Marine Geology 213 (2004) 439 – 455 www.elsevier.com/locate/margeo Flow models of natural debris flows originating from overconsolidated clay materials F.V. De Blasioa,*, A. Elverhbia, D. Isslera, C.B. Harbitzb, P. Brync, R. Lienc a Institutt for Geofag, Universitetet i Oslo, Postboks 1047 Blindern, 0316 Oslo, Norway b Norges Geotekniske Institutt, Postboks 3930 Ullevål Stadion, 0806 Oslo, Norway c Norsk Hydro ASA, 0246 Oslo, Norway Abstract In this paper, slides and debris flows in overconsolidated clay materials are simulated numerically. As a case study, the models are applied to the Storegga slide in the Norwegian Sea and in particular to the sub-region called Ormen Lange, where the information available is the most precise for a subaqueous debris flow. Three different models for the rheology of clay are used: a viscoplastic (Bingham) fluid model, a viscoplastic fluid with interspersed solid blocks, and a viscoplastic model with yield strength increasing with depth. The small-scale debris flows in the Ormen Lange area can be reasonably well understood in terms of a pure Bingham model without granular effects and blocks. The presence of intact blocks in the region, however, indicates that at least the top layer of the sliding sediments was not destroyed by the flow. It suggests that the flow occurred mainly at high shear rate in a lubricating layer of mud deriving partly from the disintegration of the block’s own material, and possibly from the entrainment of hemipelagic sediments along the flow path while the top part was left unsheared. The failure of the model with blocks probably stems from the use of the Coulomb friction law to represent the interaction between the block and the seabed. The Bingham model works better because during the flow of such fluids an unsheared plug region is formed naturally, even in unconsolidated materials. Combining the simulations with these three models, a possible scenario for the Ormen Lange debris flows is deduced according to which the lubricating layer supporting the blocks has a yield strength of about 10–15 kPa. D 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. Keywords: consolidation; debris flows; modeling; submarine landslides; viscoplastic materials 1. Introduction Submarine slides developing into debris flows and turbidity currents represent the most effective process * Corresponding author. Fax: +47 22856422. E-mail address: [email protected] (F.V. De Blasio). 0025-3227/$ - see front matter D 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.margeo.2004.10.018 of sediment transport from the shallow continental margin to deeper parts of ocean basins. Slides and debris flows are particularly common along glaciated margins that have experienced high sediment fluxes to the shelf break during and after glacial maxima (Elverhøi et al., 2002; Vorren et al., 1998). During one single event, typically lasting for a few hours or less, enormous sediment volumes (up to several 440 F.V. De Blasio et al. / Marine Geology 213 (2004) 439–455 thousand cubic kilometers) can be transported over distances exceeding hundreds of kilometers (e.g., Locat and Lee, 2002). When information from glacially influenced as well as non-glacial margins is combined, it is seen that the flows with long runout distances (more than 100 km) generally occur on slopes of less than 28 (Booth et al., 1993; Vorren et al., 1998) and that the largest volumes of displaced sediments are associated with long runout distances (Elverhøi et al., 2002). Based on information from cable breaks, flow velocities in the range from 20 to 100 km h1 are calculated, even on slopes less than 18 (Heezen and Ewing, 1952; Bjerrum, 1971). In order to understand the physics of these mass flows, the process is divided into a release phase, followed by break-up, flow and final deposition (Elverhøi et al., 2002). The release phase involving initial slide triggering and instability is typically treated on the basis of geotechnical principles while the flow phase is analyzed either from fluid dynamical principles or as a granular flow, depending on the composition of the moving masses. The phase of break-up and disintegration represents an intermediate stage. Moving masses are being disintegrated and dispersed into smaller particles. The break-up phase can be approached from a geotechnical perspective while the movement of the masses follows the laws of motion of a non-Newtonian fluid. Depending on the sediment composition and energy available, the duration of the break-up phase may vary. In turn, the disintegration may alter run-out length, velocity and other important quantities. In the case of soft and Fig. 1. Overview map showing the location of the Storegga slide between the Vbring Plateau and the North Sea Fan. The debris-flow area has a length of more than 400 km. The rectangle indicates the coverage of the detailed map of the Ormen Lange area shown in Fig. 2A. F.V. De Blasio et al. / Marine Geology 213 (2004) 439–455 easily remolded sediments, the break-up phase represents a short episode. On the other hand, when more overconsolidated sediments are involved, the break-up phase may represent a significant part of the total flow 441 time. In particular, in small and medium size slides with short run-out distances and in slides originating from overconsolidated materials, the flowing period is not long enough to cause complete remolding of the Fig. 2. (A) Detail map of the Ormen Lange area (cf. Fig. 1 for location). The debris-flow lobes E4 and E5 and the corresponding profile lines used for the numerical simulations are indicated. (B) Bathymetric profile of the slide path E4 used in the numerical simulations. The simulations reported in Section 4.1 used the pre-Storegga glide plane, those in Section 4.2 were run on the more ragged present-day profile. 442 F.V. De Blasio et al. / Marine Geology 213 (2004) 439–455 Fig. 2 (continued). masses. A situation with incomplete remolding is found in the latest phase of the Storegga event on the western margin of Norway. The Storegga area shown in Fig. 1 (which includes the Ormen Lange area, see detail map in Fig. 2A) has been intensively investigated due to plans for gas field development. Detailed sea floor surveying combined with high-resolution seismic exploration and sediment coring have provided an extensive database and detailed maps of the various slide phases. In this article we have used the interpretation by Haflidason et al. (2002) on the depositional sequence in Storegga. Although the sequences of slides and slide phases proposed by them may be subject to some controversy, the extensive data base of all the slides shows a rather consistent pattern of runout and drop height with respect to sediment volume. Due to this consistency of the field data, our basic approach is to use these data as a background for our modeling work. As long as no unified and general flow model for sub-aqueous gravity mass flows exists, we cannot test or validate the field data independently. Our approach has been to use the extensive database in order to develop and subsequently test various numerical approaches. 2. Slide evolution, flow types and model selection The Storegga area is characterized by periodic sliding, the period being on the order of 2–300,000 years, with the latest slide event at about 8200 calendar years B. P. Thus we find ourselves at the beginning of such a cycle, and are not able to sample and investigate the type of sediments that were actually involved in the last Storegga slide. The glaciation has heavily influenced the sediments in the present headwall area and further landward by deposition and/or by ice loading. Due to this situation the sediments included in the Storegga slide may have been characterized by significant lateral variation and strong horizontal gradients with regard to composition and properties. After an initial phase of release of normally consolidated sediments, the later phases of sliding involved sediment overconsolidated due to ice loading. The debris-flow lobes found in the Ormen Lange area (Fig. 2) contain large blocks or slabs of nearly intact sediment interspersed in remolded material. The sea-floor images and the seismic profiles strongly suggest that the break-up process did not proceed beyond an early stage in which only material from the shear zones was remolded. A rather delicate feedback mechanism may determine whether a submarine landslide comes to a halt after a relatively short distance or becomes liquid and covers enormous distances. If the transition between consolidated and liquid state is sufficiently rapid, the flow will travel for a long time, during which the remolding and loss of strength due to water entrainment (wetting) can progress even further. If it is too slow, the friction remains relatively high and the slide comes to a halt before most of the mass had a chance to be remolded. If the grains constituting the sliding material are sufficiently large, the effects due to grain–grain contacts (both frictional and collisional) become important, resulting in deviations from the simple hydrodynamical behavior. Sandy flows are characterized by their granular behavior where grain–grain interactions play a very important role in the flow dynamics (see, e.g., Iverson, 1997). The physics of dry granular flows (geological examples of which are some pyroclastic flows or rock avalanches) has progressed more than our knowledge of wet gravity flows, especially because of the industrial use of granular materials (Campbell, 1990). In the subaqueous environment, grain–grain interaction is mediated by the presence of the fluid, and this has several consequences (Bagnold, 1954; Savage, 1984; Iverson, 1997). The fluid alters both the single-particle motion and the F.V. De Blasio et al. / Marine Geology 213 (2004) 439–455 grain–grain interaction. The fluid can also develop excess pore pressure. An increase of pore water pressure leads to local weakening of the grain contacts, resulting in a dramatic reduction of the shear strength of the material. The formation and diffusion of pore water pressure through the body of the debris flow is controlled by the clay–sand ratio, among other factors. Presently, two classes of models are used to simulate subaqueous debris flows. A depth-integrated granular model (Savage and Hutter, 1989, 1991) has been extended to incorporate the effects of viscous pore fluid (Iverson, 1997). The model by Norem et al. (1987, 1989) belongs to the same class; it implements Bagnold’s dispersive pressure caused by grain–grain and grain–fluid interaction. Such models are specifically used if the flow contains a substantial amount of large clasts (i.e., sand-sized or larger). The second class is constituted by viscoplastic models (e.g., Johnson, 1970; Huang and Garcı́a, 1998, 1999) treating the material as a fluid with nonNewtonian properties. The rheological properties of the flowing mud would ideally be inferred from geotechnical laboratory measurements on soil samples. The viscoplastic model works well for clay-rich or muddy materials with cohesion and a very low content of coarse particles capable of particle–particle interactions. Both types of models have been widely discussed (Johnson, 1970; Locat and Lee, 2002; Norem et al., 1990; Iverson and Vallance, 2001). A more general model taking into account both effects should be employed in cases where both particle–particle and particle–water (viscous) interactions are important. The dimensionless Bagnold number characterizes the relative importance of viscous and collisional forces; it is defined as frictional or collisional forces between grains viscous forces mċck1=2 ð1Þ ¼ gd Ba ¼ where ċ is the shear rate (Bu/Bz in the case of planar shear), k is Bagnold’s dimensionless linear grain concentration, m is the particle mass, g is the viscosity, and d is the particle diameter. The dispersive pressure plays an important role if the Bagnold number is substantially larger than about 40. 443 The grain-size distribution in the Storegga area is strongly influenced by the input of fine-grained glacial erosion products. A typical particle-size distribution in this kind of subaqueous debris flows is 30–40%, clay, 30–405% silt and 20–30% sand (Vorren et al., 1998); gravel is almost completely absent. We find that the Bagnold number for the typical Storegga material is on the order of Bac105, which implies that the dispersive pressure is negligible. Such a small value, mainly due to the lack of large particles and correspondingly high clay content, favors the viscoplastic model for explaining debris flow dynamics along these margins. Recent modeling of muddy debris flows using the viscoplastic approach shows a high degree of correspondence between observed and modeled run-out distances for small debris flows (Huang and Garcı́a, 1999). The composition of the material used in the experiments by Mohrig et al. (1998, 1999) was selected to reflect the field data, supporting our choice of model for muddy, almost clast-free debris flows. In this work a numerical code for the flow of a Bingham material is used. The model (called BING) was developed by Imran et al. (2001). BING is derived from a two-dimensional formulation of the conservation equations (i.e., only the main flow direction of the material and the direction perpendicular to the bed are included). Vertical integration of the conservation equations reduces their information content but even more so their complexity. The flowing material is divided into several segments along the flow direction, and the acceleration of each node is calculated according to the forces acting on it. Although in the present work only the Bingham rheology has been used, the model is actually more general, as it implements both a Herschel–Bulkley fluid (which is a generalization of the Bingham fluid allowing for non-linear dependence of the stress on the strain rate) and a bi-viscous rheology (which does not require the shear strength). The model is Lagrangian (i.e., the acceleration of the nodes is calculated in a frame moving with the slide). As discussed earlier, the physical state of the material during the flow defies precise analysis at present. There is clear evidence that the debris flow lobes in the Ormen Lange area were never completely remolded: There are blocks in the final deposit and the deposit thickness is approximately independent of the 444 F.V. De Blasio et al. / Marine Geology 213 (2004) 439–455 local slope. Lacking a robust debris flow model for only partially liquid soil, we apply a viscoplastic model with different modifications and select those that fit the field data best and also are physically realistic. The yield strength will be varied and we will study the deposit shape, runout and velocity as a function of the yield strength. For reasons explained in the paragraph dedicated to the debris flow models, the viscosity plays a minor role and will be kept constant. We will consider the following scenarios: (1) A pure Bingham fluid with rheological properties independent of the flow, depth and previous history (BING). This will provide a reference model. Note that the model works well in some cases (see the extensive literature on the debris flows of the Bear Island Fan, e.g., Marr et al., 2002 and references therein), but may not be fully appropriate for Storegga, at least for the small to medium-size flows of the later stages. The top panel of Fig. 3 shows a sketch of the lowslide evolution in this approximation. (2) One or more solid blocks embedded in a Bingham fluid (B-BING): The persistence of isolated solid blocks is clearly indicated by the field observations of the final deposit. In addition, the presence of blocks is a logical consequence of the high yield strength of the initial sediment pile. There is not enough shear deformation and enough time to remould the material to a liquid form. In order to account for these blocks, a number of additional parameters are introduced by this model: (i) N b, the number of blocks. (ii) If the blocks shed mass at the bottom, two material constants (quantifying the hardness of the material and the abrasion efficiency) describe the efficiency of block reduction. (iii) The bed friction angle d, determining the force exerted on the block by the bed. Fig. 3. A schematic view of the models used in this study. Pure Bingham fluid (upper panel), Bingham fluid with blocks (middle) and Bingham fluid with a depth-dependent yield strength (bottom). F.V. De Blasio et al. / Marine Geology 213 (2004) 439–455 (3) These constants can only be crudely estimated. The present model must be considered as tentative. To our knowledge, no model coupling liquid soil to solid blocks has been published before. A possible flow configuration for this case is shown schematically in the middle panel of Fig. 3. A modified Bingham model with an increase of the yield strength with depth (C-BING, bottom panel of Fig. 3): Static measurements of the soils in Storegga and Ormen Lange show a marked increase of shear strength with depth. Sediments in the deeper parts have low water content and are strongly consolidated as a consequence. In this case, the yield strength is split into a sum of two different terms: the cohesion (i.e., a part independent of the depth) and a part increasing linearly with depth, which mathematically is equivalent to a friction proportional to the stress generated by overburden mass. The effective friction angle also incorporates the effects of excess pore pressure and is therefore much smaller than for a pile of dry grains. The model is characterized by three instead of two parameters. 3. Mathematical formulation of the models 3.1. Pure Bingham-fluid model The simplest rheological model of a non-Newtonian fluid is the Bingham (or viscoplastic) model. In this model, the shear rate (c˙=Bu/Bz in the present setting) where u is the velocity in the x-direction parallel to the bed, grows linearly with the shear stress s if a threshold s y, termed the yield strength, is exceeded. This condition is translated into the rheological equation lB Bu ¼ sgnðsÞ jsj sy Q jsj sy Bz ð2Þ where l B is the dynamic (Bingham) viscosity and H is the Heaviside function, which is unity if the argument is positive and zero if it is zero or negative. It follows that in a Bingham fluid a state of shearing motion is possible only if the absolute value of the shear stress s is larger than the yield strength. The 445 existence of a non-zero yield strength is generally due to friction and interlocking of the microscopic constituents of the material, as well as electrostatic attraction between clay platelets. It is not the purpose of this work to explain all the details of the model, which can be found in the literature (Huang and Garcı́a, 1998, 1999; Imran et al., 2001)—we only sketch the essence of the BING equations here. To be more specific, let us consider the first of the basic equations of the fluid (which are the two components of the Navier–Stokes equations (NSE) and the continuity equation): Bu Bu2 BðuwÞ 1 Brxx 1 Bsxz þ ¼ þ þ Bt Bz qd Bx qd Bz Bx þ RVgx : ð3Þ Here RV=(q dq w)/q d, g x =g sinb, where g is the gravitational acceleration, q d and q w are the density of the solid material and water, respectively, b is the slope angle and w is the velocity in the z-direction (perpendicular to the bed). By integrating this equation in the direction perpendicular to the bed, once in the region where |s xz (z)|bs y (the no-shear or plug region) and once over the entire flow depth, one can obtain workable relations for the plug layer and for the whole material. The Leibniz rule is applied to the non-linear terms to interchange the derivative and the integral. Note that all the models are two-dimensional, i.e., only the dimensions belonging to the same plane of the gravity force have been considered. The volume per unit width (in km2) is so defined as the volume of the slide divided by its width, and it is a substitute of the slide volume in our two-dimensional simulations. The depth integrals of the advective terms can be approximately evaluated using the velocity profile for a steady uniform flow. The total flow depth, D, is the sum of the depths of the shear layer, D s, and the plug layer, D p. The velocity in the latter is uniform and is denoted by U p. Assuming a steady-state velocity profile in a transient flow implies neglecting the inertial forces with regard to the velocity profile (but not for the flow in its entirety). The normal stress in the x-direction is approximated by the pressure due to the overburden load, r xx (x, z,t)=(q dq w) (D(x, t)z)g g z (x)=r zz (x, z, t). Upon integration of the shear stress 446 F.V. De Blasio et al. / Marine Geology 213 (2004) 439–455 term, one obtains the difference between the shear stresses at the upper and lower interfaces, i.e., the sum of the hydrodynamic drag, s drag, and the viscous friction, sy þ lB Bu Bz jz¼0 . Details can be found in the papers cited above and in (De Blasio et al., 2004). We use a curvilinear coordinate system and neglect curvature effects, which are small for large curvature radii. One can further simplify the equations by adopting a Lagrangian framework, i.e., a description in which the reference frame is moving with the material. The final result—after some algebra—are two equations for the acceleration of the plug layer and of the whole sediment. For the plug layer (velocity U p) one finds DUp BD sgnðU Þ ¼ RVgz sy þ sdrag Bx Dp qd Dt BUp ð4Þ þ RVgx þ U Up Bx where U is the average velocity over the entire flow height (plug and shear layers), the material derivative D/Dt is defined with respect to U as (B/Bt)+U(B/Bx), and s drag is the drag shear stress due to the interaction of the ambient marine water with the moving debris. The terms on the right hand side are the earth-pressure acceleration (which tends to equilibrate the inhomogeneities in the thickness of the deposit), the resistance at the boundaries, the gravity acceleration along the bed and finally a term which accounts for velocity gradients in the debris flow. For the depth-averaged acceleration one finds DU 1 B 7 2 2 BD 2 ¼ U D Up U D þ Up D RVgz Dt D Bx 5 5 Bx Up sgnðU Þ sy þ 2lB þ sdrag þ RVgx : ð5Þ Dqd Ds In deriving this expression, a steady-state velocity profile in the shear layer has been assumed. The drag force is expressed as sdrag ¼ CT q U 2: 2 w p ð6Þ The total drag coefficient C T is approximated as BD BD Q sgnðU Þ þ CF ; CT cCP ð7Þ Bx Bx where the coefficients C P and C F correspond to the pressure and the frictional drag, respectively. The part proportional to C F is the (specific) drag force on the upper face of a rough plate, while the part proportional to C P accounts for the finite thickness of the sediment. |BD/Bx|Dx i is the equivalent area of element i normal to the flow direction. The coefficient C P can be estimated by measuring the drag force on objects of given thickness. In our study, the value of the coefficients was inferred from the literature (Newman, 1977, pp. 17–20). The drag forces turn out to be important for the front part of the debris flow, which travels at least at twice the speed of the rear part. In the model, we do not account for added-mass effects, which arise from the inertial resistance of the ambient water against accelerations. In practice, the solution of the problem as a function of time must be obtained iteratively, using finite time steps and a space mesh. The entire flowing mass is divided into N vertical elements, which at the beginning of the calculation are equally spaced. The equations of motion for the nodes are derived from Eqs. (4) and (5) by temporal and spatial discretization. When the acceleration of one node is calculated, its new velocity and position after a finite (short) time step can be found. Since adjacent nodes can have different accelerations, their relative velocities and positions will change as a function of time. The conservation of the total amount of mud is ensured by calculating the new height of the mud at node i, D i , so that the area of the longitudinal section, A A i , of all the elements i=1, . . . , N is constant during the calculation: Di ¼ Ai ; Xiþ1 Xi ð8Þ where X i is the position of the ith node. The thickness of the shear regions is calculated at each time step and for each node from the equation U Ds ¼ 3D 1 ; ð9Þ Up and for the plug region from Dp ¼ D Ds : ð10Þ Fig. 4 shows the time evolution of a debris flow calculated with the BING code. F.V. De Blasio et al. / Marine Geology 213 (2004) 439–455 447 In addition, the block interacts with the bottom via a Coulomb-like friction force ! n X Di Dxi ðqd qw Þg cosb 4tan h FCoul ¼ sgnðUÞ i¼m ð14Þ Fig. 4. Example of flow evolution over time as computed with the BING model for a yield strength of 8 kPa. The bathymetry corresponds to the pre-Storegga profile of slide E4. The flow height is exaggerated by the same factor as the bathymetric profile (approximately 50-fold). where h is the bottom friction angle and b* is the slope angle averaged over the segments m to n. The acceleration of the block is thus calculated from the previous expressions for the forces acting on the block, using an average value for the slope angle. In order to account for block disintegration at the bottom, a model for the abrasion of metals is adopted (Rabinowicz, 1995). If we imagine the block-bed interface as a region of interpenetration of the material accompanied by the formation of grooves on the two surfaces, we can write the volume of eroded material as DV c 3.2. Bingham fluid with interspersed solid blocks The BING code has been extended to account for solid blocks embedded in a viscoplastic fluid. Some of the vertical segments are made bsolidQ by preventing relative motion between them and shear within them. The shear stress at the bottom is replaced by a Coulomb-friction force. Suppose the segments between m and n describe a solid block, while the rest of the material is liquid. Its mass per unit width is given by M ¼ qd n X Di Dxi : ð11Þ i¼m The downslope gravitational and earth-pressure forces per unit width acting on this block are ! n X Di Dxi g sin b; FG ¼ ðqd qw Þ ð12Þ D P tan c DPD x Dx ¼ kabr pp p ð15Þ where DP=(q dq w) Vgcos b is the load (i.e., the total force exerted by the mass on the surface on which it flows), c is the typical angle formed by the asperities, p is the hardness of the material (to be measured in pascal), V is the volume of the material and D x is the length of relative movement between the block and the bottom. The dimensionless coefficient k abr=tan c/ p takes into account the average size of asperities. For cases in which the load is due to gravity one readily finds (for a constant slope angle b) dV kabr ¼ V Dqgcosb; dx p Dqgcosbkabr x ; V ð xÞ ¼ V0 exp p ð16Þ ð17Þ ð13Þ namely an exponential decay of the block volume as a function of the distance. The disintegration length k is given by p k¼ : ð18Þ Dqgcosbkabr where D_=D m1 and D+=D n+1 are the heights of the liquid at the left and right end, respectively, and cosb _, are the corresponding angles. Field evidence suggests kc3104 m for Storegga, from which we find p/k abrc3108 kg m-1 s-2. With a tentative value k abr=10-3 (of the order of the abrasive coefficient of metal–metal surface with loose abrasive i¼m Fep ¼ 1 ðqd qw Þg D 2 cosb D2þ cosbþ ; 2 448 F.V. De Blasio et al. / Marine Geology 213 (2004) 439–455 grains) one finds pc300 kPa for the hardness of the material. It is also likely that some superficial material will be scraped off the sea bottom by the moving slide and set into motion. It is difficult at the present stage to quantify the entity of this effect, even though one can imagine that the thickness of the material involved would be at most few metres, corresponding to the weak veneer of recent hemipelagic sediments. 3.3. Bingham fluid with depth-dependent yield strength We now turn to the model where the yield strength depends on the depth. This modification is directly suggested by laboratory measurements of the static strength of the material in the Storegga area, which shows a considerable increase of the shear strength with depth as a consequence of consolidation and glacial loading. Here we show how the Bingham model may be extended to account for such an increase. The simplest approximation is to consider the yield strength as a function of the effective stress as for a granular medium obeying the Mohr–Coulomb law: sy ¼ c þ ðrn pw Þtan /; ð19Þ where r n is the stress normal to the bed, p w is the total water pressure (hydrostatic water pressure plus possibly excess pore pressure), / is the internal friction angle of the material and c is the cohesion due to cementation and electrostatic inter-particle forces. In the absence of excess pore water pressure, the pressure difference term simply becomes DqgD and accounts for the buoyancy effect. For a pure viscoplastic material tan /=0 and the yield strength is only due to material cohesion, which is assumed independent of the pressure. A finite internal friction angle implies an increase in the shear strength as a function of the depth. This makes the material much stiffer in the regions where it is thicker (D is large). It is interesting to observe that this effect compensates for the tendency of a pure Bingham fluid to flow in the parts where it is thicker. Intuitively, then, this model of Bingham fluid plus granular behavior should flow more independently of the local thickness of the material. This corresponds to some extent to the intuitive picture of sand pile behavior. From a formal point of view, it is indifferent whether the increase of shear strength with depth is due to granular effects or to consolidation. Writing the above expression explicitly one finds sy ð zÞ ¼ c þ ð Dqgð D zÞ pu Þtan /Vcc þ Dqg ð D zÞ tan /tot: ð20Þ where D is the local debris flow height, and the coordinate z is measured perpendicular to the bed. The depth of the shear layer is evaluated on the basis of this modified yield stress. The total friction angle, / tot., includes effects due to excess pore pressure and may therefore be rather small (0.5–5). A simple extension of the BING code to account for such effects was made. The stress at the bottom is proportional to the thickness of the material at the top, and this implies some rearrangements and extension of the BING code where the equations of motion are calculated. In particular, in the equation of motion for the plug layer (4), the fixed yield strength s y is replaced by an expression taking into account the increase of the yield strength from the top to the bottom of the plug region: sy Yc þ DqgDp tan /tot: : ð21Þ In Eq. (5) for the averaged acceleration, s y is to be replaced by an analogous expression, in which the total flow depth D occurs in place of the plug-layer depth D p, however. Finally, it is well known that in some cases the excess pore pressure may increase due to continuous loading. In the regions where the excess pore pressure is high, the grain interactions can be highly damped with consequent decrease of the shear resistance and loss of stability. In principle, one should consider the complicated problem of water diffusion through the material in which the diffusion coefficient depends on the density itself. In a program like BING, one can partially account for the excess pore pressures by using a simplified solution to the diffusion equation in the form of an error function. However, it does not seem that these effects played an important role for Storegga, as the material was well equilibrated and the water in the sediment was probably at normal hydrostatic pressure (except in the weak layer on which the mass began to slide after the external triggering influence). F.V. De Blasio et al. / Marine Geology 213 (2004) 439–455 449 4. Results Calculations were performed with the three models described above. For a series of reasons, we found it of special interest to consider the Ormen Lange area in the Storegga region, and in particular the lobes denoted E4 and E5 in Ormen Lange (Haflidason et al., 2002). These lobes extend for about 15–20 km from the present headwall of the Ormen Lange area down into the basin. Not only are they well bounded and relatively easy to track, but their mass, geometrical characteristics and material properties are known with some precision. The reason for such good quality data is that these lobes cover a large portion of the area destined to the future exploitation of the natural gas field. 4.1. Model calibration Fig. 5 shows a back-calculation of the slide E4 using the pure Bingham model, without blocks. The best fit is provided by a yield strength of about 8–10 kPa. The pure Bingham model is clearly unable to reproduce the deposit irregularities and the presence of deposits at high slope. Fig. 6 shows the results with blocks. The runout is now shorter. In particular, in Fig. 5. Back-calculation of slide E4 with the BING model: Runout distances and deposition profiles are shown for various values of the yield stress. The bed topography corresponds to the reconstructed sea floor just prior to the slide E4 (Haflidason et al., 2002), the release mass was chosen to correspond to the reconstructed volume. The present-day bathymetry along the profile is superimposed for comparison. Fig. 6. Back-calculation of slide E4 with the B-BING model with four blocks. The yield strength in the liquefied parts of the flow is chosen as 6 kPa while the bed friction angle d of the blocks is varied between 1 and 58. In order to obtain a stopped block on the steeper slope before 3 km, d has to be chosen so large that the runout distance becomes much shorter than observed. order to obtain a stopped block on the steeper slope before 3 km, the Coulomb bed friction angle d has to be chosen so large that the runout distance becomes much shorter than observed. Fig. 7 shows the results from C-BING, the model to adopt if the yield strength in the dynamical calculations should parallel the unremolded yield strength, which increases with depth. The model Fig. 7. Back-calculation of slide E4 with the C-BING model: Runout distances and deposition profiles are shown for constant cohesion c=0.1 kPa and various values of the total friction angle / tot. An extremely low total friction angle would have to be chosen in order to reproduce the runout distance of the E4 slide. 450 F.V. De Blasio et al. / Marine Geology 213 (2004) 439–455 clearly predicts the occurrence of deposits only at the toe of the headwall, resembling a rotational slumping—the observed runout distance cannot be reproduced with reasonable model parameters. Irrespective of the increase of the shear strength with depth in the pre-failure sediments, the remolded yield strength relevant for the flow is the one of the thin shear layer at the bottom and is probably determined primarily by remolding and wetting (i.e., water entrainment) during the flow and not so much by the original strength of the soil. 4.2. Simulation of potential small slides in the Ormen Lange area In the previous section we studied the flow of past debris flows with the purpose of comparing the results with the observed deposits. We consider here the flow of future possible debris flows on the present topography. The Storegga slide reached all the way up to the continental shelf in the Ormen Lange area, and the headwall is therefore situated behind the former shelf edge. During the last ice-age this area was subjected to glacier loading, and later was unloaded when the ice-age came to an end. Soil profiles from geoborings and core samples show stiff and hard overconsolidated clays with a significant content of silt, sand and gravel, low liquidity index and low sensitivity (s tb8). Undrained shear strengths from 100 to 200 kPa are measured at a depth of 20 m below the seabed in cores collected behind the headwall (Haflidason et al., 2002). In order to make the simulations of future slides from the Storegga headwall as realistic as possible, the present-day bathymetry of the sea bottom is used for generating the flow path profiles. Slides E4 and E5 are used as reference slides for model verification and calibration, giving a good indication whether initial conditions and material parameter assumptions are within reasonable values. Assuming a slide release in the headwall slope, the mean slope angle is of the order of 20–25 in the uppermost part and about 5 in the lower part of the starting zone. The slope becomes more gentle as the debris flow runs away from the headwall, and there is a mean slope angle of less than 2 in the runout area downslope. A mean sediment density of 1800 kg m-3 is assumed. Table 1 summarizes the Table 1 Summary of model parameters and initial conditions used in the study of potential slides from the headwall in the Ormen Lange area Parameter Units Value range Yield strength Viscosity Density Release volume per unit width kPa Pa s kg m-3 km2 2, 6, 8, 10, 12 30.0 1800 0.059, 0.124 When varying one set of parameters, the other parameters were kept at their main values indicated in bold face in the third column. different parameter sets and initial conditions explored in our simulations. Fig. 8 (top) shows the final debris flow deposit for a pure Bingham fluid from two simulations obtained using different volumes but the same low yield strength of 2 kPa. Note that this assumed yield strength is very small considering that values at least five times larger were necessary to reproduce the observed runout for the old, quite massive slides E4 and E5. The reason for this choice is that the contouritic sediments that have accumulated since the Storegga slide have a high liquidity index and are correspondingly soft and sensitive. According to the preliminary information available (H. Haflidason, personal communication, 2002), these sediments are rather unevenly distributed, with accumulations at most 1 m deep in troughs and no sediments at all on the crests. We do not know how strongly they are able to reduce the yield strength at the interface between the bed and the flow, and their effect on the flow dynamics is not exactly the same as that of assuming an equally low yield strength in the bulk of the sliding material. Nevertheless, such simulations will give an idea of the runout distances and velocities to expect if bed entrainment is an important factor in a potential future slide. The dependence on the yield strength is further shown in the bottom plot of Fig. 8, where the larger of the two volumes is adopted. A yield strength of 12 kPa, i.e., close to the value found from the backcalculations of the Storegga lobes E4 and E5, would produce a debris flow stopping 7 km from the release area. Note also the rather strong dependence on both the yield strength and the volume. The dependence on the debris flow volume is due to the fact that the drag force and the resistive force at the bottom are surface F.V. De Blasio et al. / Marine Geology 213 (2004) 439–455 451 data can be compared with tsunami deposits, if they can be found around the coasts facing the area. If one is interested in the potential risk from a future debris flow, the calculated velocities can give valuable information on both the associated tsunami and the impact of the debris flow on the sea bottom. In fact, if a debris flow collides against an installation, the resulting damage depends on both the peak pressure during the first milliseconds of the impact and the (somewhat lower) sustained dynamic pressure afterwards. These pressures are determined by the velocity, density and strength of the flowing soil. Figs. 9 and 10 show the velocity as a function of time and distance traveled, respectively, for some selected volumes and yield strengths. The velocity first increases while the gravitational force exceeds the friction and drag forces, reaches a peak value and then decreases as the flowing sediment layer becomes thinner and the slope angle decreases. Estimating the impact forces acting on specific structures is still a very difficult problem because the shear-rate dependent properties of the flowing material play an important role. We therefore give only the double stagnation pressure q du 2 in Fig. 10. The figure shows maximal values between about 1 and 2 MPa, according to the volume per unit width and the yield stress. The actual pressure exerted on, e.g., a pipeline Fig. 8. Deposition profiles and runout distances of potential slides along flow path E5 in the Ormen Lange area. (A) Effect of varying the release volume by a factor 2 at a low yield strength of 2 kPa. (B) Effect of varying the yield strength from 2 to 12 kPa with the larger of the two initial volumes in the upper plot. The position of the future pipeline is also shown. forces; therefore their relative importance compared to gravity (body force) decreases with increasing flow depth and volume. 4.3. Velocity Another interesting parameter is the velocity of the debris flow. Calculated velocities can be useful in at least two respects. For past slides, a knowledge of the velocity can be used for estimates of the tsunami produced by the debris flow, and these Fig. 9. Time evolution of front velocity along flow path E5 in the Ormen Lange area, showing the very strong dependence on the initial mass and a marked decrease of flow duration and velocity in the flatter part of the path as the yield strength is increased. 452 F.V. De Blasio et al. / Marine Geology 213 (2004) 439–455 Fig. 10. Variation of front velocity (A) and impact pressure (B) along flow path E5 for the same initial volumes and yield stresses as in Fig. 9. is expected to be even larger because of the strength of the material. 4.4. Sediments piled up at high slope A feature of many small to medium-size slide deposits in the Ormen Lange area is a bulge of piledup sediment just upslope of the lowest slope break at a depth of about 550 m below sea level (Figs. 5 and 8). The length of these deposits is about 1.5 km, and their height exceeds that of the deposits immediately downstream by a factor of 2 to 3. Similar deposits can be seen at the first slope break at a depth of 430 m below sea level. Their height is even more impressive, but they are significantly shorter. The presence of these sediments at high-slope positions is not easily reproduced by our simulations, and they deserve a separate discussion. There are two distinct possibilities for interpreting these deposits: The first considers the change of slope to be gradual enough for the soil to follow the sea-bed topography without any appreciable resistance and compression. In that case, the deposits must be attributed to secondary slides, which, due to their significantly smaller mass, had a larger total friction angle and lower speed; they would rapidly have come to a halt when the slope became less than that angle. The same effect may occur if we take into account that the tail of a slide tends to be much slower than the head and thus reacts more sensitively to changes of slope angle; also, the release height is smaller in the uppermost parts of the slab than in its middle. The difficulty with this interpretation is the considerable fine-tuning needed for the deposits to stop just at the bend rather than, say, half a kilometer before or after it. An alternative interpretation considers the change of slope to be abrupt and to have a similar effect as a retaining dam against avalanches. The flowing mass needs to be accelerated to change its direction, leading to compressive stresses in the direction perpendicular to the sea floor. As the soil is very weak (i.e., the internal friction angle is very low), it will fail along a shear plane that is almost parallel to the sea floor. Material is then deposited in the bend until the slope transition has become so gradual that the soil flowing over it no longer fails. If this interpretation were correct, however, one would expect the extra deposits to extend to roughly equal distances on both sides of the bend and to be deepest at the bend. But the bathymetric data suggests that the soil has accumulated mostly upslope of the bend. In view of these considerations, we lean towards the first interpretation of these bulges as blate-comersQ too slow to progress into the much less inclined terrain at 2 km from the slide scar. In passing we also note that the BING model and its variants, using a Lagrangian description of the flow, are not well suited to capture bshocksQ of the kind described in connection with the second interpretation (see Tai et al., 2002) for a discussion of this issue in the context of granular flows). Neither can the development of shear F.V. De Blasio et al. / Marine Geology 213 (2004) 439–455 planes be satisfactorily described in a depth-integrated, one-dimensional approach. 5. Discussion The sliding of overconsolidated sediments differs from the sliding of soft sediments including quick clay. In the latter case the sediments may liquefy or become completely remolded almost instantaneously after slide release. Such conditions seem to prevail in front of fast ice streams where sediments are deposited at high rates, on the order of tens of centimeters per year (Dimakis et al., 2000; Elverhøi et al., 2002). In the case of overconsolidated materials, the initial phase is characterized by disintegration of the soil and lasts for a significant part of the runout distance. If we use the static value of the shear strength measured in the laboratory as an input for the model (Haflidason et al., 2002), there will be no movement at all—these values are in fact far higher than those inferred from the location and thickness of the deposits. Evidently, some kind of remolding or softening of the sediments must have occurred. This is indeed very likely, as the material will develop cracks during the flow, it will shear and water will be incorporated, with consequent increase in the liquidity index and decrease of the yield strength. It might appear that these extremely complex and unknown physical phenomena should be incorporated in the flow modeling. However, we argue here that a great deal of phenomenology can be inferred from simple flow models. A first approach is to consider a simple Bingham model with a strongly reduced yield strength as compared to the shear strength of the original material. The yield strength, which results from the complex phenomena mentioned earlier, cannot be calculated a priori (Locat and Demers, 1988). One should simply use the value that gives the best fit. This approach seems to give reasonable results, but it does not take into account the presence of blocks. However, a model incorporating blocks interacting with Coulomb friction (BBING) gives a poorer description than the simple Bingham model. In fact, as also shown in a parallel paper (Issler et al., 2005), the simulated results for the runout as a function of the mass per unit width 453 fit fairly well a power-law function. Additionally, one finds that the slope ~0.87 of the regression line is rather insensitive to the value of the assumed yield strength. A possible explanation for these findings is that the material fails along a weak layer (at a depth of about 100 m in the case of Ormen Lange). The material properties around the weak layer are rapidly changed due to the high shear and water entrainment (Elverhøi et al., 2002). Both these effects dramatically reduce the cohesion of clay along this layer, and the yield strength plummets. Material is continuously eroded and comminuted along this layer, and the block moves in a self-lubricating fashion. This would explain several facts: (i) the apparent lack of Coulomb friction (the shear occurs in the self-lubricating layer, with Bingham fluid properties, rather than Coulombian, frictional ones), (ii) the presence of blocks, apparently inconsistent with a pure Bingham model, (iii) the superiority of a Bingham model. Indeed, if the selflubricating layer is thicker than the shear layer of a Bingham fluid under the same conditions (same density, velocity and so on), then the flow of a Bingham liquid carrying a block at the top is indistinguishable from the one of a completely liquefied material. Therefore, blocks and Bingham fluid can in principle coexist and give the same flow as a pure Bingham fluid. However, if the selflubricating material is thinner than the equivalent thickness of the shear layer, the two flows will not be identical, but still similar. (iv) The fact that the blocks are not so easily comminuted is due to the very high shear strength (easily over 100 kPa); there is no contradiction with the failure of C-BING, a program that does not incorporate the weak layer. The lubricating material acts like pore pressure, reducing the effect of Coulomb friction. Once we accept this picture, we see that, at least for this kind of materials, we can by-pass the complex problem of sediment disintegration in the body of the debris flow and replace it with the problem of the loss of strength due to abrasion and erosion along a single plane (which is probably easier to address experimentally). We conclude that the flow of overconsolidated clay such as in Storegga is controlled more by shearing in a weak layer than by the disintegration of the whole body, which is an effect rather than a cause of the flow. 454 F.V. De Blasio et al. / Marine Geology 213 (2004) 439–455 Having described the model emerging from the present simulations, we can be more specific on the values that should be attributed to the Bingham fluid in the Ormen Lange area. The BING model based on the Bingham rheology reproduces the runout distance for a wide range of initial volumes per unit width, with a value for the yield strength of about 8–12 kPa. Both the slope of the runout curve and the value seem to be well reproduced. The initial size of the debris flow constitutes an important parameter for the flow. As already stated, a statistical analysis of the debris flow lobes in Storegga shows that the runout scales like the volume per unit width to the power of 0.87 (Issler et al., 2005). The multiplicative factor in the power-law relationship, instead, depends much more strongly on the yield strength. For example, an increase of the yield strength from 6 to 14 kPa in our simulations, determines a decrease of the runout distance approximately by a factor of 2. Clearly, there is a rather strict empirical correspondence between volume per unit width and runout. The use of the empirical power law relation could be particularly appealing for risk assessment and prediction in the Ormen Lange area. Possibly, similar considerations could be extended to other clay-rich areas of the continental shelf. Peak velocities found from our simulations are on the order of 30 m s-1 or less depending on the volume and are reached after only about 1–2 min from start. The velocity then decreases slowly and the debris flow comes to rest after a total time of about half an hour. Such data might turn out to be important for the risk assessment in the area. leads us to conclude that the flow dynamics was dominated by a remolded clay layer at the base of the slide. The best correspondence is obtained with a yield strength of 10–15 kPa. As mentioned previously, we consider the following two issues the most pressing for a significant improvement of our capacity for predicting potential flowslides: 6. Conclusions Research on the topics delineated above will require a combination of experiments, theoretical work, and field observations. In the present paper we addressed the physical effects at play during the flow of a slide formed by overconsolidated clay. Due to the valuable data of unprecedented quality and abundance, the debris flows in the Storegga–Ormen Lange region in the Norwegian Sea was considered as a case study. We found that the values for the yield strength that produce results comparable to field data are substantially smaller than those measured statically in the laboratory. This, together with the indications of absence of granular and Coulomb frictional behavior, (1) Break-up and disintegration of overconsolidated clay is rather poorly understood, despite its key role in determining whether a slab of unstable sediment will produce a mere slump, or has the potential to become a debris flow with long runout. The disintegration process might turn out to be important in affecting the further dynamics of the debris flow especially for small slides, as they presumably spend a higher time fraction in the overconsolidated state. (2) Both hydroplaning and shear-wetting of the bottom layer of a debris flow with the water penetrating underneath it during hydroplaning or with the overflowed soft, water-rich marine sediments may lead to a significant reduction of bottom friction and thus to long runout distances. In fact, the two wetting mechanisms share many dynamical aspects. Neither the dynamics of bed entrainment nor the diffusion of the lubricating water layer under a hydroplaning mudflow have been studied to any depth. In this context, the phenomenon of (hydroplaning) outrunner blocks, observed both in the field and in the laboratory, also deserves further investigation. Acknowledgments The authors wish to thank Lars Engvik, Peter Gauer, Haflidi Haflidason, Kaare Hbeg, Trygve Ilstad, Tore J. Kvalstad, Jacques Locat, David Mohrig, Gary Parker (who also provided us with the code of the original BING model, which is now available on the Internet) and Anders Solheim for discussions at F.V. 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