Canadian Market Overview Louise Roberge, President Tea Association of Canada AGENDA Introduction Market Place Overview Trends & Opportunities Barriers Tea Association of Canada Programs Tea Association of Canada Mission: To provide proactive leadership on behalf of all members in the areas of advocacy, generic promotion, and education to ensure the long term viability of the industry. Tea Association of Canada Members – Producing Countries – Importers – Packers – Suppliers – Growers – Retailers – Sommeliers – Students MARKET PLACE OVERVIEW Tea Imports Market Share by Country of Origin Consumption Grocery Sales Foodservice Sales Tea Imports Volume Metric Tons (000,000) 25 20 15 Green Tea Black Tea 10 5 0 2001 2 2003 4 2005 6 2007 8 2009 10 2011 Source: International Tea Committee Tea Imports 2011 Category Percentage 22% Black Green 78% Source: International Tea Committee Imports in US Dollars 180000 160000 140000 120000 Black Tea 100000 Green Tea 80000 Total 60000 40000 20000 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2010 2011 Imports from Major Producing Countries 2005-2011 4500 4000 3500 3000 India Sri Lanka Kenya China UK USA 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 2005 2007 2009 2011 Producing Country Canadian Market Share Black Tea 6000 5000 India 4000 Sri Lanka Kenya 3000 China UK USA 2000 1000 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2010 2011 Producing Country Canadian Market Share Green 2000 1800 1600 1400 1200 China Japan UK USA 1000 800 600 400 200 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Canadian Beverage Consumption Share of Throat (Litres per Person) 300 250 200 58 47 41 84 82 36 150 82 84 62 86 62 57 90 93 72 77 65 88 87 89 90 89 87 76 73 72 69 67 2005 2007* 2008 2009 2010 2011 87 83 100 50 86 93 1991 1994 94 99 96 93 0 1996 Soft Drinks 1999 2001 2003 Coffee Tea Statistics Canada: Food Available Food available adjusted for losses by major group per person *From 2007 the data represents food available for consumption and not actual quantities of food consumed since they do not allow for losses or waste Tea Sales by Category (Dollars) 250,000,000 200,000,000 150,000,000 Hot Tea 100,000,000 RTD 50,000,000 0 97 2002 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 TOTAL READY-TO-DRINK SALES 1997-2011 CANADIAN DOLLARS 120,000,000 100,000,000 80,000,000 Ice Tea Mixes RTD (ex cans) TRD (cans) 60,000,000 40,000,000 20,000,000 0 19972002 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Specialty / Upscale Tea continues to gain in popularity and now holds nearly 60% of the $ market Share $ Share Tl Regular Black Tea 55.0 $ Vol % Chg 57.2 +7% 45.0 $ Vol % Chg 2010 TL Tea % Chg Tl Upscale/Specialty Tea 42.8 -2% -4% 2011 +3% Source: Nielsen MarketTrack, National GB+DR+MM+GM+WC, Latest 52 Wks ending July 2, 2011. Nielsen Scantrack, National US All Outlets, 52 Wks ending July 9, 2011 Title of Presentation In terms of Pounds, Regular Tea dominates but Specialty Tea has continued to gain share of the category. Tl Regular Black Tea Pounds Share 21.8 Tonn % Chg 23.4 +8% 78.2 Tonn % Chg CANADA 76.6 -1% 2010 TL Tea % Chg Tl Upscale/Specialty Tea -3% 2011 +1% Source: Nielsen MarketTrack, National TL GR+DR+MM+GM+WC, Latest 52 Wks ending July 2, 2011. Nielsen Scantrack, National US All Outlets, 52 Wks ending July 9, 2011 Title of Presentation Specialty Black and Herbal Tea segments are key growth contributors. Increased health concerned consumers and many new launches are fuelling the growth. $ Share of TL Tea (Vol% Chg) 2% 27% 3% 11% YAGO TL Upscale/ Specialty 57.2 $ Shr (+7%) 18.6 8.5 8.4 5.6 18.6 -9% CURR 19.6 21.1 6.8 1.4 SPEC BLACK CORE -25% SPEC BLACK FLAV GREEN TEA HERBAL TEA 1.2 HERBAL RED 1.4 1.0 WHITE Source: Nielsen MarketTrack, National GR+DR+MM+GM+WC, Latest 52 Wks ending July 2, 2011. Nielsen Scantrack, National US All Outlets, 52 Wks ending July 9, 2011 Title of Presentation Tea Sales Yearly Trend (2003 – 2011) Dollars (000,000’s) 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 National West Regular Tea Bags East Ontario Quebec Specialty Tea Bags Foodservice Sales Size of the Prize • Hot Tea servings in Canadian Foodservice totalled 380-million in the most recent year • This represents a 4% gain over the previous year, and a steady 3.5% gain over the last five years – This makes it the fastest growing beverage • Hot Tea ranks as #5 on the most popular beverage category list – Just ahead of juice… and behind tap water Survey says… Primary Objectives: The Tea Association of Canada wanted to determine strategies to grow the tea category at foodservice. To support this aim, NPD completed a custom online survey to measure usage and attitudes at foodservice and how to encourage greater purchase consideration. Hot Tea Usage Average consumption of tea per week Heavy Tea Drinker • 8+ cups per week 15.4 Medium Tea Drinker • 3-7 cups per week Light Tea Drinker • 1-2 cups per week 6.6 4.8 1.5 Average Tea Drinker Heavy Tea Drinker Medium Tea Drinker Light Tea Drinker Executive Summary There is a definite opportunity to promote the tea category at all foodservice segments explored (i.e., Fine Dining Restaurants, Casual Dining Restaurants, Quick Service Coffee and Donut Restaurants, and Other Quick Service Restaurants). At present, purchase intentions among Tea Drinkers are relatively low: Fine Dining Casual Dining QSR Coffee & Donut Other QSR 46% 29% 37% 11% Definitely / Probably Order Evaluations of the tea offerings are also relatively low (to extremely low): Fine Dining Casual Dining QSR Coffee & Donut Other QSR 44% 23% 24% 6% Excellent / Very Good … Although Fine Dining Restaurants appear to be doing a better job than other segments. 23 Yet there is demand: The majority of Tea Drinkers report that they would be more likely to order tea if they knew the restaurant served consistently good tea. Fine Dining Casual Dining QSR Coffee & Donut Other QSR 77% 71% 69% 70% Consumer feedback on purchase barriers and factors to encourage greater purchase likelihood across the four target foodservice segments revealed consistent findings and the need to address: Limited Top of Mind Consideration Poor Quality and Selection of Product Offerings Poor Execution 24 Conversion of consideration to purchase is low Consideration and Purchase by Restaurant Category 77 71 The majority of tea drinkers would be more likely to order tea if the quality was more consistent 70 69 46 37 Purchase Conversion 29 11 Fine Dining Casual Dining Purchase Consideration QSR Coffee/Donut Fine Dining Casual Dining QSR Coff/Donut Other QSR 58% 41% 54% 16% Other QSR Purchase Intent Q.8 To what extent do you consider ordering tea at each of the following types of restaurants? Base: Total Tea Drinkers (n=2968) Foodservice demands mirror at home preferences Demand for Tea Blends at Foodservice Black (total) 68% 53% Black Flavoured Black • Female 35% Green (total) 53% Green • Medium 39% Flavoured Green 30% Herbal • Age <34 37% Rooibos 10% White Other • Heavy • Age <34 • Female 8% 4% Q.9 What blends of tea are you most likely to order at [restaurant]? Base: Total Tea Intenders (n=2251) 26 Tea drinkers are particular about their brewing methods Demand for Brewing Methods at Foodservice Fresh Brewed Q.5 Which of the following methods of brewing tea would you like to see offered at the coffee or tea shops or any restaurants that you visit? Base: Total Tea Drinkers (n=2968) 27 Honey is the preferred sweetener among tea drinkers Demand for Sweeteners at Foodservice Q.6 What types of sweeteners would you like to see offered at the coffee or tea shops or any restaurants that you visit? Base: Total Tea Drinkers (n=2968) 28 Tea is not being considered as a beverage option Evaluation of Tea Offerings “Proper temperature of water…” 31 21 “Get rid of those small metal pots…” 19 16 “Reminder of choices on menu…” Fine Dining Casual Dining QSR Coffee/Donut Other QSR “Offer more flavours…” Never Ordered Q.7 How would you rate the tea offerings at each of the following types of restaurants? Base: Total Tea Drinkers (n=2968) Foodservice plays a big role in new flavour trial Sources of New Tea Blends and Flavours 50% Retail (total) 38% Home after buying at grocery store Home after buying at from other retail location 11% Foodservice (total) 39% Specialty Tea Shop 21% Fine Dining Restaurants 7% Fast Food Coffee & Donut Restaurants 6% Full Service Family Dining-Style Restaurants 6% Casual Dining Restaurants or Bar & Grills Not sure Especially teens (58%) at retail after grocery shopping (49%) Especially those who prefer loose leaf tea (54%) at specialty tea shops (38%) 2% 11% Q.18 Where are you most likely to try a new brand, blend or flavour of tea? Base: Total Tea Drinker (n=2968) 30 Satisfied tea drinkers will purchase again Purchase Conversion between Retail and Foodservice 100% 80% 71% 75% 61% 85% 77% 74% 21% 28% 42% 27% 50% 25% 29% 20% 41% 44% 53% 52% 43% 48% Foodservice trial and satisfaction will drive repeat sales in retail and foodservice 0% At home after buying at a grocery store (n=1137) At home after Fast food coffee buying from and donut some other restaurant retail location (n=179) (n=337) Probably Specialty tea shop (n=616) Full service family diningstyle restaurants (n=99) Fine dining restaurants (210) Definitely Q.20 How likely would you be to buy a new or different brand, blend or flavour of tea if you had tried it and enjoyed it at [place]? Base: Tea Buyers at Places 31 Premium offerings command premium pricing Price Sensitivity of Foodservice Tea Offerings $2.00 $3.00 Orange Pekoe $4.00 English Breakfast $2.02 – $2.50 $2.63 – $3.15 $0.65 Premium Per Serving Where is the potential for even more premium offerings? Opportunity at Casual Dining Restaurants: Results at a Glance Blend Preference – Top 3 Mentions Blend Preference - Top 5 Black (total) 67% Green (total) 46% Among those who prefer… Factors to Drive Purchases Tea Evaluation Tea Purchase Consideration Product Product Purchase Barriers Top 3 Don’t think of buying tea there 45% Drinking tea more often at home 24% Quality is not good 20% 31% Ordering Tap Water if not Tea Other Initiatives Top 3 Better Selection of Flavours 24% Better Selection of Brands 21% Better Selection of Blends 17% More Premium Teas 17% Other Initiatives Top 3 Tea Served in Personal tea pot to keep warm 33% Brands, Blends, Flavours on Menu 28% Took tea seriously (like coffee) 27% 71% Would be More Likely to Order if Assured Restaurant Served Consistently Good Tea. 33 Executive Summary (Cont’d) There is a need to… Improve Product Offerings and Selection Boost Top of Mind Consideration •Present complete tea offerings on menu; •Educate servers on offerings; •Have servers suggest / make recommendations; •In-store displays; •Promotions, seasonal LTOs, etc. A Systematic Tea Program to Ensure: •There is a strong demand for a better selection of tea offerings: Flavours; Blends; Brands; Premium or specialty teas; Loose leaf teas. •Offer higher quality teas. Trial Satisfaction Improve Execution •Serve tea in proper tea pot to keep it warm; •Take tea as seriously as coffee; •Ensure consistency; •Serve at proper temperature; •Serve in proper cup. Repeat 34 Summary • Tea is not top of mind among restaurant visitors, creating a tremendous missed opportunity • Younger tea drinkers have a greater preference for variety in all of their beverage choices • Older tea drinkers tend more towards traditional preparations, and are more particular about them • Loose leaf tea is becoming synonymous with specialty tea retailers • A well executed tea program at foodservice will generate repeat purchase for operators and manufacturers at all points of distribution Size of the Tea Market in Canada (124% increase in 15 years) 1997 DOLLAR S $(000’s) 2011 DOLLARS $(000’s) %increase since 1997 IMPORTS 77.1 IMPORTS (ITC 2011) 161 109 SALES HOT 115.2 SALES HOT 212 84 REGULAR 73 REGULAR 88 20 SPECIALTY 42.2 SPECIALTY 124 196 203 138 SALES RTD 70.4 SALES RTD RTD (excld cans) 10.9 RTD (excld cans) 84 663 RTD Cans 35 RTD Cans 77 120 Ice Tea Mixes 24.5 Ice Tea Mixes 43 72 TOTAL HOT & RTD 185.6 TOTAL HOT & RTD 415 123 SALES FOODSERVICE (est.) 340 SALES FOODSERVICE (est.) 760 93 TOTAL 602.7 TOTAL 1,336 124 Protecting: Barriers Regulatory Issues HIGH Priority MEDIUM Priority Healthy Living CBSA-CFIA PESTICIDE MRL’S Country of Origin NHP’s Product Specific Health Claims Organic regulationMANDATORY NUTRITION Generic Health LABELLING WHO report Claim Codex Stewardship Ontario LOW Priority Allergen Regulation Health &Safety Act Caffeine Labelling On the Radar Trends & Opportunities Flavoured Tea Herbal Tea as an ingredient in cooking and cocktails Tea as a health and beauty aid Fancy Tea bags, single serve capsule Cause related Tea Organic Tea & foods in general Ready to Drink Programs and Services • • • • • • Research 4* tea grading Tea education Social marketing Events Government regulations Events 3rd North American Conference September 11-13, 2012 Hilton Hotel and Suites Niagara Falls, Ontario Fifth International Scientific Symposium September 19, 2012 Jefferson Auditorium, U.S. Department of Agriculture Washington, D.C. Electronic Communications CERTIFIED TEA SOMMELIER™ CERTIFICATE Canada’s First Recognized Tea Education Program Where is it offered? • Colleges: ▫ ▫ ▫ ▫ ▫ ▫ ▫ George Brown (Toronto) Vancouver Community College Bow Valley College (Calgary) Algonquin College (Ottawa) Fanshawe College (London, Ontario) Nova Scotia Community College Red Valley College (Winnipeg) Where is it offered • Industry ▫ Can be at your company (eg. David’s Tea) ▫ Courses Starting in January ▫ One day Course October 29th For more information visit our website www.tea.ca We’re just a click away!
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