies regionally as regions differ in terms of their economic structure, availability of technical infrastructure, level of development of business environment institutions, local government activity and quality of human capital. The potential of entrepreneurship in regions usually depends on a quantitative analysis of its development. The regional level of entrepreneurship is illustrated here by the following indicators: 1. number and size of enterprises by voivodship 2. SME density, i.e. number of enterprises per 1,000 people 3. number of active SMEs per 1,000 people 4. employees in SMEs per 1,000 inhabitants 5. innovation indicators in enterprises In Poland in 2011, the number of companies registered in the National Official Business Register, REGON, was 4,071,57610. The structure of busi10 Data from Raport o stanie sektora małych i średnich przedsiębiorstw w Polsce w latach 2010-2011 [Report on the condition of the SME sector in Poland in 2010-2011], A. Tarnawa, P. Zadura-Lichota (ed.), PARP, Warszawa 2012, p. 19. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 205 206 KRYSTYNA LESZCZEWSKA ness enterprises was dominated by SMEs – 99.9% of all enterprises registered there. Among all of the registered entities, there were 3,861,352 micro enterprises (94.8%), 173,449 small enterprises (4.3%), 31,329 medium-sized enterprises (0.8%), and 5,446 large enterprises (0.1%). The number of companies registered in the REGON register decreased in 2011 by 0.4% as compared to 4,086,409 entities in 201011. A slight increase in the number of registered enterprises, i.e. by 0.2% was recorded in 2011 in small enterprises only. Actually, a decrease was in the other types of enterprises, i.e. by 1.4% in large enterprises, by 1.1% in medium-sized enterprises, and by 0.4% in micro enterprises. In 2010, there was a significant increase, i.e. by more than 5% in the number of enterprises registered in the REGON register, as compared to the previous year. According to the Central Statistical Office, GUS, small and mediumsized enterprises that operate in Poland generated 47.6% of GDP, including 29.6% of micro-enterprises in 2010. The sector of small enterprises in Poland in terms of its share in gross value added of enterprises is significantly smaller than in the EU. However, the contribution to gross value added of micro enterprises is much higher in Poland than in the EU. Recently, there has been a clear growing trend of enterprises in Poland. The branch structure of this sector in Poland is different from the average one in the EU, just like the structure of the gross value added of the enterprise sector in Poland by size. According to Eurostat, the share of services in value added in Poland is much lower than in the EU Member States, i.e. 26.5% in Poland and 40.1% in the EU. In the past ten years, the number of registered enterprises has increased by about 23%. Most registered entities operate in municipalities. The most significant increase in the number of entities in Eastern Poland was reported for the voivodships of podkarpackie (5.6%) and lubelskie (5.1%). The increase below the national average was recorded for the voivodships of podlaskie and świętokrzyskie, i.e. 1.4% and 1.6%, respectively. Enterprises that belong 11 This decline was partly related to the REGON verification by GUS. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES CONDITION OF ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND THE MICRO, SMALL AND MEDIUM-SIZED ENTERPRISE SECTOR to natural persons engaged in business activity are the most frequent kind of enterprises in all voivodships. Enterprise density shows the number of registered enterprises per 1,000 people and is the most frequently applied indicator of strength of entrepreneurship in regions. In Poland, this indicator significantly increased during the transformation. The number of registered entities per 1,000 inhabitants was 83.3 in 2000, 94.8 in 2005, and 100.4 in 2011. In 2000-2011, this indicator was below the national average in all voivodships of Eastern Poland, see Table 3. The trend of strong differentiation in the level of entrepreneurship in regions of Poland maintained throughout the economic transformation. The highest values of this indicator were reported in the regions with the highest level of economic development, whereas the lowest ones were recorded in 2011 in the voivodships of podkarpackie – 71.0%, lubelskie – 74.6%, and podlaskie – 76.4%. Table 3. Entities registered in the REGON register per 1,000 inhabitants by voivodship in 2000-2011 Country/voivodships 2000 2005 2011 POLAND 83.3 94.8 100.4 Dolnośląskie 92.6 104.8 112.3 Kujawsko-pomorskie 81.4 90.5 87.9 Lubelskie 60.4 68.4 74.6 Lubuskie 87.1 101.1 102.1 Łódzkie 80.3 96.8 90.2 Małopolskie 78.3 88.7 99.1 Mazowieckie 102.0 116.7 127.7 Opolskie 71.9 86.5 96.2 Podkarpackie 60.7 66.3 71.0 Podlaskie 70.7 74.1 76.4 Pomorskie 92.0 103.0 113.1 Śląskie 81.1 91.0 95.8 Świętokrzyskie 67.8 81.3 82.9 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 207 208 KRYSTYNA LESZCZEWSKA Country/voivodships 2000 2005 2011 Warmińsko-Mazurskie 71.6 77.1 80.7 Wielkopolskie 88.1 101.2 109.0 106.2 122.1 124.6 Zachodniopomorskie Source: Rocznik Statystyczny Województw 2012 [Statistical yearbook of voivodships for 2012], GUS, Warszawa 2012, p. 45 An efficient indicator of entrepreneurship is the number of individuals engaged in business activity per 1,000 residents because it reflects individual’s activeness and level of his or her creativity, courage, independence. As compared with the other EU Member States, the level of entrepreneurship in Poland measured by the number of individuals starting business activity is relatively high. In 2000, 65.4 entrepreneurs per 1,000 residents were registered in Poland; and in subsequent years, this value increased as follows: 72.8 and 74.5 business entities in 2005 and 2011, respectively. This indicator considerably varies if analysed by region. In 2011, the least of entrepreneurs, i.e. 54.6 per 1,000 inhabitants were in the podkarpacie voivodship, followed by 57.4 in lubelskie, 58.6 in warmińskomazurskie, 60.3 in podlaskie and 65.3 in świętokrzyskie (Table 4). Table 4. Entrepreneurs per 1,000 inhabitants in Poland by voivodship in 2000-2011 Country/voivodships 2000 2005 2011 POLAND 65.4 72.8 74.5 Dolnośląskie 72.5 77.0 78.2 Kujawsko-pomorskie 66.2 72.3 66.8 Lubelskie 47.5 53.1 57.4 Lubuskie 68.1 76.7 74.1 Łódzkie 64.7 78.1 69.6 Małopolskie 61.3 68.2 75.0 Mazowieckie 76.8 85.8 89.3 Opolskie 54.8 64.8 70.7 Podkarpackie 48.6 51.7 54.6 Podlaskie 57.9 60.1 60.3 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES CONDITION OF ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND THE MICRO, SMALL AND MEDIUM-SIZED ENTERPRISE SECTOR Country/voivodships 2000 2005 2011 Pomorskie 70.8 77.1 83.1 Śląskie 63.3 69.8 71.7 Świętokrzyskie 55.2 65.6 65.3 Warmińsko-Mazurskie 55.8 57.7 58.6 Wielkopolskie 70.8 80.1 83.8 Zachodniopomorskie 85.1 96.2 94.8 Source: Rocznik Statystyczny Województw 2012 [Statistical yearbook of voivodships for 2012], GUS, Warszawa 2012, p. 45 The degree of differentiation of the level of entrepreneurship in the regions of Eastern Polish was assessed by analysing the indicator of enterprise density, i.e. number of enterprises per 1,000 inhabitants, in the NUTS 3 subregions in 2011 (Table 5). The highest value of this indicator was recorded in the NUTS 3 sub-regions in all the voivodships. These NUTS 3 sub-regions covered the regional capitals: 93.3 entities per 1,000 inhabitants in sub-region of Kielce, 90.4 in the sub-region of Lublin, 89.53 in the sub-region of Białystok, 87.9 in the sub-region of Olsztyn and 77.8 in the sub-region of Rzeszów. The values in these regional centres of growth are higher than the average one for Poland, which can be regarded as a positive sign of initiation of development in the regions of Eastern Poland. The level of entrepreneurship varies much in each voivodship; and it is highest in the voivodships of lubelskie and świętokrzyskie. In the lubelskie voivodship, the number of registered business entities per 1,000 inhabitants in the sub-region of Lublin was 90.4 whereas in the bielski sub-region was 64.4 only. The świętokrzyskie voivodship has got 93.3 registered entities per 1,000 inhabitants in the subregion of Kielce and 66.4 in the sandomiersko-jędrzejowski sub-region only. Similarly, some low values of this indicator were recorded in the other Eastern sub-regions, remote from the regional capitals. This fact confirms that the clusters of SMEs can chiefly flourish if there are adequate markets, a skilled workforce, access to specialised services and financial resources, and developed infrastructure. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 209 210 KRYSTYNA LESZCZEWSKA Table 5. Business entities in the NUTS 3 sub-regions in Eastern Poland in 2011 Entities registered in the REGON register per 1,000 inhabitants Entrepreneurs per 1,000 inhabitants LUBELSKIE Sub-regions: bialski chełmsko-zamojski lubelski puławski 74.6 57.4 64.4 67.2 90.4 67.8 49.1 52.5 68.4 53.2 PODKARPACKIE Sub-regions: krośnieński przemyski rzeszowski tarnobrzeski 71.0 54.6 72.2 62.3 77.8 68.8 56.9 46.3 59.4 53.2 PODLASKIE Sub-regions: białostocki łomżyński suwalski 76.4 60.3 89.5 66.0 67.8 70.3 52.8 53.0 ŚWIĘTOKRZYSKIE Sub-regions: kielecki sandomiersko-jędrzejowski 82.9 65.3 93.3 66.4 73.6 52.2 WARMIŃSKO-MAZURSKIE Sub-regions: elbląski ełcki olsztyński 80.7 58.6 74.4 76.7 87.9 54.3 56.4 63.5 Region/sub-region Source: Developed according to: Rocznik Statystyczny Województw 2012 [Statistical yearbook of voivodships for 2012], GUS, Warszawa 2012, pp. 172-176 The annual study of SMEs by Polska Agencja Rozwoju Przedsiębiorczości [Polish Agency for Enterprise Development] provides data about the number of active enterprises and employees of active enterprises per 1,000 inhabitants. According to the GUS data, about 1.73 million enterprises out of all companies registered in the REGON register in 2010 were active12. However, the European Commission claims that there are 1.42 million enterprises in Poland, which 12 Działalność przedsiębiorstw niefinansowych w Polsce w 2010 roku [Activity of non-financial enterprises in Poland in 2010], GUS, Warszawa 2011, p. 31. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES CONDITION OF ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND THE MICRO, SMALL AND MEDIUM-SIZED ENTERPRISE SECTOR ranks the Polish economy in the sixth place in the EU in terms of the number of enterprises. The number of active SMEs, or actually engaged in economic activities per 1,000 inhabitants in Poland in 2010 was 45.2 (Table 6). Most active enterprises are micro-enterprises or enterprises with 0-9 employees. The number of SMEs by region in 2010 was as follows: most enterprises per 1,000 residents were recorded in the mazowieckie voivodship (54.4), followed by wielkopolskie (51.2), pomorskie (49.8); and least enterprises were in podkarpackie (32.7), lubelskie (34.0) and podlaskie (35.1). Table 6. Active enterprises per 1,000 residents in 2010 Country/voivodships Total POLAND 45.2 Dolnośląskie 47.2 Kujawsko-pomorskie 41.3 Lubelskie 34.0 Lubuskie 44.0 Łódzkie 45.8 Małopolskie 47.7 Mazowieckie 54.4 Opolskie 35.7 Podkarpackie 32.7 Podlaskie 35.1 Pomorskie 49.8 Śląskie 43.4 Świętokrzyskie 37.4 Warmińsko-Mazurskie 38.9 Wielkopolskie 51.2 Zachodniopomorskie 53.3 Source: Developed according to Działalność przedsiębiorstw niefinansowych w Polsce w 2010 roku [Activity of non-financial enterprises in Poland in 2010], GUS, Warszawa 2011, pp. 64-65 At the end of 2010, the surveyed companies employed 8,859.1 employees (Table 7). Most employees were reported in enterprises established in ma- EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 211 212 KRYSTYNA LESZCZEWSKA zowieckie (21.4%) and śląskie (13.2%) 13. Least employees were in the enterprises from the voivodships of podlaskie, opolskie, lubuskie, and świętokrzyskie, i.e. from 1.9% to 2.3%. The voivodships of mazowieckie, wielkopolskie, śląskie were at the forefront in terms of the number of employees per 1,000 inhabitants. At the end of 2010, 361.6 and 266.2 persons per 1000 inhabitants were employed in enterprises in mazowieckie and wielkopolskie, respectively. The least number of employees in enterprises per 1,000 inhabitants were reported in podlaskie and lubelskie, i.e. 144.0 and 153.0, respectively. Table 7. Employees in the active enterprises per 1,000 inhabitants in 2010 Country/voivodships Employees in active enterprises per 1,000 inhabitants POLAND 231.9 Dolnośląskie 240.7 Kujawsko-pomorskie 191.6 Lubelskie 153.0 Lubuskie 200.1 Łódzkie 217.8 Małopolskie 227.9 Mazowieckie 361.6 Opolskie 167.9 Podkarpackie 171.4 Podlaskie 144.0 Pomorskie 218.4 Śląskie 251.8 Świętokrzyskie 163.1 Warmińsko-Mazurskie 165.2 Wielkopolskie 266.2 Zachodniopomorskie 190.5 Source: Developed according to Działalność przedsiębiorstw niefinansowych w Polsce w 2010 roku [Activity of non-financial enterprises in Poland in 2010], GUS, Warszawa 2011, pp. 64-65 13 Działalność przedsiębiorstw niefinansowych w Polsce w 2010 roku [Activity of non-financial enterprises in Poland in 2010], GUS, Warszawa 2011, p. 32. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES CONDITION OF ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND THE MICRO, SMALL AND MEDIUM-SIZED ENTERPRISE SECTOR 4. Innovative entrepreneurship Innovation is considered in today’s economy as a key factor behind competitiveness of enterprises, regions and countries. The previous competitive advantages such as low labour costs are losing their meaning. Creating new competitive advantages based on knowledge and innovation can ensure sustainable development. Innovative entrepreneurship is becoming a necessity for companies if they want to compete internationally. Analysis of the potential of innovative entrepreneurship in the regions of Eastern Poland can help evaluate the prospects of gaining a competitive advantage by the entities operating there. As defined by GUS, innovative activity involves a number of research, technical, management, financial and commercial activities to develop and implement innovations14. Innovation involves implementing a new or significantly improved product (good or service) or process, a new method or a new management or marketing method in business practice, workplace management or a relationship with the environment. Typically, innovations implemented by the company can fall into technological innovations to a product and innovations to a production process15. Innovativeness of Polish enterprises, including product, process, management and marketing innovation in terms of statistical indicators is poorer than in most EU countries. Polish companies rank nearly last in terms of average expenditure on innovative activities, percentage of companies that implement innovation, and the average value of sold new or significantly improved products. Polish companies also achieve poor results as compared to other EU countries in terms of expenditure for R&D and the number of enterprises engaged in R&D. Actually, R&D activities are regarded as a chief factor of global technological progress. Published in report Innovation 2010, the studies by Polska Agencja Rozwoju Przedsiębiorczości on the innovative activities by enterprises in Poland Based on the GUS PNT-02 form Sprawozdanie o innowacjach w przemyśle za lata 2006-2008 [Reporting innovation in the industry in 2006-2008]. 15 Innowacyjność 2010 [Innovativeness 2010], ed. A. Wilmańska, PARP, Warszawa 2010, p. 11. 14 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 213 214 KRYSTYNA LESZCZEWSKA in 2006-2008 allow for ranking Polish voivodships according to the percentage of industrial enterprises engaged in innovation activity in Poland in 20062008 to be compared to the corresponding data for companies in the European Union (Table 8). With the average value of the indicator for industrial enterprises that operate in the EU, i.e. 41%, this indicator reached its highest value in Poland for the voivodships of mazowsze and pomorskie, i.e. 25%. The regions of Eastern Poland ranked relatively high compared to the other Polish regions: podlaskie – 24%, podkarpackie – 23%, lubelskie – 22%, świętokrzyskie 20%, warmińsko-mazurskie – 18%. The least number of innovative companies was recorded in this period in the voivodship of lubuskie – 15%. Table 8. Percentage of industrial enterprises engaged in innovation in Poland in 2006-2008 by voivodship General/regions Percentage of innovative enterprises UE – 27* 41 Mazowieckie 25 Pomorskie 25 Dolnośląskie 24 Podlaskie 24 Opolskie 23 Podkarpackie 23 Lubelskie 22 Małopolskie 22 Śląskie 22 Kujawsko-pomorskie 21 POLAND 21 Świętokrzyskie 20 Wielkopolskie 19 Warmińsko-Mazurskie 18 Zachodniopomorskie 17 Łódzkie 15 Lubuskie 14 * the data for the EU refers to 2004-2006 Source: Developed according to: Innowacyjność 2010 [Innovativeness 2010], ed. A. Wilmańska, PARP, Warszawa 2010, p. 1 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES CONDITION OF ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND THE MICRO, SMALL AND MEDIUM-SIZED ENTERPRISE SECTOR The statistics on the amount of expenditure incurred by Polish industrial enterprises on innovation to implement product and process innovations show that this value is increasing year by year. The expenditure incurred in 2011 was higher by 35.2% compared to 2005. A significant increase in expenditure on innovative activity in the regions studied was reported in podkarpackie only, i.e. by 58.7%. The expenditure on innovation activity in the other regions of Eastern Poland in 2011 compared to 2005 decreased (Table 9). In 2005-2011, the percentage of companies that incurred expenditures on product and process innovations reduced across Poland, i.e. from the national average of 38.9% in 2005 to 35.0% in 2011. The reduced percentage of enterprises that incurred expenditure on innovative activities was recorded in all regions of Eastern Poland. Table 9. Expenditure incurred for innovative activity in Poland in 2005 and 2011 by voivodship* Country/voivodship Expenditure for product and process innovation in industry (in thousands of PLN) Enterprises that incurred expenditures for product and process innovation (% of industrial enterprises) 2005 2011 2005 2011 14329.1 19376.5 38.9 35.0 1138.6 1721.0 36.1 35.2 Kujawsko-pomorskie 784.2 567.7 31.2 35.5 Lubelskie 493.9 478.8 43.5 36.5 Lubuskie 121.2 222.8 35.6 27.7 Łódzkie 350.9 2254.3 27.6 31.0 Małopolskie 866.3 1169.5 40.1 40.1 Mazowieckie 3533.9 3808.2 43.5 37.8 Opolskie 275.0 191.2 36.6 35.6 Podkarpackie 671.0 1089.5 47.2 42.0 Podlaskie 304.1 290.5 43.8 34.6 Pomorskie 784.4 777.4 40.8 30.6 2497.7 3838.2 49.2 36.3 422.5 324.3 38.2 36.3 POLAND Dolnośląskie Śląskie Świętokrzyskie EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 215 216 KRYSTYNA LESZCZEWSKA Country/voivodship Warmińsko-Mazurskie Wielkopolskie Zachodniopomorskie Expenditure for product and process innovation in industry (in thousands of PLN) Enterprises that incurred expenditures for product and process innovation (% of industrial enterprises) 2005 2011 2005 2011 257.8 256.1 40.0 32.5 1455.9 1848.1 34.6 33.9 371.7 538.9 25.2 26.0 * the data refers to entities with more than 49 employees Source: Rocznik Statystyczny Województw 2012 [Statistical yearbook of voivodships for 2012], GUS, Warszawa 2012, p. 53 Comparative studies on the level of innovation of individual economies employ R&D activity as a key comparative indicator. Involvement of entities in R&D in each region is described by the following indicators: employment in R&D per 1,000 economically active people, expenditure on R&D per 1 inhabitant in PLN and expenditure on R&D in relation to GDP in % in 2010 (Table 10). Employment in R&D per 1,000 economically active people in 2011 in Poland was 4.8. This indicator was lower in value in all voivodships of Eastern Poland than its average value for Poland. The level of expenditure incurred on R&D per 1 inhabitant in PLN in the regions studied was also lower than its average value for Poland. The expenditure on R&D in relation to GDP in Poland in 2010 amounted to 0.74%. Some higher values than the average one for Poland were reported for podkarpackie only, i.e. 0.97%. Table 10. Employment in R&D and expenditure on R&D in 2011 by voivodship Employment in R&D per 1,000 economically active people Expenditure for R&D per 1 person in PLN Expenditure for R&D related to GPD in % for 2010 POLAND 4.8 303 0.74 Dolnośląskie 5.2 249 0.52 Kujawsko-pomorskie 3.1 89 0.32 Country/voivodships Lubelskie 3.1 174 0.67 Lubuskie 1.7 55 0.14 Łódzkie 3.4 228 0.64 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES CONDITION OF ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND THE MICRO, SMALL AND MEDIUM-SIZED ENTERPRISE SECTOR Country/voivodships Employment in R&D per 1,000 economically active people Expenditure for R&D per 1 person in PLN Expenditure for R&D related to GPD in % for 2010 Małopolskie 7.0 362 1.05 Mazowieckie 9.8 886 1.35 Opolskie 2.4 83 0.13 Podkarpackie 2.9 255 0.97 Podlaskie 3.3 116 0.32 Pomorskie 5.6 274 0.61 Śląskie 3.6 223 0.46 Świętokrzyskie 1.5 112 0.47 Warmińsko-Mazurskie 2.6 138 0.45 Wielkopolskie 4.6 264 0.59 Zachodniopomorskie 3.0 114 0.32 Source: Rocznik Statystyczny Województw 2012 [Statistical yearbook of voivodships for 2012], GUS, Warszawa 2012, p. 55 Analysis of innovative sources of financing shows that the percentage of companies using innovative public support in the EU Member States is much higher than in Poland. The values for 2006-2008 are as follows: Austria – 52%, Finland – 46%, Cyprus – 43%, the Netherlands – 38%16. The percentage of innovative enterprises that received public support in 2006-2008 in Poland amounted to 22%. Funds from the EU institutions constitute the largest share of public support for enterprises in Poland, i.e. 15%. The Eurostat data show that Polish companies are the most numerous beneficiaries of the EU assistance, followed by national resources, i.e. 7% of innovative companies have benefited from this assistance and local resources, i.e. 4% of companies. National public support in regions was mostly granted to innovative enterprises from podlaskie and warmińsko-mazurskie, i.e. 36% and 30%, respectively. It is should be remembered that companies from both regions were the most frequent beneficiaries of the EU funds. Enterprises from the warmińsko-mazurskie voivodship just like the ones from lubuskie, re16 Ibidem, p. 66. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 217 218 KRYSTYNA LESZCZEWSKA ceived local assistance most frequently. State government assistance was granted most often to enterprises from the voivodships of mazowieckie and śląskie. Table 11. Percentage of innovative enterprises that received public assistance (in %) Percentage of enterprises that received public assistance Including the percentage of enterprises that received the EU assistance Dolnośląskie 22 16 Kujawsko-pomorskie 22 16 Lubelskie 21 16 Lubuskie 25 20 Łódzkie 21 14 Małopolskie 18 14 Mazowieckie 21 12 Opolskie 19 10 Podkarpackie 22 14 Podlaskie 36 33 Pomorskie 23 15 Śląskie 25 16 Świętokrzyskie 22 9 Warmińsko-Mazurskie 30 26 Wielkopolskie 23 15 Zachodniopomorskie 17 12 Voivodships Source: Developed on Innowacyjność 2010 [Innovativeness 2010], A. Wilmańska (ed.), PARP, Warszawa 2010, p. 67 5. Developing structures of clusters Small and medium-sized enterprises which compete with large enterprises suffer from strong market competition. Technological development in many areas of the economy makes this internal knowledge solely insufficient. It is indispensable to benefit from the advantages of synergy due to the exchange of knowledge and experience between the company and its en- EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES CONDITION OF ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND THE MICRO, SMALL AND MEDIUM-SIZED ENTERPRISE SECTOR vironment. Enterprises are encouraged to cooperate because of the scale of expenditures for innovation, particularly R&D. Accordingly, the cost of such projects can be dispersed thanks to collaboration with other parties, including competitors. Collaboration is also supported by the fact that enterprises need to collaborate today in highly competitive markets that offer products of a short life cycle. Therefore, these enterprises need to incur high expenditures. The Eurostat data show that Polish enterprises in 20062008 were in the middle of the ranking of companies in the EU countries in terms of the share of companies engaged in innovative collaboration with other entities. The way to strengthen the competitive advantage of regions and enterprises can be collaboration between entities that operate there like companies, research institutions, local governments. This collaboration could involve a direct exchange of knowledge and experience to improve market values of these companies. Clusters are formed out of operating in a given area collaborating enterprises, specialised suppliers, enterprises from related branches and institutions associated17. The benefits from conducting business in a cluster are as follows: creating conditions for dynamic growth in companies by: access to new technologies, transfer of know-how, better access to project financing, lower production and transaction costs; collaboration with academic and R&D institutions and centres; intensifying the relationship between cluster members: joint product promotion, joint implementation of R&D, commercial projects, cooperation in the EU funds raising, joint legal and financial consulting; making an enterprise more reliable for business partners: building a positive enterprise’s image, increasing its bargaining power, its stronger impact on the environment or regional development strategies. 17 M. E. Porter, Clusters and Competition [in:] Porter o konkurencji [Porter on competition], ed. M. E. Porter, PWE, Warszawa 2001, p. 246. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 219 220 KRYSTYNA LESZCZEWSKA So far, no factors that determine the emergence of clusters in specific locations have been unequivocally identified. The favourable conditions include historical factors, availability of natural resources, nearby markets, availability of research staff. Concentration helps create new enterprises, products and new jobs for highly skilled workers. Typically, clusters are groups of enterprises that on the one hand compete with each other but cooperate in those areas where synergy is possible. The synergy of a cluster involves: transfer of know-how, better productivity inside a cluster by consolidated resources. Synergistic effects also bring deeper social trust between partners (building social capital). Accordingly, the risk of small enterprises and cost of risk management can be much less. Table 12. Clusters in Poland* Voivodship Clusters Cluster initiatives Dolnośląskie 3 7 Kujawsko-pomorskie 1 4 Lubelskie 7 15 Lubuskie 1 3 Łódzkie 5 6 Małopolskie 7 4 Mazowieckie 5 6 Opolskie 3 1 Podkarpackie 4 8 Podlaskie 4 4 Pomorskie 6 2 Śląskie 7 1 Świętokrzyskie 5 6 Warmińsko-Mazurskie 5 3 Wielkopolskie 6 3 Zachodniopomorskie 3 4 the data on the clusters are from 2008, updated by benchmarking in 2010 Source: www.pi.gov.pl/PARP/data/klastry/indeks.html 21.07.2011 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES CONDITION OF ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND THE MICRO, SMALL AND MEDIUM-SIZED ENTERPRISE SECTOR The territorial distribution of clusters that already function in Poland and cluster initiatives shows that these institutions are relatively numerous in the regions of Eastern Poland (Table 12). Most clusters and cluster initiatives are reported in the lubelskie voivodship, i.e. 7 and 15, respectively. These organisations are also quite numerous in the other regions studied: świętokrzyskie (5 and 6), podkarpackie (4 and 8), podlaskie (4 and 4) and warmińsko-mazurskie (5 and 3). Collaboration in clusters should be considered a positive boost to enhance entrepreneurial potential in regions of low economic potential. Summary This study on the entrepreneurial potential of the voivodships of Eastern Poland compared to the rest of Poland enables conclusions and recommendations for programmes to support the development of these areas. The voivodships examined, i.e. lubelskie, podkarpackie, podlaskie, świętokrzyskie, warmińsko-mazurskie rank last in the rankings of economic development of Polish regions. Their economic structure is outdated and their infrastructure is insufficient. Their development is hindered by their peripheral location, distance from the sources of capital and technology, less developed and lagging in the transformation countries as neighbours. The following aspects need to be stressed if one attempts to identify the courses of action to support the development of entrepreneurship in the voivodships of Eastern Poland in view of the new 2014-2020 cohesion policy: The need to exploit the endogenous potential of the voivodships of Eastern Poland. The experience of developed countries shows that long-term development can be achieved if activities are focused on flagship economic sectors for a given region which already have a competitive advantage on the national and international scale. One can indicate some emerging clusters of modern industries in the voivodships of Eastern Poland, e.g. aviation, milk processing, furniture, cement, automotive tires manufacturing, EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 221 222 KRYSTYNA LESZCZEWSKA and clusters, e.g. Milk Cluster, Food Cluster “Naturalnie z Podlasia” Podlasie Cluster of Underwear, Eco-Energy Cluster of Lublin, Eastern IT Cluster – Lubelska Wyżyna IT, Aviation Cluster “Dolina Lotnicza”, Cluster of Biomass Manufacturers “Biomasa Świętokrzyska”, Cluster of Elbląg Furniture, Warmia and Mazury Cluster “Razem Cieplej”. Regional and local authorities should encourage the existing clusters to develop, create incentives for new initiatives and foster relationships between cluster members and regional research institutions. Building the business environment in the regions. The development of entrepreneurship in economically underdeveloped regions can be intensified only if it is supported and assisted by business entities. Accordingly, the instruments to support the development of the SME sector, development of entrepreneurship education and development of local business support organisations working for the MSME sector should be applied. The system to support innovation and technology transfer to small and medium-sized businesses should play a special role as this can contribute to building a competitive advantage of these entities. The development of human capital. Nowadays, intangible factors such as human capital, universities and research institutes are increasingly important because they become a determinant of attractiveness of a given place for investment. The impact on the quality of the human capital in Eastern Poland should cover the measures to increase a general level of qualifications and skills of people who live there. Recently, young people living in Eastern Poland have tended to be more interested in education. It is important, however, to accompany a satisfactory quantitative level of school attendance by high quality education, and most importantly to reverse the trend of migration of best-educated young people. To support the quality of human capital requires high-quality education to be supported and regional R&D centers to be developed. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES EASTERN POLAND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES Edited by Bartosz Jóźwik & Mariusz Sagan, Lublin 2013 A N E TA K A R A S E K Creative class Polish regions face the challenges to strengthen and use endogenous potential of individual regions and develop certain mechanisms to enhance the spread of development processes. Consequently, Poland can be capable of joining a group of highly developed creative societies with developing advanced forms of an information society and knowledge-based economies1. The new concepts of regional and urban development refer to creative potential of residents and institutions as one of the key factors in the transition from a traditional to modern development path2. 1 2 P. Artymowska, A. Kukliński, P. Żuber, Rozwój regionalny, polityka regionalna, studia regionalne – nowe interpretacje [Regional development, regional policy, regional studies – new interpretations], Vol. 1, Forum Rozwoju Regionalnego i Polityki Regionalnej Regio Forum, Ministry of Regional Development, Warszawa 2011, p.43. M. Sagan, Potencjał rozwojowy miast wojewódzkich Polski Wschodniej [Development potential of region al capitals of Eastern Poland][in:] Strategiczna problematyka rozwoju Polski Wschodniej [Strategic issues of development in Eastern Poland] edited by D. J. Błaszczuk, M. Stefański, Wyższa Szkoła Ekonomii i Innowacji in Lublin, Lublin 2010, p. 198. 224 ANETA KARASEK At the beginning of 1990’s, in Australia the concept of a “creative nation’ was developed, in response to challenges that had to be faced by innovation in information technology. In the late 1980’s, the term creative city was coined by Charles Landry3 who discussed it in his book The Creative City (1995). In 2003, Richard Florida presented his concept of the creative class in his book The Rise of the Creative Class. His concept of the creative class is based on the prerequisite that it is just creative people who have an impact on economic growth, and representatives of this creative class head for large cities and regions that offer a variety of economic opportunities and stimulating and tolerant environment. Actually, they are capable of creating novelty ideas and are likely to create new jobs to contribute to regional economic growth. It is important to verify whether this concept applies to Polish voivodships and whether a level of economic growth depends on a size of the creative class. In Poland, the group of voivodships with a low level of GDP per capita should be carefully examined. Despite the fact that the GDP per capita in Poland in 2010 (measured by purchasing power parity) has already reached half the average for the EU-25, the GDP per capita of the least developed voivodships, i.e. lubelskie, podkarpackie, warmińsko-mazurskie, podlaskie and świętokrzyskie amounts to only 41-47% of the average for the countries of the enlarged EU4. Adopted by the Council of Ministers in 2008 and revised by the Council of Ministers to be adopted on 11 July 2013, the Strategy of Socio-economic Development of Eastern Poland until 2020 reflects such a special approach towards this macro-region. This study focuses on the creative class of Polish voivodships, especially that of Polish Eastern voivodships and identifies certain interactions between the creative class and economic growth. This paper shall discuss the concept of the creative class, Florida’s 3Tmodel, some methods to measure the size of the creative class in Polish voivodships, the spatial distribution of the crea- 3 4 More in: Ch. Landry, F. Bianchini, The Creative City, Demos, UK 1995. Strategy for Socio-economic Development of Eastern Poland until 2020 (adopted by the Council of Ministers on 30 December 2008 by Resolution no 278/2008), p. 8. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES CREATIVE CLASS tive class in Eastern Poland and evaluates the impact of the creative class on regional economic growth there. The examination employs secondary data, i.e. the statistical data from the Central Statistical Office on the number of active registered business entities operating in certain industries according to the PKD 20075 in the fourth quarter of 2009, 2010, 2011 and 2012 as well as the data provided by the Eurostat, the Polish Patent Office and The Situation of LGBT Persons in Poland. 2010 and 2011 Report. SPSS software is applied for calculating Pearson correlation coefficient. 1. Concept of the creative class The distinguishing characteristic of the Creative Class is that its members engage in work whose function is to ‘create meaningful new forms’. Richard Florida defines the Creative Class as consisting of two components. The Super-Creative Core of this new class includes scientists and engineers, university professors, poets and novelists, artists, entertainers, actors, designers and architects, as well as the thought leadership of modern society: nonfiction writers, editors, cultural figures, think-tank researchers, analysts and other opinion-makers. Whether they are software programmers or engineers, architects or filmakers, they fully engage in the creative process6. Beyond this core group, the Creative Class also includes ‘creative professionals’ who work in a wide range of knowledge-intensive industries such as high-tech sectors, financial services, the legal and health care professions, and business management. These people engage in creative problem solving, drawing on complex bodies of knowledge to solve specific problems. Doing so typically requires a high degree of formal education and thus a high level of human capital. People who do this kind of work may sometimes come 5 6 PKD – Polska Klasyfikacja Działalności – a Polish classification of economic activities performed by economic entities. R. Florida, The Rise of the Creative Class, Basic Books, New York, 2002, pp. 68-69. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 225 226 ANETA KARASEK up with methods or products that turn out to be widely useful, but it’s not part of the basic job description7. As specified in the concept of the creative class, the Super-Creative Core create novelty ideas, products, services, and the another group of Creative Professionals known as knowledge-based workers selects them to use commercially. These two groups are accompanied by a smaller group of Bohemians who review novelty ideas, products, services in varied ways, often parodying them or protesting against it. Bohemians can also create novelty ideas and intellectually support and revive ideas. Bohemian communities include smaller groups of artists, celebrities, niche and alternative art artists, performers, active anarchists, minority activists, etc. Creative Class people such as physicians, lawyers and managers do this kind of work in dealing with the many varied cases they encounter. In the course of their work, they may also be involved in testing and refining new techniques, new treatment protocols, or new management methods and even develop such things themselves. As a person continues to do more of this latter work, perhaps though a career shift or promotion, that person moves up to the Super-Creative Core: producing transferable, widely usable new forms is now their primary function8. The major occupational categories included in the definitions of the major classes are as follows: Table 1. Creative class Super-Creative Core Creative Professionals Computer and mathematical occupations Management occupations Architecture and engineering occupations Business and financial operations occupations Life, physical, and social science occupations Legal occupations Education, training, and library occupations Healthcare practitioners and technical occupations Arts, design, entertainment, sports, and media occupations High–end sales and sales management Source: Florida R., The Rise of the Creative Class--Revisited: 10th Anniversary Edition--Revised and Expanded, Basic Books, 2012, p.401. 7 8 Ibidem, p. 69. Ibidem, p. 69. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES CREATIVE CLASS Richard Florida claims that a country’s geographic center of gravity has shifted from the old industrial regions towards new creative and innovative areas. The creative class heads for large cities and regions that can offer a variety of economic opportunities, a stimulating environment and convenience for everyone9. Members of the creative class are capable of creating novelty ideas and are likely to create new jobs that can contribute to regional economic growth. If regions and cities want to implement the cohesion policy in such a way, they encourage representatives of the creative class to settle there. However, the key to economic growth is not only an ability to attract the creative class, but also to create conditions for creating novelty ideas and high-tech companies. Florida with colleagues and graduated students from Carnegie Mellon developed a statistic portrait of the creative class in the United States of America. Studying the factors capable of attracting creative companies, he focused on finding quantitative and measurable evidence of the significance of diversity and multiculturalism in cities, including tolerance for creativity, cultural preferences and their impact on regional economic development. His findings suggest that the high number of staff representing the creative class is a key determinant of developing creative businesses which look for creative workers in different places. Because it is just an area that can determine that representatives of the creative class can be found there, a given area can also be helpful in finding a job, partners and can provide good conditions for creativity. Regional economic growth as specified by the creative capital theory is driven by the three Ts of economic development10. These three Ts stand for: Talent – creative capital which is measured by the number of persons engaged in creative occupations, R. Florida, Narodziny klasy kreatywnej oraz jej wpływ na przeobrażenia w charakterze pracy, wypoczynku, społeczeństwa i życia codziennego [The Rise of the Creative Class: And How It’s Transforming Work, Leisure, Community and Everyday Life], Narodowe Centrum Kultury, Warszawa 2010, p. 33. 10 Ibidem, p. 257. 9 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 227 228 ANETA KARASEK Tolerance – regarded as being versatile, open minded and friendly to people of different races, nationalities and those who live varied ways, Technology – measured by the volume of concentrated innovation and industries based on cutting-edge technologies because it is just technology and innovation that are behind economic growth. Although necessary, none of these elements is inherently capable of ensuring economic development. If a given area wants to be attractive to creative people, generate innovation and stimulate economic growth, all of these three factors are indispensable11. The fact that these three elements are interdependent has an impact on the size of the creative class which was most influential in 2011 in the following countries:Singapore (47.3%), the Netherlands (46.3%), Switzerland (44.8%), Australia (44.5%) Sweden (43.9%), Belgium (43.8%), Denmark (43.7%), Finland (43.4%), Norway (42.1%), and Germany (41.7%). The United States does quite a bit worse on this measure than on innovation and technology – ranking 27th in the world, just behind Slovakia. One BRIC nation, Russia ranks higher than the U.S. at 20th (38.6%). Brazil is 57th (18.5%), and China 75th (7.4%)12. The U.S. creative class in 2002 includes some 38,3 million Americans, roughly 30 percent of the entire U.S. workforce. It has grown from roughly 3 million workers in 1900, an increase of more than tenfold13. As of 2010, the Creative Class composed more than 40 percent of the workforce in larger metro areas like San Jose, the fabled Silicon Valley, greater Washington, DC, and Boston, as well as smaller college towns such as Durham, North Carolina; Ithaca, New York; Boulder and Ann Arbon14. 11 Ibidem, p. 256. 12http://www.theatlanticcities.com/jobs-and-economy/2011/10/worlds-leading-creative-class-countries/228/ 13 14 R. Florida, The Rise..., p. 74. R. Florida, The Rise of the Creative Class – Revisited: 10th Anniversary Edition – Revised and Expanded, Basic Books, 2012, p. 11. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES CREATIVE CLASS Research on economic growth of different countries have shown a clear interrelation of country’s economic success and aggregate human capital (measured by the level of education)15. Jane Jacobs verified this phenomenon empirically and noticed that cities are capable of attracting creative people and thus stimulating economic growth16. The concept of the Creative City advocates that a culture of creativity should be embedded in how urban stakeholders operate. Accordingly, a set of regulations and incentives should be revised and there should be a shift towards a more ‘creative bureaucracy’. Effective management is inherently an advantage capable of generating potential and wealth. While promoting creativity and accepting the use of imagination in the public, private and community spheres, arange of opportunities and potential solutions to city’s problems is expanded17. The surveyed within the ACRE18 project were to indicate the most creative metropolitian regions out of the ones participating in the project, i.e. Amsterdam, Barcelona, Birmingham, Budapest, Dublin, Helsinki, Leipzig, Milan, Munich, Poznań, Riga, Sofia and Toulouse. The aim of this study was to assess the impact of the emerging ‘creative class’ and the rise of the ‘creative industries’ on the competitiveness of EU metropolitan regions. Wrocław, Kraków, Poznań and Warszawa were most frequently indicated among Polish cities; whereas the most often mentioned European cities included Paris, Berlin, London and Prague19. R. Florida, Narodziny..., op.cit., pp. 228-229. More in: J. Jacobs, Cities and the health of nations, Vintage; Reprint edition, 1985. 17 Ch. Landry, Kreatywne miasto, Zestaw narzędzi dla miejskich innowatorów [The Creative City: A Toolkit for Urban Innovators], Narodowe Centrum Nauki, Warszawa, 2013, pp. 33-34. 18 ACRE project – Accommodating Creative Knowledge – Competitiveness of European Metropolitan Regions within the Enlarged Union. 19 T. Stryjakiewicz, M. Męczyński, Sektor kreatywny w poznańskim obszarze metropolitarnym [Creative Sector in Poznań metropolita area], Vol. II, Atrakcyjność poznańskiego obszaru metropolitarnego dla pracujących w sektorze kreatywnym [Attractiveness of Poznań metropolita area for the employed in the creative sector], Bogucki Wydawnictwo Naukowe, Poznań 2010, pp. 112-114. 15 16 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 229 230 ANETA KARASEK 2. Measuring the creative class in Poland The creative class in Poland was measured with the creative class model20 which is based on the prerequisites of Richard Florida’s concept that the creative class consists of two groups, i.e. the Super-Creative Core corresponding to a range of activities of creative industries and Creative Professionals who largely use knowledge at work, i.e. knowledge-intensive industries. This research model distinguishes six groups of industry whose operating economic entities are regarded as the creative class. Creative activities and entertainment are qualified as industries whose economic entities are engaged in film, sound and music making, journalism, radio and television, advertising, publishing, cultural activities, designing service, and retail sale of cultural property. The other group of industries, i.e. Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) is composed of entities engaged in manufacturing ICT, including computers, electronic and optical devices; in providing ICT services, software and games. The four other groups of industries are: financial intermediation, legal and business services, R&D and higher education, architecture and engineering21. Out of all the registered business entities, we have selected those that can be classified as creative according to the research model adopted, i.e. these entities are engaged in the above industries. The creative class in a given voivodship is measured here by the number of active, registered economic entities operating in the selected industries as of the PKD 200722. Economic entities from the all Polish NUTS 2 regions, in particular the Polish Eastern voivodships of lubelskie, podlaskie, podkarpackie, świętokrzyskie and warmińsko-mazurskie that operated from 2009 to 2012 are examined. More in: A. Karasek, Influence of the creative class on regional development in Poland, [in:] European Union cohesion policy. Experiences, conclusions and recommendations for the years 2014-2020. Vol. 1. Selected problems related to implementing European Union cohesion policy/Influence of the creative class on regional development in Poland, ed. by B. Jóźwik, M. Sagan, T. Stępniewski, Wydawnictwo KUL, 2012, pp. 181-182. 21 Ibidem, pp. 181-182. 22 The Polish Economic Activity Classification (PKD) for 2007 uses symbols, names and scopes for classification groups at five different levels, i.e. section and subsection, division, group, class and sub-class. 20 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES CREATIVE CLASS The data can not be compared because the PKD 200423 was applied to collect the data for the previous years. The creative class, as defined by the research model adopted, of all voivodships in the fourth quarter of 2009 had more than 486,000 active entities. However, more than 508,000 entities were active in the fourth quarter of 2012, which was an insignificant rise of 4.55%. as compared to 2009. Importantly, this increase in the number of entities classified in the creative sector was accompanied by growing GDP per capita in PPS, as shown in Table 2. Table 2. Creative class and GDP per capita in PPS in Poland Size of the creative class GDP per capita in PPS EU-28=100 2009 486,033 61 2010 507,670 63 2011 401,106 65 2012 508,153 66 Source: author’s own study based on data from the Central Statistical Office and the Eurostat The investigation of the share of entities that belong to the creative class relative to all active, registered entities enables its occurrence intensity in Poland to be verified. The average share of entities operating in the creative sector related to the total of registered, active entities operating in the fourth quarter of 2012 in Poland amounted to 14.31%, which is low compared to European countries or the United States. A small size of the creative class in Poland was also reported in Poland 2030. Development Challenges, which, as its authors claim, results from a low share of people who recognise post-material values as the key to achieve development capital, and culture still fails to be regarded as a valuable development resource24. 23 Data collected according the PKD 2007 and PKD 2004 differ in terms of accuracy and classification methods. The PKD 2004 comprises 17 sections and 62 divisions, whereas the PKD 2007 21 sections and 88 divisions. 24 Polska 2030. Wyzwania rozwojowe [Poland 2030. Development challenges], Kancelaria Prezesa Rady Ministrów [Chancellery of the Prime Minister of Poland], Warszawa, 2009, p. 340. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 231 232 ANETA KARASEK The highest concentration of active entities that belong to the creative class was reported in 2012 in mazowieckie (118,235 entities) and śląskie (57,421 entities). Compared with 2009, the highest increase was in małopolskie (109.1%) and mazowieckie (108.7%). The highest share of entities of the creative sector in the total number of entities was reported in mazowieckie (18.82%), whereas this share was below the national average in all the voivodships of Eastern Poland, see Chart 1. This reflects the low share of entities that belong to the creative sector in the total of active, registered entities relative to the other voivodships. Chart 1.Share of economic entities that belong to the creative sector relative to the total of active, registered entities in the 4th quarter of 2012 Source: author’s own study based on data from the Central Statistical Office The size of the creative class in all the voivodships of Eastern Poland is below the national average, and its greatest severity was reported as follows in: lubelskie, podkarpackie, warmińsko-mazurskie, świętokrzyskie and podlaskie. The highest rate of growth of the number of entities operating EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES CREATIVE CLASS in the creative sector between 2009 and 2012 can be recorded for the voivodship of podkarpackie, i.e. 6.08%, while the number of entities decreased by 2.5% in świętokrzyskie. The remaining voivodships recorded a slightly higher number of entities. Note that the ranking of regions has not been impacted by the changes in the size of creative class since 2009, see Chart 2. Chart 2. Creative class in the voivodships of Eastern Poland in the 4th quarters of 2009, 2010, 2011 and 2012 Source: author’s own study based on the data from the Central Statistical Office. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 233 234 ANETA KARASEK 3. 3T model applicable to Polish voivodships The distinguished elements of Technology, Talent, Tolerance in Florida’s 3T model shall have decribed indicators to enable interregional comparisons. Florida’s method of describing his 3T model can not be applied in Poland now for no available regional and comprehensive data. Therefore, this model is adapted to local conditions, and the indicators adopted are based on the available socio-economic data. Talent is measured by a human capital index calculated by the share of tertiary graduates aged 25-64 relative to the total population of this age range in a given voivodship. The highest share of this population relative to the total population is in mazowieckie (29.4%) and the lowest in lubuskie (17.3%), as depicted in Chart 3. Chart 3. Share of tertiary graduates aged 25-64 relative to the total of population of this age in the 4th quarter in 2012 Source: author’s own study based on the data from the Local Data Bank of the Central Statistical Office The highest share of third-level graduates aged 25-64 across the voivodships of Eastern Poland relative to the total population was reported in lubelskie (22.8%) and podlaskie (22.3%) which have much more schools of higher education than the average value for this region. It should be pointed out that EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES CREATIVE CLASS the shares of third-level graduates in lubelskie, podlaskie and świętokrzyskie are more than 20% of the total population only. The concept of the creative class focuses on creating a climate of openness and tolerance as important determinants for economic growth. The U.S. study employed the indicator of the number of homosexual persons to evaluate the level of tolerance. There is no similar research in Poland so the data from The Situation of LGBT Persons. 2010 and 2011 Report serve to evaluate the level of tolerance in Poland. This report analyses the social situation of bi- and homosexual persons in Poland in 2010-2011 based on the results of the survey of 11,144 LGBT persons in 2011. The results show that a high percentage of bi- and homosexual persons continue to experience physical and psychological violence because of their sexual orientation, i.e. 12% and 44% of the surveyed were victims of physical and mental violence, respectively25. The share of persons who hide their sexual orientation from the public sphere decreased by 15 percentage points in the workplace, by 10 percentage points in the school/university, by 13 percentage points from their neighbors. About 70% of the surveyed hide their sexual orientation in their workplace and at school/university, 50% in their place of living, e.g. from their neighbors, and 40% do so even while being in a relationship with a partner of the same sex. However, the share of persons who conceal their sexual preference from their family increased by 7 percentage points, i.e. 63% of the surveyed currently declared that at least one member of his or her family knows his or her sexual orientation26. The third element of the model, or Technology is evaluated based on the Innovation Index which is measured by the number of patents and rights of protection for utility models granted to domestic entities. In 2011, 2,487 patents and rights of protection for utility models were granted to do- Sytuacja społeczna osób LGBT, raport za lata 2010 i 2011 [The Situation of LGBT Persons. 2010 and 2011 Report], ed. by M. Makuchowska and M. Pawlęga, Kampania Przeciw Homofobii, Warszawa, 2012, p. 13. 26 Ibidem, p. 15. 25 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 235 236 ANETA KARASEK mestic entities, which was a significant rise of 26.44% compared to 200927. This increase resulted from a better protection of intellectual property as well as higher expenditures for research and development. The largest number of patents and rights of protection for utility models was granted to entities from mazowieckie (511), śląskie (404) and dolnośląskie (293). The least number was granted to entities from lubuskie(21), podlaskie (21) and warmińskomazurskie(24), see Chart 4. Chart 4. Patents and rights of protection for utility models granted in each voivodship Source: author’s own study based on the data from Raport roczny za 2011 rok [2011 Annual Report], Urząd Patentowy Rzeczypospolitej Polskiej [Polish Patent Office] The number of patents and rights of protection granted in the Polish Eastern voivodships in 2011 is well below the national average. The least of them were granted to entities from warmińsko-mazurskie (24) and podkarpackie (75) which have a small number of schools of higher education relative to the remaining voivodships of Eastern Poland. It is worth examining whether the size of the creative class in a given region depends on the level of technology there. Chart 5 depicts the interre- 27 Raport roczny 2009 [2009 Annual Report], Urząd Patentowy Rzeczypospolitej Polskiej [Polish Patent Office], p. 36 and Raport roczny 2011 [2011Annual Report], Urząd Patentowy Rzeczypospolitej Polskiej [Polish Patent Office], p. 54. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES CREATIVE CLASS lation between patents and rights of protection for utility models granted to domestic entities and the size of the creative class in 2011. Pearson correlation coefficient for the Polish voivodships amounts for 0.931 at a significance level of 0, which indicates a strong interrelation between the size of the creative class in each voivodship and the number of patents and rights of protection for utility models granted to domestic entities. This indicator for the Polish Eastern voivodships is 0.869 at a significance level of 0.56. Chart 5. Patents and rights of protection for utility models granted to domestic entities and the size of the creative class in 2011 Source: author’s own study based on the data from the Central Statistical Office and Raport roczny za 2011 rok, Urząd Patentowy Rzeczypospolitej Polskiej The data collected shows a clear relationship between patents and rights of protection for utility models granted to domestic entities and the size of the creative class in 2011, which is depicted in Chart 5.Importantly, the rise of entities of the creative sector overlaps with the higher number of patents and rights of protection for utility models in four out of the five eastern voivodships, which is except warmińsko-mazurskie. This is due to the fact that members of the creative class working in these voivodships create, implement and patent new projects, which is an impact on the level of technology there. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 237 238 ANETA KARASEK 4. Regional economic growth impacted by the creative class The emerging geography of the Creative Class is dramatically affecting the competitive advantage of regions across the United States. Significant competitive advantage goes to regions that are home to substantial concentrations of this class, whereas regions that are home to substantial concentrations of this class, whereas regions that are home to large concentrations of the Working and Service Classes are by large being left behind28. Concentrations of educated people drive regional growth what is written in the human capital theory advanced by Robert Lucas and Edward Glaeser. Florida said that regional development is powered by creative people, who prefer places that are diverse, tolerant and open to new ideas. Greater and more diverse concentrations of creative capital in turn lead to higher rates of innovation, high-technology business formation, job generation and economic growth29. As discussed previously, Polish studies indicate the small distribution of the creative class in each Polish voivodship. Similarly, the level of economic growth in each region measured by gross domestic product (GDP) per inhabitant, in purchasing power standard (PPS) varies and is lower than 50% of the EU average in all the Polish Eastern voivodships. To verify the impact of the creative class on regional growth, we examined the relationship between the number of entities that belong to the creative class by voivodship in 2010 and gross domestic product (GDP) per inhabitant, in purchasing power standard (PPS), by NUTS 2 region in 2010, which is depicted in Chart 6. 28 29 R. Florida., The Rise..., p. 243. Florida R., The Rise..., p. 249. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES CREATIVE CLASS Chart 6. Gross domestic product (GDP) per inhabitant, in purchasing power standard (PPS), by NUTS 2region in 2010 (in percentage of EU-27 = 100) and the size of the creative class in 2010 Source: author’s own study based on the data from the Central Statistical Office and the Eurostat Pearson correlation coefficient for the Polish voivodships amounts to 0.944, which indicates a strong correlation between GDP per inhabitant in PPS and the occurrence of the creative class in each of the voivodships. In contrast, Pearson correlation coefficient for the Polish Eastern voivodships is 0.933. This indicates a strong negative correlation and that the growth of the creative class decreases the level of GDP. The potential of the creative class of these voivodships is not entirely used. In reference to Florida’s view presented in his book The Rise of the Creative Class, regions with a high share of creative people will perform better economically because they generate more innovations, have a higher level of entrepreneurship, and attract creative businesses. Places that are home to large concentrations of the Creative Class also rank highly as centres of innovation and high-tech industry. Working class centres by contrast have low levels of high-tech industry, innovation, human capital and employment growth. The correlation between Working Class concentration and these factors are uniformly negative and statistically significant. Service Class also EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 239 240 ANETA KARASEK have low levels of innovation, low levels of high-tech industry, and low levels of economic growth30. Summary The paper discusses the concept of the creative class, Florida’s 3T model, some methods to measure of the size of the creative class in Polish voivodships, the spatial distribution of the creative class in Polish Eastern voivodships and evaluates the impact of the creative class on regional economic growth. The aims of the paper, i.e. studying the occurrence of the creative class in Polish voivodships, especially in Eastern Poland and describing the correlation between the creative class and economic growth have been achieved. The investigation proves a clear and significant interdependence between GDP per inhabitant in PPS and the creative class in each voivodships. There is a strong negative correlation in the voivodships of Eastern Poland, which means that the larger creative class there can decrease the level of GDP, and thus the creative class is not sufficiently used there. Moreover, the study indicates a strong correlation between the size of the creative class in each voivodship and the patents and rights of protection for utility models granted to domestic entities. This fact confirms that regions where creative people settle show a better level of technological development, which is reflected in the number of patents and rights of protection for utility models granted to domestic entities. Florida claims that a universal strategy for regions can not be formulated because creating a creative eco-system is an integrated process related to regional specific strengths, and solutions can be found in the knowledge, intelligence and abilities that have region’s inhabitants. Each voivodship can decide individually on solutions but the key is ‘to block those who are block- 30 R. Florida, The Rise..., p. 243. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES CREATIVE CLASS ing’, i.e. decision makers, micro-managers, structures of social control and vertical structures of power that suppress this energy and channel to lose it31. The share of creative class in Poland is small relative to that in Europe and the United States and even smaller in Eastern Poland than the average for Poland. The low level of the creative class in Polish eastern voivodships should be a clue what kind of action should be taken to attract the creative class to come there. Decision makers should focus on creating an environment for the creative class by creating the best possible conditions to live and grow. Smart regional specialisation seem to be important to create an efficient environment for the creative class. The new programming period of 2014-2020 and the 2020 Strategy for European guide the European Union’s action and funds to use regional endogenous potential as efficiently as possible, which provides the voivodships of Eastern Poland with an opportunity to use the existing potential of creative people of this macro-region and attract new potentials there. 31 R. Florida, Narodziny..., p. 17. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 241 EASTERN POLAND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES Edited by Bartosz Jóźwik & Mariusz Sagan, Lublin 2013 J A R O S Ł AW K U Ś P I T Foreign direct investment Intensive capital flow in the form of foreign direct investment (FDI) is a characteristic phenomenon in the modern world economy. Since the early 1990s Poland has been considered to be one of the most attractive investment markets. Its share in capital absorption as FDI in recent years is about 1% of global capital flow. Capital influx, the motives for foreign investments and their influence on the economy are subject to numerous studies and publications. Among tendencies characterizing FDI influx to Poland, the trend of strong concentration of investments in some regions of the country with almost totally neglected other regions is especially striking. This means that there are certain specific factors in the region that can influence its attractiveness for foreign investors. The subject of this analysis will be the influx of direct foreign investment to voivodeships of the Eastern Poland macroregion. It includes a group of five 244 JAROSŁAW KUŚPIT voivodeships: Lubelskie, Podkarpackie, Podlaskie, Warmińsko-Mazurskie and Świętokrzyskie. The main purpose of this analysis is to determine the reasons for scarce interest of foreign investors for locating their activity in this macroregion. Diagnosing the causes should help in forming recommendations for potential activities that may improve investment attractiveness of Eastern Poland. In this chapter, literature data will be reviewed. Based on the available statistical data and an analytical descriptive method, the author will try to identify the most important tendencies and draw appropriate conclusions. 1. Foreign direct investment in theoretical and practical research Capital transfers in the form of foreign direct investment have been part of world economy since its earliest emergence. The especially quick increase in investment values has been observed since the 1980s. Larger scale and significance of FDI flows have been reflected in the increased number of studies attempting at explaining the nature and reasons for this phenomenon on theoretical grounds. A significant area of theoretical deliberations is establishing the determinants influencing the location of foreign direct investments. There is a noticeable disparity among approaches of authors of various theoretical concepts, and the theory itself is considered to be informal1. Many concepts refer to J.H. Dunning’s eclectic theory of international production, also referred to as the OLI (Ownership, Location, Internalization) paradigm. According to this approach, an economic enterprise makes a decision to directly invest in a foreign country when it dominates over the local companies in terms of ownership, location and internationalization and if it is in line with the strategic goals of the enterprise2. Studies on the OLI paradigm allowed for deter1 2 A. Golejewska, Lokalizacja bezpośrednich inwestycji zagranicznych w układzie sektorowo-regionalnym, [in:], A. Zielińska-Głębocka (ed.) Lokalizacja przemysłu a konkurencyjność polskich regionów (w kontekście integracji europejskiej), University of Gdańsk Press, Gdańsk 2009, p. 177 A. Cieślik, Geografia inwestycji zagranicznych, University of Warsaw Press, Warsaw 2005, p. 29. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT mining three groups of factors behind the decision to make FDI. These are factors specific for the country (both of origin and of investment), for the branch of economic activity and for the enterprise itself3. A new theory of international enterprise emerged at the time of dynamic FDI expansion in the late 1980s and early 1990s. It combines elements of Dunning’s concept with empirical studies results. These new approaches are mostly based on models of so called new foreign trade theory utilizing tools of the market organization theory4. The views of the following researchers should be mentioned here: E. Helpman, P. R. Krugman, J. R. Markusen, A. J. Venables and S.R. Yeaple5. Theories concerning direct investment use various approaches to explain the reasons for undertaking economic activity abroad and motives that investors take into account when choosing a country of investment. At the same time, the literature does not include too much data on the factors determining the decisions to locate FDI in particular regions. Analysis of empirical data at the state level allows for a quite precise determination of such factors because national authorities encourage foreign investment inflow by implementing well-defined policies. Thus, many factors occurring at the national level play a similar role in particular regions. However, there are also numerous specific factors determining the evaluation of their investment attractiveness. Analysis of empirical data concerning a spatial distribution of FDI in particular countries indicates significant regional variation. It is most often characterized with strong concentration in certain regions of a country and a total marginalization of many others. A telling example of the described situation is FDI influx into China. Foreign capital concentrates its attention in eastern regions, while the central and western part of the country is largely neglected by foreign companies. It can doubtlessly be explained by central government policy (creation of special economic 3 4 5 A. Golejewska, Lokalizacja..., op. cit., p. 179. A. Cieślik, Geografia..., op. cit. p. 46. Ibidem, p. 48-57. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 245 246 JAROSŁAW KUŚPIT zones) but it is also a result of the evaluation of investment attractiveness. Such a structure of investment influx shows that there are specific factors determining investment location in particular regions. 2. Eastern Poland as a location for direct foreign investment6 As it was mentioned above, analysis of data concerning foreign direct investment influx to particular Polish voivodeships has demonstrated a strong territorial concentration of FDI. Such a tendency is very unfavorable for Eastern Poland. In the specification presented below, the regions analyzed occupy the bottom positions. The combined share of Eastern Poland voivodeships did not exceed 6% of the total value of FDI in Poland in recent years. As many as six single voivodeships had a higher share, and in the dominant Mazowieckie voivodeship there was seven times as much FDI as in the five analyzed voivodeships combined. It should also be stressed that this structure of foreign investment influx has been typical of the whole time period since the 1990s. Analyzing the data in Table 1, we should remember that they are imprecise. Specifications prepared by the Central Statistical Office (GUS) are based on the location of company registration and not the actual place of operation. Due to management reasons and for the sake of prestige many foreign investors register their Polish headquarters in Warsaw and other large cities so their branches and factories established in other parts of the country are counted as investments in the headquarters location. 6 The analysis included here is an extension and actualization of the author’s considerations included in: J. Kuśpit, H. Żukowska, Przyczyny słabego rozwoju zagranicznych inwestycji bezpośrednich we wschodnich regionach Polski, [in:], Cz. Skowronka (ed.), Regionalne aspekty społecznej gospodarki rynkowej, Polish Economic Society, Warsaw 2006. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT Table 1. Foreign direct investment influx to Polish voivodeships in the years 2007-2010 in million euros No. Territorial unit 2007 2008 2009 2010 Midyear 20072010 Midyear share in % Poland 17242 10128 9896 7319 11146 100 1. Mazowieckie 6746 4412 4215 3412 4696 42.1 2. Śląskie 1801 921 828 568 1029 9.2 3. Dolnośląskie 1967 839 773 423 1001 9.0 4. Wielkopolskie 1193 952 773 733 912 8.2 5. Małopolskie 1145 514 547 492 675 6.1 6. Pomorskie 956 493 719 449 654 5.9 7. Zachodniopomorskie 760 518 481 271 507 4.6 8. Łódzkie 601 310 384 186 370 3.3 9. Lubuskie 461 265 159 114 250 2.2 10. Kujawsko-Pomorskie 341 225 245 121 233 2.1 11. Podkarpackie 276 193 207 161 209 1.9 12. Opolskie 265 154 160 106 171 1.5 13. Lubelskie 221 98 138 74 133 1.2 14. Podlaskie 201 56 96 71 106 1.0 15. Warmińsko-Mazurskie 173 76 98 71 104 0.9 16. Świętokrzyskie 136 103 72 67 94 0.8 Eastern Poland 1007 526 611 444 647 5.8 Source: Estimation of GDP per capita and foreign direct investment in voivodeships and leading indicators, BIEC (Bureau for Investments and Economic Cycles), Warsaw 2011, pp. 32-34. However, this remark does not significantly alter the general tendency. Eastern Poland voivodeships score even more poorly if the criterion of FDI per capita is used. They were classified on the five bottom positions and the midyear value of foreign investment in the period analyzed exceeded 100 euro in none of them. In this respect, the Lubelskie voivodeship was the worst in Poland with its FDI per capita of only 61 euro in the years 2007-2010. In comparison, it was 902 Eeuro in Mazowieckie, 348 euro in Dolnośląskie, 300 euro in Zachodniopomorskie. Even in the Łódzkie EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 247 248 JAROSŁAW KUŚPIT voivodeship classified as 10th, the FDI per capita was two and a half times higher7. The starting point for determining the reasons of little FDI influx to Eastern Poland voivodeships should be the identification of the most important factors deciding about their investment attractiveness. Multidimensional studies in this area conducted by institutions dealing with the issue of FDI allow for dividing the location determining factors into two groups8. 1. Direct, so called “hard” factors – allowing for a reduction of investor’s costs: transport accessibility; size and quality of labor force; labor costs; access to local and foreign sales market; development of economic infrastructure. 2. Indirect, so called “soft” factors: level of economic development; development of social infrastructure; environmental protection policies; local community activity in attracting investors; level of general safety. The role of particular factors changes depending on the type of investors’ economic activity9. In the case of industrial investment the most important factors, in the following order, are: size and quality of labor force, transport accessibility, labor costs and economic infrastructure development. Decisions concerning investment in services, apart from direct factors, should take into account the following indirect factors much more than in the case of industrial investments: safety level, environmental protection and the level of economic development. Advanced technologies investments, alongside 7 8 9 Estimation of GDP per capita, foreign direct investment in voivodeships and leading economic indicators, BIEC Bureau for Investments and Economic Cycles Warsaw 2011, p. 36. M. Nowicki (ed.) Atrakcyjność inwestycyjna województw i podregionów Polski 2012, IBNGR, Gdańsk 2012, p. 12. Ibidem. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT the above mentioned factors, additionally require a high level of social infrastructure. Transport accessibility The evaluation of this factor depends on the geographical location and the degree of development of particular elements of transport infrastructure. The significant distance between Eastern Poland voivodeships and the western border or sea ports makes access to the EU market difficult. This is a serious obstacle for foreign investment inflow, especially for industrial investors. An additional difficulty results from the poorly developed transport infrastructure. The road network density in the voivodeships analyzed is below the national average. According to the 2011 data, almost all Eastern Poland voivodeships had lower public surfaced road network density compared to the national average. The only exception was the Świętokrzyskie voivodeship with its road density of 127.9% of the national average. The highest ranked Polish voivodeship in this category was the Śląskie voivodeship with its road network density of 200% of the national average10. It should also be pointed out that the proportion of trunk roads, most important for potential investors, was very small. Investment plans concerning a construction of new motorways and expressways do not promise significant improvement in this area. Only two East-West motorways are going to cross Eastern Poland. With no well-developed North-South road network in Eastern Poland, it is hard to assume that this region will become significantly more attractive for foreign investors. The evaluation of the existing railway network indicates that the situation is very similar to the road network system. According to the 2011 data, the Lubelskie and Podlaskie voivodeships had about 4 km of railway tracks per 100 km2. The Podkarpackie, Warmińsko-Mazurskie and Świętokrzyskie voivodeships had their railway network densities in the range of 5.1– 10 Local Data Bank, GUS, Warszawa, www.stat.gov.pl (as of 22.07.2013.) EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 249 250 JAROSŁAW KUŚPIT 6.2 km/100 km2. In the Śląskie voivodeship, which had the best developed network, it was 17.4 km/100 km2.11 When evaluating the weight of the transport accessibility factor for foreign investment location, generally the low level of the whole Polish transport infrastructure should be taken into account. This fact inclines foreign companies to invest in the parts of the country situated closer to countries with their well-developed infrastructure. We should also keep in mind that a well-developed road and railway system within voivodeships determines efficient labor force movement. It is very important, especially for investments in services and advanced technologies sectors. In Eastern Poland voivodeships, it is even more significant due to a low level of urbanization and a small number of urban agglomerations. Such investments can only be located in large centres. It should also be stressed that the voivodeships analyzed are almost totally devoid of air transport infrastructure. Passenger airports are in Rzeszów and Lublin, but the number of airline operations and passengers is marginal. Size and quality of labor force The labor force resources in Eastern Poland have been presented in the table below. Table 2. Eastern Poland voivodeships population in 2011 Age Population Pre-productive Productive Post-productive Unemployed Lubelskie 2 174.8 410.2 1 372.2 389.5 128.6 Podkarpackie 2 127.8 422.2 1 360.2 346.4 148.8 Podlaskie 1 202.0 223.3 746.7 212.9 63.9 Świętokrzyskie 1280.1 228.7 811.1 238.3 87.6 WarmińskoMazurskie 1453.1 284.5 947.9 220.2 99.5 Source: Voivodeships Statistical Yearbook 2012, GUS, Warsaw 2012, pp. 259,266. 11 Voivodeships Statistical Yearbook 2012, GUS, Warsaw 2012, p. 565. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT The data included in Table 2 indicate the quite good population potential of the voivodeships analyzed. The combined number of inhabitants of Eastern Poland constitutes 21.4% of the total population of Poland, while the combined area of the five voivodeships is 20.2% of the territory of Poland. Thus, the population density is lower than the national average of 122 people per 1 km2. It is also much lower than the population density of the top voivodeships: Śląskie – 381 people/km2, Małopolskie – 215 people/km2, Dolnośląskie and Mazowieckie – 145 people/km2 and Łódzkie – 142 people/km2. There is a significant population density variation within individual voivodeships, e.g. in the Lubelskie voivodeship, the Świdnik district has the population density of 154 people/km2, and the Włodawa district only 32 people/km2. Lubelskie and Podkarpackie, alongside Małopolskie and Świętokrzyskie are the only Polish voivodeships in which the majority of inhabitants live in rural areas. At the same time, there are no significant variations in the population age structure although it should be pointed out that the number of people who are not professionally active per 100 people in productive age is above the national average, namely, 56.5 in Podkarpackie, 58 in Lubelskie, 57 in Podlaskie and 57.6 in Świętokrzyskie. Only in the Warmińsko-Mazurskie voivodeship, it has a lower value of 53.2 people12. The worsening of these indicators is the result of unfavorable demographic trends and negative migration balance. The measure often used in a quantitative evaluation of labor force resources is the unemployment rate. However, its significance in investors’ decision making process is rather doubtful. Investors are more interested in cheap labor force with appropriate qualifications. Thus, regions traditionally associated with certain branches of economy are preferred, mostly for industrial investments. The problem of unemployment in Eastern Poland is quite complex. The unemployment rates do not differ much from the national average, 12 Local Data Bank, GUS, Warsaw, www.stat.gov.pl (as of 22.07.2013.). EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 251 252 JAROSŁAW KUŚPIT which was 13.0%13 at the end of 2011. However, if we consider the number of the unemployed per job offer, the situation on the job market looks much worse. In 2011, in Poland, the average value of the indicator was 90. The Eastern Poland macroregion voivodeships had the worst values of the indicator, from 152 in Podkarpackie to 266 unemployed per job offer in Warmińsko-Mazurskie14. The common feature of the unemployment structure in the voivodeships analyzed is the dominance of the up to 34 years age group. It is a group of relatively highest space and competence mobilities. But the structure of the education level among the unemployed is not too favorable. The largest group consists of people with basic vocational education (Lubelskie – 24.4%, Podkarpackie – 30.2%, Podlaskie – 24.4%, Świętokrzyskie – 28.1%, Warmińsko-Mazurskie – 27.8%)15. The proportion of people with an even lower level of education, i.e. junior secondary, primary and incomplete primary education, is also very high (Lubelskie – 23.2%, Podkarpackie – 20.9%, Podlaskie – 27.3%, Świętokrzyskie – 21.1%, Warmińsko-Mazurskie – 33.2%)16. However, these values are generally lower than the national average. The distinctly lowest unemployment rate characterizes people with higher education (from 8.5% in Warmińsko-Mazurskie to 15.4% in Lubelskie, with the Polish average of 11.4%). It should be pointed out that the unemployment rate in this group has increased by 2-3 times compared to 2004. The potential of academic centres in voivodeship capitals as well as newly established colleges in smaller cities facilitate this education level increase. Summing up, the structure of the level of education among the unemployed in Eastern Poland is more favorable than the national average. This gives potential investors a chance for easy recruitment of better educated employees. Number of registered unemployed and unemployment rate in voivodeships, subregions and districts www.stat. gov.pl (as of 20.07.2013). 14 Voivodeships Statistical Yearbook 2012, GUS, Warsaw 2012, p. 318. 15 Ibidem, p. 320. 16 Ibidem. 13 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT Labor cost In many studies of investment motives, low labor costs are often stressed as one of the main factors determining FDI influx to Poland. However, it seems that the significance of this factor when choosing location for direct foreign investment decreases, especially because there is little variation between wages and labor costs in voivodeships. Average cost of 1 paid hour of work in Poland in 2008 was 23.96 PLN. In all the voivodeships analyzed, this value was lower than the national average (in Lubelskie it was 21.81 PLN, in Podkarpackie – 19.68 PLN, in Podlaskie – 22.14 PLN, in Świętokrzyskie – 20.62 PLN, and in Warmińsko-Mazurskie – 20.97 PLN)17. The existing differences in labor costs result from numerous factors such as the employment structure, level of competence or labor market situation. It seems then that this slight advantage of Eastern Poland voivodeships does not compensate the unfavorable influence of other FDI location factors. Access to sales markets This factor considered as local market absorption is extremely important in making the decision of investing in the sector of services. If nominal household incomes are adopted as a measure of market absorption, Eastern Poland voivodeships cannot be regarded as attractive for this kind of investment. The value of monthly net income per capita situates the voivodeships analyzed much below the national average, which was 1226.95 PLN in 2011. Among the Eastern Poland voivodeships, Podkarpackie had the lowest net income of 937.85 PLN. Its level was only 76.4% of the national average. The Lubelskie voivodeship had an income of 1025.80 PLN – 83.6% of the national average, Świętokrzyskie – 86.6% and Warmińsko-Mazurskie – 89.4%. The Podlaskie voivodeship had the highest net income of 1224.92 PLN – 99,8% of the national average18. Low market absorption limits foreign investment influx in the services sector. The influence of market absorption on invest17 18 Labor costs in the domestic economy in 2008, GUS, Warsaw 2009, p. 161. Voivodeships Statistical Yearbook 2012,GUS, Warsaw 2012, p. 318. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 253 254 JAROSŁAW KUŚPIT ment in the industrial sector is less important. In this case, the investment location does not have to be fully compatible with high local demand. Potential chances for Eastern Poland to attract this type of FDI cannot be fully realized due to the large distance of this macroregion from Western European markets, its low level of transport infrastructure and the existing labor market limitations. This is why investors’ interest is limited. The frequently stressed advantage of Eastern Poland is the vicinity of Eastern European countries. It is believed that the absorption of Ukrainian, Russian and Belorussian markets, with a simultaneous opportunity of conducting economic activity on the EU territory should be attractive for investors. Unfortunately, previous experiences do not confirm that investors have taken advantage of such opportunities. Data from companies with foreign capital show that only 6% of their export production reaches the markets of the former USSR countries19. Also, the foreign capital companies share in the total Polish export to the EU was lower than that of other Polish companies. We should keep in mind that only about 35% of foreign investors are involved in export activity. Economic infrastructure This factor plays a very important role, especially due to potential savings for the investor. The insufficient level of this development constitutes a serious obstacle for some forms of economic activity. The network of companies providing financial, insurance, real estate and other services existing in Eastern Poland can be regarded as sufficiently developed. However, there occur certain unfavorable phenomena in this area such as a removal of bank headquarters. A specific element of economic infrastructure with great significance for investors is the functioning of Special Economic Zones (SEZ). Exemptions and facilitations offered by SEZs constitute a significant factor increasing investment attractiveness of a par19 J. Choina, Udział produktów z kapitałem zagranicznym w polskim handlu zagranicznym, [in:], J. Choina (ed.) Inwestycje w Polsce, IKiCHZ, Warsaw 2005, p. 125. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT ticular area. Four SEZs have been located on the territory of the voivodeships analyzed (Mielec SSE, Tarnobrzeg SSE, Suwałki SSE and Starachowice SSE). Additionally, numerous subzones of SEZ are formed in other Eastern Poland towns. So far all Eastern Poland SEZs have attracted 15.1 billion PLN in investment funds and generated almost 60 thousand jobs20. The existence of SEZs in this region of Poland is even more important as they offer appropriately prepared areas ready for investment that are scarce in the voivodeships analyzed. Innovation centers constitute another important element of infrastructure. They are formed with support from academic centers and research and development units. In Eastern Poland voivodeships, favorable conditions for such centers are mainly in academic centers located in voivodeship capitals. Lublin, Rzeszów, Białystok, Olsztyn and Kielce have a sufficient material and personal resources to conduct R&D activities. However, when we analyze the scientific potential in relation to the total area of the voivodeships analyzed, the situation seems much less favorable. In all five voivodeships, the number of scientific and research personnel per 1000 professionally active people is below the national average of 5.3. In Lubelskie, it is 3.4, in Podlaskie – 3.6, in Podkarpackie – 3.4, in Świętokrzyskie – 1.7, and in WarmińskoMazurskie – 2.8 per 1000 professionally active people21. The expenditure on the research and development activity in relation to GDP in Eastern Poland was also below the national average. Only in the Lubelskie voivodeship, it reached the national average level of 0.33% in 201122. Social infrastructure As an indirect factor it does not considerably influence costs of economic activity. However, it defines the quality of living conditions, which may encourage people to migrate to a given territory and increase labor force resources. Special Economic Zones, KPMG, Warszawa 2013, p. 28. Science and technology in 2011., GUS, Warsaw 2012, p. 90. 22 Ibid., p. 69. 20 21 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 255 256 JAROSŁAW KUŚPIT Due to this fact, it is a significant factor regarded by investors in their decision making process. One of the most important elements of social infrastructure is the quality and activity of cultural, educational and health care institutions as well as accessibility of touristic infrastructure. A synthetic evaluation of these elements on the territory of Eastern Poland shows that the voivodeships analyzed are not very attractive for investors in this respect. Nevertheless, it should be pointed out that the situation in particular voivodeships is much varied depending on the respective elements of social infrastructure. Moreover, some elements of social infrastructure may be more important for particular investors than others. That is why an objective evaluation of this factor is difficult and goes beyond the scope of this analysis. The level of economic development One of the factors determining the level of economic development is the structure of economy on a given territory. Even general analysis of the structure of regional economies indicates that Eastern Poland voivodeships differ from the rest of the country in this respect. This is especially true for the Podlaskie and Lubelskie voivodeships, and to a lesser extent for the Podkarpackie voivodeship. If we adopt the contribution of agriculture, industry and services in generating gross value added as a measure of the economic structure, then on the basis of data analysis, the following differences become apparent:23 the contribution of agriculture was much higher than the national average of 3.7% in Podlaskie – 9.6%, Lubelskie – 6.6%, Warmińsko-Mazurskie – 6.6% and Świętokrzyskie – 5.3%. It was lower only in the Podkarpackie voivodeship – 2.9%. It should be pointed out that the value of this indicator in the voivodeships analyzed was higher in 2010 than in the period before 2004. The contribution of industry was lower than the national average of 24.3% in Podlaskie – 18.9%, Lubelskie – 19.9% and Warmińsko-Mazurskie – 22.9%. 23 Gross Domestic Product. Regional Accounts 2010, Statistical Office in Katowice, Katowice 2012, p. 66. Gross Domestic Product. Regional Accounts 2010, Statistical Office in Katowice, Katowice 2005, p. 48. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT In these three voivodeships the contribution of market services was also lower than the national average. While the contribution of non-market services was the highest in Poland – 23.1% in Lubelskie, 22.5% in Podlaskie and 20.8% in Podkarpackie, with the national average of 16.4%. It is certainly not viable to formulate far-reaching conclusions concerning investment attractiveness on the basis of the differences in the economic structure. Nevertheless, considering the economic structure as an indirect factor influencing investors’ decisions about FDI location, it should be stated that the voivodeships analyzed appear to be less attractive than other regions. Such a structure may condition limited possibilities for cooperation with local companies and a lower level of development of business environment services. Natural environment protection The significance of this factor for direct foreign investment influx is not clear-cut. On the one hand, a good condition of natural environment may increase investment attractiveness thanks to better quality of living conditions on a given territory. It may attract investors from the sectors of services and advanced technologies. On the other hand, strict requirements concerning natural environment protection increase costs of investment and economic activity. Some areas, with the especially valuable natural environment are entirely inaccessible for investors. This aspect of environmental protection mostly concerns industrial investment. Because there are no regional differences in legal regulations concerning natural environment protection, the strength of their influence on investment location is determined by the proportion of protected areas in particular voivodeships. In Eastern Poland voivodeships, the share of legally protected areas of significant environmental value in the total voivodeship area is much varied. It is the lowest in the Lubelskie voivodeship where such areas constitute 22.7%. In the Podlaskie voivodeship, it is 32.0%, while the remaining voivodeships are characterized with values much higher than the national average. The highest value is in Świętokrzyskie – 64.5%, followed by 46.7% in Warmińsko-Mazurskie and EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 257 258 JAROSŁAW KUŚPIT 44.7% in Podkarpackie. In Poland, protected areas occupy 32.5% of the whole territory with large variation among voivodeships24. Although it is difficult to determine a straightforward relationship between the proportion of protected areas and investment influx, it should be pointed out that in the five voivodeships which attracted 70.2% of FDI by 2010, this factor value was below the national average. General safety level This factor has little influence on costs of economic activity although such correlations do exist, for example varied personal and property insurance rates in case of higher safety risk. Safety level is mostly connected with the quality of living on a given territory, which can be important for investors and their employees. However, considering the motives of foreign investors in Poland,, it is quite clear that this factor has only marginal significance at the moment. Nevertheless, it should be pointed out that Eastern Poland voivodeships are considered to have the highest level of general safety in the whole country25. Voivodeship self-government activity in attracting investors Although this factor is described last, it is commonly regarded as one of the most influential elements in investors’ decision making process. It was also confirmed by the above mentioned results of questionnaire surveys. The state of preparation of investment areas and intensity of informational and promotional activities among potential investors are regarded here. Synthetic analysis of this factor revealed that within 16 Polish voivodeships, the Świętokrzyskie voivodeship was ranked as 16th, Podlaskie 15th, Podkarpackie 13th, Warmińsko-Mazurskie 12th and Lubelskie 10th26. Such low positions resulted mainly from poorly prepared investment areas there. Environmental Protection 2012, GUS, Warsaw 2012, p. 278. Atrakcyjność..., op. cit., p. 74. 26 Ibidem, p. 65. 24 25 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT Analyzing the activities directed towards foreign investors, other local phenomena should also be taken into account, especially local administration efficiency, general attitudes of authorities and local communities towards foreign investors and a transparence of granting location permits. In a report published by the Research Institute for Market Economy concerning the evaluation of investment attractiveness in 2012, Eastern Poland voivodeships were classified in the bottom five positions27. And in a report prepared by the Warsaw School of Economics Centre for Regional and Local Analysis, the Lubelskie and Świętokrzyskie voivodeships were ranked in class F, that is the least attractive for foreign investors. Warmińsko-Mazurskie and Podlaskie did not score much better (class E) and Podkarpackie was relatively the most attractive (class D)28. The analysis of factors influencing decisions of FDI location in Eastern Poland voivodeships has confirmed their low investment attractiveness. The reasons for this state of affairs are varied. Some conditions are objective and result from historical vicissitudes. A relative lack of industrial tradition compared to other voivodeships and the existing economic structure limit an influx of industrial investment. A slight advantage in terms of lower labor costs may be of a very limited significance for investors. It can only appeal to companies which absolutely need relatively inexpensive labor force in their activity. However, one should keep in mind that such investors will continue looking for further cost reduction so there is a possibility of relocation of their business to different regions or countries in the future. The current structure of foreign investment location in Poland is also unfavorable for the voivodeships analyzed. Due to the agglomeration effect, large FDI influx to certain regions attracts more investors interested in cooperation. Also, competitive companies invest in the same regions because 27 28 Ibidem. H. Godlewska-Majkowska, A. Komor, P. Zarębski, M. Typa, Atrakcyjność inwestycyjna regionów 2012, Warsaw 2012, p. 55. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 259 260 JAROSŁAW KUŚPIT they treat their competitors’ investment as a proof that this area is attractive for their branch of business. This is a kind of self-perpetuating mechanism. Summary We should certainly appreciate the current investments in transport and economic infrastructure, but we should also be aware that the progress in this area will not bring about a significant increase of investment attractiveness of these regions compared to other parts of the country. In other regions, the investments are equally large and often even much more significant. What is more, one should bear in mind that the initial state of the infrastructure was much better in other regions and that they are better situated in relation to domestic and foreign sales markets. An improvement of the level of transport infrastructure in Eastern Poland voivodeships may rather remove the existing obstacles for investment. The distance to the leading FDI regions will most probably be increasing than diminishing. It can be expected that fulfilling investors’ expectations in terms of improved infrastructure will allow for utilizing other attributes of investment attractiveness like, for example, access to the ready markets of the former USSR countries or access to cheaper labor force. The previous experiences with a construction of elements of modern transport infrastructure seem to fully confirm the above remarks, for example, investments along the Garwolin beltway increased interest in investment along the constructed Lublin ring-road. The potential directions of transport infrastructure development should also be considered. Nowadays, the trend to develop East-West transport routes is dominant. It is certainly a positive development although one should keep in mind that it will result in obtaining faster connections with better developed regions of Poland and will not considerably increase the transport accessibility of Eastern Poland for Western European investors. It may, however, improve the utilization of advantages resulting from the vicinity to the Eastern border and development of economic links with Ukraine, Russia and Belorussia. Developing borderland infrastructure should also be regarded as activity fa- EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT cilitating the increase of the significance of the Eastern market. More interest in foreign direct investment in Eastern Poland may also occur in the case of higher FDI influx to Ukraine or Belorussia. International corporations locating their enterprises in these countries will be trying to stimulate cooperation between their outlets located in neighboring countries. This may also result in better foreign market absorption. To achieve real integration within the Single European Market (SEM), activities should be intensified to develop transport connection on the NorthEast route. The most important task would be the transformation of the current S19 trunk road into a transeuropean expressway known as via Carpatia connecting the Baltic states (Estonia, Lithuania, Latvia) through the territory of Eastern Poland with South-Eastern European countries (Slovakia, Czech Republic, Romania, Hungary, Bulgaria) and going further South to the Balkans and Turkey. Such an investment will provide real opportunities for taking advantage of the geographical position of Eastern Poland within the SEM. This concept is justified by the changes in the geographical structure of Lubelskie voivodeship foreign trade. In the years 1999-2008, the highest export dynamics of about 420% was recorded between companies located in the Lubelskie voivodeship and countries which joined the European Union in 2004 and 2007. In effect, the share of export to these countries in the total export of the voivodeship doubled. Especially high dynamics has occurred in export to the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary and Romania29. In order to achieve true advantage of investment attractiveness, more money should be spent in short time to improve infrastructural elements which are still poorly developed compared to other parts of the country like broadband internet availability. It would form a basis for attracting investors offering services such as customer care (call centers), accounting etc. which could use the potential of qualified labor force. 29 For further information see: J. Kuśpit, Handel zagraniczny Województwa Lubelskiego-główne tendencje i ich przyczyny, [in:], J. Rymarczyka, M. Domiter, W. Michalczyka (ed.), Problemy regionalizmu i globalizacji, Prace naukowe Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu, no. 221, Wrocław 2011, pp. 312-320. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 261 262 JAROSŁAW KUŚPIT It seems that the utilization of advantages embedded in the labor force resources of Eastern Poland voivodeships requires significant changes in the system of personnel training. Firstly, it must be fully correlated with the policy of attracting foreign direct investment in preferred branches of economy. Secondly, a system should be created that would facilitate local influence on the creation and support of study and training programs required by the economy. It should involve a strict coordination of activities of public institutions and private entities including secondary schools, universities, job agencies and economic enterprises. Strict cooperation in determining future needs for certain employees qualifications, developing practice and internship systems could enhance education system efficiency from the point of view of potential investors. It is especially important for Eastern Poland voivodeships because, in contrast to other, better developed regions they cannot count on in-migration of employees with desired qualifications. All the voivodeships analyzed have negative migration balance, which, only in 2011 equaled 14588 people30. It should be assumed that such systems should be formed in individual voivodeships because macroregional cooperation in this respect seems unrealistic. European Funds can be used to create and operate such systems. It should be pointed out here that there exists some interpretative imprecision in evaluating the level of competence of labor force in particular regions. Frequently, the presented data include numbers of graduates of various types of schools and evaluations of the level of education based on university rankings, research grants absorption, numbers of citations, etc. It should be emphasized that this kind of evaluation is useful for a limited number of investors only. It is certainly meaningful for research and development center location. But the majority of investors expect solid professional preparation in a sought after specialty. Practical skills and the possibility to obtain personnel with strictly defined competence are more important for them. Only an efficient educational system can ensure this effect even with a lower posi30 Statistical Vademecum of Self-government 2012, GUS, Warsaw, www.stat.gov.pl (as of 22.07.2013.) EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT tion of Eastern Poland universities and schools in nationwide rankings according to the currently used criteria. We should also remember that the improvement of investment attractiveness of Eastern Poland voivodeships largely results from factors independent from regional activity. For example, the utilization of advantages resulting from the geographical location on the Eastern border of the European Union depends on the political and economic relationship between the EU and neighboring countries. The eventual signing of an association agreement with Ukraine and improved economic relations with Belorussia would facilitate more interest in conducting economic activity on the territory of the voivodeships analyzed. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 263 EASTERN POLAND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES Edited by Bartosz Jóźwik & Mariusz Sagan, Lublin 2013 A N N A N O WA K Agriculture Some spontaneous economic processes and achieved agricultural policy objectives can trigger agricultural development. Therefore, all trends in the development of that sector are shaped by national circumstances and global trends which determine the position of agriculture in the economies of individual countries and regions. Regardless of any changes in agriculture and its environment, agriculture remains an integral and essential part of overall social and economic development. The structure and productivity of Polish agriculture have significantly been changed by the new reality shaped by the structural transformation and the CAP instruments affecting Polish agriculture since Poland joined the European Union. Agricultural producers have needed to modernise faster their farms to become competitive on the Community market. Not all farms, however, are able to satisfy the demands of a market economy 266 ANNA NOWAK and the competitive agriculture of developed countries. This is particularly true about farms with low production potential from Eastern Poland. Agriculture in regions with a lower level of socio-economic development can usually face more serious structural problems and worse production factors. The Cohesion Policy and CAP instruments serve to reduce development disparities, including those in agricultural development. This chapter identifies the role of agriculture in the economy of eastern Polish voivodships and discusses the transformations in this sector. Basically, the investigation refers to the 2000-2011 period, or the time span before and after Poland’s accession to the EU. However, some indicators are studied for the 2002-2010 period only because the figures from the agricultural censuses referring to those years can be compared more efficiently or no data is available for 2011. The aspects like the impact of agriculture on macroeconomic indicators, structural transformation and changes in the efficiency of basic factors of agricultural production such as land, labour and capital are evaluated using the data from EUROSTAT and the Polish Central Statistical Office, including those from the Local Data Bank. 1. Agricultural transformation — conditions and significance Agricultural transformations are increasingly shaped by the superordinate system which is no longer industry but the widely understood service sector. That system increasingly goes beyond the scope of national macroeconomics to become global1. Agricultural producers are obliged to compete with European and global producers, which results from Poland’s accession to the EU and globalisation2. Typically, agriculture in economies of developing countries has a declining impact on macroeconomic indicators. This does not mean, however, 1 2 J. S. Zegar, Współczesne wyzwania rolnictwa [Modern challenges to agriculture], PWN, Warszawa 2012, p. 19. D. E. Staszczak, Theoretical Interpretations of the European Union Enlargement: Perspectives from a New Global Paradigm; „Journal of Knowledge Globalization” 2011, Vol. 4, No. 1, pp. 71-92. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES AGRICULTURE that agriculture is losing its tasks like the task of feeding people, social tasks to make rural areas populous and economically coherent, environmental or cultural ones. However, if some of them are simultaneously implemented, they are often mutually exclusive. For example, farms should become concentrated and specialised to improve their competitiveness and income, which in turn may be contrary to the environmental objective of sustainable development. Undoubtedly, that sector has been transformed for years and still should be to meet the challenge of competitiveness with the highly developed agriculture in many European Union Member States. The necessity to accelerate structural changes in agriculture is frequently emphasised. However, that change is limited by a distorted allocative function of the market. While the resource allocation mechanism based on market conditions is the core of a market economy, it can sometimes be inefficient. That allocation mechanism in agriculture can often be interrupted because supply is poorly responsive to price changes and the inefficient selection mechanism which is as an important part of the market mechanism is disabled. That fact is based on the prerequisite that labour and capital flow can proceed smoothly either in time or in space in the economy. Actually, that assumption is out of touch with Polish agriculture which typically shows low mobility of those factors. Regarding that fact, the improved agricultural production in Poland is expensive if its agricultural structure is changed. This follows from the fact that social costs include the case when a new technique replaces numerous production factors irrevocably lost in the economic cycle as a result of that process3. It should be emphasised that structural transformation in agriculture is a comprehensive phenomenon that refers to both change in productivity 3 A. Kowalski, Miejsce polskiego rolnictwa na globalnym rynku żywnościowym [The position of Polish agriculture in the global food market] [in:] Ekonomiczne i społeczne uwarunkowania rozwoju polskiej gospodarki żywnościowej po wstąpieniu Polski do Unii Europejskiej [Economic and social conditions for the development of the Polish food economy after Poland’s accession to the EU], collective work edited by A. Kowalski, IERiGŻ, Warszawa 2010, pp. 13-14. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 267 268 ANNA NOWAK and the rural labour market4. One of the structural problems is an incorrect agricultural structure. Accordingly, there is a tendency to concentrate agricultural land. Admittedly, economic development can devaluate the importance of land in production in favour of capital outlays5, but the improved farm structure favours efficient farm production and economy. Polish agriculture is heavily influenced by the CAP instruments. The main objective of the CAP is to re-transfer economic surplus from the taxpayer and the consumer to the farmer. Czyżewski pointed out that surplus can be returned to producers of raw materials under liberal and global market conditions in an automatic way and without intervention6. Structural change in agriculture is supported by the structural policy which is a part of the CAP. As specified in the structural policy, farms should be large enough to benefit from the achievements of modern agricultural technology and be rationally responsive to the incentives and instruments of the CAP7. In 2007-2013, all actions to develop agriculture and rural areas were excluded from the cohesion policy to be under the CAP. Also, the instruments for structural transformation were more emphasised. The reform of September 2005 consolidated the rules on funding under the market policy and rural development by introducing the European Agricultural Fund for Rural Development8. The instru- 4 5 6 7 8 G. Buchenrieder, J. Möllers (eds.), Structural Change in Europe’s Rural Regions – Farm Livelihoods Between Subsistence Orientation, Modernization and Non-farm Diversification, Vol. 49 of the IAMO Studies Series, 2009, p. 4. D. G. Johnson, The declining importance of natural resources: lessons from agricultural land. Resource and Energy Economics, No. 24, 2002, pp. 157-171. A. Czyżewski, P. Kułyk, Mechanizmy wsparcia rolnictwa w wybranych krajach wysokorozwiniętych i ich makroekonomiczne uwarunkowania [Mechanism to aid agriculture in the selected developed countries and their mascroeconomic conditions] [in:] Regulacyjna rola państwa we współczesnej gospodarce [State’s regulatory role in the modern economy], collective work edited by D. Kopycińska, Printgroup, Szczecin 2006, p. 58. J. S. Zegar, Struktura obszarowa gospodarstw rolnych w Polsce. Stan i perspektywa zmian [Areal structure of farms in Poland. Condition and perspective of transformations], IERiGŻ Warszawa 2009, p. 121. Council Regulation (EC) No 1698/2005 of 20 September 2005 on support for rural development by the European Agricultural Fund for Rural Development (EAFRD). EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES AGRICULTURE ments of support focused on four topic9: strengthening the competitiveness of agriculture and forestry, improving the environment and landscape, improving the quality of life in rural areas and diversifying the rural economy. The cohesion policy is interrelated with the development of agriculture. The structural characteristics of agriculture depends on the level of socioeconomic regional development so if that socio-economic regional development is supported enough, structural changes, including agricultural ones are triggered. This can be even true about the unemployment structure. The volume of regional disparities in Poland makes the objective of the cohesion policy in Poland in 2007-2013 involve “creating conditions for strengthening the competitiveness of the economy based on knowledge and entrepreneurship so that the rise in employment and the level of social, economic and spatial coherence is ensured”10. The instrument to achieve the objective of convergence in Poland in 2007-2013 was chiefly a special trans-regional programme to support the weakest voivodships of Eastern Poland. That programme aimed at creating conditions for rapid socio-economic development and complementing interventions under the regional operational programmes11. Focusing on the structural part of the CAP seems to be justified because the incorrect agricultural structure is reflected in low productivity and insufficient farm income and hinders any technological progress in farms. A farm area does not entirely though can largely determine total farm production potential, its economic strength and a type of farm production12. The transPolityka UE w zakresie rozwoju obszarów wiejskich na lata 2007-2013 [The EU rural development policy 20072013], Komisja Europejska, Luksemburg 2006, pp. 7-9. 10 Ekspercki projekt Koncepcji Przestrzennego Zagospodarowania Kraju do roku 2033, przygotowany przez Zespół Ekspertów Naukowych do spraw Zagospodarowania Przestrzennego Kraju, powołany przez Ministerstwo Rozwoju Regionalnego [Expert draft of the National Spatial Development Concept until 2033, developed by the Expert Research Team for the National Spatial Development], supervised by Professor Piotr Korcelli, Warszawa, December 2008. 11 Efekty polityki spójności UE w Polsce, dokument problemowy [Results of the EU Cohesion Policy in Poland. Problem document], Ministry of Regional Development, Warszawa, sierpień 2009, p. 25. 12 A. Mierosławska, Zmiany w strukturze agrarnej w 3 lata po akcesji Polski do UE w ujęciu regionalnym [Transformations in the agricultural structure after three years following Poland’s accession to the EU] [in:] Rocznika 9 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 269 270 ANNA NOWAK formation in Polish agriculture has previously been impacted by the following CAP instruments13: land consolidation, support offered to farms in areas having unfavourable farming conditions, structural pensions, support offered to semi-subsistence farms, and direct payments. Moreover, determinants that influence agricultural transformation go far beyond agriculture and significantly concern the macroeconomic situation, social issues and the state policy14. Also, that change proceeds differently in each region because of different economic realities there. Gradual structural change contributes to more efficient agricultural productive forces. Agricultural productivity growth in the new EU Member States after 2013 is expected to be largely associated with further technological restructuring that can trigger two economic effects, i.e. food supply growth reflected in lower prices and higher welfare and the ability to achieve higher production at a lower level of employment15. 2. The significance of agriculture for the economy of the voivodships of Eastern Poland The varied agricultural production potential is determined by many factors, including country’s environmental conditions and economic development, e.g. the role of agriculture in the economy and the historical conditions of ag- Naukowych Stowarzyszenia Ekonomistów Rolnictwa i Agrobiznesu, vol. X, issue 3, Wieś Jutra Sp. z o.o., Warszawa-Poznań-Lublin 2008, pp. 393-394. 13 A. Sikorska, Instrumenty oddziaływania Państwa na kształtowanie struktury obszarowej gospodarstw rolnych w Polsce; rola systemu ubezpieczenia społecznego rolników w kształtowaniu tej struktury. Stan obecny i rekomendacje na przyszłość oraz propozycje nowych rozwiązań dotyczących tego obszaru dla systemu ubezpieczeń rolników [The instruments applied by the state to shape the areal structure of farms in Polsce; the role of farmers social insurance system in shaping that structure. Contemporary state, recommendations for the future and suggestions of new solutions to be applied in farmers insurance system], IERiGŻ Warszawa 2009, p. 41. 14 Ibidem, p. 22. 15 Y. Mundlak, D. Larson, A. Crego, Agriculture and Development, Bulletin World Bank Policy and Research, Vol. 8, No. 1, January-March 1997, pp. 1-4. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES AGRICULTURE ricultural development there16. Regarding those factors, Polish regions are quite divergent. The impact of a given region on the national economy can also depend on how that region can use its production potential. If the production potential is known, regional development trends can be specified. Consequently, an investigation of the production potential is an important economic and agricultural research trend. The role of agriculture in the regional economy should be studied in terms of economy, society and environment because the tasks of agriculture go beyond food production. The regional agricultural production potential is shaped, for instance, by agricultural land resources. The share of agricultural land in an area of a given region determines a territorial scope and role of agriculture in the economy. The area of agricultural land and its share in a total region’s area is highest in the lubelskie voivodship among the voivodships of Eastern Poland and ranked second, following the łódzkie voivodship, among Polish voivodships. That share in the remaining regions studied ranges from 53.5% to 64.4%. The total area of agricultural land in those voivodships accounts for nearly one third of their total area in Poland and slightly more than 3% of agricultural land in the European Union. This fact manifests the significant production potential in Eastern Poland. Table 1. Agricultural land in Eastern Poland in 2010 Area of agricultural land Share of agricultural land in an area of a region Share of regional agricultural land in Polish agricultural land thousands of hectares % % Poland 18869.9 60.3 100 Lubelskie 1773.2 70.6 9.4 Podkarpackie 954.2 53.5 5.0 Specification 16 L. Christiaensen, J. Swinnen, Economic, Institutional and Political Determinants of Agricultural Production Structures in Western Europe, Department of Agricultural Economics, Catholic University of Leuven, 1994, Working paper 11. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 271 272 ANNA NOWAK Area of agricultural land Share of agricultural land in an area of a region Share of regional agricultural land in Polish agricultural land thousands of hectares % % Podlaskie 1217.2 60.3 6.4 Świętokrzyskie 754.5 64.4 4.0 Warmińsko-Mazurskie 1322.6 54.7 7.1 Eastern Poland in total 6021.7 60.8 31.9 Specification Source: Self-elaborated from the data of the Central Statistical Office [GUS] – the Local Data Bank. Agriculture as one of the sectors of the economy can impact on macroeconomic indicators, including gross domestic product or gross value added. The strength of this impact can depend on the economic development of a country or region. Economic growth is usually accompanied by a reduced share of agriculture in national income. In 2000-2010, all the regions of Eastern Poland except the podkarpackie voivodship showed positive growth in agricultural gross value added. The largest increase was reported in the podlaskie voivodship which specialises in animal production. Table 2. Changes in the gross value added in the agriculture of Eastern Poland in 2000-2010 Specification Gross value added (mln PLN) 2000 2010 Growth rate Poland 32890 46050 140.0 Lubelskie 2196 3504 159.6 Podkarpackie 1140 1051 92.2 Podlaskie 1567 2943 187.8 Świętokrzyskie 1230 1600 130.1 Warmińsko-Mazurskie 1996 2809 140.7 Eastern Poland in total 8129 11907 146.5 Eastern Poland in total (Poland=100) 24.72 25.86 - Source: Self-elaborated from the data of the Central Statistical Office [GUS] – the Local Data Bank. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES AGRICULTURE The declining share of agriculture in gross value added is supported by factors such as demographic changes, changed consumption patterns and higher social costs of food production17. In Poland in the years 2000-2011, the share of agriculture, hunting, forestry and fishing in the national GDP decreased from 4.4% to 3.6%18. Table 3. Share of agriculture, hunting, forestry and fishing in the gross value added of the voivodships of Eastern Poland in 2000-2010 (in %) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Poland 2000 Specification Share of agriculture, hunting, forestry and fishing in the regional gross value added (%) 4.9 5.1 4.5 4.3 5.0 4.4 4.2 4.2 3.6 3.6 3.7 Lubelskie 8.2 9.2 7.5 8.0 8.3 7.3 6.9 7.8 6.6 6.5 7.4 Podkarpackie 4.4 3.8 3.2 2.8 3.2 3.2 3.0 3.4 2.9 2.5 2.3 Podlaskie 9.9 10.2 8.9 9.1 12.0 11.8 11.5 10.7 9.5 10.2 10.4 Świętokrzyskie 7.0 6.3 6.7 7.3 7.7 6.3 6.2 6.3 5.3 5.1 5.1 Warmińsko-Mazurskie 10.3 10.1 8.6 8.4 9.2 8.5 8.2 7.8 6.6 7.2 8.2 Source: Self-elaborated from the data of the Central Statistical Office [GUS] – the Local Data Bank. The share of agriculture in the gross value added in Poland changes by voivodship and over time. At the national level, it decreased by 1.2 percentage points in 2000-2010 in Poland to reach 3.7% in 2010, whereas it was below 1% in Germany, the UK and Belgium and 1.7% in France and Norway. The countries such as Romania, Bulgaria, Latvia only had that indicator higher than in Poland19. Regarding the voivodships of Eastern Poland, agriculture is the most significant for the economy of the voivodship of podlaskie as its share in the total gross value added of that region has remained almost the same to be highest across Poland. In the remaining voivodships, A. Woś, F. Tomczak, Ekonomika rolnictwa zarys teorii [Economics of agriculture: outline of the theory] PWRiL, Warszawa 1983, p. 32. 18 Based on the figures from the Central Statistical Office [GUS] – www.stat.gov.pl [date of access: 05.02.2013]. 19 Based on the figures from EUROSTAT – http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu [date of access: 05.02.2013]. 17 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 273 274 ANNA NOWAK that share decreased over that period. However, the voivodships of lubelskie and warmińsko-mazurskie rank second among the 16 voivodships, which means a lower level of development in those regions but on the other hand the great importance of agriculture in their economies. Undoubtedly, that fact provides the ground to find some agricultural strengths of those regions to gain a competitive advantage both at the national and EU levels. Investment is the economic outlay to create new or expand existing production potentials and non-productive assets. Importantly, agriculture unlike industry produces an insignificant amount of investment goods which are as pedigree livestock and nursery stock only, but making investment involves outlays like farmer’s work, tractive force livestock and soil20. Table 4. Investment outlay in the agriculture of Eastern Poland in 2000 and 2010 Investment outlay Specification 2000 2010 mln PLN Poland Growth rate 2000=100 Investment outlay per 1 ha of agricultural land 2000 % 2010 Share of outlay in agriculture in the total outlay 2000 PLN 2010 % 2 078.7 4282.4 206.0 112.9 276.2 1.5 2.0 Lubelskie 91.7 326.4 355.9 53.5 230.4 2.2 3.9 Podkarpackie 41.9 181.4 432.9 44.5 261.7 1.1 1.8 Podlaskie 138.4 300.8 217.3 115.3 281.0 6.1 5.9 Świętokrzyskie 66.3 127.4 192.2 90.7 231.4 2.4 1.8 WarmińskoMazurskie 97.0 248.3 256.0 74.3 235.2 3.6 3.8 Source: Self-elaborated from the data of the Central Statistical Office [GUS]: Rocznik Statystyczny Rolnictwa oraz Środki trwałe w gospodarce narodowej z odpowiednich lat [Statistical yearbook for agriculture and Fixed assets in the national economy for the years specified] The investment outlays in agriculture significantly increased in Poland and in each voivodship over that period. The highest growth rates, i.e. more than 4 and 3 times were reported respectively in the voivodships of podkar20 A. Woś, Agrobiznes. Makroekonomia [Agribusiness. Macro-economy], Wyd. KEY TEXT, Warszawa 1996, p. 168. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES AGRICULTURE packie and lubelskie so those regions were ranked first and second in Poland. The lowest investment outlay was in the voivodship of świętokrzyskie with its growth rate lower than that for Poland. However, regarding the value of investment outlay per 1 ha of agricultural land that indicator was in the podlaskie voivodship only as high as the national average. The highest growth rate, however, was reported in those regions where its value was lowest, i.e. the voivodships of podkarpackie and lubelskie. The investment outlays in Poland, including those in agriculture largely increased because of external competition and the need to adapt farms to EU standards, which contributed to a much better status of Polish agriculture on the EU market and higher productivity. The contribution of each region to agricultural national production varies by region. In 2010, the lubelskie voivodship had the largest share in the total production in Poland, i.e. ranked 3rd, following mazowieckie and wielkopolskie and in goods production, i.e. ranked 4th in Poland. Also, that voivodship was a leader in sugar beet production, cereal crop harvest and berry production which was more than one third of national berry production in Poland and nearly half of the total berry production of Polish Eastern voivodships. Also, Eastern Poland produced in 2011 more than one third of the national fruit production and one fourth of the national vegetable production. The voivodship of podlaskie, however, produced more than 18% of milk (2nd position), and a little more than 37% of the national milk production was in Eastern Poland. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 275 ANNA NOWAK Table 5. Share of the voivodships of Eastern Poland in the national agricultural production in 2011 market* cereals sugar beets vegetables fruit pigs for slaughter cattle for slaughter cow’s milk Share in production (in %) gross* 276 Poland 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 Lubelskie 8.4 7.8 9.7 14.6 10.8 22.6 8.1 6.6 6.0 Podkarpackie 2.7 2.2 2.7 1.4 3.4 1.9 1.2 1.2 2.1 Podlaskie 6.3 6.0 4.7 0.3 1.4 0.7 4.8 9.5 18.2 Świętokrzyskie 3.4 3.1 2.6 2.5 7.8 9.9 2.1 5.0 3.2 Warmińsko-Mazurskie 5.6 5.7 6.0 1.2 1.5 0.7 4.9 3.1 7.8 Eastern Poland in total 26.4 24.8 25.7 20.0 24.9 35.8 21.1 25.4 37.3 Specification * the figures refer to the year 2010 Source: Self-elaborated from the data of the Central Statistical Office [GUS]: Rocznik statystyczny województw 2012. GUS [Statistical Yearbook of the Regions – Poland 2012], Warszawa 2012, pp. 520-528 The structure of the market agricultural production in Eastern Poland indicates the spatial divergence of production there. Fruit and vegetable production constitutes more than 30% of market production in the lubelskie and świętokrzyskie voivodships, whereas milk production is typical of the podlaskie and warmińsko-mazurskie voivodships because the shares in sold production are 49.9% and 28.8%, respectively. Table 6. Structure of the agricultural market production in Eastern Poland in 2010 Share in market production Poland Podkarpackie Lubelskie Podlaskie Świętokrzyskie WarmińskoMazurskie Crop production total 37.7 54.0 31.6 10.1 45.6 23.1 cereals 10.1 6.9 7.4 3.9 5.3 12.1 industrial 6.5 9.5 6.7 0.9 3.8 5.1 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES AGRICULTURE Share in market production Poland Lubelskie Podkarpackie Podlaskie Świętokrzyskie WarmińskoMazurskie vegetables 8.2 12.5 8.7 2.2 18.3 1.9 fruit 5.8 19.8 5.5 1.1 13.5 1.1 total 62.3 46.0 68.4 89.9 54.4 76.9 cattle for slaughter 6.0 4.8 5.2 13.4 7.3 4.2 pigs for slaughter 18.1 15.2 16.7 12.6 13.4 16.2 poultry for slaughter 12.8 7.3 12.8 8.9 9.1 24.3 cow’s milk 17.0 12.6 21.3 49.9 18.7 28.8 Animal production Source: Self-elaborated from the data of the Central Statistical Office [GUS]: Rocznik statystyczny województw 2011 [Statistical Yearbook of the Regions – Poland 2011], GUS, Warszawa 2012, p. 540 The agriculture of Eastern Poland plays an important role in organic production which is steadily growing in Poland. In 2011, there were 46% of all organic farms in the five regions. In the years 2000-2011, the number of such farms increased by more than 24 times. The greatest growth rate is reported in the voivodship of warmińsko-mazurskie to follow the voivodship of zachodnio-pomorskie in terms of the number of organic farms and the area of organic farming (98.5 thousands of hectares). The opportunities to develop Eastern Poland can be found, for example, in organic farming, the more that there is a steady increase in the number of organic food processing plants there, e.g. the voivodships of lubelskie and podkarpackie rank third and fifth, respectively. Accordingly, Klaster Dolina Ekologicznej Żywności [Organic Food Valley Cluster] was established to bring together various entities involved in promoting and developing organic food. The cluster is a platform open to entities and organisations committed to developing organic food production in Eastern Poland21. 21 Find our more at: www.dolinaeko.pl EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 277 278 ANNA NOWAK Table 7. Number of organic farms in the voivodships of Eastern Poland in 2004-2010 Specification Organic farms Changes in 2000-2011 2000 2011 Poland 949 23449 22500 Lubelskie 193 2065 1872 Podkarpackie 20 2045 2025 Podlaskie 33 2440 2012 Świętokrzyskie 209 1296 1087 Warmińsko-Mazurskie 55 3033 2978 Eastern Poland in total 510 10879 10369 Eastern Poland in total (Poland=100) 0.54 0.46 - Source: Self-elaborated from the data of IJHARS [Agricultural and Food Quality Inspection], Raport o stanie rolnictwa ekologicznego w Polsce w latach 2009-2010 [Report on the condition of organic farming in Poland in 2009-2010], GIJHARS, Warszawa 2011 and Rolnictwo ekologiczne w Polsce w latach 1999-2000 [Organic farming in Poland in 1999-2000], Warszawa 2001 The development of organic agricultural production in Eastern Poland is also supported by a relatively low level of applied inorganic fertilisers. In the farming year 2010/2011, the level of inorganic fertilisation in none of the five Eastern Polish voivodships was higher than the average values for Poland and was lowest across Poland in the voivodships of podkarpackie and podlaskie. Thus, the facts that Eastern Poland is a peripheral region and its agriculture differs from that of the other Polish regions and the intensive agriculture in many EU Member States appear to be somewhat favourable for the production of high quality products and enable a competition on the national and foreign markets. However, it is very unfavourable that farms there are semi-subsistence due to their fragmentation. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES AGRICULTURE Fig. 1. Consumption of inorganic fertilisation per 1 ha of the agricultural land in Eastern Poland in terms of pure ingredient in the 2010/2011 farming year Source: Self-elaborated from the data of the Central Statistical Office [GUS] – Środki produkcji w rolnictwie w roku gospodarczym 2010/2011 [Means of production in agriculture in the 2010/2011 farming year], GUS, Warszawa 2011, p. 25 3. Structural reforms and changes in the productivity of productive forces The major problem faced by Polish eastern voivodships is their low development measured by GDP per capita. In 2010, the GDP per capita in Poland by purchasing power parity (PPP) constituted 60.6% of the EU average (the EU-27)22 compared to 50.6% in 2004. That value reflects a decreasing development gap between Poland and the EU. However, the disparities across Polish regions are reduced only slightly. That indicator in the voivodships of Eastern Poland in 2010 ranged from 66% in podkarpackie to 77% in świętokrzyskie of the value for Poland and that ratio remained unchanged since 200423. The conclusion can be that those voivodships need to do more 22 Referring to the figures from the Central Statistical Office (GUS) – Polska w liczbach [Poland in figures], GUS, Warszawa 2011, p. 39. 23 Referring to the figures from the Central Statistical Office (GUS) – Local Data Bank. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 279 280 ANNA NOWAK than the other Polish regions to catch up with the EU. That fact also impedes smooth agricultural development, especially structural reforms. The EU structural policy aims at strengthening the competitiveness of agriculture by improving agricultural structures and providing less developed regions with equal opportunities to develop because agricultural structural problems are usually associated with an unfavourable economic situation in a given region. The most important indicators to evaluate agriculture include: share of persons employed in agriculture, share of large farms in the total number of farms and an average farm area24. The number of persons employed in agriculture in Poland over the years shows a downward trend, which is also confirmed by the number of persons employed per 100 ha of agricultural land. That indicator decreased in Poland in 2000-2010 from 23 to 15 persons, whereas it was 6 persons/100 ha in the EU-27 in 2010. Regardless of that downward trend, the percentage of persons employed in agriculture in Poland is also much higher than the average value for the EU-27, i.e. 5.1% in 201025. Employment in this sector remains even several times higher in some Polish regions than that in the EU. Actually, the voivodship of warmińsko-mazurskie is the only region where the share of persons employed in agriculture in the total working population is lower than the average value for Poland. The other regions of Eastern Poland occupy the first four places in Poland with the voivodship of lubelskie ranked first. It is worth pointing out that those are actually the regions which have recently reported the most significant drop in employment in that sector. Simultaneously, such large labour resources in agriculture mean that agriculture in those regions plays an important social role. M. Wojtas: Wspólna polityka rolna a przemiany strukturalne w rolnictwie Unii Europejskiej [Common agricultural policy and structural transformations in the EU agriculture], „Annales UMCS” 2007, Vol. XLI (3), Sectio H, p. 55. 25 Based on the figures from EUROSTAT – http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu [date of access: 05.02.2013]. 24 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES AGRICULTURE Table 8. Persons employed in agriculture, hunting, forestry and fishing in Eastern Poland in 2000-2010 Specification Share of persons employed in agriculture, hunting, forestry and fishing in the total number of persons employed in a given region (%) Persons employed per 100 ha of agricultural land 2000 2010 2000 2010 Lubelskie 51.7 38.8 29.5 19.3 Podkarpackie 46.9 33.2 47.0 34.3 Podlaskie 45.0 31.8 18.9 10.8 Świętokrzyskie 48.6 32.7 39.5 25.6 Warmińsko-Mazurskie 25.3 16.5 9.0 6.5 POLAND 28.0 17.3 23.1 15.0 Source: Self-elaborated from the data of the Central Statistical Office [GUS] – Produkt Krajowy Brutto. Rachunki Regionalne z odpowiednich lat [Gross Domestic Product. Regional accounts for the years specified] A farming structure is one of the important features of agriculture. If the production potential is too dispersed, agricultural output cannot be improved sufficiently and biological and technological progress can be blocked. In the years 2002-2010, the average farm size in Poland increased by 1.2 ha to reach 9.6 ha in 2010. The largest farms are in the voivodships of warmińsko-mazurskie and zachodnio-pomorskie, whereas the smallest ones are in the voivodships of małopolskie and podkarpackie. The average farm size in the voivodships of lubelskie and świętokrzyskie is below than the national average. Regarding the other EU countries, one can notice that the average farm size in Greece, Italy, Cyprus, Hungary, Romania, Malta and Slovenia only is smaller than that in Poland. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 281 ANNA NOWAK Table 9. Changes in the average farm area in Eastern Poland in 2002-2010 Average farm area in ha Specification 2002 2010 Lubelskie 6.6 7.3 Podkarpackie 3.5 4.4 Podlaskie 11.1 12.4 Świętokrzyskie 4.7 5.2 Warmińsko-Mazurskie 17.1 23.6 POLAND 8.4 9.6 Source: Self-elaborated from the data of the Central Statistical Office [GUS] – the results of the National Agricultural Census in 2002 and 2012 The study into the farming structure in Eastern Poland in 2002-2010 shows that the agricultural land is steadily being concentrated (see Table10). Table 10. Structure of farms larger than 1 ha in Eastern Poland by area group of agricultural land and voivodship in 2002 and 2010 (%) Świętokrzyskie >50 ha Podlaskie 20-50 ha Podkarpackie 15-20 ha Lubelskie Years 10-15 ha POLAND Share in the total number of farms (%) Number of farms in thousands 5-10 ha Specification 1-5 ha 282 2010 1562.6 55.1 22.5 9.8 4.6 6.2 1.8 2002 1956.1 58.6 21.8 9.3 4.4 4.9 1.0 2010 189.9 54.1 27.9 9.5 3.8 4.2 0.5 2002 223.3 54.2 28.7 9.9 3.6 3.2 0.4 2010 145.2 82.0 13.3 2.2 0.7 1.3 0.5 2002 198.6 83.4 14.0 1.6 0.4 0.4 0.2 2010 86 30.1 25.6 18.4 10.5 13.9 1.5 2002 99.8 31.9 24.6 19.1 11.2 12.4 0.8 2010 103.1 66.5 23.9 5.7 1.8 1.8 0.3 2002 125.7 66.9 25.3 5.3 1.3 1.1 0.1 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES AGRICULTURE Years 5-10 ha 10-15 ha 15-20 ha 20-50 ha >50 ha Warmińskomazurskie Share in the total number of farms (%) Number of farms in thousands 1-5 ha Specification 2010 44.4 30.7 17.1 15.3 11.1 19.5 6.0 2002 52.1 35.7 15.1 15.5 11.1 18.0 4.8 Source: Self-elaborated from the data of the Central Statistical Office [GUS] – the results of the National Agricultural Census in 2002 and 2010 The share of the smallest farms of up to 5 ha of agricultural land amounted to a little more than 55% in Poland in 2010, while that share had been higher there by 3.5 percentage points in 2000. Those shares in the voivodships of lubelskie, podlaskie, warmińsko-mazurskie were lower than the corresponding one for Poland. Podlaskie and warmińsko-mazurskie are exceptional because the share of the smallest farms there accounted for 30% only. Actually, the share of such farms is decreasing in all the regions. The share of the largest farms, i.e. l arger than 50 hectares of agricultural land increased in all the regions in Poland. However, that share in Eastern Poland, except warmińsko-mazurskie continues to be insignificant. The growth rate in the number of the largest farms was reported just in the regions where the share of such farms was low, i.e. lubelskie – 304%, podlaskie – 228%, świętokrzyskie – 263%, podkarpackie – 172%. One of the methods to strengthen the position of farmers and overcome the effects of the incorrect agricultural structure is team management based on groups of agricultural producers. Unfortunately, as the figures provided by the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development show, farmers in Eastern Poland are insufficiently organised in cluster organisations. In 2010 (as of 12 January), there were 81 producer groups in the five voivodships of Eastern Poland, which accounted only for 16% of all such groups in Poland. Consequently, the idea of establishing all forms of farmers cooperation needs further promotion. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 283 284 ANNA NOWAK Besides the farming structure, another important factor that can impact on the quality of management is the interrelation between production results and resources of factors of production. Polish agriculture faces the problem of low labour productivity which can directly determine the volume of per capita income. The low labour productivity of Polish agriculture can threaten the competitiveness of Polish agriculture or can certainly result in a low cost of labour outlay. To stay competitive, Polish agriculture needs to maintain a low cost of labour26 and improve labour efficiency. The low level of employment in national or regional agriculture is usually accompanied by a high level of economic development. Fereniec distinguishes three phases of employment in sectors of the national economy, i.e. agriculture, industry and services. He claims that agricultural civilisation with about 80% of employment in agriculture is the first phase of social development. Later, it transforms into industrial civilisation known as transient civilisation with agricultural population reaching 10-20% of the workforce. The last phase is service civilisation with employment in agriculture below 10%27. This means that the decrease in agricultural population conditions agricultural progress over a certain period because it contributes to the improvement of the agrarian structure and economic and social consequences, e.g. agricultural income relations and social productivity are improved and social division of labour is enhanced28. Different measures can be used to study labour productivity in agriculture. One of them is the ratio between gross value added and persons employed in agriculture. The productivity measured like that increased in Poland by 53.6% in 2002-2010. However, that ratio increased most in 2004. After 2004, the productivity remained nearly unchanged despite some minor fluctuaStan polskiej gospodarki żywnościowej po przystąpieniu do UE [The condition of Polish food economy following Poland’s accession to the EU], Raport 6 (Synteza), ed. by R. Urban, IERiGŻ, Warszawa 2009, p. 38. 27 J. Fereniec, Ekonomika i organizacja rolnictwa [Economics and agricultural arrangement], Wyd. KeyText, Warszawa 1999, p. 38. 28 A. Woś, F. Tomczak: op. cit., p. 87. 26 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES AGRICULTURE tions. That more significant increase in labour productivity in 2004 can result from, for example, Poland’s accession to the EU and especially the pre-accession programme aid received by Polish agricultural producers. Actually, the labour productivity in three eastern Polish voivodships, i.e. lubelskie, podlaskie and warmińsko-mazurskie increased more than the national value of that indicator. Also, the investment growth rate in those regions increased more than that of Poland, which was discussed in detail in the previous section. 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2010 Growth rate (2002=100) 16 voivodships rating Table 11. Labour productivity in the agriculture, hunting, forestry and fishing of Poland in 2002-2010 by voivodship (in thousands PLN) Lubelskie 7.8 8.6 9.8 8.9 8.9 11.1 10.4 10.5 13.4 13 171.8 Podkarpackie 4.4 4.0 5.0 5.2 5.3 6.4 6.0 5.5 5.2 16 118.2 Podlaskie 11.9 12.4 17.8 18.1 18.9 19.4 18.5 21.4 25.1 9 210.9 Świętokrzyskie 8.4 9.7 11.1 9.2 9.9 11.2 10.7 10.6 11.7 14 139.3 WarmińskoMazurskie 25.2 26.6 32.3 30.5 31.3 32.2 29.4 34.5 40.6 1* 161.1 POLAND 13.8 13.9 17.9 16.6 17.0 18.9 17.7 18.3 21.2 - 153.6 Gross value added per 1 person employed (thousands PLN/person) Specification *the position shared with zachodniopomorskie Source: Self-elaborated from the data of the Central Statistical Office [GUS] – Local Data Bank Labour resources should be converted into annual work units (AWU) because they are not fully used in agriculture. A single annual work unit corresponds to a person who works 2.120 hours per year. In fact, such a method of conversion was applied for the first time in 2002, so our study covers the years 2002-2010 only. The labour productivity per 1 AWU is slightly higher, and it is one of the highest in Poland in warmińsko-mazurskie, i.e. 3rd place. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 285 286 ANNA NOWAK The labour productivity in the voivodships of lubelskie and podkarpackie is lower than the average one in Poland though that of lubelskie is higher than the national growth rate. It is worth pointing out that the labour productivity in Polish agriculture is much lower than in most EU countries. It is nearly 4 and even 8 times lower than that of the EU-27 and countries such as Germany, Denmark, France, Great Britain and France, respectively29. Regarding the fact that the labour productivity in some of the regions under study is lower than the national average, the gap between the agriculture of Eastern Poland and the EU is even greater. This fact reflects the need to continue supporting agriculture and increasing that support especially in those regions, following the principle of cohesion. Table 12. Labour productivity in agriculture, hunting, forestry and fishery in Poland and the selected voivodships in 2002-2010 Gross added value per 1 AWU (thousands PLN/AWU) Specification Growth rate (2002=100) 2002 2005 2010 Lubelskie 8.0 8.9 13.6 170.0 Podkarpackie 4.5 4.9 5.4 120.0 Podlaskie 12.3 19.6 25.6 208.1 Świętokrzyskie 8.5 9.4 11.9 140.0 Warmińsko-Mazurskie 29.1 33.2 43.7 150.2 POLAND 14.6 16.9 21.9 150.0 Source: Self-elaborated from the data of the Central Statistical Office [GUS] – Local Data Bank and the National Agricultural Census for the years specified The land productivity in agriculture, calculated as a value of gross production per 1 ha of agricultural land, also improved in 2002-2009 by 40% and even more in three eastern Polish voivodships. The voivodship of świętokrzyskie 29 The figures from EUROSTAT indicate that labour productivity as measured by gross value added produced by 1 person fully employed in agriculture in 2010 amounted to 12.9 mln Euro per person in the EU-27, 3.5 mln Euro per person in Poland and ranged from 26 to 35.9 mln Euro per person in Germany, Denmark, France, Great Britain. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES AGRICULTURE is a standout because its land productivity in 2009 was higher than 5,000 PLN per ha and ranked one of highest in Poland, i.e. 6th place. Table 13. Land productivity in Eastern Poland in 2002-2009 (PLN/ha) 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Growth rate (2002=100) Gross production per 1 ha of agricultural land (in PLN) Lubelskie 3 169 3 383 3 332 3 638 3 351 3 522 4 719 4 280 135.1 Podkarpackie 2 786 2 833 2 894 3 108 2 680 3 193 3 520 3 394 121.8 Podlaskie 3 030 3 102 3 151 3 657 3 589 3 771 4 676 4 877 161.0 Świętokrzyskie 3 505 3 707 3 794 4 215 3 891 4 194 5 485 5 001 142.7 WarmińskoMazurskie 2 723 2 713 3 026 3 149 3 052 3 216 3 980 4 295 157.7 POLAND 3 540 3 420 3 674 4 046 3 803 4 107 4 886 4 967 140.3 Specification Source: Self-elaborated from the data of the Central Statistical Office [GUS] – Local Data Bank The capital productivity in Poland increased only by 4% in 2002-2010; a greater increase was reported in the voivodships of lubelskie and podlaskie. The ratio between global productivity and gross fixed capital deteriorated in podkarpackie to be below 60% of the national productivity. It should be pointed out that the investment in agriculture in that region is lowest in Poland regardless of its largest growth rate in 2000-2010. In 2010, that indicator amounted to 190.3 PLN per 1 ha of agricultural land, while it was nearly 240 PLN per ha and 322.4 PLN per ha as the average for Poland and the wielkopolskie voivodship, respectively. Capital productivity also decreased because of the lowest gross production rate in Eastern Poland. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 287 288 ANNA NOWAK Table 14. Capital productivity in agriculture in Eastern Poland in 2002 and 2010 (in PLN) Specification Gross production per 1 PLN of gross fixed assets (in PLN) Growth rate (2002=100) 2002 2010 Lubelskie 0.54 0.65 120.4 Podkarpackie 0.51 0.40 78.4 Podlaskie 0.54 0.67 124.1 Świętokrzyskie 0.58 0.60 103.4 Warmińsko-Mazurskie 0.66 0.68 103.0 POLAND 0.65 0.68 104.6 Source: Self-elaborated from the data of the Central Statistical Office [GUS] – Local Data Bank The agricultural production potential depends not only on the resources of factors of production but also their interrelation30. Following the principle of harmonisation, all productivity factors should remain in proportion. If one of those factors is in excess while the others are in deficit, the production process can be disrupted and unfavourable production results can occur31. There are depicted two indicators: the first one refers to the area of agricultural land per person fully employed in agriculture and the second one stands for land technical infrastructure. The former indicator shows how much land is per the workforce and determines the level of labour productivity. The latter one reflects the volume of technical infrastructure in an area and determines, e.g. the intensity of agricultural production. The land technical infrastructure in the Polish eastern voivodships is below the national average unlike the land workforce in the voivodships of warmińskomazurskie and podlaskie where productivity is simultaneously higher than W. Poczta, A. Baer, Zróżnicowanie regionalne w krajach Europy Środkowo-Wschodniej kandydujących do Unii Europejskiej [Regional disparities in the countries of Central and Eastern Europe that are candidates to the EU] [in:] Zróżnicowanie regionalne gospodarki żywnościowej w Polsce w procesie integracji z Unią Europejską [Regional disparities in Polish food economy during the process of integration with the EU], eds. W. Poczta, F. Wysocki, Wyd. AR Poznań, 2002, pp. 85-106. 31 A. Kowalski: Czynniki produkcji w agrobiznesie. Encyklopedia agrobiznesu [Determinants of production in agribusiness. Encyclopaedia of agribusiness], Fundacja Innowacja, Warszawa 1998. 30 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES AGRICULTURE the national one. In the EU-27, there were 16.6 ha of agricultural land per 1 person fully employed in agriculture in 201032. This means that the voivodship of warmińsko-mazurskie had got its workforce greater than the average one in the EU agriculture. Table 15. Correlation of production indicators in agriculture in Eastern Poland in 2010 Agricultural land per 1 person employed in agriculture (ha/AWU) Gross fixed assets per 1 ha of agricultural land (PLN/ha) Lubelskie 6.9 6147 Podkarpackie 4.9 5930 Podlaskie 10.6 6531 Świętokrzyskie 5.6 6420 Warmińsko-Mazurskie 20.7 5205 POLAND 9.0 6583 Specification Source: Self-elaborated from the data of the Central Statistical Office [GUS] – Local Data Bank. Fixed assets in the national economy in 2010, GUS, p. 110 Summary 1. Agricultural underdevelopment, including structural problems is associated with the level of development of a country or region. Hence, the less developed regions like the voivodships of Eastern Poland need to be supported by the coordinated activities of the structural policies pursued by the Common Agricultural Policy and the instruments of the Cohesion Policy to speed up their socio-economic development and develop their agriculture. However, regional development strategies that set the trends of transformations in individual voivodships play a key role there. 2. The share of agriculture in the gross value added of the voivodships of Eastern Poland is relatively high. However, that indicator does not 32 Based on the figures from EUROSTAT – http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu [date of access: 05.02.2013] EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 289 290 ANNA NOWAK have to be regarded as an indicator of underdevelopment and a hindrance to development there. If the strengths of agriculture are exploited and the correct transformation trends are followed, agricultural regions can have opportunities to develop as a result of the considerable potential of the agricultural production in selected regions and the development of appropriate production trends. For example, dairy cattle should be raised in podlaskie or hops and soft fruit in lubelskie. 3. Despite its structural problems, the agriculture in Eastern Poland is important for the economy of each voivodship and the national economy. It produces more than 26% of global agricultural production, including more than one third of fruit and cow’s milk. What is more, the competitive position of that region can be strengthened by the development of organic farming. Reduced inorganic fertilisation and large resources of land and labour contribute to such a production trend. Therefore, we should support that action because it can enable Eastern Poland to become competitive in that way in Poland and the European Union. 4. Structural changes have been done in Polish agriculture since the structural transformation in Poland began. Actually, they became more intensive as a result of Poland’s accession to the European Union and some instruments of the Common Agricultural Policy. Also, the transformation trends are shaped by globalisation. Actually, the pace of that transformation is not sufficient enough although it is higher in some regions of Eastern Poland than that at the national level. Therefore, promoting the concept of group management should become a particularly important trend of regional, national and EU policies, especially in regions such as Eastern Poland which shows the dispersed agricultural production potential. 5. Structural transformations in agriculture are inhibited by some CAP market instruments, especially direct payments to aid farmers’ income. As indicated in the OECD study, direct payments contribute in almost 100% to higher prices of agricultural land and higher lease EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES AGRICULTURE rents33. As a consequence, the flow of agricultural land from farms with low production potential is hindered. The underdeveloped agriculture and rural areas in Poland, especially in the south-east make both the CAP Pillar I and II instruments important and rating them is difficult. However, it should be reasonable to increase the impact of structural instruments to improve quickly the agricultural structure which is one of the major hindrances to improve the competitiveness of the regions of Eastern Poland. 6. Regional divergence in agriculture can be considered as a development opportunity, especially in less developed regions because of lower production costs that result from high employment in agriculture in those areas. Additionally, attention is drawn to achieve sustainable development which means less intensive agricultural production and reduced outlays on agriculture. At the same time, the changes in agricultural and cohesion policies should make them more regional. 33 Farm household income – issues and policy responses, OECD, Paris 2003, p. 70. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 291 EASTERN POLAND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES Edited by Bartosz Jóźwik & Mariusz Sagan, Lublin 2013 BOŻENA OLESZKO-KURZYNA Rural areas Rural areas (regions) cover up to 93.2% of the European Union, which follows from the definition that a criterion for identifying rural areas is population density and rural population. Accordingly, rural areas are not only agricultural areas, but also sparsely populated areas, forests, and other areas that are not transformed by human activity. Therefore, assistance can be granted to different types of problem areas in the EU. Importantly, rural areas are less competitive than urban areas, regardless of their specificity in a given country, which causes problems like increasing depopulation and marginalisation. These problems occur across the EU in varied intensity and any further enlargement of the EU can significantly increase the diversity of rural areas there and deepen gaps in their development. In particular, the conditions of rural areas in the old and new EU Member States differ much but the new EU Member States suffer from this unfavourable situa- 294 BOŻENA OLESZKO-KURZYNA tion more because the agriculture sector plays a relatively significant role in their economies. Moreover, the development gap in rural areas is accompanied by internal regional disparities. This problem is also experienced in Poland as the country is informally divided into two parts, i.e. more developed western and underdeveloped eastern known as Poland A and Poland B, respectively. Despite certain differences in socio-economic structure of the voivodships of Eastern Poland, their economies are dominated by their low efficient agricultural sectors. Also, these regions have got the poorest technical and social infrastructures which determine their investment attractiveness as one of the indicators of quality of life. Additionally, access to the majority of public services is considerably different in the rural and urban areas in these regions. This paper discusses the rural areas of Eastern Poland in terms of their key development problems and identifies their strengths and potential strengths that could be used to improve the competitiveness of these areas. The first part of this chapter provides the definition and typical features of rural areas in the European Union and in Poland and identifies the typical features of the rural areas in the macro-region of Eastern Poland. These are mostly agricultural areas so the development potential of agro-food industry and its environment are studied here. Issues like the infrastructure, innovation capacity and quality of labor resources are not studied here as they are significant for the development of these regions. The examination addresses the rural areas distinguished in the territorial division by Krajowy Rejestr Urzędowy Podziału Terytorialnego Kraju (TERYT) [National Register of Territorial Division of the Country]. This division regards gmina wiejska [rural commune] and a rural part of gmina miejsko-wiejska [urban-rural commune] are rural areas. This study focuses on the specific features of the entire macro-region and to a lesser extent, of each voivodship of Eastern Poland. The research covers the time span of 2002-2010, depending on source data available. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES RURAL AREAS 1. Defining rural areas and the difficulties in rural development in the EU and Poland Rural areas are defined in the EU1 as areas (regions) whose rural population is more than 50% or have a population of less than 150 people per km2. Accordingly, there is a high share of rural areas in many countries despite a frequent low percentage of agricultural area there. For example, more than 90% of Sweden or Finland is regarded as rural areas despite the fact that agriculture in these countries is hardly significant for their economies (Fig. 1). Fig. 1. Rural areas and population in the rural districts in the EU Member States (%) Source: According to: B. Wieliczko, Polityka Unii Europejskiej wobec obszarów wiejskich [EU policy on rural areas], Studia i Monografie, no 134, Instytut Ekonomiki Rolnictwa i Gospodarki Żywnościowej, Warszawa 2006, p. 50. To formulate a coherent policy of rural development, the EU areas need to be classified by statistical units of NUTS 2 or NUTS 3, recommended by the OECD, which distinguish2: 1 2 Council Decision of 20 February 2006 on Community strategic guidelines for rural development (programming period 2007 to 2013) (2006/144/EC). Project CORINE Land Cover provides a detailed typology of rural areas. European Comission, From land cover to landscape diversity in the European Union, Brussels, May 2000. The European Commission is formulating alternative definitions which could reflect better a diversity of largely rural areas and areas near cities. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 295 296 BOŻENA OLESZKO-KURZYNA regions with predominant rural areas where over 50% of population live in administrative units of a population density of less than 150 people per km2; largely rural regions where 15%-50% of population live in administrative units of a population density of less than 150 people per km2, regions with predominant urban areas where rural population is less than 15%. Approximately 58% of the population of the Community3 live in predominantly rural and largely rural regions. These regions generate 45% of gross value added in the EU-27 and 53% of employment. They remain, however, much less developed than urban areas with respect to many indicators. For example, the per capita income in rural areas (as measured by GDP at purchasing power parity) is about one third lower than in urban areas. Also, women economic activity rates are lower, the service sector is less developed, education and access to broadband Internet are worse in rural areas4. Rural areas distant from cities (predominantly rural regions) suffer most because the process of urbanisation leads to an increasing problem of their depopulation and marginalisation. Largely rural regions are in a much better situation as they are becoming more and urban areas in terms of their development thanks to the process of reverse urbanisation5. The diversity of rural areas across the EU Member States results from numerous different factors such as discrepancies in their socio-economic development or geographical and natural conditions, including climate, distance from large cities. However, the condition of rural areas is particularly 3 4 5 B. Wieliczko, Polityka Unii Europejskiej wobec obszarów wiejskich [EU policy on rural areas] Studia i Monografie, no 134, Instytut Ekonomiki Rolnictwa i Gospodarki Żywnościowej, Warszawa 2006, p. 42 overviews definitions widely. Communication from the Commission to the Council and the European Parliament „Employment in rural areas: closing the jobs gap” {COM(2006) 857 final} (SEC(2006) 1772), p. 3. Council Decision of 20 February 2006 on Community strategic guidelines for rural development..., op. cit. Moving from urban areas to easily accessible rural areas. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES RURAL AREAS related to the condition of agriculture and its importance in the economy. Given this criterion, the EU’s rural areas can fall into the following groups6: rural areas of the EU-15 (old EU) with the share of agriculture in GDP and employment as 2% and 4%, respectively; rural areas of the new EU Member States (2004) with the share of agriculture in GDP and employment as 3% and 12%, respectively; rural areas of Romania and Bulgaria (2007) with the share of agriculture in GDP and employment as 10% and more than 20%, respectively. Obviously, a large share of agriculture in GDP and employment are typical of less developed countries, which means that agriculture and the environment is still an integral and important element in country’s overall development, including rural development. Note that rural development is now one of the top priorities of the EU Common Agricultural Policy, CAP, that is increasingly shifting from strongly supported sectoral interventions towards market-oriented policies for sustainable rural development. The CAP is evolving towards a rural development policy7 which recognises agriculture as an important though not the only trend of business activity. The growing significance of a rural development policy is reflected in the gradually transformed structure of the EU CAP expenditures. The CAP expenditures for rural development were nearly 12% in 2000, whereas they were almost twice as high in 20128. The term of rural areas is not clear in Poland because it is not commonly and universally defined. Rural areas are recognised by the official statistics of the TERYT register as the entire territory of Poland excluding urban com- 6 7 8 Commission of the European Communities: Commission Staff Working Document: Update to Impact Assessment Report {SEC(2004) 931}, p. 3. The EU policy on rural areas is assumed to appear in the 1970s along with Pillar II of the CAP (structural policy) and now is carried out within the European Agricultural Fund for Rural Development (it is under discussion whether one can talk about the policy on rural areas or rather the agricultural policy which is extended by the measures to support rural development). According to general EU’s budgets, European Commissions decisions and statistical data. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 297 298 BOŻENA OLESZKO-KURZYNA munes and rural areas in urban and rural communes9. This approach results from the Polish administrative division and three types of communes, i.e. urban, rural, and urban-rural. However, “Strategy for sustainable rural development, agriculture and fisheries”10 and the previous document by the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development “Development trends for rural areas”11 define rural areas as it is in the official statistics though expanded by towns of up to 5,000 people. Also, the programmes co-financed by the EU funds in 2007-2013 regarded the smallest towns of up to 5,000 people (this limit is sometimes higher to be of 20,000 people) as rural areas. However, Eurostat and the OECD use a population density criterion for identifying intensively or poorly urbanised areas. It should be emphasised that a definition of rural areas is important in view of a rural development policy and the ability to support regions. If the definition of rural areas by the EU were adopted in Poland, some underdeveloped though densely populated regions would be deprived of assistance. On the other hand, the today’s definition of rural areas results in the administrative status of rural areas retained to suburban municipalities to which people move from a main city and rural areas where the socioeconomic situation does not differ significantly from the one in urban areas (suburbanisation). Rural areas can be classified as12: located near big cities and closely related with them, located within the impact of large cities and agglomerations, peripheral. 9 Council of Ministers Regulation of 15 December 1998 on detailed rules for handling, applying and sharing the national official register of territorial division and the related responsibilities of government administration bodies and local government units. Dz. U. [Journal of Laws] No 157, item 1031 as amended. 10 Resolution of 25 April 2012, Dz. U. [Journal of Laws] No. 163, item 839. 11 Kierunki rozwoju obszarów wiejskich – założenia do „Strategii zrównoważonego rozwoju wsi i rolnictwa „[Development trends for rural areas – premises for “Strategy for sustainable agricultural and rural development]”, Warszawa, January 2012. 12 Potencjał obszarów wiejskich szansą rozwoju – warunki życia na wsi [Potential of rural areas as a development opportunity – living conditions in rural areas], Forum Debaty Publicznej, 2 March 2001, p. 7. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES RURAL AREAS These areas are differentiated territorially and functionally, and their condition depends on their distance from a regional centre and its influence. Rural areas cover 93.2% of the total area of Poland. The population there is 38.8% of the total population (14.8 million people), i.e. by 1.5 percentage points more than in 2001. The decreasing percentage of urban population seemingly indicates that the process of urbanisation is stopping and the initial phase of reverse urbanisation has just started. Actually, urbanisation is progressing, but much of migration to cities and suburban areas is not registered. Moreover, the slowly changing administrative status of rural areas near cities can even further distort the picture13. In fact, many rural areas and small towns are depopulated and population in central areas of major cities decreases. Population in metropolitan areas, the cities of Eastern Poland and medium-sized cities of a regional function for surrounding rural areas and smaller towns is growing14. Rural areas in Poland are areas where agriculture is important (even dominating in the past). The rural areas are used as agricultural land – 62%, including 46% of arable land. The labour resource is highly involved in agriculture but labour productivity there is much lower than in other sectors of the economy. Agriculture, despite the decline in employment from 22% of the total workforce in Poland in 2002 to 15.8% in 2009 remains an important place of work and a livelihood15. Interestingly, the data collected during the agricultural census indicates that the number of people living on farming is increasing, i.e. it amounted to more than 2.2 million people in 2010, i.e. 13% more than in 2002. Also, the number of people for whom living on 13 If the number of people employed in non-agricultural jobs in urban areas around big cities is estimated, the level of urbanization in Poland will amount to about 65-68%, which is more in line with the criteria adopted in most EU Member States. Ekspercki Projekt Koncepcji Przestrzennego Zagospodarowania Kraju – EPKPZK, 2008. 14 Rozwój miast w Polsce [Development in Polish cities], Raport wprowadzający MRR opracowany na potrzeby przygotowania przeglądu OECD Krajowej Polityki Miejskiej [Introductory report by the Ministry of Regional Development written to prepare the OECD review by the National Urban Policy], Ministry of Regional Development, Warszawa 2010. 15 Rocznik Statystyczny Województw 2003 i 2010 [Statistical yearbook for voivodships for 2003 and 2010], GUS, Warszawa, p. CL-CLIII and p. 284. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 299 300 BOŻENA OLESZKO-KURZYNA farming is a main but not the only occupation increased four times, i.e. from 68,000 to 271,000 people. This situation results from the EU subsidies, higher cost of living in cities and difficulty in finding work on the national and (more and more often) foreign labour markets. The number of households engaged in agricultural activity reduced from nearly 1.9 million in 2010, i.e. by 13% less than in 2002 (the average farm size increased from 8.4 ha to 9.6 ha)16. This means that agriculture as a sector of employment is becoming increasingly important, especially thanks to developing labour-intensive types of production such as organic farming or taking additional non-agricultural activity on the farm17. The number of organic farms increased from 949 in 2000 to 23,449 in 201018. Economic stimulation of rural areas requires diversification of local economies to create new non-agricultural jobs in rural areas and find alternative sources of income in jobs primarily related to the agricultural environment. The number of REGON-registered economic entities determines non-farming employment opportunities. Actually, economic activity in rural areas is much less than in urban areas. In 2003, a total of 3,581,600 business entities was registered in the REGON register in Poland, including 76.3% operating in urban areas and 23.7% in rural areas. During the accession to the EU, the number of entities in this register increased and slightly more of these were operating in rural areas. In 2008, the number of registered entities increased to 3,757,000, including 75.3% that operate in urban areas and 24.7% in rural areas19. Every fourth registered business entity operates in rural areas. Importantly, the number of newly registered business entities is about 60,000 and is twice more than the number of cancelled from the register. 16 According to the data by GUS – results of the Agricultural Census in 2002 and 2012. A. Woś, J.S. Zegar, Rolnictwo społecznie zrównoważone [Socially sustainable agriculture], IERiGŻ, Warszawa 2002, pp. 13-17 and pp. 37-44. 18 According to the data by GUS – results of the Agricultural Census in 2002 and 2012. 19 Konkurencyjność i znaczenie rolnictwa oraz sektora rolno-spożywczego w województwach Polski Wschodniej [Competitiveness and importance of agriculture and agri-food sector in the voivodships of Eastern Poland], Expertise commissioned by the Ministry of Regional Development to update „Strategy for socio-economic development in Eastern Poland until 2020”, Warszawa, November 2011, p. 25. 17 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES RURAL AREAS High employment in agriculture has a direct impact on the labour market. The employment rate in 2010 for the countryside was as high as the national average in Poland, i.e. about 51%, and the unemployment rate there amounted to 9%. Simultaneously, there are significant differences in professional activity of farming and non-farming people, i.e. 66% and 49%, respectively. It should be pointed out that more than 1.1 million employees commuted to the city, which was more than 48% of all commuters in Poland20. The creation of new jobs is chiefly related to the development of small and medium-sized enterprises. The number of registered enterprises was 3,880,237 in 2009, which represents a 6.6% increase compared to 2003. With respect to the size of the enterprises, micro-enterprises with up to 9 employees were dominating in 2009, i.e. 94.7% of all registered enterprises, followed by small enterprises – 4.4%, medium-sized enterprises – 0.8%, and large ones – 0.1%. Larger enterprises are more frequent in urban areas. In 2009, a total of 935,300 business entities was registered in rural areas, which accounted for 24.1% of all entities in Poland. The SME sector in rural areas is more dynamic than in urban areas. In 2003-2008, 39.5% of newly registered enterprises were reported in rural areas and 20.5% in urban areas only. The rural areas in Poland differ much in terms of access to services and technical infrastructure, institutional and social infrastructure as compared with urban and rural areas as well as rural areas that are near cities but still peripheral. An underdeveloped sewerage system and technical and sanitary installations are serious problems. For example, approximately 60% of the rural population is estimated to have no access to sanitation facilities and 80% to a gas pipeline. In 2009, 43% of households (8% in 2004) had Internet access. Moreover, implementing infrastructure projects is increasingly expensive, and thus delayed because of low population density in many regions and protected areas which constitute almost 40% of the territory of Poland. High quality public services are hardly available to people who live in rural areas. For example, serious problems can be significant discrepancies 20 Potencjał obszarów wiejskich szansą rozwoju ..., op. cit., p. 9. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 301 302 BOŻENA OLESZKO-KURZYNA in quality of schools due to their location in urban and rural areas and level of education. The promotion of pre-school education largely differs in urban and rural areas. Access to leisure activities is much worse in rural areas. About 58% of children aged 3-5 years from cities and only 19% from rural areas attended kindergartens. Another problem is that more elementary schools are being closed due to a decreasing number of pupils21. The condition of the rural areas in Poland varies a lot and is impacted by many factors, including especially suburbanisation, changes related to the labour market and fluctuating spatial mobility of rural residents. 2. Rural areas of the macro-region of Eastern Poland – their principal development potentials The regions of Eastern Poland are one of the least socially and economically developed EU regions. The level of their development in 2010 as measured by GDP per capita at the purchasing power parity (PPP), amounted to 60.6% of the EU average22 (50.6% in 2004). In 2009 in none of the voivodships of this macro-region GDP per capita was not higher than PLN 28,000, whereas the average value for Poland was PLN 35,200. The per capita income in the richest Polish voivodship, i.e. mazowieckie was more than 2.3 times higher than in the poorest voivodships, i.e. lubelskie and podkarpackie23. The share of Eastern Poland in the production of the GDP in Poland is relatively low, e.g. in 2009, it accounted for only 15.2% of the total GDP in Poland and was lower than in 2008 by 0.5 percentage points24. Inhabited by more than 21% of the total population, the macro-region of Eastern Poland occupies 31.7% of the territory of Poland. With the aver- 21 Oświata i wychowanie w roku szkolnym 2010/2011 [Education in the school year 2010/2011]. 2012, Informacje i Opracowania Statystyczne, GUS, Warszawa, p. 58. 22 According to the data by GUS – Polska w liczbach, GUS, Warszawa 2011, p. 39. 23 The data do not refer to the migration between these voivodships. 24 Statistical yearbooks for voivodships for 2003 and 2010 and GPD – Regional Calculation for 2009. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES RURAL AREAS age population density for Poland of 122 people25, the value of this indicator for Eastern Poland is low as 86 people only live per 1 km2 there. The natural environment in this macro-region is hardly polluted, which results from its underdeveloped industry. Actually, as much as 40% of the region is protected by law, which, on the one hand, hampers infrastructure projects but favours a tourism function of the region26. The degree of urbanisation in this macro-region is low. Urbanisation, defined as a percentage of urban population, has recently reached about 52% there, whereas the national average in Poland has been 60%. The voivodships of lubelskie and podkarpackie have been most urbanised due to the number of city inhabitants (Fig. 2). Fig. 2. Urban indicators for the regions of Eastern Poland Source: Statistical yearbook for voivodships for 2010, p. 259. Eastern Poland has got the lowest percentage of towns and cities. Out of 962 cities in Poland, 22.9% of them, i.e. 220 towns and cities are in the five 25 Roczniki Statystyczne Województw [Statistical yearbooks for voivodships], GUS, 2001-2010 and GPD – Regional Calculation for 2009. 26 Strategia rozwoju społeczno-gospodarczego Polski Wschodniej do roku 2020 [Strategy for socio-economic development of Eastern Poland until 2020], document adopted by the Council of Ministers on 30 December 2008 (annex to Resolution 278-08). EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 303 304 BOŻENA OLESZKO-KURZYNA voivodships of Eastern Poland. The average area of towns and cities in Eastern Poland is 472 km2, whereas the average for Poland is 346 km2. The towns and cities of this macro-region are less populated than in the rest of Poland. There are three cities only of a population more than 200,000 people, i.e. Lublin, Białystok and Kielce and three cities of a population of 100,000 to 200,000. Towns with up to 5,000 people are most frequent. 30.8% out of 54,033 villages in Poland are just in Eastern Poland. In the years 2002-2009, there were less villages and this reduction was slower in Eastern Poland than in the other voivodships. The progress in infrastructure and transport chiefly reflects the changes caused by the pace of absorbing the rural areas by cities27. The rural areas of Eastern Poland occupy 95.7% of a total territory of this macro-region, which is by 2.5 percentage points more than the national average in Poland. As compared to the other voivodships of Eastern Poland, the voivodship of lubelskie has got most rural areas, i.e. more than one quarter of the rural areas of Eastern Poland (25.5%), followed by warmińsko-mazurskie (24.9%), podlaskie (20.3%), podkarpackie (17.3%) and świętokrzyskie (11.7%). Fig. 3. Population and rural areas in Eastern Poland in 2009 in (%) Source: Statistical yearbook for voivodships for 2010, pp. 91-95 and p. 284. 27 Konkurencyjność i znaczenie rolnictwa oraz sektora rolno-spożywczego..., op. cit. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES RURAL AREAS Eastern Poland has got significant quantity and quality potentials of agricultural land as nearly 31% of the national resources of agricultural land is there. Agricultural land is about 60% of the macro-region, similarly to the rest of Poland. The highest percentage of farming land is in lubelskie and świętokrzyskie (Table 3). This macro-region has got favourable environment conditions to develop agriculture, and the rate of indexation of agricultural production in the three provinces, i.e. lubelskie, podkarpackie, świętokrzyskie are 74.1%, 70.4%, 69.3%, respectively, which is higher than for Poland, i.e. 66.6%. This rate is lower than the national average for Poland in the podlaskie voivodship only, i.e. 55% and similar to the national average in warmińsko-mazurskie, i.e. 66%28. The share of rural population in Eastern Poland is much higher than in the entire country, and the relation is 50.8% to 39%. The employment in agriculture in the macro-region reaches 27.4% of a total employment in Poland, with a total of 15.8% for Poland (5.1% for the EU). The high level of employment in agriculture which is much less productive than other sectors of the economy results in lower values of indicators of labour productivity in the whole economy of this macro-region. As indicated, the agriculture of Eastern Poland is by about 29% less productive than the national average in Poland. This indicator is, however, different in each voivodship, e.g. the labour productivity in agriculture in warmińsko-mazurskie and podlaskie in 2009 was much higher than the average for Poland and was less than 60% of the average in the other voivodships of the macro-region29. In Eastern Poland, the labour resources are less engaged in other sectors of the economy, e.g. in the industry, it amounts to 18.7% for the macroregion and 22.1% for entire Poland, in market services it amounts to 24.2% and 28%, respectively. The labour productivity in non-agricultural sectors of the economy is also lower, e.g. in the industry, excluding processing, it is by Charakterystyka rolniczej przestrzeni produkcyjnej Polski [Characteristics on the Polish productive agricultural space], www.stat.gov.pl. 29 Draft of the updated version of Strategia rozwoju społeczno-gospodarczego Polski Wschodniej do roku 2020, version of 5 April 2013, p. 15. 28 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 305 306 BOŻENA OLESZKO-KURZYNA 12.5% lower than the average for Poland, and in market services – by 11.4%. The lower productivity in various sectors of the economy also results from insufficient tangible assets in the macro-region, e.g. infrastructure, technology and innovation potentials and the quality of labour. Importantly, an increase by 25% of the average productivity of regional economies in 2002-2009 was generated chiefly by individual growth rates in some sectors but hardly by the cross-sectoral changes in employment, or shifting employees from agriculture to other sectors, except for the warmińsko-mazurskie voivodship30. The data indicate that the situation of the labour market in Eastern Poland is not favourable. In 2009, the working population in Eastern Poland was 22.4% of the national labour force resources and the number of economically inactive population was similar, i.e. 21.2% of the economically inactive in Poland31. The years 2002-2009 witnessed the highest growth rate of the economically active population in Eastern Poland, i.e. by 9.4% to 3.0% of the national average but the condition of the labour market in Eastern Poland is worse than in the other regions of Poland. This means that the share of the employed in the economically active population in Eastern Poland is lower than the national average, i.e. 90.6% to 91.8% with a higher share of the unemployed, i.e. 9.4% to 8.2%. In 2009, the unemployment rate in Eastern Poland ranged from 12.8% in the podlaskie voivosdhip to 20.7% in the warmińsko-mazurskie voivodship, and the national average for Poland was lower, i.e. 12.1%. The worse condition of the labour market in Eastern Poland is confirmed by the lowest rate of decline in the unemployment rate. In 2002-2009, this indicator for Eastern Poland ranged from 5.5 percentage points for the podkarpackie voivodship to 7.5 percentage points for the warmińsko-mazurskie voivodship and the average value of this indicator in Poland was 9.0 percentage points. The development of labour market and the creation of non-agricultural jobs is hampered by the low rate of entrepreneurial development in the mac30 31 Ibidem, p. 14. Rocznik Statystyczny Województw 2010 [Statistical yearbook for voivodships for 2010], p. 282 and 292. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES RURAL AREAS ro-region. In 2010, it ranged from 726 business entities per 10,000 people in the podkarpackie voivodship to 859 in business entities per 10,000 people in the świętokrzyskie voivodship (the national average is 1,024 entities per 10,000 people). In 2010, 105 new enterprises per 10,000 people on average were established in Poland, including 84.4 only in Eastern Poland32. Regional capitals and counties attractive to tourists stands out in this respect in Poland. Eastern Poland has got a specific sectoral structure of industry, namely above all a more significant than on average in Poland role of the food industry33. Accordingly, the food industry accounts for nearly 18% of the industry, or by 2 percentage points more than the national average (which is 2-3 times more than two other branches, i.e. rubber and plastics industry and mineral industry). An important role of the food industry in Eastern Poland is confirmed by the share of the sold industrial output of the food industry in the total sold industrial output in the macro-region. In 2010, this share was more than 26%, which means its increase by more than 1 percentage point over a decade. This relationship describes the condition of the food industry in the region and was significantly higher than the national average in the industry by nearly 9 percentage points. The food industry is principal in the podlaskie voivodship, i.e. 52.5% of sold industrial output in the region, followed by the voivodships of warmińsko-mazurskie and lubelskie, i.e. 39.3% and 32.6%, respectively34. The growth rate of the sold industrial output of the food industry over the last decade was much higher in these three regions than the growth rate of total industrial output. Nevertheless, the food industry, i.e. fruit and vegetables, meat and milling in the lubelskie voivodship, dairy in the podlaskie voivodships and meat, poultry and fodder in the warmińsko-mazurskie voivodship is much better developed than in the other two voivodships of Eastern Poland. Rocznik Statystyczny Województw 2010 [Statistical yearbook for voivodships for 2010], p. 282 and 292. Konkurencyjność i znaczenie rolnictwa oraz sektora rolno-spożywczego...,op. cit., p. 158. 34 Other leading industries in Eastern Poland are: rubber and plastics, wood, furniture, mineral, manufacturing machinery and equipment, metal products. These industries generate 63% of sold industrial output and account for 60% of employment in the industry in the macro-region. 32 33 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 307 308 BOŻENA OLESZKO-KURZYNA The growth of tourism, including agro-tourism is often indicated as nonagricultural employment. Eastern Poland has got favourable conditions, especially environmental and landscape, e.g. a high percentage of the area of outstanding environmental features ideal to develop this type of leisure and create non-agricultural jobs. In 2009, the national average percentage of the area of outstanding natural beauty amounted to 32.3% of the total area. This indicator was much higher in the voivodships of eastern voivodships, e.g. 64.6% in świętokrzyskie, 46.5% in warmińsko-mazurskie, 44.5% in podkarpackie, 32.0% in podlaskie and 22.7% in lubelskie35. The development of tourism in Eastern Poland can be evaluated by an accommodation utilisation indicator. Surprisingly, the percentage of accommodation utilisation was less than that of offered accommodation. Accordingly, tourists insufficiently used the “accommodation resources”. In 2009, the percentage of average accommodation utilisation in Poland and in Eastern Poland was 39.2% and 32.7%, respectively. Therefore, much more tourist services are supplied that they are demanded. In 2000-2009, there was an increase in the number of people who utilised accommodation in all regions, however, but the growth rate in the number of these people was lower in Eastern Poland than the national average, i.e. 16.4% and 32.9%, respectively)36. Summary The study on the condition of the rural areas of the macro-region of Eastern Poland can identify at least three types of development potential in the agrofood industry and its environment. First, agriculture continues to be the basic macro-economic sector for its significant output potential. This fact does not necessarily mean that underdevelopment and development barriers in these regions are solidified. If the current trend of the transformation is followed and the strengths are 35 36 Konkurencyjność i znaczenie rolnictwa oraz sektora rolno-spożywczego..., op. cit., p. 57. Rocznik Statystyczny Województw 2010 [Statistical yearbook for voivodships for 2010], p. 57. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES RURAL AREAS taken advantage of, agriculture can become an opportunity for development of agricultural areas of Eastern Poland. The competitive position of this macro-region can also be strengthened by developing organic farming and searching for alternative sources of income from jobs essentially related to the agricultural environment, e.g. agro-tourism, craft, services. It should be pointed that the diversification of the local economy, enabling the creation of new non-agricultural jobs is indispensable to economically revive the rural areas of Eastern Poland. Referring to the experience of developed countries, extensive agriculture results from the dynamic development of the non-agricultural sector, mainly sectors that work for agriculture37. Rural areas are becoming increasingly multi-functional, and agriculture has got many, not only manufacturing, tasks to do: socio-cultural, environmental. The structural transformation in agriculture and economic revival of the rural areas in Poland is supported by the 2014-2020 rural development policy as part of the EU CAP. This new financial perspective assumes for remaining the twopillar CAP, beneficial for Poland, i.e. a market policy as I Pillar, a structural policy as II Pillar38. The novelty in a rural policy is the possibility of shifting funds between the pillars, up to 10% from I Pillar to II Pillar and 5% from the Rural Development Programme to direct payments. Also, thematic subprogrammes can be formulated. It has been suggested that within the new financial perspective the rural policy should be excluded from II Pillar and shifted to the EU cohesion policy39. However, this change is hardly possible, given the nature of these policies and other mechanisms behind them. M. Adamowicz, Przesłanki rozwoju wielofunkcyjności rolnictwa i zmian we wspólnej polityce rolnej [Conditions for the development of multi-functionality of agriculture and changes in the Common Agricultural Policy], „Zagadnienia Ekonomiki Rolnej” 2005, no 1 and K. Duczkowska-Małysz, Od zmodernizowanego rolnictwa do wielofunkcyjnej wsi [From the modernised agriculture to the multifunctional countryside], „Wieś i Rolnictwo” 1991, no. 3. 38 Nearly 14% of a total of resources for II Pillar was allocated in Poland, which made this country the main beneficiary of II Pillar of the CAP in 2007-2013. 39 Ł. Hardt, Wspólna polityka rolna a polityka spójności w kontekście przeglądu budżetu UE [Common Agricultural Policy and Cohesion Policy in the context of the EU budget’s revision], „Wieś i Rolnictwo” 2008, no 4. 37 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 309 310 BOŻENA OLESZKO-KURZYNA Second, the present economic specialisation of Eastern Poland, i.e. food industry has got a much stronger position there than in the rest of Poland on average, which is development potential there. The share of employment in the food industry in the total industrial employment in this macro-region is nearly 18%, or by more than 2 percentage points than the national average. This sector has got a 26% share in the total sold industrial output, i.e. the growth by more than 1 percentage point over a decade, which supports its significance. Many years of agricultural tradition in this macro-region, its rather evenly distributed agricultural productive potential and clean environment can benefit any further development of the food processing industry there. Related with agriculture, the food industry contributes to this specialisation and improves the quality of agricultural output. Accordingly, food processing is fundamental to the economic development of Eastern Poland, especially the voivodships of lubelskie, podlaskie and warmińskomazurskie. Third, the development of tourism, including agro-tourism can provide non-agricultural employment. Eastern Poland’s environment and landscape is favourable to develop and create non-agricultural jobs. However, the main difficulty in developing both tourism and SME sector is its underdeveloped infrastructure, particularly technological and transport. However, the tourism function of rural areas there seems to be able to grow. About 25% of the urban population in the developed countries of the EU take a rest in the countryside. The literature stresses the increasing importance for the development of countryside leisure combined with bank holiday tourism and building the so-called second houses40. To develop this form of making a living, the implementation of rural health programmes to make tourism and investment in rural areas more attractive can be extremely beneficial. To sum up, Eastern Poland is a highly internally diversified macro-region. The values of certain basic socio-economic indicators differ between its voivodships and are accompanied by the discrepancies between the rural 40 Konkurencyjność i znaczenie rolnictwa oraz sektora rolno-spożywczego..., op. cit., p. 57. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES RURAL AREAS areas there due to their distance from the urban centers, especially the regional capitals. Accordingly, there is the question about defining rural areas in the 2014-2020 programming and legislative documents of the EU and the Polish Government. Increasingly, there are demands, first of all not to regard areas closely related with large cities as rural areas although they are rural or urban-rural communes by administration, and secondly to diversify rural areas according to their distance to large cities and a type of their management. It would be reasonable also so that the New Financial Perspective could more differentiate cohesion policy instruments targeted to different types of rural areas. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 311 EASTERN POLAND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES Edited by Bartosz Jóźwik & Mariusz Sagan, Lublin 2013 M A Ł G O R Z ATA D O L ATA Environmental infrastructure The development of any region is chiefly to provide inhabitants there with the highest possible standard of life as a result of establishing new business entities, jobs, new goods and services there to satisfy their needs and to develop and maintain a high-quality natural and cultural environment. Economic infrastructure as one of the main and critical factors for regional development is the basis of all economic activity and determines living standards of rural population. Regions with high-quality infrastructure gain a competitive advantage over other areas. Accordingly, prospective investors find such areas attractive enough to establish and grow business activity there, and potential inhabitants as attractive places to live (Dolata and Łuczka-Bakuła 2005). Environmental infrastructure known as infrastructure for environmental protection protects and monitors the environment and prevents negative 314 MAŁGORZATA DOLATA consequences of human activities to occur and spread. It consists of systems and devices chiefly to supply water, discharge and treat wastewaters, conserve air and safely store waste. Environmental infrastructure is a relatively new infrastructure system that is usually recognised as economic infrastructure. Note, however, that with the growing popularity of the concept of sustainable development that recognises an environmental policy as at least equivalent or even superior to economic and social policies, environmental infrastructure starts being regarded as a separate branch of infrastructure, besides social and economic infrastructures (Dobrzański 2001, Ratajczak 1999). This chapter discusses the level of environmental infrastructure and disparities in its development in the rural regions of Polish eastern voivodships: lubelskie, podlaskie, warmińsko-mazurskie, świętokrzyskie and podkarpackie in 2000-2011 as well as examines the changes in environmental infrastructure in these areas over that period1. The following three key components of environmental infrastructure related to rural development and improvement of rural inhabitants’ quality of life are examined here2: water supply systems, sewerage systems, wastewater treatment plants. 1. Infrastructure as a development determinant Global infrastructure was first investigated in the literature in the 1930s after economists started to be strongly interested in economic growth and development. Numerous theories, models and concepts of growth and development of entire economies and regions highlighted the importance of infrastruc- 1 2 The changes in the number of people serviced by water-line systems, sewage systems and wastewater treatment plants were examined for 2002 – 20011 due to the statistical data provided by the Central Statistical Office. The issue is discussed here based on the electronic data published by the Central Statistical Office known as the Local Data Bank in 2013. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES ENVIRONMENTAL INFRASTRUCTURE ture3, which resulted from the fact that the level of infrastructural development largely determines population’s quality of life and productivity, and thus is one of the most critical elements that can impact quality of life and labour conditions. Historically, traditional rural economies typically had weak economic systems, which made these areas less competitive than urban centers. Significant gaps in infrastructural facilities, including environmental infrastructure determined unfavourable conditions for economic activity in rural areas at a traditional stage of economic development. Accordingly, one of the main objectives at a stage of contemporary rural development is to create attractive conditions to live and work in rural areas by, e.g. improving infrastructural facilities there. The concept of sustainable development was accompanied in the literature by the concept of rural development relying on the idea of equal rural-urban partnership but not of being subordinated to development processes in urban centers. This concept has also become the ground for the part of “Study Programme on European Spatial Planning”. Published by the European Union, this document was developed when the EU’s concept of spatial development was determined. Its section on a partnership for developing rural and urban areas stresses infrastructure as a factor supporting integration of rural and urban areas. It is one of main factors that contribute to both spatial concentration and dispersion4. If sustainable development in rural areas is investigated, one should be remember that Polish rural areas were developing in a somewhat different way than rural areas in the other post-industrial developed countries. Therefore, Polish rural areas need to solve different environmental problems, and 3 4 R. J. Barro, X. Sala-i-Martin, Economic Growth, Cambridge, Mass.; The MIT Press, 2003; D. Biehl, The Contribution of Infrastructure to Regional Development, European Communities, Luxemburg 1986; K. Button, Infrastructure, Investment, Endogenous Growth and Economic Convergence, „The Annals of Regional Science”, 13/1998; R. Rodriguez, The Role of Infrastructure Investment in Economic Growth, Economics and Inequality, The Century Foundation, 5/2010. Study Programme on European Spatial Planning (SPESP), Conclusions and Recommendations, Nordregio Report 2000. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 315 316 MAŁGORZATA DOLATA one of their priority objectives is primarily creating environmental infrastructural facilities, especially water supply systems, drainage and wastewater treatment systems, and safe waste disposals. Dynamic infrastructural development is one of the key factors which shape regional competitiveness. Supporting infrastructural development has become an important element in regional authorities’ efforts to improve their regional competitiveness5. Areas with extensive spatial and point infrastructural systems are regarded as attractive enough for business activity. Therefore, they can gain a competitive advantage over areas deprived of such qualities6. It should be pointed out that consistent views on the critical role of infrastructure in regional development are accompanied by a growing awareness that not all types of infrastructural development can at once help improve a region and that sometimes changes in infrastructure may also trigger certain undesirable results such as significant local external disadvantages7. Some papers criticise the theories of regional development that overstress the role of infrastructure which can be hardly regarded as the only or even main cause of constraints to development8. Despite the development of environmental infrastructure in Polish rural areas has recently progressed much and the attitudes of local authorities and villagers there have changed positively, these areas continue to have few basic infrastructural facilities and show significant disparities in the level of de5 6 7 8 E. Łaźniewska, P. Nowak, Konkurencyjność gospodarek w ujęciu regionalnym [Regional economic competitiveness], [in:] Kompendium wiedzy o konkurencyjności [Compendium on competitiveness], (eds.) M. Gorynia, E. Łaźniewska, Wyd. Naukowe PWN, Warszawa 2009, pp. 201-202. D. Stawasz, Infrastruktura jako czynnik warunkujący rozwój regionu [Infrastructure as a regional development determinant], [w:] Ekonomiczno-organizacyjne uwarunkowania rozwoju regionu – teoria i praktyka [Economic and management conditions for regional development. Theoretical and practical approach], (ed.) D. Stawasz, Wyd. Uniwersytetu Łódzkiego, Łódź 2004, p. 237. M. Ratajczak, Znaczenie infrastruktury w procesach globalizacji i integracji regionalnej [Role of infrastructure in globalisation and regional integration], [in:] Problemy wdrażania strategii rozwoju województwa wielkopolskiego [Difficulties in implementing the development strategy for the wielkopolskie voivodship], (ed.) E. Skawińska, Wyd. Polskiego Towarzystwa Ekonomicznego, Branch in Poznań, Poznań 2002, pp. 35-36. Ch. Hurst, Infrastructure and Growth; A literature review, EIB Papers 1994, no. 23, pp. 59-60. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES ENVIRONMENTAL INFRASTRUCTURE velopment compared to the other Polish regions as well as between urban and rural areas, chiefly in terms of development and modernisation of entire infrastructure, especially its environmental facilities9. The dissemination of environmental infrastructural systems proceeds much worse in rural than in urban areas, which is not only due to high costs to install them but also the belief shared by Polish villagers that the environment is polluted and destroyed by industry and urban areas, whereas rural areas and agriculture protect it. Nevertheless, this view is not entirely correct because agriculture and rural population also contribute much to environmental pollution10. 2. Infrastructure in the rural areas of Polish eastern voivodships The development changes that are reported in Polish rural areas, pollution of surface waters and increasingly frequent droughts have caused a water supply system to become the fastest growing element of environmental infrastructure over the last two decades of the 20th century. Water supply systems particularly intensively developed in 19902000 when their length increased by about three times, i.e. from 56,000.6 km to 161,000.8 km, and the number of house water connections was by 2.5 times higher, i.e. from 887,000.5 to 2,390,000.3. Polish rural areas continued to be provided with water supply systems in the said period, i.e. 2000-2011 although the growth rate was much slower than in the previous decade. The length of water distribution systems increased by 54,000.5, i.e. by 33.7%, while the number of house water connections by 813,480 or by 35.4%. The rural areas of Eastern Poland in 2000-2011, just like the whole of Poland were steadily equipped with water supply systems. Over this period, 9 10 M. Dolata, J. Lira, Rozwój infrastruktury gospodarczej na obszarach wiejskich [Developing rural economic infrastructure], Wiadomości Statystyczne, no. 4, 2009. A. Hałasiewicz, Program aktywizacji obszarów wiejskich a ochrona środowiska [Rural activisation programme and environmental protection], [in:] Rozwój infrastruktury obszarów wiejskich w aspekcie ochrony środowiska [Developing rural infrastructure in view of environmental protection], Barzkowice 2000, p. 16. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 317 318 MAŁGORZATA DOLATA the length of water distribution networks in these rural areas increased by more than 17,000 km, or 38%. Water supply systems were installed fastest in the voivodship of warmińsko-mazurskie as their length in the rural areas there increased by 4,751.6 km, i.e. 63.2% then, which accounted for 30% of the entire new distribution system installed then. The slowest growth rate of 1,290.8 km, i.e. 13.8%, which was 7.6% of an installed new network was reported in the voivodship of podkarpackie. The growth of water supply distribution systems was reflected in the higher number of their users. The number of house water supply connections in the rural areas of Eastern Poland in 2000 and at the end of the said period was 634,000.2 and 858,000.4, respectively, which means an increase by more than 35.3%. This progress was especially fast in the rural areas of the voivodships of świętokrzyskie as the number of connections increased there by 45.6%. The least significant increase was reported in the voivodship of podkarpackie, i.e. 42,938 connections, which is by 25.8% (Table 1). The increase in the length of water distribution networks and the number of house water connections in the rural areas of Eastern Poland in 20002011 was also accompanied by the steady increase in a network density measured by network length given as km/100 km2 of a given area. The value of this indicator should, however, be indicative because that each administrative unit, i.e. a voivodship, district or municipality has got its own specific afforestation rate, population density, size and structure of rural areas. Actually, while 47 km of a water supply network were reported per 100 km2 of the rural area of Eastern Poland at the beginning of this period, there was an increase by 18 km at the end of this period (average values for Poland were 55.5 km/100 km2 and 74.3 km/100 km2 in 2000 and 2011, respectively). In 2011, the highest density of water supply systems, i.e. 98.9 km/100 km2 was in świętokrzyskie where this indicator increased most in the said period, i.e. by 28.6 km. The lowest density was reported for warmińsko-mazurskie, i.e. 52 km/100 km2 with an increase by 20.2 km (growth indicator for Polish rural areas was 18.8 km) (Fig. 1). EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 858,389 263,774 209,141 112,930 172,050 100,494 838,385 258,274 205,454 109,721 168,178 96,758 822,432 254,543 203,326 107,099 163,673 93,791 807,591 249,755 201,192 106,125 159,999 90,520 791,755 242,839 201,138 104,340 155,645 87,793 775,025 237,779 198,057 102,474 151,891 84,824 766,317 233,320 195,204 99,773 147,695 90,325 742,678 229,026 191,682 96,366 141,964 83,640 713,216 219,144 186,011 92,250 136,110 79,701 66,533 212,303 181,148 88,962 128,072 76,048 660,230 204,832 172,847 86,256 122,780 73,515 196,585 166,203 82,719 118,186 70,525 17,212.4 10,632.4 10,766.0 10,924.8 12,265.4 16,777.8 10,465.9 10,530.3 10,566.9 11,798.2 16,290.6 10,542.8 10,201.1 10,302.3 11,377.8 16,065.2 10,393.2 10,163.5 10,076.1 11,178.1 15,764.2 10,551.9 9,964.6 9,911.0 10,905.6 15,476.7 10,460.3 9,808.0 9,774.2 10313.7 15,063.31 10,404.3 9,466.3 9,452.7 10,125.6 14,795.1 10,147.8 9,102.5 9,240.6 9,211.5 14,042.6 9,975.0 8,602.4 9,043.6 8,698.6 13,609.9 9,962.9 8,185.7 8,590.5 8,104.8 13,122.4 9,564.6 7,824.8 8,118.0 7,509.3 12,618.5 9,341.6 7,504.2 7,781.4 7,513.8 634,218 61,801.0 60,139.1 2011 58,714.6 2010 57,876.1 2009 57,097.3 2008 55,832.9 2007 54,512.2 Years 2005 2006 52,497.5 2004 50,362.2 2003 48,,453.8 2002 46,139.1 2001 44,759.5 2000 Source: compiled by the author based on Bank Danych Lokalnych [Local Data Bank]. Główny Urząd Statystyczny [Central Statistical Office]. Warszawa 2013. . Total of water connections, including their number in the following voivodships: lubelskie podkarpackie podlaskie świętokrzyskie warmińsko-mazurskie Total network length (km), including the values for the following voivodships: lubelskie podkarpackie podlaskie świętokrzyskie warmińsko-mazurskie Specification Table 1. Water supply systems and water connections in 2000-2011 ENVIRONMENTAL INFRASTRUCTURE EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 319 320 MAŁGORZATA DOLATA Fig. 1. Water supply system length per 100 km2 of rural areas (as of 31 December 2000 and 31 December 2011) Source: compiled by the author based on Bank Danych Lokalnych [Local Data Bank]. Główny Urząd Statystyczny [Central Statistical Office]. Warszawa 2013. An access to water supply system services in Eastern Poland improved along with an increased density of water supply systems there. In 2002, 64.9% of the total rural population in this area depended on water supplied by water supply systems, whereas in 2011 it was higher by 6.3 percentage points. In the corresponding periods, 69.7% and 75.7% of the population respectively used water supply system services in rural areas across Poland. Among the five voivodships studied, the rural areas in the voivodships of warmińsko-mazurskie, podlaskie and świętokrzyskie were supplied with water in the most efficient way. Actually, in 2011 the shares of population using water supply system services were 76.9%, 75.7% and 75.5%, respectively. The lowest share of population serviced by a water supply system in relation to total rural population, i.e. 64.8% was recorded in the podkarpacie voivodship. Interestingly, the greatest progress in improving rural popula- EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES ENVIRONMENTAL INFRASTRUCTURE tion’s access to water supply systems in this period of eight years was reported in the voivodship of świętokrzyskie as the share of users of water supply system services in those rural areas increased by 7.8 percentage points. Fig. 2. Water supply system users related to the total rural population (in %) (as of 31 December 2002 and 31 December 2011) Source: compiled by the author based on Bank Danych Lokalnych [Local Data Bank]. Główny Urząd Statystyczny [Central Statistical Office]. Warszawa 2013. Last 10 years of the 20th century witnessed the significant progress in developing sewage systems in rural areas. Their gradual growth was typical then. Unlike it was with water supply systems, a „boom” in growing sewerage systems occurred only after 1995 and continued for the next 15 years. In 1990, the length of active sewage systems in the Polish rural areas amounted to 3,100 km with 39,100 houses connected. Over the next ten years, this sewage system was five times longer and the number of sewer connections was nearly eight times more. This tendency continued over the next decade when a considerably recovered investment in sewerage systems resulted in increasing their length and the number of house sewer connections by 3.5 times, i.e. by 47,400 km and 756,200 sewer connections, respectively. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 321 322 MAŁGORZATA DOLATA Favourably, the emergence of tangible effects of sewage systems in rural areas resulted in a higher number of rural residents who could benefit from such services. Actually, the percentage of population serviced by sewage systems was 14.2% in 2002, and it was higher by 13.6 percentage points at the end of 2011 (Fig. 4). The rural areas of Eastern Poland in 2000-2011 just like the rural areas across Poland witnessed a rapid development of sewage systems. Accordingly, the length of sewage systems, number of sewer connections and population serviced increased. In total, rural separate sewage systems in the said voivodships in 2000 were 5,270.7 km long and 76,510 houses were connected to them. Eleven years later, the networks were longer four times just like the number of house sewer connections (Table 2) . Among the five Eastern Polish voivodships, the fastest growth of rural separate sewage systems in 2000-2010 measured by changes in system length and number of house sewer connections was reported in the voivodhip of podkarpackie. A network of 7 969.3 km and 114,186 house sewer connections were completed in this area, which meant a four-time increase. However, the sewage system in podlaskie increased least because a network of 906.3 km and 14,295 house sewer connections only were installed there (Table 2). Some favourable changes due to installing sewage systems in rural Eastern Poland in 2000-2010 were also reflected in a sewerage density ratio which is calculated as system net length per 100 km2. In 2000, system net length ranged from 2.1 km per 100 km2 in podlaskie to 15.4 km per 100 km2 in podkarpackie. In 2011, these values were much higher and ranged between 6.8 km per 100 km2 to 63.5 km per 100 km2 there. It is worth examining the significant increase in the sewage system density in the voivodship of podkarpackie, i.e. by about 48 km per 100 km2 as compared with a corresponding value for rural areas, i.e. 16.3 km per 100 km2 (Fig. 3). EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 289732 44972 151258 21951 39618 31933 253426 39691 133756 20459 31084 28436 231250 35307 121654 19784 27942 26563 220699 33586 114382 20318 27063 25350 204,762 31,285 105,530 18,991 25,596 23,360 192,330 28,728 99,518 17,996 23,939 22,149 180,635 25,247 94,144 16,556 22,905 21,783 158,315 23,294 83,862 14,900 17,041 19,218 134,471 20,142 70,189 12,867 14,193 17,080 108,181 17,015 56,190 10,858 10,959 13,159 89,484 14,811 44,758 9,025 9,671 11,219 12,614 37,072 7,656 9,243 9,925 2593.5 10574.4 1317.8 2784.9 3186.7 2222.3 9387.8 1105.8 1964.3 2709.5 1940.4 8255.1 1035.1 1666.7 2515.4 1871.1 7760.6 988.7 1602.5 2482.7 1,764.0 7,279.0 956.4 1,572.1 2,334.2 1,639.5 6,905.0 929.4 1,439.5 2,172.8 1,430.3 6,587.5 832.0 1,447.7 2,041.1 1,305.7 5,954.5 758.2 1,124.9 1,806.6 1,134.4 5,126.1 696.0 971.5 1,975.2 995.3 4,131.4 547.6 687.9 1,250.8 883.3 3,184.1 472.0 593.0 993.6 759.3 2,605.1 411.5 569.0 925.8 76,510 20457.3 2011 17389.7 2010 15412.7 2009 14705.6 2008 13,905.7 2007 13,086.2 2006 12,338.6 2005 10,949.9 2004 9,903.2 2003 7,613.0 2002 6,126.0 2001 5,270.7 2000 Years Source: compiled by the author based on Bank Danych Lokalnych [Local Data Bank]. Główny Urząd Statystyczny [Central Statistical Office]. Warszawa 2013. Total of sewer connections, including their numbers in the following voivodships: lubelskie podkarpackie podlaskie świętokrzyskie warmińsko-mazurskie Total network length (km) including the values for the following voivodships: lubelskie podkarpackie podlaskie świętokrzyskie warmińsko-mazurskie Specification Table 2 Separate sewage systems and sewer connections in 2000-2011 ENVIRONMENTAL INFRASTRUCTURE EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 323 324 MAŁGORZATA DOLATA Fig. 3. Sewerage length per 100 km2 of rural areas (as of 31 December 2000 and 31 December 2011) Source: compiled by the author based on Bank Danych Lokalnych [Local Data Bank]. Główny Urząd Statystyczny [Central Statistical Office]. Warszawa 2013. The higher sewerage density in the rural areas of Eastern Poland was accompanied the increased population serviced, i.e. from 13% of the total rural population in 2002 to 27% in 2011 as compared to corresponding values for the rural areas across Poland, i.e. 14.2% and 27.8%, respectively. The largest share of population serviced by a sewage system in the last year of the investigation related to the total number of population was reported in podkarpackie, i.e. 43.1% and was higher by 15.3 percentage points than in the rural areas across Poland and higher by 27.2 percentage points than in the lubelskie voivodship with the lowest share recorded among the voivodships examined. Note that the highest increase in the percentage of rural population serviced by sewerage over these ten years was reported in podkarpackie, i.e. 23.8 percentage points, whereas the lowest increase was in podlaskie and lubelskie, i.e. 6.3 and 8.3 percentage points, respectively (Fig. 4). EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES ENVIRONMENTAL INFRASTRUCTURE Fig. 4. Population serviced by sewerage in the total rural population (in %) (as of 31 December 2002 and 31 December 2011) Source: compiled by the author based on Bank Danych Lokalnych [Local Data Bank]. Główny Urząd Statystyczny [Central Statistical Office]. Warszawa 2013. However, despite a considerable progress in the development of sewerage in rural areas both across Poland and Eastern Poland, the level of its development is still insufficient regarding needs. These shortcomings are particularly clear if a development of sewerage is compared with a much better developed water supply system there. While a ratio of water supply systems and sewerage in the rural areas across Poland much improved over this period, the levels of development of these two systems varied a lot. The sewerage in the rural areas across Poland in 2000 was 10 times shorter than the water supply system there, but this ratio significantly improved in 2011 though still the sewerage was nearly four times shorter than the water supply system. Also, a sewer connection to water supply connection ratio in these years improved much because in 2000, it was 1 to 9, whereas in 2011 it reduced to be 1 to 3. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 325 326 MAŁGORZATA DOLATA An unfavourable ratio of sewerage to water supply systems also improved in the rural areas of Eastern Poland. In 2000, the water supply system was about eight times longer than the sewerage; and the sewer connection to water supply connection ratio was 1 to 8. In 2011, the sewage system was three times shorter than the water supply one and less than three water supply connections are for one sewer connection. To thoroughly examine this issue, a ratio of population serviced by sewerage and population serviced by water supply systems was calculated for rural areas in each eastern voivodship. This ratio enables measuring needs related to sewerage development. If this ratio is lower in a given voivodship, these needs are greater there. In 2000, the least significant discrepancies between these two types of systems in rural areas were reported in the following voivodships: podkarpackie – 32.1% and warmińsko-mazurskie – 26.5%, whereas the most significant ones were in świętokrzyskie – 11.2% and lubelskie – 12%. However, this ratio improved in all voivodships in the last year of the examination, i.e. 2011 although it remained most favourable in the voivodships of podkarpackie – 66.6% and warmińsko-mazurskie – 37.4% and least favorable in lubelskie – 22.5%, podlaskie – 23.2%, and świętokrzyskie – 29.2%. Fig. 5. Sewage system users and water supply system users (as of 31 December 2000 and 31 December 2011) Source: compiled by the author based on Bank Danych Lokalnych [Local Data Bank]. Główny Urząd Statystyczny [Central Statistical Office]. Warszawa 2013. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES ENVIRONMENTAL INFRASTRUCTURE A steady expansion of water supply and sewage systems in rural areas is accompanied by an increasingly common problem of decontaminating a rapidly increasing amount of wastewater. The reasons behind wastewater decontamination are chiefly rational water management and correct protection of waters to avoid pollution11 (Kupiec,Truskolaski and Gołębiowska 2005). The attempts taken during the last few years to steadily increase the number of wastewater treatment plants in the Polish rural areas improved the wastewater treatment facilities there. The number of rural wastewater treatment plants increased by nearly 58% in 2000-2011, from 1,459 to 2,34512. Accordingly, the number of rural users also increased from 14% of the total rural population in 2002 to 30.6% in 2011. Yet, despite the intensively increased number of wastewater treatment plants, the number of wastewater treatment plants operating in the rural areas and the percentage of population not serviced indicate that these needs are not satisfied enough, which results in frequently discharged wastewaters into the nearest watercourses or directly onto the ground. The rural areas of Eastern Poland witnessed a significant progress in developing wastewater treatment systems in 2000-2010. Accordingly, the total number of wastewater treatment plants nearly doubled from 382 to 761. Biological wastewater treatment plants were dominating and accounted for 82% of all wastewater treatment plants both in the first and last year of this examination. However, wastewater treatment plants with increased bio gene removal were developing fastest because they almost tripled during these 12 years to amount to 125 at the end of 2011 (Table 3). 11 12 L. Kupiec, T. Truskolaski, A. Gołębiowska, 2005: Gospodarka przestrzenna. Infrastruktura ekonomiczna [Spatial economy. Economic infrastructure], Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu in Białystok, Białystok. The number of mechanical and chemical wastewater treatment plants is not given here because the Central Statistical Office provides their number for a period of 2000-2002 only, i.e. respectively 14, 11 and 13 wastewater treatment plants of that type were in operation then. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 327 EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 183 156 74 64 143 198 160 76 68 148 205 162 77 72 184 Source: compiled by the author based on Bank Danych Lokalnych [Local Data Bank]. Główny Urząd Statystyczny [Central Statistical Office]. Warszawa 2013. 180 147 68 62 131 210 165 79 72 184 219 175 77 77 184 222 177 75 82 179 228 184 74 83 192 142 85 43 32 80 Watestewater treatment plants in voivodships: lubelskie podkarpackie podlaskie świętokrzyskie warmińsko-mazurskie 172 143 65 55 124 14 622 125 12 603 120 14 601 117 14 583 113 18 571 111 17 531 102 22 499 99 26 468 94 29 443 87 24 406 70 27 369 60 26 311 45 168 122 61 46 103 761 735 732 710 700 650 620 588 559 500 456 382 Wastewater treatment plants in total, including: mechanical biological with increased bio gene removal 158 108 53 45 92 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 Years 2000 Specification Table 3. Municipal wastewater treatment plants in the voivodships studied in 2000-2011 328 MAŁGORZATA DOLATA ENVIRONMENTAL INFRASTRUCTURE The higher number of wastewater treatment plants in the rural areas of Eastern Poland was accompanied by a steadily increasing number of their users there. In 2011, the largest share of population serviced by wastewater treatment plants in relation to the total population was reported in the rural areas of podkarpackie – 46.9% and warmińsko-mazurskie – 35.5%. In fact, these areas witnessed some major positive changes about it for the past nine years as the percentage of rural population serviced by wastewater treatment plants increased by 27.6 and 17 percentage points, respectively. The rural areas of the other three voivodships, i.e. podlaskie, lubelskie and świętokrzyskie had a relatively low share of population serviced by wastewater treatment plants, i.e. 18.3%, 18.9% and 21.7%. These shares increased in the said period there by 7.1, 8, and 13.3 percentage points, respectively (Fig. 6). Fig. 6. Users of wastewater treatment plants related to the total rural population (in %) (as of 31 December 2002 and 31 December 2011) Source: compiled by the author based on Bank Danych Lokalnych [Local Data Bank]. Główny Urząd Statystyczny [Central Statistical Office]. Warszawa 2013. Wastewater treatment plants and sewage systems are essential elements of economic infrastructure so they should definitely function as a whole, which is not, however, frequent. It happens that an area with a well-developed EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 329 330 MAŁGORZATA DOLATA sewage system has got no wastewater treatment plant or in spite of a wastewater treatment plant, there is no sewerage or only part of that area is serviced by a sewage system. The latter case has been recently reported in the Polish rural areas. This is a less harmful case as there are more rural users of wastewater treatment plants than those of sewage systems. In 2011, the percentage of rural population serviced by sewage systems reached 27.8% and was lower by 2.8 percentage points related to the percentage of users of wastewater treatment plants. This phenomenon was reported over the entire period under study, except the year of 2002 when these quantities were similar in value, i.e. 14% of the rural population were serviced by wastewater treatment plants and 14.2% were serviced by sewerage. Fig. 7. Population serviced by water supply systems and sewage systems related to the total rural population (in %) (as of 31 December 2011) Source: compiled by the author based on Bank Danych Lokalnych [Local Data Bank]. Główny Urząd Statystyczny [Central Statistical Office]. Warszawa 2013. In 2011, the share of the rural population in the four voivodships of Polish Eastern serviced by wastewater treatment plants was higher than that by sew- EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES ENVIRONMENTAL INFRASTRUCTURE erage. It should be pointed out that this difference varied considerably across the voivodships. The greatest discrepancy between the number of inhabitants serviced by wastewater treatment plants and those by sewage systems was reported in the voivodships of warmińsko-mazurskie – 6.8 percentage points, lubelskie – 3 percentage points, and podkarpackie – 3.8 percentage points. The smallest discrepancy was in podlaskie – 0.7 percentage points. The voivodship of świętokrzyskie was an exception because the share of its rural population serviced by sewage systems was higher by 0.3 percentage points than the one serviced by wastewater treatment plants. Summary The changes of the recent decades in the Polish economy have resulted in that Polish rural areas do not perform agricultural functions only and that the idea of necessary activation of these areas, i.e. their multi-purpose development is indisputable. Environmental infrastructure is particularly important in restructuring and rural development. The importance of infrastructure and services provided to rural areas is largely due to the fact that an appropriate level of development is one of prerequisites for economic development. The level of infrastructural facilities is also an essential criterion for taking up and running business activity, determines its scope, structure and spatial distribution and is a factor that determines the quality of life in a given area. Conclusions from the research results on changes, levels and discrepancies of the development of rural environmental infrastructure in Eastern Poland, i.e. lubelskie, podlaskie, warmińsko-mazurskie, świętokrzyskie and podkarpackie can be as follows: 1. basic facilities of rural environmental infrastructure such as water supply systems, sewerage and wastewater treatment plants were quickly installed there in 2000-2011; 2. the least developed facilities of environmental infrastructure, i.e. sewerage and wastewater treatment plants in the rural areas of Eastern Poland were steadily developing then; the length of sewage systems and EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 331 332 MAŁGORZATA DOLATA number of wastewater treatment plants were increasing every year and thus these services became more available to more population there; 3. sewage systems were especially fast developing there, so their growth rate was much higher than that of water supply systems in terms of system length and number of connections; 4. in the last year under study, all the Eastern Polish voivodships witnessed a positive phenomenon that more users were serviced by wastewater treatment plants than by sewage systems. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES EASTERN POLAND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES Edited by Bartosz Jóźwik & Mariusz Sagan, Lublin 2013 Conclusions This study into the regional economic development of Eastern Poland has allowed for a set of conclusions and recommendations both for local government units and the central government. They can make a contribution which facilitates the implementation economic policies in the following years. As already indicated in this monograph, Eastern Poland is one of the least developed EU regions, which is mostly caused by the priorities of the economic policy pursued in the recent decades. For example, the government policy at the times of the People’s Republic of Poland assumed less than 0.1% of industrial investment for the eastern and northern Polish voivodships. Obviously, such an approach was an absolutely decisive factor behind the development opportunities of Polish eastern voivodships. Similarly, when communism collapsed in Poland, the regions favoured in the past once again received the most greatest assistance. Secondly, the peripheral 334 CONCLUSIONS location of Eastern Poland weakens its development. Eastern Poland is far away from the sources of capital and technology and neighbours the underdeveloped countries with their lagging structural transformation. Thus, the regions of Eastern Poland are ranked the last in the Polish economic development rankings. Eastern Poland’s economic structure is outdated and its technical infrastructure is insufficient. The change of such a socio-economic development of Eastern Poland was not attempted until Poland’s accession to the European Union in 2004. The regions of Eastern Poland are estimated to receive the largest financial allocation per 1 inhabitant in 2004-2015. Accordingly, as indicated by macroeconomic models (Hermin, Mamor3, EuImpact), the growth and structural transformation of that macro-region could be accelerated. In 2008, as many as three of the eastern regions, i.e. Podkarpackie, Lubelskie, Świętokrzyskie were among the leaders in economic growth (approx. 7%) and in GDP per capita. All of the voivodships of Eastern Poland also reported their rapid growth in their services sector and Podlaskie – in its industry. The trends in EU funds investment indicate the considerable shares of R&D projects and innovation, information society or human capital which facilitate the availability, competitiveness and innovation of business entities in all of the regions. However, the experience from both the previous and present programming periods suggests that the EU funds available under each programme are largely obtained by the richest voivodships, which results in growing disparities in development. Eastern Poland has got a relatively high share of agriculture in gross value added. In fact, its agriculture despite its structural difficulties remains a very important part of both the economies of those voivodships and the national economy. It produces more than 26% of overall agricultural output, including more than one third of fruit and cow’s milk output. The agricultural production will remain a primary sector in the economy of that macro-region because its potential in considerable. This does not necessarily mean that the underdevelopment and barriers to development are strengthened there. If the current trend in transformation and use of strengths is followed, agri- EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES CONCLUSIONS culture can create a window of opportunity to develop the agricultural regions of Eastern Poland. Moreover, the structural transformation in the agriculture of Eastern Poland have been reported since the structural transformation in Poland began, but they have been more intensive since Poland joined the European Union and certain instruments of the Common Agricultural Policy started to operate. That transformation is not fast enough although it is faster in some eastern voivodships than in Poland. The adverse impact of the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) on the structural transformation in agriculture cannot be neglected in our conclusions. Actually, some of the CAP market instruments, especially direct payments to support farmers’ income hamper the structural change. The OECD study indicates that direct payments contribute in almost 100% to higher prices of agricultural land and higher lease rents. Accordingly, the flow of the land for farms with low production potential is not smooth enough. The transformation is also proceeding in rural areas which are no longer agricultural only, and the promoted need to revitalise them to achieve multi-purpose development is widely accepted. Restructuring and rural development largely depend on environmental infrastructure and its basic components, including water supply networks, sewerage networks and wastewater treatment plants that have recently been built so quickly. The development of a sewerage network was speeded up much, and, regarding the length of the distribution network and the number of connections to houses, it was much faster than that of a water supply network. The improved infrastructure in rural areas and the know-how developed by the Polish Local Action Groups can considerably enhance economic development, e.g. food industry one which is found the significant development potential of that macro-region. This study shows that there are differences in population rather than economic development measured by GDP per capita between the voivodships of Eastern Poland. Hence, the demographic gap between them and other European regions is much larger that the economic one. Importantly, the demographic differences in those regions are closely related to the level of urbanisation there. The voivodships of Eastern Poland are much behind EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 335 336 CONCLUSIONS the developed EU regions and are closer to the less developed regions of Central and Eastern Europe. Demographic forecasts indicate that the voivodships of Eastern Poland are depopulating. The most serious demographic problems in that macro-region include low birth rates, the negative balance of migration and progressive aging of its population. The voivodships of Eastern Poland except Podlaskie in 2012 showed higher than average unemployment rates. Long-term unemployment was more significant there than in Poland. The phenomenon of hidden unemployment in rural areas known as agrarian unemployment is another problem. This type of unemployment can be reduced if tourism, including agritourism can be developed. The environment and landscape in Eastern Poland are excellent for agritourism and creating non-agricultural jobs. One of the most serious economic problems faced by Eastern Poland is internal and cross-border migration. Actually, a negative balance of internal migration is reported in all of those voivodships with the largest one in the Lubelskie voivodship. The labour markets of Eastern Poland suffer from youth unemployment which is, fortunately, above the national average. Favourable academic trends among the young can remedy this situation. Undoubtedly, satisfactory gross enrollment indicators need to be accompanied by high quality education, and most importantly, to stop the trends in migration of best-educated young people. The education system in Eastern Poland must be correlated with the preferences of industry, also in terms of attracting foreign investment. A system that allows for shaping the trends in staff training at the local level should be based on well-coordinated activities undertaken by numerous institutions and business entities, ranging from those of secondary and higher education to employment agencies and business entities. Close cooperation in determining future requirements for worker’s skills and developing internship systems could improve the efficiency of the education system to satisfy investors’ requirements. This is particularly important for the voivodships of Eastern Poland because unlike the more developed regions they cannot expect workers with certain qualifications would like to migrate to that macro-region. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES CONCLUSIONS An important factor behind the economic development of Polish regions in the next years will be to use the potential of cities that should be more than ever before supported by the government. Accordingly, the most promising cities and the areas of their functioning, i.e. their key functions should be supported. Additional development resources should be above all allocated to the two centres of Eastern Poland that have the greatest potentials, i.e. Lublin and Białystok. Of course, such an approach does not mean that the economic and academic potential of the other cities of Eastern Poland like Kielce or Olsztyn should not be strengthened. The policy toward Rzeszów should be re-evaluated. Thus, the question remains whether additional funds should be allocated to boost the weak potential of Rzeszów or to support the other economic engines of the Podkarpackie voivodship, especially Mielec and Stalowa Wola. In Eastern Poland, there are emerging clusters of modern industries (aviation, milk processing, furniture, cement, automotive tires) and cluster initiatives, e.g. Dairy Cluster, Podlaski Food Cluster “Naturalnie z Podlasia”, Podlaski Lingerie Cluster, Lublin Eco Energy Cluster, Eastern Cluster ICT – Lublin IT Upland, Aviation Cluster “Dolina Lotnicza”, Cluster of Biomass Producers “Biomasa Świętokrzyska”, Mebel Elbląg Furniture Cluster Association, Warmia and Mazury Cluster “Razem Cieplej” . The possible trends in the development of transport infrastructure need a special focus. To achieve real integration within the Single European Market (SEM), the activities to develop north-south transport connection should be intensified. It is about transforming the current national road S19 into a transEuropean express road known as Via Carpatia that runs from the Baltic countries like Estonia, Lithuania and Latvia though Eastern Poland to South – Eastern Europe, i.e. Slovakia, Czech Republic, Romania, Hungary and Bulgaria as well as the Balkans and Turkey. Accordingly, the geographical location of Eastern Poland in the SEM can be truly used. Developing the border infrastructure can be enhance the significance of the nearby eastern market. The investment in Eastern Poland can also improve if the foreign investment flow increases in Ukraine and Belarus. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES 337 338 CONCLUSIONS It should also be borne in mind that the possibilities for improving the investment attractiveness of Eastern Poland can largely result from the factors independent of regional activities. 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Zientara P., Kuczyński G., High Unemployment in Polish Regions: Is Hysteresis Behing It?, Wspólnoty Europejskie, Nr 6 (211)/2011. Zubrzycki J., Wielokulturowość w teorii i praktyce, „Znaki czasu”, 1990, Nr 18. EASTERN POL AND. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES Eastern Poland Development challenges Lublin is my hometown and I have been following the situation of Eastern Poland since the beginning of our political transformation. I remember how much foreign investors were reluctant when I persuaded them to invest in Poland in the early 1990s and to cross the Vistula River. Unfortunately, they preferred Wrocław, Poznań, Śląsk [Silesia] and Pomorze [Pomerania]. I can clearly see a map of highways, high-speed trains and great events such as Euro 2012 – a map which is not favourable enough for Eastern Poland. It is perfect that the so called Polish Eastern Wall received an additional allocation of EU funds in 2007-13 and used the investment money quite well. It will be similar in the Financial Perspective 2014-20. I enjoy statistics and assessments indicating that my Lublin and Lublin Region are following the best practice of Dresden and Saxony, or they are catching up and reviving not only their economies but also cultural and scientific offer. These efforts are already underway and will be continued. Encouraging to read this monograph, I am expressing the wish of residents of the Polish Eastern Wall and my own that the derogatory and hurtful association of the so called “Poland B” with the East could become invalid as soon as possible. Janusz Lewandowski Commissioner for Financial Programming and the Budget ISBN 978-83-60695-73-9
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